United States                 Office of Research and          EPA/625/R-00/010
               Environmental Protection         Development                 August 2000
               Agency	Cincinnati, OH 45268	

v>EPA     Environmental  Problem  Solving with
               Geographic Information  Systems

               1994 and 1999 Conference Proceedings
               About this CD:

               This CD, EPA Document Number EPA/625/R-00/010, contains conference proceedings
               documents from the 1994 and 1999 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic
               Information Systems conferences.  The 1994 papers are also contained in a Seminar
               Publication, EPA Document Number EPA/625/R-95/004, available from EPA.
               Accessing CD contents:

               All of the files contained on this CD are in Adobe Acrobat 4.0 format. A copy of Adobe
               Acrobat Reader 4.05 for Windows has been included on this CD for your convenience if
               you do not have this software.  The software is also available free of charge on the
               Adobe homepage at: http://www.adobe.com/.  If an older version of the Acrobat Reader
               is used, error messages will appear when files are  opened.

               To install Adobe Acrobat from the file on this CD, double-click the file entitled
               rs405eng.exe and follow the installation instructions that will appear on the screen. You
               will be asked to read and accept the Electronic End-User License Agreement as part of
               this installation.

               Adobe, Acrobat, and the Acrobat logo are trademarks of Adobe Systems Incorporated.
               Contents of CD:


               •  1999 Agenda.pdf- This file contains the agenda of the 1999 conference with links
                  to the available presentation papers. It is organized by date and time of presentation
                  at the conference.

               •  1994 Contents.pdf- This file contains a list of presentations from the 1994
                  conference with links to the available presentation papers. It is organized by topic
                  area.

               •  1999 Attendees.pdf- This file contains the list of attendees from the 1999
                  conference, with links to papers by attending authors.

-------
   Papers - This folder contains PDF files of all of the available papers from the 1994
   and 1999 conferences. Every paper in this folder may be accessed through the links
   in the 1999 Agenda and 1994 Contents documents.

   Readme.pdf - This file contains information about the CD contents, access, and
   navigation. Start here when using this CD for the first time.

   rs405eng.exe - This file contains the Adobe Acrobat 4.05 installation files.
Navigating between files:

The 1994 Contents, 1999 Agenda, and 1999 Attendees List may all be accessed from
this file. All the papers may be accessed by using the links from the 1994 Contents,
1999 Agenda, and 1999 Attendees List. When a link is followed to a paper, the
originating file is closed.  To return to the contents or agenda file, click on the title of the
open paper.  Every PDF document on this CD may also be accessed using your
Windows Explorer or File Manager.
For more information:

Contact the United States Environmental Protection Agency at:  www.epa.gov

-------
              Environmental  Problem  Solving
        with Geographic  Information Systems
                     September 21-23,  1994
                          Cincinnati, Ohio
GIS Concepts
GIS Uncertainty and Policy: Where Do We Draw the 25-Inch Line?
      James E. Mitchell

Data Quality Issues Affecting GIS Use for Environmental Problem-Solving
      Carol B. Griff in

You Can't Do That With These Data! Or: Uses and Abuses of Tap Water Monitoring
Analyses
      Michael R. Schock and Jonathan A. Clement

Ground-Water Applications

Using GI5/GP5 in the Design and Operation of Minnesota's Ground Water
Monitoring and Assessment Program
      Tom Clark, Yuan-Ming Hsu, Jennifer Schlotthauer, Don Jakes, and
      Georgianna Myers

Use of GIS in Modeling Ground-Water Flow in the Memphis, Tennessee, Area
      James Outlaw and Michael Clay Brown

MODRISI: A PC Approach to GIS and Ground-Water Modeling
      Randall R. Ross and Milovan 5. Beljin

GIS in Statewide Ground-Water Vulnerability Evaluation to Pollution Potential
      Navulur Kumar and Bernard A. Engel

Verification of Contaminant Flow Estimation With GIS and Aerial Photography
      Thomas M. Williams

Geology of Will and Southern Cook Counties, Illinois
      Edward Caldwell Smith

-------
Watershed Applications

The Watershed Assessment Project: Tools for Regional Problem Area
Identification
      Christine Adamus

Watershed Stressors and Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program
Estuarine Indicators for South Shore Rhode Island
      John F. Paul and George E. Morrison

(515 Watershed Applications in the Analysis of Nonpoint Source Pollution
      Thomas H. Cahill, Wesley R. Horner, and Joel 5. Mc(5uire

Using (515 To Examine Linkages Between Landscapes and Stream Ecosystems
      Carl Richards, Lucinda Johnson, and George Host

Nonpoint Source Water Quality Impacts in an Urbanizing Watershed
      Peter Coffin, Andrea Dorlester, and Julius Fabos

A (515 for the Ohio River Basin
      Walter M. Grayman, Sudhir R. Kshirsagar, Richard M. Males, James A.
      Goodrich, and Jason P. Heath

Nonpoint Source Pesticide Pollution of the Pequa Creek Watershed, Lancaster
County, Pennsylvania: An Approach Linking  Probabilistic Transport Modeling and (515
      Robert T. Paulsen and Allan Moose

Integration of (515 With the Agricultural Nonpoint Source Pollution Model: The
Effect of Resolution and Soils Data Sources on Model Input and Output
      Suzanne R. Perlitsh

X(5RCWP, a Knowledge- and <5IS-Based System for Selection, Evaluation, and
Design of Water Quality Control Practices in Agricultural Watersheds
      Runxuan Zhao, Michael A. Foster, Paul t>. Robillard, and David W. Lehning

Integration of EPA Mainframe Graphics and (515 in a UNIX Workstation
Environment To Solve Environmental Problems
      William B. Samuels, Phillip Taylor, Paul Evenhouse, and Robert  King

-------
Wetlands Applications

Wetlands Mapping and Assessment in Coastal North Carolina: A GIS-Based
Approach
      Lori  Sutter and James Wuenscher

Decision Support System for Multiobjective Riparian/Wetland Corridor Planning
      Margaret A. Fast and Tina K. Rajala

Design of GI5 Analysis To Compare Wetland Impacts on Runoff in Upstream Basins
of the Mississippi and Volga Rivers
      Tatiana B. Nawrocki

Water Quality  Applications

Vulnerability Assessment of Missouri Drinking Water to Chemical Contamination
      Christopher J. Barnett, Steven J. Vance, and Christopher L. Fulcher

Reach File 3 Hydrologic Network and the Development of GIS  Water Quality Tools
      Stephen  Bevington

EPA's Reach Indexing Project:  Using GI5 To Improve Water Quality Assessment
      Jack Clifford, William D. Wheaton, and Ross J. Curry

Environmental Management Applications

Ecological Land Units, GIS, and Remote Sensing: Gap Analysis in the Central
Appalachians
      Ree  Brannon, Charles B. Yuill, and Sue A. Perry

A GIS Strategy for Lake Management Issues
      Michael F. Troge

A Watershed-Oriented Database for Regional Cumulative Impact Assessment and
Land Use Planning
      Steven J. Stichter

A GIS Demonstration for Greenbelt Land Use Analysis
      Joanna J. Becker

-------
GIS as a Tool for Predicting Urban Growth Patterns and Risks From Accidental
Release of Industrial Toxins
      Samuel V. Noe

Integration of GIS and Hydrologic Models for Nutrient Management Planning
      Clyde W. Fraisse, Kenneth L. Campbell, James W. Jones, William &. Boggess,
      and Babak Negahban

Other GIS Applications

Expedition of Water-Surface-Profile Computations Using GIS
      Ralph J. Haefner, K. Scott Jackson, and James M.  Sherwood

Small Is Beautiful: GIS and Small Native American Reservations—Approach,
Problems, Pitfalls, and Advantages
      Jeff Besougloff

A GIS-Based Approach to Characterizing Chemical Compounds in Soil and Modeling
of Remedial System Design
      Leslie L. Chau, Charles R. Comstock, and R. Frank Keyser

Polygon  Development Improvement Techniques for Hazardous Waste Environmental
Impact Analysis
      David A. Padgett

Comparing Experiences in the British and  U.S. Virgin Islands in Implementing GIS
for Environmental Problem-Solving
      Louis Potter and Bruce Potter

Application of GIS for Environmental Impact Analysis in a Traffic Relief Study
      Bruce Stauffer and Xinhao Wang

-------
                     Environmental  Problem Solving

               With Geographic Information  Systems



                        Tuesday, September  21, 1999

               Pre-registration and Cash Bar Reception (5:00 PM - 8:00 PM)


Day 1 - Wednesday, September 22, 1999

                                Grand Ballroom A-B

                                PLENARY SESSION


7:30 - 9:00      Registration and Name  Badge Pickup

9:00 - 9:15      Welcome & Overview
                      Sue Schock,  USEPA,  ORD, NRMRL
                      Daniel J. Murray, USEPA, ORD, NRMRL

9:15 - 10:00     New Directions in Environmental Problem Solving
                      Michael F. Goodchild, Ph. D., Chair
                      National Center  for Geographic Information and Analysis, and
                      Department of Geography, University of California - Santa Barbara

10:00 - 10:20    BREAK

10:20 - 10:50    6IS Workgroup: An Overview 6IS -  QA
                      George M.Brills,  J.D., USEPA, ORD, NERL

10:50 - 11:30    Environmental Visioning  with Geographic Information Systems
                      Sudhir R. Kshirsagar, Ph. D., Global Quality Corporation, and
                      Paul Koch, Pacific Environmental Services Inc.

11:30 - 1:00     LUNCH

-------
Day 1  -  Wednesday, September 22, 1999 (continued)
Room
SESSION
Moderator
TIME
1:00 -
1:25
1:25 -
1:50
1:50 -
2:15
2:15 -
2:40
2:40 -
3:00
3:00 -
3:25
3:25 -
3:50
3:50 -
4:15
4:15 -
4:40
Grand Ballroom A
SESSION A
DIFFUSE SOURCE
Lyn Kirschner
Conservation Technology Informal-ion Center
PRESENTATION
&IS Watershed Delineation
Tools
Nonpoint Pollutant Loading
Application for ArcView GIS
Application of DEM and Land
Cover Data in Estimating
Atmospheric Deposition to the
Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
Regions: Model Development
and Applications
Assessing the Impact of
Landuse/Landcover on Stream
Chemistry in Maryland
SPEAKER(S)
James Goodrich,
Ph.D., USEPA,
ORD, NRMRL
Laurens van der
Tak, P.E.,
CH2MHJII
James A. Lynch,
Ph.D.,
Pennsylvania
State University
Gabriel Senay,
Ph.D., PAI/SAIC
.Grand Ballroom B
SESSION B
ASSESSMENT / REMEDIATION
Jill Neal, USEPA, ORt), NRMRL
PRESENTATION
GIS and GPS in Environmental
Remediation Oversight at
Federal Facilities in Ohio
The Impact of Spatial
Aggregation on Environmental
Modeling: A GIS Approach
Characterizing the Hydrogeology
of Acid Mine Discharges from
the Kempten Mine Complex,
West Virginia and Maryland
The GIS Connection to
Residential Yard Soil
Remediation
SPEAKER(S)
Kelly Kaletsky
and Bill Lohner,
Ohio EPA
Lin Liu, Ph.D.,
University of
Cincinnati
Benjamin R.
Hayes, Bucknell
University
Jennifer Deis,
Black & Veatch
BREAK
Assessing the Long-Term
Impact of Land Use Change On
Runoff and Non-Point Source
Pollution Using a GIS-NPS
Model
A Web- Based &IS Model for
Assessing the Long-Term
Hydrologic Impacts of Land
Use Change (L-THIA GIS
WWW): Motivation and
Development
Using a Geographic Information
System for Cost-Effective
Reductions in Nonpoint Source
Pollution: The Case of
Conservation Buffers
Putting Geospatial Information
Into the Hands of the "Real"
Natural Resource Managers:
Lessons from the NEMO
Project in Educating Local Land
Use Decision Makers
Budhendra
Bhaduri, Oak
Ridge National
Laboratory
Jon Harbor,
Purdue University
(Bernie Engel,
Ph.D.)
Mark S. Landry,
Virginia Tech
University
Joel Stacker,
Cooperative
Extension,
University of
Connecticut
GIS in the Confirmation Process
Using a Geographic Information
Systems Application to
Implement Risk Based Decisions
in Corrective Action
Determining the Accuracy of
Geographic Coordinates for
NPDES Permittees in the State
of Ohio
No presentation
Raymond E.
Bailey, Ph.D.,
MK-Ferguson
Lesley Hay
Wilson, P.E.,
The University
of Texas -
Austin
Bhagya
Subramanian,
USEPA, NERL

4:30 - 6:30   Reception (cash bar)

-------
Day 2 - Thursday, September 23, 1999
8:00 - 9:00   Registration and Name Badge Pickup
Room
SESSION
Moderator
TIME
8:30 -
8:55
8:55 -
9:20
9:20 -
9:45
9:45 -
10:10
10:10 -
10:30
10:30 -
10:55
10:55 -
11:20
11:20 -
11:45
11:45 -
1:30
Grand Ballroom A
SESSION C
APPLICATIONS
boug Grosse. USEPA, ORb, NRMRL
PRESENTATION
Evaluating Soil Erosion Parameter
Estimates from Different Data
Sources
A Planning Strategy for Siting
Animal Confinement Facilities: The
Integrated Use of &IS and
Digital Image Simulation
Technologies
Lake Superior Decision Support
Systems: GIS Databases and
Decision Support Systems for
Land Use Planning
Update of GIS Land Use
Attributes from Land Surface
Texture Information Using
SIR-C Images
SPEAKER(S)
Gabriel Senay,
Ph.D., PAI/SAIC
Thora Cartlidge,
AICP, ASLA,
University of
Minnesota
George E. Host,
Ph.D., Natural
Resources
Research
Institute
Francisco J.
Artigas, Ph.D.,
Rutgers
University
Grand Ballroom B
SESSION D
URBAN / BROWNFIELDS / COMMUNITY
Jim Kreissl, USEPA, CERI, TTB
PRESENTATION
Merging Transportation and
Enviromental Planning Using
GIS
Use of GIS Tools for
Conducting Community On-
Site Septic Management
Planning
Management and Reuse of
Contaminated Soil -- The
SoilTrak Method
Using GIS to Rank
Environmentally Sensitive Land
in Orange County, Florida
SPEAKER(S)
Elizabeth
Lanzer,
Washington
Dept. of
Transportation
David Healy,
Stone
Environmental,
Inc.
Edward
Rogers, Jr.,
BEM Systems,
Inc.
Michael J.
Gilbrook, HDR
Engineering,
Inc.
BREAK
Onsite Wastewater Management
Program in Hamilton County,
Ohio- -An Integrated Approach to
Improving Water Quality and
Preventing Disease
Modeling Combined Sewer
Overflow (CSO) Impact: The Use
of a Regional GIS in Facilities
Planning
Building a Shared and Integrated
GIS to Support Environmental
Regulatory Activities in South
Carolina
Timothy I.
Ingram, Hamilton
County General
Health District,
Ohio
Michael D.
Witwer, Metcalf
& Eddy, Inc.
Guang Zhao,
Ph.D., South
Carolina Dept. of
Health & Env.
Control
Use of GIS for the
Investigation and
Classification of Land Being
Redeveloped Under the Ohio
Voluntary Action Program
Assessing and Managing the
Impacts of Urban Sprawl on
Environmentally Critical
Areas: A Case Study of
Portage County, Ohio
Building a Brownfield Sitebank
With Internet Map Server
Technology
Andrew
Rawnsley,
Ravensfield
Geographic
Resources,
Ltd.
Jay Lee,
Ph.D., Kent
State
University
Alan Rao,
Ph.D.,
Vanasse
Hangen
Brustlin, Inc
LUNCH

-------
Day 2 - Thursday, September 23, 1999 (Continued)
Room
SESSION
Moderator
TIME
1:30 -
1:55
1:55 -
2:20
2:20 -
2:45
2:45 -
3:10
3:10 -
3:30
Grand Ballroom A
SESSION E
ECOLOGY / RESTORATION
Scott Minamyer, USEPA, CERI, TTB
PRESENTATION
Targeting the Knowledge
Assembly Process of the Flora of
North America (FNA): Biological
Resource Problem Solving Using
eis
GIS Standards for Environmental
Restoration and Compliance
Reporting on the Development of
an Environmental &IS Application
- Wetlands Restoration in the
Central Valley of California
Habitat Filters, GIS. and
Riverine Fish Assemblages:
Sifting Through the Relationships
Between Fishes and Their
Habitat
SPEAKER(S)
Leila M.
Shultz,Ph.D.,
Harvard
University and
Utah State
University
Bobby G.
Carpenter, P.E.,
Tri -Service
CADD/6IS
Tech. Center
David Hansen,
US Bureau of
Reclamation
Douglas A.
Nieman,
Normandeau
Associates
Grand Ballroom B
SESSION F
RISK / ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE /
EXPOSURE
Tom Brennan, USEPA, OPPT
PRESENTATION
Using GIS to Analyze the
Spatial Distribution of
Environmental, Human Health,
and Socio- Economic
Characteristics in Cincinnati
Public Participation GIS
Applications for Environmental
Justice Research and
Community Sustainability
Quantifying Risk in Watershed
Assessment Using GIS &
Stochastic Field-Scale
Modeling
Methodological Issues in GIS-
Based Environmental Justice
Research
SPEAKER(S)
Xinhao Wang,
Ph.D. and Chris
Auffrey,
University of
Cincinnati
David Padgett,
Ph.D.,
Tennessee
State
University
Conrad
Heatwole,
Ph.D., P.E.,
Virginia Tech
University
Jeremy Mennis,
Pennsylvania
State
University
BREAK

-------
Day 2 -  Thursday, September 23, 1999 (Continued)
Room
SESSION
Moderator
TIME
3:30 -
3:55
3:55 -
4:20
4:20 -
4:45
Grand Ballroom A
SESSION E
ECOLOGY / RESTORATION
Scott Minamyer, USEPA, CERI, TTB
PRESENTATION
Using a GIS Model to Predict the
Extent of Common Reed
Encroachment into Two Tidal
Wetland Areas in Northeastern
New Jersey
The Application of GIS in the
Development of Regional
Restoration Goals for Wetland
Resources in the Greater Los
Angeles Drainage Area
Fractal Dimension as an Indicator
of Human Disturbance in Galveston
Bay, Texas
SPEAKER(S)
Karla Hyde and
Robin Dingle,
Northern
Ecological
Associates, Inc.
Charles Rairdan,
US Army Corps
of Engineers
Amy Liu,
PAI/SAIC
Grand Ballroom B
SESSION F
RISK / ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE /
EXPOSURE
Tom Brennan, USEPA, OPPT
PRESENTATION
Using GIS to Evaluate the
Effects of Flood Risk on
Residential Property Values
Environmental Justice in
Kentucky: Examining the
Relationships Between Low-
Income and Minority
Communities and the Location
of Landfills, and TSD
Facilities
Application of GIS to Address
Environmental Justice: Needs
and Issues
SPEAKER(S)
Alena
Bartosova and
David E.
Clark, Ph.D.,
Marquette
University
Larisa J.
Keith,
Northern
Kentucky Area
Planning
Commission
Babafemi A.
Adesanya,
Environmental
Equity
Information
Institute
4:30 - 6:30   Reception (cash bar)

-------
Day 3 - Friday, September 24,  1999
8:00 - 9:00  Registration and Name Badge Pickup
Room
SESSION
Moderator
TIME
8:30 -
8:55
8:55 -
9:20
9:20 -
9:45
9:45 -
10:10
10:10 -
10:30
10:30 -
10:55
10:55 -
11:20
11:20
Grand Ballroom A
SESSION &
WATERSHEDS.
Mike Troyer, Ph.D., USEPA, ORD, NRMRL
PRESENTATION
The National Hydrography
Dataset - Status and Applications
Sustainable Developments:
Definition, Location, and
Understanding
Development of a National
Watershed Boundaries Dataset
A Watershed -Based Approach to
Source Water Assessment and
Protection Utilizing GIS- Based
Inventories: A Case Study in
South Carolina
SPEAKER(S)
Thomas &. Dewald,
USEPA, and Keven
s. Roth, uses
Michael E. Troyer,
Ph.D., USEPA,
ORD, NRMRL
Alan Rea, US6S
James M. Rine,
Ph.D., Earth
Sciences Research
Institute
Grand Ballroom B
SESSION H
MODELS / SYSTEMS
Randall Ross, Ph.D., USEPA, ORD, NRMRL
PRESENTATION
Strategic Planning for
eis
No More 3 -Ring Binders!
Pollution Exposure Index
Model Measures Airborne
Pollutants in National
Forests
A GIS- Based Approach to
Predicting Wetland
Drainage & Wildlife
Habitat Loss in the
Prairie Pothole Region of
South-Central Canada
SPEAKER(S)
Parrish
Swear ingen,
Robins AFB
Margaret B.
Martin, P.E.,
US Army Corps
of Engineers
Michael V.
Miller,
CH2MHNI
David
Howerter,
Institute for
Wetland and
Waterfowl
Research
BREAK
Using an ARC/INFO 6IS to
Analyze Forest Patches for
Watershed -Based Conservation
and to Present Data on a Web
Site
Application of a Water Balance
Model and &IS for Sustainable
Watershed Management
Lonnie Darr,
Montgomery
County, MD, Dept.
of Env. Protection
Thomas H. Cahill,
P.E., and Susan
Pagano, Cahill
Associates
Application of a
Geographic Information
System for Containment
System Leak Detection
A High -Resolution
Hydrometeorological Data
System for Environmental
Modeling and Monitoring
Randall R.
Ross, Ph.D.,
USEPA, ORD,
NRMRL
David R.
Legates, Ph.D.,
University of
Delaware
CONFERENCE CONCLUDES

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Eric Adams
            OFFICE: 614-644-2752
              FAX: 614-644-2909
List of Attendees
                     Cincinnati, Ohio
       Ohio EPA
         P.O. Box 1049
         Columbus  OH
43216-1049
     Babafemi A. Adesanya
            OFFICE:  7578658950
              FAX:
            e2i2@eeii.org
       Environmental Equity Information Institute
         P.O.Box 189
         Hampton VA  23669
                            USA
     Larry Alber
            OFFICE:  518-457-3143
              FAX:  518-457-0738
            lalber@gw. dec. state, ny. us
       NYS Dept. of Environmental Conservation
         50 Wolf Road
         Albany NY  12233
     Lora Alberto
            OFFICE:  513-861-7666
              FAX:   513-559-3155
            mcrp@one.net
       Mill Creek Restoration Project
         42 Calhoun Street
         Cincinnati OH  45219
     Melanie Allamby
            OFFICE: 216-881-6600x446
              FAX: 216-881-2738
            allambym@neorsd.org
       N.E. Ohio Regional Sewer District
         4415 Euclid Avenue
         Cleveland  OH  44103
     Dr. James K. Andreasen (Jim)
            OFFICE: 202-564-3293
              FAX: 202-565-0076
            andreasen.james@epa.gov
       USEPA ORD Natl. Center for Env. Assessment
         401 M Street, SW, Mail Code (8623D)
         Washington DC   20460
     Roger Anzzolin
            OFFICE: 202-260-7282
              FAX: 202-401-3041
            anzzolin. roger@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA OGWDW 4606
         401 M. St. SW
         Washington DC  20460
     Gary Arnold
            OFFICE:  541-686-7838x247
              FAX:  541-686-7551
            arnold.gary@deq. state, or. us
       OREGON DEQ
         1102 Lincoln
         Eugene OR  97401
     Francisco J. Artigas
            OFFICE:  9733531069
              FAX:
            artigas@cimic. rutgers. edu
       Center for Info. Mgmt., Integration & Connectivity
         Rutgers University
         180 University Avenue
         Newark NJ   07102   USA
                                   PAPER
     Chris Auffrey
            OFFICE:  513-556-0579
              FAX:  513-556-1274
            chris. auffrey@uc.edu
       University of Cincinnati
         P.O. Box210016
         Cincinnati OH  45221-0016
                                   PAPER
     Margaret Ay cock
            OFFICE: 409-880-8897
              FAX: 409-880-1837
            aycockma@hal. lamar.edu
       Gulf Coast Hazardous Substance Research Center
         P.O. Box 10671
         Beaumont TX  77710-0671
FINAL
                                 As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Russ Baier
            OFFICE: 512-239-1746
               FAX:  512-239-5687
            rbaier@tnrcc. state, tx. us
List of Attendees
Cincinnati, Ohio
       Texas Natural Resource Conservation Comm.
         12100 Park 35 Circle
         Austin TX 78753
     Jeanne M. Bailey
            OFFICE:  202-628-8303
               FAX:  202-628-2846
            jbailey@awwa. org
       American Water Works Association
         1401 New York Ave., NW#640
         Washington  DC  20005
     Raymond E. Bailey
            OFFICE:  6364418086
               FAX:
            ray_bailey@wssrap-host. wssrap. com
       MK-Ferguson
         7295 Highway 94 South
         St. Charles MO  63304
             PAPER
                               USA
     Thomas E. Bailey
            OFFICE:  513-287-2596
               FAX:  513-287-3499
            tbailey@cinergy. com
       Cinergy Corp.
         139 E. Fourth St., Room 552a
         Cincinnati OH  45201
     Kim Baker
            OFFICE:  614-265-6411
               FAX:  614-267-2981
            kim. baker@dnr. state.oh. us
       Ohio Dept. of Natural Resources
         1952 Belcher Drive, Bldg. C-2
         Columbus OH   43224-1386
     M.C. Baldwin
            OFFICE:  520-871-7690
               FAX:  520-871-7599
            mcb4gis@juno.com
       Navajo Nation Environmental Protection Agency
         Water Quality Program - PO Box 339
         Window Rock AZ  86515
     Todd Baldwin
            OFFICE:  202-232-7933
               FAX:  202-234-1328
            tbaldwin@islandpress. org
       Island Press
         1718 Connecticut Avenue, NW, Suite 300
         Washington DC  20009
     Brian Balsley
            OFFICE:  513-326-1500
               FAX:  513-326-1550
            bbalsley@bheenv.com
       BHE Environmental, Inc.
         11733ChesterdaleRd.
         Cincinnati OH  45246
     Robert Bamford
             OFFICE:  775-687-4670
               FAX:  775-687-6396
            rbamford@ndep. carson-city. nv. us
       Nevada Division of Environmental Protection
         333 West Nye Lane
         Carson City NV  89706
     Quinn Barker
            OFFICE: 765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Chris Barnett
            OFFICE: 573-882-9291
               FAX:  573-884-2199
            barnett@cares.missouri. edu
       CARES - University of Missouri
         130Mumford Road
         Columbia MO  65211-6200
FINAL
                                  As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Ralph P. Barr
            OFFICE:  301-258-8651
               FAX:  301-258-8679
            barrR @ttnus. com
List of Attendees
       Tetra Tech NUS, Inc.
         910 Clopper Road, Suite 400
         Gaithersburg MD 20878
Cincinnati, Ohio
     Alena Bartosova
            OFFICE:  4142885128
               FAX:
            5x99Bartosov@marquette.edu
       Dept. of Civil & Env. Engineering
         Marquette University
         P.O. Box1881
         Milwaukee Wl  53201-1881   USA
             PAPER
     Bruce Battles
            OFFICE: 405-744-8974
               FAX:  405-744-7008
            bruce@seic. he. okstate.edu
       Oklahoma State University
         201 CITD
         Stillwater OK  74078
     Bruce Bauch
            OFFICE:  502-493-1945
               FAX:
            bbauch@usgs.gov
       U.S. Geological Survey
         9818 Bluegrass Parkway
         Louisville KY  40299
     Stephanie Beak
            OFFICE:  614-644-4852
               FAX:  614-728-1245
            Stephanie. beak@epa. state.oh. us
       Ohio EPA
         122 South Front Street
         Columbus OH   43215
     Michael L. Bechdol
             OFFICE:  214-665-7133
               FAX:  214-665-2191
             bechdol.michael@epamail. epa.gov
       U.S. EPA - Region 6WQ-SG
         1445 Ross Avenue
         Dallas TX  75202
     Glynn Beck
            OFFICE:  270-827-3414
               FAX:  270-827-1117
            ebeck@kgs. mm. uky. edu
       Kentucky Geological Survey
         P.O. Box 653
         Henderson KY  42419
     Tara L. Beckman
            OFFICE:  4129218358
               FAX:
            beckmant@ttnus. com
       TetraTech NUS, Inc.
         Foster Plaza 7,  661 Andersen Dr
         Pittsburgh PA  15220
                             USA
     Bob Bednar
            OFFICE:  405-702-8197
               FAX:  405-702-8101
            bobby. bednar@deqmail.state.ok.us
       Oklahoma Dept. of Environmental Quality
         707 N. Robinson Ave.
         Oklahoma City OK  73102
     Brian Begley
            OFFICE:  502-564-6716
               FAX:  502-564-2705
            brian. begley@mail.state.ky. us
       Kentucky Division of Waste Management
         14 Reilly Road
         Frankfort KY  40601
     Dick Behr
            OFFICE:  207-287-6828
               FAX:  207-287-7826
            richard. s. behr@state.me. us
       Maine Department of Environmental Protection
         17 State House Station
         Augusta ME  04333
FINAL
                                  As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Milovan Beljin
            OFFICE:  513-729-1602
               FAX:
List of Attendees
       M.S. Beljin and Assoc.
         9416ShadyoakCt.
         Cincinnati OH  45231
Cincinnati, Ohio
             PAPER
     Kevin Benck
            OFFICE:  605-688-4776
               FAX:
            kbenck@brookings. net
       Water Resources Institute-South Dakota St. Univ.
         SDSUBox2120AE211
         Brookings SD  57007
     Malcolm Bender
            OFFICE:  214-665-8378
              FAX:  214-665-6660
            bender.malcolm@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA / SEE Program
         1445 Ross Avenue
         Dallas TX  75202
     Clif Benoit
            OFFICE:  801-625-5594
               FAX:  801-625-5483
            cbenoit/r4@fs.fed. us
       US Forest Service
         Federal Building
         140 E. 3275 N.
         N.Ogden UT  84414
     Jerry Bernard
            OFFICE:  202-720-5356
               FAX:  202-720-0428
            jerry, bernard@usda.gov
       USDA-Natural Resource Conservation Service
         P.O. Box 2890, Room 6123
         Washington DC   20013
     Budhendra Bhaduri
            OFFICE:  423-241-9272
               FAX:  423-241-6261
            bhaduribl@ornl.gov
       Oak Ridge National Laboratory
         P.O. Box 2008, MS 6237
         Oak Ridge TN  37831-6237
             PAPER
     Taher Bishr
            OFFICE:  0020-12-2166800
               FAX:  00203-4835337
         20 Salah Salem Str. D. Toun
         Alex - EGYPT
     Ben Blaney
            OFFICE:  513-569-7852
               FAX:  513-569-7680
            blaney. ben@epa.gov
       USEPA /NRMRL
         26 West Martin Luther King Dr.
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Brian Bohl
            OFFICE:  513-271-4182
               FAX:  513-569-7160
            bohl. brian@epamail. epa.gov
       U.S. EPA
         26W. Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Steve Bolssen
            OFFICE: 502-564-3410
               FAX: 502-564-4245
            Steven. bolssen@mail.state.ky. us
       KY Dept. of Env. Protection, Division of Water
         14 Reilly Road
         Frankfort KY  40601-1189
     Bill Boria
            OFFICE:  716-753-4481
              FAX:  716-753-4344
            billb@health. co. chatauqua. ny. us
       Chautauqua County Health Department
         7 North Erie Street
         Mayville NY  14757
FINAL
                                  As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                     Cincinnati, Ohio
     Joshua Bowen
            OFFICE:  800-355-9429
              FAX:  770-399-0535
            jbowen@ftr. com
United Capitol Insurance Company
  400 Perimeter Center Terrace, Suite 345
  Atlanta GA  30346
     Virgil Brack
            OFFICE:  513-236-1163
              FAX:  513-236-1178
            vbrack@bheenv.com
BHE Environmental, Inc.
  11733 Chesterdale Road
  Cincinnati OH
     John Bradley
            OFFICE:  517-335-3146
              FAX:  517-373-9657
            bradlejn@state.mi. us
Michigan DEQ
  300 South Washington Square
  Lansing Ml  48933
     Tom Brankamp
            OFFICE: 606-431-8579
              FAX: 606-431-8581
     Tom Brennan
            OFFICE:  (202)260-3920
              FAX:
            brennan. thomas@epa.gov
Woolpert LLP
  525 West Fifth Street, Suite 213
  Covington KY  41011

Don Brannen
OFFICE: 513-681-8247
FAX: 513-681-1594
Cincinnati Recreation Commission
1655 Chase Avenue
Cincinnati OH 45206
U.S. EPA, OPPT
  (MC7406)
  Washington DC
20460
     Timothy Bricker
            OFFICE:  765-214-0088
              FAX:
            tjbricker@bsuvc. edu
Ball State Univeristy
  3556 North Tillotson #205
  Muncie IN  47304
     James Bridges
            OFFICE:  513-489-6611
              FAX:  513-489-6619
           jbridges@cin.pes. com
Pacific Environmental Services, Inc.
  7209 E. Kemper Rd.
  Cincinnati OH  45247
     Jan W. Briede
            OFFICE:  513-247-8000
              FAX:  513-247-8010
            jbriede@scientech. com
Scientech, NES, Inc.
  11400 Grooms Road
  Cincinnati  OH  45242
     George M. Brilis
            OFFICE:  702-798-3128
              FAX:
            brilis.george@epamail.epa.gov
USEPA
  P.O. Box 93478
  Las Vegas NV  89193
     Linda Briscoe
            OFFICE:  513-641-3081
              FAX:  513-641-0508
            LBri938500@aol. com
Ohio/Cincinnati Women's Health Project
  4860 Winneste Ave.
  Cincinnati OH  45232
FINAL
                           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Thomas M. Brody
            OFFICE:  312-353-8340
               FAX:  312-353-4755
            brody.tom@epa.gov
List of Attendees
       Region 5 Office of Information services
         77 W. Jackson Blvd.
         Chicago IL 60604
Cincinnati, Ohio
     Joyce A. Broka
            OFFICE:  517-686-8025x8371
              FAX:  517-684-9799
            brokaj@state.mi. us
       Michigan Department of Environmental Quality
         503 N. Euclid Ave.
         Bay City Ml  48706
     Hugh J. Brown
             OFFICE:  765-285-5788
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            hbrown@gw. bsu. edu
       Ball State University
         2000 University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Mike Bruening
            OFFICE:  513-3261500
               FAX:
            mbruening@bheevin.com
       BHE Environmental
         Cincinnati OH
     Jason Buck
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     John Burckle
            OFFICE:  513-569-7496
               FAX:  513-569-7471
            burckle.john@epamail. epa.gov
       U.S. EPA / NRMRL
         26 West Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45220
     David Burden
            OFFICE: 580-436-8606
               FAX:  580-436-8614
            burden, david@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA/NRMRL/SPRD
         P.O. Box 1198
         ADA OK  74820
     Tracy Burke
            OFFICE:  717-236-3006
               FAX:  717-233-0994
            tabl51@vahoo.com
       GTS Technologies
         851 South 19th Street
         Harrisburg PA  17104
     David Butler
            OFFICE:  502-564-6716x339
               FAX:  502-564-2705
            david. butler@mail.state.ky. us
       Kentucky Division of Waste Management
         14 Reilly Road
         Frankfurt KY  40601
     Neill Cade
            OFFICE:  513-357-7211
               FAX:  513-357-7262
            neill. cade@chdburn. rcc. org
       Cincinnati Health Dept.
         3101 BurnetAve. Room 324
         Cincinnati OH  45229
     Thomas H. Cahill, P.E.
            OFFICE:  610-696-4150
               FAX:  610-696-8608
            tcahill@thcahill. com
       Cahill Associates
         104 South High Street
         West Chester PA  19382
                                USA
FINAL
                                  As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Tom Cain
            OFFICE: 304-636-1800x289
              FAX: 304-636-1875
            tcain/r9_monong@fs.fed. us
List of Attendees
       Monongahela National Forest
         200 Sycamore St.
         Elkins WV  26241
Cincinnati, Ohio
     Leslie M. Calderon
            OFFICE:  817-608-2341
               FAX:  817-695-9191
            lcalder@dfwinfo. com
       North Central Texas Council of Governments
         616 Six Flags Drive, Suite 200, Centerpoint Two
         Suite 200, Centerpoint Two
         Arlington TX   76005-5888
     Guy Cameron
            OFFICE:  513-556-9740
              FAX:
            g.cameron@uc.edu
       University of Cincinnati
         Department of Biological Science
         Cincinnati OH  45221
             PAPER
     John Capillo
            OFFICE:  606-986-0868
              FAX:  606-986-2695
            kefcapil@acs. eku. edu
       KY Environmental Foundation
         PO Box 467
         Berea  KY  40403
     Bobby G. Carpenter
            OFFICE:  601-634-4572
              FAX:  601-634-4584
            carpenb@wes. army, mil
       Tri-Service CADD/GIS Technology Center
         USAGE Waterways Experiment Station, 3909 Halls Ferry Road
         Vicksburg MS  39180-6199
                                  USA
     Thora Cartlidge
            OFFICE:  612-624-9273
              FAX:  612-624-1704
            crd@tc. umn.edu
       University of MN-Centerfor Rural Design
         217-1518 Cleveland Avenue
         St. Paul MN  55108
             PAPER
     Erman Caudill
            OFFICE:  606-257-4093
              FAX:
            elcaudOO@pop. uky.edu
       University of Kentucky
         342 Waller Avenue #3C
         Lexington KY  40504
     Jean Caudill
            OFFICE:  614-644-7181
              FAX:  614-466-4556
            jcaudill@gw. ohd. state, oh. us
       Ohio Dept. of Health
         P.O.Box 118
         Columbus OH  43266-0118
     Stephane Chalifoux
            OFFICE:  514-287-8606
              FAX:  514-287-8643
            s. chalifoux@tecsult. com
       TECSULT
         85 St. Catherine Street West
         Montreal, Quebec
         CANADA H2X3P4
     Yu-mei Chang
            OFFICE:  513-558-2744
              FAX:
            changym@email.uc.edu
       University of Cincinnati
         202 Ruth Lyons Way, Suite #261
         Cincinnati OH  45267-0840
     James Chapman
            OFFICE:  765-213-1269
              FAX:
           jdchapman31@hotmail. com
       Delaware County Indiana
         100 W. Main Room 206
         Muncie IN 47305
FINAL
                                 As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Jonathan W. Chapman
List of Attendees
Cincinnati, Ohio
            OFFICE: 410-260-8514
               FAX:  410-260-8595
            jchapman@dnr. state, md. us
       MD Dept. of Natural Resources-Forest Service
         Tawes State Office Building E1 580 Taylor Avenue
         Annapolis MD  21401
     David Christenson
            OFFICE: 303-312-3345
               FAX:  303-312-6065
            christenson. dave@epa.gov
       USEPA Region VIM
         999 18th Street, Suite 500
         Denver CO  80202
     David Christian
            OFFICE: 613-787-3879
               FAX:  613-787-3884
       ATCO Frontec Corporation
         100-170 Laurier Avenue West
         Ottawa, Ontario K1P5V5
     Kendra Cipollini
            OFFICE: 312-886-1432
               FAX:  312-886-9697
            cipollini. kendra@epa. gov
       USEPA Region 5, Critical Ecosystems Team
         77 West Jackson Avenue T13J
         Chicago IL  60604
     John Ckmanec
            OFFICE: 513-569-7481
               FAX:  513-569-7585
            ckmanec.john@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA (MS G-75)
         26 Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Tara Clapp
            OFFICE: 502-852-8152
               FAX:  502-852-4558
            tlclapp@rcf.usc. edu
       University of Louisville
         426 W. Bloom Street, 202
         Louisville KY  40208
     David E. Clark
            OFFICE: 414-288-3339
               FAX:  414-288-5757
            clarkde@marquette. edu
       Marquette University, Dept. of Economics
         P.O. Box 1881
         Milwaukee Wl  53201-1881
             PAPER
     Tim Clarke
            OFFICE: 502-573-2886
               FAX:  502-573-2355
            tim.clarke@mail.state.ky.us
       Kentucky State Nature Preserves Commision
         801 Schenkel Lane
         Frankfort KY  40601-1403
     Richard Cochran
            OFFICE: 615-532-0997
               FAX:  615-532-0046
            RCochran2@mail. state, tn.us
       Tennessee Department of Environmental and Conservation
         401 Church Street, 7th Floor L & C Annex, Div of Water Pollution Control
         Nashville TN  37243
     James C. Coleman II
            OFFICE: 513-583-1249
               FAX:  513-583-1250
            jcoleman@environcorp. com
       ENVIRON International Corp.
         6443 Lewis Road
         Loveland OH  45140
     Jim Coon
            OFFICE: 937-285-6038
               FAX:  937-285-6404
            jim.coon@epa. state.oh. us
       Ohio EPA
         401 E. Fifth St.
         Dayton Oh  45402
             PAPER
FINAL
                                  As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                     Cincinnati, Ohio
     Amy Covert
            OFFICE:  502-573-2886
               FAX:  502-573-2355
            amy.covert@mail. state, ky. us
Kentucky State Nature Preserves Commission
  801 Schenkel Lane
  Frankfort KY  40601-1403
     Christopher Cox
            OFFICE:  309-782-2887
               FAX:  309-782-5038
            wildmanf@ria. army.mil
Rock Island Arsenal
  510R1-AO, Bldg220
  Rock Island IL  61299
     Michael J. Cramer
             OFFICE:  513-556-9740
               FAX:  513-556-5299
            michaeljcramer@hotmail. com
University of Cincinnati
  P.O. Box210006
  Cincinnati OH  45221-0006
     Irene M. Crawford
            OFFICE:  513-569-7167
               FAX:
            crawford.irene@epa.gov
SoBran, Inc.
  26 West Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45268
     Pat Curley
            OFFICE:  770-673-3640
               FAX:  770-396-9495
            pcurley@brwncald. com
Brown and Caldwell
  41 Perimeter Center East, Suite 400
  Atlanta GA  30346
     Darrin L. Curtis
            OFFICE:  501-973-0760
              FAX:
            dlc2@engr. uark.edu
USAF
  2335 East Yvonne Drive
  Fayetteville AR  72703
     Bernie Daniel
            OFFICE: 513-569-7401
               FAX:  513-569-7609
            daniel. bernie@epa.gov
USEPA -NERL
  26 West Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45242
     Lonnie Darr
             OFFICE:  2407777703
               FAX:
            darrl@co.mo.md. us
Watershed Management Div., Montgomery Cty Dept. of Env. Protection
  Suite 120, 155 Rockville Pike
  Rockville MD  20850
                      USA
     Bruce De Young
            OFFICE:  616-336-3234
              FAX:  616-336-2436
            el0771@iserv.net
Kent County Health Department
  700 Fuller, N.E.
  Grand Rapids Ml  49503
     Kevin L. DeFosset
            OFFICE:  606-624-4471
               FAX:
            studefok@acs. eku.edu
Ewers Water Consultants / Eastern KY University
  326-10 Lancaster Avenue
  Richmond KY  40475
     Jennifer Deis, P.G.
            OFFICE:  913-458-6585
               FAX:  913-458-2934
            deisj@bv. com
Black & Veatch Corporation
  11401 Lamar Avenue
  Overland Park  KS  66211
PAPER
FINAL
                           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Ed Delisio
            OFFICE: 312-886-1303
              FAX: 312-353-5374
            delisio. edward@epa. gov
List of Attendees
       US EPA Region 5
         77 West Jackson Blvd., B-19J
         Chicago IL  60604
                     Cincinnati, Ohio
     Phil Dennis
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Tommy G. Dewald
            OFFICE:  2022602488
              FAX:
            dewald.tommy@epamail.epa.gov
       Office of Water
         401 "M" Street, SW (4503F)
         Washington DC  20460
                               USA
     Martin Diaz-Zorita
            OFFICE:  606-257-3655
              FAX:  606-257-2185
            mdzori2@pop. uky.edu
       University of Kentucky - Agronomy Department
         N122-Agric.Sci.Center North
         Lexington KY  40546-0091
     Robin Dingle
            OFFICE:  2078799496
              FAX:
            Rdingle@neamaine.com
       Northern Ecological Associates, Inc.
         386 Fore St.
         Portland OR  04101
                            USA
     Harold B. Dirschl
            OFFICE:  613-787-9611
              FAX:  613-787-3884
            hkdir@sympatico. ca
       ATCO Frontec Corporation
         100-170 Laurier Avenue West
         Ottawa, Ontario K1P5V5
     David Dixon
            OFFICE:  513-247-8000
              FAX:  513-247-8010
            ddixon@scientech. com
       Scientech, NES, Inc.
         11400 Grooms Road
         Cincinnati OH  45242
     Mohsen Dkhili
            OFFICE:  573-751-1300
              FAX:  573-526-5797
            nrdkhim@mail. dnr.state. mo. us
       DNR/WPCP
         P.O. Box 176
         Jefferson City MO  65102
     Doug Dobransky
            OFFICE:  614-644-2752
              FAX:  614-644-2909
       Ohio EPA
         P.O. Box1049
         Columbus OH
43216-1049
     Kevin Doniere
            OFFICE:  513-281-2211
              FAX:  513-281-2243
            humannature@fuse.net
       Human Nature
         990 St. Paul Place
         Cincinnati OH  45206
     Damon Dougherty
            OFFICE:  361-883-6016
              FAX:  361-883-7417
            damon@moorhousecc. com
       Moorhouse Associates, Inc.
         5826 Bear Lane
         Corpus Christ! TX  78405
FINAL
           10
           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Joan Douglas
            OFFICE:  352-378-6517
               FAX:  352-338-8247
            FACA@aol
List of Attendees
       Florida Rural Community Assistance Project
         6212 NW 43 Street, Suite A
         Gainsville FL  32653
          Cincinnati, Ohio
     Mark E. Duewell
            OFFICE:  573-526-5214
               FAX:  573-751-6417
            duewem@mail.health.state.mo.us
       Missouri Department of Health
         930 Wildwood, P.O. Box 570
         Jefferson City MO  65102-0570
     Jeffrey Duke
            OFFICE:  216-881-6600x456
               FAX:  216-881-2738
            dukej@neodrsd. org
       N. E. Ohio Regional Sewer District
         4415 Euclid Avenue
         Cleveland OH  44103
     John Dunham R.S.
            OFFICE:  513-564-1788
               FAX:  513-564-1776
            John.Dunham@igwmail. rcc. org
       Cincinnati Health Dept.
         3845 W.P. Dooley By-Pass
         Cincinnati OH  42223
     Scott Dyer
            OFFICE:  513-627-1163
               FAX:  513-627-1208
            dyer. sd@pg. com
       Procter & Gamble Co.
         P.O. Box 538707
         Cincinnati OH  45253-8707
     Don Ebert
            OFFICE:  702-798-2158
               FAX:  702-798-2158
            ebert. donald@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA
         944 E. Harmon Avenue
         Las Vegas NV 89119
     T. J. Edwards
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     James Eflin
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Keith Egan
            OFFICE:  513-576-0009
               FAX:  513-574-9756
            egank@srwenvironmental. com
       SRW Environmental Services
         55 West TechneCenter, Suite C
         Milford OH   45150
     Lisa E. Enderle
             OFFICE:  703-645-6950
               FAX:  703-698-6101
            enderlel@saic. com
       SAIC
         2222 Gallows Road, Suite 300
         Dunn Loring VA  22027
     Bernie Engel
            OFFICE:  765-494-1198
               FAX:  765-496-1115
            engelb@ecn.purdue.edu
       Purdue University
         1146 ABE
         W. Lafayette IN  47907-1146
                        PAPER
FINAL
           11
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     Sendar Ertep
            OFFICE:  404-562-9683
               FAX:  404-562-9598
            ertep.sendar@epamail. epa.gov
                           USEPA Region 4
                             61 Forsyth St., SW
                             Atlanta GA  30303
     Alan Evereson
            OFFICE:  513-569-7046
               FAX:
                           U.S. EPA/ORD/NRMRL
                             26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
                             Cincinnati OH  45268
     Dr. Ralph O. Ewers
            OFFICE:  606-623-8464
              FAX:  606-623-6464
            glyewers@acs. eku. edu
                           Dept. of Earth Science Eastern KY University
                             160 Redwood
                             Richmond KY  40475
     Susan Pagan
            OFFICE:  202-260-9477
               FAX:  202-260-2941
            fagan.susan@epa.gov
                           U.S. EPA, Office of Water
                             401 -M Street, SW - Mailcode 4501F
                             Washington DC  20460
     Todd Falter
            OFFICE:  402-471-6571
               FAX:  402-471-6436
            tfalter@hhs. state, ne.us
                           NE Health and Human Services
                             P.O. Box 95007
                             Lincoln NE  68509
     Ian Farrar
            OFFICE:  304-545-4388
               FAX:
            ifarrar@columbiaenerorcnup.com
                           Collumbia Gas
                             1700 MacConkle Ave.
                             Charleston WV
     Terry Felkerson
            OFFICE:  573-308-3725
               FAX:  573-308-3652
            jfelkerson@usgs.gov
                           U.S. Geological Survey
                             1400 Independence Road
                             Rolla MO  65401
     Don Ficklen
            OFFICE:  210-671-4844
               FAX:  210-671-2241
            holmes.fwklen@lockland. af.mil
                           U.S. Air Force
                             Lockland Air Force Base
     William S. Fischer
            OFFICE:  513-564-1787
               FAX:  513-564-1776
            wfish@mailcity. com
                           Cincinnati Health Dept.
                             3845 William P. Doley By-Pass
                             Cincinnati OH  45223
     Jeff Flege
            OFFICE:  614-265-6686
               FAX:
            jeff.flege@dnr. state.oh. us
                           Ohio Department of Natural Resources
                             Fountain Square, Building C-2
                             Columbus OH  43224-1386
     Terry Flum
               FAX:
513-569-7715
513-569-7609
USEPA-NERL MS 642
  26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45268
FINAL
                               12
                           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Charles Frank
            OFFICE: 610-935-4703
               FAX: 610-935-5583
            cfrank@envstd. com
List of Attendees
       Environmental Standards Inc.
         1140 Valley Forge Road
         Valley Forge PA  19482-0810
          Cincinnati, Ohio
     William T. Frederick
            OFFICE:  716-942-2563
               FAX:  716-942-2247
            frederw@wv. doe.gov
       Dames & Moore
         10282 Rock Springs Road
         West Valley NY  14171-9799
     Dr. Robert C. Frey
            OFFICE:  614-466-1069
               FAX:  614-644-7440
            rfrey@gw.odh.state.oh. us
       Ohio Department of Health
         246 North High Street
         Columbus OH  43266-0588
     Lawrence Friedl
            OFFICE:  202-564-6933
               FAX:  202-565-2431
            friedl.lawrence@epa.gov
       US EPA
         401 MSt.,SW(8101R)
         Washington DC   20460
     Joseph Frizado
            OFFICE:  419-372-7202
               FAX:  419-372-7205
            frizado@bgnet. bgsu.edu
       Bowling Green State University
         Bowling Green State University
         Dept. of Geology
         Bowling Green OH  43403
     Kevin Frysinger
            OFFICE:  610-935-5577
               FAX:  610-935-5583
       Environmental Standards
         1140 Valley Forge Road
         Valley Forge PA  19482
     Florence Fulk
            OFFICE:
               FAX:
            fulk.florence@Epa.gov
       EPA/NERL
         26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Richard Futrell
            OFFICE:  606-622-1581
               FAX:
            antfutre @acs. eku. edu.
       Eastern Kentucky University Sociology Dept.
         223 Keith
         Richmond KY 40475
     Robert Galbraith
             OFFICE:  513-576-0009
               FAX:  513-576-9756
            galbraib@srw environmental, com
       SRW Environmental Services
         55 West TechneCenter, Suite C
         Milford OH   45150
     Dr. Achal Garg
            OFFICE:  513-357-7209
              FAX:  513-357-7262
            achal. garg@chdburn. rcc. org
       Cincinnati Health Department
         3101 BurnetAve.
         Cincinnati OH  45229
     Donald Gasper
                    304-472-3704
               FAX:
       WV Department of Natural Resources
         4 Ritchie Street
         Buchannon WV   26201
FINAL
           13
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                     Cincinnati, Ohio
     Glee H. Gasper
            OFFICE: 304-942-3704
              FAX:
Upshur County Litter Control Bd.
  4 Ritchie St.
  Buckhannon WV  26201
     David R. German
            OFFICE: 605-688-5611
              FAX: 605-688-4917
            wrisdsu@mg.sdstate. edu
South Dakota Water Resources Institute
  SDSUBox2120
  Brookings SD  57007
     Patricia Germany
            OFFICE: 502-574-3645
              FAX: 502-574-1389
            pgermany@louky. org
City of Louisville / Health & Environment
  1514 Hale Avenue
  Louisville KY  40210
     Tim Gessner
              FAX:
                   513-326-1500
BHE Envir.
  11733ChesterdaleRd.
  Cincinnati  OH  45204
     Nick Giardino
            OFFICE: 210-536-6128
              FAX: 210-536-1130
            nicholas.giardino@brooks.af.mil
IERA/RSRE
  2513 Kennedy Circle
  San Antonio TX  78235-5123
     Michael J. Gilbrook
            OFFICE: 407-872-7801
              FAX: 407-872-0603
            mgilbroo@hdrinc. com
HDR Engineering, Inc.
  201  S. Orange Avenue, Suite 925
  Orlando FL  32801-3413
                       PAPER
     Rebecca Glos
            OFFICE: 703-318-4797
              FAX: 703-736-0826
            glosr@saic.com
SAIC
  11251 Roger Bacon Drive
  Reston VA  20190
     Haynes Goddard
            OFFICE: 513-569-7685
              FAX: 513-569-7111
            goodard. haynes@epamail. epa.gov
USEPA
  26 West Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45268
     Maria A. Gomez-Balandra
            OFFICE: 52-73-19-4000x407 or x410
              FAX: 52-73-20-8638
            magomez@tlaloc. imta. mx
Water Technology Mexican Institute
  Paseo Cuauhnahuac 8532
  Morelos, Mexico 62550
     James A. Goodrich
            OFFICE: 513-569-7605
              FAX: 513-569-7185
            goodrich.jam es@epa.gov
USEPA, NRMRL/WSWRD/WQMB
  26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45268
                       PAPER
     Walter M. Grayman
            OFFICE: 513-281-6138
              FAX: 513-281-6139
            grayman@fuse.net
W.M. Grayman Consulting Engineer
  730 Avon Fields Lane
  Cincinnati  OH  45229
FINAL
    14
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Don Green
            OFFICE: 615-837-5492
               FAX:  615-837-5025
            dgreen@mail.state.tn.us
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
       TN Nonpoint Source Program
         Ellinton Ag. Center, Box 40627, Holeman Bldg.
         Nashville TN  37204
     Chris Griffith
            OFFICE:  513-732-8036
               FAX:
            ccghd@fuse.net
       Clermont Co. General Health District
         2275 Bauer Road Suite 300
         Batavia OH  45103
     Corey Gullion
            OFFICE:  765-288-4057
               FAX:  765-288-4057
            cgullion@home.com
       Ball State Univ. Natural Resource Env. Mgr.
         1616 W.Gilbert G-100
         Muncie IN  47303
     Beth Hailstock
            OFFICE:  513-357-7206
               FAX:  513-357-7262
            beth. hailstock@chdburn. rcc. org
       Cincinnati Health Dept.
         3101 BurnetAve
         Cincinnati OH  45229
     Tonia Hampton
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     David T. Hansen
            OFFICE:  916-978-5268
              FAX:  916-978-5290
            dhansen@mp. usbr.gov
       U.S. Bureau of Reclamation-MPGIS
         2800 Cottage Way
         Sacramento CA 95825-1898
                       PAPER
     Todd Hanson
            OFFICE: 218-335-7415
               FAX:  218-335-7430
            lldrm@paulbunyan.net
       Leech Lake Reservation Water Resources
         6530 Hwy 2 NW
         Cass Lake MN  56633
     Jon Harbor
            OFFICE:  7654949610
               FAX:
            jharbor@purdue.edu
       Dept. of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences
         Purdue University
         West Lafayette IN  47906-1397
                                     USA
                        PAPER
     Deborah D. Harris
            OFFICE:  513-791-8330
              FAX:  513-791-7335
            logictree@aol. com
       Natl. Technology Assoc.-Cincinnati
         P.O. Box 42356
         Cincinnati OH  45242
     Jasper L. Harris
             OFFICE:  919-530-6394
              FAX:  919-530-7966
            jasperharris@y:
       North Carolina Central University
         1801 Fayetteville Street
         Durham NC 27707
     Roderick L. Harris, R.S.
            OFFICE:  615-353-8363
               FAX:
            rlhl914@yahoo.com
       Meharry Medical College
         1408 Mountain Valley Bend
         Nashville TN  37209
FINAL
           15
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     Joel Harrison
            OFFICE:  304-637-0245
               FAX:  304-637-0250
            jharrison@dnr.state.wv. us
WV Division of Natural Resources
  Ward Road
  Elkins WV 26241
     Robin Harrover
            OFFICE:  425-649-7232
               FAX:  425-649-7098
            rhar461 @ecy.wa. gov
Washington State Department of Ecology
  3190 160th Avenue, SE
  Bellevue WA  98008-5452
     Paul Marten
            OFFICE:  513-569-7045
               FAX:  513-569-7471
            harten.paul@epamail. epa.gov
U.S. EPA
  26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45268
     Megan Hartgrove-Del Gaudio
             OFFICE:  410-974-7276
               FAX:  410-974-7200
            mhart@menv.com
Maryland Environmental Service
  2011 Commerce Park Drive
  Annapolis MD  21401
     Patrick L. Havens
            OFFICE:  317-337-3465
              FAX:  317-337-3235
            phavens@dowagro. com
Dow AgroSciences LLC
  9330 Zionsville Road 306/A2
  Indianapolis  IN  46468
     Fred Hayden
            OFFICE:  510-526-7140
               FAX:
            Haydens@Earthlink. net
Hydrosource
  639 Madison Street
  Albany CA  94706
     Benjamin R. Hayes
            OFFICE:  570-372-4215
              FAX:  570-372-2726
            bhayes@susqu.edu
Dept. of Geo. and Envir. Sc. Susquehanna U.
  514 University Ave.
  Selinsgrove PA   17870-1001
                             USA
                       PAPER
     Linda Haynie
            OFFICE:  512-239-6821
               FAX:  512-239-5687
            LHAYNIE@TNRCC.STATE.TX. US
TX Natural Resource Conservation Commission
  P.O. Box 13087
  Austin TX  78711
     David J. Healy
            OFFICE: 802-229-1879
               FAX: 802-229-5417
            dhealy@stone-env. com
Stone Environmental, Inc.
  58 East State Street
  Montpelier VT  05602
                        PAPER
     Richard H. Heath
            OFFICE:  207-287-7637
               FAX:  207-287-7826
            richard. h. heath@state.me. us
Maine Department of Environmental Protection
  State House Station #17
  Augusta ME  04333
     Conrad Heatwole
            OFFICE:  5402314858
               FAX:
            heatwole@yt.edu
Biological Systems Engineering
Virginia Tech
  Blacksburg VA  24061-0303  USA
FINAL
    16
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Pat Heider
            OFFICE: 614-644-2752
               FAX:  614-644-2909
List of Attendees
                      Cincinnati, Ohio
       Ohio EPA
         P.O. Box 1049
         Columbus OH
43216-1049
     Beverly Henderson
             OFFICE:  614-644-8065
               FAX:  614-644-7740
            bhenders@gw. odh. state, oh. us
       Ohio Dept. of Health Assessment Section
         246 N. High Street, 8th Floor
         Columbus OH   43215
     Nereida Hernandez
            OFFICE:  787-764-8824
               FAX:  787-766-0150
            jcaemer@prtc. net
       Puerto Rico Environmental Quality Board
         P.O. Box 11488
         San Juan PR  00910
     Bob Hilbert
            OFFICE:  716-942-2417
               FAX:
            hilbert@wv. doe.gov
       West Valley Nuclear Services
         10282 Rock Springs Road
         West Valley NY   19171
     Sara Hines
            OFFICE:  502-573-2886
               FAX:  502-573-2355
            sara. hines(a),mail.state.ky. us
       Kentucky State Nature Preserves Commission
         801 Schenkel Lane
         Frankfort KY  40601-1403
     Terri Hoagland
            OFFICE:  513-569-7783
               FAX:  513-569-7111
            hoagland. theresa@epamail. epa.gov
       U.S. EPA
         26 W. Martin Luther King Drive MS-466
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Molly Hodgson
            OFFICE:  216-910-1941
               FAX:  216-910-2010
            molly-hodgson@aquaalliance.com
       Metcalf& Eddy, Inc.
         Suite 1215, 1300 E. Ninth Stree
         Cleveland  OH   44114
                              USA
                                   PAPER
     Matthew Hopton
            OFFICE:
              FAX:
            hopton@toast. net
       Dept. of Biological Sc., University of Cincinnati
         Cincinnati OH  45221-0006
     George E. Host, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  218-720-4264
               FAX:  218-720-4328
            ghost@sage. nrri. umn.edu
       Natural Resources Research Institute; U of MN
         5013 Miller Truck Highway
         Duluth MN  55811
                                   PAPER
     Kevin House
            OFFICE:  502-564-3080
               FAX:  502-564-9195
            kevin.house(fl),mail.state.ky. us
       Kentucky Division of Conservation
         663 Teton Trail
         Frankfort KY  40601
     David Howerter
            OFFICE:  204-467-3292
               FAX:  204-467-9426
            d howerter(fl),dveb.com
       Institute for Wetland and Waterfowl Research
         P.O. Box1160
         Oak Hammock Marsh
         Stonewall MB  ROC2ZO
                                   PAPER
FINAL
           17
           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Hsuan-Tsung (Sean) Hsieh
            OFFICE: 405-744-8974
               FAX:  405-744-7008
            hsieh@seic. he. okstate. edu
List of Attendees
       Oklahoma State University-SEIC
         Oklahoma State University
         201 CITD
         Stillwater OK  74074
                     Cincinnati, Ohio
     Karla Hyde
            OFFICE: 2078799496
               FAX:
            Rdingle@neamaine.com
       Northern Ecological Associates, Inc.
         386 Fore St.  Ste. 40
         Portland  OR  04101
                            USA
     Peter J. Idstein
             OFFICE: 606-624-8722
               FAX:  606-622-2876
            idstein@gateway. net
       Ewers Water Consultants
         971 Villa Drive, Apartment #27
         Richmond KY  40475
     Timothy I. Ingram
            OFFICE: 513-326-4503
               FAX:  513-772-6405
            Tim.Ingram@health.hamilton-co.org
       Health Commissioner, Hamilton County General Health District
         Chester Towers, Suite 600, 11499 Chester Road          PAPER
         Cincinnati OH  45246
                              USA
     Brian Jacobson
            OFFICE: 724-349-5733
               FAX:
            BAJ133@PSU.EDU
       Penn State University
         905 F W. Aaron Drive
         State College PA  16803
     Karen Jarocki
            OFFICE: 505-768-7706
               FAX:  505-768-7601
            jarocki@mrcabq. com
       Mission Research Company
         5001 Indian School Road NE
         Albuquerque NM   87110
     Tony Jasek
            OFFICE: 210-536-5448
               FAX:  210-536-1130
            tony.jasek@brooks. af.mil
       US Air Force
         2903 Oak Falls
         San Antonio TX
78231
     Bruce Jeffries
            OFFICE: 517-335-0183
               FAX:  517-335-6565
            jeffries@mshda,cis.state.mi.us
       MSHDA
         401 S. Washington Square
         Lansing Ml  48933
     Becky Jenkins
            OFFICE: 614-265-6631
               FAX:  614-263-8144
            becky.jenkins@dnr.state.oh.us
       Ohio Division of Wildlife
         1840 Belcher Dr., Bldg. G-2
         Columbus OH   43224
     Ralph Johanson
            OFFICE: 502-584-4244
               FAX:  502-584-4246
            rjohanson@grwinc. com
       GRW Engineers
         433 South 5th Street
         Louisville KY  40202
     Brian C. Johnson
            OFFICE: 518-474-5488
               FAX:  518-473-2534
            brian.johnson@oag.state. ny. us
       NY State Attorney Gen. - Env. Protection Bureau
         The Capitol
         Albany NY   12224
FINAL
           18
          As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Robert L. Johnson
            OFFICE: 614-466-1060
              FAX:  614-564-2410
            bjohnson@gw. odh. state, oh. us
List of Attendees
       Ohio Department of Health
         246 North High Street
         Columbus OH  43215
           Cincinnati, Ohio
     J. Kent Johnson, PhD
            OFFICE:  319-626-6053
               FAX:  319-626-6053
            JKENT@inav. net
       Iowa Institute of Hydraulic Research
         University of Iowa
         Iowa City IO  52242
     Rick Jones
            OFFICE:  317-247-3105
               FAX:  317-247-3414
            jonesrw@in-arng. ngb. army.mil
       Military Dept. of Indiana
         2002 S. Holt Road
         Indianapolis IN  46241
     Terri Justice
            OFFICE:  719-567-4035
               FAX:  719-567-4036
            terri.justice@schriever.af.mil
       US Air Force 50 Ceslcecr
         300 O'Malley Ave., Suite 19
         SchrieverAFB CO   80912-5091
     Jeff Kaczka
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management;
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     K.E. (Kim) Kalen
            OFFICE:  613-992-0757
               FAX:  613-996-3925
       Dept. of National Defense-North WarningSystem
         219 Laurier Avenue West
         Ottawa, Ontario K1AOK2
     Kelly Kaletsky
            OFFICE:  5132856075
               FAX:
            kelly.kaletsky@epa.state. oh. us
       Office of Federal Facilities Oversight - Ohio EPA
         401 East Fifth Street
         Dayton OH  45402-2911
                                USA
                       PAPER
     Sumana Keener
            OFFICE:  513-556-2542
               FAX:  513-556-2522
            skeener@uceng. uc. edu
       University of Cincinnati
         P.O. Box 210071
         Cincinnati OH  45227
     Bud Keesee
            OFFICE:  410-278-6755
               FAX:  410-278-6779
            bkeesee@dshe. apg. army.mil
       Div. of Safety, Health, and Environment
         STEAP-SH-ER - Bldg 5650
         Aberdeen Proving Group Garrison
         MD  21005
     Larisa J. Keith
            OFFICE:
              FAX:
            larisaj_k@yahoo. com
       Northern Kentucky Area Planning Commission in Kenton County
         146 Stafford Ridge Rd.                              PAPER
         Sanders KY  41083
                            USA
     Jay H. Kim
            OFFICE:  304-285-6140
               FAX:  304-285-6111
            jhkO@cdc.gov
       CDC I NIOSH
         1095 Willowdale Road
         Morgantown WV  26505
FINAL
           19
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Carl Kinkade
            OFFICE: 402-441-6246
               FAX:  402-441-8323
            ckinkade@ci. lincoln. ne. us
List of Attendees
           Cincinnati, Ohio
       Lincoln-Lancaster County Health Dept.
         3140 N Street
         Lincoln  NE  68510
     Lyn Kirschner
            OFFICE: (765)494-9555
               FAX:
            kirschner@ctic.purdue. edu
       Conservation Technology Information Center
         1220 Potter Dr., Ste. 170
         West Lafayette IN  47906
     Karen KM ma
            OFFICE: 202-260-7087
              FAX:  202-260-7024
            klima.karen@epa.gov
       USEPA/Office of Water
         401 M Street, SW Mail Code 4503F
         Washington DC  20460
     Randy Knight
            OFFICE: 319-398-5893
               FAX:  319-398-5894
            rknight@kirkwood. cc. ia. us
       Kirkwood Community College
         6301 Kirkwood Blvd. SW
         Cedar Rapids IA  52406
     Jill Korach
            OFFICE: 513-921-5124
               FAX:  513-921-5136
            imago@one. net
       IMAGO, Inc.
         553 Enright Avenue
         Cincinnati  OH  45205
     Angel J. Kosfiszer
            OFFICE: 214-665-2187
               FAX:  214-665-6490
            kosfiszer. angel@epamail. epa.gov
       US EPA Region 6
         1445 Ross Avenue
         Dallas TX  75202-2733
     Jeff Kreider
            OFFICE: 608-266-0856
               FAX:  608-267-2800
            kreidj@dnr. state, wi.us
       Wisconsin Dept. of Natural Resources
         101 S. Webster Street
         Madison Wl   53707
     Jim Kreissl
            OFFICE: (513)569-7611
               FAX:
            kreissl.james@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA, CERI, TTB
         26 W. Martin Luther King Dr.
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Dennis Kreitzburg
            OFFICE: 216-739-0555
               FAX:  216-739-0560
            DJK&HaleyAldrich. com
       Haley & Aldrich, Inc.
         5755 Granger Road, Suite 100
         Independence OH  44131
     Eric J. Kroger
            OFFICE: 513-648-4473
               FAX:  513-648-4473
            eric. kroger@fernald. gov
       Fluor Daniel Fernald, Inc.
         P.O. Box 538704
         Cincinnati OH  45253
     Rosanne Kruzich
            OFFICE: 502-895-4559
               FAX:  502-895-4559
            rkruzich@bellsouth. net
       RKX Consulting, Inc.
         750 Zorn Avenue #56
         Louisville KY  40206
FINAL
           20
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Dr. Sudhir R. Kshirsagar
            OFFICE:  513-474-9780
               FAX:  513-474-9781
            president@gqc. com
List of Attendees
       Global Quality Corporation
         7828 Beechmont Avenue, Suite 202
         Cincinnati OH  45255
           Cincinnati, Ohio
     Tony Lafferty
            OFFICE: 314-949-6620
               FAX:  314-949-6735
            tlafferty@esri. com
       ESRI St. Louis
         207 South Main St.
         St. Charles  MO  63301
     Mark S. Landry
            OFFICE:  540-951-4899
               FAX:  540-951-4896
            m -landry@vt. e du
       VA Polytechnic Institute and State University
         Dept. of Agric. & Applied Economics
         Blacksburg VA  24061-0401
                        PAPER
     Robert Langstroth
             OFFICE:  608-264-8801
               FAX:  608-264-8795
            rlangstroth@commerce.state.wi.us
       Wisconsin Dept. of Commerce
         201 W. Washington Ave.
         Madison Wl  53701
     Elizabeth L. Lanzer
            OFFICE:  360-705-7476
              FAX:  360-705-6833
            lanzere@wsdot.wa.gov
       WA Department of Transportation
         P.O. Box 47331
         Olympia WA  98504-7331
                       PAPER
     Jill Leale
            OFFICE:  616-696-1606
               FAX:
            lealej@river. it.gvsu. edu
       Grand Valley State University
         14990 Simmons Ave.
         Cedar Springs Ml  49319
     Lawrence A. Lee
            OFFICE:  919-560-6344
               FAX:  919-530-7973
            larrylee@wpo. nccu. edu
       North Carolina Central University
         1801 Fayetteville Street
         Durham NC  27707
     Sang-Suk Lee
            OFFICE:  614-292-0585
               FAX:  614-292-7688
            lee.1099@osu.edu
       The Ohio State University
         223 Mendenhall Lab., 125 South Oval Mall
         Columbus OH   43210
     Jay Lee, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  3306723222
              FAX:
            jlee@kent.edu
       Dept. of Geography
         Kent State University
         Kent OH  44242-0001
                       PAPER
                              USA
     David R. Legates, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  302-831-2294
              FAX:  302-831-6654
            legates@udel. edu
       University of Delaware, Center for Climatic Research
         216 Pearson Hall
         Newark DE  19716-2541
                        PAPER
     Geoff Leking
            OFFICE:  419-373-3092
               FAX:  419-373-3125
            geoff.leking@epa.state. oh. us
       OHIO EPA
         347 N. Dunbridge Rd.
         Bowling Green OH  42402
FINAL
           21
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     April Lewis
            OFFICE: 937-255-5654x3512
               FAX:  937-255-4645
            april. lewis@afit.af.mil
Air Force Institute of Technology
  AFITICEL 2950 P Street Bldg. 643
  Wright Patterson AFB OH  45433-7765
     Norma Lewis
             OFFICE:  513-569-7665
               FAX:  513-569-7471
            lewis, norma. @epamail. epa. gov
U.S. EPA
  26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
  Cincinnati OH  45268
     Xaan Li
                    614-292-0585
               FAX:  614-292-7688
            li@geology. ohio-state, edu
Dept. of Geological Studies Ohio State U.
  Columbus OH  63210
     Jun Liang
            OFFICE: 513-569-7619
               FAX:
            liangjun@hotmail. com
EPA NERL GIS Lab
  435 Riddle Rd. Apt.9
  Cincinnati OH  45220
     Susan Licher
Ball State Graduate Student
               FAX:
            sslicher@hotmail. com
     Jason Linn
            OFFICE: 765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
  Ball State University
  Muncie IN  47306
     Beth Linton
            OFFICE: 770-677-0330
               FAX:  770-399-0535
United Capitol Insurance Company
  400 Perimeter Center Terrace, Suite 400
  Atlanta GA  30346
     Amy Liu
            OFFICE: 5135697171
               FAX:
            liu. amy@epamail. epa.gov
PAI/SAIC, US EPA, NRMRL
  MS 690, 26 W. Martin Luther King Dr
  Cincinnati OH   45268
                       USA
                        PAPER
     Lin Liu, Ph.D.
            OFFICE: 513-556-3429
               FAX:  513-556-3370
            lin.liu@uc.edu
University of Cincinnati
  Department of Geography
  714 Swift Hall
  Cincinnati OH  45221-0131
     Bill Lohner
            OFFICE: 937-285-6051
               FAX:  937-285-6404
            bill. lohner@epa.state.oh. us
Ohio EPA
  401 E. 5th Street
  Dayton OH  45402
                        PAPER
     Cornell Long
            OFFICE:  210-536-6121
               FAX:  210-536-1130
            Cornell, long@brooks.af.mil
USAF Institute for ESOH Risk Analysis
  2513 Kennedy Circle
  Brooks AFB TX  78235-5123
FINAL
    22
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Colleen Lovett
            OFFICE:  937-656-3637
              FAX:  937-656-3663
            colleen. lovett@wpafb. af.mil
List of Attendees
       U.S. Air Force
         4225 Logistics Ave., Suite 23
         Wright - Patterson AFB OH  45433-5762
          Cincinnati, Ohio
     Damon Lowe
            OFFICE:  317-598-8742
              FAX:
            dlowe@worldnet. att. net
       Ball State University
         6836 Challenge Lane
         Indianapolis IN  46250
     James A. Lynch, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  814-865-8830
              FAX:  814-863-7193
           jal@psu.edu
       Penn State University
         311 Forest Resource Lab
         University Park PA  16802
     Stan Lynn
            OFFICE:  513-564-8349
              FAX:  513-241-0354
            lynns@ttemi. com
       Tetra Tech EM Inc.
         625 Eden Park Drive, Suite 100
         Cincinnati OH  45202
     Debbie E. Maes
            OFFICE:  505-846-8568
              FAX:  505-853-1793
            debbie.maes@ao. dtra.mil
       Defense Threat Reduction Agency
         1680 Texas Street, SE
         Kirtland AFB NM  87117-5669
     Robert Magai
            OFFICE:  573-522-3779
              FAX:  573-525-5797
            nrmagar@mail. dnr.state.mo. us
       Missouri DNR
         205 Jefferson Street
         Jefferson City MO  65102
     Laura Mahoney
            OFFICE:  615-255-2370x406
              FAX:  615-256-8332
            lmahoney@brwncald. com
       Brown & Caldwell
         227 French Landing Drive
         Nashville TN  37228
     Sarada Majumder
            OFFICE:
              FAX:
            majumder. sarada@epa.gov
       SBI EnvAISEPA
         26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45219
     Miguel A. Maldonado
            OFFICE:  787-764-8824
              FAX:  787-766-0150
           jcaemer@prtc. net
       PREQB
         P.O. Box 11488
         San Juan PR  00910
     Richard M. Males
            OFFICE:  513-871-8566
              FAX:
            males@iac.net
       RMM Technical Services, Inc.
         3319 Eastside Avenue
         Cincinnati OH  45208
     Christopher Mantia
            OFFICE:  937-776-7724
              FAX:  937-586-3059
            cmantia@corbus.com
       Corbus, LLC
         33 W. First Street, Suite 300
         Dayton OH
FINAL
           23
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Renante Marante
            OFFICE: 312-742-0123
              FAX: 312-744-6451
            rmarante@ci.chi.il. us
List of Attendees
       Dept. of Environment Chicago Brownfields
         30 N. La Salle, Room 2500
         Chicago IL  6060
          Cincinnati, Ohio
     Joanne Marker!
            OFFICE: 3607057444
              FAX:
            markertj@wsdot.wa.gov
       Washington Dept. of Transportation
         310 Maple Park Ave., SE
         Olympia WA  98504-7331
                                 USA
     Lawrence Martin
            OFFICE: 202-564-6497
               FAX: 202-565-2926
            martin.lawrence@epa.gov
       EPA/ORD
         401 M Street. NW (8103R)
         Washington DC  20460
     Robert C. Martin, Jr.
            OFFICE: 404-894-8446
              FAX: 404-894-2184
            bob.martin@gtri.gatech.edu
       Georgia Tech Research Institute - Electro-Optics
         Environment and Materials Laboratory
         Atlanta GA 30332-0837
     Margaret B. Martin, P.E.
            OFFICE: 410-962-3500
               FAX:  410-962-2318
            margaret. b.martin@nab02. usace.army
       USAGE / HTRW Design Center
         P.O. Box 1715
         ATTN: CENAB-EN_
         Baltimore MD  21203
     Dana Martin-Hayden
            OFFICE: 419-373-3067
              FAX: 419-352-8468
            dana.martin-hayden@epa. state, oh. us
       OHIO - EPA
         347 North Dunbridge Road
         Bowling Green OH   43402
     Carmen Maso
            OFFICE: 312-886-1070
              FAX: 312-353-6519
            maso. carmen@epa.gov
       US EPA
         77 West Jackson
         Chicago IL  60604
     Jason Masoner
            OFFICE: 580-436-8508
              FAX:
            jmasoner@usgs.gov
       USGS
         P.O.1198
         Ada  OK  74820
     Gregg Matthews
            OFFICE: 613-541-6000x6099
              FAX: 613-541-6596
            matthews-g@rmc. ca
       Environmental Sciences Group, RMC
         P.O. Box 17000 Stn. Forces, Bldg. 62
         Kingston - Canada ON  K7K7B4
     Robert Matzner
            OFFICE: 703-305-5975
              FAX: 703-305-6309
            matzner. robert@epa.gov
       US EPA/OPPTS/OPP/EFED
         401 M St., SW
         Mail Code 7507c
         Washigton DC  20460
     Dr. Eric F. Maurer
            OFFICE: 606-257-7652
               FAX: 606-257-1717
            efmaur@pop. uky.edu
       Univ. of Kentucky, Biological Sciences
         101 Morgan Building
         Lexington KY  40506
FINAL
          24
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Chris Mazza
            OFFICE: 765-285-2327
              FAX: 765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN 47306
     R.B. (Rusty) McAllister
            OFFICE:  501-682-0022
              FAX:  501-682-0010
            mcallister@adeq. state, ar. us
       Arkansas Dept. of Environmental Quality
         8001 National Drive
         Little Rock AR  72209
     Andy McCammack
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN 47306
     Larry McCanoless
            OFFICE:  513-648-3772
              FAX:  513-648-4029
       Flour Daniel Fernald
         P.O. Box 538704
         Cincinnati OH  45253
     Jeff McCormack
            OFFICE:  810-239-1154
              FAX:  810-239-1180
            jmccormack@ssoe. com
       SSOE, Inc.
         111 E. Court St.
         Flint Ml   48502
     Seth McCoy
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN 47306
     George McKee
            OFFICE:  513-684-3073
              FAX:  513-684-3039
            george. m. mckee@lrdor. usace. army.mil
       Army Corps of Engineers
         5717 Nickview Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45247
     Iver McLeod
            OFFICE:  207-287-8010
              FAX:  207-287-7826
            iver.j.mcleod@state. me. us
       Maine Department of Environmental Protection
         State House Station #17
         Augusta ME  04333
     Christine McMahon
            OFFICE:  6186921478
               FAX:
            mcmahon(a)icon-stl. net
         209 N. Fillmore Street
         Edwardville IL  62025
                             USA
     Robert B. McMaster
            OFFICE:  6126259883
              FAX:
            mcmaster(fl),atlas.socsci. umn. edu
       Dept. of Geography
         414 Social Sciences Bldg.
         Minneapolis MN   55455
                               USA
     Stephanie McSpirit
            OFFICE:  606-622-3070
              FAX:
            antmcspi@acs. eku
       Eastern Ky. University
         223 Keith
         Richmond KY  40475
FINAL
          25
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Jeremy Mennis
            OFFICE:
              FAX:
            jmennis@gis.psu.edu
List of Attendees
             Cincinnati, Ohio
       Dept. of Geography, Pennsylvania State Univ.
         302 Walker Building
         University Park PA   16802
                                 USA
                          PAPER
     Jim Metzger
            OFFICE:  812-665-2207
              FAX:  812-665-5041
            jmetzger@osmre.gov
       Indiana DNR/Div. of Reclamation
         RR 2 Box 129
         Jascksonville IN  47438
     Jim Meyer
            OFFICE:  573-882-9291
              FAX:  573-884-2199
            jcmeyer@showme.missouri. edu
       CARES - University of Missouri
         130MumfordHall
         Columbia MO  65211-6200
     Michael V. Miller
            OFFICE:  5417524271
              FAX:
            mmiller@ch2m.com
       CH2M Hill
         2300 NW Walnut Blvd.
         Corvallis OR  97330
                          PAPER
                            USA
     Bruce Milligan
            OFFICE: 317-290-3200x347
              FAX: 317-290-3225
            bruce.milligan@in. usda.gov
       Natural Resources Conservation Service
         6013 Lakeside Blvd.
         Indianapolis IN  46278
     Scott Minamyer
            OFFICE:  (513)569-7175
              FAX:  (513)569-7585
            minamyer.scott@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA, CERI, TTB
         26 W. Martin Luther King Dr.
         Cincinnati OH   45268
     Ken Mix
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Sara Moola
              FAX:
            smoola@esri. com
       ESRI
         2205 A West Balboa Blvd.
         Newport Beach CA  92663
     Mike Moore
            OFFICE:  717-783-7258
              FAX:  717-783-7267
            mmoore@dcnr.state.pa. us
       PA Geological Survey
         1500 North 3rd St.
         Harrisburg PA  17102-1910
     Shawn Moore
            OFFICE:  937-255-5654
              FAX:  937-255-4645
            shawn.moore@afit.af.mil
       AFIT/CEM
         2950 P Street Bldg. 643
         Wright Patterson AFB OH
45433-7765
     Maggie Moorhouse
            OFFICE:  361-883-6016
              FAX:  361-883-7417
            maggie@moorhousecc.com
       Moorhouse Associates, Inc.
         5826 Bear Lane
         Corpus Christ! TX  78405
FINAL
          26
  As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     Bruce Motsch
            OFFICE:  614-265-6772
              FAX:
            bruce.motsch@,dnr.state. oh. us
Ohio Department of Natural Resources
  1952 Belcher Drive C-2
  Columbus OH   43224
     Erin T. Mutch
            OFFICE:  209-532-0361
              FAX:  209-532-0773
            emutch@condorearth.com
Condor Earth Technologies, Inc.
  21663 Brian Lane
  Sonora CA  95370
     Wolf Naegeli
            OFFICE:  423-584-4806
              FAX:
            wnn@utk. edu
Energy, Environment & Resource Center, U of TN
  4425 Balraj Ln
  Knoxville TN  37921-2938
     Jill Neal
            OFFICE:  (513)569-7277
              FAX:
            niel.jill@epamail. epa.gov
U.S. EPA, ORD, NRMRL
  26 W. Martin Luther King Dr.
  Cincinnati OH  45268
                       PAPER
     Dean Nelson
            OFFICE:  423-483-3191
              FAX:  423-483-8617
            dnelson@usit. net
Peer Consultants, P.C.
  78 Mitchell Road
  Oak Ridge TN  37830
     Tamas Nemeth

              FAX:
            lacus@rissac. hu
GIS Lab, Research Inst. For Soil Science & Agri. Chemistry
  Hungarian Academy of Sciences
  H-1022 Bud Herman Otto ut 15
              Hungary
     Bruce Nielsen
            OFFICE:  317-290-3200
              FAX:  317-290-3225
            bruce.nielsen@in.usda.gov
USDA-Natural Resources Conservation Service
  6013 Lakeside Blvd.
  Indianapolis IN  46278
     Douglas A. Nieman
            OFFICE:
              FAX:
            Dnieman@normandeau. com
Normandeau Associates
  3450 Schuylkill Rd.
  Spring City PA  19475
                       PAPER
                       USA
     Eugene O'Brien
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
  Ball State University
  Muncie IN  47306
     Toby Obenauer
            OFFICE:  305-242-7892
              FAX:  305-242-7836
            toby_obenauer@nps.gov
National Park Service - Everglades
  40001 SR 9336
  Homestead FL  33034-6733
     Ramon A. Olivero
            OFFICE:  919-572-2764
               FAX:  919-572-2765
            rolivero@lmepo. com
Lockheed Martin Environmental Services
  100 Capitola Drive, Suite 111
  Durham NC  27713
                        PAPER
FINAL
    27
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Deborah Olszowka
            OFFICE: 513-231-7719
              FAX:  513-231-7761
            dmo@orsanco.org
List of Attendees
           Cincinnati, Ohio
       ORSANCA
         5735 Kellogg Avenue
         Cincinnati OH  45228
     Lindell Ormsbee
             OFFICE:  606-257-1302
               FAX:
            lormsbee@engr. uky.edu
       University of Kentucky
         Dept. of Civil Engineering
         Lexington KY  40506-0281
     Steven D. Ortiz
            OFFICE:  512-239-2008
               FAX:  512-239-4007
            sortiz@tnrcc. state, tx. us
       TX Natural Resource Conservation Commission
         12100 Park 35 Circle, MC -108
         Austin TX 78753
     Kurt Overmyer
            OFFICE:  616-336-3086
               FAX:  616-336-2436
            overmyer@iserv. net
       Kent County Health Department
         700 Fuller, N.E.
         Grand Rapids Ml  49503
     David A. Padgett
            OFFICE:  615-963-5471
              FAX:  734-939-5813
            padgettdavid@netscape. net
       Tennessee State University
         3500 John A. Merritt Blvd.
         Nashville TN  37219
                       PAPER
     David Padgett, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  4407758747
               FAX:
            david.padgett@oberlin.edu
       Oberlin College
         USA
     Mercedes Padilla
            OFFICE:  787-767-8181x2243
               FAX:  787-766-0150
            jcaemer@prtc. net
       PR Environemtal Quality Board
         P.O. Box 192785
         San Juan PR 00919
     Susan Pagano
            OFFICE:  610-696-4150
               FAX:  610-696-8608
            spagano@thcahill. com
       Cahill Associates
         104 South High Street
         West Chester PA  19382
     Harry Parrott
            OFFICE:  414-297-3342
               FAX:  414-297-3808
            hparrott/r9@fs.fed. us
       USDA-Forest Service
         310 W.Wisconsin Ave.
         Milwaukee Wl  53203
     Laszlo Pasztor, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  361-356-3694
               FAX:  361-212-1891
            lacus@rissac. hu
       GIS Lab, Research Inst. for Soil Science & Agri. Chemistry
         Hungarian Academy of Sciences
         Herman Otto ut 15
         H-1022  Bud  Hungary
     Clair (Pat) Patterson
            OFFICE:  410-260-8512
               FAX:  410-260-8595
            ppatterson@dnr.state. md. us
       Maryland DNR-Forest Service
         Tawes State Office Building E1 580 Taylor Avenue
         Annapolis MD  21401
FINAL
           28
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                 List Of Attendees                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     Michael J. Pavilonis
             OFFICE: 412-442-4066
               FAX:  412-442-4194
            pavilonis.michael@dep. state, pa.us
Pennsylvania DEP
  400 Waterfront Drive
  Pittsburgh PA  15222-4745
     Alan Peacock
             OFFICE: 317-337-3414
               FAX:  317-337-3235
             apeacock@dowagro. com
Dow AgroSciences
  9330 Zionsville Road
  Indianapolis IN  46268
     Norman E. Peters
             OFFICE: 770-903-9145
               FAX:  770-903-9199
             npeters@usgs.gov
U.S. Geological Survey
  3039 Amwiler Rd., Suite 130
  Atlanta GA  30360-2824
     Carl Petersen
             OFFICE: 502-564-8390
               FAX:  502-564-2088
             cpeteOO@pop. uky.edu
Unversity of Kentucky
  1854 Bellefonte Drive
  Lexington KY  40503
     Herb Petitjean
             OFFICE: 502-564-6717
               FAX:  502-564-5096
             herb.petitjean@mail.state.ky.us
Kentucky Dept. for Environmental Protection
  14 Reilly Road
  Frankfort KY  40601
     Rebecca Petty
             OFFICE: 614-466-4801
               FAX:  614-466-4556
             rpetty@gw.odh.state.oh.us
Ohio Department of Health
  246 N. High Street, 5th Floor
  Columbus OH  43266-0588
     Kenneth Pew
             OFFICE: 216-881-6600x814
               FAX:  216-881-2738
            pewk@neorsd. org
N.E. Ohio Regional Sewer District
  4415 Euclid Avenue
  Cleveland OH  44103
     Robert R. Pierce
             OFFICE: 770-903-9113
               FAX:  770-903-9199
             rrpierce@usgs.gov
USGS/WRD
  3039 Amwiler Road, Suite 130
  Atlanta GA  30360-2824
     Michael Plastino
             OFFICE: 202-260-0048
               FAX:  202-260-7926
            plastino.michael@epa.gov
EPA Office of Water
  401 M Street, SW(MC 4102)
  Washington  DC  20460
     Mark Porembka
             OFFICE: 412-442-4327
               FAX:  412-442-3428
            porembka.mark@dep. state, pa.us
PA Dept. of Environmental Protection
  400 Waterfront Drive
  Pittsburgh PA  15222
     Jacob Prater
            OFFICE:  765-759-6898
               FAX:
Ball State University
  6613 W.Jackson St.
  Muncie IN  47304
FINAL
    29
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Garry Price
            OFFICE:  717-772-5630
              FAX:  717-787-5259
            price. garry@dep. state, pa. us
List of Attendees
       PA Dep.
         400 Market Street
         Harrisburg PA   17105
          Cincinnati, Ohio
     Eric R. Pruitt
            OFFICE:  812-323-8871
              FAX:
            erpruitt@indiana.edu
       Indiana University
         714 E Cottage Grove West
         Bloomington  IN  47408
     Tom Quinn
            OFFICE:  513-489-6611
              FAX:  513-489-6619
            tomq@pes.cin.com
       P.E.S.
         7209 E KemperRd.
         Cincinnati  OH  45241
     Nancy J. Radle
            OFFICE:  651-779-5102
              FAX:  651-779-5109
            nancy, radle @dot. state, mn.us
       Minnesota Department of Transportation
         3485 Hadley Avenue, N - Mail Stop 620
         Oakdale MN  55128
     Charles Rairdan
            OFFICE:  916-557-7833
              FAX:  916-557-7848
            crairdan@spk. usace. army.mil
       USAGE - Sacramento District
         1325 "J" Street
         Sacramento CA 95814
                       PAPER
     Alexandrine Randriamahefa
            OFFICE:  256-726-7436
              FAX:  256-726-7055
            drrand@oakwood.edu
       Oakwood College
         7000 Adventist Blvd.
         Huntsville AL  35896
     Ravi Rao
            OFFICE:  404-562-8349
              FAX:
            rao. ravi@epamail. epa.gov
       USEPA  Region 4, OPM, PAB
         61 Forsyth Street
         Atlanta GA  30303
     Alan Rao, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  6179241770
               FAX:
            arao@vhb.com
       Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc.
         101 Walnut Street
                       02471
                              USA
     Andrew Rawnsley

              FAX:
            ronz@ravensfield. com
       Ravensfield Geographic Resources, Ltd.
         P.O. Box 410
         Granville OH  43023
                             USA
                        PAPER
     Alan Rea
            OFFICE:  208-387-1323
              FAX:  208-387-1372
            ahrea@usgs.gov
       US Geological Survey
         230 Collins Road
         Boise ID 83702-4520
     Jeffrey Reese
            OFFICE:  765-213-1269
              FAX:  765-747-7744
            masine@iquest. net
       Delaware County, Indiana GIS
         100W. Main St., Room 204
         Muncie IN  47305
FINAL
           30
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Jon Reid
            OFFICE: 513-558-1723
               FAX:
            jon. reid@uc.edu.
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
       University of Cincinnati
         3223 Eden Ave. ML 056
         Cincinnati OH  45267-0056
     Chad K. Rhodes
            OFFICE:  313-237-3093
               FAX:  313-224-1547
            rhodesc@EnvAfrs. ci. detroit.mi. us
       City of Detroit Dept. of Environmental Affairs
         660 Woodward Avenue, Suite 1590
         Detroit Ml  48226
     Carl Rich
            OFFICE:  303-202-4316
              FAX:  303-202-4354
            clrich@usgs. gov
       U.S. Geological Survey
         P.O. Box 25046, MS-516, Denver Federal Center
         Denver CO  80225
     Ian Richardson
            OFFICE:  519-884-0510
               FAX:  519-884-0525
            irichardson@rover. com
       CRA
         651 Colby Dr.
         Waterloo
         Ontario
     John Richardson
            OFFICE:  402-562-8290
               FAX:  404-562-8269
            richardson.john@epa.gov
       US EPA Region 4
         61 Forsyth Street
         Atlanta GA 30303
     James M. Rine, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  803-777-7792
              FAX:  803-777-6437
            jrine@esri. esri. sc.edu
       Earth Sciences & Resources Institute
         University of South Carolina
         901 Sumter Road, Room 401
         Columbia SC  29208
                       PAPER
     Jim Rocco
            OFFICE:  330-562-9391
               FAX:  330-562-9391
            roccojl@worldnet. att. net
       Sage Risk Solutions LLC
         360 Heritage Road
         Aurora OH   44202
     Edward Rogers, Jr.
             OFFICE:  9085982600
               FAX:
            erogers@bemsys. com
       BEM Systems, Inc.
         100 PassaicAve.
         Chatham NJ  07928
                        PAPER
                            USA
     Cynthia Root
            OFFICE:  319-398-5678
               FAX:  319-398-1250
            croot@kirkwood. cc. ia. us
       Kirkwood Community College
         6301 Kirkwood Blvd. SW
         Cedar Rapids IA  52406
     Lloyd Ross
            OFFICE:  216-739-0555
               FAX:  216-739-0560
            lsr@haleyaldrich. com
       Haley & Aldrich, Inc.
         5755 Granger Road, Suite 100
         Independence OH  44131
     Randall Ross, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  (580)436-8611
               FAX:
            ross. randall@epamail. epa.gov
       R.S. Kerr Environ. Research Center U.S. EPA/ORD/NRMRL PAPER
         919 Kerr Research Dr., P.O. Box 119
         Ada OK  74820
FINAL
           31
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Holly Roten
            OFFICE: 419-353-1531
               FAX:
            rotenh@bgnet. bgsu.edu
                                   List of Attendees
                                          Bowling Green State University
                                            455 South Enterprise, Apartment H.
                                            Bowling Green OH  43402
                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     Chris Rudnick
            OFFICE:  502-564-6716
               FAX:  502-564-5096
            chris.rudnick@mail.state.ky.us
                                          Kentucky Environmental Protection-State Superfund
                                            14 Reilly Road
                                            Frankfort KY  40601
     Nel Ruffin
            OFFICE:  606-257-1299
               FAX:
            nruffin@engr. uky.edu
                                          Kentucky Water Resources Research Institute
                                            233 Mining & Minerals Resource Building
                                            University of Kentucky
                                            Lexington KY 40506
     Steve Saines
            OFFICE:  614-644-2752
               FAX:  614-644-2909
                                          Ohio EPA
                                            P.O. Box1049
                                            Columbus OH
43216
     Scott Samson
            OFFICE:  606-257-3767
               FAX:  606-257-4354
            ssamson@pop.uky.edu
                                          University of Kentucky
                                            Rural Sociology Program, Garrigus 500
                                            Lexington  KY  40546
     Vicki Sandiford
            OFFICE:  919-541-2629
               FAX:  919-541-7690
            sandiford. vicki@epa.gov
                                          US EPA
                                            MD-13
                                            RTP NC  27711
     George Sarapa
            OFFICE:  412-262-5400
               FAX:  412-262-3036
            sarapg@lrkim ball, com
                                          L. Robert Kimball & Associates, Inc.
                                            415 Moon Clinton Road
                                            Moon Township PA  15108
     Gary Schaal
            OFFICE:  614-265-6769
               FAX:  614-267-2981
            gary.schaal@dnr. state, oh. us
                                          Ohio Department of Natural Resources
                                            1952 Belcher Drive C-4
                                            Columbus OH   43224
Devin Scheak
       OFFICE:  513-921-5124
          FAX:  513-921-5136
       IMAGO@ONE.net
                                               IMAGO, Inc.
                                                 553 Enright Avenue
                                                 Cincinnati  OH  45205
     Tom Schneider
            OFFICE:  937-295-6466
               FAX:  937-285-6404
            tom.schneider@epa. state.oh. us
                                          Ohio EPA
                                            401 E. 5th Street
                                            Dayton OH   45402
     Theresa Schnorr
            OFFICE:  513-558-5984
               FAX:
            thsl@cdc.gov
                                          N.I.O.S.H
                                            4676 Columbia Parkway
                                            Cincinnati OH  45220
FINAL
                                              32
           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Susan Schock
            OFFICE: 513-569-7551
               FAX: 513-487-2513
            schock.sue@epamail.epa.gov
List of Attendees
           Cincinnati, Ohio
       U.S. EPA/ORD/NRMRL
         26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Chris Schroeder
            OFFICE:  402-441-6272
               FAX:  402-441-8323
            cschroed@ci. lincoln. ne.us
       Lincoln-Lancaster County Health Dept.
         3140 "N" Street
         Lincoln  NE  68510
     Joe Schubauer-Berigan
            OFFICE:  513-569-7734
               FAX:
            Schubauer-Berigan.joseph@epa.gov
       U.S. EPA National Center for Envir. Assessment
         26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45220
     Susan Schultz
            OFFICE:  513-861-7666
               FAX:  513-559-3155
            schultz23@fuse. net
       Mill Creek Restoration Project
         42 Calhoun Street
         Cincinnati OH  45219
     Robert Scott
             OFFICE:  404-675-1753
               FAX:  404-675-6246
             bob_scott@mail.dnr.state.ga.us
       Georgia EPD
         4220 International Parkway, Suite 101
         Atlanta GA   30354
     Irena Scott, PhD
            OFFICE:  614-644-8020
               FAX:  614-644-7740
            iscott@gw.odh.state. us
       Ohio Department of Health
         246 North High Street
         Columbus OH  43266-0118
     Tom Seibert
            OFFICE:  502-564-6716
               FAX:  502-564-7484
            torn. seibert@mail. state, ky. us
       Kentucky Division for Waste Management
         14 Reilly Road
         Frankfort KY  40601
     Gabriel Senay, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  5135697096
               FAX:
            SENAY.GABRIEL@epa.gov
       PAI/SAIC, US EPA
         26 W. Martin Luther King Dr.
         Cincinnati OH  45268
                             USA
                        PAPER
     Barbara Seymour
            OFFICE:  301-622-9696x108
               FAX:  301-622-9693
            bseymour@plexsc. com
       Plexus Scientific
         12501 Prosperity Drive, # 401
         Silver Spring MD  20904
     Jo Ann Shaw
            OFFICE:  573-751-9370
               FAX:
            nrshawj@mail. dnr.state.mo. us
       MO Dept. of Natural Resources
         205 Jefferson St.
         Jefferson City MO  65102
     Jerry Shi
            OFFICE:  614-292-6193
               FAX:  614-292-7688
            shi. 19@osu.edu
       The Ohio State University
         125 South Oval Mall
         Columbus OH   43210
FINAL
           33
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Andy Shirmeyer
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Massoud Shoa
            OFFICE:  502-564-6717x219
               FAX:  502-564-2705
            massoudshoa@mail.state.ky.us
       Kentucky Division of Waste Management
         14 Reilly Road
         Frankfort KY  40601
     Leila Shultz
            OFFICE:  617-327-4294
               FAX:  617-327-4294
            shultz@oeb. harvard, e du
       Harvard University
         22 Divinity Avenue
         Cambridge MA  02138
     Amardeep Singh
            OFFICE:  916-653-2726
               FAX:  916-653-6366
            asingh@fnd. csus.edu
       csus
         905 23rd Street #3
         Sacramento CA  95816
     Nathan Sloan
            OFFICE: 765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflirt l@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Ryan Sloan
            OFFICE:  765-289-7816
               FAX:
            resloan(a)hotmail. com
       Dept. of Natural Resources , Ball State Univ.
         323 1/2
         Muncie IN  47304
     Mike Sloop
            OFFICE:  770-673-3624
               FAX:  770-396-9495
            msloop@brwncald. com
       Brown and Caldwell
         41 Perimeter Center East
         Suite 400
         Atlanta GA 30346
     Kathleen Smaluk-Nix
            OFFICE:  502-574-1358
               FAX:  502-574-1389
            ksmaluk@louky. org
       Office of Health and Environment
         600 W. Main St. , 4th Floor
         Louisville KY  40202
     Art Smith
            OFFICE:  502-574-2511
              FAX:  502-574-1389
            asmith@louky. org
       City of Louisville Office of Health and Environment
         600 W. Maine Street, 4th Floor
         Louisville KY  40202
     Christopher Smith
            OFFICE:  608-221-6330
               FAX:  608-221-6353
       Wisconsin DNR
         1350 Femrite Drive
         Monona Wl  53716
     Gerry Snyder
            OFFICE:  303-312-6623
               FAX:  303-312-6063
            snyder.gerry@epamail. epa.gov
       US EPA
         999 18th Street, Suite 500, 8IG
         Denver CO  80202-2466
FINAL
           34
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Marilyn Sommer
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
            OFFICE:  502-564-3256
              FAX:
            maras425@ntr. net
       Kentucky Resource Cabinet
         1933 Deerwood
         Louisville KY  40210
     Puneet Srivastava
            OFFICE:  501-682-0018
              FAX:  501-682-0010
       ADEQ
         800 National Drive
         P.O. Box 8913
         Little Rock AR  72205
     Greg Starkebaum
            OFFICE:  303-763-7188
              FAX:  303-763-4896
            gstarkebaum@techlawinc. com
       TechLaw, Inc.
         300 Union Blvd. #600
         Lakewood CO  80228
     Steven K. Starrett, Ph.D
            OFFICE:  785-532-1583
              FAX:  785-532-7717
            steveks@ksu. edu
       Kansas State University
         160SeatonHall
         Manhattan KS  66506-2905
     Dr. Gerry  L.
            OFFICE:  301-415-5265
              FAX:  301-415-5348
            gls3@nrc.gov
       U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
         TWFN-MS T7C6-11545 Rockville Pike
         Rockville MD  20852
     Joel Stocker
            OFFICE:  860-345-4511
              FAX:  860-345-3357
            jstocker@canr. uconn.edu
       UConn CES, NEMO Project
         1066 Saybrook Rd., Box 70
         Haddam CT  06438-0070
     Brad Stone
            OFFICE:  502-564-6716
              FAX:  502-564-4049
            brad, stone @mail. state, ky. us
       KY Div. of Waste Management
         14 Reilly Road
         Frankfort KY  40601
     William Story
            OFFICE:  775-687-4670
              FAX:  775-687-6396
            bstory@ndep. carson-city. nv. us
       Nevada Division of Environmental Protection
         333 W. Nye Lane
         Carson City NV  89706
     Steven V. Strausbauch
            OFFICE:  210-536-6134
              FAX:  210-536-1130
            steven.strausbauch@brooks.af.mil
       IERRA/RSRE
         2513 Kennedy CIR
         Brooks AFB TX  78235
     Ryan Stults
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Prathiba Subramaniam
            OFFICE:  513-474-9780
              FAX:
            prathiba@gqc. com
       Global Quality Corporation
         3304 Jefferson Avenue #104
         Cincinnati OH  45220
FINAL
           35
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                     Cincinnati, Ohio
     Bhagya Subramanian
            OFFICE:  5135697349
              FAX:
            subramanian. bhagya@epa.gov
US EPA / NERL
  26 W. Martin Luther King Dr.
  Cincinnati OH  45268
                       USA
                        PAPER
     Parrish Swearingen
            OFFICE:  912-926-1197x114
              FAX:  912-926-9642
            parrish. swearingen@robins. af.mil
WR-ALC/EMX
  455 Byron Street
  Robins AFB GA  31098
     Jane C. Thapa
            OFFICE: 518-402-7713
              FAX: 518-402-7599
            jct02@health. state, ny. us
NYDOH
  547 River Street, Room 400
  Troy NY  12180-2216
     Geoff Thompson
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
              FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
  Ball State University
  Muncie IN  47306
     Gordon Thompson
            OFFICE:  513-782-4556
              FAX:
            gwthompson@theitgroup. com
The IT Group
  312 Directors Drive
  Knoxville TN  37923
     Richard E. Thornburg
            OFFICE:  513-564-1785
              FAX:  513-564-1776
            Rick. Thornburg@cinhlthe.rcc. org
Cincinnati Health Dept.
  3845 Wm. P. Dooley By-Pass
  Cincinnati OH  45223
     Larry Tinney
            OFFICE:  702-897-3270
              FAX:  702-897-3285
            ltinney@lmepo. com
Lockheed Martin Environmental Services
  980 Kelly Johnson Dr.
  Las Vegas NV  89119
     Alejandro F. Tongco
            OFFICE: 405-744-8974
               FAX: 405-744-7008
            al@seic. lse.okstate.edu
Oklahoma Spatial & Environmental Information Clearinghouse,
      CITD
  Stillwater OK   74076
     Oury Traore
            OFFICE: 606-986-2373
              FAX: 606-986-2619
            otraore@maced. org.
MACED
  433 Chestnut St.
  Berea KY  40403
     Michael E. Troyer, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  (513)569-7399
              FAX:
            troyer.michael@epamail.epa.gov
U.S. EPA, ORD, NRMRL
  26 W. Martin Luther King Dr.
  Cincinnati OH  45268
                       PAPER
     Amy Tucker
            OFFICE:  765-281-1026
              FAX:
            amyetucker@prodigy. net
Ball State University
  100S. CalvertAve.
  Muncie IN  47303
FINAL
    36
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
                                        List Of Attendees                     Cincinnati, Ohio
                                              Hull and Associates, Inc.
                                                 4700 Duke Drive, Suite 172
                                                 Mason OH  45040
September 22-24,1999
    W. Lance Turley
            OFFICE: 513-459-9677
              FAX:  513-459-9869
            hurley @hullinc. com
                                                  PAPER
     Rachel Tyler
            OFFICE:  352-378-6517
              FAX:
            faca@aol.com
                                              Florida Rural Community Assistance Project
                                                6212 NW 43rd St. Suite A
                                                Gainesville FL  32697
     Tom Ungar
            OFFICE: 216-623-2738
              FAX: 216-621-4972
            thomas. ungar@mw.com
                                              Montgomery Watson
                                                1300 East 9th Street,  Suite 2000
                                                Cleveland  OH  44114
     Andre van Delft
            OFFICE:  31152695286
              FAX:  31152695335
            a.vandelft@bouw.tno.nl
                                              TNO Building and Construction Research
                                                P.O. Box 49
                                                Delft - Netherlands 2600 AA
     Laurens Van der Tak
            OFFICE:  703-471-6405
              FAX:  703-471-1508
            Ivandert@ch2m.com
                                              CH2M Hill
                                                13921 Park Center Rd., Suite 60
                                                Herndon VA  20171
                                                                   USA
                                                  PAPER
     Robert J. van Waasbergen
            OFFICE: 408-737-7697
               FAX: 408-737-7978
            robertvw@aeds. com
                                              Applied Environmental Data Services
                                                201 W. California Ave. #206
                                                Sunnyvale CA  94086
     Dirk Vandervoort
            OFFICE:  360-475-6915
              FAX:  360-475-6901
            vandervoort@ctc. com
                                              Concurrent Technologies Corporation
                                                510 Washington Avenue, Suite 120
                                                Bremerton WA  93777-1844
     James M. Vanek
            OFFICE: 412-442-4031
              FAX: 412-442-4328
            vanek.james@dep. state.pa. us
                                              PA Dept. of Environmental Protection
                                                400 Waterfront Drive
                                                Pittsburgh PA  15222
     Paul Vermaaten
            OFFICE:  517-788-4075
              FAX:  517-788-4641
                                              City of Jackson
                                                161 W. Michigan Ave.
                                                Jackson Ml  49201
     Janet Vick
              FAX:
                   770-822-7473
                   770-822-7479
Gwinnett County
  75 Langley Drive
  Lawrenceville GA  30045
     Todd Vikan
            OFFICE:  937-259-9850
              FAX:  937-259-9869
            tvikan@kpmg. com
                                              KPMG LLP
                                                3139 Research Blvd. Suite 200
                                                Dayton OH  45420
FINAL
                                                  37
                           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999                List Of Attendees                      Cincinnati, Ohio
     Jack Wachter
            OFFICE:  513-352-6992
               FAX:  513-352-4970
            jack.wachter@cinems. rcc. org
City of Cincinnati
  Office of Environmental Mgmt.
  805 Central Ave., Suite 610
  Cincinnati OH  45202-1947
     Scott Wade
            OFFICE:  734-332-1200
               FAX:  734-332-1212
            swade@limno. com
LIMNO-Tech, Inc.
  501 Avis Drive
  Ann Arbor Ml  48108
     Tim Wade
            OFFICE:  702-798-2117
               FAX:  702-798-2208
            •wade.timothy@epa.gov
U.S. EPA
  944 E. Harmon Avenue
  Las Vegas NV  89119
     Jerry Wager
            OFFICE:  614-265-6619
               FAX:  614-262-2064
            jerry.wager@dnr.state.oh. us
Ohio Department of Natural Resources
  1939 Fountain Square Ct. E-2
  Columbus OH   43224
     James Wang
            OFFICE:  404-562-8280
               FAX:
            wang.james@epamail. epa.gov
USEPA Region 4
  61 Forsyth Street
  Atlanta GA  30303
     Lizhu Wang
            OFFICE:  608-221-6335
               FAX:  608-221-6353
            wangl@mailo. dnr. state, wi. us
Wisconsin DNR
  1350 Femrite Drive
  Monona WI  53716
     Xinhao Wang, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  513-556-0497
               FAX:  513-556-1274
            xinhao. wang@uc.edu
School of Planning, University of Cincinnati
  621ODAAP Building
  Cincinnati OH  45221-0016
                            USA
                       PAPER
     Robin Wankum
            OFFICE:  913-458-6538
               FAX:  913-458-6633
            wankumrd@bv. com
Black and Veatch Special Projects
  6601 College Blvd.
  Overland Park KS  66211
                       PAPER
     Stephen Want
            OFFICE:  301-951-4681
               FAX:  301-652-1273
            stephen.want@lexis-nexis.com
ENVIRONMENTAL ABSTRACTS
  Congressional Information Service, Inc.
  4520 East-West Highway
  Bethesda MD  20814-3389
     Mark Warrell
            OFFICE:  502-564-6716
               FAX:  502-564-2705
            mark.warrell@mail.state.ky. us
Kentucky Division of Waste Management
  14 Reilly Road
  Frankfort KY  40601
     Steve Webb
            OFFICE:  405-702-8195
               FAX:  405-702-8101
            steve.-webb@deqmail.state.ok. us
Oklahoma Dept. of Environmental Quality
  707 N. Robinson Ave.
  Oklahoma City OK  73102
FINAL
    38
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Kevin Wehrly
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
            OFFICE:  513-569-7301
               FAX:  513-569-7609
            wehrly. kevin@epa.gov
       USEPA-NERL MS-642
         26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45268
     Tom Weir
            OFFICE:  215-685-9436
               FAX:  215-685-7593
            thomas. weir@phila. gov
       Air Management Services
         321 University Avenue / Spelman Building
         Philadelphia PA
     Joseph P. Wellner
            OFFICE:  513-251-2730
               FAX:  513-251-0200
            •wellnerj@ttnus. com
       Tetra Tech NUS, Inc.
         1930 Radcliff Drive
         Cincinnati OH  45204
     Russell Weniger
            OFFICE:  210-671-4844
               FAX:  210-671-2241
            russell.weniger@lackland. af.mil
       US Air Force
         2240 Walker Avenue
         Lackland AFB TX  78236-5637
     Bill Wheaton
            OFFICE:  919-541-6158
               FAX:  919-541-5929
       Research Triangle Industries
         3040 Cornwallis Road - P.O. Box 12194
         Research Triangle Park NC  27709-2194
     Brad White
            OFFICE:  937-384-4215
               FAX:  937-384-4201
            •whiteb@mail.rfweston.com
       Roy F. Weston, Inc.
         2566 Kohnle Drive
         Miamisburg OH  45342
     Ron White
            OFFICE:  513-648-5920
               FAX:  513-648-4029
            Ronaldjwhite@fernald.gov
       Fluor Daniel Fernald
         P.O. Box 538704
         Cincinnati OH  45253-8704
     Charlotte White-Hull
            OFFICE:  513-627-1197
              FAX:  513-627-1208
            whitehull. ce@pg. com
       Procter & Gamble Company
         11810 East Miami River Road, Room 1A04T BTF
         Ross OH  45061
     D. Whitmire
               FAX:
                    765-289-1099
       Ball State University
         6613 W.Jackson St.
         Muncie IN  47304
     Derik Whitmire
            OFFICE:  765-285-2327
               FAX:  765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
       Department of Natural Resources and Environmental
         Ball State University
         Muncie IN  47306
     Duane Wilding
            OFFICE:  410-974-7276
               FAX:  410-974-7200
            dwild@menv. com
       Maryland Environmental Service
         2011 Commerce Park Drive
         Annapolis MD  21401
FINAL
           39
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Frances Wildman
            OFFICE: 309-782-7907
              FAX: 309-782-5038
            wildmanf@ria. army.mil
                    List of Attendees
                                     Cincinnati, Ohio
                           Rock Island Arsenal
                             5IORI-SEV, Bldg210
                             Rock Island IL  61299
     Dave Williams
            OFFICE: 270-827-3414
              FAX: 270-827-1117
            williams@kgs.mm. uky. edu
                           Kentucky Geological Survey
                             P.O. Box 653
                             Henderson KY  42419
     Matt Williams
            OFFICE: 765-285-2327
              FAX: 765-285-2606
            jeflinl@gw. bsu. edu
                           Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management
                             Ball State University
                             Muncie IN  47306
     Steve Williams
              FAX:
614-644-2752
614-644-2909
Ohio EPA
  P.O. Box1049
  Columbus OH
43216-1049
     Lesley Hay Wilson
            OFFICE: 512-367-2952
              FAX: 512-367-2953
            hay_wilson@mail. utexas. edu
                           University of Texas at Austin
                             10100 Burnet Road, PRC Building 119
                             Austin TX  78758
                                                  PAPER
     James Wolfe
            OFFICE: 304-696-6042
              FAX: 304-696-5454
           jawolfe@marshall. edu
                           Marshall University
                             400 Hal Greer Blvd.
                             Huntington WV  25755-2585
     Tim T. Wright
            OFFICE: 513-732-7499
              FAX: 513-732-7969
            CCGHD@FUSE.NET
                           Clermont County GHD
                             2275 Bauer Road  Suite 300
                             Batavia OH  45103
     Patricia Yaden
            OFFICE: 502-564-6716
              FAX: 502-564-4049
            patty.yaden@mail.state.ky. us
                           NREPC
                             14 Reilly Road
                             Frankfort KY  40601
     Thomas K. Yeager
            OFFICE: 717-772-4018
              FAX: 717-772-3249
            yeager. thomas@dep.state.pa. us
                           Pennsylvania DEP-Water Supply Management
                             P.O. Box 8467, 11th Floor, RCSOB
                             Harrisburg PA  17105-8467
     Greg Young
            OFFICE: 513-576-0009
              FAX: 513-576-9756
            youngg@srwenvironmental. com
                           SRW Environmental Services
                             55 West TechneCenter, Suite C
                             Milford OH  45150
     Pao-Chiang Yuan
            OFFICE: 601-968-2466
              FAX:  601-968-2344
            pcyuan@yahoo. com
                           Jackson State University
                             P.O. Box18489
                             Jackson MS   39217
FINAL
                               40
                           As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
 Environmental Problem Solving with Geographic Information Systems Conference
 September 22-24,1999
     Donald Zelazny
            OFFICE:  703-916-7987
              FAX:  703-916-7984
            dzelazny@plaii. com
List of Attendees
          Cincinnati, Ohio
      Platinum International Inc.
        5350 Shawnee Road, Suite 200
        Alexandria VA  22312
     David Zellmer
            OFFICE:  540-552-8185
              FAX:  540-552-8189
            dzellmerCciiyt. edu
      Virginia Tech
        428 Winston Avenue
        Blacksburg VA  24060
     Guang Zhao, Ph.D.
            OFFICE:  8037344833
              FAX:
            zhaog@columb30. dhec.state.se. us
      Information Technology Section, SC Dept. of Health & Env. Control
        2600 Bull Street                                 PAPER
        Columbia SC 29201
                           USA
     Peter Max Zimmerman
            OFFICE:  410-887-2188
              FAX:  410-887-3182
      People's Counsel for Baltimore County
        Courthouse 47, 400 Washington Ave.
        Towson MD   21204
FINAL
          41
As of: Thursday, September 30, 1999

-------
         Environmental Problem Solving
     with Geographic Information Systems

               September 21 - 23, 1999
       This presentation was not made available.

Please contact the presenter with questions and comments.
                     Back to
                   1999 Agenda

-------
                The Watershed Assessment Project: Tools for Regional
                                  Problem Area Identification
                                         Christine Adamus
                   St. Johns River Water Management District, Palatka, Florida
The St. Johns River Water Management District of Flor-
ida recently completed a major water resources plan-
ning effort. As part of this planning effort, the St. Johns
River Water Management District created a geographic
information systems (CIS)  project called the Watershed
Assessment, which included a nonpoint source pollution
load model. This paper introduces the planning project
and the Watershed Assessment, and describes how the
results of the model are  being  used to guide  water
management activities in northeast Florida.

Background

The St. Johns River Water Management District (Dis-
trict), one of five water management districts in Florida,
covers 12,600 square miles  (see  Figure 1).  The St.
Johns River starts at the southern end of the District and
flows north; it enters the Atlantic Ocean east of the city
       District Boundary
       Major Drainage
       Basin Boundaries
Figure 1. St. Johns River Water Management District, Florida.
of Jacksonville. The cities of Orlando, Daytona Beach,
and Jacksonville are partially or entirely within the Dis-
trict boundaries. Ad valorem taxes provide primary fund-
ing for the District.

The  District  boundaries  are  somewhat  irregularly
shaped because Florida water management districts are
organized on hydrologic, not political, boundaries, which
greatly improves the District's  ability  to  manage  the
resources. On the north, the  District shares the St.
Mary's River with the state of Georgia and on the south,
shares the Indian River Lagoon with another water man-
agement district. Most of the water bodies the District
manages, however, have drainage basins that are en-
tirely contained within the District's boundaries.

Water management districts in  Florida have amassed
extensive CIS libraries, which they share with local and
statewide agencies. These libraries include basic data
layers such as detailed land use, soils, and drainage
basins.  Districts also  coordinate data  collection and
management to ensure data compatibility.

District Water Management Plan

All activities and  programs of the water management
districts  are related to one or  more of the following
responsibilities: water supply,  flood protection, water
quality management, and  natural systems management.

Each water management district recently  completed  a
district water management plan (Plan). The main pur-
pose of these Plans is to provide long-range guidance
for the resolution  of water management  issues. The
Florida Department of Environmental Protection will use
these five Plans as the basis for a state water manage-
ment  plan. Each water management district used the
same format, which comprised the following components:

• Resource assessment: What  are the problems and
  issues  related to each of the four responsibilities
  listed above?

-------
• Options evaluation:  What options are available for
  addressing the problems?

• Water  management policies: What existing District
  policies influence the decisions that must be made?

• Implementation  strategy: What is the best plan for
  addressing the problems?

The Watershed Assessment Project

The District created the Watershed Assessment project
as part of is resource assessment. This  CIS project
examines the entire District to identify problems related
to flood protection, ecosystems protection, and surface
water quality.

The flood protection component is the only part of the
Watershed Assessment that is  not complete. It will in-
volve  simple overlays of floodplain boundaries with ex-
isting  and future land  use. Floodplain boundaries  are
defined as  Federal  Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA) flood insurance rate map 100-year flood hazard
areas. In many areas, these designations are not very
accurate, yet we  decided to  proceed with their use
because  they  are the best available  information for
many parts of the District. In areas where little hydrologic
information is available and where the District has not
conducted any  related studies, the FEMA  data are a
helpful starting point. This echoes a theme of the Water-
shed Assessment project: the assessment  is primarily
intended  to fill in gaps where we have  not performed
previous resource assessments, not to supplant existing
information.

The ecosystems protection component of  the Water-
shed Assessment is based heavily on a project identify-
ing priority habitat in Florida, conducted by the Florida
Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission (1). It is similar
to gap analyses that the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
currently is conducting in many parts of the country. For
the Watershed Assessment, we modified the data some-
what and examined ways to protect the habitat in coop-
eration with local agencies.

The surface water quality component of the Watershed
Assessment has two main parts. The first uses water
quality data from stations that have been spatially refer-
enced so that we can map them and combine the infor-
mation with other information, such as the second part
of the water quality component. This second part is a
nonpoint source pollution  load  model,  which is dis-
cussed in more detail below.

The Pollution Load Screening Model

The nonpoint source pollution load model is the Pollu-
tion Load Screening Model (PLSM), a commonly used
screening tool in Florida.  It is an empirical  model that
estimates annual loads to  surface waters  from storm-
water runoff. Our goal in  designing this model was to
identify pollution load "problem areas" for examination in
the Plan.

In these types of models, annual pollutant loads are a
function of runoff volume and mean pollutant concentra-
tions commonly found in  runoff. Runoff volume varies
with soil and  land  use, while  pollutant concentrations
vary with land use. For the PLSM, pollutant concentra-
tions were derived from studies conducted solely in Flor-
ida. A report describing the model in detail is available (2).

Usually, this kind of model combines CIS with a spread-
sheet: the CIS supplies important spatial information
that is input into a spreadsheet where the actual calcu-
lations are made. The PLSM is different, however, be-
cause  we  programmed  it entirely within CIS.  The
District's  CIS software is  ARC/INFO, and the  model
employs an ARC/INFO module called GRID, which uses
cell-based processing and has analytical capabilities
(3). All the model calculations  are done in  the CIS
software, resulting in a more flexible model with useful
display capabilities.

Model input consists of grids, or data layers,  with a
relatively small cell size (less than 1/2 acre). We chose
this cell size based on the minimum mapping unit of the
most detailed input data layer (land use) and the need
to retain the major road features. The model has four
input  grids:  land use, soils,  rainfall,  and watershed
boundaries. For any given cell, the model first calculates
potential annual runoff based on the land use, soil, and
rainfall in that cell. It then calculates annual  loads by
applying  land-use-dependent  pollutant concentrations
to the runoff.

For this model:

• Land use is from 1:24,000-scale aerial photography
  flown in 1988 and 1989. The model incorporates 13
  land use categories.

• Soils  are  the  Soil  Conservation  Service  (SCS)
  SSURGO database, which corresponds to the  county
  soil  surveys. The PLSM uses  the hydrologic group
  designation of each soil type.

• Rainfall was taken from a network of long-term  rainfall
  stations  located throughout the District.

• Watersheds  were delineated  by the United  States
  Geological  Survey  (USGS)  on  1:24,000-scale,
  7.5-minute  maps and digitized.

Model output  consists  of a runoff grid and six pollutant
load grids. We  calculated  loads for total phosphorus,
total nitrogen,  suspended  solids,  biochemical oxygen
demand,  lead,  and zinc. We chose these pollutants
because reliable data were available and because they
characterize a broad range of nonpoint pollution-gener-
ating land uses,  from urban to agricultural. The  model

-------
calculates runoff and loads for any point in space, allow-
ing the user to see the spatial distribution of loads. An
example of a total phosphorus load grid for one sub-
basin in  the Jacksonville, Florida vicinity is shown in
Figure 2.
The grids themselves  provide a detailed view of model
output. Model results can also be summarized by water-
shed, using the watershed boundary grid, and the infor-
mation can be examined from a basinwide perspective.
We have applied PLSM results in other useful ways at
the District. For example, District staff felt that previous
sediment sampling sites were not appropriately located,
so the  District water quality  network  manager used
model results to locate new sampling sites, focusing on
problem areas as well  as areas where we expect to see
little or no nonpoint impact.
Figure 2.  Distribution of total phosphorus loads, Ortega River
         subbasin (darker areas represent higher loads).

Application of Model Results in the Plan

Because the goal of the model was to identify potential
stormwater runoff problem areas, we needed to simplify,
or categorize, the model results for use in the Plan. We
calculated the per acre watershed load for each pollut-
ant and  defined "potential stormwater runoff problem
areas" as those individual watersheds with the highest
loads for all pollutants. Problem areas for one major
basin in the District, the lower St. Johns River basin, are
depicted  in Figure 3.

We also  ran the  model with future  land  use  data ob-
tained from county comprehensive plans. Because the
                                                              Watersheds

                                                          •^^ Subbasins
     h  1
                                                              Potential Stormwater
                                                              Runoff Problem Areas
                                                              Scale in Miles

                                                            0   4   8  12  16
                                                      Figure 3.  Potential stormwater runoff problem areas, lower St.
                                                               Johns River basin.
county maps are guides to future development, and not
predictions of actual development, we exercised caution
when using the results. Problem areas were defined as
those watersheds with projected loads greater than or
equal to existing problem areas. Also, District planners
combined model results with information about individ-
ual counties' regulations and policies to evaluate where
problems are most likely to occur.

Prior to compiling the Plan, the District conducted work-
shops in each county in the District,  in which problem
areas identified by the PLSM were discussed with local
agency staff, officials, and the public. We provided large,
hard copy  maps depicting stormwater runoff problem
areas combined with results of a separate water quality
analysis on county-based maps. These maps proved to
be powerful tools for initiating discussions and gathering
feedback.

-------
In the Plan, stormwater runoff problem areas were re-
ported for each of the 10 major drainage basins in the
District. The information was also repackaged  in  a
county-based format to create a quick reference for local
agencies. District planners recommended strategies for
addressing problems; these strategies vary as appropri-
ate for each county. Examples include the need to as-
sess  compliance with  existing stormwater  permits,
encourage stormwater reuse  during the stormwater and
consumptive use permitting processes, coordinate with
municipalities that are implementing stormwater man-
agement plans,  encourage and assist significantly af-
fected  municipalities to create stormwater utilities, and
improve monitoring in problem areas that do not have
sufficient water quality data.

In conclusion, the Watershed Assessment CIS project
has proved to be useful not only to the St. Johns River
Water Management District, but also to local govern-
ments. Large  projects such as this could not be com-
pleted in a reasonable time without the use of CIS. Also,
for ARC/INFO users who have been restricted to vector
processing, the cell-based processing available in GRID
is  a powerful modeling tool.

References

1.  Cox, J., R. Kautz, M. MacLaughlin, and T.  Gilbert. 1994. Closing
   the  gaps in  Florida's wildlife habitat conservation system. Florida
   Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission, Office of Environmental
   Services, Tallahassee, FL.
2.  Adamus, C.L., and M.J. Bergman. 1993. Development of a non-
   point source pollution load screening model. Technical Memoran-
   dum No. 1. Department of Surface  Water Programs, St. Johns
   River Water Management District, Palatka,  FL.
3.  ESRI. 1992. Cell-based modeling with GRID. Redlands, CA: En-
   vironmental  Systems Research Institute, Inc.

-------
       Update of GIS land use attributes from land surface texture
                       information using SIR-C images

                                 Francisco J. Artigas1

Abstract
The Meadowlands in northern New Jersey were used as dumping grounds for decades and
today dense canopies of common reed (Phragmites australis) cover most of the District's open
spaces. Our objective is to evaluate the utility of multi-frequency SAR in updating GIS land use
information by means of prospecting for anomalously high backscatter in open spaces that
could indicate the presence of building or metallic waste concentrations near the surface. We
combined a land use vector coverage with a co-registered SIR-C C-HV image acquired October
10, 1994 to isolate officially designated "open space" parcels. Groups of four or more pixels with
anomalously high backscatter values were converted to a vector coverage and draped over a
very fine spatial resolution color infrared digital orthophoto of the District. We discuss the
implications for the use of operational imaging radar for monitoring land use and management
of open spaces within a dynamic and complex urban environment.

Introduction
The Hackensack Meadowlands Development Commission (HMDC) overseas the orderly
development of the Meadowlands District (District) which is a 82 square kilometer degraded
urban estuary four kilometers west of New York City in northern New Jersey. The unregulated
use of District lands as disposal sites for solid and industrial waste for more than 150 years has
turned these meadows and wetlands into one of the most environmentally assaulted areas in
the U.S. (Grossman 1992). The HMDC (a New Jersey State Agency) oversees the preservation
and development of more than 4,375 parcels of land including 1,012 hectares of landfill. This
study presents the results of an effort to use Geographical Information Systems (GIS) in
combination with Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images to update the District's current land
use database. This was accomplished by detecting and documenting areas in open spaces that
showed unusual surface texture roughness as a consequence of land use change or
disturbance by disposal of solid waste.
1 Rutgers University, Center for Information Management, Integration and Connectivity. 180 University
Ave., Newark NJ 07102. artigas@cimic.rutgers.edu

-------
Land use research based on SAR images is emerging as a promising new operational
technology for the applied earth sciences. Images of this area from the Shuttle Imaging Radar
(SIR) with a ground resolution of 12.5 m were first made available in 1994. In 1995, Canada
launched Radarsat-1 (ground resolution 8-100 meters) which some consider the starting point
for the true application and commercialization of radar images (Glackin 1997). By the year 2002,
NASA's LightSAR will be collecting radar images of the earth from a space platform on a
continuous basis.  In just a few years it is expected that there will be an abundance of high-
resolution radar imagery which have some notable advantages over traditional spectral
sensors.

The main advantage of radar over spectral remote sensing sensors (e.g. Landsat, Spot, SPIN-
2) is that it can capture images of the earth's  surface under any weather conditions, day and
night.  Radar can also penetrate vegetation canopies and at certain wavelengths penetrate the
first centimeters of the soil (Xia et al 1997). The intensity of backscatter from radar microwave
pulses is highly correlated to surface texture.  A useful rule-of-thumb in analyzing radar images
is that the brighter the  backscatter on the image, the rougher the surface being imaged
(Freeman 1996).

Since SIR-C images became available there  has been great interest by scientists to document
radar backscatter  from diverse earth surfaces (Alpers and Holt 1995, Beaudoin et al 1994,
Cordey et al 1996, Freeman and van de Broek 1995). The areas of interest have predominantly
been large (10 to 5000 square kilometers), and focused on relatively homogeneous surfaces
(e.g. deserts, boreal forest, crops, ocean etc.). There have been a less number of studies
reported for urban areas (Taket et.  al, 1991; Xia  et al. 1997) and no reported studies that look at
spots of less than  0.1 hectares (0.25 acres) within a complex urban matrix.

Our research used an  image from an October 1994 Space Shuttle flight (SIR-C) that captured
the New York City and North New Jersey Metropolitan areas. As far as radar scattering is
concerned, such an urban scene is a target of considerable complexity. It provides a variety of
surfaces with sharp edges that go from scales of several hundred feet (buildings) to just a few
centimeters (building surfaces and fields with rubble).

Our specific objective was to evaluate the use of radar images in locating structures and debris
fields in the District and lay out an effective methodology for updating  GIS land use  attributes

-------
based on landscape surface texture information. We discuss the implications of this technology
for monitoring land use and management of open spaces within a dynamic and complex urban
environment.

Methods
The HMDC maintains a GIS system to manage zoning, land use and block and lot information
of District properties (parcels) for the purpose of land use management and planning. A geo-
referenced parcel information coverage (Figure 1A.) was used to identify open space areas. The
areas selected included: landfill, parkland, riparian, vacant and open water. A binary vector
polygon coverage was created where open area parcel id's acquired the value of one while the
rest of District parcels acquired a value of zero. The binary coverage was converted to a raster
image (pixel size 12.5 meters on each side) where pixels representing open space areas (black)
have a value of one and all other pixels have a value of zero (Figure 1B.).

A set of images for the District were documented and manipulated with raster software. The
SIR-C sensor acquired images at three microwave wavelengths: L-band ~ 24 cm; C-band ~ 6
cm and X-band ~ 3 cm resolution (Freeman et al 1995). However, only L and C bands were
available for the study. Pixel size is 12.5 meters on each side. Incidence angle was 64 degrees
with illumination from the southwest. SAR transmits pulses of microwaves in either horizontal
(H) or vertical (V) polarization and receives in either H or V. The polarization available for each
band (L and C) were HH (horizontally transmitted  and horizontally received) and HV. A third
image for each band labeled total power (TP) is the combination of all polarizations in one
image. Images used in this study were C-band HH, C-band HV, C-band TP, L-band HH, L-band
HV and L-band TP (figure 3). The radar backscatter value for each pixel is measured in decibels
(dB). In our case values ranged from -40dB, very smooth surfaces in  light gray indicating open
water, to +5dB very rough surfaces in dark  gray indicating building structures (Figure 3).

Determining the accuracy of each radar pixel on the ground  is important since we used the x, y
coordinates of radar pixels to navigate to spots on the ground and verify anomalous returns.
The original radar images were geo-referenced to the New Jersey State Plane Coordinate
System  by using  11 control points from a geo-referenced GIS vector coverage of District parcels
(Figure 1C). The  average  RMS error of the re-sampling procedure was 1.3 m. However, the

-------
             N
                                                                         B
                                                                          D
                                                                          IKm
     Figure 1. A.- GIS parcel vector coverage of the District. B.- Binary raster image of
     the District, black areas correspond to open spaces. C.- Geo-referenced radar
     image with an overlay of District parcels. D.- Image containing radar pixel values for
     open space areas.
parcel vector coverage also had digitizing and tolerance value errors. The original parcel map
was digitized from a 1": 200' scale map of the district. The resolution of the digitizing table was
0.0127 m (0.005 inches). The digitizing error on the ground was in the order of 30 cm. The
tolerance level for the coverage (minimum distance before vector lines snap) was originally set
to 4.2 meters. Therefore, the estimated error of parcel limits is 4.5 m. When the RMS error is

-------
included, then the total error on the ground of radar pixels for this study is at least 6 meters or
half a pixel.

Once the images were geo-registered, the open area binary layer (Figure 1B) multiplied them
each. As a result,  all pixels not corresponding to open spaces were made zero. All other pixels
maintained their dB values (Figure 1D). To avoid working with negative numbers, pixel values
(dB) were re-scaled to fall within the range of 0-255. Pixel frequency distributions for all six radar
images were graphed (Figure 2.). Backscatter distributions of images were inspected for
speckle effects and contrast.

In order to select an image for field verification, two main criteria were used: 1- The image
should clearly discriminate between water and different vegetation types, and 2- The image
should have a minimum of speckle or background noise. The speckle or background noise is
usually associated with strong reflecting surfaces from structures in the vicinity of open
spaces.

Backscatter  values from known power line towers in the middle of open spaces were used to
select a threshold pixel value for an anomalous return. An anomalous return in an open space
area with vegetation would be brighter than normal and most likely due to a corner reflector (i.e.
two surfaces in 90-degree angle). Known power line tower locations in the middle of open
spaces provided good examples of corner reflectors within a vegetation patch. High energy
double-bounce scatter mechanisms prevail from rectangular metallic surfaces compared to the
less energetic volumetric scatter mechanism that prevails  from a canopy of vegetation. A similar
reflectance mechanism (double bounce) would be expected from rubble (e.g.  concrete slabs or
metal artifacts) such as old cars and drums exposed or hidden under vegetation.

All pixels exceeding the threshold value were extracted and clusters of more than four  pixels
plotted. Clusters of at least four were selected to avoid selecting single pixels with unusual
brightness values located exactly on parcel boundaries that in reality do not correspond to true
open spaces. These clusters were converted to vector polygons and draped over aim
resolution geo-referenced digital orthophoto  (USGS 1995). The draped orthophoto images were
visually inspected for obvious structures on the ground that may have produced the bright
backscatter  return (Figure 6 and 7). Parcels classified as open space that contained structures
were re-classified in the GIS database. Spots were selected for ground verification when visual

-------
inspection of the draped orthophoto images failed to reveal structures on the ground that could
explain the anomalous return. Moreover, ease of ground access and clusters size were
important considerations in selecting specific spots for field verification. Radar image
coordinates were used to navigate to the sites. Known reference points in the field were
selected and azimuth and distance from these points to the center of the anomalous spots were
used to navigate in the field. Sites were finally located in the field by using a 30-meter
measuring tape and a compass. Historical aerial  photography from 1966 was used to confirm
and explain some of the disturbances detected by radar.

Results
Although several theoretical models have been developed to describe how ground objects
reflect radar energy (Taket 1991, Evans et al 1988),  most knowledge comes from practical
observations. There is no strong set of rules indicating what bands or polarizations work best on
different surfaces and under specific sensor conditions.  Given the time and resources available,
it was important to find one best image out of the six available to field verify.

An inspection of the pixel brightness frequency distribution values for all images (Figure 2)
shows that the distributions tend to be bimodal except for HH polarization. Cross-polarization
(HV) images function better to capture the difference between water and vegetation surface by
clearly separating water and vegetation into two distinct peaks. Of all images, C-band HV has
the best contrast (a greater valley between peaks) as well as a sharper break between the end
of the vegetation values (tall peak) and the tail of the extreme bright values.

The amount of speckle was another criteria for image selection. Speckle effects, or "noise", are
common in radar images capturing complex surfaces. Speckle can be caused by an object with
complex dielectric properties that behaves as  a very strong reflector at a particular alignment
between itself and the spacecraft. Structures such as metal bridges, elevated highways, and
power line towers behave as strong reflectors in urban areas. These structures influence the
value of neighboring pixels making them appear much brighter than the surfaces they actually
represent. In our case speckle effect is clear in C-band HH, C-band TP and L-Band HH (Figure
2B, 2C and 2E.). In all these cases there is an unusual high frequency of bright returns at the
high end of the distribution. Unfortunately, speckle effects affect open areas near strong
reflector objects. In our case this is very clear for C-band HH (Figure 2B). Speckle effect is also
clear in L-band TP. However, in this situation background noise manifests itself by cross and

-------
                          C-baiidHV
                                                    C-bandHH
                                                                            C-band IP
            28.40 SI .80 77./D lijifu li! LIL> 15i* 17880 JMi'D J2*6if 255.00  • I1 - •*!• HI  -  ' Jl   I! *  U -:-. £*« -''--'  I.OD 26.40 fl?D 77 iu IDiM liKn> 15j* '78.80 384.10 229.60 255,00
                                                                           L-band IP
          1.00 26.<0 51.80 77.20 102(0 12:0; 15242 ^I'SO 2^10 22V S5 255.00  1.00 26,-tO 51.80 77.20 10262 '2SOO '5':4Ii 173ai 2042: 22060 2
                                                                JB.-tt 51.30 77.20 1026i' -2ftLi[l '52: W 172 KO 204.20 22360 25500
       Figure 2. - Pixel brightness frequency distributions for C and L bands HH and HV
       polarizations. HV and TP polarizations for both bands, clearly separate open water
       and vegetation surface texture (bi-modal distribution). C-band HV shows the
       greatest contrast between surface textures (valley between peaks) and a sharp
       break between the vegetation peak and the upper tail of the brightness distribution.
star like patterns that have their origin at points with rough features and high dielectric constants
(Figure 3).
The final criteria used in selecting an image were based on radar wavelength. Shorter
wavelength (C) have better resolution than longer wavelength (L), thus improving the overall
spatial resolution and the ability to delimit detail and boundaries (Xia and Henderson 1997).
Based on these observations and since our objective is to determine surface texture differences
within small areas, of the two best images available (C-band HV and L-Band HV) we choose the
smaller wavelength image C-band HV.

-------
 C-band HV
L-band HV
                                2 Km
 C-band TP
L-band TP
Figure 3. - Images of the Hackensack Medowlands (C and L bands, HH and HV
polarizations. Flat smooth surfaces in gray represent mainly open water bodies. The lower
right corner of the images shows the Hudson river and a part of Manhattan. West of the
Hudson is the Hackensack and Passaic rivers draining into Newark Bay. Other white-gray
surfaces represent wetlands. Dark gray and black areas represent developed urban areas.

-------
                    Figure 4. -Pixel clusters from open spaces that
                    were classified as anomalous returns
                    (brightness value greater than 176 out of 255).
"vegetation pixels" from brighter backscatter returns. For this study, a value of 176 was selected
as the threshold value for an anomalous return. Figure 4 shows all pixels from open spaces that
exceeded the threshold value and were classified as anomalous returns for the District.
There were a total of 128 clusters of anomalous returns. These clusters varied from four to 53
pixels per cluster. The greatest number of clusters (61) were made out of only four pixels
(Figure 5). The most common clusters (82%) were made out of 10 pixels or less. The most
extensive cluster was made out of 53 pixels representing an area of 0.8 hectares.

-------
            o
            i
            I
                    61
                    n
                        44
                                    Pixel Cluster Size
         Figure 5. - Frequency distributions for clusters of pixels that exceeded the
         brightness threshold value of 176. More than 80% of the clusters were 10 pixels
         or less.
Figure 6 shows how a several clusters of radar anomalous returns overlay at least three distinct
parcels of land at the southwest corner of the District. These parcels were classified as vacant
in the GIS. Parcels range from 0.5 to 1.5 hectares. By zooming in the ortho-photo one can
actually see that these parcels contain structures (trailers and construction equipment) and are
not vacant.

Similarly, Figure 7, shows another anomalous return from  a border of a vacant lot (arrow) that
turned out to be a 0.1  hectares (0.25 acre), seven meter high bulldozed mound of earth mixed
with metal rubble, tires, old batteries, cloth, etc. It is impossible to tell by zooming in the ortho-
photo that this structure actually exists since it blends with the colors of the surrounding area. A
list of similar sites and their coordinates were detected and documented.
                                           10

-------
         Figure 6. - Anomalous radar clusters are shown as white polygons draped
         over a 1-meter resolution orthophoto. White lines represent parcel
         boundaries. Red circles mark parcels classified as vacant by the GIS yet
         they contain structures (metallic rigs and machinery) which offer corner
         reflector surfaces detected by radar.
The most interesting anomalous returns originated from what appeared to be a field with a
dense homogeneous canopy of Phragmatis australis. (Figure 7 circled area). After navigating to
the anomalous spots in the field, the only consistent difference in surface texture was a much
lower and sparse canopy of the common reed. These "open" spots seemed to be correlated to
differences in soil compaction. The effect is a sharp boundary between the tall reed  canopy and
the sparsely vegetated areas inside the selected spots. In some of these spots the soil was
littered with waste such as leather scraps, plastic wallpaper, roofing material, tiles and even
junked cars. Soil compaction, sharp canopy boundaries and scattered rubble provided the
surface features that favored double bounce reflections as opposed to volumetric scatter from
the immediate surrounding areas.
                                           11

-------
      Figure 7. - Radar anomalous returns (white polygons) for the South Hackensack
      part of the District. The white arrow shows a 40X40-meter area where there is a
      bulldozed mound of rubble. This mound, hidden under vegetation would be
      difficult to separate from the colors of the surrounding vegetation by using
      traditional spectral sensors. The anomalous returns included in the white circle
      indicate an area of what seems to be a homogenous canopy of the common
      reed. However, field inspection of these spots revealed differences in surface
      texture due to past disturbances
Recently declassified intelligence satellite photography from 1966 (3-m resolution) of the same

area (Figure 8) revealed a construction staging area exactly where the anomalous returns from

radar originate. What is today a "dense" stand of Phragmites australis, was in the late 1960's a

staging area for the construction of the New Jersey Turnpike. Roads and trails can be identified

in this area from the 1966 satellite photograph. This explains the differences in soil compaction

and the presence of debris in what seems today to be the middle of a common reed field.
                                          12

-------
        Figure 7. - Declassified spy satellite photograph from 1970 showing the
        same area of Figure 6. The brighter area inside the white circle shows a
        surface disturbance created by heavy machinery and rubble disposal that
        created differences in surface texture hidden under vegetation and
        detected by radar 24 years later
Discussion and Conclusions
The use of SAR images to detect disturbed or incorrectly classified land uses based on surface
texture proved to be a reliable and effective approach. Detection and navigation to the
previously unrecognized disturbed areas was done with less than 10 meters of error on the
ground. This in itself demonstrates the practicality and effectiveness of the method. One critical
part of the study was selecting the appropriate band and polarization to identify sites on the
ground since resource constraints prohibited the evaluation from both bands and all
polarizations in the field. Our criteria for image selection was in agreement with most research
to date which seems to prefer cross-polarized (HV) images for urban and land use cover
mapping over co-polarization (Bryan 1974, Henderson 1985). In our case the C-band HV
                                           13

-------
distribution better separates between "vegetation pixels" and a class of brighter pixel values
than L-band HV (Figure 2A and 2D). Contrary to findings reported in the literature (Xia 1997),
surface features appear smoother at shorter wavelengths (C-band HV) than at larger
wavelengths (L-band HV). Selecting C-band over L- band may have resulted in a loss of
information associated with surface texture within vegetation patches.  However, overall, we
found that shorter wavelength best separated known targets from the surrounding vegetation.
Selecting a threshold value, in other words, determining which pixels were brighter than normal
for a given surface was a critical decision of the study. There are many models for scatter
mechanisms (Evans 1988, Jacob 1993,) and they all tend to agree that the double bounce
mechanism carries the greatest amount of energy back to the receiver creating brighter pixels.
In this case the microwave bounces off one surface, hits another surface and returns back to
the receiver (corner reflector effect). We considered this mechanism to prevail in the case of a
target such as an electrical power tower, or slabs of concrete and metal rubble hidden under
vegetation or ground that has been compacted in open spaces surrounded by hard stems. Our
data suggests that volumetric scatter would be the dominant scatter mechanism from a canopy
of Phragmatis  australis. Incident radiation would bounce off stems, branches and leaves
scattering in all directions and less radiation would return to the receiver creating less bright
returns from these surfaces.

Incidence angle and "look" angle for each image vary according to the position of the sensor in
space in relation  to its ground target. In this case, our image had a fixed 64 degrees incidence
angle illuminating from the southwest. Different fly-over passes of the sensor will create images
with different incidence angles and therefore different backscatter patterns for the same area.
Images will clearly have to be selected according to the most favorable incidence angles and
illumination direction. Topography will also influence the backscatter pattern, as shadows from
mountains will hide surfaces that can not be imaged by radar. These factors emerged as
important limitations to surface texture detection using radar. In our specific case, the relatively
flat topography of the District would favor the use of radar.

Radar was able to identify specific parcels that were incorrectly classified in the GIS database.
Some parcels  contained  reflector surfaces from structures such as trailers, metallic rigs and
machinery which were easily recognizable from the ortho-photos.
                                           14

-------
In other cases (Figure 7 arrow), radar was able to detect rubble hidden under vegetation. The
40X40-meter mound could not have been separated from the surrounding vegetation by using
any other type of spectral sensor i.e. aerial photo or satellite image. In this case, the orientation
height (7 m) and the flat surfaces of metallic rubble associated with the mound  made it possible
for radar to detect and separate this particular structure from the surrounding vegetation.

Finally, radar was able to detect past disturbances within certain areas of normal looking reed
fields. In these sites, soil compaction by heavy machinery and dumping of construction rubble
and waste from  almost 40 years ago altered the natural hydrology and influenced community
plant development. Again, with radar it was possible to separate surface feature roughness and
detect these disturbances.

One mission of the HMDC is to balance development with preservation. This process involves
making informed decisions regarding what areas are to be developed and what areas are to be
set aside for preservation. To make these decisions, agency executives and technicians need to
be well aware of the location, quality and characteristics of each site. Currently, the land use
management team updates land use of District parcels by field recognizance every four to five
years. Under the current method, there may be enough time in between updates for an
undetected illegal land use practice to create considerable damage.

Our methodology proved that based on surface texture detection it is possible to  monitor and
update parcel information from areas as small as 0.1 hectare. Once periodic radar images
become available, standard backscatter returns for District parcels would be documented and
become a template for the current surface texture pattern. New images (with same incidence
angle and illumination direction) would be checked against the template. Changes in surface
texture due to constructions of structures, disturbance of soil surface, change in vegetation
cover or waste dumping would create a different backscatter pattern from the template that
would translate  into the identification of parcels where changes took place. The challenge ahead
is to integrate these systems and methodologies into an expert system with the ability to detect
change in surface texture, update the GIS database automatically, and continuously repeat this
process as  new images become available. This approach should be able to keep up with the
dynamic and complex land use changes in the District and help managers make  informed
decisions based on timely land use information.
                                          15

-------
Acknowledgment
This work was preformed with funding from a grant from the Hackensack Meadowlands
Development Commission and sponsored by the Rutgers University NASA Regional Application
Center and the Center for Information Management Integration and Connectivity (CIMIC). I
would like to thank Dr. Geoffrey Henebry for providing the images and for his comments on
radar backscatter mechanism. Finally, I would like to thank Matthew Ceberio and Alon Frumer
for their help with field verification.

References
Alpers, W., and B. Holt, 1995. Imaging of ocean features by SIR-C/X-SAR: An overview,
       Proceedings of the International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium
       (IGARSS'95), July 10-14, Florence Italy, pp. 1588-1590.

Beaudoin, A., T. Le loan, S. Gozc. E. Nezry, A. Lopes, E. Mougin, C. C. Hsu, J. A. Kong and R.
       T. Shin. 1994.  Retrieval of forest biomass from SAR data. Int. J.  Rem. Sens. vol. 15, pp
       2777-2794.

Bryan M.L. 1974. Extraction of urban land cover data from multiplexed synthetic aperture radar
       imagery, in Proc. Ninth Int. Symp. Rem. Sens, of Environment. Environmental Research
       Institute of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Ml, pp. 271-288.

Cordey, R., J. R. Baker, S. Quegan, G. M. Foody, N.J. Veck, and A.  Wielogorska 1996. A study
       of the potential of  multi-component SAR imagery for agricultural  and forest studies, in
       Science results from the Spaceborne Imaging Radar C/X-Band Synthetic Aperture
       Radar (SIR-C/X-SAR): Progress Report, Jet Propulsion Laboratory  Publication No. 96-7,
       pp. 112-14.

Evans L. Diane, Tom G. Farr, Jakob J. Van Zyl and Howard A. Zebeker 1988. Radar
       Polarimetry: Analysis tools and applications. IEEE Transactions  on Geoscience and
       Remote Sensing,  Vol.26. No.  6.

Freeman, A., M. Alves, B. Chapman, J. Cruz, Y. Kim, S. Schaffer, J. Sun, E. Turner, and K.
       Sarabandi 1995. SIR-C data quality and calibration results, IEEE Transactions on
       Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol. 33, no. 4, pp. 848-857.
                                         16

-------
Freeman, A., and B. van den Broek, 1995. Mapping vegetation types using SIR-C data,
       Proceedings of the International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium
       (IGARSS'95), July 10-14, Florence Italy, pp. 921-923.

Freeman A., 1996. What is imaging radar?. Spaceborne imaging Radar-C SIR-CED, Jet
       Propulsion Laboratory. Pasadena California.

Glackin L. David. 1997. Earth observation in transition: An international overview, Acta
       Astronomica Vol. 41, Nos. 4-10. pp. 413-420.

Grossman and Associates, Inc. 1992. Stage 1-A Archeological and Historical Sensitivity
       evaluation of the Hackensack Meadowlands. Grossman and Associates Inc. Technical
       Report, Lyndhurst. NJ.

Henderson  F. M. 1984. Confusion errors among urban land-cover types on SAR imagery.
       International Journal Remote Sensing, vol.6, no 10. pp. 1607-1622.

Jakob J. van Zyle, 1993. The effect of topography on radar scattering from vegetated areas.
       IEEE Trans, on Geoscience and Remote Sensing,  Vol. 31, No 1.

Richards J.A. 1986. Remote Sensing Image Analysis. Berling, Springer.

Taket N.D.,  S.M. Howarth, and R.E. Burge 1991. A model  for the imaging of urban areas by
       synthetic aperture radar. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol.
       29 No. 3.

USGS 1995. Digital Orthophoto Quadrangles . US Geological Survey. Reston, VA.

Xia Zong-Guo and F.M Henderson 1997. Understanding the relationship between radar
       response patterns and the Bio and Geophysical parameters of urban areas. IEEE Trans.
       on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol.  35,  No.  1. pp 93-102.
                                         17

-------
                       GIS in the Confirmation Process
                     Dr. Raymond E. Bailey and Mr. Madhukar Mohan
The ultimate goal of remediation of the Department of Energy (DOE) Weldon Spring mixed
waste site is to release the site for unrestricted use to the extent possible. This dictates that an
accurate assessment of post cleanup activities is performed to confirm that contaminated soils
have been successfully treated or removed. The assessment begins by developing an accurate
3-dimensional picture of the  spatial distribution of contamination prior to the start of cleanup
activities. A geographic information system (GIS) was selected over traditional  manual methods
to map the initial spatial distribution of contamination  (pre-cleanup levels) and to manage the
confirmation database. The Weldon Spring site, consisting of approximately 217 acres, was
divided into eleven remedial  units (RU). Each RU was divided  into approximately 2,000 m2
areas known as confirmation units (CU). Upon completion of remedial activities within each RU,
Environmental Safety and Health technicians conducted a walkover survey with a 2-inch by 2-
inch sodium iodide (Nal) scintillation detector to establish removal of surface contamination to
levels at or below background levels of gamma-emitting radioactivity. Following the surface
scan,  soil samples were collected and analyzed for radiological and chemical contaminants of
concern listed in the Record  of Decision. Results of laboratory radiological  and chemical
analyses were used to populate the attribute portion of the GIS database. Geographic locations
in the database  were obtained from surveys of the sample locations. This established an
accurate location for each sample,  provided confirmation that the as-built excavation had
achieved the designed depths, identified areas that had achieved cleanup levels, and, if above
target cleanup levels,  identified locations of contamination requiring additional remediation.

The Department of Energy (DOE) Weldon Spring Site Remedial Action Project (WSSRAP) is a
mixed waste site located in St. Charles County, Missouri, approximately 48 km (30 mi.) west of
St. Louis (Figure 1).

-------
                                                          ILLINOIS
                                                LOCATION OF THE
                                           WELDON SPRING CHEMICAL PLANT
                                                   AND THE
                                              WELDON SPRING QUARRY
                                                  FIGURE 1
                                                     GUI  |"" 7i7f-"i~
                             Figure 1

The WSSRAP consists of a 217-acre chemical plant area initially used by the U.S. Department
of the Army during the 1940s to produce the explosives trinitrotoluene (TNT) and dinitrotoluene.
After World War II, the structures were razed, decontaminated, and the site was re-graded. The
U. S. Atomic Energy Commission (predecessor to the DOE) built a chemical plant upon the
former Army site to process uranium and thorium ore concentrates. Production operations
proceeded throughout the 1950s and 1960s, resulting in the disposal of radioactively and
chemically contaminated waste on site.

Contaminated areas at the Weldon Spring Site included material from 40 building foundations,
four raffinate pits, two ponds, and two former dump areas (Figure 2).
The contaminants of concern requiring treatment are radioactive contaminants (primarily
radionuclides of the natural uranium and thorium-232 decay series) and chemical contaminants
(including naturally occurring metals and inorganic anions, as well as organic compounds such
as polychlorinated biphenyls and nitro-aromatic compounds). The remediation alternative
selected consists of removing material from contaminated areas, treatment as appropriate by
chemical stabilization and/or solidification, and disposal in an engineered disposal facility

-------
                             Figure 2
constructed on site. The ultimate goal of site remediation activities is the release of the site for
unrestricted use to the extent possible. To achieve this goal, requires an accurate assessment
of post-cleanup activities (the confirmation process).

The site geographic information system, utilizing Arclnfo software operating on a Sun Unix
workstation, was selected to create an accurate 3-dimensional picture of the spatial distribution
of contamination prior to the initiation of remediation activities and to manage the confirmation
database. The geographic database was populated with Arclnfo coverages of the Weldon
Spring Site topography in 1954, aerial surveys of WSSRAP in 1993 and 1998, coordinates of
anomalies identified during geophysical surveys, and the location of characterization drilling and
sampling points. A complete picture of the spatial distribution of the pre-cleanup contamination
was provided by linking the analytical laboratory results of the characterization samples with
their geographic locations.
The confirmation database was created by dividing the 217-acres site into eleven remedial units
(RU). Each RU was further divided into approximately 2,000 m2 (0.5 acres) areas known as
confirmation units (CU) (Figure 3).

-------
  763,000 E
754,000 E
755,000 E
756,000 E
 200   100   0
  P"H H r- -

             FEET
                                                 Figure 3
The CU is the area for which a decision is made as to whether cleanup standards have been
attained. The size of the CU was selected to provide an area of approximately the same size as
that used in the risk assessment for a future residential lot. This size also provided manageable
areas capable of supporting the construction schedule when an excavated area needed to
remain open pending the confirmation that cleanup standards had been attained.
Upon completion of remedial activities within each RU, Environmental Safety and Health
technicians conducted a walkover survey with a 2-inch by 2-inch sodium iodide (Nal)
scintillation detector to establish removal of surface contamination to levels at or below
background levels of gamma-emitting radioactivity. Areas showing elevated readings greater
than 1.5 times background were designated as "hot spots", and additional material was

-------
removed. After obtaining a surface scan at or below background readings, a 10 meter by 10
meter grid was surveyed and soil samples were collected and analyzed for radiological and
chemical contaminants of concern listed in the Record of Decision. Results of laboratory
radiological and chemical analyses were used to populate the attribute portion of the GIS
confirmation database. Geographic locations in the database were obtained from  surveys of the
sample locations and compared with design excavation limits. This established an accurate
location for each sample, provided confirmation that the as-built excavation had achieved the
designed depths, identified areas that had achieved cleanup levels, and, if above  target cleanup
levels, identified locations of contamination requiring additional remediation.

-------
 Vulnerability Assessment of Missouri Drinking Water to Chemical Contamination
               Christopher J. Barnett, Steven J. Vance, and Christopher L. Fulcher
     Center for Agricultural, Resource, and Environmental Systems, University of Missouri,
                                       Columbus, Missouri
Introduction

In 1991, the Missouri Department of Natural Resources
(MDNR) implemented the Vulnerability Assessment of
Missouri Drinking Water to Chemical Contamination pro-
ject. MDNR's Public Drinking Water Program (PDWP)
contracted with the Center for Agricultural, Resource,
and  Environmental Systems (CARES) to conduct this
assessment. They designed the project to determine
which,  if any, public water supplies are threatened by
chemicals being tested under the Safe Drinking Water Act.

Under  Phase II of the Safe Drinking Water Act, the
United  States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
required that all public drinking water systems be rou-
tinely monitored for 79 contaminants beginning January
1,1993. If a selected chemical parameter is not detected
in an area that would  affect a  water supply (where
"detected"  is defined as used, stored,  manufactured,
disposed of, or transported regardless of amount), then
the water supply need not be tested for that chemical.
Instead, that system would  be granted a use waiver,
meaning that the state would not  test for that chemical.
EPA grants use waivers for 43 of the 79 contaminants.
Use waivers can result in considerable cost savings.

Because use waivers are granted based on the spatial
relationship between drinking water sources and con-
taminant sources, accurate positional data needed to be
collected for those items. A geographic information sys-
tem  (CIS) was used to store and analyze this informa-
tion in a spatial context.

Water Sources

Water sources, as defined for this study, are the points
where water is drawn from a river, lake, or aquifer for
use in a public water supply. Our efforts focused primar-
ily on the development of the water source layers for the
CIS. These layers, containing wellheads, impoundment
intakes, and river intakes, were  created in house  or
obtained from  state and federal  agencies. MDNR
regional office personnel inspected these water source
layers in the  spring of 1993.  Since  these  personnel
routinely inspect Missouri public drinking water supplies,
their knowledge of these locations is  exceptional.
The updated water source information was mapped
on 1:24,000-scale USGS  topographic quadrangles at
the regional offices, then entered into the CIS. MDNR's
PDWP provided available attribute information, which
was associated with these layers. The layers offer the
most accurate and current information available. Only
the community (e.g., cities, subdivisions,  mobile home
parks)  and  the  nontransient, noncommunity  (e.g.,
schools, large businesses) water supply systems were
considered for water source mapping. This study did not
consider private wells.

The information is stored in  the CIS in the  form of
geographic data sets or layers.  The wellhead layer con-
tains 2,327  public wells and their attributes  (e.g., well
depth, casing  type). The majority of the wellheads are
located in the Ozarks and Southeast Lowlands. Natu-
rally poor ground-water quality prohibits  a  heavy reli-
ance on ground water for drinking water in other areas
of the state. The surface water impoundment layer con-
tains 105 points representing  the intake locations for
systems that rely on lake water. Additionally, the drain-
age basin and lake area are mapped for these systems.
The majority of the systems that rely on lake water are
located in northern and western Missouri. The final layer
represents the systems that use river water. The major-
ity of the 50 intakes are located on the Mississippi and
Missouri Rivers and on the major streams in the Grand
and Osage River basins.

Contaminant Sources

Contaminant sources, as defined  for this study, are the
points or areas where  existing databases indicate the
presence of a chemical contaminant. Incorporation of
contaminant data into the  CIS proved to be the  most
difficult task. These data usually contained very precise

-------
information about what contaminants were found at a
site and  who was responsible, but the quality of the
locational information was often poor.

Ninety-three state and federal databases were reviewed
for contaminant information before performing the final
use waiver analysis. The contaminant information was
broken into two separate types, contaminant sites and
pesticide dealerships. The contaminant sites were loca-
tions at which certain chemicals were known to exist.
The pesticide dealerships were dealerships licensed to
distribute restricted  use pesticides.  Information  about
contaminant sites was extracted from the  databases
and entered into  Microsoft Excel, a spreadsheet pro-
gram. The  small amount of data with coordinate (lati-
tude/longitude)   or   map   information   was  readily
converted to the CIS. The majority of the contaminant
records, however, contained only address information,
often appearing as a rural  route address or post office
box number.

While the water source locations were being verified,
personnel at the MDNR regional offices reviewed the
contaminant site records. The regional office personnel
were familiar with their respective territories and could
assist CARES personnel in locating the  contaminant
sites. The Missouri Department of Agriculture pesticide
use investigators provided  additional information about
the locations  of  contaminant sites. All  contaminant
source information was also mapped on the  1:24,000-
scale  USGS topographic quadrangles and transferred
to the CIS.

Of more than 2,800 contaminant sites found in these
databases,  88 percent were geographically located and
used in the  study. At this time, the contaminant site layer
contains 2,493 points representing the information col-
lected on the  43 chemical contaminants required  by
MDNR. Each point contains a seven-digit chemical code
indicating the chemical it represents and serving as a
link to the chemical contaminant files. The contaminant
sites tend to be concentrated more in urban areas than
rural areas. Even though this  layer is being continually
updated, the basic distribution of contaminant sites re-
mains the same.

A second contaminant  source layer represents Mis-
souri's licensed pesticide dealers.  This information is
included to indicate potential contamination even though
specific chemicals  at dealership  locations are  not
known. At this time, we have been able to locate 1,344
dealerships out of 1,650. Two types of dealerships are
included in the layer, active dealers and inactive dealers.
Of the active dealerships in 1991, 91 percent were found
and entered into the CIS. Of the inactive dealerships, 79
percent were located.
Spatial Analysis

The final parameters for the use waiver analysis were
developed from EPA and MDNR guidelines and account
for the capabilities of the CIS. These parameters were
designed to present a conservative list of the systems
that needed to  be tested for the possible presence of
studied chemicals. Parameters forthe wellhead analysis
are as follows:

• A 1/4-, 1/2-, and 1-mile radius around each wellhead
  was searched for contaminant sites and pesticide
  dealerships (see Figure 1). Any contaminant sources
  found within  those radii were  reported  to PDWP.
  (PDWP requested that the results of the three radius
  analyses  be  reported,  but the 1/2-mile radius  was
  used to determine the issue  of the use waiver.)

• Any wellheads found within a contaminant area were
  denied a use waiver for that contaminant.

• Each highway and railroad within 500 feet of a well-
  head was recorded. This indicates the threat posed
  by the transport of chemicals near wellheads.

• Additionally, the percentage of the county planted in
  corn, soybeans, wheat, sorghum,  tobacco,  cotton,
  and rice was listed for each well to indicate the threat
  posed by agricultural chemical use within that county.

The parameters for the systems  relying on  lake water
are as follows:

• Any contaminant sources  found  within  a surface
  water impoundment drainage basin caused the asso-
  ciated intake(s) to fail use waiver analysis for those
  contaminants.
                                    X = Contaminant
Figure 1.  Use waiver search radius distances.

-------
• Any  area  of  contamination overlapping a drainage
  basin caused the associated intake to fail use waiver
  analysis for that contaminant.

• Transportation corridors passing through a drainage
  basin were noted  to  indicate the threat posed by
  transport of chemicals within the basin.

• The  percentage of the county planted  in the  seven
  crops mentioned above was listed  to indicate agricul-
  tural chemical use within the drainage basin.

Many of the rivers that supply water to systems in  Mis-
souri have their headwaters outside the state. To  fully
evaluate  the potential for contamination within those
drainage basins, we would have to collect data for large
areas outside of the state. For example, the Mississippi
and Missouri River drainage basins cover large portions
of the United States.  Because collecting data for those
areas would be impractical, we have recommended to
MDNR that use waivers not be granted to river supplies.

The following provides details on how the analysis  was
performed. The CIS searches around each wellhead for
each radius and  notes which contaminant sites affect
which wellheads. If a contaminant falls within that ra-
dius, we recommend that the wellhead be monitored. In
this example, the well is affected by one contaminant
within the 1/4-mile radius, two within the 1/2-mile radius,
and four within the 1-mile radius.

Results

The results  of the use waiver analysis indicate which
systems may be affected by the use  of a chemical near
a water source. Several results show the substantial
savings realized from our analysis.  For example, the
analysis showed that only five wells  serving four public
drinking water systems were potentially affected by di-
oxin and should be monitored. By not testing the remain-
ing  systems for dioxin, the  state  can  realize  a
considerable cost savings, as the test for dioxin is the
most expensive test to perform.

The  final  wellhead  system  analysis shows that the
1/2-mile buffer analysis  affected a  total  of 447 well-
heads in 241 systems. That is, a chemical site or pesti-
cide dealership was found within 1/2  mile of 447 public
wellheads. A result form was generated for each of the
1,340 systems in the state listing each well or intake and
the  potential threat   posed  by nearby  contaminant
sources.

The cost of testing all wellhead systems for all 43 con-
taminants without issuing use waivers is more than $15
Table 1.  Estimated Cost Savings for Public Drinking Water
        Systems
Method
                Estimated
                Total Cost
 Estimated
 Mean Cost
per System
Estimated
Total Cost
 Savings
No use waiver    $15,533,100      $12,200             $0
With use waiver    $1,813,900       $1,400     $13,719,200


million (see Table 1). According to our analysis, CARES
estimates that only $1.8 million need be spent to monitor
vulnerable wells. Therefore, the state can save more
than $13.5 million in monitoring  costs.

Summary and Recommendations

To date, the investment the state made in the vulnerabil-
ity assessment project has provided many benefits. The
state saved several million  dollars in testing costs and
developed several spatial and nonspatial databases that
will have many uses. In addition, the  project established
a basic  framework for future assessments, which EPA
requires on a regular basis.

The basic data required for use waiver analysis are the
locations of water sources and the locations of potential
contamination sources.  CARES determined  that the
available data did not contain the information necessary
to map these  locations or that the data were of question-
able quality. Many layers required update and correc-
tion. Considerable  effort was  necessary to  improve
existing  locational information for both water source lay-
ers and  chemical contaminant files. Local knowledge of
an area was  heavily relied upon  to determine accurate
locations, particularly contaminant sites. The vast ma-
jority of these sites  contained only the address  as the
geographic reference. An address is not a  coordinate
system; it does not  indicate a fixed location on a map.
Because the  location of any chemical detection site is
of vital importance, state and federal agencies that col-
lect these data  need to record more  complete geo-
graphic  information. Ideally, a global  positioning system
could be employed to generate coordinates. Realisti-
cally,  the recording  of legal descriptions or directions
from an  easily located point would substantially improve
the quality of the current databases.

In many cases, data resided in digital format; however,
due to regulations or lack of agency cooperation, they
could only be distributed in paper format. Reentering
data from paper format into digital format required con-
siderable time and  expense. Interagency cooperation
should be emphasized to reduce  unnecessary data entry.

-------
              Using GIS to Evaluate the Effects of Flood Risk
                        On Residential  Property Values
                 Alena Bartosova, David E. Clark, Vladimir Novotny, Kyra S. Taylor
                        Marquette University, Milwaukee, Wl 53201-1881
1. Introduction
Annually, flooding causes more property damage in the United States than any other type of
natural disaster. One of the consequences of continued urbanization is the tendency for
floodplains to expand, increasing flood risks in the areas around urban streams and rivers.
Hedonic modeling techniques can be used to estimate the relationship between residential
housing prices and flood risks. One weakness of hedonic modeling has been incomplete controls
for locational characteristics influencing a given property. In addition, relatively primitive
assumptions have been employed in modeling flood risk exposures.

We use GIS tools to provide more accurate measures of flood risks, and a more thorough
accounting of the locational features in the neighborhood. This has important policy implications.
Once a complete hedonic model is developed, the reduction in property value attributed to an
increase in flood risks can, under certain circumstances, be interpreted as the household's
willingness to pay for the reduction of flood risk. Willingness to pay estimates can in turn be
used to guide policymakers as they assess community-wide benefits from flood control projects.

2. Hedonic Theory and  Literature
The hedonic price model used in this study has its roots in the works of Lancaster (1966) and
Rosen (1974). It is based on the premise that individuals can choose consumption levels of
local public goods such as environmental quality through their residential location choice. The
model views the price of individual houses as dependent on a bundle of  housing characteristics.
These characteristics include those related to the structure (e.g., lot size, number of bathrooms,
etc.); the neighborhood (e.g., average commute time, median household income, etc.); the
environment (e.g., variables related to flood risk); and fiscal factors (e.g., property tax rates).

There are several underlying assumptions in this model. The model  assumes that the study
area is a single  market for housing services. It also assumes that all buyers and sellers have

-------
perfect information on the alternatives that exist and that the housing market is in equilibrium.
This last assumption means that all households have made their utility maximizing choice in
terms of residential location given the prices of alternatives, all of which just clear the market.
The relationship outlined here can be linear only when repackaging of the house is possible,
and in general, this is not the case. When an individual makes a residential location decision,
they are accepting the entire bundle of housing characteristics. It is not possible to trade a
house with two full baths upstairs for the exact same house with one full bath upstairs and one
downstairs. Thus, the function is nonlinear.

Given the previous assumptions, the market clearing price of the house is treated as  parametric
and can be represented as p(Z), where Z = Zi,z2	zn is a vector of n structural, neighborhood,
and environmental characteristics. The housing market implicitly reveals the hedonic function,
p(Z), which relates prices and characteristics. This price function p(Z) is a reduced form
equation representing both supply and demand  influences in the housing market. The implicit
price of attribute n is given by the partial derivative of p(z) with respect  to attribute n, or pn(z) =
3p/3zn. That is to say, the partial derivative with respect to any of the aforementioned
characteristics in the function can be interpreted as a marginal implicit  price of that
characteristic. This marginal implicit price is the additional amount that must be paid by any
household to  move to a bundle of housing services with a higher level of that characteristic. For
example, the  coefficient on the number of rooms in a home may be interpreted as the price that
must be paid  by the household to move from a house with eight total rooms to the same house
with nine total rooms, all else constant. Since the function for housing is nonlinear, the marginal
implicit price depends on the quantity of the characteristic being purchased.

Several hedonic studies specifically address the issue of flooding including the effect of
floodplain regulations on residential property values (Schaefer 1990), the impact of subsidized
and non-subsidized flood insurance on property values (Shilling et al.,  1987), and the influence
of flood risk on property values (Barnard 1978; Park and Miller 1982; Thompson & Stoevener
1983; Donnelly  1989; Speyrerand Ragas 1991; Shabman and Stephenson 1996).  For the most
part, the results from these studies indicate that location in a floodplain, or proxies for flood risk,
negatively impacts residential property values. One study examined a major flood event
(Babcock and Mitchell 1980); however, this was done by a comparison of prices before and
after the event,  and  thus was vulnerable to bias due to omitted factors  in the analysis. None of

-------
these studies measure flood risks directly, nor do they investigate the impact of a specific
flooding event in a hedonic framework.

3.  Definition of Flood Risks
A flood is defined for the purpose of this paper as a stream discharge greater than the capacity
flow of the channel. This is obviously a very simplistic definition. For example, Williams (1978)
presented 11 definitions of the channel bankfull flow, from which the flow that reaches the valley
active floodplain is the one accepted by most river morphologists. A flood of certain magnitude
occurs or is exceeded with a  certain frequency. The most common flow used for delineation of
floodplain is  the flow with the recurrence interval Tr = 100 years, i.e. the risk of flooding is r = 1 / Tr
= 1/100 = 0.01.

The delineation of the floodplain for a flow of given frequency is a tedious task. Such tasks usually
involve the development of a complex hydrologic/hydraulic model. Once calibrated, the model can
be used to simulate a wide range of flows and the flow-elevation relationship can be obtained.
Hydraulic models can be combined with GIS systems to delineate a floodplain for any recurrence
interval (e.g., McLin, 1993, Correia et al., 1998). However, this requires a considerable amount of
data and substantial effort. Thus, a simplifying alternative has been proposed in this study.

The extent of 100-year floodplain, often used for engineering and  flood insurance purposes, is
delineated by Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).  The flood risk varies within the
floodplain and decreases with increased distance from the channel. The properties located within
the 100 years floodplain are under different risks of flooding and hence there is a need to express
a flood risk relation in the urban floodplain.

A schematic representation of the following concept is shown in Figure 1. The channel can
contain a flow with a certain recurrence interval. This flow is called a capacity flow, or bankfull
flow. As one moves away from the river's edge, the probability of flooding decreases, and at some
point at a distance x from the river the recurrence interval of flooding becomes 100 years, i.e., the
risk of flooding is r(x) = 0.01. This is the extent of the 100-year floodplain that is useful for many
engineering  and flood insurance purposes.

-------
Channels of natural streams are in equilibrium with the flow. Leopold, Wolman, and Miller (1995)
document that channels of rivers in eastern and Midwestern US have a channel capacity that can
contain a flow that has an approximate recurrence interval of about 1 1/4 years. For example, if the
smallest flow that leaves the channel is about a 2-year flow before urbanization, then the risk of
flooding at the edge of the river is r(0) = 1 / 2 = 0.5.

                               Figure 1: Concept of flood risk
       Flood risk
       r(x)
      r(X100)
The scale of the risk function r(x) should be logarithmic, i.e., a zero risk of flooding is expected to
occur at an infinitely large distance x from the river edge. The logarithmic form of the risk function
is selected for convenience and simply expresses the fact that floods on rare occasions may
extend further than the 100-year floodplain limits. The logarithmic risk function can be expressed
as
                                     rfc) =  CIO*'                                  Eq
The function parameters in Eq. 1 can be easily estimated from the knowledge of the risk of
exceeding the bankfull capacity flow and from the extent of the 100-year floodplain: C
corresponds to the risk of exceeding the bankfull flow, or, C = /tO). The risk function can be
integrated across the floodplain cross-section, as shown in the following equation, in which
subscripts L and R correspond to the left and right bank floodplains:

-------
                         (x) dx+l ^ (x) dx= r(0) J [10"K^ + 10"K^ ] dx               Eq. 2
The magnitude of the floodplain shape coefficient, K, can be obtained from the extent of the
100-year floodplain at the point of interest on the river, denoted as X10o, and from the risk of
exceeding the bankfull discharge, /tO):
                         tog
                             r(X100)
                               C
=  tog
       0.01
       r(0)
=  -KX100                      Eq. 3
       and

                                  K =  ~3"'"/J  '  "                               Eq. 4
                                            X 100

Finally, substituting for K in Eq. 2 from Eq. 4 yields the following expression for the floodplain risk
parameter:

                         R =
                                /        ,
                             23(2+tog r(0)J
The dimension of the floodplain risk parameter R is length/time, and a possible unit is meter/day.
However, the unit does not have a physical meaning, as R is only a measure of the flood risk over
a floodplain. R increases with an increase in the size of the floodplain and with an increase in the
risk of overbank flow. This floodplain risk parameter changes along the stream. The integration of
the flood risk over the watershed represents an overall risk of flooding of the watershed, the flood
risk factor that can be used in comparing watershed management alternatives.

This characterization of flood risks will be used to assign unique values of flood risk to each
property within the floodplain. The flood risk measure, FRM, calculated in a GIS environment, is a
negative logarithm of the flood risk r(x). The anti-logarithm of the flood risk measure is basically a
recurrence  interval, i.e., FRM = 2 for Tr= 100 years.

4. Empirical Model
a. Study Area
The study area for this analysis is located approximately 11.5 miles (18.5 km) along the middle
to lower sections of the Menomonee River through the cities of Wauwatosa and Milwaukee,
                                               5

-------
Wisconsin. The Menomonee River is a 71.85 (15.5 km) mile river system and discharges into
the Milwaukee River about 0.9 mile upstream of where the Milwaukee River enters Lake
Michigan. This region was selected to encompass two significant areas, the city of Wauwatosa
and the Valley Park neighborhood in Milwaukee. Wauwatosa makes up a great portion of the
study area and lies within the Menomonee River watershed boundaries. Located west of
Milwaukee in northern Milwaukee County, Wauwatosa is just over 13 square miles (34 km2) with
a population of 49,300. Furthermore, it is a high density residential area, with more than 22.8
persons per net residential acre (55 persons/ha). Valley Park, the other area of concern, is the
smallest and most isolated neighborhood in Milwaukee. The study area is shown in Figure 2.

-------
                      Essaypro.shp
                 /\/Mr_rivr.shp
                      Floodpln.shp
Figure 2: Menomonee River watershed. Location of properties in 100-year floodplain.
These two areas are significant for this study as a result of their susceptibility to flooding.
Specifically, the study examines the short and intermediate run impacts of a 100-year flood that
occurred in June of 1997. The flood was the worst rain for the Milwaukee  Metropolitan area
since August 6, 1986. After the first night of the rainfall, totals ranged as high as 9.78 inches (25

-------
cm), indicating a flood recurrence interval exceeding 100 years. Roads were shut down and
many residents lost power. Damage for Milwaukee County alone was estimated to be $37
million, including $24 million to residential property. About 70 homes in the County incurred
major damage including collapsed basements and roofs forcing residents to evacuate their
homes. Approximately 2100 homes sustained lesser damage. As a result of the flood,
Wauwatosa submitted a Hazard Mitigation Grant Program application for the acquisition of a
number of structures located in the floodway on the Menomonee River. They used Community
Development Block Grant funds to acquire flood prone structures as a means of creating open
space in the riverfront floodway. Of the 20,289 structures in Wauwatosa, about 738 are located
in the special flood hazard area, 669 of which are residential. Due to its susceptibility to flood
disaster, Wauwatosa was invited by  FEMA in June of 1998 to participate in a nationwide effort
to become a "Project Impact" community. This program would develop efforts to minimize the
risk of damage from  natural disasters. Valley Park also suffered from the flood in terms of water
levels. However, there is a great sense of community in the neighborhood, which became
evident in the recovery period following the disaster. Both Wauwatosa and the city of
Milwaukee, in which  "Valley Park" resides, are participants in the National Flood Insurance
Program (NFIP); Wauwatosa entering in 1978 and Milwaukee in 1982. The NFIP implements
floodplain management regulations which ensure that development in flood-prone areas is
protected from flood  damages. However flood insurance is mandatory only for those properties
residing within the 100-year floodplain. This increase  in cost associated with location in the
floodplain may reduce property value for those houses.

b. CIS Analysis
ArcView, a Geographical Information System (GIS), was used in several aspects of this study.
First, it was used to spatially define flood risks. Second, properties were geocoded to the street
address, and finally location specific data were matched to each property. We  describe each of
these activities below.

The properties were  geocoded to the precise street address using the ArcView GIS package. A
key to the geocoding process is the accuracy of addresses, the geographic files, and matching
of the addresses to the geographic files.  The addresses and geographic files received from
outside sources (MLS and Wisconsin Department of Transportation) are believed to be accurate
given the sources' own incentive for accuracy of the files. ArcView assigns a score to each
                                             8

-------
match made for the properties. Of the 1475 observations, 1402 of them (or approximately 95%)
were given a score of 75 or above on a 100 point scale. The majority of these received a score
between 98-100.1 The resulting sample size is 1431, as 44 were unable to be geocoded and
eliminated from the sample. Once geocoding of properties was completed boundary files for
geographic areas were digitized if they were not already available as ArcView shape files. For
example, the 100-year floodplain was geocoded from FEMA maps and maps provided by the
Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission (SEWRPC). Other spatial boundary
data (e.g., school district boundaries, historic preservation district data) were also manually
digitized.

Once the geocoding was completed, properties were matched to locational attributes of the
neighborhood using one of three techniques. When a neighborhood characteristic was defined
by a point in space (e.g., proximity to air quality monitors), straight line distance calculations
between the property and the attribute were used. If the attribute was defined by a polygon
(e.g.,  school districts, census block groups), then individual  properties were mapped to the
underlying polygon, and attributes of the polygon were attached to the property. Finally, buffers
were defined for various types of line data (e.g., roads,  railroads) and properties falling within
the buffer zone were identified.

Turning to the calculation of property specific flood risks, two basic approaches were considered.
The first is a vector-based approach that employed a custom developed ArcView Avenue scripts
program. This approach permits estimation of risks only at specific points rather than for complete
areas. The second more general approach works in a grid (raster) environment, and makes use of
the Spatial Analyst Extension for ArcView. It permits flood risk to be calculated for the entire
watershed, and specified points can be assigned the corresponding value from the underlying
polygon. The second approach was selected because of its future applicability in watershed
management applications.
1 A possible reason for a score at the lower end of the spectrum would be misspellings. For example, if an
address appears  as  "Menomone  Pkwy"  and the correct spelling  would  be  "Menomonee  Pkwy," the
addresses may still be matched and assigned a lower score as a  result. For this reason, the matches
receiving a score  of less than 80 were interactively re-matched by the author to ensure accuracy and
minimize error.

-------
When we refer to the floodplain in this paper, it should be understood as the 100-year floodplain.
The width of the floodplain is the  key parameter in calculation of the flood risk, when r(0) is kept
constant. The floodplain width for any specified point, both inside and outside the floodplain, is the
distance of the flood fringe from the river bank for the river cross-section on which this point is
located. The calculation of the floodplain width corresponding to the selected locations had to be
done separately for inside and  outside of the floodplain. The floodplain width is calculated  as
                                    X   = X  + X                                   Eq. 6
                                      100    W      F                                    '
       or
                                    y   = y  - y                                   EQ  7
                                      100    W      F                                    ""
where Xw is the distance from the river channel and XF is the distance from the floodplain  (see
Figure 3)
                       river channel
                                                     floodplain
Figure 3: Calculation of floodplain width for locations inside and outside the floodplain
The floodplain was digitized as a polygon and used as such in calculations for the areas outside
the floodplain. For the areas inside the floodplain, it had to be converted into a polyline and
divided into several reaches. The calculation of the floodplain width for points inside the floodplain
was calculated separately also for left and right banks, although the calculation followed the same
procedure. The data essential for risk calculations  include digitized maps of the river channel and
100-year floodplain, as well as the watershed boundaries. The risk associated with  the capacity
flow has been estimated separately using the information from USGS on capacity flow and the
annual maximum series for the gage station in Wauwatosa. This station is located in the same
area as the majority of the properties. The recurrence interval associated with the capacity flow is
approximately 1 year,  i.e., r(0) = 1.
                                                10

-------
                                                                /\/river channel
                                                                I   l 100-year floodplain
                                                                   -log R
                                                                   -
                                                                   	15-10
                                                                   	1 10-20
                                                                   I	1 20 - 100
                                                                   I—1100 -1000
                                                                      0.001 -0.444
                                                                   I	1 0.444 - 0.889
                                                                   |	1 0.8B3 - 1 .333
                                                                      1-333- 1.778
                                                                      1.778-2
                                  Figure 4: Flood risk measure

Figure 4 shows the flood risk measure, i.e., the negative logarithm of the flood risk, in the area
where the properties are located. Individual  properties were assigned a value corresponding to
the underlying cell. The higher is this value,  the lower is the likelihood of flooding for the specific
property. An increase in this variable of one implies that flood risks decrease by an order of
magnitude. For example, as you move from flood risk measure of 2 to 3 you move from a risk of
0.01 (i.e., once per 100 years) to 0.001 (i.e., once per 1000 years).

c. Description of the Data
Detailed house attribute data as well as the sales prices of the houses were obtained from the
Multiple Listing Service  (MLS) for the Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Information was collected
for each transaction, listed through the MLS, for the time period January of 1995- July of 1998.
This time frame provides an adequate period for property value fluctuation to occur as a result
                                                11

-------
of the flooding event in June of 1997, if this is the case. A total of 1,965 properties were listed
through the MLS in the study area for the time period examined. From this total, properties were
eliminated as a result of missing data for: the lot size (290), age of the house (198) and taxes
(2). Furthermore, the MLS database only includes properties sold through realtors, and thus
leaves out of the sample properties sold directly by the owner. This may reduce the possibility of
including "non-market" transactions in the sample, assuming that properties sold to relatives  or
close friends may be transacted by this means. Finally, as noted above, 44 properties were lost
as a result of geocoding difficulties, yielding a total sample of 1431 properties.

The variables in the model are organized into six categories: Structural, Neighborhood, Fiscal,
Disequilibrium,  Time Related and Flood. Many influences are controlled within the neighborhood
category in order to avoid misspecification biases and to account for spatial influences. For
simplicity, the fiscal variable (tax rate) and the disequilibrium control (days on the market) are
included in the Neighborhood category for the specification. Following Cropper (et al.) a semi-
log specification is chosen, and the model is specified by Eq. 8.

       LnRPRICE = f (Structural,Neighborhood, Time Related,Fiscal,Disequilibrium,Flood) Eq. 8

The variable definitions and data sources are reported in Table 1, and descriptive statistics are
in Table 2. The dependent variable is the log of real sale price of housing and is deflated by the
housing component of the CPI (1982-84) for the month in which the property sold.

i.      Structural Variables
The structural characteristics include the number of bedrooms, bathrooms,  other rooms,
presence of an attached garage, as well as square footage of the lot and the property. It is
expected that an increase in any one of the previous characteristics will increase the  sale price,
assuming that these attributes increase the housing services a property provides. Measures  of
area are included in linear and quadratic form to account for non-linearity in these variables.
Finally, the age of the  house is included expecting a negative relationship between the age of
the house and the sale price. This is based on an assumption that older homes may have dated
technology lacking several beneficial features that would increase the housing service provided
by the property.
                                              12

-------
ii.     Locational Variables
Each property was matched to numerous locational variables, including those in the
Neighborhood category. To account for various demographic characteristics, census data was
attached accordingly to the appropriate property. The census block group data captures the
racial and ethnic mix of the neighborhood. The sign for these variables cannot be predicted
without knowledge of a home purchaser's cultural preferences. The characteristics also include
measures of income and poverty, home occupancy, age of the neighborhood. Also,  the model
controls for the travel time  to work and the population density of the neighborhood. The latter
variable is included to control for aspects of the neighborhood correlated  with density which are
not measured (e.g., crime, cultural amenities).

The property  tax is included to account for fiscal effects, expecting that increases in  taxes would
decrease the sale price. Also capturing fiscal impacts is the teacher student ratio for the high
school  district in which the property resides.  A dummy variable is included to account for
residence within Wauwatosa or Milwaukee, which may capture a submarket influence and
perceptions associated with living in Wauwatosa (versus Milwaukee). The number of days a
property was  on the market is used in the model as a disequilibrium control variable.

Past studies have found historical preservation districts to positively impact property values
(Clark and Herrin 1997; Coffin 1989). The coefficients may be positive in  the case that creation
of the district  provides people with additional information about the housing stock and revitalizes
the neighborhood, yet also may  be negative if the structural restrictions reduce housing
demand. There are a total  of six preservation districts in this study area, three in Milwaukee and
three in Wauwatosa. Dummy variables are included for each of the districts.

As indicated in the theoretical review of the hedonic price model,  one of the influences on the
property sale price is environmental quality. Several variables controlling  for environmental
quality  factors are included within the neighborhood category including measures of air quality,
and proximity to Toxic Release Inventory sites. Accounting for the impact of local annoyance
factors is the  proximity of a residence to both highways and rail lines, as well as being located
on a major road.  One would expect these factors to negatively  affect property sale price in most
cases.  A variable is also included to capture scenic benefits of residing along the river, a
positive environmental attribute. This is measured by a dummy variable for those properties
                                              13

-------
residing on the Menomonee River Parkway. While some of the properties along the
Menomonee River Parkway may also be susceptible to flooding, only 7 of the 13 properties
along the Parkway are also in the 100-year floodplain. Thus, the effect of this variable should
pick up the scenic benefits of the river, while holding constant the risk associated with flooding
(accounted for by variables in the Flood category).

iii.     Time Related Variables
The model also includes dummy variables in the Time Related category for both the year and
season in which the property was sold. Business cycles may affect property values, and the
year variables are incorporated to capture the possibility of that influence. Furthermore, the year
variables may capture an interest rate effect. Similarly, the season dummies control for trends
that may be associated with time. There are no expected signs for the variables relating to time.

iv.     Flood Variables
Finally, variables representing the focus of this study are included in the Flood category and
also capture environmental quality. Other studies (Speyer and Ragas 1991, Schaefer 1990,
Donnelly 1989,  Park and Miller 1982, Thompson and  Stoevener 1983) have used dummy
variables accounting for a property's location inside or outside of the 100-year floodplain. All,
with the exception of Schaefer, have found a significant negative relationship between location
in the floodplain and the sale price of a property. This study differs from the previous studies in
that a continuous measure of risk is derived.  This permits floodplains of any periodicity to be
defined. We investigate floodplains in  100-year increments from  100-500 year floodplains. Over
the 3-year period, 15 properties sold in the 100-year floodplain, and 32 sold within the 500-year
floodplain. In addition, we examine the rate at which property values change within each
increment.

A second objective is to analyze the short run and intermediate run effects of a specific flood
event that occurred  in June of 1997. To do so,  two different measures are used. First, to
measure the short run impact, the floodplain  dummy is interacted with a dummy variable for
whether the property was sold after the flood event. Of the 1431  properties in the sample, 512 of
them were sold after the flood event and 4 of these were within the 100-year floodplain whereas
12 were within the 500-year floodplain. Second, to measure intermediate run effects, the
floodplain  dummy is interacted  both with the  dummy for whether the property was sold after the
                                              14

-------
flooding event and the number of days between the flooding event and the sale of the house. If
present, one would expect short run effects to be stronger than intermediate impacts, assuming
that the consequences of the flood event will taper off in the minds of homeowners and buyers
as time passes.

5. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS
The coefficients on control variables in the structural, neighborhood, fiscal, disequilibrium and
time related categories differ minimally among the tables. To conserve space, these variables
are reported only once, with subsequent regressions reporting only the flood category variables.
Heteroskedasticity, a non-constant variance in the model's error term, is expected in this sample
of data since variance in selling price is likely to differ between the low-end and high-end of the
market. To test for the presence of heteroskedasticity, White's test is used and the null
hypothesis of no heteroskedasticity is rejected at the 95% level of confidence for each
regression (Gujarati, 1995). White's correction is employed to generate consistent estimates of
the standard errors. All models estimated explained approximately 91% of the variation in the
real housing price.

/'.      Structural Variables
All structural variables are significant at the 99% level of confidence, except the dummy
accounting for whether the garage is attached.  The number of garage spaces is significant, with
each additional  space increasing the value of the home by 4.8%. The number of bedrooms,
other rooms, half baths, and full  baths all positively impact property sale price. One  additional
half bath, full bath, bedroom, and other room, increases the property value by 11.2%, 6.2%,
5.0%, and 5.8% respectively. The large magnitude of the coefficient on the half bath variable
suggests that it  may be serving as a proxy for other structural features of the house. Both
square footage variables, interior and lot, increase property value at a decreasing rate reflected
by positive linear terms and negative quadratic terms. The  partial derivative of sale price with
respect to the interior square footage (3Real Price/3Building area) is equal to [• AREA+ 2
*• AREAso*Building area]. Evaluated at the mean for interior square footage (705.7 sq.ft. or 0.65
m2), property value increases by 6.8% for an increment of 100 square feet (or 0.72%/m2).
Similarly, an increment of 1000 square feet for the lot size increases sale price by 1.7% (or
0.18%/m2 evaluated at the mean). Finally, other things equal, age has a negative effect on
                                              15

-------
property value (i.e., 1.6% for each additional 10 years). Inclusion of a quadratic term for age
made both the linear and quadratic terms insignificant.

/'/'.     Locational Variables
Evaluating the demographic variables taken from the block group data, many coefficients
appear to  be significant at the 99% confidence level. Exceptions include population density and
the percent of occupied housing units, and percent owner occupied units. Population density
has a negative relationship with property value suggesting that on the net, urban scale related
disamenities have a stronger influence than that of amenities, yet the variable is insignificant.
The racial variables reveal that higher concentrations of Asian (as compared to nonwhite other
race) populations in a neighborhood positively affect property values. Specifically, a 1%
increase in the Asian population increases property value by 3%. The impact of Hispanic
populations, on the other hand, decrease real home sale prices by 2.5%. Percent White is
positive and significant, raising prices  1.3% per 1% increase, whereas percent Black is not
significant. Note, that most of the neighborhoods in the study areas have relatively few minority
households. As expected, higher poverty rates in a neighborhood decrease home sale price, yet
the effect is not great. Median household income, also reflecting socioeconomic dimensions of
the neighborhood, positively impacts property values. Measured by the median year of houses
built in the neighborhood, older neighborhoods have significantly higher priced housing in the
study area. This is somewhat contrary to the sign on the age variable, yet it may suggest that
people prefer historic surroundings in  a neighborhood along with the benefits of a
technologically advanced home. Finally, in line with the existing theory, each additional 10
minutes of commute time decreases the home sale price by 9%.

The tax rate, incorporating fiscal effects into the model, negatively impacts property value.
Specifically, a 1% increase in the property tax rate (e.g. 4.3% to 5.3%) decreases the property
sale price  by 2.0%. The teacher student ratio included to proxy the quality of education does
have a positive effect, yet is insignificant.  Also insignificant  is the number of days a house was
on the market. The dummy variable accounting for city jurisdiction is significant indicating higher
sales  prices (by a magnitude of 19%)  in Wauwatosa than in Milwaukee. However, Valley Park is
only one small area in Milwaukee and the dummy accounting for location in Valley Park was
insignificant.
                                              16

-------
The effect of historic preservation districts was positive in all cases confirming that historic
preservation districts provide home buyers with additional information regarding the housing
stock and serve the purpose of revitalizing the neighborhood. The influence of five of the six
districts was significant. The most dramatic of all influences was that of The McKinley Boulevard
Historic District in Milwaukee, increasing property value by 49%. The Concordia Historic District,
also in Milwaukee, has a similar effect with 41% increase in property value as a result of
residing within the district. The one historic preservation district that did not have a significant
impact was The Wauwatosa Avenue Historic District. These districts were also interacted with
age,  yet the resulting variables were insignificant and doing so overwhelmed the significance of
the individual dummies. Therefore,  they were not included in the final regression.

Several other variables in the neighborhood category were indicative of the surrounding
environmental quality. The quality of the air measured by the sulfur dioxide reading negatively
impacts property sale price as we would expect, and this effect is significant at the 99% level of
confidence.  Furthermore, location within one mile of a Toxic Release Inventory site has the
effect of reducing home sale prices by 2.8%, all else constant. Two of the variables representing
local annoyance factors significantly reduce the sale price of a home. Specifically, residence on
a major road and residence within a quarter of a mile of rail lines reduce home sale prices by
5.7% and 6.0% respectively. On the other hand, residence within a quarter of a mile of
Interstate 94 increased sales prices for homes by 8.5%. It is possible that this variable is
controlling for non-work related travel accessibility  in addition to an annoyance factor. Finally,
residence along the scenic Menomonee River Parkway has the significant effect of increasing
property value by 7.1%, all else constant.

/'/'/'.     Time Related Variables
The seasonal dummy variables are insignificant indicating that the season in which a house is
sold has no  impact on the sales price.  The year dummy variables indicate that real housing
prices have  fallen over the time period 1995- July of 1998. The effect in 1996 is insignificant;
however, housing prices significantly decreased for both 1997 and 1998.

iv.     Flood Variables
There are two objectives in terms of flood risk for this study. The first objective is to determine
the effect that flood hazard in general has on property value. In the first regression reported in
                                               17

-------
Table 3, we proxy flood risk using the negative log (base 10) of the expected flood frequency ,
i.e., flood risk measure (see
Figure 4). The log  of the value is included due to the rapid rate at which flood risks fall as
distance from  the river increase, and elevation rise. The findings  indicate a clear relationship
between  reduced flooding risk, and increased property  values.  However,  the value of the
coefficient  is  extremely  low. This finding  is  not  surprising,  given  that  the vast majority of
properties are well  beyond even the 1000-year floodplain.  Hence  a  reduction of risk from say
10E-23 to 10E-24 is of negligible value to those residents.

To investigate the variation of flood risks within floodplains, we explore several different
specifications. First, we examine the 100-year floodplain. Although flood risk is continuously
defined, lenders only require that properties in the 100-year floodplain purchase flood insurance.
In Table 4, we report the findings on a regression that includes a dummy variable for whether
the property lies within the 100-year floodplain. In addition, we interact that  variable with  the
recurrence interval,  i.e., anti-log of the flood risk measure. The recurrence interval takes  on
values between 6.3  (i.e., a flood is expected with a probability of 1/6.3) for the property closest
to the river, and 100 for a property at the edge of the 100-year floodplain. Both the dummy
variable and the risk interaction term are statistically significant. The findings suggest that
properties at the edge of the river would sell for approximately 7.8% than those outside the
floodplain. However, as flood risk diminishes by 10 years (e.g., from a one-year flood frequency
to an 11-year frequency) property values would increase by 2.3%. This implies that the
detrimental effect of the flood risk is eliminated after the expected flood risk falls to once  every
33.3 years.

In Table 5, we add a second interaction term to consider the effect of a flooding event. The
variable Days  since is the number of days since the flood in June of 1997. Hence, it measures
the effect of the flooding event on the impact of the  100-year floodplain. The inclusion of  this
variable renders the floodplain dummy variable insignificant, although it remains negative. This
is due to multicollinearity between the two variables. Treating the coefficient on the dummy
variable as point estimate, it suggests that properties (at the edge of the river) selling in the
floodplain prior to the flood sold for 5.1% less than comparable properties outside the floodplain
prior to the flood.  Those selling a year after the flood would sell for 18.9% less than properties
outside the floodplain. The pattern did not appear to be nonlinear, although  note that it was not
                                               18

-------
possible to capture longer-term effects due to the fact that the sample did not extend further into
the future. Thus, it appears that at least over the short term, the flooding event did reduce
property values beyond what they were prior to the flood.

In the final model presented in Table 6, we explore whether wider floodplains generate
detrimental effects on properties within those areas. Thus, we define floodplains between 100
and 200 hundred years, 200 and 300 years, and so on.  Given that the detrimental effects of
flood risk appear to dissipate within the 100-year floodplain, it is not surprising that none of the
other floodplain categories are negative and significant. Indeed, the region between the 300 and
400-year floodplain sells at a premium over those outside the floodplains. We also explored
whether the flooding event negatively influenced any of the property values within the 200 year
and beyond areas, and found no evidence of detrimental impacts.

6. Conclusions
This study employed GIS tools to more accurately characterize flood risks in an urban
watershed. An interpolation  scheme to evaluate the level of flood risk in the watershed has been
developed and applied to the Menomonee River watershed. Together with a wide range of other
locational attributes, flood variables were matched to geocoded properties to investigate
impacts on housing prices. Our findings support the hypothesis that increases in flood risk
decrease values for residential properties within the 100-year floodplain. Unlike other studies
which conclude that there are uniform impacts within the floodplain, we find declining  effects
with reduced risk. Furthermore, there is evidence suggesting that flooding events heighten
sensitivity to such risks and  raise the property price premium associated with a given  level of
flood risk. Negative impacts beyond the 100-year floodplain are not found.

The use of GIS tools to complement statistical analyses of urban spatial  problems will continue
to grow as PC-based GIS software becomes more  powerful, and geographic data sources more
abundant. In addition, GIS tools  can serve as a conduit for interdisciplinary work as geographic
modeling in the physical sciences and engineering  is integrated with spatial modeling by  social
scientists.
                                              19

-------
Acknowledgements
This research is sponsored by the EPA/NSF Watershed Management Program in a form of a
grant to Marquette University. Views and findings included in the presentation are those of the
authors and not of the funding agency.
                                           20

-------
              Table 1: Variable Definitions and Data Sources
        Dependent Variable and Variables in the Structural Category
Variable Name
Real Price
Age house
Full bath
Half bath
Bedrooms
Other rooms
Building area
Garage spaces
Garage attached
Lot size
Definition
[mean, standard deviation]
Real sale price of the property
(1982-84 dollars)
Age of the house in years
Number of full baths in house
Number of half baths in house
Number of bedrooms in house
Total rooms minus number of bedrooms
Area of the master
bedroom+bedroom2+livingroom+kitchen
in square feet
Note: Due to data limitations, all of the
square footage is not captured
Number of garage spaces
1 = garage attached, 0 = otherwise
Lot area in square feet
Source
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
MLS
Predicted
Sign
LnRPRICE
is the
dependent
variable
-
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Variables in the Neighborhood, Fiscal, and Disequilibrium Control Categories
Variable Name
Sulphur Dioxide
Major road
Menomonee
Parkway
% mile I94
Commute time
% railroad
Toxic Release Inv.
Definition
[mean, standard deviation]
Distance weighted value of the nearest air
monitor, computed as sulfur
dioxide/distance of monitor to property
1 = property resides on a primary road,
0 = otherwise
1= property resides on the Menomonee
River Parkway,
0 = otherwise
1= property within a quarter of a mile of
Interstate 94, 0 = otherwise
Average household travel time to work for
the block group in minutes
1= property within a quarter of a mile of
railroad tracks, 0 = otherwise
1= property within a quarter of a mile of a
manufacturing facility on the Toxic Release
Inventory, 0 = otherwise
Source
LandView III
ArcView
ArcView
ArcView
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
ArcView
BASINS
Predicted
Sign

-
+
~

~

                                     21

-------
Variable Name

Historic Preservation
Districts















TS ratio


Pop density




Median year built




Median HH income




% Asian




% Black




Definition
[mean, standard deviation]
HPDTOSA 1= resides within The
Wauwatosa Avenue Historic District, 0=
otherwise
HPDCHURCH 1= resides within The
Church Street Historic District, 0=
otherwise
HPDWASH-HIGH 1= resides within The
Washington Highlands Historic District,
0= otherwise
HPDCONCORD 1= resides within The
Concordia Historic District, 0=otherwise
HPDMCKINLEY 1=resides within The
McKinley Boulevard Historic District,
0=otherwise
HPDHIMOUNT 1= resides within The
Washington-Hi Mount Boulevards Historic
District, 0=otherwise
Teacher student ratio for the school district
in which the property resides

Population density in the block group,
measured as people per square mile



Median year of houses built in the block
group



Median household income of the block
group



Percent of the block group population that
is Asian



Percent of the block group population that
is Black



Source

Maps
received
from:
Wauwatosa
City
Planning
(first three)
Milwaukee
City
Planning
(last three)






Respective
High
Schools
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
Predicted
Sign

















+


?




?




+




?




?




22

-------
Variable Name
%Hispanic
%Other
%Occupied units
%Owner occupied
% Poverty
Tax rate
Wauwatosa
Valley Park
Days on market
Definition
[mean, standard deviation]
Percent of the block group population that
is Hispanic
Percent of block group population which
falls into the "other" category
Percent of the block group housing units
that are occupied
Percent of block group housing units that
are owner occupied
Percent of block group population that is
below the poverty line
Tax payment/ [sale price/1000]
1 = property resides in Wauwatosa,
0 = Milwaukee
1 = property resides in Valley Park,
0 = otherwise
Number of days the house was on the
market
Source
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
1990
Census of
Population
and
Housing
MLS
MLS
ArcView
MLS
Predicted
Sign
?
+
+
+

-
+
?
~
Time Related Variables
Variable Name
Seasonal Dummy
Variables
Year
Definition
[mean, standard deviation]
SPRING=1 (March-May), 0=otherwise
SUMMER=1 (June-Aug), 0=otherwise
FALL=1 (Sept-Nov), 0=otherwise
WINTER=1 (Dec-Feb), 0=otherwise
1= dwelling sold in ith year, 0=otherwise
i = 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998
Source
MLS
MLS
Predicted
Sign
?
Winter is
omitted
variable
?
1995 is
omitted
variable
            23

-------
Variables in the Flood Category
Variable Name
Floodplain10o
Floodplain2oo
Floodplain30o
Floodplain40o
Floodplain50o
Flood Risk Measure
Recurrence Interval
After
Days since
Definition
[mean, standard deviation]
1= resides in the 100-year, 0=otherwise
1= resides in space beyond 100 year
flood and within 200 year flood,
0=otherwise
1= resides in space beyond 200-year and
within 300 year flood, 0=otherwise
1= resides in space beyond 300-year and
within 400 year flood, 0=otherwise
1=resides in space beyond 400-year and
within 500 year flood, 0=otherwise
Minus log of flood risk
The expected number of years between
flooding events
1= after the June 1997 flood,
0 = otherwise
The number of days since the June 1997
flood.
Source
ArcView
Arcview
ArcView
ArcView
ArcView
Predicted
Sign

+
+
?
?
                24

-------
                      Table 2: Descriptive Statistics
             Dependent Variable and Structural Characteristics:
Variable
Mean
SD
Maximum
Minimum
RPRICE
Agehouse
Full bath
Half bath
Bedrooms
Other rooms
Building area
Garage space
Garage attached
Lot size
Variables
Variable
Sulpher Dioxide
Major road
Menomonee
Parkway
% mile 194
Commute time
% mile railroad
Toxic Release Inv.
HPDTosa
HPD Church
HPDWash.
Highlands
HPD Concord
HPD McKinley
HPD Himount
TS ratio
Pop. Density
Median Year Built
Median HH income
%ASIAN
%BLACK
%HISPANIC
%OTHER
%OCCUPIED
%OWNEROCC
%POVERTY
Taxrate
79048.1
59.970
1.278
0.423
3.211
3.488
705.214
1.793
0.193
7081.323
in Neighborhood,
Mean
153080
0.062
0.009

0.042
16.991
0.093
0.468
0.006
0.006
0.003

0.003
0.004
0.008
0.118
7247.6333
1945.530
40259.25
1.137
2.970
1.369
0.460
0.977
72.808
5.021
0.028
34708.90
16.678
0.487
0.497
0.741
0.990
155.137
0.639
0.395
3768.827
360962.6
138
4
2
7
8
1917
4
1
58344
Fiscal, and Disequilibrium Control
SD
53632.03
0.241
0.094

0.200
2.239
0.291
0.499
0.078
0.078
0.058

052
0.064
0.087
0.082
3530.725
7.017
11716.96
1.754
11.040
1.537
0.906
0.024
18.028
9.20
2.181
Maximum
504252
1
1

1
32.633
1
1
1
1
1

1
1
1
0.21
27743.90
1975
66,649
18
90
13
9
1
99
81
0.077
7348.029
1
1
0
2
0
400
0
0
1381
Categories
Minimum
91485.71
0
0

0
12.435
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0.03
752.500
1939
7557
0
0
0
0
0.765
5
0
0.009
                                      25

-------
Valley Park
Wauwatosa
Days on Market

Variable
Spring
Summer
Fall
Winter
Year95
Year96
Year97
Year98

Variable
Flood Risk Measure
Recurrence Interval10o
Recurrence Interval50o
Floodplain10o
After
Days since
0.009
0.633
54.023
Time
Mean
0.282
0.336
0.234
0.401
0.157
0.302
0.321
0.220
Flood
Mean
24.562
36.9
174.102
0.0105
0.358
69.317
0.094
0.482
67.673
Related Variables
SD
0.450
0.472
0.424
0.490
0.364
0.459
0.467
0.414
Related Variables
SD
26.104
29.258
167.652
0.102
0.479
113.661
1
1
1095

Maximum
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Maximum
179.42
100
489.778
1
1
397
0
0
0

Minimum
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Minimum
0.8
6.8
6.8
0
0
0
26

-------
Table 3 - Hedonic Regression with Log Flood Risk
Variable
Intercept
Coefficient
10.81558
t-score
3.3085
Structural Characteristics
Agehouse
Bedrooms
Full bath
Half bath
Other rooms
Garage space
Garage attached

Building area
Building area *
Building area
Lotsize
Lotsize*Lotsize
-0.001594
0.049593
0.061932
0.112181
0.057908
0.047633
0.013503

0.001224
-3.85E-07

2.10E-05
-2.49E-10
-3.149
7.0307
6.0275
12.078
11.015
6.6189
1.1273

10.133
-5.542

6.7995
-4.832
Neighborhood and Fiscal Characteristics
Sulpher Dioxide
Major road
% mile 194
% mile railroad
Commute time
Toxic Release Inv.
Teacher Student ratio
Population Density
Median HH Income
%Asian
% Black
%Hispanic
%White
%Owner occupied
% Occupied units
% Poverty
Tax rate
Median year built
R-squared
Mean dep. variable
F-statistic
-1.16E-06
-0.057245
0.084733
-0.059753
-0.008686
-0.027812
0.028262
-2.91E-06
3.07E-06
0.030403
0.006825
-0.02546
0.013137
-0.000667
-0.001439
-0.004957
-0.020374
-0.003079
0.917731
6.574281
335.6265
-3.134
-3.99
3.1272
-3.279
-4.69
-2.633
0.3231
-1.355
3.9097
4.2097
1.1918
-3.941
2.3295
-1.26
-0.003
-3.852
-19.32
-1.894



Variable Coefficient t-score

Time Dummy Variables
Year 1996 -0.014904
Year 1997 -0.075591
Year 1998 -0.079498
Spring quarter -0.00728
Summer quarter -0.009696
Fall quarter -0.001184
Historic Preservation Districts and
variables
HPD Church 0.063261
HPDConcordia 0.412596

HPD High Mount 0.141946
HPD McKinley 0.486035
HPDWauwatosa 0.069102
HPD Wash. Highlands 0.213099
Wauwatosa 0.198344
Valley Park -0.023755
Menomonee Pkwy 0.071265
Flood Risk Variables
Flood Risk Measure 0.000253
Disequilibrium Control
Days on market -8.17E-06










Adjusted R-squared 0.914996
S. E. of regression 0. 1 3761 1
Log likelihood 831.532


-1.295
-6.212
-5.296
-0.595
-0.845
-0.093
locational

2.982
3.312

2.039
5.299
1.198
8.95
10.31
-0.264
1.795

2.003

-0.115













                        27

-------
     Table 4: Model II—Flood Risk within thefloodplain

  LnRPRICE = f (Structure, Neighborhood, Time Sold, Flood),

 Variable                           Coefficient    t-statistic
Floodplain10o
Floodplain10o*Recurrence Interval
   -0.078337
    0.002332
-1.931
3.4425
    Table 5: Model III—Flood Risk and a Flooding Event
  LnRPRICE = f (Structure, Neighborhood, Time Sold, Flood),
 Variable
Coefficient    t-statistic
Floodplain10o
Floodplain10o*Recurrence Interval
Floodplain10o*Days Since Flood
   -0.050991
    0.002091
   -0.000378
-1.041
2.6966
-2.233
  Table 6: Model III—Flood Risk in Expanded Flood Zones
  LnRPRICE = f (Structure, Neighborhood, Time Sold, Flood),
 Variable
Coefficient    t-statistic
Floodplain10o
Floodplain10o*Recurrence Interval
Floodplain10o*Days Since Flood
Floodplain2oo
Floodplain30o
Floodplain40o
Floodplain50o
    -0.05261
    0.002184
   -0.000366
   -0.020201
   -0.046497
    0.143638
   -0.007187
-1.064
2.5027
-2.177
-0.323
-1.366
  4.87
-0.118
                               28

-------
REFERENCES

Babcock, M., and Mitchell, B. 1980. "Impact of Flood Hazard on Residential Property
      Values in Gait (Cambridge), Ontario." Water Resources Bulletin, 16: 532-537.

Barnard, J.R. 1978. "Externalities from Urban Growth: The Case of Increased Storm
      Runoff and Flooding." Land Economics, 54: 298-315.

Clark, D.E., and Herrin, W.E. 1997. "Historical Preservation Districts and Home Sales
      Prices: Evidence from the Sacramento Housing Market."  The Review of Regional
      Studies, 27: 29-48.

Coffin, D.A. 1989. "The Impact of Historical Districts on Residential Property Values."
      Eastern Economic Journal, 15: 221-28.

Correia,  F.N., Rego, F.C., Da Graca Saraiva, M., and Ramos,  I. 1998.  "Coupling GIS
      with hydrologic and hydraulic flood modeling." Water Resources Management,
      12(3):229-249.

Cropper, M.L., L.B. Deck, and K.E. McConnell. 1988. "On the Choice of Functional Form
      for Hedonic Price Functions." Review of Economics and Statistics, 70: 668-675.

Damianos, D., and Shabman.  L.A. 1976. "Land Prices in Flood Hazard Areas: Applying
      Methods of Land Value Analysis." Offices of Water Resources  Research. Project
      A-054-VA.

Donnelly, W.A. 1989. "Hedonic Price Analysis of the Effect of a Floodplain Location on
      Property Values." Water Resources Bulletin, 25: 581-586.

Gujarati, DamodarN. 1995. Basic Econometrics McGraw-Hill,  Inc., New York.

Kiel, K.A., and McClain,  K.T. 1995. "House Prices during Siting Decision Stages: The
      Case of an Incinerator from Rumor through Operation," Journal of Environmental
      Economics and Management, 28: 241-55.

Lancaster, K.J. 1966. "A New Approach to Consumer Theory," Journal of Political
      Economy, 74:132-157.

McLin, S.G. 1993.  "Combined GIS-HEC procedure for flood hazard evaluation." Report
      No. LAUR933008, Los Alamos National Lab., NM, USA

Park, W.M., and Miller, W.L. 1982. "Flood Risk Perceptions and Overdevelopment in the
      Floodplain." Water Resources Bulletin, 18: 89-94.

Rosen, S.  1974. "Hedonic prices and implicit markets: product differentiation in pure
      competition." Journal of Political Economy, 82: 132-57.

Shabman, L. and Stephenson, K. 1996. "Searching for the Correct Benefit Estimate:
      Empirical Evidence for an Alternative Perspective." Land Economics, 72: 433-39.
                                      29

-------
Shaefer, K.A. 1990. "The Effect of Floodplain Designation/Regulations on Residential
       Property Values: A Case Study in North York, Ontario." Canadian Water
       Resources Journal, 15: 319-333.

Shilling, J.D., Sirmans, C.F.,  Benjamin, J.D. 1987. "Flood Insurance, Wealth Distribution,
       and Urban Property Values." Journal of Urban Economics, 26: 43-53.

Speyrer, J.F., and Ragas, W.R. 1991. "Housing Prices and Flood Risk: An Examination
       Using Spline Regression." Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 4:
       395-407.

Thompson, M.E., and Stoevener, H.H. 1983. "Estimating Residential Flood Control
       Benefits Using Implicit Price Equations." Water Resources Bulletin,  19: 889-95.

Tobin, G.A., and Newton, T.G. 1986. "A Theoretical Framework of Flood Induced
       Changes in Urban Land Values." Water Resources Bulletin, 22: 67-71.

US EPA (1998): http://www.epa.gov/ ...BASINS

Williams, G.P. (1978): Bank-full Discharge of Rivers. Water Resources Research
Zimmerman, R. 1979. "The Effect of Flood Plain Location on Property Values: Three
       Towns in Northeastern New Jersey." Water Resources Bulletin, 15: 1653-6
                                      30

-------
                 A GIS Demonstration for Greenbelt Land Use Analysis
                                          Joanna J. Becker
                     Environmental Planning Services, Santa Rosa, California
Purpose

The goal of this project was to demonstrate what analy-
ses could  be undertaken with a GIS  program without
substantial GIS training ortime input. The demonstration
attempted to show how planning staff and decision-makers
could easily and usefully employ GIS. It was not intended
as a complete study of all possible variables. Only avail-
able  data  were used.  Diverse techniques were  pre-
sented while keeping the content as simple and relevant
as possible. The project was designed as  a demonstra-
tion using  regional scale data and was combined  with
another parcel-specific demonstration that showed
urban  GIS applications.

The  demonstration showed the following  modeling
techniques:

• Buffer zones

• Combination of variables (overlays)

• Weighting  of values

• Absolute value variables

• Reclassification of final values

Site Location

The San Luis Obispo watershed comprises an area of
approximately  84  square  miles. The watershed drains
into the Pacific Ocean  at Avila, California.  The major
creek in the watershed, San Luis Obispo Creek,  is a
perennial  creek,  but many of its tributaries have  only
seasonal flow. Agriculture and grazing are the major
land uses  in the watershed, although a significant num-
ber of areas  have been  developed.  Growth  of these
areas is moderate to limited but has a pronounced effect
on the watershed. The watershed also supports a large
amount of riparian and other natural vegetation. Figure 1
demonstrates  the distribution  of  land cover/land  use
within the watershed.
                                      Watershed
                                      Study Perimeter
 City Greenbelt
           Pacific Ocean
Figure 1. A generalized map of the San Luis Obispo area show-
        ing the location of the two ARC/INFO GIS study areas:
        (1) the parcel analysis in the Dalideo area and (2) the
        regional analysis in the city greenbelt stippled area
        surrounding the city. All boundaries are approximate
        and are for schematic purposes only (1, 2).

Background

The City Council approved the open space element of
the San Luis Obispo General Plan in January 1994 and
identified a greenbelt area that extended from the Urban
Reserve Line approximately to the boundaries of the
San  Luis Obispo Creek watershed. The intent of this
greenbelt area is to provide a buffer to the city and to
preserve the agricultural and natural resources of the
area.

-------
The data forthe watershed were already available through
the work of the Landscape Architecture Department of
California  Polytechnic State University  at  San  Luis
Obispo for a study of San Luis Obispo Creek (1), and
the city's greenbelt area lay approximately within those
boundaries (see Figure 1). Variables were selected that
could be extracted from the available data.

The data for the creek study were initially entered into
workstation ARC/INFO in a polygon format. They were
then transferred to MacGIS, a PC raster program, for
simplicity of use. The final product was then transferred
back to ARC/INFO as a grid format and viewed in a PC
version of ARC/VIEW using DOS files.

In interpreting the overlay of values, the assumption was
made that the occurrence of high  values for the most
variables would result in the most suitable land for that
land  use.  This was  presented as a  range of  values
derived from the total values divided into three approxi-
mately equal groups of high, medium, and low. In addi-
tion to providing a composite analysis, however, any one
of the data sets can be queried separately such that, for
example, slopes greater than 20 percent could be iden-
tified or two layers such as storie index and distance
from roads could be compared.

Criteria

Note that the ratings of high, medium, and low are based
on available data, and the rating of low implies no suit-
able  use.  In addition, these ratings do not  imply that
categories rated low could not be used for a particular
land  use but rather that other land  uses might be more
appropriate. For example, open space use was rated
low for  flatter slopes  but only  because this category
would likely be more suitable for agriculture.

The demonstration used an existing cell size of the data
on the MacGIS program of 75 meters per side, which is
assigned during the initial conversion process.  There-
fore, buffer zones are  in aggregates of 75 meters. This
size cell does not allow for minute analysis but reduces
the size of the files,  which may become  extensive in
raster format.

In presenting the final analysis, land contained within the
urban reserve limit line has been excluded.

Procedure

Initially,  eight variables from the  available data were
deemed suitable for this analysis:

• Slope

• Storie index (indicating soil fertility)

• Distance from major roads

• Distance from creeks
• Erosion hazard1

• Oak woodlands

• Land use compatibility

• Grasslands2
After selecting the six variables,  the  categories were
receded to conform to a rating of high, medium, or low.

Each land use was then evaluated separately for every
variable except for combining the variables of slope and
distance from creeks for rangeland  analysis. In this case,
composite values were assigned to the two variables, then
receded to produce a high, medium, or low rating.

After obtaining maps for each of the variables according
to land  use,  the  maps were  compiled to indicate the
density of overlays for each land  use category. In as-
sessing the suitability of land for the three land uses, the
values of all the variables, except land use, were aggre-
gated and a rating system developed. In  addition, a
double weight was assigned to the storie index in evalu-
ating agriculture  (because this  is a primary index for
considering prime agricultural land). If less than 75 me-
ters, the  distance from  creeks  also  received  added
weight in consideration of open space preservation (be-
cause this is likely to ensure  the least erosion and
pollution to the waterways). The weighting then altered
the scores as follows:
Land Use

Agriculture
Rangeland
Open space
Attributes

    5
    4
    5
Number of Values

        6
        4
        6
After the values had been  assigned for each ranking,
further receding established three categories of high,
medium, and low for each land use.

The land use buffer was added to this receded  aggre-
gate map and resulted in an additional three values due
to the interaction of the buffer with each category. These
additional values were receded according to each land
use to produce a final map with three values.

The Urban  Reserve Area was overlaid on the final map
to exclude urban areas.

Assumptions

In determining what properties would  be most suitable for
each land use, the following assumptions were made.
1 After reviewing the material, erosion hazard was eliminated because
 it was similar to the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) storie index
 data while the identification of native grasslands fell only within the
 area currently designated as open space land, so it was not included.
2 See above note.

-------
Open Space

This land is desirable to preserve as open space  be-
cause of the existence of scenic or significant natural
resources. It could also be land that is inappropriate for
other uses due to the presence of such factors as steep
slopes or poor  soils. A distinction is  made  in the final
map between land that is designated open space for
recreational uses, such as parks, and land preserved for
habitat or species protection. Open space adjacent to
an urban area would be rated high if public accessibility
was desirable but low if its purpose was resource pro-
tection or preservation. Separate maps  based on two
types of proposed uses present the contrast  in analysis.

The analysis of the variables thus was rated as follows:

A. Land with steep slopes and therefore less suited for
   other purposes.

B. Land that has oak woodland vegetation resources.

C. Riparian land.

D. Low storie index  indicating a  lack of suitability for
   agriculture or rangeland.

E. At least approximately one-eighth of a mile from a
   major road to avoid negative impact on wildlife.

F.  Either approximately one-quarter of a mile from ur-
   ban areas if designated to protect resources or adja-
   cent to urban areas if designated to serve as parks and
   recreation.

Agriculture

This land use includes all forms of agricultural activity;
obviously, its suitability for specific crops and practices
would vary. The determination of suitability would need
to be made on a site-specific basis.

For the purpose  of general agricultural suitability,  the
highest land suitability for agriculture was a rating of the
variables as follows:

A. Land that does not have oak woodland.

B. Land that is  not close to  perennial creeks  (to avoid
  fertilizer/pesticide runoff contamination).

C. The flattest slopes.

D. The highest storie index.

E. Proximity to a major road (considered an advantage
  for trucking and farm equipment access).

Rangeland

Some types of  livestock  can graze under most condi-
tions, but for purposes of this analysis, land more suited
for  either open space or agricultural designation was
rated above that of rangeland. The major limitation to
suitability of land for rangeland was  a  combination of
steep slopes and proximity to creeks. A rating of medium
for the other variables was considered  the most desir-
able for rangeland purposes.

Details of the Variables

Storie Index

In determining the most suitable uses according to soil
fertility, the SCS storie index rating was used, with a
modification of the categories to three to accommodate
the ratings of high, medium, and low that were used
throughout the  analysis.  Therefore, the first two SCS
categories  of excellent and good were combined into
Category 1. Categories fair and poor were combined
into Category 2, and categories very poor, nonagricul-
tural, urban,  and mines  were combined to compose
Category 3.

Subsequently, receding was undertaken to  prioritize
these categories according to land use:
Agriculture
Rangeland
Open space

Roads
High for Category 1
High for Category 2
High for Category 3
The five principal arterials of the watershed were used
in this analysis:

• Highway 1

• Highway 227

• Los Osos Valley Road

• U.S. 101

• Avila Valley/San Luis

A buffer on each side of the road was created, which
was then receded into the three categories of more than
75 meters, 75 meters to 150 meters, and greater than
150 meters. Each land use was then evaluated accord-
ing to these criteria, with agriculture deemed the most
suitable closest to the roads and open space the least
suitable.

Slope

The slope categories in the San Luis Obispo watershed
data set were divided into a number of classes, which were
receded  into  the most  appropriate  grouping  of three
classes for the analysis of the three land uses. The existing
categories were not altered for the purpose of the demon-
stration, so they do not necessarily represent the most
ideal slopes for the particular uses. A separate category of
less than 10 percent slopes was provided for agriculture
because  most  agricultural practices  require flat land.

-------
Slopes between 10 and  21.5 percent would be limited
to such  activities as orchards or vineyards.
Agriculture:
Open space:
 < 10 percent
 10 to 21.5 percent
 > 21.5  percent

 < 10 percent
 10 to 46 percent
 > 46 percent
High (H)
Medium (M)
Low (L)

L
M
H
No  slope analysis was undertaken for rangeland  be-
cause this category was combined with that for streams
(see Streams section).

Urban Adjacency

Urban adjacency was treated as  an overlay of the  ag-
gregate map of the  other variables because it is an
absolute value. That is, this variable has no ranking.
Land is either within or outside the buffer. The suitability
of each land use  adjacent to urban areas was deter-
mined, then the aggregate map was adjusted according
to a comparison of the receded aggregate values with
the  designated ranking of land use suitability.

The first step was to recede the  existing data on land
uses  (interpreted  from 1989 aerial photography  ob-
tained from the United States Department of Agriculture
[USDA], Agricultural Stabilization  and  Conservation
Service, Atascadero, California) into urban/commercial
areas and  nonurban/noncommercial  areas. A  buffer
zone of approximately one-quarter of a mile was then
applied  around the  urban/commercial  areas and an
analysis undertaken of suitability for the three land uses
to be located within this buffer.

In making the analysis, the following assumptions were
made:
Land Use
Ranking
Agriculture    L

Rangeland    M

Open space   H

              L
           Conflict with dust, noise,
           pesticides, and urban use
           Fire hazard of open
           grassland near buildings
           Most suitable if used as
           parks/recreation
           Least suitable if
           designated for
           habitat/wildlife protection
Therefore, the analysis provided for two planning alter-
natives for open space, with the scenarios presented as
separate maps overlaid on the aggregate map for the
other rangeland variables.

In interpreting this map, the combined values were rated
according to the above criteria, with any values lower
than the desired ranking receiving a low value no matter
what the aggregate value had been. This produced the
following results:

• Agriculture: A rating of low for any land within the
  buffer zone.

• Rangeland: A rating of medium for any land within
  the buffer zone except that rated low for the aggre-
  gate map.

• Open Space: A rating equivalent to the rating of the
  aggregate  map  if the land  was  to  be used for
  parks/recreation, or a rating of low for any land within
  the buffer zone if the land was to be used for habitat
  protection.

Streams

The  original  data  for  streams (from 1:24,000-scale
USGS maps), which included both intermittent and per-
ennial creeks, were used for rangeland analysis. A buffer
of 150 meters was then applied to these streams, and
these data were combined with the slope  analysis. This
combination was important in evaluating the  erosion
hazard and resulting stream pollution caused by nitro-
gen waste and hoof disturbance. The complete stream
complex for the watershed area was therefore evaluated
using the following matrix:
                                       Stream Buffer
                                       < 75 meters
                                       75 to 150 meters
                                       > 300 meters
                                    <21.5
                                    percent

                                      1/L
                                     4/M
                                     7/H
                                Slope

                              21.5 to 46
                                percent

                                 2/M
                                 5/H
                                 8/H
      >46
     percent

       3/L
      6/M
      9/M
                The stream data were then modified for agricultural and
                open space land use analysis to indicate only the per-
                ennial creeks as defined by the California Department
                of Fish  and Game. Buffers were created for this as
                follows:
                Stream Buffer

                < 150 meters
                150 to 300 meters
                > 300 meters

                Oak Woodlands
                      Open Space    Agriculture
                      H
                      M
                      L
L
M
H
                                       The receding of oak woodland data for agriculture was
                                       different than for the other two land uses  because
                                       the presence of oak woodlands is  not conducive to
                                       agriculture:
                                       No oak woodlands
                                       < 10 percent
                                       > 10 percent
                                              H
                                              M
                                              L

-------
The suitability of oak woodlands for open space and    References
rangeland was ranked as follows:                         ^  Ha||ock  B G  L s Bowker WD  Bremer  and D N  Long  19g4

                       Open Space        Rangeland       Nutrient objectives and best management  practices for San Luis
                       —*	*	        	"	       Obispo Creek. San Luis Obispo, CA: Coastal Resources Institute,
                                                             California Polytechnic State University.
< 33 percent          L                   M
                                                          2.  Community Development Department of San Luis Obispo. 1994.
33 to 75 percent      M                  H                Open space element for the city of San Luis Obispo general plan.
> 75 percent - high    H                  L                san Luis Obispo, CA.

-------
          Small Is Beautiful: GIS and Small Native American Reservations—
                      Approach, Problems, Pitfalls, and Advantages
                                          Jeff Besougloff
          Upper Sioux and Lower Sioux Indian Communities, Redwood Falls, Minnesota
Background

The Lower Sioux Indian Reservation
The Lower Sioux Indian Reservation covers 1,743 acres
in  southwestern  Minnesota  bordering the Minnesota
River. The land base consists of several hundred acres
of prime, flat agricultural land, a large wetlands slough
complex, prairie  pothole wetlands, bottom land wet-
lands, small lakes, and approximately 250 acres of tim-
ber and brush. The  elevation ranges from Minnesota
River level to the adjacent bluffs several  hundred  feet
higher.
This rural reservation contains a moderate amount of
infrastructure, including paved and dirt roads, 12-acre
sewage lagoon serving a moderately sized casino, com-
munity water system  composed of a  tower and small
treatment plant for the 90 mostly single-family dwelling
homes,  convenience  store/gas station/gift shop, com-
munity center, small two-room schoolhouse, pottery works
with  gift  shop, warehouse, and  church.  The  casino-
fueled economic  boost to the community recently re-
sulted in improvements to infrastructure and plans for
additional projects.

Office of the Environment
The  tribal government was  formed under the Indian
Reorganization Act of 1934. The governing body is an
elected five-person tribal community council that admin-
isters several government departments and is responsi-
ble for all government activities.
Under a  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
Region 5 multimedia grant, the Upper Sioux and Lower
Sioux Office of the Environment (OE) was formed in late
1992. This unique joint venture between two tribes  and
EPA envisioned moving the tribal governments into com-
pliance with major federal environmental legislation. At
the present time,  only the Lower Sioux are developing
a tribal geographic information system (GIS). Therefore,
this article is solely  applicable to this community, al-
though adoption  of an Upper Sioux Community  GIS
would likely follow a similar lifeline.

Environmental Regulation in Indian Country

Reservations are subject to a bewildering array of envi-
ronmental regulations. Numerous meetings, publications,
projects, and court decisions are devoted to determining
what law does  or does  not  apply  on  any particular
reservation. In very general terms, the following can be
stated: state environmental regulations do not apply,
federal regulations do apply, and tribal regulations may
apply. From a tribal environmental employee's point of
view, numerous environmental regulations (whether fed-
eral or tribal) do exist that apply to reservation activities
and land, and they require compliance.

The Problem and the Solution

The OE's responsibility is to bring the reservation into
compliance with the  14 major pieces of environmental
legislation administered through EPA and directly appli-
cable to tribes. The OE finds itself responsible for any
and all other applicable environmental regulations and
all other less-regulated environmental media. The OE
currently has a staff of one.

In addition to the  responsibility of moving the tribes into
compliance with federal environmental regulations, the
OE also develops environmental infrastructure, insti-
tutes environmental programs, and performs grant writ-
ing. Lower Sioux programs  currently  include Clean
Water Act (CWA) and Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA)
compliance,  solid waste  planning  including  develop-
ment and institution of a household recycling program,
wetlands regulations compliance, wetlands  mapping
and  restoration,  National Environmental  Policy Act
(NEPA) compliance and site assessments, basic hydro-
logical data gathering and mapping, radon testing and
mitigation, environmental education as necessary, SARA

-------
Title III compliance and planning, and a variety of related
tasks.

Contracts  or grants are currently being administered
under several Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) programs,
U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and U.S. Army Corps
of Engineers (COE) matching funds programs, two EPA
programs,  one  Federal  Emergency  Management
Agency (FEMA) program, one Administration of Native
Americans (ANA) program, one Great Lakes Intertribal
Council  (GLITC) program,  and a cooperative  project
with the National Tribal Environmental Council (NTEC).

Needless to say, responsibilities of the OE are limited by
staff hours rather than need. As distressing as the res-
ervation's  unaddressed environmental  needs  are,
equally distressing (prior to CIS development) was the
helter skelter manner in which the OE digested the data
and information flowing into the office.  Because of its
broad responsibilities and the administrative problems
being encountered, the OE began to investigate devel-
oping a tribal CIS.

The Lower Sioux GIS

System Selection

The Lower Sioux GIS system is a networked PC station
through the Bureau  of Indian Affairs Geographic Data
Service  Center's  (BIA  GDSC's)  two  Sun   MP690
SparcServers in Golden, Colorado.  The GDSC is the
hub of BIA's GIS and remote sensing program, known
as the Indian  Integrated Resources Information  Pro-
gram (IIRIP). The purpose of the IIRIP is twofold: first,
make GIS and remote sensing technology available to
tribes and BIA personnel; second, transfer these tech-
nologies to tribal organizations.

Database  development  and management functions,
technical support, development of simplified user inter-
faces, remote sensing interpretation, and  implementa-
tion   of  equipment  directives   are  performed   by
approximately 30 GDSC employees for approximately
230 GDSC users.  User technical support  is also avail-
able through  BIA field offices, each of which has a
designated GIS coordinator. Simplified  user interfaces
for specialized programs have  been developed  includ-
ing  the Lightening Display System and the Land Title
Mapping System.  Quality control  is provided for non-
BIA-produced data that will be inputted.

The GDSC has standardized on the ARC/INFO family
of software produced  by Environmental Systems Re-
search Institute (ESRI). GDSC has developed a number
of hardware/software configuration options depending
on tribal needs and financial resources and based upon
GDSC experience. The OE happily relies on this expe-
rience to avoid the familiar horror stories related to
equipment and software incompatibility.
Based upon GDSC configuration advice, the initial GIS
setup will be on the OE's existing Compaq PC using
Tektronix Terminal Emulation software (EM4105) and a
Multitech modem (MT932BA). The system can use the
OE's Hewlett Packard (HP) DeskJet 500,  although a
significant upgrade, possibly to an HP Paint or HP Excel
Paint, is soon  expected. Initial startup hardware and
software costs  are minimal in this configuration. Costs
for the  above equipment and introductory training  are
less than $5,000.

GIS Users at Lower Sioux

Initial setup and data loading will be in the OE, and the
OE employee will receive introductory training on  the
system. Because the OE is formed through a coopera-
tive agreement between two tribes, the Upper Sioux and
the Lower Sioux, the  OE is centrally located between
the reservations. The system will probably be relocated
to the Lower Sioux Community Center within 1 year. A
tribal government employee will receive advanced GIS
training and be available for all tribal government depart-
ments and businesses.

Funding

In addition  to tribal contributions, funding has come
through several sources and joint agreements  with  the
tribe  and BIA, EPA, and ANA.

Training

The GDSC supplies no-cost training to tribes. The Geo-
graphic Data Service Center 1995 Training Catalog (no
federal document number available) offers eight formal
courses repeatedly throughout the year, a 5-week intern
program, and a cooperative student program. Courses
are held at the  GDSC or by request at BIA field offices
and tribal locations.

The GDSC also produces the monthly The Service Cen-
ter Review (ISSN 1073-6190), a helpful compilation of
current issues, available resources, system  bugs, and
other items of interest to GDSC users.

Data Collection and Input

Data collection can be divided  into three  categories:
aerial photography, portable global positioning system
(GPS) data, and ARC/INFO export files created under
contracted studies.

Aerial Photography

Surface features  and  topography will be obtained  us-
ing  aerial photography reduced to GIS format, then
downloaded to the GDSC. Coverages will consist of 62
categories of features on a scale of 1  inch = 100 feet
with 2-foot contour intervals.

-------
Global Positioning Systems

Use of a portable Trimble, Inc., GPS Pathfinder Pro XL
submeter GPS mapping system purchased with assis-
tance from an ANA grant will allow updating of surface
features and addition of nonsurface features as neces-
sary. It will also facilitate input of attribute data.

The GPS will also be used during field work by USGS
on the Lower Sioux hydrological  mapping project to
obtain  data that  otherwise would  not  be  put  into
ARC/INFO export file for any reason (i.e., it might not be
directly related to the project at hand or outside the
agreed upon data to be converted to ARC/INFO export
file form but nevertheless is of importance to the OE).
The alternative  is that this  type of information  never
makes it into the CIS and is lost.

ARC/INFO  Export  Files

Fortunately, most federal agencies that supply funding
to tribes for environmental work are well versed in CIS
applications and the need for CIS-ready data. The OE
now requires all information and mapping to be deliv-
ered as an ARC/INFO export file with  data registered to
a real world coordinate  system. Downloading of this
data to the GDSC mainframes allows for direct input of
the data. The OE has contemplated,  but not acted on,
conversion  of existing data for the CIS. This is an ex-
pensive and time  consuming process that must be
weighed in comparison with  recollecting the data. Ironi-
cally, the lack of reservation data therefore becomes a
benefit because time  consuming  and expensive data
conversion is unnecessary.

The Intertribal GIS Council

Information  gathering, networking,  and  addressing
uniquely tribal problems were some of the accomplish-
ments at the first annual meeting of the Intertribal GIS
Council (IGC) held in June 1994. Vendors as well as BIA
regional office and  GDSC  representatives answered
questions  and presented  panels. This annual confer-
ence is likely to become a major benefit to the tribe as
it continually develops the GIS.

The Future

As the tribal government becomes more familiarwith the
GIS, its uses, and advantages, recognized governmen-
tal needs  will  likely drive the development of further
coverages. The  OE  also expects to access existing
governmental data of importance to the tribe in an effort
to expand the GIS database and is  actively seeking
sources of such information.

Philosophical Caveat

Albert Einstein stated that, "The significant problems we
face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we
were at when we created them." Some assume that GIS
is the next level of reasoning in the environmental pro-
fession because we can accomplish tasks more quickly,
more efficiently, with more variables accounted for, and
beyond what we  could have hoped to accomplish prior
to GIS.

Essentially, what we have  gained is speed  and the
capacity to include additional data, which is not what
Einstein was referring to when he spoke of  the next
level. Wisdom,  in the sense  of a  higher  level  of
understanding,  is  the  necessary ingredient to  the
solution of current environmental  problems;  in other
words, movement beyond  the paradigm  that created
the problem. GIS may be the tool that pushes the envi-
ronmental professional to the next level of wisdom by
presenting the data and information  in a  manner that
allows the user to stand back and see more clearly on
a higher plane. But that level can be  found only within
the environmental professional  himself or herself and
not within  GIS.

-------
Reach File 3 Hydrologic Network and the Development of GIS Water Quality Tools
                                        Stephen Bevington
  Water Quality Section, Division of Environmental Management, North Carolina Department of
              Environment, Health, and Natural Resources, Raleigh, North Carolina
Introduction

The application of geographic information system (GIS)
tools to water quality management is limited by the lack
of geographically referenced data describing the surface
water environment. Ongoing efforts at the local, state,
and federal level are producing a multitude of GIS data
coverages describing land use/cover and relevant water
quality data files. As these data coverages become
available, water quality managers will need to develop
new analysis techniques to take advantage of the  vast
amount of geographically referenced data. A key step in
the development of analytical tools for  water quality
management will be the development and maintenance
of a coverage describing the structure and hydrology of
surface waters.

Reach File 3 (RF3) is one potential source of surface
water maps and topology  for the development of a
CIS-based  water quality  analysis tool. This paper de-
scribes a pilot project designed to examine the suitability
of RF3 as a network system for the collection, integra-
tion, and analysis of water quality data.

To be considered an appropriate water quality analysis
tool, RF3 should provide the following functions:

• Present  a working environment that allows users  to
  explore geographic relationships between surface water
  features, landmark features, and data coverages.

• Allow  users to select specific stream segments, in-
  cluding all points  upstream and  downstream of a
  given  point.

• Provide tools to assist users in partitioning water quality
  databases into hydrologically meaningful subsets.

Reach File 3

RF3  is a hydrographic database of the surface waters
of the United States. The database contains 3 million
river reaches mapped at 1:100,000 scale. The source
for RF3 arcs were digital line graphs (DLGs).

Attribute data for RF3 arcs include the major-minor DIG
pairs, stream name, water-body type, stream order, and
a unique identifying reach number. The  unique reach
numbers are structured in such  a way as to provide a
logical  hydrologic framework. Reach numbers can be
used to sort the database for all reaches in any specified
watershed  or  locate  all upstream  or downstream
reaches.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) origi-
nally designed RF3 as a tabular data set. It evolved into
a GIS data coverage, and EPA and the U.S. Geological
Survey (USGS) will  likely maintain it as a surface water
mapping standard. At present, RF3 as a GIS data layer
is not widely used for water quality applications.

RF3 Pilot Study: Uppeffadkin River Basin

The Upper Yadkin River basin (USGS h03040101) was
selected  to test  RF3 water quality applications (see
Figures 1 and 2). The Upper Yadkin  was chosen be-
cause of the availability of water quality and stream flow
data layers in that area. Also, the Upper Yadkin RF3 file
contained arcs depicting lakes and double-line rivers as
well as simple stream networks. These two-dimensional
water features present interesting complications to net-
work routing and  path-finding.
Figuie 1.  The Upper Yadkin River watershed, North Carolina
        and Virginia.

-------
Figure 2  RF3 hydrography for the UppeYadkin River basin.

Two forms of point source data were used in the study:
National   Pollutant  Discharge   Elimination  System
(NPDES)  wastewater discharge  points and  USGS
gages. The NPDES coverage includes data  on the per-
mit limits  such as daily flow, dissolved  oxygen, bio-
chemical oxygen demand  (BOD), and ammonia. The
USGS gage coverage includes data  on several flow
statistics for each USGS gage in the basin. Both data
layers contain information about the location of the site
and stream with which it is associated.

Coverages of counties and cities were also made avail-
able for geographic orientation.

Preparing the Network

The original RF3 file received from the USGS  had sev-
eral topological issues that needed to be  addressed
before RF3 could function as  a stream network. First,
not all arcs were connected to each other (see Figure 3).
The ARC/INFO command TRACE was  used to  select all
connected arcs.  This  revealed three  major blocks of
connected arcs and many isolated arcs. The three major
blocks were easily connected in ARCEDIT by extending
the main tributary links between the blocks.  Processing
of the isolated  arcs was not pursued for  this study.
Complete  processing of arcs for this RF3 basin would
not be difficult or time consuming, with  the  possible
exception  of the many arcs surrounding  the  lake.  A
functional  network encompassing a high percentage  of
the arcs was not difficult to achieve, however.

The second network issue concerned the direction of the
arcs. RF3 has all arcs oriented toward the top of the
watershed, with the exception of one side of double-line
streams. Arcs  that make up double-line streams are
oriented up one side of the double-line section and down
the other (see  Figure 3). Clearly, this complicates rout-
ing. To allow for accurate downstream routing,  arcs on
the downward-facing side  of the stream were flipped
using ARCEDIT. With all arcs in the  network facing
upstream,  most hydrologic routes can be traced. Given
the network system alone, upstream routing from dou-
ble-line streams does not function properly, ignoring all
tributaries  on one side of the double-line stream.
Double-Line Stream Routing

Many possible solutions  exist for the problems caused
by double-line streams.  Some involve  improving the
network (e.g., by adding center-line arcs down the mid-
dle of double-line streams). This would involve not only
adding arcs but establishing conductivity with all tribu-
taries.  This option will involve significant topological
changes to RF3.  To  maintain compatibility with other

-------
Figure 3  Original conductivity of RF3 hydrograph

RF3 and DIG sources, this option should be considered
only as part of a major RF3 upgrade.

At the other  end  of the technological spectrum, one
could simply instruct users  to  watch for double-line
streams and  select arcs from both sides of the river.
Users may have trouble with this  option, however, if they
are not working at an appropriate scale to easily differ-
entiate between double- and single-line streams.

A third option is to program an arc  macro language
(AMI) to  check for double-line  streams  and  run  up-
stream traces from both sides of the stream. The diffi-
culty in this method is  to find the appropriate starting
place on both banks. The algorithm developed to do this
goes as follows:

• Select stream segment and trace upstream. (Results
  in incomplete trace.)

• Find the minimum segment and mile of selected dou-
  ble-line streams.

• Unselect all double-line streams below minimum seg-
  ment and mile.

• Add to selection  all non-double-line streams.

• Trace from original point both upstream and down-
  stream.  (Results  in completed upstream trace.)
Results and Conclusions

AMLs and menus were written that can  perform  up-
stream and downstream traces on the RF3 stream net-
work  and select  data  points within  500 feet of  the
stream. Lists of attributes can be returned to the screen.
This system is easy to use and can be used to quickly
identify  general watersheds  and water  quality data
points. An AMI can be used to trace upstream from a
double-line stream given only one point on the stream
(see Figure 4). The success of these methods suggests
that two-dimensional surface water features can be suc-
cessfully integrated into RF3 water quality analyses.

This system could be further developed to support poly-
gon analysis using the ARC command BUFFER. Other
developments could include the procedures to write se-
lected attributes to files and increased flexibility for the
screen environment and outputs.

This pilot project demonstrates only a few of the poten-
tial applications of RF3 to water quality. Success in this
pilot project suggests that RF3 is a potentially valuable
water quality analysis tool. It may also be a valuable tool
for demonstrating the results of water quality analyses
to managers or the public.

Because RF3 will require some processing before network
algorithms can  be  run, it is important to plan for the inte-
gration of RF3  into other CIS tools and data coverages.

-------
                                                        ,, , Mj',< ,   ',  V . ^
                                                         *> , V ^ • '  "   \ j
                                                          i. -'-  <-; v  \  '"%
                                                          ' Jj 'f "f    *
Figure 4  Upstream and downstream traces of RF3 hydrogrgph


Ongoing efforts to  update RF3 may address some of   proceed in a way that is compatible with ongoing efforts
these problems. If RF3 is to be developed into a produc-   to update  RF3  and the  development of  new data
tive water quality management tool, it is  important to   sources.

-------
   Assessing the Long-Term Hydrologic Impact of Land Use Change Using a GIS-NPS

                            Model and the World Wide Web*
                                                                   BUDHENDRABHADURI1
                                                                          JON HARBOR2
                                                                         BERNIE ENGELS
                                                                         KYOUNG.J. LiM3
                                                                            DON JONES3
 This paper covers the contents of two presentations in the Diffuse Source session: "Assessing Long-
 Term Impact of Land Use Change on Runoff and Non-Point Source Pollution Using a GIS-NPS Model"
 and "A Web-based CIS Model for Assessing the Long-Term Impact of Land Use Change (L-THIA CIS
 WWW): Motivation and Development".
 Oak Ridge National Laboratory, PO Box 2008, MS 6237, Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6237; Phone: (423) 241
 9272; Email: bhaduribl@ornl.gov
: Department of  Earth  & Atmospheric Sciences, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47906-1397;
 Phone: (765) 494 9610; Email: jharbor@purdue.edu
1 Department of Agricultural & Biological Engineering, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907-1146;
 Phone: (765) 494 1198; Email: engelb@ecn.purdue.edu. kjlim@ecn.purdue.edu,
 jonesd@ecn.purdue.edu

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

ABSTRACT:
Assessment of the long-term hydrologic impacts of land use change is important for optimizing
management practices to control runoff and non-point source (NPS) pollution associated with
watershed development. Land use change, dominated by an increase in urban/impervious
areas, can have a significant impact on water resources. Non-point source (NPS) pollution is the
leading cause of degraded water quality in the US and urban areas are an important source of
NPS pollution. Despite widespread concern over the environmental impacts of land use
changes such as urban sprawl, most planners, government agencies and consultants lack
access to simple impact-assessment tools that can be used with readily available data. Before
investing  in sophisticated analyses and customized data collection, it is desirable to be able to
run initial  screening analyses using  data that are already available. In response to this need, we
developed a long-term hydrologic impact assessment technique (L-THIA) using the popular
Curve Number (CN) method that makes use of basic land use, soils and long-term rainfall data.
Initially developed as a spreadsheet application, the  technique allows a  user to compare the
hydrologic impacts of past, present  and any future land use change. Consequently, a NPS
pollution module was incorporated to develop the L-THIA/NPS model.

Long-term daily rainfall records are  used in combination with soils and land use information to
calculate  average annual runoff and NPS pollution at a watershed scale. Because of the
geospatial nature of land use and soils data, and the increasingly widespread use of GIS by
planners, government agencies and consultants, the model is linked to a Geographic
Information System (GIS) that allows convenient generation and management of model input
and output data, and provides advanced  visualization of the model results. Manipulation of the
land use layer, or provision of multiple  land use layers  (for different scenarios), allows for rapid
and simple comparison of impacts. To  increase access to L-THIA, we have begun development
of a WWW-accessible version of the method. Using databases housed on our computers, the
user can select any location in the US and perform L-THIA/NPS analyses.

In this paper we present applications of the WWW-based L-THIA/NPS and L-THIA/NPS GIS
model on the Little Eagle Creek (LEG)  watershed near Indianapolis, Indiana. Three historical
land use scenarios for 1973, 1984, and 1991 were analyzed to track land use change in the
watershed and to assess the impacts of land use change on annual average runoff and NPS
pollution from the watershed and its five sub-basins.  Comparison of the  two methods highlights
the effectiveness of the L-THIA approach in assessing the long-term hydrologic impact of urban

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

sprawl. The L-THIA/NPS GIS model is a powerful tool for identifying environmentally sensitive
areas in terms of NPS pollution potential and for evaluating alternative land use scenarios to
enhance NPS pollution management. Access to the model via the WWW enhances the  usability
and effectiveness of the technique significantly. Recommendations can be made to community
decision makers, based on this analysis, concerning how development can be controlled within
the watershed to minimize the long-term impacts of increased stormwater runoff and NPS
pollution for better management of water resources.

INTRODUCTION:
For decision makers, such as land use planners and watershed managers,  it is important to
assess the effects of land use changes on watershed hydrology. At present numerous
hydrologic models are available that focus on event-specific assessment and management of
hydrologic impacts of land use change. Traditionally the focus of these urban surface water
management models has been on the control of peak discharges from individual, high
magnitude storm events that cause flooding. Models such as those developed by the US Army
Corps of engineers (HEC-1, 1974), the US Department of Agriculture (TR-20, 1983; TR-55,
1986), and the US Environmental Protection Agency (Huber and Dickinson, 1988) are routinely
used in assessing how proposed land use changes will affect runoff quantity. Although
hydrologic impact assessment based on individual, high magnitude storm events is an
appropriate approach for designing runoff control facilities for reducing local flooding and
improving water quality, it is of limited use for attempts to understand the long-term hydrologic
impacts of land use change. However, it has been increasingly realized that there is a long-term
hydrologic impact associated  with land use change, and that this is dominated by runoff
generated from frequently occurring, smaller storm events rather than extreme,  high magnitude
storms (Harbor,  1994; McClinktocket al., 1995).

Realizing the importance of NPS pollution, over the last 25 years, models including SWMM
(Huber and Dickinson,  1988), AGNPS (Young et al., 1989), and WEPP (Nearing et al., 1989,
Flanagan and Nearing, 1995) have been created with capabilities to assess the impacts of NPS
pollution on runoff quality in addition to standard assessments of peak discharges. Because
NPS pollution from agricultural areas was originally identified as the major cause of water
quality degradation, most NPS pollution models focus on typical agricultural pollutants such a
sediment, nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus), and organic compounds (pesticides and
herbicides). However, heavy metal  pollution from urban areas has recently been identified as a

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

leading cause of NPS pollution problems (Novotny and Olem, 1994) but estimation of heavy
metal pollution from urban areas with existing hydrologic/NPS pollution models is quite limited.

In assessing the long-term hydrologic impacts of land use change planners, developers, and
community decision makers usually avoid using the existing hydrologic models because these
models are too complex, data intensive, time consuming, expensive, and requires considerable
user-expertise (Harbor, 1994). To overcome the limitations of traditional hydrologic models, the
Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model was developed as a user-friendly
tool for long-term runoff estimation (Harbor, 1994). L-THIA is built around the Natural Resources
Conservation Service's Curve Number  (CN) technique that is the core component of many
sophisticated hydrologic models (Williams et al., 1984; Young et al., 1989). Curve numbers or
CN values represent surface characteristics of a soil-land use complex. In L-THIA a long-term
(typically 30 years) daily precipitation record is used along with soil and land use information to
compute daily runoff for estimating annual average runoff. The model was initially developed as
a simple spreadsheet application (Harbor, 1994; Bhaduri et al., 1997). Subsequently a C
program was developed for the model to facilitate input data  handling and model application.
The L-THIA model was further expanded to L-THIA/NPS by adding a NPS pollution assessment
module. To enhance spatial data management, spatial analyses, and advanced visualization of
model results Geographic Information Systems (GIS) have been utilized. L-THIA GIS (Grove,
1997) and L-THIA/NPS GIS have been developed as customized applications of commercial
GIS software. Recently, a WWW-based version of the L-THIA/NPS model has been developed.
In the WWW-based implementation of the L-THIA/NPS model, the user provides land use and
hydrologic soil group information and L-THIA/NPS is run using long-term daily precipitation data
queried  from an ORACLE database. By determining and comparing the average annual runoff
depths and NPS pollutant loads for land use scenarios from different time periods, it is possible
to assess the absolute and relative changes in runoff and NPS pollution due to land use
change.

METHODOLOGY
Structure of L-THIA and L-THIA/NPS Model
The L-THIA model was originally developed as a preliminary hydrologic impact assessment tool
that focused  on predicting the percent increase in annual average runoff from a watershed due
to some land use change represented by a change in the CN value for the watershed. The
model utilizes a lumped parameter design to minimize model complexity and to reduce the

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

expense and time involved in data collection. For a watershed with multiple land use categories
and/or sub-watersheds, the model can be applied as a lumped (composite CN) as well as a
distributed (distributed CN) approach (Grove, 1997, Grove et al., 1998).

Runoff Calculation:
Daily runoff is calculated using the USDA NRCS Curve Number (CN) method for a daily
precipitation data set spanning many years (typically 30 years). The  CN method is an empirical
set of relationships between  rainfall, land use characteristics, and runoff depth. CN values,
ranging from 25 to 98, represent land-surface conditions and are a function of land use,
hydrologic soil group (or soil  permeability), and antecedent moisture condition (USDA SCS,
1986). The basic equations used in the CN method for standard or average conditions are:
       R=(P   0.                R = OforP<0.2S                       (1)
            (P + 0.8S)
                                                                        (2)
           (CN )

where:
       R = runoff depth (inches)
       P = precipitation depth (inches)
       S = potential maximum retention (inches)
       CN = Curve Number

Antecedent Moisture Condition (AMC) and CN Variation
The effect of antecedent rainfall and associated soil moisture conditions has long been
recognized as a primary source of variability in runoff determination. To account for this, the
Natural Resources Conservation  Services (NRCS) introduced the concept of an antecedent
moisture condition (AMC), also referred to as antecedent runoff condition (ARC).

Three AMCs are defined as a step function of 5-day antecedent rainfall, and an AMC remains
constant for the specific range of antecedent rainfall values.  Definitions of growing and dormant
seasons are not easily available and to keep calculations simple and consistent, growing and
dormant seasons were assumed  to begin on April 15 and on October 15 of any year,

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...

respectively. CN values for AMC 1 and 3 are determined by the following relationship as
described in NEH-4 (USDA SCS, 1985).
CN, = •
         4.2CN,
      10-0.058CAT,
and
CN, = -
                      23CN,
                   10 + 0.13CAT,
[where, CN!, CN2, and CN3 represent CN values for AMC 1, 2, and 3 respectively.]
Runoff analyses were performed with the CN values for AMC 1 , 2, and 3 where AMC is a step
function of 5-day antecedent rainfall (Table 1).

AMC
1
2
3
5-day Antecedent Rainfall (
Dormant Season
< 13
13-38
>28
mm)
Growing Season
<36
36-53
>53
    Table 1: Criteria for determination of Antecedent Moisture Conditions (SCS, 1972).

NPS Pollution Calculation:
L-THIA/NPS GIS: Pollutant Build-up and Washoff
The most common urban NPS pollutant estimation technique in current deterministic water
quality models including STORM and SWMM is the pollutant "buildup-washoff" function (Huber,
1986; Barbe et al., 1996). "Buildup" refers to  all dry-weather processes that lead to
accumulation of solids and associated pollutants on a watershed surface which are "washed off"
during subsequent storm events. In developing a NPS pollution sub-model for L-THIA, it was
assumed that pollutants accumulate on a land surface as a linear function of time.
           j = (number of days) x
                              [U = accumulation rate for pollutant i (mass/area/day);
                              Mi = Ultimate pollutant accumulation (mass/area);]
For this study, daily accumulation rates of solid particles (dust and dirt) for urban land uses (low
and high density residential, industrial, and commercial) were adopted from the SWMM manual.
Daily dust and dirt accumulation values are reported as a function of curb (road) density, and

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

thus road densities for the urban land uses were required to produce dust and dirt accumulation
values as mass/area. Although road density values for different urban areas have been reported
in the literature, for this study values of road density for Tulsa, Oklahoma (Heany et al., 1977)
were chosen as representative of the Indianapolis, Indiana area where the model was applied.
Daily build up values of pollutants on non-urban land uses (agricultural, grass/pasture, and
forest) could not be found in literature and were not included in the daily simulations of NPS
pollution analyses. However, annual average loading rates for non-urban land uses were taken
from literature and used to calculate NPS pollution in the GIS analysis. The NPS pollutant
loading values are reported in Table 2.
Pollutant
Total N
Total P
Lead
Copper
Zinc
Annual average loading rate (kg/ha/year)
Agricultural
26.00
1.05
0.10
0.02
0.08
Grass/Pasture
6.20
0.50
0.10
0.02
0.08
Forest
6.20
0.50
0.10
0.02
0.08
Low-density
Residential
0.86
0.09
2.90
0.17
0.58
High-density
Residential
1.92
0.20
6.93
0.25
0.98
Commercial
2.30
0.33
12.80
0.52
3.78
  Table 2. Annual average pollutant loading values used in L-THIA/NPS GIS simulations.

For the washoff function, a non-linear washoff equation was used. The washoff relationship is
an exponential function of the runoff depth. This approach has been successfully used in
numerous studies (Haith and Shoemaker, 1987; Dikshit and Loucks, 1996) and was utilized in
the NPS simulation for the L-THIA model because daily runoff depths are calculated in the
runoff sub-model which then can be used in the washoff function. The washoff function is
expressed as:

       wk,,= 1  -exp(-1.81 a,,,)
       where:
               M = fraction of the pollutant mass removed from the land use k on day t;
             Qkt = runoff from land use k on day t (cm);
WWW-based L-THIA/NPS: Event Mean Concentration (EMC)
In the Web-based version of L-THIA/NPS, Event Mean Concentration (EMC) data were
introduced to predict NPS pollutants for non-urban areas as well as urban areas (Baird and

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

Jennings, 1996). The EMC data used were compiled by the Texas Natural Resource
Conservation Commission (Baird and Jennings, 1996). Numerous literature and existing water
quality data were reviewed by Baird and Jennings (1996) with respect to eight categories of land
use and several parameters.  Land use categories defined were (1) industrial; (2) transportation;
(3) commercial; (4) residential; (5) agricultural cropland (dry land and irrigated); (6) range land;
(7) undeveloped/open; and (8) marinas. The total pollutant load for a NPS pollutant divided by
runoff volume during a runoff event yielded the Event Mean Concentration for that pollutant.
EMCs should be reliable for determining average concentrations and calculating constituent
loads (Table 3).
NPS Pollutant
Total Nitrogen (mg/L)
Total Phosphorus
(mg/L)
Total Lead ( g/L)
Total Copper ( g/L)
Total Zinc ( g/L)
Land use classification
Residen
-tial
1.82
0.57
9
15
80
Comm
-ercial
1.34
0.32
13
14.5
180
Indus-
trial
1.26
0.28
15
15
245
Transt-
ion
1.86
0.22
11
11
60
Mixed
1.57
0.35
12
13.9
141
Agricu-
ltural
4.4
1.3
1.5
1.5
16
Range
0.7
0.01
5
10
6
           Table 3. Event Mean Concentration for each land use classification
                               (Baird and Jennings, 1996)
L-THIA/NPS GIS Setup
The L-THIA model has been linked with Arc/INFO® GIS software as a GIS application (Grove,
1997). The ArcView® GIS software was chosen for L-THIA/NPS GIS application because
ArcView® is the dominant desktop GIS, and it has a friendlier graphical user interface than
Arc/INFO®. The GIS application is implemented through a linked-model approach that utilizes
both the graphical and spatial data handling capabilities of a GIS as well as the speed and
flexibility offered by a standard executable program. The required input data is initially selected
in the GIS before the L-THIA/NPS executable is called by the GIS. The executable calculates
the annual average runoff depths for all land uses and annual average dust and dirt amounts
(kg/km2) for all CN values for urban land uses (low density residential, high density residential,
industrial,  and commercial). These calculations are based on daily rainfall data spanning many
years. The output file created by the L-THIA/NPS executable is then read back into the GIS and
used to produce final results.

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

WWW-Based L-THIA/NPS Setup
A user-friendly L-THIA WWW interface was developed using Java/Java Script, HTML, and CGI
scripts (http://pasture.ecn.purdue.edu/~sprawl/lthia2). This interface provides easy access to the
model and potentially improves understanding of the results through graphical representation.
Figure 1 shows the L-THIA/NPS WWW interface.
                                                               .
                                                            Help |
               Home Search Netscape
                            c*  >*    m
                            Print  Security    Stop
  . jj* Bookmarks .j^. Location: Ihttp; //danpatch. ecn.purdue. edu/"sprawl/LTHIA2/
                                      i\ flgi" What's Related
   J TV 8, Magasine |_J CLASS :_J FVS i_j Computer _j[ Models fj GSH i_j KWNU _J TECH ,J[ Cool_Pages
   ' Home
    Lthia
  |l> Input
  I/ Output
   • Case Studie
   • Related Site
                               &EPA
                                  Urrteil States
                                  Enviranmental Protection
                                  Agency
                   L-THIA
(Long Term Hydroloqic Impact Assessment) WWW
               • Scenario
               Name :
               • Area Units
         Jlthi
                        knT2
   Input
• State :

• County:
• Hydrologic
Soil Group
Maps:
Indiana
                              Tippecanoe  -• I
                                             Indiana
                     LAND USE
                     Agricultural
                     HYD.
                     SOIL
                    GROUP
                                                AREA
                                          VEAR1  YEAR2 YEARS
                                          Iteo   : Ibo    ! Eo
                    HD Residential  -
                     Commercial

                                 His
                                                10
                                                      i20
           i Mtp :/A^ww. epa.gov/region5/
                                                   •^ a
          Figure 1. LTHIA/NPS WWW Interface.
Depending on the location the user selects, weather data for the nearest weather station are
queried from the database and reformatted for the L-THIA run. The user selects one of the eight
land use classifications, hydrologic soil group information and provides the area for this
combination for each time step the L-THIA/NPS WWW system is to be run. Tables, bar charts,
and pie charts for runoff and NPS pollution are generated on the fly for display in the user's
WWW browser. The tabular output provides all  information the user provided in the input

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

interface, the Curve Number, runoff depth, and runoff volume for each time step. Bar graphs
provide runoff depth, runoff volume, total volume, average runoff depth, and NPS pollution
information. Pie charts provide land use and runoff volume for each time of interest. LTHIA/NPS
WWW has several advantages over the traditional model and decision support system
approach: 1) It is accessible through the Internet using only a WWW browser, 2) Database and
GIS data are maintained at a single location, 3) All model users access the same version of the
model, and 4) All data are verified by the model  maintainer so errors due to input data can be
minimized.

STUDY AREA
The L-THIA/NPS model was applied to the Little Eagle Creek (LEG) watershed, a rapidly
urbanizing watershed in the northwest section of Indianapolis, Indiana and its suburbs. The LEG
watershed is 70.5 km2 in size and consists of five smaller sub-basins (Figure 2). This watershed
has experienced extensive  urbanization over the past three decades. Land uses ranging from
non-urban natural grass and forested areas and agricultural areas to typical urban residential,
commercial,  and industrial categories exist in the LEG watershed.

As part of a long-term hydrologic impact assessment study (Grove, 1997), digital land use data
were generated from LANDSAT satellite imagery (80m resolution Landsat Multi-Spectral
Scanner imagery) for 1973, 1984, and 1991 and these three images represented temporal
changes in land use in the watershed. In this study, these  land use coverages along with the
Soil Survey Geographic (SSURGO) soils data (1:20,000) were used to analyze the long-term
impact of land use change on runoff and non-point source pollution. Only hydrologic soil groups
B and C are present  in the watershed. The watershed and sub-watershed boundaries were
delineated from a Digital Elevation Model (DEM) using the Arc/INFO GRID module (Grove,
1997). Curve Numbers ranged from approximately 60 to 97 for all sub-basins in the watershed.
Six land use  categories were delineated using ERDAS Imagine software and were used in L-
THIA/NPS GIS simulations. These areas of these land use categories and hydrologic soil B and
C groups were used  in the WWW L-THIA/NPS simulations.
                                          10

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL .
   Figure 2. Location of the Little Eagle Creek watershed.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Land Use Change
There is a significant increase in urban land uses between 1973 and 1991 with the majority of
the changes taking place between 1973 and 1984 (Table 4). Grouping agricultural, forest, and
grass/pasture as non-urban and low density residential, high density residential/industrial, and
commercial as urban land uses, 49.3%, 63.5%, and 68.1% area of LEG watershed was urban in
1973, 1984, and 1991 respectively. Thus, there was a 14.2% increase in urban land uses
between 1973 and 1984 and a 4.6% increase in urban areas between 1984 and 1991. The
increase in urban land uses is not uniformly reflected in all the urban land use categories.
                                         11

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...
Land Use
Agricultural
Commercial
Forest
Grass/Pasture
HD Residential /
Industrial
LD Residential
Water
Area (km2)
1973
10.82
5.82
13.74
10.90
8.12
20.83
0.27
1984
10.21
10.56
5.72
9.64
19.25
14.91
0.21
1991
9.23
11.31
5.14
7.76
21.44
15.30
0.32
% Change in Individual Category
1973-
1984
-5.66%
81.40%
-58.37%
-11.62%
137.21%
-28.42%
-21.84%
1984-
1991
-9.58%
7.12%
-10.19%
-19.47%
11.34%
2.63%
52.73%
1973-
1991
-14.70%
94.32%
-62.61%
-28.83%
164.10%
-26.53%
19.38%
Table 4. Land use distributions in Little Eagle Creek watershed for 1973, 1984, and 1991.


For individual land use categories, high density residential and commercial areas show
tremendous increase in the watershed while low density residential areas show a 28.4%
decrease between 1973 and 1984 and a 2.6% increase between 1984 and 1991. The initial
decrease in low density residential areas is possible conversion of low density residential to high
density residential areas. The increase in urban areas is followed by an equivalent decrease in
non-urban areas. However, all the non-urban land uses decrease at the same rate. Forested
areas show the greatest loss with a 62.6% decrease, followed by grass/pasture with a 28.8%
decrease between 1973 and 1991. Agricultural areas show minimum change (14.7% decrease)
during the same time period.

Impact of Urbanization on Annual Average Runoff and NPS Pollution
L-THIA/NPS analyses were performed to assess the impact of land use change on average
annual runoff and NPS pollution for the LEC watershed. There are significant changes in
average annual runoff volumes and NPS pollution loads from the LEC watershed as a result of
land use change. The results from L-THIA/NPS GIS and L-THIA/NPS web-versions are
presented in Table 5 and Table 6 respectively. However, changes in runoff volume or NPS
pollution do not have a simple or linear relationship with land  use change.
                                         12

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...
Change in runoff and NPS pollution using L-THIA/NPS GIS simulation:
Pollutant
Runoff (m3)
Nitrogen (kg)
Phosphorus
(kg)
Lead (kg)
Copper (kg)
Zinc (kg)
Year
1973
2547736
47848.90
2887.40
18608.45
888.21
4313.06
1984
4255457
43183.45
2682.04
30374.48
1296.23
6756.24
1991
4581833
39722.04
2526.83
32855.31
1387.92
7238.03
% Change
1973 to
1984
67.03%
-9.75%
-7.11%
63.23%
45.94%
56.65%
1984 to
1991
7.67%
-8.02%
-5.79%
8.17%
7.07%
7.13%
1973 to
1991
79.84%
-16.98%
-12.49%
76.56%
56.26%
67.82%
Table 5. Average annual runoff volume and NPS pollution from LEG watershed using L-
        THIA/NPS GIS that uses daily pollutant build-up and washoff functions for
        pollution calculation.
Change in Runoff and NPS pollution using WWW L-THIA/NPS simulation:
Pollutant
Runoff (m3)
Nitrogen (kg)
Phosphorus
(kg)
Lead (kg)
Copper (kg)
Zinc (kg)
Year
1973
5012456
8599
2307
46
50
581
1984
7926728
13051
3530
81
89
1032
1991
8379366
13684
3713
87
95
1104
% Change
1973 to
1984
58.14%
51.77%
53.01%
76.09%
78.00%
77.62%
1984 to
1991
5.71%
4.85%
5.18%
7.41%
6.74%
6.98%
1973 to
1991
67.17%
59.13%
60.94%
89.13%
90.00%
90.02%
Table 6. Average annual runoff volume and NPS pollution from LEG watershed using
        web-based L-THIA/NPS that uses Event Mean Concentrations (EMC) for pollution
        calculation.
The annual average runoff volumes predicted by L-THIA/NPS GIS are approximately half of
those predicted by the web-version of the model. This is primarily because two different sets of
daily precipitation data were used for the two simulations and the one used for the web version
had several large storm events that produced significantly more runoff.  However, considering
the relative change in runoff volume, very similar results were obtained  from both simulations.
The amounts of urban or impervious areas dominantly control the volume of runoff produced
from a watershed. For example, in  LEG watershed, 87% of the total runoff volume (81% with
web-based L-THIA/NPS) was produced from urban areas that occupied only 49% of the total
watershed area in 1973. In 1984 and 1991, urban areas occupied less than 70% of the total
watershed area but contributed over 93% of the annual average runoff volume (over 90% with
                                         13

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

web-based L-THIA/NPS). Percent increase in average annual runoff volume is greater between
1973 and 1984 than between 1984 and 1991 because a greater percentage of non-urban land
use is changed to urban (more impervious) land use during the former time interval (Figure 3).
    100.00%
     30.00%
     60.00% -
     40.00% -
     20.00% -
      0.00%
    -20.00%
               \
\
            \
                  1984-
                  1973-198-1
                             L-THIA/NPS GIS
1984-1991
1973-1984
                      WWW L-THIA/NPS
Figure 3. Changes in annual average runoff and NPS pollution from the Little Eagle Creek
         watershed.

For the NPS pollutants, the relative change in annual average NPS pollution from LEG
watershed is not only controlled by the nature of land use change but also by the nature of the
pollutants. The time period between 1973 and 1984 experienced a much greater amount of
urbanization than the time period between 1984 and 1991. This pattern of land use change is
also reflected in changes in average annual runoff volume and metal pollution from the LEG
watershed. However, total pollutant loads predicted by web-based L-THIA/NPS are roughly
                                         14

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

higher by an order of magnitude than those predicted by the L-THIA/NPS GIS model. This
difference can be attributed primarily to the different methods of pollution calculations by the two
simulations and also the different concentration values of the pollutants used. Using EMC
values in the web-version of the model, two different days with the same amount of runoff will
produce the same pollutant loads. In the GIS version, that uses pollutant build-up and washoff
functions, two similar runoff events can produce significantly different pollutant loads depending
upon masses of pollutants that accumulated before those two runoff events. Moreover, Bhaduri
(1998) showed that more than 90% of the days in the study area are dry (AMC 1), and thus
before any runoff event there will be a significant amount of pollutant accumulated on the
watershed.

One significant difference between the two approaches of pollution calculations can be
observed in the predicted changes in nutrient pollution. L-THIA/NPS GIS predicts decreasing
nutrient pollution with increasing urbanization in the watershed. Nitrogen and phosphorus are
dominantly  produced from agricultural areas. Moreover, the other non-urban land uses (forest
and grass/pasture) show significant decrease between 1973 and 1984. Thus, this small change
is nutrient loading between 1973 and 1984 is most plausibly related to the small reduction in
agricultural  area in the watershed. On the contrary, the web-version of L-THIA/NPS predicts
changes in  nitrogen and phosphorus loads that conform to the increasing trend in urbanization.
Because nitrogen and  phosphorus are typically identified  as non-urban pollutants, it might be
assumed that conversion of non-urban land uses to urban areas would significantly reduce
nutrient pollution from a watershed. Our analyses on LEG watershed indicate that, between
1973 and 1991, a conversion of 19%  areas from non-urban to urban land uses results in annual
average nitrogen and phosphorus loads being increased  by about 60%. This is primarily
because there is only a small reduction of agricultural area and a large increase in urban areas
in the watershed. Although urban areas produce nutrients at a much lower rate than non-urban
areas, but increases in urban land uses produce runoff at a significantly higher rate and thus,
the web-version predicts very high  nutrient loads.

Heavy metals, such as lead, copper, and zinc, are considered "urban" pollutants because urban
land uses contribute a  major portion of the metal pollution from a watershed. For the LEG
watershed using L-THIA/NPS GIS, we found that only 49%  of the area had urban land uses but
they contributed 98% of total lead load, 92% of total copper load, and 93% of the total  zinc load
from the watershed in 1973. However, for individual metal pollutants, this 18% increase in urban
                                          15

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

areas (or an equivalent decrease in non-urban areas) between 1973 and 1991 results in 76.5%,
56.2%, 67.8% increase in lead, copper, and zinc loads from the watershed respectively.
Predictions of changes in metal pollution from web-based L-THIA/NPS simulation were similar
to those from the GIS version (Figure 3).

CONCLUSIONS
Assessment of the long-term hydrologic impacts of land use change is important for optimizing
management  practices to control runoff and non-point source (NPS) pollution from urban
sprawl. The L-THIA/NPS model uses the popular curve number technique and empirical
relationships between land uses and pollutant accumulation and wash off processes to estimate
the relative impacts of land use change on annual average runoff and NPS pollution. L-
THIA/NPS uses readily available data to overcome the difficulties of long-term modeling by
existing hydrologic models because of their complexity and extensive input data requirements.
Moreover, most traditional hydrologic/NPS pollution models do not emphasize the changes in
loads of typical urban pollutants such as heavy metals, which can be addressed by L-
THIA/NPS. The model is linked to a GIS to  enhance input data generation, data management,
and advanced visualization of model results. The GIS version computes NPS pollution using
daily pollutant build-up and washoff functions. A World Wide Web based version of the model
has also been developed that provides easy access to the model through the Internet. This
web-based version of the model uses Event Mean Concentrations (EMC) of pollutants for
predicting NPS pollution.

L-THIA/NPS was applied to the Little  Eagle Creek (LEG) watershed, an urbanizing watershed
near Indianapolis, Indiana, to provide estimates of changes in annual average runoff volumes
and NPS pollution loads for three time periods: 1973, 1984, and 1991. Increases in urban land
uses were much higher between  1973 and  1984 than between 1984 and 1991. Non-urban land
uses, particularly agricultural areas, are the dominant sources of nutrient (nitrogen and
phosphorus) pollution but the majority of the metal pollution is contributed from urban areas.
Overall, increasing urbanization resulted in  increases in annual average runoff volume and
metal loads. The L-THIA/NPS GIS simulations predicted decreases in nitrogen and phosphorus
loads from the LEG watershed. However, the web-based version of the model indicated
increases in nutrient pollution with increasing  urbanization. This difference can be explained by
the two different methods of pollution calculations by the GIS and web-based versions of the
model. This difference in pollution calculation is also reflected in the absolute values of pollution
                                          16

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

predicted by the two versions. However, considering relative change in runoff and NPS pollution
from urbanization, both simulations indicate a very similar trend and direction of changes in NPS
pollutants for the Little Eagle Creek watershed.

L-THIA/NPS GIS is a simple and user-friendly model that makes it attractive for applications to
other watersheds. Although L-THIA/NPS GIS is designed to run with easily available data, such
data is often not readily available for most of the watersheds. Thus,  compilation of model input
data sets through field experiments for a variety of watersheds characterized by different
geography, climate, and land uses will greatly enhance model applications and performance in
a wider range of watersheds. These field-measured data sets should be used to calibrate the L-
THIA/NPS model and validate the model predictions. Future work should also explore the
sensitivity of the L-THIA/NPS model to the spatial and temporal scales of input data. Work in
progress is aimed at allowing a user to access a modified web-based L-THIA/NPS model that
will take advantage of GIS functionality in the analysis. In this modified web-version, the users
will not only be able to access the model through a web-browser, but will also be able to select
or define a watershed using system-supplied  maps, and then run L-THIA/NPS analyses run
using land use, soils and climate databases stored on our server. The user will then be able to
manipulate the GIS land use data in the browser environment or on a remote computer, and run
multiple L-THIA analyses to compare hydrologic impacts from different land use scenarios.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would like to thank Dr. Darrell Leap and Dr. Darrell Norton of Purdue University for
their valuable suggestions, comments, and review of the manuscript. Daniel Pack of Oak Ridge
National Laboratory provided valuable help with some of the graphics. Funding for this work was
provided in part by the Purdue Research Foundation and the United States Environmental
Protection Agency.
                                          17

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

REFERENCES:
Baird, C., and M. Jennings. 1996. Characterization of Nonpoint Sources and Loadings to the
       Corpus Christi Bay National Estuary Program Study Area, Texas Natural Resource
       Conservation Commission.

Barbe, D. E., J. F. Cruise, and X. Mo.  1996. Modeling the buildup and washoff of pollutants on
       urban watersheds. Water Resources Bulletin, Vol. 32, No. 3, p. 511-519.

Bhaduri, B. 1998. A geographic information system based model of the long-term impact of land
       use change on non-point source pollution at a watershed scale. Unpublished Ph.D.
       dissertation, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana 47907-1397.

Bhaduri, B., M. Grove, C. Lowry, and J. Harbor.  1997. Assessing the long-term hydrologic
       impact of land use change. Journal of the American Water Works Association. Vol. 89,
       No.  11, pp. 94-106.

Flanagan, D. C. and Nearing, M. A., 1995. USDA-Water Erosion Prediction Project: Hillslope
       profile and watershed model documentation. NSERL Report No. 10. West Lafayette,
       Indiana: National Soil Erosion Research laboratory, USDA-ARS.

Grove, M. 1997. Development and application of a GIS-based model for assessing the long-
       term hydrologic impacts of land-use change. Unpublished MS Thesis, Purdue University,
       West Lafayette, IN 47907-1397.

Grove M. and J. Harbor, and B. Engel. 1998. Composite versus distributed curve numbers:
       effects on estimates of storm runoff depths. Journal of the American Water Resources
       Association. Vol. 34, No. 5, pp. 1015-1023.

Haith, D. A. and L. L. Shoemaker. 1987. Generalized watershed loading functions for stream
       flow nutrients. Water Resources Bulletin, Vol. 23, No. 3, pp. 471-478.
                                         18

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

Harbor, J. 1994. A practical method for estimating the impact of land use change on surface
      runoff, groundwater recharge and wetland hydrology. Journal of American Planning
      Association, Vol. 60, pp.91-104.

Heany, J. P., W. C. Huber, M. A. Medina, Jr., M. P. Murphy, S. J. Nix, and S. M. Haasan. 1977.
      Nationwide evaluation of combined sewer overflows and urban stormwater discharges -
      Vol.  II: Cost assessment and impacts. EPA-600/2-77-064b (NTIS PB-266005),
      Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, Ohio.

Huber, W. 1986. Deterministic modeling  of urban runoff quality. In Torno, H. C., Marsalek, J,
      and  Desbordes, M. (Eds.)  Urban  Runoff Quality. Springer-Verlag. 893 p.

Huber, W. C., and R. E. Dickinson. 1988. Storm Water Management Model, Version 4: User's
      Manual. US Environmental Protection Agency, Report No. EPA-600/3-88-001a. 569 pp.

McClintock, K., J. Harbor, and T. Wilson. 1995.  Assessing the hydrologic impact of land use
      change  in wetland watersheds, a case study from northern Ohio, USA. In: McGregor, D.
      and  Thompson, (eds.) Gee/morphology and Land Management in a Changing
      Environment, pp. 107-119.

Nearing, M. A., Foster, G. R., Lane, L. J., and Finkner, S. C.,  (1989). A process-based soil
      erosion  model for USDA-water erosion prediction project technology. Transactions of the
      ASAE, Vol. 32, No. 6, pp.  1587-1593.

Novotny, V. and H.  Olem. 1994. Water Quality.  Van Nostrand Reinold. New York. 1054  pp.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 1985. Flood  hydrograph package HEC-1. The Hydrologic
      Engineering Center, Davis, CA.

U.S. Department of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service, 1983. Computer programs for
      project formulation - hydrology. Technical Release 20.
                                         19

-------
ASSESSING THE LONG-TERM HYDROLOGIC IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE USING A GIS-NPS MODEL ...	

U.S. Department of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service, 1986. Urban hydrology for small
      watersheds. Technical Release 55.

USEPA, 1983. Results of the National Urban Runoff Program. Vol. 1. USEPA, Washington,
      D.C.

Williams, J. R., Jones, C. A., and Dyke, P. T., 1984. The EPIC model and its application. Proc.
      ICRISAT-IBSNAT-SYSS Symposium on Minimum Data Sets for Agrotechnology
      Transfer, March 1983,  Hydrabad, India, p. 111-121.

Young, R. A., C. A. Onstad, D. D. Bosch, and W. P. Anderson.  1989. AGNPS: A non-point
      source pollution model for evaluating agricultural watersheds. Journal of Soil and Water
      Conservation Society, Vol. 44, No. 2, p. 164-172.
                                         20

-------
                    Ecological Land Units, GIS, and Remote Sensing:
                          Gap Analysis in the Central Appalachians
                          Ree Brannon, Charles B. Yuill, and Sue A. Perry
                        West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia
Abstract

The gap analysis team in West Virginia is assessing the
state's natural communities  as part  of a nationwide,
comprehensive planning  effort. Underrepresented  or
unrepresented habitats represent gaps  in the present
network of conservation lands and conservation activi-
ties.  After identifying  these gaps,  we can assess
whether our current management direction will maintain
natural diversity and will prevent additional species from
being classified as threatened or endangered.

The  relationship  between vegetation and  ecological
variables serves as the basis for classifying  ecological
land  units. To characterize the ecological  land  units,
many layers  of physical data  can  be integrated in a
geographic information system  (GIS). Satellite imagery
and videography map existing conditions over the state.
The existing vegetation is classified to reflect physiog-
nomic and floristic elements to correlate with  vertebrate
and butterfly  habitat requirements.  This correlation of
vegetation and wildlife  habitat creates mappable habitat
types.  Analysis  of these  habitat types with  land-
ownership data indicates where the species-rich  areas
occur in the landscape and whether the most species-
rich areas are protected.

Introduction

To respond to the urgency of habitat loss and its effect
on species diversity, scientists must implement a  meth-
odology for  rapid assessment and  documentation of
natural communities at a scale pertinent for  regional
management activities.

Geographic  information systems  (GIS) and remote
sensing support the development  of ecological land
classifications over large regions. CIS-based mapping
of ecological land classes allows users to combine and
display environmental variables for spatial modeling and
refinement of ecological land  units (1).
The Gap Analysis Project is a comprehensive planning
effort  for land  conservation in the United States. The
objective of the Gap Analysis Project is to identify spe-
cies, species-rich areas, and vegetation types underrep-
resented  or  unrepresented  in  existing biodiversity
management areas. Unprotected communities are the
gaps  in the  conservation strategy. The Gap Analysis
Project is not merely identifying communities with the
largest number of species; its ultimate goal is to identify
clusters  of habitats that link the greatest  variety of
unique species.

Local  areas with  considerable diversity of  habitat or
topography usually have richer faunas  and  floras (2).
Nature reserves, which incorporate a variety of habitats,
may be the best guarantee for long-term protection of
biodiversity. By protecting species-rich regions, we can
reduce the enormous financial and scientific  resources
needed to recover species on the brink of extinction.

The West Virginia Gap Analysis Project began in 1991.
The objective is to map existing vegetation and to use
that as the foundation to model potential distribution of
vertebrate and  butterfly  species. High cost  precludes
intensive  field  inventory and  monitoring of  wildlife.
Therefore, habitat modeling is critical to predict wildlife
species composition and potential ranges over the vari-
ous landscape types of West Virginia. Lastly, the vege-
tation  map will provide a record of the existing habitat to
use in monitoring changes due to human activities and
natural disturbances.

Pilot Study Area

Distribution of wildlife and  plant communities will be
modeled for the entire state. Initially, we will focus on  a
smaller pilot study area. This region includes approxi-
mately 50,000  hectares in  the  central Appalachian
Mountains and spans several physiographic provinces
and vegetative communities. Generally, soils  in the pilot
study  area are of two kinds: acidic soils that  develop a

-------
clay horizon  from extensive leaching  over time and
younger soils that are found on steep slopes and where
environmental conditions, such as cold climate, limit soil
development (3, 4).

The vegetation  types include spruce-fir, oak-pine, high
elevation bogs,  northern hardwoods, Appalachian oak,
mixed-mesophytic,  open  heath barrens,  and   grass
balds. The mixed-mesophytic, the most diverse in West
Virginia, lies  primarily west  of this area,  but localized
stands do occur in the lower elevations. Cover types
within the Appalachian oak and mixed-mesophytic types
are not discrete and will be difficult to delineate.

The pilot study area includes  a variety of land uses, such
as residential, commercial, industrial, mining, and agri-
culture. Portions of the Monongahela National Forest in
this area are  the Fernow  Experimental Forest, and the
Otter Creek and Laurel Forks Wilderness Areas.

Methods

The following discussion describes the methods  formu-
lated and data compiled for the West Virginia Gap Analy-
sis  Project.

Describe Ecological Land Units With Existing
Vegetation

Davis and  Dozier (1) note  that a  landscape can be
partitioned by ecological variables, which contributes to
an ecological land classification. This process is applied
frequently to analysis and mapping of natural resources.
Davis and  Dozier classified vegetation  in California
based on the documented associations of vegetation
with terrain variables. They based this approach on the
assumptions that the arrangement of natural landscape
features is  spatially ordered by an  ecological interde-
pendence among terrain variables and that actual vege-
tation  is  a  reliable  indicator  of these ecological
conditions. Similar documentation exists for the distribu-
tion of vegetation types in West Virginia, and the gap
analysis team is proceeding  along a similar course.

West Virginia lies in two  major provinces, the Eastern
Broadleaf Forest and the Central Appalachian Broadleaf
Forest-Coniferous Forest-Meadow Provinces (5). Within
these provinces are several broad vegetation types. The
gradient diagram in Figure 1  (6) illustrates the range of
these types.  The  vertical  axis represents elevation  in
feet. Three vegetation types emerge distinctly along the
elevation gradient. The horizontal axis  is  not quite as
explicit. This gradient spans  moist, protected slopes to
dry, exposed ridgetops, and the vegetation types are
much less distinct. Drier  oak and pine types occur al-
most exclusively on exposed ridgetops.  The vegetation
types along the  horizontal  axis are the mixed mesophytic
forest association  of the  Allegheny and Cumberland
Mountains and can have 20 to 25 overstory and under-
story species per hectare in North America (7).

The distribution of the vegetation along gradients such
as elevation  and soil moisture  lends  itself  to  a  CIS
analysis. Physical data such as elevation and soil mois-
ture regime can be incorporated into a CIS. These lay-
ers of information can be manipulated graphically  or
mathematically to model the spatial distribution of vege-
tation types or to provide useful ancillary data for clas-
sification of satellite imagery (see Figure 2). Much of this
data is digital and can be used to substantially reduce
the time required to develop a database. To standardize
output,  members  of the  national  gap  team  have
specified ARC/INFO as the software to generate final
products.

Classify Satellite Imagery To Create a Map of
Current Distribution

Remote sensing  provides an effective means to classify
forests, and the Gap Analysis Project has successfully
used it in the western United States (1,  8, 9).

The Gap Analysis Project is  using Landsat Thematic
Mapper imagery  in all states to standardize the baseline
information. The hypothesis  is  that the spectral data
from the imagery is related  to  the distribution of the
ecological land units and land use across the landscape.
The data include all spectral bands, except thermal, for
the entire state. The West Virginia project is  using two
seasons of data, spring  and fall. Temporal changes,
which record phenologic variation in the deciduous spe-
cies, enhance classification accuracy. The spectral reso-
lution   is  30-meter  pixels.  This  is   equivalent   to
approximately 1/6 hectare (1/2 acre). Our final product
will be a series of 1:100,000 maps. The minimum map-
ping unit is 40 acres.

The mountainous terrain in the Appalachian Mountains
offers disadvantages and advantages for using remotely
sensed data.  Irregular topography can cause inconsis-
tencies in the spectral data that diminish the classifica-
tion accuracy. Similar cover types may have different
spectral signatures; for instance,  if one  stand is in sun-
light and the other is shaded.  Also, phenology can vary
due  to  microclimatic influences.  Conversely, topo-
graphic features  influence the distribution of vegetation
types, and ancillary data, such as digital elevation mod-
els (OEMs), enhance classification  results of the im-
agery. The West Virginia gap analysis team selected the
following strategy for image classification.

1. Stratify the imagery using ecological units based on
   a hierarchical scheme. Bauer et al.  (10) found that
   an initial stratification of physiographic regions was
   necessary  to reduce  the  effect  of  broadscale
   environmental factors  caused  by  changes over
   latitude.  Therefore,  stratification  enhanced  the

-------
5,000

4,500

4,000

3,500

3,000

2,500


2,000


1,500

1,000

500
MESIC
Red Spruce
Forest ._. .,
Heath
Barren

Red Spruce -
Yellow Birch
Northern Hardwoods
Forest
Red
--------- , Oak
._--"' " ', ' Forest /
x' Hemlock I . ,'' /
and ,' ,-' /' '
Hemlock- ' -' / ,-'*
Cove / Hardwoods ,' / ,-'
Hardwoods ' ''
White /'
Oak /
1 / ' '
, / ; i
/ Red Oak - / chestnut/
/ / White Oak / oak ''
Forest / ,'
Scarlet/
,' \ ,' I Black Oak
Coves Flats Sheltered Open Slope
Canyons Draws/Ravines Slopes NE, E, S, W, NV


Grass
Bald

/

Pitch/
Shortleaf
Pine
Heath







Scrub
Pine

Post/
Blackjack
Oak
Ridges
V XER\C
Figure 1.  Environmental gradients for vegetation.

   efficiency of  the training  data. An  interagency
   committee, including ecologists from the Monongahela
   National Forest, West Virginia Division of Forestry,
   and  geologists  from the  State  Geologic  Survey,
   generated  a draft map of physiographic regions.
   They delineated sections based on geomorphology
   and climate. Sections were divided into subsections:
   those most  typical of the section or those that are
   transitional,  or irregular, to the section. Figure 3 is a
   draft map of these sections and subsections in West
   Virginia.

2. Classify stratified imagery using  the ancillary data.
   High resolution imagery has not been used widely in
   the eastern United  States, where  forests  are not
   homogeneous stands of relatively few tree species
   as they are  in the West. Researchers who classified
   eastern forests from satellite  imagery attempted to
   find the most distinctive spectral band combinations
   for discriminating cover types (10-13). One recent
   technique (14) uses  a nonparametric approach that
   combines all spectral and informational categories to
   classify imagery. We are testing a variety of methods
   such   as   nonparametric  processes,  traditional
   clustering techniques, and use of derived vegetation
   indexes to find the most successful method.

3. Assess   accuracy   with   random   plots   from
   videography. Videography will be  acquired in the
   spring  of 1995.  Aerial transects, which extend the
   length  of the state, will  be flown with approximately
   30-kilometer spacing. By regulating flight altitudes,
   the resolution  per frame can  be  captured at  1
   kilometer  per frame. About 7,000  frames will be
   collected, which make up a 3 percent sample of the
   state. About 2 to 3 percent of the videography frames
   will be field verified. With this strategy, we  will test
   the effectiveness of using videography, instead of
   intensive field plots, to verify classification of satellite
   imagery.  Areas  of special  interest,  which  the
   systematic transects may not capture, will require
   separate flights. The bulk of the videography  will
   provide  training   data  for  supervised   image
   classification. The  remaining frames will be  used to
   assess the accuracy of the classification.
                      ;>,  Streams
                      ."I;;-- Ecological Subregions
                      ";:>- Digital Elevation Models
                      i-* Soils
                              Agricultural, Tilled
                              High Elevation, Red
                              Spruce
                              Low Elevation, Coniferous
                              Forest (Hemlock)
                              Open Grassland, Deep
                              Soil (Grass Bald)
                              High-Density Urban
Landscape Unit
   Classes
Figure 2.  GIS and the development of ecological land units.

-------
Figure 3.
                                        Legend

                                  g]  Pilot Study Area
Physiographic regions of West Virginia and pilot
study area.
   In summary, 100 percent of the state will be classified
   using the  Thematic Mapper imagery.  Aerial video-
   graphy,  covering  approximately 3 percent  of the
   state, will help to verify the image classification, and
   2 to 3 percent of the videography will be verified from
   transects on the ground.

4. Determine sources of data for image classification.
   Due to the increasing interest in CIS, digital data are
   more readily available from a  variety of sources,
   such as the federal government, state agencies, and
   private companies. Acquisition of available data sets
   can  substantially  reduce the  time  and  cost  of
   database development.  Users  must bear  in  mind,
   however, that databases are developed with differing
   objectives and techniques, so  one must consider
   scale and standards  of production when  deciding
   which data sets are appropriate for project design.
   The  West Virginia gap  team  determined  that the
   following CIS coverages are  important for image
   classification.

The U.S. Geological Survey's (USGS's) graphic infor-
mation  retrieval  and analysis  system (GIRAS) ear-
marked land use/land cover data. The classification was
done several years ago, and although these data are not
current, they  provide excellent information concerning
urban and agricultural land  use. Land-cover categories
represent Level II classifications from Anderson's (15)
system. The maps are produced at a 1:250,000 scale,
so they require few CIS operations to piece together a
regional coverage of land use.

The Southern Forest Experiment Station mapped U.S.
forestland using advanced very high resolution radiome-
ter (AVHRR) satellite imagery (16). This imagery is rela-
tively current (1991 to 1992), but the resolution is coarse
at 1 kilometer per pixel (100 hectares or 247 acres). The
classes are based on Forest  Inventory and Analysis
plots established by the U.S. Department of Agriculture
(USDA) Forest Service and Kuchler's  (17)  potential
natural vegetation types.  We  are  using the  maps  to
depict broad changes in forest type over a region, such
as the state of West Virginia. This coverage does not
show land use.

The eastern region of the Nature Conservancy has com-
pleted a draft of the classification of the terrestrial com-
munity alliances (18). The classification hierarchy is that
prescribed  by the national gap team, and as such, re-
flects physiognomic and floristic characteristics neces-
sary for  correlating  vegetation structure and floristic
composition with vertebrate  habitat requirements. The
descriptions include the range of alliances and charac-
teristic species of the overstory, understory,  and herba-
ceous  layer.  This  provides information  on  associated
species not detectable  by image classification.

The National Wetlands Inventory data are available digi-
tally. Maps have been digitized  at a scale of 1:24,000,
and the classification scheme  is from Cowardin  et al.
(19). Coverages come with attribute data for each poly-
gon, arc, or point as needed. A labor-intensive effort is
required to join the maps in a CIS for an area the size
of West Virginia, but the information will be invaluable
for masking water and forested wetlands  on the satellite
imagery.  The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service  includes
detailed instructions for converting the data to coverages.

Field data,  much of it already digital, has  been  acquired
from many sources. Commercial timber companies pro-
vided data for timber stand  composition and age groups.
The USDA Forest Service ecologist conducted transects
throughout the Monongahela National Forest to charac-
terize ecological land units. Forest inventory and analy-
sis plots are also  available. We acquired these data to
verify videography classification.

The  USGS has digital  data  of  terrain elevations. The
West Virginia gap analysis team acquired 3  arc-second
OEMs as an additional band in the satellite imagery. We
will use these data  to generate coverages of slope,
aspect,  and  elevation  classes to  further  stratify the
physiographic regions of the state. This will increase the
accuracy of the classification.

The Soil Conservation Service created a statewide da-
tabase called STATSGO, produced  at  a scale  of
1:250,000.  For West Virginia, the map of the soil map-
ping units consists of approximately 450 polygons. Each
mapping  unit is an aggregation of soil components that
occupy a certain percentage of the mapping unit area.
The database is extensive and includes  information on
soil attributes such as soil taxonomy, soil chemistry, soil
structure, and interpretations for erodability  and wildlife
habitat. For an attribute such as soil temperature, each
component  has  an individual  value   so  that  each
mapping  unit may have several different values for soil

-------
temperature. Attribute information is difficult to query in
ARC/INFO, where there is a one-to-many relationship
between polygons and database entries (for instance,
each mapping unit, or polygon, has several soil compo-
nents). We found that exporting the attribute information
from ARC/INFO to another software package such as
Excel was easier. The values can  be aggregated by
attribute and then imported into ARC/INFO to produce
individual  coverages such  as soil texture, soil depth, or
soil group. STATSGO data can provide useful informa-
tion for the physical variables that influence vegetation,
such as soil moisture and  nutrient availability.

To review, the project researchers will first identify the
physical parameters  that  govern the distribution of
ecological land units and the existing vegetation in the
state. Then, the team will gather applicable ancillary
data of  physical data in CIS to support the image clas-
sification.  Once the imagery has been classified,  the
wildlife models can be incorporated.

Integrate Terrestrial Vertebrate Models

Once classification is  completed for the state, the gap
analysis team will integrate  terrestrial vertebrate mod-
els. Concurrent with the image classification, the team
will develop a species profile for each vertebrate species
known to occur in the state. These profiles, when com-
pleted,  will be  condensed into  rule-based models for
associated species that can be linked to the ecological
land units (see Figure 4).  This step will create habitat
types. After integration, the team will generate maps that
display species richness of vertebrates for each habitat
type (see Figure 5). These maps link spatial data to the
species database. This enables users to identify areas
in the landscape that combine habitats with the greatest
number of unique species. When a coverage  of land-
ownership is  overlaid on this map,  land managers or
conservation groups can take a proactive stance to seek
protection of  critical habitats. Additional analyses that
       Wildlife
       Database
    Landownership
                                    Assess
                                   Protection
                                    Status
Figure 4.  Informational flow chart for wildlife data.
users can perform are displays of the potential distribu-
tion of vertebrate groups, such as upland salamanders.
Another analysis  would be to report the species that
occur in  the fewest habitats  and that would be most
vulnerable to landscape changes. Clearly, CIS provides
a powerful environment for quick and efficient retrieval
of spatial data for management decisions.


Summary

To summarize, the West Virginia gap analysis team is
assessing the  natural communities in the state as a part
of the national comprehensive planning effort. We need
to conduct the assessment rapidly, compiling existing
information and  integrating these  data  with CIS and
remotely sensed data.  Ecological land units are classi-
fied according to the  relationship between vegetation
and ecological variables. Satellite  imagery is used to
map existing  conditions  over the  state. The existing
vegetation is classified to reflect physiognomic and flor-
istic elements  to correlate with vertebrate and butterfly
habitat requirements.

The gap analysis team is using many widely available
data sets such as OEMs, land use/land cover, wetlands
inventory, and soils data. While these can reduce  the
time and cost of developing  an ecological  database,
they do present implications for project design and  ac-
curacy.  When the user  combines  maps of different
scales, accuracy  is constrained by the  map with  the
smallest  scale. Additionally,  data  sets  may be con-
structed with objectives for an intended use that is  not
compatible with  project  needs. The classification of
AVHRR data  reflects forest types but not land use, so
another source may be required for these data.

The Gap Analysis Project is not a substitute for intensive
biological studies at a  fine scale. It is merely a quick
assessment at a broad scale  to provide information on
existing conditions. While accumulating data and mod-
eling  potential wildlife  distributions, we will  identify
where inventory  data may  be lacking. Additional work
must be done  to verify wildlife models and the classifi-
cation of vegetation, but this preliminary analysis will be
a valuable framework that  will direct future  studies of
biological diversity. Finally, this effort will  provide a data
set that can be used to monitor changes to land cover
and land use.


Acknowledgments

This study is being funded by the Cooperative Research
Units  Center,  National Biological Survey, United  States
Department of the Interior. This manuscript is published
as Scientific Article No. 2499  of the West Virginia Agri-
culture and Forestry Experiment Station.

-------
                                                                                                        Legend
                                                                                                   • Very High
                                                                                                   n High
                                                                                                   E3 Moderately High
                                                                                                   m Moderate
                                                                                                   H Moderately Low
                                                                                                   n Low
                                                                                                   B Very Low
                                                                                                   H Comm. Timber Lands
                                                                                                   H Public Lands
                                                                                                    N
Figure 5.  Relative species richness.

References

 1.  Davis, F.W., and J. Dozier. 1990. Information analysis of a spatial
    database for ecological land classification. Photogramm.  Eng.
    and Remote Sensing 56:605-613.
 2.  Scott, J.M., B. Csuti, K. Smith, J.E. Estes, and S. Caicco. 1991.
    Gap analysis of species richness and vegetation cover: an inte-
    grated biodiversity conservation strategy. In: Kohm, K., ed. Bal-
    ancing on  the brink of extinction: the Endangered Species Act
    and  lessons for the  future. Washington,  DC:  Island Press.
    pp. 282-297.
 3.  Stephenson, S.  1993. Upland forests of West Virginia. Parsons,
    WV: McClain Printing Co.
 4.  Buol, S.W, F.D. Hole,  and R.J. McCracken. 1980. Soil genesis
    and classification, 2nd ed. Ames, IA: Iowa State University Press.
 5.  Bailey, R.G. 1994. Ecoregions and subecoregions of the United
    States (map). U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service.
    Revised  February 23.
 6.  Fortney,  R. 1994.  Vegetation pattern  of  central Appalachian
    Mountains. (Unpublished).
 7.  Barbour, M.G.,  J.H. Burk,  and WD. Pitts. 1987. Terrestrial  plant
    ecology, 2nd ed. Menlo Park, CA:  Benjamin/Cummings Publishing
    Company.
 8.  Davis, F.W, D.M. Stoms,  J.E. Estes, J. Scepah, and  M.  Scott.
    1990. An information  systems approach to the  preservation of
    biological diversity. Int.  J. Geogr.  Info. Syst. 4:55-78.
 9.  Scott, J.M., F. Davis, B. Csuti, R. Noss, B. Butterfield, C. Groves,
    H. Anderson, S. Caicco, F.  D'Erchia, T.C. Edwards, Jr., J. Ulliman,
    and R.G. Wright. 1993. Gap analysis: A geographic approach to
    protection of biological diversity. Wildl. Monogr. 123:1-41.
10.  Bauer, M.E., T.E. Burk, A.R. Ek,  PR. Coppin, S.D. Lime, T.A.
    Walsh, O.K. Walters, W Befort, and D.F. Heinzen. 1994. Satellite
    inventory of Minnesota forest resources. Photogramm. Eng. and
    Remote Sensing 60:287-298.
                                                                                               0          10
                                                                                                 Kilometers
11.  Benson, A.S., and S.D. DeGloria. 1985. Interpretation of Land-
    sat-4 thematic mapper and multispectral scanner data for forest
    surveys. Photogramm. Eng. and Remote Sensing 51:1,281-1,289.

12.  Hopkins, PR, A.L. Maclean, and T.M. Lillesand. 1988. Assess-
    ment of thematic mapper imagery for forestry application under
    lake states conditions.  Photogramm. Eng. and Remote Sensing
    54:61-68.
13.  Schriever, J.R., and R.G. Congalton. 1993. Mapping forest cover-
    types in New Hampshire using multitemporal Landsat Thematic
    Mapper data.  Papers presented at ASCM/ASPRS Annual  Con-
    vention and Exposition, New Orleans, LA (February), pp. 333-342.

14.  Cetin, H., T.A. Warner, and D.W  Levandowski.  1993. Data clas-
    sification, visualization, and enhancement using n-dimensional
    probability density functions (nPDF): AVIRIS, TIMS, TM, and geo-
    physical applications. Photogramm. Eng. and Remote  Sensing
    59:1,755-1,764.
15.  Anderson, J.R.,  E.E. Hardy, J.T Roach, and R.E. Witmer. 1976.
    A land  use  and  land cover classification  system  for use with
    remote sensor data.  U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper
    965. Washington, DC: U.S. Geological Survey.
16.  Zhu, Z., and D.L. Evans. 1992. Mapping midsouth forest distri-
    butions: AVHRR satellite data and CIS help meet RPA mandate.
    J. Forestry 27-30.
17.  Kuchler, A.W. 1964. Potential natural vegetation of the contermi-
    nous United States (map and manual). American Geographical
    Society  Special  Publication 36.  New  York,  NY:  American
    Geographical Society.

18.  Sneddon, L., M. Anderson,  and K. Metzler. 1994. A classification
    and description of terrestrial community alliances in the Nature
    Conservancy's eastern region: First approximation. Washington,
    DC: U.S. Department of the Interior Fish and Wildlife Service.
19.  Cowardin,  L.M.,  V  Carter, F.C. Golte,  and T.E. LaRoe. 1979.
    Classification of wetlands and deepwater habitats of the United
    States.  Report  No.  FWS/OBS-79/31.  Washington,  DC:  U.S.
    Department of the Interior  Fish and Wildlife Service.

-------
      GIS Watershed Applications in the Analysis of Nonpoint Source Pollution
                     Thomas H. Cahill, Wesley R. Horner, and Joel S. McGuire
                          Cahill Associates, West Chester, Pennsylvania
Introduction

Geographic information systems (GIS) have been used
to evaluate the impact of nonpoint source (NPS) pollu-
tion in a variety of watersheds and drainage systems
over the past 20  years (1-6). During that period, our
understanding of the sources and hydrologic transport
mechanisms of NPS pollutants, both in particulate and
soluble forms, has greatly increased (7-9). Our ability to
create and manipulate land resource data, however, has
advanced at a far more dramatic rate. Whereas 20 years
ago, both computer system capabilities and peripheral
hardware limited the process of encoding, storing, and
displaying spatial data, today we  can encode land re-
source data, analyze  it,  and produce stunning visual
displays at a relatively low cost.

The question is: what has this experience told us regard-
ing the yet unresolved problem of water quality degra-
dation from NPS  pollution in our streams,  lakes, and
coastal waters (10, 11)?

The purpose of this paper is to report on several recent
studies of this nature that created a GIS as a tool to
analyze  NPS pollution. This paper will not cover all
aspects of these studies; detailed  reports on each pro-
ject are available from the authors or respective clients.
The objects of these studies were:

• A medium-sized lake draining  a fairly small watershed

• A riverine system with  multiple use impoundments

• A 100-mile stretch of Atlantic coastal estuary

These water bodies all have one common  ingredient:
NPS pollution significantly affects them. While the pri-
mary  focus of these studies was  to understand the
dynamics of surface water quality, and specifically the
NPS component, the further objective was to document
the causal link between identified water resource prob-
lems  and the watershed-wide management  actions
needed for their remediation. Thus, GIS serves not only
as a mechanism for analysis of NPS pollution sources
but also  as the tool by which  to evaluate  alternative
methods that would reduce or prevent this pollution.
Study Concepts

These three studies illustrate different approaches to
both aspects of this problem.  In the 93-square-mile Up-
per Perkiomen Creek watershed (UPW) study, the ob-
jective was to develop a management program that
would reduce nutrient load in a system of reservoirs at
the base of the watershed. An essential element in the
analysis underlying GIS design (ARC/CAD) was to be
able to differentiate and evaluate pollution sources in the
watershed, while  providing the technical basis for an
innovative and far-reaching management program on all
levels of government; that is,  GIS was used not only to
analyze the problem but to help formulate the solution.

In the more focused Neshaminy Creek study,  Cahill
Associates (CA) designed a detailed pixel/raster format
for GIS to support detailed hydrologic modeling (12) and
NPS  loading  analysis. This  study,  carried out  under
Pennsylvania's Act 167 stormwater management pro-
gram, was under a legal  requirement to translate tech-
nical  findings  into subdivision regulations that all  30
watershed municipalities would  adopt. This mandate
required much more geographically specific rigor in the
GIS approach and in the management recommenda-
tions the law stipulated.

These two projects (see Figure 1), when taken together,
illustrate the critical relationship between understanding
the appropriate level of detail in GIS system design, GIS
development with modeling and other analytical require-
ments, and ultimately, the proposed management ac-
tions for watershed-wide  implementation.

In the New  Jersey  Atlantic  Coastal Drainage (ACD)
study, the objective was to document more completely
the magnitude and sources  of NPS pollutants,  espe-
cially nutrients, entering New Jersey estuarine coastal
waters. The GIS design placed special attention on the
role of urban or developed land uses situated along the
coastal fringe, particularly the  maintained or landscaped
portions of developed sites. Most previous studies have
largely ignored this factor. Instead, they have focused
water quality  analysis typically on  NPS loadings  as a

-------
    Upper Perkiomen
      Watershed
                                                                   Pennsylvania
                            N. HAMPTON

                        ^x  >Vi
               LEHIGH

         Perfiomen Creek Watershed^^y
Figure 1.  Regional location of Upper Perkiomen and Neshaminy
         basins.
function of impervious area coverage, with the assump-
tion that loadings increase as imperviousness increases.

On the contrary, the CA thesis states that certain pollut-
ant loadings, such as nutrients, maximize in areas with
relatively moderate densities  (1/2- to  1-acre lots) and
percentage impervious cover but with large maintained
lawnscapes. Because sandy  soils allow soluble NPS
pollutants to pass as interflow to points of surface dis-
charge with surprising ease, they exacerbate the prob-
lem of nutrient applications in typical coastal drainage
areas. CIS application in this case enabled estimation
of the nutrient loading to coastal waters. Existing fertil-
ized lawn areas  were  calculated  to  be  a significant
source of nutrient pollution, with loadings from new land
development posited as  an even more serious problem
for New Jersey's coastal waters. CIS was then applied
to evaluate the suitability of various best management
practices (BMPs), based on the physical and chemical
properties of the soil mantle and the existing and antici-
pated land use.

The Upper Perkiomen Creek
Watershed Study

Background

The UPWin southeastern Pennsylvania is a tributary of
the Schuylkill River in the Delaware River basin  (see
Figure 2). Serious eutrophication  problems occurring in
the system of reservoirs lying at the  base of this rela-
tively  rural watershed prompted  the  study.  The study
                                                                                               New Jersey


                                                                                                HUNTERDON
            BERKS


  Upper Perkiomen Creek Water:
                                                                                            Scale in Miles
                                                      Figure 2. The Perkiomen Creek watershed in the Delaware River
                                                              basin.
effort evolved from concerns on the part of the Delaware
Riverkeeper,  a private nonprofit environmental organi-
zation dedicated to promoting the environmental well-
being of the Delaware  River watershed.  The  Upper
Perkiomen Creek has experienced various water quality
problems, especially the eutrophication of Green Lane
Reservoir, a  large raw water supply storage reservoir
(see Figure 3). Green Lane's highly eutrophic condition
has been a constant since shortly after initial construc-
tion over 35 years ago,  but the relative importance of
NPS inputs  has dramatically increased. Whereas 10
years ago point source input  was the major source of
phosphorus, elimination of some point sources and ad-
vanced waste treatment for others has greatly reduced
that component of pollutant loading, while NPS sources
have remained constant or increased. Current analysis
indicates that NPS pollution constitutes over 80 percent
of the annual load of phosphorus (see Figure 4) into the
Green  Lane  Reservoir and  is well  in excess  of the
desired loading to restore water quality (see Figure 5).

Nonpoint Source Analysis

Calculating the NPS load was an essential ingredient in
the study and relied on developing accurate measure-
ment of NPS transport during stormwater runoff periods.
Certain  pollutants, specifically those associated  with
sediment and particulate transport such as phosphorus,
have produced a  "chemograph" that parallels but does
not exactly follow the traditional form of the hydrograph
(see Figure 6). The pollutant mass transport associated
with this runoff flux frequently constitutes the major frac-
tion of NPS discharge in a given watershed (8, 13). In

-------

1SZ
 O
 CD
 (D
 Q.
 OJ
CL
                                      ,
                                                   ;


Figure 3.  Green Lane Reservoir in the Upper Perkiomen watershed, 814 acres, 4.3 BG.

-------
                   Dustfall
                    2.50%
                  500 Pounds
                   per Year
                  Waterfowl
                   2.50%
                  500 Pounds
                   per Year
  Nonpoint Sources
     Dry Flow
  5,604 Pounds
    perYear^ 30%
    Nonpoint Source
     Total = 84%
                           Point Sources
                            Direct 2,486
                          Pounds per Year
                                        Point Sources
                                      to Tributaries 592
                                       Pounds per Year

                                       Direct Drainage
                                        1,172 Pounds
                                         Per Year
                         Nonpoint Sources
                         Storm Flow 8,036
                         Pounds per Year
   Total Load = 18,889 Pounds per Year
Figure 4.
Sources of total phosphorus mass transport into the
Green Lane Reservoir from the Upper Perkiomen wa-
tershed (71 square miles) in an average flow year—in
pounds per year.
                            Average Year, Riverkeeper-
                              1993 = 18,889 Pounds per Year
                            Eutrophic = 8,416 Pounds per Year
                            Oligotrophic = 4,208 Pounds per Year
        Riverkeeper -1993   Eutrophic
                           Oligotrophic
the UPW study, operating continuous sampling stations
at two key gage  locations above the reservoir allowed
the measurement of stormwater chemistry of this type
and produced estimates of wet weather transport of phos-
phorus and sediment. Surprisingly,  the  NPS transport
during dry  weather,  calculated by subtracting the point
sources, was  also significant and is attributed to live-
stock discharges and septage drainage.


But the wet weather  proportion of NPS  pollution still
dominates  lake water quality. Many have said that water
quality in a given watershed is a function of land use,
but that statement  is as  unsatisfying as saying  that
runoff is a function of rainfall. Experience has taught us
that  neither process is quite that simplistic, nor does
either follow a direct  linear  relationship  of  cause and
effect. The causal mechanisms that generate a certain
mass  load  of  pollutant in a  drainage basin certainly
result from how much mass  of that  pollutant is  applied
to the landscape  within the drainage, which in turn  is
scoured from the landscape during  periods of surface
saturation,  transported in, and diluted by runoff. The end
result is a  concentration of pollutant in the stormwater
that might  be several orders  of magnitude greater than
during dry weather flow, the hydrologic period tradition-
ally used to measure and define water quality.


Developing NPS analysis or algorithms  for stormwater
quality modeling requires replicating the  specific hydro-
graph and  its associated chemograph, as well as defin-
ing the mechanisms by which pollutants are scoured
from the land surface, transported in runoff, and pass
through the river system. Total phosphorus (TP),  for
example, is transported with the colloidal soil particles
(see Figure 7), so sediment transport and deposition
constitute a key mechanism.
Figure 5.  Reduction in annual phosphorus load required  to
         achieve improved trophic level.
  3/4/930:00  3/4/9312:00  3/5/930:00  3/5/9312:00  3/6/930:00  3/6/9312:00
Figure 6.  Storm hydrograph in the Upper Perkiomen watershed
         illustrating the dramatic increase in total phosphorus
         and suspended sediment during runoff.
                                               Adding to these complications is the question of whether
                                               to model single or multiple events. Is the chemodynamic
                                               process  one in which the transport takes place over a
                                               series of storm events, so that each storm moves the
                                               pollutant mass a given distance in the drainage and then
                                               allows it to settle in the channel only to resuspend it with
                                               the next  peak of flow? Or does the total mass transport
                                               occur in one single dynamic, from corn field or suburban
                                               lawn to lake, estuary, or other sink, that is hours or days
                                               downstream in the  drainage? The issue of how storm-
                                               water transport of pollutants takes place is of paramount
                                               importance in  current planning  and regulatory  imple-
                                               mentation (11) because many of our current BMPs are
                                               relatively ineffective in removing NPS pollutants.  This
                                               understanding is critical even as we attempt to intervene
                                               in the pollutant generation process by changing the way
                                               we cultivate the land, fertilize our landscapes, or for that
                                               matter, how we alter the land  surface during growth.

-------
3 000
2 500
£~
Q- 9 nnn
o_ ^,uuu -
Q_


ouu •
n _





*
V'
.* V."**" *
^*r" **




^"'" •
.*•"
*>*
*



X

'. « "



„/'
.'".


, Main E
0.9
" Regre;
.-'•"




ranch rA2 =
3 65 Samples
ssion ~
                                500           1,000          1,500

                                          Suspended Solids (PPM)
                    2,000
2,500
Figure 7.  The relationship between total phosphorus and suspended sediment concentrations during runoff is strong but varies
         with different watersheds.
GIS Evaluation

The  GIS data files  on land use/land cover that were
created for the UPW show that the bulk of the area is
still quite undeveloped and rural (see Figure 8), with the
steeply sloped and igneous rock areas  in the  headwa-
ters in forest cover (38 percent) and the valleys in mixed
agriculture (44 percent). The urban/suburban land com-
poses the remaining 18 percent and largely consists of
several older, historic  boroughs linked together in a
lineal pattern with widely scattered, low-density residen-
tial areas. Much of the existing housing is turn-of-the-
century at quite high densities,  mixed with a variety of
commercial  and  other uses.  This  pattern  contrasts
sharply with typical large-lot suburban subdivisions. In
fact,  these watershed boroughs resemble the "village"
concepts that innovative planning theorists advocate in
a variety of important ways.

The  watershed (see Figure 9)  is blessed, or cursed,
depending upon one's perspective, with a multiplicity of
local governments including four different counties and
18 different municipalities. This arrangement poses spe-
cial challenges for management program implementa-
tion.  Population  projections  indicate  that additional
development will occur at moderate rates throughout the
watershed, reflecting recent trends.

Farming, both crop cultivation and dairying, is a major
existing land use in the watershed, although agriculture
is not especially robust and appears to be declining. This
lack  of agricultural vibrancy becomes a major factor in
determining  how to impose additional  management
measures on agricultural pollution sources. GIS tabula-
tion of agricultural land totals some 19,000 acres above
the reservoir, which can be compared with the estimated
TP and suspended solids  (SS) mass transport reaching
the lake. Considering only the agricultural land to be
the source of this NPS input (not quite true) suggests
an  average annual  yield of 180#/acre/year-SS  and
0.22#/acre/year-TP.

This sediment/phosphorus yield is more than sufficient
to maintain a eutrophic condition in the reservoir system.
The problem with this yield, however, is that it is two
orders of  magnitude less than  commonly accepted
methodologies of soil erosion, such as the universal soil
loss equation (14), would suggest might come from such
a watershed. Analysis of the cultivation practices taking
place on farmland in the watershed estimates soil ero-
sion to be approximately 5 to  10 tons per acre or more
per year, far more than is observed  passing out of the
basin into the reservoir. The phosphorus applications on
both cultivated  and  maintained residential landscapes
also appear much greater than the mass transport actu-
ally measured in the flowing streams, which represent
perhaps 7 percent or less of the annual land application.

The implication for NPS  analysis is that the standard
shopping list of either agricultural or urban BMPs might
only reduce the mass  transport by a  relatively small
fraction,  even  if successfully applied  throughout the
drainage. As Figure 7 illustrates, most of the phosphorus
transport occurs on  the colloidal fraction of sediment
particles, which tend to remain in  suspension as storm-
waters pass through  conventional detention structures,
terraces, or grassed swales.

To consider more radical measures, GIS was used  to
determine  possible  alternatives, such  as  creating  a
stream buffer system (see Figure 10) with  various set-
back distances  from the perennial stream network, and
to evaluate how great an impact this might have on
agricultural land use and  urban development. Land

-------
                             -^
                  •
                                                                               (

                                               Topography
Figure 8.  GIS data files showing land use/land cover characteristics for the Upper Perkomien watershed.

-------
Figure 9.  Existing land use/land cover GIS file for the Upper Perkiomen watershed. The 95-square-mile basin includes portions of
          four counties and 18 municipalities.

-------
              Legend
                                                                                          x' X  -1"-" s
                                                                                         /  S  i
                                                                                         //<
                                                                                               //
                                                                                              HSG
                                                                                       (Hydrologic Subgroup)
             /'           '
                                                                                         Key Map
                                                Stream
—-*
•]  11
                                         Structures
                                                                         Area
                                                                           of
                                                                         Detail
Figure 10.  GIS analysis of stream corridors allows evaluation of riparian buffer systems, potential agricultural land loss, potential
          septic system discharges, and related NFS reduction with selected best management practices.

-------
use at varying distances (100 feet, 200 feet, and 1,000
feet) from streams was tabulated,  including all land area
in the "active" agriculture categories. This CIS documen-
tation allowed estimation of the significant NPS reduc-
tion  in loadings that a  riparian corridor  management
program could achieve.

In the same way, CIS analysis helped estimate pollutant
loadings  from malfunctioning onsite  septic systems.
Counts  of structures in nonpublicly  sewered  areas
within varying distances from the stream system were
developed using CIS data files. The nearly 300 potential
systems within a 200-foot radius of those streams drain-
ing into the Green Lane Reservoir identified in this man-
ner, with pollutant generation factors applied, became
the basis of a dry weather pollutant estimation. Although
this approach was dependent on  a variety of assump-
tions, alternative approaches of evaluating the  problem,
such as field visits to actual onsite systems throughout
the watershed, would not have been feasible.

For urban and suburban development, the management
focus was to  estimate NPS loadings from future land
development. CIS was used to demonstrate NPS pollut-
ant load implications of future growth envisioned in the
watershed's  keystone  municipality, Upper  Hanover
Township. Here, an increase of 15,000 residents would
convert  1,772 acres into residential, commercial, and
industrial uses. Nonpoint pollutant loadings generated
by this new land  development constituted significant
increases in  phosphorus,  suspended solids, metals,
oil/grease, and other pollutants, and would reverse any
improvements in Green  Lane Reservoir water quality
that  recent  wastewater  treatment  plant  upgrades
achieved.

From a water quality perspective, future alternative land
use configurations that  concentrate development and
minimize ultimate  disturbance  of the  land surface
yielded would substantially reduce NPS pollutant load-
ings  into the reservoirs. This entire process of testing
land  use  implications  of  different management  ap-
proaches for their water quality impacts indicated that
pollutant loads could be minimized far more cost effec-
tively through  management actions, both structural and
nonstructural, which varied from  the areawide to the
site-specific.

Neshaminy Creek Watershed Stormwater
Management Study

Background

The Neshaminy Creek watershed, including 237 square
miles of mixed urban and rural land uses, lies primarily
in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, and flows directly into
the Delaware  River (see Figure 1). The 1978  Pennsyl-
vania 167 Stormwater Management Act, which required
that counties prepare Stormwater management plans for
all 353 designated watersheds in the state, mandated
the Neshaminy study. This act further stipulated  that
municipalities then needed to implement the watershed
plans through  adopting the necessary  municipal ordi-
nances and  regulations. In fact, the Neshaminy study
had three water resource management objectives:

• Prevent worsened  flooding  downstream caused by
  increased  volumes of runoff from land development.

• Increase ground-water recharge.

• Reduce  NPS pollutant loadings from new development.

In the initial study design, water quality and NPS issues
were secondary to flooding concerns. When Pennsylva-
nia's Stormwater management program was conceived,
the state focused  on  preventing watershed-wide flood-
ing. Clearly, detention basins have become the primary
mode of managing peak rates of Stormwater discharge
site-by-site in most communities. Because detention ba-
sins only control peak rates of runoff and allow signifi-
cantly increased total volumes of water discharged from
sites,  however, the increased Stormwater volumes can
theoretically  combine and create worsened  flooding
downstream. Consequently, most Act 167 planning has
focused on elaborate hydrologic modeling designed to
assess the seriousness of potential cumulative flooding
in watersheds under study.

In the case of the Neshaminy, however, the record sug-
gested that although  localized flooding could be an is-
sue, an existing network of eight multipurpose flood
control structures constructed during the 1960s served
to prevent significant flooding. Water quality  certainly
was a serious Stormwater concern, however, especially
in the areas  flowing into the reservoirs where recrea-
tional use  had become intense. Several of the existing
impoundments  were  multipurpose,  their permanent
pools providing critical recreational functions for a  bur-
geoning Bucks County population. At the same time, the
proliferation  of development in the watershed, with its
increased  point and nonpoint sources, had degraded
streams and  seriously affected the reservoirs. While the
total stream  system  in the watershed was of  concern,
the future  of the reservoirs came to be particularly im-
portant in developing the total Stormwater management
program for the Neshaminy watershed.
The Neshaminy lies at the heart of Bucks County, Penn-
sylvania's  primary population and employment growth
county (see Figure 11). Although the Neshaminy water-
shed has already experienced heavy development, es-
pecially in the lower  or southern portions, farmsteads
and large  areas of undeveloped land still exist, espe-
cially in headwater areas. Agriculture has  been a major
land use in the past, but farms rapidly are converting to
urban uses as the wave of urbanization moves outward
from Philadelphia  and from the Princeton/Trenton met-
ropolitan  areas. Growth projections  indicate  continu-

-------
                                                                       Nl SM 1MIM rK'-.FK V, ATlTttSHLO
                                                                    S'lORWAlflH MANAGEMENT PI AN
Figure 11.  Land use/land cover in the Neshaminy basin of Bucks County, Pennsylvania.  The watershed covers 237 square miles
           in southeast Pennsylvania.
                                                         10

-------
ation of this rapid growth and a continuing change  in
existing land use/land cover, together with  projected
development with in the required 10-year planning horizon.

Physiographically, the watershed spans both the Pied-
mont and Atlantic coastal plain provinces, with  rolling
topography and relatively steep slopes underlain by Tri-
assic formation rock,  including the Lockatong, Bruns-
wick, and Stockton formations.  This bedrock ranges
from being a poor aquifer (Lockatong) to an excellent
aquifer (Stockton) where the many rock fractures allow
for  considerable ground-water yields. Soils  are quite
variable, ranging from good loam (hydrologic soil group  B)
to clays  and other  types with poor drainage charac-
teristics (e.g., high water table, shallow depth to bed-
rock). A large proportion of the soils in the watershed are
categorized  as hydrologic soil group C, which is mar-
ginal for many stormwater management infiltration tech-
niques (see  Figure 12) and produces a relatively large
proportion of direct runoff. With an annual rainfall of 45
inches, base flow  accounts for  about 12 inches and
direct runoff accounts  for 10 inches.

The system  of  eight stormwater control structures,
which were built over the past three decades  under the
federal PL 566 program, have altered the hydrology  of
the watershed (15). In addition, in heavily developed
portions  of the watershed,  impervious  surfaces com-
bined with numerous detention basins prevent the bulk
of the precipitation from being recharged, and the vol-
ume of total runoff proportionally increases. An elabo-
rate system of municipal and nonmunicipal wastewater
treatment plants also  adds  to this alteration of the hy-
drologic cycle. These plants discharge wastewater efflu-
ent that,  in  some  cases,  constitutes the bulk of the
stream flow during dry periods. While the impact of NPS
was evident throughout the drainage, it was of special
interest in the impoundment network, especially those
impoundments that were conceived as multipurpose  in
function and constitute major recreational resources  in
the watershed.

CIS Design

Act 167 requirements and the needs of the hydrologic
and other modeling  used in planning both heavily influ-
enced  the CIS developed for the Neshaminy. Spatial
data files, including  existing land use, future  land use,
and soil  series aggregated by hydrologic soil groups,
were created by digitizing at a 1-hectare (2.5-acre) cell
resolution. The encoding process that helped design the
CIS used a stratified random  point sampling technique
that similar studies  had developed and applied (1, 3).
The encoding process used a metric grid of 5-kilometer
sections, subdivided into 2,500 1-hectare cells (100 me-
ters on a side), aligned with the Universal Transverse
Mercator (UTM) Grid System. This grid appears in blue
on  U.S. Geological Survey  (USGS) topographic maps.
These maps served as the framework of reference for
all data compilation. Within each 100-meter cell, a ran-
domly located point was  chosen (see  Figure  13)  at
which the specific factor was encoded as  representative
for the cell, using a digitizer tablet.  This approach al-
lowed extraction  of the data from the respective source
documents with some rectification necessary for many
types of source maps and  photographs.

The  combination of soil series and cover in  each cell
helped to calculate the curve number and unit runoff per
cell. The 45,000-cell data file was then used to calculate
total runoff for a range of events in each of 100 subbas-
ins that averaged 1.95 square miles each. The resultant
hydrographs, used in combination with a separate linear
data file in CIS describing  the hydrographic network of
stream geometry, routed and calibrated the hydrologic
model (TR-20). NPS mass transport loadings were es-
timated on an annual basis by cell, again  using the land
use/land  cover data file, and total loads summed by
groups of subbasins above critical locations. This issue
was  particularly important  with  respect to the drainage
areas above the  impoundments, where NPS  pollutants
were of greatest  concern.
The  soil  properties  data file was especially useful  in
evaluating certain management objectives, such as the
opportunity for recharging  ground-water aquifers. The
spatial variation  in relative effectiveness of  infiltration
BMPs was considered for both quantity and quality miti-
gation because the best  methods for NPS  reduction
usually include recharge where possible. The soil series
corresponding  with  new growth  areas were  classified
regarding  their suitability  for these  BMPs,  which are
most efficient on well-drained or moderately well-drained
soil. Thus, the alternative impacts of future growth could
be considered  in terms  of potential generation (or man-
agement) of NPS loads. A BMP selection methodology
(see Figure 14), which was developed forthe 30 munici-
palities within the watershed, focused on new land de-
velopment  applications and  considered both  water
quantity and quality management objectives. BMP se-
lection is a function of several factors, including:
• The need for further  peak rate reduction.

• The recharge sensitivity of the project site (defined as
  a function of headwaters  stream location, areawide re-
  liance on ground water for water supply, or presence
  of effluent limited streams).

• The need for priority  NPS pollution controls (location
  within reservoir drainage).

Development of two "performance" levels of BMP selection
techniques gave municipalities some degree of flexibility
in  developing their new stormwater  management pro-
grams. This system required only the minimally acceptable
techniques  but recommended the more fully effective
ones, hoping that municipalities would strive to incorporate
                                                  11

-------
                                                                                             VH:I
-------
           Region With Labeled Zones
29
(4428°°°mN)
28

A
5









46 47 48 49
(446°°°mE)
            Zone With Labeled Cells
288
286
284
282
280
4f









/








A


















































































50 462 464 466 468 470
Figure 13.  Raster/pixel design of GIS for Neshaminy modeling
           study. Each pixel is 1 hectare (2.47 acres).


recommended management measures wherever possi-
ble. The BMP selection methodology also was sensitive
to type of land use or proposed  development, assigning
typical  single-family  residential  subdivisions  different
BMPs than, for  example,  multifamily and  other nonresi-
dential  proposals  (including commercial  and  industrial
proposals). The  selection  process also determined size
of site to be  a factor, differentiating between sites of 5
acres or more  because  of the varying degrees of cost
and  effectiveness  of different BMP  approaches.  The
methodology, if properly and fully implemented, should
achieve the  necessary  stormwater-related  objectives—
both  quantity and quality—that the analysis had deemed
necessary  (16).

GIS was especially important in its  ability to test  how
reasonable the BMP selection methodology was. Such
tests included the ability to evaluate, for each municipal-
ity, the following factors:

•  The nature and extent of the projected development.

•  The size of development/size of site assumptions.

•  Other vital BMP feasibility factors such as soils and
   their appropriateness  for different  BMP techniques.

GIS  also  enabled  analysis  of the water quantity and
quality impacts of projected growth on a  baseline basis,
assuming continuation of existing stormwater manage-
ment practices. Water quality loadings to individual res-
ervoirs  and  to  the  stream  system  could  be  readily
demonstrated.  Because overenrichment of  the  reser-
voirs was so crucial, researchers could  estimate phos-
phorus   and    nitrogen   loadings   from    projected
development assuming  existing  stormwater practices,
even on a  municipality by municipality basis.

New Jersey Atlantic Coastal
Drainage  Study

Background

The third study considered a much larger coastal water-
shed in New Jersey (see Figure 15). The New Jersey
                                         1' Impoundment I
                                          Drainage
                                          INon Impoundment!.
                                          Drainage      F
                               Non Rechargel
                               Sensitive    r
                                          I Impoundment I
                                          \ Drainage    |
                                          INon Impoundment!
                                          '(Drainage      \
                                         J Impoundment
                                         1 Drainage
                                          INon Impoundment!.
                                          Drainage	I
                                          I Impoundment
                                          1 Drainage
                               INon Recharge|_
                               Sensitive
                                          INon Impoundment!
                                          "[Drainage	T
         Not Applicable
         Required: Multi-Resi and Non-Resi Overs Acres, Porous Pave. With
         Underground Recharge Beds for Paved Areas and Infiltration Devices for
         Non-Paved Areas, Sized for Peak; Other Uses, Infiltration Devices for
         Paved and Nonpaved Areas, Sized for Peak

         Not Applicable
         Required: Multi-Resi and Non-Resi Overs Acres, Dual Purpose Detention
         Basins for Paved/Nonpaved Areas, Sized for Peak; Other Uses, Detention
         Basins Sized for Peak
         Recommended: All Uses/Sizes, Porous Pave. With Underground Recharge
         Beds for Paved Areas; Minimum Disturbance or Wet Ponds/Artificial
         Wetlands for Nonpaved Areas, All Sized for Peak
         Required: All Uses and Sizes, Porous Pave. With Underground Recharge
         for Paved Areas; Minimum Disturbance for Nonpaved Areas


         Required: Multi-Resi and Non-Resi Overs Acres, Porous Pave. With
         Underground Recharge Beds for Paved Areas and Infiltration Devices for
         Nonpaved Areas
         Recommended: All Uses/Sizes, Porous Pave. With Underground Recharge
         for Paved Areas; Minimum Disturbance and/or Infiltration Devices After
         Site Stabilization

         Required: All Uses/Sizes, First-Flush Settling Basins for Paved Areas; for
         Nonpaved Areas,  Minimum Disturbance/Wet Ponds/Artificial Wetlands
         Recommended: for All Uses/Sizes, Porous Pave. With Underground
         Recharge Beds for Paved Areas; Minimum Disturbance for Nonpaved
         Areas
         Required: Multi-Resi and Non-Resi Overs Acres, First-Flush Settling
         Basin; Other Uses, Detention Basins (No Change)
         Recommended: Porous Pave. With Underground Recharge Beds for Paved
         Areas; for Nonpaved areas, Minimum Disturbance/Wet Ponds/Artificial
         Wetlands
Figure 14.  BMP selection methodology used with the GIS database in the Neshaminy basin modeling study.
                                                           13

-------
Atlantic Coastal Drainage  (ACD) includes an area  of
2,086  square miles,  with  barrier islands  (50  square
miles), wetlands/bays/estuaries (285 square miles), and
a unique scrubby pitch pine-cedar forest, known  as the
Pine Barrens, largely covering  the 1,750 square miles
of mainland interior (see  Figure  16). This flat coastal
plain comprises a series of unconsolidated sedimentary
deposits of sand, marl, and clay, which increase in thick-
ness toward the coastline.  Over the past 16,000  years,
as the  ocean level has risen, the water's edge  has
progressed inland to its present position.  Ocean  cur-
rents and upland erosion and deposition have created a
long, narrow series of barrier  islands  that absorb the
energy of ocean storms and buffer the  estuary habitats
from the scour  of waves and currents. Between the
mainland and barrier islands are embayments and es-
tuaries of different sizes and configurations. Inland erosion
and  marine sediments  have  gradually filled many  of
these areas, creating extensive wetlands (17).

In this ACD region, new land development and  popula-
tion growth have caused significant degradation of water
quality from an increase in both point source and NPS
pollution. Although the array of pollutants is ominously
broad, increased nitrogen  and phosphorus loadings
have resulted in enrichment of back bays, estuaries, and
nearshore waters, contributing to algal blooms, declining
finfish and  shellfish populations, diminished  recreational
                                                                                  Atlantic
                                                                               Ocean
                                                        Legend
                                                    	Atlantic Coastal Drainage

                                                    	Cafra Management Area

                                                     —    Pine Barren Region Including
                                                          Cedar-Pine Fringe


Figure 15.  The ACD of New Jersey includes approximately 2,000 square miles of land area from the Manasquan River to Cape May.
                                                   14

-------
Figure 16.  Aerial photograph of New Jersey illustrating the Barrier Islands and estuary system situated along the Atlantic coast.
                                                           15

-------
opportunities, and a variety of other problems (18). A
major source of these nutrients is point source sewage
treatment plants (STPs), but the effluent outfalls of almost
all these STPs discharge into nearshore ocean waters
beyond the barrier islands. Thus, NPS pollutants almost
totally dominate the water quality in the estuaries and
back bays (19, 20).

These  NPS pollutants, which rain scours from the land
surface and flushes into coastal waters  with each rain-
fall, comprise a  largely  unmeasured and unmanaged
flux of contaminants.  Prior research on coastal water
quality has given considerable attention to NPS pollution
generated from paved or impervious surfaces, particu-
larly roadways and  parking lots where hydrocarbons,
metals, suspended  solids, biologic oxygen  demand
(BOD), and other pollutants have been measured.

Although these NPS pollutants are certainly of concern
in  New Jersey's coastal waters, the enrichment  issue
has led to  a focus  on NPS pollution produced when
creating large areas of pervious and  heavily maintained
landscape,  such as lawns and other  landscaped areas,
in  the sandy soil context of the coastal  area. Typically,
significant quantities of  fertilizer and other  chemicals,
which are applied on these new pervious surfaces, are
naturally low in nutrients. Although a modest portion of
the applied  fertilizer runs off directly into surface waters,
larger quantities of soluble pollutants, such  as nitrates
and  herbicides,  quickly percolate  down through the
sandy soil, then move rapidly as interflow to the estuary
system.

In  this coastal drainage of unconsolidated sediments,
the hydrologic cycle differs from inland watersheds. Of
the 45-inch  average annual rainfall, only a small fraction
(2.5 inches  per year) becomes direct runoff,  with the
balance rapidly infiltrating into the  sand strata  (21).
Most of the infiltration that reaches the ground water
(20 inches per year) discharges to surface streams
(17 inches per year) within  a few hours following rainfall,
producing  a lagging and attenuated hydrograph. This
rapid infiltration, combined with the sand texture of the
soil, has a  major bearing on the water quality implica-
tions of new land development. Thus, urbanization  of
coastal regions  has  dramatically altered  hydrologic
response,  with  every square foot of new impervious
surface converting what had been approximately 41.5
inches of infiltration into  direct runoff to  bays and  estu-
aries, with a turbid soup of NPS pollutants.

Even  in areas  that  have  maintained  infiltration, the
coastal soils do not remove NPS pollutants as efficiently
as other areas of New Jersey that overlie consolidated
formations with heavier clay soils. These soils provide a
much more thorough removal of NPS pollutants through
physical, chemical, and  biologic processes, as rainfall
percolates through the soil mantle.
With development of coastal areas, increased impervi-
ous areas and changing flow pathways (inlets and storm
sewers) convey nonpoint pollutants introduced by devel-
opment (from both pervious and impervious  surfaces)
directly to the coastal waters. In addition, freshwater
recharge to the underlying  aquifer decreases with the
increase in   impervious  surfaces, with  resulting  in-
creases in saltwater intrusion into the sand aquifers and
contamination of ground-water supply wells along the
coast.  Further compounding the loss of the stormwater
for ground-water recharge are increased ground-water
withdrawals necessary for new watersupply. In sum, urban
growth within the ACD, with its  1.13 million permanent
residents (and still growing) and an additional 1.5 million
summertourists, has dramatically altered the natural drain-
age system (and landscape) in a way that significantly
increases the  discharge of NPS pollutants (22).

GIS Approach

New Jersey's Department of Environmental Protection
already had  developed  a  computerized GIS  system
(ARC/INFO)  for environmental analysis and resource
planning, so this study aimed to use existing  GIS work
and to refine this GIS system. Although data files for
municipal boundaries, watershed  areas, and a variety of
other factors  already existed, land use/land cover data
had not been developed and constituted a major work
task. The subsequent land use/land cover file included
the entire 2,000 square  miles of the ACD, but this fo-
cused  on the urbanized area (212 square miles) that
occupied about  11 percent of the coastal fringe. The end
product was  a polygon file that described about 2,500
polygons of urban/suburban land, each averaging about
0.1 square miles (see Figure 17).

Using  aerial  photographs combined with USGS  base
maps and extensive field reconnaissance, each polygon
was classified by:

• Land use type.

• Percentage of impervious cover and  maintained areas.

• Degree of  maintenance (fertilization)  being provided
  to these maintained areas.

Although classifying land use type and extent of imper-
vious cover/maintained areas was a relatively straight-
forward evaluation  process (rated within one of 11
categories by percentage, 0 to 5 percent, and so forth),
the third variable, degree of  maintenance, required spe-
cial treatment and  data  development procedures. De-
gree of maintenance was translated into high, medium,
and low categories, with high maintenance exemplified
by golf courses or other intensively maintained areas.
Medium maintenance assumed  chemical application
rates comparable with those recommended by Rutgers
University state agronomists. Finally,  low maintenance
was typified by a wooded or otherwise naturally vegetated
                                                  16

-------
Figure 17.  Urban land use polygons digitized for the New Jersey coastal drainage. The 2,500 polygons shown cover approximately
           212 square miles (11 percent) of the ACD area of 2,000 square miles.
                                                         17

-------
lot and assumed little or no regular chemical application.
Research staff executed considerable field reconnais-
sance to objectify this judgment-based rating technique
(see Figure 18).

Nonpoint Source Analysis
Because the  drainage is almost entirely estuarine, the
hydrologic aspects in this study were almost irrelevant
except as a tool to describe the pollutant transport proc-
ess. Such coastal drainage  systems do not allow the
measurement of hydrographs and chemographs  (see
Figure 6), except on inland riverine segments or se-
lected  infrastructure  points of discharge (storm sewer
outfalls). Thus, the NPS analysis focused on the pollut-
ant production and  transport  process, especially the
nutrients applied to the  maintained  landscapes, which
are a major part of coastal urbanization.
This study required a great deal of effort to produce an
indextable relating urban cover characteristics (percent-
age impervious, amount of chemical application) to NPS
production potential.  For each of the 2,500 urban land
polygons CIS described, estimates of the NPS loading
for a number of pollutants were generated. Potential
loadings were then aggregated by subwatershed. Total
NPS loadings could then be compared with  point source
loadings for the entire coastal drainage. Interestingly,
the NPS loading dominated water quality  in the estu-
arine drainage while the point sources, discharged by
ocean  outfalls to nearshore  waters  beyond the barrier
islands, were the major source of nutrient pollution in
this portion of the coastal environment (see Figure 19).
Given the estimates of NPS pollution, the major ques-
tion involves how to control or reduce these loads. The
suitability of selected BMPs for the reduction/prevention
of pollutant generation was then evaluated and spatially
identified within the drainage (see Figure 20). This figure
evaluated the use of constructed wetland systems as a
structural measure. That is, CIS allowed state regulators
to identify not only what works best in terms of water
quality protection measures, but also where these meth-
ods could work successfully.  This analysis was driven
by a detailed evaluation of the combinations of natural
conditions CIS identified within the study area. For ex-
ample, certain BMPs can be applied on soils that have
a certain set of characteristics  (permeability, depth to
seasonal high water table) and that are presently in a
given land cover and planned for urbanization.

CIS  also  aided  in  evaluating  alternative BMP tech-
niques,  including  reduction in nutrient applications and
land  management BMPs such as elimination of artificial
landscapes, again using  a  combination of natural fea-
tures and land use patterns (see Figure 21). The result
of this analysis considered the relative proximity of ur-
ban  land  uses to the coastal  waters as significantly
increasing the potential for NPS transport. State regula-
tory  programs establish  minimum setback criteria for
development in sensitive areas, and these criteria may
be modified to consider  pollutant production potential
based on CIS delineation of pollutant production.
New Jersey has been  striving to develop NPS manage-
ment programs for coastal areas to  reduce  existing
sources of pollution as well as  prevent the creation of
                                                                             Legend

                                                                             R = Residential Use
                                                                             C = Commercial Use

                                                                             # = Percent Impervious

                                                                             H = High Maintenance
                                                                             M = Medium Maintenance
                                                                             L = Low Maintenance
Figure 18.  Classification of urban polygons by land use, percentage impervious cover, and degree of land fertilization.
                                                   18

-------
                                       \
                               Maryland  s
  Wildwood
  N = 224 Tons'
  P = 52 Tons   eve"Me   Ocean City
              N = 142 Tons N = 151Ton;
              P = 33 Tons
                         P = 33 Tons
                                  Atlantic County
                                  N = 1,183 Tons
                                  P = 276 Tons
                             Ocean County Monmouth, Bayshore
rvpanrn,,niv     Ocean County  North         Monmouth, NE
Ocean County     Centra|       N = 859 Tons  Long Branch, Deal
South            N = 871 Tons  P = 201 Tons  ocean, Asbury Park
N = 267 Tons     P = ,n, T_               South Monmouth
                                          N = 1,966 Tons
                                          P = 458 Tons
      P = 62 Tons

Atlantic Ocean
                      P = 203 Tons
Figure 19.  Point and NFS discharges to the ACD. Data shown are in tons of TP and NOs-N per year.
                                                                                                Legend
                                                                                             BMP Suitability
                                                                                            • -  (1) Suitable
                                                                                            g-  (2) Generally Suitable
                                                                                            M~  (3) Limited Suitability
                                                                                             Unsuitable Areas
                                                                                            D-  (4) Unsuitable Soils
                                                                                            H-  Open Water
                                                                                            E3~  Urbanized Areas
Figure 20.  BMP analysis  using GIS.   Files consider soil suitability, current vegetative cover, and BMP criteria on vacant and
           developed land parcels.
                                                          19

-------
pollution. As most regulatory agencies have discovered,
NPS management programs can  be difficult to imple-
ment, especially when confronting issues of land  use
management. To substantiate the need for new manage-
ment programs amidst these controversies, the ability to
document causal linkages (i.e., to generate data  and
statistics that make the case for NPS pollutant gener-
ators and resultant water quality degradation)  is very
important. The need for documentation of various types
is especially great  given the  less than perfect data re-
cord of water quality in coastal and other waters. All of
these factors come together to make the value of a  CIS
system for water quality management very real.

Conclusion

This CIS-driven analysis indicates that NPS pollutants,
especially the nutrients phosphorus and nitrogen, gen-
erated  from fertilized  fields or maintained  landscapes
surrounding new  residential, commercial,  and other
types of development in drainage systems, contribute
significantly to water quality degradation. In effect, the
particulate-associated  phosphorus and the soluble ni-
trates serve as surrogates for the full spectrum of NPS
pollutants that each rainfall washes  from the land. A
comprehensive water quality  management program
must include structural measures to remove pollutants
this runoff conveys, as well as management of the con-
tributing  landscape to reduce (and perhaps eliminate)
the application of these chemicals  within the drainage.
In planning  new development, management actions
should occur on a variety of levels or tiers.  On  an
areawide basis, growth should proceed (with guidance
and management) in a manner that would reduce total
pollutant discharges;  therefore,  the  total  amount of
maintained area being created should  be as concen-
trated  as  possible. On the  more site-specific level,
measures and construction techniques that reduce the
quantity of pollutants generated are essential. Required
development guidelines must include, but not be limited to:

• Prevention of excessive site disturbance and ongoing
  site maintenance (described as a policy of minimum
  disturbance and minimum maintenance).

• Use of special materials  for reduction  of storm-
  water runoff (porous pavement and ground-water
  recharge).

• Use of stormwater treatment systems (water quality
  detention basins, artificial wetlands).

In sum, the regulatory framework must contain both
"how to build" guidelines, as well as "where not to build"
guidelines. CIS can be a powerful tool in both of these
processes.

While inland lakes serve as nutrient traps for these NPS
pollutants, perhaps the greatest potential impact is the
gradual process of excessively enriching our coastal
waters. As population continues to migrate  to coastal
areas, the importance of protecting this fragile ecosystem
Figure 21. For certain regulatory criteria, the proximity of land uses to the water's edge was a consideration in BMP selection.
                                                  20

-------
increases. The  pollution  that new  land  development
generates,  including  the  discharge  of  point  source
wastes, should not be allowed to enter coastal  waters;
it should not be  allowed to destroy the natural balance
that exists  between  land  and  water.  The  concept of
stormwater management takes on  an  entirely different
meaning when viewed as one of the basic mechanisms
of this NPS pollution transport. For centuries, engineer-
ing of the shoreline has intensively focused on protect-
ing human  developments  from  the ravages  of ocean
storms.  Now,  however,  the  converse seems  to  be
emerging: ocean waters need  protection  from  the im-
pacts  of human development.

References

 1.  Bliss,  N., T.H. Cahill,  E.B. MacDougall,  and C.A. Staub.  1975.
    Land resource measurement for water quality analysis. Chadds
    Ford, PA: Tri-County Conservancy of the Brandywine.
 2.  Cahill, T.H., R.W. Pierson, Jr., and B.R. Cohen. 1978. The evalu-
    ation of best management practices for the reduction of diffuse
    pollutants in an agricultural watershed. In: Lohr, R.C., ed. Best
    management practices for agriculture and silviculture. Ann Arbor,
    Ml: Ann Arbor Science.
 3.  Cahill, T.H., R.W. Pierson, Jr., and B.R. Cohen. 1979.  Nonpoint
    source model calibration in  the Honey Creek  watershed. #R-
    805421-01. Athens, GA:  U.S.  EPA  Environmental Research
    Laboratory.
 4.  Cahill, T.H. 1980. The analysis of relationships between land use
    and water quality in the Lake Erie basin.  Burlington,  Ontario:
    International Association of Great Lakes Research.
 5.  Cahill, T.H., J. McGuire, and C. Smith. 1993. Hydrologic and
    water quality modeling with geographic information systems. Pro-
    ceedings of the Symposium on Geographic Information Systems
    and Water Resources, AWRA, Mobile, AL (March).
6.  U.S. EPA. 1991. Remote sensing and GIS applications to nonpoint
    source planning. Proceedings of the U.S. EPA Workshop for Re-
    gion 5 and Northeast Illinois Planning Commission,  Chicago, IL
    (October 1990).
 7.  Baker, D.B., and J.W Kramer. 1973. Phosphorus sources and
    transport in an agricultural basin of Lake Erie. Proceedings of the
    16th Conference, Great Lakes Research, Ann Arbor, Ml (Septem-
    ber).
 8.  Cahill, T.H., and T.R. Hammer. 1976. Phosphate  transport in river
    basins. Proceedings of the International Joint Committee on Flu-
    vial Transport Workshop, Kitchener, Ontario (October).
 9.  Cahill  Associates. 1989. Stormwater management  in  the  New
    Jersey coastal zone. Trenton, NJ: State of New Jersey, Depart-
    ment of Environmental Protection, Division of Coastal Resources.
10.  Delaware Riverkeeper. 1993. Upper Perkiomen Creek watershed
    water  quality management  plan. Lambertville, NJ: Delaware
    Riverkeeper/Watershed Association of the Delaware River.

11.  U.S. EPA. 1993. Guidance specifying  management measures for
    sources of nonpoint  pollution in coastal waters.  EPA/840/B-
    92/002. Washington, DC.

12.  Soil Conservation Commission. 1982. TR-20,  project formula-
    tion—Hydrology. Technical Release No. 20. PB83-223768. Land-
    ham, MD: Soil Conservation  Service.

13.  Cahill,  T.H., M.C. Adams, and W.R.  Horner. 1990.  The  use  of
    porous paving for groundwater recharge in stormwater manage-
    ment systems.  Presented at the 1988 Floodplain/Stormwater
    Management  Symposium, State College, PA (October).

14.  Soil Conservation Commission. 1974. Universal soil loss equa-
    tion. Technical notes,  Conservation Agronomy No. 32. Portland,
    OR: West Technical Service  Center.

15.  Cahill,  T.H., M.  Adams, S. Remalie, and C. Smith. 1988. The
    hydrology of flood flow in the Neshaminy Creek basin, Pennsyl-
    vania.  Jamison,  PA: The Neshaminy  Water Resources Authority
    (May).

16.  BCPC. 1992.  Neshaminy Creek watershed stormwater manage-
    ment plan, Vol. 1: Policy document, and Vol. II: Plan implemen-
    tation.  Doylestown, PA:  Bucks County Planning  Commission
    (January).

17.  Clark, J. 1977. Coastal ecosystems: Ecological considerations for
    management  of the coastal zone. Washington, DC: The Conser-
    vation  Foundation.

18.  New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection. 1988. The
    state of the ocean: A report  by the blue ribbon panel in ocean
    incidents. Trenton, NJ.

19.  Cahill,  T.H., M. Adams, C.L. Smith, and J.S. McGuire. 1991. GIS
    analysis of nonpoint source pollution in the  New Jersey coastal
    zone. With Whitney, S., and  S. Halsey, New Jersey  Department
    of Environmental Protection,  Division  of Coastal Resources. Pre-
    sented at the  National Conference on Integrated Water Informa-
    tion Management, Atlantic City, NJ (August).

20.  Cahill,  T.H.,  M.  Adams, C.L. Smith, and  J.S. McGuire. 1991.
    Living  on the edge: Environmental quality in the coastal zone.
    With Whitney, S., and S. Halsey, New Jersey Department  of
    Environmental Protection,  Division of Coastal  Resources.  Pre-
    sented at the  International  Conference on Integrated  Stormwater
    Management, Singapore (July).

21.  Martin, M. 1989. Ground-water flow  in the  New Jersey coastal
    plain. Open File  Report 87-528. West Trenton, NJ: U.S. Geologi-
    cal Survey.

22.  National Oceanic  and Atmospheric  Administration. 1989. Se-
    lected characteristics in coastal states, 1980-2000. Rockville, MD:
    U.S. Department of Commerce,  National Oceanic and Atmos-
    pheric  Administration, Strategic Assessment Branch, Ocean As-
    sessment Division (October).
                                                          21

-------
     GIS Standards for Environmental Restoration and Compliance


                              Bobby G. Carpenter, P.E.
                          The CADD/GIS Technology Center
                            Waterways Experiment Station
                   Army Engineer Research and Development Center
                                Vicksburg, Mississippi

The CADD/GIS Technology Center (formerly Tri-Service CADD/GIS Technology Center) was
established at the Information Technology Laboratory (ITL), U.S. Army Engineer Waterways
Experiment Station (WES), Vicksburg, Mississippi in October 1992. The CADD/GIS Center's
primary mission is to serve as a multi-service  vehicle to set computer-aided design and drafting
(CADD) and geographic information system (GIS) standards; coordinate CADD/GIS facilities
systems within the Department of Defense (DoD); promote CADD/GIS system integration; support
centralized CADD/GIS hardware and software acquisition; and provide assistance for the
installation, training, operation, and maintenance of CADD and GIS systems.

The term  geospatial data refers to data that can be referenced to a specific geographic location on
the Earth. The specific geographic location can be depicted by a graphic feature on a map or
drawing (e.g., a building, monitoring well,  road, location where an environmental sample is
collected, etc.).

Environmental restoration activities involve the investigations and cleanup efforts associated with
the identification and removal of chemical or radioactive contaminants present in the soil,
groundwater, surface water, or sediment.  The most common environmental restoration programs
within the DoD include the Installation Restoration Program (IRP) (involves all Air Force, Army, and
Navy installations) and the Defense  Environmental Restoration Program - Formerly Used Defense
Sites (DERP-FUDS) (administered by USAGE).

Environmental compliance activities involve conducting everyday business practices in a manner
which complies with U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and state/local environmental
regulatory agency laws and regulations. Environmental compliance activities include the
management or removal of "toxic substances" (asbestos containing materials, lead  paint, PCBs),

-------
proper handling of hazardous materiels, proper handling and disposal of hazardous wastes,
monitoring and management of regulated storage tanks, monitoring and management of permitted
surface water discharges and permitted air emissions.

Why Do We Need Data Standards? The collection, storage, management, and analysis of
geospatial data are critical components of environmental restoration and compliance activities.
Geospatial data can be stored in a number of ways (i.e., paper,  microfilm, and/or electronically)
which may not be readily accessible and usable, or easily shared with, or reported to others. CADD
and GIS technology can provide cost-effective and efficient tools to apply and manage such data.
However, careful planning and the use of consistent data storage and CADD/GIS system
implementation standards are necessary to achieve the full potential offered by CADD and GIS
technology.

Tri-Service Spatial Data Standards (TSSDS) and Tri-Service Facility Management Standards
(TSFMS) Development. One of the CADD/GIS Center's (http://tsc.wes.army.mil) major initiatives
has been development of the TSSDS and TSFMS. This project  involves the development of
graphic and non-graphic standards for GIS and facility management implementations at Air Force,
Army, and Navy installations, and Army Corps of Engineers Civil Works activities. The
TSSDS/TSFMS are the only "nonproprietary" standard designed for use with the predominant
commercially available "off-the-shelf" GIS (e.g., ESRI ARC/INFO & ArcView; Intergraph  MGE &
GeoMedia; AutoDesk AutoCAD, Map and World; and Bentley MicroStation  & GeoGraphics) and
relational database software (e.g., Oracle & Microsoft Access). This design, in conjunction with it's
universal coverage, have propelled the TSSDS into the  standard for GIS implementations
throughout the DoD, and well as the De Facto standard for GIS  implementations in other Federal,
State, and Local Government organizations; public utilities; and  private industry throughout the
United States and the World.

The TSSDS/TSFMS are distributed via CD-ROM and the Internet (http://tsc.wes.army.mil). A "User
Friendly" interactive Microsoft Windows based software application installs the TSSDS on desktop
computers and networks, provides viewing and printing  capability, and generates SQL code for
construction of the GIS database. The CADD/GIS Center annually updates and  expands the
TSSDS and TSFMS data coverages. Release 1.80 of the TSSDS/TSFMS was completed in
February 1999.

-------
Contributors and Coordination. The TSSDS and TSFMS have been developed based on input
from various technical experts; review and analysis of existing working DoD and state GIS; review
and analysis of various existing database management systems used throughout DoD and the
federal government; and content contributions from federal, state, local, and private sector sources.
The CADD/GIS Center has organized Field Working Groups (FWGs) whose membership is
composed of subject matter, CAD, and GIS technical experts to assist in the development of the
Tri-Service Standards and other CADD/GIS projects. The CADD/GIS Center's Environmental FWG
has been very active is assisting  in the development of the TSSDS and TSFMS.

The CADD/GIS Center is coordinating development of the TSSDS/TSFMS with other DoD and
Federal standards initiatives such as the Defense Environmental Security Corporate Information
Management (DESCIM)  program, the Federal Geographic Data Committee (FGDC), the Defense
Information Standards Agency (DISA), the National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA), and the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

Some of the specific DoD and  Federal initiatives contributing to the environmental restoration and
compliance content  of the TSSDS/TSFMS include: (1) Air Force "Environmental Restoration
Program Information Management System", (ERPIMS) (formerly called IRPIMS); (2) USAGE
Alaska District "Environmental  Data Management System" (EDMS); (3) Army Environmental Center
(AEC) "Installation Restoration Data Management Information System" (IRDMIS); (4) Southwest
Division Naval Facilities Engineering Command, "Navy Environmental Data Transfer Standard"
(NEDTS); (5) USAGE "Formerly Used Defense Site (FUDS) Database"; (6) Air Force Aeronautical
Systems Center (ASC) and USAGE District, Louisville "Draft System Specification for the Technical
Data Management System"; (7) DESCIM Cleanup, Explosive Safety, and other data modeling work
groups; (8) Edwards AFB, Patuxent River Naval Air Station, and other DoD GIS; (9) CADD/GIS
Center's Environmental FWG,  (10) Environmental Protection Agency; (11) FGDC Facilities
Standards Working  Group,  and (12) EPA's Environmental Data Registry.

TSSDS/TSFMS Data Model Structure. Both graphic (i.e., symbols, text fonts, line styles/types,
and level/layer schemas) and nongraphic (e.g., database attribute tables and domains) geospatial
data requirements are addressed in the TSSDS/TSFMS. The TSSDS/TSFMS data model consists
of five basic levels of hierarchy: Entity Sets, Entity Classes, Entity Types (includes Entities) (TSSDS
only), Attribute Tables, and Domain Tables.

-------
Entity Sets (or Themes) are broad groupings of features and related data. The TSSDS/TSFMS
structure currently includes the following twenty-five themes: (1) Auditory, (2) Boundary, (3)
Buildings, (4) Cadastre, (5) Climate, (6) Common, (7) Communications, (8) Cultural, (9)
Demographics, (10) Environmental Hazards, (11) Ecology, (12) Fauna, (13) Flora, (14) Geodesy,
(15) Geology, (16) Hydrography, (17) Improvements, (18) Landform, (19) Land Status, (20) Military
Operations, (21) Olfactory, (22) Soil, (23) Transportation, (24) Utilities,  (25) and Visual.

Entity Classes are logical groupings of features and data within an Entity Set for data management
purposes.

The TSSDS Entity Classes contain logical groupings of "real-world", geographically referenced
(geospatial) features (entity types & entities) with related (graphic) database attribute tables. Each
Entity Class consists of a separate map or drawing file (i.e., category or design file in MGE;
workspace in ARC/INFO; design file in MicroStation; drawing file in AutoCAD). The current TSSDS
Entity Classes in the Environmental Hazards Entity Set include: (1) characterization, (2) surface
water pollution, (3) munitions  remediation, (4) emergency preparedness (spills, etc.), (5) general,
(6) groundwater pollution,  (7)  hazardous materiels/hazardous waste, (8) munitions
materiel/munitions waste,  (9)  pollution remediation,  (10) regulated tanks, (11) sediment pollution,
(12) sites, (13) building environmental concerns, (14) solid waste, (15) air pollution, and (16) soil
pollution.

The TSFMS Entity Classes contain logical groupings of (non-graphic) database attribute tables
which contain temporal or event data for specific "business" activities or functions. The TSFMS
Classes in the Environmental Hazards Entity Set include: (1) hazardous materiel management, (2)
munitions waste management, (3) asbestos containing  materiel  management, (4) surface water
discharge management, (5) hazardous waste management, (6) regulated tank management, (7)
PCB (polychlorinated biphenyl)  management, (8) lead paint management, (9) indoor air
management, (10) field measurements management, (11) remediation management, (12)
environmental management,  (13) munitions materiel management, and (14) air quality
management.

Entity Types are a grouping or collection of like,  or similar,  features (entities) which appear
graphically on a map or drawing. Each entity type has an associated attribute table. Entities can be
represented as one of the following three categories:

-------
   •   Boundary (Polygon) - A line string (or group of arcs) which forms the perimeter of an area.
       An example would be the boundary of a lake.

   •   Point - A single point representing the geographical location of a feature; e.g., a well. Points
       are normally represented on a map by a symbol. The TSSDS provide symbols in the native
       formats of AutoCAD, MicroStation, and ARC/INFO.

   •    String/Chain - A line or group of arcs.

An Attribute Table is a relational database table containing non-graphic, or attribute, information
about an entity. Attribute Tables which are linked directly to a graphic entity and contain data
directly related to that entity can be classified as "graphic" (i.e., TSSDS) attribute tables. Attribute
Tables not directly linked to an entity but which contain data required for a "business process" or
function, along with  data and relationships linked through specific data field ids which may be
queried for geospatial and  relational analysis, can be classified as "nongraphic" (i.e., TSFMS)
attribute tables.

Domain Tables contain lists of codes (i.e., permissible or valid values) for populating specific fields
in  the Attribute Tables; e.g., units of measure, material types, etc.

Join relationships are mechanisms by which relational databases link multiple records of a common
attribute or item and provide access to the records through the use of queries. Join relationships
are established in the TSSDS/TSFMS through the use of "Primary  Key" attribute fields in a "parent"
attribute table and "Foreign Key" attribute fields in related "child"  attribute tables.

Integration of Approved FGDC Geospatial Data Standards into the TSSDS. Executive Order
12906, "Coordinating Data Acquisition and Access: The National Spatial Data Infrastructure"
(NSDI), which was signed by the President on 11 April 1994, requires that all Federal agencies use
the FGDC Metadata Standard to document new geospatial data  and  make them electronically
accessible through the use of a National Geospatial Data Clearinghouse. Executive Order 12906
also assigned authority for the development of national geospatial data standards to the FGDC.
The FGDC standards development program ensures that standards are created under an open
consensus, with participation by non-federal and federal communities.

-------
The FGDC geospatial data standards provides a "Logical Data Model" consisting of descriptive
feature names (entity), attribute names, and domain names. However, this data model must be fully
developed into a "Physical Data Model" before it can be implemented in a GIS. That is, all
symbology (e.g., symbols, colors, fonts, line types); level/layer schemas; coverages; file table,
attribute, and domain names which are compatible with commercially available GIS and relational
database management systems must be developed. The TSSDS provides the "Physical Data
Model" for implementation of the approved FGDC geospatial data standards in a GIS. The TSSDS
has been designed to comply with the Spatial Data Transfer Standard (SDTS) data model, and has
been updated to permit compliance with the recently revised FGDC Metadata Standard. Provisions
of the FGDC Bathymetric Geospatial Standard (International Hydrographic Standard (IHO S-57))
were incorporated into the TSSDS Release 1.6. The FGDC Vegetation, Wetlands,  and Soils
standards have been incorporated into the CADD/GIS Center's TSSDS/TSFMS Release 1.8. In
addition, two of the standards currently under development by the FGDC Facilities  Working Group
(Environmental Hazards  Geospatial Standard and Utilities Geospatial Standard) originated from the
TSSDS.

-------
      Planning Strategies for Siting Animal Confinement Facilities:
         The Integrated Use of Geographic Information Systems
                  and Landscape Simulation Technologies

                  T. L Cartlidge1, B. Chamberlain2, D. G. Pitt1, M. Olson3,
                           B. Halverson2 and T. Harikrishnan1

             1 Department of Landscape Architecture, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
                          2Hoisington-Koegler Group, Minneapolis, MN
        Department of Landscape Architecture, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
Abstract
Through presentation of a case study, a series of planning strategies for siting animal
confinement facilities in the rural landscape are compared and contrasted. The strategies use
geographic information systems (GIS) technology to develop an environmental protection
framework for a 31,000-hectare watershed in west central Minnesota. The framework is based
on desires to maintain landscape integrity as reflected in enhanced biological diversity,
conserved soil and improved water quality as well as to maintain neighborhood cohesion among
farm and non-farm neighbors in the rural landscape. Design of the production landscape is
compared and contrasted under three alternative scenarios: a) the use of Euclidean zoning; b)
the use of overlay zoning; and c) the use of technical assistance to small-scale operators to
enhance adoption of whole farm planning. Low elevation aerial oblique renderings are
presented as a means of communicating to stakeholder groups the spatial organization and
visual appearance of agriculture in the rural landscape following implementation of the
strategies.

Introduction
The location and operation of animal confinement facilities in rural landscapes is an  issue of
large environmental concern in states having economic bases that include livestock production.
In the recent gubernatorial elections in Minnesota, for example, all candidates were  expected to
voice their position on a legislatively proposed moratorium on animal confinement facility siting.
The State's Environmental Quality Board is preparing a Generic Environmental Impact
Statement (GEIS) on animal  confinement facilities in Minnesota. Among other concerns, the

-------
GEIS is examining the effects of animal confinement facilities on water quality, air quality, the
structure of local economies, animal health, human health and the changing characteristics of
rural communities. In addition, the GEIS will also examine the effectiveness and capability of
local land use planning strategies in considering animal confinement facility siting.

The diversity of issues being considered in the GEIS is symptomatic of the complexity of the
issues surrounding animal agriculture in the contemporary rural landscape. No longer can the
focus rest solely on the impacts of production facilities on physical and biological characteristics
of the environment. Evaluation of animal agricultural issues in the twenty-first century also
requires assessment of social, economic and political concerns. The changing structure of
American agriculture has affected the manner in which farmers conduct their business as well
as the definition of who is a farmer.  Scale of operation has increased significantly. Corporate
structures of farm enterprises often  break the traditional land-based agrarian ties of operators as
land becomes little more than another factor of production. Rural community structure
deteriorates as seemingly strangers operate land once cared for by trusted neighbors. Small
township governments sometimes find themselves overpowered by the corporate structures
with which they must often interact in issues related to animal agriculture.

The physical, biological,  social economic and political issues associated with animal agriculture
must be examined at the scale of the individual production facility, the immediate landscape
context of the facility as well as the  region within which the facility is located. Examining the
spatial dimensions of these issues at the landscape and regional levels lends itself directly to
the use of geographic information systems (GIS) technology.  Planners attempting to resolve the
complexities of animal agriculture issues can use GIS technology to integrate the diverse issues
across space and spatial scales, and they can use the technology to develop sophisticated map
representations of their findings and recommendations.  The map representations can serve as
a basis for creating realistic image simulations to present recommendations to various
stakeholder groups.

The University of Minnesota Extension Service sponsored a Rural Landscape Project to
demonstrate how local units of government could use geographic information systems (GIS)
technology and image simulation technologies to enhance their abilities to plan for animal
confinement facilities. The demonstration project was located in the 31,000-hectare Sacred

-------
Heart drainage basin, a tributary of the Minnesota River in west central Minnesota. Figure 1
illustrates existing land use and cultural settlement patterns in the basin.
            Figure 1. Land Use and Cultural Settlement
                            Sacred Heart Basin
                           Renville and Redwood Counties, MN
         Land Use
d] Cropland
•• Pasture
'.':.;,.-'.I Farmstead
•nil Forest
m Other rural development
1.11 Urban
• Open water
• Wetland
                                   Transportation
                                   and Drainage
                                   /y State highway
                                   /^County state-aid highway
                                     County road
                                   V City street or township road
                                     Drainage
 Cultural
 Settlement
* Farmer
" Non-farmer
• Retired farmer
Objectives of the demonstration project were:
     •    To evaluate at the local level - in rural communities- the land management
          alternatives that can be used to sustain animal confinement agriculture in the rural
          landscape. This objective sought the identification of strategies to conserve soil,
          maintain water quality, enhance biological diversity, contribute to regional economic
          health, maintain the viability of individual farm enterprises and enhance the well
          being of people living and working in the landscape. The objective sought means of
          building and sustaining healthy ecological systems, healthy economies and healthy
          communities in the Sacred Heart basin.
     •    To broaden input and further discussion of critical issues related to animal agriculture
          and the rural landscape between producers and their neighbors, policy-makers and
          communities, and state and local governments.

-------
     •    To help foster consensus on principles for sustaining the rural landscape of west
          central Minnesota.

The case study is proceeding in three phases. The first phase involved a series of in-depth
interviews and focus group discussions with selected animal agriculture operators in west
central Minnesota. Along with an examination of agricultural statistics for the region and a
review of relevant literature, the interviews and discussions enabled the demonstration team to
better understand the issues associated with animal agriculture operation in the region. The
second phase of the case study, and the subject of this paper, developed a series of planning
strategies to enable continuation of sustainable animal agriculture in one of the region's
watersheds. In developing the strategies, plan view mapped representations of the designs
were created. To better communicate the design strategies to different sets of stakeholders
during  a subsequent round of workshops, the strategies were also represented as hand drawn,
low-elevation aerial oblique renderings. The renderings were prepared to offer stakeholders a
sense of how the design strategies would affect spatial organization of agriculture in the rural
landscape as well as engender a sense of the landscape's visual appearance following
implementation of each strategy. The third phase,  to be conducted in the fall of 1999, will
engage a  series of stakeholder groups in the region in conversation about the planning
strategies. The workshops will involve use of the GIS mapped information as well as the aerial
perspective renderings of the various landscape design alternatives.

Designing an Environmental  Protection Framework
The first step in creating a planning strategy for siting animal confinement facilities involved
development of an environmental protection framework. The purpose of the framework was to
identify those components of the landscape in the Sacred Heart basin that warrant special
protection in meeting the objectives of conserving  soil, protecting water quality, enhancing
biological  diversity and promoting community values. The framework was defined  in terms of
two dimensions. Landscape integrity,  a measure of the ability of landscape structure to maintain
ecological function, defined a balance between environmental quality and agricultural production
values. Neighborhood  cohesion defined relationships between farm and non-farm residents of
the rural landscape.

-------
Defining Landscape Integrity
Landscape dimensions critical to defining integrity included:
      a)  slopes exceeding 12% slope;
      b)  highly erodible soils;
      c)  existing surface hydrology;
      d)  soils that are occasionally or regularly flooded;
      e)  hydric soils as defined by USDA-NRCS criteria.
      f)   existing forest, wetland, open water and grassland communities;
      g)  National Wetland Inventory sites;
      h)  land enrolled in the Conservation Reserve Program;
      i)   that one-fourth of the watershed's total area whose soils contain the lowest potential
          productivity for corn and soybean;
      j)   locations of existing animal confinement facilities; and
      k)  existing field pattens.

Data related to these dimensions were gathered from the Soil Survey Manual of Renville
County, Minnesota, digital aerial ortho-photographs of the watershed, digital raster graphic
images of the 7-1/2 minute Topographic Quadrangles for the watershed and various existing
data sources maintained by agencies of state government (e.g. National Wetland Inventory
sites, existing animal confinement facilities). The data were  compiled into a GIS data base using
Arc-lnfo™technology. Figure 2 illustrates the data used in defining landscape integrity.

Determinants of Soil Conservation and Water Quality. Soils that were steeply sloping, highly
erodible, occasionally or regularly flooded or contained hydric conditions, especially where they
were located in close proximity to surface hydrologic features, were defined as being critical to
maintaining surface and ground water quality.

Determinants of Biological Diversity. The original pre-settlement vegetation of the watershed
contained upland conditions of xeric, mesic and hydric prairie and bottomland conditions
predominated  by cottonwood, elm, silver maple and other floodplain species, oak forest and oak
openings existed on the south-facing bluffs along the Minnesota River. One hundred and twenty
years of agriculture in the watershed has essentially eliminated the prairie vegetation from the
landscape, and over 80% of the wetlands have been  drained. The cultural landscape of farming
introduced upland forest vegetation to the late nineteenth century landscape in the form of

-------
                   Figure 2. Components of Landscape Integrity
                  Hydro log i
                    Features
  Erodible
Landscape
                 •*V* Perennial stream
                 .•'-..• Intermittent stream
                 /V Drainage channel
                 ^B Open water
                 I  I Wetland
                 HI National Wetlands Inventory site
                 ^^ Frequently or occassionally flooded land
                    Hydric soil
                 Productivity
                    of Soil
 I   I Open water
 EBI Highly erodible land
 HI3I Slopes exceeding 12 percent
    Wildlife
    Habitat
                  ^| Open water
                  j-.'.."i Not prime agr land
                  ill Lowest soil productivity
 I  I Wetland
 ^H Open water
 l;:;:;:-l Grassland
    Forest windbreak
 •1 Forest patch
 • CRP I and holdings
shelterbelt patches and strips of hedgerow and fencerow vegetation. As economic scale of farm
operations increased in the last thirty years, many of the hedgerows and fencerows were
removed. Similarly, many shelterbelt patches associated with abandoned farmsteads were
removed. The result of these cultural influences was the creation of a mono-typical landscape
matrix characterized by increasingly larger fields of either soybean or corn. This pattern was
broken only where farmers enrolled less productive  land in the Conservation Reserve Program
(CRP) during the 1980's. Identification of remnant wetland systems, forest patches and strips,
grassland communities and CRP land holdings became a priority step in defining  patterns of
biological diversity in the watershed.  Forest patches were differentiated from strips using a 200-
meter forest patch width criterion.

-------
Defining Neighborhood Cohesion
Assessing neighborhood cohesion involved mapping the locations of farmers, retired farmers
and rural non-farm residents in the landscape. The density of non-farm residents in each land
section was mapped. This strategy assumed that non-farm rural residents have greater aversion
to the externalities of animal confinement operation (e.g. odor, impacts of transportation,  etc.).
Figure 3 illustrates the density of non-farm residents in each  land section.
              Figure 3. Density of Non-farm Rural Residents Per Section
                                   Sacred Heart Basin
                                Renville and Redwood Counties, MN
                                              /\/ State highway
                                                   County state-aid road
                                                \/ County road
                                                \ / Township road or city street

                                                •  Non-farm resident
                                               |i:i:i|||iii|:| One non-farm resident per section
                                                   Two non-farm residents per section
                                                   Three non-farm residents per section
Design of Environmental Protection Framework
The dimensions of landscape integrity and neighborhood cohesion provided the raw material for
creation of the environmental protection framework (see Figure 4). Within the context of these
dimensions, design of the framework pursued five principles:
          Define and protect riparian corridors within the watershed. Accomplishment of
          this design principle ranged from protection of the extensive floodplain systems that
          exist along the bottomlands of the Minnesota River and its tributaries to delineation
          of ten meter vegetative buffer strips along the constructed upland drainage systems.
          Definition of the riparian corridors included bluff and steeply sloped landscapes
          adjacent to the floodplain and drainage systems. It also included integration of any of

-------
     the dimensions of either landscape integrity or neighborhood cohesion that were
     adjacent to the riparian system. For example, corridor definition incorporated areas
     that were adjacent to the riparian corridor and contained soils with low productivity
     values.

•    Provide a network of upland connections among riparian corridors. This
     objective established an upland network of connectivity among the riparian corridors.
     Components of the network were defined initially on the basis of remnant wetland,
     woodland and grassland communities as well as existing CRP holdings. The location
     of such factors as the presence of low productivity or hydric soil conditions, steep
     slopes, highly erodible soils, or National Wetland Inventory sites connected remnant
     communities to themselves and to the riparian corridors.

•    Provide buffering around non-farm residents living  in the rural landscape.
     Areas containing high concentrations of rural non-farm residents became
     components of the environmental protection matrix.

•    Use existing patterns of cultural settlement to establish the boundaries of the
     framework. Within the context of maintaining the integrity of the spatial pattern of the
     environmental protection framework, existing field patterns provided a basis of
     defining framework edges.

•    Define uses appropriate to landscape characteristics. Within the environmental
     protection framework, land uses would be permitted based on their appropriateness
     to the resource characteristics of the landscape. For example, low input perennial or
     agro-forestry crops were considered appropriate in vegetative buffers  of upland
     drainage riparian systems.

-------
    Figure 4. Environmental Protection Framework
                        Sacred Heart Basin
                     Renville and Redwood Counties, MN

                                Legend
                               /%/" State highway
                               /\/ County state-aid road
                                / \ , County road
                                   / Township road or city street
                                    Drainage
                                    Open water
                                    Environmental Protection
                                    Framework
                                               6 Miles

                                             onmental
                                             Framework
Defining Farm Production Units in the Landscape
The environmental protection framework established an armature within which commodity
production values in the landscape can be realized.  Farm production units involved in pursuit of
these values were classified along three continua: crop diversity; farm scale; and operation
distribution. Crop diversity varied from highly specialized production of one or two cash crop
commodities (e.g. corn and soybean) to farm units that combine dairy and pork production with
forage and pick-your-own truck crop production. Farm scale referred to the capital  intensity of
the farm enterprise, and it generally correlated with geographic size of the operation. Finally,
operation distribution referred to the geographic dispersion of the enterprise across the

-------
 landscape. Distribution varied from farm units operating in one concentrated locus to units
operating across several different locations. As illustrated in Figure 5, these three criteria were
used to describe farm units operating in the Sacred Heart watershed.
                      Figure 5. Farm Production Units Can Be
                       Characterized Along Three Continua.
                                               Crop Diversity
                      Mono
                                                           Multi
                      Small
  Large
                     Operation Distribution
                        I	
                     Centralized
Dispersed

Designing the Production Landscape
Landscape not included in the environmental protection framework was defined as production
landscape. Three principle functions occurred within the production landscape: animal
production; crop production; and residential uses associated with both farm operators as well as
non-farm inhabitants. The case study investigated three scenarios by which these uses might
be managed and spatially organized within the production landscape to establish a sustainable
rural environment. Each scenario described a prototypical set of conditions that might be found
in areas wherein the policies inherent in the scenario were adopted.  A low-elevation, oblique
aerial perspective rendering accompanies the presentation of each scenario to depict its spatial
structure and appearance in the landscape.
                                           10

-------
Scenario One: Large Scale Zoning Approach
The first design scenario (see Figure 6) involved establishment of four exclusive use zoning
districts:
     a)    an environmental protection zone;
     b)    an animal agriculture enterprise district;
     c)    an intensive cropping district;  and
     d)    a rural residential district.

Characteristics of the environmental protection zone were previously defined, and the
characteristics of the remaining districts are described below.

Animal Agriculture Enterprise District
An animal agriculture enterprise district consisted of large-scale confinement facilities clustered
within the same geographic proximity. Animal agriculture was the permitted use within the
district.  Location of the considered such criteria as: a) proximity to components of the
environmental protection zone;  b) maintaining a 1.5 mile buffer between the enterprise district
and components of the rural residential district; and c) existing transportation infrastructure. A
set of performance criteria relating to air and water quality, resource recycling and the
enhancement of biological diversity regulated operation of the animal  agriculture uses within the
zone. The enterprise districts were large enough to permit establishment of centralized
treatment facilities for manure management and treatment.

A manure management cooperative,  structured similarly to a rural electric cooperative,
managed the waste products of several enterprise districts. The scale of the cooperative's
operation permitted it to become involved bye-product. The cooperative established and
maintained integrated relationships between generators of manure sludge within the enterprise
district and users of manure sludge in the adjacent cropping district. The cooperative also
managed integrated relationships between forage producers in the cropping district and forage
consumers in the enterprise district. These cooperative relationships allowed the creation of
closed production systems  in which size of the enterprise district was  determined by the forage
production and sludge handling capabilities of producers in the adjacent cropping district.
                                            11

-------
Cropping District
Within a cropping district, large scale crop production, intended in part to supply forage for and
process manure sludge from adjacent animal enterprise districts, was the preferred use. The
location of the cropping districts was based on three criteria: a) soil productivity, b) constraints
and opportunities defined by the environmental protection framework; and c) provision of a 1.5
mile buffer between the enterprise districts and the rural residential districts. The transportation
infrastructure within a cropping district was maintained primarily to foster delivery of products to
market and interaction between individual producers in the cropping district and animal
producers in the enterprise district. Management of this infrastructure involved the  conversion of
redundant township roads into field roads or the transformation of these rights-of-way into
components of the environmental protection framework. Performance standards and incentives
operating within  the cropping district encouraged adoption of best management practices,
establishment of a routine fallow program for fields and creation of the environmental protection
framework. Since lands within  the cropping district would be down-zoned to crop production
uses, a transfer of development rights program (TDR) or a purchase of development rights
program (PDR) was established to permit landowners to participate in the development
windfalls that accrued to landowners in the rural residential district.  Either of these  programs
allowed development rights transfers into the rural residential district were such non-farm uses
were permitted and encouraged.

Rural Residential District
The fourth zoning district was a rural residential district. Within this district, rural residential uses,
hobby farms and small-scale farm operations were primary uses. Pre-existing residential uses in
the cropping or enterprise districts remained in their current locations, although they would be
eligible for relocation into a rural residential district. All future rural residential development
would occur within a rural residential district. Future development was encouraged to follow
cluster strategies in implementation, and  density  bonuses became available to  developers
pursuing cluster strategies. Location of the rural residential districts were based on: a)
constraints and opportunities defined by the environmental protection framework; b) provision of
a 1.5 mile buffer between the enterprise districts  and the rural residential districts; and c) the
suitability of soils for development and domestic waste management (either as  septic tank
drainfield effluent or alternative technologies). Within the rural residential districts, the existing
pattern of transportation infrastructure was maintained.
                                            12

-------
Policy Environment of Large Scale Zoning Approach
The policy environment of the large scale zoning approach involved an intensive regulatory
framework. Having defined the environmental protection framework, a significant amount of
centralized planning established the boundaries of the other three districts. An administrative
framework managed the performance standards and incentive systems operating in the
districts, and the framework established the operating procedures of the development rights
              Figure 6. Large Scale Zoning Approach
transfer program. A forage production and manure sludge-handling cooperative managed
integrated relationships between forage production and sludge handling.

Scenario Two: Mixed Scale Overlay District Approach
Rather than relying on the rigidity of an Euclidean approach to land use separation through
exclusive use districts, scenario two adopted the flexibility of overlay district zoning. In this
scenario, an application for development or expansion of an animal confinement facility
triggered a request to implement an overlay district. The district consisted of all lands within a
1.5 mile radius from the confinement facility (see Figure 7). The application was reviewed in a
site selection process that examined the overlay district's location relative to: a) constraints and
opportunities defined by the environmental protection framework; b) existing transportation
infrastructure; and c) proximity to rural non-farm residential uses.
                                          13

-------
Applicants were required to negotiate and secure operating agreements with all landowners
within the confines of the overlay district. The requirement to negotiate operating agreements
with all landowners within a 1.5 mile radius of the led to the agglomeration of such facilities
within the rural landscape. However, rather than  legislating these concentrations as was true in
the zoning approach, the agglomerations evolved through market activity. Performance criteria
relating to air and water quality, resource recycling and the enhancement of biological diversity
governed operation of the livestock facility within the overlay district. To the extent practical,
operators were encouraged to pursue bye-product recovery (e.g. capture of methane production
for small-scale energy generation). The existing pattern of transportation infrastructure within
the overlay district was maintained.

The overlay district concept required a less intensive regulatory framework than did the large
scale zoning approach. Administration of the site selection  and overlay district creation process
was required along with administration of performance standards. Otherwise,  administrative
functions occurred in the private sector through landowner  to landowner transactions or through
adjudicatory processes initiated to resolve compensatory claims issues.
                Figure 7. Mixed Scale Overlay District Approach
                                           14

-------
Scenario Three: Small Scale Diversified Farming Approach
The third scenario (see Figure 8) assumed a livestock commodity price and economic structure
that favored a return to smaller scale more diversified farm operations. In this scenario,
individual farms pursued both crop and livestock production, and alternative and low-input
agricultural systems became more widely accepted. Individual operators became both forage
producer and forage consumer;  both manure producer and manure consumer. Farming became
a closed system wherein operating scale was based on potential productivity and manure
assimilative capacity of soils. Farmers pursued whole farm planning with technical assistance
from USDA-NRCS personnel. Implementation of this planning activity, coupled with incentives
to encourage adoption of best management practices, enabled establishment and maintenance
of the environmental protection framework. Performance criteria relating to air and water quality,
resource recycling and the enhancement of biological diversity governed farming operations.
The policy environment of scenario three required regulatory activities associated with
administration of performance standards. The technical assistance involved in whole farm
planning coupled with educational efforts and incentives associated with adoption of best
management practice adoption also required administrative activity.
                         Figure 8. Small Scale Diversified
                                 Farming Approach
                                          15

-------
Conclusions
None of the three scenarios, by itself, represents the single planning approach to
accommodating animal confinement facilities in the rural landscape. Collectively, the scenarios
represent a catalog of strategies that can be applied in different physiographic and cultural
contexts. In many instances, the most appropriate solution may involve a combination of
strategies. Regardless of how the production landscape is designed and managed, it is
important to frame the designs around the establishment and maintenance of the environmental
protection framework. GIS technology is well suited for design of the framework. Execution of
the alternative production landscape designs is also well suited to the application of GIS
technology. Maps produced from GIS technology lend themselves readily to the production of
illustrative graphics, which can be used to further explain the spatial structure and appearance
of a sustainable rural landscape for animal production.
                                          16

-------
    A GIS-Based Approach to Characterizing Chemical Compounds in Soil and
                           Modeling of Remedial System Design
                    Leslie L. Chau, Charles R. Comstock, and R. Frank Keyser
                          ICF Kaiser Engineers, Inc., Oakland, California
Introduction: The Problem

The cost-effectiveness of implementing a computerized
geographic information system (CIS) for environmental
subsurface characterization should be based on long-
term remedial objectives. A CIS project was developed
to characterize soil contamination and to provide design
parameters for a soil vapor extraction remedial system,
as part of a  $120-million  remediation and "land sale"
project in California. The primary purposes of the CIS
were to efficiently combine and evaluate (model) dispa-
rate data sets, provide "new" and more useful informa-
tion to aid in short-term engineering decisions, and
support the development of long-term cleanup goals.

The project had a major change in scope early on, and
the schedule was expedited to allow for the develop-
ment of "land  sale" options and for actual site redevel-
opment at the earliest opportunity.  Characterization of
chemically affected soil would have been compromised
given the above  circumstances without an  ambitious
undertaking of concurrently developing and implement-
ing a CIS with three-dimensional  (3-D) geostatistical
and predictive modeling capabilities.

The GIS Approach

Computer solutions included the use of a cross-platform
(DOS and UNIX) GIS to quickly and systematically in-
corporate spatial and chemical data sets and  to provide
a distributed data processing and analysis environment
(see Figure 1). Networked, DOS-based relational data-
bases were used to compile and disseminate data for
the numerous investigatory  and   engineering  tasks.
UNIX-based computer aided  design (CAD) and model-
ing applications received data from databases,  per-
formed  quantitative  analyses,  and   provided  3-D
computer graphics. Given the aggressive project sched-
ule, exclusive  use of one platform would not be realistic
due mainly to the limited data modeling capacity and 3-D
graphics in DOS systems. On the other hand, the high
startup and operating costs  of several UNIX worksta-
tions would render their exclusive use much less cost-
effective.

The hardware  and  software configurations were inte-
grated in a client/server Intergraph  InterPro 6400 with
48 megabytes of memory. It is largely a 3-D CAD system
with add-on modules of geologic mapping and 3-D vis-
ual models capable  of consolidating  both environmental
and engineering parameters for analysis (see Figure 1).
Textual environmental and geologic data were extracted
by SQL queries  from  relational databases and were
transferred to  mapping  and modeling  modules  via
PC/TCP cross-platform linkage.

The GIS assisted in making short- and long-term deci-
sions  regarding health-risk-based  regulatory strategy
and engineering feasibility. Use of spatial statistical and
predictive  models was part  of a CIS-based decision-
making loop (see Figure 2). The  process  supported
concurrent activities in:

• Data collection: field program.

• Numerical models of remedial system configurations.

• Development of cleanup goals from health  risk
  assessments.

• Remedial design  with CAD capability.

Site Background

In early 1993, the remedial investigation of the operable
unit for soil at a former aircraft manufacturing facility in
southern California was thought to be ready for remedial
alternatives feasibility study. ICF Kaiser Engineers, Inc.,
was awarded the contract to perform feasibility studies
on applicable soil cleanup technologies and to sub-
sequently design and manage the installation and early
operation of the selected technologies. After $700,000
was spent evaluating data collected by previous consult-
ants, it was decided that an additional $5 million worth

-------
DOS-Based
Token Ring Network

Site
Survey
Activities
Sampling
h*
*

RDBMS
(Paradox)

UNIX-Based
Data Visualization and Computer-Aided Engineering

PC/TCP

Informix
RDBMS

            Laboratory
            Analytical
             Results
                                                                        Visualization
                                                                                             CADD
                               Health Risk
                               Assessment
                                                  Modeling Module
                               Regulatory
                               Reporting/
                               Interaction
                                       3-D Kriging Spatial
                                           Analysis
                                        3-D Vapor Flow
                                           Analysis
                                       3-D Chemical Mass
                                          Transport
                                           Analysis
                                                             High Impact 3-D
                                                              Solid Models
               Volumetric
               Analysis of
               Static and
              Dynamic Mass
                  Flow
                                  Subsurface
                                  Engineering
  3-D Piping

  Electrical

  Treatment
System Housing
Accelerated Implementation To Establish Cle
Require Low Overhead Upfront Cost and Off-the
PC-Based
Data Visualization
Report Generation
anup Goals
Shelf Software


Regulatory and
Public
Interaction
Client
Deliverables

Extended Engineering Phase
Specialized CAD Software and Analytical Staff

Figure 1.  Multiplatform GIS project.
                   Ongoing Site Investigation
                   Soil/Soil Vapor Sampling
                      Data Processing
                     1. Storage (RDBMS)
                      2. Dissemination
                         Modeling
                     1. Spatial Correlation
                     2. Fate and Transport
                                    Conceptual
                                Treatment Alternatives
   Health Risk
  Assessment
                                     Permitting
                                Environmental Planning
                                 Site Redevelopment
Establishment of
 Cleanup Goals
                       Final Remedial
                          Design
Figure 2.  GIS-assisted decision tree.
of field activities were required to more definitively esti-
mate the volume of chemically affected  soil and the
nature and extent of contamination at the facility. Be-
cause of the data gaps, the selection and  design of
alternatives could not be addressed with a high degree
of certainty. Hence, computer assisted  data processing
was crucial to speed up the feasibility study, accelerate
downstream work, and  reduce the overall project sched-
ule to the minimum.

The site is environmentally complex, covering an area
of approximately 120 acres. As a result of nearly  half a
century of aircraft production and development, soil be-
neath the facility is affected by fuel and  heavy oil hydro-
carbons (TPH) commingled with volatile  compounds,
mainly  perchloroethylene (PCE) and trichloroethylene
(TCE) (see Figure 3). Ground  water at 170 feet below
ground surface is  affected by TCE and PCE, but it is not
part of the drinking water aquifer. The facility has  been
demolished, and  shallow contaminated soil  has   been
excavated and  back-filled to an interim  grade.

Methodology

Health-Risk-Based Cleanup Goals

Central to determining  the volume and  kinds  of data to
be collected was  the question  of whether chemicals in
soil represented potentially unacceptable risks to human

-------
                                                            PCE+TCE TOTAL CONCENTRATION

                                                            •••
                                                             • •1.0.
                 VAPOR DISTRIBUTION
Figure 3.  Aircraft manufacturing facility in California. Outline of demolished buildings located at the 120-acre site are shown as
         surface features for reference. A geostatistical model of a 3-D kriged VOC soil vapor cloud in the subsurface was simulated
         with Intergraph's MGVA. Views displayed are: 3-D isometric, vertical section of chemical isoplaths, and a nearly plan view.
         Digital simulation also illustrates VOCs affecting ground water in a dispersive nature at a depth of nearly 170 feet bgs
         (shown at bottom of isometric view).
health and to the environment, with the former being of
particular concern to construction workers onsite during
redevelopment.

Because site redevelopment was scheduled to begin in
the near term, data collection and CIS analysis concen-
trated on shallow depths (top 20 feet), with decreasing
sample  density at greater depths. A health-risk-based
cleanup goal (HBCG) approach to collecting more data
was to establish cleanup goals for near-term  remedia-
tion of the shallow soils as well as for long-term remedial
measures of contaminated soils at greater depths. Fur-
ther, various regulatory agencies had  to  approve  the
estimated cleanup goals in a short  time. Ongoing  site
demolition and  excavation  schedules encouraged  the
aggressive regulatory negotiations. The shallow cleanup
goals for volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and TPH
determined the volume  of contaminated soil to be re-
moved. At greater depths, data gaps were minimized to
more definitively characterize  the nature  of TPH and
VOC contaminations and to facilitate the implementation
of long-term remedial objectives (i.e., in situ soil vapor
extraction).

In situ soil vapor and soil sampling composed the field
program, which provided data to map  the  subsurface
distribution of volatile organic compounds, including
TCE and PCE. Only in situ soil sampling was used for
characterizing TPH. The ratio of soil vapor to soil sam-
ples was 4:1. No previous soil vapor information was
available. ICF Kaiser has been refining the technique of
comparing results from paired soil vapor and soil sam-
ples in past and similar projects. Hydraulic probes were
used instead  of drilling to acquire soil vapor samples at
shallow  depths. This minimized waste  and cost in the
field program significantly.

Risk Assessment and Spatial Analysis

Human  health risk analyses were conducted for the
entire site, and risk factors were contoured and overlaid

-------
on maps of past usage and known soil contamination
areas. Before the risk modeling could proceed, chemical
and lithological data gathered in the past 7 years and
those acquired  by ICF Kaiser  populated the environ-
mental relational databases. Approximately 522 soil va-
por probes were  located  in 100-square-foot spacings
with additional probes in areas requiring better plume
definitions.  The  database  contains  approximately
15,000 xyz-records of soil and soil gas laboratory ana-
lytical results. This information in text and graphics form,
combined with site infrastructures and building outlines
with  attributes of "past usage," were  stored as map
layers,  making up the CIS nucleus. Accuracy  of site
maps was verified with aerial photographs when avail-
able. Data types combined for computerized evaluation
included known locations of contaminated soil, contami-
nated ground water, soil types, and site features. Com-
posite risk maps of the above data were analyzed for
data gaps at discrete depth intervals. This analysis was
performed  while the field program  was in progress
and hence gave guidance to optimize the locations of
additional data points and to  minimize the number
of samples taken.

The MGLA/MGLM mapping module and the MSM ter-
rain modeling module tracked the earth excavation and
removal of contaminated  soil. Excavation was  largely
part of site demolition. It also expedited the removal of
TPH contaminated soils,  however, because no other
short-term means of remediation are available for these
substances. Tracking of removed soils was essential
because concurrent field activities were occurring in site
demolition, data gathering, and  risk modeling.

The CIS coordinated all three. Geologists and surveyors
provided  terrain data from daily  excavation activities,
which were transcribed into  database formats. Maps
illustrated the locations of excavated soil and removed
chemicals in soil at various depths. Although TCE and
PCE were of foremost concern as health risks, all com-
pounds and  some  metals  identified  in  soil  were
screened for unacceptable risk. Terrain modeling (map-
ping) as part of health risk assessment may seem un-
usual,  but  results of estimated cleanup  levels  and
accurate locations of left-in-place contamination, mostly
soils at greater depths, were critical to the cost-effective-
ness and proper design of long-term remedial systems.

Characterization of Subsurface VOCs

In situ soil vapor extraction (SVE) of total volatile com-
pounds in dense nonaqueous, liquid, gaseous, and ad-
sorbed solid forms in the subsurface produced favorable
results that have been well documented in recent years.
ICF Kaiser proposed a very large-scale SVE system
(see Figure 4),  perhaps the  largest  yet, as long-term
remedial technology for this former aircraft manufactur-
ing site. The primary design problem was speculating on
air flow capacity and operating time of the  complex
system components. The SVE system comprises three
fundamental elements:

• Front-end,  in situ  subsurface vents  (totaling 193
  corings).

• Applied vacuum  and air transport manifolds  linking
  the subsurface vents to the treatment compound (dis-
  tance of one-quarter mile  with over 100 manifolds).

• A multivessel activated carbon treatment system.

To size the pipes, carbon vessels, and vacuum required
to achieve a certain rate of VOC removal, the total mass
and  nature of sorption had to  be  known. Due  to the
schedule-driven nature of this project, the SVE design
accounted  for  the time  needed  to accomplish the
cleanup goals.

To estimate the extent and  total mass of VOCs in the
subsurface, soil vapor data were input to a 3-D kriging
algorithm (1) to produce a concentration  continuum
model (see  Figure 3).  This solid model of predicted total
VOC concentrations took the form of a uniformly spaced
3-D  grid-block that completely encased the site. Cell
sizes ranged from 10 to 20 cubic feet, depending on the
model  run,  number of data clusters, density of data
points  in areas of clustered data, and  the standard
deviation of variances for estimated values in all cells.
The  Fortran program estimated a  concentration  value
for each cell based  on the nearest field sample(s).

The validity of such "block kriging" models can be judged
by the  size of the variances, smoothness, and agree-
ment with nearby field data. Because volume is a known
quantity in kriging, the total  mass can be calculated by
incorporating soil bulk density or porosity, both of which
were less than abundant for this investigation. Render-
ings  of kriged  results in 2-D plan view contour maps,
cross-sectional maps, and 3-D "vapor cloud" (see Figure
3) were included in client reports and used in regulatory
presentations and public forums.

Remedial Design Layout

Final Extension of a Fully Integrated CIS

With the total mass and extent of  VOCs derived from
3-D kriged results, the applied vacuum at individual vent
heads and  the cumulative pressure (negative) neces-
sary to extract and transport VOC vapors from the sub-
surface to the treatment system can be estimated. We
performed 3-D air flow analysis by use  of finite differ-
ence fluid flow models and chemical transport models.
The  Fortran codes  used to  approximate  compressible
flow  and chemical transport  were AIR3D (2) and VT3D
(3), respectively. Air flow simulations focused on  maxi-
mizing vacuums at the shallow depths down to 20 feet
to expedite  remediation of contaminated soils that were

-------
Figure 4.  A rendering by the Intergraph 3-D Plant Design System of an in situ soil vapor extraction and treatment system. The
         cutaway section located near the upper left portion of the figure exposes some of the 193 subsurface extraction vents
         bottoming at 120 feet (bgs). These vents are located in a cluster for long-term extraction of the VOC vapor cloud presented
         in Figure 3. Vents are connected to a system of parallel airflow manifolds (right side of figure), which runs one-quarter of
         a mile to the treatment compound (foreground of figure).
not removed during site demolition and excavation. The
lower depths were  also  included in each simulation.
Transient mass transport models incorporate flow fields,
given by flow models,  and predicted cleanup times
based on  established HBCG cleanup goals. As VOC
concentrations in an operating SVE system fall below
cleanup levels in the top 20 feet, thus minimizing human
risk,  available vacuums thereafter will be diverted to
vents at lower depths to be part of long-term extraction
scenarios. Models suggested that cleanup for the top 20
feet can be accomplished within 1 year.

Numerical models prescribed  vacuum levels at each
vent head, which is the aboveground segment of a
subsurface SVE vent. The 193 vents are connected to
a system of parallel manifolds (see Figure 4) that trans-
port vapor to the treatment system.  With the vacuums
known at vent heads, the size of manifolds and capacity
of vacuum  blowers can  be determined and integrated
into the overall system design. With 3-D Plant Design
module as part of the Intergraph CAD/GIS,  manifold
layouts and treatment compound can be modeled in 3-D
and easily checked for pipe routing  interferences. The
final layout of the SVE system was overlaid onto contour
maps of total VOC concentrations to check on accuracy
and completeness of vent locations and manifold layouts.

Conclusion

Maximized Visual and Analytical Responses

One goal of this project was to expedite regulatory
negotiations and gain early acceptance  of cleanup
goals. The computerized data processing and visualiza-
tion contributed generously to the rapid understanding
of modeling results by expert regulators and the  lay
public. Likewise,  the  CIS facilitated the response to
regulatory comments.  Positive  comments  first came

-------
from the client's in-house review of model  results and
the high impact 3-D color rendering of kriged VOC dis-
tributions in the subsurface (see Figure 3).

Analytically, benefits were derived from the efficiency of
electronic data access and the ability to "predict" the
presence of contaminant in areas with sparse field data.
The process of kriging involves the linear interpolation
and extrapolation  of existing  data. The resultant con-
taminant distribution is a "conservative" model that pro-
vided  the   best   fit  with  field  data  and validated
conceptualized subsurface conditions. Further, models
provided conservative  estimates of mass and extent of
PCE and TCE contaminations. Kriging also  provided
information on the uncertainty of the predicted chemical
distribution, which  is extremely useful for regulatory dis-
cussion and system design. The efficiency of computer
models allowed  investigators to  perform numerous
model  runs with varied boundary parameters, such as
cell size and search radii, in the kriging process.

Accurate mapping of excavated soil and the removal of
most TPH source  areas provided the  incentive to criti-
cally assess the feasibility of a no-action remedial sce-
nario  for these substances  at greater  depths.  With
removal of many TPH source areas, 1 -D finite difference
models (4) were used  to assess the mobility of TPH in
NAPL and adsorbed residual phase. Specifically, mod-
els assessed the likelihood of largely residual-phase
TPH  affecting ground water and  migrating upward to
affect indoor air volumes via gaseous diffusion. Results
were  extremely favorable; models predicted negligible
likelihood of TPH affecting  ground water or indoor air
volumes.  Combined with CIS graphic evidence of spe-
cific areas of excavated soil and  the absence of TPH
sources,  regulatory agencies accepted the  model  re-
sults,  and the  no-action remedial alternative for TPH
was approved.


References

1.  Deutsch, C.V., and A.G.  Journal.  1992. Geostatistical software
   library and user's guide. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.

2.  U.S. Department of the Interior Geological Survey. 1993. AIR3D:
   An adaptation of the ground-water flow  code MODFLOWto simu-
   late three-dimensional air flow in the unsaturated zone. Books and
   open file reports. Denver,  CO.

3.  Zheng, C. 1994. VT3D: Numerical model for VOC removal from
   unsaturated  soil (draft). Bethesda, MD: S.S. Papadopulos and
   Associates, Inc.

4.  Rosenbloom, J., P. Mock, P. Lawson,  J. Brown, and H.J. Turin.
   1993. Application of VLEACH to vadose zone transport of VOCs
   at an Arizona Superfund site. Groundwater monitoring and reme-
   diation (summer),  pp. 159-169.

-------
     Using GIS/GPS in the Design and Operation of Minnesota's Ground Water
                           Monitoring and Assessment Program
                Tom Clark, Yuan-Ming Hsu, Jennifer Schlotthauer, and Don Jakes
                     Minnesota Pollution Control Agency, St. Paul, Minnesota

                                        Georgianna Myers
                        Water Management Consultants, Denver, Colorado
Abstract

Minnesota's Ground Water Monitoring and Assessment
Program (GWMAP) is administered  by the Minnesota
Pollution Control Agency (MPCA) to evaluate baseline
ground-water quality conditions regionally and state-
wide. The  program uses a systematic sampling design
to maintain uniform geographic distribution of randomly
selected monitoring stations (wells) for  ground-water
sampling and data analysis. In  1993, geographic infor-
mation system (CIS) and  global positioning  system
(GPS) technologies were integrated into GWMAP, auto-
mating the selection of wells and the field determination
of well locations.

GWMAP consists of three components: the statewide
baseline network, regional monitoring  cooperatives,
and a trends analysis component. In the statewide
baseline network, Minnesota is divided into over 700
121-square-mile grid cells,  each with a centralized,
9-square-mile sampling region.  Wthin each target area,
single-aquifer, cased and grouted wells are sampled for
about 125  metals, organic compounds, and major cat-
ions and anions. We are currently finishing the second
year of a 5-year program to establish the statewide grid.
When complete, the statewide baseline component will
consist of  about 1,600 wells representing Minnesota's
14 major aquifers.

In 1993, approximately 4,000 well construction records
were selected for geologic and hydrologic review, using
a CIS overlay, from a database of 200,000 water well
records maintained in the state's County Well Index
(CWI). Using GPS, 364 wells were sampled and field
located. The  semiautomatic well selection process uses
existing electronic coverage of public land survey (PLS)
data maintained in CWI in conjunction with the digitized
systematic sampling grid. CIS has greatly reduced the
time needed for selecting sampling stations. With the
combination of CIS and GPS, program costs have de-
creased, allowing more resources to be applied toward sam-
pling, while efficiency and quality of data have improved.

Introduction

Quantitative assessment of ground-water quality condi-
tions requires a highly organized  data collection pro-
gram that includes statistical  evaluation of monitoring
results (1, 2). States have difficulty providing the staff
and financial resources necessary to generate state-
wide quantitative  ground-water information. Wth the
use of geographic information system (CIS) and global
positioning system (GPS) technologies, however, states
have the potential to improve the quality of environ-
mental monitoring programs and to reduce the amount
of staff time needed to collect and evaluate data, thus
decreasing costs. The degree to which states realize
these potential benefits depends largely on how effec-
tively the technology can be incorporated into the design
of the monitoring  program. This paper describes how
CIS and GPS technologies are being integrated into the
design and operation  of Minnesota's Ground Water
Monitoring and Assessment Program (GWMAP) to im-
prove overall effectiveness.

The Minnesota Pollution  Control Agency (MPCA) has
sampled and analyzed ambient ground-water quality in
the state's 14 principal aquifers since 1978. In 1990, the
MPCA began a redesign of its ground-water monitoring
program to better assess water quality conditions state-
wide (3). Three program components resulted from the
redesign: a statewide  baseline network  for complete
geographic coverage, a trends analysis component for
intensive studies of how ground-water quality in specific
areas changes with time, and  a  regional monitoring
cooperative link to governmental units such as counties

-------
to meet specific local ground-water assessment needs.
This paper describes the design and operation of the
statewide baseline network.

The design of the statewide network is geographically
and statistically based to automate well selection and
data interpretation. In 1993, the MPCA began integrat-
ing  CIS and GPS technologies into this  part of the
program. The implementation  of CIS  and GPS sur-
passed our expectations by reducing staff time re-
quired to select wells and evaluate analytical results
(see Table 1). In addition,  through  the elimination of
previously uncontrollable variables, the use of CIS and
GPS has increased the accuracy of GWMAP data.

Monitoring Program Description

Since 1992, GWMAP has selected 150 to 250 existing
water supplies yearly for ground-water sampling and
analysis of about 125 parameters, including major cat-
ions and  anions,  metals, and  volatile organic com-
pounds. Well selection  is a fundamental  element of
GWMAP that, if efficiently performed, supports the pro-
gram objectives by upholding the quality of the monitor-
ing  data and minimizing the operating costs.

A key  to the interpretation of monitoring  data is  the
technique  used to select wells for sampling (2, 4, 5).
Minnesota  has  over 200,000 active water wells with
approximately 10,000 new installations annually.  For
each well selected for GWMAP monitoring, a hydrologist
must individually review many well construction records.
An automated prescreening mechanism to facilitate well
selection can result in considerable time (and therefore
cost) savings. GWMAP chose CIS as the best tool for
this task. CIS enables the program to  combine a sys-
tematic sampling technique with hydrogeologic criteria
to ensure an efficient and consistent selection process.
As  Table 1 shows, CIS allowed us to more than triple
our geographic coverage and  wells initially selected,
while  dramatically  reducing the records that must be
individually reviewed. We realized a time savings of 2
months compared with  the time required  before CIS
implementation.

In general, systematic sampling techniques use a ran-
domly  generated uniform grid  to  determine sampling
locations in space and/or time (5). Systematic sampling
was initially implemented in  GWMAP in 1991  using  a
manually generated spatial grid defined by the public
land survey (PLS) (3). Although the PLS is not 100

Table 1.  Well Selection in 1992 and 1993
percent geographically uniform, it was selected for the
grid to expedite well selection from existing digital data-
bases in which wells are organized by PLS location.

Systematic Sample Site Selection
Using GIS
Systematic sample site selection is a three-step process.
First, a database search of Minnesota's County Well Index
(CWI) (6), containing nearly 200,000 driller's records, is
conducted to include  all available water wells in the
region of interest. Second, the candidate pool is reduced
to those wells located within regularly spaced grid cells.
Third, further wells  are eliminated from the candidate
pool by applying geologic and well construction criteria
mandated in the GWMAP design (7).

Generating the Sampling Grid
The statewide sampling grid was generated from a randomly
selected origin (8). This grid consists of approximately 700
square cells, 11  miles on a  side  (see Figure 1). The
centroid of each cell is consecutively numbered and was
extracted to produce the origin of the sampling zone.
Figure 1.  Statewide baseline network sampling grid.
Year
1992
1993
Area
Covered
9 counties
26 counties
PLS Sections
Selected
500
1,659
Well Logs
Selected
3,000
11,000
Well Logs
Reviewed
3,000
834
Wells
Sampled
158
206
Time
Spent
6 months
4 months

-------
Establishing the Sampling Zone

Each sampling zone consists of a 3- by 3-mile box from
which potential sampling sites are selected. It is gener-
ated by computing the coordinates of the four corners of
the box using the grid cell's centroid as the origin. To link
the sampling zone and grid cell, both are identified with
the same numerical code.

These sampling "target" zones,  a series of regularly
spaced, 9-square-mile boxes, are then made into a CIS
coverage and overlaid on top of the PLS coverage to
extract those sections that are associated with each of
the sampling zones. Ideally, each sampling zone should
cover exactly nine PLS sections (3). Due to irregularities
in the PLS system, however, portions of 16 to 20 sec-
tions usually fall within the sampling zone of each  cell
(see Figure 2).
                Watonwan
    Legend

   / \ /  PLS Boundary
Sample Zone
                     Sample Grid
                              County Border
Figure 2.  PLS and the sampling grid, Watonwan County.

Selection of PLS Sections

The  PLS  coverage was derived from the Minnesota
Land Management Information Center (LMIC) "GISMO"
file. It was originally created in 1979 by digitizing every
section corner in  Minnesota from the U.S. Geological
Survey (USGS) 7.5-minute quadrangle map series.

The  PLS section  information is necessary in the well
selection process because the original well construction
logs, maintained by the Minnesota Geological Survey
(MGS), are organized by PLS. Although most of the well
selection  process can  be  automated,  manual  file
searches for well records are still necessary and require
the PLS information.

Well Selection

After identifying the PLS sections within the sampling
grid, the statewide well database is imported as a point
coverage and  overlaid with the selected  PLS section
coverage. Thus, all wells that fall within the 16 to 20
sections are selected as potential candidates. The ac-
curacy of the well locations in CWI varies; most of the
point  locations  are  approximated  to  four  quarters
(2.5 acres). The CWI does not contain all well construc-
tion  information,  however, requiring that copies  of
driller's logs be made for GWMAP files.

The final well  selection  is done after applying the
9-square-mile sampling zone over the potential pool of
candidates. For wells that fall within the zone, the well
construction records are pulled from MGS  files, copied,
and submitted for hydrologist review.  Depending on the
target cell location, the number of candidate wells requir-
ing review may range from a few to more than 100. For
newly installed water wells whose records have not yet
been digitized by LMIC, the PLS locations of the wells
are manually plotted onto a map to confirm whether they
fall into a sampling grid cell. Typically, from 5 percent to
as many as 20  percent of selected wells that meet the
location criteria are sampled. This accounts for the hydro-
geologic and well construction criteria and the coopera-
tion  of  well  owners participating  in  the program.
Currently, interest in ground-water protection programs
runs high in rural Minnesota, with an acceptance rate of
up to 80 percent.

The  implementation  of CIS  in  well selection helped
GWMAP excel in two major areas. First, the develop-
ment  of the statewide CIS grid eliminated previously
uncontrolled variables by removing the  PLS spatial in-
consistencies from the systematic grid. Second, the CIS
reduced the manual workload with the automation of two
important steps in the well selection  process: the  gen-
eration of PLS section information to facilitate the data-
base search, and the identification of wells that meet the
geographic location criteria. The success of GWMAP
relies largely on the ability to use existing CIS cover-
ages. In using coverages created by  other entities, this
program  identified the need for a uniform standard for
data conversion and transfer.

Application of Global Positioning
Systems in  Ground-Water Sampling

In 1991, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) established a policy that all new data collected
after 1992 should meet an accuracy goal of 25 meters
or better (9). The purpose of EPA's Locational Data
Policy (LDP) is to establish principles for collecting and

-------
documenting consistently formatted locational data to
facilitate cross-programmatic, multimedia analyses. Ac-
curate geographic information is important to the spatial
analysis of  well sampling results. Any uncertainty in
sample location can compromise  hydrogeologic analy-
sis (10). GPS is an easy, cost-effective solution.

Global Positioning System Field Application

Beginning in October 1992, GWMAP employed GPS in
the field to assist in locating sample sites. Applying GPS
in the field has proven to be quite easy. The program
uses a multichannel C/Acode receiver with internal data
logging capability. Typically,  the receiver is placed di-
rectly on top of the wellhead and logs 100 to 150 GPS
readings into the receiver's internal memory in approxi-
mately 5 minutes.

The GPS is also used for navigation in the field to locate
sampling sites. Because sampling sites are predeter-
mined, their locations can  be extracted from a  topo-
graphic map. The approximate coordinates can then be
loaded into a GPS receiver. In most cases, the receiver
successfully led the field team within visual range of the
sampling site.

Because of the inherent selective availability (SA) of the
GPS, raw field data must go through a differential cor-
rection process to  achieve the goal of 25-meter accu-
racy (9,  11).

Data Management and Processing

Once the GPS receiver  is brought back from the field,
data are downloaded to a personal computer (I486 proc-
essor at a speed of 50 MHz) and differentially corrected
(11). The average or mean of the 100 or more readings
collected onsite is  calculated and  reported  as the site
location.

The MPCAdoes not operate a GPS base station for the
purpose of differential  correction. The base station data
are obtained through a computer network (Internet) from
the Minnesota Department of Health (MDH) base station
located in  Minneapolis.

To facilitate  future data integration and  document data
accuracy for secondary application, GWMAP proposed
quality assurance codes for GPS data collected by the
MPCA. The value of the accuracy proposed is a nominal
value rather than an  absolute number (see Table 2).
Each of the seven processing methods is assigned a
separate code.

In the field experience of GWMAP, a nominal  accuracy
of 2  to 5 meters has been  consistently achieved after
the postdifferential correction and averaging have been
applied to the data. This technology is suitable for any
program that is designed to conduct either large-area or
intensive monitoring activities. It helps  to cut costs by
Table 2.  Proposed Nominal Accuracy Reference Table
Type of GPS
Receiver Used
Processing Method
Used To Correct Data
 Nominal
Accuracy
 (meters)
Navigational
quality C/A code
receiver
Navigational
quality with carrier
aid receiver
Survey quality
receiver (dual or
single frequency)
Postdifferential corrected        2-5

Real-time differential
corrected (RTCM)             2-5

Autonomous mode (no
correction)                15-100

Postdifferential corrected        < 1

Real-time differential
corrected (RTCM)             < 1

Autonomous mode (no       15-100
correction)

Postdifferential corrected       <0.1
increasing efficiency and accuracy of the data. The data
collected by GWMAP can be used not only in a regional
study but could be used directly in a site-specific inves-
tigation as well.

GWMAP also found that GPS can be  used most effi-
ciently by separating the two roles of field operator and
data manager. The field operators receive only the brief
instructions necessary to operate a GPS receiver before
going into the field. The data manager handles the data
processing details. The field operators can then concen-
trate their efforts on obtaining  ground-water samples
and conducting the hydrogeologic investigation.
Conclusions
CIS  and GPS  technologies made  it  possible for the
MPCA to implement the statewide GWMAP project by
optimizing the available funding and staff time. CIS mini-
mized  staff time spent on identifying  sampling areas,
manipulating the sampling grid, and selecting monitor-
ing sites. In addition, CIS enabled GWMAP to integrate
a variety of databases and maps of different scales.

Using GPS to locate sampling sites enabled GWMAP to
efficiently  obtain accurate geographic locational  data
with  relative ease. This eliminated the  degree  of uncer-
tainty that previously might have compromised the sta-
tistical evaluation of the hydrogeologic data.

GWMAP's success in integrating existing digital data to
automate  the  well  selection process  clearly  demon-
strated the importance of the ability to share information
with  others and the great need for a  broadly applied
standard for data conversion and transfer.

-------
Acknowledgments

The authors wish to thank Renee Johnson  of the Min-
nesota Department of Natural Resources for her work
to convert the PLS data layerto CIS coverage. Susanne
Maeder of LMIC supplied the statewide CWI coverage,
and Susan Schreifels of MPCA conducted research on
the LDP and  made valuable suggestions on  implement-
ing GPS.

References
 1.  Nelson, J.D., and R.C. Ward. 1981. Statistical considerations and
    sampling techniques for ground-water quality monitoring. Ground
    Water 19(6):617-625.
 2.  Ward, R.C. 1989. Water quality monitoring—A systems approach
    to design. Presented at the International Symposium on the De-
    sign of Water Quality Information Systems, Colorado State  Uni-
    versity, Ft. Collins, CO.
 3.  Myers, G., S. Magdalene, D. Jakes,  and E. Porcher. 1992.  The
    redesign of the  ambient ground  water monitoring program. St.
    Paul, MN: Minnesota Pollution Control Agency.
 4.  Olea, R.A. 1984. Systematic sampling of spatial functions. Series
    on Spatial Analysis,  No. 7. Kansas Geological Survey, University
    of Kansas, Lawrence, KS.
 5.  Gilbert, R.0.1987. Statistical methods for environmental pollution
    monitoring.  New York, NY: Van Nostrand Reinhold.

 6.  Wahl, I.E., and R.G. Tipping. 1991. Ground-water data manage-
    ment—The county well index. Report to the Legislative Commis-
    sion on Minnesota  Resources. Minnesota  Geological  Survey,
    University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN.

 7.  Clark, T, Y Hsu, J.  Schlotthauer, and D. Jakes. 1994. Ground-
    water monitoring and  assessment program—Annual  report.  St.
    Paul, MN: Minnesota Pollution Control Agency.

 8.  ESRI. 1993. ARC/INFO version 6.1, ARCPLOT command refer-
    ences. Redlands, CA: Environmental Systems Research Insti-
    tute, Inc.

 9.  U.S. EPA.  1992. Global positioning systems technology and its
    application in environmental programs. CIS Technical  Memoran-
    dum 3. EPA/600/R-92/036. Washington, DC.

10.  Mitchell, J.E. 1993.  A characterization  of the influence  of (x,y)
    uncertainty on predicting the form of three-dimensional surfaces.
    Proceedings of the  AWRA Spring Symposium on Geographic
    Information  Systems and Water Resources, Mobile, AL. pp. 559-
    567.

11.  Trimble Navigation, Ltd. 1993. GPS Pathfinder System,  general
    reference. Sunnyvale, CA: Trimble Navigation, Ltd.

-------
 EPA's Reach Indexing Project—Using GIS To Improve Water Quality Assessment
                                           Jack Clifford
      Office of Wetlands, Oceans, and Watersheds, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
                                         Washington, DC

                              William D. Wheaton and Ross J. Curry
               Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
Abstract

The Waterbody System (WBS), which the U.S. Environ-
mental Protection Agency (EPA) originally developed to
support preparation of the report to Congress that Sec-
tion 305(b) of the Clean Water Act requires, is a poten-
tially significant source of information on the use support
status and the causes and sources of impairment of U.S.
waters. Demand is growing for geographically refer-
enced water quality assessment data for use in inter-
agency data integration, joint analysis of environmental
problems, establishing program priorities, and planning
and management of water quality on an ecosystem or
watershed basis.

Because  location of the waterbody assessment units is
key to analyzing their spatial  relationships, EPA has
particularly emphasized anchoring water bodies to the
River Reach File (RF3). The reach file provides a nation-
wide database of hydrologically linked stream reaches and
unique reach identifiers, based on the 1:100,000 U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS) hydrography layer.

EPA began the reach indexing project to give states an
incentive  to link their water bodies to RF3 and to ensure
increased consistency in the approaches to reach index-
ing. After  a successful 1992 pilot effort in South Carolina,
an expanded program began this year. Working with
Virginia, a route system data model was developed and
proved successful in conjunction with  state use of PC
Reach File (PCRF), a PC program that relates water
bodies to  the reach file. ARC/INFO provides an extensive
set of commands and tools for developing and analyzing
route systems and for using dynamic segmentation.

One important advantage of the route system is that it
avoids the necessity of breaking arcs; this is an impor-
tant consideration in using RF3 as the base coverage in
a geographic information system (GIS). Using dynamic
segmentation to organize, display, and analyze water
quality assessment information also simplifies use of the
existing waterbody system data. Because of the variabil-
ity in delineation of water bodies, however, other states
used a number of different approaches.  Working with
these states has defined a range of issues that must be
addressed in developing a consistent set of locational
features for geospatial analysis.

Wider use of these data also depends upon increased
consistency in waterbody assessments within and be-
tween states. Several  factors complicate the goal of
attaining this consistency in assessment data:

• The choice of beneficial use as the base for assess-
  ment of water quality condition.

• The historical emphasis on providing  flexible tools
  to states.

• The lack of robust standards for assessment of water
  quality condition.

This paper explores possible resolutions to the problem
of building a national database from data collected by
independent entities.

Section 305(b) of the Clean Water Act and
the Waterbody System

Background of Section 305(b)

Since 1975, Section 305(b) of the Federal Water Pollution
Act, commonly known as the Clean Water Act (CWA),
has required states to submit a report on  the quality of
their waters to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) administrator every 2 years.  The  administrator
must transmit these reports, along with an  analysis of
them, to Congress.

State assessments are based on the extent to which the
waters meet state water quality standards as measured

-------
against the state's designated beneficial uses. For each
use, the state establishes a set of water quality criteria
or requirements that must be met if the  use  is to be
realized.  The CWA provides the  primary authority to
states to set their own standards  but requires that all
state beneficial  uses and their criteria comply with the
'fishable and swimmable' goals of the CWA.

Assessments and the Role of Guidelines

EPA issues guidelines to coordinate state assessments,
standardize assessment methods and terminology, and
encourage states to assess support of specific benefi-
cial uses (e.g., aquatic life support, drinking water sup-
ply, primary contact recreation, fish consumption). For
each use, EPA asks that the state categorize its assess-
ment of use support into five classes:

• Fully supporting: meets designated use criteria.

• Threatened: may not support uses in the future unless
  action is taken.

• Partially supporting: fails to meet designated use cri-
  teria at times.

• Not supporting: frequently  fails  to  meet designated
  use criteria.

• Not attainable: use support not achievable.

In the  preferred assessment method, the state com-
pares monitoring data  with  numeric criteria for  each
designated  use. If monitoring data  are not available,
however, the state may use  qualitative information to
determine use support levels.

In cases  of impaired use support  (partially or  not sup-
porting), the state lists the sources  (e.g., municipal point
source, agriculture, combined sewer overflows)  and
causes (e.g., nutrients, pesticides, metals) of the use
support problems. Not all impaired waters are charac-
terized. Determining specific sources and causes  re-
quires data that frequently are not  available.

States generally do not assess all of their waters each
biennium. Most states  assess a  subset  of their total
waters every 2 years. A state's perception of its greatest
water quality problems frequently  determines this sub-
set.  To this extent, assessments  are skewed toward
waters with the most pollution and  may,  if viewed as
representative of overall water quality, overstate pollu-
tion problems.

Assessment Data Characteristics

Each state determines use support for its own set of
beneficial  uses. Despite EPA's encouragement to use
standardized use categories, the wide variation in state-
designated beneficial uses makes comparing state uses
an inherent problem. This affects the validity of aggre-
gation and use  of data across state boundaries. Com-
parably categorizing waters into use support categories
also poses a problem; different states apply the qualita-
tive criteria for use support levels in very different ways.
Further limiting the utility of Section 305(b) data  is that
data are aggregated at the state  level and questions
about the use support status of individual streams can-
not be resolved without additional information.  While
some states report on individual waters in their Section
305(b) reports,  EPA's Waterbody System (WBS) is
the primary database for assessment information on
specific waters.

State  monitoring  and assessment activities are also
highly variable. States base assessments on monitoring
data or more subjective evaluation. The evaluation cate-
gory particularly differs among states.

Waterbody System

The WBS is a database and a set of analytical tools for
collecting, querying, and reporting on state 305(b) infor-
mation. It includes information  on  use support and the
causes  and sources of impairment for water bodies,
identification and locational information, and a variety of
other program status information.

As pointed out earlier, although some states discuss the
status of specific waters in their 305(b) reports, many do
not. The WBS is generally much more specific than the
305(b) reports. It  provides  the  basic assessment infor-
mation to track the status  of individual waters in time
and, if georeferenced, to locate assessment information
in  space. By allowing the  integration of water quality
data with other related data, the WBS provides a frame-
work for improving assessments.

WBS has significant potential for management planning
and priority setting and can serve as the foundation for
watershed- and  ecosystem-based analysis, planning,
and management. In this respect, it can play a vital role
in  setting  up watershed-based  permitting of  point
sources. The primary function of WBS is to define  where
our water quality problems  do and  do not exist. WBS is
increasingly used to meet the identification requirement
for waters requiring a total maximum daily load (TMDL)
allocation. It can serve as the initial step in the detailed
allocation analysis included in the TMDL process. In
addition, WBS is  an important  component of EPA par-
ticipation in joint  studies and  analyses.  For instance,
EPA is currently participating with the Soil Conservation
Service (SCS) in  a joint project to identify waters that
are impaired due  to agricultural nonpoint source  (NPS)
pollution. WBS  can also anchor efforts to provide im-
proved public access at the state and national levels to
information on the status of their waters.

It is important to recognize that  use of WBS is voluntary.
Of the 54 states, territories,  river basin commissions, and
Indian tribes that submitted 305(b) reports, approximately

-------
30 used the WBS in the 1992 cycle. While submissions
for the 1994 cycle are not complete, we anticipate about
the same level of participation. This represents about a
60-percent rate of participation in WBS, which may be
the limit for a voluntary system. This severely limits use
of WBS assessment data for regional and national level
analysis. If data at the national level are required, man-
datory data elements, formats, and standards may be
necessary.

EPA is  currently attempting  to  achieve  consistency
through agreement with other state and federal agen-
cies. The recent work of the Interagency Task  Force on
Monitoring offers hope for eventual consensus on the
need for nationally consistent assessment data and mu-
tually agreed upon standards for collection, storage, and
transfer. The Spatial  Data Transfer Standards already
govern spatial data, allowing movement of data between
dissimilar  platforms.  The Federal Geographic Data
Committee provides leadership in coalescing data inte-
gration at the federal  level; it provides a model for gov-
ernment and  private sector  efforts. This  level  of
cooperation, however, has not always been present in
water assessment  data  management. Assuming  that
national and regional assessment data are needed, if
consistency is elusive through cooperative efforts, regu-
lations may be necessary. Developing a national data-
base may  not be feasible without a mutual commitment
by EPA and the states to using common assessment
standards.

WBS was  originally developed as a dBASE program in
1987. It has undergone several revisions since then, and
the current Version 3.1 is written in  Foxpro  2.0.  The
WBS software provides standard data entry, edit, query,
and report generation functions. WBS has grown sub-
stantially in the years since  its inception, primarily in
response to the expressed needs of WBS users and
EPA program offices. The program's memory require-
ments and the size of the program and data files, how-
ever, are of growing concern to state WBS users and
the WBS program manager. Because of the wide range
of WBS user capabilities and equipment, users must be
equipped to support  an  array  of hardware from high
capacity Pentium computers to rudimentary  286  ma-
chines with 640 Kb of memory and small hard disks. This
range makes memory problems inevitable for some users.

While WBS contains over 208 fields, exclusive of those
in  lookup  tables, approximately 30 fields in  four  files
provide  the core data needed to  comply with 305(b)
requirements. These fields contain:

• Identification information for the water body.

• The date the assessment was completed.

• The status of use support for beneficial uses.
• The causes and sources of any use impairment in
  the water body.

The  uses WBS  considers are both state-designated
uses and a set of nationally consistent uses (e.g., overall
use,  aquatic  life support, recreation) specified in  the
305(b) guidelines. The other essential piece of informa-
tion is the geographic location of the water body, which
the remainder of this paper discusses in detail.

Significant differences exist in the analytical base as well
as in assessments. EPA provided  little initial guidance
on defining water bodies; therefore, states vary widely
in their configurations of water bodies. Water bodies are
supposed to represent waters of relatively homogene-
ous water quality conditions,  but state interpretation of
this guidance has resulted in major differences in water-
body definition.

Initially, many states developed linear water bodies, and
these were often very small. The large number of water
bodies delineated, however, created significant difficul-
ties in managing the assessment workload and were not
ideal in the context of the growing need for watershed
information. Some states, such as Ohio, developed their
own river mile systems.

As discussed below, some states indexed their water
bodies to earlier versions of the reach file, and therefore,
the density of the streams these water bodies include is
fairly sparse. Recently,  many states have  redefined
their water bodies on the basis of small  watersheds
(SCS basins, either 11-digit or 14-digit hydrologic unit
codes [HUCs]).

Locating  water bodies geographically  is a necessary
prerequisite to assessing water quality on a watershed
or ecosystem basis. The  WBS has always included
several  locational fields,  including county name and
FIPS, river basin, and ecoregion. These fields have not
been uniformly populated, however. One  of the WBS
files  includes fields for the  River Reach  File (RF3)
reaches included in the water body. While a few states
had indexed their water bodies to older versions of the
reach file (RF1 and RF2), however, no state had indexed
to RF3 until 1992.

In  1992,  EPA initiated a demonstration of geographic
information system (CIS) technology in conjunction with
the South Carolina Department of  Health and Environ-
mental Control. This project involved:

• Indexing South Carolina's water bodies to RF3.

• Developing a set of arc macro languages (AMLs) for
  query and analysis.

• Producing coverages of water quality monitoring sta-
  tions and discharge  points.

• Using CIS tools in exploring ways to improve water
  quality assessments.

-------
South Carolina has defined  its water bodies as SCS
basins.

The results have  been very  encouraging. First, South
Carolina  took  the initial coverages and  decided they
needed much  more specificity  in their use support de-
terminations and  their mapping of  the causes  and
sources of impairment. As a result, they mapped these
features down to the reach level. Next, they decided that
they needed better locational information, so they used
global positioning  satellite receivers to identify accurate
locations for discharges and  monitoring stations. They
then used CIS query and analysis techniques to relate
their monitoring and discharge data to their water quality
criteria. South  Carolina is using CIS to actively identify
water quality problems and improve their assessments.

In 1993,  EPA worked cooperatively with several states
to index their water bodies to the reach file. Virginia, the
next state to be indexed,  demonstrated the successful
use of PC Reach File (PCRF) software (described later
in this paper) for indexing water bodies to the reach file.
Ohio and Kansas also are essentially complete. Each of
these  states required a somewhat different approach
than Virginia.  The need  for flexibility in dealing  with
states on reach indexing issues is essential. Existing
waterbody delineations often  represent considerable in-
vestment; therefore, EPA must  provide the capability to
link the state's existing assessment data to the reach file
in order to encourage state buy-in.

Figure 1 shows the results of Ohio's indexing of a typical
cataloging unit (CD). Figure 2 reflects part of the output
of the Kansas work. We can link use support, cause, and
source data to each of these water bodies now. In the
future, we hope to map these attributes at a higher level
of resolution, down to the reach segment level. CIS has
proven to be a useful assessment tool. With higher reso-
lution, it should prove to be even more helpful in identify-
ing water quality problems, picking up data anomalies,
and assessing management actions, strategies, and poli-
cies. This entire process has taught  us much and  has
strengthened enthusiasm for place-based management.

The Reach Indexing Project—
Georeferencing the Waterbody System

Purpose and Overview

The reach indexing project is designed to locate water
bodies using RF3  as an electronic base map of hydrog-
raphy and to code RF3 reaches with the specific water-
body identifier (WBID). After linking water bodies to their
spatial representation,  they can  be  queried and dis-
played with assessment data located in WBS files.

Reach indexing includes several steps. First, the state
must supply waterbody locations and WBIDs. The next
step entails developing a set of procedures for indexing.
Finally, the coded  RF3 data must be produced.

Input data to the indexing process includes:

• A list of valid WBIDs. In most cases, the state  has
  already input these identification numbers to the WBS.

• Information about the location of each water body. Lo-
  cational information may  be found in  marked-up
  paper maps showing waterbody locations or electronic
  files from  WBS  containing waterbody indexing
                             66022
                             66023
                             66024
                             66025
                             67001
66001
66002
66003
66004
66005
66006
66007
fifinnp
DDUUO
66009
66010
	 = 66011
— 66012
<*"*•»« 66013
oc*xx> 66014
=, 66015
•=a=r 66016
fifim 7
	 DDU 1 /
66018
= 66019
__-. 66020
Figure 1.  State of Ohio water bodies in CU 04100008.

-------
Figure 2. State of Kansas water bodies in CU 11070202.

  expressions (discussed later), orit may be embedded
  in the WBID itself.

• A complete set of RF3 data for the state being indexed.

Depending on the type of information the state supplies,
procedures used to index water bodies can  be almost
fully automated, semiautomated, or completely manual.

The final result of the indexing processes is a set of RF3
coverages that contain a WBID attribute. This  product
allows querying and displaying of assessment  data,
which is collected and stored  by water body, in a CIS
environment.

The Reach File Database

The reach file is a hydrographic database of the surface
waters of the continental United States. Elements within
the database represent stream segments. The elements
were created for several purposes:

• To perform hydrologic routing for modeling  programs.

• To identify upstream and downstream connectivity.

• To provide a method to uniquely identify any particu-
  lar point associated with surface waters.

The unique reach identifier has succeeded in associat-
ing other EPA national databases, such as STORET, to
surface waters. Any point within these databases can be
associated with and identified by a specific location on
any surface water element, such as a reservoir, lake,
stream, wide river, or coastline.

There are three versions of the reach file. The first was
created  in 1982 and contained 68,000 reaches. The
second version, released in 1988, doubled the size of
Version   1.  The third  version  (RF3)  includes  over
3,000,000 individual reach components.

The base geography of RF3 is derived from U.S. Geo-
logical Survey (USGS) hydrographic data (1:100,000
scale) stored in digital line graph (DIG) format. Unlike
DIG data, which are partitioned by quad sheet bounda-
ries, RF3 data are partitioned by CU. A CU is a geo-
graphic area that represents part or all of a surface
drainage basin, a combination of drainage basins, or
a distinct hydrologic feature. The USGS uses CUs
for  cataloging  and indexing water-data acquisition
activities.

The  continental United States comprises over 2,100
CUs.  CUs are  fairly small; for example, 45 units fall
partially or completely within the state of Virginia (see
Figure 3).

RF3 is a  powerful data source used in hydrologic appli-
cations for many reasons, including the following:

• RF3 has spatial network connectivity that topological
  upstream/downstream modeling tools use.

-------
Figure 3. Cataloging units in Virginia.

• RF3  has attributes that describe connectivity, which
  offers the ability to accomplish upstream/downstream
  navigation analytically (without topological networking).

• RF3  has a simple and consistent unique numbering
  system for every stream reach in the United States.

• RF3  has built-in river mileage attributes that describe
  upstream/downstream distances along river reaches.

Use ofRF3 in the Indexing Process

When importing Reach File data from EPA's mainframe
computer,  an arc attribute table (AAT) is  automatically
built for each  RF3  coverage. The AAT  contains the
standard AAT fields, plus the items found in Table 1.

The CD item stores the USGS CD number of this piece
of RF3. Every arc in the coverage has the same value
for CU.

The SEG  item stores the number  of the stream seg-
ment to which the particular arc is assigned. SEG num-
bers start at 1 and increase incrementally by 1 to 'N' for
each CU.  A SEG  could  represent all the arcs of  a
mainstream, the arcs of a tributary, or piece of a main-
stream or  tributary. SEG numbers were defined in the
production of RF3.

Ml stores the marker index for each particular arc. The
Ml resembles a mile posting along  a stream. In reality,
the  Ml  field does not truly measure mileage along the
RF3 stream network. It does, however,  represent  a
method of producing a unique identifier (in combination
Table 1.  Fields Found in Arc Attribute Table

12070104-ID      CU      SEG     Ml
                                      UP
                                           DOWN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1 20701 04
1 20701 04
1 20701 04
1 20701 04
1 20701 04
1 20701 04
1 20701 04
1
1
1
2
3
3
4
0.00
1.30
2.10
0.00
0.00
1.15
0.00
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
with the CU number and the SEG  number) for every
reach in the United States (see Figure 4).

Together CU, SEG, and  Ml uniquely identify every arc
in RF3 nationwide. These three items are combined in
the  redefined item called RF3RCHID. This  provides a
powerful scheme  for consistently identifying locations
along streams everywhere in the country.

Along with the AAT file, a second attribute file is auto-
matically created for RF3 coverages. This file is always
named COVER.DS3. The DS3 file  stores a wealth of
information about  arcs in the coverage. Some of the
important fields in  the DS3 file contain:

• Upstream and downstream connectivity for navigat-
  ing  along reaches.

• Codes to describe the type of reach (e.g., stream,
  lake boundary, wide river).

• DIG major and  minor  attributes.

-------
                                    4.05
               2.4
        o
                                         1.0
                  1.30
                     WBID
                     KS- KR-04-R001
                     KS-KR-04-W020
                     KS-KR-04-W030
      o
                  WBID         WBNAME

                  KS-KR-04-R0001   Mainstem

                  KS-KR-04-W020   Tributaries

                  KS-KR-04-W030   Lakes
Figure 4. RF3, SEG, and Ml data elements.

Waterbody Locations

Because states define water bodies, they provide the
only information on waterbody location. South Carolina
was indexed to RF3 in 1992, followed by Virginia. Vir-
ginia indexed its water bodies using the PCRF program
instead of indexing in a CIS environment with ARC/INFO.

PCRF is a PC-based system that indexes water bodies
and locates other assessment data from WBS. PCRF
stores  the definitions of water bodies (including their
location) in a file that is linked to other WBS database
files that  contain information about the  assessment
status and quality of the waters.

A water body is a set of one or more hydrologic features,
such as streams, lakes, or shorelines, that have similar
hydrologic characteristics. Water bodies are the  basic
units that  states use to  report water quality  for CWA
305(b)  requirements. Depending on the state's assess-
ment goals and resources, water bodies can be defined
in several ways, including (see Figure 5):

• All streams within a watershed

• All lakes and ponds within a watershed

• Sets of streams with similar water quality conditions

PCRF  stores locational data for a water  body with a
unique WBID. WBS uses this WBID as a common field
to relate the  water body's definition and  location to de-
scriptive data about the water body's assessment status
and quality. The two most important files used in PCRF
are the SCRF1 and SCRF2  files.

The SCRF1 file simply lists the unique water bodies by
state. Table 2 offers an example. The most relevant data
for reach indexing in this file are the WBID, WBNAME,
and WBTYPE, as defined by the state. The  WBID, as
stated, is  a  unique  identifier for each water  body the
state has  defined. The  WBNAME  stores a verbal de-
Figure 5. Potential definitions of water bodies.

scription of the water body. Finally, the WBTYPE de-
fines the type of water body; for example, R is for river,
L is for lake.

The SCRF2 file contains an explicit definition of each
water body. Because of the complexity involved in de-
fining water bodies, this file may include more than one
record for each water body. The SCRF2 file can be
considered a waterbody definition language because it
contains specific codes, attributes, and keys that can be
converted  into specific reaches on the RF3 data, if read
properly (see Table 3). The  WBBEGIN and WBEND
fields contain explicit CD, SEG,  and Ml  attributes to
define the  location of the starting point and  ending point
for the water body. The WBDIR field contains an attrib-
ute  that describes  whether to go upstream or down-
stream from the WBBEGIN to the WBEND. In addition,
a blank WBEND field denotes that the  water  body
should include all  upstream or downstream reaches
(depending on the WBDIR) of the WBBEGIN reach.

Virginia used  PCRF to create an  SCRF2 file that con-
tains reach indexing expressions for all of their defined
water bodies. ARC/INFO macros were then written to
process this file and expand the expressions into the set
of specific arcs that compose  each water body. The
macros will be described in more detail later.
Table 2.  Example of SCRF1 File Data

WBID            WBNAME      WBTYPE
                                           WBSIZE
KS-KR-04-R001
KS-KR-04-W020
KS-KR-04-W030
KS-KR-04-W040
KANSAS
RIVER
LOWER
WAKARUSA
RIVER
MUD CR
CAPTAIL CR
R
R
R
R
15.20
61.60
39.43
15.63

-------
Table 3.  Example of SCRF2 File Data

WBID               WBDIR      WBBEGIN
                                                         WBEND
                                                                                 RFORGFLAG
KS-KR-04-R001
KS-KR-OR-W020
KS-KR-04-W030
KS-KR-04-W040
U
D
U
U
10270104001 0.00
10270104005 10.80
10270104059 12.05
10270104038 0.00
1027010400115.20
102701040050.00
102701040078.10

2
2
3
3
States that have not already generated indexing expres-
sions in PCRF  must provide locations in some other
way. The most basic method is for the state to supply a
set of 1:100,000 USGS quad sheets that they have
marked up with locations of each water body. The
maps can be used  in conjunction with a digitizer to
manually select the appropriate  RF3  reaches and
code them with  the WBID.

The  state of Ohio created a CIS database of its river
reaches several years ago. The CIS coverage is rep-
resentational in  nature. The stream reaches are 'stick-
figures' only. Generally, they fall along the paths of the
actual streams, but they are schematic in nature and do
not show the true shape of  streams.  The CIS layer,
however, contains the attributes of Ohio's stream reach
numbering system, which is used to identify water bod-
ies as well. Ohio's river reach coverage contains infor-
mation on the locations of water  bodies and is being
manually conflated to transfer the WBIDs to RF3. The
conflation process will be covered  later in this paper.

The  state of Kansas had previously defined its water
bodies on RF2,  the precursor to RF3.  Kansas defined
some indexes by a set of RF3 SEG numbers in a CD
and  some by the RF3  reaches in a small watershed
polygon within a CD. The locations were, in effect, de-
fined within the WBID itself.

Indexing  Procedures

Procedures developed for performing waterbody index-
ing include automated, semiautomated,  and  manual
systems.

Automated Indexing Procedures

As stated, Virginia used PCRF to perform the indexing
operation. The state delivered an SCRF2 file containing
indexing expressions for all of its water bodies. AMI
programs were  created  to read the SCRF2 file and
select the reaches specified by each indexing expres-
sion. The selected sets of reaches were then coded with
the appropriate WBID. The macros were designed to run
on one RF3 CD at a time, so the operator specified runs
of up to 10  CDs at a time. The macros had to accom-
modate indexing expressions  that included:

• Select reaches upstream of a specified location.
• Select reaches on a reach-by-reach basis.

• Select reaches within a given polygon area.

• Select shorelines of lakes or ponds given latitude and
  longitude coordinates.

• Select reach downstream from a specified location.

Kansas water bodies  were  also  indexed through an
automated  process. Kansas supplied  an ARC/INFO
coverage of small watershed polygons (sub-CD  poly-
gons)  containing a watershed identifier. The state's
WBID contained all other information  necessary to de-
termine the RF3 CD and the set of reaches  making up
each water body. An example of a  Kansas WBID is
KS-KR-02-W030. This  is explained by the following:

• KS refers to the  state. All  WBIDs  in Kansas begin
  with  KS.

• The  second component (in this case KR) is an ab-
  breviation of the basin in which the water  body falls.
  KR indicates that this  water body is in the Kansas-
  Lower Republican River basin.

• The  third component contains the  last two digits of
  the eight-digit CD number. Although basins comprise
  several CDs, the last two digits of each CD in a basin
  are unique; therefore,  between the basin  (e.g., KR)
  designation and the last two digits of the CD (e.g.,
  02), the complete eight-digit CD number in which the
  water body falls is defined.

• The  next letter (in this  case W) denotes whether the
  water body is defined  by a watershed polygon (W),
  an RF2 SEG (R), or a lake or pond shoreline (L).

• Finally, the WBID ends with the number of the  poly-
  gon  (in this case 030) that contains the reaches for
  the water body in the watershed coverage.

The completed macros could index the entire state in  a
single run  provided that all the WBIDs were contained
in single file.

In all cases, Kansas has  indexed to RF2 reaches. Only
RF3 reaches originally created in RF2 production, there-
fore,  are coded with a WBID.

-------
Manual Indexing Procedures

Because Ohio already  has a coverage of river reach
codes, WBIDs from this coverage had to be transferred
to the RF3 reaches they represent. This entailed using a
manual conflation process. The operator displayed a CD
of RF3 along with the Ohio river reach system for the
same area. In a simple process of 'pointing and clicking,'
the operator first selected an Ohio river reach arc, then
the RF3 arcs that seemed to coincide. As each RF3 arc
was selected, it was  coded with the WBID of the pre-
viously selected  Ohio  river reach arc.

Other states that  have no  means of describing water
bodies in electronic files may have to mark up paper maps
to show waterbody locations. These maps  can  then  be
used  in a  manual process  of selecting RF3  reach and
coding them with WBIDs either in ARC/INFO or in PCRF

Using the Route  System Data Model To
Store Water Bodies

Because water bodies can be defined as noncontiguous
sets of arcs and portions of arcs, a robust linear data-
base  model  is necessary to model these  entities.
ARC/INFO's route system data model seems well suited
for this application. The route system data model allows
one to group any set of arcs or portions of arcs into
routes. Each route is managed  as a feature in itself.
Attributes of water bodies are stored in a route attribute
table (RAT) and relate to all the arcs defined as the water
body. Figure 6 helps illustrate the route system model.

Each route comprises one  or more  arcs or sections of
arcs. ARC/INFO manages the relationship between arcs
and routes in the section table (SEC). The structure of
the SEC, which  is an  INFO table, is defined in Table 4.
Tables reflects how the sections that make up the above
routes would appear.
               cover.ratwbs
               WBS#WBS-ID
                1     1
WBID
KS-KR-04-R0001

KS-KR-04-W020

KS-KR-04-W030
                        Table 4.  Definition of Structure of SEC INFO Table

                        ROUTELINK*   The route upon which the section falls
                        ARCLINK*     The arc upon which the section falls
                        F-MEAS       The measurement value at the beginning of the
                                     section
                        T-MEAS       The measurement value at the end of the section
                        F-POS        The percentage of the distance along the arc at
                                     which the section begins
                        T-POS        The percentage of the distance along the arc at
                                     which the section ends
                        SEC#         The internal identifier of the section
                        SEC-ID       The user identifier of the section
                        Table 5.  How Sections Appear in SEC INFO Table

                        ROUTE-
                        LINKS   ARCLINK8  F-MEAS T-MEAS  F-POS T-POS SEC# SEC-ID
1
1
1
2
3
3
3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
1.30
2.10
0
0
1.15
0
1.30
2.10
4.05
1.20
1.15
2.4
2.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Figure 6. The route attribute table containing waterbody data.
Representing Water Bodies as Routes

ARC/INFO offers several ways of grouping sets of arcs
into discrete routes. One can use ARCEDIT to select a
set of arcs to group them into a route, or ARCSECTION
or MEASUREROUTE in ARC to  group arcs into routes.
The method described here uses  the MEASUREROUTE
command. This method requires that the AAT or a re-
lated table has an attribute containing the identifier of
the route to which an arc should be assigned. In the
application the authors employed, they converted the
SCRF2 file into an INFO table containing, for each arc
in the coverage, the RF3RCHID of the arc and the WBID
to which the arc should be assigned. The WBID item is
used to group arcs into routes. One route exists for each
unique WBID. Table 6 illustrates the table used in the
MEASUREROUTE command method. This table is re-
lated to the AAT of the RF3 coverage by the RF3RCHID.

An RAT is automatically created for the coverage, which
now can  be  related to other WBS assessment files for
display and query. Figure 4 illustrates the RAT. The most
important characteristic of the file is that it has only one
record for each water body. This simplifies the display
and query of water bodies based on water quality data.

Using EVENTS for Subwaterbody Attributes

Water bodies, as states define them, often constitute a
gross aggregation of the water in an area. States often
have  more specific data  about  particular stretches  of
streams within a  water body. A system is needed  to

-------
Table 6.  Table Used in MEASUREROUTE Command Method
        To Group Arcs Into Routes
$RECNO
RF3RCHID
                      WBID
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1 02701 04
1 02701 04
1 02701 04
10270104
10270104
10270104
10270104
10270104
10270104
1 0.00
1 1.30
1 2.10
2 0.00
3 0.00
3 1.15
40.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
KS-KR-04-R0001
KS-KR-04-R0001
KS-KR-04-R0001
KS-KR-04-W020
KS-KR-04-W020
KS-KR-04-W020
KS-KR-04-W020
KS-KR-04-W030
KS-KR-04-W030
                                                                                       4.05
                                                                   2.4
                                                            o
                                                                                            1.0
                                                                      1.30
                                                                         WBID
                                                                         KS- KR-04-R001
                                                                         KS-KR-04-W020
                                                                         KS-KR-04-W030
query and  display data at the subwaterbody level.
ARC/INFO's dynamic segmentation tools and event ta-
bles are useful for this application. Once water bodies
have been defined and reporting methods have been set
up based on those water bodies, the task of redefining
them is cumbersome.

Event tables can help to keep these waterbody defini-
tions yet still offer the ability to store, manage, and track
data at the subwatershed level. Event tables are simple
INFO files that relate to route systems on coverages.
This concept and data structure can work in conjunction
with the predefined waterbody system. We  have already
seen how a route system called WBS is created in RF3
to group arcs into waterbody routes. This works quite
well when displaying  water bodies and querying their
attributes. A route system based on the WBID cannot,
however, act as an underlying base for subwaterbody
events because the measures used to  create the WBS
route system are not  unique for a particular route. For
example, in the route depicted in Figure 7, three loca-
tions are defined as being on WBID KS-KR-04-W020 and
having measure 1.0.

The mileage measurements along  SEG,  however, are
always unique (see Figure 8). To use EVENTS, therefore,
a second route system must be created based on the RF3
SEG attribute, which provides a unique code for each CD.

The ARCSECTION command, instead of the MEASURE-
ROUTE  command, is used to create the SEG route
system. This is because the measurement items (Ml on
the  AAT  and  UPMI  on  the  DS3)  already  store  the
summed measures along particular SEGs. Table 7  lists
the  contents of the resulting RAT table.

Because  the name of the route system  is  SEG, the
SEG# and SEG-ID are the names of  the internal  and
user IDs. The SEG item contains the actual SEG num-
ber in the RF3 coverage. Because the SEG numbers for
each RF3 CU coverage start at 1 and increase incre-
                                  Figure 7.  Measurements along SEGs.
                                             O
                                  Figure 8.  Events located on RF3 data.


                                  Table 7.  Route Attribute Table

                                    SEG-ID              SEG#
                                                                            SEG
                                  mentally by 1, the SEG item looks much like the SEG-ID
                                  and SEG#.

                                  Event tables contain a key item, the WBID or SEG, to
                                  relate them to the appropriate route system (see Figure 8).
                                  They also contain locational information on where to lo-
                                  cate the events on the route (either WBID to indicate the
                                  water body on the WBS route or SEG to identify the
                                  route in the SEG route system). Separate event tables
                                  can then relate use support, causes,  and sources as
                                  linear events.  FROM and  TO store the starting  and
                                                 10

-------
ending measures for each event. Using event tables
allows us to apply many useful cartographic effects
(e.g., hatching, offsets, text, strip maps). Events can be
queried both in INFO and graphically. Event data can
help in producing overlays of two or more event tables.
An event table can display use support information (see
Table 8). WBS users can update their event tables using
RF3 maps supplied by EPA without having proficiency
in ARC/INFO. ARC/VIEW2 is expected to support
events and route systems. This will give users powerful
tools for spatial query of assessment data. Developing
event tables would also display and query data on the
causes and sources of use impairment. These events
can be offset and displayed to show the areas of inter-
action. More permanently, preparing line-on-line over-
lays can show intersections and unions.
An alternative approach is to use an EVENT-ID as a
unique identifier for each event. The SEG field stores the
number of the route (SEG) upon which the event occurs.
FROM and TO store the beginning and end measures
along the route upon which the event occurs. WBID
contains the identifier of the water body upon which the
event occurs (see Table 9). An event can occur within
a single SEG, across two or more SEGs, within a single
water body, or across two or more water bodies.
Additional attribute tables can be created to store de-
scriptive attributes for each event. These tables would
resemble the SCRF5 and SCRF6 files except that in-
stead of using the WBID to relate to a water body, a field
called 'EVENT-ID' would link the use, cause, and source
data to a particular event (see Table 10).
Both approaches offer some advantages. In either case,
they allow us to map our water quality assessment data
and communicate it in a meaninaful and useful wav.
Table 8. Event Table That Reflects Use Support Information
USE
SEG FROM TO WBID USE SUPPORT
1 0.80 1.30 KS-KR-04-R0001
1 1.30 2.10 KS-KR-04-R0001
1 2.10 2.31 KS-KR-04-R0001
1 0.50 1.30 KS-KR-04-R0001
3 0.00 1.15 KS-KR-04-W030
4 0.00 2.5 KS-KR-04-W040
21 Fully
21 Partial
21 Not supported
40 Threatened
21 Fully
40 Not supported
Table 9. Using EVENT-ID as a Unique Event Identifier
EVENT-ID SEG FROM TO WBID
1 1 0.80 1.30
1 1 1.30 2.10
2 4 0.00 2.5
Table 10. Using EVENT-ID To Link Use,
Data to an Event
EVENT-ID ASCAUSE
1 900
1 -9
1 0500
2 1200
2 0900
KS-KR-04-R0001
KS-KR-04-R0001
KS-KR-04-W040
Cause, and Source
ASSOURC
1200
1100
1100
9000
8100
11

-------
         Nonpoint Source Water Quality Impacts in an Urbanizing Watershed
                         Peter Coffin, Andrea Dorlester, and Julius Fabos
                University of Massachusetts at Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts
Abstract

As part of the larger Narragansett Bay Estuary Project,
the University of Massachusetts Cooperative Extension
Service contracted with the university's METLAND re-
search team to develop a geographic information sys-
tem (CIS) database,  generate watershed-wide maps,
perform analyses, and develop a modeling procedure.
The objective was to educate local officials about the
impacts of development on water quality and to help
local boards minimize the effect of nonpoint sources of
pollution.

Because  the receiving waters of the Narragansett Bay
are located far downstream in  Rhode Island, the up-
stream communities in Massachusetts are reluctant to
enact measures to improve water resources outside of
their jurisdictions. A CIS was used to create awareness
of existing downstream problems and to show the up-
stream communities  how development will ultimately
affect water resources in their own backyards.

To nurture this awareness, a  "buildout" analysis was
conducted for an entire upstream subwatershed, the
Mumford  River watershed,  containing  parts of four
towns, and roughly 50 square miles. This buildout was
coupled with a loading model using Schueler's Simple
Method to illustrate the potential impacts of future devel-
opment, and encourage local boards to minimize future
nonpoint  sources of pollution.

CIS proved  its usefulness by developing  customized
maps for each town, by generating several "what if
scenarios showing the  impacts of different zoning
changes,  by facilitating long-range planning  for small
towns without professional staff,  and by encouraging a
regional perspective on development issues. The entire
planning  process was most successful  in creating  a
series of  partnerships that will continue after the grant
expires. The university shared coverages with the state
CIS  agency,  creating  new coverages not previously
available, specifically  soils,  ownership,  and zoning.
Small towns  learned about the potential  of the new
technology. Students gained from hands-on experience
with real-world problems. State agencies saw their ef-
forts understood at the local level, especially as they
reorganize on a basin approach and begin to implement
a total mass daily loading (TMDL) procedure to coordi-
nate permitted discharges and withdrawals.

As greater emphasis is placed on controlling nonpoint
sources of pollution, more attention needs to be focused
on local boards, who control land use decisions in New
England.

Introduction

Project Description

Narragansett Bay is a  vital  resource for southern New
England.  The health of its  waters is  critical to the re-
gional economy, supporting  fisheries, tourism, and qual-
ity of  life.  Increased  development  along  the bay's
shorelines and throughout its drainage basin threatens
the quality of these waters,  however. The U.S.  Environ-
mental Protection Agency (EPA) recognized the threats
to this important water  body and designated the Narra-
gansett Bay under its National Estuary Program in 1985.

Completing a Comprehensive Conservation and Man-
agement  Plan (CCMP) for Narragansett Bay took  7
years.  The CCMP  identified seven priority areas for
source reduction or control, including the reduction of
agricultural and other nonpoint sources of pollution. The
nonpoint  source strategy identified United States  De-
partment  of Agriculture (USDA) agencies, conservation
districts, and other public and private organizations as
having principal roles in nonpoint source  management.

Whereas  the vast  majority of Narragansett Bay  lies
within the boundaries  of Rhode  Island, a  significant
portion of its pollution load originates in Massachusetts.
Recognizing that the watershed extends beyond state
boundaries, the USDA provided 3 years of funding to
Cooperative Extension  and  the Soil Conservation Serv-
ice (SCS) in both Massachusetts and Rhode Island to

-------
coordinate their efforts in an innovative attempt to re-
duce the impact  of nonpoint sources of pollution on
Narragansett Bay. While water quality is a relatively new
focus for Cooperative  Extension, it fits well with the
historic mission of extending the knowledge base of the
land-grant colleges out into the community, and provid-
ing training and capacity building for local officials and
community organizations.

With such a large area of concern, the management
team decided to focus on a smaller subwatershed area
in  each state for the first 2 years. The strategy was first
to  develop a  program for the  mitigation of nonpoint
source pollution on the smaller scale of a watershed of
roughly 50 square miles, then take the lessons learned
and apply the  most appropriate efforts throughout the
larger watershed. By using similar strategies in Rhode
Island and Massachusetts, but choosing subwatersheds
that differ in terms of location relative to the receiving
water, size, staffing, and sophistication, the two states
gained from each other's experience, sharing the  suc-
cessful techniques and avoiding each other's mistakes.

For its pilot study, Rhode Island chose Aquidneck Island,
home of Newport, Portsmouth, and Middletown, with a
special focus on  protecting surface water supply reser-
voirs. Massachusetts chose an upstream watershed in
the Blackstone Valley, somewhat rural in character, but
rapidly undergoing a transformation to suburbia.

Watershed Description

The Blackstone River drops 451 feet in its 48-mile jour-
ney  from Worcester,  Massachusetts,  to  Pawtucket,
Rhode Island.  In the 19th century, this drop of roughly
10 feet per mile was ideally suited to  providing power to
mills during the early years of the industrial revolution.
By the Civil War, every available mill site was developed,
earning the Blackstone River the  name "The Hardest
Working River."

The Blackstone has a long history of pollution. First, the
textile industry, then steel, wire, and metal finishing in-
dustries used the  river for power, in their manufacturing
process, and for waste disposal.

In  Massachusetts, the Blackstone River is the  major
source of many pollutants to Narragansett  Bay. Based
on total  precipitation  event  loading  calculations, the
Blackstone River  is the principal source of solids, cad-
mium, copper,  lead,  nitrate, orthophosphate, and PCBs
to the bay (1). The Blackstone River has an average flow
of  577 million  gallons per day or 23.2 percent of the
freshwater input to the bay.

The  watershed  area  in  Massachusetts  equals  335
square miles; with a population of 255,682, this results
in  a density of 763 people per square mile. The Black-
stone Valley has  9,000 acres in agricultural use,  with
more land in hay (4,500 acres) than crops (3,700 acres)
to support its 4,400 animals.

Based on aerial mapping flown in 1987, the Blackstone
Valley has lost 5 percent of its cropland, 9 percent of its
pasture, and 21 percent of its orchards since 1971. The
valley remains more than 60 percent forested, but that
represents  a decrease  of 5 percent. The forest and
farmlands were lost to  development as low density
housing grew by 45 percent, commercial use grew by
15  percent, and transportation grew by 54  percent.
Waste disposal grew 52  percent to 582 acres, and min-
ing, which in this region represents gravel pits, grew 22
percent to 1,100 acres.

Watershed  soils consist mainly of compact glacial  till on
rolling topography, with 3 to 15 percent slopes. The river
and stream valleys are underlain by glacial-derived sand
and gravel  outwash, which provide drinking water to all
towns in the area  except Worcester and support the
large gravel pits. The high clay content in the till soils of
the uplands makes for  a high water table, which is
beneficial for growing corn  but causes problems for
septic systems.

Following a preliminary study of the subwatersheds, the
Mumford River in the Blackstone Valley was selected as
the focus watershed based on its size, location, land
use, and existing water quality (see Figure 1). The Mum-
ford  River watershed has an area of 57 square miles,
with  a length of 13 miles, and lies within the towns of
Douglas, Northbridge,  Button,  and  Uxbridge. These
towns share the attributes of small, rural communities
undergoing  rapid development,  with  no  professional
planning  staff (see  Figure 2).  According  to  the  1990
Census, Douglas grew 46 percent in 10 years to 5,438;
Uxbridge experienced 24 percent growth to 10,415; Sut-
ton increased 17 percent to 6,824; and Northbridge grew
9 percent to 13,371.

Project Strategy

Because the generation of nonpoint sources of pollution
is so closely tied to land  use, and because local boards
composed  of citizen volunteers have principal control
over land use in New England, the  key focus of this
program  is  to train local  boards to recognize and begin
managing the threat that nonpoint sources of pollution
pose to water quality. Local planning boards, conserva-
tion  commissions, and boards of health address land
use  issues and  can  regulate and shape  existing and
proposed development.  By developing a  program to
train local officials, Cooperative Extension can focus its
outreach where it will have the greatest impact in both
the short and long term. Local boards have the strongest
opportunity to comment on how land is to be used as it
undergoes development. Therefore, this project focused
on preventing future deterioration as  opposed to  fixing

-------
Figure 1.  Map of Mumford River watershed study area.
existing problems. This is especially appropriate in a
rapidly urbanizing setting.

Both Massachusetts and Rhode Island chose to utilize
CIS technology because of its ability to store, analyze,
transform, and display geographic, or spatial informa-
tion. Its database management and analytical capabili-
ties make it a useful tool for pollution load modeling and
buildout scenario development, while its mapping capa-
bilities make it an excellent tool for sharing information
with local officials. This paper documents a case study
on how CIS technology was used to apply a watershed-
wide pollution loading model and to  develop buildout
scenarios for demonstrating to local officials the poten-
tial  impacts of future development  on water quality.

This project used CIS in four different applications:

• Printing customized, large-scale maps: This most ba-
  sic application of a CIS proved the most  useful for
  local officials. It was a revelation for some officials to
  see how their current zoning related to  actual land
  use. In  one town,  these maps inspired a change in
  zoning to  protect the area of a future water supply
  reservoir. These maps helped officials see how their
  towns fit into the regional picture and how their zoning
  and land use affected the adjoining towns, and vice-
  versa.

• Performing  "buildout" analysis: A "buildout" analysis
  demonstrates the  consequences of existing zoning.
  It assumes that all land that can  be developed will be
  developed  at some future  date. In essence,  it is a
  spreadsheet that divides the land available for develop-
  ment in each zone  by the required lot size, subtracting
                                                                Northbridge
                                                                           Legend

                                                                        I  I  Agriculture/Open Land
                                                                        HU  Developed Land
                                                                        V/\  Forest
                                                                        ggj  Unforested Wetlands
                                                                        PH  Lakes and Ponds
                                                                         Scale = 1:90,000
                                      Douglas


Figure 2.  Land use/land cover map of Mumford River watershed.

-------
  a certain percentage for the road network and steep
  slopes. It is best used to evaluate different develop-
  ment scenarios, substituting different zoning require-
  ments.

• Applying a watershed-wide pollutant loading model:
  CIS provided the input needed to apply the "Simple
  Method" for estimating existing and potential pollutant
  loads. Future pollution loading was estimated using
  a buildout  with existing zoning  and  again assuming
  the  implementation  of cluster  zoning. The  Simple
  Method was  compared in one subwatershed with the
  Galveston  Bay Method, which accounts for the hy-
  drologic class of the soils.

• Promoting planning for a greenway: Land use maps
  were  overlaid  with  parcel ownership  to show the
  existing  network of preserved  open space  and to
  identify those parcels of land having significant wild-
  life habitat and recreational value. In one town, these
  maps were used to gain funding for planning a river
  walk.

Database Development

The most daunting aspect of using a CIS is the prospect
of spending a great deal of time and money creating a
useful database. Fortunately for Massachusetts, many
of the basic coverages needed for regional planning are
housed in a state agency, MASS CIS, and are available
for a small processing fee. These coverages  include
most of what appears on the standard United States
Geological Survey (USGS) map: roads, streams, town
boundaries, as well as watershed boundaries and land
use data generated from the interpretation of aerial pho-
tographs. The university entered into an agreement
whereby we gained access to this data at no charge, in
return for sharing the  new coverages that the project
would generate.

New coverages needed for the study included: zoning,
soils,  sewer and water lines, and land ownership, or
parcels taken from the assessor's maps. The soils maps
were obtained from the SCS, digitized by hand, then the
scale was converted with a computer program, "rubber-
sheeting," to achieve a uniform scale of 1:25,000.  All
other  new coverages were  transferred onto a USGS
topographical map at a scale of 1:25,000,  then digitized
directly into the computer. We obtained elevation data,
but the triangulation process used to convert elevation
data to slopes would require so much time and memory
that, for our purpose, deriving a slope map from the four
classes identified on the soils map was sufficient.

While CIS computer programs are powerful enough to
perform most overlay and analysis functions necessary
in  nonpoint source pollution load modeling, database
development and accuracy  issues can limit the effec-
tiveness of such modeling.  The choice of which model
to use is a function of which data are available for input.
Physics-based distributed models are more precise but
require detailed input parameters, beyond the scope of
this project.  The extent of our database limited us to
lumped-parameter  empirical  models. We chose  two
such models, the Simple Method and the Galveston Bay
Method.

GIS Applications

The Simple Method

Schueler (2) developed the Simple Method, one of the
simplest lumped-parameter empirical models. The input
data necessary to  compute pollutant loading with the
Simple Method are land use, land area,  and  mean an-
nual rainfall. Land  use determines which event mean
concentration (EMC) values and percentage of impervi-
ousness to use in the computation. The amount of rain-
fall  runoff is assumed  to   be a  function  of  the
imperviousness of various land uses. More densely de-
veloped areas have more impervious surfaces, such as
rooftops and paving, which cause stormwaterto run off
the  land  rather than be absorbed  into the soil. The
Simple Method can generate  rough figures for annual
pollutant loading within a watershed  and  can effectively
show relative  increases  in pollutant levels as  land is
developed.

The formula  used in the Simple Method is as follows:
                          (C)  * (A)  *  (2.72)
       (load) =  (runoff)  *  (EMC) *  (area)

where:

L   = pounds of pollutant load per year
P   = rainfall depth (inches) over the desired time
     interval (1 year)
Pj  = percentage of storms that are large enough to
     produce runoff (90 percent)
Rv  = fraction of rainfall that is converted into runoff
     (Rv = 0.05 + 0.009 (I), where I represents the
     percentage of site imperviousness)
C   = flow-weighted mean concentration (EMC) of
     the targeted pollutant in  runoff (milligrams per
     liter)
A   = area (in acres) of the study region

The Simple Method can be applied using a hand-held
calculator or a computer spreadsheet program. For this
project, the calculations were performed entirely within
the  ARC/INFO GIS environment,  where the input data
were stored. Results were exported to the Excel spread-
sheet program for presentation purposes.

The application of the Simple Method consists of three
major steps.

-------
Step 1: Aggregate Land Uses and Obtain Area Fig-
ures for Land Use Categories Within Each Subbasin

The land use coverage in our database has 21 catego-
ries.  For the purpose of applying the Simple Method,
these were aggregated into the following six major cate-
gories, based  on development density: undeveloped
forest and other open land, large-lot single-family resi-
dential, medium-density residential, high-density  resi-
dential, commercial, and industrial. The aggregated land
use categories were matched with study basins from the
Nationwide Urban Runoff Program (NURP) for the pur-
pose of assigning EMC values.

Step 2: Enter Percentage Imperviousness and Event
Mean Concentrations for Each Land Use Type

The TABLES module of ARC/INFO was  used to assign
percentage of imperviousness and EMC values to indi-
vidual land use polygons within the watershed's subbas-
ins. The estimated percentage of imperviousness was
obtained  from  Schueler's guide to  using  the Simple
Method (2). EMC values for three pollutants—phospho-
rous,  nitrogen, and  lead—were taken  from selected
NURP study basins and were assigned to the aggre-
gated land uses within the watershed.

Step 3: Input the Simple Method's  Mathematical
Loading  Formula, Calculate  Loading Results  for
Each Distinct  Land Use Area, and Sum Results by
Watershed Subbasin

Finally, the pollutant load was  calculated for each dis-
tinct land use area within the Mumford River watershed
by inputting the loading formula through the TABLES
module of ARC/INFO. The mean  annual rainfall figure
was assumed to  be that of Worcester, Massachusetts,
or 47.6 inches. After calculating loading figures for phos-
phorous,  nitrogen, and lead for each distinct land use
area, these numbers were summed for each watershed
subbasin, using the ARC/INFO frequency table report-
ing capability.

The  Galveston Bay Method

As an experiment,  we  applied  the Galveston  Bay
Method to one of the subbasins to compare results with
the  Simple Method. The  slightly more sophisticated
Galveston Bay model considers soil drainage charac-
teristics in addition to land use/imperviousness to deter-
mine rainfall runoff. This method is similar to the Simple
Method, in that amount of rainfall  runoff and EMCs for
particular land uses are multiplied by land area to deter-
mine total pollutant  load (3).  Runoff in this method,
however,  is calculated  using the USDA SCS's TR 55
runoff curve model. The SCS model calculates runoff as
a function of both land use and soil type. Runoff equals
total  rainfall minus interception by vegetation,  depres-
sion storage, infiltration before runoff begins, and  con-
tinued infiltration after runoff begins (4).
The formula used with the Galveston Bay Method has a
structure similar to that of the Simple Method and is as
follows:

          P-0.2[(1000/CN)-10]2
          P + 0.8[(100(yCN)-10]
   (load) =

where:
(runoff
(EMC)
(area)
L    = milligrams of pollutant load per year
P    = mean annual rainfall amount
CN  = runoff curve number, which is a function of
       soil type and land use
EMC = event mean concentration
A    = area (in acres) of the study region

The application of the Galveston Bay Method consists
of four major steps.

Step 1: Aggregate Land Uses and Obtain Area Fig-
ures for Land Uses Categories. Aggregate Soils Ac-
cording to Drainage Classes

Land use types were aggregated into the same six major
categories as the  Simple Method in orderto match EMC
values and to allow for later  comparison  of the two
pollution loading  methods. Soils were aggregated ac-
cording to drainage classes for use with the  USDA SCS
TR 55 runoff formula. The SCS  identifies four classes of
soils according to their drainage capacity:

Class A = excessively to well-drained sands or
          gravelly sands.
Class B = well to  moderately drained, moderately
          coarse soils.
Class C = moderately to poorly drained fine soils.
Class D = very poorly drained  clays or soils with a
          high water table.

Step 2: Overlay Soils Data With Land Use Data and
Clip This New Coverage Within the Subbasin

The ARC/INFO CIS overlay capability was used to over-
lay land use  and soils maps  for the Mumford  River
watershed on top of each other. This created new, dis-
tinct areas of different land use and soils combinations.
Because we were only applying this model  in one sub-
basin, the subbasin boundary was used in  conjunction
with the ARC/INFO "clip" command to  cut out (like a
cookie cutter) that portion of the watershed within the
subbasin.

Step  3: Assign  Runoff  Curve Numbers and EMC
Values to Each New Land Use/Soils Polygon Within
the Subbasin

EMC  values  were  assigned  to each  distinct  land
use/soils area in  the same  manner as they were as-
signed to  land use areas using the Simple Method.

-------
Runoff curve  numbers were assigned to each distinct
land use/soils area  within the  subbasin according to
values established by the USDA SCS.

Step 4: Calculate Loading Results for Each Distinct
Land Use/Soils Area and Sum Results for the Entire
Subbasin

Finally, the pollutant load was calculated for each dis-
tinct land use/soils area within the subbasin by inputting
the loading formula through the  TABLES  module of
ARC/INFO. After calculating  loading figures for phos-
phorous,  nitrogen,  and  lead for  each  distinct land
use/soils  area, these figures were then summed for the
subbasin using the ARC/INFO frequency table reporting
capability. Results of this  modeling were converted from
milligrams per acre peryearto pounds per acre peryear
to facilitate later comparisons.

Buildout Scenarios

For planning purposes, CIS is most useful in its ability
to quickly generate  alternative scenarios. When these
development scenarios are coupled with a pollutant load
model as described above, alternative scenarios can be
evaluated according to their impact on water quality.
This project generated two different scenarios for each
of the four towns in the watershed: a maximum buildout
with existing zoning  and a maximum buildout with clus-
tered  development.

Maximum Buildout

A maximum buildout scenario was used to  show the
worst case for development according to current zoning
regulations (see Figure 3). The  result of this buildout is
expressed both in the number of new residential units to
be built and in the area of land to be converted from
undeveloped to residential and other urban uses.

Step 1: Eliminate From Consideration All Land That
Is Already Developed

Step 2: Eliminate From Consideration All Land That
Is Under Water

Step 3: Eliminate From Consideration All Land That
Is Protected From Development

These  protected lands included cemeteries, parks, and
all land permanently restricted from development.

Step 4: Reduce the Remaining Amount of Land by
20 Percent To Account for New Roadways and Ex-
tremely Steep Slopes

The remaining land was considered to have "developa-
ble" status. Wetlands  were included  in this category
because while a house probably would not be built on a
wetland, wetlands can and often do constitute portions
of the required lot size of large residential lots.

Step 5: Overlay the Land Use Coverage With Zoning
and Minimum Lot Size Information

This created new land use areas as a function of zoning.
All forests and fields were converted to a developed
status.

Step 6: Divide Net Developable Land  Area  Within
Each Zone by Minimum Lot Size Allowed To Obtain
the Number of New Units

Results from the buildout are expressed  in the number
of new units.  Results can also be shown spatially by
shading in areas on the map according to future density
                            Sutton
                                                                     Legend

                                                                      Already Developed

                                                                      <1/4-Acre Lot Size

                                                                      1/4-to 1/2-Acre Lot Size

                                                                      1/2-to 1-Acre Lot Size

                                                                      1-to2-AcreLotSize

                                                                  !Z3 >2-Acre Lot Size

                                                                  !	I Protected/Public Land

                                                                      Scale = 1:90,000
Figure 3.  Maximum buildout scenario within the Mumford River watershed.

-------
of development (darker shades for higher density, lighter
shades for lower density).
opment can reduce future levels of water pollution, es-
pecially from nutrients (see Figures 4 and 5).
Clustered Buildout

Another alternative development scenario was gener-
ated assuming the implementation of clustered develop-
ment. All areas zoned for lots larger than 1  acre were
changed to cluster zones, where three-fourths of the
land area remains undeveloped, and the remaining one-
fourth of the land area is developed at a  density of
1/2-acre  lot size.  With clustering, an area  zoned for
2-acre house lots still supports the same number of new
units, but three-quarters of the land  area remains open
space for passive recreation, protected wildlife habitat,
and as a buffer zone to filter runoff.

Step 1: Select All Land  Available for Development
Zoned for  1-Acre Lots or Larger

Step 2: Multiply Selected Land  by 0.75 and Add to
the Category of Protected Land

Step 3: Multiply Selected Land by 0.25 and Change
the Minimum Lot Size to One-Half an Acre

Step 4: Divide Step 3 by 20 Percent To Allow for New
Roads and Steep Slopes

Step 5: Divide Step 4 by 21,780 (One-Half an Acre)
To Determine Number of New Housing Units

Results

Lumped-parameter empirical models were chosen for
this project and were applied to watershed  subbasins
ranging in size from 1 to 20 square miles and having an
average of  4 square miles. The application of the Simple
Method to  existing land use conditions allowed for a
comparison of the Mumford River watershed's subbas-
ins  for the purpose of identifying the subbasins that
contribute the highest  levels of pollutants per acre per
year. The development of a maximum buildout scenario
identified those areas within  the watershed that will
sustain the greatest amount of new growth.  The appli-
cation of the  Simple Method to this maximum buildout
scenario revealed that pollutant levels in surface water
runoff would  increase substantially for all subbasins in
the watershed. This finding supports the theory of  a
positive  relationship  between  development  and in-
creased pollutant levels from surface water runoff.

The development of a customized buildout scenario for
future development identified those  areas that are cur-
rently zoned  for large-lot  residential "sprawl" and that
can support higher development density under cluster
zoning, while protecting a significant amount of open
space that  can support a variety of beneficial uses. The
application  of the Simple Method  to the customized
buildout scenario revealed that the use of cluster devel-
Results determined  by applying the  Galveston Bay
Method to one subbasin  were  compared  with  those
obtained using the Simple Method. The predicted pollut-
ant loading from current conditions differed significantly
              Nitrogen Loading Estimates
          Total
  Whitin Reservoir
    West Sutton
    Wallis Pond
   Tuckers Pond
   Stevens Pond
    Rivulet Pond
         Mouth
    Morse Pond
  Manchaug Pond
    Lackey Pond
    East Douglas Jl
    Cross Street
    Badluck Pond
                     50       100      150
                         Percent Change
                                              200
               n  1985-Cluster
                  Buildout
   1985 - Maximum
   Buildout
Figure 4.  Chart showing difference in simple method results
         for nitrogen loading between maximum and custom-
         ized  buildout scenarios.
             Phosphorus Loading Estimates
         Total
      Whitin ._-
    Reservoir
    West Sutton
    Wallis Pond
   Tuckers Pond
   Stevens Pond
    Rivulet Pond
        Mouth
    Morse Pond
  Manchaug Pond
    Lackey Pond
    East Douglas
    Cross Street
   Badluck Pond
         I	
         -10  0
                 10
                      20   30   40
                       Percent Change
                                     50
                                           60
                                               70
                 1985-Cluster
                 Buildout
1985 - Maximum
Buildout
Figure 5.  Chart showing difference in simple method results
         for phosphorus loading between maximum and cus-
         tomized buildout scenarios.

-------
between the two methods; the Simple Method consis-
tently predicted five times the amounts generated by the
Galveston Bay Method.

When the two methods were applied to both the maxi-
mum and customized buildout scenarios, however, the
percentage  growth of predicted pollutant loadings was
remarkably similar for both methods; the Simple Method
consistently predicted loadings  10 to 15 percent greater
than the Galveston Bay Method.  This  indicates that
while the Galveston  Bay Method  may provide more
accurate results  in predicting actual pollutant loading,
the Simple Method is adequate enough for evaluating
and  comparing  different  development scenarios  (see
Figures 6 and 7).

Discussion

As states begin to implement a TMDL approach to regu-
lating water quality, they  face the quandary of how to
determine the extent of nonpoint source pollution in the
rivers. The crudest method is to subtract from the total
load those quantities generated by point sources and
call all the rest nonpoint source. While this is appropriate
in some settings, it is unacceptable in a watershed with
a long history of pollution because  a significant source
of pollution is the resuspension of historical sediments
stirred up by storms. The situation demands the devel-
opment of a model to predict the loading from nonpoint
sources. Only a computer can  handle the  multiple fac-
tors that interact to generate nonpoint sources of pollution.

As greater emphasis is placed  on watershed  planning,
the abilities of a CIS to input, store, manipulate, analyze,
and display geographic  information become indispensa-
ble. As the scientific community improves its knowledge
base for determining the critical factors influencing non-
point source pollution,  CIS technology is  improving in
its ability to store and handle large amounts of data.

While a detailed, physics-based distributed model would
be more accurate than the lumped-parameter models
used for this project, they are difficult to  apply at the
watershed scale. The real limiting factor is the provision
of all the data coverages needed to apply complex mod-
els.  Lumped-parameter models, such  as the Simple
Method and the Galveston Bay  Method, are ineffective
for accurately predicting  pollutant  loads, but they are
suitable for comparing and evaluating alternative devel-
opment scenarios.

Time, and the development community, will not wait until
all the answers are known.  Local  officials continue to
approve development with no thought to the impacts on
water quality. These officials need to be informed about
the implications of haphazard  growth. A CIS, with  its
ability to generate customized maps and quickly evalu-
ate alternative development scenarios, is a powerful tool
to  help  local officials visualize  how the decisions they
                                                                       Nitrogen Loading
      Total
   Uxbridge
     Sutton
  Northbridge
                 50     100      150
                    Percent Change
                                        200
 D Galveston Method Percent
   Change 1985 to Cluster

 ED Simple Method Percent
   Change 1985 to Cluster
Galveston Method Percent
Change 1985 to Maximum Buildout

Simple Method Percent
Change 1985 to Maximum Buildout
Figure 6.  Chart showing difference between Simple Method re-
         sults and Galveston Bay Method results for nitrogen
         loading.
                Lead Loading
       Total
    Uxbridge
      Sutton
  Northbridge
                  50     100      150
                     Percent Change
                                       200
 D  Galveston Method Percent
    Change 1985 to Cluster

 E3  Simple Method Percent
    Change 1985 to Cluster
Galveston Method Percent
Change 1985 to Maximum Buildout

Simple Method Percent
Change 1985 to Maximum Buildout
Figure 7.  Chart showing difference between Simple Method re-
         sults and Galveston Bay  Method  results for  lead
         loading.

make on paper today will have an impact on the land
tomorrow.
References

1. Metcalf & Eddy, Inc. 1991. Assessment of pollutions in Narragan-
  sett Bay. Draft report to the Narragansett Bay Project.

2. Schueler, T. 1987. Controlling urban runoff: A practical manual for
  planning and designing urban BMPs. Washington, DC: Metropoli-
  tan Washington Council of Governments.

-------
3.  Newell, C., et al. 1992. Characterization of nonpoint sources and
   loadings to Galveston Bay, Vol. I, Technical Report: Galveston Bay
   National Estuary Program (March).
4.  U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Soil Conservation Service.
   1975.  Urban hydrology for small watersheds. Technical Release
   55. Springfield,  VA: U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Additional Reading

Arnold, C.L.,  et al.  1993. The use of Geographic Information System
images as a  tool to educate local officials about the land use/ water
quality connection. Proceedings of Watershed Conference, Alexan-
dria, VA.

Chesebrough, E. 1993. Massachusetts nonpoint source management
plan. Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection, Office
of Watershed Management (October).

Joubert, L, et al. 1993. Municipal training for water quality protection.
Contribution #2845. College of Resource Development, University of
Rhode Island/Rhode Island Agricultural Experiment Station.
Massachusetts  Geographic Information System.  1993.  MassGIS
Datalayer descriptions and guide to  user services.  Boston, MA: Ex-
ecutive Office of Environmental Affairs.

McCann, A., et  al. 1994. Training municipal decision-makers in the
use of Geographic Information Systems for water resource protection.
Contribution #2927. College of Resource Development, University of
Rhode  Island/Rhode Island Agricultural Experiment Station.

Narragansett  Bay Project.  1992. Comprehensive conservation and
management  plan: A summary (January).

U.S. EPA.  1983. Results of the Nationwide Urban Runoff Program
(NURP), Vols. I and II. Final report prepared by Water Planning Divi-
sion. NTIS PB84185537. Springfield, VA: National Technical Informa-
tion Service.

U.S. EPA.  1992. Compendium of watershed-scale models for TMDL
development.  E PA/841 /R-92/002. Washington, DC (June).

-------
        The GIS Connection to Residential Yard Soil Remediation
                       Jennifer L. Deis and Robin D. Wankum, P.E.
                          Black & Veatch Special Projects Corp.
                              Overland Park, Kansas 66211
Abstract
By using innovative approaches to geographic information system (GIS) applications, the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and Black & Veatch Special Projects Corp. (BVSPC), as
a contractor to EPA, were able to implement a site investigation concurrently with the site's
cleanup. This effort ultimately saved the EPA approximately $1.2 million dollars. The purpose of
the investigation was to locate and prioritize the residential yards that were adversely affected by
mining activities. BVSPC used an environmental data management system (EDMS) to
consolidate x-ray fluorescence (XRF), global positioning system (GPS), and laboratory analytical
data into a unique and flexible electronic, GIS-compatible database. The application of the EDMS
with a desktop GIS allowed effective completion of the investigation of the Oronogo-Duenweg
Mining Belt Site. This paper will present the GIS approach used to expedite the investigation and
cleanup activities at the site and will identify the benefits of this process.

Site History
The Site is part of the Tri-State Mining District, which covers hundreds of miles in southwestern
Missouri, southeastern Kansas, and northeastern Oklahoma. Mining, milling, and smelting of lead
and zinc ore began in the  1850s and continued in the District until the 1970s. The activities
generated approximately 9 million tons of mine and mill wastes and smelter related materials.
These wastes, which contain high levels of lead,  cadmium, and zinc, were deposited throughout
Jasper County. Additionally, air emissions during smelting operations resulted in the
contamination of soil surrounding the smelters. Approximately 6,500 residences are now located
within the 60 square-mile Superfund Site where lead and zinc were mined.

The Missouri Department  of Health (MDOH) conducted an exposure study at the Site to evaluate
health effects on residents living in the area (1). The study concluded that the most significant
source of contamination resulting in elevated blood-lead levels was residential yard soils.
Preliminary characterization of the surface soils within a 3/4-mile radius of the largest smelter
indicated that 86 percent of those yards exceeded the 800 parts per million (ppm) target cleanup

-------
level for lead. In addition, previous investigation activities conducted by others concluded that 50
percent of the homes within 200 feet of mine and mill waste pile locations also exceeded the
target cleanup level for lead (2). The site location and its designated areas, areas where mining
activities and/or wastes were known to occur, are shown on Figure 1.  The above findings led the
EPA to develop an overall strategy to prioritize and expedite Site cleanup. EPA contracted the
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USAGE) to manage the cleanup activities at the site concurrently
with the BVSPC investigation of the site.

Investigation Objectives
The ultimate goal of the investigation was to identify and locate those  properties exceeding the
established 800 ppm surface soil cleanup level for lead within the designated areas. These areas
included the radius of the main "smelter zone," other small smelter areas, and specific mine and
mill waste areas. The area to be investigated around the smelter zone was estimated by
comparing the data from previous characterization activities at the Site. The lead smelter
location and the historical smelter stack height were compared with  the prevailing southeast
wind direction to determine the impacted zone.

A secondary objective of the investigation was to prioritize the cleanup of residential yards.
Considering census information obtained from each property access agreement and the XRF
data, special attention was directed to the following two scenarios:
   •   Residences with toddlers and children under 7 years of age; and
   •   Residences with soil lead levels greater than 2,500 ppm.
The first scenario was selected based on the findings of the MDOH study. Fourteen percent of
children under the age of 7 years in the study area had elevated blood-lead concentrations
resulting primarily from residential yard soils (1). The second scenario was chosen because those
residential yard soils exceeding 2,500 ppm were considered to pose an excessive risk to residents
of all ages coming into contact with them.

-------
Figure 1. Site and Designated Area Location Map

-------
To prevent any further exposure to the elevated lead levels, EPA desired the cleanup activities to
be conducted at the same time as the investigation. The flexibility of the EDMS and the desktop
GIS allowed this to occur by providing the USAGE with timely information to focus their cleanup
activities on the areas of concern.

The GIS Approach
The use and ease of applying GIS were supported by the following activities:

   •   Availability of the background database and mapping resources;
   •   Using ArcView GIS™, a desktop GIS, to maintain the sample location information; and
   •   Field reconnaissance during  the investigation to confirm and catalog sample locations not
       previously listed in the background information.

BVSPC, with assistance from EPA, requested existing database coordinate files from Jasper
County officials. These files were acquired in two databases. The first database was the City of
Joplin 911 database, and the second database was a developing rural Jasper County 911
database. The databases  received by BVSPC were a modified subset of the original database,
containing address and coordinate information only. This subset served to maintain the privacy of
each individual resident.

In addition, electronic US Geological Survey Maps of Jasper County were obtained from the
USAGE during their time-critical cleanup activities at the site. Images of the areal extent of the
main smelter zone and the designated mine waste areas were imported from AutoCAD into
ArcView. These AutoCAD files were created during previous project activities at the site. The
USGS maps and the AutoCAD images provided the base map for the sampling areas  of concern.

With the use of ArcView, the combination  of the 911 databases and the base map enabled
BVSPC to identify the residential properties within the areas of concern. Those properties falling
within the areas of concern shown on the base map were selected to separate them from the
main databases that contained properties for the entire County. ArcView allowed the selected
subset of properties to be  exported to Microsoft Excel™, where the new database of geographical
data was sorted by various fields for ease of reference. This subset initially contained 8,000

-------
         #  Property Requring Sampling
         H  Denied Access
              StreetsyRoads
              and Mining Areas
                       Figure 2. Residences "To Be Sampled" Map
properties requiring sampling within the Site for determination of surface soil lead levels. Figure 2
shows a portion of the properties to be sampled.
Field reconnaissance of these initial 8,000 properties was conducted as part of the access
agreement process. Access agreements were required from the owner of each property to be
sampled and included obtaining the owner's permission and taking a census of the residents living
at the property. The EDMS significantly reduced the effort for field reconnaissance by
incorporating the database information into a GIS presentable format, allowing BVSPC to easily
identify the boundaries of the investigation. During reconnaissance, approximately 2,900
properties were recorded as being commercial properties, previously remediated properties, or
properties where the owner denied access for sampling. These properties were omitted from the

-------
initial subset of 8,000. In addition to the remaining 5,100 properties in the database that required
sampling, approximately 1,400 other residences were identified. These additional residences were
mainly identified outside the city of Joplin, in smaller rural cities and towns. The county 911
database did not include the properties of homes within "city limits" since it was established as a
rural property identification system. The rural 911 database was in the process of being developed
and was incomplete in certain areas. The additional 1,400 identified residences would also require
sampling and surveying to add them into the GIS database.

Portable GPS units, provided by EPA, were used to survey the 1,400 individual properties. EPA
provided BVSPC with the  coordinate location of the BVSPC Project Office in Joplin to ensure that
the data points obtained at each property could be within + 3 feet. Some interference was
encountered during the GPS survey from various "line of sight" obstructions, including trees and
electrical lines in the neighborhoods. GPS verification was obtained after several survey attempts
for all additional locations  requiring data. The GPS data was added to the existing geographical
database for the properties that were sampled.

GIS Data Manipulation
The EDMS for this project, as demonstrated in Figure 3, was a comprehensive data management
package that allowed BVSPC to manage large quantities of data. The data types included
analytical, hydrogeological, and geographical information related to specific sampling locations. It
served as the focal point of a "hands off" approach for input and output of environmental and GPS
data. This "hands off" approach was an essential element during the project due to the extensive
volume of data collected during the investigation. On average, three to five samples were
collected per residential yard during the investigation. The data for each sample location, including
XRF, laboratory confirmation, and GPS, were associated with the corresponding residential
property. In essence, the EDMS eliminated the potential of transcription errors and data entry
errors for 35,000 environmental data records and 6,500 coordinate and  GPS records, while
diminishing the duplication efforts of BVSPC personnel to manually review data and prioritize
contaminated residential properties.

-------
                                    Smelter
                                 Zone Verification
           X-Ray Fluorescence (XRF)
          - 25,000 analytical data points
                                                                 Electronic Data
                                                                  Deliverables
                                                                   (EDDs)
                                                                   -10,000
                                                                  confirmation
                                                                   data pts
                                      EDMS
                                  (EnviroEDGE/
                                     Access)
                     Laboratory
                    Confirmation
                      Data
Global Positioning System (GPS)
  - 6,500 positioning records
                                            Microsoft Office
                                              Package
                        Lead Result
                      Notification Letters
                                   Remedial Action
                                    Priority Query
 Intermediary
File Conversions
                     Figure 3. Electronic Data Management Flow Diagram
During this investigation, the EDMS allowed the analytical data to be sorted through a querying

process. The following list includes examples of the types of queries run during the project:


•   Lead concentrations above and below the action level;

•   Lead concentrations indicating necessary remediation in ascending or descending order; and

•   Areal sorts according to street name, city, or zip code, to further pinpoint the areas of

    greatest remediation need.


                                                 7

-------
Each of these queries was performed using Access and exported to Excel as a spreadsheet
file. Throughout the project, various specific preliminary queries were conducted at the request
of the EPA. Representative queries included the following:

•   Specific residence queries;
•   Continuous updates of those residences having soil lead concentrations exceeding action
    levels;
•   Updates of residences with children under age 7 and high lead levels; and
•   Updates on homes with soil lead concentrations above 2,500 ppm.

XRF Data. Field environmental data was downloaded from XRF equipment into an electronic file
that was transferred from the field office via e-mail to the main office. In the main office, the XRF
file was formatted by an Excel macro to allow uploading into the EDMS. The data upload was
simplified with the help of another macro written in Access that requested information from the
database manager before searching for a specific data file to incorporate it into the EDMS. This
brief process  of transferring and uploading approximately 25,000 XRF data points allowed access
to the data within three days of sampling. All data was immediately referenced to the
corresponding geographical data to evaluate the existence of the "hot zones".

Laboratory Data. Laboratory environmental confirmation data was uploaded directly into the
EDMS using a pre-designed electronic data deliverable (EDO) package provided by the
laboratory. Prior to receipt of the EDO, the laboratory data was validated and qualified by an
outside contractor. During the upload process into the EDMS,  an analytical verification process
was accomplished that noted missing data. Approximately 10,000 confirmation data points were
entered into the EDMS through this process.

GPS Data. GPS data was downloaded directly from the field GPS units into an electronic file that
was transferred from the field office via e-mail to the main office. The GPS data underwent a post-
processing procedure to correlate latitude and longitude with each residential property. BVSPC
converted the latitude and longitude data to the State Plane-83 projection format used in ArcView.
Once these procedures were completed, the 6,500 coordinate and GPS records were
incorporated into the EDMS and the final presentation of data could begin.

GIS Presentation of Data

-------
Presentation of the data was achieved through the availability of the created geographical
database
ArcView.
database and several additional software packages, including Surfer, Microsoft Office™, and
Surfer. Surfer, a 2-dimensional gridding and contouring package, was utilized to verify the main
"smelter zone". After approximately 15,000 analytical samples were collected, data was queried
from the EDMS and converted to a format able to be gridded and contoured in Surfer. With the
additional sampling data obtained during the investigation, a contour map of soil lead
concentrations was produced. The contour of the additional coverage area was exported from
Surfer as an AutoCAD file that could be imported into ArcView for comparison with the original
smelter zone. Upon review of the new contours, changes in the coverage of the original estimated
smelter zone were identified (Figure 4). The same identification process, as described in previous
paragraphs, was used to define the additional properties requiring sampling. The smelter zone
was expanded in several areas and reduced in  others, optimizing investigation efforts and
maximizing the protection of public health.

Microsoft Office Package.  The Microsoft Office Package gave BVSPC the flexibility of converting
the various types of data into acceptable formats. These formats were used  to prepare notification
letters to property owners, to present requested queried information to EPA, and  to query
information for use in Surfer and ArcView for final geographical information.

Property owner notification letters were prepared with the help of Excel files and Word mail-merge
capabilities. The letters informed the owners of the XRF lead sampling results for the high and low
concentrations in their soils and gave a tentative timetable in which the remediation efforts would
be conducted, if deemed necessary. These notices were  sent to property owners within one
month or less of the sampling date for their property. Without these electronic capabilities, each of
the thousands of letters would have been completed individually. The effort for individual letters
would have required much more personnel time and would not have been an expedient response
to concerned residents.

-------
   342000-
   340000-
   338000-
 M 336000-
   334000-
   332000-
   330000-
   328000-
                                                                          3500
                                                                          3000
                                                                          2500
                                                                          2000
                                                                          1500
                                                                          1000
   500
 Lead
(PPM)
       2774000 2776000 2778000 2780000 2782000 2784000 2786000 2788000 2790000 2792000
                                     Easting
                 Figure 4. Smelter Zone Verification demonstrated in Surfer
The preliminary queries described earlier and the quick turnaround of the property owner
notification letters allowed reassurances to concerned property owners and allowed the
remediation prioritization for homes with children and those posing an excessive danger to
residents.

ArcView GIS. ArcView was the final step in the presentation of all information to be used by EPA
and the remediation contractor. It was used to create over 40 full-size maps of the remediation
area (Figure 5) for the final design. ArcView easily illustrated the individual residences that
exceeded the established  lead soil cleanup level for this Site as well as those residences with lead
concentrations below the action level. In addition, each residence identified on the map was linked
to a table containing pertinent information, including property owner information, ages of any
children living at the residence, and values of each XRF lead sample analysis (Figure 6). This
procedure allowed a visualization of the extent and location of residential yards requiring soil
remediation. Commercial locations, previously remediated properties, and those properties where
                                             10

-------
sampling access was denied were also illustrated on the investigation summary maps. The maps
allowed BVSPC personnel to confirm, track, and suggest the future progress of the soil
investigation. These maps were a great asset to USAGE, who used them to track the yards
requiring remediation and those yards that had already been remediated. EPA also used the
maps as illustrations at public meetings held in the area to keep residents informed of the
progress.

Conclusions
The investigation was completed effectively and efficiently due to the flexibility and adaptability of
the desktop GIS and our EDMS. As demonstrated above, the benefits of using  ArcView in
conjunction with the EDMS included the following:

=> Prioritized cleanup activities based on investigation results.
=> Maintained concurrent investigation and remediation efforts.
=> Provided a visual geographical tool for the investigation personnel.
=> Provided a visual geographical tool for the USAGE cleanup crews.

Cost requirements were minimized due to the flexibility of ArcView GIS and the EDMS resources.
The efforts for obtaining the geographical distribution of the contaminated properties  would have
required a much greater cost consideration during the implementation of the investigation and
continuation of remedial efforts had a GIS system not been implemented during the project.
                                           11

-------
      Jasper County
Yard Soil Remedial Design
          Area 7
Sampled Property
 o  No Remediation Required (< BOO ppm Pb)
 •  Remediation Required (> 800 ppm Pb)
 A  Properties already remediated
 *  Commercial Properties
 a  Denied Access
|   | Joplin City Streets
     Figure 5. ArcView Presentation of Data
                         12

-------
file  Edil  View  Iheme  Eraphics Window  Help
                                                    HO
                                                                                              Scale 1:| 14,207      2.JS6-Z
   /\/ County Streets/Roads
   VV/Smelter and Mining Areas



           ^Identify Result
jjflstart| Task Tracker 6 03	| jj|lnbox - Microsoft Outlook  | ^Microsoft Ward	11 '.\ArcView CIS Version 3....
                  Figure 6.  Linked Attributes Table to ArcView Property Location
                                                            13

-------
                                   BIBLIOGRAPHY

1. Missouri Department of Health (MDOH), 1994, Jasper County, Missouri Superfund Site Lead
and Cadmium Exposure Study, May 1994.

2.  Dames & Moore, 1994, Residential Yard Assessment Report, Seven Designated Areas,
Jasper County Site, September 1994.

3.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1996, Record of Decision Declaration for the Oronogo-
Duenweg Mining Belt Site, Operable Units 2 and 3, Jasper County, Missouri, USEPA Region VII,
August 1996.

4.  Smith, Robert A., W. Todd Dudley, and Thomas L. Rutherford, 1995, GIS Applications in
Hazardous Waste Remediation, Black & Veatch, 1995.

5.  Black & Veatch Special Projects Corp., 1997, Oronogo-Duenweg Mining Belt Site, Remedial
Design, Statement of Work, Residential  Yard Soils, February 1997.
                                         14

-------
  Decision Support System for Multiobjective Riparian/Wetland Corridor Planning
                                Margaret A. Fast and Tina K. Rajala
                               Kansas Water Office, Topeka, Kansas
Kansas has numerous programs that affect riparian cor-
ridors and associated  wetlands. These programs in-
clude planning,  monitoring, assistance, research, and
regulatory activities. Although administration of these
programs often overlaps, integration of program objec-
tives into a holistic, multiobjective approach to resource
planning and  management has been lacking. A large
amount of resource data was routinely collected and
compiled, but no effective way had been developed to
integrate these data into the decision-making process.

The Kansas Water Office (KWO) was awarded a grant
in September 1992 from the U.S. Environmental Protec-
tion Agency (EPA) to develop a geographic information
system (CIS) decision support system (DSS) that would
enable the state to augment its ability to manage ripar-
ian/wetland corridors. The project used CIS to differen-
tiate between reaches of a stream corridor to evaluate
their environmental sensitivity. The Neosho River basin,
one of 12 major hydrologic basins in Kansas, was used
as a pilot to demonstrate the feasibility of the concept.

The KWO will use the DSS to help target  sensitive areas
in the Neosho basin for further planning activities. The
project will also  benefit  other state agencies in their
riparian/wetland corridor efforts. The implementation of
planning objectives may involve  local units of govern-
ment and, ultimately, private landowners.

Major phases of the project included:

• A needs assessment study

• A feasibility analysis

• A system design

• Construction of the DSS for the Neosho River basin

• A final evaluation of the DSS capabilities

An interagency project advisory group (IPAG), consist-
ing  of representatives  from eight agencies directly or
indirectly involved in riparian and wetland  protection
activities, was  formed  to assist in  project design and
evaluation.

Major steps involved in designing the DSS included:

• Selection and CIS development  of databases used
  for riparian corridor evaluation.

• Creation of riparian corridor segments.

• Development of an analysis methodology to apply to
  corridor segments.

• Evaluation of the DSS.

Databases Selected for Decision Support
System Development

Many types of data were reviewed for the DSS. Several
were  not used due to  the costs associated with geo-
graphically referencing  the data, given the current data
format.

The databases listed in  Table 1 are available in the DSS.

During the system design phase of the project, the IPAG
identified the need to develop a pilot study area  for the
DSS.  The IPAG had difficulty understanding how a DSS
would use geographically referenced data sets (cover-
ages). Before committing to a  design for the develop-
ment  of a basinwide system, the IPAG decided  first to
develop a pilot study area, with a specific focus (appli-
cation), that could be on-line and demonstrated early.
This would allow time for further refinement of the scope
of work and identification of coverages to be developed
prior to basinwide development of the DSS. For the pilot
study application, the IPAG chose to assess the value
and vulnerability of the riparian areas  in two 11-digit
hydrologic unit code (HUC11) watersheds to allow the
user to evaluate a corridor segment and compare  be-
tween segments and to prioritize or target segments for
further planning activities.

As development of data layers progressed  for the  pi-
lot,  the IPAG quickly determined that the DSS project

-------
Table 1.  DSS Database List
DSS Name      Data Description
Source
Boundary
Buffer
Channels
Con_ease
Contam
Corridor
County
Dams
Dwrapp
Gages
Geology
Huc11
HydMOOk
Kats
Landc
Lc_stats
MDS
NPS
Perenial
Pop
PPL
Publand
Roads
Sections
Streamev
Neosho River basin boundary
Riparian corridor
Stream channelization
Conservation easements
Water contamination
Riparian corridor
County boundaries
Dam structures
Water appropriations
United States Geological
Survey (USGS) stream gaging
stations
Surface geology
11 -digit hydrologic unit
boundaries
Hydrology
Kansas water quality action
targeting system
Land cover
Land cover statistics
Minimum desirable stream
flow monitoring gages
Nonpoint source pollution
Perennial hydrology
Population
Populated places
Public lands
Roads
Section corners
1981 stream evaluation
Soil Conservation Service (SCS) HUC11 drainage basins; 1 :100,000-scalea
Original buffer on mainstem Neosho and Cottonwood; 147 corridor segments split
on tributary confluences
Division of Water Resources (DWR) legal description of locations
Locations of important natural resources that could be purchased by the state from
willing landowners for conservation protection
Kansas Department of Health and Environment (KDHE) contamination locations3
Final riparian corridor; 63 corridor segments developed from HUC11 boundaries
Kansas Geological Survey (KGS) cartographic database; 1 :24,000 scale3
DWR legal descriptions of locations
DWR legal descriptions of locations3
USGS latitude-longitude descriptions; CIS cover developed by USGS
KGS 1 :500,000-scale3
SCS HUC11 drainage basins; 1 :100,000-scale3
USGS 1:100,000-scale digital hydrology3
KDHE target valuable and vulnerable scores by HUC11 drainage basin
1 :100,000-scale developed from satellite imagery by the Kansas Applied Remote
Sensing Program, University of Kansas3
Summary statistics on land cover by corridor segment
Subset of USGS gaging stations
Target watersheds identified in the Kansas Water Plan
Reselected perennial streams from 1:100,000 USGS digital hydrology
Urban land cover (from landc) with 1980 and 1990 Census population data
Geographic names information system (GNIS) entries for Kansas; GIS cover
developed by USGS
State and federally owned land digitized from 1:100,000-scale USGS quad maps
USGS 1:100,000-scale digital roads3
KGS cartographic database; 1 :24,000-scale3
U.S. Fish and Wildlife stream evaluation study; Kansas Department of Wildlife and
Parks (KDWP) provided data on paper maps
T_and_e         Threatened and endangered
                species
Temussel        Threatened and endangered
                species
Tigrcity          City boundaries
Twp             Townships
Watrfowl         Water fowl locations

Wq_eff          Water quality: effluent
Wq_grnd        Water quality: ground water
Wqjake         Water quality: lake
Wq_strm         Water quality: stream
Stream locations of state and federal identified threatened and endangered
species; KDWP provided data on paper maps
Locations of state endangered floater mussels; KDWP provided data on paper maps

U.S. Census 1:100,000-scale TIGER line data; boundaries only, areas not named
(use with PPL)
KGS cartographic database; 1:24,000-scale3
KDWP locations and counts of annual waterfowl migration; data developed from
paper maps (Restrict public distribution of data per KDWP request.)
KDHE sampling sites; GIS cover developed by KDHE
KDHE sampling sites; GIS cover developed by KDHE
KDHE sampling sites; GIS cover developed by KDHE
KDHE sampling sites; GIS cover developed by KDHE
  Data available at the Kansas Data Access and Support Center (DASC).

-------
parameters would  have to  be limited  to the riparian
corridor along the mainstem  of the Neosho and Cotton-
wood Rivers.  The costs associated with developing ri-
parian corridor segments for all perennial waters in the
Neosho basin was fargreaterthan the available funding.

Creation of Riparian Corridor Segments

A buffer width of one-half mile (one-quarter mile from
each stream bank) for the mainstem of the Neosho and
Cottonwood Rivers was used to produce the riparian
corridor. If more time and funding had  been available,
riparian corridors for all perennial streams in the Neosho
basin could have been developed. The development of
this second view of data, organized by the HUC11 wa-
tershed, would then  have  been useful for individual
watershed analysis because  all perennial streams in the
watershed could be analyzed.

The  intersection of the HUC11  basin boundaries seg-
mented the corridor. In several instances, small sliver
polygons were produced where the HUC11  boundary
paralleled the  river within the  1/4-mile corridor. The sliver
polygons were dissolved  into the majority  HUC11. In
other words, this project assumed that the 1/4-mile cor-
ridor buffer was more accurate and useful than the
1:100,000-scale HUC11 boundary.

Many of the HUC11 boundaries that the Soil Conserva-
tion Service (SCS) developed actually follow the course
of the Kansas  streams, ratherthan intersect them. When
this occurred along the Neosho and Cottonwood Rivers,
we found that the resulting opposing corridor segments
did not always balance with  an equivalent length. Also,
some HUC11   boundaries would first follow the  river,
then cross the river. This resulted in corridor segments
that encompass both sides of the river  for a portion of
the  segment  and follow only one side  of the river for
another portion of the segment. To address  these situ-
ations, the KWO arbitrarily added intersections to create
equivalent left and right bank corridor segments and to
create corridor segments that encompassed either one
side  of the river or both sides of the river.

Once the corridor segments were finalized and numbered,
the  corridor segment identification number (corrseg-id)
was  attached  to the other CIS  covers.  This allows the
reselection of data for a given corridor  segment, using
Boolean expressions in the DSS.

Development of an Analysis
Methodology: Land Use

The  IPAG determined  that one of the most significant
factors associated with the quality of the riparian corridor
is land cover.  Land cover was analyzed  for the riparian
corridor segments; the CIS cover lc_stats contains sum-
mary statistics for each corridor segment. The calcula-
tions discussed in the following paragraphs identify the
data found in the lc_stats cover. Due to the size of the
land cover data set in the Neosho River basin, the DSS
includes only the land cover within the riparian corridor.

One way of identifying corridor segments  in need of
protection or remedial action is to determine the ratio of
the number of acres in the corridor segment that contain
the preferred riparian land cover types (grasses, woods,
and water) to the number of acres that contain the least
preferred types of land cover (crops and urban areas).
The corridor segments can then be ranked according to
that ratio.

Other calculations are useful:

• bad_pct: percentage of the corridor segment that con-
  tains crop and  urban land cover types.

• bad_tbad: percentage of all crop  and  urban land
  cover for the entire riparian corridor that resides in
  the corridor segment.

• 'type'_pct: percentage of the corridor segment that is
  crop, grass, wood, water, and urban. Type' refers to
  each of the  five land cover types; lc_statsuses:  a
  separate value for each (e.g., crop_pct).

• 'type'_t'type': percentage of each  type of land cover
  for the entire riparian corridor that resides in the cor-
  ridor segment (e.g., crop_tcrop).

• 'type'_acres: total acreage of each type of land cover
  in the corridor segment (e.g., crop_acres).

• good_acres:  total acreage of grass, wood, and water
  in the corridor segment.

• bad_acres: total  acreage of crop and urban in the
  corridor segment.

Another significant benefit of the DSS is the ability to see
where the  land cover types are in relation  to the river.
As an example, the ability to identify corridor segments
that have crop land extending to the river on both banks
is useful because they are the segments  most vulner-
able to  bank erosion. Those segments can then be
targeted for further remedial activities planning.

Decision Support System Requirements

The DSS data sets were developed and analyzed using
ARC/INFO on a UNIX-based workstation. The final cov-
ers were then exported and transferred to a microcom-
puter for use in ARC/VIEW. Hardcopy prints are printed
to a Tektronix Phaser III color wax printer with 18 Mb of
RAM, running in Postscript mode.

The DSS data  sets total 26 Mb. ARC/VIEW version  1
requires 8 Mb of RAM to load the program. To run the DSS
efficiently, a 486DX-66 with 16 Mb of RAM  is preferred.
The DSS is slower on a 486DX-33 with 8 Mb of RAM. It
was not tested  on any other PC configuration, so a con-
figuration in between the two  may be satisfactory.

-------
Processing GIS Data

Reselecting the perennial streams in the Neosho basin
and further identifying the mainstem of the Neosho and
Cottonwood Rivers using United States Geological Sur-
vey (USGS) 1:100,000-scale hydrography can be time
consuming. Perhaps the River Reach III covers should
replace that data in the future.

Attaching census data to the urban land cover polygons,
as was done  for the pop cover,  is not  recommended.
Use of the TIGER line files and cover would give a more
accurate  distribution of the population. Because less
than 5 percent of the riparian  corridor had urban land
cover, the KWO did not use the pop cover in its evalu-
ation. Several summary covers of TIGER and  census
data will soon be available from DASC.

Clipping the other ARC/INFO covers to  the  Neosho
basin and attaching the corrseg-id, using the  identity
command, was unremarkable.

Processing Non-GIS Digital Data

Channels and dams were in digital format  but were not
in ARC/INFO format. The files were processed using the
LeoBase conversion software from the KGS, then gen-
erated into ARC/INFO covers.  Some records were lost
in the conversion. The LeoBase program fails to convert,
or incorrectly  converts,  legal  descriptions for sections
that do not have four section corners (e.g.,  northeastern
Kansas). The Division  of Water  Resources is in the
process of attaching latitude-longitude to the  point loca-
tions. Processing these data should take only a few
hours at most.

Processing Nondigital Data

Several covers were developed on contract from paper
maps or legal descriptions. They were:  conservation
easements (con_ease), public lands (publand), stream
evaluation (streamev), threatened and endangered spe-
cies (t_and_e and temussel), and waterfowl  (watrfowl).
Most of the data for these covers were drafted  on a
1:100,000-scale USGS quad map and digitized. The
stream  evaluation data  were  developed  using  a
scanned paper map of the coded streams as a backdrop
for the 1:100,000-scale hydrography; the digital streams
were reselected and coded.

In  summary,  KWO's  GIS  personnel  needed  approxi-
mately 275 hours to develop the riparian corridor seg-
ments, process  the  land cover  data  and summary
statistics,  export the  covers,  transfer and import the
covers for ARC/VIEW, and assist  in  the development
and presentation of the DSS demo. Contract personnel
spent approximately 183 hours developing GIS covers
for the DSS. This does not include the time spent iden-
tifying the perennial and  mainstem  hydrology in the
USGS 1:100,000-scale hydrology.
Final Evaluation of the Decision
Support System

In its final evaluation of the system, the IPAG determined
the system to be useful and an excellent start at consoli-
dating a variety of data that have application for riparian
corridor/wetland  issues.  Many IPAG members  found
ways to use the DSS in their own programs. Additional
comments on the system evaluation are as follows:

• Concern  about the lack of complete wetland data.
  The land  cover data available could not identify wet-
  land areas.

• Need  for more detailed woodland data. Again, the
  resolution of the land cover data precluded detailed
  identification of woodland areas. The Kansas Biologi-
  cal Survey (KBS), the  KWO, and EPA are now pur-
  suing  options to  develop more detailed land  cover
  data, including wetlands and woodlands.

• The lack of information  on the tributaries did not allow
  full basin analysis, which  would be desirable. This
  issue  is addressed in  the "construction" discussion
  above.

• Desirability of expanding the project with elevation
  and temporal data.

• Lack of definition of the floodplain. Federal  Emer-
  gency Management Agency (FEMA) floodplain data
  are not easily  incorporated into a GIS. Other options,
  including  satellite imagery of the flood  of 1993, will
  be evaluated.

• Project development requires extensive communica-
  tion between  program  people and GIS technicians.
  This  can be a daunting task  due to  the technical
  vocabularies  involved and the many other ongoing
  activities  of the participants.

• Consideration of the requirements for transferring the
  project to other potential users. GIS applications gen-
  erally  use large  databases.  User microcomputers
  may not have the CPU, RAM,  and storage capacity
  necessary for the DSS application and often have a
  limited number of options for data transfer.

• Concern  about costs and time associated with the
  expansion of the DSS to other basins  in the  state.
  This  project was focused on one of the  12  major
  hydrologic regions in Kansas. Funding options, pro-
  ject scope, and system refinements based on the
  physical characteristics of the  other basins need to
  be pursued.

The  KWO  learned  that clearly defining a  single DSS
application  at the outset of the project is critical. The
KWO originally believed that the DSS could be devel-
oped with general descriptions of the broad range of
program applications, utilized by multiple agencies, that
could benefit from the DSS. Each participating agency

-------
could bring its programs and needs to the IPAG for    areas for further planning activities, the  IPAG became
discussion; the resulting DSS would then  serve those    more confident in its advisory role. Upon completion of
multiple programs and needs. Instead, the  ambiguity of    the  project, the IPAG  members could readily identify
the objective confused the IPAG. Once the IPAG chose    how the DSS could be enhanced, modified, or directly
to focus on a single  application, the assessment  of    used in their own programs.
riparian corridor value and vulnerability to target priority

-------
    Integration of GIS and Hydrologic Models for Nutrient Management Planning
                     Clyde W. Fraisse, Kenneth L. Campbell, James W. Jones,
                            William G. Boggess, and Babak Negahban
         Agricultural Engineering Department,  University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
Introduction

Recent evidence that agriculture in general, and animal
waste in particular, may be an important factor in surface
and ground-water quality degradation has increased the
interest in nutrient management research. The presence
of nitrogen and phosphorus in surface water bodies and
ground water is a significant water quality problem  in
many parts of the world. Some forms of nitrogen and
phosphorus, such as nitrate N and soluble P, are readily
available to plants.  If these forms are released into
surface waters, eutrophic conditions that severely impair
water quality may result. Advanced  eutrophication (pH
variations, oxygen  fluctuations or lack of it  in  lower
zones, organic substance  accumulation) can  cause
physical and chemical changes that may  interfere with
recreational use and aesthetic appreciation of water.  In
addition, possible taste and odor problems caused by
algae can make water less suitable  or  desirable for
water supply and human consumption  (1).

Increases in nutrient loadings to water resources have
recently been observed  in the  southeastern United
States, where well-drained sandy soils with low nutrient
retention capacity and high  water table conditions are
found in  most coastal areas. Those  increases  were
associated  statistically with nutrient sources  such as
agricultural  fertilizers and dense animal populations (2,
3). Repetitive occurrences of extensive blooms of blue-
green algae that threatened the overall health of Lake
Okeechobee, located in southern Florida, were attrib-
uted to an increase in nutrient loadings to the lake. The
South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD) re-
ported an increase of phosphorus concentrations  in the
lake water from an annual average of  0.049 milligrams
per liter in 1973 and 1974 to a peak of 0.122 milligrams
per liter in 1988 (4).

Most water  quality problems  concerning  phosphorus
result from transport with sediment in surface runoff into
receiving waters. Continuous high loadings from animal
waste on sandy soils with low retention capacity,  however,
may contribute significant quantities of labile phospho-
rus to subsurface drainage. Ground-water aquifers may
also become polluted due to recharge of high loadings
of nitrogen. Drinking water with nitrate N concentrations
higherthan 10 milligrams per liter may lead to methemo-
globinemia in infants. Ground-water monitoring of the
Middle Suwannee River area in Florida has shown high
concentrations of nitrate nitrogen near intensive agricul-
tural operations. The U.S. Geological Survey has inten-
sively monitored dairy and poultry farms and has found
high nitrate levels below these operations compared with
nearby control wells (5).

Animal waste management has always been  a part of
farming, but historically has been relatively easy due to
the buffering capacity of the land. In fact,  land applica-
tion of animal  waste  at acceptable rates can  provide
crops with an adequate level of nutrients, help reduce
soil erosion, and improve water holding capacity. As the
animal industry attempts to meet the food requirements
of a growing population, however,  it applies new tech-
nologies that reduce the number of producers, but cre-
ate larger, more  concentrated operations.  That,  in
addition to the decreasing amount of land available for
waste application, has increased the potential for water
quality degradation.

Successful planning of  an animal  waste management
system requires the ability to  simulate the impact of
waste production, storage, treatment, and  use on water
resources. It must address the  overall nutrient manage-
ment for the operation, including other nutrient sources
such as supplemental fertilizer applications. Livestock
operations are highly variable in their physical facilities,
management systems, and the soil, drainage, and cli-
matic conditions that  affect the risk of water pollution
from animal wastes (6). Linkage between geographic
information systems (GIS) and  hydrologic models offers
an excellent way to represent  spatial features of the-
fields being simulated and to improve results. In addition,
a GIS containing a relational database is an excellent way

-------
to store, retrieve, and format the spatial and tabular data
required to run a simulation model.

This paper examines some of the  issues related to the
integration  of hydrologic/water quality models and CIS
programs.  In addition, the paper discusses  the ap-
proaches  used in  the  Lake Okeechobee Agricultural
Decision  Support System (LOADSS), which  was  re-
cently developed to evaluate the effectiveness  of differ-
ent phosphorus  control practices  (PCPs) in the  Lake
Okeechobee  basin.  The  paper  also details  a  dairy
model, designed to simulate and evaluate the impacts
of alternative waste management  policies for dairy op-
erations, that is currently under development.

Hydrologic Models and GIS

By using models, we can better understand or explain
natural phenomena and, under some conditions, make
predictions in a deterministic or probabilistic sense (7).

A hydrologic model is a mathematical representation of
the transport of water and its constituents on some part
of the land surface or subsurface  environment. Hydro-
logic models can be used as planning tools for determin-
ing   management  practices  that minimize  nutrient
loadings from an agricultural activity to water resources.
The  results obtained  depend  on an accurate  repre-
sentation of the environment through which water flows
and of the spatial distribution of rainfall characteristics.
These  models have  successfully  dealt with time, but
they are often spatially  aggregated or lumped-parame-
ter models.

Recently, hydrologists have turned their attention to GIS
for assistance in studying the movement  of water and
its constituents in the hydrologic cycle. GIS programs
are computer-based tools to capture, manipulate,  proc-
ess, and display spatial or georeferenced data.  They
contain geometry data  (coordinates and topological in-
formation) and attribute  data (i.e., information describing
the properties of geometrical objects such as points,
lines, and areas) (8). A GIS can represent  the spatial
variation of a given field  property by using  a  cell grid
structure in which the area is partitioned into regular grid
cells (raster GIS) or by  using a set of points, lines, and
polygons (vector GIS).

A close connection obviously  exists between GIS and
hydrologic models, and integrating them produces tre-
mendous benefits. Parameter determination  is currently
one of the most active  hydrology-related areas in GIS.
Parameters such as land surface slope, channel length,
land use, and soil properties of a watershed are being
extracted from both raster and vector GIS programs,
with a focus on raster-based systems. The spatial nature
of GIS  also provides an ideal structure for modeling. A
GIS can be a substantial time saver that allows differ-
ent modeling approaches to be tried, sparing manual
encoding of parameters. Further, it can provide a tool for
examining  the spatial  information from  various user-
defined perspectives (9).  It enables the user to selec-
tively analyze the data pertinent to the situation and try
alternative  approaches to analysis. GIS has been  par-
ticularly successful in addressing environmental prob-
lems.

Approaches for Integrating GIS and Models

A significant amount of work has been done to integrate
raster and vector GIS with hydrologic/water quality mod-
els. Several strategies and approaches for the integra-
tion have been tried. Initial work tended to use simpler
models such as DRASTIC  (10) and the Agricultural
Pollution Potential Index (11). In these cases, the mod-
els were implemented within the GIS themselves. These
studies attempted to  develop  CIS-based screening
methods to rank nonpoint pollution potential. The use of
more complex models requires that the GIS be used to
retrieve, and possibly format, the model data. The model
itself is implemented separately and communicates  with
GIS via data files. Goodchild (12) refers to this mode as
"loose  coupling," implying that the GIS and  modeling
software are coupled sufficiently to allow the transfer of
data and perhaps also of results, in the reverse direc-
tion. Fedra  (8) refers to this level of integration as "shal-
low coupling" (see Figure 1). Only the file formats  and
the  corresponding input and output routines, usually of
the model, must be adapted. Liao and Tim (13) describe
an application of this type, in which an  interface was
developed  to generate topographic data automatically
and simplify the data input process for the Agricultural
Nonpoint Source (AGNPS) Pollution Model (14), a water
quality model.
Shared Databases and Files
j

1



GIS


User Interface

i






MODEL

User Interface
Figure 1.  Loose or shallow coupling through common files (8).

-------
Higher forms of connection use a common interface and
transparent file or information sharing and transfer be-
tween the respective components (see Figure 2). The
dairy model, currently under development, is an appli-
cation of this kind. It will link the Ground-Water Loading
Effects of Agricultural Management Systems (GLEAMS)
(15) model and CIS to evaluate potential leaching and
runoff of both nitrogen and phosphorus.

LOADSS  is an extension of this type of application
because it includes an optimization module that enables
the system to select the best PCPs at the regional scale,
based on goals and constraints defined by the user.

Both applications use ARC/INFO's arc macro language
(AML), a high-level application language built into the
CIS. A subset of functions of a full-featured  CIS, such
as creation of maps (including model output) and tabular
reports,  as well as model-related analysis, are embed-
ded in the applications, giving the system great flexibility
and performance. Fedra (8) describes a deeper level of
integration  that would merge  the two  previous ap-
proaches, such that the  model becomes one of the
analytical functions of a CIS, or the CIS  becomes yet
another  option to generate and manipulate parameters,
input and state variables, and  model output, and  to
provide additional display options. In this case, software
components would share memory rather than files.

The choice between integrating a water quality model
with a raster or vector CIS depends on the importance
of spatial interactions in the process being studied and
the nature of the  model itself. Some water quality mod-
els, such as GLEAMS, are field-scale models that pro-
vide  edge-of-the-field values for surface  runoff and
erosion  as well as deep  percolation of water and  its
constituents. In this case, spatial interactions between
adjacent fields are ignored and a vector CIS can  be
used to  describe the system. Moreover, important fac-
tors in the simulation process, such as land use and
management practices, are normally field attributes and
thus, are better represented in a vector structure.

Other factors playing an important role in the  hydrologic
process, such as field slope, aspect, and specific catch-
ment area, are  hard  to estimate in  vector systems,
however. A raster-based CIS is better suited for handling
watershed models in which the routing process is impor-
tant and spatial interactions are considered.  For those,
several algorithms for estimating important terrain attrib-
utes  are often incorporated in  commercially available
raster-based CIS programs.

LOADSS

LOADSS was developed to help address problems cre-
ated by phosphorus runoff into Lake Okeechobee. It was
designed to allow regional planners to alter land uses
and management  practices in  the Lake  Okeechobee
              Shared Databases and Files
         GIS
MODEL
               Common User Interface
Figure 2.  Deep coupling in a common framework (18).

basin, then view the environmental and  economic ef-
fects resulting from the changes. The Lake Okeechobee
basin coverage  incorporates information about  land
uses, soil associations,  weather regions,  management
practices, hydrologic features, and political boundaries
for approximately 1.5 million acres of land and consists
of close to 8,000 polygons.

The SFWMD, responsible for managing Lake Okeechobee,
has initiated numerous projects to develop  effective con-
trol  practices for reducing the level  of phosphorus in
agricultural runoff as part of the Lake Okeechobee Sur-
face Water  Improvement and  Management  (SWIM)
Plan.  These projects, numbering more than 30, were
designed to develop information on the control and man-
agement of phosphorus within the lake  basin and to
determine the costs and effectiveness of selected man-
agement options. Three types of control options are
being studied:

• Nonpoint source controls, such as pasture management.

• Point source controls, such as sewage treatment.

• Basin-scale controls, such as aquifer storage and
  retrieval.

After  completing most  of these research efforts, the
need arose for a comprehensive management tool that
could integrate the results for all three classes of PCPs.
In response to these needs, design and implementation
of a decision support system was initiated with the fol-
lowing objectives (16):

• Organize spatial  and nonspatial  knowledge about
  soils, weather, land use, hydrography of the lake ba-
  sin, and PCPs under a  GIS environment.

-------
• Develop and implement algorithms for modeling non-
  point source, point source, and basin-scale PCPs.

• Develop and implement mechanisms for evaluating
  the performance of the entire Lake Okeechobee basin
  under different combinations of PCPs applied to the
  basin.

• Design and develop a user interface that would fa-
  cilitate use of the system by noncomputer experts.

The goal in developing LOADSS was to create an infor-
mation system that would integrate available information
to help regional planners make decisions. LOADSS can
generate reports and maps concerning  regional land
attributes,  call  external  hydrologic simulation models,
and display actual water quality and quantity sampling
station  data.  LOADSS  is a  collection  of different
components:

• The regional scale CIS-based model used to develop
  and manipulate regional plans for reducing phospho-
  rus  loading to Lake Okeechobee.

• The Interactive Dairy Model (IDM) used to develop
  field-level management plans for dairies and run the
  Field  Hydrologic  and  Nutrient  Transport  Model
  (FHANTM)  simulation  model for  nutrient transport
  modeling.

• An optimization module that enables the  system to
  select the best PCPs at the regional scale (currently
  under development).

Although these components can run independently, they
are fully integrated in the LOADSS  package and  can
exchange information where necessary. A design sche-
matic of LOADSS is given in Figure 3.

Regional-Scale CIS-Based Model

LOADSS serves  both as a decision support system for
regional planning and as a graphic user interface for
controlling the different components. One consideration
in the  design of LOADSS was the size of the database
that was being manipulated. Because the land use da-
tabase consisted of nearly 8,000 polygons, running the
simulation  models interactively would not be  a feasible
option. Thus, the CREAMS-WT (17) runoff model was
prerun for different levels of inputs and management for
each land use, soil association, and weather region (18).

Depending on the land use and its relative importance
as a contributor of phosphorus  to the lake,  anywhere
from one (background levels of inputs to land uses like
barren land) to 25 (dairies, beef pastures) levels of
inputs were selected. Each set of inputs to a particular
land use was given a separate PCP identification code.
A CREAMS-WT  simulation was performed for each
PCP, on each soil association and weather region. This
resulted in approximately 2,600 simulation runs. Annual
average results were computed for use in  LOADSS.
CREAMS-WT provides an average annual estimate of
phosphorus  runoff from each  polygon. Phosphorus
assimilation along flow paths to  Lake Okeechobee are
estimated as an exponential decay function of distance
traveled through canals and wetlands (4).

The imports, exports, and economics of each PCP are
based on a per production unit basis. Depending on the
type of polygon, the production unit can be acres (e.g.,
pastures, forests), number of cows (dairies), or millions
of gallons of effluent (waste treatment plants and sugar
mills). Developing a regional plan  in LOADSS involves
assigning a PCP identification code to each one of the
polygons in the Lake Okeechobee basin. Accessing the
results of a regional plan involves multiplying the pro-
duction unit of each polygon by its appropriate database
import, export, or economic attribute and summing the
resulting values overall polygons in the Lake Okeechobee
basin. LOADSS runs in the ARC/INFO Version 6.1.1 CIS
software on SUN SPARC stations.

Interactive Dairy Model

Although the  LOADSS level of detail  is adequate  for
regional planning, a more detailed model was necessary
to analyze individual dairies in the Lake Okeechobee
basin, as dairies were one of the large, concentrated
sources of phosphorus runoff into the  lake.  Thus, the
IDM was developed and incorporated  into  LOADSS.
IDM utilizes FHANTM  to simulate phosphorus move-
ment  in dairy fields.  FHANTM  is  a  modification  of
DRAINMOD (19) with added functions  to handle over-
land flow routing, dynamic seepage boundary, and sol-
uble phosphorus algorithms for P input, mass balance,
and transport  (20).

Unlike in LOADSS, FHANTM is run interactively,  as IDM
requires. Furthermore,  in LOADSS, the user can only
select from a number of predefined PCPs, while  in IDM,
the user has access to more than 100 input and man-
agement variables, all of which  can take a  range  of
values. This allows for the development and evaluation
of detailed  dairy  management plans  that  otherwise
would be impossible at a regional scale. While LOADSS
only provides average annual results, IDM displays daily
time series simulation results. IDM uses the same as-
similation algorithm and can produce the same phos-
phorus budget maps and reports as LOADSS.

Optimization Module

A variety of factors must  be considered in  planning
nutrient management programs.  Production  and envi-
ronmental goals need to be balanced, and these goals
are  often incompatible. Performing this exercise on a
regional scale, comprising many fields for which a variety
of land uses and management options can be assigned,
is a tremendously time-consuming, if  not impossible,

-------
         CIS Databases
                                                 LOADSS User Interface
     POLITICAL BOUNDARIES
      Spatial
     Databases
Input Attribute
  Databases
  PHOSPHORUS,
   MATERIAL &
ECONOMIC BUDGETS
                                       NONPOINT SOURCE
                                       PCP'S CREAMS-WT
                                       POINT SOURCE PCP'S
                                       PROCESS ANALYSIS
                                       BASIN TREATMENTS
                                       PROCESS ANALYSIS
                                         ASSIMILATION
                                         INDIVIDUAL FIELD
                                          MANAGEMENT
                                            FHANTM

                                        SIMULATION MODEL
                                                             ASSIMILATION
                                                            	A	
                                        Optimization Module
                                        LOADSS
                                       Models and
                                     Analysis Tools
                                          IDM and
                                      Analysis Tools
Figure 3.  LOADSS design schematic (16).
task. The optimization component of LOADSS, currently
under development, will determine the best combination
of agricultural, environmental, and regulatory practices
that  protects  and maintains  the  health  of  Lake
Okeechobee and also maintains the economic viability
of the region. The optimization process will provide an-
other method for modifying the PCPs assigned to indi-
vidual fields.  Different  optimization solution methods,
such as linear programming and integer linear program-
ming, will be available for solving the optimization prob-
lem that the user defines.

Dairy Simulation Model

The dairy model was expected to be fully functional by
the end of 1994. It is designed to be an additional tool
for answering questions related to the environmental
costs and impacts  of dairy operations. A design  sche-
matic of the dairy model is given in Figure 4. It differs
from the LOADSS/IDM  model in the following aspects:

•  It is designed to be generic so that any dairy repre-
  sented by a coverage for which relevant data, such
                                    as topography, soil characteristics, weather, and field
                                    boundaries, are available can be simulated.

                                  • The GLEAMS water quality model will be used for
                                    simulating nutrient transport of nitrogen and phosphorus.

                                  • The user will be able  to assign a larger variety of
                                    crops and crop management practices to the individual
                                    fields, including crop rotation.

                                  GLEAMS (15) is a field-scale water quality model that
                                  includes hydrology, erosion/sediment  yield, pesticide,
                                  and nutrient transport submodels. GLEAMS was devel-
                                  oped  to use the management oriented CREAMS (21)
                                  model  and  incorporate  more  descriptive  pesticide
                                  subroutines and more extensive treatment of the flow of
                                  water and chemicals in the root zone layers. The water
                                  is routed through  computational soil layers to simulate
                                  the percolation through the root zone, but the volume of
                                  percolation in each layer is saved for later routing in the
                                  pesticide component. A minimum of three and a maxi-
                                  mum  of 12 layers with variable thickness may be used.
                                  Soil parameter values are provided by soil horizon, and

-------
      GIS Databases
                                                                     DAIRY MODEL User Interface
                                          Dairy Model
                                         Analysis Tools
           GLEAMS Simulation
              Shell Controller
Figure 4.  Dairy model design schematic.
the crop root zone may have up to five horizons. The
values for parameters, such as porosity, water retention
properties, and organic content, are automatically fitted
into the proper computational layers. Two  options are
provided in the model to estimate potential evapotran-
spiration, the Priestly-Taylor method (22) and the Pen-
man-Monteith method (23). The nutrient component of
the model simulates land application of animal wastes
by creating appropriate nitrogen and phosphorus pools
for mineralization.  It  considers ammonia  volatilization
from surface-applied animal waste by using a  relation-
ship developed by Reddy et al. (24).

The graphic interface is designed to help the user plan
a balanced nutrient management program for the dairy
being simulated.  First, total nutrient production and ac-
counting are estimated, based on information related to
the dairy management such as herd size, confinement
system, waste characterization, and handling.  Figure 5
shows the general structure of the graphic interface and
a first version of the menu used to  estimate the total
amount of nitrogen and phosphorus available for assign-
ment to the various fields. Nutrient losses during waste
storage and treatment vary widely depending on the
method of collection, storage,  and treatment. Climate
can also have a great effect on the losses. Covering all
possible methods of storage and treatment is practically
impossible, especially in an application that is designed
to be generic and applied in any part of the country. A
simplification was made to overcome this problem: the
user must provide the  percentage of original nitrogen
and phosphorus that is retained after waste storage and
treatment. The  menus designed to enter information
related to the management of fields and crops are given
in Figure 6.

For each field, a sequence of crops can be defined in
the Field Management Table,  and  for each  crop, the
sequence of practices or field operations  is defined in
the Crop Management Table. Every time a waste appli-
cation operation is defined or a field is used as pasture
for a certain period, the corresponding amount of nutri-

-------
rii* AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING DEPARTMENT- UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA ~j
(Select a Dairy V^Qverall Dairy ttanaeenent <7)fPlan Manager ?}( Practice Menus vX^^nu^at^on Results X^6?"^ Manager ?)( Print Map ^(Utilities ?V Ouit) J
1 »' FIELDS
(SELECT FIEUKS) )
(BEHOVE FIELD j
(UNDO LRST SELECTION
(VIEM FIELD INFO )

' i£ SIMULATION
(RUN SELECTED FIELDS )
(RUN (ILL FIELDS )

' '& MAP UTILITIES
imp lYrE:
1
MPP UIDO.S:
^|
i
Q (tOOIFY LEGEHD
EOOJ^[3^^=^^=> LOO
HnsTE r.HiiRnr.TERT7nTTnn a NUTRIENTS pRnniicnnH
Nilriieen 
  • s/llll/i!.itj> ; 0.lii.r.is (Llia/nil/il.i.j) : 0.07 Hitroecn Phosphorus Lhn/nll/ijcar Lba/licor Lba/flU/ucar Lbs/ucar [onfinenent. 01 10071 13 1533 Hrjijinc M 10071 13 1H33 TU1IIL 1GU 2014B 2G 30CG linilOLING OF MI1STE PRODUCED UNDER COHFINEICHT Percentage of t.ricinal nutrients retained after STORBGE/TRERTMENT HIITKTEHTS ncr.nuHrTHfi {pEDCEiirnnE) nuailaltlc Tnr Rssifrnncnt Treatuil/rtarkuted Crd^-inc Land llpplicaUon HITROCEH 50 M il rilOGPIIORU!; 50 ' 33 17 (SHVE HNO EXIT^ (CIIHCEL) ' S# MESSAGES Icm 5 ; Drawing! dairy nap |f^| -. C: lEI Figure 5. The nutrient production table of the dairy model interface. ents will decrease from the amount available for assign- ment and the total available for future assignment will be updated. Once the total amount of nutrients is as- signed, the model can be run for the several fields in the dairy and the results evaluated in terms of nutrient load- ings to the edge of fields and ground water. Alternative plans can be designed and saved for comparison and selection of best management options. The best solu- tions in terms of reducing nutrient loadings to surface and ground water must also consider economic aspects. A producer's decision about competing waste manage- ment practices is ultimately economically motivated. Thus, the system will eventually include a tool for eco- nomic analysis of alternative management options. Summary and Conclusions The search for solutions to the many problems concern- ing nutrient management that affect water resources implies a continued demand for the development of modeling systems that can be used to analyze, in a holistic approach, the impact of alternative management policies. The development of LOADSS exemplifies how the inte- gration of hydrologic models and a CIS can be used for analyzing nutrient control practices at different scales. The addition of optimization algorithms further enhances the ability of policy- and decision-makers to analyze the impact of alternative management practices and land uses at the regional level. The first part of LOADSS (Version 2.2) that includes the CREAMS-WT regional-scale model and the IDM com- ponents is fully functional and currently available at the SFWMD. Preliminary results show that LOADSS be- haves consistently with measured data at the lake basin scale. Some of this, however, is due to offsetting errors in model behavior at the subbasin scale, particularly in subbasins that are adjacent to or very far from the lake. Currently, projects are underway to further verify and calibrate the model at the subbasin level to improve its

  • -------
    Figure 6.  Field and crop management tables of the dairy model interface.
    performance at smaller scales (16). Initial results of the
    optimization component are currently being evaluated.
    
    The dairy model represents a different approach in  inte-
    grating water quality models  and CIS in that it is de-
    signed to  be generic and focused mainly on the  farm
    level. It is primarily designed to help policy- and decision-
    makers analyze the effects of alternative dairy waste
    management practices on the farm level. The framework
    can easily be adapted to handle different types of animal
    wastes (such as beef cattle and poultry) and to simulate
    the impact of other crop management practices such as
    pesticide applications.
    
    
    References
    
     1.  Novotny, V., and G. Chesters. 1981. Handbook of nonpoint pol-
        lution: Sources and management. New York, NY: Van  Nostrand
        Reinhold Company.
    
     2.  Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ). 1989. Environmental
        trends. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
    3.  U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). 1987. Analysis and interpreta-
       tion of water quality trends in major U.S. rivers, 1974-81. Water
       Supply Paper 2307. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing
       Office.
    
    4.  SFWMD. 1989. Interim Surface Water Improvement and Man-
       agement (SWIM) plan for Lake  Okeechobee. West Palm Beach,
       FL: South Florida Water Management District.
    
    5.  Reck, WR.  1994. GLEAMS modeling of BMPs to reduce nitrate
       leaching in Middle Suwannee River area. In: Proceedings of Sec-
       ond Conference on Environmentally Sound Agriculture, Orlando,
       FL. American Society of Agricultural Engineers, pp. 361-367.
    
    6.  Fedkiw,  J. 1992. Impacts of animal wastes on water quality: A
       perspective from the  USDA.  In: Proceedings of the National
       Workshop on Livestock, Poultry, and Aquaculture Waste Manage-
       ment, Kansas City, Ml (1991).  American Society of Agricultural
       Engineers (ASAE) Pub. 03-92.  pp. 52-62.
    
    7.  Woolhiser, D.A., and D.L. Brakensiek. 1982. Hydrologic system
       synthesis.  In: Haan, C.T., H.P. Johnson, and D.L.  Brakensiek,
       eds. Hydrologic modeling of small watersheds. ASAE Monograph
       No. 5. St. Joseph, Ml: American  Society of Agricultural Engineers.
       pp. 3-16.
    

    -------
     8.  Fedra, K. 1993. GIS and environmental modeling. In: Goodchild,
        M., B. Parks, and L. Steyaert, eds. Environmental modeling with
        CIS.  New York, NY: Oxford University Press, pp. 35-50.
    
     9.  Tim, U.S., M. Milner, and J. Majure. 1992. Geographic information
        systems/simulation model linkage: Processes, problems, and op-
        portunities. ASAE Paper No. 92-3610. St. Joseph,  Ml: American
        Society of Agricultural Engineers.
    
    10.  Whittemore, D.O., J.W. Merchant, J. Whistler, C.E. McElwee, and
        J.J. Woods.  1987. Ground-water protection planning using  the
        ERDAS geographic information system: Automation of DRASTIC
        and time-related capture zones. In: Proceedings of the National
        Water Well Association  (NWWA FOCUS) Conference on Mid-
        western Ground-Water Issues, Dublin, OH.  pp. 359-374.
    
    11.  Petersen, G.W, J.M. Hamlett, G.M. Baumer, D.A. Miller, R.L. Day,
        and J.M. Russo. 1991. Evaluation of agricultural nonpoint pollu-
        tion  potential in Pennsylvania using  a  geographic information
        system. ER9105. University Park, PA: Environmental Resources
        Research Institute.
    
    12.  Goodchild, M. 1993. The state of CIS for environmental problem-
        solving. In: Goodchild, M., B.  Parks, and L. Steyaert, eds. Envi-
        ronmental  modeling with  GIS.  New York, NY: Oxford University
        Press, pp. 8-15.
    
    13.  Liao,  H.H., and U.S. Tim.  1992. Integration of geographic infor-
        mation system (GIS) and hydrologic/water quality  modeling: An
        interface. ASAE Paper No. 92-3612.  St. Joseph, Ml: American
        Society of Agricultural Engineers.
    
    14.  Young, R.A.,  C.A. Onstad, D.D. Bosch, and W.P. Anderson. 1989.
        AGNPS: A nonpoint source pollution model for evaluation of ag-
        ricultural watersheds. J. Soil and Water Conserv. 44(2):168-173.
    
    15.  Leonard,  R.A., WG.  Knisel, and  D.A.  Still. 1987.  GLEAMS:
        Ground-water loading effects of agricultural management sys-
        tems.  Trans, of the Amer.  Soc.  of  Agricul. Eng.  (ASAE)
        30(5):1,403-1,418.
    16.  Negahban, B., C. Fonyo, W Boggess, K. Campbell, J. Jones, G.
        Kiker, E.  Hamouda, E.  Flaig,  and H.  Lai. 1993. A CIS-based
        decision support system for regional environmental planning. In:
        Proceedings of the Conference on Application of Advanced Infor-
        mation Technologies:  Effective  Management  of  Natural  Re-
        sources,  Spokane,  WA.  American  Society  of  Agricultural
        Engineers (ASAE). pp. 169-178.
    
    17.  Heatwole, C.D., K.L. Campbell, and A.B. Bottcher. 1987. Modified
        CREAMS hydrology model for coastal plain flatwoods. Trans, of
        the Amer. Soc. Agricul. Eng. (ASAE) 30(4):1,014-1,022.
    18.  Kiker, G.A., K.L. Campbell, and J. Zhang. 1992. CREAMS-WT linked
        with GIS to simulate phosphorus loading. ASAE Paper No. 92-9016.
        St. Joseph, Ml: American Society of Agricultural Engineers.
    19.  Skaggs, R.W. 1980. DRAINMOD reference report.  U.S. Depart-
        ment of Agriculture, Soil Conservation  Service.  Fort Worth,  TX:
        South National Technical Center.
    20.  Tremwel,  T.K., and  K.L. Campbell. 1992. FHANTM, a modified
        drainmod: Sensitivity and verification results. ASAE Paper No. 92-
        2045. St. Joseph, Ml: American Society of Agricultural Engineers.
    
    21.  Knisel, WG. 1980. CREAMS: A field-scale model for chemicals,
        runoff, and erosion from agricultural management systems. Con-
        serv. Res. Rep. No. 26. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of
        Agriculture.
    22.  Priestly, C.H.B.,  and R.J. Taylor. 1972. On  the assessment of
        surface heat flux and evaporation using  large-scale parameters.
        Monthly Weather Rev. 100:81-92.
    23.  Jensen, M.E., R.D. Burman,  and R.G. Allen, eds. 1990. Eva-
        potranspiration and irrigation water requirements. Manuals  and
        reports on engineering practice. Amer. Soc. Civil Eng. No. 70.
    
    24.  Reddy, K.R., R.  Khaleel, M.R. Overcash, and P.W. Westerman.
        1979. A nonpoint source model for land areas receiving animal
        waste: II.  Ammonia volatilization.  Trans,  of the Amer. Soc. Agric.
        Eng. (ASAE) 22(6):1,398-1,405.
    

    -------
                Using GIS To Rank Environmentally Sensitive Land
                               In Orange County, Florida
    
                           Michael J. Gilbrook, HDR Engineering, Inc.1
    ABSTRACT
    In 1994, the Orange County (Florida) Planning Department selected HDR Engineering to conduct a
    GIS-based environmental constraints and development suitability study to support a new, proactive
    planning initiative. The goal of the project was to conduct a McHargian overlay analysis which
    would identify environmental constraints to development, and rank all non-urban lands within
    Orange County according to their environmental value. The project required development of a
    database consisting of eleven environmental constraint factors including vegetative cover,
    wetlands, wildlife habitat preferences, habitat corridors, floodplains, aquifer  recharge potential and
    septic tank use suitability. A raster-based spatial model prepared in ARC/INFO GRID was used to
    identify and rank environmental constraints to future urban development based on the distribution
    and coincidence of the various environmental constraint factors. The HDR environmental science
    staff worked closely with the County Planning Department and the County's Environmental
    Mapping Committee (comprised of scientists, regulatory personnel, environmental activists,  land
    owners, and planners) to prepare the GIS model and weighting scenarios. The final products
    included two baseline maps (one for ecological constraints, and one for physicochemical factors),
    and several maps generated by alternative weighting strategies.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    In December 1993, Orange County (Florida) hosted a Growth Management Exposition as a
    forum for unveiling the County's proposed Development Framework. The County's Planning &
    Development Division Newsletter released concurrently with the Exposition noted that:
    
           "The Orange County Comprehensive Policy Plan commits the County to the
           preparation of a Development  Framework Element as a vision statement to  guide
           the pattern of future development. ...The Comprehensive Policy Plan should
           contribute to, and be an embodiment of, the common vision that represents  the
    

    -------
           shared values and beliefs of the community for guiding future growth and
           development."
    
    A "environmental suitability analysis" was among the tools cited by Orange County as
    necessary to the preparation and implementation of the Development Framework:
    
           "...[t]he addition of the concept of environmental suitability analysis into the
           Development Framework will strengthen the local planning process, facilitate
           efforts to obtain public ownership of environmentally sensitive lands, and
           increase the effectiveness of existing regulatory processes and procedures.  It will
           also help separate and differentiate between planning for the future and
           regulating development."
    
    That last point is crucial to understanding the importance of the County's environmental
    constraints analysis project. A typical regulatory approach to environmental planning addresses
    potential impacts piecemeal, as development is proposed, and attempts to minimize or mitigate
    ecological impacts. In contrast, Orange County wanted to develop a pro-active planning
    approach driven by an appreciation of the "carrying capacity" of the environment through
    composite mapping of environmental constraints to development. The environmental constraints
    mapping would then provide a long term guide for shaping future development patterns. Maps
    of environmental constraints can also be construed, inversely, as maps of development
    suitability (Twiss, 1975). Of course, a complete evaluation of development suitability would
    require combining the findings of the environmental constraints analysis with information on
    transportation systems, district plans, urban services,  and proposed capital improvements.
    
    In summary, the purpose of this study was to advance the County's movement towards a more
    holistic, ecosystem oriented approach to environmental planning. Specifically, HDR was tasked
    to "[d]evelop an environmental suitability index and map for Orange County that will compare
    and rank areas for environmental compatibility and development suitability according to the
    ecological characteristics of the region."
    1 HDR Engineering, Inc., 201 S. Orange Avenue, Suite 925, Orlando, FL 32801-3413; Voice (407) 872-
    7801, ext. 230; FAX (407) 872-0603; Email mgilbroo@hdrinc.com
    

    -------
    OVERVIEW OF OVERLAY ANALYSIS
    In his book, Design With Nature, planner Ian McHarg popularized the notion of map overlay
    analysis to evaluate land development suitability (McHarg, 1971). His method involved mapping
    landscape features which imposed some kind of limitation on urban development (such as
    wetlands, floodplains, or erosive soils) onto transparencies. For each map, the relative
    development suitability (or, conversely, environmental sensitivity) of landscape features would
    be ranked in order from high to low. Each map would be drawn at the same scale and
    registered to the same geographic area. The unsuitable areas on each map would be shaded in
    such a way that when the maps were overlaid one on another and viewed simultaneously on a
    light-table, areas which were mapped as unsuitable on all the contributing maps would appear
    very dark. Land areas which were unsuitable for development on fewer maps would appear
    proportionally lighter, providing a graduated scale from completely suitable to entirely
    unsuitable.
    
    McHargian overlay analysis, as it came to be known,  is a powerful planning technique.
    However, it was also inefficient and often impractical to perform by manual means. In the 25
    years since the publication of McHarg's book, his technique has  been refined though the use of
    computerized Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Examples of McHargian-type analyses
    using GIS are now quite common; the author had personally conducted two (Gilbrook, 1989a;
    Gilbrook, 1989b) prior to this study. The first step in conducting a McHargian  analysis for
    Orange County was determining what environmental  values would be incorporated into the
    evaluation process. The County Planning Department identified a tentative list of environmental
    criteria for the study. Working from that list as a starting point,  HDR identified the following
    environmental  issues which formed the basis for the environmental constraints analysis in
    Orange County:
    
        •  Floodplain  Protection Development in floodplains places  people and property at risk.
          Cumulative flood storage losses can exacerbate flooding elsewhere in the watershed.
          Alteration of floodplains adversely affects the hydrological, biological and
          physicochemical relationship between surface waters, wetlands, and  uplands.
    
        •  Protection of Wetlands Wetlands provide critical habitat to a number of native central
          Florida species. Wetlands provide flood  storage, hydrologic attenuation and erosion
          control  functions.
    

    -------
    Maintaining Viable Wildlife Populations Wildlife populations must maintain minimum
    numbers in order to resist extinction from genetic inbreeding depression, disease, or
    climatic catastrophes. Viable populations require a minimum amount of suitable habitat
    to support them. Without protection (and maintenance) of adequate habitat, wildlife
    populations will likely become extinct over time.
    
    Preserving Biodiversity The natural environment is comprised of a complex assemblage
    of interdependent and co-evolved species. The effects of urbanization (e.g., forest
    fragmentation, enhancement of edge effects, fire suppression, invasive exotic species)
    serve to simplify and eliminate this diversity. Simplified ecosystems support fewer
    species and are less resilient to environmental challenges (e.g.,  storms, disease).
    
    Conservation Lands and Insular Ecology Conservation lands may maintain intact flora
    and faunal assemblages representative of the ecosystems present within those
    preserves as long as they enjoy contiguity with similar (or at least compatible) adjacent
    landscapes. Once isolated from similar habitat, conservation lands become essentially
    terrestrial islands subject to the species-area effects described by the science of insular
    ecology; the preserves lose species in geometric proportion to their final, isolated size.
    
    Groundwater Protection Drinking water supplies in central Florida are drawn from the
    Floridan aquifer, a deep, water-bearing geological stratum. The aquifer is recharged only
    by rainfall on relatively rare areas which have the necessary geologic conditions
    conducive to movement of water from the  surface  to the deep aquifer below. However,
    these areas  are also conduits for potential contamination  of the water supply for the
    same reason that they are good recharge  sites. Similarly, the potential for contamination
    at the locations of drinking water wellheads and drainage wells (i.e., stormwater disposal
    wells to the aquifer) were also concerns for groundwater protection.
    
    Surface Water Protection Surface waters may be contaminated by pollutants borne by
    stormwater runoff from artificial impervious surfaces, made turbid by eroding sediment,
    or affected biologically by inappropriate  management of shoreline wetlands or littoral
    vegetation. Septic tanks sited in areas of unsuitable soils  may cause contamination of
    surface waters, presenting both an environmental  hazard and a human health threat.
    

    -------
    To conduct the study, each of these themes were translated into specific layers of digital data
    for analysis with GIS.
    
    CIS DATA SOURCES
    The environmental constraints analysis tapped a number of existing GIS data sources. Orange
    County and the two Water Management Districts which have jurisdiction over the County (St.
    Johns River WMD and South Florida WMD) were the source for most of the GIS data sets.
    Other important sources included the East Central Florida Regional Planning Council (Existing
    Land Use), the Florida Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission (Strategic Habitat
    Conservation Areas and Biodiversity "Hot Spots"), and the Florida Natural Areas Inventory
    (element occurrence records for rare plants and animals).
    
    One of the most important data themes required was a current digital map of land cover to
    supply the information about wetlands, rare vegetative communities, and vegetative biodiversity
    needed to perform the environmental constraints analysis. A detailed digital Existing Land Use
    (ELU) map of Orange County,  last updated in 1989, was available. Before these data could be
    applied to  the environmental constraints analysis they had to be updated to reflect urban
    development which had taken  place over the previous five years. To conduct the 1994 update,
    HDR scanned and georeferenced recent aerial photography for use in performing "heads up"
    digitizing of new urban land uses not reflected in the ELU 1989  data. The final Existing Land
    Use map appears in Figure 1; an inset of the map showing some of the features in the
    Econlockhatchee River basin of east Orange County appears in Figure 2.
    
    Many of the GIS data sets were prepared from map sources compiled at a scale of 1:24,000
    (i.e., 1" = 2,000') or smaller. This placed constraints on how finely the data could be interpreted.
    For example, the Florida Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission's (GFC's) Strategic Habitat
    Conservation Areas were developed from Landsat satellite imagery which had a minimum pixel
    resolution  of 30 meters (about 98 feet, or 0.22 acres per pixel).  In contrast, the Existing Land
    Use 1994  (ELU 94) data developed by HDR were captured at 1:24,000 scale, but had a
    minimum mapping unit of 2 acres; polygons of homogenous ground cover smaller than 2 acres
    were not necessarily mapped.  Although these relatively low resolution input data sets limited
    their applicability for examining environmental constraints on small,  individual parcels of land,
    their scale was appropriate for the regional  analysis required by Orange County for the purpose
    of guiding  comprehensive land planning.
    

    -------
                                   Existing Land Use, 1994  Update
    Figure 1.  Existing Land Use 1994 Map. Dark gray areas are urbanized, other color
             represent undeveloped land cover. Inset area of Econlockhatchee River
             headwaters area appears in Figure 2 and subsequent map figures.
    

    -------
      Figure 2. Inset of Existing Land Use 1994 in the Econlockhatchee River Headwaters Area,
              Southeastern Orange County.
    CIS MODELING METHODOLOGY
    This study employed ARC/INFO 6.1.1. GIS software manufactured by Environmental Systems
    Research Institute (ESRI). The software ran on a Sun Microsystems SPARC 10 Model 40
    workstation under the Solaris 2.2 operating system (a variant of Unix System V).
    ARC/INFO is principally a vector GIS system in which linear features (lines or polygons) appear
    as smooth lines connecting the many vertices whose coordinates define the shape of those
    features. In this respect an ARC/INFO visual display looks little different from a map prepared
    using Computer Aided Design (CAD) software. Nearly all of the  preliminary GIS manipulation
    needed to produce the  input data themes used in the study was conducted within the
    ARC/INFO vector environment. However, one drawback to the vector GIS environment is that it
    is a computationally intensive process. For ARC/INFO to combine two sets of countywide
    polygon data to create a third using a vector overlay process (e.g., UNION or INTERSECT)
    would have required considerable time. Overlays involving multiple input themes would have
    

    -------
    had to be processed in a series of pairs, until the final desired product was achieved. Even then,
    the GIS analyst would have had to use tabular database functions to resolve the meaning of the
    multiple layers of polygon data which had been combined.
    
    Although the environmental constraints analysis could have been performed this way, a better
    approach was available through use of ARC/INFO's GRID module. Combining and manipulating
    GIS data in GRID was computationally much easier (and faster) than the topologically complex
    process of resolving the output from overlays involving many arbitrarily shaped vector polygons.
    Furthermore,  the GRID process allowed for direct mathematical modeling of the input data sets
    to generate the desired composite output map;  for example, differential weighting of the input
    data was as easy as multiplying all cells in an individual data layer by a numerical constant.
    Given its clear advantages, HDR used GRID for modeling  in this study. Each of the vector
    polygon GIS input data themes was converted to a grid with a cell size of 98 feet. The 98 feet
    corresponded to the 30 meter resolution of the Landsat data which formed the basis for the
    GFC's Strategic Habitat Conservation Areas, Biodiversity "Hot Spot" areas, and the SJRWMD's
    Regionally Significant Habitat areas. A cell resolution of 98 ft resulted in a minimum mapping of
    0.22 acres, which we  deemed small enough to adequately represent details in the various input
    coverages collected at 1:24,000 scale.
    
    Following examination of the  available GIS data sets, consideration of the study's objectives,
    discussions with the Orange County Planning Department staff, and input from the
    Environmental Mapping Advisory Committee, HDR determined that the most appropriate end
    product would not be  a single map of environmental constraints, but two composite maps: an
    "Ecological Constraints Map" and a "Physical Constraints Map." The Ecological Constraints
    Map was derived from those factors whose attributes (mostly biological) denoted resources that
    were sensitive to any land alterations. For example, a forested area that was important for the
    maintenance  of wildlife populations was likely to be adversely affected by substantial clearing.
    The type of urban development (e.g., residential, commercial or industrial) makes no difference;
    it is the loss of forest habitat,  the reduction in forest interior, or the increase in fragmentation and
    edge effects which are important. Protection of such areas would require attention to
    development  intensities.
    
    The Physical  Constraints Map was generated from input data themes which denoted constraints
    based on physical factors. Protection of these resources would require attention to the type of
    

    -------
    land use or the development standards imposed on that development. Aquifer recharge areas
    are the best example. The presence of a high recharge area does not necessarily preclude
    urban development. Instead, a recharge area may influence the type of land use considered
    suitable (e.g., no chemical industries), the enactment of special development standards (e.g.,
    higher on-site runoff retention requirements), or both. This paper will only address the
    methodology used to prepare the Environmental Constraints Map; the process for generating
    the Physical Constraints Map was identical, differing only in the types of inputs involved.
    Several GIS layers contributed to each of the two composite maps of environmental constraints.
    In both models, we used a five-point scale or index to rank environmental sensitivity for a given
    GIS data layer. In all cases,  a "1" indicated presence of "Very Low" environmental constraints
    for urban development, a "3" a "Moderate" level of environmental sensitivity, and a "5" indicated
    the presence of "Very High"  environmental constraints. In the GIS analysis, the various
    contributing themes were combined or overlaid in such a way that each spot on the map
    represented an average of all the environmental constraint scores contributing to that map.
    Areas which had many high  environmental sensitivity scores from contributing input data
    themes received  a high total score, while areas with few or no constraints received a low
    composite score.
    
    Initially, all factors were given equal weight in the overlay procedure to produce two "baseline"
    maps. After the "baseline" maps were produced, weighting factors were assigned to each of the
    GIS input layers to reflect the relative importance of their contribution to the ranking of
    environmentally sensitive lands in the County. The value of the weighting analysis was two-fold.
    First, application  of weighting to a particularly important input data layer would permit it to "shine
    through" the muddle which might otherwise result from the combination of so many disparate
    input data sets. Second, the use of weighting tested the robustness of the findings  of the GIS
    analysis. That is, the environmental sensitivity of areas which ranked similarly on several maps
    despite alternative weighting schemes could be interpreted with confidence. For instance, one
    would conclude that an area which showed up as having "Very High" environmental constraints
    in every map, regardless of weightings, was clearly dominated by environmentally sensitive
    factors. The weighting  factors were developed in a workshop  meeting of the Environmental
    Mapping Advisory Committee in  concert with HDR and the Orange County Planning Department
    staff. The particulars of the weighting process are described below, following  the discussion of
    the input data themes.
    

    -------
    INPUT DATA FOR THE ECOLOGICAL CONSTRAINTS MAP
    We identified nine different GIS input data layers, or themes, for use in generating the
    Ecological Constraints Map (Table 1). With two exceptions, all the input data layers were
    "derived" by combining two or more of the original GIS data sources in various ways, or by re-
    casting the original data set in a more useful form. Each input data layer is described below.
                                         TABLE 1
                 Input Data Layers For Ecological Constraints Map GIS Model
                                            Environmental Constraint Factor
    Low Moderate High Very High
    GIS Input Data Layer Very Low (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
    Floodplain Areas
    Wetland Areas
    Ecological Integrity
    Vegetative Community
    Rareness
    Habitat Corridors/Biological
    Connectivity
    Wetland Dominance
    Floodplain Dominance
    Vegetative Biodiversity
    Non-Floodplain
    Uplands
    All Other Land
    All Other Land
    Very Low
    Proximity Or
    Urban
    < 20 percentile,
    Urban or Water
    < 20 percentile,
    Urban or Water
    < 20 percentile,
    Urban or Water
    N/A
    N/A
    SJRMWD
    RSH Areas
    Area
    > 2%,
    < 1 0%
    Low
    Proximity,
    Agricultural
    lands
    20-40
    percentile
    20-40
    percentile
    20-40
    percentile
    N/A
    Wet Prairie
    5 - 7+ Focal
    Species
    FNAI S3 or
    Area
    >1%,
    <2%
    Medium
    Proximity,
    Grassland
    41 -60
    percentile
    41 -60
    percentile
    41 -60
    percentile
    100 Year
    Floodplain
    Non-
    Forested
    Wetlands
    GFC
    SHCAs
    FNAI S2 or
    Area
    > 0.5%,
    <1%
    High
    Proximity,
    Forested
    61 -80
    percentile
    61 -80
    percentile
    61 -80
    percentile
    Regulatory
    Floodways
    Forested
    Wetlands
    FNAI & GFC
    E&T
    Occurrence
    Point
    Locations
    FNAI S1 or
    Area < 0.5%
    Very High
    Proximity,
    Wetland or
    Water
    >80
    percentile
    >80
    percentile
    >80
    percentile
    Notes: (1) Class 5 reserved for Regulatory Floodways in Floodplain Dominance theme, but not used in
    this study; (2) SJRWMD = St. Johns River Water Management District; (3) GFC = Florida Game
    & Freshwater Fish Commission; (4) FNAI = Florida Natural Areas Inventory; (5) SHCA =
    Strategic Habitat Conservation Area; (6) RSH = Regionally Significant Habitat; (7) The
    Environmental Sensitivity score for Habitat Corridors/Biological Connectivity depended on both
    habitat type and proximity to the most direct path between two preserves (see Table 2).
                                             10
    

    -------
    Floodplain Areas. This was one of the two "non-derived" data themes. Floodplains were a
    "dichotomous" factor: areas above the 100-year floodplain boundary were ranked "1," whereas
    all lands identified as being within the 100-year floodplain (i.e., those designated "Zone A" on
    FEMA Flood Insurance Maps) were assigned a environmental constraint factor of "4." There
    were no intermediate classes. Class "5" was reserved for regulatory floodways, which would
    have received the greatest protection from alteration. Regulatory floodway boundaries were not
    available for this study, but their spot was reserved so that they could be inserted into the
    analysis and the model run again at a later time.
    
    Wetland Areas. This is the other non-derived theme. Wetlands were ranked in order of their
    relative difficulty to maintain or re-create.  Forested wetlands as a rule take a considerable time
    to grow to maturity, and are not easily re-created by humans; consequently, they were ranked
    "5." Non-forested wetlands (i.e., marshes) are extremely productive wetland environments, but
    are somewhat more readily replaced than forested wetlands; hence, they were assigned a value
    of "4." Since vegetative communities similar to natural wet prairie areas are commonly created
    on pastures, such areas were assigned a "3." All other (upland) areas were designated as "1."
    
    Scientists, planners and developers often disagree on whether wetland size is a valid  criterion
    for evaluating wetland value. While it is true that small, isolated wetlands in an urban setting
    may have little or no wildlife habitat value, this is emphatically not true of such wetlands
    immersed in a matrix of natural upland vegetation. Small, ephemeral wetlands are essential to
    the life cycles of many amphibians which  cannot survive predation  by fish in larger ponds.
    Furthermore, small wetlands are essential to the feeding (and nesting) success of wading  birds,
    particularly the endangered wood stork. And although large wetlands might seem to dominate
    surface water hydrology, the depressional storage capacity of many small wetlands may be
    considerable. Since there was no good way to rank the ecological importance of wetlands
    based on size, size did not contribute to the ranking of the Wetland Areas theme for this study.
    
    Ecological Integrity. This is a term which has gained in popularity to describe the process of
    protecting natural diversity, at scales ranging from populations to entire ecosystems (Minasian,
    1994). Consistent with that concept, this input data layer was comprised of several data sources
    which had been combined to represent areas of hierarchically greater or lesser importance to
    the maintenance of natural floral and faunal populations in the County. Most sensitive on this
    scale (i.e., a ranking of "5") were the reported locations  of species listed as endangered,
                                               11
    

    -------
    threatened or species of special concern by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, Florida Game and
    Fresh Water Fish Commission, or by the Florida Natural Areas Inventory. These point
    occurrences were obtained from the FNAI Element Occurrence database, and were
    represented by a 1,000 ft. radius circular area generated as a buffer around each point location.
    These circles, which are comparable to those used by Cox, et al. (1994) to highlight point
    occurrences of listed species or other significant wildlife, encompassed an area of about 72
    acres each.
    
    The map data used to identify lands ranked "4" for this data theme were obtained from digital
    maps of Strategic Habitat Conservation Areas (SHCAs) prepared by the Florida Game and
    Fresh Water Fish Commission (Cox, et al., 1994). Using a statewide map of vegetative cover
    derived by interpretation of Landsat satellite imagery collected during the mid- to late 1980's, the
    GFC identified polygons of vegetative cover which represented the habitats of 30 "focal
    species," most of which were listed as endangered or threatened. (Seventeen of the GFC's
    focal species occurred in Orange County, including the red-cockaded woodpecker, Florida
    scrub jay and gopher tortoise.) By mathematically modeling the minimum viable population
    sizes  needed to ensure survival of the selected focal species for 200 years,  the GFC then
    estimated the minimum necessary habitat required to maintain such populations in perpetuity.
    Following a GIS analysis of the Landsat-derived vegetative cover maps, the GFC located
    SHCAs which, if preserved, would secure the long term survival of the 30 focal species
    evaluated.
    
    Using the same Landsat-derived vegetative cover maps, the GFC prepared a map of
    biodiversity "hot spots." To identify areas which  might jointly serve a number of important wildlife
    species, the GFC overlaid the individual habitat maps of their focal species and identified areas
    whose habitat could support seven or more species, five to six species, or less than five
    species. Those areas identified as supporting either 5-6 or 7+ species were combined and
    ranked "3" in the Ecological Integrity data theme.
    
    The St. Johns River Water Management District used the SHCA data as the basis for its
    identification of Regionally Significant Habitat (RSH). Since the method the GFC employed to
    identify SHCAs was tied to the habitat requirements of individual species, their process
    sometimes identified polygons of vegetative cover which were surrounded by other native
    vegetation not included in the SHCA. While preparing their RSH maps, the SJRWMD
                                              12
    

    -------
    recognized the need to identify areas which could be either effectively regulated, or publicly
    acquired and managed; disjunct SHCAs embedded in other natural land cover wouldn't qualify.
    Consequently, the SJRWMD used the Cox (1994) GIS data in combination with vegetative
    cover from Orange County's 1989 Existing Land Use to "extend" the SHCA boundaries to the
    limits of immediately adjacent natural vegetative communities. The SJRWMD  RSH areas were
    assigned a ranked of "2," and all other lands not included in one of the above classes were
    ranked as  "1." A small part of the Ecological Integrity theme appears in Figure 3.
    
    FNAI were assigned to ranks 5, 4, and 3, respectively. All other community types were ranked
    as "1." To identify rare community types in Orange County, HDR used the 1994 Existing Land
    Use  (ELU '94) data to calculate the total acreage for each non-urban, non-agricultural cover
    type. Based  on these data, we assigned a rank of 5 to those communities comprising 0.5% or
    less  of the total natural vegetative cover of approximately 291,000 acres. Rank 4 was assigned
    to communities representing between 0.5% and 1.0% of the total  natural land  cover, while those
    communities with 1% to 2% were assigned a rank of "3," and a rank of "2" attributed to
    communities falling between 2% and 10%. Natural land cover types with greater acreage were
    all assigned  ranks of "1." Where the FNAI and Orange County ELU '94 derived ranks disagree,
    the vegetative community was assigned the higher (i.e., more sensitive) rank.  Figure 4
    illustrates a portion of the Vegetative Community Rareness theme.
    
    Habitat Corridors/Biological Connectivity. This GIS data layer identified areas which may be
    important to  the maintenance of biological connectivity between managed conservation areas.
    Put another way, this layer identified areas which should be protected to prevent the adverse
    effects of forest fragmentation and biological isolation in natural preserves. The idea of
    considering conservation lands as the anchor points for habitat corridors has a strong following
    in Florida (Noss, 1991; Harris and Atkins,  1991). We constructed this data theme from a
    SJRWMD  coverage of existing and proposed conservation lands (hereafter called "preserves"),
    and habitat value as derived from the 1994 Existing Land Use data. Using the ARC/INFO GRID
    functions COSTDISTANCE and CORRIDOR, we identified areas representing the most direct
    connections  between pairwise sets of proposed or existing preserves. We eliminated from
    consideration any preserve pairs for which there were either interposing urban or preserve
    areas, or which were more than 12 miles apart, and rated areas within the corridor in
    descending order according  to their proximity to the shortest distance path: 1,000 feet, 0.5
    miles, 0.75 miles and 1 mile. The corridors were overlaid with the habitat rank grid derived from
                                              13
    

    -------
                                                                            J_       .
    Figure 3. Ecological Integrity Theme. Dark colors represent areas of highest environmental
             constraints, light areas lowest. Dark circles are the 1000-foot radius circles around
             the observed locations of endangered and threatened species.
                                             14
    

    -------
    Figure 4. Vegetative Community Rareness Theme. Common natural communities appear in
    light colors. Darker shades of brown indicate communities of increasing rarity.
                                       TABLE 2
    
            Environmental Constraint Values Assigned To The Habitat Corridor
    Input Data Theme Based On Habitat Value And Corridor Centerline Proximity Scores
    
    Proximity
    Rank
    1(>1.0mi.)
    2 (< 1.0 mi.)
    3 (< 0.75 mi.)
    4 (< 0.5 mi.)
    5 (< 1000 ft.)
    Habitat Value Rank
    1
    (Urban)
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2
    (Agricultural)
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    3
    (Non-
    Forested)
    1
    2
    3
    3
    3
    4
    (Forested
    Uplands)
    1
    2
    3
    4
    4
    5
    (Wetlands)
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
                                          15
    

    -------
    the ELU '94 land cover data to differentiate among corridor alternatives based on preferred
    vegetative cover. The proximity/land cover matrix used to assign final environmental constraint
    rank values to grid cells for this theme appears in Table 2, and a part of the Habitat Corridors
    map appears in Figure 5.
    
    Wetland Dominance. The Wetland Areas GIS data layer addressed those parts of the
    landscape actually occupied by a wetland community type. However, in planning for the
    protection of natural resources in Orange County, it will  not be possible to delineate every
    individual wetland for protection. Nonetheless, large upland areas characterized by many small
    wetlands are themselves ecologically valuable. Faunal and floral biodiversity of many small
    wetlands interspersed throughout an upland matrix will likely be greater than that of a single
    large wetland of equivalent acreage. Furthermore, the life cycles of many species are
    dependent  upon smaller wetlands. Amphibians prefer small, ephemeral wetlands for breeding
    because such wetlands do not support a large population of predatory fish. Wading birds
    (notably the wood stork) benefit from the concentration of fish and amphibian prey within small,
    ephemeral  wetlands. To address these issues, we used ARC/INFO to calculate the ratio of
    wetlands to non-urban uplands within each of the 1,000 one-square mile sections of the Public
    Land Survey (PLS).  We assigned each PLS section a rank of 1 to 5 based on  its placement in a
    quintile distribution.
    
    Floodplain  Dominance. As with wetlands, isolated floodplains may collectively have great
    hydrological or ecological value if they are sufficiently numerous or collectively large enough. To
    identify those areas  which have a large portion of their land area within the 100-year floodplain,
    we generated this GIS data theme using exactly the same procedure as that for Wetlands
    Dominance, only using the Floodprone Areas GIS layer as the starting point.
    
    Vegetative  Biodiversity. All other factors being equal, an area with many different vegetative
    cover types (i.e., a high biodiversity) will typically be more ecologically valuable than an equal
    sized area with fewer different vegetative communities. To evaluate biodiversity, we could have
    the GIS simply count the number of different kinds of vegetative cover types in a PLS section,
    then use the quintile procedure outlined above. However, the mere number of different kinds of
    community  types does not tell the whole story. For example, two sections might have the same
    number of different vegetative community types, but one might have six equally sized polygons,
    while the other section has one very large polygon and five very small ones. Clearly, the section
                                               16
    

    -------
      Figure 5. Habitat Corridors/Biological Connectivity Map. The darker colors represent areas of
               high habitat value near to the most direct path linking two existing or proposed
               preserves. Dark green solid lines border existing preserves, light green dashed lines
               surround proposed preserves.
    with more equally sized polygons is more diverse, since the other section is almost entirely
    dominated by one cover type. In order to quantify landscape diversity, we applied the Simpson
    C' Index, which is generally accepted as a measure of population diversity (Krebs, 1989). Using
    the acreage information for vegetative communities within the ELU '94 GIS data, we calculated
    Simpson C' indices for all PLS sections, then subjected those values to a quintile analysis like
    that used for Wetlands and Floodplains  Dominance, above. PLS sections were assigned the
    appropriate 1 through 5 ranks, with "5" representing the most diversity (highest Simpson's C'
    indices),  and "1" the least diverse assemblages of community types. Barren or agricultural areas
    that did not contribute to the biodiversity measurement were assigned a value of "1," thereby
    ensuring that an entire PLS section did not receive a high biodiversity score based on a small
    natural remnant on an otherwise barren landscape. A sample of the Vegetative Biodiversity Map
    appears in Figure 6.
                                               17
    

    -------
      Figure 6. Vegetative Biodiversity Theme. Dashed lines represent section lines from the Public
               Land Survey. Each one-square mile section is color coded, from light to dark, based
               on its quintile rank among the distribution of all Simpson's C' indices calculated for
               the 1000 square miles in Orange County.
    Areal Analysis Of Environmentally Sensitive Input Data. Figure 7 shows the relative amounts of
    undeveloped Orange County which were assigned to each of the five classes of environmental
    sensitivity for each of the input data layers contributing to the Ecological Constraints Maps. For
    most of the input data themes, the majority of County land was rated "Very Low," with a much
    lower percentage assigned to each of the more environmentally sensitive classes. The Wetland
    Dominance, Floodplain Dominance and Vegetative Biodiversity themes illustrated a nearly
    equitable distribution of land in each of the five constraints classes, owing to the quintile
    assignment methodology employed for those layers.
                                              18
    

    -------
                                               Figure 7
                           Comparison of Acreage Assigned to Environmental Sensitivity Classes
                               for Each of the Ecological Constraints Input Data Themes
                                                                      Input Data Themes
                  Constraint Value
    ALTERNATIVE WEIGHTING ANALYSES
    Table 3 depicts the three alternative weighting schemes used for the Ecological Constraints
    composite maps. The first was dubbed the "Ecological Integrity" weighting option, since it
    weighted those factors most closely associated with that concept (i.e., the Ecological Integrity
    layer and the Habitat Corridor layer). The "Habitat Diversity" model weighted the Vegetative
    Biodiversity and Vegetative Community Rareness layers. Finally, the "Wetlands" model
    weighted the wetland  boundary and wetland dominance layers.
    
    In all cases, a maximum weight of "2" was used. This was the minimum whole-integer weight that
    can be applied, yet have a demonstrably visible effect on the outcome of the composite maps. To
    evaluate the appropriateness of the "2" factor, we conducted a sensitivity analysis on the
    Ecological Constraints map by running the Ecological Integrity model with weights of 2, 3, 4 and 5.
    We found that increases in the weight beyond 2 merely had the effect of making the output
    composite map look more like the weighted layers, and diminished the value of all other inputs.
    In contrast, the weight of 2 left most composite map effects intact, while emphasizing certain
    features from the weighted layers.
                                               19
    

    -------
                                          TABLE 3
                   Ecological Constraints Map Alternative Weighting Factors
                                              Alternative Weighting Schemes
                  GIS Input Data Layer
    Ecological
     Integrity
     Habitat
    Diversity
     Wetland
    Protection
    Floodplain Areas
    Wetland Areas
    Ecological Integrity
    Vegetative Community
    Rareness
    Habitat Corridors/Biological
    Connectivity
    Wetland Dominance
    Floodplain Dominance
    Vegetative Biodiversity
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    RESULTS & DISCUSSION
    The areas ranked as most environmentally sensitive by the Baseline Ecological Constraints
    model (Figure 8) encompassed many locations already recognized by conservation planners as
    having high ecological value, including: Wekiwa Springs State Park, Kelly Park, Moss Park, Split
    Oak Mitigation Park, the various public lands associated with the St. Johns River, and the
    various areas proposed for acquisition within the headwaters of Reedy Creek, Shingle Creek
    and the Econlockhatchee River. The fact that the Baseline Ecological Constraints model
    identified existing and proposed conservation areas as among the most environmentally
    important lands  in Orange County validated the model's credibility.
    
    The three composite maps produced using weighting schemes were mostly very similar to the
    Baseline  map, while exhibiting some minor differences attributable to the weighting scenario.
    The similarity of the weighted composite maps further reassured us that the basic premise of
    the environmental constraints map was sound, since the general pattern of environmentally
    sensitive  land was relatively insensitive to changes in the input weights. However, the variations
    in the weighted maps did afford an opportunity for County planners to further evaluate those
    areas which appeared different and determine  if they required more (or, perhaps, less)
                                             20
    

    -------
    consideration in the development of land use plans or environmental protection ordinances.
    Some brief comments about the three weighted maps follow:
    
    Ecological Integrity Weighted Map. The pattern on this map looked very much like that on the
    Baseline Model map. Areas along the potential habitat corridor between the Econlockhatchee
    River and the St. Johns River conservation lands ranked slightly higher than those same areas
    in the Baseline model, illustrating the effect contributed by the Habitat Corridors/Biological
    Connectivity theme to this map.
    
    Habitat Diversity Weighted Map. As with the Ecological Integrity Weighted Map, the pattern of
    this map appeared very similar to the Baseline. It showed much less area designated as having
    "Very High" environmental constraints, but the loss occurred mostly within the limits of existing
    and proposed public lands. This effect reflects the fact that many public lands were dominated
    by large wetlands, whereas the Habitat Diversity Weighted model was more sensitive to rare
    upland communities, or diverse mixes of uplands and wetlands.
    
    Wetland Importance Weighted Map. This map had much greater areas of "Very Low" and "Low"
    environmental constraints, especially in eastern Orange County. In other words, by emphasizing
    the importance of wetlands, the ecological value of upland areas was diminished. Most of the
    areas identified as "High" or "Very High" in the Baseline Map appeared similarly ranked here,
    but a greater amount of these areas followed wetland boundary lines. Furthermore, this map
    showed an increased tendency for "Moderate" ranked areas to conform to PLS section lines, an
    effect no doubt produced by the section-based wetland dominance layer. The  headwaters areas
    of Reedy Creek, Shingle Creek and Lake Sheen still ranked very high.
    
    Relative Acreages For Ecological Constraints Composite Maps. Figure 9 compares the percent
    Orange County acreage which fell to each of the class ranks for each model type. The overall
    pattern for all maps appears almost identical: Maximum acreage was associated with the "Low"
    category, with gradually diminishing acreage values for the higher ranks. The most visible
    difference in the amount of acreage in each  constraint class appeared in the "Very High" level,
    in which the Wetland Importance model ranked nearly 8% of the County's non-urban, non-water
    area, compared to just under 5% for the Baseline and Ecological Integrity models, and 2.4% for
    the Habitat Diversity model.
                                             21
    

    -------
                                               Ecological  Constraints
                                                      Baseline Map
    Figure 8. Baseline Ecological Constraints Composite Map. Gray areas represent existing
             urbanization. Environmental constraints in undeveloped areas are represented by
             shades of brown, from lightest ("Very Low Constraints") to darkest ("Very High
             Constraints").
                                            22
    

    -------
                                           Figure 9
                    Comparison of Percent of Undeveloped Acreage Assigned to
                           Each Environmental Sensitivity Rank for the
                                  Ecological Constraints Models
                          25.0
                       I  20.0
                   Constraint Level
                                         D)
                                         ±
                                                             Wetland Importance
                                                         Habitat Diversity
                                                     Ecological Integrity
                                                Baseline Ecological
                                                               Composite Models
    CONCLUSIONS
    The ARC/INFO GRID based environmental constraints model proved to be an efficient and
    effective way to prepare a composite map of environmental suitability as envisioned in Orange
    County's Development Framework. The modular nature of the GIS model provides for relatively
    easy updating  of the input data layers and production of updated constraints maps as new data
    become available.
    
    The maps produced by the alternative weighting models for the Ecological Constraints Map
    produced results which were very similar to that of the Baseline Map. The constancy of certain
    core areas on all weighting models bolsters the conclusion that these areas are truly
    environmentally sensitive. The areas which were affected by changes in weighting parameters
    provide an opportunity to evaluate which areas, outside of the obvious core areas, should be
    included in future public lands acquisition plans, special future land use planning, or other
    appropriate protection mechanisms.
                                              23
    

    -------
    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
    The author wishes to recognize the members of the Environmental Mapping Advisory
    Committee for donating their valuable time and input to the successful completion of this study:
    Jack Amon, Lester Austin, III, Jim Bradner, Vera Carter (Chair), Nancy Christman,  Michael
    Dennis, Barbara Durkin, Jeff Jones, Nancy Prine, John Richardson, Jim Sellen, P.K, Sharma,
    Bill Stimmell, Jack Stout, Renee Thomas, Jim Thomas (Vice Chair), Rick Walker, and John
    Winfree. The insightful comments and suggestions of this group frequently found their way into
    the final product.
    
    The staff of the St. Johns River Water Management District provided invaluable assistance in
    supplying digital data, particularly Jim Cameron,  Stuart Dary,  Mike Kleinman and Linda McGrail.
    John Stys of the Florida Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission quickly supplied us with the
    digital raster files of the Commission's gap analysis study. Thanks also to Scott Taylor of the
    Florida Natural Areas Inventory for his assistance in preparing copies of FNAI's element
    occurrence data.
    
    Finally, I'd like to  recognize the assistance and cooperation afforded by the Orange County
    Planning Department staff, especially that of Andre Anderson and Danielle Justice, who many
    times facilitated the progress of the project. This project was funded by Orange County Contract
    #Y4-635.
                                              24
    

    -------
    LITERATURE CITED
    Cox, J., R. Kautz, M. MacLaughlin, and T. Gilbert. 1994. Closing the Gaps In Florida's Wildlife
           Habitat Conservation System. Office of Environmental Services, Florida Game and
           Fresh Water Fish Commission. Tallahassee, Florida.
    
    Gilbrook, M.J. 1989a. Marina Siting Suitability in the Coastal Estuaries of East Central Florida.
           Florida Department of Environmental Regulation, Coastal Zone Management Program,
           Contract CZM-200. East Central Florida Regional Planning Council. Winter Park,
           Florida.
    
    Gilbrook, M.J. 1989b. Wekiva River Basin Acquisition Study. Final report to the St. Johns River
           Water Management District. East Central Florida Regional Planning Council. Winter
           Park, Florida.
    
    Harris, L.D. and K. Atkins. 1991. Faunal movement corridors in Florida. In: Hudson, W.E. (ed.).
           Landscape Linkages and Biodiversity. Island Press. Washington, D.C.
    
    Krebs, C.J. 1989. Ecological Methodology. Harper & Row, Publishers, Inc. New York.
    
    McHarg, I. 1971. Design With Nature. Doubleday/Natural History Press. Doubleday & Company,
           Inc. Garden City, New York.
    
    Minasian, L. 1994. Interpreting and applying ecosystem management  principles. Environmental
           Exchange Point. Florida Department of Environmental Protection, 4(3): 17-23.
    
    Noss, R.F. 1991. Landscape connectivity: Different functions at different scales. In: Hudson,
           W.E. (ed.). Landscape Linkages and Biodiversity. Island Press. Washington, D.C.
    
    Twiss, R.H. 1975. Commentary- Nine approaches to environmental planning. In:  Burchell, R.W.
           and D. Listokin (eds.). Future Land Use: Energy, Environmental and Legal Constraints.
           Center For Urban Policy Research, Rutgers University. New Brunswick, New Jersey
                                              25
    

    -------
                           GIS Watershed Delineation Tools
                     James A. Goodrich1, Lucille Garner1, Jill Neal1, Lee Bice2,
                              Rick Van Remortel2, Ramon Olivero3
                             1USEPA, NRMRL, WSWRD, Cincinnati,
                                2Lockheed Martin, Las Vegas, NV
                                  \ockheed Martin, RTP, NC
                                       BACKGROUND
    
    The 1996 amendments to Section 1453 of the Safe Drinking Water Act require the states to
    establish and implement a Source Water Assessment Program (SWAP). Source water is the
    water taken from rivers, reservoirs, or wells for use as public drinking water. Source water
    assessment is intended to provide a strong basis for developing,  implementing, and improving a
    state=s source water protection plan. This program requires individual states to delineate
    protection areas for drinking water intakes, identify and inventory significant contaminants in the
    protection areas, and determine the susceptibility of public water  supply systems to the
    contaminants released within the protection areas. SWAP can be used to focus environmental
    public health programs developed by federal, state, and local governments, as well as efforts of
    public water utilities and citizens, into a hydrologically defined geographic area.
    
                                       INTRODUCTION
    
    The Environmental Protection Agency is assisting the states in conducting source water
    assessment by identifying potential sources of data and pointing to methods for assessing
    source waters. This presentation provides guidance to states, municipalities, and public water
    utilities for assessing source waters using geographic information system (GIS) technology. The
    GIS platforms used to organize, analyze,  and manipulate available data and generate new data
    for source water protection areas, as well as provide capabilities for presenting the data to the
    public in various forms, including maps and tables are also discussed. In addition, the National
    Risk Management Research Laboratory is developing a coordinated research approach for
    watersheds that include contaminated sediments, urban watersheds, ecological restoration,  and
    source water protection. Included in the full report, as appendices, are three case studies
    demonstrating the use of selected GIS-based software and hydrologic models to conduct
    hypothetical source water evaluations. Contamination of water supplies may be responsible for
    

    -------
    more human sickness than any other anthropogenic activity (Anderman and Martin, 1986). Since
    limited water resources are increasingly shared by competing consumers, there is a growing
    concern about the quality of source waters. This concern has led to the establishment of laws
    and programs designed to help protect drinking water sources. Frequent evaluation and
    identification of sources of contamination are required by federal and state rules. A successful
    SWAP reduces the cost of water treatments and disinfections required. Following enactment of
    the SDWA, a number of programs were developed for public water supply protection and
    supervision, including watershed protection and control, sanitary surveys, and WHPPs. An EPA
    document titled AStates Source Water Assessment and Protection Programs Final Guidance®
    (1997a) discusses how a SWAP can use information provided by the current water programs.
    Some of the programs include:
           - a watershed control program (WCP) under the Surface Water Treatment Rule (EPA,
            1990),
           - sanitary surveys (EPA, 1995), and
           - wellhead protection programs (EPA, 1995).
    
                         METHOD FOR ASSESSING SOURCE WATERS
    
    Using a GIS for any application involves following some basic steps including:
           - designing the GIS database,
           - building the GIS database,
           - using the GIS to analyze the data and show results.
    
    For assessing source waters, elements of the design of a GIS database include:
           - establishing the study area,
           - delineating the watershed,
           - determining data needs,
           - inventorying data sources,
           - determining coordinate system  and scale, and
           - deciding on the GIS infrastructure.
    
    Building the database requires collecting data to characterize the study area and inventorying
    sources of contamination. Analyzing the data entails assessing potential sources of
    contamination, delineating source water protection areas, and producing  display products.
    

    -------
                              CHARACTERIZE THE STUDY AREA
    
    After deciding on the data requirements of the GIS database, the data should be obtained and
    converted to the chosen projection and units (feet, meters). The data types include descriptions
    of physical watersheds and contamination sources and types. To understand how contamination
    from a source reaches a drinking water intake, the factors that affect its flow should be
    described. These factors include, but are not limited to terrain, soils, hydrography, land use and
    land cover, and contaminant characteristics. For example, after a precipitation event, the type(s)
    of contamination  resulting from surface runoff into a stream depends on the land use and land
    cover interactions (e.g., pesticide and fertilizer from agriculture, salts and grease from parking
    lots). The directional flow of surface runoff depends on the topography, and soil infiltration
    properties affect how much surface water reaches the groundwater. The following sections
    provide information about some of the data sets needed for assessing source waters.
    
    Watershed Boundaries
    Watershed or HUC boundaries are available from the USGS. The HUC boundaries are available
    at 1:2,000,000 scale and 1:250,000 scale. The USGS also provides information describing the
    hydrologic unit coding scheme. A watershed boundary data set can be created by delineating
    the  boundary on large-scale maps that have elevation contour lines; the boundary can then be
    digitized.
    
    Terrain
    Terrain data can  be derived from Digital Elevation Models (OEMs). OEMs are digital records of
    terrain elevations for ground positions that are horizontally spaced at regular intervals. The
    SPOT Image Corporation provides OEMs at 10-meter spacing created by digital autocorrelation
    of SPOT satellite image stereopairs which are stored in a format known as  Terrain Access Made
    Easy (TAME) (ESRI, 1992). The USGS also provides 30-meter spaced OEMs at four scales:
    7.5-minute,  15-minute, 2-arc-second, and 1-degree. The 7.5-minute (large-scale) data are
    produced in 7.5- by 7.5-minute blocks from digitized cartographic map contour overlays or from
    scanned National Aerial Photography Program (NAPP) photographs. The DEM data are stored
    as profiles in which the elevations are spaced 30 meters apart. The number of elevations
    between each profile will differ because of the variable angle between the quadrangle's true
    north and the grid north of the Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) projection coordinate
    system.  The DEM data for 7.5-minute units correspond to the USGS 7.5-minute topographic
    

    -------
    quadrangle map series for all of the United States and its territories, except Alaska. The
    15-minute DEM (large-scale) data correspond to the USGS 15-minute topographic quadrangle
    map series of Alaska. The unit size changes with the latitude. The 15-minute DEM data are
    referenced horizontally to NAD27. The elevations along profiles are spaced 2 arc-seconds of
    latitude by 3 arc-seconds of longitude. The first and last data points along a profile are at the
    integer degrees of latitude.
    
    Soils
    The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Natural Resource Conservation Service (NRCS),
    formerly the Soil Conservation Service (SCS), has three soil geographic databases of varying
    scales. The data include physical and chemical soil properties for approximately 18,000 soil
    types. Each database has three categories: soil properties (particle size, bulk density, available
    water capacity, organic matter, salinity, and soil recreation), locational properties (flooding, water
    table depth, bedrock depth, and soil subsidence), and use and management properties (sanitary
    facilities, building site development, recreational development, rangeland potential, construction
    material, crops, woodland suitability, and wildlife habitat suitability). The most detailed level of
    information is provided by the Soil Survey Geographic data (SSURGO), which is available in 7.5-
    minute topographic quadrangle units  (1:24,000) and is distributed as coverages for soil survey
    areas, usually containing over ten quadrangle units. State Soil Geographic data (STATSGO) is a
    coarser database designed for regional, multi state, river basin, state, and multi county resource
    planning, monitoring, and management. The STATSGO database is at 1:250,000 scale (1- by 2-
    degree quadrangle) and  is distributed as statewide coverages. National Soil Geographic data
    (NATSGO) is a database which is suitable for national or regional resources assessment and
    planning. With a scale of 1:5,000,000, the NATSGO database has information about the major
    land resource areas.
    
    Hydrography
    Hydrography is available from several federal sources at a 1:24,000 scale and may be available
    in greater detail from state and local government agencies. The USGS digital line graphs (DLGs)
    are readily available and provide information on 5 main types of data categories: boundaries,
    public land survey, transportation (including pipelines and power lines), hydrography (streams
    and water bodies) and hypsography (elevation contours). The DLG data can be converted into
    other formats compatible with GIS software. The EPA Reach File system has a series of
    hydrologic databases that uniquely identify and interconnect stream segments (reaches) for the
    

    -------
    nation. RF3-Alpha is the latest and most detailed version of the reach file system, containing
    more reaches than the previous versions, RF1 and RF2. Stream segments have unique reach
    codes for determining the upstream and downstream reaches and identifying the stream name
    for each reach. River Reach data can be obtained from the STORE! User Assistance Group in
    the EPA Office of Water.
    
    Land Use and Land Cover
    Land use and land cover data are available from several federal sources. In many cases, the
    federal data will be either out-of-date or not detailed enough. More detailed (large-scale)  land
    use data may also be obtained from county assessor maps, which are available at various
    scales  (e.g., 1:200, 1:2,400, 1:4,800). County assessor maps may provide better detail for
    inventorying contamination sources in urban areas. The various departments of highways and
    transportation can provide maps for city streets and other local and regional road maps.
    
    Inventory Potential Sources of Contamination
    Potential sources of contamination, also known as sanitary defects, are conditions that may
    result in contamination of a water supply. These may be point and nonpoint source pollutants,
    connections to unsafe water supplies, raw water bypasses in treatment plants, improperly
    designed or installed plumbing fixtures, or water and sewer pipes leaking into the same ditch. All
    known  and potential sources of contamination should be included in the GIS database.
    Pollutants may be classified into  categories depending on the likelihood of their introduction into
    the water supply and the level and  significance of contamination that can result from them.  A
    contaminant inventory can include  records of operation, discharge, disposal, construction, and
    other permitted activities, as well as zoning and health records obtained from local government
    agencies. All relevant information should be gathered while focusing the search for
    contamination sources at sites of particular concern. These include, but are not limited to (EPA,
    1991a):
           - discharge sites: septic tanks, irrigation pipes
           - storage, treatment, or disposal sites: landfills, underground tanks, mine tailings
           - substance transporting sites: pipelines
           - activities that result in discharges: highway construction, fertilizer application
           - natural sources impacted  by anthropogenic activities
    

    -------
    Further information on contaminant inventory activities is provided in the EPA Guide for
    Conducting Contamination Source Inventories for Public Drinking Water Supply Protection
    Programs (EPA, 1991 a). Some of these data, such as Toxic Chemical Release Inventory (TRI)
    data can  be obtained from the EPA. Other data may need to be obtained through field surveys.
    Table 1 lists federal data sets that can be accessed for much of the above mentioned data.
                            Table 1. Federal Spatial Data Set Sources
                         U. S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
    
    Web Page: http://www.epa.gov/enviro/html/nsdi/spatial_extent.html
    Description: The EPA Envirofacts Warehouse - Geospatial Data Clearinghouse
    
    Web Page: http://www.epa.gov/OWOW/watershed/landcover/lulcmap.html
    Description: This EPA Office of Water site contains land cover digital data
    
    Web Page: http://earth1.epa.gov/oppe/spatial.html
    Description: This EPA Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation site contains access to GIS
    spatial data sites at the federal, state, and local levels.
    
    Web Page: http://www.epa.gov/OWOW/NPS/rf/rfindex.html
    Description: This EPA Office of Water site contains information on the EPA river reach files.
    
                                    U.S. Geological Survey
    
    Web Page: http://nhd.fgdc.gov/
    Description: U.S. Geological Survey site containing information on the Digital Line Graphs
    (DLG) hydrography files and the EPA Reach File Version 3.0 (RF3).
    
    Web Page: http://edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/doc/edchome/ndcdb/ndcdb.html
    Description: U.S. Geological Survey site containing FTP file access to Digital Elevation Models
    (DEM), Digital Line Graphs (DLGs), and Land Use and Land Cover (LULC).
    

    -------
    Web Page: http://mcmcweb.er.usgs.gov/
    Description: U.S. Geological Survey site for the Mid-Continent Mapping Center in Rolla,
    Missouri, containing information on Digital Raster Graphics (DRG) as well as other products.
    
    Web Page: http://water.usgs.gov/public/GIS/background.html
    Description: U.S. Geological Survey Water Resources site containing metadata and FTP file
    access to numerous national coverages commonly used in water resources studies.
    
    Web Page: http://edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/webglis/
    Description: The U.S. Geological Survey Global Land Information System (GLIS) site provides
    descriptions and prices for geospatial data available from the USGS.
                                 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
    
    Web Page: http://www.nwi.fws.gov/nwi.htmDescription:
    Description: The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service National Wetland Inventory (NWI) site provides
    access to NWI data.
                                U.S. Department of Agriculture
    
    Web Page: http://www.ftw.nrcs.usda.gov/nsdi_node.html
    Description: U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) National Resources Conservation Service
    site containing FTP access to soils and other USDA data.
                                  U.S. Bureau of the Census
    
    Web Page: http://www.census.gov/ftp/pub/mp/www/rom/msrom12i.html
    Description: The U.S. Census Bureau site provides brief descriptions of the TIGER/Line files,
    1997 version. The data is available for the entire U.S. on 6 CD-ROMs for $1,500 or S250/CD-
    ROM for different sections of the country. Data is in TIGER/Line format.
    

    -------
    Contamination Source Risk Analysis
    After the GIS database has been built, the data can be analyzed to assess the risk associated
    with potential sources of contamination, delineate protection areas, and develop display
    products.
    
    Classify the contaminant data into risk groups depending on the threat of contamination they
    pose to the source water. A method for prioritizing and weighing the level of risk from various
    forms of contamination is described in an EPA document (EPA, 1991b). Similar approaches may
    be adopted for surface water sources. The tasks in this phase may reveal the need for a new
    inquiry or a more thorough data gathering effort with respect to particular sites or contaminants.
    For more information, see Managing Groundwater Contamination Sources in Wellhead
    Protection Areas: A Priority Setting Approach (EPA, 1991b). Susceptibility analysis identifies the
    location, frequency, and significance of potential contaminants in the source water protection
    area and determines the likelihood the PWS will be contaminated by these sources. Water
    quality models may be used for estimating contamination levels and determining the significance
    of selected contaminants in the protection area or in the watershed.
    
    Proximity Analysis and Delineation of Protection Areas
    After potential sources of contamination are identified, their proximity to the water supply intakes
    can be mapped. A set of maps at various scales can be produced  from the GIS database
    illustrating the proximity of potential pollutants to the water supply system. With data
    documenting geographic locations of actual and potential contaminants, a source water
    protection area can be delineated.  Surface water sources used for drinking water supplies may
    be protected by delineating a protection area around or upstream from the source intake. Three
    approaches for delineating a protection area for surface water systems are topographic area,
    buffer distance, and stream-flow time of travel (TOT) (EPA,1997b). For systems using
    groundwater sources, approaches  for delineating a WHP area are based on fixed-radius,
    hydrogeologic/geomorphic characteristics, and modeling, which includes analytical, semi-
    analytical, numerical flow and solute transport models (EPA, 1993). The appropriate method for
    a particular system is chosen as a balance between ease of use, level of detail needed, and
    available resources. The PWS systems using a combination of groundwater and surface water
    sources may consider conjunctive delineation of source water protection areas. Conjunctive
    delineation is the integrated delineation of the zone of groundwater contribution and the area of
    surface water contribution to a PWS.  Further information on this subject can be found in
                                               8
    

    -------
    Delineation of Source Water Protection Areas, a Discussion for Managers; Part 1: A Conjunctive
    Approach for Groundwater and Surface Water (EPA, 1997c).
    
    Topographic Area
    Topographic area is defined as the watershed for the surface water feature. Watersheds are
    delineated by drawing a line along the highest elevation around the surface water feature. In this
    case, the study area itself is the source water protection area.
    
    Buffer Zone
    A buffer zone may be delineated for the purpose of protecting drinking water intake and is
    typically dependent on the hydrogeology, topography, and stream hydrology. A protection buffer
    for a source surface water intake is an upstream strip of vegetated land along the shore of the
    stream or lake. Buffer widths vary from 15 to 60 meters (approximately 50 to 200 ft) depending
    on topographic, land use, political, and legal factors (EPA, 1997b). Buffer zones reduce water
    quality impacts from runoff, increase wildlife habitat and improve stream-bank integrity. Systems
    with groundwater sources may use a fixed-radius protection area (buffer) around source wells
    depending on aquifer properties. The radius could be fixed arbitrarily or based on TOT (EPA,
    1993).
    
    Time of Travel
    Water supply systems tapping rivers that are designated for commercial transportation or for
    industrial and municipal wastewater discharge may use TOT for source water intake protection.
    The time it takes a pollutant introduced into an upstream section of a river to travel to a source
    water intake is estimated using the stream-flow TOT. The contamination level of the pollutant at
    the intake can be evaluated using various water quality models. The TOT method provides tools
    for predicting impacts from spills or discharges at sections upstream of a drinking water intake,
    thereby enhancing protection strategies for emergency spills. A TOT is also used for delineating
    protection areas for groundwater-based systems by estimating contaminant transport into
    drinking water wells. Groundwater flow is significantly slower than that of surface water (e.g.,
    years versus hours or days, respectively), allowing more response time for controlling or
    remediating spills  and other plumes. The EPA (1993) provides comparisons  of TOT-based
    methods used for delineating WHP areas.
    

    -------
    Modeling
    Surface runoff and groundwater models can be used for delineating a source water protection
    area. Analytical, semi-analytical, and numerical flow and solute transport models can estimate
    the potential water quality impacts from one or more pollution sources upstream of a drinking
    water intake. With knowledge of land uses (e.g., agricultural, industrial, residential), soil
    properties, and precipitation rates in an area, potential contaminant loadings from runoff or
    infiltration can be estimated. Modeling  provides analytical tools for assessing water quality
    impacts resulting from land use changes, and may be used to identify effective water quality
    protection strategies. Some models need site-specific data which may, in turn, require field
    surveys.
    
    Stream Network Analysis: Water Quality Study
    Stream network analysis provides tools for studying  how contaminants are transported in
    streams. Distributions of contaminate concentrations along a stream can be studied using the
    physical and chemical properties of the contaminant as well as the hydraulics of the stream.
    Most GIS software packages, such as  ARC/INFO=s network analysis, have capability for
    modeling linear processes. More complex analyses can be performed by linking appropriate
    water quality models in ARC/INFO (e.g., Grayman et al.,1993).
    
    Generate Display Products
    Maps are graphic representations of geographic information, and, as such, provide powerful
    visual communication of ideas. The Surface Water Assessment Program requires strong public
    participation in all processes involving  development  of methods for, and implementation of,
    source water assessment. State agencies proposing or conducting a SWAP may use sets of
    maps for displaying the geographic extent of the SWAP program. For example, maps for public
    presentation can show stream segments with highlighted buffer areas and marked with potential
    pollution sites. A GIS provides the capability for generating such  maps at various scales with
    selected sets of themes.
                                         HARDWARE
    
    The GIS hardware includes the computer on which the GIS operates and the peripherals used
    for data entry, transfer, and output. A wide range of hardware types are used, from centralized
    computer servers to desktop computers used as stand-alone stations or  in networked
    configurations. The type and number of components in a system is dependent on the needs of
    the organization. Software vendors can help in recommending appropriate system
                                              10
    

    -------
    configurations. The input and output devices (e.g., digitizers and plotters) are usually shared
    within an organization with more than one GIS user. Centralized computer servers and
    networking software can be used to enable multiple users to share GIS hardware and software.
    Hardware costs are not provided because costs are constantly changing, usually in favor of the
    buyer. Examples of GIS hardware components are listed below.
    
    GIS Workstation
    A GIS workstation should at a minimum include a high-speed central processing unit,  keyboard,
    mouse, disk space, high-resolution color monitor for graphics display, and a compact disk read-
    only memory (CD-ROM). An external disk drive may be used for additional disk space. The GIS
    workstation can be either an IBM-compatible personal computer (PC) using a Windows
    operating system or a high-end graphics workstation using a Unix operating system. The Unix
    systems provide a more powerful environment for GIS than PCs. Unix workstations are usually
    faster than PCs in the analysis and display of complex digital data. However, they also cost more
    ($ 15,000+ vs. < $ 10,000 for a PC). A set of workstations loaded with GIS software may use a
    common server with a large amount of disk storage space. Also, data input and output devices
    may be attached to the server so all users can share them.
    
    Data Transfer and Backup Devices
    A GIS should include one or more data transfer and backup devices such as a compact disk
    writer, tape drive, or disk drive. These devices allow the user to transfer GIS data to a compact
    medium that can be easily stored or physically transferred. These devices are useful for
    performing data backups or transferring data between workstations or organizations that are not
    networked.
    
    Data Output Devices
    Output devices allow the user to print data and displays from the GIS. Printouts of GIS data are
    useful for data quality assurance and quality control (QA/QC) checks and for displaying results.
    The common GIS output devices are printers and plotters. These devices are available in a
    variety of sizes, produce output in color or black and white, and can vary widely in price. Most
    organizations will want at least a standard laser jet printer as well as a large-format color output
    device for plotting color maps for display and presentations.
                                              11
    

    -------
    Data Input Devices
    GIS data input devices include digitizing tables, scanners, and GPS receivers. These devices
    enable a user to capture geographic information in digital form. A digitizing table is used for
    generating vector-based coordinate information directly from hard copy maps or photographs. A
    scanner is used to generate raster-based data from hard copy maps or photographs. A GPS
    receiver enables the user to capture coordinate data for features in the field. Once captured,
    GPS data must be post-processed on a workstation with specialized software to generate real-
    world coordinates.
    
                                         SOFTWARE
    
    Three categories of information processing software are used to assess source waters when
    using GIS technology: GIS, image processing, and relational database management. Examples
    of software for each of these categories are listed below. A software package listed in one
    category may also be capable of performing functions in another category. For example, a GIS
    package such as GRASS can be used for image processing. Similarly, some of the image
    processing software packages can be used as GIS tools. The names of the software are listed
    for informational purposes only and do not indicate endorsement. The PC-based software
    packages such as GRASS and ArcView can range in cost from free or low-cost ($200-$300) to
    several thousand dollars. High-end software packages such  as Arclnfo, ERDAS Imagine, or
    Intergraph GIS will cost $10,000-$20,000.  Prices for all software packages depend on current
    market value, whether the purchaser is eligible for discounts, and what additional modules are
    purchased in addition to the baseline package.
    
    GIS Software
    The GIS software is used for storing, analyzing, and  displaying geographic data. The main
    components of a  GIS software are the tools for data  input and manipulation, database
    management, geographic query and analysis, and visualization and output. Several GIS
    packages are presented below for information.
    
    Arc/Info
    Arc/Info is a commercial software package developed by the Environmental Systems Research
    Institute (ESRI) and Henco Software, Inc. (Henco). Arc/Info provides tools for automation,
    management, display, and output of geographic and associated data. Arc/Info is a vector-based
                                              12
    

    -------
    GIS software that runs on Unix and Windows NT workstations. Arc/Info costs between $10,000 -
    $20,000. For more information contact ESRI at http://www.esri.com.
    
    A rcView
    ArcView is also produced by ESRI and is a menu-driven GIS with a subset of the functionality
    provided by Arc/Info. What ArcView lacks in functionality, it makes up for in a less steep learning
    curve and an easy-to-use graphical user interface (GUI). ArcView is a vector-based GIS
    software that runs on Unix or PC workstations. ArcView costs approximately $1,000. For more
    information contact ESRI at http://www.esri.com.
    
    GRASS
    The Geographic Resources Analysis Support System (GRASS) is a public-domain, raster-based
    GIS software used for geographic data management, image processing, graphics production,
    spatial modeling, and data visualization. GRASS was written by the U.S. Army Construction
    Engineering Research Laboratories (USA-CERL) branch of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
    and is currently maintained at the Department of Geology at Baylor University. GRASS runs on
    Unix and PC workstations. More information on GRASS can be found at
    http://www.baylor.edu/~grass. Additional information on some of the hydrology models that have
    been integrated into the GRASS GIS is available on
    http://soils.ecn.purdue.edu/~aggrass/models/ hydrology.html.
    
    IDRISI
    IDRISI is a raster-based GIS software that provides GIS, image processing, and spatial statistics
    analytical capabilities on DOS and Windows-based PCs.  IDRISI provides analytical functionality
    of GIS, remote sensing, and databases for resources management. IDRISI was developed and
    is maintained by Clark Labs, a non-profit research organization within the Graduate School of
    Geography at Clark University. A commercial/private single-user license for IDRISI costs $990.
    Licenses for non-profit, government, and academic institutions cost less. For more details see
    http://www.clarklabs.org.
    
    Intergraph GIS
    Intergraph provides Windows-based software and a range of computing services for
    engineering, design, modeling, analysis, mapping, information technology, and creative
    graphics. The GIS MGE package provides data collection and editing, data import, image
                                             13
    

    -------
    display and analysis, advanced spatial query and analysis, and cartographic quality maps. MGE
    costs approximately $10,000-$20,000. More information on Integraph GIS is available at
    http://www.intergraph.com.
    
     Image Processing Software
    Image processing software is used to process raster data, particularly remote sensing imagery
    data such as satellite imagery.
    
    ENVI
    The Environment for Visualizing Images (ENVI) is an image processing system which provides
    analysis and visualization of single-band, multispectral, hyperspectral, and radar remote sensing
    data. ENVI can process large spatial and spectral images, and runs on Unix; LINUX; Windows
    3.1, NT, 95; the Macintosh; and the Power Mac. For more details contact ENVI at
    http://www.envi-sw.com/index.htm.
    
    ERDAS Imagine
    The ERDAS Imagine software is an image processing and raster GIS package that has a variety
    of applications ranging from simple image mapping to advanced remote sensing. Imagine
    provides tools for geometric correction, image analysis, visualization, map output,
    orthorectification, radar analysis, advanced classification tools, and graphical spatial data
    modeling. Imagine runs on Unix workstations and Windows platforms. ERDAS Image costs
    approximately $10,000-$20,000. More information on Imagine is available at
    http://www.erdas.com.
    
    ER Mapper
    ER Mapper provides integrated mapping software featuring image processing, map production,
    3-D presentations, and GIS integration for Windows 95/NT and Unix. The ER Mapper software
    uses a concept that separates data from the image processing steps allowing the user to apply
    and view results from a single enhancement procedure in real time. The PC version of ER
    Mapper costs $4,300; the Unix version of ER Mapper costs $18,300. See
    http://www.ermapper.com for more information.
                                             14
    

    -------
    PCI
    EASI/PACE image processing provides a variety of applications including image processing,
    geometric correction, vector utilities, and multilayer modeling. PCI implements the Generic
    Database (GDB) concept, which allows PCI programs to access image and other external data
    files without import and export. Contact PCI for more details at http://www.pci.on.ca.
    
    TNTmips
    TNTmips is a map and image processing system that contains fully featured GIS, CAD, and
    spatial database management systems. TNTmips has tools that interactively integrate elements
    of on-screen image processing and photo interpretation, and provides a diverse set of tools for
    registering, rectifying and stitching imagery, which are particularly useful for low-altitude aerial
    photography and videography. More information on TNTmips is available at
    http://www.sgi.com/Products/appsdirectory.dir/
    Applications/GIS_Defense_lmaging/ApplicationNumber7857.html.
    
    Relational Database Management Software
    Relational database management system (RDBMS) software enables large amounts of data to
    be entered, updated, related, viewed, queried and, otherwise, managed in an efficient manner.
    The data in an RDBMS is stored in a series of related tables which are designed to optimize the
    effort required for data entry, maintenance, and retrieval. RDBMS software is available for use
    on PCs, Unix workstations, networked systems, and mainframe computers. Most GIS software
    packages use an RDBMS to manage data such  as maintaining topology and providing ways to
    efficiently enter,  update, and query attribute data. Major RDBMS software includes Info, dBASE,
    MS Access, Ingres, Informix, Oracle, and Sybase.
    
                                SOFTWARE SUPPORT TOOLS
    
    There are numerous software support tools available for use in assessing source waters. These
    tools operate within specific operating and software system environments. The  information
    presented here is not an endorsement of any of these products. New products and
    improvements to existing products are continuously being introduced;  therefore, users should
    conduct their own investigation of software tools to ensure they are getting the latest information.
    The selections are considered some of the more promising and potentially useful that were
    encountered during this GIS evaluation. It should be noted that there are hundreds of available
                                             15
    

    -------
    hydrologic models described in the scientific literature, but many of these will probably not be
    suitable for use in a source water assessment. Principal purveyors of other downloadable
    software and hydrologic models not listed here include the EPA Center for Exposure
    Assessment Modeling (http://ftp.epa.gov/epa-ceam/wwwhtml/softwdos.htm), the USGS Water
    Resources Division  (http://water.usgs.gov/software/), and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers=
    Hydrologic Engineering Center (http://www.hec.usace.army.mil/). A selection of the software
    support systems to consider include:
    
           - Better Assessment Science Integrating Point and Nonpoint Sources (BASINS)
           from the EPA Office of Science and Technology (OST). Full documentation of BASINS
           Version 2.0 is available in detail at http://www.epa.gov/ostwater/BASINS/.
    
           - Riverine Emergency Management Model (REMM) was originally developed for
           hydrologic modeling in the upper Mississippi River in Minnesota.  REMM is public-
           domain software and is freely available by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers office in St.
           Paul, Minnesota (e-mail: webmaster@mvp-wc.usace.army.mil).
    
           - Watershed Modeling System (WMS) Model was developed by the Environmental
           Modeling Research Laboratory of Brigham Young University in cooperation  with the U.S.
           Army Corps  of Engineers Waterways Experiment Station. The WMS is proprietary
           software and is available via the Engineering Computer Graphics Laboratory at Brigham
           Young University in Provo, Utah (http://www.ecgl.byu.edu). The software cost ranges
           from $500 to $2,600 depending on the desired modules.
    
           - Underground Storage Tank (UST)-Access Software was developed using the
           Microsoft Access 2.0 relational data base management system. All UST-Access
           installation files are stored as self-executable archive files on the Cleanup Information
           (CLU-IN) Bulletin Board System of the EPA Office of Solid Waste and Emergency
           Response.
    
           - Spatially Referenced Regressions on Watersheds (SPARROW) Model is an
           extension from the Hydrologic Simulation Program - Fortran (HMPF) modeling
           framework. The HMPF and SPARROW models are public-domain software freely
           available through USGS (http://www.usgs.gov) for the cost of pressing a CD (about $35).
                                             16
    

    -------
           - Hydrology Extension for the ArcView Spatial Analyst Software is a new Hydrology
           Extension for ArcView=s Spatial Analyst 1.1. ArcView Spatial Analyst 1.1 is proprietary
           software distributed by ESRI (http://www.esri.com). Price varies widely depending on the
           user=s affiliation, such as with government or industry.
    
           - MassGIS Watershed Tools for the ArcView Spatial Analyst Software was
           developed by the State of Massachusetts, Division of Watershed Management, GIS
           Division (MassGIS) for use with the ArcView Spatial Analyst. ArcView Spatial Analyst is
           proprietary software distributed by ESRI (internet: www.esri.com). Price varies widely
           depending on the user=s affiliation with government or industry. The MassGIS watershed
           tools are public-domain software (john.rader@state.ma.us).
    
                                PERSONNEL REQUIREMENTS
    
    To use a GIS effectively in any project, it is important to have personnel with a variety of specific
    skills. All of the software mentioned above (GIS, image processing, and RDBMS) require lengthy
    learning curves to be used effectively.
    
    Data Entry Technician
    Data entry includes automation or digitizing of maps, creating attribute tables, and importing
    databases. The data entry technician should have some knowledge of spatial concepts and
    experience in basic GIS use for creating thematic layers, and attribute data entry. Depending on
    the amount of data entry required, one or more technicians may be needed.
    
    Spatial Data Analyst
    The spatial data analyst is skilled in manipulating geographic data to retrieve pertinent, project-
    specific information such as mapping sources of contamination and their proximity to source
    waters, and delineating protection areas. This person must have a thorough understanding of
    the concepts presented in this Chapter and be experienced in using GIS and image processing
    technology. The spatial data analyst should also have some experience in working with utilities,
    hydrogeology, soils, environmental engineering, or sanitary engineering.
    Field Surveyor
                                              17
    

    -------
    A field surveyor may be required if geographic or attribute data is not available and must be
    gathered in the field. The surveyor should be skilled in field survey management, GPS
    technology, and database development and have knowledge of sanitary or environmental
    engineering, soil science, or hydrogeology. Depending on the amount of field surveying required
    and the size of the area being surveyed, the field surveyor may require a support staff to assist
    with gathering information.
    
    Soil Scientist
    A soil scientist may be needed to evaluate the condition and physical properties of soils in the
    survey area. The Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) formerly called the Soil
    Conservation Service may be contacted for technical assistance in this area.
    
    System Administrator
    A system administrator may be needed to administer the GIS and its peripherals such as
    digitizers, printers, and plotters. This is especially true for systems that require a network and
    have multiple users. A system administrator can help with hardware and software  maintenance
    and replacement, network maintenance, system backups, and other administrative duties.
                                              18
    

    -------
                                       REFERENCES
    
    Anderman, W.H. and G.Martin. 1986. Effect of public sewers on watershed contamination,
    Journal of Environmental Health 4(2):81-84.
    
    EPA. 1997a. States source water assessment and protection programs final guidance. EPA
    816-R-97-009. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Water, Washington, DC.
    
    EPA. 1997b. State methods for delineating source water protection areas for surface water
    supplied sources of drinking water. EPA 816-R-97-008. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
    Office of Water, Washington, DC.
    
    EPA. 1997c. Delineation of Source Water Protection Areas, a Discussion for Managers; Part 1:
    A Conjunctive Approach for Ground Water and Surface Water, U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, Office of Water, Washington, DC. (Expected August 1997)
    
    EPA. 1995. EPA/State Joint Guidance on Sanitary Surveys. U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, Office of Water, Washington, DC.
    
    EPA. 1994. The quality of our nation=s waters. EPA 841-S-95-004. U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Water, Washington, DC.
    
    EPA. 1993. Guidelines for delineation of wellhead protection areas. EPA 4405-93-001. U.S.
    Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Water, Office of Groundwater Protection,
    Washington, DC.
    
    EPA. 1991 a. Guide for Conducting Contamination Source Inventories for Public Drinking Water
    Supply Protection Programs. EPA 570/9-91-033. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office
    of Water, Washington, D.C.
    
    EPA. 1991b. Managing Groundwater Contamination Sources in Wellhead Protection Areas: A
    Priority Setting Approach. EPA 570/9-91-023. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of
    Groundwater and Drinking Water.
                                             19
    

    -------
    EPA. 1990. Guidance manual for compliance with the filtration and disinfection requirements for
    public water systems using surface water sources, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office
    of Drinking Water, Washington, D.C.
    
    ESRI, Inc. 1992. Understanding GIS: The ARC/INFO Way. Environmental Systems Research
    Institute, Redlands, CA.
    
    Grayman, W.M., S.R.  Kshirsagar, and R.M. Males. 1993. A Geographic Information System for
    the Ohio River Basin,  Risk Reduction Engineering Laboratory, Office of Research and
    Development, US Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, Ohio.
                                             20
    

    -------
                                   A GIS for the Ohio River Basin
                                           Walter M. Grayman
                         W.M. Grayman Consulting Engineers, Cincinnati, Ohio
    
                                          Sudhir R. Kshirsagar
                               Global Quality Corporation, Cincinnati, Ohio
    
                                            Richard M. Males
                             RMM Technical Services, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio
    
                                           James A. Goodrich
              Risk Reduction Engineering Laboratory,  Office of Research and Development,
                         U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, Ohio
    
                                             Jason P.  Heath
                    Ohio River Valley Water Sanitation Commission, Cincinnati, Ohio
    Abstract
    
    Much of the information used in the management of
    water quality in a river basin has a geographic or spatial
    component  associated with  it. As  a  result, spatially
    based computer models and database systems can be
    part  of an  effective water  quality  management and
    evaluation process.  The Ohio River Valley Water Sani-
    tation Commission (ORSANCO) is an interstate water
    pollution control agency serving the  Ohio River and its
    eight member states. The U.S. Environmental Protec-
    tion Agency (EPA) entered into a cooperative agreement
    with ORSANCO to develop and apply spatially based
    computer models and database systems in the Ohio
    River basin.
    
    Three computer-based technologies have  been ap-
    plied and integrated: geographic information systems
    (GIS), water quality/hydraulic modeling, and database
    management.
    
    GIS serves as a mechanism for storing,  using, and
    displaying spatial data. The  ARC/INFO GIS,  EPAs
    agencywide standard, was  used in the study, which
    assembled databases of land and stream information for
    the Ohio River basin. GIS represented streams in hydro-
    logic catalog units along the Ohio River mainstem using
    EPAs new, detailed  RF3-level Reach File System. The
    full Ohio  River basin was represented using the less
    detailed  RF1-level reach file.  Modeling provides a way
    to examine the impacts of human-induced and natural
    events within the basin and to explore alternative strate-
    gies for mitigating these events.
    
    Hydraulic information from the U.S. Army Corps of En-
    gineers' FLOWSED model enabled EPAs WASP4 water
    quality model  to be embedded in a menu-driven spill
    management system to facilitate modeling of the Ohio
    River  mainstem under emergency spill conditions. A
    steady-state water quality modeling component was
    also developed under the ARC/INFO GIS to trace the
    movement and degradation of pollutants through any
    reaches in the RF1 representation of the full Ohio River
    basin.
    
    Database management technology relates to the stor-
    age, analysis,  and display of data. A detailed database
    of information on dischargers to the Ohio River mainstem
    was assembled under the PARADOX database manage-
    ment system using EPAs permit compliance system as
    the primary data source. Though these three technolo-
    gies have been widely used in the field of water quality
    management,  integration  of these tools into a holistic
    mechanism provided the primary challenge of this study.
    
    EPAs Risk Reduction Engineering Laboratory in Cincin-
    nati, Ohio, developed this project summary to announce
    key findings of the research project, which is fully docu-
    mented in a separate report of the same title.
    

    -------
    Introduction
    
    During the past 25 years, computers have been actively
    used in water quality management, demonstrating their
    potential to assist in a wide range of analysis and display
    tasks. Technologies such  as geographic information
    systems (CIS), database management systems (DBMS),
    and mathematical modeling have  been applied in the
    water quality management field and have proven to be
    effective tools. For computers to achieve their full poten-
    tial, however,  they must become integrated  into the
    normal programmatic efforts of agencies and organiza-
    tions in the planning, regulation, and operational areas
    of water quality management.
    
    Recognizing this  need for routine use of computer-
    based tools,  the  Ohio River  Valley Water Sanitation
    Commission (ORSANCO) and the Risk Reduction En-
    gineering Laboratory (RREL) of the U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency (EPA) commenced  a study in 1990.
    The goals of the study included the adaptation, devel-
    opment, and application  of modeling and spatial data-
    base  management (DBM)  tools  that  could  assist
    ORSANCO in its prescribed water quality management
    objectives. These goals were consistent with EPAs on-
    going programs involving the use  of CIS and modeling
    technology. The study's goals also coincided with EPAs
    Drinking Water Research Division's work over the past
    decade, which applied similar technology to study the
    vulnerability of water supplies on the Ohio and Missis-
    sippi Rivers to upstream discharges.
    
    Methodology Overview
    
    To address the goals of this project, three basic tech-
    nologies have been applied and integrated: CIS, water
    quality/hydraulic modeling, and DBM.  CIS serves as a
    mechanism for storing,  using, and displaying spatial
    data. Modeling provides a way to  examine the impacts
    of human-induced and natural events within the basin
    and to explore alternative strategies for mitigating these
    events. DBM technology relates to the storage, analysis,
    and display of data. Though these three technologies
    have  been widely used in the field  of water quality
    management,  integration of these tools into a holistic
    mechanism provided the primary challenge of this study.
    
    CIS Technology
    
    The guiding principle in developing the CIS capability
    was to maximize the use of existing CIS technology and
    spatial databases. The  study used  ARC/INFO CIS,
    EPAs  agencywide  standard.  Remote  access  of
    ARC/INFO on a VAX minicomputer facilitated the initial
    work. Subsequently, both PC ARC/INFO and a worksta-
    tion-based system were obtained.
    
    EPA has developed an extensive spatial database re-
    lated to water quality and demographic parameters. This
    served as the primary source  of spatial data for the
    study. Following is a summary  of spatial data used  in
    this study:
    
    • State and county boundaries.
    
    • City locations and characteristics.
    
    • Water supply locations and characteristics.
    
    • Locations and characteristics of dischargers to
      water bodies.
    
    • Toxic loadings to air, water, and land.
    
    • Dam locations and characteristics.
    
    • Stream reaches and characteristics.
    
    The  primary organizing concept for the  water-related
    information was EPAs Reach File System (1). This sys-
    tem  provides a common  mechanism within EPA and
    other agencies for identifying surface water segments,
    relating water resources data, and traversing the nation's
    surface water in hydrologic order within a computer envi-
    ronment. A hierarchical hydrologic code uniquely identi-
    fies each reach. Information available  on each reach
    includes topological identification of adjacent reaches,
    characteristic information  such as length and stream
    name, and stream flow and velocity estimates. The origi-
    nal reach file (designated as RF1) was developed in the
    early 1980s and included approximately 70,000 reaches
    nationwide. The most  recent version  (RF3)  includes
    over 3,000,000 reaches nationwide.
    
    As part of this project, an RF1-level database was es-
    tablished for the entire Ohio River basin. The RF3 reach
    file was implemented for the Ohio River mainstem and
    lower portions of tributaries. River miles along the Ohio
    River were digitized and established as an ARC/INFO
    coverage to provide a linkage between the reach file and
    river mile indexing used by ORSANCO and other agen-
    cies along the  river. Figure 1 shows the RF1 reach file
    representation of the Ohio River basin along with state
    boundaries.
    
    The study incorporated several EPA sources of informa-
    tion on dischargers to water bodies. The industrial facil-
    ity  discharger  (IFD)  file  contains locational  and
    characteristic data  for National  Pollutant Discharge
    Elimination System (NPDES) permitted discharges. De-
    tailed permit limits and  monitoring  information was ac-
    cessed from the permit compliance system (PCS). The
    toxic release inventory (TRI) system includes annual
    loading of selected  chemicals to water, land, air, and
    sewer for selected  industries based on quantity dis-
    charged. All  water data are referenced to the NPDES
    permit number, which is spatially located by reach and
    river mile, and  by latitude and longitude.
    

    -------
                             0 meter,
                                         147884
    Figure 1. RF1 reaches in the Ohio River basin.
    
    Spill Modeling
    
    An important role that  ORSANCO fills on the Ohio River
    relates to the monitoring and prediction of the fate  of
    pollutant spills. Typically, ORSANCO serves as the over-
    all communications link between states  during  such
    emergency conditions. ORSANCO coordinates and par-
    ticipates in monitoring and serves  as the information
    center  in gathering  data and issuing predictions about
    the movement of spills in the river. In the past, a series
    of time-of-travel  nomographs,  based  on  National
    Weather Service flow forecasts, Corps of Engineers
    flow-velocity relationships,  and  previous  experience,
    were used to predict the movement of spills. This project
    combined a hydraulic  model with a water quality model
    to serve as a more  robust method for making such
    predictions.
    
    The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' FLOWSED model
    was selected as the means of predicting daily flow quan-
    tities and water levels  along the mainstem  and portions
    of major tributaries  near their confluence with the Ohio
    River (2). The Ohio River Division of the Corps of Engi-
    neers applies FLOWSED daily as part of its  reservoir
    operations  program.  The  Corps can  generate 5-day
    forecasts of stage and flow for 400 mainstem and tribu-
    tary segments, and ORSANCO can access the results
    via phone lines.
    
    EPAs WASP4 water quality model was selected for use
    in the project (3). WASP4  is a  dynamic compartment
    model that can be  used to analyze a  variety of water
    quality problems in a diverse set of water bodies. Because
    the primary use of the  model in this project is quick
    response under emergency situations,  only the toxic
    chemical portion of the model with first order decay is
    being used. The FLOWSED and WASP4 models have
    been combined into a user-friendly spatial decision sup-
    port system framework  described later in this project
    summary.
    
    
    Discharger Database  Management System
    
    EPA's  PCS  and  historical records maintained  by
    ORSANCO furnish a rich source of data on dis-
    charge  information for the Ohio River. To  organize
    these data and make them available for analysis, a
    database was  developed  using the PARADOX DBM
    system.
    
    The database was established using a relational struc-
    ture with a series of related  tables (two-dimensional flat
    files). Individual tables contain  information on facilities,
    outfalls, permit  limits, monitoring data, and codes used
    in the other tables. The NPDES permit number is used
    as the primary key in each data table. A mechanism for
    downloading  and reformatting data  from the national
    PCS database  has  been developed along with custom
    forms for viewing and editing data, and custom reports
    for preparing hard copy summaries. Latitude and longi-
    tude values for each facility can provide  the locational
    mechanism for use of this data in conjunction with CIS.
    
    
    Integration of GIS/Modeling/Database
    Technologies
    
    A major objective of this study was the  integration of
    CIS, modeling, and DBMS  technologies  into a holistic
    tool for use by ORSANCO.  Several integration mecha-
    nisms were implemented as summarized  below.
    
    
    Steady-State Spill Tracing
    
    The NETWORK component of the ARC/INFO CIS pro-
    vides a steady-state, transportation-oriented routing  ca-
    pability.  This capability  was used  in an arc macro
    language (AML) program to construct a routing proce-
    dure for determining downstream concentrations  and
    travel times. The pollutant may be treated as a conser-
    vative element or represented by a first order expo-
    nential  decay  function. This  capability  has been
    implemented for use with  the  RF1 reach file repre-
    sentation of the full Ohio  River basin. The  user may
    select from six flow regimens: average flow,  low flow,
    and four multiples of average  flow ranging from one-
    tenth  to  10 times  average flow.  This system gives
    ORSANCO the ability to estimate the arrival time of a
    spill from any RF1 tributary to the Ohio River mainstem.
    

    -------
    Sp/7/ Management System
    
    A PC-based spatial decision support system (SDSS)
    was built as a spill management system to be a quick
    response tool for analyzing and displaying the results of
    pollutant spills  into  the Ohio River. The schematic in
    Figure 2 illustrates the components in this computerized
    spill management system. The system is implemented
    in the C language using a commercial menuing system
                             and  a series of graphic display routines developed at
                             EPA. Custom, written routines have been used to read
                             the  output from  the  U.S. Army Corps of Engineers'
                             FLOWSED  model, to generate input files for  EPAs
                             WASP4 model, to create output reports and output plots,
                             and  to provide an animated  representation of the con-
                             centration profiles moving down the river. Figure  3 pre-
                             sents an  example of a  graphic output the system
                             generated. Additionally, the system generates a file in
             5-DAY RIVER FLOW
            AND STAGE FORECAST
                PREPARED
             DAILY BY CORPS OF
             ENGINEERS USING
              FLOWSED MODEL
    KDOO-H
     via phone line
                  ARC/INFO CIS
                    DATABASE
                                            SPATIAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM
                                               FOR TOXIC SPILL MODELING
    Menu driven user interface linked to
    EPA WASP 4 water quality model.
    Tabular /graphical screen and hard
    copy outputs, spill animation and
    GIS DBF format output file
                                                                                     GRAPHS
                    Arc View Spatial data
                    base display system
                                                         CONCENTRATION
                                                            REPORT
                                                              by
                                                          Segment & Time
                                                                                     REPORTS
    Figure 2. Schematic representation of spill modeling system process.
                                                                                            141 ;47 1991
    Figure 3. Graphic output from the basinwide network spill model.
    

    -------
    DBF format that may be read by ARC/VIEW (the com-
    panion software to ARC/INFO for user-friendly viewing
    of spatial data).
    
    Hardware Platform
    
    Within the study, the initial hardware platform was a
    combination of local PCs (in Cincinnati) and a remote
    access terminal to  a VAX computer located at EPA's
    National Computer  Center in Research Triangle  Park,
    North Carolina. The final platform, and the one on which
    the completed system was installed, comprised a UNIX-
    based Data General workstation and a PC workstation.
    The full hardware configuration is shown schematically
    in Figure 4.
    
    Conclusions
    
    The application of  computer-based display, analysis,
    and modeling  tools  in conjunction with CIS technology
    proved to be an effective strategy for water quality man-
    agement. This study used an existing CIS package and
    DBMS in  conjunction with  existing water  quality and
    hydraulic models. The study focused  primarily on as-
    sembling available spatial and relational databases and
    integrating the  systems to provide a usable, effective tool.
    
    References
    1. Horn, R.C., and W.M.  Grayman. 1993. Water-quality modeling with
      EPA reach file system. J.  Water Res. Planning and  Mgmt.
      119(2):262-274.
    2. Johnson, B.H.  1982. Development of a numerical modeling capa-
      bility for the computation of unsteady flow on the Ohio River and
      its major tributaries. Vicksburg, MS:  U.S. Army Engineer WES.
    3. Ambrose, R.B., T.A. Wool, J.P. Connolly, and R.W  Schanz. 1988.
      WASP4, a hydrodynamic and water quality model: Model  theory,
      users' manual, and programmers' guide.  Athens, GA:  EPA Envi-
      ronmental Research Laboratory. NTIS PB88185095.
     UNIX WORKSTATION
           1.44MB
           FLOPPY
            DRIVE
    
              i
    /
    I \
    150MB
    TAPE
    DRIVE
    
    
    
    8 MM
    DAT
    
     2GB
    HARD
    DRIVE
    
    
    1/4" TAPE
    DRIVE
    Figure 4.  Hardware configuration.
    

    -------
         Data Quality Issues Affecting GIS Use for Environmental Problem-Solving
                                               Carol B. Griffin
                                Henrys Fork Foundation, Island Park, Idaho
    "Abandon hope, all ye who enter here." Dante's quote
    might well be the advice that experienced geographic
    information system (GIS) users give to nonusers about
    to confront data quality issues  associated  with GIS
    use. Indeed, after reading this paper, some  decision-
    makers might abandon attempts  to use a GIS because
    of the error associated with it. Others may want to spend
    an inordinate amount of time and money trying to elimi-
    nate all error associated with GIS use. Neither option is
    prudent.
    
    Data quality is important because it affects how reliable
    CIS-generated information is in  the  decision-making
    process. Too often, the availability of inexpensive digital
    data overshadows data quality concerns;  people fre-
    quently use digital data because they are available, not
    because they have the necessary accuracy.
    
    A GIS can help decision-makers use spatial informa-
    tion more fully than manual methods allow, but some-
    times data quality issues cause concern about using
    CIS-generated  outputs.  Making  environmental  deci-
    sions without adequate consideration  to data quality
    may lead to an erroneous decision, erode public confi-
    dence, or cause an agency to incur liability. This paper
    attempts to encourage  decision-makers  to become
    more aware of data quality issues, including the sources
    and magnitude of error.
    
    GIS  error research  has necessarily progressed in a
    linear fashion, beginning with  identifying and classifying
    sources of error. This paper discusses both inherent
    (source) error and the error that GIS operations  intro-
    duce  (operational error)  during data  input, storage,
    analysis/manipulation,  and output (1).  Strategies  for
    coping with error and research into error reduction tech-
    niques have only recently received attention. Unfortu-
    nately, the answers to error management  questions
    such as, "How will the error affect decision-making?" are
    not clear.  The  end of this paper covers several  error
    management suggestions and anticipated software im-
    provements designed to reduce errors,  however.
    Data Quality Concepts and Their
    Importance
    
    Data quality is a major issue for CIS-generated maps,
    much more so than it is for paper maps. In part, this is
    because a GIS can perform operations on spatial data
    that would be nearly impossible without a GIS because
    of scale, complexity, and generalization issues (2). Car-
    tographers adjust for these problems when they manu-
    ally manipulate and instantly combine  paper maps by
    adhering  to  long-standing cartographic principles, but
    GIS personnel may not be fully trained in these princi-
    ples. A GIS enables an analyst, whether trained in car-
    tographic principles or not,  to combine or manipulate
    data in appropriate  or in inappropriate, illogical,  and
    erroneous ways. Lack of training coupled with the speed
    of spatial data manipulation can have serious conse-
    quences for an agency whose personnel produce and
    use CIS-generated maps.
    
    Limited scientific understanding, limited ability to meas-
    ure data,  sampling error, inherent variability, and inade-
    quacy of mathematical representations all contribute to
    uncertainties associated with spatial data. Uncertainty
    about spatial data consists of two parts: ignorance and
    variability. Ignorance means that variables have a "true"
    value, but it is unknown to us, whereas variability means
    one value cannot represent the variables.
    
    Data quality defies a simple definition. For this paper,
    data quality can roughly mean  how "good" the data are
    for a given purpose. People usually think of data quality
    in terms of error, but the term is broader and encom-
    passes the six components outlined  in the next section.
    Error can mean the difference between the observed
    values and the "true" value. The "true" value of a variable
    is usually unknown and unknowable, but for this paper's
    purposes, "true" could  be the known value or the value
    one would obtain from field measurements (the discus-
    sion of data collection tries to dispel the notion that there
    is one "true" value for many variables, such as soil type
    in a given area orwatertemperature in a lake). Imperfect
    

    -------
    equipment or  observers  and  environmental  effects
    cause spatial error. According to Thapa and Bossier (3),
    errors fall into three categories:
    • Gross errors and blunders (people or equipment).
    • Systematic errors (which introduce bias).
    • Random errors (due to imperfect instruments and
      observers).
    In addition, another view divides spatial error into two
    different components: accuracy and precision. Accuracy
    means  how close a  value is to the "true"  value or  a
    known standard (absence of bias). Precision can have
    two definitions:  it can be a measure of dispersion  (stand-
    ard deviation) of observations about a mean, or it can
    refer to the number of decimal digits used to represent
    a value (4). In  the first definition of precision, a meas-
    urement of 6 feet  plus or minus 1 foot is more precise
    than one of 6 feet plus or minus 3 feet. In the second
    definition, a value of 6.1794 feet is more precise than
    one of 6.1 feet. Figure 1 provides a graphic explanation
    of the difference between error, accuracy, and precision.
                          Error
                      Accuracy
                                     Precision
      True Value
    4  1    Mean  2  3
         Observations
    Figure 1.  Relationship between error, accuracy, and precision.
    
    Data are not accurate or inaccurate. Instead, data accu-
    racy exists on  a continuum, ranging from low to high
    accuracy. Although people strive for accurate (error-
    free) data, obtaining  100-percent accurate data  is im-
    practical. The list below provides some of the reasons
    why total accuracy is  not obtainable  (5):
    
    • Objects to  be measured are often vaguely defined.
    
    • Some phenomena  are variable in  nature.
    
    • Classification schemes are imprecise.
    
    • Measurements are  inherently imprecise.
    
    • Gross errors of a nonstatistical nature can occur during
      measurement.
    • Attributes encoded on an ordinal  scale  (high, me-
      dium, low) are approximate.
    
    • Data represent a past state of reality.
    
    Users of geographic data should strive for data that are
    only as accurate as they need. A variety of factors, of
    course, can determine need:
    
    • Intended use of the data
    
    • Budget constraints
    
    • Time constraints
    
    • Data storage considerations
    
    • Potential liability
    
    The main  barrier to highly accurate data is lack of funds.
    Male (6) suggests that  rather than abandoning a CIS
    project because funds are not sufficient to achieve the
    desired accuracy,  an agency should collect data at the
    desired accuracy  from  smaller  areas, such as  areas
    being developed or redeveloped. Overtime, data collec-
    tion at the desired accuracy can expand to include areas
    that lacked data due to budgetary constraints. Smith and
    Honeycutt (7) outline the use of a value of information
    approach  in  determining the need for more  data (or
    more accurate data) based  on the expected costs and
    benefits associated with data collection.  If the  benefits
    of increased data accuracy are  greater than  the ex-
    pected costs, additional funds should be  allocated to
    obtain more accurate data.
    
    The intended use of data affects the type of data, as well
    as the data quality needed. Beard (8) divides CIS appli-
    cations into six types (see Table 1). The specific type of
    data quality one needs (e.g., positional accuracy, attrib-
    ute accuracy) also varies with the intended application.
    Analysts with inventory applications such as agricultural
    production are less  concerned about positional  accu-
    racy than with an accurate  assessment of anticipated
    crop yields (attribute  accuracy).  Decision-makers must
    
    Tabl e 1.  Types of GIS Applications (8)
    
    Application                   Example
    
    Siting        Finding optimal location (fire station, waste site)
    Logistic       Movement or distribution through space
                (emergency response, military movement)
    Routing       Optimal movement through a known network (mail,
                school bus)
    Navigation    Way finding; may or may not involve a known
                network (ground, sea, air)
    Inventory     Count and location of objects for a given time
                (census, tax rolls)
    Monitoring/    Examining processes over space and time
    Analysis      (ecological, zoological, geological,  epidemiological
                studies)
    

    -------
    decide which data quality component is the most impor-
    tant for their use because optimizing all six components
    can be very expensive  (9). An obvious conflict arises
    when local and state governments must meet multiple
    application needs simultaneously and thus feel forced to
    try to optimize several data quality components.
    
    The nature of the decision may also help decision-makers
    determine the data quality they need. Beard (8) lists sev-
    eral of these factors (see Table 2). A political, high-risk
    decision requires higher quality data than a nonpolitical,
    low-risk decision because more public attention focuses
    on the former decision.
    
    Table 2.  Factors That May Affec  t the Data Quality Needed for
            Decision-Making (8)
    Lower Data Quality
    Possibly Needed
    Higher Data Quality
    Possibly Needed
    Routine
    
    Nonpolitical
    
    Minimal risk
    
    Noncontroversial
    
    Indefinite
    
    Local implication
    Nonroutine
    
    Political
    
    High risk
    
    Controversial
    
    Immediate
    
    Global implication
    Components of Data Quality
    
    The  National Committee for Digital Cartographic Data
    Standards (9) identifies six components of digital carto-
    graphic data quality. This section discusses each  of
    these components:
    
    • Lineage
    
    • Positional accuracy
    
    • Attribute  accuracy
    
    • Logical consistency
    
    • Completeness
    
    • Temporal accuracy
    
    Most components of data quality apply to both source
    and operational error.
    
    Lineage
    
    Because uses and users of data change, those at the
    national level have noted a recent push to include docu-
    mentation when disseminating spatial data. Data  line-
    age, also known as metadata or a data dictionary, is data
    about data. Metadata consists of information about the
    source data such as:
    
    • Date of collection
    
    • Short definition
    
    • Data type, field length, and format
    • Control points used
    
    • Collection method, field notes, and maps
    
    • Data processing steps
    
    • Assessment of the reliability of source data
    
    • Data quality reports
    
    Access to this information can help CIS personnel de-
    termine if the data are appropriate for their use, thereby
    minimizing risks associated with using the wrong  data
    or using  data  inappropriately. According to Chrisman
    (10), the only ethical and probably best legal strategy for
    those who produce spatial data is to reveal more infor-
    mation about the data  (metadata)  so that users can
    make informed decisions. Eagan and Ventura's article
    (11) contains a sample of a generic environmental  data
    lineage  report.  The  U.S. Environmental  Protection
    Agency's  (EPA's) new locational data  policy requires
    contractors to estimate data accuracy and provide infor-
    mation about the lineage of the data (12).
    
    Positional A ecu racy
    
    Anyone who has used a  map has probably come across
    features that are not located where  the map says  they
    should be located and has experienced low positional
    accuracy. (Undoubtedly, they have  also detected  fea-
    tures that were not on the map, but that is a different
    issue.) Positional accuracy,  frequently referred to as
    horizontal error, is how close  a location on a map  is to
    its "true" ground position. Features may be located inac-
    curately on maps for many reasons, including (13):
    
    • Poor field work.
    
    • Distortion of the  original paper  map (temperature,
      humidity).
    
    • Poor conversion from raster to  vector or vector to
      raster data.
    
    • Data layers are collected at different times.
    
    • Natural variability in data (tides, vegetation, soil).
    
    • Human-induced  changes   (altering  reservoir water
      levels).
    
    • Movement of features (due to scale of the map and
      printing constraints) so they can be easily discerned
      by the  map reader.
    
    • Combining maps with different scales.
    
    • Combining maps with different projection and coordi-
      nate systems.
    
    • Different national horizontal datum  in source materials.
    
    • Different minimum mapping units.
    
    Positional accuracy has  two components: bias and pre-
    cision. Bias reflects the  average positional error of the
    

    -------
    sample points and indicates a systematic discrepancy
    (e.g., all locations are 7 feet east of where they should
    be). Estimating precision entails calculating the stand-
    ard deviation of the dispersion of the positional errors.
    Usually, root mean square error (RMSE) is reported as
    the measure of positional accuracy, but it does not dis-
    tinguish bias from precision (14). RMSE  is  frequently
    monitored during digitizing to minimize the introduction
    of additional positional error into the CIS.
    
    To determine positional accuracy, one must compare the
    location of spatial data with an independent source of
    higher accuracy. Federal agencies that collect data and
    produce maps adhere to National  Map Accuracy Stand-
    ards (NMAS)  for positional accuracy. Maps such  as
    United States Geological Survey (USGS) topographic
    maps that conform to NMAS carry an explicit statement
    on them. Other groups also  have developed  standards
    for large-scale mapping (15).
    
    NMAS for positional accuracy require that not more than
    10 percent of well-defined points can be in error by more
    than one-thirtieth  of an inch for maps at a scale of
    1:20,000 or larger. For smaller scale maps,  not more
    than 10 percent of well-defined points can be in error by
    more than one-fiftieth of an inch (16). Thus, less than 10
    percent  of  the  well-defined locations on   a  USGS
    1:24,000 map can stand more than  40 feet  from  their
    "true" location; the other 90  percent of the well-defined
    points must stand less than 40 feet from their "true"
    location. Table 3 shows the  acceptable positional accu-
    racy for commonly used maps. Note that as scale de-
    creases from 1:1,200 to 1:100,000, positional accuracy
    decreases.
    
    Several  important issues relate to NMAS. First, not all
    maps adhere to NMAS, which means their positional
    accuracy may be lowerthan  NMAS or may be unknown.
    Second, NMAS do not indicate the location of points in
    error. Third, 10 percent of the well-defined points can
    have a positional error greater than the standards allow,
    but neither the location nor the  magnitude of these
    errors are known. Fourth, NMAS apply to well-defined
    points; therefore,  areas that are  not well defined  may
    
    Tabl e3.  NMAS Horizontal (Positional) Accuracy
    Scale
    1:1,200
    1 :2,400
    1 :4,800
    1:12,000
    1 :24,000
    1:63,360
    1:100,000
    1 Inch = x Feet
    100
    200
    400
    1,000
    2,000
    5,280
    8,333
    Horizontal
    Accuracy +/- Feet
    3.33
    6.67
    13.33
    33.33
    40.00
    105.60
    166.67
    have even lower positional accuracy. The implication of
    these errors in location is that users should use caution
    in  making decisions that require high positional accu-
    racy. Positional accuracy issues are particularly trouble-
    some for CIS operations on small-scale maps or when
    combining large-scale maps (1:1,200) with small-scale
    maps (1:100,000).
    Recently, global  positioning systems (GPS), which the
    U.S. military developed, have  helped  to obtain more
    accurate feature locations. GPS is not without error,
    however. The  list below  notes  some  of the possible
    sources of error associated with GPS use, some of
    which can be controlled while others cannot (17):
    • Errors in orbital information.
    • Errors in the satellite clocks.
    • Errors in the receiver clocks.
    • Ionospheric  or tropospheric refraction.
    • Deliberate degrading of the satellite signal.
    • Obstructions that block the signal.
    • Reflection of the GPS signal off buildings, water, or
      metal.
    • Human error.
    The importance of positional accuracy depends on the
    intended use  of the  data.  In an urban area, a posi-
    tional error of 1  foot  on a  tax map may be unaccept-
    able because  1 foot may be worth millions of dollars.
    In  a  rural  area, however, tax  boundaries mapped
    within 10 feet of their surveyed location may be accu-
    rate enough (6). Somers  (18)  reports that  positional
    accuracy of 10 to 20 feet may be sufficient for envi-
    ronmental  analysis.  She says  the cost of increasing
    accuracy to 5 feet could increase the cost of data  col-
    lection by a factor of  10. The decision-maker must de-
    termine the needed positional accuracy.
    
    A ttribute A ccuracy
    Attribute accuracy refers to how well the description of
    a characteristic of spatial data matches what actually
    exists on the ground. For some spatial data, the location
    does not change overtime, but the value of the attribute
    does  (e.g.,  the  location of a  census  tract does  not
    change,  but the population  within a  census tract
    changes). Attribute accuracy is  reported differently for
    continuous data (i.e., elevation, which has  an infinite
    number of values) or discrete data (i.e., gender, which
    has a finite number of values).
    NMAS exist for elevation  contour lines on topographic
    maps.  NMAS for vertical accuracy state that not more
    than 10 percent of the points tested shall be  in error by
    more than one-half of the contour interval (16). A well-
    defined point on a USGS topographic map with a 10-foot
    

    -------
    contour interval could vary by 10 feet because the actual
    elevation could be 5 feet higher or lower than the map
    indicates. The implications of these errors are similar to
    the ones for positional accuracy.  In addition, errors in
    elevation are important because small changes in ele-
    vation may significantly affect some CIS analysis opera-
    tions  such  as the  determination  of  aspect,  slope,
    viewshed, and watershed boundaries.
    
    NMAS do not exist for discrete variables such as land
    use derived from satellite imagery. Instead, a classifica-
    tion matrix reports attribute accuracy. Field checking or
    checking a portion of the classified image against a map
    of higher accuracy determines the accuracy of the land
    use classification. The result of the comparison is a table
    from which to calculate overall, producer's, and user's
    accuracy. Table 4 is an example of a classification accu-
    racy matrix.
    
    Table 4.  Example of a Classification Accuracy Matrix (19)
    
                Reference Data ("GrouriH-uth")
                       Number of Cells
    Classified Data
    (Satell ite Imacp)
    Number of Cells
    Forest
    Water
    Urban
    Total
    Forest
    28
    1
    1
    30
    Water
    14
    15
    1
    30
    Urban
    15
    5
    20
    40
    Total
    57
    21
    22
    100
             Overall Accuracy (sum of the main diagonal)
    
                          63
                         100
                             = 63%
    Producers Accuracy
    (column total)
    OQ
    Forest = ^ = 93%
    oU
    Users Accuracy
    (row total)
    28
    Forest = -
    = 49%
    Water   =   ^   =   50%
              oU
    
    Urban   =   ^   =   50%
    Water   =   ^
    
              20
    Urban   =   —
    71%
    
    91%
    Overall accuracy is the percentage of correctly classified
    cells calculated as the sum of the main diagonal (19).
    Producer's accuracy is the total number of correct pixels
    in a category divided by the total number of pixels of that
    category as derived from the  reference data (column
    total). It corresponds to how well the person classifying
    the image (the "producer") can  correctly classify or map
    an area on the earth. In this example, the producer most
    accurately classified forested land (93 percent).  User's
    accuracy describes the probability that a sample from
    the classified area actually represents that category on
    the ground. The  map  "user" is concerned  about  the
    map's reliability. In this example, the most accurately
    classified land use from the user's perspective is urban
    (91 percent).
    
    The significance of overall, producer's, and user's accu-
    racy depends on  the intended use of the data. As an
    example, Chrisman (20)  says that the error in distin-
    guishing wetland from pasture may not matter to some-
    one estimating open space, but the difference is critical
    if the person is estimating the amount of wildlife habitat
    available. Story and Congalton (19) provide an example
    of how  to  interpret a classification matrix. A  forester
    looks at the classification matrix and sees that forest
    classification is 93 percent accurate (producer's ac-
    curacy); therefore, the analyst did not identify only 7
    percent of the forest on the ground. Once the  forester
    field checks the supposed forested area, she finds that
    only 49  percent (28 cells) of the sites mapped as forest
    are actually forest; the rest are water (14 cells) or urban
    (15 cells) areas.
    
    A report of overall, producer's, and user's  accuracy can
    help decision-makers determine the appropriateness of
    the classified image for their use by identifying potential
    errors in classification. This can help  direct field work,
    which can improve the classification  of the image and
    perhaps subsequent images. Because CIS analysis fre-
    quently  uses land use, decision-makers need to know
    that significant variability  can result when several  ana-
    lysts classify the same image. Bell and Pucherelli (21)
    found that consistency in classification can improve by
    having one person classify the entire image. McGwire (22)
    even found  significant differences between analysts in
    unsupervised classification of Landsat imagery. Com-
    puters  primarily  perform  unsupervised  classification,
    which implies that different analysts would classify the
    same image in the same way.
    
    Logical Consistency
    
    Logical  consistency focuses on flaws in the logical  rela-
    tionships among data elements. For example, a vector
    CIS should  label  all polygons with only one label per
    polygon, and  all  polygons should  be closed.  Logical
    inconsistency can also occur by collecting  data layers at
    different times or from different scale maps with different
    positional accuracies. For example, the edge of a  lake
    on  the  hydrology data layer should  coincide with the
    edge of land in the land use data layer. If data on the
    lake were collected  during a wet year  rather than a dry
    year, the lake's volume would be higher than  normal,
    affecting its location on the map. If land use data for the
    same area were collected during a dry year, the bound-
    ary of the lake on  the two  layers would not be the same.
    
    Logical  inconsistencies usually do not appear until the
    two maps are overlaid and the boundaries do not coin-
    cide (see Figure 2). The user must determine the  "cor-
    rect" location of the feature that appears misaligned on
    one or more data layers. The inconsistency between the
    

    -------
        Land Use
                         Hydrology
    Overlay
    Figure 2.  Logical inconsistency in lake and forest location.
    
    location of the two layers resolves through a process
    called  conflation. All  maps are  adjusted  so that the
    feature on each data layer lines up with the same feature
    on the base map.
    
    Completeness
    
    Completeness focuses on the adequacy of data collec-
    tion procedures. Robinson  and  Frank (5) discuss two
    kinds of uncertainty associated with collecting spatial
    data that can lead to error. One type of uncertainty is the
    inability to measure or predict an inherently exact char-
    acteristic or event with certainty. Examples of this are
    blunders in data collection or measurement error, nei-
    ther of which can be accurately predicted. The other kind
    of uncertainty is associated with concepts that are inher-
    ently  ambiguous. Crisp data sets,  such as  property
    boundaries, have little ambiguity; the only issue related
    to error  is the positional  accuracy in measuring the
    boundary. Because  land use data are not crisp data
    sets, the challenge is to accurately represent an inher-
    ently inexact concept.
    
    Although we know spatial data are variable, our classi-
    fication  systems generally  ignore the second type  of
    uncertainty. Analysts map data as though all variables
    had  exact boundaries and all polygons consisted  of
    homogeneous data. Burrough (4) reports that spatial
    variation of natural phenomena is "not just a local  noise
    function or inaccuracy that can be removed by collecting
    more data or by increasing the precision of measure-
    ment, but is often a fundamental aspect of nature that
    occurs at all scales. . .  ."
    
    Mapping spatial  data is a function of how humans ag-
    gregate and disaggregate data either in space, catego-
    ries, quantities,  or time;  spatial  data seldom exist  in
    nature the way maps depict them (23). Data and rela-
    tionships between data are sensitive to the scale and
    the zoning system in which the data are reported (24,
    25). The modifiable  area unit  problem occurs because
    an analyst can recombine a given set of units  or zones
    into the same total number of units producing very dif-
    ferent results (see Figure 3).
    
    The scale problem occurs because an analyst can com-
    bine a set of small units into a smaller number of larger
    units, which can change the inferences that can be
                   Figures.  Modifiable area unit. (Number of units is  constant;
                           location of units changes.)
    
                   made from the data.  In Figure 4, the area containing the
                   highest values changes from the southwest corner in the
                   first picture to the northern half in the second picture.
                   For example, water quality data are scale-dependent
                   because they vary based on the size and location of the
                   collection area (e.g., adjacent to a point source dis-
                   charge, a stream segment, the entire river, or the lake
                   the river discharges  into).
    
                   Kennedy (25) reports on a similar problem known as the
                   small number problem. This problem occurs when cal-
                   culations use a percentage,  ratio, or rate for a geo-
                   graphic  area for which the  population  of interest
                   (denominator) is sparse or the numerator is a rare event
                   (1 case of cancer  per 1 million people).  CIS-generated
                   maps may highlight a statistically insignificant change in
                   rare events. Small, random fluctuations in the numerator
                   may  cause large fluctuations in the resulting  percent-
                   age,  ratio, or rate.  If  policy-makers use these  maps,
                   priorities for public health policy may change because
                   of the erroneous belief that an area is experiencing more
                   unwanted rare events.
    
                   Data can be collected using a tag- or count-based sys-
                   tem, which affects their usefulness.  The tag approach
                   categorizes items  based  on the dominant or average
                   attribute and  is  ideal for planners who  want only one
                   value for each area. For example, each polygon in a
                   county soil survey is tagged with one soil type. Accord-
                   ing to soil taxonomy rules, however, only about 35 per-
                   cent of a delimited area on a soil survey must match its
                   classification, and  up to 10 percent may be a  radically
                   different soil (26).  Although the  text in the soil survey
                   sets limits on data accuracy by listing major impurities
                   found with each soil type, the CIS seldom carries that
                   information because analysts only digitize soil  bounda-
                   ries and  label data  with  the dominant attribute. This
                   Figure 4.  Scale problem (number of units changes).
    

    -------
    leads to the depiction of apparently homogeneous soil
    units although the text specifies that the  data are not
    homogeneous (27).
    
    Some soil or land cover phenomena, even though pre-
    sent in small quantities and thus not mapped, may have
    great  significance for hydrologic models, which makes
    the tag approach to data collection troublesome. Data
    collected using the count system allow the analyst to
    tabulate the frequency of occurrence or areal extent of
    a particular phenomenon. Environmental modelers pre-
    fer count data but are usually forced to use tag data,
    which can  introduce  error into their models (26). The
    new digital soils databases, STATSGO and SSURGO,
    are collected and depicted using a count format, which
    will help experienced analysts use the data more fully.
    Figure 5 shows the difference between tag and count
    methods of data collection.
    
    Data are seldom complete because analysts use clas-
    sification rules to indicate how homogeneous  an area
    must  be before  it is classified  a particular way (e.g.,
    more than 50 percent, more than 75 percent).  Another
    decision an analyst must make is where to draw the
    boundary between two different areas; it is  seldom clear
    where a forest leaves off and a rural development be-
    gins. Analysts must also decide how or if to show inclu-
    sions  (e.g., a forested area in  the middle of agricultural
    land uses).
    
    Temporal A ecu racy
    
    Collecting  data at different times introduces error be-
    cause the variable may have changed since data collec-
    tion. The  effect  of time,  reported as  the date of the
    source material, depends on  the intended use of the
    data.  Some natural resource  data have daily, weekly,
    seasonal,  or annual cycles that are important to con-
    sider.  For example, obtaining  land use data from re-
    motely sensed imagery in November for North Dakota
    produces a very different land use map than data ana-
    lysts obtain during the July growing season.
    
    In addition, demographic and land  use  information
    changes quickly in a  rapidly urbanizing area. Data  col-
    lected at several times can  produce logical  inconsis-
    tency between data layers, forcing the analyst to adjust
    the location of features to coincide with the base map.
    Another problem with collecting data at different times
                 Soil A
       Soil B
    Soil B 55%'
    Soil C 45%
    Soil A 30%
    Soil B 25%
    Soil C 20%
    Soil D 25%
                                         30%
              Tag                       Count
    
    Figure 5. Tag and count methods of data collection.
    is that data may be collected using different standards,
    which may not be apparent to the user (4).
    
    Source Errors in a GIS
    
    Source (or inherent)  error derives from errors  in data
    collection. The amount of error present in collected data
    is a function of the assumptions, methods, and proce-
    dures used to create the source map (28).  Primary data
    refers to  data  collected  from  field sampling or remote
    sensing. Causes of the errors associated with this data
    are (3, 4, 8, 14,29):
    
    • Environmental conditions (e.g., temperature, humidity).
    
    • Sampling system (e.g., incomplete or  biased data
      collection).
    
    • Time constraints.
    
    • Map projection.
    
    • Map construction techniques.
    
    • Map design  specifications.
    
    • Symbolization of data.
    
    • Natural variability.
    
    • Imprecision due to vagueness (e.g., classifying a forest).
    
    • Measurement error from unreliable,  inaccurate, or
      biased observers.
    
    • Measurement error from unreliable,  inaccurate, or
      biased equipment.
    
    • Lab errors  (e.g., reproducibility between lab proce-
      dures and between labs).
    
    The process of converting primary data to secondary
    data (usually a map) introduces additional error. Many
    of the data layers that a GIS analyst acquires are sec-
    ondary data. Some of the errors associated with map-
    making are (3):
    
    • Error in plotting control points.
    
    • Compilation  error.
    
    • Error introduced in drawing.
    
    • Error due to map generalization.
    
    • Error in map reproduction.
    
    • Error in color registration.
    
    • Deformation of the material (temperature, humidity).
    
    • Error introduced due to using  a uniform scale.
    
    • Uncertainty  in the definition of a feature (boundary
      between two land uses).
    
    • Error due to feature exaggeration.
    
    • Error in digitization or scanning.
    

    -------
    Converting paper maps to digital data for entry into a
    CIS (tertiary data) introduces still more error (the errors
    generated from converting  paper maps into a digital
    format are discussed in the section on input error), in
    part because the  purpose for which the data was col-
    lected differs from the intended use of the data.
    
    Many types of error are associated with data collection:
    
    • Data for the entire area may be incomplete.
    
    • Data may be collected  and mapped  at inappropriate
      scales.
    
    • Data may  not be relevant for the intended application.
    
    • Data may  not be accessible because  use is restricted.
    
    • Resolution of the data may not be sufficient.
    
    • Density of observations may not be  sufficient.
    
    The following discussion explains these types of errors.
    
    Data for the Entire Area May Be Incomplete
    
    An incomplete data record may be due to mechanical
    problems that interrupt recording devices, cloud cover
    or other types of  interference, or financial constraints.
    Possible solutions to this problem include collecting ad-
    ditional data for the incomplete area, using  information
    from a similar area, generalizing  existing  large-scale
    maps to match  the less detailed data needed, or  con-
    verting existing small-scale maps to large-scale maps to
    obtain data  at the desired scale. Collecting additional
    data may not be a feasible solution because of time or
    money constraints. Extrapolating data from the surro-
    gate area to the desired  area can cause problems be-
    cause  the  areas  are  not  identical   and  the  scale,
    accuracy, or resolution  of the surrogate area data
    may be inappropriate for the intended use. The sec-
    tion on analysis/manipulation of data within a  CIS
    covers the  effect of generalization  on data quality
    as well as the effect of converting small-scale maps
    to large-scale maps.
    
    Data May Be Collected and Mapped at a Scale
    That Is Inappropriate for the Application
    
    A variety  of guidelines suggest the appropriate  map
    scale to use  for various applications (see Table 5). Also,
    
    Table 5. Relationship Between Map Scale and Map Use (6)
          Map Scale               Map Use
          1:600 or larger
    
          1:720to 1:1,200
    
          1:2,400 to 1:4,800
    
          1:6,000 and smaller
    Engineering design
    
    Engineering planning
    
    General planning
    
    Regional planning
    some maps and digital databases suggest the type of
    application  for which  they  are  appropriate (e.g.,  the
    STATSGO digital soil database is suitable for state and
    regional planning, whereas SSURGO is suitable for lo-
    cal level planning). Tosta (30) cites an example of com-
    bining wetland data with parcel boundaries to determine
    ownership of the land  containing a wetland. If wetland
    mapping was done to plus or minus 100 feet positional
    accuracy and parcels are 40 feet wide, then the scale of
    the  wetland map is inappropriate for determining  if a
    wetland is located on a specific parcel.
    
    Identifying the optimal scale of  the necessary data is
    crucial because at some point, the cost of collection and
    storage exceeds  the  benefits of  increasing  the map
    scale.  Lewis  Carroll (1893) summed  up the quest for
    data mapped at an ever larger scale and the problems
    associated with large-scale maps:
    
        "What do you consider the largest map that would
        be really useful?"
    
        "About six inches to the mile."
    
        "Only six inches!" exclaimed Mein Herr. "We very
        soon got to six yards to the mile. Then we tried a
        hundred  yards to the mile.  And then came  the
        grandest idea of all! We actually made a map of the
        country, on the scale of a mile to the mile!"
    
        "Have you used it much?" I enquired.
    
        "It  has never been  spread out, yet," said Mein Herr.
        "The farmers objected: they said it would cover the
        whole country, and shut out the sunlight! So now we
        use the country itself,  as its own map, and I assure
        you it does nearly as well."
    
    Data Collected May Not Be Relevant for the
    Intended Application
    
    Frequently,  using surrogate data is quicker or cheaper
    than collecting  needed data (e.g.,  Landsat imagery
    rather than  data field collection used to determine land
    use) (4). The accuracy and classification scheme used
    in collecting the data depends on the intended use of
    the  data, which may  not coincide with the  analyst's
    purpose. For instance, soil maps were developed to aid
    farmers in determining what crops they should plant and
    for estimating crop yield. Soil maps, however, see wide
    use for very different  purposes (e.g., hydrologic and
    other environmental models). In addition, STORETdata,
    collected at points, are typically extrapolated to repre-
    sent water quality in an entire stream stretch.
    
    Data May Not Be Accessible Because
    Use Is Restricted
    
    An example of restricted data is Census data on individ-
    ual households. An agency may not want to release data
    that reveal the location of endangered species. Another
    

    -------
    example is that people may not even want the informa-
    tion mapped. For example, some cavers do not want to
    reveal the location of caves to the U.S. Forest Service,
    which is charged  under the  federal Cave Resources
    Protection Act with protecting caves, because they think
    the best way to protect  the caves  is to not map them
    (31). The National Park Service is putting the location of
    petroglyphs in the Petroglyph National Monument into a
    CIS. Making their location known to the public, however,
    is  troublesome because this may,  in fact, encourage
    their vandalism (32). Other problems in obtaining data
    include  difficulty in acquisition even if access is  not
    restricted, expensive collection or  input,  or unsuitable
    format (4, 14).
    
    
    Resolution of the A vailable Data
    May Not Be Sufficient
    
    Spatial resolution is the  minimum distance needed  be-
    tween two objects for the equipment to record the  ob-
    jects as two entities; that is, resolution is the smallest
    unit a map represents. To obtain an approximation of a
    map's resolution, divide the denominator of the map
    scale by 2,000 to get resolution in meters; for instance,
    a 1:24,000-scale map has a resolution of approximately
    12 meters (33).
    
    Resolution relates to accuracy  in  that different map
    scales conform to different accuracy standards. Two air
    photos shot from the same camera at the same distance
    above the ground have the same scale. If one photo has
    finer grain film,  however, smaller details are evident on
    it, and this photo produces a map with higher resolution
    (34). According to Csillag (33), analysts cannot simulta-
    neously optimize attribute accuracy and spatial resolu-
    tion. As spatial resolution increases, attribute complexity
    increases (35). Also, the finer the spatial resolution, the
    greater  the probability that random error significantly
    affects a data value.
    
    Resolution of the data is not necessarily  the same as
    the size of a raster cell  in a database. Statistical sam-
    pling theory suggests using a  raster cell size that is half
    the length (one-fourth of the area) of the smallest feature
    an analyst wishes to record. Raster data have a fixed
    spatial resolution that depends on the  size of the  cell
    employed, but a CIS analyst can divide  or aggregate
    cells to  achieve a different cell size.  Frequently, an
    analyst transforms data collected at one level of resolu-
    tion to a higher level  of resolution than existed in  the
    original  source  material. According to Everett  and Si-
    monett (23), "Geographic analysis,  however, can be no
    better than that of the smallest  bit of data which  the
    system is capable  of detecting." Vector data are limited
    by the resolution of input/output devices,  limits  on data
    storage,  and the accuracy of the digitized location for
    individual points (36). The spatial  resolution of the data-
    base and the  processes that operate on it should be
    reduced to a level consistent with the data's accuracy.
    
    The spatial resolution needed depends on the intended
    use of the data, cost, and data storage considerations.
    As resolution increases, so does the cost of collection
    and storage.  Resolution  sufficient to detect an object
    means that an analyst can reveal the presence of some-
    thing. Identification, the ability to identify the object or
    feature,  requires three times the  spatial resolution of
    detection. Analysis, a  finer level  of identification, re-
    quires 10 to 100 times the resolution that identification
    needs (23). Increasing resolution increases the  amount
    of data for storage, with storage requirements increas-
    ing  by the square of the resolution of  the data. For
    example, if the resolution of the data needs to  change
    from 10-meter to 1-meter pixels, file size increases by 102
    or 100 times (14).
    
    Density of Observations May Be Insufficient
    
    The density of observations serves as a general indica-
    tor of data reliability (4). Users need to know if sampling
    was done at the optimum density to resolve the  pattern.
    Burrough determined that boulder clay in The  Nether-
    lands could be resolved by sampling at 20-meter inter-
    vals or less, whereas coversand showed little variation
    in sampling from 20- to 200-meter intervals.
    
    Some strategies for reducing data collection errors are to:
    
    • Adhere to professional standards
    
    • Allocate enough time and money
    
    • Use a  rigorous sampling design
    
    • Standardize data collection procedures
    
    • Document data collection procedures
    
    • Calibrate data collection instruments
    
    • Use more accurate  instruments
    
    • Perform blunder checks to detect gross errors
    
    Documenting data collection procedures and distribut-
    ing them along with data allows potential users to deter-
    mine if the data are suitable for their purposes. By not
    documenting  procedures, errors in the source material
    are essentially "lost" by inputting the data to a CIS, and
    the errors become largely undetectable in subsequent
    CIS procedures. The result is that agencies that make
    decisions based on the CIS-generated map assume the
    source data are accurate, only to discover later  that the
    map contains substantial errors in part due to errors in
    the source material.
    
    Operational Errors in a GIS
    
    Data input, storage, analysis/manipulation,  and output
    can introduce operational errors.  Digital maps, unlike
    

    -------
    paper maps,  can accumulate  new  operational errors
    through CIS operations (8). Even if the input data were
    totally error-free, which the last section demonstrated is
    not the case, CIS operations can produce positional and
    attribute errors. The CIS operation itself determines to
    a large extent the types of errors that result.
    
    Input Errors
    
    The  process of inputting  spatial and attribute data can
    introduce error. The  major sources  of input error are
    manual entry  of attribute  features and scanning or dig-
    itizing spatial  features. Manual entry errors include in-
    complete entry of attribute  data, entering the wrong
    attribute data, or entering the right attribute data at the
    wrong location. Digitizing errors originate from equip-
    ment, personnel, or the source  material (see Table 6).
    
    Digitizing errors, such as under- and overshoot of lines
    and  polygons that are not closed, can  introduce  error
    (see  Figure 6). CIS software  can "snap" lines together
    that  really do  not connect. Depending on  the tolerance
    
    Table 6.  Types of Digitizing  Errors (4, 14, 37)
    
    Personnel Errors
       Changes in the origin
       Incorrect registration of the map on the digitizing table
       Creation of over- and undershoots
       Creation of polygons that are not  closed
       Incomplete spatial data when data are not entered
       Duplication of spatial data when lines are digitized twice
       Line-following error (inability to trace map lines perfectly with the
       cursor)
       Line-sampling error (selection of points used to represent the map)
       Physiological error (involuntary muscle spasms)
    Equipment Errors
       Digitizing table (center  has higher  positional accuracy than the
       edges)
       Resolution of the digitizer
       Differential accuracy depending on cursor orientation
    Errors in Source Material
       Distortion because source maps have not been scale-corrected
       Distortion due to changes in temperature and humidity
       Necessity of digitizing sharp boundary lines when they are gradual
       transitions
       Width of map  boundaries (0.4 mm) digitized with a 0.02-mm accu-
       racy digitizer
          Undershoot       Overshoot         Polygon Not Closed
    
    Figure 6.  Common digitizing errors.
    selected, this can result in the movement of both lines,
    which can decrease the accuracy of the resultant map.
    
    Despite the long  list of personnel errors associated with
    digitizing, a good operator probably contributes the least
    error in the  entire digitizing process  (38). Giovachino
    discusses methods that can help determine equipment
    accuracy, including checking the  repeatability, stability,
    and effect of cursor rotation.  Digitizing accuracy var-
    ies based on the width, complexity, and density of the
    feature being digitized but typically varies from 0.01
    to 0.003 (3).
    
    One problem with digitized data is that the data  can
    imply a false sense of  precision.  Boundaries on paper
    maps are frequently 0.4 mm wide but are digitized with
    0.02-mm accuracy. The result is that the lines are stored
    with 0.02-mm accuracy, implying a level of precision that
    far exceeds the original data.
    
    Minimizing digitizing errors is  important  because  the
    errors can affect subsequent CIS analysis.  Campbell
    and Mortenson (39)  provide a list of  procedures they
    used to  reduce  errors  associated  with digitizing and
    labeling:
    
    • Use log  sheets to  ensure consistency and  account-
      ability, and to provide documentation.
    
    • Check for completeness in  digitizing  all  lines and
      polygons.
    
    • Check for complete and  accurate polygon labeling.
    
    • Set an acceptable RMSE term for digitizing (usually
      0.003).
    
    • Always  overshoot  rather than  undershoot  when
      digitizing.
    
    • Overlay  a plot of the digitized  data with the  source
      map to check lines and polygons. If light passes be-
      tween the digitized  line  segment and  source map,
      redigitize it.
    
    • Check digitized work immediately  to provide feed-
      back to the digitizer operator and to  help identify and
      correct systematic errors.
    
    • Limit digitizing  to less than 4 hours  a day.
    
    • Involve people in doing CIS-related jobs other than
      digitizing to decrease turnover and increase the level
      of experience.
    
    Storage Errors
    
    Data storage in a CIS  usually involves two main types
    of errors.  First,  many  CIS systems  have  insufficient
    numerical precision,  which can introduce error  due to
    rounding. Integers are  stored as 16 or 32 bits, which
    have four significant figures. Real numbers are stored
    as floating point numbers either in single precision  (32 bit,
                                                          10
    

    -------
    7 significant figures) or double precision (64 bit, 15 or 16
    significant figures).  If the data in  a CIS  range from
    fractions of a meter to full  UTM coordinates, typical
    32-bit CIS systems cannot store all the numbers. Using
    double precision (64 bits) reduces this problem but in-
    creases storage requirements.
    
    Second,  CIS  processing and storage  usually ignore
    significant digits (data precision). As a result, the preci-
    sion of CIS processing frequently exceeds the accuracy
    of the data (40). When a CIS converts a temperature
    recorded and entered as 70 degrees Fahrenheit (near-
    est degree) to centigrade, the CIS stores the tempera-
    ture as 21.111 degrees rather than 21 degrees, which
    the significant figures in the original temperature meas-
    urement would dictate.  Using the accuracy of the data,
    not the precision  of floating  point  arithmetic, partially
    resolves  this but requires the user to make a special
    effort  because  the  CIS does not  automatically  track
    significant figures.
    
    Analysis/Manipulation Errors
    
    CIS analysis/manipulation functions, designed to trans-
    form or combine data sets, also can introduce errors.
    These errors  originate from  the measurement scale
    used  or during data conversion (vector to raster and
    rasterto vector), map overlay, generalization, converting
    small-scale to large-scale maps, slope, viewshed, and
    other  analysis functions. One of the  biggest problems
    associated with CIS use is that data in digital  form are
    subject to different  uses than data  in paper form be-
    cause the user has access to multiple data layers.
    
    Measurement Scale
    
    Four measurement scales can depict spatial data: nomi-
    nal, ordinal, interval, or ratio scales. A name or letter
    describes nominal data (e.g.,  land use type, hydrologic
    soil group C). Performing mathematical operations such
    as addition and subtraction on nominal data is meaning-
    less. Ordinal or ranked data have an order to them such
    as low, medium, and high. Interval data have  a known
    distance between the intervals such as 0, 1 to 5, 6 to 9,
    more  than 9. Ratio  data  are similar to interval data
    except ratio data have a meaningful zero (e.g., tempera-
    ture on the Kelvin scale).
    
    Often  during  CIS  operations, analysts convert interval
    or ratio data  into nominal data (e.g., low slope is 0 to
    3 percent, medium slope is 4 to 10 percent), resulting in
    a loss of information. Analysts should preserve the origi-
    nal slope values in the CIS in case the user later wants
    to modify the  classification  scheme.  Robinson  and
    Frank (5) describe the tradeoff between information con-
    tent and the meaning that can be derived from it, which
    partly helps explain why interval data are frequently
    converted to nominal data. The authors identify a con-
    tinuum progressing from nominal data at one end that is
    highly subjective, has low information content, and high
    meaning (low slope means something to the average
    user) to ratio data that has low subjectivity, high infor-
    mation content, and low meaning (a slope of 7 percent
    may not mean much to the average user).
    
    Data Conversion
    
    Errors can occur in converting a vector map to a raster
    map or a raster map to a vector  map.  For instance,
    remotely sensed data are collected using a raster-based
    system. Using a vector CIS, however, requires conver-
    sion from raster to  vector data. The size of the error
    depends on the conversion algorithm, complexity of fea-
    tures, and grid cell size and orientation (13).
    
    A line on a vector map converted to  a raster map has
    lower accuracy in  the raster representation because
    vector data structures store data  more accurately than
    raster ones. When polygons in a vector CIS are con-
    verted  to a  raster  CIS, the coding rule usually used
    assigns the value that covers the largest area within the
    cell of a categorical map to the entire cell (see Figure 7).
    For example, when placing a grid over a vector map with
    an urban land polygon adjacent to an agricultural poly-
    gon, the  cell placement can include part of both poly-
    gons. If the  resultant cell comprises  51 percent urban
    and 49 percent agricultural land, the cell is assigned 100
    percent urban.  Converting  a  numerical map between
    raster and vector systems requires spatial interpolation
    procedures.  CIS software packages use different inter-
    polation methods that can  produce a different  output
    even when using the same input data.
                Vector              Raster
    
    Figure 7.  Polygon conversion from vector to raster data.
    
    Map  Overlay
    
    Map overlay, used extensively in planning and natural
    resource management, is the combining of two or more
    data layers to create new information.  In a vector CIS,
    slivers or spurious polygons can result from overlaying
    two data layers to produce a  new map (slivers cannot
    be formed in a raster-based CIS). When combining the
    data layers, lines do not coincide, resulting in the crea-
    tion of a new polygon or sliver that did not exist on either
    layer (see Figure 8). Unfortunately, as accuracy in digit-
    izing  increases, so does the number of slivers (41).
    Positional error in  the boundaries can occur because of
                                                       11
    

    -------
    o
    
    o
    
    Sliver
    Figure 8. Sliver example.
    
    mistakes in measuring or converting the data to digital
    form, incremental expansion or recession of a real world
    boundary over time, or the fact that certain boundaries
    are  difficult  to  determine and  thus are generalized
    differently (42).
    
    The  number of map layers, accuracy of each map layer,
    and the coincidence of errors at the same position from
    several map layers all  determine the accuracy of the
    map overlay procedures (43). Using probability theory,
    Newcomer and  Szajgin determined that the highest ac-
    curacy to expect from  a map overlay  is equal to the
    accuracy of the least accurate map layer. The  lowest
    accuracy in  map overlay occurs when errors in each
    map occur at unique  points.
    
    In the quest for more accurate  results,  CIS modelers
    have increased the  complexity  of  their models and
    therefore have  increased  the number of data  layers
    needed.  Guptill (44) states,  "Conventional  wisdom
    would say that as you add more data to the solution of
    a problem, the likelihood of getting an accurate solution
    increases. However,  if each additional data layer de-
    grades the quality of the combined data set,  and hence
    the accuracy of the solution, then additional data sets
    may be counterproductive."
    
    Generalization
    
    Monmonier  (45) provides  an extensive discussion of
    geometric and content generalization procedures used
    in map-making.  Table 7 lists common types of generali-
    zation. Generalizing data on a map  helps to focus the
    user's attention  on  one or two types  of information and
    to filter out irrelevant details. Generalizing is performed
    by reducing the  scale of the data; a 1:24,000-scale map
    can be generalized to a 1:100,000-scale map so that all
    data layers  have the same scale. With generalizing,
    areas on  a large-scale map become point  or line
    features on  a small-scale map (35). Obtaining some
    measurements  from small-scale  maps, however, re-
    quires caution.  For  example, a map may depict  a
    40-foot wide road as  a single line one-fiftieth of an inch
    wide. On a  1:100,000  map, one-fiftieth  of an inch
    translates into  a 160-foot wide  road—four times the
    actual width  of the  road.
    
    Several studies have pointed to  errors that can result
    from generalization.  Wehde  (46) compared soil maps
    generated from 0.017-acre grid cells and 11 progres-
    sively increasing grid cell sizes. He  found that as grid
    Table?.   Generalization Operations (45)
    
                   Geometric Generalization
    
    Generalizing a Line
       Simplification
       Displacement
       Smoothing
       Enhancement
       Selection
    
    Generalizing a Point
       Selection
       Displacement
       Graphic association
       Abbreviation
       Aggregation
       Area conversion
    
    Generalizing an Area
       Selection
       Simplification
       Displacement
       Smoothing
       Enhancement
       Aggregation
       Dissolution
       Segmentation
       Point conversion
       Line conversion
                    Content Generalization
    
    Selection
    
    Classification
    cell size increased, map accuracy decreased. More re-
    cently, Stoms (47) found that generalizing a habitat map
    from  1 to 25, 100, and 500  hectares decreased the
    number of habitat types and the number of species
    predicted.
    Transforming Small-Scale Maps to
    Large-Scale Maps
    
    Converting small-scale maps (1:250,000) to large-scale
    maps (1:24,000) is advisable only if the analyst fully
    appreciates the effect  of this procedure on map quality.
    Data mapped at a small scale are subject to different
    accuracy standards than data mapped at a large scale.
    Connin  (48)  reports,  "Problems with accuracy arise
    when positions are reported to decimal parts of a foot or
    meter, but the method of data capture may cause the
    positional error to be  as much as hundreds  of feet or
    meters."  Yet when converting the data from small- to
    large-scale, the data appear to have the accuracy of the
    large-scale map. Theoretically, data should not be trans-
    formed and used at a scale larger than the scale of the
    document from which the data are derived (3).
                                                       12
    

    -------
    Slope andMewshed
    
    CIS software packages use a variety of algorithms to
    calculate slope and viewsheds and  can produce very
    different results. Algorithms are an unambiguous set of
    rules or a finite sequence of operations used to carry out
    a procedure. Smith,  Prisley, and  Weih (49) used six
    different CIS algorithms to determine slope on  5,905
    acres of land in order to calculate the amount of land
    deemed unsuitable for timber harvesting. They  found
    that unsuitable land  varied from 175 to 1,735 acres,
    indicating that different algorithms produce very different
    results. Felleman and Griffin (50) found  that CIS pack-
    ages with different algorithms generate  alternate view-
    sheds (the area that can be seen from a point).
    
    Output Errors
    
    A variety of errors are associated with data output:
    
    • Output devices create error.
    
    • Paper shrinks and  swells.
    
    • Line implies  certainty that  may not  exist because
      boundaries are gradual.
    
    • A cell or polygon implies homogeneity.
    
    • Scale can be modified to imply higher accuracy than
      exists in the source data.
    
    • Precision can be modified to  imply higher precision
      than exists in the source data.
    
    • Depiction  of symbols and colors may  not  follow
      convention.
    
    An important problem associated  with  CIS-generated
    maps is that users make informal assessments  about
    data quality, partially based on how they perceive the
    quality of the  output. A hand-drawn map connotes a
    lower level of accuracy than a five-color, CIS-produced
    map complete with scale  and  agency logo. Another
    problem with output is that distinguishing highly  accu-
    rate data from  less accurate data is impossible on a
    CIS-generated map. Users want the  output from  a CIS
    to  look like  maps they usually  see,  perpetuating the
    notion that lines mark exact boundaries and that poly-
    gons or cells are homogeneous. Maps that federal map-
    ping  agencies  produce  frequently follow NMAS,  but
    CIS-generated maps seldom adhere to  published map
    accuracy standards. An agency  could require that CIS
    map products meet NMAS, which  would establish and
    maintain data standards from data  collection to output.
    
    A pen stroke of one-fiftieth of an inch on an output device
    translates to an error of 40 feet on the ground for a
    1:24,000-scale map (6). Small changes  in paper maps
    due to changes in temperature and humidity can  repre-
    sent several feet on  the ground. As previously noted,
    analysts can modify the scale of CIS maps to whatever
    they desire. The basic rule of informational integrity is
    that  the  implied precision of data output should  not
    exceed the precision (spatial, temporal, or mathemati-
    cal) of the least precise input variable (26).
    
    CIS-generated maps probably do not differ significantly
    from paper maps in their implication that lines and poly-
    gons on the map represent certainty and homogeneity.
    CIS-generated maps, however, may not depict standard
    symbols, sizes, shapes, colors, and orientation. For ex-
    ample, paper geological maps use dashed lines to show
    inferred, rather than actual, field collected data, but geo-
    logical maps in a CIS may not follow the same conven-
    tion (27). Cartographers conventionally use blue lines to
    indicate water, but a CIS map-maker can show water as
    red rather than blue.
    
    Even more troublesome  are the  color schemes that
    some analysts use in depicting model output. Analysts
    often give little thought to assigning the colors to model
    results depicted as ordinal rankings. For example, areas
    of high erosion might be blue, medium erosion might be
    red,  and  low erosion might be green. This selection of
    colors ignores the intuitive meaning that people assign
    to colors. It has been suggested that the color ordering
    used in stop lights might provide a better option. In that
    case, areas of high erosion would be red, medium ero-
    sion would be yellow, and low erosion would be green.
    
    
    Error Reduction Techniques
    
    Although CIS users and researchers develop error re-
    duction strategies, ultimately users must rely on CIS
    software  developers to  implement new error reduction
    techniques in CIS packages. Error reduction techniques
    range from simple software  warnings to prohibiting a
    user from performing selected CIS  procedures. Dutton
    (51)  predicts  that future CIS programs  will automate
    data manipulation (i.e.,  size, format,  and placement
    of feature labels  on  maps)  in  keeping with  standard
    cartographic principles.  Dutton (51) and Beard (8) also
    predict that future CIS packages will enforce metadata-
    based constraints such as operations that are illegal or
    illogical (e.g., determining the average value of nominal
    data such as  land use), or are inadvisable (e.g., over-
    laying maps with widely different scales).
    
    Another change Dutton anticipates is that software ven-
    dors will  include information  in manuals that explains
    how executing a specific command may affect the data-
    base. Graphic techniques to  depict error are being  de-
    veloped for nonexpert users  while experts tend to use
    spatial statistics. Felleman (52) and Berry (53) present
    an interesting graphic portrayal of an error map that may
    indicate the future of error maps. Additional  research
    must determine what effect errors will have on decision-
    making.
                                                      13
    

    -------
    Error Management
    
    Ultimately, the decision-maker must determine what to
    do with the information in this paper. A decision-maker
    has a variety of possible courses of action, ranging from
    prudent steps that attempt to minimize  error and  the
    effect it has on decisions, to other less useful options.
    Possible actions are to:
    • Abandon use of a CIS.
    • Ignore the error associated with CIS use.
    • Attempt to collect "error-free" data.
    • Determine  if the data are accurate enough for  the
      intended purpose.
    • Develop and use data quality procedures.
    • Obtain and  use an  error report with CIS-generated
      output.
    • Ask that CIS-generated maps show potential errors.
    • Continually educate users about the appropriate use
      of spatial data.
    First, the decision-maker could abandon any attempt to
    use a CIS because of the errors associated with its use.
    At times, this may be the appropriate strategy, but this
    approach ignores the potential benefits associated with
    CIS  use.
    Second, the decision-maker could ignore the error associ-
    ated with CIS use and continue to  use  the CIS for deci-
    sion-making. This type of "head in the sand" approach is
    not advisable because of the potential liability associated
    with  making decisions  based on inaccurate data.
    Third, the decision-maker could engage in an expensive
    and time-consuming effort to collect highly  accurate er-
    ror in hopes that error becomes a nonissue. Depending
    on the intended  use of the data, the cost  of collecting
    more accurate data may exceed the benefit.
    Fourth, the decision-maker could  assess  whether  the
    information available  is accurate enough for the  in-
    tended purpose. If data quality is too low, the decision-
    maker may opt to collect new data  at the desired quality.
    If collecting additional data is not possible, the decision-
    maker can explore what types of decisions  are possible
    given the attainable data quality.  For  instance, Hunter
    and Goodchild (54) found that the  data they were  using
    were suitable  only for initial screening rather than  for
    regulatory and land-purchasing decisions.
    Fifth, procedures to ensure high quality  data could be
    developed and used in the data collection, input, and
    manipulation stages of building a CIS database.
    Sixth, the decision-maker could require a quantitative or
    at least a qualitative report on the  sources, magnitude,
    and  effects of errors.  The absence of an  error report
    does not mean the map is error-free (36). Dutton (51)
    predicts that in the near future users of geographic data
    will demand error reports,  confidence limits, and sensi-
    tivity analyses with CIS-generated output.
    
    Seventh, the decision-maker could ask for CIS-generated
    maps that adequately portray the error in the final map. For
    example, areas where the uncertainty is high could appear
    in red on maps. Another option is to place a buffer around
    lines to indicate the relative  positional accuracy of a line or
    to show transition zones. Finally, an analyst can present
    the output in ways other than a  dichotomous yes or no;
    instead, the analyst may use yes, maybe, or no depictions
    or even more gradations.
    
    Finally,  Beard (8)  introduced  the concept of  directing
    efforts  toward educating  users about use error.  She
    defines use error as the misinterpretation of  maps or
    misapplication of maps to  tasks for which they are not
    appropriate. "We can't assume that CIS  will  automat-
    ically  be less susceptible to  misuse than traditional
    maps,  and it may, in fact, exacerbate the problem by
    expanding  access to  mapped information." Beard ar-
    gues that money directed to reducing source and opera-
    tional error, while important, may not matter if use error
    is large.
    
    Conclusions
    
    CIS is  a powerful tool for analyzing spatial data. Every-
    one who uses CIS-generated output, however, must be
    aware  of  source errors and  operational errors  intro-
    duced during data input, storage, analysis/manipulation,
    and output. Increased awareness  of the sources and
    magnitude of error can help decision-makers determine
    if data are appropriate for their use. Decision-makers
    cannot leave data quality concerns to CIS analysts be-
    cause  efforts to improve  data quality are not without
    cost, and the decision-makers typically control funding.
    
    Decision-makers must not  get caught up in the glamour
    of the  spatial analyses and  outputs that a  CIS can
    produce. These attributes  may lead decision-makers to
    ignore  issues associated with uncertainty, error, accu-
    racy, and precision. Inexpensive digital data can make
    analysts and decision-makers ignore data quality. If sub-
    sequent management decisions are made based on
    poor quality data, the resultant  decisions  may turn out
    wrong. This would give decision-makers a jaded view of
    the usefulness of CIS. An adequate  understanding of
    data quality issues can  help decision-makers ask the
    right questions of analysts and avoid  making decisions
    that are inappropriate given the  data quality.
    
    References
    
     1. Walsh, S.J., D.R. Lightfoot,  and  D.R. Butler. 1987. Recognition
       and  assessment of error in geographic information systems. Pho-
       togrammetric Eng. and Remote Sensing 53(10):1,423-1,430.
                                                       14
    

    -------
     2. Openshaw, S. 1989. Learning to live with errors in spatial data-
        bases.  In: Goodchild, M., and S. Gopal,  eds. The accuracy of
        spatial databases. Bristol, PA: Taylor and  Francis, pp. 263-276.
    
     3. Thapa, K., and J. Bossier. 1992. Accuracy of spatial data used
        in geographic information systems.  Photogrammetric Eng.  and
        Remote Sensing  58(6):835-841.
    
     4. Burrough, PA. 1986. Principles of geographical information sys-
        tems for land resources assessment. New York, NY: Oxford Uni-
        versity Press.
    
     5. Robinson, V.B., and A.U. Frank. 1985. About different  kinds of
        uncertainty in collections of spatial data. In: Proceedings of Digital
        Representations of Spatial Knowledge, Washington,  DC, Auto-
        Carto 7. Falls Church, VA: ASPRS and ACSM. pp. 440-449.
    
     6. Nale, O.K. 1992. Do traditional map standards conflict with a  CIS
        landbase? CIS World 5(7):50-53.
    
     7. Smith, G.R., and  D.M. Honeycutt. 1987. Geographic data uncer-
        tainty, decision-making, and the value of information. In: Proceed-
        ings of CIS'87, San Francisco, CA (October 26-30). Falls Church,
        VA: ASPRS and ACSM. pp. 300-312.
    
     8. Beard,  K. 1989.  Dimensions of use and value  of geographic
        information. In: Onsrud, H., H.W  Calkins, and N.J. Obermeyer,
        eds. In: Proceedings of use and value of geographic information:
        Initiative four specialist meeting, Tenants Harbor, ME  (August).
        Vol. 89-7. Santa Barbara, CA: NCGIA.
    
     9. National  Committee for  Digital  Cartographic Data Standards.
        1988. The proposed standards for digital cartographic data. Amer.
        Cartographer 15(1):11-140.
    
    10. Chrisman, N.  1994. A vision of digital libraries for geographic
        information, or how I stopped trying to find the on-ramps to the
        information superhighway. Geo. Info. Sys. 4(4):21-24.
    
    11. Eagan, P.O., and S.J. Ventura. 1993.  Enhancing value of envi-
        ronmental data: Data lineage reporting. J. Environ. Eng. 119(1):5-
        16.
    
    12. U.S.  EPA. 1990. Information resources management policy man-
        ual. Washington,  DC.
    
    13. Lunetta, R.S., R.C. Congalton, L.K.  Fenstermaker, J.R. Jenson,
        K.C. McGwire, and L.R. Tinney. 1991. Remote sensing and geo-
        graphic information system data integration:  Error sources  and
        research  issues.  Photogrammetric  Eng.  and  Remote  Sensing
        57(6):677-688.
    
    14. Aronoff, S. 1989.  Geographic information systems: A manage-
        ment perspective. Ottawa, Ontario: WDL Publications.
    
    15. ASPRS. 1990. ASPRS accuracy standards for large-scale maps.
        Photogrammetric Eng. and Remote  Sensing 56(7):1,068-1,070.
    
    16. Thompson, M.M.  1987. Maps for America: Cartographic products
        of the U.S. Geological Survey and others, 3rd ed. Washington,
        DC: U.S. Geological Survey.
    
    17. Ferguson, J. 1993. What is it we  obtain from GPS? Professional
        Surveyor 13(4):3-4.
    
    18. Somers, R. 1994. Is a CIS department the answer?  Geo. Info.
        Sys.  4(6):29-32.
    
    19. Story, M.,  and R.G. Congalton. 1986.  Accuracy  assessment: A
        user's perspective. Photogrammetric Eng. and Remote  Sensing
        52(3):397-399.
    
    20. Chrisman, N.R. 1987. The accuracy of map overlays: A reassess-
        ment. Landscape and Urban Planning  14:427-439.
    21. Bell, A.D., and M.J. Pucherelli. 1992. Audubon  Lake island ero-
        sion study using aerial photography and geographic information
        systems.  Report No. R-92-12. Denver, CO:  U.S. Department of
        the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation.
    
    22. McGwire, K.C. 1992. Analyst variability  in labeling  of unsuper-
        vised classifications. Photogrammetric Eng. and  Remote Sensing
        58(12):1,673-1,677.
    
    23. Everett, J.,  and D.S. Simonett. 1976. Principles, concepts, and
        philosophical problems in remote sensing. In: Lintz,  J., and D.S.
        Simonett, eds. Remote sensing of the environment. Reading, MA:
        Addison-Wesley.
    
    24. Fortheringham, A.S. 1989. Scale-independent spatial analysis. In:
        Goodchild, M., and S. Gopal, eds. The accuracy of spatial data-
        bases. Bristol, PA: Taylor and Francis, pp. 221-228.
    
    25. Kennedy,  S. 1989. The small number problem and the accuracy
        of spatial  databases. In: Goodchild, M.,  and S.  Gopal, eds. The
        accuracy  of spatial databases. Bristol, PA: Taylor and Francis, pp.
        187-196.
    
    26. Brown, D.A., and PJ. Gersmehl. 1987. Maintaining relational ac-
        curacy of  geocoded data in environmental modeling.  In: Proceed-
        ings of CIS '87, San Francisco, CA (October 26-30). Falls Church,
        VA: ASPRS and ACSM. pp. 266-275.
    
    27. Fisher, PF.  1987. The nature of soil data in GIS—error or  uncer-
        tainty. In:  Proceedings of the International Geographic Informa-
        tion Systems (IGIS) Symposium, Arlington, VA (November 15-18).
        Vol. Ill, pp. 307-318. Arlington, VA:  Association  of American Ge-
        ographers.
    
    28. Walsh,  S.J. 1989. User considerations in  landscape charac-
        terization. In: Goodchild, M., and S. Gopal, eds. The accuracy of
        spatial databases. Bristol, PA: Taylor and Francis, pp. 35-43.
    
    29. Stoms, D. 1987. Reasoning with uncertainty in intelligent geo-
        graphic information systems. In: Proceedings  of GIS '87, San
        Francisco, CA (October 26-30). Falls Church, VA: ASPRS and
        ACSM. pp.  693-700.
    
    30. Tosta. 1993. The data wars:  Part II. Geo. Info. Sys.  3(2):22-26.
    
    31. Anonymous. 1994. Between a rock and a hard place. Backpacker
        22(8):16-18.
    
    32. Fletcher, M., and D. Sanchez. 1994. Etched in stone: Recovering
        Native American rock art. GPS World 5(10):20-29.
    
    33. Csillag, F. 1991. Resolution revisited. In: 1991 ACSM-ASPRS
        Annual Convention, Baltimore, MD (March 25-28). Auto-Carto 10,
        Volume 6. Bethesda, MD: ACSM and ASPRS. pp. 15-28.
    
    34. Star, J.L.,  and  J.E. Estes. 1990. Geographic information systems:
        An introduction. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice  Hall.
    
    35. Goodchild, M.  1993. The state of GIS for environmental problem-
        solving. In: Goodchild, M.R.,  B.O. Parks, and L.T Steyaert, eds.
        Environmental modeling with GIS. New York, NY: Oxford Univer-
        sity Press, pp. 8-15.
    
    36. Veregin, H. 1987. Error modeling in geographic information sys-
        tems: A review. Unpublished manuscript.
    
    37. Keefer, B.J., J.L. Smith, and T.G. Gregoire.  1991. Modeling and
        evaluating the effects of stream mode digitizing errors on map
        variables. Photogrammetric Eng. and Remote Sensing 57(7):957-
        963.
    
    38. Giovachino, D. 1993. How to determine the accuracy of your
        graphic digitizer. Geo. Info. Sys. 3(3):50-53.
                                                                  15
    

    -------
    39. Campbell, W.G., and D.C. Mortenson. 1989. Ensuring the quality
        of geographic information system data: A practical application of
        quality  control.  Photogrammetric  Eng.  and  Remote  Sensing
    40. Goodchild, M., and S.  Gopal. 1989. Preface. In: Goodchild, M.,
        and S. Gopal, eds. The  accuracy of spatial databases. Bristol,
        PA: Taylor and Francis.
    
    41 . Goodchild, M. 1 993. Data models and data quality: Problems and
        prospects. In: Goodchild, M.F., B.O. Parks, and L.T Steyaert, eds.
        Environmental modeling with GIS. New York, NY: Oxford Univer-
        sity Press, pp. 94-103.
    
    42. Lester, M., and N. Chrisman. 1991.  Not all slivers are skinny: A
        comparison of two methods for detecting positional error in cate-
        gorical maps. In: Proceedings of GIS/LIS '91, Atlanta, GA (Octo-
        ber 28-November 1). Bethesda, MD: ASPRS. pp. 648-658.
    
    43. Newcomer,  J.A., and J. Szajgin. 1984. Accumulation of thematic
        map errors  in  digital overlay analysis.  Amer. Cartographer
    44. Guptill, S.C. 1989. Inclusion of accuracy data in a feature-based,
        object-oriented data model. In: Goodchild, M., and S. Gopal, eds.
        The accuracy of spatial databases. Bristol, PA: Taylor and  Fran-
        cis. pp. 91-98.
    
    45. Monmonier, M. 1991. How to  lie with maps. Chicago, IL: Univer-
        sity of Chicago Press.
    
    46. Wehde, M. 1982. Grid cell size in relation to errors in maps and
        inventories produced by  computerized map processing. Photo-
        grammetric Eng. and Remote Sensing 48(8): 1, 289-1 ,298.
    47. Stoms, D.M. 1992. Effects of habitat map generalization in bio-
        diversity assessment. Photogrammetric Eng. and Remote Sens-
        ing 58(11):1,587-1,591.
    
    48. Connin, R.  1994. The trouble  with data. Professional Surveyor
        14(1):24-25.
    
    49. Smith,  J.L., S.P. Prisley, and R.C. Weih. 1991. Considering the
        effect of spatial data variability on the outcomes of forest man-
        agement decisions. In: Proceedings of GIS/LIS '91, Atlanta, GA
        (October 28-November 1). Bethesda, MD: ASPRS. pp. 286-292.
    
    50. Felleman, J.,  and C.B.  Griffin. 1990.  The  role of  error  in CIS-
        based viewshed determination: A problem analysis. Report No.
        IEPP-90-2.  Syracuse, NY: Institute of Environmental Policy and
        Planning, State University of New York, College of Environmental
        Science and Forestry.
    
    51. Dutton, G. 1991. Improving spatial analysis in GIS environments.
        In: 1991 ACSM-ASPRS  Annual  Convention,  Baltimore, MD
        (March 25-28). Auto-Carto 10,  Volume 6. Bethesda, MD: ACSM
        and ASPRS. pp. 168-185.
    
    52. Felleman, J. 1992. Letter to the editor. Geo. Info. Sys. 2(8):12-13.
    
    53. Berry, J.K. 1994.  The this, that, there rule.  GIS World 7(7):22.
    
    54. Hunter, G.J., and M.F. Goodchild. 1993. Managing  uncertainty in
        spatial  databases: Putting theory  into practice. In: Proceedings
        of the  annual meeting of the  Urban and  Regional Information
        Systems Association, Atlanta, GA (July 25-29). Washington, DC:
        Urban and Regional Information Systems Association, pp. 1-15.
                                                                  16
    

    -------
                 Expedition of Water-Surface-Profile Computations Using GIS
                       Ralph J. Haefner, K. Scott Jackson, and James M. Sherwood
                   Water Resources Division, U.S. Geological Survey, Columbus, Ohio
    Abstract
    Water-surface profiles computed by use of a step-back-
    water model such as Water Surface PROfile (WSPRO)
    are frequently used in insurance studies, highway de-
    sign,  and development planning  to  delineate flood
    boundaries. The WSPRO model requires input of hori-
    zontal and vertical  coordinate data that define cross-
    sectional  river-channel  geometry.  Cross-sectional  and
    other hydraulic data are manually coded into the WSPRO
    model, a  labor-intensive procedure. For each cross sec-
    tion, output from the model assists in approximating the
    flood boundaries and high-water elevations of floods with
    specific recurrence intervals  (for example,  100-year or
    500-year). The flood-boundary locations along a series of
    cross sections are connected to delineate the flood-prone
    areas for the selected recurrence intervals.
    
    To expedite  the data collection and  coding  tasks re-
    quired for modeling, the geographic information system
    (GIS), ARC/INFO, was used to manipulate and process
    digital data  supplied in  AutoCAD drawing  interchange
    file (DXF) format. The  DXF files, which were derived
    from aerial photographs, included 2-foot elevation data
    along topographic contours with  +0.5-foot resolution
    and the  outlines of  stream  channels.  Cross-section
    lines, located according to standard step-backwater cri-
    teria, were digitized across the valleys. A three-dimen-
    sional surface was generated from the 2-foot contours
    by use of the GIS software,  and the digitized section
    lines were overlain on this surface. GIS calculated the
    intersections of contour lines  and cross-section lines,
    which provided most of the required cross-sectional ge-
    ometry data for input to  the WSPRO model.
    
    Most of the data collection and coding processes were
    automated,  significantly reducing  labor costs and hu-
    man error. In addition, maps  at various scales can  be
    easily produced  as needed after digitizing the flood-
    prone areas  from the WSPRO model into GIS.
    Introduction and Problem Statement
    
    Losses due to flood  damage generally cost the Ameri-
    can public hundreds of millions of dollars  annually. In
    1968, the National Flood Insurance Act established the
    National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) to  help re-
    duce the cost to the  public and provide a framework to
    help reduce future losses. The Federal Emergency Man-
    agement Agency (FEMA) administers the NFIP. As listed
    in Mrazik and Kinberg (1), the major objectives of the
    NFIP are to:
    
    • Make nationwide flood insurance available to all com-
      munities subject to periodic flooding.
    
    • Guide future development, where  practical, away
      from flood-prone areas.
    
    • Encourage state and local governments to make ap-
      propriate land  use adjustments to restrict develop-
      ment of land that is subject to flood damage.
    
    • Establish a cooperative program involving the federal
      government and the private insurance  industry.
    
    • Encourage lending institutions, as a matter of national
      policy, to assist in furthering program objectives.
    
    • Authorize the continuing studies of flood hazards.
    
    Studies of flood-prone areas typically  involve using
    step-backwater computer algorithms (digital models) to
    estimate river water-surface profile elevations and flood-
    inundation patterns  along the topography  of the river
    and its overbanks. FEMA recognizes the  U.S. Geologi-
    cal  Survey's (USGS's) step-backwater  model,  Water
    Surface PROfile (WSPRO),  as a suitable computer
    model for  use  in flood insurance studies (2, 3). Basic
    data input for step-backwater models includes:
    
    • Estimates of flood  discharge and initial  water-surface
      elevations.
    
    • Stream cross-sectional geometry.
    
    • Roughness coefficients for cross sections.
    

    -------
    • Contracted opening geometry if bridges  or culverts
      are located along the  study reach.
    
    Obtaining meaningful model results typically requires
    numerous stream cross  sections referenced to a com-
    mon elevation datum along a stream reach. The data-
    collection efforts to obtain  these  cross-sectional data
    require  costly, labor-intensive  fieldwork.  Study  efforts
    along lengthy stream reaches may, however, involve the
    generation of a contour map using aerial photogram-
    metric mapping techniques. Processing the spatial data
    may still require extensive labor to extract the  cross-
    sectional data needed for the WSPRO model.
    
    The  development  of geographic  information systems
    (CIS) technology has greatly enhanced analyses  of spa-
    tial data such as topography. In an effort to improve the
    quality of mapping  and delineation of flood-prone areas
    in Summit County, Ohio, the USGS developed a method
    of using a CIS as a pre-  and postprocessor of the input
    and  output data for the WSPRO model. This paper
    describes the steps  the USGS used to develop this
    interface and discusses some difficulties encountered
    during the process.
    
    Approach
    
    Several steps were taken that resulted in the delineation
    of a  flood-prone area in Summit County, Ohio.  These
    steps are shown in  a flow chart (see Figure 1) and
    described below.
    
    Data were obtained for this study via aerial photography
    during April 1990.  These data include mappable fea-
    tures at the given scale  including  topography at 2-foot
    contour intervals, stream boundaries, roads, and build-
    ings. The data are estimated to be vertically accurate to
    +0.5 feet. The data were put into AutoCAD and were
    prepared for delivery to the USGS on 3.5-inch  floppy
    disks in  AutoCAD drawing interchange file (DXF) ASCII
    format. ARC/INFO was used to convert the DXF file into
    two separate data layers containing only the topography
    and traces of stream banks within  the study area.
    
    A three-dimensional  surface was generated from  the
    topographic data using the ARC/INFO software package
    Triangulated  Irregular  Network  (TIN).  Cross-section
    lines were digitized over the topography data layer. The
    cross sections were placed  according to standard step-
    backwater criteria (4) and were generally:
    
    • Perpendicular to stream flow
    
    • At major breaks  in streambed profiles
    
    • At minimum and maximum cross-sectional areas
    
    • At major changes in stream  conveyance
    
    • Spaced about one cross-section width  apart
                          Obtain
                          Aerial
                        Photography
                     Put Data in DXF Format
              Process DXF Data With CIS (ARC/INFO)
           Establish Relation of Attribute Data to Spatial Data
               Generate Three-Dimensional Surface
                   Overlay Cross Sections and
                     Calculate Intersections
             Verify Elevations With Topographic Controls
               Generate Input Files for Model With
                     Cross-Section Data
            Use WSPRO Model To Compute Water-Surface
                 Elevations for Each Cross Section
           Plot Model Output on Topography Data Layer and
                Connect Endpoints of Cross Sections
    Figure 1.  Flowchart of data conversion and processing for use
             in the Water Surface PROfile.
    The cross-section lines were then overlaid on the three-
    dimensional surface of topography, and CIS calculated
    the intersections of the contour lines and cross sections.
    The locations and elevations of these intersections were
    output as an ASCII file and slightly modified for input into
    the WSPRO model.
    
    These CIS data were  used along with the aforemen-
    tioned required data as  input to the WSPRO model.
    Input  for the model included estimates of the 100-year
    flood  discharge (5),  stream cross-sectional  geometry
    (supplied  by this work),  and estimates of roughness
    coefficients for cross sections. The WSPRO model was then
    run, providing output in  the form of water-surface eleva-
    tions at specific distances along section lines correspond-
    ing to the simulated elevation of a 100-year flood.
    
    Points corresponding to the flood elevations along the
    cross-section lines were plotted on the topography data
    

    -------
    layer and were connected manually (to delineate flood
    boundaries) by interpolating the elevations with respect
    to adjacent contours. A polygon of the flood "surface"
    was generated and drawn on a map (see Figure 2).
    
    Results
    
    The supplied topographic data were of sufficient quality
    and resolution to substitute  for field-surveyed  eleva-
    tions; however, field surveys to verify the  elevations
    along the  cross sections would augment this quality
    control process (see Figure 1). Typically, a crew of two
    individuals may take up to 4 days to survey and reduce
    the field  data for the study area chosen for  this study.
    Because aerial photography is commonly substituted for
    land surveying, the most significant effort and source of
    error may come from manually extracting elevations and
    distances along cross sections for input into the WSPRO
                                                                   500
                                                                    I
                1,000
               11.1.
                                                                 I|MM|MM|IIM|ITIT[
    
                                                                 100 200  300 400 500 Meters
    1,500   2,000  2,500 Feet
                                                                                   Legend
                                                                              100-Year Flood-Prone
                                                                              Area
    
                                                                              Topographic Contours
                                                                              (Contour Labels Omitted
                                                                              for Clarity; Contour
                                                                              Interval 2 Feet)
                                                                              Cross-Section Lines
                                                                              Stream-Bank Trace
                                                                              Intersection of 100-Year
                                                                              Flood-Prone Area and
                                                                              Cross-Section Line
    Figure 2.  Watershed showing delineation of 100-year flood-prone area.
    

    -------
    model. Initial development of the method to use CIS for
    this analysis took approximately 1 week to refine; how-
    ever, future analyses would probably only take one per-
    son 1 day to perform. This represents a significant cost
    savings. Additionally, reducing the amount of human-in-
    duced error can substantially improve the reliability and
    accuracy of the  computer-generated flood-prone area
    data.
    
    Because topography, stream traces, and other features
    are supplied in the DXF file, these data  can easily be
    brought into CIS. Maps can be made that show these
    features  in relation to the predicted flood-prone  area.
    Maps showing a variety of features can be produced at
    any scale, with accuracy limited only by the accuracy of
    the source  scale. Additionally,  CIS  can  calculate the
    intersection  of map features that  may  lie  within the
    flood-prone  area, such as buildings that may contain
    hazardous materials. CIS can also overlay land use
    data layers within the flood-prone area to define areas
    that should not be developed or that have already been
    overdeveloped in accordance with the aforementioned
    NFIP objectives.
    
    FEMA now requests that future flood-study mapping be
    completed using CIS format, a  common goal that both
    the USGS and FEMA are working toward.  These data
    are important to  land planners, flood-plain regulators,
    and  insurance companies that  rely on accurate esti-
    mates of flood-prone areas.  By increasing the accessi-
    bility  of the data by  using  CIS, we can substantially
    improve our ability to analyze spatial data efficiently.
    
    Problems Encountered
    
    Problems using data supplied in DXF format in conjunc-
    tion with CIS resulted primarily from the fact that the
    DXF data were prepared for the purpose of making a
    topographic map, not a CIS data layer. The contour lines
    were segmented; that is, where ends of segments met,
    they were not physically connected to form a topologi-
    cally viable  data layer. The data  layer needed to be
    edited because CIS requires topology for spatial-data
    processing. Additionally, in areas where the topographic
    gradient was particularly steep, contour lines were omit-
    ted. In both  cases,  an attempt was made to allow CIS
    to establish  a physical connection  of contour lines, but
    subsequent manual interpolation  was also  required.
    This may have introduced error into the data set. If future
    work requires the use of DXF data, the request for data
    should specifically state that  all topographic contours be
    continuous.
    AutoCAD stores data differently from CIS, so a relation-
    ship needed to be established  between the  data file
    containing elevations and the data file associated with
    the lines that make up the topography data layer. Sev-
    eral lines from the DXF file did not have any data asso-
    ciated  with  them, thus  necessitating  the  addition of
    contour elevation  data by context with the adjacent con-
    tours that did have data. This step may also have intro-
    duced  errors, but quality-control measures to verify the
    topographic contours and contour elevations could help
    to minimize these errors.
    
    Output from the WSPRO model is in the form of a series
    of points along cross sections that were connected by
    manual interpolation. This step also may introduce some
    error,  but the same process must be performed when
    not using CIS.
    
    
    Conclusions
    
    This report documents an example  of how CIS can be
    used  to facilitate step-backwater modeling  of flood-
    prone areas. The results of the study show that signifi-
    cant savings may be expected in the form of reduced
    labor  requirements. Furthermore, FEMA now requires
    the use of CIS to conduct flood-study mapping, thus
    providing a means to conduct additional spatial analy-
    ses more efficiently. As aerial  photography and CIS
    technology improve, although additional sources of error
    may arise, the overall accuracy, reliability, and  repro-
    ducibility of the model input and results should also
    improve.
    
    
    References
    
     1. Mrazik, B.R., and H.A. Kinberg. 1991. National flood insurance
       program: Twenty years of progress toward decreasing nationwide
       flood losses. Water Supply Paper 2375. U.S. Geological Survey.
    
     2. Shearman, J.O.,  W.H. Kirby, V.R. Schneider, and H.N. Flippo.
       1986.  Bridge  waterways analysis model. Research Report
       FHWA/RD-86/108. Federal Highway Administration.
    
     3. Shearman, J.O. 1990. Users manual for WSPRO, a computer
       model for water-surface profile computations. FHWA-IP-89-027.
       Federal Highway  Administration.
    
     4. Davidian, J. 1984. Computation of water-surface profiles in open
       channels: Techniques of water-resources  investigations of the
       United States Geological Survey. In: Applications of Hydraulics,
       Vol. 3.
    
     5. Koltun, G.F., and  J.W Roberts. 1990. Techniques for estimating
       flood-peak discharges of rural unregulated streams in Ohio. In-
       vestigations Report 89-4126. U.S. Geological Survey, Water Re-
       sources.
    

    -------
     Reporting on the Development of an Environmental GIS Application
             Wetlands Restoration in the Central Valley of California
    
                                       David T. Hansen1
    Introduction
    Appropriate documentation of information used in addressing environmental problems is a
    common issue. This paper focuses on information supporting geographic information system
    (GIS) applications on wetlands in the Central Valley of California. It identifies the role GIS
    played in the preparation of a report to Congress on wetlands and water supply in the Central
    Valley. It also describes the role that GIS is playing in the dissemination of information on
    wetlands and potential wetland habitat development to communities and groups in the Central
    Valley. Information or data documentation are major elements supporting this data and these
    GIS applications. For GIS data, this information is commonly referred to as metadata in
    conformance with the "Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata (FGDC, 1994 and
    1998).
    
     GIS is an integrative technology. It typically has involved specialists from a variety of disciplines
    who associate and integrate different data sets into a spatially referenced system. The
    development of GIS data typically follows a series of steps:
       1.  Based on a conceptual model of the environmental issue, geographic features or data of
           interest are identified.
       2.  These features are mapped or the data is spatially referenced in a map coordinate
           system.
       3.  The mapped features or data are digitally captured and processed in a software system
           to create a GIS data theme containing a graphical representation of the feature and
           associated information as attributes.
       4.  This digital data are reviewed and assessed as to fitness for the application.
       5.  The digital data is then ready for display, query, and analysis with other digital  data for
           that geographic area.
    1 U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Mid Pacific Region, Dept. of the Interior, 2800 Cottage Way, Sacramento,
    CA 95825-1898; (916) 978-5268; (916) 978-5290 FAX; dhansen@mp.usbr.gov
    

    -------
       6.  The resulting data output from GIS analysis then is again reviewed and assessed
           against the requirements for the application.
       7.
    Increased speed and capacity of computer systems and the development of graphical user
    interfaces (GUI) have brought GIS and geospatial analysis to the computer desktop.
    Technologies such as global positioning systems (GPS), remote sensing, and scanning
    technologies have combined some of these steps and shortened the time required for digital
    data development. Many of these steps which were essentially GIS back office operations can
    now be performed by managers and increasingly the public. This has enabled managers and
    the public to access and use data in a map or geographic format to address environmental
    problems.
    
    In the case of the Central Valley Joint Venture, desktop GIS has permitted the direct
    involvement of managers and partners in data development and GIS analysis. Desktop GIS
    applications developed as part of this program permit analysis of the data at the local level with
    community groups. Many GIS applications are robust enough to permit the loading and use of
    locally developed data in modeling environmental systems. Providing information supporting this
    data and the GIS application are critical in the dissemination of the data and application down to
    the local level. This case study will follow these steps identifying the information needed by the
    Central Valley Joint Venture partners for evaluating the data for application and use. This
    information is metadata and terms used will follow the elements of the "Content Standards for
    Digital Geospatial Metadata" (FGDC,  1994 revised 1998). However, this represents only a
    subset of the elements in these standards. The relationship between FGDC metadata elements
    and GIS data development  are further described in a draft guides for documenting the
    development of a GIS data  theme (Hansen, 1998) and reporting metadata for data
    management, data catalogs, and data transfer (Hansen, 1998).
    
    Conceptual Model - Identification of Data Requirements
    The Central Valley Joint Venture was established as part of the North American Waterfowl
    Management Plan signed by Canada and the United States in 1986. In 1990, the Central Valley
    Joint Venture issued an  implementation plan (CDFG, 1990) for wetland habitat restoration and
    enhancement. Wetland and adjacent upland habitat are important wintering areas for waterfowl
    in the Pacific Flyway. By the mid 1980's, waterfowl populations were approaching 30 percent of
    long term averages.  Much of this decline  is associated with the loss of wetland habitat since the
    

    -------
    turn of the century. The Central Valley is a semi arid area. Successful wetland habitat
    restoration in the valley requires a dependable and adequate water supply. Water supply for
    wetlands must be balanced against environmental requirements as well as water requirements
    use for agriculture and municipalities. The Central Valley is a major agricultural producing area
    for California and the nation. Surface water flowing primarily from snow melt in the Sierra
    Nevada mountains provides approximately 70 percent of the water used for agriculture and
    municipalities in the State. The plan attempts to balance water requirements for wetlands,
    agriculture and municipal use without impairing the supply for other aquatic and terrestrial
    species.
    
    In 1995, the Central Valley Joint Venture partners prepared a statement of work for a report to
    Congress based on the implementation plan (USFWS, 1995). Main topics for this report are the
    identification of methods for improving the reliability of water supply for existing private wetlands
    and identification of water requirements for an additional 120,000 acres to be restored to
    wetland habitat in the Central Valley. As part of the statement of work, the cooperator in the
    report was to incorporate any appropriate data into a desktop GIS.
    
     The statement of work identified a variety of information needed for the report. Much of this was
    geographic in nature such as the location of existing wetlands, lands under wetland or
    conservation easements, and lands suitable for wetland habitat development. Information was
    also identified that was not strictly geographic in nature such as the identification of constraints
    affecting the protection or restoration of wetlands or the reliability of water supply for wetlands.
    The statement of work recognized that not all information required to address issues in the
    report were suitable or could be developed in time for analysis as GIS data themes. It
    recognized that other tools would be needed to address some issues for the report to  Congress.
    
    As part of the statement of work, metadata on the collected data was to be provided by the
    contractor. The statement of work, itself, provided some of the initial information called for in the
    "Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata" (FGDC, 1994  and 1998). The statement  of
    work and the implementation plan prepared in 1990 form the basis  of the conceptual model for
    identifying data and information requirements. Data themes were identified and the purpose for
    collecting this information. The time period of data content, target source scale  (1:24,000), and
    GIS data format and system were identified.  Information not explicitly identified in the statement
    of work included actual data sources, map coordinate system, and  method of coordinate control.
    

    -------
    The statement of work was a working document which was revisited as information was
    developed to adjust for changes in the availability of data for the report.
    
    Mapping, Digital Capture, and Database Development
    Mapping, digital capture, and database development are distinct process steps. Increasing with
    new technologies, these steps occur concurrently. Such a theme for the partners in the Joint
    Venture was the identification of existing wetland habitat on the valley floor. The program
    participated in  a joint project with other organizations which identified wetlands, riparian habitat,
    and other land use (DU,  1997). This GIS theme achieved a minimum resolution for wetlands at
    about 0.8 hectares (2 acres) using remote sensing techniques. Many of the other GIS data
    themes were already mapped independently of the program requirements. The cooperator
    following the statement of work digitally captured the features represented on these maps,
    merged separate sources for a particular theme together, and constructed databases of
    attributes for the digital features.
    
    Focus areas or areas for analysis is another GIS theme that required definition, mapping, and
    digital capture  for the Joint Venture partners. The floor of the Central Valley covers
    approximately  4 million hectares (10 million acres). This was too large an area for data
    development within the time constraints of the program. One of the initial tasks of Joint Venture
    was to narrow  the focus of data collection efforts to smaller areas within the Valley floor. The
    wetland habitat GIS theme as it was being developed and the personal knowledge of the Joint
    Venture Partners assisted  in identifying focus areas for intensive data collection efforts. The
    resulting focus areas represent approximately 0.8 million hectares (2 million acres) of the valley
    floor. These areas include virtually all  the areas of existing  Public and private wetlands.
    
    For the partners in the Joint Venture Program, digital capture and database development
    represented the black box  phase of GIS data  development. Key information from this stage for
    the Joint Venture partners  included the sources of data for the GIS themes, definition of criteria
    used in digitally capturing the features, database definitions, and criteria or rules for classifying
    the attributes of those features. Since the area of interest or focus areas for Joint Venture cover
    such a broad area, multiple sources of data were required for each GIS theme. Often, these
    sources represented  different time periods for mapping. Different sources also raised issues of
    consistency in  mapping criteria and in attributes identified for the mapped features.
    

    -------
    Evaluation of Digital Data for Application and Use
    Using the desktop GIS, information collected and digitally captured as a GIS data theme could
    be reviewed directly by the Joint Venture partners. This evaluation occurred repeatedly during
    data development. This was helpful to the Joint Venture partners as well as the GIS data
    developer. Managers as well as staff could  directly evaluate the data against the issues
    identified in the statement of work and their own knowledge of the area. GIS analysis could be
    interactively performed to evaluate the various data themes for addressing issues required in
    the report. This review identified GIS themes that were not useful in addressing the issues. The
    Joint Venture could then focus attention on  other methods for developing information to address
    those issues. Surrogates to represent information that could not be directly represented in GIS
    could be addressed and evaluated. The Joint Venture partners could visually review:
    
        •   Extent of coverage  of a  particular GIS theme for the areas of interest,
        •   Data gaps between GIS themes for  the same area,
        •   Attributes carried by the GIS themes and the definitions for those attributes, and
        •   Attributes relationship to the issues identified for the report.
    
    Information that could not be directly displayed in GIS were:
    
        •   Sources used to construct each GIS theme,
        •   Time periods represented by the GIS theme,
        •   Consistency of a GIS theme for all areas of the Valley,  and
        •   Criteria used in classifying the attributes of the GIS themes.
    
    This metadata was not available at this stage to the Joint Venture partners.
    
    This information represents a subset of information identified in the "Content Standards".
    Although available to the data developer, this information was  not in a form easily provided to
    the data users. While the data provider had some experience in spatial data capture, the
    provider had little experience in working directly with data users and in recognizing information
    that they might need. The data  developer was deferring metadata compilation until the end of
    the data development. The "Content Standards" had been recently adopted by FGDC and the
    data provider had little experience in  addressing and applying the standards. This hindered the
    evaluation of the GIS data  by the Joint Venture partners.
    

    -------
    GIS Display, Query, and Analysis and Evaluation of Analysis
    For the Joint Venture program, GIS analysis and evaluation occurred concurrently. With the GIS
    desktop application, the partners in the Joint Venture program were involved directly in applying
    GIS to address some of the issues for the report. This included display, query and reporting of
    the following information for the report:
    
       •   Location and extent of public managed wetlands,
       •   Private lands under easements for wetland habitat and conservation,
       •   Private lands managed for waterfowl or duck clubs, and
       •   Major water supply agencies for those lands.
    
    The Joint Venture partners ran a variety of different scenarios using the desktop GIS to identify
    lands suitable for wetland habitat restoration. These scenarios were based on criteria defined
    and run by the Joint Venture partners at their meetings. These scenarios were primarily based
    on the following GIS data themes:
    
       •   Soil characteristics suitable for wetland habitat development,
       •   Land use,
       •   Existing Publicly managed wetlands,
       •   Lands with easements for wetland habitat or wildlife conservation, and
       •   Private wetlands.
    
    A variety of other GIS data themes were available for display with these themes for review with
    the results of the scenarios.
    
    The Joint Venture partners could evaluate the results of the scenarios for issues required in the
    report. Criteria for the scenarios could be evaluated and adjusted to meet specific needs for
    different areas of the Central Valley. At the time of these meetings, the desktop GIS was not
    exploited to  the full in documenting the various scenarios that the participants posed.
    Documentation of the final scenarios do form the basis for the some of information reported to
    Congress.
    

    -------
    Application Development - Public Outreach
    Several of these GIS data themes and other data developed in concert with the Joint Venture
    program led to the development of a stand alone application. This application contains several
    GIS data themes and software for assessing the suitability of areas for wetland habitat
    restoration (Ducks Unlimited, 1998). The application is basically a modeling tool for ranking and
    weighting various GIS themes as to their suitability for developing and maintaining wetland
    habitat. The user selects the themes that they want to use in the analysis, weights or assigns
    values contained in the attribute table, and ranks the theme on basis of its importance for
    wetland habitat. The application converts the themes into a raster data structure and combines
    the raster data sets into new data set or surface whose cell values represent suitability of that
    cell for wetland habitat. The user selects the cell size for processing. This application has been
    issued on a CD-ROM containing GIS data sets, metadata, and some sample scenarios. The
    data on the CD requires desktop GIS software, but the application is open in the sense that
    other spatial data can be loaded and used in the analysis.
    
    This  tool was developed not only to assist offices of the individual partners in the Joint Venture
    program but also as an outreach tool to local community groups and for education. This
    application provides the opportunity to address issues at the local level. Locally developed  as
    well as other data can be used in the application. Metadata describes the GIS  data themes and
    a user guide has been prepared for using the application. While metadata is included with the
    GIS data themes, it is expected that this information will not address all questions posed by the
    users of the data. Describing the GIS application following the "Content Standards of Digital
    Geospatial Metadata" is beyond the scope of these standards. As is true for most guides, the
    guide for the application focuses on the mechanics of operating the application. The guide
    probably does not address all questions on  how the various themes could be ranked or
    weighted.
    
    The local user is responsible for evaluating the results of running the analysis.  It is up to the
    user to decide on the cell size for appropriate for the selected GIS themes. The user evaluates
    the resulting output surface against the cell  size used, themes selected, and the values
    assigned to the themes. The guide can not answer all questions on what spatial analysis is, how
    the model  process actually runs, or what uncertainty can be assigned to the results of analysis.
    To some users, it will appear to be another black box. Access to additional information can be
    

    -------
    provided by citations to other documents and providing contact information for individuals and
    organizations involved with the data or the application.
    
    Summary
    This has been a review of the information needed at different stages in the development of GIS
    data and applications for the Central Valley Joint Venture Program of California. Partners in
    Joint Venture were able to evaluate the data, to run spatial analysis, and to review results from
    multiple scenarios. Issues were identified that could not be adequately addressed as GIS data
    themes. Resources could then be focused on other methods to develop this information. Some
    of these GIS themes along with other GIS themes supported the development of an
    independent GIS application. With this application, community groups and the public can
    develop their own scenarios for identifying wetlands at the desk top level.
    
    The development of relatively easy to  use desktop GIS software provides the opportunity for
    final data users to be directly involved  in data evaluation and spatial data analysis. New and
    improved technologies have compressed the steps and time required for spatial data
    development and the incorporation of that data into GIS applications. Environmental GIS
    applications are increasingly available for use by local communities and the public. Many are
    robust enough to permit the loading of locally developed data. This represents current trends as
    described in "The Future of Spatial Data and Society" (NRC, 1997). Under this trend, spatial
    data proliferate rapidly and the tools to use this data are widely available. Under this scenario,
    key issues are education or training in using spatial data and access to information to evaluate
    and apply the data. Lack of adequate information can to lead to increased uncertainty in the use
    of GIS data and increased litigation.
    
    Joint Venture partners were hindered in their evaluation and application of the GIS data themes
    because some information was not available at their meetings. This information was not
    available because the data developer  lacked experience in working concurrently with users in
    developing and applying data. As these applications are reaching down to community groups
    and the local  level, the GIS users are further removed from data  producers and application
    developers. To effectively run these applications, GIS data users can be expected to need more
    information than can be easily contained in our existing metadata descriptions or in a user
    guide.
    

    -------
    Documentation during this development is critical for the effective application and use of the
    data or the application. The "Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata" (FGDC, 1994,
    revised 1998) provides a lexicon of commonly accepted terms for describing GIS data. It
    identifies what metadata should accompany the digital data when it has been completed and
    transferred. It does not address how metadata is to be developed or presented during data
    development. These standards are a comprehensive list of elements of metadata for geospatial
    data but they are not exhaustive. These standards do not address the development of GIS
    applications for use at the local level.
    
    We as GIS data or application developers need to be directly involved in the application  and
    development of these standards. The involvement of data developers and application
    developers is needed for guides on the development and use of GIS data and applications. The
    Environmental Protection Agency has been an active participant in the development of many
    standards related to environmental quality (Johnson, 1996).  For environmental data, there are a
    variety of standards and guides often specific to a particular  discipline supporting the data
    collection and modeling efforts. The "Content Standards for National Biological Information
    Infrastructure Metadata" (USGS-BRD,  1995) has been issued for describing biological data. The
    process of developing of GIS environmental applications is similar to the development of a
    ground-water model to a site specific application (ASTM D5979) and the steps followed in
    environmental site characterization (ASTM D5730).  For water quality and monitoring, there are
    a host of commonly adopted standards. This paper is offered to continue discussion and to
    encourage involvement in the development of guides for describing environmental data and
    applications using GIS.
    

    -------
    Bibliography
    
    ASTM, 1996, "D 5979 - Guide for Conceptualization and Characterization of Ground-Water
    Flow Systems" ASTM, 100 Barr Harbor Drive, West Conshohocken PA 19428-2959.
    
    ASTM, 1996, "D 5730 - Guide for Site Characterization for Environmental Purposes with
    Emphasis on Soil, Rock, the Vadose Zone and Ground Water" ASTM, 100 Barr Harbor Drive,
    West Conshohocken PA 19428-2959.
    
    ASTM, 1996, "D 5714 - Specification for Content of Digital Geospatial Metadata" ASTM, 100
    Barr Harbor Drive, West Conshohocken PA 19428-2959.
    
    California Department of Fish and Game, California Waterfowl Association, Ducks Unlimited,
    February, 1990,  "Central Valley Habitat Joint Venture Implementation Plan", Sacramento
    California (CDFG, 1990).
    
    Ducks Unlimited, January, 1997, "California Wetland and Riparian Geographic Information
    System Project', Prepared for California Department of Fish and Game, California Wildlife
    Conservation Board, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation; Sacramento, California (DU,  1997).
    
    Ducks Unlimited, November 1998, "Central Valley Project Improvement Act GIS Model Version
    1.0, User's Guide", Sacramento, California (DU, 1998).
    
    Federal Geographic Data Committee, June 1994 (revised 1998,), "Content Standards for Digital
    Geospatial Metadata", Washington, D.C. (FGDC 1994 and 1998).
    
    Hansen, David T., 1998, "Guide for Documenting the Development of Geospatial Data for Site
    Investigations", Draft for review by ASTM Technical Sub Committees of D18, 100 Barr Harbor
    Drive, West Conshohocken PA 19428-2959 (Hansen,  1998)
    
    Hansen, David T., 1998, "Guide on Reporting Geospatial Metadata for On-line Data
    Management, Data Catalogs, and for Data Transfers", Draft for review by ASTM Technical Sub
    Committees of D18, 100 Barr Harbor Drive, West Conshohocken PA 19428-2959 (Hansen,
    1998)
                                             10
    

    -------
    Johnson, A. I., 1996, "The Accelerated Development of Standards for Environmental Data
    Collection", Sampling and Environmental Media, ASTM STP 1282, James Howard Morgan Ed.,
    ASTM, 100 Barr Harbor Drive, West Conshohocken, PA 19428-2959 (Johnson, 1998).
    
    Mapping Sciences Committee, National Research Council, 1997, "The Future of Spatial Data
    and Society: Summary of a Workshop", National Academy Press, Washington, D.C. (NRC,
    1997).
    
    U.S.  Fish and Wildlife Service, 1995, "Scope of Investigations and Plan of Work under
    Cooperative Agreement for Wetland Water Supply Investigations", Sacramento California.
    (USFWS, 1995).
    
    U.S.  Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division, 1995, "Content Standard for National
    Biological Information Infrastructure Metadata", formerly National Biological Service,
    Department of Interior, Washington, D.C. (USBS-BRD, 1995).
                                             11
    

    -------
        Using a Geographic Information Systems Application to Implement Risk
                           Based Decisions in Corrective Action
    
            Lesley Hay Wilson, P.E., Andrew P. Romanek, and David R. Maidment, Ph.D., P.E.,
                                 The University of Texas at Austin
                             James R. Rocco, Sage Risk Solutions LLC
    Abstract
    The implementation of site-wide corrective action using risk-based decision making at large and
    complex industrial, energy or defense facilities presents a number of challenges. To address these
    challenges, a spatial environmental risk assessment methodology has been developed by
    connecting Geographic Information Systems (GIS), relational databases and spreadsheets. The
    methodology is based on a description of the facility and a site conceptual model. A case study site
    with multiple potential sources, transport mechanisms and receptors has been used to evaluate the
    methodology. The case study facility is an approximately 300-acre crude oil refinery and petroleum
    products terminal that has operated since the early 1900's. This paper will discuss the development
    of two key elements of the spatial environmental risk assessment, the Digital Facility Description and
    the Spatial Site Conceptual Model using the GIS application.
    
    Introduction
    Risk-based decision making provides a mechanism to determine the necessary and cost-efficient
    strategies for protection of human health and the environment. It is an iterative process that begins
    with a planning phase that incorporates risk management decisions with a site conceptual model.
    The process then proceeds to an evaluation phase where data collection, and fate and transport
    analysis, provide the basis for evaluation of the exposure pathways identified in the site conceptual
    model. Finally, the process ends with a decision phase in which the plan is compared to the results of
    the analysis to determine whether further evaluation or remedial action is warranted or if "no further
    action" is appropriate.  Risk-based decision making requires the interrelationship of three basic
    processes: risk assessment, risk management and risk communication.
    
    Risk Assessment
    Risk assessment is a process that quantifies the potential for adverse effects to human health and
    the environment caused by an exposure to a chemical of concern released to the environment.
    Where there are no current or potential exposures to a chemical of concern, or where the
    concentration of a chemical of concern is not harmful to human health or the environment then, the
    

    -------
    risk assessment will conclude that there is no unacceptable risk. Risk assessment is accomplished
    by collecting information to construct exposure hypotheses for a chemical of concern, or a group of
    chemicals of concern, and evaluating those hypotheses to determine the potential for adverse effects
    from human or ecological exposures to chemicals of concern in the environment. This process is
    based on the National Academy of Sciences Risk Assessment paradigm (MAS, 1983).
    
    Effective risk assessment is based on several important activities. First, a comprehensive site
    conceptual model is needed to provide the working hypothesis for a site. The site  conceptual model
    is the understanding of the potential exposure pathways based on the chemical characteristics and
    the physical setting of the site. In order for the site conceptual model to be comprehensive, it needs to
    identify all of the potential exposure pathways and be updated, as new information becomes
    available. It provides the mechanism for determining the necessity and scope of data collection, and
    a template for evaluating exposure pathway completeness. Second, effective data collection is
    needed to evaluate the exposure pathways identified in the site conceptual model. Data collection
    can be both qualitative (e.g., location of source areas, historical release information) or quantitative
    (e.g., concentration of chemicals of concern in environmental media, hydrogeological characteristics).
    It requires spatially defined and relationally organized property characteristics such as physical
    features, and information related to chemical and media characteristics such  as analytical results  and
    hydrogeological information. Data collection needs to be focused on developing and updating the site
    conceptual model, evaluating exposure pathways, determining appropriate initial response actions
    and comparing site conditions to the corrective action goals. Third, the value of the information that is
    being collected must be considered. Only the quantity and quality of data necessary to provide a
    sound basis for the decisions to be made should be collected. Collecting data for the sake of more
    data is not necessary or cost-effective. Data collection must consider the use of the data to be
    collected and the potential for that additional data to change the decisions that will be made. Fourth,
    the fate and transport of chemicals of concern in the environment needs to be considered when
    evaluating exposure pathways. However, the results of fate and transport analysis must be confirmed
    through the collection of empirical data. Finally, "no further action" is not always the appropriate result
    of a risk assessment. Interim remedial action, remedial action as well as further evaluation are
    alternatives to be considered.
    

    -------
    Risk Management
    Risk management decisions are necessary to support site-specific determinations that are protective
    of human health and the environment and to provide a means for similar decisions to be made for
    similar circumstances. Many risk management decisions rely on the application of scientific
    methodologies such as the determination of the chemicals of concern to be considered in the risk
    assessment; the appropriate toxicity factors for the chemicals of concern; and the appropriate data
    quality and quantity. Other risk management decisions rely on non-scientific factors for definition such
    as the determination of a process for stakeholder involvement; an approach for ground water
    resource and use; and a consistent set of criteria for the objective comparison of alternatives. Clearly,
    a risk-based decision cannot be made without having defined the appropriate risk management
    decisions.
    
    Risk Communication
    Risk-based decision making requires the identification and involvement of the individuals,
    organizations and other entities that are directly affected by the corrective action process,  commonly
    referred to as the stakeholders. Since risk management decisions are necessary to support
    determinations that are protective of human health and the environment and require the
    consideration of a combination of scientific, social, political, personal and economic factors, it is
    critical that the risk management decisions are acceptable to most if not all of the stakeholders. In
    addition, the application of the risk management decisions within the risk assessment process must
    be clearly understood and accepted by all of the stakeholders. Therefore, early, effective and regular
    risk communication is critical to the successful implementation of risk-based decision making.
    
    Risk communication, however, has been the most overlooked component of risk-based decision
    making and all too often undertaken after the evaluation has been completed and the decisions have
    been made rather than as part of the process. When applying risk-based decision making there will
    typically be a number of alternatives for solving or addressing the environmental condition of a
    property. Each alternative will have characteristics that define its benefits and its risks to the
    stakeholders. There will also be stakeholders with differing interests, objectives, and levels of
    knowledge. However, the perception of these benefits and risks may vary among the stakeholders
    and it cannot be assumed that all stakeholders will have the knowledge or background to  effectively
    participate in the process. Therefore, effective risk communication must make information concerning
    a corrective action easily accessible to the stakeholders, provide a mechanism for the stakeholders to
    visualize the results and be interactive to allow for participation in the process by  the stakeholders.
    

    -------
    Spatial Environmental Risk Assessment
    In recent years, the use of risk assessment and risk-based decision making in environmental
    management has gained increasing attention (Rocco and Hay Wilson, 1998,  Washburn and
    Edelmann, 1998). However, there are a number of significant challenges to the practical application
    of risk-based decision making at large, complex industrial, energy or defense facilities. For these
    types of facilities, the implementation of a risk-based approach has been difficult and a practical
    methodology has not been demonstrated (Hay Wilson etal., 1998).
    
    The most significant challenges arise from the multiple potential sources, multiple chemicals of
    concern and multiple potential receptors. In these large facilities, there can literally be hundreds of
    potential exposure pathways to analyze. In practice, at complex facilities, sources are evaluated
    individually or in small groups. As an example, the corrective action program under the Resource
    Conservation  and Recovery Act (RCRA) encourages this piecemeal evaluation through its focus on
    individual solid waste management units (SWMU). In general, the implementation of program-
    specific (e.g.,  air, water, waste) regulations by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has  also
    perpetuated this non-holistic approach. The same is true for the regulation of  Department of Defense
    and Department of Energy facilities. Individual areas of a facility are studied using a straightforward
    process to analyze exposure pathways for each source-receptor pair. However, there is typically no
    attempt to understand the interaction of all of the sources and pathways on facility-wide risks or the
    affects of these multiple sources and pathways on the environmental management decisions. It has
    also been the case in the past that the goals for corrective action projects were based on very low to
    non-detect concentrations of chemicals of concern, so the need to understand all of the potential
    exposures was not as great. In addition, often many individuals are involved, over a number of years,
    at a significant cost, in the calculations of the risks for each of the different areas for a facility. Many of
    these facilities are also regulated under different regulatory programs, with different regulatory
    agencies and no one investigator examines all of the  results (Hay Wilson, 1998).
    
    The availability of cost-effective computing power and information systems applications can provide
    the foundation for the development of computer-based systems to manage information and perform
    calculations for large numbers of pathways. In particular, the information processing capabilities of
    Geographic Information Systems (GIS), relational databases, spreadsheets and other computer
    code-based models can provide a mechanism to construct a methodology to implement risk
    assessment at large, complex facilities (Hay Wilson, 1998). In the spatial environmental risk
    assessment methodology the ESRI software ArcView® is being used for the GIS functions (ESRI,
    

    -------
    1998). The Microsoft Office products Excel® and Access® are being used for the spreadsheet and
    relational database components, respectively (Microsoft, 1997).
    
    Building the Digital Facility Description
    In order to conduct the analyses required for making risk-based decisions and to provide a common
    point of reference for all of the stakeholders, an understanding of the features of the facility and
    surrounding area must be developed. This understanding can best be represented in digital files so
    that analyses may be conducted, data managed and calculations performed efficiently. These digital
    files make up the digital facility description, that is, the description of natural and man-made
    features and information about the physical, geological, hydrological and chemical characteristics of
    the facility and the region. The digital facility description is the foundation upon which the site
    conceptual model is developed and all of the exposure analyses conducted.
    
    The digital facility description consists of two major components; a spatial database and a tabular
    database. The spatial database contains the GIS shape files and coverages of geographic features
    related to regional information (e.g., surface water flow, geology) and facility information (e.g.,
    locations of current and former process areas and storage tanks). It must include the coverages
    necessary to conduct the exposure pathway analyses and should include coverages that define the
    physical setting  of the facility and provide contextual information (Romanek, 1999). The regional
    information can  be obtained from various websites, including the United States Geological Survey
    (USGS) the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and includes topography, land use, and digital
    elevation data coverages. The facility information can be obtained from digital aerial
    orthophotographs or can be developed based on CAD files that have been converted to GIS files.
    The tabular database contains the facility feature descriptions and chemical and physical data (e.g.,
    soil property measurements, chemical of concern concentration data) linked to each other through
    common fields,  thus forming a relational database. The relational database provides an easily
    manageable format for storing, adding, and retrieving different types of information (Romanek, 1999).
    
    The information included in the digital facility description for the case study is a comprehensive
    compilation of available information for the facility from  environmental, geo-technical and other
    investigations or activities that have been conducted at the facility over the past ten to fifteen years
    and the available regional spatial data. The regional information for the case study digital facility
    description includes data from regional data sources, primarily state agency web sites and EPA web
    sites. The facility information for the case study digital facility description includes facility data
    

    -------
    sources, an environmental measurements database developed by the facility and the facility
    geographic coverages developed from a 1997 aerial survey. In addition, facility information has been
    collected from site investigation reports,  historical maps, engineering drawings and older aerial
    photographs.
    
    The case study facility is an approximately 300-acre crude oil refinery and petroleum products
    terminal that has operated since the early 1900's. For this case study site, an aerial survey was
    conducted and the facility coverages of operating units, tanks, waste areas, surface waters, etc.,
    were digitized from the resulting orthophotographs. Figure 1 includes six facility scale coverages of
    the physical site features. When displayed together these depict a typical site plan. The types of
    analyses that are expected to be conducted will dictate the resolution needed for the mapping. As an
    example, for the case study site it was important to understand the potential for surface water runoff
    to the adjacent creeks and the river, so a digital terrain model (DTM) was developed from the
    orthophotographs to provide a detailed description of the land surface.
    
    Developing the Spatial Site Conceptual Model
    The site conceptual model is a critical  component of the risk assessment process and the focal
    point of risk-based decision making. It provides the working hypothesis of all of the potential exposure
    pathways associated with the chemicals of concern identified at the many potential sources, their
    movement in the environment and their  relationship to potential receptors. The site conceptual model
    is a synthesis of spatial and observational data. The challenge in assessing environmental risk at a
    large, complex facility lies in capturing the complexity of multiple sources and receptors.  Typically,
    simplified site conceptual models are used to represent the relationships between the sources and
    receptors at facilities. However, using a simplified site conceptual model can potentially lead to an
    inaccurate understanding about the effects on receptors and expected results from implementing a
    remedial action alternative (Koerner etal.,  1998). This is particularly true when assessing the
    environmental risk to the many potential receptors existing on and off of a facility resulting from
    multiple sources and receptors, as is the case at most large industrial facilities. It is also often the
    case that the site conceptual model is developed at the beginning of the risk assessment project as a
    static display of the pathways thought to be of importance to the investigation at that time. The typical
    representation is a series of flow charts (ASTM,  1995, ASTM 1998, BP, 1997). For a facility with
    multiple sources of many chemicals of concern and various potential receptors, the presentation of
    flow charts is not very informative.
    

    -------
         /V/ Boundary' Line
              ' Fences and Walls
             / Railroads
               Storage Tanks
               Structures
               Surface Hydrology
                Figure 1. Compilation of Six Facility Coverages to Display a Site Plan
    The public has received the process of risk assessment with skepticism, largely because it is not
    generally perceived to be an open and transparent calculation process. It has been viewed by many
    as a "black-box" approach. However, through the use of spatial and tabular databases, a spatial site
    conceptual model can be developed to describe the working hypothesis of the potential exposure
    pathways for a facility and provide a mechanism to communicate what is known and what is not
    known about the site and the exposure scenarios among the engineers, decision-makers and other
    stakeholders. The spatial site conceptual model can, therefore, be a means for different stakeholders
    to identify the exposure scenarios for which they have the greatest concerns and quickly identify the
    scenarios that have already been analyzed. To accomplish this the spatial site conceptual model is
    

    -------
    linked to the environmental modeling process and to the calculations of risk or corrective action
    goals. The Risk Assessment Data Model shown in Figure 2 depicts an exposure pathway evaluation
    that is tailored to the digital and spatial processes (Hay Wilson, 1998).
                                        Cross-media
                                          pathways
                                          Geographic
                                           pathways
                                    Corrective Action Goal Calculation
                              Figure 2. Risk Assessment Data Model
    
    The spatial site conceptual model is developed by identifying each complete or potentially complete
    exposure pathway for a site. The exposure pathways are segmented into the functional elements of
    sources, cross-media transfer elements, geographic transport and receptors. Segmenting the
    pathways in this way allows for the connection of the elements to their computational counter parts.
    The descriptions of the sources are linked to the tabular database that describes the release history
    for each of the sources, or the sources can be linked to the spreadsheet that is used to calculate the
    representative concentration of the chemical of concern at a particular source area given the
    analytical results from environmental media sampling. Transfer and transport segments are linked to
    the spreadsheet calculations describing the environmental processes.
    The spatial site conceptual model is an evergreen description of the current understanding of the site.
    Developing it using PC-based software makes the application accessible to all of the members of the
    project team (e.g., state regulators, responsible party project managers, consultants) and provides a
    mechanism to update the entire exposure pathway evaluation as new data is added. This saves time
    during modeling runs and reduces errors in data transfers. The fact that the exposure pathway
    evaluation results are  stored in a tabular database means that the outcomes can be catalogued and
    

    -------
    tracked. This provides the stakeholders with the documentation they seek to identify the pathways
    analyzed and the outcomes. This process makes the risk assessment more reliable and repeatable.
    
    Itemizing the exposure pathways in a database and segmenting the pathways facilitates the tracking
    of many multiple sources using conservative analytical models (Koerner, 1998). The sources that
    affect an individual receptor area can be identified and remedial action scenarios can be evaluated
    through an iterative calculation procedure. Cataloguing all of the potential impacts of the many
    multiple potential sources at a facility will provide the data and understanding of the site to support a
    site-wide analysis of exposures and ultimately of risks.
    
    The spatial site conceptual model includes a spatial representation of the elements for multiple
    sources, pathways and receptors. The components of the spatial site conceptual model (e.g.,
    sources and receptors) are represented as individual themes or data layers in vector representation.
    The user identifies the potential sources, transport mechanisms and potential receptors within the
    GIS application. Themes for potential sources are constructed based on the digital facility description
    data, the historical  information and the environmental measurements. The sources are defined as
    point coverages. These coverages may include individual  points for releases (e.g., the location of an
    emissions stack) or they may be the center points for source areas (e.g., the center of a defined area
    of soils containing chemicals of concern). Receptor locations are identified based on the spatial data
    and the current and potential future activities on the facility and surrounding properties. The receptor
    locations are defined by points, represented by points of exposure (e.g., the location of a drinking
    water well) or areas, represented by potentially affected areas (e.g., the residential neighborhood
    near a facility). The areas for which receptor identification is needed can be identified in the GIS
    application based on land use, census data or digital ecological habitat data. The transport
    mechanisms that link the sources to the receptors are grouped in themes based on environmental
    media. Lines define the lateral transport mechanisms such as groundwater flow. All of the elements
    are drawn in the GIS application. Scripts are used to assign distances, coordinates and areas to the
    spatial objects. Figure 3 includes one source area, six potentially affected areas, six points of
    exposure, and four geographic transport mechanisms.
    
    The modeling of the environmental process is implemented using a tiered approach. For simple
    evaluations the single point to point relationships are analyzed using vector operations and  one-
    dimensional algorithms. Simple fate and transport algorithms have  been assembled in a group of
    spreadsheets. In higher level evaluations the modeling is accomplished as raster or grid functions.
    

    -------
        Figure 3. Example Spatial Representation of the Site Conceptual Model Components
    Grid-based groundwater and surface water models have been developed using the methodologies
    presented by Maidment, 1996 and Romanek, 1999.
    
    Conclusions
     Risk-based decision making is an iterative process that provides a mechanism to determine the
    necessary and cost-efficient strategy for protection of human health and the environment. It requires
    the interrelationship and interoperation of risk assessment, risk management and risk
    communication. Risk Assessment is accomplished  by collecting information to construct exposure
    hypotheses for a chemical of concern or group of chemicals of concern and evaluating those
    hypotheses to determine the current and future potential for adverse effects to human or ecological
    exposures from chemicals of concern in the environment. The incorporation of risk assessment as an
                                               10
    

    -------
    integral component of an overall decision making process provides a mechanism to determine the
    necessary and cost-efficient strategy for protection of human health and the environment. In addition,
    improved methods for engineers and scientists conducting risk assessments and greater acceptance
    of risk assessments by the stakeholders will support the general environmental regulatory agency
    and community goals of environmental protection and sustainable economic development.
    
    The contribution of this research is a new spatial risk assessment methodology using GIS to
    practically implement a holistic environmental risk assessment that accounts for the multiple
    exposure pathways at large, complex facilities and support risk-based environmental management
    decisions. This methodology provides an information processing system that more clearly ties the
    data and information for  a study area to the risk-based decisions that are made for an environmental
    management project. In  addition, the application of a spatial site conceptual model methodology
    helps automate the selection of exposure pathways to be considered, provides a mechanism to
    document the pathway completeness evaluation and provides connections to the transport
    calculation components  and to the site conceptual model tabular database. In this manner,  the
    process of evaluation and calculation can be more clearly understood and presented.
    
    Acknowledgements
    BP Amoco provided funding to support this research. Dr. Robert Gilbert, Dr. Randall Charbeneau
    and Ms. Susan Sharp provided insights and support.
                                               11
    

    -------
    References
    
    American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM). 1995. Standard Guide for Developing
    Conceptual Site Models for Contaminated Sites. E 1689-95.
    
    American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM). 1998. Standard Provisional Guide for Risk-
    Based Corrective Action. PS104-98.
    
    BP Exploration & Oil Inc. (BP). 1997. "Risk-Based Decision Process Guidance Manual." BP
    Exploration & Oil Inc. Cleveland Ohio.
    
    Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI). 1998. ArcView GIS, Version 3.1, Redlands, CA.
    
    Hay Wilson, L. 1998. "A Spatial Risk Assessment Methodology for Environmental Risk-Based
    Decision-Making at Large, Complex Facilities," Dissertation Proposal, The University of Texas at
    Austin, Department of Civil Engineering, Austin, Texas.
    
    Hay Wilson, L. L. N. Koerner, A.  P. Romanek, J. R. Rocco, R. B. Gilbert. 1998. "Critical Success
    Factors for Implementing Risk-Based Decision Making at a Large Refinery Site," Contaminated Sites
    Remediation Conference: Challenges Posed by Urban & Industrial Sites Proceedings, March 23-25,
    1999, Fremantle Western Australia.
    
    Koerner, L. N., L. Hay Wilson, A. P. Romanek, J. R. Rocco, S. L. Sharp, R. B. Gilbert. 1998.
    "Maximizing the Value of Information in Risk-Based Decision-Making: Challenges and Solutions,"
    American Nuclear Society Conference, April  3-5,1998, Pasco WA.
    
    Koerner, L. N. 1998. "Development of a Site  Conceptual Model Using a Relational Database,"
    Masters Thesis. University of Texas at Austin, Department of Civil Engineering, Austin, Texas.
    
    Maidment, D. R. 1996. "Environmental Modeling within GIS," in GIS and Environmental Modeling:
    Progress and Research Issues. Goodchild, M. F. etal., eds.,  GIS World, Inc.  Fort Collins,  Colorado, p
    315(9).
    
    Microsoft Corporation 1997. Microsoft Office  Professional Edition 97, Seattle, WA.
                                               12
    

    -------
    National Academy of Sciences (MAS). 1983. Risk Assessment in the Federal Government.
    Managing the Process. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.
    
    Rocco, J. R. and L. Hay Wilson. 1998. "The Evolution of Risk-Based Corrective Action," Published in
    proceedings: Geo-Congress 98, Risk-Based Corrective Action and Brownfields Restoration, ASCE,
    Boston, Massachusetts, p44(11).
    
    Romanek, A. P. 1999. "Building the Foundation for Environmental Risk Assessment at the Marcus
    Hook Refinery using Geographic Information Systems," Masters Thesis. University of Texas at
    Austin, Department of Civil Engineering, Austin, Texas.
    
    Washburn, S. T. and K.G. Edelmann. 1998. "Development of Risk-Based Remediation Strategies,"
    Published in proceedings: Geo-Congress 98, Risk-Based Corrective Action and Brownfields
    Restoration, ASCE, Boston, Massachusetts, p30 (14).
                                               13
    

    -------
        Characterizing the Hydrogeology of Acid Mine Discharges from the Kempton Mine
                            Complex, West Virginia and Maryland
    
                                      Benjamin R. Hayes
                       Department of Geological and Environmental Sciences
                                    Susquehanna University
                              Edgar W. Meiser, Meiserand Earl, Inc.
             Constance Lyons, Maryland Department of the Environment, Bureau of Mines
    
    INTRODUCTION
    The Kempton Mine Complex consists of an area of interconnected, abandoned underground
    coal mine workings in the Upper Freeport Coal seam in southwestern Maryland and
    northeastern West Virginia (Figure  1). The mine complex was operated by the Davis Coal and
    Coke Company from 1885 to  1950. The workings encompass an area of 31.3 km2. Groundwater
    discharges from  the abandoned mine contribute on the order of six million gallons per day of
    acid mine drainage (AMD) to the North Branch of the Potomac River and the North Fork of the
    Blackwater River.
    
    OBJECTIVES
    The Maryland Bureau of Mines is undertaking a comprehensive investigation of the Kempton
    Mine Complex to develop remedial measures to reduce AMD by (1) decreasing the quantity of
    recharge to the deep mine and/or (2) improving the quality of the discharge from  the mine pool.
    Before specific remedial measures are identified and evaluated, a GIS was developed to refine
    our understanding of the mine structure and hydrology. The visualization and computational
    capabilities of GIS enhance our ability to conceptualize the geometry and hydrology of the deep
    mine complex.
    
    GIS DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
    Sources and Types of Data. Data incorporated into this study are diverse and of  varying quality.
    The watershed characteristics and  mine information included published geologic maps and
    boring data from the West Virginia Geologic Survey, Maryland Geologic Survey,  U. S.
    Geological Survey, and U.S. Bureau of Mines, as well as records from the coal company
    including mine inspection  reports, coal production reports, and water management reports.
    These data were synthesized, converted into digital form, and archived into Microsoft Access™
    

    -------
    databases. Selected figures and important pages from old reports were scanned and archived
    as raster images in the database. Geologic maps, structural contours, hypsography, hydrology,
    and transportation features were digitized from the Blackwater, Davis, Lead Mine, and Mozark
    Mountain USGS 7.5 minute quandrangles. Detailed maps of underground mine workings at a
    scale of 1 inch equals 100 feet that were originally surveyed by mine engineers with the Davis
    Coal and Coke Company were digitized in AutoCAD and incorporated into ArcView GIS
    coverages of the mine region. Boring locations and coal depths were incorporated into the
    coverages. Details of each coverage were documented in metadata files  in HTML format that
    can be read and written by any web browser.
    
    Historical aerial photographs from the 1950s through 1980s were scanned and combined in the
    GIS with recent (March, 1999) low-altitude orthophotographs of the mine  region. The recent
    orthophotos were georeferenced and rectified to control points surveyed on the ground using
    precision GPS survey techniques.
    
    Hydrologic and water quality data collected at field monitoring stations were organized in
    Microsoft Excel™ spreadsheets (flat files). These spreadsheets were used to analyze time
    series of mine  discharges, stream flow hydrographs, and water quality samples.
    
    Data Analysis. The GIS proved valuable at integrating the historical boring data and mine maps
    with the ongoing mine discharge and water quality data. Three-dimensional stratigraphic cross-
    sections and isopach maps help identify hydrogeologic features such as stratigraphic pinch
    outs, changes  in dip, and mine pool barriers. Large sets of spatial data can be integrated and
    analyzed to generate digital terrain models, correlate stratigraphic units, and compute the
    locations of outcrops of selected strata at the ground surface.  Algorithms  are currently being
    developed to generate new maps of flooded mine areas, mine pool shorelines, and directions of
    groundwater flow.
    
    MINE STRUCTURE
    In order to characterize  the hydrogeology of the mine complex, one must first understand the
    details of the structure of the  mine. The structural features include the location, orientations, and
    dimensions of the Upper Freeport coal and the underground workings within it.
    Specific questions about the mine structure include:
    

    -------
        1.  regional geologic structure of the coal seam;
        2.  precise locations of underground mine workings;
        3.  degree of coal extraction;
        4.  locations of coal outcrops; and
        5.  proximity to overlying coal seams that have been mined.
    
    Regional geologic structure of the coal seam. The Upper Freeport coal seam is found in a
    broad, north-east plunging  syncline in Upper Potomac coal basin. The fold axis trends about 5
    degrees and plunges 2 to 3 degrees to the northeast. The dip of the syncline limbs varies from 2
    to over 16 degrees, with minor variations.  Over most of the Kempton Mine, the Upper Freeport
    coal seam is 4 to 4.5 feet thick and pinches out on the eastern limb of the syncline (Figure 2).
    No  major faults are mapped on the regional geologic maps, but numerous faults and offsets are
    described in the mine reports.
    
    Figure 2. Kempton Mine and elevation contours of the base of the Upper Freeport coal seam.
    A detail structure contour map of the base of the Upper Freeport coal was prepared by the West
    Virginia Geological Survey  from over 230  borings compiled from multiple sources. The boring
    logs provide top and bottom Upper Freeport coal elevations which were  incorporated into the
    GIS database. We used the GIS to generate trend surface and three-dimensional boring
    diagrams from the boring database.
    
    Precise locations of underground mine workings. The ability to generate maps showing the
    precise locations of underground mine workings in relation to present-day features is one of the
    most valuable contributions of the GIS in this study.  The original (1885-1950) mine maps at a
    scale of 1  inch to 100 feet were carefully digitized by the current property owner, Western
    Pocahontas Properties in AutoCAD format. The coverages were georeferenced in West Virginia
    State Planer Coordinates and verified using a network of 12 monuments surveyed using
    precision GPS technology.  The CAD coverages were imported into ArcView GIS and draped on
    top of digital orthophotographs and (DRG) maps of the region (Figure 3).
    
    Degree of coal extraction. Headings and pillars are clearly visible on the old mine maps. The
    digital maps of the old mine workings were extensively cleaned and edited to generate closed
    polygon coverages of the subsurface mines (Figure  4).
    

    -------
    Secondary mining, i.e. removal of coal pillars, occurred over most of the mine area. The
    remaining sections of the mine apparently remain intact as a labyrinth of tunnels and pillars. A
    noteworthy exception to this is the unmined coal barrier that trends east-west, located 3,000 feet
    north of Coketon (Figure 4). This barrier has a width of approximately 400 feet and begins near
    Thomas and extends 5700 feet to the west. The western tip of this barrier lies at elevation 2870
    feet MSL according to the coal structure elevation contours.
    
    Locations of coal outcrops. The outcrop of the Upper Freeport coal has been surface-mined
    along its entire length. Because of the surface disturbance of the coal at its outcrop, the actual
    location of the coal crop line is difficult to define and locate in the field. By projecting the
    structural contour surface  of the coal seam onto the ground surface topography, the GIS
    enables us to generate maps showing actual position of coal crop lines. The crop lines,
    corresponding to the edge of the coal underclay, or pavement, are needed to calculate
    watershed areas contributing to the deep mine.
    
    Proximity to overlying coal seams that have been mined. The Bakerstown coal, which lies
    approximately 180 to 200  feet above the Freeport coal, was extensively deep-mined and
    surface-mined. Because the Bakerstown coal is relatively close to the surface, and because it
    has been surface-mined in many areas  above the Kempton Complex, it is very effective in
    capturing recharge from precipitation. Once the water has "sumped" into the Bakerstown  coal
    seam, it inevitably drains into the underlying deep mines.  We suspect however, that in some
    areas the opposite situation is true, where flow from the Kempton complex may leak upward into
    and discharge from the Bakerstown coal mines.
    
    MINE HYDROLOGY
    Once the deep mine maps were refined accurately using GIS,  our ability to visualize the
    relationships between the  Kempton Mine and overlying aquifers and areas of deep mining in the
    Bakerstown coal was improved greatly.  The visualization  capability of GIS enables us to
    develop the fundamental concepts of the deep mine's role in the regional groundwater
    hydrology.
    
    Questions about the mine hydrology include:
       1.  the extent of mine  flooding and elevations of mine pools;
       2.  interconnection between deep mine to surface water runoff;
    

    -------
       3.  leakage from streams and wetlands into the deep mines;
       4.  quantities of recharge and discharge; and
       5.  hydraulic gradients and groundwater flow directions in strata overlying the mine.
    
    Extent of mine flooding and elevations of mine pools. Flooding in the abandoned mine workings
    is divided into two distinct and separate mine pools. The northern mine pool has a surveyed
    elevation of 2656 feet MSL and discharges from an 8-foot diameter air shaft and 12-inch
    borehole into Laurel Run about one mile north of Kempton, Maryland. These discharges are
    located approximately 4.5 miles upstream of the North Branch Potomac River. The Kempton
    mine pool elevation is constant and controlled by the elevation of the air shaft.
    The southern mine pool has an approximated elevation of 2870 feet MSL and discharges from
    several deep mine entries immediately south of the village  of Coketon, West Virginia into the
    North Fork of the Blackwater River. The elevation of this pool must be controlled by the intact
    coal barrier west of Thomas, West Virginia described earlier. This barrier is relatively
    impermeable, considering that in the vicinity of Rose  Hill Cemetery northwest of Thomas, it
    narrows to 200 feet in width and impounds hydraulic  heads exceeding 200 feet.
    
    Interconnection between deep mine to surface water runoff. Mine discharge records show
    significant increases in response to large rainfall events, suggesting direct inflow of surface
    water into the mine. We used the GIS to delineate areas of shallow cover above the mines
    (Figure 5). These areas will be examined in future field efforts to identify any sources of direct
    inflow.
    
    Leakage from streams and wetlands into the deep mines. Leakage from wetlands  along the
    Potomac River has been observed in abandoned mine shafts at the town of Kempton,
    Maryland. Streamflow losses are predictable in streams draining the east slope of  Backbone
    Mountain, as they cross the outcrop of Upper Freeport coal where the Kempton  deep mines are
    closest to the surface. We used the GIS to overlay stream  coverages with coal outcrop maps in
    order to delineate contributing watersheds and to identify locations of potential leakage. At these
    locations, predicted streamflows can be compared with measured streamflows to determine
    whether significant leakage is occurring.
    
    Quantities of recharge and discharge. In October and November, 1998, eleven weirs were
    installed to gage discharges from the Kempton Mine Complex. Two weirs were installed on
    

    -------
    discharges from the Kempton pool to Laurel Run; one on the air shaft and the other on the
    borehole. Nine weirs were installed on discharges from the Coketon pool to North Fork
    Blackwater River.
    
    We are using the GIS to analyze time series of discharge records from the weirs and
    precipitation  records from nearby gaging stations. We are developing ArcView AVENUE™
    scripts to plot hydrographs for each weir and to compute the total volume of discharge for any
    specified period of time. The total discharge volumes are then compared with the respective
    watershed areas contributing to the deep mine, delineated by the GIS, to compute the mine
    recharge rates (gpm/acre). The computed mine recharge rates can be compared to measured
    precipitation, as well to as average regional recharge, to determine where recharge to the
    Kempton Mine is anomalously high.
    
    Based on preliminary weir measurements,  recharge rates in the Coketon mine pool watershed
    appear to be greater than recharge to the Kempton mine pool watershed. The Kempton mine
    pool discharges up to 6 millions gallons per day while the Coketon discharges a maximum of
    approximately 4.4 million gallons per day - 75 percent of the northern mine pool. However, the
    Coketon pool has a recharge area of only 2,900 acres - 63 percent of the northern mine area of
    4,600 acres.
    
    Hydraulic gradients and groundwater flow directions. In late summer/early fall 1999,
    piezometers will be installed in aquifers overlying  the Upper Freeport coal. Comparison of
    hydraulic heads in these aquifers to mine pool levels will dictate vertical  directions of
    groundwater flow and hydraulic gradients. The head data will be incorporated into the GIS and
    gradients computed and cross-sections generated showing groundwater flow directions.
    
    FUTURE WORK
    As field investigations continue, the GIS is  being used to locate new test borings and monitoring
    wells, delineate areas for subsidence monitoring,  integrate historical and current mine discharge
    water quality data, and characterize groundwater recharge rates and flow directions. By
    analyzing the spatial variability of the hydrogeologic data, we plan to use the GIS to discover
    relationships among various parameters. Temporal variations in certain  parameters can also be
    analyzed to discern patterns of change not apparent with static, two-dimensional maps. For
    

    -------
    example, areas of mine pool fluctuations can be combined with coverages of coal structure to
    delineate areas of AMD generation.
    
    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
    This project is being accomplished and funded through the cooperation and team effort of
    numerous state, federal, and private entities: Maryland Department of the Environment,
    Maryland Department of Natural Resources, University of Maryland, West Virginia Department
    of Environmental Protection, Susquehanna University, U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency,
    Region 3, U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Office of Surface Mining, Anker Coal Company,
    Buffalo Coal Company, Mettiki Coal Corporation, Western Pocahontas Properties, Meiser and
    Earl, Inc.
    

    -------
       Mine Discharges
        *
    
       Wine Pttimetei
    V Mine Pillars
       Ay
    V Undennad Mine W Drirlngs
       Davis, WVQuad
    
       Leadmine.Wv Quad
    Figure 1. Study location map. Inset shows GIS coverage of the mine pillars and haulways draped over USGS quadrangle maps.
    

    -------
    Figure 2. Kempton Mine and elevation contours of the base of the Upper Freeport coal seam.
    

    -------
     N
    
                                                      Scale 1:14,000
                                         500   1000   1500  2000   2500   3000   3500 Feet
    Figure 3. GIS coverages of northern section of Kempton Mine complex  showing detailed mine working maps draped on top of color
       NAPP aerial photograph.
    

    -------
                                                          • ; SSSSSSSSSS SSSSSSSSS
       Mine Discharges
    
        0
    
    ^f\ Mine Perimeter
       Mine Pillar;
       A/
       Undefined Mine W ork ings
       Davis, W V Quad
    
       Leadmine. W V Quad
                             Figure 4. Southern portion of the Kempton Mine complex showing location of intact mine barrier.
    

    -------
    Figure 5. Overburden thickness map of Kempton Mine Complex.
    

    -------
           Use of GIS Tools for Conducting Community On-site Septic
                                 Management Planning
    
              David Healy, Chief, GIS Services & Bruce F. Douglas, Senior Geoscientist
                                  Stone Environmental, Inc.
                                     58 East State Street
                                  Montpelier,  Vermont, USA
                                       802229-1879
                                   dhealy@stone-env.com
    
    ABSTRACT
    This paper presents a summary of the authors' experiences in using GIS tools in support of
    Community Septic Management. This experience examines a number of Massachusetts and
    Vermont case studies in which the use of GIS was a primary tool in the planning and
    implementation of community septic management. These are the towns of Duxbury and Tisbury,
    Massachusetts, and the towns of Jericho, Vermont. Based on these case studies lessons can
    be drawn on how to further evolve the use of the technology in  aiding community environmental
    management. This effort is based on the State of Massachusetts' nation-leading efforts in
    addressing the issue of management of on-site septic systems. The state's efforts are designed
    to address current failures, the protection of environmentally sensitive areas, and to assist
    communities develop tools and capabilities for insuring that problems are addressed and
    systems remain functional at all times. The Vermont community experiences are driven by a
    desire at the local level to avoid environmental pollution and costly centralized sewer systems.
    
    The paper will describe all aspects of acquiring and using state and local GIS data to carry out
    the plans in four communities. Issues surrounding availability, quality, and data formats will be
    described. Each of the case study communities approached the problem slightly differently
    based on the available data. Each community used GIS to different levels for decision making
    and management.  From each of these experiences, a summary of the successes, pitfalls and
    challenges will be described.
    
    Overview
    Decentralized wastewater management is a growing trend in the United States. Faced with
    soaring costs for large centralized treatment systems, communities are increasingly turning to
    the smarter management philosophy associated with the decentralized approach. Traditionally,
    

    -------
    one expensive solution has been available to communities that have outgrown or outlived their
    on-site septic systems — a sewer system and an expensive treatment facility. With federal
    funds becoming increasingly scarce, most small communities can not afford this type of
    conventional centralized approach.
    
    By definition, decentralized wastewater management employs all available treatment and
    disposal technologies. The appropriate technologies, in a measure that meets current needs
    and takes into consideration future growth, are matched with the treatment and disposal
    requirements that have been identified. The  end result is a unique municipal wastewater
    management solution that includes a program of preventive maintenance designed to identify
    weaknesses or potential failures before they become a problem.
    
    This approach also simplifies future maintenance and planning. Community-wide decentralized
    wastewater management offers an opportunity to track the condition of individual systems, the
    relationship of those systems to other community infrastructure, like drinking water sources, and
    to the environment.
    
    The Role of Geographic Information Systems
    Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are a powerful tool for identifying and examining
    problem areas to display information for public understanding. GIS played a significant role in
    supporting a number of elements in each of  the following case histories. The overlay capability
    of GIS was used to show environmentally sensitive areas, soil suitability for on-site systems,
    and areas of the community using subsurface disposal for prioritizing replacement systems. GIS
    was used for mapping soil types to determine suitability for siting systems, mapping community
    infrastructure and existing systems, tracking plans for future development, mapping
    environmentally sensitive areas, and tracking maintenance, repair and upgrade information for
    an entire community. Maps can be readily generated from the GIS to make decision making
    more timely and public education more effective. The maps effectively communicate complex
    information at-a-glance in a graphical format that is easily understood.
    
    Database Applications
    Databases are considered essential to enable the efficient management of on-site systems at
    the local government level. Databases can be used to track permits, inspections, pump-outs
    and failures of on-site systems, maintain on-site system records, and prepare mailings for
    

    -------
    necessary system maintenance. The database should be capable of storing, retrieving and
    reporting all data pertinent to all of the on-site systems. The foundation of the database should
    consist of the following key data areas:
    
           1.     System related information including components, septic tank size, application
                 and permit numbers, maintenance (septic tank pump-out dates, inspection dates
                 and inspection results), plans, and images.
           2.     Parcel map and lot designation, related information including soil test data and
                 structures, number of bedrooms and design flow.
           3.     People related information. Names and addresses of people used for lookup in
                 various sections of the database.
           4.     Easy linkage to GIS. Any database characteristic can be displayed graphically
                 through GIS.
    
    Jericho, Vermont
    The Town of Jericho is a suburban and rural community located in the Lake Champlain Valley
    area of Northwestern Vermont. The town includes 92 square kilometers (35 square miles) of
    land. The 5,000 residents rely on individual and cluster type on-site wastewater treatment and
    disposal systems (septic systems).
    
    Town officials recognized the potential for treatment and disposal problems to develop as the
    town grows and existing septic systems age. The Jericho Board of Selectmen hired consultants
    to determine the most appropriate means of addressing short-term and long-term wastewater
    disposal needs for the town. The process involves assessing existing systems, characterizing
    environmental conditions, and analyzing the community's future options.
    
    The study focused on 3 areas:
           Jericho Center — a traditional 19th century New England village.
           Jericho Village — a traditional village with some commercial properties.
           Route 15 district — a recently developed commercial zone.
    
    Data Availability: Data for Jericho came from two primary sources the town planning office and
    the Vermont Center for Geographic Information.  The primary databases used for the analysis
    include:
    

    -------
           SSURGO Digital Soils
           Parcels
           Roads
           Surface Waters
           Well Locations
           Source Protection Areas
           Swimming Areas
           Wetlands
           Floodways
    
    Quality: This data was primarily digitized from 1:5000 Orthophotos and 1:24000 USGS Quad
    Sheets. FGDC type metadata did not exist for town developed data. The later issue poses long
    term problems for understanding the source parameters used. For this community mixing the
    two scales of data did not pose a major problem. For certain the FEMA flood data is highly
    inaccurate, but was not essential for this study.
    
    Data Formats: Local data was  in  Maplnfo format in Vermont State Plane Feet. State provided
    data was provided in Arclnfo format. Local data was converted to Arclnfo format and put into
    Vermont State Plane Meters, NAD 83.
    
    The study team  conducted a thorough assessment of existing systems and conditions. They
    identified environmentally sensitive areas and parcels with special conditions or limitations and
    conducted analyses and developed maps.
    
    The GIS analysis revealed that soils in the study areas are generally suitable for on-site
    systems on terraces in the major stream valleys where the densest residential and commercial
    development is typically located.  In individual neighborhoods, a 2 to 30 percent rate of on-site
    system failure in a 10-year period was evaluated. The failures were predominantly due to age,
    design and construction of systems. Most of these failures have been  effectively resolved by on-
    site replacement of the septic tank and/or soil absorption system with conventional
    technologies. Due to the low density of development, centralized collection systems do not
    appear to be cost-effective. Due to existing use of the river nearest the most densely developed
    areas in town for swimming, direct discharge of treated wastewater was not an option  either.
    

    -------
    CIS Integration: The town has received the consolidated set of reprojected data and various
    ArcView projects developed for this project on CD-ROM. It has acquired ArcView and is using is
    for various planning and zoning/regulatory functions.
    
    The consultants identified specific options for community wastewater management based on the
    town's current needs and plans for future growth. They concluded that existing septic systems
    and a locally developed septic system management program would be the most cost-effective
    option. To implement this as a sustainable option, Jericho has established a local Wastewater
    Planning Committee with three objectives:
          1.     Develop a decentralized wastewater management plan based on a town wide
                 assessment of need.
          2.     Develop a community homeowner and student education program to increase
                 the local understanding of on-site systems.
          3.     Demonstrate the effectiveness of septic tank risers and septic tank effluent filters
                 in facilitating the inspection and maintenance of on-site systems.
    
    Jericho's forward-thinking approach to decentralized wastewater management is saving the
    town money by using existing wastewater infrastructure, protecting homeowners' investments in
    their current systems, and avoiding the high cost of developing a centralized sewer and
    wastewater treatment facility.
    
    Duxbury, Massachusetts
    The coastal community of Duxbury, is located 35 miles south of Boston. Duxbury has a
    population of approximately 14,000 and a land area of approximately 61 square kilometers (24
    square miles). Greater than 95 percent of the residents rely on individual on-site sewage
    systems and the community is committed to using on-site systems as a long-term solution to
    wastewater management. The town relies on an extensive sand and gravel aquifer for
    community drinking water supplies. In addition to aesthetic and recreational value of the
    freshwater and saltwater resources of the community,  there are numerous cranberry bogs in
    commercial cultivation and a significant potential for shellfish  harvesting in the coastal
    embayments.
    
    Over the past three decades, Duxbury has been making substantial efforts to protect their
    groundwater and surface water quality with a permitting program for on-site wastewater disposal
    

    -------
    systems. In 1996, the town dedicated two shared soil absorption systems designed to address
    severe problem areas along Duxbury Bay. These shared systems (each with less than 37,800
    litres per day design flows) handled wastewater from three parcels along the Bluefish River and
    18 parcels in the  Snug Harbor area by conveying the wastewater to sites located inland that are
    suitable for soil absorption systems. The establishment of these systems has enabled the
    opening of shellfish harvesting areas due to a decrease in bacteria in the coastal embayments.
    The town has recently voted to design and build  another 37,800 litres per day cluster on-site
    system to serve approximately 30 households in a residential area along Kingston Bay to
    improve water quality in a historic shellfish harvesting area. To continue their on-going efforts  in
    this area, the town has recently completed a Community Septic Management Plan (CSMP) to
    provide a clear process for decentralized wastewater management.
    
    Duxbury's CSMP consists of the following components:
           1.  Comprehensive inventory of existing systems.
           2.  Parcel information permit records and septic tank pump-out records stored in a
              database to track permitting and maintenance.
           3.  Development of a local GIS system and training of Town personnel to identify:
                 a.  Drinking water source protection areas
                 b.  Freshwater wetlands, ponds, vernal pools, rivers and streams
                 c.  Saltwater wetlands, coastal resource zones
                 d.  Buffer zones around these areas
                 e.  Parcel maps to determine environmental sensitivity of particular parcels.
           4.  Public Education and Information development including a  brochure explaining the
              existing situation and the community septic management plan.
           5.  Betterment Loan/Upgrade Program.
           6.  Ranking environmental sensitivity by category to determine priority of parcels for loan
              program to assist homeowners in upgrading failed systems.
           7.  Voluntary Maintenance program that recommends setting routine system
              maintenance in conjunction with the following requirements in local ordinance:
              detailed reporting of septic tank condition, liquid and solid levels at septic tank
              pumping.
    

    -------
    Data Availability: Data for Duxbury came from two primary sources the University of
    Massachusetts,  Boston which had completed an Open Space Plan for the town and from
    MassGIS office.  The primary databases used for the analysis include:
    
           Digital Soils
           Parcels
           Land Cover
           Roads
           Surface Waters
           Well Locations
           Source Protection Areas
           Swimming Areas
           Wetlands
           Floodways
           Title 5 Setbacks
    
    Quality: This data came from highly mixed sources. MassGIS is primarily 1:24000 scale data
    digitized from USGS Quad Sheets and 1:20000. FGDC type metadata did not exist for UMass
    data.
    
    Data Formats: MassGIS data was in Massachusetts State Plane Meters Feet North American
    Datum (NAD) 1983. On the other hand, Umass' GIS data was in an unknown and
    undocumented format. It turned out after much trial and error that it was in Massachusetts State
    Plane Feet, NAD 1927.
    
    Specific GIS Processing: The ranking system devise for the betterment loan program was
    based on a assignment of weighted values to six factors. In this community the intersecting of
    coverages with the weighted values was competed to derive a composite weighting. A "grid-
    based" math algebra operation could have just as easily been used.
    
    GIS Integration:  Duxbury has received a complete copy of all the data and ArcView projects
    developed for the project. Two days of training were provided to staff members in the Planning
    and Health Departments. They are currently using GIS in many diverse planning and
    management functions.
    

    -------
                               Figure 1: Priority Ranking Results
    Tisbury, Massachusetts
    The Town of Tisbury is a coastal resort community located on the island of Martha's Vineyard
    located 8 km (5 miles) off the southwestern coast of Massachusetts, USA. The Town covers an
    area of 54 square kilometers (21 square miles). The population of Tisbury is approximately
    3,000 year round residents and 10,000 seasonal residents. Approximately three-quarters of
    Tisbury's residents rely on groundwater from municipal wells that tap a glacial sand and gravel
    deposit underlying the western half of the island. The remaining residents utilize individual wells,
    generally tapping the same aquifer. Currently all properties in town are served by on-site
    sewage disposal systems. The Tisbury Board of Health estimates that there are currently
    approximately 2,500 individual on-site systems.
    

    -------
    The intent of Tisbury's wastewater management program is to provide an institutional and
    regulatory framework enabling the long-term viability of the on-site wastewater treatment and
    disposal facilities in the Town. The program includes a Community Wastewater Management
    Plan (CWMP), Watershed Management Strategy, Public Outreach and Education, Institutional
    and Regulatory Requirements, and a Program Implementation Strategy. The CWMP is in the
    final planning stage and has not been adopted by the community.
    
    The town is taking a very pro-active approach to on-site system  management. The local Board
    of Health and Wastewater Planning Committee is developing a management program with
    required inspections for every system and requiring pump-outs of septic tanks based on
    expected rates of solids accumulation for the specific tank size and system usage. GIS has
    been used to delineate environmentally sensitive areas and parcels; a ground water flow model
    has been used to determine water table contribution to surface waters; and a database is being
    developed to track the management program and notify residents of compliance requirements.
    This approach enables the residents to easily see the relationship between the areas that
    utilized on-site systems and environmentally sensitive areas such as aquifers, streams, coastal
    ponds and wetlands using a risk-based management strategy.
    
    Environmentally sensitive areas in Tisbury will be used to identify high priority areas are for the
    management of on-site systems. Initial wastewater management districts have been defined to
    address the downtown Vineyard Haven area, and the low elevation (less than 3 meters (10 feet)
    above mean sea level) areas with the potential for systems to have the least vertical separation
    to groundwater.
    
    Periodic maintenance is critical to ensuring the long-term success of even the most basic septic
    system. An inspection and maintenance program has been designed to assess current
    infrastructure conditions, ensure proper use and maintenance of on-site systems, and reduce
    future failures. A relational computer database, the Septic  Information Management System
    (SIMS), will be established to maintain an up-to-date inventory of all onsite systems in town and
    to track the permitting of new systems, upgrades of existing systems, and inspection and
    maintenance program. The database will also be useful to ensure that all owners are
    adequately addressing the unique needs of their system. One of the primary goals of the
    management plan is to provide for better septage (solids and liquid pumped out of septic tanks)
    management by creating a predictable and manageable production of septage. This plan
    

    -------
    pertains to those parcels outside of the area serviced by the centralized wastewater collection
    and treatment system. While the central service area will have management requirements, they
    will likely differ from the  rest of town and will be addressed in a separate management program.
    
    On-site systems are designed to treat domestic wastewater before reaching the groundwater
    and down-gradient surface waters. The residual components of this treatment process, such as
    nitrates, have an impact on the environment. However the degree of impact is relative to the
    sensitivity of the groundwater beneath the on-site systems and the sensitivity of the surface
    waters where the groundwater discharges. The watershed management strategy is designed to
    protect the environmental resources of Tisbury at an appropriate level to the sensitivity of the
    different areas in town.
    
    A key element of the watershed management strategy is to use a risk assessment/risk
    management approach. During the risk assessment process, the town will develop rankings
    regarding the value and vulnerability of local receiving environments to impacts from on-site
    systems, and to define the areas in town which contribute flow to the receiving environments. A
    steering committee of stakeholders will be established to address the needs of the community in
    this process. The rankings will be used to determine appropriate levels of treatment and develop
    a risk management program, in order to protect public health and the environment. For
    example, specific areas may be delineated where nitrogen removal is required for upgrades and
    new on-site systems to reduce nitrate loading to a particularly sensitive and valuable receiving
    environment.
    
    The second program in  the watershed management strategy is the development of a long-term
    groundwater monitoring program. A network of surface and groundwater sampling stations will
    be established up to monitor trends in water quality.
    
    Environmental professionals, municipal departments, and community environmental groups will
    conduct the risk assessment/risk management process. The water quality monitoring program
    will be run in conjunction with the Martha's Vineyard Commission, the University of
    Massachusetts Extension program, the Town of Tisbury, and local professionals. Funding for
    the watershed management program  is will be provided through a combination of  local and
    federal sources.
                                              10
    

    -------
    Data Availability: Data for Tisbury came from two primary sources the MassGIS office and a
    previous consultant who had worked for the town. The primary databases used for the analysis
    include:
    
           Parcels
           Building Footprints
           Title 5 Buffered Footprints
           FEMA Flood Data
           Land Cover
           Surface Waters
           Roads
           Well Locations
           Source Protection Areas
           Wetlands
           Possible Discharge Areas
           Color Infrared Orthophoto
    
    Quality: This data came from two sources. MassGIS is primarily 1:24000 scale data digitized
    from USGS Quad Sheets and 1:20000. The consultant's data came primarily from the town's
    CAD-based tax maps for which were assembled and rubber sheeted to fit with the MassGIS
    data. FGDC type metadata did not exist for the consultant data. The FEMA data was the least
    accurate of the data used. The focus of the study was for the village of Vineyard Haven. Given
    the coastal nature of the data, the town boundaries varied widely depending on the original
    source.
    
    Data Formats: Most Data was acquired in State Plane Meters, Mainland Zone, NAD 1983.The
    one exception was the digital CIR Orthophoto which came from the Massachusetts Coastal
    Zone Office in State Plane Meters, Island Zone, NAD 1983. Since we derived contours for the
    study area from this data, it had to be reprojected to State Plane Meters, Mainland Zone. These
    kinds of issues working with available data always presents problems in all studies to date.
    
    CIS Integration: The town has recently embarked on an effort to develop a town-wide GIS
    program. This has begun with an evaluation of  existing data and assessment of the many
    department needs.
                                             11
    

    -------
    12
    

    -------
           Geographic Information and Tools for Informed Decisions:
                    The Lake Superior Decision Support Project
                       George E. Host, Lucinda B. Johnson, Carl Richards
                              Natural Resources Research  Institute
                                         Pat Collins
                              MN Department of Natural Resources
    Introduction
    Recent trends in land use, such as increased population movement from urban to rural areas,
    conversion of forest land, and increased development have emerged as key issues affecting
    natural resource management in the Lake States. As units of government ranging from local
    townships to the federal governments of the US and Canada plan for the future, the need for
    data and tools for sound decision-making has become critical. Nonetheless, at the scale of the
    Lake Superior Basin, we lack synoptic information on even the most fundamental data layers
    required for sound planning. Among these are comprehensive coverages of land use/land
    cover, transportation infrastructure, hydrography, demography, and even the bathymetry and
    shorelines of Lake Superior itself.
    
    In addition to the lack of spatial data, smaller units of government often embark on land use
    planning exercises with few tools at their disposal. While computer simulation models, draft
    ordinances, and decision support tools are receiving wider use in planning, these tools are often
    out of reach of local governments who lack equipment and expertise required for their use.
    
    Finally, in natural resource management, the general public is often faced with information that
    has been slanted in favor of the perspectives of industrial or environmental advocacy groups.
    There is a critical need for a source of neutral data to allow the public to develop informed
    opinions on current issues.
    
    To this end, we have begun a project to help resolve some the issues of data  accessibility and
    interpretation with respect to land use planning in the Lake Superior Basin. We have three key
    objectives:
    
           1) To develop synoptic databases across the Lake Superior Basin, and to make these
             data available through the Internet and other data distribution formats.
    

    -------
           2)  To concurrently develop decision support tools to assist local units of government in
              land use planning activities. These tools will consist of CD-based resources,
              including spatial data, prototype planning documents, and flowcharts to guide users
              through the planning process.
    
           3)  To develop and deploy information kiosks in Visitor's Centers and other publicly
              accessible locations around the Lake Superior Basin.
    
    The following paper charts our experiences and progress to date, and provides some insights
    into issues related to integrating information and decision support tools into the planning
    process.
    
    Motivation
    This project was motivated by several key factors:
    
       1.  Forestry and forest products industries dominate the basin's economy.
    
       2.  Demand for tourism and leisure activities is replacing mining and other previous
           contributors to the region's economy, with an associated increase in development to
           leverage this demand. The Lake Superior Basin's wealth of natural features is a major
           factor driving these changes.
    
       3.  The Basin is a unique harbor of biodiversity, on a world-wide basis (TNC). A
           considerable portion of the Basin's biodiversity resources are located  along coastal
           shores and wetlands.
    
       4.  The Basin's natural and biodiversity resources are increasingly in conflict with both
           forestry and development. And increasingly, the three are in conflict at a given place
           simultaneously. People want to visit and live, by and large, where natural resources are
           rich and biodiversity is highest.
    
    It stands to reason that the Basin's future is directly dependent on the resolution of these land
    and resource use conflicts. But the resolution of these conflicts will  not occur as a result of a
    small number of large government agencies or private land holders developing and
    

    -------
    implementing policies that address land use issues. The real impacts of development result
    from the cumulative effects of a large number of small land use decisions, spread across time
    and space. When integrated across time and space, these land use decisions have major
    impacts on the Basin's resources.
    
    The unique role of the Lake Superior Decision Support project is to develop and foster the use
    of an infrastructure, based on GIS and computer models, upon which the Basin's incremental
    land use decisions can be made more effectively. Our target users are local governments,
    resource management agencies, commercial  interests,  citizen volunteers, advocacy groups,
    aboriginal  groups, and educational organizations. There are two fundamental missions of the
    project, both intended to sustain the Basin's resource in a truly ecosystem-based approach (i.e.,
    sustaining humans as a part of the natural world). The first mission is to provide practical,
    useable tools that can be used by people involved in day-to-day land use decisions. The second
    mission is to provide a context and a demand for these tools by providing educational and
    interpretive information for their use.
    
    Beneficiaries
    The direct beneficiaries of this project are those organizations  and individuals that will directly
    use the GIS applications and databases developed by this project. But there will also be many
    indirect benefits that are difficult, if not impossible, to quantify.  For example:
    
       1.  Local governments will gain tools to more effectively create and implement zoning
           ordinances that mold day-to-day land-use decisions.
    
       2.  Educational and interpretive organizations will gain resources that will help them inform
           the public about these resources and energize their target audiences to encourage their
           use in the planning process.
    
       3.  Regional agencies (including state/provincial and federal agencies) will, over time, gain
           access to a consistent GIS database for assessing regional and basin scale issues. In
           this process, data gaps are identified.
    
       4. All  parties to local and regional land use decisions and policies will gain from a collective
           knowledge base and shared and unbiased information  base.
    

    -------
       5.  Ultimately the Basin and its people benefit from more effective land use decisions that
           help to sustain and steward the Basin's resources.
    Data development
    Data development began by prioritizing a list of key data layers critical for land use planning and
    capable of being mapped synoptically across the Lake Superior Basin. The geographic scope of
    the data was the Lake Superior
    watershed boundary plus a 50 km buffer
    (Figure 1). The buffer allows us to
    access impacts to the basin that may be
    due to activities outside the watershed
    boundary. The watershed boundary was
    constructed by merging a number of
    independently-derived boundaries
    developed at state or provincial scales -
    it was informative that neither the
    watershed boundary nor the shoreline of
    Lake Superior previously existed in a
    continuous, fine-resolution GIS coverage.
    Figure 1. Lake Superior basin boundary with 50
    km buffer.
    The base scale of the data aggregated across the whole basin was set at 1:250,000; a
    compromise between the desired accuracy of the data and the ability to easily store, manipulate
    and visualize the data. We then conducted a broad survey of agencies involved in development
    of spatial data for natural resource management to identify the source, scope, and resolution of
    key data layers.
    A critical step in the identification and acquisition of data was the development of Memoranda of
    Understanding and Cooperative Agreements with collaborative groups, such as management
    agencies and industry. A key issue is that many agencies operate on a cost-recovery basis, in
    which GIS products are sold to recover costs of development. In many cases, licensing
    agreements require that data be made available only in image format (e.g. GIF or TIF), rather
    than as spatially-referenced GIS databases. In addition,  providing appropriate
    acknowledgments, respecting publication rights, and developing well-defined dissemination
    

    -------
          criteria was essential for this effort. To date, we have assembled approximately 30 databases
          across all or part of the Basin, as shown in Table 1.
                                               Table 1.
    Major spatial data themes, geographic extent and key attributes for data compiled for this project.
           Data theme
       Geographic
         extent
                                            T
               Attributes
      Scale
    Resolution
    Bathymetric Model
    
    Census data
    Civil divisions, minor
    
    Climate
    
    DEM
    Ecological classification
    system
    Ecological classification
    system
    Ecological classification
    system
    
    Forest inventory (FIA)
    Forest inventory
    (presettlement)
    Geology
    
    Habitat megasites
    
    Habitat projects
    
    Habitat sites
    Hydrography
    Land Cover: Forest
    vegetation
    
    Land Cover: General
    Land Cover: Original
    vegetation
    Land ownership
    
    Pollutants-point source
    
    Pollutants-point source
    
    Public Land Survey
    Satellite imagery
    Lake Superior
    MN, Wl, Ml,
    Ontario
    VIN, Wl, Ml
    
    VIN, Wl, Ml, ONT
    .ake Superior
    Basin
    
    VIN, Wl, Ml
    
    N MN, N Wl
    
    DNT
    
    VIN, Wl, Ml
    
    VIN
    VII, MN, Wl, ONT
    
    NEMN
    Lake Superior
    oasin
    Lake Superior
    oasin
    VIN, Wl, Ml, ONT
    VIN, Wl, Ml, S.
     AN
    Great Lakes
    Basin
    
    Vll,MN,WI
    Vll,MN,WI
    Lake Superior
    oasin
    Lake Superior
    oasin
    
    VIN, Wl, Ml, ONT
    Lake Superior
    Interpolated depth values
    
    Population, demography, housing
    Townships
    Interpolated data, monthly temp,
    rainfall
    
    Digital Elevation Model
    
    ECS, Province to Subsection
    
    Land Type Associations
    Hierarchy: ecozone, region and
    district
    Forest inventory data by sample
    point, 1990s
    GLO witness trees, section corner
    description
    Surficial geology, landforms
    Wilderness areas, ecoregions,
    parks etc.
    Habitat projects, location,
    [description
    
    Habitat sites, location, description
    Lakes, streams, rivers
    
    24 classes of forest vegetation
    
    Anderson II, Land cover/use
    40 classes derived  from GLO
    survey notes
    Public/private ownership
    
     ndustrial point source locations
    
    Municipal point source locations
    Township, range and section
    boundaries
    Mosaic of Landsat MSS, mid
      1:547,000
      1:100,000
      1:100,000
    1:1,000,000
      1:100,000
         1 km
                    5 km
    
                    1 km
                    1 km
    
                   200m
    
    
                  40 acre
                   200m
    

    -------
                                               Table 1.
    Major spatial data themes, geographic extent and key attributes for data compiled for this project.
    iBasin
    Lake Superior
    Satellite imagery Basin
    Lake Superior
    Satellite imagery Basin
    
    Soils ONT
    
    Soils STATSGO
    
    Transportation
    
    Watersheds, Major
    Watersheds, Major
    Watersheds, Minor
    
    MN, Wl
    
    MN, Wl, Ml, ONT
    .ake Superior
    basin
    MN, Wl
    MN
    1980's
    
    AVHRR NDVI Composite
    
    Night image of city lights
    Drainage, surface material,
    deposition, etc
    Many attributes: texture, drainage,
    depth
    Classification of roads, railways,
    others
    
    Major Watershed boundaries
    Major Watershed boundaries
    Minor watershed boundaries
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    1:100,000
    
    
    
    
    
    
    1 km
    
    1 km
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
          Metadata
          Documenting the source, accuracy, resolution, and other key attributes of spatial data is critical
          for its effective use. We are using the Minnesota Geographic Metadata Guidelines, developed
          by the Minnesota Land Management Information System, a state agency that serves as a
          clearinghouse for spatial information. The Geographic Metadata Guidelines are a simplified set
          of the Federal Geographic Data Committee's Content Standards for Digital Spatial Metadata.
          They consist of 99 elements divided into seven categories describing the following data
          characteristics:
    
                1. What kind of a database is this?
                2. What is its quality?
                3. How is it organized?
                4. Where is the database located?
                5. What features does this database describe, and how are they characterized?
                6. Is this database distributed? If so, how?
                7. Who documented this data?
         We are implementing the metadata with a software tool called DataLogr, developed by the State
         of Michigan. The metadata for each data layer will be available on-line on the LSGIS web site.
    

    -------
    Delivering Information: Web sites, Kiosks, and Exhibits
    The LSGIS web site can be found at www.nrri.umn.edu/lsgis. It was developed and maintained
    with Microsoft Frontpage® and allows for the interactive guerying of maps using ESRI's Internet
    Map Server® (IMS). IMS provides a number of tools for retrieving information from maps, and
    includes the ability to provide progressively more information as a user zooms in to finer scales
    of resolution.
    
    In parallel with the Internet-based information, we are developing a touchscreen computer
    display that provides a similar suite of information. These touchscreen computers will be
    deployed in kiosks at several visitors' centers around the  Lake States. We are also currently
    working with the Great Lakes Aquarium at  the Lake Superior Center in Duluth, MN to integrate
    information collected in this project into a public "town meeting" forum that allows participants to
    assess data and make decisions on a series of problems facing the Lake Superior watershed.
    The touch screens use Site Explorer®, a map-oriented information utility developed by
    cooperator Mike Koutnik.
    
    Decision Support Projects
    A key part of this project is the implementation of the data and tools to address land use
    planning issues. We have two ongoing projects in this area, as described below:
    
    Hydrologic Modeling of the Miller Creek  Watershed
    Miller Creek is a relatively high quality trout stream that runs through the cities of Duluth and
    Hermantown, MN. The stream originates in wetlands and undeveloped shrublands and
    woodlands northwest of Duluth, flows through a heavily commercialized area around Miller Hill
    Mall, through residential areas as it drops rapidly towards Lake Superior, and ends in an
    industrial area near its  mouth. The upper part of the watershed is fairly flat, and the stream has
    a moderate gradient. Near the mall it is channelized for several hundred meters and starts to
    receive stormwater discharge from storm drains.  Further downstream, in the more heavily
    residential areas, multiple stormwater channels enter Miller Creek. The stream develops a high
    gradient near its mouth. The stream is routed underneath the city in stormwater conduits and
    ditches until it enters the St. Louis River  estuary of Lake Superior
    
    The Miller Creek watershed contains several new strip malls, and further commercial
    development is under construction. This  has generated a wide public concern over issues over
    

    -------
    environmental quality, particularly with respect to degradation of trout habitat resulting from
    increased stream temperatures, sediment inputs, and degraded water quality. To inform the
    decision-making process, we have assembled detailed land use maps of the Miller Creek
    watershed, and employed the EPA's PC-SWMM, a well-documented hydrologic model, to
    predict flow and pollution loads to the creek.
    
    Our first goal was to model, as accurately as possible, the volume and temporal distribution of
    flow in Miller Creek, based on overland, ground water, storm sewer conduit,  and natural channel
    flow using PC-SWMM. The second objective was to estimate pollution loads and concentrations
    in runoff based on land use, road densities, local street cleaning programs, and locally
    calculated and published land use-specific pollution loading rates. The modeling of these
    parameters will allow planners and others to determine the likely effects of proposed changes in
    the basin and evaluate options for reducing pollution loads to Miller Creek.
    
    The model predicts the hydrograph associated with rain events fairly well (Figure 2). Since a
    large part of the pollution concentration model is based on flow rates, this accurate flow model
    was needed before proceeding to the pollutant modeling stage. Hydrologic modeling was
    complicated by the large amount of wetlands  in the headwaters of the Miller  Creek basin, but
    results to date show significant differences in  water yield related to land  use. For example, the
    effects of the Miller Hill Mall commercialized area on flow in Miller Creek is shown in Figure 3:
    the impervious surfaces around the mall result in a large increase in flow volume from a
    relatively small area, in spite of flow mitigation from detention ponds. If the flow volume  needed
    to be reduced, the model could be used to determine the size of pond required to reduce the
    volume to the desired level. The pollution model is nearly complete as well, and should  provide
    similar comparative data and scenario analysis capabilities.
         £
         01
         B
         re
         u
         in
    70 -,
    60 -
    50 -
    40 -
    30 -
    20 -
    10 -
     0 -
                         Miller Creek - SWMM Prediction
                         Miller Creek - Gauge Data
                 Aug15  16  17  18  19  20  21   22  23  24   25   26   27   28
                                           !->„<.,-, I* r\r\o\
          Figure 2. Predicted and observed discharge from middle reach of Miller Creek.
    

    -------
    _o_
    o
                  2.4
                  2.2
                  2.0
                  1.8
                  1.6
                  1.4
                  1.2
                  1.0
                  0.8
                  0.6
                  0.4
                  0.2
                  0.0
                   8A.M.
              . Miller Hill Mall: Outlet to Miller Creek (29.2 acres)
               Subcatchment # 21; Wooded (44.6 acres)
                 9:00
    2:00
    3:00
                                  10:00    11:00    12P.M.     1:00
                                        Time (Aug. 16, 1998)
    Figure 3. Comparison of hydrographs above and below mall development area on Miller Creek.
    Land use planning resources for northern Wisconsin
    Our second prototype effort involves compiling spatial data and other resources to support local
    units of government in citizen-based land use planning exercises. The objective of this exercise
    is to compile data and tools relevant to local-scale land use planning onto a CD-ROM for use by
    local units of government. Within the watershed, these are primarily towns and townships. The
    CD will contain the following elements:
              basic information describing the processes involved in planning
              spatial data - land use, transportation, rivers and lakes, natural features, political
              boundaries, and other data layers relevant to local-scale planning.
              planning tools - example surveys and ordinances language, zoning policies,
              development/preservation strategies, and other instruments that a local government
              could tailor to its specific needs
              landscape graphics - air photo or line drawing examples of different scenarios
              illustrating housing density and patterns (clustered or dispersed), riparian buffers,
              and other land use strategies. This would provide information on what a future
              landscape might look like under particular management strategies
              Example landscape plans developed by cooperating governments
    

    -------
    The CD will be written in standard HTML code to allow access with available web browsers.
    Publicly available map viewing tools such as Arc Explorer® will also be provide to provide basic
    querying of map products. The CD will be designed to stand alone, but will also contain links to
    web sites to access a broader range of information.
    
    Education and citizen involvement are central to understanding the data and tools available on
    the CD (Figure 4). To assist in issue identification,
    example citizen surveys will be available from the Land-
    use Issues menu.  Data will be available at both
    township and county levels, the latter allowing  for
    contextual analysis of issues. Tools for assessing the
    suitability of planning elements will also be available.
    Example landscape plans will be available, along with
    information on implementing and administrating
    landscape plans once they are developed.
    This CD-based resource will be developed and tested
    in cooperation with a number of partners from local and
    state governments. The anticipated completion and
    delivery date of the CD is June 2000. The information
    on the CD will also be available through the LSGIS
    web site.
    Figure 4. Schematic of LSDSS
    planning support CD architecture.
    Summary
    The Lake Superior Decision Support project is an integrated effort to provide data and planning
    tools to citizens and local units of government to assist in land use planning efforts. This work
    should provide a means of reducing the cumulative impacts to the Lake Superior Basin through
    informed decision-making at the local level.
    
    Acknowledgements
    This project was funded by the US Environmental Protection Agency through the Minnesota
    Department of Natural Resources. We acknowledge the encouragement and support of the
    Lake Superior Ecosystem Cooperative, where the key ideas of the project originated. Mark
    White, Gerry Sjerven, Jesse Schomberg and Amy Trauger have been integral parts of this
                                              10
    

    -------
    effort. A special acknowledgement goes to cooperator Mike Koutnik of Environmental Systems
    Research Institute for his support and contributions to data and kiosk development. Sandy
    Shultz of Ashland-Bayfield-Douglas-lron Land Conservation Department and David Lonsdale of
    the Great Lakes Aquarium have provided valuable support and advice to the project.
                                              11
    

    -------
      A GIS-based Approach to Predicting Wetland Drainage and Wildlife
      Habitat Loss in the Prairie Pothole Region of South-central Canada
                                       David Howerter
                          Institute for Wetland and Waterfowl Research
                                   Ducks Unlimited Canada
                                       P.O. Box1160
                             Stonewall, MB, Canada ROC 2ZO and
                                         Lee Moats
                                   Ducks Unlimited Canada
                                    16064th Avenue Regina
                               Saskatchewan, Canada S4P 3W7
    Background
    The prairie pothole region covers approximately 870,000 km2 of the north-central United States
    and south-central Canada (Batt 1996). The area extends from the tall grass prairies of
    northwestern Iowa west to the short grass prairie of southern Alberta and north to the boreal
    transition aspen (Populus tremuloides) parklands of central Saskatchewan (Figure 1).
    Approximately 13,000 years ago, retreating glacial ice revealed a rolling terrain comprised of
    end, ground and lateral moraines; glacial drift and till; and eskers (Winter 1989, Batt 1996).
    Remnant ice remained within the till after the main body of the glaciers retreated. As this ice
    melted, kettles were created. Subsequently, these kettles filled with water and became the
    potholes of modern vernacular. (Pielou 1991, Batt 1996). The majority of potholes are not
    connected by a natur; Figure 1.  Prairie Pothole Ecoregion
    
    Prairie wetlands serve a variety of hydrological/ecological functions including storage and
    control of surface water (Winter 1989, Miller and Nudds 1996, Murkin 1998), recharge of
    groundwater supplies (Winter 1989, LaBaugh et al. 1998, Murkin 1998), filters for sediments
    and agricultural chemicals (Grue et al. 1989, Neely and Baker 1989, Gleason and Euliss 1998,
    Goldsborough and Crumpton 1998,  Murkin 1998), sinks for excess nutrients (Crumpton and
    Goldsborough 1998,  Murkin 1998), and habitat for a wide array of invertebrate, fish and wildlife
    species (e.g., Batt et al. 1989, Fritzell 1989,  Peterka 1989). This area is particularly important to
    waterfowl where > 50% of the continental duck populations are annually produced (Batt et al.
    1989).
    

    -------
                                                                Grassland
                                                                Parkland
                             Figure 1. Prairie Pothole Ecoregion
    European settlement of the PPR began around 1878. Farming was the primary motivation for
    settling the area and agriculture remains a dominant economic force in the region (Leitch 1989,
    Leitch and Fridgen 1998). Accompanying this expansion of agriculture was a dramatic
    transformation of the landscape. Samson and Knopf (1994) estimate that as little as 23% of the
    pre-settlement prairie remains in Canada. Conversion in the parklands (Figure 1) has been even
    more extensive (Turner et al. 1987). Similarly, > 70% of the wetlands in the PPR have been
    drained or severely degraded (Turner et al. 1987, Dahl 1990, Batt 1996).
    These changes to the landscape have had consequences for a variety of ecosystem functions
    throughout the region. For example, Miller and Nudds (1996) attributed increased flooding within
    the Mississippi River valley over the past decades to reduced natural upland vegetation and
    wetland drainage Other hydrologic functions such as groundwater recharge and the ability to
    filter agrochemicals are similarly reduced by drainage. The focus of this paper, however, is the
    effect these changes have had on the PPR's ability to support wildlife populations-specifically
    upland-nesting duck species.
    

    -------
    In 1986, in response to declining duck populations attributed to land use changes throughout
    North America and exacerbated by prolonged drought on the prairie nesting grounds, the
    governments of the United States and Canada signed into law the North American Waterfowl
    Management Plan (NAWMP; joined in 1994 by Mexico). The goal of the Plan was to return
    waterfowl populations to the levels of the mid-1970's—a period with abundant waterfowl
    populations. The Plan was structured as a number of joint ventures targeting either species of
    concern or regions of special importance to waterfowl populations. Two of these joint ventures
    (Prairie Habitat - Canada; Prairie Pothole - U.S.) focus on restoring nesting habitats within the
    PPR.
    
    During the planning stages for the  Prairie Habitat Joint Venture (PHJV), one of the underlying
    tenets was that policy changes would ensure that existing habitats remained intact. Ultimately,
    this has not occurred. Draining wetlands and conversion  of lands for
    agriculture continues unabated—particularly in Canada. For instance, between 1971 and 1996
    natural land  has declined by 2.4 million hectares within the prairie pothole region of Canada
    (Figure 2) while there has been a corresponding increase in cultivation (Figure 3). Likewise,
    wetlands continue to be lost.  For example, in a single region near Wadena, Saskatchewan, the
    number of wetland hectares declined from 3,019 to 563 between 1949 and 1998. Between 1980
    and 1998, 41% of the remaining ha were drained (Ducks Unlimited, unpublished data). In the
    U.S. portion  of the PPR,  nearly 15,000 wetland ha continue to be degraded annually, despite
    provisions that have linked wetland protection to agricultural subsidies (Tiner 1984). If, as
    currently proposed, conservation provisions are de-coupled from agricultural subsidies, the
    incentive to retain wetlands will be  further weakened (J. K. Ringelman, Ducks Unlimited, Inc.,
    Bismarck, ND).
    
    Exacerbating the problem of continued loss of existing upland and wetland habitats, recent
    assessments of PHJV habitat programs indicate that restored grasslands may be less
    productive than existing native/naturalized cover for nesting ducks (Institute for Wetland and
    Waterfowl Research, unpublished data). Therefore, a paradigm shift was in order for habitat
    managers faced with a constantly eroding habitat base coupled with restoration efforts that may
    be less effective than envisioned. Instead of primarily converting cropland back to grassland
    vegetation, it has become increasingly clear that preserving existing habitats may be a more
    effective strategy. However, limited conservation resources preclude the possibility of securing
    all existing cover,  and conversion rates vary spatially. Therefore, to prioritize which  habitat
    

    -------
    Figure 2. Decline of natural land in the Canadian prairie
    pothole region 1971-1996. (Source: Statistics Canada 1996)
        Figure 3. Change in cropped areas 1971-1996 (Source:
        Statistics Canada Agriculture Census 1996)
    

    -------
    parcels to secure, habitat managers need to identify the areas with the highest potential for
    waterfowl production that are also at high risk of conversion to agriculture. Our objective, then,
    is to develop a spatially-explicit model to project where land conversion is most likely. This
    model ideally will be will be hierarchical allowing identification of "high risk" areas at both the
    regional and local scales. For this paper, we discuss our plan for the regional model in some
    detail and touch only briefly on additional considerations for the local model.
    
    Hypothesized relationships
    For conservation dollar investment decisions to be made wisely, resource managers require a
    spatially-explicit tool to project which areas are most likely to be converted to cropland in the
    near future.  To  allow quantification of the relationships that will allow optimization of resource
    expenditures, risk of conversion to agriculture can be thought of as an expected rate of habitat
    loss. In essence, the decision about where to expend resources on securement of existing
    habitats within the foreseeable planning horizon takes the form:
    
    8P = f(P, Cs, R), where:
           8P = change in duck production/habitat expenditure
           P =  current duck production (1 [Amount of suitable upland cover, wetland
                abundance])
           Cs = site-specific cost of conservation, and
            R = risk = (E[loss of habitat]).
    
    Our hypothesized relationships are depicted in Figure 4. In Figure 4a, we've speculated that Cs
    for a piece of land is likely correlated with its inherent fertility. Therefore, the least expensive
    land most likely has low productivity for agriculture and ducks (e.g., Manitoba's Interlake).
    Alternatively, the most costly (productive) land likely has been already largely converted to
    agricultural and/or residential purposes. As a result, the areas that are currently most productive
    for duck production likely occur on land with marginal suitability for farming and at intermediate
    land costs.
    
    Following similar reasoning, we have hypothesized that R, too, is highest for lands with
    intermediate costs (Figure 4b); poor quality land (low cost) likely isn't worth converting to
    cropland for economic reasons, and high cost land likely already has been converted.
    

    -------
             c
             o
            '•5
            T3
             O
                     Cost
                     Cost
         (c)
            c
            o
            'o
            T3
            O
            O
            Q
                      Risk
                                         (d)
          Figure 4. Hypothesized relationships between: (a) cost of securing a given
          piece of habitat and potential duck production, (b) the risk of habitat being
          converted to agriculture and cost of securing the habitat, (c) potential duck
          production and risk of conversion, and (d) all three  components.
    Because we have hypothesized that both P and R are unimodal in relation to Cs, P and R are
    positively associated when plotted against each other (Figure 4c). Combining these
    relationships into a single model results in a relationship with one realization that may resemble
    Figure 4d. Figure 4d depicts several interesting points.  First, the best land for duck production is
    also the land at highest risk of conversion. Second, happily, this land likely is of only
    intermediate cost.
    Model Development
    Several techniques have been proposed for predicting land use change. The simplest of which
    is to use historical trends to project forward in time making the assumption that past trends will
    continue into the future. Empirical models based on posited driving forces may, however,
    provide better predictions (Robinson et al. 1994) and allow for exploration of causative factors.
    

    -------
    To develop our model we plan to use relatively recent (e.g., since 1971) conversion data
    (source: Statistics Canada - Census of Agriculture) and a number of candidate explanatory
    variables (Table 1). An information theoretic approach (e.g. Akaike's Information Criterion;
    Burnham and Anderson  [1998]) will be used with regression analysis to select the most
    parsimonious set of explanatory variables.
    Table 1. List of candidate variables useful for predicting land conversion to agriculture in
    the prairie pothole region.
    Candidate variable
    Topography
    Landowner demographics
    Soil type
    Crop profitability
    Proximity to an existing
    water conveyance
    Hypothesized relationship
    Areas with relatively steep topography
    are difficult to cultivate and/or drain
    Conversion most likely when land
    changes ownership
    Related to cropping practices
    Input costs and crop prices influence an
    individual's decisions on how best to
    use their land
    Proximity to water conveyance makes
    drainage less costly
    Data Source
    Canada Surveys
    and Mapping
    Statistics Canada
    Canada Soil
    Information System
    Provincial
    Agriculture
    Departments
    Provincial water
    boards
    Topography and proximity to an existing water conveyance both relate to the cost of conversion,
    while soil type and crop profitability both relate to the benefit received by the manager for
    converting. Crop profitability will require a separate "sub-model" with spatially-explicit crop
    prices and input and transportation costs. Alternatively, land prices may serve as a suitable and
    less data-intensive proxy for crop profitability for model development.
    Evaluation/monitoring
    The model we have described will be developed using (recent) historical data. We realize,
    however, that extrapolating forward based on past relationships is inherently dangerous.
    Therefore, a series of monitoring stations will be established throughout the areas targeted as
    important for nesting ducks. Through an adaptive process uncertainty will be reduced in time.
    

    -------
    Using empirical Bayesian techniques, these stations will allow us to iteratively update model
    parameters. This process will yield immediate results with increasing confidence overtime.
    
    Local
    Because much of the data used to build the regional risk model will be at a fairly coarse scale
    (50-200 km2), additional information likely will be needed at the finest geographic scale to
    accurately predict the risk of an existing patch of habitat being converted to cropland. Factors
    such as landowner demographics and topography will likely still be important predictors, but
    added factors such as size of the habitat patch and surrounding land use will also likely be
    significant. Also, while true crop profitability might be predictable through entirely empirical
    information,  it almost certainly will be much more difficult to predict the vagaries of individual
    landowner decisions. To attempt to explain how decisions are made, new data will need to be
    gathered to determine how producers determine profitability when clearing, breaking or draining
    land.
    
    Integrating the Model: A Decision Support System
    The model that we  have described in this paper represents one component of a decision
    support system designed to optimize expenditures of conservation dollars. Simultaneously,
    spatially-explicit models to predict duck production and the cost of securing important habitat
    areas also will be developed (Figure 5). The combined output from these 3 components should
    allow habitat managers to make informed decisions about how best to prioritize expenditures.
    

    -------
              Decision Support System
                                                      T            V.-".'-^.
                 Figure 5. Conceptual model of Decision Support System
    Acknowledgements
    We thank K. Guyn for helpful comments on a previous draft of this paper. J. Holland and B.
    Kazmerick provided technical assistance and assisted with preparation of the figures. K.
    LePoudre provided unpublished data.
    

    -------
    References
    
    Batt, B. D. J. 1996. Prairie ecology—prairie wetlands. Pages 77-88 in F. B. Samson and F. L.
          Knopf, editors. Prairie conservation: preserving North America's most endangered
          ecosystem. Island Press, Washington, D.C. 339pp.
         _, M. G. Anderson, C. D. Anderson, and F. D. Caswell. 1989. The use of prairie potholes
           by North American ducks. Pages 204-227 in A. van der Valk, editor. Northern prairie
           wetlands. Iowa State University Press, Ames. 400pp.
    Burnham, K. P. and . R. Anderson. 1998. Model selection and inference: a practical information-
           theoretic approach. Springer-Verlag, New York. 353pp.
    
    Crumpton, W. G. and L. G. Goldsborough. 1998. Nitrogen transformation and fate in prairie
           wetlands. Great Plains Research 8:57-72.
    
    Dahl, Thomas E. 1990. Wetlands losses in the United States 1780's to 1980's.U.S. Department
           of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Washington,D.C. Jamestown,  ND: Northern
           Prairie Wildlife Research Center Home Page.
           http://www.npwrc.usgs.gov/resource/othrdata/wetloss/wetloss.htm
           (Version 16JUL97).
    
    Fritzell, E. K. 1989. Mammals in prairie wetlands. Pages 268-301 in A. van der Valk, editor.
           Northern prairie wetlands. Iowa State University Press, Ames. 400pp.
    
    Gleason, R. A., and N.  H. Euliss, Jr. 1998. Sedimentation and prairie wetlands. Great Plains
           Research 8:97-112.
    
    Grue, C. E., M. W. Tome, T. A. Messmer, D. B. Henry, G. A. Swanson, and L.  R. DeWeese.
           1989. Agricultural chemicals and prairie pothole wetlands: meeting the  needs of the
           resource and the farmer—U.S. perspective. Transactions of the North American Wildlife
           and Natural resources Conference 54:43-58
                                              10
    

    -------
    Goldsborough, L. G., and W. G. Crumpton. 1998. Distribution and environmental fate of
           pesticides in prairie wetlands. Great Plains Research 8:73-95.
    
    LaBaugh, J. W., T.  C. Winter, and D. O. Rosenbery. 1998. Hydrologic functions of prairie
           wetlands. Great Plains Research 8:17-37.
    
    Leitch, J. A. 1989. Politicoeconomic overview of the prairie potholes. Pages 3-14 in A. van der
           Valk, editor. Northern prairie wetlands. Iowa State University Press, Ames. 400pp.
         _, and P. Fridgen. 1998. Functions and values of prairie wetlands: economic realities.
           Great Plains Research 8:157-168.
    Miller, M. W., and T. D. Nudds. 1996. Prairie landscape change and flooding in the Mississippi
           River valley. Conservation Biology 10:847-853.
    
    Murkin, H. R. 1998. Freshwater functions and values of prairie wetlands. Great Plains Research
           8:3-15.
    
    Neely, R. K. and J. L. Baker. 1989. Nitrogen and phosphorus dynamics and the fate of
           agricultural runoff. Pages 92-131 /nA. van der Valk, editor. Northern prairie wetlands.
           Iowa State University Press, Ames. 400pp.
    
    Peterka, J. J. 1989. Fishes in northern prairie wetlands. Pages 302-315 in A. van der Valk,
           editor. Northern prairie wetlands. Iowa State University Press, Ames. 400pp.
    
    Pielou, E. C. 1991. After the ice age: the return of life to glaciated North America. University of
           Chicago Press, Chicago. 366p.
    
    Robinson, J., S. Brush,, I. Douglas, I.E. Graedel, D. Graetz, W. Hodge, D. Liverman, J. Melillo,
           R. Moss, A. Naumov, G. Njiru, J. Penner, P. Rogers, V. Ruttan, and J. Sturdevant. 1994.
           Land-use and land-cover projections: report from working group C.  Pages 73-92 in W. B.
           Meyer and B.  L. Turner, II, editors. Changes in land use and land cover: a global
           perspective. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K. 537pp.
                                              11
    

    -------
    Samson, F. and F. Knopf. 1994. Prairie conservation in North America. Bioscience 44:418-421.
    
    Tiner, R. W., Jr. 1984. Wetlands of the United States: current status and recent trends. U.S.
           Dept. of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife service, Washington, D.C. 59pp
    
    Turner, B. C., G.  S. Hochbaum, F. D. Caswell, and D. J. Nieman. 1987. Agricultural impacts on
           wetland habitats on the Canadian Prairies, 1981-1985. Transactions of the North
           American Wildlife and Natural Resources Conference 52:206-215.
    
    Winter, T. C. 1989. Hydrologic studies of wetlands in the northern prairie. Pages  16-54 in A. van
           der Valk, editor.  Northern prairie wetlands. Iowa State University Press, Ames. 400pp.
                                              12
    

    -------
      Onsite Wastewater Management Program in Hamilton County, Ohio
                               - An Integrated Approach
               to Improving Water Quality and Preventing Disease
                        Tim Ingram, Terry Hull, Travis Goodman, and Staff
                         Division of Water Quality, Hamilton County, Ohio
    
    Background
    Postwar economic and population growth of the 1950s launched Hamilton County, Ohio,
    families into suburbia. Ohio's most southwestern county and home of Cincinnati expanded
    typically. Construction of suburban residential housing outstripped the development of traditional
    urban infrastructure. But extended aeration technology made it possible to put a miniature
    wastewater treatment plant in the yard of every new homeowner. Home aeration units were
    marketed as virtually maintenance-free devices capable of producing effluent with the quality of
    drinking water. These fallacies, in concert with the natural limitations of the sites being
    developed and a community willing to believe that which was too good to be true, brought public
    health consequences.
    
    Since most of Hamilton County escaped the advance of the last (Wisconsinan) glacier, its steep
    shale ridges remain covered with  thin top soils and slowly-permeable silty-clay subsoils. Only
    small areas in the valleys of the three principal streams are underlain by the more-permeable
    glacial deposits. Seasonal rain and snow melt runoff cut the ridges with  innumerable erosion
    channels that join to form intermittent streams. Conditions that limited the use of leaching
    devices appeared to be optimal for use of aeration  units with surface discharges. Supported by
    exaggerated claims of operational efficiency, public officials were quick to accept the technology
    as a way to support new tax-generating development without the cost of sewer construction.
    Developers enthusiastically supported a public policy that reduced their capital costs and raised
    profits. Homeowners believed that they had an effective, low cost, state-of-the-art sewage
    treatment device. With discharges running to any downhill drainage way, out of sight/out of mind
    became the prevailing attitude, and it took a long time to change.
    
    By the mid-1980's, sewage contamination of the  West Fork of the Mill Creek elicited strong
    public reaction. When a hepatitis A outbreak occurred in 1989, the public clamor over lack of
    public sewers, ineffective sewer system operation,  and poorly functioning home aeration units
    intensified. Public alarm further increased when a child playing in a stream polluted by aeration
    

    -------
    systems caught a rare protozoan infection and was hospitalized for days.
    
    By the early 1990's, the total number of units was unknown, but estimates ranged from 20,000
    to 40,000 units.  Public perception regarding the public health impact was markedly changed. An
    irate homeowner persisted until the Hamilton County General Health District's Board of Health
    officially declared her neighborhood a public health nuisance and requested the State to order
    construction of a public sewer. Public concern peaked when the Board of Health authorized use
    of aeration units in a proposed subdivision where the effluent would drain directly into a
    downstream homeowner's recreation  lake. The resulting legal action brought Ohio
    Environmental Protection Agency and Ohio Department of Health sanctions against the Board
    of Health. A political response occurred in 1993 as Board members were replaced and a new
    Health Commissioner (pubic health officer) was employed. The new Board determined that
    water quality improvements and waterborne disease prevention were dependent on the
    effective use of household sewage disposal systems. Thus, the Board made a commitment to:
    
          •   Update its household sewage regulation, which had been in force since 1959;
          •   Reconsider its previous approval actions regarding the usage of aeration sewage
              systems in residential subdivisions;
          •   Inventory and evaluate existing home sewage systems;
          •   Build community partnerships and educate homeowners about system operation and
              maintenance requirements;
          •   Expedite complaint investigations; and
          •   Strengthen enforcement when sewage system repairs are necessary.
    
    This paper discusses the establishment of an operation permit program which was developed to
    achieve several  of these commitments. The purpose of this paper is to describe the components
    of the operation  permit program and the steps that have been taken to improve water quality in
    Hamilton County streams.
    
    Building the Operation Permit Program
    Policy Development
    In Ohio,  local health districts have sewage system permitting authority for one-, two-, and three-
    family dwellings. These districts enforce either the minimum state code or more stringent
    regulations adopted by the local board of health. Under the minimum code, a newly constructed
    

    -------
    system is automatically permitted for operation upon final construction approval. This operation
    permit remains in force until it is revoked by board action. Such permits are rarely revoked.
    
    Some health districts issue operation permits for existing sewage systems. In 1994, the
    Hamilton County General Health District (HCGHD) initiated a comprehensive operation permit
    program. Under this program operating permits are issued for both new and existing household
    sewage disposal systems.
    
    On December 13,  1993, the Board of Health adopted a new household sewage disposal code
    and created a new division to enforce it. Previously, the sewage permitting functions were a part
    of the Health District's  plumbing division. To implement the Board's commitments, the Division
    of Water Quality and Waste Management was established. The main function of this division
    was to implement  Regulation 529, the Household Sewage Disposal Code.
    
    To guide the new program, the Hamilton County Board of Health established the following
    policies:
    
          •  No permit fee will be billed until an inspection of the household sewage disposal
              system(HSDS) is completed and the owner is provided with a written inspection
              report.
          •  All household sewage disposal systems (HSDS) with  electrical components (aeration
              units, etc.) are subject to an annual inspection and, if the system is found to be
              operating properly, a one-year operation permit will be issued.
          •  All non-mechanical or non-electrical household sewage disposal systems (HSDS)
              will be inspected once every three years and,  if found to be operating, a three-year
              operation permit will be issued (effective on Sept.  11,  1995).
          •  All newly-constructed dwellings with newly-installed household sewage disposal
              systems (HSDS), permitted and approved by the HCGHD, will be exempted from the
              operation permit program for a period of two years following construction approval.
    
    Critical to the success  of the operation permit program was the establishment of inspection
    criteria for determining proper operation. Considering the varying ages of the systems in use
    and the  different standards under which they were manufactured and installed, a balanced
    approach was needed that would achieve water quality objectives while maintaining public and
    

    -------
    political support. The Health Commissioner and staff were charged with the development of the
    inspection criteria.
    
    It was decided that system performance would be evaluated by observation rather than effluent
    sampling. This decision took into account the fact that many HSDS had no separate access for
    sampling, as well as the unlikelihood that most older systems could meet effluent quality
    standards established by the Board of Health. Also, considered was the cost to sample as many
    as 20,000 sewage systems and that many  individual systems were connected to common
    collector lines. Collector lines function as private sewers that transport effluent from several
    homes. The ten observational criteria selected to establish improper performance for
    mechanical HSDS, thus resulting in the designation "disapproved" are:
    
           1)     Motor missing,
           2)     Motor inoperable (cold),
           3)     Motor not drawing air or insufficiently drawing air,
           4)     Broken lid(s), i.e., piece missing or broken to the extent that it allows entrance of
                  surface water, or lid cannot be lifted without collapse; decayed metal grating,
           5)     Flooded filter,
           6)     Visual evidence of septic sewage, i.e., black, odorous,
           7)     Visual evidence of electric service problem,
           8)     Components are not functioning in accordance with design standard,
           9)     Discharge creates a public health nuisance, and
           10)     An access riser has not been brought to grade over each compartment requiring
                  maintenance.
    
    Fee Structure
    Policies concerning program fees have changed as program activities evolved and knowledge
    was gained regarding operating costs and the willingness of HSDS owners to pay. At the outset,
    the Board of Health established a single operation  permit fee of $40.00. As program
    implementation progressed, two problems became apparent. First, there was no way to recover
    the cost of the additional inspections required to  achieve and confirm system repairs when the
    initial inspection resulted in disapproval. Second, no permit was issued to HSDS owners who
    failed to pay their permit fee. Consequently, those who were delinquent soon forgot about the
    need for an operation permit as well as their indebtedness. The Health  District then entered a
    

    -------
    new era-marked by the need for dunning letters and small claims court appearances-in which it
    acted somewhat like a small utility company.
    
    In July of 1995, the fee structure was changed based on a report issued to the Board of Health
    entitled, Aeration Sewage Disposal Systems in Hamilton County. This report evaluated the
    progress made to date. Based on community input, the Board implemented a variable fee
    structure. The annual fee covering the initial inspection and permit was reduced to $30.00. A
    reinspection fee of $30.00 was established for second and subsequent re-inspections. As an
    inducement for HSDS owners to provide regular maintenance, the second reinspection fee was
    set at $15.00 for owners holding a maintenance contract with a registered and bonded service
    company.
    
    Delinquent permit fees rose as high as 62% but annually averaged around 13% for the 1994-
    1995 time period. This amounted to $32,320 of uncollected permit fees at the end of 1995. In
    1996 a collection agency was retained by the Health District at a cost of  $4.95 per outstanding
    account. Also, a $10 late fee was assessed against each delinquent account. Delinquent fees
    dropped to an average of 9% in subsequent years. Many homeowners were more threatened by
    a bad credit rating than criminal prosecution. Nonetheless, the percentage of unpaid accounts
    was still too high. In 1998, the HCGHD worked with local Ohio legislators, and legislation was
    passed  allowing for unpaid operation permit fees to be certified by the Health Commissioner to
    the County Auditor for placement as a lien on the property. With the passage of this legislation,
    the "playing field" has been leveled so that all HSDS owners have a financial stake in the
    operation permit program.
    
    Staff Development
    The development and implementation of policies regarding Health District staff and staff activity
    has been crucial to  successfully carrying out the operation permit program. These  policies have
    been established largely by management and  include  issues such as, personnel qualifications,
    inspection protocol, and training.
    
    Field work was done initially by registered sanitarians and sanitarians-in-training. During the first
    year staff turnover was unacceptably high.  Newly-graduated environmentalist quickly gained
    valuable field experience, but were just as quickly tired by the large volume of inspections and
    the repetitive, sometimes confrontational nature of the work. Experienced sanitarians soon
    

    -------
    found the work not challenging. Management found the solution rested in the employment of
    technicians as inspectors. With specialized training and sanitarian oversight, these staff have
    maintained their enthusiasm and perform their inspections in a highly competent and efficient
    manner. The water quality technicians have worked well with HSDS owners and the repair
    contractors, too.
    
    The effectiveness of the inspection staff can be attributed to the development of operating rules
    which emphasize thorough training, clear identity, and consistency in performance of duties.
    Each inspector receives detailed training regarding the operation of each brand of aeration unit
    that he/she will inspect in the field. Contact with repair contractors is encouraged, and where
    possible, attendance at manufacturer's training school is supported. Inspector training in
    communication and public relations is also provided, while membership in professional
    environmental associations is encouraged.
    
    Inspectors adhere to a dress code wearing distinctively colored shirts and jackets. Clearly
    visible photo identification badges are worn. Each inspection begins with a stop at the front door
    to explain the purpose of the visit to the citizen, followed by a brand-specific standardized
    inspection of the  sewage system, and, if the owner is present informing him of the inspection
    findings.
    
    The Inventory - What Was Found
    Aeration sewage systems are a high maintenance type of household sewage disposal system.
    These systems contain electrical components and filters which require maintenance by the
    homeowners. Homeowners were unaware, for the most part, of these maintenance needs.
    
    The media reported that 40,000 aeration sewage systems discharged untreated waste water
    into homeowners' backyards. However, no one knew for sure the exact number nor their
    operating condition.  Installation permit records were not complete. While citizens worried about
    disease and pollution, an Ohio EPA connection ban and class action lawsuit put the  Hamilton
    County Board of  Health in a reactive mode. There was a rush to inventory and evaluate the
    operating status of all existing aeration sewage systems first. The Board of Health directed the
    Health Commissioner to address the following questions:
    

    -------
           1)     How many aeration sewage systems exist in Hamilton County?
           2)     What are the manufactured types?
           3)     Where are the aeration sewage systems located?
           4)     What is the operational status of these systems?
           5)     How much water pollution and how many health nuisances have been created
                 from these aeration sewage systems?
    
    From January 1994 through July 1995, sanitarians and water quality technicians blanketed the
    County inspecting home aeration systems. The staff visited over 10,000 properties - many on
    several occasions -to find aeration systems, locate collector lines, consult with homeowners, or
    reinspect systems for compliance. Inspection sheets were filled out and information entered into
    a custom-designed database for ease of tracking.
    
    Within eighteen months 9,145 home aeration sewage systems were located and inspected. Six
    manufactured-types of  home aeration sewage systems were found. (See Table 1). The high
    percentage of the Cavitette brand in use was a significant concern because there was no active
    manufacturer or replacement parts available. The Cavitette brand was manufactured locally in
    the late 1950's through the 1960's. The design of this system was based on less stringent
    standards than the National Sanitation Foundation  Standard 40.
    
                                           Table  1
                    Percent of Total Home Aeration Units by Manufacturer
                     Manufacturer                    Percent
                        Cavitette                                    22.4
                         Coate                                      10.6
                           Jet                                       36.6
                         Multiflo                                      2.4
                        Norweco                                     0.1
                         Oldham                                     27.9
    Of the 9,145 aeration systems inspected, 34 percent or 3,077 were disapproved during this time
    period. Table 2 summarizes the number of that had been repaired by July 1995 and the average
    number of reinspections to obtain compliance.
    

    -------
                                          Table 2
                        Disapproved Systems with Completed Repairs
    Number of Number of Mean reinspects
    systems reinspects to compliance
    Totals
    2,741
    3,861
    1.41
    Many of the home aeration sewage systems connected to a common yet private sewer line
    known as a collector line. These collector lines served as few as two homes or as many as 50
    homes. The effluent from the collector lines discharged into storm water sewers, ephemeral
    streams, and onto the ground surface. None of the collector lines had National Pollutant
    Discharge Elimination Systems (NPDES) permits. It had been observed and reported that the
    discharges from these collector lines had deteriorated the water quality in the county's streams
    and waterways. Prior to 1994, there was no documented wastewater monitoring of these
    collector lines. However, in the summer of 1994 as a part of the operation permit program,
    Project CLEAN (Collector Line Evaluation and Assessment of Needs), was implemented.
    Wastewater samples were taken from 197 collector lines. The samples were analyzed for
    biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), suspended solids (SS),  and fecal coliform bacteria. The
    data results from the initial round of sampling are shown in Table 3.
    

    -------
                 Table 3
    Project CLEAN Effluent Sample Data
    Township/ Number of Fecal
    Municipality samples under 5,000
    Anderson 7 2
    Colerain 47 13
    Crosby 1 0
    Delhi 6 2
    Green 104 34
    Harrison 4 2
    Madeira 13 1
    Miami 7 0
    Springfield 4 0
    Sycamore 1 1
    Symmes 2 0
    Whitewater 1 0
    Total 197 55
    Samples
    Water Quality Standards
    Fecal Coliform (colonies/100 ml)
    Suspended Solids (mg/l)
    Biochemical Oxygen Demand (mg/l)
    Ammonia Nitrogen (NH3) (mg/l)
    Dissolved Oxygen (mg/l)
    Fecal
    5,000 to 50,000
    2
    13
    0
    2
    29
    0
    6
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    53
    
    HCGHD
    5,000
    40
    20
    none
    none
    Fecal
    Fecal
    over 50,000 TNTC
    0
    7
    1
    0
    29
    0
    3
    5
    1
    0
    2
    0
    48
    
    ODH
    none
    40
    20
    none
    none
    3
    14
    0
    2
    12
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1
    41
    
    Ohio EPA
    1,000
    12
    10
    1 (summer),
    6
    Mean
    SS
    273
    100
    230
    44
    83
    208
    67
    30
    60
    10
    26
    148
    197
    
    
    
    
    
    3 (winter)
    
    Mean
    BOD
    11
    37
    74
    10
    32
    30
    50
    29
    32
    8
    604
    40
    197
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    No. meeting
    standards
    0
    12
    0
    0
    17
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    31
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    

    -------
    When the Board of Health adopted a new sewage code in late 1993, they also codified
    discharge standards for suspended solids, biochemical oxygen demand, and fecal coliform
    bacteria, which are:
    
       •         BOD: 20 mg / L
       •         Suspended Solids: 40 mg / L
       •         Fecal Coliform Bacteria: < 5,000 colony forming units /100 ml
    
    Table 3 reveals that 31 or 16% of the collector lines met the Board of Health discharge
    standards. Nearly three-fourths (72%) failed to meet the standard for fecal coliform bacteria.
    This was not surprising since disinfection devices had not been installed on many of the
    individual aeration sewage systems. The initial inventory and evaluation of aeration sewage
    systems was completed.
    
    Non-mechanical Sewage Systems
    A contention by County citizens early in the program was that the Health District ignored the
    pollution created by non-mechanical household sewage disposal systems, like leach lines and
    dry wells. Once the initial inventory and evaluation of aeration (or mechanical) sewage systems
    was completed, the Health District staff began the inventory and evaluation  of non-mechanical
    sewage systems in 1996. Table 4 shows the number and the type of non-mechanical systems
    inspected in 1996 and 1997, and the number of total units that failed the initial inspection.
                                           Table 4
                              Non-mechanical Sewage Systems
                         1996
             1997
    Type
    Dry we 1 1
    Leach Lines
    Subsurface Sandfilter
    Privy
    Other
    Total
    Number
    783
    370
    181
    1
    84
    1419
    Type
    Dry we 1 1
    Leach Lines
    Subsurface Sandfilter
    Privy
    Other
    Total
    Number
    162
    476
    1
    212
    27
    878
           Total initial failure 59 (4.2%)
    Total initial failure 117 (13.3%)
                                             10
    

    -------
    The inventory and evaluation of non-mechanical sewage systems is a work-in-progress. By May
    17, 1998, a total of 2605 non-mechanical sewage systems had been assessed.
    
    The following inspection criteria are used to approve or disapprove a non-mechanical household
    sewage disposal system.
    
           Approve if:
                 a)     System components can be located and
                 b)     The system uses in-soil dissipation and there is no surface seepage of
                        gray, malodorous effluent (minor seasonal wetness is acceptable).
                 c)     The system uses surface discharge, the discharging effluent is clear, and
                        not malodorous, does not pond on the inspected property or on adjacent
                        property, and the discharge pipe is accessible with sufficient freeboard to
                        allow collection of an effluent sample.
    
           Disapprove if:
                 a)     Gray malodorous sewage is seeping to the ground surface creating a
                        nuisance.
                 b)     Gray, malodorous sewage is discharging from the sewage system to an
                        adjacent property or roadside drainage way.
                 c)     Any similar condition is occurring which is creating public health nuisance.
    
    Upon the initial inspection, the percentage of non-mechanical systems disapproved overall
    averaged 9%.
    
    The inventory and evaluation of these sewage systems continues. The District did not meet its
    goal  of inspecting and inventorying all non-mechanical sewage systems by December 31, 1998.
    On March 8, 1999, the Board of Health changed the non-mechanical permit from a three-year
    permit to a five-year permit.
    
    Building Community Partnerships
    All the media attention over the lack of governmental oversight and widespread pollution did not
    convince the vast majority of citizens with  home sewage  systems that the operation permit
    program was necessary. Media and citizenry criticism for the  Health District's historic lack of
    oversight was replaced by concern about  Health District persistence in requiring sewage system
    repairs and payment of permit fees. During the first eighteen months of the program, the Health
                                              11
    

    -------
    District staff handled 20 to 40 telephone calls per week. About 265 citizens felt strongly enough
    to write letters protesting the program. The theme of the letters ranged from why inspect septic
    systems to a governmental invasion of their property rights and privacy.
    
    The Health District initiated a community education program in order to gain public acceptance
    of the operation permit program, to improve political support, and to teach homeowners about
    HSDS operation and maintenance. The education program utilized a variety of strategies.
    Brochures were developed and mailed to homeowners and handed out at neighborhood
    festivals and community halls. Numerous press releases and editorials in the local newspapers
    about the benefits of the operation permit program to the community were published. Health
    District staff conducted presentations at neighborhood gatherings or backyard barbecues about
    the importance of HSDS.
    
    The Metropolitan Sewer District (MSD) and the Health District forged a partnership and
    collaborated at several public meetings. The two agencies worked in concert to extend public
    sewers into those watersheds where sewage nuisances were prevalent and HSDS upgrades
    were not feasible.
    
    A public sewer assessment credit was established by the Board of Hamilton County
    Commissioners. This credit was the brainstorm of MSD and Health District officials as well as a
    group of western Hamilton County business leaders and elected officials. The credit program
    stated that all single family dwellings with HSDS in existence on or prior to September 20, 1995,
    were eligible for $5,000.00 credit  towards their public sewer assessment. The public sewer
    assessment credit helped convince many homeowners to sewer their neighborhoods.
    
    Using GIS
    In 1996, the Health District began using a geographical information system (GIS) known as
    CAGIS (Cincinnati Area Geographic Information System). CAGIS technology allows the Health
    District to place all home sewage systems, stream quality data, and communicable disease data
    on computer generated maps. CAGIS technology allows layers of information to be overlaid on
    top of each other in order to carry out analyses. For instance, the public sewer system layer can
    be overlaid with the County home sewage system layer. This allows the user to quickly observe
    the proximity of public sewers to home sewage systems. Other layers of data, such as stream
    data and communicable disease information, are overlaid to look for patterns or clusters of
    disease or pollution associated with home sewage systems. The CAGIS technology is a
    powerful public health surveillance tool for targeting resources.
                                              12
    

    -------
    Results - Has the Operation Permit Program Made a Difference?
    Data comparison between two time periods, 1994 -1995 and 1996-1997, will be used to reveal
    program successes and failures. Table 5 compares pass / fail inspections of home aeration
    systems for the two time periods.
                                          Table 5
                   Pass / Fail Inspections of Home Aeration Sewage Systems
    1994-1
    Number inspected
    14,992
    995
    Percent failed
    first inspection
    33.1% (4,962 no.)
    1996-1997
    Number inspected
    17,685
    Percent failed
    first inspection
    6% (1,061 no.)
    As of January 1, 1998, the total number of aeration systems located by Health District staff had
    been 9,515. The staff continues to find additional aeration systems in remote areas of the
    County.
    
    When the data between the two time periods is compared, clearly there is a large reduction in
    number of systems failing the first inspection. Homeowners are assuring their aeration systems
    are maintained. The number of homeowners with private maintenance contracts increased from
    1,623 in 1995 to 2,274 in 1996. However, in 1997 the number of homeowners with private
    maintenance contracts decreased slightly to 2220.
    
    Additional sampling of collector lines to determine program effectiveness was carried out. A
    12% randomly selected subset (23 no.) of the original Project CLEAN sampling locations were
    sampled and analyzed for BOD, SS, and fecal coliform bacteria. The collector line discharges
    were sampled once each year over the course of a three-year period. (See Graphs, pages 14-
    15).
                                             13
    

    -------
    Graph 1. Biochemical Oxygen Demand
       1995
         1996
    Sampling Period
    1997
         Graph 2. Suspended Solids
        1995
         1996
    Sampling Period
    1907
                       14
    

    -------
              140
              120
                          Graph 3. Fecal Coliform Levels
                          1995
          1996
    Sampling Period
    1997
    Graphs 1, 2, and 3 reveal the reduction of BOD, suspended solids, and fecal coliform bacteria
    loading over the three-year period. The average BOD levels for all samples taken in 1997 show
    a fourfold decrease in BOD when compared to the samples taken the first two years of the
    program. Similar decreases in suspended solids and fecal coliform bacteria occurred. These
    graphs demonstrate that the operation permit program for home aeration systems connected to
    collector lines has reduced the potential for disease conditions and reduced pollution in those
    neighborhoods.
    
    The stream sampling program was initiated in 1997 as an outgrowth of Project CLEAN. Forty
    sampling locations were selected. In 1997, quarterly stream samples were taken from these
    locations in an effort to observe differences in water quality over time. During sample collection,
    stream velocity,  air temperature, and overall weather condition are noted. The goal of the
    stream monitoring program is to assess the water quality impact within the watershed. Table 6
    shows the stream sampling data. But, there are not enough data points to establish any trends
    other than random variation.
                                             15
    

    -------
                                          Table 6
                               Stream Sampling Mean Values
                                      Minimum n = 40
    Sampling data
    3/12/97
    6/19/97
    9/25/97
    12/17/97
    4/2/98
    5/6/98
    BOD
    1.63
    6.26
    4.45
    5.22
    5.18
    5.91
    Fecal
    435.98
    11541.46
    1637.5
    5007.73
    4546.17
    31992.93
    NH3
    0.07
    0.13
    0.27
    0.6
    0.5
    0.54
    ss
    7.34
    26.29
    6.9
    6.91
    14.59
    113.69
    Citizen Opinion Survey
    During the spring of 1998, the Health District mailed out 1,000 customer surveys to
    homeowners with aeration sewage systems. The sample selection was produced using the
    number on the cash register receipt in the home aeration system database. Questions asked on
    the survey form included the categories of program effectiveness, program personnel, and
    program components. The response has been good. As of June 5, 1998, 314 survey
    questionnaires were completed and returned. Table 7 shows the results.
                                            16
    

    -------
                                            Table 7
                                    Citizen Survey Results
    
    Program Effectiveness:
    Odors have improved
    Steam clarity improved
    Visible sewage decreased
    Service good value
    Fees affordable
    Program Personnel:
    Inspectors identifiable
    Inspectors courteous
    Inspectors helpful
    Office courteous
    Office helpful
    Program Components:
    Information adequate
    Information helpful
    Information understandable
    Process understood
    Information received
    Mean of
    Responses
    2.92
    2.96
    2.95
    2.83
    2.91
    
    2.59
    2.17
    2.41
    2.56
    2.61
    
    2.35
    2.35
    2.26
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    207 yes, 37 no
    166 yes, 65 no
    Standard
    Deviation
    1.10
    0.95
    0.90
    1.18
    1.19
    
    0.92
    0.76
    0.85
    0.8I
    0.80
    
    
    
    
    
    
           Program Effectiveness and Program Personnel: Respondents were given six choices
           that were rated on a scale of one to six: (1) strongly agree, (2) agree, (3) neutral, (4)
           disagree, (5) strongly disagree, (6) N/A.
    
           Program Components - information adequate, information helpful, information
           understandable: Respondents given same six choices listed above.
    
           Program Components - process understood, information received: respondents given
           two choices, yes / no.
    
    Under "program effectiveness," slightly more people agree than disagree that the operation
    permit program has reduced odors, improved stream clarity, and provides a valuable service.
    Written comments from respondents included nine people wanting sewers, seven providing
    compliments, nine noting fewer odors, six citizens wanted lower fees, five questioned fairness of
    the program relative to pollution from semi-public sewage plants, three people resented
    governmental intrusion and eleven citizens considered the operation permit program redundant
    because of private maintenance contracts with service companies.
                                              17
    

    -------
    Under the categories, "program personnel" and "program components," a larger number of
    people agreed than disagreed that the staff were helpful and the information received was
    helpful. Written comments received from citizen survey respondents were similar to the
    comments mentioned above.
    
    Enteric Diseases and Sewage
    With the advent of GIS technology at the Health District, the staff are also monitoring for any
    association between communicable  disease reports and their proximity to home sewage
    systems. In 1997 an elevated number of cases of Giardia were reported in Hamilton County. A
    grouping of giardia cases appeared to  be located in and around collector line discharges.
    However, upon further investigation  by public health nurses and  sanitarians, the exposure
    source was determined to be outside of Hamilton County. The GIS technology will continue to
    be used at the Health District as a public health surveillance tool.
    
    What's Next?
    The operation permit program has reduced pollution and disease conditions. Odors and stream
    clarity have improved in many neighborhoods. The Health District plans to continue advancing
    water quality improvements, improving existing programs and adding new ones. For example,
    work has begun on a program that will  index stream conditions so that children may play and
    explore their backyard creeks and not worry about the threat of disease.
    
    Some program initiatives will be changed. Instead of a assessing home sewage systems and
    water quality by political jurisdiction,  a new approach currently underway is to use a watershed-
    based approach for improving water quality. A big help to accomplishing this will be the new
    automated land and development permitting system. The major building and development
    permitting agencies of Hamilton County and the City of Cincinnati are installing an automated
    land  and infrastructure management system known as Permits Plus. This new permitting
    process will coordinate all permitting agency activity by placing all data regarding a parcel of
    land  into a computer file. This will then allow a specific project to be monitored from concept to
    completion and thereafter for maintenance support. The integrated approach will provide up-to-
    date land use and infrastructure changes in a watershed and allow for the Health District to
    assess these impacts on water quality.
    
    Another proposed project includes a review by the  Health Commissioner of the contract
    between the Ohio EPA and HCGHD for the Health  District to regularly inspect semi-public
    sewage disposal systems. It is estimated that between 250 to 300 semi-public sewage disposal
                                              18
    

    -------
    systems exist in Hamilton County. Semi-public sewage systems serve small businesses.
    Neither the Ohio EPA nor the HCGHD are inspecting these systems.
    
    The Health District will use comments received from the citizen surveys to form new local
    coalitions. These coalitions will assist the Health District in its endeavor to educate home
    owners about the necessity of maintenance as an important part of owning and operating a
    sewage system. If these local coalitions could be assigned to a sub-watershed in which they
    reside, the coalition could become an environmental neighborhood watch group. They could
    report not only stream impacts from malfunctioning sewage systems but also illegal dumping.
    
    The Health Dstrict should begin educating zoning commissions and the elected officials about
    the importance of considering home sewage systems as a part of the local utility infrastructure.
    Citizens in these decision making roles tend to default land use decisions in unsewered areas to
    local Boards of Health. Future zoning decisions need to take into consideration the watershed
    impact created by changes in land use and the choice of sewage utility to serve that use.
    
    Last Words, for Now
    No one imagined forty-five years ago the impact that the indiscriminate usage of household
    sewage disposal systems, especially aeration systems, would have on the neighborhoods and
    backyard streams of Hamilton County. Improper siting and the disregard of maintenance needs
    has created a costly cleanup for many citizens today. The passage of a new sewage code and
    the implementation  of a multifaceted operation permit program has slowed further water quality
    degradation and facilitated needed remediation efforts. However, it has  taken a lot of effort and
    community support  to reach this point. The Health District will strive to meet citizen
    expectations.
                                              19
    

    -------
              GIS and GPS in Environmental Remediation Oversight
                              at Federal Facilities in Ohio
            James L. Coon, Kelly Kaletsky, William G. Lohner, and Thomas A. Schneider
                         Ohio EPA, Office of Federal Facilities Oversight
                                        Dayton, Ohio
    Abstract
    This paper presents some of the experiences and plans of the Ohio EPA Office of Federal
    Facilities Oversight's (OFFO) use of GIS and GPS for environmental remediation oversight at
    the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Fernald, Mound, and associated sites. The Fernald site
    is a former uranium metal production facility within DOE's nuclear weapons complex. Mound's
    mission included production, development, and research in support of DOE's weapons and
    energy related programs. Contamination of soil and groundwater at both sites is being
    remediated under binding agreements with the State  of Ohio and USEPA. The primary
    contaminants of concern at the sites include several radionuclides and chlorinated solvents.
    
    OFFO uses GIS/GPS to enhance environmental monitoring and remediation oversight. These
    technologies are utilized within OFFO's environmental monitoring program for sample location
    and parameter selection, data interpretation, and presentation. GPS is used to integrate sample
    data into OFFO's GIS and for permanently linking precise and accurate geographic data to
    samples and waste units. It is important to spatially identify contamination because as
    remediation progresses visual references (e.g., buildings, infrastructure) are being removed at
    both sites.
    
    Availability of the GIS allows OFFO to perform independent analysis and review of DOE
    contractor generated data, models, maps, and designs. This ability helps alleviate concerns
    associated with "black box" models and data interpretation. OFFO's independent analysis has
    increased regulatory  confidence and the efficiency of design reviews. GIS/GPS technology
    allows OFFO to record and present complex data in a visual format aiding in stakeholder
    education and awareness.
    
    GIS and GPS are used in planning and evaluating natural resource restoration projects at
    Fernald. These systems can be used to map wetland mitigation projects and evaluate functional
    changes including floristic and hydrological parameters. For restoration planning, post
    

    -------
    excavation topography models are used to develop appropriate landscape plans. OFFO
    oversight, including GIS support, is an important element ensuring DOE's fulfillment of
    commitments to wetland mitigation and Natural Resource Damage restoration.
    
    This presentation is intended to highlight some of OFFO's activities covered above and some
    lessons learned in implementing the GIS/GPS program. OFFO's five years of GIS/GPS
    development have resulted in numerous lessons learned and ideas for increasing effectiveness
    through the use of GIS/GPS.
    
    Background
    One of the responsibilities of the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency's Office of Federal
    Facilities Oversight is to conduct regulatory oversight of the environmental restoration activities
    at the United States Department of Energy's (DOE) Fernald and Mound sites as well as several
    Department of Defense (DOD) sites. The Fernald site, formerly known as the Feed Materials
    Production Center,  is a 1050-acre facility located in a rural residential area, 8 miles northwest of
    Cincinnati, Ohio. Production of uranium metal, including slightly enriched, depleted,  and natural
    uranium began in 1953.Small amounts of thorium metal were also produced. Production
    stopped in July 1989 to focus resources on environmental restoration. In December 1989, the
    site was added to the United States Environmental Protection Agency's (USEPA) National
    Priorities List.
    
    The Fernald site is located over the Great Miami Aquifer (GMA),  which is a valued natural
    resource and has been designated a sole  source aquifer by the USEPA. Ground water has
    been contaminated with uranium, various other radionuclides, inorganic, and organic
    contaminants. A plume of uranium contaminated ground water extends  approximately 1 mile
    down gradient of the facility. Six waste pits, used during production,  contain  approximately
    430,910 metric tons of waste, including uranium, thorium, and other radioactive and chemical
    contaminants. Four concrete silos were constructed at Fernald to store radioactive materials.
    Two of them, the K-65 silos, contain  high radium-bearing residues, one  contains lower-level
    dried uranium-bearing residue, and one has not been used. In addition to the ground water
    contamination,  surface water, sediment and soil have been contaminated by past activities at
    the facility.
    

    -------
    The Mound Plant is located in Montgomery County within the city of Miamisburg, Ohio,
    approximately 10 miles southwest of Dayton, Ohio. The Miamisburg downtown area, five
    schools, six parks, and many city and township residences are located in the immediate vicinity
    of the plant. The Mound Plant is also located within 2000 feet of the Great Miami River (GMR),
    which flows for 170 miles through southwest Ohio to its confluence with the Ohio River. A
    portion of the Mound Plant overlies the GMR Buried Valley Aquifer (BVA), which is a sole
    source aquifer providing potable water for a major portion of Miami Valley residents and
    industries.
    
    The Mound Plant was established in 1946 as a facility to support atomic weapons research. Its
    primary mission was the process development, production  engineering, manufacturing,
    surveillance, and evaluation of explosive components for the United States nuclear defense
    stockpile. Secondary missions over the next 40 years included nuclear material safeguards,
    radioactive waste management and recovery, building and testing of nuclear generators for
    NASA spacecraft, and purification of non-radioactive isotopes.
    
    OFFO was created in the spring of 1994  by the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency. It was
    created to coordinate and conduct regulatory oversight of the investigation and remediation
    activities at federal facility cleanup sites within Ohio. OFFO facilitates environmental monitoring,
    emergency response, regulatory oversight, and public outreach at DOE and Department of
    Defense sites in Ohio. Funding for Ohio EPA's oversight of the DOE Fernald and Mound sites is
    provided in Cost Recovery Grants between the State of Ohio and DOE. Additional  information
    on OFFO is available on the Internet (http://offo2.epa.state.oh.us).
    
    The Fernald  group within OFFO has been employing Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
    and a Global Positioning System (GPS) since early 1995 for regulatory oversight and
    environmental monitoring at the site. As our experience and confidence with the GIS has
    increased, our reliance on it for informed decision making has increased. The GIS  provides
    timely and accurate information in various formats for problem solving and decision making. The
    GPS has been employed to geographically reference new data as it is collected as well as to
    acquire positional information on existing structures and waste units.
    
    The Mound group, also within OFFO, has also been using GIS/GPS for regulatory  oversight and
    environmental monitoring at the Mound plant. The GIS has allowed for verification  of sampling
    

    -------
    results within Potential Release Sites (PRS) as well as providing independent modeling of
    potential contaminant plumes within a PRS. The GPS at Mound and related sites has been
    used for data collection similar to the  Fernald site.
    
    GIS/GPS Program
    OFFO uses Intergraph's Modular GIS Environment (MGE) and Environmental Resource
    Management Applications (ERMA) software. The ERMA software suite includes modules for
    groundwater modeling, data management,  geologic and subsurface analysis. MicroStation is
    used for graphical manipulation of resulting images. The attribute data for this project is stored
    in the Oracle relational database management software. Oracle provides the database tools
    necessary to store, organize, and manipulate the large amount of environmental data collected
    at the Fernald and Mound sites over the past decade. Oracle also works in conjunction with the
    MGE and ERMA software from Intergraph.  The  Intergraph system was selected in order to
    remain consistent with the system used by  DOE's operating contractors at both sites.
    
    An Ashtech Reliance Husky GPS field unit, Reliance 12-channel GPS base station and
    associated Ashtech software are used to complete field mapping projects. Specifically, GPS is
    used to support OFFO's GIS, monitoring, and oversight programs. Air, water, soil, and biota
    samples are collected by members of the environmental monitoring team. GPS coordinators
    accompany monitoring team members into the field and gather GPS data for specific sampling
    locations. Following data collection, post-processing occurs at Ohio EPA using Ashtech
    Reliance software. Dependent upon the quality of the data and location environment, the
    resulting sampling points may achieve an accuracy within 0.1 meters.
    
    After post processing, the geographic information which was recorded in the field is loaded into
    the GIS where it is used for sample location mapping, natural resource projects, data
    interpretation and presentations. The information is also used to determine future sampling
    locations based on existing contaminant data, select analytical parameters including matrix and
    contaminants for future sampling, and the creation of contours, maps,  and models.
    Geographically referenced data is easily integrated within the existing Oracle database for
    timely evaluations of temporal data changes. These maps and data analyses are readily
    converted into  presentations and demonstrations for public education concerning ongoing
    remediation and monitoring. The ability to have a graphical representation of environmental
    sampling locations has proven beneficial  in educating the public regarding OFFO's
    

    -------
    environmental monitoring program.
    
    Currently, remediation activities are taking place at the Fernald site. During remediation, all
    buildings will be demolished and the site will become a series of excavations, thus eliminating
    most visual references. Waste units will be remediated to risk based cleanup levels leaving
    above-background concentrations of contaminants in place. Having the ability to navigate back
    to the former waste units will allow OFFO to determine if cleanup levels have been attained and
    if any remaining contaminants are migrating at a rate which was not predicted by site modeling.
    
    Before OFFO had GIS/GPS capabilities, environmental models and maps presented in DOE
    submittals were reviewed on paper. Document reviews required significant staff time reviewing
    binders of data, or an assumption that results and interpretations provided by DOE were correct.
    The review process has been significantly enhanced with the acquisition and implementation of
    OFFO's GIS/GPS program. These new tools have provided OFFO the capability to interactively
    manipulate and review environmental models and maps produced  by DOE contractors and to
    independently verify conclusions presented in the models.
    
    A series of environmental contaminant visual images have been initiated by OFFO utilizing
    bubble or graduated circle mapping. The use of bubble maps allows for quick and relatively
    easy visual representation of contamination of a specified area. These projects involved
    querying and  posting data from OFFO's soil database in order to create bubble maps containing
    contaminant ranges that break down according  to appropriate regulatory levels. The total
    uranium contaminant concentrations of importance are those greater than or equal to the Final
    Remediation Level (FRL), which is 80 mg/kg in soil for much of the site, and those exceeding
    the Waste Acceptance Criteria (WAC) for Fernald's onsite disposal facility, 1030 mg/kg. Larger
    symbols on the map indicate higher corresponding total uranium contaminant values for soil
    samples. OFFO utilized bubble maps at Fernald to determine the extent of total uranium in the
    soil for a railroad expansion just north of the former production area. This technique was also
    used in the Operable Unit 4 silos area to help visualize radium contamination in soils that had
    eroded into Paddys Run and separately to assess the presence of RCRA metals in the Paddys
    Run corridor.  These  visualizations were used in evaluating an appropriate response actions and
    waste disposition options.
    

    -------
    Much of the work at the Mound site is proceeding based on administrative release blocks or
    parcels. Within each release block or parcel there are more potential release sites (PRS) which
    represent discrete areas of potential contamination. Contamination within each PRS is being
    evaluated and remediated, as necessary, prior to release of the PRS to the Miamisburg Mound
    Community Improvement Corporation (MMCIC) for industrial redevelopment. MMCIC is a
    nonprofit corporation funded in part by DOE to foster the prompt industrial reuse of the Mound
    facility as DOE's work at the site concludes.
    
    To evaluate each PRS, OFFO uses the GIS to generate graphics that display all sampling
    locations in and near each PRS. This enables staff to evaluate not only what contaminants are
    known to exist within the PRS but also contaminants nearby that could impact the PRS. An
    example of this is approach is illustrated in work surrounding PRS 420. PRS 420 is a relatively
    small area where initial document submittals to the agency showed only isolated contamination.
    The GIS was then used to plot contamination in and around the PRS revealing significant
    contamination had been present nearby. Upon more detailed review it became apparent that a
    minor area of contamination in PRS 420 was actually part of a larger area of contamination that
    was mostly outside of the PRS 420 boundaries. The GIS enabled a rapid areal review
    surrounding PRS 420 that otherwise could have only been accomplished after days of pouring
    through stacks of documents and drawings.
    
    Identification of this larger area lead to improvements in the process used by DOE and its
    contractor to screen data relevant to each PRS being evaluated. Another outcome of this work
    was the determination that prior cleanup occurred  in the area and that no means existed to
    determine what data represented previously remediated areas. Subsequent work has gone into
    establishing an appropriate data tracking system that ties data to the location and flags data
    from remedial projects so that proper historical and current status can more easily be
    determined. This data tracking improvement will save money and reduce the work put into
    resampling areas where cleanups have been completed in the  past. Now OFFO staff and
    citizens reviewing PRS submittals have increased  confidence that they are looking at the full
    extent of information available about the PRS.
    
    OFFO has also used Voxel Analyst to create three-dimensional models depicting potential
    contamination at Mound.PRS266 is a hillside where thorium contaminated soils were dumped
    many years ago. Initially,  as  part of the typical regulatory regime, site generated models were
    

    -------
    reviewed. To increase our understanding of the waste disposal areas nature and extent, OFFO
    independently generated a three-dimensional model based upon sampling results obtained in
    and around the hillside. This modeling resulted in similar results to the site generated models
    and improved regulatory confidence in project decisions.
    
    Our most recent project involving GIS and GPS is the monitoring of construction and success of
    six acres of mitigation wetland at the Fernald site. Ohio  EPA is using GPS to survey monitoring
    points for ongoing restoration research. The research project evaluates the impacts of using
    donor site soils in the constructed wetland basins. In addition to surveying monitoring points the
    GPS has been used in a roving mode to delineate the boundaries of the constructed wetland.
    As data are collected from the treatment and control plots they are entered into the GIS which
    allows for geographic referencing and visual analysis of the data. Data such as percent canopy
    cover, soil moisture, microbial activity, soil source and treatment type are  all collected in the
    GIS. These data can then be used to evaluate possible  correlations and differences in the
    treatment regime and success monitoring. GPS and GIS can also be used to evaluate overall
    success of the restoration project including plant survival rates, percent cover in seeded areas,
    water levels, etc. The wetland mitigation project is an early phase of what will be a much larger
    natural resource restoration effort at Fernald. As a part of a proposed settlement of a Natural
    Resource Damages claim, DOE will be completing natural resource restoration on more than
    800 acres of the Fernald site. OFFO continues to evaluate methods for using GIS and GPS in
    our oversight and monitoring of DOE's natural resource restoration activities.
    
    Remediation of the Fernald site will require large excavations of varying depths across  large
    portions of the site. Remediation of soil contaminated with uranium will require excavations in
    excess of 25 feet deep in some areas. OFFO has used  estimated excavation depths and areas
    generated by Fluor Daniel Fernald along with existing topographic maps to develop
    visualizations of the post remediation topography of the site. Developing this post excavation
    visualizations have been useful in evaluating future land uses for the site. When viewing the
    extreme variations in post excavation topography and considering the volume of soils that would
    be required to reestablish the original site topography, decisions regarding final land use are
    much easier. OFFO has used these visualizations of current and future topography in meetings
    with DOE and their contractor as well as with the public. Using the information from these
    visualizations and input from stakeholders DOE has developed a conceptual site model that
    involves the creation of large open water bodies, interconnecting wetlands, expanded riparian
    

    -------
    zones and areas of upland forest.
    
    Conclusion
    The Ohio EPA has successfully developed and implemented a GIS/GPS program which is
    being integrated into the environmental remediation oversight process. GIS tools have allowed
    the Ohio EPA to perform advanced data analysis and gain spatial insight on the problems
    encountered at the Fernald site. We are improving the data analysis process by creating maps
    and models with environmental data that has been generated at the Fernald and Mound sites.
    The GIS allows us to view the massive amounts of data that have been collected at the Fernald
    site in a spatial context. The ability to view, manipulate and analyze these data sets allows us to
    draw conclusions about spatial correlations and distribution across the three-dimensional
    landscape. This information, which is generated using GIS and environmental modeling tools, is
    then incorporated into the  decision making process in the remediation of the Fernald and Mound
    sites. It is the Ohio EPA's  belief that the system has helped the agency provide better oversight
    for the State of Ohio and assisted DOE in cleaning up the sites in a efficient and cost-effective
    manner.
    

    -------
       Environmental Justice in Kentucky: Examining the Relationships
     Between Low-Income and Minority Communities and the Location of
                             Landfills, and TSD Facilities
                                       Larisa J. Keith
                          Northern Kentucky Area Planning Commission
    1.1     Problem
    Environmental justice has been a topic of discussion among environmentalists since around the
    early part of the century, although it was not termed such at that time. This topic reaches from
    lead based paint to nuclear waste dumps. These toxins and all of the hazards in between that
    may cause human health problems have been the cause of controversy based on their location
    and their remediation. Studies have been conducted to try to determine the severity of inequality
    in the siting of such facilities in low income or minority communities. This project attempts to
    identify relationships between selected socio-economic variables and treatment, storage and
    disposal facilities, within the Commonwealth of Kentucky in the United States, and to define
    some of the problems associated with the possible inequality of siting such facilities. These
    cause and effect relationships are outlined in  problems in Figure 1.
    
    Kentucky has several landfills, hazardous waste management facilities, and incinerators located
    throughout the state. In fact, a report on environmental justice cites Kentucky, along with
    Tennessee and Mississippi as states where minorities face some of the most disproportionate
    risks when its comes to hazardous waste siting. It was found that the percentage of minority
    residents who live near waste sites in these two states was more than twice that in other
    statewide populations (Charlier, 1994). A community activist in Harlan County, Kentucky, stated
    that the reason for this might be that poor communities often don't have the financial or
    technical resources to deal with the problem (Melnykovych, 1993). Often the complaints of low
    income or minorities are not heard. However, in one case in Kentucky, a $20,000 grant was
    awarded to Louisville's Justice Resource Center, to aid in empowering citizens to fight against
    the locating of polluters in the West End  (First Comes Awareness, 1996). In response to this
    another $312,000 federal grant was awarded to the city to reduce emissions from the
    Rubbertown chemical plant complex and other industry (Melnykovych, 1996). These examples
    illustrate that environmental justice is perceived as a problem in cities and counties in Kentucky.
                                             1
    

    -------
                                       Figure 1
    
                                    Problem Tree
    Causes
    Inequalities of the
    distribution of
    health risks.
                            Industries and gov't
                            feel that they know
                            economic versus
                            environmental
                            benefits best.
    Federal level
    requirements and
    solutions not
    addressed at the
    local level.
    i
    r
    Lack of adequate
    standards.
    Core
    
    — bi
                            Industries and
                            government do not
                            provide enough
                            information.
                            Lack of community
                            involvement.
                            Inequality in the
                            distribution of TSD
                            facilities.
    Increased
    environmental
    problem because
    clustering of toxic
    facilities
                             Environmental
                             movement focused
                             on biological and
                             health risks without
                             much thought of
                             social equality.
                             EIA and site
                             selection focuses
                             only on
                             environment and
                             not social issues.
                             Lack of awareness
                             of the inequalities in
                             a given area.
    Too many toxic
    facilities in low
    income and
    minority
    communities.
                                                             Effects
    

    -------
    1.2    Objective
    The purpose of this study is to examine the relationships between the location of treatment,
    storage and disposal facilities and low income or minority communities in Kentucky. This project
    will locate the facilities and attempt to determine if there are any significant relationships
    between their concentration and the racial make up, economic status and type of householder.
    Also, this project seeks to determine if distance from these facilities has any affect on the
    characteristics of the surrounding population. For  example, are more minority communities
    close to the facilities than there are at a further distance? The project does  not attempt to
    determine any historical relationship, such as whether or not the facility located itself in the
    communities before or after the demographic characteristics were in place. This study attempts
    to find any basic statistical relationships that may  be present. This study will begin  to develop
    some initial evidence of any cause and effect relationship, but will not address these cause and
    effects in detail. In the future, this study may be used as the basis of further studies of historic
    themes and why the hypothesized relationships may exist. Also, if these relationships are found
    to suggest causality then policies may need to be implemented to address  inequalities in TSD
    facility siting. The ultimate objective is to learn whether or not these relationships exist so that
    further studies may be suggested, successful siting methods highlighted, and possible policy
    solutions created.
    
    1.3    Methods
    This study comes in two parts, the first of which is devoted to the relationships between the
    number of treatment, storage, and disposal facilities (TSDFs) and population characteristics.
    This section seeks to answer if there is a relationship between all of the variables combined,
    including the percentage African American, Hispanic, and other minority groups, the percentage
    of persons below the state poverty level, the percentage of female-headed  households, and  the
    per capita income, and  the number of treatment, storage and disposal facilities at the county
    and zip code level. Also, are the relationships between each variable and the number of
    treatment, storage and  disposal facilities positive or negative? The use of these questions will
    help to determine if there is a direct spatial relationship between these variables and the TSDFs.
    
    The second section of the project will be dedicated to the effect of distance from treatment,
    disposal, and waste facilities on population characteristics. Do the percentages of minorities
    increase or decrease with distance from a facility? Do percentages below the state poverty level
    increase or decrease with distance from a facility? Do the percentages of female-headed
    

    -------
    households increase or decrease with distance from a facility? Do the per capita incomes
    increase or decrease with distance from a facility? This section will only utilize zip code data.
    Again, these questions will aid in determining if there are any spatial relationships between
    variables and waste management sites, and whether distance has a relationship with the
    distribution of socio-economic characteristics of the communities surrounding facilities.
    
    1.4    Hypotheses
    The following expected correlations are under the assumption that the facilities were in place
    after the population characteristics were created. The hypotheses for the first section of the
    project,  assuming that there are relationships between the dependent socioeconomic variables
    and the independent facility variable (number of sites) at both the county and zip code level, are
    as follows:
        1)  The greater the number of facilities, the greater the percentage of African Americans
           (positive relationship);
        2)  The greater the number of facilities, the greater the percentage of Hispanics (positive
           relationship);
        3)  The greater the number of facilities, the greater the percentage of other minority groups
           (positive relationship);
        4)  The greater the number of facilities, the greater the percentage of all persons below the
           state poverty level (positive relationship);
        5)  The greater the number of facilities, the greater the percentage of female headed
           households (positive relationship); and
        6)  The greater the number of facilities, the lower the per capita income (negative
           relationship).
    
    The hypotheses for the second section of the project, assuming that there are relationships
    between the dependent population variables and the independent variable (distance from the
    sites) at the zip code level, are as  follows:
        1)  As the distance from each  facility gets greater, the percentage of the population that is
           African American gets lower;
        2)  As the distance from each  facility gets greater, the percentage of the population that is
           Hispanic gets lower;
        3)  As the distance from each  facility gets greater, the percentage of the population labeled
           as other minority groups gets lower;
    

    -------
       4)  As the distance from each facility gets greater, the percentage of all persons that is
           below the state poverty level gets lower;
       5)  As the distance from each facility gets greater, the percentage of the female headed
           households; and
       6)  As the distance from each facility gets greater, the per capita income gets higher.
    
    Literature indicates that these hypotheses could be accepted. These studies are discussed
    further in the literature review.
    
    This project does not attempt to make a causal connection between socio-economic variables
    and TSDF sites. The objective is to find any relationship that may indicate that further studies
    are needed to connect causes to effects. This is not a historical review determining who came
    first, the minority and poverty communities or the facilities;  it is a review  of the conditions at one
    moment in time.
    
    The significance of this study is that it will increase knowledge on the level of environmental
    injustices in Kentucky, related to the location of TSD facilities. This will aid in creating a basis for
    both residents of the state and decision-makers within industry and government to address the
    issue of environmental justice with a background of the current situation through policy making.
    Also this study will  create awareness of some possible solutions to any recognized problems
    with the methods of siting in regard to social characteristics.
    
    This research problem can be addressed by beginning with a background analysis of the
    subject of environmental justice, its causes and effects, and some of the actions taken to avoid
    it. The  following chapter applies to these topics and others to give a framework of the situation
    of environmental justice at the current time and how it evolved to be such.
    
    2.1     Background of Environmental Justice
    To better understand this project it is necessary to provide  a background and the definitions of
    used terms. Understanding the background of environmental justice and some of the key
    proponents will  aid in clearly defining the scope of this project. As with any issue, environmental
    justice  has taken several levels within its lifecycle  (Figure 2). The arrival of the issue, the
    popularization of the issue in government, and the implementation of the solutions to the issue
    given by government have all  been steps leading  up to the current situation of environmental
    

    -------
    justice. This life cycle of the environmental justice movement is discussed first in this chapter
    with the issue of toxic waste and health risks, which are related to the cause for the initial
    uprising of the issue. Next, the grassroots organizations that first brought the issue to light within
    their own communities and throughout the nation are discussed.  The issue being placed on the
    national agenda for political approval is also discussed through a review of the acts and orders
    created by the Office of the President. Implementation is also discussed here through EPA
    regulations toward siting and treatment, storage and disposal facility requirements, which is
    more specifically related to this study. The categories outlined in  the following sections  give a
    background to the lifecycle of environmental justice to date. The  EPA is currently doing
    evaluation of the effectiveness of these policies and reformulation may or may not occur after
    this is released.
    
    2.1.1   Environmental Justice and the Environmental Movement
    In the United States there have been essentially three major themes in the environmental
    movement according to Ortolano (1996). These themes include the anthropocentric point of
    view, which  is the dominant theme,  the environmental justice issue, and the biocentrism point of
    view. The biocentric view is simply the realization that all species have an intrinsic value. This
    view was popular in the early 1900's and reemerged in the 1970's with environmental ethics.
    
    The anthropocentric theme includes several motives for protecting the environment. The first of
    which is public health.  Early in the nineteenth century environmental NGOs were stressing the
    importance of public health related to the environment. This has also been the case inside the
    environmental justice movement itself. These health risks  are later discussed in this chapter.
    Other motives included: 1) technological and scientific management of resources and the
    acceptance  of waste as an unavoidable use of the environment;  2) the effects of human
    interference on biological systems, especially after WWII and the problem with DDT in the
    1960's; 3) preservation of wilderness in the late nineteenth century; and 4) the resurgence of
    transcendentalism in the 1970's (Ortolano, 1996). However, each of these problems was usually
    raised by those individuals with sufficient income to allow them to delve into such issues.
    

    -------
                                            Figure 2
                              Life Cycle of Environmental Justice
                                             1.Issue
                                             creation by
                                             inequality of
                                             the distribution
    8.Future-
    reformulation
    or termination
                                                             2.Issue
                                                             Magnified by
                                                             Grassroots  Org
              /.Evaluation -
              currently being
              done.
                                                                    3.Issue taken
                                                                    on by
                                                                    Environmental
                                                                    Organizations.
                  6.EPA
                  implements new
                  requirements for
                  federal agencies
                  anrl nprmittinn
                                                          4.Publications
                                                          and media
                                                          involvement.
                                       5.Presidential
                                       Acts and
                                       Orders
    The environmental justice theme was first raised in raised in the 1980's when it was seen that
    environmental programs often imposed unequal costs on people and groups that they effect,
    which raised further questions about the fairness of distribution (Weale, 1992). The
    environmental justice events that are further discussed in this chapter fall into the time period
    extending from the 1960's and 1970's when health issues were highly recognized throughout
    the anthropocentric environmental realm, through the uprising of grassroots organizations and
    environmental groups. Hazardous waste became popular with the public in the 1970's, just as
    other issues dealing with the environment. The upwelling of interest in these issues coincided
    with the passage of several acts in legislation. The environmental justice issue was developed
    

    -------
    at the same time as pollution regulation and policymaking was expanded to toxic chemicals.
    The Toxic Substances Control Act of 1976 was the first legislation to raise the issue of toxic
    materials. After this came the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976, which was
    amended in 1984 to give specific regulations to TSDs.  In 1980, The Comprehensive
    Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA) was passed, which
    helped to deal with toxins after they had been deposited in the environment.
    
    The recognition of the dangers of toxic waste  seems to have occurred in both the political and
    public communities. However, in the public's view, these legislations and the programs were not
    being applied in an evenly distributed manner. This led to the conflicts in several areas across
    the nation, where communities got involved in the siting of such facilities. The increase in
    knowledge about the dangers of toxic materials and the recognition of this by legislation was
    enough to spur residents to take an active part in an issue that could have negative impacts on
    their lives. Following these reactions from the public, further legislation (discussed  further in this
    chapter) was enacted to try and address these problems of inequality. This did not occur until
    the mid 1990's and the effects of these programs and legislations are still being evaluated in
    1999.
    
    2.1.2  Toxic Waste and Health Risks
    There are many health risks associated with toxic materials. Although it is often difficult to
    account for the precise amount of risk involved, it is important to realize the possible
    consequences to human life. In the United States the definition of risk includes several aspects.
    First, it includes the probability of the occurrence of an event, such as a discharge  or spill of
    toxic materials. Second, it includes the probability that  toxins will be released by an event.  Third,
    it addresses the probable quantity, concentrations, transport and fate of toxins released into the
    environment, as determined by conditions at the time of the event.  Risk also means the
    probability of exposure of individuals, populations, or ecosystems to toxic substances released
    into the environment. Finally, risk involves the probability of adverse human health or
    environmental effects from exposure to toxins released into the environment (Cohrssen and
    Covello, 1989).
    It is understandable that no numerical level of risk will be acceptable to everyone, and also that
    eliminating all risk to all people is impossible.  Therefore it is important to balance the potential
    risks to individuals from toxins against the broader benefits to the community. This is an element
    

    -------
    of the concept of environmental justice. No one should be unnecessarily subjected to potential
    risks more than others should.
    
    The risks of exposure to toxins can occur through the manufacturing process, transportation to
    market, use in consumer goods, and disposal as waste (Heath, 1989). Each of these can result
    in toxic releases into the groundwater, atmosphere, the food chain, surface water and soil,
    which can lead to increased, and often unrealized, human exposure. These exposures can
    result in several health problems. Acute biological abnormalities may include skin rashes, acute
    neurological effects, acute hepatic or renal disease, and acute gastrointestinal or cardiovascular
    illness. Other sub-clinical acute effects include abnormalities in liver enzyme function, nerve
    condition sloping and chromosomal  damage (Heath, 1989). These effects, of course, depend on
    the type and amount of the chemical. Creating these causal relationships is often difficult and
    depends on the accuracy of information regarding exposure and abnormalities. However, any
    possibility of negative health impacts that may or may not create a decrease in the quality of life
    of human beings is a significant issue that needs to be addressed  with the utmost caution.
    
    2.1.3   Grass Roots Organizations
    Historically, the location of locally unwanted land uses has followed the path of least resistance;
    those associated with health and environmental risks, such as toxic waste sites,  included.
    However, throughout the years, although low income and minorities have been subjected to a
    disproportionate amount of pollution in their neighborhoods and workplaces, they have only
    been slightly involved in the environmental movement. Low income and minority  communities
    have had few advocates at the national level and within the environmental movement (Bullard,
    1990). It was  not consistently large toxic corporations that created opposition at the start of the
    environmental justice movement but also the smaller, home based dangers. Lead-based paint
    illnesses were, in the early part of the century, one of the first signs that minorities were getting
    more than their fair share of health risks due to toxins. Lead was a middle class issue in the
    broad population in the inner city from the 1940's through the 1970's. The first major effort to
    deal with it was by a black community in Chicago in 1965. While lead was a big issue to society
    for a while, failure came within policy to address relationships between housing community
    health and the inner city environmental where many people of color lived. This reinforced the
    notion that environmental issues were white and middle class. Lead was a continuing problem
    in the 1980's. In substandard housing, particularly, contamination was  high (Gottlieb,  1993).
    

    -------
    Another distinctive difference in the distribution of health risks was in the realm of low income
    and low skilled workers. Low-income industrial workers, who, in the early 1900's, were the
    majority black, were also subject to the dangers of non-controlled environmental risks
    associated with industry. This was a time when recruiting on the basis of race was not an
    unusual practice for particularly hazardous jobs. There were asbestos cover-ups from the
    1930's through the  1950's, and coal mining cover-ups in the 1960's. In 1967 the Association of
    Disabled Miners and Widows was formed as the first black lung protection group. In West
    Virginia the Black Lung Association in 1969 spurred legislation  such as the Coal Mining Health
    and Safety and the Occupation Safety and Health Act (Gottlieb, 1993).
    
    These sorts of communities in which  environmental injustices have occurred sometimes did so
    because the cities had to make a choice between environmental conservation and economic
    development. Cities in need of employment opportunities, although they may have tried to
    attract clean industry, often had to settle for dirty industry. The view of the communities was
    often not to oppose anything that would bring in jobs (Bullard, 1990).
    
    Also in the 1960's and 1970's, came  the emergence of concern for pesticides due to the
    publication of Silent Spring, not only in conjunction with wildlife  hazards, but also farm worker
    health and safety. This was also spurred by minority groups, specifically Chicano and Mexican
    born workers. However, as of 1990, farm workers were still  excluded from any pesticide policy
    debates.
    
    During the period of the Cold War, uranium activities in the southwest were booming, mostly in
    Native American areas. Soon after, concerns emerged about health and environmental impacts
    produced an "environmental legacy" of radiation that was linked to illnesses and deaths. Native
    Americans were now unrecognized victims as well (Gottlieb, 1993).
    
    The environmental  movement itself though the  sixties and seventies, which was concerned with
    booming population growth, was said to have racial implications. This was related to the
    usurpation of resources and increased pollution (Gottlieb, 1993). In response, since the 1970s,
    grass roots organizations have been  involved by challenging local governments on the control
    of such things as factories and landfills (Brown, 1994). The  Natural Resource Defense Council,
    the Lawyer's Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, the Sierra Club and the Committee for
    Racial Justice of the United Church of Christ all became involved by endorsing legislation and
                                              10
    

    -------
    by cooperating to gain Senate approval of the environmental justice legislation (Coyle and
    Carmody, 1993). In 1979, a suburban African American neighborhood in Houston filed the first
    lawsuit to charge environmental discrimination. This lawsuit charged Browning Ferris Industries
    with locating a municipal solid waste landfill in their community. All five of the city's other
    sanitary landfills and six of the eight municipal solid waste incinerators were in mostly African
    American neighborhoods. However only 28% of the city's population was African American itself
    (Bullard,  1994).
    
    In the 1970's an organization called the Urban Environmental Conference (UEC) began as a
    legislative and lobbying environmental counterpart to the Leadership Conference of Civil Rights.
    In 1983 this organization funded a conference on toxics and minorities in New Orleans which
    was the first major attempt to identify toxic issues as issues of discrimination and social justice.
    Unfortunately, the UEC lost its funding and failed to adequately create a connection between
    civil rights and the environment (Gottlieb, 1993).
    
    In the 1980's, new groups were formed raising issues of risk discrimination in environmental
    terms now known as environmental justice. "Primary actors in these new campaigns were
    alternative environmental groups for which the ethnicity factor remained prominent" (Gottlieb,
    1993). Environmental justice gained national attention in 1982 when a protest broke out in a
    predominantly African American community in North Carolina against the siting of a burial site
    for soil contaminated with PCBs (Knollenberg, 1998). This site was a minority community, and
    was found to be scientifically unsuitable, but was still developed (Bullard, 1990). Prompted by
    these demonstrations, in 1983 the General Accounting Offices (GAO) studied hazardous  waste
    landfill siting in the District of Columbia region and found a  relationship with black percentages
    (Bullard,  1990). Due to the upwelling of public protest, the interest of many other organizations
    consequently turned to the topic of environmental justice. For example, the Commission for
    Racial Justice of the United Church of Christ did one of the most well known studies on the topic
    in 1989. This study concluded that race was a likely determinant of the location of commercial
    waste facilities and uncontrolled toxic waste sites (Brown,  1994). Around the same time Bullard
    released  his study entitled  Dumping in Dixie (1990). Both proved to be crucial documents in
    situating  environmental racism.
    
    After these studies on environmental justice, public attention continued to grow.  Since the
    Church of Christ study,  several other grassroots organizations have been involved in the fight
                                               11
    

    -------
    for environmental justice. For example, the Los Angeles City Energy Recovery Project, The
    South West Organization Committee in Albuquerque who held the "International Hearing of
    Toxics in Minority Communities" in 1989, the Louisiana Toxics Project, and the United Farm
    Workers in California. These organizations, along with the study by the Church of Christ, helped
    in recognizing the "disparate distribution of environmental contaminants in their communities."
    The Church of Christ study also pushed the topic to academia. It suggested that universities
    give assistance to minorities seeking training in the environmental fields and that the universities
    should develop curricula in environmental sociology (Lee, 1992). In response, the EPA
    cosponsored the conference on the Environment, Minorities and Women, designed internship
    program for educators at black colleges and universities, and created an Indian Task Force to
    be sure they were aware of, and took advantage of, EPA programs (Lee, 1992).
    
    During the 1990's new groups and coalitions were being formed to combat injustice in the
    environmental movement. Louisiana based non-Anglo activists and the New Mexico based
    South West Organizing Project began stressing the problem with the CEO's of several major
    companies. This involvement created significant concern among  mainstream groups such as
    The Sierra Club, The Audubon Society, and Friends of the Earth  (Gottlieb,  1993). In 1991 the
    "People of Color Environmental Summit" was held in California. This summit resulted in a public
    policy agenda to address environmental injustices. It recommended that Congress and the
    President address it through legislation, executive orders, and other governmental policy (Bass
    1998).
    
    2.1.4  Acts/Government Orders/ EPA Regulations
    When any issue gets large enough to draw attention from the public then it is probable that the
    government will get involved. This has been the case  with environmental justice.  In response to
    the fore mentioned public outcry, the government became more concerned. The Environmental
    Justice Act of 1993 was a bill directing the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and other
    federal agencies to cooperate in the clean up of the 100 most toxic counties in the nation. This
    bill would trigger additional governmental assistance to these counties in most need (Coyle and
    Carmody, 1993).
    
    Finally, in February of 1994, President William  Clinton gave Executive Order 12898 that would
    lend Federal Actions to Address Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-income
    Populations (Bass, 1998). This policy established several things. It gave federal agencies the
                                              12
    

    -------
    mission to achieve environmental justice by identifying and addressing any disproportionately
    high and adverse human health or environmental effects of its programs, policies and activities
    on minority populations and low income populations of the United States and its territories and
    possessions (U.S. Congress, 1998). The Executive Order created the Interagency Working
    Group of Environmental Justice that included the heads of several executive agencies and
    offices such as the Department of Defense (U.S. Congress, 1998). The Executive Order
    required that each federal agency develop an agency wide environmental justice strategy listing
    all programs, policies, planning and public participation practices, enforcement, and rule
    makings related to human health and the environment (Bass, 1998). The Working Group had to
    submit to the President a report describing the implementation of the order and the strategies
    (U.S. Congress, 1998). The Executive Order created the development of agencies and the
    Working Group to implement the policy for environmental justice. However, the Executive Order
    did not create new opportunities for legal challenges against federal agencies for violations of
    the order (Bass, 1998).
    
    The next step of the  President was to put out a presidential memorandum. This directed federal
    agencies to do five things: 1) to analyze the environmental effects of federal actions including
    effects on  minority and low income communities  when required by NEPA; 2) to address adverse
    effects of any mitigation measures outlined or analyzed in an Environmental Assessment, and
    Environmental Impact Statement or a record of decision on minority and low income
    committees; 3) to provide opportunities for community input in the NEPA process, to include and
    identify potential effects and mitigation measures in consultation with the affected communities,
    improving  the accessibility of meeting and providing access to crucial documents and notices; 4)
    that EPA, when  reviewing NEPA documents,  had to ensure that the involved agency had fully
    analyzed the environmental effects on minority and low income communities; and 5) to ensure
    that the public, including minorities and low income communities, had access to public
    information relating to human health or environmental planning, regulations, and enforcement
    when  required under the Freedom of Information Act, The Sunshine Act, or the Emergency
    Planning and Community Right to Know Act (Bass, 1998).
    
    More recently, the EPA proposed a new policy that will guide the investigation of any complaint
    that state or local permitting decisions has violated federal civil rights laws (Johnson, 1998). It is
    an interim  guidance  policy for environmental justice cases (Information Access Company,
    1998). It will provide  a framework for EPA's Office of Civil Rights to handle complaints under
                                              13
    

    -------
    Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 that prohibits discrimination (Johnson 1998). If the EPA
    finds discrimination and the permitting agency can not eliminate it, then EPA will deny, annul,
    suspend or terminate its funding. It may also refer the matter to the Department of Justice for
    litigation (Williams et al, 1998). This process is applicable to all that receive federal funds
    (Williams et al, 1998). Some say that the Title VI guidance from the EPA fails to define many
    important terms, including how they will determine whether a particular community has suffered
    "disproportionately high adverse human health or environmental effects" (Johnson, 1998). The
    EPA's Guidance has initiated a lot of controversy because of its vagueness and is being
    evaluated and may be changed based on suggestions that have been made. A report that will
    evaluate the interim  guidance policy is scheduled to come out in 1999 (Information Access
    Company, 1998).
    
    While those given legislations may seem vague when considering where to locate a toxic waste
    facility, there are more rigid standards that focus on treatment, storage and disposal facilities
    specifically. These standards are based on The Resource Conservation  and Recovery Act
    (RCRA) of 1976. For example, if the generator is not notified by TSDFs that waste has been
    received within a certain period of time specified by the EPA, the generator files a report to
    indicate that a departure from the required procedure has occurred. In addition, if the waste
    received by a TSD facility is different than the waste detailed on the manifest given by the
    generator, then a report must be again filed describing the discrepancy (Ortolano, 1997).
    
    All TSD facilities that receive solid hazardous waste must also obtain a permit. There are
    several  requirements that must be satisfied to acquire this.  These requirements include records
    and reports that notify authorities of releases, provisions that will ensure that unauthorized
    persons do not enter the facility, technical specifications such as liners in landfills that prevent
    hazardous material from entering groundwater, monitoring to detect releases of hazardous
    materials, corrective action for any release that may have human health  and environmental
    risks, detailed plans for closing the facility and maintenance of monitors,  and financial
    responsibility in the form of bonds or insurance that can sufficiently pay for any damages
    incurred. The EPA also issues requirements on treatment of hazardous materials so that they
    must use the best available technology to clean out contaminants (Ortolano, 1997).
    
    More relevant to this study, there are specific standards for siting of facilities. Most of which
    involve topography and natural  environment. For example,  location standards specific to
                                               14
    

    -------
    Kentucky include consideration of seismic conditions and flood plains. However, there is no
    mention of any standards based on population characteristics (KAR, 1997).
    
    It has been stated that typically the process of site selection is based upon technical
    engineering, environmental and economic suitability, and public and political acceptability. Site
    suitability is dependent on the characteristics of the facility, characteristics of the site, and
    economic and legal feasibility. It involves regulatory approval by a federal agency or a federally
    approved state agency, and site approval by state or local government, as well as the previously
    mentioned permits under RCRA. These local government regulatory influences include land use
    controls, nuisance and construction controls, and taxes and fees implied on facilities. Site
    acceptability to the host community is also a concern. This concern stems from the possibility of
    negative consequences, due to the siting, and not usually the probability of such. Therefore, in
    order to obtain acceptability, information on impacts must  be made readily available and open
    communication and negotiation must be continued throughout site selection. Environmental
    impacts are often assessed through environmental impact statements and socioeconomic
    impacts are addressed through proof of economic need for the facility, compensation,
    preventive measures and mitigation (Andrews and Lynn,  1989).
    
    The regulations and legislation presented throughout this section have begun to create some
    support for the topic environmental justice at the national and federal level. Local powers may
    have a hand in siting decisions, however no equality issues seem to be addressed at that level
    either. It has yet to be seen how the federal regulations will specifically address the issue of
    siting without inclusion of explicit regulations within state or local statutes.
    
    2.1.5   Specific Literature Related to the Study
    The books and articles presented in this section provide a background to this project that has
    leant several  methodologies, limitations, and information on the subject of environmental justice.
    There have been a number of studies done that support the objectives of this project. This type
    of study has been done on several areas, including Texas, Florida, Michigan, and Los Angeles
    County, as well as on a national scale (Yandle and Burton, 1996, Pollock and Vittas, 1995,
    Hockman  and Morris, 1998, Boer, Pastor, Sadd and Snyder, 1997, and Oakes, Anderton, and
    Anderson, 1996). These studies were key in determining the methodology and hypotheses for
    this project. Several of the cited studies utilize similar variables, and methodologies, and have
    similar sets of conclusion.
                                               15
    

    -------
    There seems to be some disagreement on how to deal with measuring the impacts of waste
    facilities on surrounding communities. Should a study use census tracts, census block groups,
    or zip codes? Most of the studies reviewed for this project utilize census tracts for the study
    area. However, in Michigan, zip codes were used (Hockman and Morris, 1998) and in Florida,
    census block groups were used (Pollock and Vittas, 1995). Although research indicates that
    census tracts will give the best indicators of the concentration of waste sites in low income or
    minority communities, this study will utilize zip codes due to the limited data availability on such
    a small scale. While the zip codes may not be as appropriate to the study as census tracts, as
    discussed in section 3.1 and 5.2, there are acceptable because they are relatively small areas,
    in this study, ranging from 0.45 to 454.65 square miles. The population  ranges within these zip
    codes are from 27 to 46,612 persons. This yields a density range of 1.4 to 7985.8 persons per
    square mile within the zip codes. These numbers give a relatively good  variance that will
    provide for a adequate analysis.
    
    Variables that are best for use as indicators of disproportionate siting are also not identical in
    each of these studies. What are common are the percentage of the population that is minority,
    and some form of income indicator. The type of waste facility used varies among each as well.
    In both the studies on Los Angeles County and at the national level, treatment, storage and
    disposal facilities were used (Boer, Pastor, Sadd, and Snyder,  1997, and Oakes, Anderton, and
    Anderson, 1996) and in Texas hazardous waste landfills were used.
    
    Several different methods of statistical analysis have been used in studying this topic. One of
    the most widely used statistical methods that were used in the  previous studies is regression.
    Others that were cited include t-test and Wilcoxon nonparametric Z-test (Oakes, Anderton, and
    Anderson, 1996, and Boer, Pastor, Sadd and  Snyder, 1997) as well as chi-square and Cramer's
    V (Yandle and Burton,  1996).
    
    The national tract level study indicates that commercial TSDFs are on an average sited in
    communities that are neither disproportionately poor nor minority. The study also notes that this
    finding does not rule out specific local bias in TSDF siting or the impacts of siting on one specific
    community (Oakes, Anderton, and Anderson,  1996). At the conclusion of the analyses in the
    Florida, Texas, Michigan, and Los Angeles County some sort of relationship was found with at
    lease one of the variable used in each study. More specifically, the study by Pollock and Vittas
    (1995) found that African Americans and Hispanics reside closer to potentially hazardous
                                               16
    

    -------
    sources in Florida. The study by Yandle and Burton (1996) found that there was a statistically
    significant relationship between relative poverty and hazardous waste landfill siting in
    metropolitan Texas. It was found that both race and income combined were strong predictors of
    hazardous waste facilities siting  in Michigan, and that separately, race was a more potent
    predictor (Hockman and Morris,  1998). In Los Angeles County, Boer, Pastor, Sadd, and Snyder
    (1997) found that most communities affected by TSDFs are working class communities of color
    located near industrial areas. The Commercial Appeal studied census tracts in which landfills,
    sewage-treatment plants, hazardous-waste processors, medical waste incinerators,  leading
    toxic polluters and abandoned hazardous waste sites were located in Shelby County, Kentucky.
    This study found that of the 53 facilities that were studied, 26 were in census tracts where
    Blacks were the majority, and 25 were  in tracts where whites were the majority (1994). These
    smaller scale examples give the foundation for the need for further projects focused  on more
    specific areas such as counties and census tracts in the Commonwealth of Kentucky.
    
    The studies just cited are the most helpful  in determining what things to look for in the first
    section of this project. Methodologies, sources of information, breadth of study area, and time
    periods, as well as the pros and  cons of each are seen. This is useful information in determining
    the course of action used for this project.
    
    The second section of this project, which concentrates on how socio-economic variables are
    influenced by distance from the facilities, is modeled after a study done by Wang and Auffrey
    (1998) at the University of Cincinnati, in Ohio. The variables used in this study included mortality
    rates and related socio-economic factors and information from the Master Sites List and the
    Toxic Release Inventory from the Ohio Environmental  Protection Agency. The study area was
    the City of Cincinnati and the units of study used were census block groups. For this study of
    Kentucky the variables and study area  will be different but the methods of analysis will be
    basically the same. These methods will be discussed further in the methodology section of this
    proposal.
    
    Other authors have made comments on the Yandle and Burton article that are also of use to this
    project. One such article  is by Robert D. Bullard (1996). Bullard offers a list of assumptions  that
    have been unjustly made by Yandle and Burton in their article. Assumptions given in this article
    provide for some points of thought that may be applied to this project. These assumptions
    include the following: 1) environmental  justice is limited to waste facility siting, 2) leaving out
                                               17
    

    -------
    some facilities and communities will not affect study results, 3) all census tracts are created
    equal with respect to population density and proximity of the population to facilities, 4) census
    tracts represent homogeneous  neighborhoods, 5) all hazardous waste landfills are created
    equal and, 6) environmental justice and environmental racism are the same.
    
    This study realized that environmental justice includes several factors, not only the location of
    TSDFs. It is not an assumption  of this project that generalities may be made to all facilities
    based on the findings.  Leaving  out facilities and communities may limit the study,  however, the
    information available often dictates such things. Although census tracts are not used in this
    project, the same  limitation may be stated for zip codes. These limitations are recognized and
    are discussed further in the analysis. Environmental justice has been previously defined  in this
    paper, so not to confuse the reader with different terminology. This project does not attempt to
    create new or to redefine definitions of environmental racism or environmental justice.
    
    2.1.6  Definitions
    Environmental justice is defined by the EPA as "equitable treatment of all people,  regardless of
    race, income, culture or social class with respect to the development, implementation and
    enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and policies" (Heaton, 1999). Equitable
    treatment, in this case, means that no group should bare a disproportionate share of negative
    environmental impacts because of government actions (Bass 1998).
    
    Minority and low income communities in this project are defined by following census variables:
    1) the percentage of Blacks, Hispanics, and other nonwhites; 2) the percentage of all persons
    that are below the state poverty level; 3)  the percentage of female-headed households; and 4)
    per capita income. The definitions of each of these separate variables came from  the US
    Bureau of the Census (1990). Black is defined as persons who indicated their race as "Black or
    Negro" or reported entries such as African American, Afro-American,  Black Puerto Rican,
    Jamaican, Nigerian,  West Indian or Haitian. Hispanic is defined by the 1990 Census by Hispanic
    Origin. This group includes those who classified themselves as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban,
    or Other Spanish/Hispanic origin such as those from Spain, the Spanish-speaking countries of
    Central or South America, or the Dominican Republic or those who generalized themselves in
    categories such as Spanish, Spanish-American, Hispanic, Hispano, and Latino. Origin is
    defined by the census as the ancestry, nationality group, lineage, or country of birth of the
    person or the person's parents  or ancestors before their arrival in the United States. Persons of
                                               18
    

    -------
    Hispanic origin may be of any race. In this study "other" is a combination of the remaining
    nonwhite races. Within this group are included American  Indian, Eskimo, Aleut, Asian and
    Pacific Islander. American Indian is defined as persons who indicated their race as "American
    Indian," entered the name of an Indian tribe, or reported such entries as Canadian Indian,
    French American Indian, or Spanish American Indian. Eskimo is also in this category, this label
    includes persons who indicated their race as "Eskimo," or reported entries such as Arctic Slope,
    Inupiat, and Yupik. Aleut is included in this category and is composed of persons who indicated
    their race as "Aleut," or reported entries such as Alutiiq, Egegik, and Pribilovian. Asian and
    Pacific Islander categories are comprised of two different groups. Asian is composed of persons
    who indicated their race as Chinese or who identified themselves as Cantonese, Tibetan, or
    Chinese American, Taiwanese or Formosan, Filipino, Philipino, Philipine, or Philipino American,
    Japanese, Nipponese or Japanese American, Asian Indian, Bengalese, Bharat, Dravidian, East
    Indian, or Goanese, Korean and Korean American, Vietnamese and Vietnamese American,
    Cambodian,  Hmong, Laohmong, or Mong, Laotian, Laos  or Lao, Thai, Thailand or Siamese,
    Bangladeshi, Burmese,  Indonesian, Pakistani, Sri Lankan, Ameriasian, or Eurasian. Pacific
    Islander within this category includes persons who indicated their race as Hawaiian, part
    Hawaiian or  Native Hawaiian, Samoan, American Samoan, or Western Samoan, Guamanian,
    Chamorro or Guam, and others such as Tahitian, Northern Mariana Islander, Palauan, Fijan,
    Polynesian, Micronesian or Melanesian (U.S.  Bureau of the Census, 1990).
    
    Female-headed households are defined as families with a female householder and no spouse
    of householder present (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1990).
    
    Persons categorized as being below the poverty level are all determined by the Social Security
    Administration definition modified by the Federal interagency committees and prescribed by the
    Office of Management and Budget. The core of the definition is the  1961 economy food plan,
    the least costly of four nutritionally adequate food plans designed by the Department of
    Agriculture. This is based on the determination that families of three or more persons spend
    approximately one-third of their income on food, hence, the poverty level for these families was
    set at three times the cost of the economy food plan. For smaller families and persons living
    alone, the cost of the economy food plan was multiplied by factors that were slightly higher to
    compensate  for the relatively larger fixed expenses for these smaller households. Thresholds
    were set by the Census and if the total income of each family or unrelated individual in the
                                              19
    

    -------
    sample was less than the corresponding threshold, it was classified as "below the poverty level".
    The poverty thresholds were applied on a national basis (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1990).
    
    Per capita income is defined by the 1990 Census as the mean income, which is calculated by
    dividing the total income of a particular statistical universe, in this case counties and zip codes,
    by the number of units in that universe. It needs to be understood that this number is usually
    recorded by memory and are only estimates and often therefore underreported or
    overestimated. Procedures were also used by the Census to estimate appropriate values for
    unreported numbers (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1990).
    
    The hazardous facility that is to be used in this study is labeled as a treatment, storage, and
    disposal facility (TSDF). TSD facilities include treatment units such as incinerators, dewatering
    facilities,  and waste solidification facilities, landfills, surface impoundments, and underground
    injection wells. Treatment, storage and disposal facilities are the last stop for hazardous waste
    in the system of tracking hazardous waste under The  Resource Conservation and Recovery Act
    (RCRA) of 1976  (Ortolano, 1997). Title 401 of the Kentucky Administrative Regulations (KAR),
    which lays out the standards for TSDF's, gives specific definitions for each type of facility. A
    treatment facility is termed as using any method, technique or process including neutralization,
    designed to change the physical chemical or biological character or composition of any
    hazardous waste so as to neutralize such waste, to recover energy or material resources from
    the waste, or to render such waste either nonhazardous or less hazardous. This type of facility
    makes the waste safer to transport, store, or dispose of; or amenable for recovery, amenable for
    storage, or reduced in volume. A storage facility is simply a place in which hazardous waste is
    held for a temporary period, at the end of which the hazardous waste is treated, disposed of,  or
    stored elsewhere. A facility at which hazardous waste is intentionally placed into or on any land
    or water, and at which waste will remain after closure  is termed a disposal facility. These are the
    definitions accepted by the Natural Resources and Environmental Protection Cabinet and the
    Department for Environmental Protection Division of Waste Management, and so they are
    accepted for this study. The specific TSD facilities that are used in this project were obtained
    from the Kentucky Department of Waste Management's Notifier's list. This list is compiled of all
    hazardous waste generators (large, small, and conditionally exempt generators), treatment,
    storage, and disposal facilities, recyclers, burner/blenders and transporters of hazardous waste
    in the Commonwealth of Kentucky. All of the above facilities  (except conditionally exempt
    generators) are required by law to notify the State of their hazardous waste generation or
                                              20
    

    -------
    transportation. Conditionally exempt generators (CEG'S) generate less than 100 pounds of
    hazardous waste a month and therefore are not required to register, but Kentucky encourages
    notification of the CEG's.
    
    This background provides the needed information to understand the problem of environmental
    justice and to see the need for studies such as this one. These definitions also lead to the next
    chapter, which applies particular methodologies to the variables mentioned in this  chapter, and
    which will allow for the previous hypotheses to be tested.
    
    3.1    Methodology and Data
    The purpose of this project is to analyze the relationships between the following variables and
    the number of treatment, storage and disposal facilities in the State of Kentucky. Data on the
    percentage of African Americans, Hispanics and other nonwhite groups, the percentage of all
    persons that are below the state poverty level, the percentage of female headed households,
    and the per capita income were obtained from the U.S. Bureau of the Census. The 1990 data
    will be used  at both the county and the zip code level. There are 120 counties in the State of
    Kentucky within its 39,732.3 square miles (Figure 3). This gives rise to a rational comparison
    with zip codes. This rationality will be important in evaluating the change of effect on areas of
    different sizes. The particular population variables that have been chosen typically reflect the
    characteristics of the population as being minority or low income. These variables  have often
    been sited as key in determining if disproportionately high and adverse health or environmental
    effects are imposed on minority and low-income populations.
    
    The location of treatment, storage and disposal facilities was obtained from the Kentucky
    Division of Waste Management. The data retrieved on these facilities include the name of the
    facilities,  both the facility and the mailing addresses, the type of facility, and a contact person for
    each facility. This material was manipulated to determine the number of sites in each county
    and in each  zip code. Some facilities were not used in the zip code analyses that were used in
    the county analysis because of lack of data from the census. Also, for GIS purposes, the
    address information created a means to locate the facilities on a map for graphic representation
    of the relationships to the population variables and for distance analysis.
    
    The waste management facility sites and the population, poverty and income variables are used
    to determine any relationships that may imply disproportionate siting of facilities. These
                                               21
    

    -------
    variables are used in statistical analyses to show the strength of the relationship between all of
    the variables combined and the number of TSDFs. The method of analysis to be used for the
    first part of the project is regression and bivariate correlation coefficient.
    
    For the second part of the project, concentrating on distance, as before mentioned, the methods
    of analysis somewhat follows those in the study by Wang and Auffrey (1998). Here, GIS was
    used for geocoding and buffering analysis. Statistical analysis, including the independent t-test
    for equality of means and bivariate correlation coefficients, are calculated to determine the
    relationships and their direction.
    
    Close attention is  paid to any limitations created by the statistical analysis used, the study area
    used, the types of data collected, and other specifics of the project, and what influences these
    decisions have on the outcomes.
    
    The data and statistical methodology, along with GIS, give the information on the relationship of
    population characteristics and the siting of treatment, storage and disposal facilities in Kentucky.
    This will begin to determine if there are disproportionately distributed facilities in Kentucky that
    may in turn create a higher amount of adverse health or environmental effects on low income or
    minority populations.
    
    3.1.1  Comparison Analysis
    For the first section of this analysis, a simple creation and comparison of maps is done. This
    entails making use of Geographic Information Systems, specifically in the form of ArcView. The
    information that was given on  counties and zip codes in the form of shape files from ArcView is
    utilized for creation of the images. Attribute files listing the characteristics of both counties and
    zip codes were then attached  to these images. The information within these attribute  files was,
    again, obtained originally from the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1990), and was manipulated to fit
    the form and content required in ArcView. The addresses for the treatment, storage and
    disposal facilities that were obtained from the Kentucky Division of Waste Treatment were also
    inputted into ArcView for the geocoding and comparison.
    
    3.1.1.1 Geocoding
    The addresses obtained from  the Division of Waste Treatment were geocoded in ArcView by zip
    code. This function entailed comparison between the zip code given for each facility and the
                                               22
    

    -------
    data within the zip code file in ArcView. This function gives each match a score from zero to one
    hundred. Each facility used for the creation of this map received a score of 100, although not all
    facilities listed were matched. This non-matching occurred because of the missing data with the
    ArcView zip code file. This resulted in locating the precise location of most of the facilities on the
    zip code level. The locations were then translated into an attribute form that was more easily
    comparable with the other variables. The maps that were created from this information show the
    number of facilities in each county (Figure 4) and in each zip code (Figure 5). The number of
    facilities for the county map increased from the number in the zip code map because each
    facility was matched to a county that was present in the ArcView shape file of counties and not
    all zip codes containing facilities were present in that file.
    
    3.1.1.2 Boundary and Attribute Files
    The data obtained from the U.S. Bureau of the Census (1990) was also translated into map
    form that made comparison possible. County municipal lines and zip code lines within the
    Commonwealth of Kentucky were used as the boundaries for this project. As with the facility
    information, the variables used were in an attribute file that was joined to the county and zip
    code shapes. These files, along with the additional facility information, were used to create
    graduated color schemes for each variable. The patterns of the color schemes for each variable
    are compared to determine similarities.
    
    3.1.1.3 Multiple  Linear Regression and Bivariate Correlation
    A regression analysis was done at both the county and zip code level. In  order to determine the
    relationship between multiple variables and the number of facilities, the socioeconomic variables
    were plotted as the independent variables and the number of facilities as the dependent
    variable. This analysis gives  the nature of the relationship between a group of variables. It is a
    mechanism of forecasting (Levin and Fox, 1988). The statistic given is r2' which is the coefficient
    of determination. It yields the proportion of variance in the dependent variables that is explained
    by the independent variable. It gives this proportion as a percentage, which is r2 multiplied by
    one hundred. The significance level used for this study was 95 percent.
    
    Bivariate correlation was also conducted with Microsoft Excel to test the significance of the
    relationship between the facilities and the socioeconomic variables. This  statistic gives the
    degree and type relationship between two variables. This analysis results in a number from
    positive one to negative one, positive one being a perfect positive relationship and negative one
                                               23
    

    -------
    being a perfect negative relationship. This number is defined as "the ratio of the covariance
    between X and Y to the product of their respective standard deviations" (Levin and Fox, 1988).
    Numbers other than one will show different strengths in the relationships. Positive or negative
    0.6 is a strong relationship, positive or negative 0.3 is a moderate relationship, positive or
    negative 0.1 is a weak relationship and 0.0 is no relationship (Levin and  Fox, 1988). For this
    analysis, weak relationships will range specifically from 0.1 to 0.30, moderate relationships will
    range from 0.31 to 0.6 and strong relationships from 0.6 and up. This statistic will create the
    basis of acceptance or rejection of the hypothesis.
    
    3.1.2  Distance Analysis
    In order to account for the variable of space it was necessary in this project to deal with distance
    from each of the facilities and the spatial effect on the populations. Since zip codes are the
    smallest unit used, these are the focus of the distance  analysis. The use of distance is an
    important factor of understanding the possible relationships between the location of facilities and
    socioeconomic characteristics. If some pattern is found to exist for one or more of the variables
    with distance from the facilities, then it may suggest a spatial connection.
    
    3.1.2.1  Buffering Analysis of Zip Code Data
    The buffering was again made possible by ArcView GIS.  As the use of zip code data made it
    difficult to assign precise rings around each  of the facilities, a buffer of zip codes immediately
    adjacent to zip codes with facilities was used. The act of buffering entailed selecting from the zip
    code theme  all of the zip  codes that contained one or more facilities. A separate shape file was
    created from these. Next, the zip codes designated to be immediately adjacent to these zip
    codes with facilities were selected from the original zip code theme. This was done by the select
    by theme function. Then, zip codes that were found to  be adjacent to the first ring were selected
    in the same  manner. Deletion of the overlapping zip codes from the previous selection was
    done. The same was done again for adjacent zip codes two more times.
    
    3.1.2.2  Reclassification
    The buffering method used to reclassify zip codes into  five categories was basic adjacency to
    zip codes with facilities present. The zip codes with facilities were grouped into the first category
    and labeled  with the number five to denote the closest  characteristics to  the facilities.  The first
    ring around the zip codes with facilities was  created from all of the zip codes that were
    immediately adjacent to those zip codes. These were labeled with the number to four to denote
                                               24
    

    -------
    that they were at a different distance from the facilities. This continued on to create three more
    categories labeled from three to one; with one representing the zip codes that were furthest
    away from those zip codes with facilities.
    
    3.1.2.3 Bivariate Correlation and T-test
    As done in the previous analyses, the bivariate correlation is used in this section of the study.
    The analysis will be a bit different, however, in that it utilizes different data indicating zip codes
    with and without facilities. By this it will address the distance factor by assigning numbers to the
    zip codes based on their distances from those zip codes with facilities. This created a sort of
    ranking of the zip codes.
    
    Also in this section of the analysis, a t-test for the difference in means is conducted. This
    analysis utilizes the adjustment for unequal variances since one sample variance is more than
    twice the other is. This statistic gives a way to determine the differences between two means of
    the same variable, those with facilities, and those without. This is done by calculating the mean
    for each group, finding the standard error of the difference between means and the determining
    the critical value for t. Then  the critical value from the t table is compared to the actual t value. If
    the actual t value is greater  than or less than the positive and negative t table critical value then
    one can say there is a difference in the means (Levin and Fox, 1988). This test will find any of
    the following relationships: 1) meanwith > meanwithout;  2) meanwith < meanwithout; 3) meanwith =
    meanwithout. This will be done using the zip code data only. The test done will be two tailed and
    the level of significance is 0.05. This analysis will be done using Microsoft Excel.
    
    These methodologies and data lead to the following chapter, in which the results will  be shown
    of the tests and mapping laid out in this section. Some things mentioned  in this chapter will be
    further explained and analyzed in the following chapters.
    
    4.1     Comparison  Analysis
    This analysis begins  by comparing maps created in  ArcView for each socioeconomic variable
    with the maps  of the  number of facilities. Each variable was spit into four categories. This was
    done by the quantile  method. This method involves splitting the number of data points by four so
    that each category will contain  approximately the same number of entries. This was used for
    both county and zip code maps Using this type of methodology makes it easy to  compare each
    map. The map analysis done here is a basic description of the patterns of each characteristic
                                               25
    

    -------
    within the counties and the zip codes. These patterns may or may not show evident likenesses
    between each variable and the number of TSDs. Patterns are compared and more detailed
    information is given on significant numbers for each variable. This analysis is followed by the
    statistical results from the regression analyses and the bivariate correlation analyses for both
    county and zip code information.
    
    4.1.1 County Map Analysis
    When comparing the maps showing the number of treatment, storage and disposal facilities
    (Figure 4) and the percentage of the population that is black (Figure 6) in each county it is
    noticeable that both are somewhat concentrated more in the western and central section of the
    state than in eastern  Kentucky. Of the counties that contain three to twenty-five facilities the
    percentage of the population that is black ranges from 0.0 to 17.0. Counties with the three
    highest percentages of Blacks include Jefferson (17.0), Christian (18.7),  and Fulton (24.5), each
    of which  contains facilities. Christian and Fulton County contain one facility, and Jefferson has
    twenty-five. Those counties containing facilities and that have the three lowest percentages of
    Blacks include Marshall (0.0), Martin (0.1), and Grayson (0.4).
    
    Counties that are in the highest category for both variables include Jefferson, Fayette, Shelby
    and Hardin. Those in the second highest category of percent Blacks and the second highest
    category of facilities include Anderson, Mercer, and Muhlenburg. Harrison is also included in
    this category with a percentage between 2.3 and 5.5 and has three facilities, which places it in
    the top category for number of facilities. Those counties  in the third highest category of Blacks
    that contain facilities include Boone, Campbell, Carroll, and Hancock each with one facility,
    Bullitt, Ohio, and Pulaski with two facilities, and Boyd, with ten facilities. Of the forty counties
    with facilities, three are in the lowest category of black percentages.
    
    In comparing the number of facilities and the percentage of the population that has Hispanic
    origin, it can still be seen, though not to such an extent that both are more concentrated in the
    western and central areas of Kentucky (Figure 7). Of the counties that contain three to twenty-
    five facilities the percentage of the population that has Hispanic origin ranges from 0.1 to 2.7.
    Counties with the highest percentages of Hispanic include Meade (2.0), Hardin (2.7), and
    Christian (3.4). These counties all  include one TSD facility, Hardin with 3. Henry County has the
    lowest percentage of Hispanics, at zero. There are several other counties containing facilities
    that have 0.1 and 0.2 percent Hispanic. Counties that are in the highest category for both
                                               26
    

    -------
    variables include Jefferson, Boyd, Fayette, and Marshall. Those in the second highest category
    of percent Hispanic and the second highest category of facilities include Mercer, Hopkins, and
    Pulaski. Those counties in the third highest category of Hispanic that are also in the third
    category of facilities include Campbell, Bell and Galloway, each with one facility. Of the forty
    counties with facilities, eight are in the lowest category of Hispanic percentages.
    
    In comparing the number of facilities and the percentage of the population that has Hispanic
    origin, it can still be seen, though not to such an extent that both are more concentrated in the
    western and central areas of Kentucky (Figure 7). Of the counties that contain three to twenty-
    five facilities the percentage of the population that has Hispanic origin ranges from 0.1 to 2.7.
    Counties with the highest percentages of Hispanic include Meade (2.0), Hardin (2.7), and
    Christian (3.4). These counties all include one TSD facility,  Hardin with 3. Henry County has the
    lowest percentage of Hispanics, at zero. There are several other counties containing facilities
    that have 0.1 and 0.2 percent Hispanic. Counties that are in the highest category for both
    variables include Jefferson, Boyd, Fayette, and Marshall. Those in the second highest category
    of percent Hispanic and the second highest category of facilities include Mercer, Hopkins, and
    Pulaski. Those counties in the third highest category of Hispanic that are also in the third
    category of facilities include Campbell, Bell and Galloway, each with one facility. Of the forty
    counties with facilities, eight are in the lowest category of Hispanic percentages.
    
    The map of the percentage of the population that is other nonwhite is more evenly dispersed
    than the two previous variables, however the highest percentages do appear to still be slightly
    concentrated in western and central areas (Figure 8). There are counties throughout each
    region that contain some small percentages of other  races.  Of the counties that contain three to
    twenty-five facilities the percentage of the population that is other nonwhite ranges from 0.1 to
    3.9 Counties with the three highest percentages of other nonwhite include Hardin (3.9),
    Christian (3.7), and Meade (2.4). Both Christian and Meade contain one facility,  Hardin with
    three. The lowest percentage of the population of the counties that  is other nonwhite is zero.
    
    Counties that are in the highest category for both variables  include  Jefferson, Fayette, Boyd,
    and Hardin. Those in the second highest category of percent other  nonwhite and the second
    highest category of facilities include Anderson, Bullitt, Mercer, Boyle, and Pulaski. Those
    counties in the third highest category of other nonwhite that contain facilities include Bath,
    Hancock, Daviess, Bell, and Todd, each with one facility, Muhlenburg and McCracken with two
                                               27
    

    -------
    facilities, Harrison with three and Marshall with five. Of the forty counties with facilities, four are
    in the lowest category of other nonwhite percentages.
    
    The map showing the percentage of female-headed households has a random pattern
    dispersed throughout the state (Figure 9). Of the counties that contain three to twenty-five
    facilities the percentage of the population that is black ranges from 11.6 to 20.8 Counties with
    the three highest percentages of female-headed households include Fulton (22.9), Fayette
    (20.8), and Galloway (20.1)  Fulton and Galloway each have one facility, and Fayette has six.
    Those counties containing facilities and that have the three lowest percentages of female-
    headed households include Bullitt (7.4), Oldham (8.2) and Meade (8.4).
    
    Counties that are in the highest category for both variables include Jefferson,  Fayette, and
    Boyd. Those in the second highest category of percent female-headed households and the
    second highest category of facilities include Mercer, Hopkins, and Muhlenburg. Also included in
    the second highest category of female-headed households is Harrison with three facilities and
    Marshall with five. Those counties  in the third  highest category of female-headed households
    and facilities include Grayson, and Christian, each with one facility. Of the forty counties with
    facilities, six are in the lowest category of female-headed household percentages.
    
    The map showing the percentage of the population below poverty level has a  pattern increasing
    from northwest to southeast (Figure 10). The highest percentages are found almost solely in the
    eastern part of the state. Of the counties that contain three to twenty-five facilities the
    percentage of the population that is below poverty ranges from 12.3 to 16.6 percent. Counties
    with the three highest percentages of  Blacks include Owsley (51.0), McCreary (45.3), and Wolfe
    (43.6). None of these counties contain facilities. Those counties with the three lowest
    percentages of persons below poverty include Oldham (5.9), Boone (7.3), and Woodford (7.7).
    Oldham and Boone both contain one facility.
    
    There are no counties that are in the highest category for both variables. Counties that are in
    the highest category for the percentage of persons below poverty level include Martin, Bell and
    Cumberland, each of which have one  facility. Those in the second highest category of percent
    below poverty include Carroll, Bath, Union, Grayson and Fulton, each with one facility, and
    Ohio, Muhlenburg, and Pulaski, each with two. There is a wide range of the number of facilities
    in the counties included in the third highest category of persons below poverty. Those counties
                                               28
    

    -------
    that are also in the third category in the number of facilities include Mason, Henry, Hancock,
    Ballard, Warren and Todd. Of the forty counties with facilities, eighteen are in the lowest
    category of below poverty percentages.
    
    The map of the per capita incomes for each county shows the highest amounts in the northern
    Kentucky area and the Louisville to  Lexington corridor (Figure 11). The lowest seems to
    coincide, of course, to the higher percentages of those below poverty level in the southeastern
    part of the state. Since the relationship hypothesis is negative, this part of the map analysis will
    discuss it in this manner as well. Of the counties that contain three to twenty-five facilities the
    per capita income ranges from ranges from $10,271 to $14,962. Counties with the three highest
    per capita incomes include Woodford ($14,151), Fayette ($14,692) and Oldham (15,510). Those
    counties with the three lowest per capita incomes are McCreary ($5,153), Owsley ($5,791), and
    Wolfe ($5,998).
    
    Counties with the lowest per capita  incomes with facilities present include Bell ($6,858) and
    Cumberland ($7,037). Both of these counties have only one TSD facility. There are no counties
    that are in the lowest category for both variables. Those in the second lowest categories for per
    capita income with facilities present include Bath, Meade, Martin, Ohio, Grayson, Pulaski and
    Todd. Each of these counties contains either one or two facilities. The counties contained in the
    third lowest category of per capita incomes that contain facilities include Carroll, Mason, Henry,
    Madison, Ballard, Christian, Galloway and Fulton, with one facility, Muhlenburg with two, and
    Harrison, with three. Of the forty counties with facilities, twenty-one are in the highest category
    of per capita incomes.
    
    It is interesting to note that those counties listed as the highest percentages with facilities
    present were often sited more than  once. For example, Christian County was in the top three
    percentages with facilities for three variables. Hardin, Meade, Fulton, Bell and Cumberland were
    listed in the top for two.  Also noticeable for some variables  is that the highest overall
    percentages were the same as the highest percentages for counties with facilities. For example,
    female-headed households, Blacks, other nonwhites and Hispanics all listed the same
    respective counties for both the top three overall percentages and the top three for those with
    facilities present. Finally, it is interesting to note that Jefferson County, which had the highest
    number of facilities (25), was listed in the highest percentage categories for all of the variables
                                               29
    

    -------
    except the percentage of persons below poverty level. These kinds of occurrences could point
    toward more specific siting issues with respect to a combination of socioeconomic variables.
    
    4.1.2  Zip Code Map Analysis
    Given that zip codes are simply smaller sections of the counties, when combined they should
    create approximately the same numbers given for each variable in the county data.  Due to this
    many of the same patterns are repeated in the zip code maps concerning the location of
    concentrations of each category.
    
    It can be seen by looking at the map of the percentage of the population that is Black that the
    concentrations are again in the western and central  section of the state (Figure 12). Of the
    highest category, which ranges from 5.1 to 16.0, there are only three zip codes that are also in
    the highest category for the number of facilities. These zip codes are 40213, 40214, and 40216,
    which are all located in Louisville and all contain four facilities. There are twenty-eight other zip
    codes included in this category of percent Blacks that contain facilities, as well. In the second
    highest category of percentage Black, there are three zip codes that are also in the second
    highest category of number of facilities. The zip codes are located in Louisville (40272),
    Lawrenceburg (40342), and Harrodsburg (40330). Also in this category are two zip codes with
    three facilities, these include Cynthiana and Ashland. There are seven other zip codes that
    contain facilities included in this category.  There are twelve zip codes with facilities in the third
    category of percentages and five in the lowest category.
    
    The zip codes that contain the most facilities range in percentages of Blacks from 0.0 to 13.3.
    The highest three percentages of those zip codes with facilities are 40211with 96.0 percent,
    40203 with 54.3 percent, and 40212 with 49.6 percent, all of which are within the city of
    Louisville. The lowest percentage found in zip codes with facilities is 0.0. The highest
    percentages of Blacks found in all of the zip codes include 40211 with 96 percent.
    
     Concentrations of the highest percentages of Hispanic are also in the western and central part
    of the state (Figure 13). Of the  highest category, which ranges from 0.6 to 21.6, there are only
    two zip codes that are also in the highest category for the number of facilities. These zip codes
    are 40214 (Louisville) with four facilities, and 41101  (Lexington) with three facilities. There are
    fifteen  other zip codes included in this category of percent Hispanic that contain facilities, as
    well. In the second highest category of percentage Hispanic, there are two zip codes that are
                                               30
    

    -------
    also in the second highest category of number of facilities. The zip codes are located in
    Louisville (40213), and Harrodsburg (40330). Also in this category are two zip codes with more
    than two facilities, these include Louisville (40212) with four and Calvert City (42029) with five.
    There are ten other zip codes that contain facilities included in this category. There are twenty-
    two zip codes in the third category of Hispanics that contain facilities. Seven zip codes with
    facilities are within the lowest percentages.
    
    The zip codes that contain the most facilities range in percentages of Hispanics from 0.0 to 2.3.
    The highest three percentages of those zip codes with facilities are 40121 (Fort Knox) with 7.8
    percent, 40511  (Lexington) with 4.4 percent, and 41101 (Ashland) with 2.3 percent. The lowest
    percentage found in zip codes with facilities is 0.0. The highest percentages of Hispanics found
    in all of the zip codes include 42523 (Belcher) with 21.8 percent.
    
    Once more the  highest concentration of the other nonwhite percentages are located in the
    western and central part of the state,  although this variable is a bit more evenly dispersed than
    the previous two (Figure 14). Of the highest category, which ranges from 0.7 to 25.9, there are
    only three zip codes that are also in the highest category for the number of facilities. These zip
    codes are 41101 in Ashland  containing three facilities, and 40214 and 40216 in Louisville each
    containing four  facilities. There are twenty-seven other zip codes included in this category of
    percent other nonwhites that contain facilities, as well. In the second highest category of
    percentage other nonwhite, there are two zip codes that are also in the second highest category
    of number of facilities. These zip codes are located in Lawrenceburg (40342),  and Harrodsburg
    (40330). Also in this category are two zip codes with more than two facilities, these include
    Louisville (40213) with four facilities, and Calvert City with five. There are twelve other zip codes
    that contain facilities included in this category. There are fourteen zip codes in the third highest
    category of percent other nonwhite and no zip codes with facilities in the lowest category.
    
    The zip codes that contain the most facilities range in percentages of other nonwhites from 0.1
    to 2.0 percent. The highest three percentages of those zip codes with facilities  are 40121 (Fort
    Knox) with 7.4 percent, 40509 (Lexington) with 3.3 percent, and 40510 (Lexington) and 40208
    (Louisville)  both with 2.5 percent. The lowest percentage found in zip codes with facilities is 0.1.
    The highest percentages of other nonwhites found in  all of the zip codes include 40061 (Saint
    Catharine) with 25.9 percent.
                                               31
    

    -------
    The map of the percentage of female-headed households is evenly dispersed throughout the
    state (Figure 15). Of the highest category, which ranges from 16.0 to 78.0. There are only three
    zip codes that are also in the highest category for the number of facilities. These zip codes are
    40213, 40214 (both in Louisville) with four facilities, and 41031  (Cynthiana) with three. There
    are twenty-eight other zip codes included in this category of percent female-headed households
    that contain facilities, as well. In the second highest category of percentage female headed
    households, there is only one zip code that is also in the second highest category of number of
    facilities. This zip code is located in Lawrenceburg (40342). Also in this category are three zip
    codes with more than two facilities, these include 40216 (Louisville) with four facilities, 42029
    (Calvert City) with five, and 41129 (Catlettsburg) with six. There are thirteen other zip codes that
    contain facilities included in this category. There are eight zip codes in the third highest category
    of percent female-headed households and four zip codes with facilities in the lowest category.
    
    The zip codes that contain the most facilities range in percentages of female-headed
    households from 10.4 to 19.5. The highest three percentages of those zip codes with facilities
    are 40203 with 34.1 percent, 40206 with 28.3 percent and 40208 with 26.0 percent, all of which
    are within the city of Louisville. The lowest percentages of female-headed households that
    contain facilities are 42058 (Ledbetter) with 12.6 percent, 40109 (Brooks) with  12.4 percent and
    40121  (Fort Knox) with 0.1 percent. The lowest percentage found in all zip codes is 0.0. The
    highest percentages of female-headed households found in all  of the zip codes include 41640
    (Hueysville) with 58.0  percent.
    
    The map of the percentage of persons below poverty shows that the highest percentages are
    mostly concentrated in the eastern portion of the state (Figure 16). Of the highest category,
    which ranges from  33.8 to  100.0 percent, there are only three zip codes that contain facilities.
    These zip codes are 40203 and 40211, both in Louisville, and 41267 in Warfield. In the second
    highest category of persons below poverty, there is only one zip code that is also in the second
    highest category of number of facilities. This zip code is located in  Louisville (40212). There are
    ten other zip codes that contain facilities included in this category. There are twenty-one zip
    codes in the third highest category of persons below the poverty level and twenty-five zip codes
    with facilities in the lowest category.
    
    The zip codes that contain the most facilities range in percentages of persons below poverty
    from 10.9 to 16.4. The highest three percentages of those zip codes with facilities are 40203
                                               32
    

    -------
    (Louisville) with 46.4 percent, 41267 (Warfield) with 42.2 percent and 40211 (Louisville) with
    34.5 percent. The lowest percentages of female-headed households that contain facilities are
    40059 (Prospect) and 41017 ((Fort Mitchell) with 2.9 percent, 41042 (Florence) with 7.1 and
    40121 (Fort Knox) with 7.2. The lowest percentage found in all zip codes is 0.0. The highest
    percentages of persons below poverty found in all of the zip codes include 41351 (Mistletoe),
    42250 (Huff), and 40825 (Dizney), each with 100 percent.
    
    The map of the per capita incomes for zip codes, just as it was for the counties, shows the
    highest amounts in the northern Kentucky area and the Louisville to Lexington corridor (Figure
    17). Again, since the relationship hypothesis is negative, this part of the map analysis will
    discuss it in this manner as well. Of the category with the lowest per capita incomes, ranging
    from $0 to $7,030, there are only two zip codes that contain facilities. These include 40203
    (Louisville) and 42717 (Burkesville).  In the category with the second lowest per capita incomes
    there are seven counties containing facilities, two of them with two. These include 40211 and
    40212 in  Louisville. There are sixteen zip codes in the category with the third lowest per capita
    incomes and fifteen zip codes with facilities in the highest per capita income category.
    
    The zip codes that contain the most facilities range in per capita incomes from $10,630 to
    $12,246.  The highest three incomes of those zip codes with facilities are 40059 (Prospect) with
    $31,530,  40510 (Lexington) with $23,349, and 41017 (Fort Mitchell) with $18,535. The lowest
    per capita incomes that contain facilities are 42343 (Fordsville) with $7,393, 42717  (Burkesville)
    with $6,992, and 40203 (Louisville) with $6,660. The lowest income found in all zip  codes $930
    in Dizney (40825). The highest per capita income is found in Prospect.
    
    It is interesting to note that those counties listed as the highest percentages with facilities
    present were often sited more than once. For example, 40203 (Louisville) was in the top three
    percentages with facilities for four variables. 40211 (Louisville), 40208 (Louisville), and 40121
    (Fort Knox) were listed in the top for two. Also noticeable for some zip codes is that they occur
    in the top categories for several variables. For example, 40214 (Louisville) is listed  in four top
    categories. It has four facilities. 41101, 40213, 40216 and 41031 are all listed in two variables'
    highest category. These kinds of occurrences could point toward more specific siting issues with
    respect to a combination of socioeconomic  variables.
                                               33
    

    -------
    4.1.3   Statistical Analysis
    The regression statistics for the county analysis gives a r2 value of 0.25 (Table 1). This number
    means that approximately 25 percent of the variance in the number of facilities is explained by
    all of the combined socioeconomic variables combined. This means that 75 percent of the
    variation in the number of facilities in a county is explained by variables other than those used in
    this study. The regression statistics for the zip code analysis give a r2 value of 0.08. This
    number means that approximately 8 percent of the variance in the number of facilities is
    explained  by the socioeconomic variables combined. This means that 92 percent  of the
    variation is explained by other external variables. This shows that there is not a very strong
    cause and effect relationship between the variables that can be seen from this type of statistic.
    The coefficients noted in Table 2 show that the parameters are not significantly different from
    zero, which means that separately,  there are no significant contributions from the  independent
    variable towards the variation of the dependent variable.
    
                                            Table  1
                                     Regression Statistics
    
    R Squared
    County
    .25
    Zip Code
    .08
    The bivariate correlation analysis for the county information shows that most of the variables
    used had a weak relationship with the number of facilities. The strongest relationship, still only
    moderate, is seen with per capita income, at 0.39, although it is not the hypothesized
    relationship. The correlations, as can be seen in Table 3 are all positive, with the exception of
    the percentage of persons below poverty at -0.24. The weakest correlation can be seen with
    the percentage of Hispanic origin at 0.21. Each  of the correlations did occur, although
    moderately, in the hypothesized direction except the per capita income and the percentage
    persons below poverty. The positive  relationships that did occur in the hypothesized direction
    included all of the racial information and the female-headed household data. This type of
    correlation means that as the number of TSD facilities increases, the percentage of these
    variables increases as well. The two variables that did not have the hypothesized direction of
    relation indicate that TSD facilities may be located in higher income or more prominent counties.
                                               34
    

    -------
                                           Table 2
                                   Regression Coefficients
    Coefficients
    Variable
    % Black
    % Hispanic Origin
    % Other Nonwhite
    % Female Headed
    Households
    % Persons Below
    Poverty
    Per Capita Income
    
    County
    0.046
    0.17
    0.60
    0.11
    0.15
    0.000934
    
    Zip Codes
    0.014
    0.0042
    0.0056
    0.0035
    -0.0017
    0.000013
     Significance level - .05
                                           Table 3
                               Bivariate Correlation Coefficient
    Variable
    
    % Black
    % Hispanic
    % Other Nonwhite
    % Female Headed
    Households
    % Below Poverty
    Per Capita Income
    County
    Correlation Coefficient With #
    of Facilities
    0.34
    0.21
    0.26
    0.24
    -0.24
    0.39
    Zip Code
    Correlation Coefficient With #
    of Facilities
    0.25
    0.06
    0.08
    0.12
    -0.14
    0.17
    Significance level = .05
    Weak = +.1 to+.3
    Moderate = +.3 to+.6
    Strong = +.6 to +1
    

    -------
    The bivariate correlation coefficients for the zip code data show relationships that are not as
    strong as at the county level (3). The variable with the strongest relationship is the percentage
    Black with 0.25. The other variables only show weaker relationships ranging from 0.06 to 0.17.
    Again, the racial variables and the female headed household variable do have the hypothesized
    direction of correlation, and the per capita income and the percentage of persons below poverty
    have the opposite. The weakest correlation is again with the Hispanic origin percentages.
    
    4.2    Distance Analysis
    This analysis begins by creating buffers around those zip codes with facilities. As previously
    mentioned, each zip code was assigned a number to coincide with the distance from the zip
    codes containing facilities. The rings that were created by these assignments were separated
    and displayed on an ArcView  map (Figure 18). These rings were created by the select by theme
    tool within ArcView. The zip codes immediately adjacent to  the zip codes with facilities were
    selected for the first ring.  The  zip codes immediately adjacent to those zip codes in the first ring,
    not including those with facilities were selected for the second ring, and so on. The map
    analysis done here is a basic  description of the patterns and zip codes within each ring,  and
    some of the characteristics from the socioeconomic patterns within each. This analysis is
    followed by the statistical results from the bivariate correlation analysis, which was created in
    Excel from the transferring of  the coinciding reclassification numbers for each ring, from
    ArcView. Also included in the  statistical analysis is a t-test for equality of means. The same
    numbers were used here as in the bivariate coefficient, but  manipulated into two groups, one
    with facilities and one without. The means of each variable  are calculated and the t-value is
    analyzed in this chapter.
    
    4.2.1   Zip Code Map Analysis
    There are 731 zip codes shown on the map exhibiting the assigned buffers. Of those, 60 zip
    codes have facilities, 225 zip codes are immediately adjacent to the zip codes with facilities and
    categorized in the first ring, 181 zip codes are  included in the second ring, 92 zip codes  in the
    third and 173 zip codes in the fourth. The majority of the zip codes (30.8 percent) are within the
    first ring. The lowest percentage of zip codes is found in the third ring at 12.6 percent. The
    averages for each variable within each ring are included in Table 4. The highest averages for
    each variable is found in the zip codes with TSD facilities. These averages decrease, except for
    the percentage of other nonwhite persons,  with distance from  the zip codes with facilities.
    Although some decreases are not extremely large, they can still be seen in the numbers. In
                                               36
    

    -------
    general, it would seem that the mapped patterns might be somewhat the same for the variables,
    as are seen for the map with buffers around the facilities.
    
    4.2.2   Statistical Analysis
    The bivariate correlation analysis for the distance information shows that most of the variables
    used had a moderate to weak relationship with the distance from facilities. Moderate
    relationships included the percentage Black, the percentage below poverty and the per capita
    income. The strongest relationship is seen with the percent of persons below poverty, at -0.44,
    although it is not the hypothesized direction of the relationship. The correlations, as can be seen
    in Table 5 are all positive, with the exception of the percentage of persons below the poverty
    level. The weakest correlation can be seen with the percentage of Hispanic origin at 0.06. Each
    of the correlations did occur in the hypothesized direction except the per capita income and the
    percentage persons below poverty. The positive relationships that did occur in the hypothesized
    direction included all of the racial information and the female-headed household data. This type
    of correlation means that as the assigned number denoting distance from the zip codes with the
    TSD facilities increases, the percentage of these variables  increases as well. In other words, the
    distance from the zip codes is associated with the percentages of the variables; as the distance
    from the zip codes with facilities increases,  the percentage of these variables decreases. The
    two variables that did not have the hypothesized direction of relation indicate that higher income
    or more prominent neighborhoods are closer to the facilities than low income.
    
                                            Table 4
               Averages for Zip Codes with Facilities and Each Surrounding Buffer
    Variable
    % Black
    % Hispanic
    % Other Nonwhite
    % Female headed
    Households
    % Below Poverty
    Per Capita Income
    Zip Codes
    With
    Facilities
    10.3
    0.7
    1.0
    16.2
    17.8
    $11,309
    Ring 1
    3.7
    0.4
    0.5
    13.0
    18.6
    $10,533
    Ring 2
    2.5
    0.4
    0.3
    12.6
    23.7
    $9,195
    Ring 3
    0.9
    0.3
    0.5
    11.1
    31.6
    $7,505
    Ring 4
    0.4
    0.3
    0.3
    10.9
    33.6
    $7,245
                                               37
    

    -------
                                                Table 5
                             Bivariate Correlation Coefficient for Distance
    
    Variable
    % Black
    % Hispanic
    % Other Nonwhite
    % Female Headed Households
    % Persons Below Poverty
    Per Capita Income
    Zip Code
    Correlation Coefficient with
    Distance Classification
    0.29
    0.06
    0.11
    0.20
    -0.44
    0.43
           Significance level = .05
           Weak = +.1 to+.3
           Moderate = +.3 to+.6
           Strong = +.6 to +1
    The t-test statistical analysis for the difference in means showed that there were significant
    differences in the means for those zip codes with facilities and those without (Table 6).
    Variables that were found to have significantly lower means for zip codes with out facilities than
    for those with include the percentage Black, percentage Hispanic, percentage other nonwhite,
    and per capita income. For these variables the critical value was found to be approximately 2.00
    and the t statistic was found to be around -4.00. This indicates that there was indeed a
    significant difference in the means for these percentages between those zip codes with facilities
    and those without.  However, it indicates that the percentages in non-facility areas are lower than
    in areas with facilities. This means that higher amounts of these variables are in areas with no
    facilities. Therefore, in these cases the null hypothesis could not be accepted at the significance
    level 0.05, and indications  are that environmental justice is taking place in siting of TSDFs.
    Concerning the percentage of persons below poverty, again there was a significant difference in
    the means, this time the mean is  higher in zip codes without facilities than in those with facilities
                                               38
    

    -------
    present. In this case the critical value is again 2.00 and the t-statistic is 6.48. Again the null
    hypothesis could not be accepted, as the t-value exceeded the critical value.
                                            Table 6
                                 t-Test for Difference in Means
    Variable
    % Black
    % Hispanic
    % Other Nonwhite
    % Female Headed
    Households
    % Below Poverty
    Per Capita Income
    Critical Value
    +2.00, -2.00
    +2.00, -2.00
    + 1.99, -1.99
    + 1.99, -1.99
    + 1.99, -1.99
    +2.00, -1.99
    t-Statistic
    -3.82
    -4.70
    -4.03
    -4.03
    6.48
    -4.76
    These results have shown the relationships in the case of Kentucky between the socioeconomic
    variables and the number of TSD facilities. The following chapter addresses these analysis in
    discussion and conclusions and gives some recommendations based on these findings as well
    as for future references. The limitation of this analysis and its results is also discussed.
    
    5.1    Discussion
    In discussing this study the first section to look at is the map analysis. This analysis found some
    interesting likenesses in some of the specific zip codes and counties with facilities in that
    several of the counties listed in the highest percentage of one variable was often listed in others.
    This occurred in  both the county and zip code comparisons. Most notably, Jefferson County and
    zip codes within Jefferson  County were at the top of the list on several occasions. This could
    point to the need for a more detailed analysis to determine if there are disproportionate risks in
    this specific area.
                                               39
    

    -------
    The results of found in this study indicate that while there may be some slight relationships with
    the amount of minority populations and the number of facilities in the hypothesized positive
    direction (as the number of facilities goes up, so do the variable  percentages), the hypothesized
    relationships for the number of persons below poverty and the per capita income relationships
    were exactly opposite. In fact the relationships with these two variables and the number of TSDs
    was among the strongest, especially within the distance analysis. This relationship may be
    explained by the reasoning that these facilities may pay high wages and that their workers live
    near the facility. It also may be caused by the fact that these facilities may be located in an
    industrial area that also has high wages and employ surrounding residents. This may be seen
    as compensation for the risks. Income in these areas could also be skewed by a few extremely
    high incomes that would drive the average  up and  not show precisely the characteristics of the
    neighborhoods immediately adjacent to the facilities. The difference in incomes could also be a
    function of the urban and rural separation.
    
    Since the highest correlation for both zip codes and counties, excluding the distance analysis,
    was found to  be with the percentage of Blacks, this would seem to be the strongest relationship
    and should be the one concentrated on in future studies. This relationship may be moderately
    attributed to environmental injustices, or could be a factor of inner city versus rural population
    characteristics. The fact that the other variables had a higher correlation with the county data
    than the zip code data may be a factor of distance  and  population dispersal.
    
    The percentage of female-headed households is an interesting variable. Although it looks on the
    map as if it has  no specific pattern, in the statistical analysis it has a weak relationship at the
    county level and is among  the strongest (although  still weak) at the zip code level.
    
    For the distance analysis, as before mentioned, the strongest correlations were found with the
    percentage below poverty and the per capita income. The relationships with the minority
    variables indicate weak correlations with each variable. The female-headed household
    correlation was again between weak and moderate. The distance analysis did show some
    moderate relationships with three of the variables.  This indicates that the distance from a TSD
    facility is a factor that needs to be included in determining any relationship of this sort. Proximity
    is key in determining spatial relationships, i.e. the areas in close contact with high health risks
    and their population characteristics.
                                               40
    

    -------
    Finally, the hypotheses findings for the county data are as follows:
        1) Accepted at a moderate level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of African Americans (positive relationship);
        2) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of Hispanics (positive relationship);
        3) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of other minority groups (positive relationship);
        4) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of female-headed households (positive relationship);
        5) Rejected (the direction of the relationship was opposite of the hypothesized) - The
           greater the number of facilities, the lower the percentage of persons below the state
           poverty level (negative relationship); and
        6) Rejected (the direction of the relationship was opposite of the hypothesized) - The
           greater the number of facilities, the higher the per capita income (positive relationship).
    
     The hypotheses findings for the zip code data are as follows:
        1) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of African Americans (positive relationship);
        2) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of Hispanics (positive relationship);
        3) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of other minority groups (positive relationship);
        4) Accepted at a weak level - The greater the number of facilities, the greater the
           percentage of female headed households (positive relationship);
        5) Rejected (the direction of the relationship was opposite of the hypothesized) - The
           greater the number of facilities, the lower the percentage of persons below the state
           poverty level (negative relationship); and
        6) Rejected (the direction of the relationship was opposite of the hypothesized) - The
           greater the number of facilities, the higher the per capita income (positive relationship).
                                                41
    

    -------
    The hypotheses findings for the second section of the project which included distance are the
    following:
    
       1)  Accepted at a moderate level - As the distance from each facility gets greater, the
           percentage of the population that is African American gets lower;
       2)  Accepted at a weak level - As  the distance from each facility gets greater, the
           percentage of the population that is Hispanic gets lower;
       3)  Accepted at a weak level - As  the distance from each facility gets greater, the
           percentage of the population labeled as other minority groups gets lower;
       4)  Accepted at a weak level - As  the distance from each facility gets greater, the
           percentage of female-headed  households gets lower;
       5)  Rejected (the direction of the relationship was opposite  of the hypothesized) - As the
           distance from each facility gets greater, the percentage of the persons below poverty
           increases; and
       6)  Rejected (the direction of the relationship was opposite  of the hypothesized) - As the
           distance from each facility gets greater, the per capita income gets higher.
    
    The t-test statistical analysis resulted  in the rejecting of the null hypothesis for all of the
    variables. This indicates that the relationship between the averages of each variable, were
    significantly different in zip codes with and without TSD facilities. However,  these differences
    are opposite of the expected. The statistic shows that the zip codes lacking facilities have the
    highest per capita income and the least percentages  of minorities, female-headed households
    and persons below poverty. Based on this statistic alone it would seem that there are no
    prejudices being produced from the siting of the facilities used in this study. However, the other
    tests done within this study should also  be considered. Taking into account that the bivariate
    correlation coefficient found some weak relationships between the variables, it can be seen that
    the variables used in this study are not a likely determinant of TSD facility siting in Kentucky.
    
    5.2    Conclusion
    In conclusion, this project found minimal relationships between treatment, storage and disposal
    facilities and the percentages of low income and minorities. The strongest relationships were
    found with the percentage of Blacks, the percentage of persons below poverty and the per
    capita income. With both the percent  Black and the per capita income, it was found that to some
    extent, the percentage and dollar amount increased with the number of facilities. The
                                               42
    

    -------
    percentage of persons below poverty was found to decrease with the number of facilities. These
    findings implicate that there is only a slight bit of inequality in the siting of TSD facilities in
    Kentucky. Most likely, other factors are a higher determinant to siting that race or poverty.
    
    This study shows that while not on a case by case basis, overall, there are very little
    environmental injustices occurring with resect to TSDF siting. This implies that the current
    policies and methods for site selection have been somewhat sufficient. However, since the
    tendencies could be there, policies could be strengthened and siting methodology and
    evaluation could be done more comprehensively, utilizing social issues and community
    participation.
    
    5.3    Limitations
    As with all projects this study has several limitations, from the data to the analysis.  First the data
    for the socioeconomic variables was collected in 1990 and the data for the treatment,  storage
    and disposal facilities was collected in 1998. This is a problem if several  of the facilities were
    opened after 1990. In this case, the socioeconomic variables may have greatly changed since
    those facilities were created. This study assumes that the socioeconomic variables have not
    changed significantly since the 1990 Census was taken. This limits the analysis in such a way
    that more information will need to be collected and updated as it becomes available. For
    example, when the 2000 Census is taken, these numbers should be substituted in the statistical
    and map analysis in order to update the information and make for a more accurate analysis.
    
    Also, some data was not given in the census for some zip codes. This created a problem again
    for the analysis in that some facilities were not included in the statistical and map analyses
    because data was not available. Also in the ArcView shape files for Kentucky, not all of the  zip
    codes were present as well. This affects the data in such a way as to not give a complete
    picture of where the facilities are located and what the surrounding characteristics are. These
    facilities and socioeconomic data may have either weakened or strengthened the analyses.
    
    As for the socioeconomic characteristics themselves, specifically the  poverty and income data
    could be questionable in this study. The definition of poverty given by the census may not
    always be reflective in the neighborhood opinions. What may be a low quality of life to some
    may not be to others. This may affect the actual perception of what a poverty stricken  or low-
    income area may be. As well, it is worth noting that in some areas the incomes of a few wealthy
                                              43
    

    -------
    persons may have skewed the average so that it does not accurately depict the characteristics
    of the area.
    
    Since zip codes and counties were utilized for this analysis, it is necessary to discuss the
    limitations of using data in such a manner. Although zip codes are relatively small units, they
    often vary in size and population characteristics. It would  have been better to utilize census tract
    information since theoretically they are supposed to be somewhat homogeneous in
    characteristics. However, due to data availability,  zip codes were chosen. When looking at the
    results, one needs to understand how the units that were used affect the outcome. As for the
    county data, it also is varied in size and composition. Several counties differ in basic
    characteristics such as number of persons. Again, this needs to be considered when consulting
    the results.
    
    Also, as before mentioned, this is not a historical review of TSD facility siting and the
    characteristics of the surrounding communities before and after the siting. This fact creates an
    unknown circumstance of which came first, and thus time is the  limitation in this case.
    
    This study focuses on only one type  of toxic waste facility. Therefore, it needs to be understood
    that the results in this study can not be generalized to other types of facilities. This means that
    for any other type of facility, while the methodology may be the same, the data collection and
    use of the information may need to different. As well, generalities may  not be made, based on
    the results in this study, to specific sites. The outcomes of this project are for an  overall view of
    TSD sites in Kentucky.
    
    Finally, as with any other statistical analysis, the results of the methods used in this project do
    not represent fact.
    
    5.4    Further Studies/Recommendations
    The findings in this study should not  be taken as a final step in the analysis of the location of
    treatment, storage and disposal facilities in Kentucky. Further studies need to be conducted in
    order to come to an overall conclusion on  the situation of this issue. These studies include a
    historical analysis detailing the socioeconomic conditions of the  surroundings before and after
    siting of the facilities. This analysis would  help to determine if possibly  a large composition of
    minorities or low income persons preceded the location of the facility, or if the composition was
                                               44
    

    -------
    created after the facility was sited in that specific area. As well, a case study on one specific
    facility or one specific zip code or county with several facilities could be done. This analysis
    could entail an in depth look at the actual siting of the facility or facilities, such as specifics on
    why the site was chosen and what the alternatives were. Here the economic and the
    environmental issues that played a part in the siting decision could be discussed, along with any
    social issues. Also within this type of analysis, it would be important to understand what the
    opinion  of the community was, at the time of siting, and is presently, as well as the demographic
    characteristics before and after siting. Yet another interesting twist to this topic would be to
    delve into a policy analysis of exactly how the national environmental justice policies and
    regulations trickled down to the local level to effect the specific siting of a facility in Kentucky.
    
    Although obviously no community will welcome health risks into their back yard,  if incentives
    and compensation are given in addition to possibly much needed jobs for the low skilled
    residents of the community, such facilities may not always be seen in a negative light. For
    example, if the general public is invited to be involved in the early stages of planning for a toxic
    facility then they will be less likely to be suspicious of the company. If the community residents
    are not involved until halfway through the process when someone complains, it often seems like
    the company is trying to hide something. One good way to actively involve the community is to
    initially present them with a list of criteria for siting the facility and allow  them to add to and make
    comments on such. Finally, when an evaluation of sites  has been done, the community
    participants should be provided with reasons why possible sites are or are not acceptable based
    on the requirements set forth previously, as well as any external pros or cons to allowing such a
    facility to site in the neighborhood. Of course, it is not always easy to get residents to participate
    in such events. This is the role of the environmental organizations. Their addition to the
    community awareness of the issues could be the driving force of enhanced  participation in the
    siting decision making.
    
    There can be several pros and cons of inviting such a toxic waste facility as TSDs to the
    community. As with any new industries there is potential for an increased tax base, more jobs,
    greater  infrastructure and services, more diversity in economic activity and investment into the
    community, and more dollars being generated within the community via the multiplier effect.
    However,  although less calculable, the health risks of such facilities are ever present. These
    risks come from the potential spillage of toxins into all aspects of the environment, from which it
    has been hypothesized, will increase mortality rates over time. These toxic facilities also create
                                               45
    

    -------
    environmental degradation and can limit the future use of the land. All of these things are
    important factors in choosing a site for such a facility and should be presented to the public so
    they can be well informed to make the decision to support the facility or not. Other incentives
    may be included that may serve to sway doubting communities. These incentives from the
    industry may include the following: 1) higher tax payment,  contributions to the community for
    schools or other worthy causes; 2) employment guarantees, such as guaranteeing that a certain
    percentage of the new jobs will go to the local workers; 3)  high wages and benefits to workers;
    4) payment for and creation of new infrastructure such as roadways; and 5) maintenance of
    special dedicated  green space to make up for any environmental degradation that may occur
    due to the incoming industry.
    
    There may also be a need for increased policy creation on the subject of siting toxic facilities
    that may prove hazardous to the health of surrounding persons. Again, compensation for risk
    could be written into the local legislation for siting, drawing from any development or economic
    needs that the community may have. Also policies passed down from the EPA could be
    enhanced. For example, the environmental impact statement could be utilized as a tool for
    social issues as well as environmental. While it is the role of all federal agencies to incorporate
    environmental justice measures in their work, it may be that this is not adequate enough to
    address the problem. EIA could be a tool not only to evaluate the soil, air, water and other
    environmental issues,  but also to take into account the social characteristics of the surrounding
    community, what other toxic sites are located in the area, if any alternative  sites are suitable that
    will offer more equality in distribution, and the community's awareness and approval or
    disapproval of the facility.
    
    At the local level, comprehensive planning and zoning could be an excellent tool to guide
    development of such toxic facilities. In this case, each municipality should address the issue of
    siting from a proactive point of view. Having standards and areas zoned for industrial,
    specifically toxic industries, will make it easier for those industries to choose where to locate and
    easier for localities to have a say where they may or may not do so. If zoning is implemented in
    such a manner as to take into account the suitability of the land to the industry as well as the
    socioeconomic characteristics and community opinion, then facility siting will not be  considered
    an issue of injustice.
                                              46
    

    -------
    This process would include several of the important factors mentioned in this study and would
    be easy to create and to comply with. From this standpoint, it should be the initiative of the
    government to choose satisfactory sites for such facilities through municipal planning and
    zoning ordinances, created with community participation and overall approval.  Making the
    community feel as if they have a hand in choices concerning toxic waste, and their own health,
    will reduce  the fear of such industries. However, this recommendation does depend on the area
    having a comprehensive plan and zoning ordinances in place.
    
    Each of these recommendations has its strengths and weaknesses. What is common
    throughout is that, no matter through what medium, community participation is an important
    factor for creating consensus and reducing suspicion of these types of facilities. Although this
    study did not find outstanding significances in the relationships between socioeconomic factors
    and the number of TSDs in Kentucky, creating an easier and more agreeable site selection
    process for toxic waste facilities, including TSDs, through community participation, will be an
    asset to all  parties involved.
                                              47
    

    -------
    oo
                                         Figure 3
                                    Kentucky Counties,
                                           1999
                 A
    50
    100
    150 Miles
    

    -------
    CD
                                          Figure 4
                    Number of Treatment,         and          Facilities,
                                 by County, Kentucky,
                            /*•
                       Number of Facilities
    
    
    
                       ^•3-25
    0    50    100   150
    

    -------
    en
    o
                                          Figure 5
               Number of Treatment,                      Facilities by Zip
                                       Kentucky,
                    |   | No Data
                    Number of Facilities
    
    
    
                    ^m 3-6
    0
    50   100   150
    

    -------
                         Figure 6
                           Population by County,
                     Kentucky,
    Percent Black
        0.0-0.4
        5.7-24.5
        A
         N
                                  0
    50   100   150
    

    -------
    en
    IV)
                                            Figure 7
                                       Hispanic Population by County,
                                         Kentucky,
                     Percent Hispanic
                     |    10.0-0.3
                         0.3 -0.6
    
                     ^m 1.2-3.4
              A
    o
         N
    50   100
    150
    

    -------
    en
                                          Figure 8
                                 Other Nonwhite Population by County,
                                       Kentucky,
                     Percent Other Nonwhite
                     |   [0.0-0.3
                     IBl 0.3-0.7
    
                         2.0-3.9
             A
              N
    0    50    100   150
    

    -------
                                             Figure 9
                                                   Households by County,
                                         Kentucky
    en
                   Percent Female Headed Households
                   |   | 1.7- 10.5
                       10.5- 14.0
    
                   ^m 16.7-22.9
             A
              N
    0
    50   100  150
    

    -------
                                           Figure 10
                              of the Population                      by County,
                                         Kentucky,
    en
    en
                       Percent     Poverty
                       |   10.0-15.9
                           16.0-20.0
                           28.7-51.0
        A
         N
                                                      0
    50   100   150
    

    -------
       GIS in Statewide Ground-Water Vulnerability Evaluation to Pollution Potential
                                   Navulur Kumar and Bernard A. Engel
           Department of Agricultural Engineering, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana
    Abstract
    
    The ground-water vulnerability of Indiana to pollution
    potential was evaluated using a geographic information
    systems  (GIS)  environment.  The  Geographic  Re-
    sources Analysis Support System (GRASS) and the
    GRID submodule of ARC/INFO were used to conduct
    the analysis and to identify and display the areas sensi-
    tive to ground-water pollution potential. The state soils
    geographic (STATSGO) database was employed to re-
    trieve statewide soils information required for the analy-
    sis. The information from the STATSGO database was
    used in two models, DRASTIC (acronym representing
    the following  hydrogeologic settings: Depth to water
    table, aquifer Recharge, Aquifer media, Soil media,
    Topography, Impact of vadose zone,  and  hydraulic
    Conductivity of the aquifer) and SEEPAGE (System for
    Early  Evaluation of Pollution Potential of Agriculture
    Ground-Water Environments). These models employ a
    numerical  ranking system and consider various hydro-
    geologic settings that affect the ground-water quality of
    a region.  Ground-water vulnerability  maps were pre-
    pared for the state of Indiana based on DRASTIC and
    SEEPAGE results. Continuing work is planned to deter-
    mine the accuracy of the results by comparing the ex-
    isting well-water quality data. The DRASTIC  Index and
    SEEPAGE Index number (SIN) maps show great poten-
    tial  as screening tools  for policy decision-making in
    ground-water management.
    
    Introduction
    
    Ground-water contamination due to fertilizer and pesti-
    cide use in agricultural management systems is of wide
    concern. In 1989, reports of ground-water contamination
    in New York wells led the U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency (EPA) to conduct a nationwide survey on well
    contamination in the United States. These wells were
    tested for presence of nitrate, pesticides, and pesticide
    breakdown products (1). Statistically, the wells selected
    represent  more  than 94,600 wells in  approximately
    38,300 community water systems. Over 52 percent of
    the community water systems and 57 percent of the
    rural domestic wells tested contained nitrates (2).
    
    Indiana has abundant ground-water systems providing
    drinking water for 60 percent of its population. A study
    on well-water quality detected pesticides in 4 percent of
    wells tested in Indiana. Also, 10 percent of private wells
    and 2 percent of noncommunity wells contained exces-
    sive nitrate levels (3).
    
    Statewide  maps showing  the areas  vulnerable  to
    ground-water contamination have many potential uses
    such as implementation of  ground-water management
    strategies to  prevent degradation of ground-water qual-
    ity and  monitoring  of ground-water systems.  These
    maps will be helpful in evaluating the existing and po-
    tential  policies for  ground-water protection.  Ground-
    water models such as  SEEPAGE  (System for Early
    Evaluation of Pollution Potential of Agriculture Ground-
    Water Environments)  and  DRASTIC  (acronym repre-
    senting the following hydrogeologic settings: Depth to
    water table, aquifer  Recharge, Aquifer media, Soil
    media, Topography, Impact of vadose zone, and hy-
    draulic Conductivity of the aquifer) can be applied on a
    regional scale to develop such maps.
    
    The data layers required forthese models are commonly
    available data such as pH and organic matter content.
    For most states, the statewide ground-water vulnerabil-
    ity maps generated using  DRASTIC were produced
    from 1:2,000,000-scale  data  (4). EPA (2)  found that
    these maps did not correlate well with the water quality
    analysis performed for the national survey of pesticides
    in drinking water wells. States need more detailed and
    accurate maps to implement ground-water management
    programs.  The state  soils geographic (STATSGO)
    database at the 1:250,000-scale might be useful for
    studies at a  larger scale.
    
    The geographic information  systems (GIS) environment
    is widely applied for diverse applications in resources
    management and other areas. It offers the facilities to
    store, manipulate, and analyze data in different formats
    

    -------
    and at different scales. The DRASTIC and SEEPAGE
    models can be integrated within the CIS environment to
    produce the final ground-water vulnerability maps.
    
    Objectives
    The purpose of the study was to prepare maps showing
    areas in  Indiana vulnerable to ground-water pollution.
    This goal was accomplished  by considering  hydro-
    geologic  factors in each region that affect the mobility
    and leaching  of the  contaminant reaching the aquifer.
    The prime objectives of this research were to:
    • Evaluate Indiana's ground-water vulnerability to
      pollution potential using the DRASTIC and SEEP-
      AGE models:
      - Integrate and evaluate the models in a CIS envi-
        ronment (Geographic Resources Analysis Support
        System [GRASS]  ARC/INFO).
      - Develop a graphic user interface (GUI) in ARC/INFO
        to conduct the analyses.
    • Compare  the  pollution  potential  map  from the
      DRASTIC model with the map developed using the
      SEEPAGE  Index  number (SIN).
    • Validate the accuracy of the  present  approach by
      comparing the vulnerability maps with  the existing
      well-water quality  data sampled across the state.
    
    DRASTIC
    DRASTIC is a ground-water quality model for evaluating
    the pollution potential  of large areas using the  hydro-
    geologic settings of the region (4-6). EPA developed this
    model in  the 1980s.  DRASTIC includes different hydro-
    geologic  settings that influence a region's  pollution po-
    tential. A hydrogeologic setting is a mappable unit with
    common  hydrogeologic characteristics. This model em-
    ploys a numerical ranking system that  assigns relative
    weights  to  parameters that help  evaluate  relative
    ground-water vulnerability to contamination.
    The hydrogeologic settings that make up the acronym
    DRASTIC are:
    • [D] Depth to water table: Compared with deep water
      tables,  shallow water tables pose  a  greater chance
      for the  contaminant to reach the ground-water surface.
    • [R] Recharge (net): Net recharge  is the amount  of
      water per unit area of soil that percolates to the aqui-
      fer. This is  the principal vehicle that transports the
      contaminant to the ground water.  Higher recharges
      increase the chances of the contaminant being trans-
      ported  to the ground-water table.
    • [A] Aquifer media: The material of the aquifer deter-
      mines  the   mobility  of  the  contaminant traveling
      through it. An increase in travel time of the pollutant
      through the  aquifer increases contaminant attenuation.
    • [S] Soil media: Soil  media is the uppermost portion
      of the unsaturated zone/vadose zone characterized
      by significant biologic activity. This, in addition to the
      aquifer media, determines the amount of water per-
      colating to the ground-water surface. Soils with clays
      and silts have larger water holding capacity and thus
      increase the travel time of the contaminant through
      the root zone.
    
    • [T] Topography (slope): The  higher the slope, the
      lower the pollution potential  due to higher runoff and
      erosion  rates, which include pollutants that infiltrate
      the soil.
    
    • [I] Impact of vadose zone: The unsaturated  zone
      above the water table is  referred to as the vadose
      zone. The texture of the vadose zone determines the
      travel time of the contaminant. Authors of this model
      suggest using the layer that  most restricts water flow.
    
    • [C] Conductivity (hydraulic): Hydraulic conductivity of
      the soil  media determines the amount of water per-
      colating through the  aquifer to the ground water. For
      highly permeable soils, the travel time of the pollutant
      is decreased within the  aquifer.
    
    The major assumptions outlined  in DRASTIC are:
    
    • The contaminant is introduced at the surface.
    
    • The contaminant reaches ground water by precipitation.
    
    • The contaminant has the  mobility of water.
    
    • The area of the study site is more than 100 acres.
    
    DRASTIC evaluates pollution potential  based on the
    seven hydrogeologic settings listed above. Each factor
    is assigned a weight based on  its relative significance in
    affecting the pollution potential. Each factor is also as-
    signed a rating for different ranges of the values. Typical
    ratings range from 1  to 10, and weights range from 1  to
    5. The DRASTIC Index, a measure of pollution potential,
    is computed by summation of the products of rating and
    weights of each factor  as follows:
    
    DRASTIC Index =
    DrDw + RrRw + ArAw + SrSw + TrTw + Irlw + CrCw
    
    where:
    
    Dr  = Ratings for the depth  to water table
    Dw = Weights for the depth to water table
    Rr  = Ratings for different ranges of aquifer recharge
    Rw = Weights for the aquifer recharge
    Ar  = Ratings for the aquifer media
    Aw = Weights for the aquifer media
    Sr  = Ratings for soil media
    Sw = Weights for soil media
    Tr  = Ratings for topography (slope)
    Tw = Weights for topography
    Ir   = Ratings for the vadose zone
    

    -------
    Iw  = Weights for the vadose zone
    Cr  = Ratings for different rates of hydraulic conductivity
    Cw = Weights for hydraulic conductivity
    
    DRASTIC assigns two different weights depending upon
    the type of contaminant. Pesticides are given different
    weights than general contaminants. In  assigning the
    weights, DRASTIC considers the different properties of
    pesticides as they travel through the vadose zone and
    root zone of the soil media.
    
    The higher the  DRASTIC Index, the greater the relative
    pollution potential. The DRASTIC Index  is divided into
    four categories: low, moderate, high, and very high. The
    sites with high  and very high categories are more vul-
    nerable to  contaminations and  hence should be re-
    viewed by the site specialist. These weights are relative,
    however. Low pollution potential does not necessarily
    indicate that a  site is  free from ground-water contami-
    nation. It indicates only that the site is less susceptible
    to contamination than sites with high  or very high
    DRASTIC ratings.
    
    SEEPAGE
    
    The SEEPAGE model is a combination of three models
    adapted  to meet  the Soil Conservation  Service's
    (SCS's) need to assist field personnel (7, 8). SEEPAGE
    considers  hydrogeologic settings and physical proper-
    ties of  the soil  that affect  ground-water vulnerability to
    pollution potential. SEEPAGE is also a numerical rank-
    ing model that  considers contamination from both con-
    centrated and dispersed sources.
    
    The SEEPAGE model  considers the following parameters:
    
    • Soil slope
    
    • Depth to water table
    
    • Vadose zone  material
    
    • Aquifer material
    
    • Soil depth
    
    • Attenuation potential
    
    The attenuation potential further considers the following
    factors:
    
    • Texture of surface soil
    
    • Texture of subsoil
    
    • Surface  layer pH
    
    • Organic matter content of the surface
    
    • Soil drainage class
    
    • Soil permeability (least permeable layer)
    
    Each factor is assigned a numerical weight ranging from
    1 to 50 based  on its  relative significance, with the pa-
    rameter that has the most significant effect on water
    quality assigned a weight of 50 and the least significant
    assigned a weight of 1. The weights are  different for
    concentrated or site-specific sources, and dispersed or
    nonspecific sources.
    
    Similar to DRASTIC, each factor can be  divided into
    ranges and ratings, varying from 1 to 50. The ratings of
    the aquifer media and vadose zone are subjective and
    can be changed for a particular region. Once the scores
    of the six factors are  obtained, they are  summed to
    obtain the SIN. These values represent pollution poten-
    tial, where a high SIN implies relatively more vulnerabil-
    ity of the ground-water system to  contamination. The
    SIN values are arranged into four categories of pollution
    potential: low, moderate, high, and  very high. A high or
    very high SIN category indicates that the site has signifi-
    cant constraints for ground-water quality management (7).
    
    GIS
    
    CIS  has been  widely used for natural resources  man-
    agement and planning, primarily during the past decade.
    A GIS  can be combined with a ground-water quality
    model to identify and rank the areas vulnerable to pol-
    lution potential  for different scenarios and land use prac-
    tices. Many GIS software packages are  available.
    GRASS is a raster-based public domain software devel-
    oped  by the U.S.  Army  Construction  Engineers Re-
    search Laboratory (9). This software can assign different
    weights to, or reclass, the data layers and combine map
    layers, and is suitable for implementing the DRASTIC
    and SEEPAGE models. ARC/INFO is a GIS  software
    developed by Environmental Systems Research  Insti-
    tute  (ESRI)  in Redlands, California.  The GRID sub-
    module of ARC/INFO facilitates the handling  of raster
    data. Also, the  capability to develop a menu-based GUI
    helps users  easily implement the  models. The GRID
    submodule also  can reclass and manipulate  the map
    layers suitable  for conducting the analyses.
    
    Methodology
    
    Developing the Data Layers in GRASS and
    ARC/INFO
    
    The STATSGO database from SCS comes  at a scale of
    1:250,000 and is distributed in different data formats.
    This study  used  the  STATSGO database  in the
    ARC/INFO format. The database is organized into map
    units that have up to 21 components. These map com-
    ponents have information  assigned to layers of soil ho-
    rizons. Each layer is attributed various soil properties
    such as pH or  organic matter content (10). Each  prop-
    erty is assigned a high and a low value for a map unit.
    The STATSGO map for Indiana is available  in the vector
    format. This map was exported to GRASS as a vector
    coverage (11) and was converted into a raster coverage
    within the  GRASS GIS environment. This was used as
    

    -------
    the base map for the DRASTIC and SEEPAGE analy-
    ses. The hydrogeologic parameters required for the
    models  were identified from the corresponding INFO
    data tables  and were exported into an ASCII file. Code
    was developed to generate a GRASS  reclass file as-
    signing the  weighted values of the parameters to the
    corresponding map units in the base map. The STATSGO
    base map imported  into GRASS was reclassed for each
    hydrogeologic setting (e.g., topography, pH) to create the
    data layers required for DRASTIC and SEEPAGE analyses.
    
    The map layers  of the  hydrogeologic parameters in
    GRASS were then  exported to ARC/INFO as  raster
    coverages.  A GRASS command  was  developed that
    allows the output ASCII file from GRASS to be imported
    into ARC/INFO directly without further modifications to
    the header in the ASCII file.
    Developing a Graphic User Interface in
    ARC/INFO
    
    The dynamic form-menu option (12) was used to develop
    a GUI for both DRASTIC and SEEPAGE analyses (see
    Figures 1 and 2). Because ratings for some parameters
    are subjective, the GUI provided an option to change the
    weights assigned to hydrogeologic settings. The cover-
    ages must already be assigned ratings before using the
    interface, however. The  interface also allows users to
    reclassify the final vulnerability maps qualitatively (13) into
    four categories (low, moderate, high, and very high) after
    viewing the range of DRASTIC Index or SIN values.
    Conducting the Analyses
    
    The data layers were developed separately for the high
    and low values of the hydrogeologic settings. Once all
    the data  layers were compiled, the corresponding rat-
    ings and weights were assigned and the analyses were
    conducted using the GUI. The data layers aquifer re-
    charge, aquifer media, and vadose zone media were not
    available, so the analyses were conducted without these
    base maps. The SEEPAGE analysis was performed for
    concentrated/point sources of pollution. The final vulner-
    ability indexes from the analyses were classified  into
    four categories (low, medium, high, and very high) (see
    Table 1) to generate the final statewide vulnerability maps.
    
    Table 1. Pollution Potential Categories Using SEEPAGE and
           DRASTIC Indexes
                   Range of DRASTIC/SEEPAGE Index
    Analysis
    SEEPAGE
    DRASTIC
    Low
    1-24
    30-70
    Moderate
    25-48
    71-100
    High
    49-70
    101-110
    Very High
    >70
    > 110
    Validating the Accuracy of the
    Vulnerability Maps
    
    The  ground-water vulnerability maps  produced  by
    DRASTIC analysis were compared with those generated
    using the SEEPAGE model. The final statewide ground-
    water vulnerability maps  from either approach  were
    compared with the well-water quality data sampled from
    over 2,500 wells (see Figure 3), and the number of wells
    falling into each vulnerability category was tabulated.
    
    Results and Discussion
    
    Statewide analysis of ground-water vulnerability to pol-
    lution potential was conducted using the DRASTIC and
    SEEPAGE analyses at a scale of 1:250,000 in the raster
    format. The analyses were conducted for both the high
    and  low values of the hydrogeologic  settings, and the
    final  vulnerability maps were prepared for the state of
    Indiana (see Figures 4 and 5). The vulnerability maps
    from both  approaches were compared in the GRASS
    environment.
    
    In both analyses, the low  values of hydrogeologic set-
    tings resulted in more areas being classified as high and
    very  high categories, compared with the  high values of
    hydrogeologic settings in  a map unit. The DRASTIC
    analysis placed more areas in the very high vulnerability
    category, compared with the SEEPAGE analysis, which
    categorized the  same  areas as high  vulnerability.  The
    nitrate-nitrogen concentrations observed in the wells
    were compared with the final vulnerability maps, and the
    number of wells falling into each of the four vulnerability
    categories (low, moderate, high, and very high) were sum-
    marized (see Tables 2 and 3).
    
    Approximately 80  percent of the wells with concentra-
    tions less than 5 parts per million are classified under
    the moderate vulnerability  category in SEEPAGE analy-
    sis. Overall, the results from the analyses did not corre-
    late satisfactorily with the observed well-water quality
    data. Unavailability of the data layers aquifer media,
    aquifer recharge,  and vadose zone media may  have
    caused these results. The well-water quality data of
    nitrate-nitrogen contaminations was considered only for
    testing map accuracy, whereas the  analyses  do not
    account for the type of contaminant, its severity, and its
    volume in  the generation  of vulnerability maps. Other
    limitations  of these approaches, including that the fac-
    tors influencing aquifer contamination (e.g., direction of
    water flow, land use, population at risk, point sources of
    pollution) are not considered in the ground-water vulner-
    ability evaluation, might also have led to the observed
    results.
    
    The DRASTIC and SEEPAGE analyses can be improved
    by incorporating data layers such as land use and nitrate
    loadings in computing the DRASTIC and SEEPAGE
    Indexes.  The STATSGO  database can be used for
    

    -------
    Figure 1.  GUI for DRASTIC analysis.
    

    -------
           -f S K "'; K SK5I-I %;; t" -R »1~ ;f *St TK"!1 "S'-fi "i ~f~"s fS"-,".S'rirSt" iSfpSj
    
    
            il^hl^ftSi^llli™^^
    
           I ^A ^ *• ^ i ~:'- ^ -^• J -?'^—i• * ~?--f?,i'._-';.?'/3: ^ g J:' 'I1 }r'a i'. ?'l^ :r"i. j ^' *3* ?g ^.'?IL' '^J'.'£"L? jj'^'^4'.': f^^1 ?. i1 g '^ i ^ ^'.?? I' ='." ^'^JL ^ d .^ ^ '* L = V. ='J ^'.. ^"'^ij V- - ^1
                                                 ? •- -| ••'I- «|f f £f r-;| 'if,™ i!! 'f ;I -ilfci«;||- |'"r'| sf^^^f®isF*vi^"j^'HII**t*ilfe^^'M:"^i4^"l j'jfi?"??!?'.1*;
                    .1 Y f i'li11 "i'f s|j« »j5"f if '("ft'I:1» si;"-««
                                                                           ,,,»,, ... „ ,._., g ,,J,,,. JJ». J ,J „ »,
    
                                                                           .'i "is in :SM w: ws
    
                                                                                                       l^r'Sr^!1^   ««'?f •" f'a- iuru'0" »sa"
    •^^^j^M^^^'^---^-^*^-^^n«:i»»^?»H}ti*i
    
     ^ - -^"l s^lps Jlfv.*S ^£f=f*
                                                  •-'i . ti  "^ • t  il '^' >• ^ I1 1 l"a v i' LI Li' ; 'S1 { -.:." " In it " g
                                                  |l |^5^ ^ m.JI ^^ m ^ ^| ^ l^gM.1 1S^|^S la JIMM ^gl^ i&|^]^M^gl JH rj I^J^M^gl y j|l 5M^|,
    
    
                                                       '
                                                  i   i' si i hi s ItiifiKJmM^siftiilSi,       S ; II
                                                  !!>-s.-11^- . - = _- -1^:E . -• v-r^r^!"±-l ,-? >r:/:_"",^1
                                                    '"L1- "' 'J " =M™ -" "' " "'^ 'C = - m,=va '" " 'j -, ='? 'M' t'v "'^ - ™ \* ™7! " -" '- ' -f ':-
                                                   ,f ,„, u „ , „ ,, ;».t|^tj;^Bma.aug4jji^i
                      [sIIP8^HHliiEi^KBsiBt€;, *y Aiiitiil ui'i; *•*; i s^m ih wt w; -i a,a?
            ^!p j i * fXCl^L^ Ll iCi," 1^1 ^ if 1^ 1^ ^M ^ !fl ?"' 1 f ^ !^ I li1? !i ?i"" f'i li ^" I '1^ !M! ^M^ "i *!! A s'l,='? '^L ''O.!? J ^l'X=JI I! ^FI s^a-^
                                                                                                "                  "3"                        "'= .....
                                                                                                                                               || it, *.|4       -
    
    
                                                           "     '•               --    -«
            :51 i.1 jiKMl^Sslil;?:! i|Kyi|;fif sliSlsllSlfliii'ifi'iiffif ii'5?;-!- HTJif'tsli^
                         ^
    
                                                                                                   J "
                                                                                               JM;l,h*Hl;5:!i*;Mti^tepfl;*|i;,434^I'^Krfii5
                                                                                               i;ii,ii:;.ti;i,!Aj, jj^^fclsiBpjflilL-feE'f'rKi'-^K'K
                                                                                                       j,,c B. S.U..Ae j, V" ^' ^ ^ '^^r^^g^fetgS^fe^!?^^ «?'.S^. a'J«. * a 1 ?'. . " «" «S
    
                                                                                                       	-
                                                                                                      ?:y:-:a.s,g,S:.y,g:ai.: ^,"1'
                                                                        i^1 ,-"f =:ip.l' ^ ,^ ^lii '"T i ^Ji
                                                                        s I i^l'C 1C » ^ !?S f i" 1'^" ™ ?^s s
                                                                        a/ii .- ai ?>,% B .Ji J .!«. is IAH Bt 73S.Xi
                                                                  ' ' a ,^l c ,=" 1 -I £1'
                                                          -           1' '     "1 ™
                                                         >|i ^-i?.a llt jS Ji «jirb-j5
                                                                                 ml^'^Milnls™ &'? 1 iB" ""Il
                                                                       i3i Illil;? sf li S n
                                                                    ? ""!' xs-lslrt?;^ i ^'?^l c->^'^-; ? c '1
                                                  '* ^= = .s "- 5 = =: ^.a. = >. ^- -
    
    
                                                  i= ^ ?. ~1? J !> =11 1 ¥ 4 1 ="l?1i'1.Vill!-I          "       -
                                     =====  a a a - a
    
                                     X'SI '*a^I ,i f* XI. f
            a ,a j ==1  e-s ,3 ,   a- ,si i *
           Jf t, 5^=. ,£ nl J f J« iirvl 3, -*| If ],
    
    
            ' ""'S^^^^'iil'slll*P 1 "-I.1 ^fI!^|r.i!
                                           fetes^i' ^-™'™ ^"^ ^'"i11' s^te °"^
                                                                   '.'"i
            •V^ ^ ' _-^^| ^ r«.a m.li^.sM'M^srlgl.^.Lla'^lg.MJllm.ss HH^H « gr ,-j ™ ij^^sy-j &J sH.^ai.^=T. y> jl^;^,.ls^«,i- 11 C"^ ili a>
    
            i »K i^|in rLa.i-^i-.Hiri •.«=.»,*ym*,*.* •i,is^i^a J^.Eys ^L" !J >;J'"''" ™S?™'";'f .T?^""f .""* "= ? ^|Sg£^S^t&j?^°3-  *ts"?*'*°" ^ !'^ " ^1.^' = ^'>'' ^' ."i-l"t'^' -^ s"-L.*°1'"™!s'J>s J"-'^".'^fl'^''1 ° f'-JV1-:^';
    
                                                                                                                        |<44 X! ' AM «L ...„-..-.. -.^ >- - r;-,r-^
    
            y«>>.:b¥^^i|SS ^'i^i'iyi'gnS'i'iSgi^rt^ %• •'•iST^'If'^JS 1 ysr» B'>S"'" «' SJB' £'
                                                                          .j,t,Us4sii. tHAH^y i,t« utj-ii= >-";'- ~ --;« - -= X-^^.- .-S.-ss'SS-aaa ~====vv===;
            a «, a ,; H ,a », a, a a j., « Bj^m.K, ,r » m ,a, «J ,|« a; i=_m, ,a ,.M|«, «_,; ,a,'!.«,»..« J JJ» «„_»»,»' |g.; •» '*; «>.|> t™. r '5-
            ; 13                      '>fi^i!| ^ ?«,rr i !Mmmfrm
                                                                          ^ J =.">='-i~a'jC'> iT-s vjr -si' ^.1. = = I-•*''"'51'^'^'^^-'-i7'^"J'-'B-'^5'?i''-L=^'^'?J!l'^'^= ts   =  s ""= •="="=." a'='=V
    
                                                                          ^ f I ajfe^ III £. i^l .H.-H.I! -1 111 1F?2 TTt^l =* ^ ^^ '^'I'^^ll ««£|^r;ir =ty;|i i;
    Figure  2.   GUI  for SEEPAGE analysis.
    

    -------
    Figure 3.  Sampling sites (wells) for water quality data.
                 f  Low
    
    
                  ,  Moderate
    High
    
    
    Very High
                                          ^  Low
    
    
                                          H  Moderate
    High
    
    
    Very High
                                                                   Figure 5.  Ground-water  vulnerability  map  using  SEEPAGE
                                                                            analysis.
                                                                  Table 2.  Comparison of SEEPAGE Results With Observed
                                                                           Nitrate-Nitrogen Concentrations in Wells
    
                                                                                            Nitrate-Nitrogen Levels
    Figure 4.  Ground-water  vulnerability  map  using  DRASTIC    yerv hjqh
              analysis.
    Category
    Low
    Moderate
    High
    Very high
    Table 3.
    Category
    Low
    Moderate
    High
    Very high
    0-5 5-10
    7 2
    1 ,322 76
    249 11
    194 2
    >10
    8
    384
    1
    64
    Comparison of DRASTIC Results With Observed
    Nitrate-Nitrogen Concentrations in Wells
    Nitrate-Nitrogen Levels
    0-5 5-10
    11 2
    541 41
    720 39
    500 9
    
    > 10
    9
    290
    213
    65
    

    -------
    developing most of the data layers required for the
    analyses.  CIS is a useful tool  for integrating  ground-
    water quality models and facilitates testing the models for
    different scenarios.  The GUI helps users easily conduct
    analyses and facilitates changing the weights for subjec-
    tive hydrogeologic settings. DRASTIC and SEEPAGE ap-
    proaches show great potential as screening tools for policy
    decision-making in ground-water management.
    
    Summary
    
    Ground-water pollution from  agricultural management
    systems  is  of wide  concern.  Few  models   address
    ground-water  vulnerability on  a  regional  scale.  The
    DRASTIC and SEEPAGE models are numerical ranking
    models that consider various hydrogeologic settings af-
    fecting the contamination of a  region. The data  required
    for these models are commonly available data, and the
    STATSGO database at 1:250,000-scale was used in this
    study. These models were integrated in the CIS environ-
    ment of GRASS and ARC/INFO in the raster format. A
    menu-based GUI was developed in ARC/INFO for con-
    ducting the analyses. The vulnerability maps generated
    from DRASTIC  and SEEPAGE  analyses were com-
    pared. The statewide vulnerability  maps also were com-
    pared  with the well-water quality data  to  validate the
    accuracy of the models.
    
    References
     1. U.S. EPA. 1990. National pesticide survey: Phase I report. Wash-
       ington, DC.
     2. U.S. EPA. 1992. Another look: National survey of pesticides in
       drinking water wells, Phase II report. EPA/579/09-91/020. Wash-
       ington, DC.
     3. Department of Environmental Management, Groundwater Sec-
       tion. 1989. Indiana ground-water protection: A guide book (June).
    
     4. U.S. EPA. 1987. DRASTIC: A standardized system for evaluating
       ground-water  pollution  potential using  hydrogeologic  settings.
       EPA/600/2-87/035. Washington, DC.
    
     5. U.S. EPA. 1985. DRASTIC: A standardized system for evaluating
       ground-water  pollution  potential using  hydrogeologic  settings.
       EPA/600/2-85/0108. U.S. EPA, Robert S. Kerr Environmental Re-
       search Laboratory, Ada, OK.
    
     6. Deichert, L.A., and  J.M. Hamlet.  1992. Nonpoint ground-water
       pollution potential in Pennsylvania. ASAE Paper No.  922531.
       American Society of Agricultural Engineers International Winter
       Meeting, Nashville, TN.
    
     7. Richert, S.E.,  S.E. Young, and C. Johnson. 1992. SEEPAGE: A
       GIS model for ground-water pollution potential. ASAE Paper No.
       922592. American Society of Agricultural Engineers International
       Winter Meeting, Nashville, TN.
    
     8. Engel, B.A., and D.D. Jones. 1992. Technique for  developing
       ground-water  vulnerability to nitrate maps for large  areas: Re-
       search proposal 12-1992.
    
     9. U.S.  CERL. 1990. GRASS: Geographical Resources  Analysis
       Supporting System  user's manual.  Champaign, IL:  U.S. Army
       Construction Engineers Research Laboratory.
    
    10. SCS. 1992. State Soils Geographic Database (STATSGO) user's
       guide. Soil Conservation Service Publication No. 1492.
    
    11. ESRI. 1992. ARC/INFO command references: Arc command ref-
       erences. Redlands, CA: Environmental Systems Research Institute.
    
    12. ESRI. 1992. ARC/INFO  user's guide: AML user's guide. Red-
       lands, CA: Environmental Systems Research Institute.
    
    13. ESRI. 1992. ARC/INFO user's guide: Cell-based modeling with
       GRID. Redlands, CA: Environmental Systems Research  Institute.
    

    -------
     Using a Geographic Information System for Cost-Effective Reductions
        in Nonpoint Source Pollution: The Case of Conservation Buffers
    
                     Mark S. Landry, Darrell J. Bosch, and Tone M. Nordberg1
    
    Abstract
    Policy and management decisions to control agricultural nonpoint source (NPS) pollution can be
    based on different levels of information about the site-specific pollutant reductions and costs of
    control practices. While targeting practices based on site-specific criteria can reduce NPS
    pollution control costs, the best procedure for implementing targeting must be determined
    empirically. A geographic information system (GIS) can be used to evaluate and implement
    targeting procedures. The objective of this study is to determine the potential to reduce costs of
    controlling phosphorus (P) runoff by using a GIS to target the location of riparian buffer systems
    (RBS) based on full and partial information about site characteristics. Full information assumes
    knowledge of the potential P runoff reduction per dollar of RBS expenditure at each site. Partial
    information assumes knowledge of the animal numbers and animal density on each farm
    adjacent to a stream.
    
    The study area is the Muddy Creek watershed in Rockingham County, Virginia, which is
    dominated by dairy and poultry operations. The watershed has been identified as a high priority
    watershed on the 1998 Virginia 303(d) Total Maximum Daily Loads list. A GIS was used to
    estimate the cost and potential P runoff reduction of each RBS and the animal density and
    animal numbers of each farm containing a potential site for locating a RBS.
    
    Public and private costs of RBS installation and maintenance were included.  Public costs
    include transaction costs and government cost share for RBS installation and maintenance.
    Private costs include the farmer's share of installation and maintenance costs and opportunity
    costs of land removed from production. Phosphorus runoff interception by the RBS was based
    on the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE), which was adapted to account for P runoff. The
    GIS was used to construct dairy, poultry, and beef farms which approximate the actual number
    of farms and livestock in the watershed.
    1 Graduate Research Assistant and Professor, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, and
    Graduate Research Assistant, Department of Biological Systems Engineering, Virginia Polytechnic
    Institute and State University, Blacksburg. The authors express appreciation to Conrad Heatwole for
    research assistance.
    

    -------
    Uniform installation of RBS resulted in a 60% reduction of P runoff at an annualized cost of
    $45,332 or $26 per Ib. Targeting with full information resulted in a 47% reduction in P runoff at
    an annualized cost of $24,535 or $18 per Ib. Although P runoff was 377 Ibs. more per year
    compared to uniform buffer installation, costs per Ib. of P control were reduced by 30%. Total P
    runoff was reduced by 37% when RBS were targeted based on animal density. Costs of
    reductions were $21 per Ib. Targeting based on animal numbers reduced P runoff by 30% at a
    cost of $25 per Ib.
    
    Targeting with the aid of a GIS can increase the cost effectiveness of RBS installation for
    controlling P runoff when full or partial information is available on RBS pollution reduction and
    costs at specific sites. An additional benefit of the GIS is the ability to visualize the locations of
    farms where RBS are located under alternative targeting criteria.
    
    A GIS can be a useful tool for evaluating NPS pollution control options in watersheds. Further
    research is needed on ways to enhance the effectiveness of GIS in supporting NPS pollution
    control decisions.
    
    Introduction
    Over the past several decades, there has been increasing emphasis on the assessment and
    management of nonpoint source (NPS) pollution from agricultural  lands. Agriculture accounts for
    more than 60% of the total NPS pollution of surface water bodies in the United States (U.S.
    EPA). The inherent variability of agricultural NPS pollution is a function of the heterogeneous
    landscape in a watershed, the complex interactions between ecological components, the total
    amount of pollutants, and the spatial distribution of land uses (National Research Council). The
    effectiveness of watershed policy and management decisions to control agricultural NPS
    pollution depend on these site-specific factors.
    
    Potentially costs  of NPS pollution control can be reduced by targeting  sites with low-cost control
    opportunities. Targeting was examined in the early 1980's by the USDA for the purpose of
    allocating limited Soil Conservation Service funding and technical assistance to aid in
    conserving soil resources on highly erodible land in the U.S. (Nielson). A number of studies
    have identified the potential for reducing costs or increasing environmental benefits by  targeting
    policies. Ribaudo (1986; 1989) showed the effects of considering off-site impacts of sediment
    erosion on the priority ranking of watersheds in the U.S. for erosion control efforts. Carpentier,
    

    -------
    Bosch and Batie found that targeting nitrogen (N) runoff reductions to farms with lowest costs
    reduced farm and taxpayer costs by 75 percent compared to the uniform policy. Studies by Fox,
    Umali and Dickinson; Dickinson, Rudra and Wall; and Setia and Magleby found that targeting
    resulted in large reductions in costs of controlling sediment delivery to streams.
    
    The most effective method for targeting sites depends on watershed socioeconomic and
    physical characteristics and type of pollutant to be controlled. A systematic integration of site-
    specific, farm-level physical and economic models is necessary to capture the dynamic
    environmental processes and economic behavior of farmers in association with NPS pollution
    control policy (Antle and Just; Segerson and Wu). Empirical evaluation of targeting strategies
    can be done using a spatial decision  support system (SDSS). Spatial decision support systems
    have been described as "flexible, integrated software for accessing, retrieving, and generating
    reports on database information plus simulation and decision models for conducting alternative
    testing, sensitivity analysis, and automated goal seeking." (Covington, et al.,  pp. 25-26) Spatial
    decision support systems can include programming models, simulation models, data
    manipulation systems as well as a  user interface  (Armstrong and Densham).  The SDSS are
    distinguished by their ease of use and flexibility (Armstrong and Densham; Geoffrion). Examples
    of SDSS developed for evaluating NPS pollution control in agriculture include LOADSS
    (Negahban, et al.), MIKE SHE (Danish Hydraulic Institute), and WAMDSS (CARES).
    
    The most critical component of an effective watershed SDSS is the use of a GIS (Fulcher,
    Prato, and Zhou). A GIS can be defined as the process of acquiring, processing, storing,
    managing, manipulating, and displaying spatial data that are associated with user-specified
    attributes (Aronoff). Interfacing a GIS in a decision support system is a logical approach to
    maximizing the capacity of a watershed assessment tool for targeting BMPs and/or other policy
    constraints (Bosch, Batie,  and Carpentier).
    
    In designing the GIS to evaluate alternative targeting strategies, a key question is what
    variables should be included. Detailed information about costs and effectiveness of control
    practices at each site might provide the most efficient targeting scheme.  However some
    information may be very expensive or unavailable. Perhaps targeting based on partial
    information about costs and effectiveness of control practices can reduce pollution  control costs.
    

    -------
    The objective of this study is to determine the effectiveness of using information from a GIS for
    targeting riparian buffer strips (RBS) for the purpose of reducing total P in runoff from an
    agriculture-intensive watershed. The following three policies for installation of RBS's are
    compared in terms of private costs, public costs, and reductions in P runoff:
    
       1.  Uniform design standard Requiring all farms in the watershed to install a 60-foot wide
           RBS along streams and channels;
    
       2.  Targeted design standard with full information Targeting 60-foot wide RBS on specific
           farms throughout the watershed based on full information about buffer costs and
           pollution interception; and
    
       3.  Targeted design standard with partial information Targeting 60-foot wide RBS on specific
           farms based  on partial information about buffer costs and pollution interception.
    
    Case Application: Targeting Riparian Buffer Strips in Muddy Creek Watershed, Virginia
    StudyArea:The Muddy Creek watershed is located in the Shenandoah Valley, approximately
    10 miles to the west-northwest of Harrisonburg, Virginia in Rockingham County (see Figure 1).
    Muddy Creek flows south to its confluence with Dry River, which discharges into the North River
    then into the Shenandoah River and eventually into the Chesapeake Bay. The Muddy Creek
    watershed is 20,025 acres in size with approximately 100-110 farms. The watershed is listed on
    the 1998 Clean Water Act 303(d) Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) high priority list as an
    impaired water body in terms of fecal bacteria concentration (VA-DEQ, 1998).
    
    About 65% of the farms are predominantly dairy, 30% are beef, and 5% are poultry. Dairy and
    beef operations also have poultry. Beef and dairy manure and poultry litter are typically spread
    on cropland and pastures. Most farms use a seven-year crop rotation, five consecutive years of
    corn/corn silage followed by two years of alfalfa. Corn is often rotated with rye, which is used
    either as a cover crop or harvested as silage. Pasture may be improved or native rangeland.
    Cattle are usually not restricted from surface water sources and most farms do not currently use
    field  or riparian buffers to improve runoff water quality. While a nutrient management plan is
    required on farms with poultry (VA-DEQ, 1999), most farmers without poultry  have  not
    developed a nutrient management plan although a majority  of this group  have manure storage
    facilities.
    

    -------
                Figure 1. Muddy Creek Watershed, Rockingham County, Virginia.
             Muddy Creek Watershed
                Area = 20,025 acres
           /\/ Stream Network
           Farm Enterprise and Land Uses
                Dairy
                Dairy with Poultry
                Beef Cattle
                Beef Cattle with Poultry
                Poultry
                Forest or Residential
    
                  0     1     2  Miles
    Rockingham County,
         Virginia
    Riparian Buffer Strips: Riparian buffer strips (RBS) are areas that are managed to reduce the
    amount of pollution suspended in runoff. A RBS is installed downslope of a point source (e.g.,
    feedlot) or nonpoint source (e.g., cropland) area on which pollution is generated. A RBS
    reduces pollution exiting the site via runoff by promoting infiltration of water and water soluble
    constituents, increasing the adsorption of pollutants onto the vegetation and soil, and increasing
    the absorption of nutrients into plants (Dillaha et al.; Landry and Thurow). The appeal of the
    RBS is that it can be easier and more economical to install and maintain than physical
    

    -------
    structures (Pritchard et al.), can be aesthetically pleasing and can provide a source of income
    as pasture, hay, timber, or wildlife refuge (Purvis et al.; Shabman and Smith).
    
    The USDA launched the National Buffer Initiative in 1997 emphasizing the importance and
    effectiveness of riparian buffers for achieving water quality protection objectives (USDA-NRCS).
    The national goal is to install two million miles (up to seven million acres) of conservation buffers
    by the year 2002. The Buffer Initiative is sponsored by numerous government agencies and
    agricultural producers working together to promote the use of RBS and their eligibility in
    incentives programs such as cost-sharing through the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP).
    
    Policy Scenarios
    Uniform design standard: This policy assumes a 60-foot wide RBS is required along both sides
    of all streams and channels. Farms required to  install RBS's are assumed to take advantage of
    all available government incentives. Two government assistance programs are considered 1)
    the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) (10 year contract, 50% cost-share towards RBS
    establishment,  and a $70/acre annual rental payment) and 2) the Virginia Water Quality
    Improvement Act (VWQIA)  (25% cost-share towards BMP  installation up to $17,500).
    
    Targeted Design Standard - Full Information: Full information is defined as knowing the P runoff
    reduction per dollar of buffer expenditure. Phosphorus runoff reduction was calculated using the
    GIS and was based on soil type, infiltration rate, plant or crop nutrient uptake, manure and/or
    litter application rate,  slope, weather characteristics, and RBS pollutant interception coefficients.
    
    Targeted design standard - partial information: This scenario is used to determine whether
    limited, readily  available information can be used to designate RBS installation sites in a manner
    that approaches the total costs and water quality improvement given full information. We
    targeted 60-foot wide RBS's under two  partial information policy scenarios based on farms
    having the greatest number of cattle (dairy or beef) and by farms with the highest manure
    application rates per acre based on animal density (animal units per acre of land).
    
    Empirical Procedures
    Riparian Buffer Cost Specification: Private and  public costs associated with RBS installation and
    maintenance are illustrated in Table 1. Private costs equal  the annualized sum of opportunity
    costs plus establishment and maintenance costs minus government cost-share (the RBS is
    

    -------
                         Table 1. Costs and returns of riparian buffer strip.3
     Item
    Information or Cost Description
     Life of project (years)
     Vegetation composition
                 10
     Fescue grass and Ladino Clover
    Farmer Costs (present value)
    
    Returns
    Land opportunity costs0
    Seed
    Lime
    Fertilizer
    Labor and Equipmentd
    (a) Total
    Cost-share
    CRP 50% cost-share
    CRP rental payment ($70/ac)
    VWQIA cost-share
    (b) Total
    Net farmer costs (a-b)
    Annualized farmer cost
    Public Costs (present value)
    CRP 50% cost-share
    CRP rental payment ($70/acre)
    VWQIA cost-share
    Net public costs
    Annualized public cost
    Transaction Costse
    Information
    Contracting
    Enforcement
    Annualized transaction cost
    Corn Silage
    ($/acre)
    0
    1,105
    61
    54
    26
    166
    1,412
    
    154
    541
    77
    772
    640
    83
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Hay Land
    ($/acre)
    0
    772
    61
    54
    26
    166
    1,079
    
    154
    541
    77
    772
    307
    40
    f$/acre)
    154
    541
    77
    772
    100
    ($/farm)
    28
    1
    77
    106
    Pasture0
    ($/acre)
    0
    116
    15
    14
    7
    166
    318
    
    101
    541
    51
    693
    -375
    -49
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
     Internal rate of return equals 5%.
    b Fescue grass - Ladino Clover pasture with 25% additional seed, lime, and fertilizer added in buffer.
    c We assumed a relatively high yield for corn silage and hay/pasture based on the likelihood of moderately sloping,
     high productivity soil in the bottomland adjacent to the stream. The land opportunity cost for corn silage was equal to
     the expected yield (16.5 tons/ac) x $25/ton - total variable costs ($254), for hay land was equal to the expected yield
     (3.3 tons/ac) x $70/ton - total variable costs ($131), and for pasture was equal to the expected yield (1.7 tons/ac) x
     $70/ton -total variable cost ($101) (Virginia Cooperative Extension).
    d Taken from  Leeds, Forster, and Brown.
    e Values taken from Carpentier and Bosch estimates for strip cropping. Costs are annualized based on a 5% real
     interest rate.
    unharvested and produces no revenue). Land opportunity costs represent the income given up
    when land is taken out of production and used for buffers. These costs varied based on soil
    productivity and land use.  Cropland was used in corn silage production; hay land was used for
    orchard grass or timothy grass; and pasture was used for Fescue grass-Ladino clover pasture.
    For example, the income given up from corn silage minus variable costs of production is $254
    per year (see footnote to Table 1). The present value of corn silage income given  up over a 10-
    

    -------
    year period is $1,105. After adding other buffer installation costs, the present value of total
    buffer costs is $1,412. Federal and state cost-share and rental payments are subtracted leaving
    a net present value of $640, or $83 on an annualized basis.
    
    Public costs include federal and state cost share and rental payments as well as transaction
    costs. The present value of public cost share plus rental payments for a 10-year period is $772
    or $100 on an annualized basis. Transaction costs include the costs of informing farmers about
    buffer requirements, contracting with farmers to install buffers, and enforcement to insure that
    buffers are installed and maintained. Annualized transaction costs are $106 per farm.
    
    NFS/Water Quality Modef. The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) was used to determine the
    average annual soil loss. Average annual manure applied to the field was used to find the
    available N and P in the soil. Enrichment ratios were used to calculate the N and P
    concentrations in the runoff that reached surface waters.
    
    ArcView was used to do the GIS modeling, with a USGS DEM, soils map, landuse and streams
    as input themes. The sinkholes of the DEM were filled and a slope grid and flow direction grid
    for the watershed were derived from the filled DEM. The slope of each field polygon from the
    landuse theme was found by summarizing the landuse by each field polygon with respect to the
    slope grid, hence an average slope for each field was created. The length factor was found
    based on the assumption that each polygon was a square, the perimeter was calculated and
    then divided by four equal sides. This simplification resulted in some fields exceeding the max
    length of  100 m proposed for the use of the USLE (Novotny and Olem). Then the slope-length
    factor of the USLE equation was calculated from equation (1) below (Novotny and Olem), where
    L equals length in meters and S equals slope as a decimal fraction.
                                                                                      (1)
    The cropping management factor, C, and the erosion-control practice factor, P, were selected
    for each landuse from Novotny and Olem, Gupta, and Schwab et al. For the rainfall energy
    factor, R, a value of 175 was taken from Novotny and Olem. The soil erodibility factor, K, was
    found for each soil in the Rockingham County Soil Survey (USDA-SCS), an average value for K
    was used if different values were listed for different soil depths.
    

    -------
    The amount of the eroded soil calculated with the USLE that would actually leave each field and
    reach surface waters was based on a sediment delivery ratio of 30% (Novotny and Olem). It
    was assumed that the only N and P available in the soil came from the manure applied to the
    fields. The concentration of sediment-bound P in the soil (fraction of a gram P/ gram soil) was
    based on the assumption of a 1.3 kg/m3 bulk density for the soil and a 5 cm depth of interaction
    assumed for the surface applied manure. The sediment bound P loss was then calculated with
    an enrichment ratio of 1.6 (Edwards et al.). The available N in manure was assumed to be in
    organic form, with 83.3% TKN (Edwards et al.). The concentration of N in sediment was
    calculated in the same manner as was done for P. The enrichment ratio of N was assumed to
    be equal to the organic enrichment ratio, equation (2) (Novotny and Olem). The organic matter
    of the soils was assumed to be an average of 2.5 % for the watershed.
    
                               ERor = -	—	r +1.08                           ,~
                                     (% organic matter)                                 \ >
    
    The runoff from each field was not routed through the watershed and attenuation of nutrients in
    stream was not considered. The reductions of N and P loadings by the buffers were assumed to
    be constant and not to change by field location with respect to the streams. This is a
    simplification,  since the buffers would have a greater impact for fields located closer to the
    streams. Possible reductions in the long term effectiveness of buffers were not  considered in the
    study.
    
    The pollutant delivery calculations assumed all manure and litter were land applied on the
    producing farm and commercial fertilizer was applied at a rate that was equal to 70% of crop
    removal. Commercial fertilizer application rates were set at levels needed to make total nutrient
    applications (manure plus commercial fertilizer) result in excess nutrient availability at levels
    approaching mean values observed by Bosch et al. These  commercial fertilizer rates may
    overstate excess nutrients given recent nutrient management planning efforts in the area.
    
    Data in Table  2 were used to calculate N and P application rates assuming 70% of the N and
    100% of the P are available to plants based on annual land application of all manure and litter
    produced. For example, an acre of corn silage on high productivity soil removes 217 Ibs. of N
    and 82 Ibs. of P annually. The N and P application rates are based on the amount of manure
    and litter produced as a function of animal density and the  nutrient content. Manure and litter
    

    -------
    are applied to meet 30% of the vegetation requirements and excess N and P are available for
    
    export via runoff and leaching.
    
    
    
                      Table 2. Dry weight manure and litter nutrient content.3
    
    
                                   Unit       Percent    Dry Weight    Organic          P
                               	Moisture	N^	
                                             — /o —     — IDS. —        	IDS./Unll	
    
     Dairy/Beef Cattle Manure         1,000 gal      94.5         457         12.3           5.3
    
     Poultry Litter                    ton        66.2        1,323         49.0          27.8
    
    a Source: Pease, Parsons, and Kenyon.
    b Inorganic N content of manure was rv
    75%) when manure is unincorporated as was assumed in this study.
    b Inorganic N content of manure was not considered. Inorganic N is subject to heavy volatilization losses (25 to
    Table 3 indicates the average expected NPS pollution reductions for the 60-foot wide RBS
    based on typical soil characteristics (silty loam), vegetation composition (Fescue grass and
    Ladino clover), and management activities (no harvesting) for the buffers in the watershed.
        Table 3. Pollutant trapping reductions (%) used for a 60-foot riparian buffer strip in
                     Muddy Creek Watershed, Rockingham County, Virginia.
    Constituent
    Total Suspended Solidsb (TSS)
    Total Phosphorus (TP)
    Total Kjeldahl Nitrogen (TKN)
    Percent Pollutant Reductions
    1-5% 5-10%
    80 65
    60 50
    55 40
    (% slope)3
    10-20%
    50
    40
    25
     Average percent slope of the original field or installed riparian buffer adjacent to the stream.
    b Constituent used to measure sediment delivery.
    CIS: A GIS was built for the study area with ArcView (ESRI) using data from federal and state
    agencies (see Table 4). Soil productivity and potential corn, hay, and pasture yields were based
    on the Virginia Agronomic Land Use Evaluation System (VALUES) (Simpson et al.).
                                                10
    

    -------
                Table 4. Data included in the GIS for the Muddy Creek watershed.
     Data Type
    Data Source
     Digital elevation map (DEM)
     Road network
     Soil data
    
     Stream network
    
     Land use, land use proportions
    
     Streamflow data, nutrient monitoring data
    
     Weather data
    
     Watershed size
    U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
    U.S. Census Bureau - Tiger Files
    U.S. Department of Agriculture - Natural Resources
    Conservation Service (NRCS)
    
    NRCS, stream network delineator extension
    developed for ArcView GIS
    Virginia Department of Conservation and Recreation
    (OCR)
    United States Geological Service (USGS)
    
    Virginia State Climatology Office
    
    Virginia Hydrologic Unit Atlas (NRCS)
    Farm-scale information was necessary to determine animal numbers, manure application rates,
    and numbers of acres eligible for buffers on each farm. Farm boundaries were unavailable,
    therefore, a field clustering routine developed in the GIS was used to allocate 71 diaries and 36
    beef cattle farms based on criteria representative of the area (Schroeder; VA-DEQ, 1999;
    Parsons; US-Dept. of Commerce). Fields were assigned to farms based on the Thiessen
    method according to proximity and greatest area within polygons formed around the nearest
    point representing central farm  nodes.
    
    Farm enterprises consisting of three sizes of dairies (60, 100, and 150 cows) and three sizes of
    beef cattle operations (40, 70, and 150 cows) were distributed across the watershed according
    to farm size. For example, the smallest dairies were assigned 60 cows, medium sized dairies
    were assigned 100 cows, and the largest dairies were assigned 150 cows. The locations of
    broiler and turkey houses were included in the land use GIS data coverage, thus farms which
    included these structures were  assigned 25,000 broilers per house or 16,000 turkeys per house,
    accordingly.  The aggregate number of animals on the farms generated using the GIS
                                               11
    

    -------
    approached the total number of animals in the watershed: 6,533 dairy cows; 3,134 beef cows;
    500,000 broilers; and 350,000 turkeys (Schroeder; VA-DEQ, 1999).
    
    Targeting RBS based on full information assumes that NPS pollution reduction is maximized for
    a given sum of costs (public and private). The full information targeted buffers scenario limited
    the amount of stream miles that could be buffered to one-half the distance considered in the
    uniform design policy. The farms adjacent to streams and channels were ranked according to
    those having fields which resulted in the highest P reductions per dollar of cost. Fields ranked in
    the top half of all fields in pounds of P reduction per dollar of cost were targeted for buffer
    installation. Costs include cash and non-cash costs, where the cash costs equal the government
    outlays for transaction costs and cost-share and farmers' outlays for buffer establishment. The
    non-cash costs are the farmers' opportunity costs for the land idled by the buffer.
    
    Under the partial information scenario based on animal number, the farms were ranked
    according to the number of cows per farm. Farms with equal numbers of cows were ranked
    based on numbers of broilers or turkeys. The second  partial information policy scenario required
    farm size to determine animal density in acres.  With this added information, we calculated N
    and P application rates/acre based on the nutrient content of the manure and/or litter produced
    and ranked the farms accordingly. For both partial information scenarios all other data were
    considered unknown, including potential yields  on lands used for buffers, RBS costs, public
    costs, and the NPS pollutant interception rates  of the  buffers. The RBS's were allocated across
    the watershed until 50% of the potential stream miles were buffered.
    
    Results
    Analysis using the GIS indicated that 69 farms  were subject to the RBS policies based on
    stream proximity. Baseline annual pollutant loadings from fields adjacent to streams and
    channels for sediment; phosphorus; and nitrogen were 23,059 tons; 2,900 Ibs.; and 1,653 Ibs.;
    respectively. Approximately 279 acres of buffers were installed under the uniform design
    standard. Nineteen of the 32 stream-miles were considered eligible for RBS installation. The
    remainder were ineligible based on adjacent land uses such as forestland, farmsteads, and
    residences  which do not support animal production. Table 5 illustrates variation in policy
    effectiveness  across the four policy scenarios under analysis.
                                              12
    

    -------
     Table 5. Costs and effectiveness of riparian buffer strips in alternative policy scenarios.
    Policy Scenario
    Uniform
    Targeted:
    Full Information
    Targeted:
    Animal Number
    Targeted:
    Animal Density
    Phosphorus
    Reduction3
    (Ibs.)
    1,740(60%)
    1,363(47%)
    870 (30%)
    1,073(37%)
    Private
    Costs
    ($)
    10,098
    4,724
    4,419
    5,014
    Public
    Costs
    ($)
    35,234
    19,811
    17,279
    17,799
    Average
    Cost
    ($/lb.)
    26
    18
    25
    21
    Number
    of
    Farms
    69
    55
    36
    30
    a Number in parentheses represent the percent reduction compared to the baseline. The baseline had 2,900 Ibs. of
     phosphorus runoff.
    Figure 2 compares the various NPS pollution control policies based on the targeting criteria
    used. The fields affected by each policy vary. The spatial impacts, which are displayed using the
    GIS, illustrate the distribution and relative effectiveness of each policy scenario.
    
    The uniform design standard achieved a 60% reduction in P runoff (1,740 Ibs.) at a total (public
    and private) annualized cost of $45,332 or $26 per Ib. The levels of NPS pollutant reductions
    under the uniform design are consistent with the expected reductions for the 60-foot wide RBS.
    Requiring all eligible stream miles to be buffered implies that all 69 farms along the streams are
    affected by the policy.
    
    Full information RBS targeting on 50% of the eligible stream miles affected 55 farms, which had
    at least one field bordering the stream requiring a  buffer. Total (public and private) annualized
    costs were $24,535. Total P runoff reduction was 47% of the baseline (1,363 Ibs.) or $18 per Ib.
    The average cost per pound of P interception was reduced by 30% although total P interception
    was 377 Ibs. less under this scenario.
                                                13
    

    -------
    Figure 2. Fields Affected by Targeting Criteria Associated with Each Policy Scenario.
      Uniform Design Standard
                           Targeted Design Standard:
                           Full Information
      Targeted Design Standard:
      Partial Information (Animal Number)
                           Targeted Design Standard:
                           Partial Information (Animal Density)
                          Number of Cows
    
                               100
                               150
    
                               Stream NetwDrk
              0
    2  Miles
                                          14
    

    -------
    Targeting based on animal numbers and animal density removed less P than full information.
    Total P interception was 37% (1,073 Ibs.) for animal density targeting and 30% (870 Ibs.) for
    animal number targeting. Total costs were $22,813 for animal density targeting ($21 per Ib.) and
    $21,698 for animal number targeting ($25 per Ib.). The number of farms affected was 30 for
    animal numbers targeting and 36 for animal density targeting. Partial information resulted in less
    efficient targeting than full information in terms of average cost per pound of P reduction,  but
    was more efficient than a uniform standard. The partial information targeting scenarios suggest
    that average pollution control costs can be reduced by targeting control measures using basic
    information about farms' pollution potential.
    
    Summary and Conclusions
    The public is increasingly concerned to reduce NPS pollution. Given public ambivalence about
    increasing taxes or regulations, it is important that pollution control costs be lowered. Cost
    reduction will require that effective policies be designed both in terms of the type of policy
    instrument used and how the instrument is targeted. Policy selection and targeting can be
    enhanced by considering fixed spatial attributes of farms that affect their pollution potential and
    their costs of controlling pollution. A GIS can be  used  to assist in identifying and targeting farms
    with high potential for reducing pollution at low cost.
    
    A case analysis of Muddy Creek watershed in Virginia demonstrates the potential use of GIS to
    assist in determining the costs and pollution reduction from installing RBS's within the
    watershed.  The case study results suggest that using a GIS to target RBS's based on full or
    partial information about pollution control costs can be an effective tool for reducing pollution
    control costs. Targeting pollution control measures might be politically  difficult due to farmers'
    concerns with fairness. One way to overcome this concern would be for governments to
    compensate farmers for all buffer installation and opportunity costs.
    
    Because of their user accessibility, GIS and SDSS are likely to increase in importance for
    evaluating and implementing water quality protection  policies. For example, they can be used to
    assess plans for achieving TMDLs in watersheds with impaired waters (U.S. EPA). Continued
    development of SDSS capabilities will be needed to expand their usefulness. The appropriate
    spatial resolution of the watershed which balances design and implementation costs with
    accuracy may change depending on watershed  physical and economic conditions and the
                                              15
    

    -------
    objectives of the users. How can SDSS's be designed to operate at multiple scales of resolution
    from very large watersheds (e.g. Chesapeake Bay drainage) to small local watersheds?
    
    The physical and economic variables that are most influential in determining NPS pollution
    responses to changing policy and economic conditions should be identified. While these
    variables are likely to change depending on the type of problem being addressed (e.g. pesticide
    pollution vs. nutrient pollution) and the type of agricultural watershed, further research could
    identify some general relationships. For example, what is the relative importance of farmers'
    knowledge, attitudes, and goals compared to the fixed physical characteristics of their land in
    determining potential pollution? While farmers' attitudes and knowledge are often unknown to
    the researcher and subject to rapid change, a better understanding of their importance would
    help analysts better characterize the uncertainty from the SDSS.
    
    Output from complex decision support models are subject to errors due to inherent randomness
    in the processes being simulated, errors and gaps in input data, and uncertainty about the
    relationships being modeled (Suter and Barnthouse). How can uncertainty be incorporated into
    the SDSS and communicated to users? Research is needed to extend the capability of SDSS to
    handle changes over time. This capability would facilitate tracing firms in space and time as they
    respond to economic trends, policy changes, or other exogenous shocks. For example, what
    are the watershed implications of continued expansion of intensive livestock industries?
    Similarly, SDSS need better capability to model physical changes (e.g. pollution) overtime.
    Further development of dynamic capabilities within SDSS would allow them to be used for inter-
    temporal optimization decisions.
    
    More study is needed of the most likely  users of SDSS for NPS pollution control. What are the
    decisions they make and what types of information do they need to help make those decisions?
    Better knowledge of user needs can guide data collection strategies,  enhance SDSS design,
    and show where further knowledge of underlying socioeconomic behavior and physical
    processes is needed.
                                              16
    

    -------
    References
    
    Antle, J.M. and R.E. Just. "Conceptual and Empirical Foundations for Agricultural-Environmental
         Policy Analysis." Journal of Environmental Quality 21 (July-September 1992):307-316.
    
    Armstrong, M.P. and P.J. Densham. "Database Organization Strategies for Spatial Decision
         Support Systems." International Journal of Geographic Information Systems 4(1990):3-20.
    
    Aronoff, S. Geographic Information Systems: A Management Perspective. Ottawa, Ontario:
         WDL Publications,  1995.
    
    Bosch, D. J., J. W. Pease, S. S. Batie, and V. O. Shanholtz. "Crop Selection, Tillage Practices,
         and Chemical and Nutrient Applications in Two Regions of the Chesapeake Bay
         Watershed." Bulletin VPI-VWRRC-BULL 176. Virginia Water Resources Research Center,
         Virginia  Polytechnic Institute and State University, 1992.
    
    Bosch, D.J., S.S. Batie, and L.C. Carpentier. "The Value of Information for Targeting Water
         Quality Protection Programs within Watersheds." In Economics of Nutrient Management
         Policy: Proceedings of a Regional Workshop. (P.E. Morris and L.L. Danielson (eds.)),
         SRIEG-10 No. 32, Southern Development Center No. 180, Mississippi State University,
         Mississippi State, Mississippi. March  1994. pp. 93-106.
    
    Carpentier, C. L, and D. J. Bosch. "Regulatory Alternatives to Reduce Nitrogen Runoff: Case
         Study of Lower Susquehanna Dairy Farms." Department of Agricultural and Applied
         Economics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University. Invited paper, Conference
         on Flexible Incentives for the Adoption of Environmental Technologies in Agriculture, June
         8-10, 1997. Gainesville, Florida.
    
    Carpentier, C.L., D.J. Bosch, and S.S. Batie. "Using Spatial Information to Reduce Costs of
         Controlling Agricultural Nonpoint Source Pollution." Agricultural and Resource Economics
         Review20 (April 1998): 72-84.
                                              17
    

    -------
    Center for Agricultural, Resource, and Environmental Systems (CARES). "Projects: Watershed
         Management Decision Support System (WAMADSS)."
         http://www.cares.missouri.edu/cares/projects/WM.html. University of Missouri - Columbia,
         June 1997.
    
    Covington, W.W., D.B. Wood, D.L. Young, DP. Dykstra, and L.D. Garrett. "TEAMS: A Decision
         Support System for Multiresource Management." Journal of Forestry 86 (1988): 25-33.
    
    Danish Hydraulic Institute. "MIKE SHE: An Integrated Hydroligical Modeling System."
        http://www.dhi.dk/mikeshe/index.htm . 1999.
    
    Dickinson, W. T., R. P. Rudra, and G. J. Wall. "Targeting Remedial Measures to Control
        Nonpoint Source Pollution." Water Resources Bulletin 26, no. 3(1990): 499-507.
    
    Dillaha, T.A., R.B. Reneau, S. Mostaghimi, and D. Lee. "Vegetative Filter Strips for Agricultural
         Nonpoint Source Pollution Control." Transactions of the ASAE32, no. 2 (1989):513-519.
    
    Edwards, D.R., C.T. Haan, A.M. Sharpley, J.F. Murdoch, T.C. Daniel, P.A. Moore Jr.
         "Application of Simplified Phosphorus Transport Models to Pasture Fields in Northwest
         Arkansas." Transactions of ASAE39, no. 2(1996): 489-496.
    
    Environmental Systems  Research Institute, Inc. (ESRI). Using Arcview CIS. Redlands,
         California: ESRI, 1996.
    
    Fox, G., G. Umali, and T. Dickinson. "An Economic Analysis of Targeting Soil Conservation
         Measures with Respect to Off-Site Water Quality." Canadian Journal of Agricultural
         Econom/cs43(1995): 105-118.
    
    Fulcher, C., T. Prato, and Y. Zhou. "Watershed Management Decision Support System."
         Unpublished Working Paper, Center of Agricultural, Resource and  Environmental
         Systems. University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, 1998.
    
    Geoffrion, A. M. "Can OR/MS Evolve Fast Enough." Interfaces 13(1983): 10.
                                             18
    

    -------
    Gupta, R. S. Hydrology and Hydraulics Systems. New Jersey: Prentice Hall,  1989.
    
    Landry, M.S. and T.L. Thurow. Function and Design of Vegetation Filter Strips: An Annotated
        Bibliography. Bulletin No. 97-1, Texas State Soil and Water Conservation Board, Temple,
        Texas, 1997.
    
    Leeds, R., D.L. Foster, and L.C. Brown. "Ohio State University Extension Factsheet- Vegetative
         Filter Strips: Economics." http://ohio-state.edu/aex-fact/468.html. Agricultural Engineering
         Department, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, 1994.
    
    National Research Council. Soil and Water Quality: An Agenda For Agriculture. Edited by J.
         Overton. Washington  D.C.: National Academy Press, 1993.
    
    Negahban, B., C. Fonyo, W. G. Boggess, J. W. Jones, K. L. Campbell, G. Kiker, E. Flaig, and H.
         Lai. "LOADSS: A GIS-based Decision Support System for Regional Environmental
         Planning." Ecological Engineering5(1995): 391-404.
    
    Nielson, J. "Conservation Targeting: Success or Failure?" Journal of Soil and Water
         Conservation41 (March-April 1986): 70-76.
    
    Novotny, V.,H. Olem. Water Quality: Prevention Identification and Management of Diffuse
         Pollution. New York, New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold,  1994.
    
    Parsons, R. L. "Financial Costs and Economic Tradeoffs of Alternative Manure Management
        Policies on Dairy and Dairy/Poultry Farms in Rockingham County, Virginia." Ph.D., thesis.
        Virginia Polytechnic  Institute and State University, 1995.
    
    Pease, J.,  R. Parsons, and  D. Kenyon. "Economic and Environmental Impacts of Nutrient Loss
        Reductions on Dairy and Dairy/Poultry Farms." REAP Bulletin 448-231. Virginia  Polytechnic
        Institute and State University, 1998.
    
    Pritchard, T.W.,  J.G. Lee, and B.A. Engel. Reducing Agricultural Sediment: An Economic
        Analysis of Filter Strips Versus Micro-Targeting.  Water Science Technology 28,  nos. 3-
        5(1993): 561-568.
                                              19
    

    -------
    Purvis, A., J.P. Hoehn, V.L. Sorenson, and F.J. Pierce. "Farmers' Response to a Filter Strip
        Program: Results from a Contingent Valuation Survey." Journal of Soil and Water
        Conservation 44, no. 5(1989): 501-503.
    
    Ribaudo, M. O. "Consideration of Offsite Impacts in Targeting Soil Conservation Programs."
        Land Economics 62, no. 4(1986): 402-411.
    
    Ribaudo, M. O. "Targeting the Conservation Reserve Control Program to Maximize Water
        Quality Benefits." Land Economics 65, no. 4(1989): 320-332.
    
    Schwab, G.O., D.D. Fangmeier, W.J. Elliot, R.K. Frevert.  Soil and Water Conservation
        Engineering. New York, New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.,  1993.
    
    Setia, P., and R. Magleby. "Economic Efficiency of Targeting Agricultural Nonpoint Pollution
        Controls." Economic Research Service, U.S. D. A. Selected Paper,  Northeastern
        Agricultural and Resource Economics Association Annual Meeting,  June 20-22 1988.
        Orono, Maine.
    
    Schroeder, Phil. 1999. Personal communication. County Agent, Virginia  Cooperative Extension
        Service, Harrisonburg, Virginia.
    
    Shabman, L. and C. Smith. Assessing Landowner Level Costs for Riparian Forest Buffer
         System Adoption in Virginia's Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Report prepared for the U.S.
         Forest Service, Annapolis, Maryland, 1998. 76 pp.
    
    Simpson, T.W., S.J. Donohue, G.W. Hawkins, M.M. Monnett, and J.C. Baker. "The
         Development and Implementation of the Virginia Agronomic Land Use Evaluation System
         (VALUES)" Department of Crop and Soil Environmental Sciences, Virginia Tech,
         Blacksburg, Virginia, 1992.
    
    Suter, G. W., and L. Barnthouse. "Assessment Concepts." In Ecological Risk Assessment. G.
         W. Suter, ed. pp. 21-47. Boca Raton, Florida: Lewis Publishers, 1993.
                                             20
    

    -------
    U.S. Dept. of Agriculture - Natural Resources Conservation Service (USDA-NRCS). "Buffer
        Strips: Common Sense Conservation." http://www.nhq.usda.gov/CCS/Buffers.html.  1997.
    
    U.S. Dept. of Agriculture - Soil Conservation Service (USDA-SCS). Soil Survey of Rockingham
        County. Washington, D.C., 1982.
    
    U.S. Dept. of Commerce. 1992 Census of Agriculture, Part 46,  Virginia State and County Data.
         Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C., 1994.
    
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA). "Guidance for Water Quality-Based
         Decisions:  The TMDL Process." http://www.epa.goV/OWOW/tmdl/c/ec/s/ons/cyec7c./7f/77/.
         April, 1991. Assessment and Watershed Protection Division, U.S. Environmental
         Protection  Agency. Accessed: February 24 1999.
    
    Virginia Department of Environmental Quality (VA-DEQ). Virginia 303(d) Total Maximum Daily
         Load Priority List Report. Richmond, Virginia, May 1998.
    
    Virginia Department of Environmental Quality (VA-DEQ). Draft Fecal Conform TMDL
         Development for Muddy Creek, Virginia.  Richmond, Virginia, May 1999.
    
    Wu, J. and K. Segerson. "On the Use of Aggregate Data to Evaluate Groundwater Protection
         Policies." Water Resources Bulletin ^\^S:  1773-1780.
                                             21
    

    -------
           Merging Transportation and Environmental Planning Using
                       Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
    
                 Elizabeth Lanzer, Washington State Department of Transportation
    
    Abstract
    The Washington State Department of Transportation annually plans over 400 highway
    construction projects ranging from repaying efforts to developing entirely new roads. The
    challenge brought to the Environmental Affairs Office at WSDOT is how to effectively and
    consistently make use of existing Geographic Information System (GIS) information in the
    transportation planning process. This paper describes the development of two GIS efforts that
    examine environmental data in relationship to highway construction projects.
    
    The two examples in this paper describe how WSDOT is actively incorporating GIS as a tool for
    environmental assessments. The first example, Environmental GIS Workbench (Workbench), is
    an application that was developed to provide  new GIS users with easy access to existing
    environmental data. The application shows environmental and transportation data on  screen for
    visual examination by the users. The second  example, Environmental Screening (Screening), is
    a GIS product that offers additional analysis.  Highway projects are evaluated for proximity to
    environmental information (e.g. wetlands, rivers, etc.) and then ranked high, medium, low or
    none according to potential environmental impacts.
    
    One of the challenges of both efforts is the complexity and volume of environmental data. Data
    sources range from  private, local, state and federal sources. Many of which differed in format,
    scale, projection,  data quality, documentation and maintenance requirements. The GIS
    products both utilized the same data, however the level of analysis done by the GIS products
    were different.
    
    Introduction
    The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) is responsible for  efficiently
    building, maintaining, operating and promoting safe and coordinated transportation systems to
    serve the public1. These transportation systems include highways, ferries, railroads, airports
    and selected river systems that link people, freight and locations across the state.  The highway
    system is the largest of these with over 7,000 miles of state roads. WSDOT annually plans over
    

    -------
    400 highway construction projects. For the purposes of this paper, references to "projects"
    should be interpreted as highway construction projects ranging from re-paving to developing
    entirely new roadways. Unfortunately, environmental requirements are not always optimally
    considered. However, recent mandates, such as the listing of many salmonid species under the
    Endangered Species Act, have created a paradigm shift within WSDOT that emphasizes
    consideration of environmental factors and created the opportunity for these GIS efforts.
    
    The challenge brought to the Environmental Affairs Office at WSDOT is how to effectively and
    consistently make use  of existing Geographic Information System (GIS) information in the
    transportation planning process. Traditional environmental reports are generated through the
    labor intensive process of obtaining maps, data or reports from government entities and then
    reviewing that information on a project by project basis. This process is time consuming and
    inefficient when trying to meet deadlines. Limitations of comparing paper maps against each
    other, repetition of data collection and information inaccessibility hinder the environmental
    review of highway projects. GIS, on the other hand, integrates software, hardware, data and
    people allowing more efficient environmental assessments.
    
    The two examples in this paper describe how WSDOT is actively incorporating GIS as a tool for
    environmental assessments. The first example, Environmental GIS Workbench (Workbench), is
    an application that was developed to provide users with easy access to environmental data, but
    provides relatively little analysis. The application shows environmental and transportation data
    on screen for visual examination by the users. The second example, Environmental Screening
    (Screening), offers additional analysis. Highway projects are evaluated for proximity to
    environmental information (e.g. wetlands, rivers, etc.) and then ranked high, medium, low or
    none according to potential environmental impact.
    
    Background
    The Washington State Department of Transportation's (WSDOT) agency standard GIS
    software is ArcView 3.1 (NT) and ARC/INFO 7.2.1 (NT and UNIX) from ESRI (Redlands, CA).
    The Department has approximately ten ARC/INFO licenses and over 150 ArcView licenses
    statewide. Training and support is provided for GIS users through the WSDOT GIS Support
    Team which includes GIS professionals from throughout the department.
    

    -------
    Agency available GIS data (vector and imagery) is stored on a central GIS server. Vector data
    is stored in geographic projection, decimal degrees, spheroid GRS80 and datum NAD83.
    Imagery data is generally stored as delivered by the source agency (e.g. stateplane south,
    NAD27, feet). All GIS data that is stored on the central server has Federal Geographic Data
    Committee (FGDC) standard metadata reports in  both plain text and HTML (web page) format.
    
    GIS data is administered centrally, but managed by a distributed group of business specialists
    called data stewards. A typical data steward is a GIS or technology specialist housed within a
    specific functional office within the agency. Working with their colleagues, they determine data
    requirements and standards to meet the needs of their function within the agency. As data
    meeting these  needs are gathered or created, the data steward posts the data with the agency
    GIS data administrator and defines rules for accessing and updating the data they are
    responsible for.
    
    GIS data that is available on the server is either generated  internally in WSDOT or obtained
    from external data sources. WSDOT creates and  maintains a dynamically segmented state
    highway model and a vast amount of associated tabular data. These tabular records are
    mapped within the GIS linear highway model as events. Event data are placed on the GIS
    system using milepost information.  For example, construction projects can be located on the
    GIS coverage by knowing  the state route number, beginning and ending mileposts. Milepost
    information is collected for environmental data such as fish passage barriers and deer kill
    locations. Partnerships have also been formed with the Washington Department of Health to
    create GIS coverages on drinking water wells.
    
    A significant amount of WSDOT's environmental data is obtained from public and private
    sources. The information is formatted for use on WSDOT's systems and placed on the central
    GIS server when appropriate (See Attachment A). In some cases, data sharing agreements
    with other agencies are necessary to obtain  the information, particularly when the data is
    considered sensitive (e.g.  certain wildlife habitats). Data collected from outside sources are
    updated on an established basis (in some cases, every six months and in other cases every two
    to three years) so that reasonably current data is available to the WSDOT GIS user community
    at WSDOT. This  data forms the foundation upon which WSDOT GIS products and analysis are
    based.
    

    -------
    Environmental GIS Workbench Application (Workbench)
    The Environmental GIS Workbench Application (Workbench) is a desktop GIS application that
    provides easy access to existing environmental  data and environmental data processing tools
    needed in the development of environmental reviews for highway projects planned for
    construction within two years. This application includes a convenient method for accessing data
    by subject and location in order to analyze the data, and a means of capturing the results for
    documentation. The application is programmed  using Avenue programming language and
    incorporated into an ArcView extension. The intention is to reduce the amount of training and
    the learning curve presently needed for new users to access the existing data thereby
    improving the efficiency and the quality of the review process.2 The Environmental Review
    Summary form provides environmental documentation regarding air quality, fish habitat,
    wetlands, water quality and other environmental factors (See Attachment B). Data for the
    application are imported from various Washington State Department of Transportation
    application systems, or obtained from other agencies where appropriate.
    
    Prior to developing the Workbench application, the environmental review forms took
    approximately two to eight hours to complete. Most of that time was spent gathering the
    necessary maps and documents. Much of that information was already available on the
    WSDOT GIS server, but was not easy to access or query. The Workbench utilizes GIS
    technology to create layers of maps that display available environmental data (See Attachment
    A).
    
    A steering committee  was convened to guide  the application development process. This group
    defined the  budget and general expectations of the product as well as provided the conduit for
    management and policy support. A smaller workgroup was also formed to define the specific
    data and  tool requirements. The Environmental  Review Summary form that is completed for all
    projects provided the foundation for determining the questions the Workbench would be
    expected to answer. The workgroup identified which existing data was  appropriate to
    incorporate and created a list describing new  data to be obtained. There were several datasets
    that were identified as critical but not currently available at WSDOT. The top seven were
    prioritized, obtained and added to the application.
    
    Most of the  environmental data included in the Workbench have statewide coverage, but there
    are occasional county specific coverages. County specific coverages are included in the
    

    -------
    Workbench, but are clearly labeled as such to prevent confusion. Whenever possible, the
    coverages for the application are saved as shapefiles to improve application speed. The scale
    of the included data varies from 1:24,000 to 1:500,000. All data that is accessible through the
    Workbench has accompanying Federal Geographic Data Committee (FGDC) compliant
    metadata created by WSDOT in HTML format. Usually, the data source supplies metadata files.
    These files are hotlinked to the WSDOT HTML metadata reports. The WSDOT HTML metadata
    reports are accessible through a tool in the Workbench. By providing the users with metadata,
    the environmental specialists utilizing the Workbench are able to make decisions about whether
    a particular data set is appropriate to answer their questions.
    
    Training users is an essential  part of success for the Workbench. Training is structured as a
    half day session on ArcView and the Workbench extension. The second half of the day is
    devoted to discussions on data quality, what assumptions can or cannot be made and how to
    understand and use the metadata. GIS data usually looks different than the maps and reports
    the specialists are accustomed to seeing, so this also provides an opportunity to introduce them
    to how to use GIS data and how to query it.
    
    Maintenance of the Workbench is important so that users trust the application to have
    reasonably current data. Data that is already programmed into the Workbench are updated
    seamlessly by using the same coverage/shapefile naming conventions. Additional programming
    is required when adding entirely new data to the application. The Workbench is scheduled for
    deployment in July of 1999. Beta testing is complete and so far the feedback is positive. A
    feedback database is being maintained to consolidate comments from users and use these
    comments to make future improvements in the Workbench. Future versions are anticipated with
    the first comprehensive review of the application tentatively scheduled for Spring 2000.
    
    Environmental Screening (Screening)
    Environmental Screening was developed to evaluate highway construction projects for proximity
    to environmental information (e.g. wetlands, rivers, etc.) and then ranked high, medium, low or
    none according to potential environmental impact. This environmental flagging will be included
    in the long term planning  and  budgeting for the project.
    

    -------
          Figure 1. Example Interface of the Washington Department of Transportation's
                            Environmental GIS Workbench Application.
             Yjew  Iherne  Eraphics Window Help
                                                                       ADD ENVIRONMENTAL DATA
                                                                         Air Quality
                                                           C Drive Setup
                                                           (~ Add Base Map
      Groundwater (Aquifers, Wells)
      Habitat
    <~ Wetlands (NWI)
      Flood Plains (FEMA)
      Major Public Lands
                                                           C Locate Proiect
                                                            Buffer
                                                            Print Map
                                                           r Metadata
                                                            SRVie™
                                                           C Archive Project
                                                            ;Fro[Sctionj
                                                            Delete Themes
       Cultural, Tribal Lands
       Parks, Forest/Timber
      Hazardous Waste
    <~ River/Stream
    C Visual Quality
      Water Quality/Storm Water
    Environmental and GIS specialists analyzed highway projects and environmental data using
    ArcView software. Eleven environmental categories were originally chosen for investigation: air,
    cultural resources, flooding and wetlands, geologic hazards, habitat, hazardous materials,
    noise, recreation, environmental justice, visual impacts, and water quality. Upon further
    investigation, insufficient data or time existed to complete the visual impacts, geologic hazards,
    recreation, environmental justice and noise sections.
    The air and cultural resources categories were visually analyzed. All relevant data was mapped.
    Subject area specialists visually examined the paper map for intersections between the
    proposed highway projects and the relevant data. Broad conclusions were drawn as to the
    extent of potential impacts.
    

    -------
    The remaining categories: flooding and wetlands, habitat, hazardous materials and water
    quality were analyzed using a query based method. All available relevant data was mapped.
    Subject area specialists determined an appropriate buffer distance from the highway, within
    which, an intersection with an environmental data feature would constitute a "hit". The
    environmental data was weighted (See Attachment C) and if the highway project received a
    "hit" on the environmental data, then that segment was assigned a weight, according to the
    severity of potential environmental impact. After all queries for a particular subject area were
    completed, all weights were totaled for each highway project, and a final rating of high, medium,
    low, or none, was assigned. Paper maps showing the ratings (See Figure 2) and the proportion
    of highway projects with environmental impacts were produced (See Figure 3). Again, broad
    conclusions were drawn as to the extent of potential impacts.
        Figure 2. Example of Results for the Washington Department of Transportation's
                                Environmental Screening Project.
                                   1997 Environmental Overview of 20 Year Projects
                                      Summary Map:  Flooding and Wetlands
               Environmental Affairs Office (OSC)
               Washington State Dept of Transportation
               Olympia, WA
    20 Year Projects
    /\/High Probable Impact
    /\/Medium Probable Impact
    /\/ Low Probable Impact
    
    /\/ State Routes
    

    -------
          Figure 3. Proportion of Highway Projects with High Environmental Impacts by
                        Washington Department of Transportation Regions.
    Water Quality
    Wetlands/Floods
                                Proportion of Highway Projects With High Environmental Impact
                                        20 Year System Plan Improvements
                                        Washington State Dept. of Transportation
                                           Relative Proportion of Impacts Acfoss
                                            Four Environmental Categories
            Environmental Affairs Office (OSC)
            Washington Stale Depl. of Transportation
            Olympia, WA
            September25, 1997
            Lambert Conforma! Conic Projection,
            Washington State Plane North
            North American Datum 1933
            97ea_sum spr (em tykdwn) mem
                                                       Relatvie size of pie charts show
                                                       proportion of high impact
                                                       deficiencies by region.
                                                        lasetf on highway system plan data
                                                       from WSDOTPlanning Office, 4/96.
    Next Steps for Environmental Screening
    This effort was originally conducted in 1996 -1997 as a demonstration of how GIS could
    incorporate environmental information earlier in the transportation planning process. Limitations
    of these analyses included a lack of appropriate environmental data, that the results did not
    reflect multiple "hits" per project and that weighting and  rating systems varied among the
    subject areas making cumulative analyses difficult. Since 1997 there have been improvements
    to the amount and quality of appropriate environmental data and enhancements to the software
    (ArcView)  used for conducting the queries.
    In May 1999, this project was re-evaluated by the Environmental Affairs Office and the Planning
    Office at WSDOT. It was decided to continue developing the Screening and improve the
    previous effort to support the year 2000 Washington Transportation Plan.
    

    -------
    Several process changes are being made in the current Environmental Screening effort. More
    people are involved in the product/output definition phase with the potential for it to be
    programmed as a GIS application. The data weighting and ranking systems are also being re-
    evaluated. The current effort is expected to be applied to all modes of transportation in
    determining effects, not just highway projects. The long  term vision of this activity is to use
    environmental data to help identify transportation alternatives (e.g. using transit or rail as a
    solution in urban areas with air quality problems instead of highway improvements which may
    increase air pollution  problems). There are some limitations in the GIS coverages for other
    modes besides highways, but that is one of the issues to be addressed as work progresses.
    One of the goals for the current effort is to set up a clearly documented and repeatable process
    that allows new transportation  projects  to be promptly evaluated for potential environmental
    effects.
    
    Discussion
    The Workbench and Screening tools are fundamentally  different in terms of how the data is
    applied. In the Workbench, the data is simply retrieved from the server and displayed. Most of
    the queries applied to the data are to aid in the visual display. In the Screening, the  data is
    retrieved, criteria is applied to the data  then an evaluation is made on the highway project. The
    Workbench relies  on  the user to complete the environmental analysis while the Screening
    depends on environmental criteria programmed into the application.
    
    The Workbench requires a greater degree of confidence in the data even though there is less
    pre-programmed analysis than in  the Screening. The purpose of the Workbench is to analyze
    specific sections of the highways. This  may require zooming into one to two mile sections of a
    roadway and visually  examining the available data. The  better the information going into the
    Workbench, the greater the confidence in the  results coming back out. The Screening, on the
    other hand, is used to raise warnings about potential future impacts. Since the projects are still
    20 years from construction, data with less resolution  is acceptable for the task. As a particular
    highway project progresses towards construction, better quality data will  be needed to evaluate
    potential environmental impacts.
    
    The famous "Garbage in-Garbage out" theory applies here. Using the GIS data steward
    concept at WSDOT is one data quality  control point.  Information  is not stored on WSDOT's
    central GIS server unless it meets certain minimum standards and has accompanying
    

    -------
    metadata. Business specific GIS applications expand the audience using GIS data. Complete
    and accurate metadata is essential for these products to be successful. Discerning users are
    skeptical of the data being shown on-screen so that easy to use documentation is important.
    Achieving user buy-in so that the system or application will be used is also a critical success
    factor.
    
    Another advantage to the Washington Department of Transportation's central GIS server
    concept,  is that both efforts draw upon the same information sets. Some efficiencies come from
    the ability to develop data that will be useful in both analyses. At this point, data that is more
    detailed than 1:24,000 is difficult to obtain consistently on a statewide basis. Local governments
    generally have more detailed environmental data but how to incorporate that information into
    WSDOT  and associated GIS products is still a work in progress. As improvements are made,
    they can  be integrated with associated GIS applications and products.
    
    One of the challenges of both projects is the complexity and volume of available environmental
    information.  Data sources range from private, local, state and federal entities. Even when data
    is available in GIS format, many differ in format, scale,  projection, data quality, documentation
    and maintenance requirements. Some critical environmental data is simply not available in GIS
    format and will be expensive to convert. Additional data problems occur when several state
    agencies maintain similar but different GIS layers. For example, at least four different state
    agencies currently maintain a  1:100,000 stream layer each with different attributes important for
    environmental  analysis. Coordinating and determining appropriate uses of each stream layer
    takes considerable time. The Washington Geographic Information Council (WAGIC) is
    addressing these data coordination issues at the state level. WSDOT, state, local, federal and
    tribal entities are all represented in this forum. During the 1999 State Legislative session,
    several bills and money appropriations were passed that will help state agencies tackle data
    coordination problems. Improvements made at the state level can eventually be integrated into
    GIS products at WSDOT.
    
    Conclusions/ Summary
    These two GIS products are anticipated to provide a solid foundation for WSDOT to develop
    GIS as a standard tool in the agency for conducting environmental analyses. Developing GIS
    solutions for environmental problems are inherently multi-disciplinary efforts that require
    teamwork and  partnerships. WSDOT will be looking at partnering  with other public and  private
                                              10
    

    -------
    entities to combine money, technology and ideas for incorporating environmental analysis into
    transportation planning in more efficient and effective ways.
    
    Acknowledgments
    The author wishes to acknowledge several organizations and individuals whose technical
    support helped make these GIS projects and this paper possible.
    
    Marci Carte and Patty Lynch, Washington State Department of Transportation
    
    Washington State Department of Transportation: Environmental Affairs Office,  GeoServices,
    Program Management, Regional Environmental Offices
    
    Key Data Providers:
    Washington State Department of Health
    Washington State Department of Ecology
    Washington State Department of Natural Resources
    Washington State Department of Fish and Wildlife
                                             11
    

    -------
    Attachment A : List of Data used in the Workbench or Screening GIS Products.
                   (The complete WSDOT Geospatial Catalog is at
                    http://www.wsdot.wa.gov/gis/GeoDataCatalog).
    Data Set Title
    General Reference Data:
    Transportation
    State Routes (mainlines) LRS
    Roadside Landscape
    Classifications
    Political and Admin. Boundaries
    County Boundaries, statewide
    City Limits of Washington State
    Major Cities (points)
    DOT Regions
    Major Public Lands by WA Dept. of
    Natural Resources:
    City Parks
    County Parks
    DNR Managed Lands
    Experimental Forests
    Federal/State Fish Hatcheries
    Federal/State Medical Facilities
    Military/Tribal Reservations
    (see also Tribal Lands, Military
    Lands)
    Monuments
    Municipal Watersheds
    National Forests
    National Historic Parks
    National Parks
    Public School Lands
    Recreation
    State Parks
    Wilderness Areas
    Wildlife Refuges
    Geographic Reference
    Townships
    TIGER-Census Bureau base maps
    ENVIRONMENTAL DATA:
    Air Quality:
    Carbon Monoxide Non-Attainment
    Areas
    Ozone Non-Attainment Areas
    Particulates Non-Attainment Areas
    Source
    Scale
    
    
    500K
    500K
    
    
    500K
    24K
    500K
    500K
    100K
    
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    
    
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    100K
    
    500K
    100K
    
    
    500K
    
    500K
    500K
    Originator Included in
    Workbench?
    
    
    WSDOT
    WSDOT
    
    
    WSDOT
    WSDOT
    WSDOT
    WSDOT
    WADNR
    
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    
    
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    WADNR
    
    WADNR
    USCB
    
    
    WADOE
    
    WADOE
    WADOE
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Included in
    Screening?
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
                                      12
    

    -------
    Data Set Title
    Source     Originator    Included in   Included in
     Scale                Workbench?  Screening?
    Fish and Wildlife:
    Chinook Evolutionary Significant
    Units
    Chum Evolutionary Significant
    Units
    Coastal Cutthroat Trout
    Evolutionary Significant Units
    Coho Evolutionary Significant
    Units
    Endangered Species Act Listing
    Status for Salmon and Trout
    Fish (Salmonid) Passage Barriers
    Marbled Murrelet Point Sitings
    Marbled Murrelet Critical Habitat
    Seabird Colonies
    Sockeye Evolutionary Significant
    Units
    Spotted Owl Critical Habitat
    Spotted Owl Special Emphasis
    Areas
    Steelhead Evolutionary Significant
    Units
    Sensitive Environmental Data
    Priority Habitat and Species
    Spotted Owl Nests
    Wildlife Heritage Data
    Groundwater and Wells:
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Clallam County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Clark County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Franklin County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Island County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    King County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Kitsap County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Lincoln County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Pend Oreille County
    
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Pierce County
    
    250K
    
    250K
    
    250K
    
    250K
    
    none
    
    500K
    24K
    100K
    none
    250K
    
    100K
    none
    
    250K
    
    
    24K
    24K
    24K
    
    24K
    
    24K
    
    250K
    
    none
    
    100K
    
    24K
    
    500K
    
    24K
    
    
    none
    
    
    NMFS
    
    NMFS
    
    NMFS
    
    NMFS
    
    WADOE
    
    WDFW
    WDFW
    USFW
    WDFW
    NMFS
    
    USFW
    WADNR
    
    NMFS
    
    WDFW
    WDFW
    WDFW
    WDFW
    
    WSDOT/
    Clallam Co.
    WSDOT/
    Clark Co.
    WSDOT/
    Franklin Co.
    WSDOT/
    Island Co.
    WSDOT/
    King Co.
    WSDOT/
    Kitsap Co.
    WSDOT/
    Lincoln Co.
    WSDOT/
    Pend Oreille
    Co.
    WSDOT/
    Pierce Co.
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
                                    13
    

    -------
             Data Set Title
    Source    Originator    Included in   Included in
     Scale                 Workbench? Screening?
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Thurston County
    Critical Aquifer Recharge Areas,
    Whatcom County
    
    Sole Source Aquifers:
    Wellhead Protection Zones-
    statewide
    Wells, Group A, WA State
    Wells, Group B, WA State
    24K
    
    500K
    
    
    100K
    24K
    
    24K
    24K
    WSDOT/
    Thurston Co.
    WSDOT/
    Whatcom
    Co.
    EPA
    WSDOT
    
    WSDOT
    WSDOT
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Hazardous Materials:
    CERCLIS-Comprehensive           none      WADOE
    Environment Response
    Compensation and Liability
    Information System (Superfund
    sites)
    RCRA Facilities-generators,          none        EPA
    transporters, treaters, storers, and
    disposers of hazardous waste
    Toxic Cleanup Program sites-        none      WADOE
    confirmed and suspected
    hazardous materials sites
    Hydrography:
    Coastlines, Puget Sound and         500K      WSDOT
    Columbia River (Major Shorelines)
    Floodzones (by county)-statewide
    Major Lakes of Washington
    Major Rivers of Washington
    National Wetlands Inventory
    (1,500+ individual quadrangle files)
    Salmonid Habitat Locations
    WA County Series, Hydrography
    Washington Resource Inventory
    System (Watersheds)
    Plants:
    Rare and Native Plants-WA state      24K      WADNR
    Water Quality
    1994 303d listed water bodies-       10OK      WADOE
    does not meet state water quality
    standards
    National Pollutant Discharge
    Elimination System Permit Areas:
    National Pollutant Discharge          none      WADOE
    Elimination System Sites: sites
    holding permit to discharge
    wastewater to surface water
                              Y
                              Y
                              Y
                              Y
    24K
    500K
    100K
    24K
    100K
    24K
    100K
    FEMA
    WSDOT
    WADOE
    USFW
    WDFW
    WSDOT
    WADOE
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
                              Y
    
                              Y
                              Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
                                            14
    

    -------
             Data Set Title
    Source    Originator    Included in   Included in
     Scale	Workbench?  Screening?
    Clark County                      500K     WSDOT
    Island/Snohomish Co.               500K     WSDOT
    South Puget Sound                 500K     WSDOT
    Spokane County                   500K     WSDOT
    Stormwater Outfalls along State       24K      WSDOT
    Routes:
                              Y
                              Y
                              Y
                              Y
                              Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    DEFINITIONS-
    ABBREVIATIONS—
    ORIGINATORS—
                               Data Set    Title or commonly used name of the data
                               Title:        set.
                               File         The  path by which the data set is located
                               Location:    on WSDOT's GIS servers.
                               Originator:   The  creator or source of the data set.
                               Source      The  scale denominator of the data set's
                               scale:       source material.
                                           For example, 24K indicates data derived
                                           from sources at 1:24,000 scale.
                               24K         1:24,000 scale—1 map inch represents
                                            2,000 feet
                               100K        1:100,000 scale—1 map inch represents
                                            1.58 miles
                               250K        1:250,000 scale—1 map inch represents
                                            3.95 miles
                               500K        1:500,000 scale—1 map inch represents
                                            7.89 miles
                               LRS         Linear Reference System
                               no scale      data is of mixed scales or scale not
                                            applicable
                               DCTED     Washington Department of Community,
                                           Trade and Economic Development
                               ESD        Washington Employment Security
                                           Department
                               FEMA       Federal Emergency Management
                                           Agency
                               NMFS       National Marine Fisheries Service
                               PSRC       Puget Sound Regional Council
                               USEPA     United States Environmental Protection
                                           Agency
                               USFW      United States Fish and Wildlife Service
                               USGS       United States Geological Survey
                               USCB       United States Census Bureau
                                            15
    

    -------
    IACOR      Interagency Committee on Outdoor
                Recreation
    WADNR     Washington Department of Natural
                Resources
    WADOH     Washington State Department of Health
    WADOE     Washington Department of Ecology
    WDFW      Washington Department of Fish and
                Wildlife
    WSDOT     Washington State Department of
                Transportation
                16
    

    -------
                                        Attachment B:  Environmental  Classification  Summary
                                                           (Environmental  Review Summary).
         File   EEdit   Mode   Select  Format   Script   Window  Help
                                I  I I  I I  I I K I  I I  I I  I I5I I  I I  I I I  1EM
                                                                                                              I  1 I  l_LLiJ9l I.I.I I I.J J1Pl J J  I I I  I1!1 I .LLLLlJiflLLLLLi
     Records:
     1
                                                       Pint I  Pi eject Descnption
                       D Preliminary D Fi
                                                                  D2D.204 G .20 2D5 G ^ iC'fi 020.209  DO
                                                P.nt 2 Permits ,mcl A[>|>i ovals Requiit
                            Ho  Permit ..-r .:;.,.i. .,ji
                                                    rirr
           Corps of engineers  D See.
           D Nationwide Type  _
           D Individual Peimil Ho. 	
                Guard
    
    D   D  ritical Aua Ordinance (CAO) P(
    
               c Practice /tot Permrt
    
           Local Building or Srte Deveiopme
           Local Clearing and Grading
           Hatl. Historic Preservation Act - Section 106
           (NPDESJrAjnicipal Storm water Discharge
           National Pollutant Discharge Simination System
    
           D  Storm water Site Plan
           D  Temp. &osion Sediment Control Plan (TESC)
                                                      .t Permits
                                                                           Permit cr .approval
    D Shoreline Permit
    D State Waste Discharge Permit
    D Temp. rutoditication of VUater Quality Standards
    D Section 4Cfy6(f): UUildlife  Refuges, Recreation
    
    Cl Water Rights Permit
    d Vi/ater Quality Certification - Sec. 451
    
                                                                       D Tribal Permrti± i. i.lt ,
                                                                       D Other PenriFts. including 6M«.rbit).
                                                 Part 3 E
                                                                           ic,itJoii
                                         NEPA
                       LI Class I - Environvental Impact Statement (EIS)
                       D Class II - Categorically Excluded (CE)
                          D Projects Not Requiring Documentation for FHW;
                             Approval (LAG 24.22(sJ)
                          D Project? Reqijmng Dc'Cijmentation Without
                             Further FHWA Approval (LAG 24.22(b))
                          D Projects Requiring Documentation and FHWA
    
                   Browsa    ~r\ * |
                                                                  SEPA
                                               D Categorically exempt per WAC 197-11-600
                                               D Determination of Non-Significance (DNS)
                                               D Environmental Impact Statement (EIS)
    nsiair:1^r.1:^Ta-^f.»3ic:iiaiiii = g.Ttf.i^T(r:in^^.L.Jt....T.T:T,i..1L«r.T:T:iiir^
     3|  File   E.dit   Mode   Select  Format   Script   Window   Help
     ECS Form -
     Records:
     1
                              I L  I I  I I
                                              |J_LJ
                                                             I K I I  I I  I I  I5I  I I  I I  I I I6! I  I I  I I  I I7I I I  I I  I I  I6I I I  I L I.L  L3I. l.L.l.1.1 I 1^1  I I  I I I  I1!1! I  I I  I I  l1^! I I  I I  I
                           Is the project included in Hfetropolrtan Transportation Plan?  D
                           Is the project located in an flir Quality N on-Alain merit A~ea (for c
                           Is the project exempt from Ar Quality conformity requirements?
                       2. CriticaVSensiiive Areas   Identify any known Critical or Sensitive
                                              Growth Management Art ordinances.
                           b.  Geologically Hazard
                                tlandj  &timate impacted categories and
                                (D A-e metlands present?   D Ves D H
                                i"2) Estimated area impacted:
                                                                                            17
    

    -------
                  Attachment C: Example of Weighting and Ranking System
                                for Environmental Screening
    FLOODING & WETLANDS SUBJECT AREA
    
    Subject Area Specialist: Gloria Skinner, Wetland Biologist, Washington Department of
    Transportation
    
    Analysis: Query-Based
    
    Buffer Distance: 1/4 mile either side of roadway
    Data:                                   Weight:
                                        (3 = most serious]
    Coastline                                    3
    Floodways                                   1
    (not available for all counties)
    HSP                                        0
    Major Lakes                                 2
    Major Rivers                                 2
    Native Plant Wetland Subset                   2
    Streams                                     2
    Wildlife Wetland Subset                       3
    (includes threatened/endangered)
    Wildlife Wetland Subset                       2
    (no threatened/endangered)
    
    Final Rating:                        Cumulative Score
    Low(1)                                    0-1
    Medium (2)                                2-6
    High (3)                                   7-15
                                     and any impact to a data
                                       category weighted 3
    1 1998-2003 Strategic Plan. Washington Department of Transportation. Olympia, WA. August 1998.
    2 Environments
    January 1999.
    2 Environmental CIS Workbench Charter. Washington Department of Transportation. Olympia, WA.
                                             18
    

    -------
            Assessing and Managing the Impacts of Urban Sprawl on
    Environmentally Critical Areas: A Case Study of Portage County, Ohio
    
                                Jay Lee1 and Lynne J. Erickson2
    
    Introduction
    This project attempts to evaluate how the processes of uncontrolled growths of urbanized areas
    impact on environmentally critical areas and agricultural lands. Funded by Environmental
    Projection Agency, we have carried out this project using Portage County, Ohio as an example
    to test how GIS technology can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of various growth
    management strategies. GIS is also used to generate alternative build-out scenarios for policy
    makers to interact with the public. The results of this project provide valuable experience that
    can be applied in other regions for conserving environmentally critical areas and farmlands.
    
    The uncontrolled urban growth is widely referred to as urban sprawl. It often implies negative
    impacts. Urban sprawl brings with it leapfrogging and low density developments of residential,
    commercial, and industrial land uses that are said to be undesirable and wasteful of lands.
    While the processes of urbanization and sub-urbanization are still active in  northeast Ohio, the
    inevitable growth has greatly impacted on the adjacent areas. Even though planners have
    proposed and used various growth management strategies, the process as happened in reality
    take long time to see the out come and is unfortunately irreversible.
    
    To assist local governments and the general public in understanding what uncontrolled urban
    growth may mean to their regions, what alternatives they may have to  control the growth, or
    how the  impacts may be if various strategies are used, GIS technology is used to develop
    simulation programs that incorporate various growth management strategies and tools for
    assessing the impacts on farmlands and environmentally critical areas (EGA) by urban growth.
    
    In this project, a total of three scenarios have been implemented: (1) continued growth, (2)
    compact growth and (3) environmentally conservative growth.
    1 Applied Geography Laboratory, Department of Geography, Kent State University, Kent, OH 44242-0001.
    Email: ilee@kent.edu
    2 Portage County Regional Planning Commission, Ravenna, OH 44266. Email: lerickson@pcrpc.com
    

    -------
    Portage County in Northeast Ohio
    Affected by the expansion of the greater Cleveland-Akron-Canton metropolitan region, Portage
    County, Ohio has experienced a significant growth in recent years. Farmlands and EGA are
    being rapidly converted to residential, industrial and commercial developments. With the
    concern for the loss of EGA and farmlands and for a more efficient way of controlling the urban
    sprawl, the Portage County Regional Planning Commission has worked with Kent State
    University Applied Geography Laboratory to develop GIS tools for modeling and managing
    urban growth in the county.
    
    Portage County is a semi-rural county that is 45 miles from Cleveland and 12 miles from Akron-
    Canton areas. While the growth of residential,  commercial and industrial lands have been
    steady in the past decades, the most recent 10 years have seen especially fast growth.
    
    GIS Technology
    GIS technology is an effective tool to simulate  the form and process of urban development on
    the landscape and to provide decision makers with the opportunity to evaluate alternative
    development policies on farmlands and EGA. The GIS tools developed for this study include: (1)
    the first stage of evaluating past trends of urban sprawl, (2) the second stage of simulating
    future growth with various growth management strategies, and (3) the third stage of assessing
    the impact by the simulated growth. Our study incorporated data sets from public and private
    agencies as well  as recent Thematic Mapper remote sensing data. The GIS tools developed in
    this study prove to be efficient in simulating, mapping and measuring the impacts by urban
    sprawl. Using similar data sets, these GIS procedures can be easily adapted to carry out similar
    work in other regions.
    
    At the core of the GIS tools developed for this  project are a series of computer programs coded
    in Visual C++. These programs first process and combine GIS data layers to bitmaps to reduce
    the size of data storage needed. The simulations of future land  use are implemented so that
    they are run according to specifications defined by the analysts. The simulated  build-out
    scenarios are then imported to Arclnfo™ and ArcView™ for assessing the impacts by the
    simulated growths.
    

    -------
    Assessment
    To support the assessment of impacts by urban sprawl, a total of 13 layers of information were
    integrated into a GIS database. These layers include data for past and present land use
    patterns, soils, slopes, ground water availability, ground water pollution potential, wetland
    inventory, farmlands, and natural heritage data describing locations where special
    plants/animals/geologic structures are recorded. For EGA, areas of steep slopes, high ground
    water pollution potential, wetlands and those areas adjacent to special plants/animals were
    extracted from GIS layers and combined to form a new layer.
    
    To simulate future urban growth, past and present land use patterns have been used to
    evaluate the spatial patterns and magnitude of urban growth in the county. A total of three
    management strategies were applied: (a) continued growth model - continuing the trend found
    from analyzing the past/present land use  patterns, (b) compact growth model -  applying
    moderate growth control such as open space development, growth centers, etc., and (c)
    environmentally conservative growth model - growing first in non-ECA and only when
    absolutely necessary in EGA.
    
    In each growth model,  projections of growth in residential units, commercial establishments and
    industrial establishments are estimated based on past trends and local master plans. The
    simulations can be performed  for any given years as specified by the analysts.  Furthermore,
    residential growths have been separated  into residential  units along frontage of roads and units
    in residential subdivisions with or without  open space designs. For  commercial  and industrial
    establishments, areal sizes were estimated using average size of existing facilities in respective
    neighborhoods.
    
    For continued growth model, trends were calculated from the land use patterns of 1975, 1985,
    1995 and  1997. We calculated the proportion of frontage/subdivision residential developments,
    individual/conglomerated/striped commercial and industrial facilities as the basis for simulating
    future growth. In compact growth model, the open space design of residential units is used in
    neighborhoods where local zoning codes are appropriate. In addition, centers for future growth
    have been designated by local planners to guide the simulations so to control the growth to be
    within a half mile of radius from the centers. Finally, the environmentally conservative growth
    model requires future growth to occur first in areas that are not classified as EGA. The
    

    -------
    simulations place future development in EGA only when non-ECA are exhausted in the
    neighborhoods.
    
    In the simulations, we did not have much problems of finding sites for new development of
    residential units. However, projected new development for commercial and industrial lands are
    limited by the amount of lands zoned for such uses in each township, city, or village. In several
    occasions we found some townships do not have enough land zoned for commercial and/or
    industrial to accommodate all the projected growth for these uses. This, of course, indicates that
    these townships need to re-consider their zoning districts and revise their master plan.
    
    To allow more realistic simulations, we have structured the simulation programs to have the
    function of handling spill-over developments. If a particular township, city, or village does not
    have enough zoned commercial areas, for example,  the commercial areas in the adjacent
    township is used to accommodate the growth. The simulation program has this function as a
    choice, not a mandatory step, so that analysts can generate a wide variety of scenarios to test
    their management strategies.
    
    To assess the impact by urban sprawl, layers of simulated land use patterns are overlaid onto
    layers of information describing farmlands and other EGA. Tabulated results of loss of EGA and
    farmlands were correlated with changes of criteria used in simulations to observe their impacts.
    
           Table 1: Acreage of projected new development, farmland loss, and loss of
                          environmentally conservative areas (EGA).
    (In acres)
    Model 1 cities
    villages
    townships
    Model 2 cities
    villages
    townships
    Model 3 cities
    villages
    townships
    Residential
    Lands
    9,458
    201
    12,617
    3,112
    89
    7,249
    5,007
    102
    8,834
    Commercial
    Lands
    446
    18
    237
    157
    12
    138
    240
    15
    172
    Industrial
    Lands
    1,420
    26
    500
    760
    12
    292
    870
    16
    376
    Farmlands
    Loss
    970
    7
    5,321
    332
    3
    3,023
    420
    6
    3,546
    EGA
    Loss
    645
    18
    627
    148
    6
    362
    27
    2
    57
    

    -------
    Given the printing scale and the extent of the entire Portage County, it is not possible to include
    maps showing all the details of simulated land uses here. Alternatively, the following three maps
    show only the most northwest corner of Portage County as it is the are that is the closest to
    Cleveland. As the three maps show, the continued growth model consumes developable areas
    in a least efficient way. The compact model, on the other hand, provides the least waste of
    lands between simulated development.  Finally, the environmentally conservative growth model
    shows developments in areas that are not environmentally sensitive.
    

    -------
      Figure 1: Continued Growth Model. The simulated land use is scattered around the
               entire region, showing the least control and the most wasted land.
    
    Given the printing scale and the extent of the entire Portage County, it is not possible to include
    maps showing all the details of simulated land uses here. Alternatively, the following three maps
    show only the most northwest corner of Portage County as it is the are  that is the closest to
    Cleveland. As the three maps show, the continued  growth model consumes developable areas
    in a  least efficient way. The compact model,  on the other hand, provides the least waste of
    

    -------
    lands between simulated development. Finally, the environmentally conservative growth model
    
    shows developments in areas that are not environmentally sensitive.
      Figure 2: Compact Growth Model. The simulated land use shows a greater degree of
             conglomeration, avoiding wasted land between developments.
    

    -------
                                                                                    I
                                                                            fWrf^
      Figure 3: Environmentally Conservative Growth Model. The simulated land use is
               mostly located in areas that are not environmentally sensitive as defined by
               EGA.
    Concluding Remarks
    We have found that our approach of using a combination of simulation programs and GIS
    technology is able to provide realistic evaluation of how urban sprawl impacts EGA. The
    simulations  can be guided by different projections for future growth under various growth
    management strategies. This provides great flexibility for planners and other decision makers to
    

    -------
    experiment what they think as appropriate growth scenarios. GIS technology is used in this
    project for data management, mapping, and overlaying analyses. This project has demonstrated
    the feasibility of such approach to efficient modeling of simulating future urban growth. Finally,
    the GIS procedures developed in this study can be easily adopted for other regions with similar
    data sets.
    

    -------
               A High-Resolution Weather Data System (HRWxDS)
                    for Environmental Modeling and Monitoring
                                       David R. Legates
                                    University of Delaware
                                 Newark, Delaware 19716 USA
                   Kenneth R. Nixon, Thomas Stockdale, and Geoffrey E. Quelch
                                Computational Geosciences Inc.
                                Norman, Oklahoma 73069 USA
    Abstract
    The High-Resolution Weather Data System (HRWxDS) is a real-time, site-specific, operational
    system that couples this new weather information with surface observations, hydrological
    modeling, and an interface to facilitate more informed decision-making tasks. Spatially- and
    temporally-distributed meteorological and hydrological fields produced by the HRWxDS include
    precipitation, wind velocity, air temperature, and atmospheric humidity and pressure. Derived
    fields include crop stress factors, soil moisture content, and runoff potential.  Both digital and
    graphical products are produced that can be used for monitoring and analyzing meteorological
    and hydrological conditions for a particular location or region. This system is designed to
    improve site-specific water resource management for a variety of purposes including river
    management for optimal hydroelectric power generation, soil  moisture monitoring for optimal
    irrigation scheduling or for wildfire prediction, wind estimation for pesticide drift applications, and
    rainfall/flood monitoring for enhanced emergency management.
    
    1. Introduction
    Surface observations are usually the only source of meteorological data for applications
    involving environmental modeling and monitoring. Advances in Geographic Information Systems
    (GIS) methodology and sophisticated spatial interpolation techniques, as well as the
    development and installation of the national network of Doppler weather radars, now has
    allowed for improved, high-resolution weather data to be used in the newer generation of
    distributed (i.e., grid-based) environmental models. Our High-Resolution Weather Data System
    (HRWxDS)  is designed to facilitate more informed decision-making tasks by coupling this new
    weather information with surface observations, hydrological modeling,  and a graphical user
    

    -------
    interface in a GIS-based structure. The system operates in real-time to provide site-specific
    hydrometeorological information of spatially and temporally distributed meteorological and
    hydrological fields including precipitation (from raw radar estimates, surface observations, and
    gage-calibrated radar estimates), surface wind velocity (speed and direction), air temperature,
    atmospheric humidity (dewpoint and relative humidity), and atmospheric pressure. Modeling of
    the surface water hydrology using these observational inputs and land surface information (soils
    and vegetation) allows for estimation of crop stress factors (both temperature and moisture
    stress), soil moisture content and deficit, and runoff potential. The HRWxDS produces both
    digital and graphical products to allow for monitoring and further analysis of hydrometeorological
    conditions for a particular location or region.
    
    The purpose of the HRWxDS is to provide improved site-specific hydrometeorological
    information to better manage our nations' water resources. Applications include river stage
    management for optimal hydroelectric power generation, soil moisture monitoring for wildfire
    potential or optimal irrigation  scheduling, surface wind estimation for pesticide drift applications,
    air temperature monitoring for identification of electric power demands or freeze potential, and
    rainfall/flood monitoring for enhanced emergency management. Presently, the HRWxDS and its
    components are being used in a wide variety of applications (Nixon and Legates,  1994; Legates
    et a/., 1996; 1998) including operation of the front-end of a river management system to model
    the real-time water flow for the Catawba River Basin in North Carolina (by Duke Energy
    Corporation) and an assessment of the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall for several
    flooding events in Texas. Irrigation scheduling and pesticide drift applications in southwestern
    Oklahoma also are under development.
    
    Sophisticated software engineering techniques incorporating the latest in software development
    methods were used in the development of the HRWxDS. With  its design for spatial analysis, the
    HRWxDS incorporates advanced GIS tools and its products easily can be input to commercial
    GIS packages for further analysis and presentation. Moreover, the design of the HRWxDS
    incorporates a modular, extendible architecture to facilitate easily the development of new
    products and the incorporation of new algorithms. Research on the HRWxDS extends directly
    from a successful technology transfer project first began in the Center for Computational
    Geosciences at the University of Oklahoma.
    

    -------
    2. Overview of the High-Resolution Weather Data System
    Five major subsystems comprise the HRWxDS (Figure 1). The Setup and Processing Control is
    a graphical  user interface that allows the user to optimize the data acquisition and
    processing/analysis to the specific region/task at hand. It performs system initialization, process
    control, event timing, and system shutdown. The Data Acquisition Module is responsible for
    acquiring the necessary surface observation station data and radar products. As the HRWxDS
    is a real-time system, this module is responsible for data exception handling when, for example,
    internet connections fail or a radar site is down. The Product Processing Component (PPC)
    generates the gridded hydrometeorological products for each of the observational fields (i.e.,
    precipitation, air temperature, atmospheric humidity, wind velocity, and atmospheric pressure).
    The Event Logging Facility (ELF) provides the capability to log all significant processing events
    and notify someone (via e-mail, pager, etc.) when exceptional conditions - extreme or unusual
    hydrometerological events or system failure ~ warrant. Finally, the Decision Support/Display
    Subsystem provides display of gridded products generated by the PPC. This subsystem can
    analyze the hydrometeorological  products or it can be tailored to form an application-specific
    user decision support system.
                                             Gin
                                   Setup & Processing Control
    Data
    Acquisition
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    PPC
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Decision
    Support/
    Display
    Subsystem
    t
    v *
    ELF
                 Figure 1: A Schematic Overview of The HRWxDS Subsystems.
    

    -------
    3. Hydrometeorological Data Acquisition Requirements
    One of the main advantages to the HRWxDS is that it uses generally available meteorological
    data from the National Weather Service (NWS) in addition to surface observation
    measurements assessable from local or private mesonetworks. The two primary inputs are
    surface station observations and the WSR-88D Digital Precipitation Array (DPA) - both
    obtained generally on an hourly time-step (although the HRWxDS can be operated using
    virtually any time step).
    
    Surface observation station data used by the HRWxDS may include data from the NWS First-
    Order Station Network, from local or private mesonetworks, or both. Applications of the
    HRWxDS have used the Oklahoma Mesonet data for analyses within the State of Oklahoma,
    I FLOWS data from the  US Geological Survey in the Appalachian Mountains, and local rain gage
    networks in and around Houston, Texas - in addition to the national NWS network.
    Hydrometeorological measurements utilized by the HRWxDS include air temperature, wind
    speed and direction, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity or dew point temperature, and
    precipitation. Although the NWS First-Order Station Network  does not include solar radiation,
    the HRWxDS also can  use this variable if a local network provides such information (e.g., the
    Oklahoma Mesonet).
    
    Biases - most often underestimates ~  in precipitation measurement with can-type rain gages
    can occur from several sources. These include the deleterious effect of the wind, wetting losses
    on the interior walls of the gage, evaporation from the gage between the end of precipitation and
    its measurement, splashing into and out of the gage, mechanical errors (e.g., friction of pen
    plotters and the inability of tipping-bucket gages to accommodate heavy precipitation rates), and
    observational effects (Groisman and Legates, 1994;  1995). Using the surface wind speed
    measurements, the HRWxDS is able to estimate the biases that result from the most significant
    forms of the gage bias ~ wind effects and wetting losses. These biases can amount to
    approximately six percent in summer for much of the United States to more than thirty percent in
    the northern tier of states in the winter (Legates and Deliberty, 1993a,b). Thus, the HRWxDS
    can reduce gage undercatch biases caused by the gage measurement process.
    
    In addition to the surface observations, the HRWxDS also includes precipitation estimates from
    the NWS national network of weather radars. In the 1990s, the NWS began installation of the
    next generation of weather radars, now known as the WSR-88D (Weather Surveillance Radar ~
    

    -------
    1988 Doppler). These radars provide a variety of meteorological information, including several
    precipitation products. Among these include graphical images - used primarily for visual
    analysis and television weather displays -- and a single digital precipitation product known as
    the Digital Precipitation Array (DPA). The  DPA is a running hourly precipitation estimate
    developed from the radar reflectivities (microwave energy bouncing from hydrometeors)
    measured over the previous hour. It is updated every five or six minutes when the radar has
    detected precipitation somewhere in the radar umbrella. For more information on the DPA, see
    Fulton etal. (1998) or Legates (2000).
    
    For some applications, a single WSR-88D radar may not cover the entire region of interest or a
    single site may be covered by more than one WSR-88D radar. The advantage of the HRWxDS
    is that it ingests data from multiple radars  and can mosaic their DPAs to provide spatial
    coverage of virtually any geographic area of interest. Applications for the Catawba River Basin
    in North Carolina and over the State of Oklahoma require four and eight radars, respectively, for
    complete coverage. Indeed, in an assessment of precipitation for the Southern Great Plains,
    twenty-three radars were used. This ability to ingest, utilize, and mosaic multiple radars makes
    the HRWxDS an invaluable tool for spatial analysis of hydrometeorological conditions for large
    geographic regions.
    
    4. Gridded Hydrometeorological Data Products
    A suite of gridded hydrometeorological data products is produced by the HRWxDS. All products
    have a spatial resolution of approximately 4 km x 4 km (i.e., at the nodes of the Hydrological
    Rainfall Analysis Project or HRAP grid) with individual estimates for each hydrometeorological
    variable for each HRAP cell. The suite of gridded products includes five precipitation products
    and seven hydrometeorological companion products. All products are provided in both a
    common GIF and netCDF format for maximum flexibility and portability.
    
    With respect to precipitation, the HRWxDS provides five fields -- Gage-Based Precipitation,
    Radar-Based Precipitation, Gage-Calibrated Radar Precipitation, and 12- and 24-Hour
    Precipitation Accumulation. The Gage-Based product  provides gridded precipitation estimates
    based solely on rain gage observations adjusted for gage measurement biases that include the
    effect of rain gage design (e.g., shielded or unshielded gage, size of orifice opening, and height
    of gage orifice above the ground) as well as the meteorological conditions around the rain gage.
    The Radar-Based product presents precipitation estimates from the radar DPAs using an NWS-
    

    -------
    specified fixed reflectivity-to-rainfall conversion equation and is not calibrated using rain gage
    observations. Moreover, it is a mosaic of multiple radars using either an averaging or
    maximization (default) of radar overlap areas,  depending upon the user's preference.
    
    The most important component of the PPC is the Gage-calibrated Radar Precipitation product.
    Gage observations are paired with the hourly composite radar reflectivities to remove errors in
    the radar precipitation estimates. Such errors can arise from (1) uncertainties in obtaining
    accurate estimates of reflectivity, (2) inconsistencies in the reflectivity-to-rainfall conversion
    algorithms, and (3) effects occurring below the radar beam. The calibration procedure utilizes a
    variety of spatial statistical techniques using the bias-measurement-adjusted gage observations
    to estimate and remove the radar bias. Each radar is calibrated separately and the calibrated
    estimates then are combined to form a composite mosaic from multiple radars. In addition,
    adding these calibrated mosaics to the desired temporal resolution produces the 12-hour and
    24-hour Precipitation Accumulation products. For more information on radar biases, please
    consult Wilson and Brandes (1979), Doviak and Zrnic (1984), and Fulton et al. (1998).  Legates
    et al. (1999b) and Legates (2000) also provide a more detailed discussion of the HRWxDS
    calibration algorithm.
    
    Air temperature, dew point temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and direction, solar
    radiation, and atmospheric pressure, in addition to precipitation, also are interpolated to the
    HRAP grid  intersections. Spatial interpolation is accomplished through a modified version of
    Shepard's inverse distance weighting method  (Willmott et al., 1984)  that accounts for both the
    distance and distribution of the observations around the interpolate point. This method
    represents  an exact pass through the data (the interpolation returns  the observed value when
    an observation is coincident with the grid intersection). Air temperature is interpolated by
    reducing the observations to sea-level equivalent (potential temperature),  interpolating  potential
    temperature, and then returning the observations to the elevations of the HRAP grid cells using
    the environmental lapse rate and a digital elevation model (DEM) of  the geographic area to be
    interpolated. Since dew point temperature is upward bounded by air temperature, the return of
    air temperature to the HRAP elevation follows the moist adiabatic lapse rate when saturation is
    reached. Dew point temperature then is set to air temperature in that case (i.e., a relative
    humidity of 100%). Relative humidity is calculated directly for each grid cell from the dew point
    and air temperature estimates for each grid cell with no interpolation. For more information on
    the interpolation procedure, please consult Legates et al. (1999a).
    

    -------
    5. The Graphical User Interface and User/Setup Options
    A graphical user interface (GUI) is included in the HRWxDS to assist in customizing and
    tailoring the system to meet specific operational requirements and set processing control
    options. Several user-adaptable features provided through the GUI. For example, the HRWxDS
    can be easily setup to analyze and monitor one or more specific geographic regions from a
    small river basin to large regions of the country. Once a geographic region has been defined,
    the HRWxDS automatically generates the HRAP grid that covers this area. Then the user can
    select the specific region to be processed and the HRWxDS can switch from one region to
    another.
    
    The HRWxDS can be run  in either "Attended" or "Unattended" modes of operation. In
    "Unattended" mode, the system selects from predetermined responses to handle anticipated
    operational exceptions. This mode is most frequently used for real-time, operational monitoring
    of environmental conditions. In "Attended" mode, a user has the capability to dynamically
    interact with the processing and handle exception conditions as they occur. This mode is
    frequently used  for historical/forensic analyses for regions or times when the HRWxDS was not
    running in real-time or to update missing data during power outages or other interruptions.
    
    5.1 Data Initialization Specifications
    To incorporate radar data  for a specific geographic region, the radars that cover the area of
    interest can be dynamically added or deleted, depending upon interest and availability. In
    addition, the HRWxDS has the capability to incorporate surface observation measurements of
    national (e.g., NWS), local/private mesonetworks, or both. As with radars, stations can  be
    dynamically added or deleted.  Each rain gage location is described in a rain gage metadata file
    which includes information about the rain gage design (shielded or unshielded gage), size of
    orifice opening,  height above ground, and sheltering conditions. These data are used to provide
    estimates of the gage measurement bias adjustments.
    
    5.2 Processing Control Setup and Knobs
    The GUI also provides specifications for the processing start time and processing interval. To
    ensure that all pertinent data have been received, a delay in starting time can be included. For
    example, processing for the current hour (at the top of the hour) may be delayed until fifteen
    minutes past the hour to ensure that all station observations and radar DPAs have been
    

    -------
    transmitted. In addition, time limits also are set to specify which input data are to be considered
    valid for the current processing cycle.
    
    A set of "processing control knobs" also is provided to adjust and fine-tune the processing.
    Although the PPC uses a large array of control knobs, only a few are described here. "Mosaic
    Knobs" control the numerical technique (averaging or maximization) used to develop the
    mosaics for both the Radar-Based and the Gage-Calibrated Radar products. "Hail Detection
    and Suppression Knobs" provide absolute (derived from reflectivity) and relative (grid cell-to-grid
    cell comparisons) rainfall rates for the detection and removal of hail contamination in the radar
    reflectivities. Additionally, the disposition  of cells can be specified for which hail contamination
    has been identified (i.e., cells can be set  to missing, truncated to the maximum allowable
    precipitation rate, or interpolated from surrounding cell values). A "Tropical Rain Event Knob"
    identifies a precipitation event as tropical (e.g., tropical storm, hurricane, tropical depression)
    which adjusts (upwards) the acceptable upper limit of possible rainfall rates and suppresses the
    identification of heavy rainfall as hail contamination. The "Missing Data  Exception Handling
    Knob" is a processing control feature that automatically substitutes interpolated rain gage data
    in the Gage-Calibrated Radar product for areas where radar data are missing (a radar may be
    down or data retrieval has been delayed).
    
    A number of other processing knobs controls the spatial interpolation procedure. For example,
    the "Radius of Influence Knobs" are used to specify the distance over which an observation will
    influence the interpolated values. A separate knob controls each weather variable (e.g.,  rain
    gage measurements, air temperature,  dewpoint temperature, and atmospheric pressure). The
    "Optimization/Calibration Knob" provides for the  operational calibration  and optimization of the
    spatial interpolant.  It allows distance decay effects and elevational influences to be estimated
    from the observed data rather than assuming constant values.  "Elevation Effect Knobs"  allow for
    elevation effects to be either enabled or disabled in the interpolation of each weather variable.
    Some variables (e.g., air temperature)  are affected by elevation whereas others (e.g.,  sea-level
    atmospheric pressure) are not.
    
    The HRWxDS system also includes a feature that allows a user in "Attended" mode the
    opportunity to add temporary observations. These can be one-time field measurement or report
    (e.g., a single hourly observation from  a station that does not report regularly) or data to
    manually adjust the Gage-Calibrated Radar Precipitation product at the user's discretion. This
    

    -------
    "Virtual Rain gage Facility" allows for inclusion of observations from either rainfall or snowfall
    data (conversion from snow to liquid water equivalent is adjusted by the "Snow Density Knob").
    Rainfall also can be suppressed by the Virtual Rain gage Facility to provide adjustments for
    virga or ground clutter conditions.
    
    5.3 General Operational Features
    Other controls available through the GUI allow for the selection of measurement units, either
    English or Metric, a fixed or variable color bar, and display scale thresholds. The overlay feature
    provides the capability to display radar or rain gage locations, basin delineation, HRAP grids,
    political boundaries, rivers and streams, roads, or other overlay combinations on the GIF
    images that are produced. An animation capability is included to display a time-series of
    products to provide a visual representation of changing meteorological conditions. Individual cell
    values also can be interrogated by simply moving the cursor to the cell of interest. Latitude and
    longitude of the cell are displayed with the cell's value for the currently displayed product.  In
    addition, the HRWxDS has the capability to display the contribution of each radar to the Radar-
    Based Precipitation and the Gage-Calibrated Precipitation products through the DPA Viewer.
    
    6. The Event Logging Facility (ELF)
    The HRWxDS contains a robust Event Logging Facility (ELF) that records system configuration
    information (e.g., data paths, processing parameters, and region definitions), data retrieval
    status messages, statistics for input and output data, and processing status information. It is a
    central facility that tracks all events of which the user may need to be made aware. Destination
    for event logs may be specified to a disk file and/or a screen dialog  box. Each message is
    assigned to an appropriate category ~ status (memory and disk usage), processing information,
    statistics, operating system errors, minor error, major error, or fatal error. A "Log Viewer"
    provides the capability to view the  ELF file/records by filtering the category of records to be
    displayed (e.g., show only major/fatal  error messages or show processing information  and
    statistics).
    
    7. An Example of Weather Information Produced by the  HRWxDS
    At present, the HRWxDS is continuously running in operational mode  at Duke Energy
    Corporation in Charlotte, NC where it  is being used to provide  precipitation inputs to a  River
    Management System for the Catawba River Basin in central North Carolina and northern  South
    Carolina. In addition, it also provides real-time estimates for the State  of Oklahoma and for a
    

    -------
    region covering much of the Southern Great Plains (see Figure 2). More information about the
    HRWxDS can be found on the Computational Geosciences Inc. Web Page at
    http://www.telepath.com/compgeo.
    
    To illustrate the products generated by the HRWxDS, an example from 5 GMT (Midnight CDT)
    on June 5, 1999 for the Southern Great Plains Region (Oklahoma, northern and central Texas,
    and surrounding regions) will be shown. Station observations (small squares) and radar
    locations (large squares) are presented in Figure 2 along with the HRAP rectangle that was
    used for the analysis.
    Figure 2: Locations of the radars (large squares) and surface observing stations (small
          squares) used over an area of the southern Great Plains (approximately 1000 km x
          1000 km). Higher station densities over Oklahoma are attributable to use of the
          Oklahoma Mesonet. The white, four-sided border shows the boundary of the
          HRAP grid used  for this region.
                                            10
    

    -------
    During the early morning hours, a line of convective showers with precipitation rates exceeding
    25mm per hour moved into western Oklahoma and south-central Kansas. The HRWxDS was in
    operational, "unattended" mode during this event and provided real-time estimates of hourly
    surface weather conditions for this storm. Images of the precipitation for this hour are shown
    (Figure 3) for the Gage-Based, Radar-Based, Gage-Calibrated Radar, and 24-hour Precipitation
    products. Note that although these fields are illustrated here in graphical form, the main purpose
    of the HRWxDS is to produce high-resolution digital representations of the various
    meteorological variables. Thus, these fields from the HRWxDS can be readily input to a
    distributed hydrological model  or any raster-based GIS. Although the HRWxDS does not utilize
    any commercial GIS package,  it contains sophisticated spatial analysis and interpolation
    algorithms operating in a spatial (GIS) framework. Output from the HRWxDS is easily
    incorporated as ARC/INFO™ overlays.
    
    A comparison of the Gage-Based (Figure 3, top) and Radar-Based Precipitation products
    (Figure 3, bottom) clearly illustrates the advantages of the radar precipitation estimates. Outside
    Oklahoma, the NWS first-order weather station network is used. Note that the sparse density of
    the NWS/Oklahoma Mesonet combination only is able to resolve two areas of relatively heavy
    precipitation in northwestern and west-central Oklahoma and a smaller area of lighter
    precipitation in southwestern Oklahoma. By contrast, the radar mosaic for this area illustrates a
    much larger region of precipitation with  two embedded cells of heavy rainfall in central- and
    northwestern Oklahoma. Precipitation in southwestern Oklahoma can be seen to extend farther
    back into Texas where the gage network is much more sparse and is not supplemented by the
    Oklahoma Mesonet, a relatively dense network of 111 stations (see Figure 2 for a station
    distribution). The spatial fidelity resolved by the radars is much higher than even the Oklahoma
    Mesonet can provide and a better picture of the convection area over this region. Note that the
    area of light rain across much of the region is under-represented by the gage  network and,
    since no gages were located beneath the smaller, embedded storm cells, the  magnitude of rain
    falling from these cells also is considerably underestimated.
    
    The NWS radar product (i.e., the Level  III DPA) tends to underestimate rainfall rates for a
    variety of reasons (see Wilson and Brandes, 1979; Fulton et a/., 1998; Legates, 2000). This was
    particularly true for this event as well. Consequently, calibration of the radar reflectivities using
    the real-time gage measurements has inflated the radar estimates to be commensurate with the
    gage observations. Note that for the precipitation cell in west-central Oklahoma, the
                                              11
    

    -------
    Figure 3: Estimates of precipitation from the Gage-Based Precipitation product (top) and
          the Radar-Based Precipitation product (bottom) for 5:00 GMT on June 3,1999.
                                           12
    

    -------
    calibration resulted in a slight decrease in precipitation intensities. This shows the difference
    between the radars and the precipitation estimates obtained from the different radars that
    viewed different portions of the precipitation. The mean fit error for this hour was less than 10
    mm indicating a good agreement between the gage observations and the calibrated radar
    product (Figure 4, top) was obtained. The 24-hour Precipitation product also is shown (Figure 4,
    bottom - Note the different color bars used for the 24-hour product).
    
    Throughout much of the United States, rain gage densities are seldom as dense as the
    Oklahoma Mesonet and are usually as sparse as the NWS network is here (Figure 2).
    Precipitation, and especially convective precipitation, events are under-represented by existing
    gage networks. Weather radars help to provide a more complete picture of the true distribution
    of precipitation, although some exceptions exist. Most notably, mountains obscure the radar
    beam so that some remote and relatively inaccessible areas of the western United States are
    not covered adequately by the radar network. Given the sparse gage networks, use of the
    WSR-88D radar precipitation estimates, when calibrated properly by the HRWxDS, clearly
    provide a more accurate representation of the true precipitation over virtually all of the
    conterminous forty-eight states.
    
    In addition to precipitation, shown here are the air temperature (Figure 5, top) and wind vector
    (Figure 5, bottom) fields for the same hour. Air behind the advancing convective system has
    been cooled by the precipitation by as much as 20°F (11°C) in some places and a strong
    horizontal temperature gradient lies just behind the area of convection. Airflow is predominantly
    from the south and southeast ~ as is common for late spring ~ with the largest area of winds
    exceeding 20 mph (10 ms"1) feeding the convection region on the southern flank. Lighter and
    more easterly winds are found over the northeastern  part of the region.
                                               13
    

    -------
    Figure 4: Estimates of precipitation from the Gage-Calibrated Radar product (top) and the
          24-hour Precipitation product (bottom) for 5:00 GMT on June 3, 1999.
                                           14
    

    -------
    15
    

    -------
    Figure 5: Estimates of air temperature (top) and wind vector (bottom) for 5:00 GMT on
          June 3, 1999.
    8. The HRWxDS and Its Role within the Water Resource Decision Support System
    The HRWxDs is but one component of a larger project, the Water Resource Decision Support
    System (WRDSS) which is designed to be a real-time tool for water resource decision makers
    (Legates et a/., 1996; 1998). Using the real-time data ingest and weather product generation
    capabilities of the HRWxDS, Computational Geosciences Inc. has begun development of the
    WRDSS which couples soil moisture and runoff simulation models with the HRWxDS in a
    framework that allows development of application-specific decision support systems (Figure 6).
    Through the WRDSS, water resource managers can be supplied with readily available and
    easily understood information about current meteorological and hydrological conditions over a
    wide geographic area. In addition to the graphical representations, all weather and surface
    hydrological products are available in a digital format so the estimates can be imported to other
    hydrological models and applications.
          Water Resource Decision  Support System
                     Radnr Data
                       (DPA)
                        High-Resolution Weather Data System
                                      (HRWxDS)
                 Gridded
                 Weather
                 Products
                                   Water Budget
                                    Accounting
                                      Model
                                  Surface Water
                                  Runoff Model
     Decision Support
    * Hydroelectric Power
    * Irrigation Scheduling
    * Kangeland Management
    * IYsticiik- Application
    * Wildfire Prediction
    * Flood Monitoring
         Figure 6: Schematic of the Water Resource Decision Support System (WRDSS).
                                          16
    

    -------
    17
    

    -------
    9. Conclusion
    Obtaining accurate, high-resolution, real-time estimates of surface meteorological variables has
    been a problem that has long faced hydrologists and hydrometeorologists. Development and
    implementation of the national network of WSR-88D weather radars and their ability to
    represent each storm's "precipitation footprint" has led to a revolution in hydrological modeling
    and monitoring. When properly calibrated with rain gage observations,  as is accomplished by
    the High-Resolution Weather Data System (HRWxDS), these estimates have the potential to
    provide water resource decision managers with more reliable real-time precipitation
    assessments and, consequently, allow for more accurate spatial information to be included in
    the decision making process. The spatial interpolation procedures developed  and contained
    within the HRWxDS provides the "state-of-the-art" in estimation of surface meteorological fields
    from irregularly-spaced station observation networks reporting in real time.
    
    Development of the HRWxDS coupled with the Water Resource Decision Support System
    (WRDSS) provides decision-makers with an integrated tool that allows for real-time
    assessments of water resource and hydrological conditions. This tool, which converts weather
    and hydrological data into usable information, will prove invaluable by eliminating much of the
    assumptions, guesswork, and tedious monitoring and maintenance of inadequate gage
    networks that presently characterize water resource management. Both the HRWxDS and the
    WRDSS system will continue to evolve to meet the needs of decision-makers and to exploit
    advances in estimating precipitation by weather radars and obtaining high-resolution estimates
    of surface meteorological fields.
                                              18
    

    -------
    References
    
    Doviak, R.J., and Zrnic, D.S., 1984: Doppler Radar and Weather Observations. Orlando,
          Florida: Academic Press, Inc.
    
    Fulton, R.A., Breidenbach, J.P., Seo, D.-J., Miller, D.A., and O'Bannon, T., 1998: The WSR-88D
          Rainfall Algorithm. Weather and Forecasting, 13:377-395.
    
    Groisman, P.Ya., and Legates, D.R., 1994: Accuracy of Historical United States Precipitation
          Data. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 75:215-227.
    
    Groisman, P.Ya., and Legates, D.R., 1995: Documenting and Detecting Long-Term
          Precipitation Trends: Where We Are and What Should Be  Done. Climatic Change,
          31:601-622.
    
    Legates, D.R., 2000: Real-Time Calibration of Precipitation Estimates. The Professional
          Geographer, forthcoming.
    
    Legates, D.R., and DeLiberty, T.L., 1993a: Measurement Biases in the United States Rain gage
          Network. Symposium on Geographic Information Systems and Water Resources,
          American Water Resources Association, 547-557.
    
    Legates, D.R., and DeLiberty, T.L., 1993b: Precipitation Measurement Biases in the United
          States. Water Resources Bulletin, 29(5), 855-861.
    
    Legates, D.R., Nixon, K.R., Stockdale, T.D., and Quelch, G.E., 1996: Soil Water Management
          Using a Water Resource  Decision Support System and Calibrated WSR-88D
          Precipitation Estimates. Proceedings, AWRA Symposium on GIS and Water Resources,
          American Water Resources Association, 427-435.
    
    Legates, D.R., Nixon, K.R., Stockdale, T.D., and Quelch, G.E., 1998: Use of the WSR-88D
          Weather Radars in Rangeland Management. Specialty Conference on Range/and
          Management and Water Resources, American Water Resources Association, 55-64.
    
    Legates, D.R., Nixon, K.R., Quelch, G.E., and Stockdale, T.D., 1999a: Environmental Modeling
          and Monitoring using a High-Resolution Weather Data System (HRWxDS). Proceedings
          of the Fourth International Conference on GeoComputation, Fredericksburg, VA,
          forthcoming.
    
    Legates, D.R., Nixon, K.R., Stockdale, T.D., and Quelch, G.E., 1999b. Real-time and Historical
          Calibration of WSR-88D Precipitation Estimates. Proceedings, Eleventh Conference on
          Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, Dallas, TX, 76-77.
    
    Nixon, K.R., and D.R. Legates, 1994: Water Resource Decision Support System SBIR Phase I
          Report for the US Department of Agriculture.
    
    Wilson, J.W., and Brandes, E.A., 1979: Radar Measurement of Rainfall ~ A Summary. Bulletin
          of the American Meteorological Society, 60:1048-1058.
                                             19
    

    -------
           Fractal Dimension as an Indicator of Human Disturbance in
                                 Galveston Bay, Texas
    
                             Amy J. Liu1'3, Guy N. Cameron2*
             1. Department of Biology, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204
    2. Department of Biological Sciences, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45221-0006
        3. Present address: National Risk Management Research Laboratory, MS 690, US EPA,
                                     Cincinnati, OH 45268
    ABSTRACT
    High productivity and accessibility to humans have made coastal wetlands attractive sites for
    human settlements. This study analyzed the wetland landscape patterns in Galveston Bay,
    Texas. The study described the relationships between the fractal dimension and factors which
    affect the wetland landscapes: land use, vegetation type, size, location, and level of human
    disturbance. The perimeter-area method was used to calculate the fractal dimension. There was
    a significant difference in the fractal dimension of wetlands when classified according to land
    use, vegetation type, size, and level of human disturbance. Furthermore, increasing the size of
    the road buffers did not have a significant effect on the fractal dimension of wetlands. These
    results will be important in determining how wetlands can be managed as natural resources and
    nature reserves.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    Wetlands are amongst the most important of the world's ecosystems. They play a significant
    role in supporting higher levels of biological diversity, as well as primary and secondary
    productivity, modulate flows of water, nutrients, and materials across the landscape, and
    provide wildlife habitat (Holland et al., 1991). If wetlands are to be properly used and protected,
    it is important that their spatial properties be well-understood and monitored.
    
    Shaw and Fredine (1956) estimated that 35% of the wetlands in the  United States had been lost
    by the 1950s, and Frayer et al. (1983) estimated a net loss of more than 3.7 million hectares, or
    8.5%, between the 1950s and 1970s. Dahl and Johnson (1991) measured a net loss of 1.5%, or
    28,400 hectares, between the 1970s and 1980s. These estimates of wetland losses provide an
    incomplete picture of the dynamics of change because they only describe the area of wetlands
    

    -------
    lost to agriculture, industry, and urban development and do not show the conversion of wetlands
    from one land use class to another by human activities. From 1970s to the mid-1980s, there
    was a net gain in freshwater marshes, despite the destruction of approximately 200,000
    hectares, because 288,800 hectares of swamps were converted to freshwater marshes (Dahl
    and Johnson, 1991).
    
    Human activities are the principal causes of loss of wetland (Craig et al., 1979). Wetland
    hydrology, such as drainage conditions and circulation patterns, makes wetlands more sensitive
    than woodlands to highway construction activities (McLeese and Whiteside, 1977). Land is lost
    in coastal areas through flood control measures, agricultural practices, and canal construction
    (Gagliano, 1973; Craig et  al., 1979). Construction of canals and roads which establish
    permanent barriers to the  growth of a particular land patch also will change the nature of the
    interaction with adjacent patches of land and will prevent the patch from becoming the dominant
    patch in the landscape (Forman et al., 1986). Therefore, because of the significant effect of land
    losses to wetland spatial dynamics, it is important to examine the space occupation properties
    (fractal properties) found in wetland ecosystems.
    
    Fractals are based on the premise that a measure assigned to an object depends on the
    object's appropriate dimension. The fractal dimension describes the  relationship between a
    quantity Q, and the length scale, L, over which Q is measured, where Q(L)=LDq, and Dq is the
    fractal dimension. Dq describes how the quantity Q varies with scale. Hence, for larger values of
    Dq, the length changes faster because the curve is more complex.
    
    Having a useful knowledge of fractal dimensions has several implications for ecologists. First,
    the probability of an organism encountering a boundary increases as the fractal dimension of
    the patch increases (Weins, 1992). Second, the functionality of an ecotone is dependent on the
    surface area over which the ecotone extends. Since the fractal dimension is a more accurate
    measure of length (and thus, surface area), the functionality of a wetland patch is directly tied to
    its fractal dimension (Kent and Wong, 1982). Third, organisms requiring a particular amount of
    edge habitat may be restricted if the fractal dimension of a wetland patch falls below a critical
    threshold (Henderson et al., 1985). Fourth, an important feature of a fractal curve or surface is
    that its length or area becomes disproportionately large as the unit of measurement is
    decreased (Mandelbrot, 1977).
    
    * To whom correspondence should be addressed.
    

    -------
    Krummel et al. (1987) evaluated the fractal dimension (D) of patterns of deciduous forests in
    Mississippi using the perimeter/area method on aerial photographs. Their analysis revealed that
    small areas of forest tended to be smoother (D = 1.20), while larger areas had more complex
    boundaries (D = 1.52). This was interpreted to indicate that human disturbances predominated
    at smaller scales,  allowing for smoother geometry and a lower fractal dimension, while natural
    processes tended to predominate at larger scales. Bradbury et al. (1984) investigated the
    possibility of hierarchical scaling in an Australian coral reef. They detected three ranges of
    scales, which corresponded with the scales of three major reef structures: individual coral
    colonies (D = 1.1), whole adult living colonies (D = 1.05), and groves and buttresses (D = 1.15).
    Since the major effect of low fractal dimension is to reduce the intimacy of contact of the living
    surface of the reef with the surrounding water, the authors speculated that corals attempted, at
    the adult colony level, to reduce the level of their contact with the medium.
    
    As with any mathematical representation of nature, fractal geometry is an attempt to search for
    order in the complex patterns characterizing living systems. Life  is composed of interactions and
    fluxes of matter, energy and information through interfaces, which suggest an "interpenetration
    volume" between two adjacent interacting elements. These interfaces, Frontier (1987)
    suggested, were neither surfaces or volumes, but fractals.
    
    Fractals, then, seem to be an appropriate tool for investigating wetlands, since wetlands are
    contact zones between terrestrial and aquatic systems -- they are characterized by fluxes of
    energy and matter (nutrients and hydrology). Only recently has there been an appreciation for
    the ways in which ecotones frequently intensify or concentrate these activities. Johnston (1991)
    determined the net effect of wetlands on water quality, reporting  that retention of nitrogen in
    natural freshwater wetlands ranged from  14 to 100%, and retention of phosphorus ranged from
    4 to 80%.  Peterjohn et al. (1984) found that riparian forests in the eastern United States exerted
    major influences on the flow of nitrogen and phosphorus as these chemicals moved from
    agricultural fields across forests and into  streams. Much of the nitrogen and phosphorus was
    captured in the vegetation and soils of the riparian ecotone, with 60-75% of all nutrients
    captured occurring in the first 20 m of the riparian forest ecotone. The surface area of the
    contact zone, then, is important in the economy of the surrounding ecosystems and watersheds.
    The surface area of the contact zone depends on the length of the boundary, or, more precisely,
    on its fractal dimension (where length is not uniquely  defined and depends on the scale at which
    

    -------
    it is being measured).
    Changes in landscape patterns may relate to the flows of material or energy across landscapes.
    For example, erosional processes, or sediment movement across landscapes and the
    abundance and distribution of wildlife might be predictable using indices of landscape pattern
    (Turner, 1987). Species that favor or require particular types of edges may decline if the amount
    of edge (which is directly related to the fractal dimension) declines, whereas species requiring
    extensive areas of land may benefit from the increasing size of patches (Henderson et al.,
    1985).
    
    However, few studies have examined the importance of fractal dimensions in wetlands. The
    amount of wetland edge was closely related to the size of the harvest of offshore shrimp
    (Browder et al.,  1989), and the rate of water loss from small sloughs varied directly with the
    length of shoreline per unit area (Millar, 1971). In addition, fractal dimension was significantly
    related to the level of human impact for riparian forests in Iowa (Rex and Malanson, 1990).
    Wickham et al.'s (1994) findings that the fractal dimension of wetlands increased with the
    number of agriculture and residential land cover components contrasted with the expected
    decrease in fractal dimension, with an increase in surrounding agricultural and human land use
    increased (Forman et al., 1986; Kummel et al., 1987).
    
    While previous studies have linked size, presence of disturbance,  and organizational structure,
    to shape complexity in ecological systems, the present study broadens the scope of fractal
    analysis by examining the relationships between ecological and anthropogenic processes and
    spatial patterns  in coastal wetlands. Specific objectives included:
    
       •   Describe the relationship between the fractal dimension and specific factors which affect
           wetland landscapes, such as land use (wetland vs. non-wetland), vegetation type, size
           of wetland, location of wetland, and  level of human disturbance or impact.
    
       •   Present a methodology to evaluate the effects of anthropogenic scaling which will be
           helpful in formulating hypotheses concerning the spatial scales of process-pattern
           interactions.
    

    -------
    METHODS
    Digitized maps of wetlands in the Galveston Bay were obtained from the United States National
    Wetlands Inventory (NHI) database. A wetland was defined as "land where saturation with water
    is the dominant factor determining the nature of soil development and the types of plant and
    animal communities living in the soil and on its surface" (Coward in et al., 1979). Descriptions of
    the NHI classifications (Coward in et al.,  1979) were used to group wetlands down to class into
    different vegetation types, which constituted a wetland patch. Thirty-one 7.5 minute topographic
    quadrangles comprised the area surrounding Galveston Bay: Harris County, Chambers County,
    Galveston County, and Brazoria County. Quadrangles were edge matched and merged using
    ARC/INFO and ARCEDIT, and wetland sites were selected for analysis in the following
    categories: land use (wetland vs. non-wetland), vegetation type, size (large vs.  small), location
    (palustrine vs. estuarine), and level of disturbance (Rex and Malanson, 1990). For the size
    comparison,  all wetland patches in the study set of wetlands in the Galveston Bay system  were
    used. For the level of disturbance studies, digitized road maps which detailed the transportation
    uses of land  down to residential streets around the Galveston Bay system were obtained from
    the Texas Department of Transportation  (TxDOT).
    
    Perimeter and area information of each wetland patch or polygon were obtained from the
    digitized maps using ARC/INFO. The degree of complexity of a polygon was characterized by
    the fractal dimension D, such that the perimeter P of a patch was  related to the area A of the
    same patch by P = A(D/2). The perimeter-area method for calculating fractal dimensions
    regressed log(P) on log(A) to evaluate D. The fractal dimension of each data set of wetland
    polygons (described below) was estimated by regressing the logarithm of polygon perimeter on
    the logarithm of polygon area (Mandelbrot 1977; Kummel  et al.  1987). The fractal dimension
    was computed as twice the regression slope. Regression  slopes were compared by testing for
    homogeneity of slope and homogeneity of elevation using an analysis of covariance (Snedecor
    et al., 1980). Each data set (for vegetation type) included at least  30 data points (wetlands or
    polygons) for inclusion in the data analysis (for statistical robustness). Tukey's HSD test was
    used to compare which pairs of regression slopes were significantly different in the comparison
    of vegetation type.
    
    Vegetation type comparisons: Wetlands were grouped according  to vegetation  types, which are
    described in  the attribute table of each digitized map coverage:  estuarine intertidal emergent,
    

    -------
    estuarine intertidal scrub-shrub, palustrine emergent, palustrine scrub-shrub, and palustrine
    forested wetlands (Coward in et al., 1979). Estuarine intertidal emergent wetlands are salt
    marshes (inundated with water of salinity > 0.5 %o) consisting of herbaceous plants, such as
    Spartina alterniflora (smooth cordgrass), Distichlis spicata (spike grass), and Juncus
    roemerianus (needlegrass rush). Estuarine intertidal scrub-shrub wetlands are salt marshes with
    woody vegetation that is < 6 m (20 feet) in height, such as Iva frutescens (big-leaf sumpweed)
    and Baccharis halimifolia (sea-myrtle). Palustrine emergent wetlands are freshwater marshes
    (inundated with water of salinity < 0.5 %o) consisting of herbaceous plants, such as Spartina
    patens (saltmeadow cordgrass),  Scirpus californicus (California bulrush), and Phragmites
    australis (common reed). Palustrine scrub-shrub wetlands are freshwater marshes with woody
    vegetation that is < 6 m (20 feet) in height, such as Salix nigra (black willow) and Sapium
    sebiferum (Chinese tallow). Palustrine forested wetlands are freshwater marshes with woody
    vegetation that is > 6 m (20 feet) in height, such as Taxodium distichum (bald cypress),
    FraxinusPennsylvania (green ash), and Acer rubrum (red  maple).
    
    Land use comparsions: Wetland polygons consisted of polygons from the vegetation types
    described above. Non-wetland polygons consisted of all upland areas in the data set.
    
    Location comparisons: Estuarine wetlands consist of salt and brackish marshes, including
    coastal wetlands, and  palustrine wetlands are inland or freshwater wetlands (White et al., 1993;
    Mitsch and Gosselink, 1993; Moulton et al., 1997).
    
    Size comparisons: All wetland patches (n=3101) were ranked according to area. The largest
    third (1000) was designated as large wetlands, and the smallest third (1000) was designated as
    small wetlands.
    
    Comparison of level of disturbance: Human impact can be evidenced by the amount of
    transportation corridors (roads and railroads). The most recent NHI wetland coverage (1989)
    was overlaid with digital TxDOT road coverages. The roads coverage from TxDOT was buffered
    to explore the extent of road effects on wetland boundaries, using: a 10-m buffer, a 25-m buffer,
    a 50-m buffer,  and a 100-m buffer. The wetland coverage was then overlaid with a buffered road
    coverage, resulting in a coverage containing segments of wetland boundary which fell into the
    road buffer. The level of disturbance surrounding  a patch of wetland was defined as the percent
    of the wetland  perimeter that had clear evidence of impact (a wetland boundary which fell into
    

    -------
    the road/railroad buffer region). The percentage of impact was quantified as a ratio: the length of
    the impact divided by the total perimeter of the wetland polygon. This method of measuring the
    level of disturbance was similar to that described in Rex and Malanson (1990). Wetlands were
    then ranked according to the percentage of impact, divided into thirds, and classified into a low,
    medium, or high category, based on the ranking.
    
    RESULTS
    Fractal dimension of wetlands. There was a significant difference in the fractal dimensions of
    wetlands with different vegetation types (F=3.97, df=4, P=0.0032; Table 1). The palustrine
    forested wetlands had the highest fractal dimension (0=1.358), and the estuarine scrub-shrub
    wetlands had the lowest fractal dimension (0=1.224). Comparisons of the fractal dimensions of
    the wetland types divided the wetlands into three groups: estuarine intertidal  emergent and
    palustrine emergent; palustrine scrub-shrub and palustrine forested; and estuarine scrub-shrub.
    The intercepts of the regressions (used in calculating the fractal dimensions of wetlands of
    different vegetation types) were significantly different (F=12.90, df=4, P=0.0001). There was no
    significant difference in the fractal dimensions of estuarine and palustrine wetlands (F=0.11,
    df=1, P=0.7431, Table 2). However, there was a significant difference in the intercepts of these
    two regressions (F=37.06, df=1, P=0.0001). The fractal dimension of the 1000 smallest wetland
    polygons (area=196 m2 to 3782 m2; 0=1.136) was significantly smaller than the fractal
    dimension of the 1000 largest wetland polygons (area=17,016 m2 to 37,609,893 m2; 0=1.344;
    F=46.32, df=1, P=0.0001; Table 3). There was no significant difference in the intercepts of the
    regressions (F=0.04, df=1, P=0.8381). Wetlands had a significantly higher fractal dimension
    (1.324) than non-wetlands (1.228; F=211.74, df=1,  P=0.0001; Table 4). There was also a
    significant difference in the intercepts of these regressions (F=13.94, df=1, P=0.0002).
    
    Wetlands with a high degree of impact had a significantly lower fractal dimension than wetlands
    with a low degree of impact; this trend was also  present in wetlands when I used a 10, 25, 50, or
    100-meter buffer (Tables 5-8;  cf. 1.366 vs. 1.254 in Table 6). In addition, wetlands that were
    classified as having a low level of impact did not have a significantly different fractal dimension
    when the size of the road buffer changed (F=0.08, df=3, P=0.9728; Table 9).  This was also true
    for wetlands classified as having a medium level of impact and a high level of impact (Tables
    10-11).
    

    -------
    DISCUSSION
    Wetlands had a significantly higher fractal dimension than non-wetlands (Table 7). This
    difference may be related to the fact that wetlands are formed by natural processes which form
    complexly folded boundaries. Certain topological and hydrological patterns, such as tides and
    storm surges, may be generated by diffusion processes which result in a convoluted boundary.
    On the other hand, non-wetlands are more often bounded by residential areas, agricultural
    fields, road constructions, and drainages which shape the boundaries in a more linear fashion.
    
    The fractal dimensions of different wetland types also differed (Table 1). One conclusion might
    relate this difference to the location (or salinity level) of the wetlands. However, the fractal
    dimension of coastal wetlands was not significantly different than the fractal dimension of inland
    wetlands (Table 2). Data on the vegetation types indicate that wetlands with woody vegetation
    had a significantly different fractal dimension than wetlands with herbaceous vegetation.
    Palustrine forested wetlands usually occur along rivers and streams, whose edges were formed
    by natural factors. Palustrine forested and palustrine scrub-shrub wetlands may require more
    nutrients to support their higher biomass than the herbaceous plants do; thus, a longer and
    more complex edge may facilitate the flow and intake of nutrients into their systems.
    
    Fractal dimension differed for small patches compared with large patches of wetlands (Table 3),
    supporting the results of previous studies (Kummel et al., 1987; Bradbury et al.,  1984) and
    suggesting that two separate processes ~ natural and anthropogenic ~ may have operated to
    create these patch shapes. These differences may imply changes in spatial scale in the
    underlying processes that control the shape complexity of wetland patches in the Galveston Bay
    (Kummel etal., 1987).
    
    There was a significant difference between the intercepts of the regressions  slopes used to
    calculate the fractal dimension  for all comparisons except for those comparing size and road
    buffers (Tables 3, and 9-11, respectively). In creating fractal landscapes, Milne (1992) asserted
    that it was important to interpret the intercepts of the regression slopes, which "relates to the
    sheer preponderance of the pattern relative to the extent of the map" within which the pattern
    occurs. A small value for the intercept with a high fractal dimension indicates a relatively
    compact pattern occupying a small portion of the study region. A high value for the intercept
    with a low fractal dimension indicated a highly dispersed pattern spanning a majority of the
    

    -------
    study area. More research into the interplay between the intercept and the fractal dimension is
    needed to examine the topic of scale extrapolation.
    
    Wetlands that were heavily impacted by human disturbance had a significantly lower fractal
    dimension than wetlands that were not as heavily impacted (Tables 5-8). This was explained by
    the fact that heavily impacted wetlands usually were bounded by more roads and canals which
    had a rectilinear edge, exhibiting a lower fractal dimension. Previous studies have shown that
    the presence of human disturbance can affect the fractal geometry of a patch (Forman et al.,
    1986; Kummel et al.,  1987). The present study examined the effects of different levels of impact
    (roads and railroads)  on wetland boundaries. Roads have a significant impact on wetland
    ecosystems because they may reduce regional biodiversity by impeding migration of small
    mammals between local populations (Merriam  et al., 1989), modifying wetland hydrology and
    siltation patterns (Andrews,  1990), increasing the amount of edge in habitat patches (Soule,
    1992), increasing mortality through roadkills (Fahrig et al., 1995), facilitating the invasion of
    exotic species  (Lonsdale and Lane, 1994), and/or increasing human access to wildlife habitats
    (Young, 1994). Findlay et al. (1997) found that species richness of plants, birds,  and herptiles
    decreased as the density  of paved roads surrounding southern Ontario wetlands increased.
    
    Wetlands affected by the same level of impact  did not have significantly different fractal
    dimensions as the size of the road buffer increased (Tables 9-11). It seems that the effect of
    roads on wetland boundaries does not change as area between them increases  to 100 meters.
    Further research should be conducted to examine how different levels of impaction affect
    wetland cycles, community composition, and productivity.
    
    Since different levels  of human disturbance (Tables 5-8), different vegetation types (Table 1),
    and different wetland  sizes (Table 3) cause landscapes with different fractal dimensions, it
    would be interesting to examine whether different generative processes truly form landscape
    features with different fractal dimensions, and how these processes contribute to patch shape. A
    mathematical model describing the relative contribution of each factor to overall wetland patch
    shape may be  helpful in identifying the principal components of wetland change. This
    information would be  useful  for developing studies to determine interrelationships between
    ecological, hydrological, and anthropogenic processes operating at different spatial scales. For
    instance, how could fractal dimension serve as an index of the overall health of wetlands? Or,
    should fractal dimension be  an important parameter in the design of coastal wetlands? Minello
    

    -------
    et al. (1994) stated that "both marsh surface elevation and edge should be considered when
    designing salt marsh habitats," since edge habitat is used by high densities of nekton in coastal
    salt marshes. Data show that vegetation along the marsh edge is used to a greater extent than
    inner marsh habitat (Peterson and Turner, 1994). Since the fractal dimension is a more accurate
    description of edge length, perhaps fractal wetlands offer a practical solution to the design of
    new wetlands. Further research should define and resolve to these processes and form the
    basis of recommendations about how wetlands can be better managed as natural resources
    and nature reserves.
          Table 1. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands by Vegetation Type
                      (Different superscripts indicate significant difference)
    Wetland Type
    D
    R-Squared   Residual MS    n
    (a)
    (b)
    (c)
    (d)
    (e)
    Estuarine
    Estuarine
    Palustrine
    Palustrine
    Palustrine
    Intertidal Emergent
    Scrub-Shrub
    Emergent
    Forested
    Scrub-Shrub
    1.322
    1.224
    1.314
    1.358
    1.340
    1
    2
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    .2141
    .5707
    .1934
    .0049
    .0790
    0.97
    0.95
    0.96
    0.95
    0.94
    0.05474
    0.04177
    0.05511
    0.06328
    0.04634
    1164
    108
    1267
    243
    314
    Comparison of slopes: F=3.97, P=0.0032 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=12.90, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
              Table 2. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands by Location
    Location       D            a             R-Squared    Residual MS   n
    Coastal
    Inland
    1 .3204
    1 .3234
    0.2184
    0.1520
    0.97
    0.95
    0.05452
    0.05480
    1273
    1826
    Comparison of slopes: F=0.11, P=0.7431 (no significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=37.06, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
                                                   10
    

    -------
    Size
    Table 3. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands by Size
    
     _D            a	R-squared     Residual MS     n
    Small
    Large
    1.136
    1.344
    0.9000
    0.0741
    0.90
    0.89
    0.01096
    0.11244
    1000
    1000
    Comparison of slope: F=46.32, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=0.04, P=0.8381 (no significant difference)
           Table 4. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands vs. Non-Wetlands
    
    Category	D	a	R-sguared      Residual MS   n
    Non-Wetlands
    Wetlands
    1.228
    1.324
    0.5617
    0.1700
    0.97
    0.96
    0.2860
    0.5531
    2881
    3100
    Comparison of slopes: F=211.74, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=13.94, P=0.0002 (significant difference)
                Table 5. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands Impacted
    
                                     by a  10-meter Road Buffer
    Cateaorv
    Low impact
    Medium impact
    High impact
    D
    1.366
    1.310
    1.254
    a
    0.0244
    0.2500
    0.3740
    R-sauared
    0.97
    0.95
    0.95
    Residual MS
    0.08032
    0.04334
    0.02538
    n
    210
    210
    209
    Comparison of slopes: F=7.38, P=0.0007 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=23.08, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
                                                     11
    

    -------
                Table 6. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands Impacted
                                    by a 25-meter Road Buffer
    Cateaorv
    Low impact
    Medium impact
    High impact
    D a R-sauared
    1.376 -0.0330 0.97
    1.316 0.2319 0.95
    1.254 0.3769 0.95
    Residual MS
    0.07891
    0.04320
    0.02475
    n
    220
    220
    220
    Comparison of slopes: F=9.46, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=21.73, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Table 7.
    Cateaorv
    Low impact
    Medium impact
    High impact
    Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of
    by a 50-meter Road Buffer
    D a R-sauared
    1.376 -0.023 0.97
    1.318 0.234 0.96
    1.236 0.456 0.96
    Wetlands Impacted
    Residual MS n
    0.0795 235
    0.0406 235
    0.02313 234
    
    
    
    
    Comparison of slopes: F=13.42, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=28.05, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Table 8.
    Cateaorv
    Low impact
    Medium impact
    High impact
    Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of
    by a 1 00-meter Road Buffer
    D a R-sauared
    1.374 -0.0159 0.96
    1.300 0.3161 0.95
    1.238 0.4477 0.95
    Wetlands Impacted
    Residual MS
    0.09199
    0.03713
    0.02449
    
    n
    265
    265
    265
    Comparison of slopes: F=13.54, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=29.86, P=0.0001 (significant difference)
                                                    12
    

    -------
                Table 9. Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands That Are
                            Low Impacted with Various Road Buffers
    Cateaorv
    1 0-meter buffer
    25-meter buffer
    50-meter buffer
    1 00-meter buffer
    Comparison of slopes: F=0
    Comparison of intercept (a]
    Table 10.
    Cateaorv
    1 0-meter buffer
    25-meter buffer
    50-meter buffer
    1 00-meter buffer
    D
    1.366
    1.376
    1.376
    1.374
    .08, P=0.
    i: F=0.08
    a R-squared
    0.0244 0.97
    -0.0330 0.97
    -0.023 0.97
    -0.0159 0.96
    9728 (no significant difference)
    , P=0.9729 (no significant difference)
    Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of
    Medium Impacted with Various Road
    D
    1.310
    1.316
    1.318
    1.300
    Comparison of slopes: F=0.41, P=0.
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=1.18
    Table 11.
    Category
    1 0-meter buffer
    25-meter buffer
    50-meter buffer
    1 00-meter buffer
    a R-sauared
    0.2500 0.95
    0.2319 0.95
    0.2340 0.96
    0.3161 0.95
    7441 (no significant difference)
    , P=0.3180 (no significant difference)
    Residual MS n
    0.08032 210
    0.07891 220
    0.0795 235
    0.09199 265
    
    Wetlands That Are
    Buffers
    Residual MS
    0.04334
    0.04320
    0.04060
    0.02449
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    n
    210
    220
    235
    265
    
    Comparison of Fractal Dimension D of Wetlands That Are
    High Impacted with Various Road Buffers
    D
    1.250
    1.204
    1.236
    1.238
    a R-squared
    0.4451 0.96
    0.3769 0.96
    0.4566 0.96
    0.4487 0.95
    Residual MS
    0.02837
    0.02238
    0.02324
    0.02442
    n
    209
    220
    234
    265
    Comparison of slopes: F=1.17, P=0.3207 (no significant difference)
    Comparison of intercept (a): F=3.30, P=0.0199 (no significant difference)
                                                    13
    

    -------
    REFERENCES
    
    Anderson, J.R., E. E. Hardy, J. T. Roach, and R. E. Witman. 1976. A land use and land
          cover classification system for use with remote sensor data. U. S. Geological
          Survey, Prof. Paper 964.
    
    Andrews, A. 1990. Fragmentation of habitat by roads and utility corridors: a review.
          Australian Zoologist. 26: 130-141.
    
    Atlas, R. M., and R. Bartha. 1981. Microbial Ecology: Fundamentals and Applications.
          Addison-Welsy, Reading, Mass.
    
    Baker, W. L. 1989. Macro- and Micro-scale influences on riparian vegetation in Western
          Colorado. Annals of the Assoc. Amer. Geographers. 79: 65-78.
    
    Benton, A. R., W. Sell, and C. A. Clark. 1979. Monitoring and mapping of Texas coastal
          wetlands: Galveston Bay and Sabine areas. Technical Report RBC-102.
    
    Bradbury,  R. H., R. E. Richest, and  D. G. Green. 1984. Facials in ecology: methods and
          interpretation. Marine Ecology - Progress Series. 14: 295-295.
    
    Brand, F., and J. Cohen. 1987. Environmental correlates of food chain length.  Science.
          238:956-960.
    
    Broader, J. A., L. N. May, A. Rosenthal, and J. G. Gosselink. 1989. Modeling future
          trends in wetland loss and brown shrimp production in Louisiana using thematic
          mapper imagery. Remote Sensing of Environment. 56: 871-886.
    
    Bruce, K. A., G. N. Cameron, P. A. Harcombe, G. Jubinsky.  1997. Introduction,
                Impact on Native Habitats, and Management of a Woody Invader, the
          Chinese Tallow Tree, Sapium sebiferum. Natural Areas Journal.  13: 255-260.
    
    Burgess,  R. L., and D. M. Sharpe. (eds) 1981. Forest Island Dynamics in Man-
          Dominated Landscapes. Springer, New York.
    
    Burrough, P. A. 1981. Fractal dimensions of landscapes and other environmental data.
          Nature. 294: 240-242.
    
    Coward in, L. M., V. Carter, F. C. Golet, and E. T. LaRoe. 1979. Classification  of
                Wetlands and Deepwater Habitats of the United States. U.S. Fish &
          Wildlife Service Pub. FWS/OBS-79/31, Washington, D.C.
    
    Craig, N.  J., R.  E. Turner, and J. W. Day Jr. 1979. Land loss in coastal Louisiana
          (U.S.A.). Environmental Management. 3:133-144.
                                             14
    

    -------
    Dahl, T. E. 1990. Wetland Losses in the United States, 1780s to 1980s. U.S.
          Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Washington, D. C.
    
    Dahl, T. E., and C. E. Johnson. 1991. Wetland Status and Trends in the Conterminous
          United States Mid-1970s to mid-1980s.  U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and
          Wildlife Service, Washington, D.C.
    
    Diamond, J. M. 1975. The island  dilemma: lessons of modern biogeographic studies for
          the design of natural reserves. Biological Conservation. 7: 129-145.
    
    Fahrig, L, J. H.  Pedlar, S. E. Pope, P. D. Taylor, and J. F. Wegner. 1995. Effect of road
          traffic on amphibian density. Biological Conservation. 72: 1-6.
    
    Findlay, C. S., and Jeff Houlahan. 1997. Anthropogenic correlates of species richness in
          southern  Ontario wetlands. Conservation Biology. 11: 1000-1009.
    
    Forman, R. T. T., and M.  Godron. 1986. Landscape Ecology. John Wiley & Sons,  New
          York.
    
    FRAGSTATS. Version 2.0. 1994. McGarigal, K, and B. J. Marks. FRAGSTATS: Spatial
          Pattern Analysis Program for Quantifying Landscape Structure.
    
    Frayer, W. E., T. J. Monahan, D.  C. Bowden, F. A. Graybill. 1983. Status and Trends of
          Wetlands and Deepwater Habitat in the Conterminous United States, 1950s to
          1970s. Dept. of Forest and Wood Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort
          Collins.
    
    Frissell, C. A., W. J. Liss, C. E. Warren, and M. D. Hurley. 1986. A hierarchical
          framework for stream habitat classification: viewing streams in a watershed
          context. Environmental Management. 10: 199-214.
    
    Frontier, S. 1987. Applications of fractal theory to ecology. P. and L. Legendre, eds.
          Developments in Numerical Ecology. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp. 335-378.
    
    Gagliano, S. M.  1973. Canals, dredging, and land reclamation  in the Louisiana coastal
          zone. Hydrologic and Geologic Studies of Coastal Louisiana,  Rept. No. 14.
          Coastal Resources Unit. Center for Wetland Resources, Louisiana State
          University, Baton,  Rouge,  LA.
    
    Gagliano, S. M., K. J. Meyer-Arendt, and K. M. Wicker. 1981. Land loss in the
          Mississippi River deltaic plain. Trans. Gulf Coast Assoc. Geol. Soc. 31:295-300.
    
    Gibbs,  J. P. 1993. Importance of  small wetlands for the persistence of local populations
          of wetland-associated animals. Wetlands. 13: 25-31.
                                              15
    

    -------
    Glaser, P. H. 1987. The Ecology of Patterned Boreal Peatlands of Northern Minnesota:
          A Community Profile. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service Report. Report 85 (7.14)
          Washington, D.C.
    
    Gosselink, J. G., and R. E. Turner. 1978. The role of hydrology in freshwater wetland
          ecosystems. Freshwater Wetlands: Ecological Processes and Management
          Potential. R. E. Good, D. F. Whigham, and R. L. Simpson, eds. Academic Press,
          New York. pp. 63-78.
    
    Gosselink, J. G., M. M Brinson, L. C. Lee, and G. T. Auble. 1990a. Human activities and
          ecological processes in bottomland hardwood ecosystems: the report of the
          ecosystem workgroup in Ecological Processes and Cumulative Impacts:
          Illustrated by Bottomland Hardwood Wetland Ecosystems. J. G. Gosselink, L. C.
          Lee, and T. A Muir eds. Lewis Publishers, Chelsea, Mich. pp. 549-598.
    
    Hanski, I., and M. E. Gilpin. 1991. Metapopulation dynamics: brief history and
          conceptual domain. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society.  42: 3-16.
    
    Hastings, H. M., R. Pekelney, R. Monticciolo, D. Vun Kannon, and D. Del Monte. 1982.
          Time scales, persistence and patchiness. BioSystems. 15: 281-289.
    
    Henderson, M. T., G. Merriam, and J. Wegner. 1985. Patchy environments and species
          survival:  chipmunks in an agricultural mosaic.  Biol. Conserv. 31: 95-105.
    
    Holland, M. M, P. G. Risser, and R. J. Naiman. 1991. Ecotones:  The  Role of Landscape
          Boundaries in the Management and Restoration of Changing Environment.
          Chapman & Hall, New York.
    
    Johnson, R. R., and C. H. Lowe. 1985. On the development of riparian ecology.
          Riparian Ecosystems and Their Management. R. R. Johnson et al., U. S.
          Department of Agriculture,  Forest Service, General Tech. Report RM-120.
          Washington, D. C.  pp. 112-116.
    
    Johnston, C. A. 1991. Sediment and nutrient retention by freshwater wetlands: effects
          on surface water quality. Critical Reviews in Environmental Control. 21: 491-565.
    
    Kent, C., and J. Wong. 1982. An index of littoral zone complexity and its measurement.
          Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science. 39: 847-853.
    
    Korcak, J. 1938. Bull. Inst. Int. Stat. III. 295-299.
    
    Kummel, J. R.,  R.  H. Gardner, G.  Sugihara,  R. V. OONeill, and P. R.  Coleman. 1987.
          Landscape patterns in a disturbed environment.  Oikos. 48: 321-324.
    
    Lam, N. S. N., and L. De Cola. 1993. Facials in Geography.  Prentice-Hall, Inc.,
          Englewood, New Jersey.
                                             16
    

    -------
    Laurance, W. F. 1991. Edge effects in tropical forest fragments: application of a model
          for the design of nature reserves. Biological Conservation. 57: 295-219.
    
    Laurance, W. F. and E. Yensen. 1991. Predicting the impacts of edge effects in
          fragmented habitats. Biological Conservation. 55: 77-92.
    
    Li, H. and Reynolds, J.F. A simulation experiment to quantify spatial heterogeneity in
          categorical maps. Ecology, 75(8): 2446-2455.
    
    Loehle, C. 1983. The fractal  dimension and ecology. Speculations in Science and
          Technology, 6: 131-142.
    
    Lonsdale, W.M., and Lane, A.M. 1994. Tourist vehicles as vectors of weed seeds in
          Kakadu National  Park, North Australia. Biological Conservation, 69: 277-283.
    
    Lovejoy, S.  1982. Area-perimeter relation for rain and cloud areas. Science,  216: 185-
          187.
    
    MacArthur,  R.H., and Wilson, E.G. 1967. The Theory of Island Biogeography. Princeton
          University Press,  Princeton, New Jersey.
    
    Mandelbrot, B.B. 1977. Facials: Form, Chance, and Dimension. Freeman, San
          Francisco.
    
    McGarigal,  K., and Marks, B. J. 1994. FRAGSTATS: Spatial Pattern Analysis Program
          for Quantifying Landscape Structure. Version 2.0.
    
    McLeese, R.L., and Whiteside, E.P. 1977. Ecological effects of highway construction
          upon Michigan woodlots soil relationships. Journal of Environmental Quality, 6:
          467-471.
    
    Meltzer, M.I., and Hastings, H.M. 1992. The use of facials to assess the ecological
          impact of increased cattle production: case study from the Runde Communal
          Land, Zimbabwe. Journal of Applied Ecology, 29: 635-646.
    
    Merriam, G., M.  Kozakiewicz, M., Tsuchiyia, E. and Hawley, K.. 1989. Barriers as
          boundaries for metapopulations and demes of Peromyscus leucopus in farm
          landscapes.  Landscape Ecology, 2: 227-235.
    
    Millar, J.B. 1971. Shoreline-area ratio as a factor in rate of water loss from small
          sloughs. Journal of Hydrology,  14: 259-284.
    
    Milne, B.T.  1991. The utility of fractal  geometry in landscape design. Landscape and
          Urban Planning, 21: 81-90.
                                              17
    

    -------
    Milne, B.T. 1992. Spatial aggregation and neutral models in fractal landscapes. The
          American Naturalist, 139: 32-57.
    
    Minello, T.J., Zimmerman, R.J. and R. Medina, R. 1994. The importance of edge for
          natant macrofauna  in a created salt marsh. Wetlands, 14:184-198.
    
    Mitsch, W.J., and Gosselink, J.G. 1993. Wetlands. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New
          York.
    
    Moulton, D.W., Dahl, T.E.  and Dall, D. M.  1997. Texas Coastal Wetlands: Status and
          Trends, Mid-1950s  to Early 1990s.  U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife
          Service, Southwestern Region, Albuquerque, New Mexico.
    
    Neill, C., and Deegan, L. A.. 1986. The effect of Mississippi River delta lobe
          development on the habitat community and diversity of Louisiana coastal
          wetlands. American Midi. Naturalist, 116: 296-303.
    
    O'Neill, R.V., Kummel, J.R., Gardner, R.H., Sugihara, G., Jackson, B.,    DeAngelis,
          D.L., Milne, B.T.,  Turner, M.G., Zygmunt, B., Christiensen, S.W., Dale, V.H., and
          Graham, R.L.. 1988. Indices of landscape pattern. Landscape Ecology, 1: 153-
          162.
    
    Palmer, M.W. 1992. The coexistence of species in fractal landscapes. The American
          Naturalist. 139: 375-397.
    
    Patterson, B.D. 1987. The principle of nested subsets and its implications for biological
          conservation. Conservation Biology, 1: 323-334.
    
    Peterjohn, W.T. and Correll, D.L. 1984. Nutrient dynamics in an agricultural watershed:
          observation on the role of a riparian forest. Ecology, 65: 1466-1475.
    
    Peterson, G.W., and Turner, R.E. 1994. The value of salt marsh edge vs. interior as a
          habitat for fish and decapod crustaceans in a Louisiana tidal marsh. Estuaries,
          17:235-262.
    
    Pinay, G., and Decamps, H. 1988. The role of riparian  woods in regulating nitrogen
          fluxes between the  alluvial aquifer and surface water: a conceptual model. Regul.
          Rivers Res. & Management, 2: 507-516.
    
    Rex, K.D. and Malanson, G.P. 1990. The fractal shape of riparian forests. Landscape
          Ecology, 4: 249-258.
    
    Radforth, N.W. 1962. Organic terrain and  geomorphology. Can. Geogr, 6(3-4): 166-
          171.
                                              18
    

    -------
    Risser, P.G. 1995. The status of the science of examining ecotones. BioScience, 45:
          318-325.
    
    Rochefort, L, Vitt, D.H. and Bayley, S. E.. 1990. Growth, production, and decomposition
          dynamics of Spagnum under natural and experimentally acidified conditions.
          Ecology, 71: 1986-2000.
    
    SAS. 1982. User's Guide: Statistics. Statistical Analysis Systems, Gary, N.C.
    
    Scaife, W.W., Turner, R.E. and R. Costanza, R. 1983. Coastal Louisiana recent land
          loss and canal impacts. Environment Management, 7: 433-442.
    
    Schlesinger, W.H. 1978. Community structure, dynamics and nutrient cycling in the
          Okefenokee cypress swamp-forest. Ecological Monographs, 48: 43-66.
    
    Shaw, S.P., and Fredine, C.G. 1956. Wetlands of the United States, Their Extent, and
          Their Value for Waterfowl and Other Wildlife. U.S. Department of Interior, Fish
          and Wildlife Service, Circular 39, Washington, D.C.
    
    Shipley, F.S., and Kiesling,  R.W.  (eds). 1994. The State of the Bay: A Characterization
          of the Galveston Bay Ecosystem. The Galveston Bay National Estuary Program.
          Publication GBNEP-44.
    
    Simberloff, D.S. 1982. Big advantages of small refuges. Natural History, 91: 6-14.
    
    Snedecor, G.W.,  and Cochran, W. G. 1980. Statistical Methods. The Iowa State
          University Press, Ames. pp. 384-389.
    
    Soule, M.E., Alberts, A.C. and Bolger, D.T.. 1992. The effects of habitat fragmentation
          on chapparal plants and vertebrates. Oikos, 63: 39-47.
    
    Southworth, A.D. 1989. Conserving southeastern coastal wetlands. In Chandler,
          W.J.(ed), Audubon Wildlife Report 1989/1990. pp. 223-257. Academic Press,
          New York.
    
    Stone, J.H., Bayr, L.M. Jr., and Day, J.W. Jr. 1978. Effects of canals on freshwater
          marshes in coastal Louisiana and implications for management. In. Good, R.E.,
          Whigham, D.F., and  Simpson, R.L. (eds), Freshwater wetlands: ecological
          processes and management potential, pp. 299-320. Academic Press, New York.
    
    Sugihara, G., and May, R.M.. 1990. Applications of fractals in ecology. Trends in
          Ecology and Evolution, 5: 79-86.
    
    Turner, M.G. (ed). 1987. Landscape Heterogeneity and  Disturbance. Springer-Verlag,
          New York.
                                              19
    

    -------
    Turner, M.G. 1989. Landscape ecology: the effects of pattern on process. In. Johnston,
          R.F., Frank, P.W., and Michener, C.D. (eds), Annual Review of Ecology and
          Systematics. pp.  171-198. Annual Reviews, Inc., Palo Alto.
    
    Urban, D.L., O'Neill, R.F., and Shugart,  H.H. Jr. 1987. Landscape Ecology. BioScience,
          37: 119-127.
    
    Walker, D. 1970. Direction and rate in some British post-glacial hydroseres. In. Walker,
          D., and West, R.G. (eds), Studies in the Vegetational History of the British Isles.
          pp. 117-139. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    
    Warrick, R. A.,  Barrow, E. M. and Wigley, T. M. L.. 1993. Climate and sea level change:
          observations, projections and implications. Cambridge University Press,
          Cambridge.
    
    Weins, J. A. 1992. Ecological flows across landscape boundaries: a conceptual
          overview. /n/Hansen, A.J., and Di Castri, F. (eds), Landscape  Boundaries:
          Consequences for Biotic Diversity and Ecological Flows.  Ecological Studies 92.
          pp. 217-235. Springer-Verlag, New York.
    
    White, W.A., Tremblay, T. A., Wermund, E. G.  Jr., and Handley, L. R. 1993.
          Trends and Status of Wetland and Aquatic Habitats in the Galveston Bay
          System, Texas. Publication GBNEP-31. The Galveston Bay National Estuary
          Program.
    
    Wickham, J.D., and Norton, D.J. 1994. Mapping and analyzing landscape patterns.
          Landscape Ecology, 9: 7-23.
    
    Wilson, E.G. and Willis,  E.G. 1975. Applied biogeography. In.: Cody, M.L., and
          Diamonds, J.M. (eds), Ecology and the evolution of communities, pp. 522-534.
          Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
    
    Woodwell, G.M., Hall, C.A.S., Whitney, D.E., and Houghton, R.A.  1979. The Flax Pond
          ecosystem study: exchanges of inorganic nitrogen between an estuarine  marsh
          and Long Island Sound. Ecology, 60:695-702.
    
    Young, K.R. 1994. Roads and the environmental degradation of tropical montane
          forests. Conservation Biology, 8:  972-976.
                                              20
    

    -------
                    Environmental Risk Assessment Using GIS
               Issues of Scale, Resolution, Methodology, and Place
    Robert B. McMaster, Eric Sheppard, Helga Leitner, Hongguo Tian, and Jeffrey Matson
                                   Department of Geography
                                    University of Minnesota
    Abstract
    In studying the relationship between geographic information science/systems (GIS) and society,
    many, or even most, of the key issues-access, democratization, privacy-play themselves out in
    the area of environmental  risk assessment. In particular, the application of GIS-and spatial
    methodologies in general-in order to better understand a given population's exposure to
    technological hazards has increased rapidly over the past decade. Furthermore, the empirical
    geographical relationship between exposure to toxic chemicals, race and poverty in the  US has
    been shown  to vary dramatically depending on the definitions of risk and proximity used, the
    spatial scope or scale study area examined (neighborhood, inner city, metropolitan region, state
    or province, or nation state), and the geographical resolution of the data used in the analysis
    (whether the information analyzed is recorded for counties,  municipalities, census tracts, block
    groups or individual blocks). This environmental risk assessment project focuses specifically on
    our findings related to issues of scale, resolution, methodology, and place, obtained from an
    analysis of the Twin Cities Metropolitan region.
    
    Introduction
    In looking at  the relationship between geographic information  science/systems (GIS) and
    society, many, or even most, of the key issues-access, democratization, privacy-play
    themselves out in the area of environmental risk assessment. In particular, the application of
    GIS-and spatial methodologies in general-in order to better understand a given population's
    exposure to technological  hazards has increased rapidly over the past decade. One can point to
    a plethora of studies that have applied GIS to these human-produced hazards at a variety of
    scales and resolutions, and have applied significantly different spatial methodologies.
    Unfortunately, the effects of scale, resolution, and methodology are poorly understood.
    Additionally,  the place itself, as constructed through a complicated set of economic, political,
    social, and economic forces and relationships, has rarely been used to develop a deeper and
    

    -------
    historical sense of the intermingling of the hazards and communities/neighborhoods in which
    they exist. Our multiyear project is attempting to unravel some of these vexing problems.
    
    First we provide the context and definitions needed for our research. These definitions evolve
    from the growing literature on, and series of national-level events related to, environmental
    justice, including the 1979 environmental justice challenge to the siting of a waste facility by the
    City of Houston, Texas, the 1986 passage of the SARA Title III legislation, the 1987
    environmental justice study by the United Church of Christ, the 1992 establishment of the Office
    of Environmental Equity, and the 1994 Presidential Executive Order 12898 that requires federal
    agencies to adopt the principle of environmental justice in programmatic decisions.  A thorough
    review of the environmental justice movement may be found in Toxics Watch 1995 (Inform,
    1995). Since human environment hazards effect the air, water, and  soil, this project, based in
    the Twin Cities metropolitan region, utilizes a  series of hazardous materials sites, including TRI
    (Toxic Release Inventory), Superfund,  Petrofund, and Land Recycling. However, most of the
    methodological work involves the airborne toxic releases produced by the TRI sites. In order to
    assess potential exposure to such sites (remembering that while exposure can be roughly
    calculated, risk itself is based on a complicated set of physiological, historical, and toxicological
    variables) a set of both geodemographic (based on census data) and institutional populations
    were used. Whereas environmental risk assessment is the more comprehensive term that
    applies to assessing the relationships between all  types of environmental hazards and the
    humans impacted, environmental justice or injustice is the special case of assessing the
    unequal spatial distribution of hazardous  materials sites, where the assumption is that
    disadvantaged populations (the poor, minorities, the elderly) are disproportionately  affected. In
    our own work, these hazardous materials and population data have been analyzed  at a  variety
    of scales and resolutions, ranging from the regional seven-county level to the individual
    neighborhood level, using a variety of spatial  methodologies. This paper focuses specifically on
    our findings related to scale, resolution, methodology, and place. The empirical geographical
    relationship between exposure to toxic chemicals, race and poverty in the US has been  shown
    to vary dramatically depending on the definitions of risk and proximity used, the spatial scope or
    scale study area examined (neighborhood, inner city, metropolitan region,  state or province, or
    nation state), and the geographical resolution of the data used in the analysis (whether the
    information analyzed is recorded for counties, municipalities,  census tracts, block groups or
    individual  blocks). For a fuller analysis  of these differences see McMaster, Leitner and
    Sheppard (1997) and Mohai (1995).
    

    -------
    Scale
    Geographic scale is the extent of areal coverage used in an inquiry, and is applied in the
    opposite sense of cartographic scale, which is based on a strict mathematical relationship
    between map space and earth space using the representative fraction. Geographically, large
    scale represents larger areas; cartographically, large scale represents smaller areas (but with
    more detail). The misuse of these two terms causes significant confusion among the many
    interdisciplinary researchers that work in this area. Our work has looked at environmental justice
    issues at regional scales-the  seven-county metropolitan area--to the individual  neighborhood
    scale. Interpretations of environmental justice change as one looks at the  problem from these
    differing scales.
    
    Our work in Minneapolis suggests that spatial analysis of  environmental equity at different
    scales can help reveal different patterns. In this section, we examine the effect of scale on
    patterns, and its  implications for processes, holding both data resolution and definitions of
    proximity and vulnerable populations constant.
    
    Figures 1-4 show, respectively, the  relationships between race and proximity to Toxic Release
    Inventory sites for Phillips neighborhood, a racially diverse low income inner city neighborhood
    of Minneapolis; for the City of  Minneapolis itself; for Hennepin County, the metropolitan-wide
    county within which  Minneapolis is located but which also extends to the northern and western
    suburbs; and the entire seven-county metropolitan region. Although the use of the category
    "non-white" largely excludes the Hispanic population from our analysis, they represent only a
    very small presence in three districts of the Twin Cities metropolitan area.  For Phillips
    neighborhood and Minneapolis (Maps 1 and 2), there is no clear relation of proximity between
    TRI sites and non-white residential concentrations. Indeed for Minneapolis, TRI sites are
    disproportionately concentrated in northeastern Minneapolis, whereas communities of color
    are concentrated in  the near north side and in south Minneapolis, suggesting that TRI sites in
    fact are closer to white communities. At the scale of Hennepin County (Figure 3), however, the
    concentration of  communities  of color (within Minneapolis) overlaps with the largest cluster of
    TRI sites.  More generally, this map  shows that the concentration of both TRI sites and the
    non-white population decreases westward and northwestward from the City of Minneapolis.
    One could make the argument, therefore, that at this scale there is evidence of environmental
    injustice, as both TRI sites (nearly one-half) and populations of color are concentrated in the
    central city. The  regional map provides yet another picture (Figure 4). Here one can detect a
    

    -------
    toxic "corridor" that tends to follow the Mississippi River as it flows form the northwest, through
    the City of Minneapolis, and southeastward through southern Ramsey County and St. Paul.
    This  pattern tends to disperse itself as the distance from the river increases. The pattern
    undoubtedly illustrates the importance of the river in the early industrial history of the region.
                      Table 1. Percentage of persons living in poverty in
                           Block Groups with and without a TRI site.
    
    With
    TRI Site
    Without
    TRI Site
    All Metro
    counties
    10.54
    7.73
    Anoka
    6.95
    5.08
    Carver
    4.43
    4.83
    Dakota
    6.96
    4.09
    Hennepin
    12.62
    8.75
    Ramsey
    12.90
    10.91
    Scott
    3.67
    4.16
    Washington
    7.96
    4.05
    In light of this, it would be erroneous to conclude from the analysis of Phillips neighborhood, or
    Minneapolis, that there is environmental justice. This would commit a form of ecological fallacy
    by presuming that processes affecting the spatial distribution of populations and industrial sites
    only operate at the neighborhood scale. Even with no environmental injustice within Phillips
    neighborhood, neighborhood residents as a whole may be disproportionately exposed to toxic
    chemicals compared to others in the central cities; and almost certainly are more exposed
    than most suburban communities. Tables 1  and 2, which utilize the block-group level census
    data for the entire seven-county metropolitan region, show comparisons between those block-
    groups that contain,  and  do not contain, a TRI site for two census variables:  percentage of
    persons living in poverty  and percentage of  persons over age 16 unemployed.  As would be
    expected,  the most significant differences occur with the poverty comparison where, for
    instance, in Hennepin County 12.6% of the population that resides in a block-group with a TRI
    site lives in poverty compared with 8.7% in those block-groups without a TRI site.
                 Table 2. Percentage of persons over age 16 and unemployed
                          in Block Groups with and without a TRI site.
    
    With
    TRI Site
    Without
    TRI Site
    All Metro
    counties
    2.65
    2.61
    Anoka
    2.67
    2.79
    Carver
    1.39
    2.00
    Dakota
    2.72
    2.14
    Hennepin
    2.91
    2.72
    Ramsey
    2.40
    2.71
    Scott
    2.72
    2.14
    Washington
    2.55
    2.12
    

    -------
    These contrasting patterns can be explained by paying attention to the geographical
    processes of urban development underlying them, and in particular, to which kinds of
    processes dominate intra-urban patterns at different scales. The positive association between
    TRI sites and communities of color at the metropolitan scale (i.e., Hennepin County) reflects
    the history of suburbanization of selected population groups. The central city emerged early as
    a center of manufacturing, with areas zoned for this purpose. In part in reaction to the
    environmental consequences of living close to industries and the pollution and congestion
    associated with them, and taking advantage of new transportation technologies and of Federal
    subsidization of highway construction and house purchases, better-off white residents began
    to move out of the central city rapidly after the Second World War. It is well documented that
    suburbanization was much easier and more attractive for white and  middle-income people
    than for racial minorities and those in poverty. Indeed, suburbanization too often was a means
    to escape inner city neighborhoods with new African American and other minority inmigrants.
    
    Once suburbs were established, a variety of exclusionary and discriminatory practices often
    prevented minority and low income groups from moving to the suburbs. Inner city communities
    became,  in turn, places of protection and self-reinforcement for ethnic groups excluded from
    mainstream society. Although such discriminatory practices have been outlawed (if not
    eliminated),  these processes, reinforced by the limited opportunities for low income
    households  in the market for new housing, have been inscribed in the urban landscape; the
    presence of communities of color outside the  central city remains minimal (Figure 3). The
    contrasting association between TRI sites and communities of color at different scales can
    thus be accounted for by the way in which, at a metropolitan scale, suburbanization enabled
    more wealthy and white households to escape the many 'problems'  of the inner city, including
    those of industrial pollution.  Industry has also been suburbanizing, as can be seen in the
    locations of TRI sites in Bloomington, Eden Prairie, Plymouth, St. Louis Park and Brooklyn
    Park (Figure 3 and 4).  Nevertheless, it  is harder for dirty or hazardous industries to gain
    acceptance  in suburban communities, and the greatest concentration remains in the central
    city.
    
    A focus on TRI sites only addresses  one way in which the quality of the urban environment
    varies socially and spatially (Figure 5).  It is important to add to this other environmental 'bads'
    such as other fixed sources of potentially toxic chemicals (e.g., Superfund or Petrofund sites),
    hazardous emissions from ambient sources (especially transportation), soil pollution, radon and
    

    -------
    lead in houses, and even social risks in certain environments (e.g., undesirable social
    institutions, and crime). At the same time, inequities in access to urban environmental 'goods'
    should also be accounted for, such as lakes, green space and bike paths. We have done no
    systematic analysis of these, but casual observation suggests a similar gradient from low
    income inner city neighborhoods,  to suburban and higher income inner city communities,
    suggesting that the relationships described above, and the processes generating them are
    generalizable to a broader group of environmental goods and bads.
    
    The resolution, or granularity, of the data also affects measures of environmental injustice. Our
    data sets have applied census data at the census tract, block-group, and block levels. We
    currently are working with parcel-level data, which allows for a household-level analysis.
    Interpretations can change significantly when address-specific institutional data are included,
    such as that on schools and day care centers. Further improvements will involve the addition of
    the 2000 census and approximations of day-time populations.
    
    Geographical Methodology
    Whereas most studies use relatively simple measures for establishing  the relationship between
    hazardous materials and at-risk populations, it is clear that more robust methodologies are
    needed. For instance, relationships are often based on simplistic measures of proximity-
    hazardous materials sites falling within a block group with a high percentage of minorities-
    which can not deal with differential toxicity, actual distance from site, and exact meteorological
    conditions. While GIS-based buffer analysis provides a better measure of proximity, it is
    nonetheless problematic in that all buffers are normally generated at the same size. The
    generation of plumes ameliorates this problem, but assumes that exact meteorological
    conditions are known ahead of time. Additionally, one needs to think carefully about the
    statistical significance of the existing distribution. To address this concern we have ventured into
    the realm of Monte Carlo simulation, where, through a randomization process, we can compute
    the sampling distribution with respect to which the importance of observed statistics can be
    assessed.
    
    Plume modeling
    Let us first provide the results of some preliminary plume modeling. The model we worked with,
    ALOHA, is an example of a Gaussian Plume Disperson Model. Further details may be found in
    

    -------
    the ALOHA User's Manual (NOAA, 1996). As with any type of model, certain assumptions must
    be realized. For the ALOHA model, these include the following:
    
           -All heavy gas releases originate at ground level.
           -95% of the time the wind will not blow the pollutant outside
                 of the dashed exposure line generated by the program.
           -The ground below a leaking tank or a puddle is flat.
           -The average concentrations will be highest near the release
                 point and along the centerline of any pollutant cloud and will
                 drop off smoothly and gradually in the downwind and cross wind directions.
           -A dispersing chemical cloud does not react with the gases that make up the
                 atmosphere.
           -The ground below a dispersing cloud is flat and free of obstacles.
    
    Figure 6 and 7 illustrate a series of plumes generated for the City of Minneapolis using two
    different chemicals—Toluene and Nitric Acid. Figure 6 depicts four plumes representing four
    different months—January, April, June, and September. For each of the four months,
    atmospheric conditions representing average temperature, humidity, wind speed, and prevailing
    wind conditions were applied and the assumption was made that 20% of the chemical was
    released  over a one-hour period. The thirty-eight TRI sites for  Minneapolis are identified with the
    blue point symbols. Comparing the two plume maps shows a striking difference in the area
    impacted by a potential chemical release. Whereas the composite toxic footprint (based on the
    four different months) is somewhat localized for toluene (Figure 6), the nitric acid plume covers
    close to 40% of the City of Minneapolis (Figure 7). Thus one can see that plume modeling
    represents a significant improvement in measuring potential exposure as  compared to a
    simplistic GIS-based buffer analysis. Our research in exploring the potential for plume modeling
    is ongoing, with the calculation of plumes for all chemicals within the City, with measuring the
    impact on various populations, and with computing plumes for the entire Hennepin County
    Region.
    
    Monte Carlo Simulation
    Increasingly, geographers are applying Monte Carlo simulation methods to enable a comparison
    between an existing spatial pattern, and a theoretical distribution derived from a repeated
    randomization—called bootstrapping~of the existing data.  This allows researchers to apply what
    

    -------
    is equivalent to a test of significance in determining where an existing statistic falls in relation to
    a large number (n normally is well above 1000) of "theoretical" statistics. First, we present some
    basic information on what we define as proximity ratios for the City of Minneapolis.
       Table 3. Poverty rates, and proximate, and non-proximate block groups for different
                                   races and young children.
    Proximity
    Measure
    Within
    TRIBG
    Outside
    TRIBG
    Proximity
    Ratio
    Whites
    22
    11
    1.98
    African
    Americans
    43
    40
    1.07
    American
    Indians
    64
    52
    1.22
    Asians
    52
    45
    1.15
    Hispanics
    47
    26
    1.80
    Children
    <5
    47
    32
    1.46
    Total
    30
    18
    1.72
    Table 3 is based on a comparison of those census block groups that contain a TRI site (Within
    TRIBG) and those block groups that do not contain a TRI site (Outside TRIBG). The proximity
    ratio is the ratio of the within TRIBG poverty rate and the outside TRIBG poverty rate. This
    represents, of course, a simple measure of proximity—the assumption that a given population
    within the same enumeration unit as a hazardous site is at higher risk. This same measure—the
    proximity ratio—was also applied to comparing populations inside and outside of GIS-calculated
    buffers. We apply the buffering technique since many existing environmental risk studies also
    use a circular buffer as a measure of proximity. Table 4 compares the block group proximity
    ratios with those produced through 100-, 500,  and 1000-yard buffers.
      Table 4. Differences in proximity ratios for four different measures of proximity—block
                    group comparison, and 100-, 500-, and 1000-yard buffers.
    Proximity
    Measure
    Block
    Groups
    100 yard
    buffer
    500 yard
    buffer
    1000 yard
    buffer
    Whites
    1.98
    1.83
    2.00
    2.22
    African
    Americans
    1.07
    1.27
    1.28
    1.39
    American
    Indians
    1.22
    1.13
    1.23
    1.37
    Asians
    1.15
    1.26
    1.33
    1.71
    Hispanics
    1.80
    1.66
    1.48
    1.70
    Children
    <5
    1.46
    1.48
    1.65
    2.21
    Total
    1.72
    1.78
    1.94
    2.21
    

    -------
    The critical question, of course, is whether these proximity ratios represent a "significant"
    difference? To determine this, the Monte Carlo technique was implemented using two methods.
    For method 1, given that 38 block groups contain a TRI site, these 38 were randomized  1,500
    times, with the census statistics—percent white in poverty, percent African American in
    poverty...) recomputed for each randomization. 1,500 statistics (means, variances) are thus
    generated to create the theoretical sampling distribution.
    
    Method 2 involved  1,500 randomizations of the actual thirty-eight TRI sites using x-y coordinate
    pairs. For each randomization, 100-, 500-, and 1000-yard buffers were generated and census
    statistics inside and outside the buffers were calculated. Table 5 provides the observed poverty
    levels as percentiles of the simulated distribution for populations near TRI sites. In this table, a
    value of 99.9% means the observed value was greater than 1,500 of the simulations. One can
    see that, as the measure of proximity is increased from the block-group level to the 1000 yard
    buffer level, the percentiles increase. Whereas the "true" mean of Asians in poverty was only
    greater than 73.1% of the simulations, this same value was greater than 99.9% of the
    simulations when a 1000-yard buffer was applied. Further details may be found in Sheppard, et.
    al., 1999).
         Table 5. Observed poverty levels as percentiles of the simulated distribution for
                                populations near TRI sites, 1995.
    Proximity
    Measure
    Block
    Groups
    100 yard
    buffer
    500 yard
    buffer
    1000 yard
    buffer
    Whites
    99.9%
    99.9
    99.9
    99.9
    African
    Americans
    86.8%
    95.5
    98.8
    99.9
    American
    Indians
    87.1%
    78.8
    96.6
    99.9
    Asians
    73.1%
    86.4
    88.8
    99.9
    Hispanics
    80.1%
    94.1
    94.5
    99.9
    Children
    <5
    97.9%
    97.8
    99.9
    99.9
    Total
    99.9%
    99.9
    99.9
    99.9
    Proximal Spaces.
    A final method of assessing the relationship between TRI sites and geodemographics involves
    the calculation of "Proximal" spaces based on Thiessen Polygons. The characteristic of the
    Thiessen Polygons, of course, is that any block group within a polygon is closer to that
    

    -------
    polygon's TRI site than any other TRI site. The structure of the Thiessen Polygons also
    effectively provides a visualization of the density and distribution of the city's TRI sites.
    
    Place
    The neighborhoods in Minneapolis are intricate places with complex social and industrial
    histories. Questions of environmental risk assessment, and justice, have to carefully account for
    the historical sequencing of industrial toxic sites and migrations of populations in to and  out of
    the neighborhood. This type of work involves a careful historical reconstruction using company
    records, census data,  and historical land records, maps and atlases (Pulido, 1996). In the end,
    claims of environmental injustice must include a meticulous accounting of the place, not just a
    modern analysis of easy-to-obtain institutional data. Additionally, we have discovered that the
    standard institutional databases such as TRI are often insufficient for characterizing a
    neighborhood's environmental concerns, where many toxic sites must be determined through
    the acquisition of local neighborhood knowledge.
    
    Local Knowledge and  Neighborhood Environmental Inventories
    When place-based analyses of environmental justice are carried out at local, neighborhood
    scales, the possibility exists of a form of geographical analysis that changes the relationship
    between the researcher and the community researched, with far reaching implications. A
    common characteristic of spatial analytic approaches, but also of many intensive analyses of
    places, is that the researcher defines the nature of the problem to be studied and the methods
    to be used. This restriction is clear in the case of the kinds of spatial analyses described above.
    The data used for such analyses, typically TRI sites, represent just one source of toxic risk.
    Local communities have other perspectives on risk that suggest the need for other data. Indeed,
    one of the most publicized cases of exposure to toxics,  Love Canal, was based on
    neighborhood data collection in the absence of public data about the site in question.
    Neighborhood  analysis revealed the existence of toxic waste that simply had been forgotten
    about and eventually  had dropped  out of public discourse over the years since the canal was
    filled with chemicals and covered over.
    
    Figure 8 provides an example of the impact of including local knowledge.  It shows the additional
    sites of risk identified  in an environmental inventory completed by the Marcy Holmes
    neighborhood organization in Minneapolis in the summer of 1996. The map shows how the
    addition of locations identified by the community, as places where toxic chemicals may be
                                               10
    

    -------
    stored and emitted, creates a denser pattern of potential sources of exposure than that derived
    from public databases. It also shows the proximity of schools, community centers and daycare
    centers to these locations, which the community wished to highlight in order to assess the
    proximity of vulnerable groups to hazardous facilities.
    
    Research in four Minneapolis neighborhoods has revealed that different communities have very
    different perceptions of the environmental risks that they are exposed to (Table 6); perceptions
    which may have little to do with proximity to TRI sites (Leitner and Elwood, 1998). Furthermore,
    many of the sources of toxic risk identified within communities, such as lead pollution in the soil,
    dry cleaners, old gas stations, or ambient air pollution, are not recorded in standard data bases
    and thus fall outside current TRI-oriented spatial analyses. Finally, there can exist extreme
    differences even within a neighborhood about what the greatest problems are, reflecting the
    differently situated experiences of different types of neighborhood residents (cf. Haraway,
    1991). Jeff Osleeb (personal communication) reports that in one Bronx neighborhood the Irish
    residents, living in a largely paved area of the neighborhood, focus on greening public space,
    whereas Jewish women are concerned about environmental exposure to the risk of breast
    cancer.
    
    This is a specific example of the concern that standardized geographical techniques tend to
    reinforce particular ways of thinking about and representing issues that may be very different
    from those held by others, and that the widespread adoption of such techniques tends to
    marginalize other ways of thinking about the issue that may be equally  legitimate. This
    possibility has received much attention in recent debates about 'GIS and society' which have
    focused on the types of representations prioritized by current GIS technologies and practices
    (cf. Rundstrom, 1993; Sheppard, 1995; Harris and Weiner, 1996). In contradistinction to an
    approach where the researcher defines the problem at hand, Heiman (1997) advocates 'science
    by the people.' In this view, researchers work in a participatory manner with community
    residents, giving them voice to express their different views about environmental risks,  allowing
    those different views to be altered in debate amongst them, and providing communities with
    advice about how to collect the information  necessary to determine the geography of potential
    exposure to these risks in the neighborhood.
                                               11
    

    -------
                   Table 6. Localized environmental knowledge gathered from
                              four neighborhoods in Minneapolis.
    Neighborhood
    
    Hawthorne
    
    M a rcy- Holmes
    
    Phillips
    
    Prospect Park
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Socioeconomic
    Status
    Low Income
    Racially diverse
    
    
    
    
    Mid-income
    Large student pop
    Mostly white
    
    
    
    
    Low Income
    Racially diverse
    (Af Am&AM Indian)
    
    
    
    
    Mid-income
    Mostly white
    
    
    
    Data Needs
    
    Parcel-level data
    Housing data
    Crime data
    Little interest census
    Plume analysis
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Parcel-level data
    Traffic volume/
    pollution
    Toxic sites
    
    
    
    
    
    Parcel-level data
    Housing data
    Crime data
    Toxic sites
    
    
    
    
    
    Traffic volume/
    pollution
    Noise levels
    Crime data
    Toxic sites
    
    
    Environmental
    Problems
    Toxic corridor along
    river
    Traffic-related noise
    & pollution
    Concern w/
    kondirator
    Traffic-related noise
    & pollution
    Toxic industrial
    activity
    Brownfields
    UofM coal plant
    Large industrial sites
    Traffic-related noise
    & pollution
    High lead levels
    Brownfields in SE
    Three superfund
    sites
    Traffic-related noise
    & pollution
    Noxious and
    unpleasant odors
    Degradation of
    watershed
    This approach is similar in spirit to the 'geographical expeditions' organized by Bill Bunge in the
    1970s into inner city neighborhoods in Detroit and Toronto, to collect information about the
    exposure of residents to risks missing from standard databases (Horvath, 1971; Bunge and
    Bordessa, 1975). It provides residents with the power to influence the questions that should be
    asked. Such research also can contribute to an activist research agenda by raising awareness
    in communities, and helping them collect information, and learn to use tools, which can make
    them more effective in struggles to reduce potential exposure by negotiating with  local firms and
    local government (cf. Bryant, 1995).
                                              12
    

    -------
    Such approaches entail certain difficulties. Perceptions of risk may be very different from actual
    exposure, and concerns have been expressed about the ability of communities to rigorously
    collect information, and about the politics associated with activist research. Yet it is easy to
    overlook that fact that similar problems exist with approaches that are labeled as scientific. TRI
    data are self-reported, and thus at risk of being inaccurate and subjective. The accuracy of
    census data used for geo-demographic analysis in many inner city areas has been widely
    questioned, as has the appropriateness of the very categories used for data collection by the
    census. There is thus a politics to all databases. By contrast, cases exist where activist data
    collection by communities has been done with care, and has revealed important and unknown
    environmental risks. A carefully planned participatory research agenda  that gives communities a
    voice over data collection, challenges local perceptions by engaging them with alternative
    viewpoints, and provides communities with the help necessary to gain the expertise for rigorous
    data collection and analysis, has the potential to make such community-based studies no more
    subject to bias than more standardized approaches.
    
    It should be emphasized that this kind of research is far more effective when carried out within
    local place-based communities. It is at this scale that varieties of local knowledge about toxics
    and potential exposure can be recorded and confronted with one another, and that it is possible
    to undertake systematic data collection of missing information. It is at the local scale that
    differences in soil types, wind flow paths, and  groundwater flow can be  most accurately
    determined.  Local knowledge and local archives also can be tapped to  develop an
    understanding of the history of the community necessary to  interpret both the types of
    knowledge people hold, why these conflict, and the reasons for the geographical inequities
    identified. The availability of portable GPS and GIS technologies and environmental recorders
    and testing kits also make it possible for neighborhood residents to collect and analyze their
    own data. Important questions remain unanswered about whether technologies developed for
    public and private can be adapted adequately to meet the purposes of communities; but at least
    these are now being asked, for example,  by those examining the potential for public
    participatory GIS.
    
    Summary
    This study attempts to tackle multiple problems/issues related to environmental risk
    assessment, in particular as applied to the assessment of environmental justice. Using the Twin
    Cities region, we have systematically begun to better understand how the scales and
                                               13
    

    -------
    resolutions used, the methodologies applied, and a clearer interpretation of place, can provide
    an improved understanding of this intrinsically geographical problem. Given the examples
    provided for the Twin Cities region, it is clear that researchers must acquire a deeper knowledge
    of the underlying spatial and social processes to fully understand and analyze issues of
    environmental justice. In addition to the obvious effect of scale (and data resolution),
    researchers must realize the spatial methodology selected-and even the specific GIS applied--
    will significantly effect the conclusions. In our own work, we feel the application of Monte Carlo
    simulation has tremendous potential for demonstrating the significance of the relationship
    between a given toxic site and the specific targeted distribution. Lastly, the actual expertise,
    knowledge, and concerns of the neighborhood itself must be considered in environmental
    justice research. As demonstrated in our neighborhood-based research, neighborhoods
    themselves often maintain an unofficial yet very detailed knowledge of the sources and histories
    of toxicity within their spaces.
                                               14
    

    -------
    References
    
    Bryant, B., 1995. "Pollution prevention and participatory research as a methodology for
          environmental justice." Virginia Environmental Law Journal, 14(4), 589-613.
    
    Bunge, W. W. and R. Bordessa, 1975. The Canadian Alternative: Survival, expeditions and
          urban change. Toronto: York University, Atkinson College.
    
    Haraway, D., 1991. Simians, cyborgs and women: The reinvention of nature. New York:
          Routledge.
    
    Harris, T. and D. Weiner, 1996. GIS and Society: The Social Implications of how People, Space
          and Environment are Represented in GIS. Report for the Initiative 19 Specialist Meeting,
          March 2-5, 1996, Koinonia Retreat Center, South Haven MN. Technical Report 96-7,
          City:  National Center for Geographic Information and Analysis.
    
    Heiman, M., 1990. "From 'not in my backyard' to 'not in anyone's backyard!' Grassroots
          challenge to hazardous waste facility siting." American Planning Association Journal, 56,
          359-362.
    
    Inform, Inc, 1995. Toxics Watch 1995. New York, Inform, Inc.
    
    Leitner, H. and S. Elwood, 1998. "GIS and Community-Based Planning: Exploring the Diversity
          of Neighborhood Perspectives and Needs." Cartography and Geographic Information
          Systems, 25(2), 77-89.
    
    Sheppard, Eric, H. Leitner, R.B. McMaster, and H. Tian, 1999. "GIS-based
         measures of environmental equity: Exploring their sensitivity and significance,"
         Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology, 9(1),  18-28.
    
    McMaster, R. J., H. Leitner and E. Sheppard, 1997. "GIS-based environmental equity and risk
          assessment: Methodological problems and prospects." Cartography and Geographic
          Information Systems, 24(3), 172-189.
    
    Mohai, P., 1995. "The determination of dumping revisited: Examining the impact of alternative
          methodologies in environmental justice research." Virginia Environmental Law Journal,
          14(4), 615-653.
    
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the U.S. Environmental Protection
          Agency, 1996. ALOHA User's Manual. Washington, D.C.: National Safety Council.
    
    Pulido, L., S. Sidawi and R. O. Vos, 1996. "An archeology of environmental racism in Los
          Angeles." Urban Geography, 18, 419-439.
    
    Rundstrom, R. A., 1993. "The role of ethics, mapping, and the meaning of place in relations
          between Indians and whites in the United States." Cartographica, 30(1), 21-28.
    
    Sheppard, E., 1995. "GIS and Society: Towards a Research Agenda." Cartography and
          Geographical Information Systems, 22, 5-16.
                                              15
    

    -------
                                Methodological Issues in
                    CIS-Based Environmental Justice Research
                                       Jeremy L. Mennis
                   Department of Geography, The Pennsylvania State University
                          302 Walker Building, University Park, PA 16802
    Abstract
    Research in environmental justice investigates whether certain unempowered segments of the
    population,  typically minorities and/or the poor, bear a disproportionate burden of environmental
    risk. Geographic information systems (GIS) have been used to carry out 'conventional' statistical
    approaches to environmental justice research whereby the socioeconomic character of
    communities that host environmentally hazardous facilities are compared to non-host
    communities.  However, methodological issues associated with the conventional approach, such
    as scale of  analysis, continue to make GIS-based statistical assessments of evidence of
    environmental injustice problematic. GIS has the potential to mitigate many of these
    methodological problems through mapping/visualization, improved modeling of environmental
    risk, multi-scale analysis, and raster surface-based representations of population. The case
    study presented in this paper, concerning environmental injustice in the Philadelphia,
    Pennsylvania region, demonstrates how raster GIS can facilitate the investigation of the
    relationship between the distribution of demographic character and the location of hazardous
    facilities across a variety of scales of analysis. This study finds that in the Philadelphia region
    there is a clear and predictable relationship between socioeconomic status and proximity to
    environmentally hazardous facilities that can be interpreted as evidence of environmental
    injustice. By using GIS to create improved representations of population character and
    environmental risk, environmental justice research can move beyond the simple statistical
    comparison of groups of areal units to the exploration of demographic patterns and their spatial
    relationship with the distribution of environmental risk.
    
    Introduction
    Research in environmental justice research investigates whether certain unempowered
    segments of the population, typically minorities and/or the poor, bear a disproportionate burden
    of environmental risk. The recent attention on environmental justice can be traced to the release
    

    -------
    of studies by the U.S. General Accounting Office (GAO, 1983) and the United Church of Christ's
    Commission for Racial Justice (CRJ, 1987) which reported evidence of racially-based
    discrimination in the locational distribution of environmentally hazardous sites, such as waste
    treatment, storage, and disposal facilities. Subsequently, the U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency (EPA) has recognized the need to mitigate racial and economic discrimination in the
    siting of environmentally hazardous facilities  (EPA, 1992).
    
    Since these two 'early' studies, much statistically-based research has investigated the issue of
    environmental justice at local, regional, and national scales. Some of these studies have
    challenged the claims of the landmark CRJ (1987) study as inaccurate and misleading due to
    the choice of data and methodology, the Anderton et al. (1994) article being perhaps the most
    prominent. However, all spatial statistical analyses of environmental justice necessarily make
    some assumptions concerning the data and methodology used in the study. These data and
    methodology issues broadly concern two representational themes: 1) the definition and
    measurement of environmental risk and 2) the definition and spatial delineation of 'community.'
    
    Many studies, including those on both 'sides' of the environmental justice debate, have used
    geographic information systems (GIS) to  manage and structure environmental justice analyses.
    The benefits of using GIS for environmental justice research are  relatively straightforward:
    Environmental justice is an inherently spatial (and temporal)  issue (i.e. what is the spatial
    relationship between the distribution of people and environmental risk) and GIS provides an
    efficient environment for the management, analysis, and display of spatial environmental justice
    data. However, GIS software and GIS data also adhere to particular models of the real world
    that impose representational and methodological constraints and assumptions on the way
    environmental justice is understood and therefore analyzed.  Many of these methodological
    issues lie at the foundation of the dispute over the interpretation of statistical evidence of
    environmental injustice.
    
    Unfortunately, the methodological choices made by environmental justice researchers often go
    unacknowledged in the interpretation of evidence of environmental injustice. The purpose of this
    paper is to describe the methodological issues associated with using GIS in environmental
    justice research so that these issues may be brought to the forefront of the environmental
    justice debate. While there are no methodological 'solutions' that would create a completely
    accurate and objective assessment of environmental justice, there is certainly value in
    

    -------
    incorporating the impacts of the methodological assumptions and constraints into the
    interpretation of study results. The remainder of this paper reviews GIS-based environmental
    justice research, highlights primary methodological issues, and proposes a novel environmental
    justice GIS analysis method that is applied to the Philadelphia, Pennsylvania region as a case
    study.
    
    GIS and the 'conventional' approach to environmental justice research
    In nearly all statistically oriented environmental justice studies, justice is defined according to
    whether the environmentally hazardous facilities in a particular region are spatially distributed in
    a socioeconomically equitable versus inequitable manner. This environmental equity approach
    to measuring environmental justice generally entails identifying those communities that host
    environmentally hazardous facilities (however 'community' may be defined), tallying the racial
    and economic character of those host communities, and comparing that socioeconomic
    character to those communities in the region that do not host environmentally hazardous
    facilities (or to the character of the region at large). Evidence of injustice  is then defined as when
    communities that host environmentally hazardous facilities have significantly higher rates of
    minority and/or poor persons than non-host communities.
    
    This type of analysis is easily implemented in a GIS using U.S. Bureau of the Census
    demographic and boundary data, hazardous facility data derived from publicly available U.S.
    Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) databases, and basic statistical  functions found in  most
    commercial GIS packages. For example, Glickman et al. (1995) use GIS to examine evidence
    of environmental injustice in Allegheny county, Pennsylvania, which includes the city of
    Pittsburgh. These authors investigate the spatial relationship between statistically derived
    socioeconomic status and proximity to Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) facilities listed in the EPA
    TRI database as the indicator of environmental injustice. The TRI database is composed of
    manufacturers that are required by law to report to the EPA certain toxic chemicals that they
    release to the environment. While the TRI database is certainly not a comprehensive source of
    information for a region's environmental  risk, as Glickman et al. (1995) note, it is easily
    obtainable and is often used in environmental justice investigations.
    
    Glickman et al. (1995) define community using five different spatial delineations: census block
    group, census tract, municipality, and half-mile and one-mile distance 'buffers' around each TRI
    facility. Averages of census socioeconomic variables for each of these community zone
    

    -------
    schemes were calculated, including percent minority, percent living below the poverty line,
    percent unemployed, percent over the age of 65, percent under the age of 5, and other census
    variables that indicate socioeconomic status or at risk populations. Glickman et al. (1995) report
    mixed, sometimes contrary results concerning  evidence of injustice. For instance, when
    communities are defined by census block groups or tracts, the percentage of minorities in TRI
    host communities is not significantly different than that in non-host communities. However, when
    municipalities, a generally larger areal unit than block groups or census tracts, form the basis for
    defining community, TRI-host communities have significantly higher proportions of minorities
    than non-TRI-host communities.
    
    These results mirror those found in other studies and indicate one of the primary methodological
    issues in environmental justice research, the spatial delineation of community and scale of
    analysis. The CRJ (1987) study was criticized by Anderton et al. (1994) for using zip codes as
    the areal unit of analysis because these authors felt that zip codes are too large to capture the
    spatial relationship between socioeconomic status and proximity to hazardous facilities. Instead,
    Anderton et al. (1994) use census tracts and find that minorities and the poor are not more likely
    than non-minorities and the non-poor  to live in  a census tract that hosts a hazardous facility.
    They therefore conclude that their study finds no evidence of environmental injustice.
    Significantly, however, these authors did find a positive relationship between disadvantaged
    socioeconomic status and proximity to hazardous facilities within a 2.5 mile radius of hazardous
    facilities.
    
    Goldman and Fitton (1994), in a follow-up  to the original CRJ (1987)  study, note that although
    the CRJ (1987) and Anderton et al. (1994) studies reach opposite conclusions about the
    evidence of environmental injustice, their statistical results suggest a similar, and somewhat
    startling, demographic pattern:  'bands' of socioeconomically disadvantaged persons
    surrounding a 'core' of non-socioeconomically  disadvantaged persons concentrated around
    environmentally hazardous facilities. It is open  to debate whether this pattern represents a
    typical demographic scenario, or even if it  does, whether it is, in fact, evidence of environmental
    injustice. However, it is worth noting that the political  motivation to 'objectively' demonstrate the
    existence or non-existence of environmental equity often subsumes and sabotages the analysis
    itself by biasing the interpretation of analytical results (Pulido, 1996) (Anderton et al. (1994)
    were funded by Waste Management Incorporated, a waste industry organization).
    

    -------
    GIS innovations in environmental justice research
    Other GIS-based environmental justice studies attempt to expand the conventional approach to
    the statistical analysis of environmental justice by using the analytical and display capabilities of
    GIS. Burke (1993) investigates environmental equity in Los Angeles by using various mapping
    and visualization schemes to expose the subtle relationships between race, class, population
    density, and the location of TRI facilities. This author finds evidence that "at a given income
    level,  Hispanics and African-Americans are more likely to be living in close proximity to TRI
    facilities than whites or Asians" (Burke, 1993: 50).
    
    Typically, environmental justice studies do not attempt to explicitly define the spatial distribution
    of environmental risk as it is an extremely complex task which differs according to type of
    facility, type of toxic release, and a host of environmental variables that control the dispersion of
    the toxic material through the environment. Instead, most studies simply consider the people in
    the 'community' (whether defined by census-based areal unit or distance buffer) that hosts the
    hazardous facility to be at risk. Chakraborty and Armstrong (1997) use GIS to improve on the
    definition of at risk population by delineating the areas surrounding each toxic facility that are
    most likely affected by toxic releases based on a numerical model of toxic dispersion. This
    model generates a 'plume' footprint that defines an at risk area within which socioeconomic
    variables may be tallied.
    
    Chakraborty and Armstrong (1997) also explore the impact of using different representations of
    population data in environmental justice analyses. Usually,  population data are represented  by
    assignment to polygonal areal units. For distance buffer approaches to defining community or at
    risk population, polygonal population data in certain GIS packages are considered within the
    distance buffer if any portion of the areal unit overlaps with the buffer. Chakraborty and
    Armstrong (1997) refer to this method as the polygon containment method. This method may
    lead to misleading calculation of with in-buffer population character since the people living within
    the overlapping areal unit may in actuality be concentrated in a particular portion of the areal
    unit that is not actually within the distance buffer.
    
    Zimmerman (1994) notes that GIS methods can  be developed to partition the population data
    assigned to an areal unit that is only partially within a distance buffer into inside-the-buffer and
    outside-the-buffer portions based on the percentage of the of the areal unit that lies within and
    without the distance buffer, respectively. Chakraborty and Armstrong (1997) refer to this method
    

    -------
    as the buffer containment method. However, this approach assumes an homogeneous
    distribution of population throughout the areal unit. An alternative is to represent population data
    as assigned to an areal unit centroid point, called the centroid containment method
    (Chakraborty and Armstrong, 1997). If the centroid falls within the distance buffer, the
    population data for the entire areal unit represented by that centroid is considered within the
    buffer. Again, however, error may occur if the centroid falls within the buffer but the actual
    population is concentrated in a portion of the areal unit outside the buffer.
    
    I performed a brief comparative test of each of these  population  representation methods in an
    analysis of the relationship between percent minority  and distance to TRI facility in Delaware
    county, Pennsylvania.. TRI sites in Delaware county are concentrated in industrial and urban
    waterfront areas, many of which have high concentrations of minority populations. Significantly,
    I found that the polygon containment and centroid containment methods tended to under-
    represent the percentage of minorities living in very close proximity to TRI sites as compared to
    the buffer containment method. These two former methods were less sensitive to variation in
    demographic character at close proximities to TRI facilities because they tended to incorporate
    more distantly located, non-minority populations than the buffer containment method using the
    same distance buffer. In other words, percent minority calculations at close proximities were
    diluted by the inclusion of a larger area with lower concentration of minority population.
    Chakraborty and Armstrong (1997) reported similar findings in their comparison of population
    representation methods.
    
    Another very prominent issue in environmental justice research,  related to the issue of defining
    community, is that of scale of analysis. Scale of analysis concerns both the scope of analysis,
    the region that the study covers, and the resolution of analysis, which generally refers to the
    choice of areal unit at which demographic data is represented and tallied. For instance, the CRJ
    (1987) study was done at the zip  code resolution.  However, this  definition of resolution is
    problematic because zip codes (and nearly all census-,  or other  organization-, based zonation
    schemes) vary widely in their areal extent; they are typically much smaller in urban areas than in
    rural areas.
    
    This issue of choice of resolution  in spatial analysis is associated with what is called the
    modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) in the geographic literature (Openshaw, 1983). The
    MAUP refers to the fact that different aggregation  and/or zonation schemes for spatial data may
    

    -------
    result in vastly different spatial analysis results. The detrimental impact of the MAUP on the
    analysis of census data is well established (Fotheringham and Wong,  1991; Openshaw, 1984).
    The difference in results between the CRJ (1987) and Anderton et al. (1994) studies may be
    attributed in part to the MAUP.
    
     A number of authors (Anderton et al., 1994; Glickman et al., 1995) argue that there exists an
    'appropriate' areal unit of analysis, or that evidence of environmental equity must not vary with
    the scale of analysis in order to be regarded as valid. However, simply assuming that there is
    such a thing as an 'appropriate' unit of analysis for environmental justice research immediately
    violates the principles of the MAUP. Sui (1999) notes that an environmental justice study done
    at any one scale or based on one particular areal unit cannot, by definition, produce a reliable
    indication of environmental justice or injustice; there is no such thing as the single 'best' or most
    'appropriate' scale of analysis in environmental justice research.
    
    A number of authors have suggested that GIS be used to support multi-scale environmental
    justice analysis (McMaster et al., 1997; Sui, 1999).  I argue that the purpose of multiscale
    analysis is not to find the 'best' scale of analysis but to investigate how demographic character
    and its spatial relationship with environmentally hazardous facilities varies across scales. This
    information may indicate the subtle and complex demographic patterns that lie at the root of the
    environmental justice debate. As Been (1995) notes, environmental justice is infinitely more
    complex than disproportionate numbers of hazardous facilities being sited in census tracts (or
    block groups, municipalities, etc.) with a high percentage of minorities. Rather, environmental
    injustice should be viewed as a complex intertwining of various socioeconomic characteristics
    distributed in certain spatial patterns. It should be the goal of environmental justice studies to
    'uncover' these often 'hidden' patterns that are embedded in the social and environmental data
    that is available.
    
    A case study: environmental  injustice in the Philadelphia, Pennsylvania region
    Nearly all GIS approaches to environmental justice research have been vector- (as opposed to
    raster-) based because most commercial GIS are vector-based (although there are a growing
    number of GIS packages offering raster data handling). In addition, most population and
    hazardous facility  data are also vector-based. However, raster modeling of population offers
    many advantages. Principally, the raster-based approach to representing  population allows for
    data aggregation to nearly any areal  unit, facilitates the exploration of how demographic
    

    -------
    character varies across scales, and provides the means to create more informative
    visualizations of the distribution of demographic character (Bracken, 1993; Martin and Bracken,
    1991).
    
    Here, I describe a combined vector-raster analysis of environmental justice in southeast
    Pennsylvania which encompasses the city of Philadelphia (which is identical  to Philadelphia
    county) and its four closest counties in Pennsylvania: Bucks, Delaware, Chester, and
    Montgomery. The goal of this study is to understand the distribution of socioeconomic character
    and its spatial relationship to environmentally hazardous facilities. I hypothesize that
    socioeconomic character has a strong relationship with proximity to hazardous facilities; in other
    words, the socioeconomic character of a  location can be predicted as a function of distance to a
    hazardous facility. I test this hypothesis by modeling population as a raster surface. This allows
    for demographic variables that indicate population character to be tallied within a series of
    distance  buffers generated from the hazardous facility locations. Regression  is then used to test
    the strength of the relationship between socioeconomic character and distance to hazardous
    facility.
    
    Three demographic variables that are often used in environmental justice analyses are used to
    indicate socioeconomic status in this study: number of minorities, number of  people living below
    the poverty line, and number of people over the age of 25 with a bachelors or graduate degree.
    These population  data were acquired from the U.S. Bureau of the Census at the block group
    level. Data on facilities that store or release toxic materials in the Philadelphia region were
    acquired  from EPA databases including sites listed in the TRI database as well as treatment,
    storage, and disposal (TSD) facility sites  listed in the Biennial Reporting System (BRS)
    database. Procedures for improving the locational accuracy of these hazardous facility sites and
    eliminating redundant database listings were followed according to Scott et al. (1997).
    
    A variety of procedures for generating population surfaces from areal unit demographic data
    have been proposed including areal weighting (Flowerdew et al., 1991), interpolation from areal
    unit centroids (Bracken and Martin, 1989), and the use of  remote sensing imagery and
    dasymetric mapping (Langford and Unwin, 1994).  Dasymetric mapping is a technique that uses
    ancillary data to redistribute mapped thematic data in a more accurate and logical way. It is
    used here to improve upon the methods of population data representation that are typically used
    in environmental justice research. The dasymetric mapping/raster surface generation method
    

    -------
    described here is a variation on the method described by Langford and Unwin (1994) and uses
    urban density classification data derived from satellite remote sensing to redistribute population
    within the original block group data boundaries. This procedure was carried out using ArcView
    GIS by Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI),  Inc.
    
    Urban density data for Pennsylvania were acquired from the Environmental Resources
    Research Institute (ERRI) at the Pennsylvania State University. These data were
    photointerpreted from Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) imagery overlaid with a road network to
    produce a polygon coverage that partitions the state into areas of high density urban, low
    density urban, and non-urban. Note that 'density' in this case refers to the degree of
    urbanization (i.e. development),  not population density. While degree of urbanization is by no
    means a perfect proxy for population distribution (Forster, 1985), its utility in modeling
    population has been demonstrated in a variety of contexts  (Langford et al.,  1991; Mesev, 1999).
    
    The urban density classification data were converted from vector to raster format with a grid cell
    size of 100 meters. This resolution was chosen because it  meets the analytical requirements
    and yet is not so fine that it interferes unduly with processing time. Each grid cell was assigned
    a population value according to three factors: the population of its host block group, the
    population density of its urban density classification (derived from empirical measurement), and
    the percentage of the area of the host block group occupied by its urban density classification.
    This procedure preserves what Tobler (1979) referred to as the pycnophylactic property:
    summing the population for all the grid cells within any block group produces the same
    population figure as that originally assigned to that block group. The raster surface generation
    calculations were carried out primarily in the ArcView GIS Tables module and can be described
    mathematically as:
                  PGCu.c.b = (PCTu.c.b * PBGb) I GCu.b
           Where:
                  PGCu.c.b      =      Population assigned to one grid cell with urban density
                               classification u, in county c, and in block group b
    
                  PCTu.c.b       =      Percent of population assigned  to urban density
                               classification u, in county c, and in block group b
    

    -------
                  GC
                     u.b
                  PBG,
    =      Number of grid cells (area in 10,000 sq. meter units) of
    urban density classification u in block group b
    =      Population of block group b
    Each demographic variable was distributed homogeneously according to the distribution of the
    total population for each block group. Surfaces of percent minority, percent living below the
    poverty line, and percent over the age of 25 with a bachelors or graduate degree were created
    by dividing the 'count' grids for each of these variables by the grid of total population. For a
    more thorough description of this areal interpolation technique see Mennis (forthcoming).
    Distance buffers around each hazardous facility were created that described the area within 500
    meters of a hazardous facility, within 1000 meters, and so on up to 10,000 meters, which
    encompasses 99.9% of the total population. Percent minority, percent living below the poverty
    line, and percent over the age of 25 with a bachelors or graduate degree were then tallied within
    each of these distance buffers. Cumulative tallies determine these variables within 500 meters
    of a hazardous facility, within 100 meters, within 1500 meters, etc. while zone tallies determine
    these variables within 500 to 1000 meters of a hazardous facility, within  1000 to 1500 meters,
    and so on.
    
    *
    _c
    1 °-29
    o
    Q_
    0 25 -
    Percent Minority by Cumulative Distance to Toxic Site
    *•— *
    \
    V
    *^*"*^»-,
    ""-*-«-»--— »-]
    0 2 4 6 8 10
    Cum ulative Distance to Toxic Site (km )
    
    o
    •E
    £
    Percent Minority by Distance to Toxic Site Zone
    * *
    «»«•*
    *
    »»**»«*«»*!
    024 6 8 10
    Zone Distance to Toxic Site (km )
    Figure 1. The relationship between percent
    minority and cumulative distance to
    hazardous site (top) and zone distance to
    hazardous site.
                                             The relationship between presence of minorities
                                             and distance to hazardous facilities is presented in
                                             figure 1. As distance to hazardous facilities
                                             increases, percent minority decreases, percent
                                             living below the poverty line decreases (not shown),
                                             and percent over age 25 with a bachelors or
                                             graduate degree increases (not shown). The break
                                             in slope at approximately 5000 meters, evident in
                                             the graphs of all the variables, is related to the fact
                                             that 92.0% of the total population and 98.1% of all
                                             minorities live within 5000 meters of a hazardous
                                             facility.
                                               10
    

    -------
    Regression tests that predicted percent minority, percent living below the poverty line, and
    percent over the age of 25 with a bachelors or graduate degree based on cumulative distance to
    hazardous site up to 5000 meters yielded R2 values of 0.886, 0.907, and 0.926, respectively. R2
    values for these same variables, but predicted by zone distance to hazardous site up to 5000
    meters, yielded values of 0.688, 0.886, and 0.979, respectively. All results were significant at
    the 0.001  level. Multiple stepwise regression with cumulative distance to hazardous facility up to
    5000 meters as the dependent variable and the three demographic variables as independent
    variables excluded percent minority and percent living below the poverty line and  included
    percent over the age of 25 with a bachelors or graduate degree to yield an  R2 of 0.926
    (significant at the 0.001 level). A similar test that predicted zone distance to hazardous site up to
    5000 meters excluded  percent living below the poverty line and included percent minority and
    percent over the age of 25 with a bachelors or graduate degree to yield an  R2 of 0.987
    (significant at the 0.001 level). Clearly,  the poor, minorities, and the lesser educated tend to  live
    in closer proximity to hazardous facilities than the non-poor, non-minorities, and the educated.
    These results conjure an image in which each hazardous facility is surrounded by poor,
    uneducated minorities and that gradually this pattern gives way to wealthier, educated non-
    minorities as distance to the hazardous facility increases. However, maps that depict the
    distribution of these variables overlaid with the locations of hazardous facilities demonstrate that
    this is not at all the case (e.g. figure 2 which shows areas with percent minority greater than the
    regional mean of 26%). There are, rather, various 'clusters' of hazardous facilities that appear to
    correspond to a variety of interrelated historic, cultural, and infrastructure factors. For  instance,
    many hazardous facilities stretch along the  Delaware and Schuylkill Rivers while others are
                                              clustered around population centers.
     TRI and TSD Sites and Percent
     Minority in the Philadelphia Region
       TRIand
       TSD
     Figure 2. The location of hazardous
     facilities relative to percent minority.
    This apparent, but in fact false, discrepancy
    between statistical and visual summation can be
    attributed to the difference between the
    measurement of percent and density of
    demographic character. For example, while there
    are areas outside Philadelphia with high percent
    minority, nearly all minorities in the Philadelphia
    region are clustered within certain neighborhoods
    of Philadelphia (figure 3). While non-minorities are
                                                11
    

    -------
     Density of Minorities in
     the Philadelphia Region
     Density of Non-minorities
     in the Philadelphia Region
    Figure 3. Density of minorities and non-
    minorities in the Philadelphia region.
    also clustered around Philadelphia, they are much
    less concentrated in specific areas. The same is
    true with percent and density of people living below
    the poverty line. Concerning education, it appears
    that while higher education attainment is
    concentrated in suburban areas, hazardous
    facilities are concentrated primarily in urban areas
    and secondarily in rural areas.
    
    So while hazardous facilities are not necessarily
    concentrated in poor, uneducated, and minority
    portions of the greater Philadelphia region, these
    portions of the population are concentrated in one
    particular area, the city of Philadelphia. Because the
    city of Philadelphia is home to one of many clusters
    of hazardous facilities,  nearly all those of
    unempowered socioeconomic status are in
    relatively close proximity  to hazardous facilities
    compared to other persons of the Philadelphia
    region. However, there are many non-poor, non-
    minorities, and educated  persons who are also in
    relatively close proximity  to hazardous facilities.
    Further statistical analysis and mapping/visualization may reveal other demographic/hazardous
    facility patterns. For example, spatial autocorrelation measures may indicate the degree of
    socioeconomic regionalization at a variety of scales. Cluster analysis and point pattern analysis
    of the hazardous facility data may show a statistical relationship between demographic
    character and spatial clusters of facilities. Choropleth and bivariate mapping schemes, as well
    as cartograms, can be used to further visually investigate the demographic patterns embedded
    in the data.
                                                12
    

    -------
    Conclusion
    This paper is intended as both a caution and an encouragement for the use of GIS in
    environmental justice research. On the caution side, the data representations that are
    embedded within GIS present potential pitfalls to researchers who do not explicitly acknowledge
    how GIS data and methods of analysis can control analytical results. While the issue of making
    explicit an investigation's analytical assumptions exists for nearly any analysis, whether using
    GIS or not, the ease of use of many GIS often serves to make this issue transparent to the
    casual user. On the encouragement side, however, GIS provides an environment for creating
    new and innovative ways of investigating environmental justice. The use of raster
    representations of population and environmental risk and the use of advanced spatial statistical
    and visualization techniques hold particular promise in moving  environmental justice research
    forward towards a more exploratory, pattern recognition approach.
                                              13
    

    -------
    References
    Anderton, D.L., Anderson, A.B., Oakes, J.M. and Fraser, M.R., 1994. Environmental equity: the
           demographics of dumping. Demography, 31(2): 229-248.
    
    Been, V., 1995. Analyzing evidence of environmental justice. Journal of Land Use and
           Environmental Law, 11(1): 1-35.
    
    Bracken, I., 1993. An extensive surface model database for population-related information:
           concept and application. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 20: 13-27.
    
    Bracken, I. and Martin, D., 1989. The generation of spatial population distributions from census
           centroid data. Environment and Planning A, 21: 537-543.
    
    Burke, L.M.,  1993. Race and environmental equity: a geographic analysis in Los Angeles. Geo
           Info Systems, 3(9): 44-50.
    
    Chakraborty, J. and Armstrong, M.P., 1997. Exploring the use of buffer analysis for the
           identification  of impacted areas in environmental equity assessment. Cartography and
           Geographic Information Systems, 24(3): 145-157.
    
    CRJ, 1987. Toxic wastes and race in the United States: a national report on the racial and
           socioeconomic characteristics of communities with hazardous waste sites, United
           Church of Christ's Commission for Racial Justice, New York.
    
    EPA, 1992. Environmental equity: reducing risk for all communities, U.S. Environmental
           Protection Agency, Washington, DC.
    
    Flowerdew, R., Green, M. and Kehris, E., 1991. Using areal interpolation methods in geographic
           information systems. Papers in Regional Science: The Journal of the RSAI, 70(3): 303-
           315.
    
    Forster, B.C., 1985. An examination of some problems and solutions in monitoring urban areas
           from satellite platforms. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 6(1):  139-151.
    
    Fotheringham, A.S. and Wong, D.W.S., 1991. The modifiable areal unit problem in multivariate
           statistical  analysis. Environment and Planning A, 23: 1025-1044.
    
    GAO, 1983. Siting of hazardous waste landfills and their correlation with racial and economic
           status of surrounding communities, U.S. General Accounting Office, Washington, CD.
    
    Glickman, T.S., Golding, D. and Hersh, R., 1995. GIS-based environmental  equity analysis: a
           case study of TRI facilities in the Pittsburgh area. In: G.E.G. Beroggi and W.A. Wallace
           (Editors),  Computer Supported Risk Management. Kluwer Academic Publishers,
           Netherlands,  pp. 95-114.
    
    Goldman, B.A. and Fitton, L,  1994. Toxic wastes and race revisited, Center for Policy
           Alternatives, Washington D.C.
                                              14
    

    -------
    Langford, M., Maguire, D.J. and Unwin, D.J., 1991. The areal interpolation problem: estimating
           population using remote sensing in a GIS framework. In: I. Masser and M. Blakemore
           (Editors), Handling Geographical Information: Methodology and Potential Applications.
           Longman, London, pp. 55-77.
    
    Langford, M. and Unwin, D.J., 1994. Generating and mapping population density surfaces within
           a geographical information system. The Cartographic Journal, 31: 21-26.
    
    Martin, D. and Bracken, I., 1991. Techniques for modeling population-related raster databases.
           Environment and Planning A, 23: 1069-1075.
    
    McMaster, R.B., Leitner, H. and Sheppard, E.,  1997. GIS-based environmental equity and risk
           assessment: methodological problems and prospects. Cartography and Geographic
           Information  Systems, 24(3): 172-189.
    
    Mennis, J.L., forthcoming. Using GIS, spatial statistics, and visualization to investigate
           environmental justice, Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meeting  of the American
           Statistical Association, Baltimore, MD, August 8-12, 1999.
    
    Mesev, V., 1999. From measurement to analysis: a GIS/RS approach to monitoring changes in
           urban density. In: M. Craglia and H. Onsrud (Editors), Geographic Information Research:
           Trans-Atlantic Perspectives. Taylor and Francis, London, pp. 307321.
    
    Openshaw, S., 1983.  The Modifiable Areal Unit Problem. Concepts and Techniques in Modern
           Geography, 38. Geo Books, Norwich, UK, 40 pp.
    
    Openshaw, S., 1984.  Ecological fallacies and the analysis of areal census data. Environment
           and Planning A,  16: 17-31.
    
    Pulido, L.,  1996. A critical review of the methodology of environmental racism research.
           Antipode, 28(2):  142-159.
    
    Scott, M., Cutter, S.L, Menzel, C., Ji, M. and Wagner,  D., 1997. Spatial accuracy of the EPA's
           environmental hazards databases and their use in environmental equity analyses.
           Applied Geographic Studies, 1(1): 45-61.
    
    Sui, D.,  1999. GIS,  environmental  equity analysis, and the modifiable areal unit problem
           (MAUP). In: M. Craglia and H. Onsrud (Editors,), Geographic Information Research:
           Trans-Atlantic Perspectives. Taylor and Francis, London, pp. 41-54.
    
    Tobler, W.R., 1979. Smooth pycnophylactic interpolation for geographic regions. Journal of the
           American Statistical Association, 74: 519-530.
    
    Zimmerman, R., 1994. Issues of classification in environmental equity: how we manage is how
           we measure. Fordham Urban Law Journal, 21(3): 633-670.
                                              15
    

    -------
                           Pollution Exposure Index Model
                Measures Airborne Pollutants in National Forests
                                   Mike Miller, CH2M HILL
                                        Corvallis, OR
    CH2M HILL developed the Pollution Exposure Index (PEI) model for the U.S. Forest Service to
    measure the exposure of sites located in National Forests to a variety of airborne pollutants.
    The exposure is calculated for user-specified receptor sites based on pollutant emission rates of
    sources, seasonal wind frequencies, terrain landforms, and distances between the receptors
    and pollutant sites.
    
    The source data, which encompasses most of the eastern United States, was pre-processed
    into a standardized GIS structure for PEI modeling. The data includes; Digital Elevation Model
    (DEM) and USFS boundary data supplied by the Forest Service, meteorological wind
    frequencies acquired from the EPA Support Center for Regulatory Air Models (SCRAM) bulletin
    board system, and pollutant information derived from the EPA Aerometric Information Retrieval
    System (AIRS) and National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP) inventories.
    The PEI model was developed with ESRI's ArcView 3.0 desktop GIS mapping software using its
    object oriented Avenue programming language. It also accesses the grid-based Spatial Analyst
    extension package. The model was developed on an NT computer with a Pentium 586/133
    processor and 32 mbs of RAM. A large color monitor, at least 14 inches, is recommended.
    The PEI model was conceived by and developed under the direction of Bill Jackson of the
    USFS, Region 8. The model was originally developed as a predictive tool to assess seasonal
    impacts of controlled  forest burns. Recently,  it was used for an Ozark Mountain Regional
    assessment of sulfur, nitrogen and particulate matter. Kent Norville from CH2M HILL's Portland,
    OR office helped design the model and Mike Miller from CH2M HILL Corvallis, OR programmed
    the model.
    
    This paper describes the pre-processing procedures and the basic components of the PEI
    model.
    
    I.     Pre-Process  Source Data
    Source data was acquired for the study area from various sources and pre-processed as GIS
    data for PEI modeling. The source data are listed as follows:
    

    -------
           1.  U.S. National Forests in Southern Appalachian Mountains
           2.  Elevation OEMs
           3.  Meteorological Stations
           4.  Regional AIRS Pollutants
           5.  County Pollutants
           6.  State Boundaries
    
    The source data were pre-processed as Arc/Info data coverages. The pre-processing tasks
    include data conversion, modification, and standardization. All the graphic data is standardized
    to Albers equal area projection, Clark 1866 Spheroid, NAD27 datum measured in single
    precision meters. The Albers projection parameters are:
    
             1st latitude          = 29 degrees 30 minutes
             2nd latitude         = 45 degrees 30 minutes
             Central meridian     = -96 degrees
             Latitude origin       = 23 degrees
    
    Finally, the coverages were translated as shapefiles because ArcView processes them much
    faster than coverages.
    
    The remainder of this section contains detailed descriptions of how the source data was pre-
    processed.
    
    /. 1     National Forests and Southern Appalachia Assessment Area
    The USFS provided Arc/Info coverages of the Southern Appalachia Assessment Area and
    seven National Forests contained in the Assessment Area. The National Forests include
    Cherokee, Jefferson, George Washington, Pisgah, Nantahala, Chattahoochee, and Sumter.
    Both coverages were translated from latitude/longitude decimal  degrees to the Albers
    projection, then spatially indexed and translated as ArcView shapefiles.
    In addition, 250 and 500 kilometer buffer coverages were generated from the Assessment Area
    coverage and used to define the maximum extent of the pollutant source data and the study
    area, respectively.
    

    -------
    1.2     Elevation OEMs
    An elevation DEM file for the study area was purchased from the National Geophysical Data
    Center. The file contains sample points every 30 seconds or 1 kilometer (1,030 meters)
    referenced to latitude/longitude decimal  degrees and elevations measured in feet. Initially, the
    DEM file was converted to the Arc/Info grid format (ASCIIGRID), then projected to Albers feet.
    The 1 km grid was used  to interpolate elevations for all the meteorological station and pollutant
    source points. In addition, it was used to generate a 100 foot contour coverage and shapefile
    that is accessed by the PEI  model to interpolate receptor elevations and derive the highest
    elevations between the pollutant and the receptor sites.
    
    1.3     Meteorological Stations
    Wind frequency data is a critical PEI model input. It is required to identify prevailing winds
    between pollutant sources and receptors. Wind frequencies are routinely measured and
    recorded at various National Weather Service (NWS) meteorological stations, generally located
    at airports. The latitude/longitude coordinates of the stations are also known.
    
    The wind frequency data were retrieved  from the Support Center for Regulatory Air Models
    (SCRAM) section of the  US EPA Technology Transfer Network (TTN) bulletin board system and
    pre-processed. Two ASCII files were developed from the SCRAM data. One file contains
    information related to the location of the  stations and their names. The second lists the seasonal
    wind frequency data from 16 directions (every 22.5 degrees) for each station.  Initially, the first
    file was converted as an  Arc/Info point coverage and projected from latitude/longitude to Albers
    coordinates. The wind frequencies data  in the second file was copied in an Info database table.
    The station point features and wind frequency table are linked for modeling by station numbers.
    Appendix I - Meteorological Stations lists the fields in the station locations and wind frequency
    tables.
    
    Eventually, the elevations of the meteorological stations were interpolated from the  1 kilometer
    DEM grid.
    
    Meteorological station areas-of-influence (AOIs) were delineated representing homogeneous
    landforms throughout the PEI study area. The process involved several steps. First, a Thiessen
    program was run to apportion the station points into regions. The result was a polygon coverage
    of regions,  each containing a single station. Each region has the unique  property that any
    

    -------
    location within a region is closer to the region's station than any other station. Next a plot of the
    stations, station regions,  and topographic relief was produced. The Thiessen generated region
    boundaries were compared to the relief and the region boundary modifications were drafted on
    the plot to reflect areas of homogeneous landforms. The boundaries of the region coverage
    were revised as drafted,  resulting in the station AOI coverage which is used for PEI modeling.
    Finally, the coverages were translated as ArcView shapefiles and spatially indexed for
    modeling. See Appendix II - Meteorological Station Areas of Influence for description of
    database.
    
    1.4     Pollutant Data
    The PEI model has been developed to measure the emissions of six pollutant types, which
    consist of carbon monoxides (CO), nitrous oxides (NOx),  sulfur dioxides (SO2), volatile organic
    compounds (VOCs), particulate matter (PM10), and lead  (PB).
    The pollutant information was derived from the U.S. EPA  Aerometic Information Retrieval
    System (AIRS) database and reformatted by CH2M HILL for model input. Note that although the
    EPA maintains the database, each individual state agency can change, update, or delete
    individual source entries. An ASCII file was prepared for each pollutant type  from the AIRS data.
    It contains information related to the locations, names, and emission rates of the pollutants. The
    latitude/longitude coordinate locations were used to generate Arc/Info point coverages, which
    were subsequently projected to Albers coordinates. Eventually, the elevations of the pollutant
    sites were interpolated using the 1 km DEM grid. See Appendix III - EPA AIRS Pollutant Source
    Points for a description of the AIRS data.
    
    In addition, County Area  and Point CO, NOx, SO2, VOC,  and PM10 pollutant data were
    developed from EPA's National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP) inventories.
    The Area sources refer to roads, landfills, etc, while the Points are usually industrial facilities. A
    County shapefile, comprised of points located near the centers of their respective Counties, was
    coded with a unique state/county identifier which is related to the County Area and Point
    databases containing the pollutant type, category sources, emission rates, and other attributes.
    The elevations of the County points were also interpolated using the 1 km DEM grid. Appendix
    IV - National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program describes the County source data and
    Appendix V - NAPAP County Area and Point Pollutant Tables lists the database structures
    required for PEI modeling.
    

    -------
    Points representing each County were generated, transformed to Albers, spatially indexed, and
    translated as ArcView shapefiles. The County Area and Point attribute data was also translated
    as dBASE files. The County points are related to their respective Area and Point attributes by
    State name and County FIP identifiers.
    
    1.5     State and County Boundaries
    The State boundaries, which serve as a display reference, cover most of the eastern United
    States. The coverage delineates a total of 27 States and the District of Columbia. It was derived
    from ESRI's ArcUSA data source.
    
    The States coverages were transformed to Albers, then translated as ArcView shapefiles for
    modeling.
    
    II.      PEI Model
    The PEI Model is comprised of ArcView display and analysis scripts written in the Avenue object
    oriented programming language. It is run using the PEI Model pulldown menu, illustrated below.
    To execute the model, simply select the menu components, from top to bottom, and respond to
    queries.
    
    PEI Model Pulldown Menu:
           Create Receptors
           Add  Sites
           Delete Sites
           Interpolate Elev
    
           Identify Source Data
    
           PEI Model
           Change Threshold
    
           Print Variables
    
           About PEI Model
    

    -------
    The following describes the basic functional components of the model from startup to shutdown.
    Except for model startup, the descriptions directly relate to the pulldown menu components and
    include general use guidelines, functionality overview, view, theme and variable lists, and scripts
    names. There are one or more scripts associated with each menu component.
    
    11.1    PEI Model Startup
    The PEI Model is launched when the ArcView PEI3.APR project is activated. Initially, the U.S.
    Forest Service symbol and a brief overview of the model are displayed. When the user is ready
    to start modeling, the domain view is opened displaying the State and Southern Appalachian
    National Forest boundaries for the PEI study area, which includes most of the eastern half of the
    U.S. The meteorological stations areas-of-influence theme is also added to the domain view.
    Next, the default values are set for variables required for modeling. Global variables identifying
    pathnames to the GIS data, scripts, projects, and other file subdirectories in the pei3 directory
    are defined. Then, default data variables including; the season, mixing heights, pollutant type
    emission rate thresholds, receptor/pollutant search radius, terrain evaluation mode, and the PEI
    threshold percentage, are set. Mixing heights, directly related to the seasons, are automatically
    set for the specified season.
    
    The global variable names and their default values are listed as follows:
    Variable Description
    Directory Pathnames:
    PEI home directory
    Shape file directory
    ArcView projects directory
    Receptors directory
    ArcView scripts directory
    Text directory
    Database tables directory
    Temporary work directory
    Elevation grid file
    Data Variables:
    Season
    Annual mixing height
    Winter mixing height
    Spring mixing height
    Summer mixing height
    Fall mixing height
    Variable Name
    
    _peiDir
    _peiShps
    _peiProjs
    _peiRcps
    _peiScrp
    _peiText
    _peiTab
    _peiTemp
    _peiElevGd
    
    _Season
    _mhAnn
    _mhWin
    _mhSpr
    _mhSum
    _mhAut
    Default Value
    
    d:\data\pei3
    _peidir\shapes
    _peidir\projs
    _peidir\receptor
    _peidir\scripts
    _peidir\text
    _peidir\tables
    _peidir\temp
    _peidir\grid\ele1km
    
    Annual
    2689 feet
    2497 feet
    3300 feet
    281 8 feet
    2 136 feet
    

    -------
    Carbon monoxide emission threshold       _meCO                100 tons/year
    Nitrous oxides emission threshold          _meNOx               40 tons/year
    Sulfur dioxide emission threshold          _meSO2               40 tons/year
    Volatile organic compound emission        _meVOC               40 tons/year
    threshold
    Particulate matter emission threshold       _mePM10              15 tons/year
    Lead emission threshold                  _mePB                0.6 tons/year
    Receptor/Pollutant search radius           _srchRad (domBufDis)   50 kilometers
    Terrain evaluation mode                  _ternMod               complex
    PEI threshold percentage                 _peiThrsh              100
    Windrose Directions                      _winDirs               16
    Windrose degrees/direction	winDegs	22.5	
    
    Script:
       -  pei.1 Startup
    The PEI Model pulldown menu is then accessed to create the receptors, identify pollutant data
    and execute the PEI model. Descriptions of functions and scripts follow.
    
    //.2    Add and Delete Receptors
    The receptors that represent the sites for which PEIs will be calculated must first be sited in the
    PEI study area. Initially, Create Receptors is selected from the pulldown menu which prompts
    the user to specify a new or existing receptor file name.
    
    If a new receptor file is entered, the user may add receptors for an area or enter discrete point
    by selecting the Add Sites option from the PEI pulldown menu. To enter receptors for an area,
    the cursor is used to 'digitize' points outlining the area in the domain view (eastern U.S.). The
    area is subsequently filled with receptors at a user-specified increment. Multiple areas may be
    populated with receptors for a single receptor file. Discrete points may also be added by double-
    clicking on the site with the cursor.  Receptor sites may be deleted using similar techniques after
    selecting the Delete Sites pulldown menu option. After the receptors are generated or deleted
    the model refreshes the domain view.
    
    If an existing file name is specified, the receptors will be saved, but all related tables and PEI
    calculations will be deleted. The user may then access the PEI pulldown menu to identify if new
    receptors are to be added or existing receptors are to be deleted from the file  using the Add
    Sites or Delete Sites options.
    Scripts:
    

    -------
       -   pei.SlnitReceptor
       -   pei.4AddPolyPts
       -   pei.4AddPolyPtsMenu
       -   pei.4DelPolyPts
       -   pei.4DelPolyPtsMenu
    
    11.3    Interpolate Receptor Elevations
    After the receptors are generated, the Code Elevations entry in the PEI pulldown menu must be
    selected to interpolate elevations for each receptor from the one kilometer grid file. The
    interpolation is actually calculated by the Spatial Analyst ArcView extension. After the receptors
    have been assigned elevations, the theme will be enabled for display in the PEI study area
    view.
    
    Scripts include:
       -   pei.SReceptorsElev
    
    11.4    Identify Pollutant Types and Sources
    Identifying the pollutant types and sources and other related operations for PEI evaluation are
    initiated by selecting the Identify Source Data from the PEI pulldown menu. This first prompts
    the user to specify a distance that will be used as a search radius. Note that 50 kilometers is the
    default. The radius is measured from the receptors to select the pollutants that will be used for
    modeling.
    
    The user then specifies the pollutant types for modeling. The types include carbon monoxides
    (CO), nitrous oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxides (SO2), volatile organic compounds (VOC),
    particulate matter (PM10), and lead (PB). The pollutant types  selected depend on the sources
    that are subsequently identified. The  sources include the EPA AIRS and County Area and Point
    data. EPA AIRS is contains all six pollutant types, however there  is no PB data in the County
    Area and Point sources. After the pollutant types are identified, the minimum pollutant emission
    thresholds may be increased, if desired. Next, pollutant source(s) are selected. These include
    AIRS, County Area and Point, or combinations of these sources. Any combination may be
    specified except AIRS and County Point data, which are mutually exclusive.  At this point, a
    series of operations are executed to create shapefiles and themes for the specified pollutant
    types and sources.
    

    -------
    AIRS data is relatively simple to develop since the site locations and related attribute codes
    reside in preprocessed shape files for each pollutant type. AIRS sites that are within the search
    radius of the receptors and of the specified pollutant type are generated as shapefile(s) for
    subsequent processing.
    
    The County source data is more complex to process for two reasons. First, the preprocessed
    County sites are in a shape file and the descriptive attributes are in separate Area and Point
    dBASE files. Second, not only are the County data identified by pollutant type, but it is further
    subdivided into pollutant source categories. The following briefly describes how the County data
    is handled.
    
    Initially,  the County sites within the receptor search radius are identified.  Next, the Area and
    Point attribute records within the search radius and of the specified pollutant type(s) are
    selected. The data may be further refined by selecting pollutant type categories. The Area
    and/or Point attribute data is  appended by pollutant type and summarized by State/County
    emission rates. That is, if there are several records describing the same County site for a
    particular pollutant type, then their emission rates are summed in one record for modeling. For
    example, if the Metals Processing and Other Industrial Processes categories were selected for
    CO evaluation and information  for both were referenced for some Counties, then the emission
    rates of these will be summed for each County. Finally the summarized attributes are joined to
    the pollutant type receptor site shapefiles and theme(s) are generated.
    
    The AIRS and County pollutant type files are also referenced with meteorological station
    identifiers. Pollutants contained in the station areas of influence are assigned that areas station
    identifier. This is eventually used to develop wind frequencies for each receptor/pollutant pair.
    Finally, the common pollutant type theme(s) derived from various sources as individual pollutant
    type theme(s)  are merged. For example, SO2 extracted as themes from the AIRS and County
    Area sources are merged as one SO2 theme for PEI evaluation.
    An additional attribute field called 'emissdup' is added to the pollutant database tables. The user
    may copy the original emission rates into the new field using ArcView's Table document Field
    Calculator. The user may then modify the emission rates, using ArcView tools, and maintain a
    copy of the original source values in the 'emissdup' field.
    

    -------
    The County Area and Point dbf database templates are attached.
    Scripts:
       -   pei.2SourceData
       -   pei.2CountySum
       -   pei.2Category
       -   pei.2MetAoi
       -   pei.2MergePolThm
    
    11.5    PEI Model
    The PEI model scripts performs several complex functions. First, it creates database tables for
    each pollutant type containing the receptors and pollutant sites that are located within the
    specified search radius. The component data comprised of; emission rates, terrain landform
    factors, wind frequencies, and distances between the receptors are then calculated for each
    receptor/pollutant pair. The PEIs are then calculated for each receptor/pollutant pair by pollutant
    type from the component data. Finally, the PEIs of the pairs are summed for each receptor and
    entered in the receptor database table, by pollutant type.
    
    Before the PEIs are actual modeled global variable defaults representing the season, mixing-
    height, terrain factor and PEI threshold percentage may be changed.
    
    A detailed description of the PEI module is provided below. The basic components and
    associated variables used to calculate the PEI are:
    
           Emission rate                      = Q
           Terrain landform factor             = T
           Wind frequency                    = F
           Receptor/Pollutant distance         = D
           Pollution  Exposure Index           = PEI
    Initially, database tables are developed, by pollutant type, containing receptor/pollutant pairs.
    The pairings are based on the user-specified search radius. Those pollutants that fall within the
    search radius of the receptor are paired with the receptor in the receptor/pollutant database
    table. After the receptor/pollutant pairs are established, the component data are calculated.
    First, the pollutant emission rates (Q) are copied from the pollutant type database tables to the
    receptor/pollutant tables. Emission rates less than the rate threshold will not be evaluated. Next,
                                               10
    

    -------
    the distances between the pollutants and receptors (D), measured in kilometers, are calculated
    and also entered in the receptor/pollutant tables. If the distance is less than 100 meters, then it
    is set to 100.
    
    The seasonal wind frequencies (F) are also derived and entered into the tables for each
    receptor/pollutant pair. The process involves calculating the azimuthal angles from the receptors
    to the pollutants, then interpreting the seasonal wind frequencies for the azimuthal angles from
    the meteorological station wind frequency database tables. Recall that station identifiers are
    assigned to the pollutants and  are used to derive the appropriate wind frequency data. Finally,
    the wind frequencies are copied to the receptor/pollutant tables.
    
    Terrain landform factors (T) are also interpreted for each receptor/pollutant pair. Two alternative
    methods are used to derive the terrain factors depending on the evaluation mode.  If the
    evaluation mode is simple, then the terrain factors of all the receptor/pollutant pairs are set to
    one. If the evaluation mode is complex, the default, then they are calculated from mixing height,
    pollutant and receptor elevations. The equations used to interpret the complex terrain landforms
    are described as follows:
    
    1.      Ee = max(Er,Em), where         E  = elevation
                                          r = receptor site
                                          m = highest point between receptor and pollutant sites
    
        -   Spatial Analyst to interpolate receptor elevations (Er) from the 5 km elevation grid  . Note
           that pollutant site elevations (Es) are pre-processed.
        -   Derive the highest elevation (Em) between each pollutant and receptor (Er) sites. The
           model draws virtual lines between the locations of the receptor/pollutant pairs that cross
           100 foot elevation contours. The highest contour elevation that is intersected is recorded
           as Em.
        -   The receptor elevation  (Er) and highest elevation between receptor/pollutant (Em) are
           compared to identify the higher elevation (Ee).
    
    2.      T = Mh/(Mh + (Ee-Es)), where    T = landform factor
                                          Mh = mixing height
                                                11
    

    -------
                                          E = elevation
                                          e = highest elevation (above)
                                          s = pollutant site
    
       -  Subtract elevations of pollutant site (Es) from highest point between receptor/pollutant
           (Ee) and add to mixing height. Divide the result into the mixing height to calculate the
           terrain landform factors (T).
    
    After the basic terrain factor (T), wind frequency (F), emission rate (Q), and distances between
    receptors and pollutants (D) modeling components are derived for the receptor/pollutants, the
    PEIs are calculated and recorded for each pair in the  receptor/pollutant database table. The
    equation used to calculate the PEI by pollutant type for each receptor/pollutant pair is:
    
    3.     PEIrp = Trs* Frs * Qp/ Drs, where  PEI = pollutant exposure index measure
                                             R = receptor site
                                             s = pollutant site
                                             p = pollutant type
    
    In addition, the percentage each pollutant contributes to the total PEI for each receptor is
    calculated and entered into the table. See Appendix VI - Receptor/Pollutant Tables and
    Appendix VII  - Receptor Tables for descriptions of receptor/pollutant and receptor databases.
    Finally, the PEIs are calculated for each receptor by pollutant type from the data in the
    receptor/pollutant pair tables.  The PEI of each receptor (r) for pollutant (p) is calculated by
    summing the emission rates Q, distance between receptor/pollutants D, wind frequencies F, and
    terrain factor T for each receptor/pollutant pair using the equation:
    
           PEIrp = [SUM (Trs * Frs * Qsp / Drs)]
    The  receptor PEIs may be re-calculated by changing the PEI threshold percentage. Only the
    PEIs of the pollutants contributing less than the PEI threshold percentage are used to sum the
    PEI for each  receptor. Those  above the threshold are ignored. Therefore, the default of 100
    percent will result in the summation of all receptor/pollutant pair PEIs to determine the receptor
    PEIs. This option will change  only the receptor PEI summations, not the individual
    receptor/pollutant table entries. Ultimately, the receptor identifiers, their elevations, and adjusted
    PEI for the modeled pollutant types are recorded in the receptor database table.
    
                                               12
    

    -------
    Scripts:
       -   pei.6Model
       -   pei.6ModThresh
    
    11.6    PEI Contours
    The Spatial Analyst ArcView extension is used to interpret isoline contours from the PEI values
    calculated for each receptor for a particular pollutant. For best results, it is recommended that
    the inverse distance weight (IDW) method of interpolation be applied using a grid cell size of
    approximately 75  meters.
    
    11.7    Shutdown
    The shutdown module saves the receptor/pollutant pairs database table, the receptor file,  and
    the contour files. The variable  settings and pollutant sources used to produce the receptor file
    are recorded in the pei/text/variable.txt text file. The script also deletes extraneous polcoX,
    modX, and CatAre dBASE files, where X is the receptor file  number. Finally, the module re-
    initializes the PEI  project model.
    
    Scripts:
       -   pei.12Shutdown
    
    11.8    Print Variables
    A text file may be  generated by the user in the pei/text/Variable.txt file that describes the values
    of the global variables when the user selects the Print Variable item from the PEI Model
    pulldown menu and at the time the model is shutdown.
    
    11.9    About PEI Model
    This opens a file with a descriptive overview of the  PEI model and each of its scripts.
                                               13
    

    -------
    Appendix I
    Meteorological Stations DBF Database
    There are 108 meteorological stations derived from the EPA SCRAM bulletin board, which are
    used to interpret wind frequencies for the PEI model. The attributes are described in two dbf
    database files. The first, MET.DBF, contains information related to the location of the stations
    and their names. The second, MET.LUT, lists the seasonal wind frequency data from 16
    directions (every 22.5 degrees) for each station. The LUT contains 1728 records.
    The elevations for each site were interpolated during pre-processing from the 1 kilometer
    elevation grid file.
           File
          Name
               Field
               Name
                  Field
               Description
    MET.DBF
    MET.LUT
    STATION_
    LONGITUDE
    LATITUDE
    REGION
    STATE
    NAME
    ELEVATION
    STATION_
    DIRECTION
    WINWNDHRS
    SPRWNDHRS
    SUMWNDHRS
    FALWNDHRS
    ANNWNDHRS
    Station number
    Decimal degree longitude
    Decimal degree latitude
    Region identifier
    State abbreviation
    Station name
    Station elevation
    Station number
    Wind direction degrees
    Winter hours of wind
    Spring hours of wind
    Summer hours of wind
    Fall hours of wind
    Annual hours of wind
                                            14
    

    -------
    Appendix II
    
    Meteorological Station Areas of Influence DBF Database
    There are 133 meteorological station areas of influence.
              File
             Name
              Field
              Name
                Field
             Description
    METAOI.SHP
    STATION_
    ELEVATION
    NAME
    Station number
    Station elevation
    Station Name
                                            15
    

    -------
    Appendix III
    EPA AIRS Pollutant Source Points DBF Database
    Two sets of database files will be generated for each of the six pollutant type shape files,
    comprised of CO, NOx, SO2, VOC, PM10, and PB. The first file, polltype.SHP, identifies the
    source plant identifier, name, and emission rates, while the second, polltype.lut, contains the site
    locations and miscellaneous information. There are a total of 8938 pollutant sources, including
    931 carbon monoxide (CO), 2180 nitrous oxides (NOx), 2164 sulfuric oxide (SO2), 1459 volatile
    organic compound (VOC), 2180 particulate matter (PM10), and 24 lead (PB) sites.
    Note that there are no emission years identified in database for NO2. The station number field is
    populated during the execution of the model.
    
    The database file structure for the AIRS pollutant types follows:
              File
             Name
              Field
              Name
                 Field
              Description
    polltype.SHP
    polltype.LUT
    SOURCEJD
    PLANT
    EMISSION_RATE
    STATION_
    ELEVATION
    SOURCE-ID
    LONGITUDE
    LATITUDE
    REGION_
    STATE
    COUNTY_
    ZIP
    SIC
    YEAR
    PROCESS FLAG
    Pollutant source identifier
    Plant name
    Emission rate (tons/yr)
    Met station number
    Source elevation
    Pollutant Source identifier
    Decimal degree longitude
    Decimal degree latitude
    Region number
    State abbreviation
    County code
    Zip code
    SIC code (plant type)
    Emission year
    Data reliability
                                             16
    

    -------
    Appendix IV
    National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program Source Data Description
    
    
    The Countywide area and point source data came from EPA's 1985 National Acid Precipitation
    Assessment Program (NAPAP) inventory. These data include Countywide PM, NOx, SO2,
    VOC, and CO emission estimates for point and area sources. For each county, there are 14
    main categories, which are further broken down into 84 different sub categories. For use in the
    PEI model, these sub-categories were grouped into 17 new categories. The 17 new categories
    are shown in Table 1.
    
    
    Table 1. Generalized County-wide Point and Area Source Categories Used in PEI
    	New Cat Number and Name	
        i     FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
        2     FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
        3     FUEL COMB. OTHER
        4     CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
        5     METALS PROCESSING
        6     PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
        7     OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
        8     SOLVENT UTILIZATION
        9     RESIDENTIAL WOOD & OTHER
        10    WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
        11    HIGHWAY VEHICLES
        12    OFF-HIGHWAY VEHICLES
        13    NATURAL SOURCES
        14    MISCELLANEOUS
        15    OFF-HIGHWAY OTHER
        16    AGRICULTURE & FORESTRY
        17    FUGITIVE DUST	
    
    The distribution of NAPAP original 84 sub categories to the new categories is shown in Table 2.
    These data were provide by EPA in either an ASCII text or Foxpro database format  on a state-
    by-state level. The data were put into a standard format in an Access database, merged, and
    formatted for use in PEI.
                                           17
    

    -------
    Table 2. EPA Point and Area Source Category Distribution
    
    1
    
    
    
    
    
    2
    
    
    
    
    
    3
    
    
    
    
    
    
    4
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    5
    
    
    
    6
    
    
    
    7
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Main Category Number and Name
    Sub Category Number and Name
    FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL
    1 Coal
    2 Oil
    3 Gas
    4 Other
    5 Internal Combustion
    FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
    1 Coal
    2 Oil
    3 Gas
    4 Other
    5 Internal Combustion
    FUEL COMB. OTHER
    1 Commercial/Institutional Coal
    2 Commercial/Institutional Oil
    3 Commercial/Institutional Gas
    4 Misc. Fuel Comb.(ExceptResid
    5 Residential Wood
    6 Residential Other
    CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
    1 Organic Chemical Mfg
    2 Inorganic Chemical Mfg
    3 Polymer & Resin Mfg
    4 Agricultural Chemical Mfg
    5 Paint, Varnish, Lacquer, Ename
    6 Pharmaceutical Mfg
    7 Other Chemical Mfg
    METALS PROCESSING
    1 Non-Ferrous Metals Processing
    2 Ferrous Metals Processing
    3 Metals Processing NEC
    PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
    1 Oil & Gas Production
    2 Petroleum Refineries &Related
    3 Asphalt Manufacturing
    OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
    1 Agriculture, Food, & Kindred
    2 Textiles, Leather, & Apparel
    3 Wood, Pulp & Paper, &Publish
    4 Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic
    5 Mineral Products
    6 Machinery Products
    7 Electronic Equipment
    8 Transportation Equipment
    9 Construction
    10 Miscellaneous Industrial Proce
    
    
    
    
    
    
    New
    Category
    Number
    
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    
    3
    3
    3
    3
    9
    9
    
    4
    4
    4
    4
    4
    4
    4
    
    5
    5
    5
    
    6
    6
    6
    
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Main Category Number and Name
    Sub Category Number and Name
    8 SOLVENT UTILIZATION
    1 Degreasing
    2 Graphic Arts
    3 Dry Cleaning
    4 Surface Coating
    5 Other Industrial
    6 Nonindustrial
    7 Solvent Utilization NEC
    9 STORAGE & TRANSPORT
    1 Bulk Terminals & Plants
    2 Petroleum & Petroleum Product
    3 Petroleum & Petroleum Product
    4 Service Stations: Stage I
    5 Service Stations: Stage II
    6 Service Stations: Breathing...
    7 Organic Chemical Storage
    8 Organic Chemical Transport
    9 Inorganic Chemical Storage
    10 Inorganic Chemical Transport
    1 1 Bulk Materials Storage
    12 Bulk Materials Transport
    10 WASTE DISPOSALS RECYCLING
    1 Incineration
    2 Open Burning
    3 POTW
    4 Industrial Waste Water
    5 TSDF
    6 Landfills
    7 Other
    11 HIGHWAY VEHICLES
    1 Light-Duty Gas Vehicles
    2 Light-Duty Gas Trucks
    3 Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
    4 Diesels
    12 OFF-HIGHWAY
    1 Non-Road Gasoline
    2 Non-Road Diesel
    3 Aircraft
    4 Marine Vessels
    5 Railroads
    13 NATURAL SOURCES
    1 Biogenic
    2 Geogenic
    3 Miscellaneous
    14 MISCELLANEOUS
    1 Agriculture & Forestry
    2 Other Combustion
    3 Catastrophic/Accidental Release
    4 Repair Shops
    5 Health Services
    6 Cooling Towers
    7 Fugitive Dust
    New
    Category
    Number
    
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    
    6
    6
    6
    6
    6
    6
    4
    4
    4
    4
    4
    4
    
    10
    10
    10
    10
    10
    10
    10
    
    11
    11
    11
    11
    
    12
    12
    15
    15
    15
    
    13
    13
    13
    
    16
    14
    14
    14
    14
    14
    17
                                            18
    

    -------
    Appendix V
    NAPAP County Area and Point Pollutant Tables DBF Database
    
    
    The County Area and Point pollutant information for all pollutant types are stored in individual
    tables that are related to the County point shapefiles. The ACATEGORY and PCATEGORY fields
    contain about 37 categories. The values in the Total' field are used to derive the cumulative Area
    or Point emission rates for the Counties by pollutant type.
    The attribute fields for the point shapefiles and the COUNTY.ARE and .PNT tables are listed
    below. The tables are sorted by the stco redefined item. Neither contains PB pollutant source type
    records. Note that there are 2626 County points referenced with 89,672 Area records and 18,186
    Point records. There are 7986 Area records that identify the total emission rates by pollutant types
    for the Counties and 4466 describing the cumulative rates for the Points.
              File
              Name
               Field
               Name
                 Field
              Description
    COPOLL.SHP
    COPOLL.ARE
    COPOLL.PNT
    STATE
    COUNTY_NUM
    LATITUDE
    LONGITUDE
    REGION_
    STATION_
    ELEVATION
    STCO
    SOURCEJD
    POLL_TYPE
    STATE
    COUNTY_NUM
    CATEGORY
    EMISSION_R
    POLSTCO
    STCO
    SOURCEJD
    POLL_TYPE
    STATE
    COUNTY_NUM
    CATEGORY
    EMISSION_R
    POLSTCO
    STCO
    State abbreviation
    County fips code
    Decimal degree latitude
    Decimal degree longitude
    Region number
    Met station number
    Source elevation
    State and County
    Pollutant source identifier
    Pollutant type identifier
    State abbreviation
    County fips code
    Category type
    Area emission rate
    Pollutant, state and county
    State and County
    Pollutant source identifier
    Pollutant type identifier
    State abbreviation
    County fips code
    Category type
    Point emission rate
    Pollutant, state and county
    State and Count
                                              19
    

    -------
    Appendix VI
    
    Receptor/Pollutant Tables DBF Database
    One pollutant source/receptor database file is generate for each pollutant source type containing
    the following information.
    File Field Maximum Type
    Name Name Char Width I,C,N
    RC#type.DBF RCPID 5 1
    SRCID 5 C
    RCPELEV
    SRCELEV
    DISTANCE
    AZIMUTH
    EMISSION
    WINDFRQ
    EM
    T
    PEI
    PEI PCEN
    T
    Decimals
    (inc.)
    0
    0
    
    
    2
    2
    3
    
    
    2
    
    
    
    Field
    Description
    Receptor identifier
    Pollutant point identifier *
    Receptor elevation
    Pollutant elevation
    Receptor/Pollutant
    Distance
    Angle - receptor to
    pollutant
    Emission rate
    Wind Frequency
    Highest elev between
    recp/poll
    Terrain landform factor
    recp/poll pair PEI
    Percent PEI contribution of
    recp
    * For the AIRs data the srcid is
    the srcid is the appended state
    srcid equal to AL102).
    a unique source-id, however for the County Area and Point data
    abbreviation and the County number (e.g. AL and 102 makes the
                                               20
    

    -------
    Appendix VII
    Receptor Tables Info Database
             File                      Field                        Field
             Name                    Name                     Description
    RECnum.SHPRcpid       5                         Receptor identifier
                            ELEVATION                Receptor elevation
                            PEI_TYPE                 PEI by pollutant type
                                           21
    

    -------
               GIS Uncertainty and Policy: Where Do We Draw the 25-Inch Line?
                                              James E. Mitchell
         Institute for Environmental Studies, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
    Abstract
    
    The growing availability of improved hardware and soft-
    ware for geographic information systems (GIS) has out-
    stripped most users' ability to identify and represent
    uncertainty in the available data.  In practice, the prolif-
    eration and compounding of errors and uncertainty in-
    crease as information  becomes  more easily  handled
    and combined from different sources.
    
    Various stages of GIS database development and analy-
    sis generate different forms and amounts of error and
    uncertainty. In most cases,  inherent uncertainty within
    source data is simply ignored  and its nature eventually
    lost through subsequent processing. Both the location
    of features and  their attributes can include error and
    uncertainty. By the time decision-makers receive mapped
    information, it is typically represented as correctly  lo-
    cated and attributed.
    
    The use of weather and climate information provided by
    the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) is a common
    example of this scenario. Weatherstation locations pro-
    vided by NCDC  are reported  to the nearest truncated
    degree-minute. A minute is one-sixtieth of a degree of
    arc.  In the center of the continental United States,  1
    minute of latitude averages approximately 6,000 feet
    and 1 minute of longitude averages approximately 4,800
    feet. Thus, the station location  is only known to lie within
    a box of approximately  1  square  mile. Map repre-
    sentations of these data should reflect this uncertainty.
    
    Under the Municipal Solid Waste Landfill (MSWLF) Cri-
    teria,  the  U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency has
    dictated that  the 25-inch precipitation contour line  be
    used as a regulatory boundary for the level of protection
    required at municipal  landfill  sites. The way in which
    these lines are created and interpreted has important
    policy implications. Indeed, the cost and practicality of a
    given location must take this into account. If the 25-inch
    precipitation figure is critical,  characterizing its uncer-
    tainty is also important.
    In this work, uncertainty is considered a property of the
    data (1). A Monte Carlo procedure is used to represent
    the stochastic character of contour lines generated from
    point data with known locational  uncertainty. The 30-
    year normal precipitation  data for  Kansas are used  as
    an example. The results of this study are compared with
    the 25-inch  contour used for  regulatory purposes in
    Kansas. This study demonstrates that the method of
    interpolation greatly influences the  resulting contours. In
    addition, locational uncertainty changes the results un-
    predictably using four different contouring methods.  Fi-
    nally, the differences have potentially significant policy
    implications. The nature and origin of these factors are
    discussed.
    
    Problem Statement
    
    The  increasing power of geographic information sys-
    tems (GIS) and the availability of digital data have en-
    abled users and decision-makers to  perform complex
    spatial analyses for  a great variety  of environmental
    applications (2). The  rapid  expansion of GIS has  re-
    sulted in a parallel growing concern about the quality of
    data (3).
    
    An understanding of error and uncertainty is critical  for
    proper use of spatial information.  For the purposes of
    this discussion, error is defined as a deviation between
    the GIS representation of a feature and its true value (4).
    For a location, this might arise from rounding or truncat-
    ing digits. Attribute error can involve misclassification of
    a feature or some  other form of incorrectly accounting
    for its nature. Error is a measurable  value quantifying
    these differences.
    
    Furthermore, uncertainty  shall refer to a characteristic
    for which the exact location and/or quantity cannot  be
    calculated (5) or an attribute whose value represents a
    distribution or some other ensemble (composite) meas-
    ure.  Locational  uncertainty often arises when inappro-
    priate measurement systems are used. An example of
    this is the use of a Public Land Survey designation (often
    

    -------
    referred to as a legal location) to specify a point location.
    This system is designed to represent a tract of land (an
    area). It is not accurate for locating points (1).
    
    The uncertainty associated with an attribute is an impor-
    tant characteristic of that feature. It quantifies the preci-
    sion of a stochastic  quantity;  that is, one  that is not
    accurately represented by a single value. Annual pre-
    cipitation is represented by a single number, typically the
    30-year mean annual  precipitation (30-year normal).
    This number varies each year, however, and that uncer-
    tainty can be quantified by the  variance or other statis-
    tical measures. In this sense, uncertainty is a known  or
    calculable value that can be used in spatial analyses.
    
    Unreliable CIS data and products may lead to adverse
    environmental and legal consequences. The National
    Center for Geographic Information Systems and Analy-
    sis (NCGISA) chose data quality as the first initiative on
    its CIS  research agenda (6). Many efforts  have been
    made priorto this, and since, to  understand and manage
    error and uncertainty in CIS applications.
    
    CIS analyses are inherently subject to propagation  of
    error and uncertainty (4, 7). No data set can represent
    every spatial reality of a geographically dispersed phe-
    nomenon. Monmonier (8) points out that as long as the
    three-dimensional earth's surface is transformed to a
    two-dimensional plane,  error and uncertainty of various
    forms will be produced. Goodchild and Min-Hua (9) point
    out two issues that are important when dealing with error
    and uncertainty:
    
    • Minimization of error  in the creation of CIS products.
    
    • Measurement and  presentation of error and  uncer-
      tainty in a useful fashion.
    
    CIS technology introduces error and uncertainty through
    two major sources: (1) inherent error and (2) operational
    error.  Inherent error is the error present in source data.
    It is generated when the data are collected. Operational
    error is generated during data entry and manipulation
    (7,  10-13). Examples include  locational shifts due  to
    projection  or  combining   information  from  different
    source scales.
    
    Most error and uncertainty contained in CIS data cannot
    be eliminated. Instead, they are actually created, accen-
    tuated, and  propagated through CIS manipulation pro-
    cedures (14-16). Most operational errors are difficult to
    estimate.
    
    The selection by the  U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency (EPA) of a 25-inch per year local precipitation
    limit as one of the criteria to determine whether small
    municipal solid waste landfills (MSWLF) are subject  to
    the provisions of Subtitle D provides an excellent exam-
    ple of how uncertainty and errors enter into a CIS analy-
    sis and its subsequent  products. It demonstrates all  of
    the major forms and purveyors  of error and uncertainty:
    • Spatial (locational) error
    
    • Statistical (sampling) uncertainty
    
    • Temporal (time domain) error
    
    • Error proliferation (processing error)
    
    • Analytical (choice of methodology) error
    
    • Cartographic representation error
    
    Many of these are avoidable;  some are known and
    understood, yet they remain largely ignored by users of
    CIS technology. This work presents each of these fac-
    tors, discusses their origins, and shows how CIS could
    have been used to better serve the policy and regulatory
    processes. The Kansas example demonstrates that ig-
    noring the factors influencing error and uncertainty can
    result in incorrect conclusions and inappropriate policy
    decisions.
    
    Data Requirements  and Sources
    
    To perform an analysis of precipitation, data are typically
    obtained  from the  National  Climatic  Data  Center
    (NCDC), located in Asheville, North Carolina. This is the
    national repository for such data.  These data are also
    available through state or regional climate centers. The
    Kansas Weather Library at Kansas State University pro-
    vided data for this study. The 1990  "normal precipitation"
    data (17)  and locations were obtained and generated
    into an ARC/INFO point coverage. Figure 1 displays the
    locations of the precipitation stations used in this study.
    
    Normal  precipitation is defined as the average annual
    precipitation for a  three-decade  (30 years)  period  at
    each station  for which reliable  data are  available. To
    avoid "edge effects" (processing anomalies due to a lack
    of data along edges of an area), all stations in  Kansas
    and some from neighboring states were used. A total of
    380 stations compose this data set. In addition, precipi-
    tation contours from the "Availability of Ground Water in
    Kansas  Map" (18) were digitized from a [paper] source
    map. The Geohydrology Section of the Kansas Geologi-
    cal Survey  provided  base map  coverages  of carto-
    graphic features.
    
    All data represent the best available information from the
    source institutions noted above.  Those organizations
    use the data  in  their analytical and  cartographic re-
    search and production operations.
    
    Methodology
    
    To examine the influence of locational uncertainty on the
    representation of three-dimensional, natural phenom-
    ena, a Monte Carlo approach was adopted (1). Using
    this technique, random realizations of point locations are
    generated for each  rain gauge,  in each of 50 separate
    simulations. From this, 50 possible representations of
    the unknown locations of each gauge are used to create
    

    -------
    
                                                             •   •'  • • •
                                                                       •
                                                                 •   . •
                                                                    *;  •*  •   .   •
                    •     .
                        *    *•
    Figure 1.  Location of rain gauges used in this study.
    
    50 different sets of contours. All Monte Carlo calcula-
    tions and data generation were performed using Statis-
    tical Analysis System (SAS) (19, 20).
    
    These 50 simulations were sequentially processed us-
    ing the four different contouring methods available within
    ARC/INFO. This provided a means to examine analyti-
    cal error propagation.  The first of the  four methods  is
    kriging (21, 22). This is referred to in the paper as the
    UK method, for its use of linear universal kriging (23).
    The other three are manipulations of the triangular-
    irregular network (TIN) contouring algorithm available in
    ARC/INFO. These differ by the number of interpolation
    points used along the edges  of the elements in the TIN
    data structure (24). The first used the default  1, the
    second used 5, and the third  used 10 (the largest value
    available). These are labeled D1, D5, and D10, respec-
    tively.
    
    CIS operations used in this work include overlay analy-
    sis, areal calculation, and arc intersection. ARC/INFO
    was  used for all  CIS and cartographic  production  in
    this work.
    
    Identifying the Sources of Uncertainty
    
    Spatial Error
    
    Data obtained from NCDC is provided with the knowl-
    edge  that weather station locations are reported using
    truncated degrees and minutes of longitude and latitude.
    NCDC cannot provide  any better locational accuracy at
    this time. Because each location is reported with error,
    this clearly has the potential to affect any contours or
    other three-dimensional features interpolated from the
    data. The magnitude and  nature of this influence are
    unknown and unpredictable (1).
    
    In addition to the poorly defined station locations, exami-
    nation of the data revealed other anomalies. The loca-
    tions in the publication reporting normal precipitation
    (17) were not identical to those identified by the Kansas
    State climatologist and NCDC. Some of the discrepan-
    cies were quite large. These anomalies were brought to
    the attention of all parties  involved.  No resolution was
    provided to this investigator's satisfaction, however.
    
    The contours digitized from the "Availability  of Ground
    Water in Kansas Map" are stated to originate from the
    1960 normals (18). No documentation exists, however,
    concerning the way the lines were derived or the number
    of rain gauges used. Presumably, they were contoured
    by hand.
    
    Statistical Uncertainty
    
    This is a sampling consideration based on the size of
    the data, the nature of the  process being sampled, and
    its variability. Unfortunately, precipitation is a particularly
    "patchy"  phenomenon. That is, rain falls in a discon-
    tinuous  fashion, and adjacent gauges  can depict very
    different  patterns. This is confounded  by the fact that
    most contouring algorithms and other approaches to
    

    -------
    represent three-dimensional surfaces  assume a rela-
    tively smooth (locally) and continuous process.
    
    Areal processes are almost always sampled  as point
    information. Most contouring algorithms require a regu-
    lar grid  from  which to interpolate surface features. In
    practice, rain gauges, as well as other environmental
    sampling programs, are  irregularly distributed.  Place-
    ment often depends on factors other than grid sampling
    (e.g., convenience,  access  to  communications,  fi-
    nances, Congressional districts). This creates a "nonex-
    perimental sampling" design  (25). Nonexperimental
    sampling can contribute to uncertainty (26, 27).
    
    Temporal Error
    
    The  normals are recalculated each decade  and can
    change  drastically in local areas. These changes arise
    for various reasons. First, some stations enter and drop
    from the database. Stations are deleted due to  changes
    in location or extended periods of data collection prob-
    lems. On occasion, new stations are added. Thus, the
    size and areal coverage of the data set changes with time.
    
    In  addition,  weather patterns change  with time. Ex-
    tended periods of drought or excess rain or snow alter
    measured precipitation. In turn, three-dimensional rep-
    resentations change unevenly.
    
    Error Proliferation
    
    Once an error enters into the database and is  included
    in CIS operations, spatial analysis, or spatial interpola-
    tion,  its effect passes into the next stage of processing.
    In the 1990 normal precipitation data for Kansas, two
    stations are reported in  Garden City. Despite the fact
    that the two are only a few miles apart, their annual total
    precipitation differs by 2 inches! In consultation with the
    state climatologist (Mary Knapp, Kansas State Univer-
    sity), one was eliminated from the analysis. This process
    was  repeated for an additional six stations where re-
    ported values appeared to be anomalous compared with
    nearby  stations  or the  previous  normal precipitation
    (1951 to 1980).
    
    Errors can also proliferate through the normal  handling
    of data. With geographic data, this often occurs while
    converting data from raster to vector and vector to raster
    forms (28). Some CIS operations are best accomplished
    in one form or another. As a result, transformations are
    often "hidden"  from  the  user.  Commonly,  features
    "move" slightly after each step in an analysis.
    
    Analytical Error
    
    Different techniques have been developed for  perform-
    ing spatial interpolation, and an abundance of  software
    is available for this purpose. All these methods have
    strengths and weaknesses.  Each is based on a specific
    set of assumptions about the  form and nature of the
    data.  Some are more robust (less sensitive to data
    anomalies) than others. Most importantly, some provide
    additional information useful in data analysis.
    
    Unfortunately, users often "take the defaults" when using
    sophisticated techniques and  ignore the assumptions
    behind the method. Parameters can be varied and their
    effect evaluated, as in a sensitivity analysis (29).  Often,
    the best approach is to try several methods and evaluate
    their joint performance (30,  31).
    
    Another difficulty is the need to assign values to  areas.
    By definition, polygons in a CIS are considered to be
    homogeneous. In reality, they bound areas that are a
    gradation from  one characteristic to another. On the
    other  hand, contours are  commonly used to depict sur-
    face gradients but are useless (within a CIS) for analyti-
    cal or modeling purposes. Ultimately, data sampling is
    accomplished as a  point process (except, perhaps,  in
    remote sensing), while many forms of data analysis and
    processing require areal information.
    
    Cartographic Representation Error
    
    Communicating the uncertainty of map features is not a
    trivial  endeavor.  Maps can be produced in two basic
    forms: as a raster  (e.g., orthophotoquads  or satellite
    images)  or a composition of vectors  (e.g., contour
    maps). The printing process, however, often  reduces all
    of this to a raster representation at a very fine pixel size.
    Each  method poses its own problems in depicting un-
    certainty.
    
    Rasters can be used effectively in conjunction with color
    information theory to produce  a continuum  of shading
    within a thematic map layer (32). The choice of colors,
    however, can influence the interpretation of the data,
    and no universal scheme exists for  depicting thematic
    variability. For example,  blue  shades often represent
    water or cold, while yellow and/or red often represent
    temperature or heat.
    
    Vectors present a different suite of problems.  Contouring
    is the  primary technique for using vectors to depict areal
    variation. By definition, however, contour lines represent
    an exact isoline or single value along its  length. Uncer-
    tainty  cannot be represented  in a line. Rather, a com-
    posite of lines can be displayed that represents a set of
    possible  interpretations of the  data. This  is not a  practi-
    cal solution for mapping, however, as it can create a
    jumble of intersecting lines that makes interpretation
    difficult and is not an aesthetic means of presentation.
    
    Challenges Encountered in This Study
    
    This work attempts to discover and account for sources
    of error  and  uncertainty in CIS  analysis.  Given  this
    information, the challenges are to find the best way  to
    incorporate it into the analysis and to represent it in a
    useful manner. Another challenge is finding ways to use
    

    -------
    CIS uncertainty to support policy and management de-
    cisions. Addressing these manifold problems starts with
    identifying the sources of error and uncertainty, the way
    they enter the analysis, and the manner in which they
    are propagated through the use of CIS.
    
    This study includes  a number of known  sources of un-
    certainty. In practice, this is not always the case. Users
    of CIS data and technology should always assume that
    the sources of uncertainty discussed in  this paper are
    present and attempt to  determine their  nature. Uncer-
    tainty should  be considered a property of the data and
    appropriately represented  (1). This is  the  approach
    taken in this work.
    
    After examining these factors, a Monte Carlo simulation
    was deemed  the most appropriate approach to capture
    the nature  of the locational  uncertainty. Four different
    methods of contouring were used to examine analytical
    uncertainty (uncertainty due to the choice of a contour-
    ing algorithm). In addition, the contribution of statistical
    (sampling)  uncertainty  could have been addressed
    through incorporating information about the standard
    error of the point precipitation measurements (normals)
    used as the base data. Time limitations precluded ex-
    amining this dimension of the question. Comparing the
    contours resulting from the 1960 and 1990 precipitation
    normals demonstrates the effect of temporal variation.
    
    The  greatest challenge is  communicating the uncer-
    tainty in a manner useful to decision-makers. This paper
    presents a series of maps, figures, and tables aimed at
    addressing this problem. Some of the maps (see Fig-
    ures 2 through 5) show the uncertainty resulting from
    each of the contouring  methods. Figure 6 depicts the
    union (overlay) of the four approaches and displays their
    correspondence. The pie chart in  Figure 7 is a nonspa-
    tial representation of this correspondence and the rela-
    tive area represented within the different combinations
    of overlapping regions of uncertainty. Tables 1 through
    3 further compare these quantities. Figure 8 is the map
    that the Kansas Department of Health and Environment
    (KDHE) chose to define the  regulatory  boundary (the
    25-inch contour). The contours resulting from this study
    can be seen in Figure 9. Finally, the map in Figure 10 is
    a cartographic comparison of the differences between
    the contours  used by KDHE  (based on the 1960 nor-
    mals) and those  generated  by the currently available
    data (the 1990 normals).
    
    There  is no  single  best approach for meeting these
    challenges, and there may never be one. The real chal-
    lenge to  address is  how to educate technical CIS pro-
    fessionals  and the  users  of their work to look for
    uncertainty and consider its influence on their decision-
    making process.
    Results
    
    The zones of uncertainty defined by the results from the
    four contouring methods used in this study are displayed
    in Figures 2 through 5. For each method, these zones
    represent the areal extent of the overlain contour lines
    produced in the 50 simulations. Each region is bounded
    by the furthest west or east contour generated along any
    length  of the region. Table  1  shows the relative  area
    falling within each of these zones as they traverse the
    state of  Kansas. Clear differences exist between the
    total areas of uncertainty. It is their placement and rela-
    tive location, however, that  have policy and manage-
    ment  implications. CIS is required to examine  these
    questions.
    
    Table 1.  Comparison of Absolute and Relative Area of
            Uncertainty Arising From Four Methods of
            Determining the 25-Inch Precipitation Contour
    
    
    Method3
    UK
    D1
    D5
    D10
    
    
    Total Area
    (square
    miles)
    289.33
    494.38
    602.13
    631.11
    Difference
    Between
    This and
    UK Method
    (square
    miles)
    —
    205.05
    312.80
    341 .78
    
    
    Percentage
    of UK
    Method
    —
    170.87
    208.11
    218.13
    
    
    Percentage
    of Combined
    Areab of
    Uncertainty
    19.65
    33.58
    40.90
    42.87
     UK = universal kriging with linear drift, D1 = TIN interpolation with 1
     subdivision, D5 = TIN interpolation with 5 subdivisions, D10 = TIN
     interpolation with 10 subdivisions (23, 24).
    bA union (overlay) of all four sets of regions of uncertainty creates a
     combined area of 1,472.07 square miles. This includes the zones of
     uncertainty  for each method of contouring and areas not included
     within any of the four regions of uncertainty (gaps between them).
    
    Figures 2 through 5 clearly show differences in both the
    extent of uncertainty in the 25-inch contour line and its
    positional  interpretation. Each  method  has a  slightly
    different bend or twist.  Islands (isolated regions where
    the 25-inch  line  appears as  a  closed loop) are mani-
    fested  differently   depending  on  the  interpolation
    scheme. It is interesting to note the relative correspon-
    dence between  the general shape of the D1  and UK
    methods. In  the south-central border region, D1 and UK
    represent the local uncertainty as a bulge, while  D5 and
    D10 depict it as an island of lower precipitation.
    
    Areal correspondence  and difference are  depicted in
    Figure 6 and Table 2. Figure 7 is a pie chart visualizing
    the information in Table 2. These results are somewhat
    surprising  in that areas where none of the four methods
    located  the 25-inch line ("None  Present") represent the
    second  largest composite area. Because of the large
    number of "sliver polygons," the graphic representation
    of the overlay is  somewhat difficult to interpret. Table 2
    clarifies these interrelationships by breaking down the
    various  categories. The average area per polygon value
    

    -------
    Figure 2.  Regions of uncertainty produced by the UK method of contouring.
    Figure 3.  Regions of uncertainty produced by the D1 method of contouring.
                                                              6
    

    -------
    Figure 4.  Regions of uncertainty produced by the D5 method of contouring.
    Figure 5.  Regions of uncertainty produced by the D10 method of contouring.
    

    -------
                        UK
                                      D1
                                                      D5
                                                                    D10
                                                                                    Not Present
    Figure 6.  Union of the regions of uncertainty from all four methods of contouring. The numerous "sliver" polygons make this a
             difficult presentation to interpret at this scale. The black areas appear prominently, however. These represent areas where
             no method placed contour lines.
    adds to the interpretation of the relative areas by incor-
    porating the number of polygons in each category. An
    inspection of this column makes those categories with
    a multitude  of very small  polygons stand out. It also
    displays a number of large jumps in magnitude. As this
    number increases, the significance of the correspondence
    increases.
    
    Table 2 highlights the correspondence between the D5
    and D10 approaches and  the D1  and UK methods of
    interpolation. This relationship is interesting because the
    algorithms used by the UK and D1  methods both are
    forms of linear interpolation. The D5 and D10 algorithms
    are designed to provide more "smoothing" and appear
    to create increasingly more "bull's eyes." Only  D5 and
    D10 generate these features. Of the  50  simulations, a
    particular bull's eye appears west of the 25-inch  contour
    (see Figures 3 and 4) four times  using D5 and 39 times
    using D10. The size and location of these anomalies
    also vary with the input data. Polygons containing con-
    tours from all four methods rank ninth in  total area and
    seventh in average area (out of  17  categories).  This
    supports the conclusion that  the four chosen methods
    have a relatively low spatial correspondence.
    
    Table 3 breaks down the area of uncertainty by county.
    Although the zones of uncertainty appearto be relatively
    small when  displayed on a statewide basis, they have
    important impacts in local areas. In particular, combining
    this information with soils, topography,  ground water,
    and other information  can clearly indicate  whether a
    specific location is suitable for a landfill. Often, informa-
    tion developed at one scale is used in another. In this
    case, statewide information is being used fora site-specific
    application.
    
    Figure 8 is a copy of the map the KDHE used to deline-
    ate the 25-inch precipitation contour. The  results from
                 LRGflty
                 12.13%
    D1,03. acd DIG
        11.11%
                                               Ml Oiling;
     Norn Praianl
        22.13%
    Figure 7.  Breakdown of the total area in each category result-
             ing from the union (overlay) of the regions of uncer-
             tainty from all four contouring methods. The "None
             Present" category represents a surprisingly large
             proportion among the 17 possible combinations.
    

    -------
    Table 2. Comparison of Absolute and
    Relative Area
    of
    Table 3.
    Uncertainty Arising From Four Methods of
    Determining the
    
    Methods of
    Contouring
    Found Within
    Area
    
    D5 and D10
    None present
    D1 only
    
    UK only
    
    D1, D5, and D10
    
    D10 only
    
    UK and D1
    
    D5 only
    Common to all
    
    UK, D5, and D10
    
    D1 and D5
    
    D1 and D10
    UK and D5
    
    UK, D1, and D5
    
    UK, D1, and D10
    
    UK and D10
    Combined total
    
    
    
    
    N
    
    28
    28
    37
    
    27
    
    24
    
    69
    
    19
    
    73
    10
    
    14
    
    38
    
    38
    19
    
    12
    
    12
    
    13
    461
    25-Inch Precipitation Contour
    
    
    Total Area
    (square
    miles)
    
    350.13
    326.06
    221 .02
    
    178.60
    
    163.61
    
    70.07
    
    65.82
    
    34.68
    23.45
    
    15.47
    
    10.68
    
    6.50
    2.21
    
    1.89
    
    1.41
    
    0.47
    1472.07
    
    Percentage
    of Total
    Combined
    Area
    
    23.78
    22.15
    15.01
    
    12.13
    
    11.11
    
    4.76
    
    4.47
    
    2.36
    1.59
    
    1.05
    
    0.73
    
    0.44
    0.15
    
    0.13
    
    0.10
    
    0.03
    100.00
    Average
    Area per
    Polygon3
    (square
    miles)
    
    12.50
    11.64
    5.97
    
    6.61
    
    6.82
    
    1.02
    
    3.46
    
    0.48
    2.35
    
    1.11
    
    0.28
    
    0.17
    0.12
    
    0.15
    
    0.12
    
    0.04
    
    
    
    
    County
    
    Barber
    Barton
    Clark
    
    Area of Uncertainty for Each County Arising From
    Four Methods of
    Determining the 25-Inch
    Precipitation Contour
    
    UK Area
    (square
    miles)
    
    36.38
    28.47
    12.64
    
    Comanche 44.30
    
    Edwards
    
    Ellis
    
    Jewell
    
    Kiowa
    Osborne
    
    Pawnee
    
    Pratt
    
    Rush
    Russell
    
    Smith
    
    Stafford
    
    Total
    aA dash
    method
    
    — a
    
    —
    
    —
    
    15.15
    43.87
    
    —
    
    18.84
    
    0.04
    27.17
    
    27.59
    
    34.88
    
    289.3
    
    D1 Area
    (square
    miles)
    
    24.29
    96.84
    11.49
    
    52.94
    
    —
    
    6.14
    
    6.65
    
    14.32
    99.82
    
    —
    
    11.30
    
    8.51
    22.71
    
    68.47
    
    70.90
    
    494.4
    indicates that no contours appeared
    specified.
    
    
    D5 Area
    (square
    miles)
    
    28.05
    56.16
    12.97
    
    51.43
    
    —
    
    9.27
    
    23.05
    
    17.81
    168.2
    
    0.11
    
    11.56
    
    31.32
    28.30
    
    67.38
    
    96.49
    
    602.1
    D10
    Area
    (square
    miles)
    
    28.31
    59.56
    13.02
    
    52.23
    
    9.44
    
    8.90
    
    24.26
    
    31.12
    172.6
    
    0.30
    
    11.43
    
    29.51
    28.00
    
    66.34
    
    96.05
    
    631.1
    in that county for the
    
    
     Average Area per Polygon =
     to compare the relative size
    (Total Area) / N. This a useful measure
    of each polygon in each classification.
    the UK method were selected as the best available
    representation of normal precipitation across Kansas
    (see Figure 9). The figure displays the undipped contour
    lines generated from the data. This is done to point out
    the importance of "edge effect."  Note the  incoherent
    behavior of the contour lines at their termini.  If a smaller
    window of data points were used, interpolation problems
    would  have lain across the region of interest.  When
    present, these features require more handling and time
    for analysis. They often introduce additional error and
    uncertainty.
    
    The  policy implications of this example are demon-
    strated in Figure 10. Here, the map shows the combina-
    tion of the "official" KDHE map and the data  interpreted
    in this study. The pattern of noncorrespondence is note-
    worthy. The lightest areas are regions that currently
    experience higher annual precipitation than forecast by
    the 1960 normals (from the KDHE map). Black areas
    are expected to have lower precipitation under current
    climatic conditions.  Therefore, large  areas  of Kansas
    that should be under regulation according to the MSWLF
    regulations are not.
    
    In  summary, the figures and tables clearly show  that
    locational  uncertainty of data measured as points  is
    propagated into contour lines. The nature and magni-
    tude of that uncertainty varies with location and method
    of interpolation and shows no regular (predictable) pat-
    tern. Perhaps most importantly, uncertainty that appears
    small at one scale can be relatively more significant at
    another. In addition, seemingly small geographic feature
    and uncertainty can be an important factor in decision-
    making.
    
    Discussion and Conclusions
    
    CIS is an established and accepted technology, espe-
    cially  in  applications  related  to natural  resource and
    environmental management.  Despite the widespread
    proliferation of CIS into these areas, the  available data
    are not always appropriate for the  intended application.
    Furthermore,  adequate documentation  is not always
    available to determine whether the data are adequate
    for a given use. The development of metadata standards
    will play  an important role in  addressing this problem.
    Errors and  uncertainty will always be present in CIS
    data.  Recognizing their presence, incorporating  them
    into the analysis, and representing them in CIS products
    will remain a constant challenge.
    
    This study demonstrates the influence that various
    sources of CIS uncertainty can leverage on the results
    of an analysis. The example of the 25-inch precipitation
    

    -------
              Yield of Greater Than
              500 Gallons per Minute
    
             * Precipitation Contours in Inches Per Year
    Yield of 100 to 500 Gallons
    of Water per Minute
    Yield of Less Than 100
    Gallons of Water per Minute
                       100 Miles
    Figure 8.  The map that the KDHE selected as the definitive source for the location of the 25-inch precipitation contour (18).
                                           ^s
                                                ^
    Figure 9.  Map of the precipitation contours resulting from applying the UK method with linear drift to the 1990 normals (17). Here,
              the contour interval is 5 inches. Note the incoherent behavior of the contours around the margins of the map.  This is
              referred to as "edge effect."
                                                                10
    

    -------
                                                                                               ±i
               Higher Precipitation in
               1990 Data
          Lower Precipitation in
          1990 Data
    Figure 10.  This map represents the union (overlay) of the information in Figures 8 and 9. The lighter regions represent areas
              exhibiting higher precipitation in the 1990 normals (1961 to 1990) than was apparent in the 1960 normals (1931 to 1960).
              The darker areas show the opposite relationship.
    line in Kansas  is a clear example of how the  use of
    inappropriate data can have far-reaching effects  on pol-
    icy  and management. The regulatory agency,  KDHE,
    chose the wrong map upon which to base its regulatory
    authority. As a result, numerous potential sites for small
    municipal solid waste landfills will be considered that are
    in violation of the letter and intent of the law.
    
    Ultimately, the responsibility for proper use of CIS tech-
    nology lies in the hands of practitioners. Technical staff
    performing CIS analysis must be knowledgeable about
    sources of error and uncertainty and ensure that users
    of their work are aware of their influence on CIS  output.
    
    The problems demonstrated  in the  Kansas  example
    could have been avoided simply by investigating  the
    appropriateness of the  data.  Instead,  a  convenient
    source was chosen without seeking any other sources
    of "better" information. Indeed, familiarity with the nature
    of the data (30-year normals) should have led the policy
    analyst to select the most current data and not data that
    are 30 years out of date! An understanding that contour
    lines represent a generalization of the point precipitation
    measurements  should also have led to the conclusion
    that locations near the boundary line ought to  be moni-
    tored for compliance. Both the temporal and  spatial
    characteristics of climate can change, as exemplified by
    the difference in the 1960 and 1990 normals. The "Dust
    Bowl" periods  of the 1930s and  1950s significantly
    influenced the 1960 normals (33). As a result, they are
    not appropriate for this application.
    
    Although a  powerful tool, CIS does  not  hold  all  the
    answers. The technical  community and policy-makers
    must work together to ensure its proper use. In reality,
    no  25-inch precipitation line floats over Kansas. It is
    merely the interpretation of scientists and policy-makers
    who select  its location. The only way  to arrive at a
    reasonable answer is to gather the best available infor-
    mation and allow all parties to scrutinize it. CIS  can be
    a wonderful tool to do this.
    
    Acknowledgments
    
    The author wishes to express his gratitude to the Kan-
    sas Geological Survey for its computing support  before,
    during, and after his move to Louisiana. Also, the author
    wishes to thank Mr. M. Schouest, who made the move
    both possible and tolerable. Mr. C. Johnson of Johnson
    Controls in Baton Rouge, Louisiana,  produced the ex-
    cellent presentation graphics. Finally, this work could not
    have been  performed without the Internet.
    
    
    References
    
     1. Mitchell, J.E. 1993. The influence of (x,y) uncertainty on predic-
       tion error and contour lines from a three-dimensional surface.
       Water Resources Bull. 29(5):863-870.
                                                       11
    

    -------
     2.  Northeast Waste Management Officials Association. 1992. Cata-
        logue  and directory of  New  England states and  regional  CIS
        organizations and  activities, and an assessment of their future
        CIS needs. EPA/G-D001456/90-2.
    
     3.  Campbell, W.G., and D.C. Mortenson. 1989. Ensuring the quality
        of geographic information system data: A practical application of
        quality control. EPA/600/J-89/306.
    
     4.  Chrisman,  N.R. 1991. The  error component in spatial data. In:
        Maguire, Goodchild, and Rhine, eds. Principles of geographic
        information systems, Vol. 1. pp. 164-174.
    
     5.  Isaaks, E.H., and R.M. Srivastava. 1989. An introduction to applied
        geostatistics. New  York, NY: Oxford University Press.
    
     6.  National Center for Geographic Information  and  Analysis. 1989.
        The research plan of the National Center for Geographic Infor-
        mation and Analysis. Int. J. Geo. Info. Sys. 3(2):117-136.
    
     7.  Vitek,  J.D., S.J. Walsh, and  M.S.  Gregory.  1984.  Accuracy in
        geographic information systems: An assessment of inherent and
        operational errors.  Proceedings of the PECORA IX  Symposium.
        pp. 296-302.
    
     8.  Monmonier, M.S. 1977.  Maps, distortion, and meaning. Associa-
        tion of American Geographers Resource Paper Number 75-4.
    
     9.  Goodchild, M.F., and W Min-Hua. 1988. Modeling  error in  ras-
        ter-based spatial data.  Proceedings  of the  Third  International
        Symposium on Spatial Data Handling, Sydney, Australia (August
        17-19). pp. 97-106.
    
    10.  Walsh, S.J. 1989.  Inherent and operational error within a CIS:
        Evaluation from a  user perspective. In: Goodchild, M.F., ed. Ac-
        curacy of spatial databases, p. 290.
    
    11.  Burrough, PA. 1986.  Principles of geographic information  sys-
        tems for land resources assessment. Oxford, England: Clarendon
        Press.
    
    12.  Marble, D.F.,  and  D.J.  Peuquet. 1983. Geographic information
        systems and remote sensing:  Manual  of remote sensing, 2nd ed.
        Falls Church, VA: American Society of Photogrammetry and Re-
        mote Sensing, pp.  923-958.
    
    13.  Mead, D.A. 1982. Assessing data quality in geographic informa-
        tion systems. In: Johannsen, C.J., and J.L. Sanders, eds. Remote
        sensing for resource management. Ankeny, OH: Soil Conserva-
        tion Society of America, pp. 51-59.
    
    14.  Heuvelink, G.B.M., and PA.  Burrough. 1989.  Propagation of
        errors in  spatial  modeling with GIS.  Int.  J. Geo. Info.  Sys.
        3(4):303-322.
    
    15.  Dunn, R., A.R. Harrison, and J.C. White. 1990. Positional accu-
        racy and measurement error in digital databases of land use: An
        empirical study. Int. J. Geo. Info. Sys. 4(4):385-398.
    
    16.  Walsh, S.J.,  D.R.  Lightfoot, and D.R. Butler. 1987. Recognition
        and assessment of error in geographic information systems. Pho-
        togrammetric Eng.  and Remote Sensing 53(10):1,423-1,430.
    17. Owenby, J.R., and D.S. Ezell. 1992. Climatography of the United
        States: Monthly station normals of temperature, precipitation, and
        heating and cooling; degree days  1961-1990, Kansas.  No. 81.
        U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmos-
        pheric Administration, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville,
        NC (January).
    
    18. Bayne, C.K. 1975. General availability of ground water and nor-
        mal annual precipitation in Kansas  (1:500,000 map).  Kansas
        Geological Survey Map Series M4-A.
    
    19. SAS Institute, Inc. SAS/GRAPH Software: Reference, Version  6,
        Vol. 1, 1sted. Gary, NC: Statistical Analysis System Institute, Inc.
        1990.
    
    20. SAS Institute, Inc. SAS/GRAPH Software: Reference, Version  6,
        Vol. 2, 1st ed. Gary, NC: Statistical Analysis System Institute, Inc.
        1990.
    21. Olea,  R.A.  1992. Understanding  allays  intimidation.  Geobyte
        7(5):12-17.
    
    22. Bastin, G., B. Lorent, C.  Duque, and M. Gevers.  1984.  Optimal
        estimation of the average areal rainfall and optimal selection  of
        rain gauge locations. Water Resour. Res.  20(4):463-470.
    23. ESRI. 1991. Cell-based modeling with GRID. Redlands, CA: En-
        vironmental Systems Research  Institute, Inc.
    24. ESRI. 1991. Surface  modeling  with TIN,  surface analysis, and
        display. Redlands, CA: Environmental Systems Research Insti-
        tute, Inc.
    25. Davis, J.C. 1982. Statistics and data analysis in geology, 2nd ed.
        New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons.
    26. Mitchell, J.E. 1991. A regionalization approach based on empiri-
        cal Bayes techniques with applications to hydrologic forecasting,
        Ph.D. dissertation. Duke  University, Durham, NC.
    27. Mitchell, J.E., H. Sun, and S. Chakrabarti. 1992.  Predicting the
        form of a surface from random, nonexperimental samples using
        neural networks. Proceedings of the First  Midwest Electro-Tech-
        nology Conference, Iowa State University, Ames, IA (April 10-11).
    
    28. Congalton, R.G., and  D.M.  Schallert.  1992. Exploring the effects
        of vector to  raster and  raster to  vector  conversion. EPA/600/
        R-92/166.
    29. Mitchell, J.E., and H.  Sun.  1992. Generalization in higher order
        neural networks when predicting polynomial surfaces, implica-
        tions for the free-form surface problem. In: Intelligent engineering
        systems through neural  networks, Vol. 2.  Proceedings of the
        Artificial Neural  Networks in  Engineering (ANNIE '92)  Confer-
        ence, St. Louis,  MO (November  15-18).
    30. Bates, J.M., and C.W.J. Granger. 1969. The combination of fore-
        casts. Operational Res. Quarterly 20:451-468.
    31. Granger, C.J., and R. Ramanathan. 1984. Improved  methods  of
        combining forecasts. J. Forecasting 3:197-204.
    32. Carr, D.B., A.R. Olsen, and D.  White. 1994.  Hexagon mosaic
        maps for display of univariate and bivariate geographical data.
        EPA/68-C8/0006.
    33. Rule,  G.K. 1960. Dust bowl.  In: The world book encyclopedia,
        Vol. 4. pp. 315-316.
                                                                  12
    

    -------
        Design of GIS Analysis To Compare Wetland Impacts on Runoff in Upstream
                            Basins of the Mississippi and Volga Rivers
                                            Tatiana B. Nawrocki
            Natural Resources Research Institute, University of Minnesota, Duluth, Minnesota
    Introduction
    
    The attention given in hydrologic studies to wetlands
    differs significantly between the United States and Rus-
    sia  at  the  present time. Fundamental theories  and
    mathematical models are developed in both countries to
    describe  hydrologic processes and impacts of water-
    shed conditions on  surface runoff. In the United States,
    however, theoretical investigations are directly pointed
    at wetlands and are supported by large-scale field stud-
    ies and advanced technological capabilities to manage
    spatially distributed information. Unlike in Russia, in the
    United  States,  special  scientific symposia are devoted
    to wetland  hydrology, where  major tasks for hydraulic
    and hydrologic research  needs are formulated. Among
    these tasks are the understanding and assessment of
    relationships between various hydrologic modifications
    and wetland functions, especially wetland flood convey-
    ance and water quality protection  functions  (1). Water-
    shed-scale  comprehensive  field  studies  of wetland
    functions are underway, for  example, at  constructed
    experimental wetlands in the Des Plaines River basin in
    Illinois  (2). A new long-term goal—strategic restoration
    of wetlands and associated natural systems—has been
    formulated  (3).
    
    The intensive  efforts of many U.S.  scientists yielded
    numerous results and  attracted more attention to the
    complicated nature of wetlands  processes. Wetlands
    were evaluated as  runoff retention basins,  and it  was
    found that,  in northwestern states, up to  12 inches of
    water could be accumulated per  wetland acre (4, 5).
    Overtime, piecemeal loss and degradation of wetlands
    in many areas of the United States have seriously de-
    pleted wetland  resources. Researchers also discovered
    that adverse impacts from wetland degradation could
    appear indirectly with little obvious spatial or temporal
    connections to sources. As described by Johnston  (6):
    
        Cumulative impacts, the  incremental effect of an
        impact  added to other past, present, and reasonably
        foreseeable future impacts,  has been an  area  of
        increasing concern. .  . .  Impacts can accumulate
        over time or over space and be direct or indirect. An
        indirect impact occurs  at a location remote from the
        wetland  it affects, such as the discharge of pollut-
        ants into a river at a  point  upstream of a wetland
        system.
    
    The process of solving environmental problems related
    to wetlands is increasingly complex. Analyzing  diversi-
    fied data over increasingly  broad areas becomes essen-
    tial  for making competent decisions.
    
    Comparing wetland hydrologic functions in headwaters
    of the Mississippi River (United States) and the Volga
    River (Russia)  could  provide  additional information
    about how alternative management strategies affect
    runoff, peak  flow, and water quality under  changing
    climates. A  macro-scale  "field experiment" in  both  of
    these naturally similar areas is already underway. Wet-
    land conservation as opposed to drainage is now the
    prevailing  policy in the upper  Mississippi basin.  In Rus-
    sia, however, economic problems have prevented this
    type of  policy from becoming a priority. Instead, peat
    mining,  reservoir construction on lowlands, and drain-
    age for farming and private gardening are common.
    
    This project, which is being implemented at the  Natural
    Resources Research Institute  (NRRI), University of Min-
    nesota,  Duluth, has the following goals:
    
    • Developing a multilayered  hierarchical base  of geo-
      graphic  information system (GIS) data for headwater
      watersheds of the Mississippi and Volga Rivers.
    
    • Developing a comparative analysis  of wetland im-
      pacts on the hydrology  of the rivers.
    
    • Studying the relationships  between natural and hu-
      man-induced factors on wetland functions  under cli-
      mate  change  and variable  strategies of wetland
      conservation.
    

    -------
    • Defining criteria  and thresholds for wetland system
      stability with regard to flood risk and water quality.
    
    • Outlining recommendations for wetland management
      in the headwaters.
    
    The  methodology  for comparative assessments  in-
    volves statistical analysis, hydrologic models, CIS, and
    remote  sensing. Representative watersheds will  be
    studied in more detail, and procedures for scaling infor-
    mation from  the  local to the  regional  level will  be
    developed.
    
    Input Data
    
    In recent years, U.S. governmental and state agencies,
    as well  as a  number of private companies,  have ex-
    pended  considerable  efforts to  compile  the  available
    data in CIS format for multidisciplinary analysis of wa-
    tershed problems. Among the major sources of informa-
    tion essential for studies of wetland hydrologic functions
    are:
    
    • The National Wetlands Inventory, conducted by the
      U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
    
    • Digital elevation maps (OEMs) developed by the U.S.
      Geological Survey (USGS).
    
    • Major and minor watershed boundaries, outlined  for
      Minnesota by the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency
      (MPCA).
    
    • The water  quality sampling network from the  U.S.
      Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
    
    • The digital  chart of the world  (DCW),  issued by the
      Environmental Science Research  Institute (ESRI) in
      scale  1:1,000,000.
    
    These and other sources, listed in Table 1, were used to
    compile the map illustrations for this paper.
    
    Almost no similar data in CIS form could be found  for
    the territory of the former USSR, however. Any specific
    data  (e.g.,  detailed  maps, hydrology records, water
    quality sampling data) are generally in paper files dis-
    persed among many agencies and are hard to obtain.
    The forms of information storage and means of its analy-
    sis are out of date, and most maps exist in single or few
    copies in paper files. In Russia, the time lag grows
    between the dynamic changes in the environment and
    the traditional  pattern  and  inertia of  management
    structures.
    
    The CIS situation in Russia developed some interesting
    paradoxes. During  the first few decades  of space pro-
    grams, certain state agencies accumulated an outstand-
    ing  bank of  world  image  data.  When  economic
    hardships hurt the previously privileged space industry,
    numerous joint ventures with  foreign companies were
    created to distribute images on the world market for hard
    currency. These data are hardly available for domestic
    uses, however. The current  domestic price for image
    data is 20,000 to 25,000 rubles for a black-and-white
    picture of an area 60 by 60 kilometers, or 60,000 to
    70,000 rubles for the same image on  a computer disk.
    With the present level of funding for scientific research,
    the price is  too high. Security regulations  still restrict
    access to later data, showing land use changes.
    
    Another paradox is scientists' attitude toward their data.
    Abandoned  by the state, agencies and  institutes are
    reluctant to share their specific data in multidisciplinary
    projects. Data files are now a commodity. Accomplishing
    an overlay and integration of special data  coverages,
    which is essential to any watershed CIS study, is almost
    impossible.
    
    The third paradox is the attitudes of local, regional, and
    central authorities toward CIS. Many authorities are still
    ignorant about the potential  of this technology. Those
    who  are knowledgeable  prefer not to promote CIS for
    watershed-related tasks  because  it involves land use
    analysis. With  the onset of land privatization, the best
    pieces of property (e.g.,  the waterfront lots  adjacent to
    drinking water reservoirs in  the  Moscow  region) are
    rapidly allocated to the most powerful landowners. Thus,
    limiting access to this kind  of information  is deemed
    safer.
    
    Experts in Russia have not yet applied CIS to wetland
    hydrology studies because CIS is still a very new and
    mostly unfamiliar  technology. This  makes  the current
    study unique both for its results and for its application of
    CIS methodology.
    
    Closer review of data sources indicates that most of the
    input data for the project is available, though dispersed
    among many agencies. Table 1 is a preliminary list of
    data and data sources.
    
    Project Design
    
    The project addresses the following questions:
    
    • How do the extent and positioning of wetlands in the
      headwaters  of  large rivers  affect  runoff and  peak
      flow?
    
    • What are  the spatial relationships  between wetland
      and  other land  uses regarding flood risk and water
      quality under variable  climate conditions?
    
    • What is the role of wetlands for diffuse pollution pre-
      vention and  sediment deposition control under alter-
      native management?
    
    • What determines major criteria for wetland conserva-
      tion in headwaters, ensuring environmentally sustain-
      able development under  multiobjective  land and
      water resource  uses?
    

    -------
    Table 1.  Data Sources for a GIS Study of Wetlands in the Basins of the Mississippi (United States) and the Volga (Russia)
    Data
    Level 1
    Base maps
    Stream network
    Urban and rural areas
    Wetlands, unclassified
    Forests
    Agricultural lands
    Level 2
    Watershed boundaries
    Digital elevation maps
    Digital orthophotos
    Soils
    Hydrologic records
    Water quality records
    Land uses
    Wetlands, classified
    United States
    DCW3
    DCW3
    DCW3
    NWIa
    DCW3
    LMDb'c
    
    MPCAa
    USGSa
    USGS, LMICa
    SCSb'c
    USGSb
    EPA/MPCAa'b
    LMIC, LSAT3
    NWIa
    Russia
    DCW3
    DCW3
    DCW3
    DCW3
    MGUb
    MGUb
    
    RWRCC
    NA
    CD, RPIb'c
    RPIC
    CHMb'c
    CHM, RCP, RPIC
    LSAT, CD, RPI3'C
    RPIC
     Data available in GIS ARC/INFO format.
    bDatabases; needed conversion to ARC/INFO.
    cData available in paper files; needed digitizing.
    Key:
    
    CD = Commercial distributors
    CHM = Russian Committee on Hydrometeorology
    DCW = ESRI digital chart of the world
    EPA = U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
    LSAT = Satellite image data
    LMD = Published literature and map data
    LMIC = Minnesota Land Management Information Center
    MGU = Moscow State University
    MPCA = Minnesota Pollution Control Agency
    NA = Data not available
    NWI = U.S. National Wetland Inventory
    RCP = Russian State Committee on Natural Resources and Conservation
    RPI = Miscellaneous planning agencies and research institutes
    RWRC = Russian Water Resources Committee
    SCS = U.S. Soil Conservation Service
    USGS = U.S. Geological Survey
    Tasks established to address these questions include:
    
    • Developing a multilayered hierarchical base of GIS
      data for headwater watersheds of the Mississippi and
      Volga basins.
    
    • Performing a comparative analysis and simulation of
      wetland  impacts  on hydrology and water quality at
      representative watersheds.
    
    • Deriving the relationships between natural  and hu-
      man-induced factors and wetland functions under cli-
      mate change with regard to variable strategies of
      wetland conservation.
    
    • Defining the criteria and thresholds for wetland sys-
      tem stability with regard to flood risk and water quality
      parameters.
    
    • Outlining  recommendations  for land  and water re-
      sources management  and wetland positioning in the
      headwaters.
         GIS is the essential tool for manipulating and integrating
         the many types of spatial data on water resources, soils,
         vegetation, land use, economics, and the environment.
         GIS compiles many sources  (e.g., maps, field notes,
         remote sensing, statistical data) into a consistent, inter-
         pretable database used for specific scientific goals and
         development decisions. The user can run GIS ARC/INFO
         software on workstation and PC platforms and apply the
         hierarchical approach to GIS data management, devel-
         oped earlier (7). At the task level, data resolution and
         corresponding modeling tools vary.
    
         Level  1 contains the  basic reference  information for
         large regions (e.g., the Upper Volga and the Minnesota
         portion of the Upper Mississippi River basins). It covers
         an area of several hundred thousand square kilometers,
         with a map scale  approaching  1:1,000,000. Landsat
         thematic  map  data and  the  DCW (8) are  used as
         sources of data at this level. Vogelmann et al. (9) dem-
         onstrated the methodology  for detection of freshwater
         wetlands using remote sensing data based on maximum
    

    -------
    likelihood supervised classification. A graphic data file
    on CIS focuses on basic physical characteristics such
    as stream network, geology, soils, wetland classifica-
    tion, and other major land uses. A complementary tabu-
    lar database or attribute file  contains  information  on
    stream flow, water quality, pollution sources, and wet-
    land impacts on material fluxes. At this level, the general
    physiographic and statistical information is accumulated
    and analyzed, territories are classified, and major prob-
    lems and typical case  study watersheds are defined.
    This information is compiled from literature, cartographic
    data in paper and digitized form, statistics, and  space
    image data.
    In Level 2, the more detailed CIS analysis and scenario-
    based modeling is implemented at the watershed scale
    with a map scale of approximately 1:25,000. The  water-
    shed demonstration focuses on alternative approaches
    to priority-setting in  wetland management, climate im-
    pact analysis, and resulting interactions with  landform,
    soils, biosphere, and runoff. The sources of data are
    special, topographic maps and air photo interpretation.
    Simulation studies of water balance and fluxes among
    the various reservoirs are implemented at Level  2. De-
    veloping  procedures for scaling  information  from the
    local to regional level is the important task at this level.
    CIS assists in handling the input parameter library and
    analyzing the output. CIS studies, involving area  meas-
    urements and distribution analysis, evaluate cumulative
    impacts on runoff and its quality from the loss of wetland
    area, caused by drainage or filling,  under stationary and
    changing climate.
    
    Wetland functions  are  considered under two sets of
    scenarios. Management scenarios compare  different
    wetland and farming allocations, conservation practices,
    and  agricultural  chemical  use. Climate scenarios as-
    sume rainfall and temperature changes  under  global
    warming. Scenario-based  simulation  is applied  in the
    analysis of watershed runoff, wetland moisture regime,
    soil erosion,  and water  quality processes.
    
    Methodology
    CIS database structure is related to the selected meth-
    odology. CIS serves as a linking  tool for input-output
    data analysis and  transfer between  models, used at
    different levels and stages of studies.
    Scientists in both the United States and  Russia  devel-
    oped statistical methods to obtain quantitative relation-
    ships between stream flow and wetland area in the river
    basins. Johnston (6) summarized the U.S. findings:
    
        Empirical equations for predicting streamflow, de-
        veloped  by U.S. Geological Survey in Wisconsin
        and Minnesota, indicate that flood  flow is propor-
        tional to  the negative exponent  of wetlands  and
        lakes ratio on a watershed (10,11). This means that
        relative flood flow is  decreased greatly by having
        some wetlands in a watershed, but a watershed with
        a large proportion of wetlands does not reduce flood
        flow much more than  a watershed with an interme-
        diate proportion of wetlands. For example, predicted
        flood flow was 50 percent lower in Wisconsin water-
        sheds with 5 percent  lakes or wetlands than it was
        in watersheds  with no lakes or wetlands, but in-
        creasing the proportion of lakes and wetlands to 40
        percent decreased relative flood flow by only an
        additional 30 percent  (12).
    
    Other estimates agree that wetland encroachment on a
    watershed of less than 25 percent generally has a mini-
    mum influence on peak flow  (5, 13, 14).
    
    Johnston and  colleagues (15) applied these equations
    to watersheds in central Minnesota. They found that a
    watershed with 1.6 percent lakes and  wetlands had a
    flow per unit watershed area that was 10 times the flow
    predicted for a watershed with 10 percent  lakes and
    wetlands, while watersheds with 10 to 50 percent lakes
    and  wetlands  had  about  the same flood flow per unit
    area.
    
    Statistical  analysis indicates that peak  discharge  in-
    creases with decreasing wetland area within the drain-
    age  basin.  The  regression   equation  defines the
    approximation for northwestern Minnesota (16):
                      QE.R A A  0.677 n  N-0.506
                  AM=58.4AW    (Ls)
    
                  LS=100(AL + AM)/AW+1
    
    where:
      QAM = arithmetic mean of the annual series, cubic
            feet per second.
      Aw = watershed area, square miles.
       AL = lake area within the watershed, square miles.
      AM = marsh area within the watershed, square miles.
    
    A similar statistical approach was developed for peak
    flow determination  in Russia. Maximum flow discharge
    from snow melt is calculated for the central European
    zone as (17):
    
             Qm=K0*hp*S1 *S2*S3/(A + 1)n
    
    where:
      Qm = flow discharge, cubic meters per second.
      KQ = coefficient of flood concurrence, KO  = 0.006
           for plain  river basins.
      hp = calculated flood runoff for given probability,
           millimeters.
      A = drainage area, square kilometers.
       n = coefficient, n = 0.17.
    

    -------
      B! =  lake storage coefficient, if lake area is less
            than 1 percent of A, then S1  = 1.
      S2 =  pond and reservoir storage coefficient, 82 =
            0.9 with  ponds and S2 = 1 without ponds.
      S3 =  combined wetland and forest storage
            coefficient.
      S3 =  1 - 0.8 Ig (0.05 Sf + 0.1 Sw + 1), where Sf
            and Sw are forest and wetland area,
            percentage to total drainage  area.
    
    Calculated  flood  runoff for a given  probability, hp, is
    determined based on average flood runoff h, millimeters,
    coefficient of variation Cv, and tabulated parameter F, as
    follows:
    
                     hp = (1 + F * Cv) h
    
                         h = K, hk
    
      hk =  100 millimeters for Moscow region.
      K, =  land surface coefficient, Kt =  0.9 for plains
            and sandy soils, K, = 1.1 for  hills and clay
            soils.
    
    The studies mentioned above generally agree with an
    assumption  that the incremental loss of wetland area
    would have a small effect on flood flow from watersheds
    with 10 percent up to 40 to 50 percent wetlands, but a
    large effect on flood flow from watersheds with  less than
    10 percent wetlands.
    
    The existence of similar thresholds was found in relation
    to wetlands abilities to intercept pollutants. As Johnston
    stated (6),
    
        The same 10  percent threshold  was identified by
        Oberts (18)  for suspended solids, a measure of
        water quality function. Stream-water draining water-
        sheds having 10 to 20 percent wetlands had about
        the same loading of suspended solids, so the con-
        tribution of suspended solids was relatively constant
        per unit area of watershed. However,  the  water-
        sheds with less than 10 percent wetlands had load-
        ing  rates per unit area that were as much as 100
        times greater than the loading rates from the water-
        sheds with more than 10 percent  wetlands.
    
    CIS could be especially helpful in determining the im-
    pacts on downstream water quality of the spatial posi-
    tioning of wetlands within watersheds. Studies prove
    that the location  of wetlands can affect their cumulative
    function with regard to water quality  (6).  In an  earlier
    work  (15),  Johnston developed  an  index of wetland
    location and applied it to a landscape-level CIS study of
    urban and  rural  stream watersheds  in central Minne-
    sota. The index is formulated as:
    where:
     PWP  = relative wetland position.
         j  = stream order (19) of water quality sampling
             station.
         i  = stream order of wetland.
        Ai  = area of Ah order wetlands.
    
    Calculated values for the index ranged from 0 (i.e., all
    wetlands were on streams of the same order as that of
    the sampling station) to 2.6 (i.e., average wetland posi-
    tion was 2.6 stream orders upstream of the sampling
    station).  Watersheds  with  wetlands  located close  to
    sampling stations had significantly  better water quality
    (i.e., lower concentrations of inorganic suspended sol-
    ids, fecal coliform, and nitrate; lower flow weighted con-
    centrations of ammonium and total phosphorus) than
    watersheds with wetlands  located far from sampling
    stations (6).
    
    The review of methodological approaches, as shown
    above, indicates that parameters describing wetland ex-
    tent, positioning, and land surface characteristics are of
    universal  significance for any  comprehensive water-
    shed-scale wetland study.
    
    In the current study, CIS is  used at Level 1 to evaluate
    wetland area per watershed and to develop input pa-
    rameters for relative wetland position assessment. The
    comparison and selection  procedures for case  study
    watersheds in the Volga  and Mississippi basins are
    based  on these values. The parameters, derived from
    CIS, are as follows:
    
    1. Total watershed area.
    
    2. Lake, pond, and reservoir area.
    
    3. Forest area.
    
    4. Wetland area.
    
    5. Ratio of wetland area to total watershed area.
    
    6. Wetland area by subwatersheds of different order.
    
    7. Relative wetland extent by subwatersheds of different
       order.
    
    8. Land surface coefficients.
    
    Parameters listed in  groups 1 through 4 are obtained
    directly from  CIS attribute  tables as  values of "area"
    items for the respective land cover polygons. Parame-
    ters 5 through 7 require calculations  relating values of
    area items for different polygon coverages. Land surface
    coefficients (group 8) could  be determined indirectly
    based  on basic soil,  land cover, and topography data.
    Most U.S. methodologies use hydrologic soil groups,
    

    -------
    based on soil permeability, rates of infiltration, and Soil
    Conservation Service (SCS) runoff curve numbers (20).
    Some Russian methodologies have adopted similar em-
    pirical land surface coefficients. For example, for central
    European Russia, this value  varies from Kt  = 0.9 for
    plains and sandy soils, to Kt =  1.1  for hills and clay soils
    (17).
    
    Level 2 of analysis applies two  hydrologic simulation
    models:
    
    • The Agricultural Watershed  Runoff and Water Quality
      Model (Agricultural Nonpoint Source Pollution Model
      [AGNPS]),  developed by the Agricultural Research
      Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, con-
      tains explicit  procedures to evaluate the impacts of
      management practices and landscape feature  posi-
      tioning on watershed runoff. AGNPS is a cell-based
      runoff model that estimates  water volume, peak flow,
      eroded and delivered sediment, chemical oxygen de-
      mand, and nutrient export from watersheds (20-22).
    
    • The Forest Runoff Watershed  Model (FRWM)  com-
      bines analytical and numerical  methods for solving
      hydro- and  thermodynamics equations (23).  This
      model  considers snow melt constituent in  runoff in
      more detail than does AGNPS.  Hydrologic simulation
      is  based on physical process descriptions for snow
      cover dynamics, freezing  and thawing of soil, soil
      moisture dynamics in frozen and thawed soils,  inter-
      ception of liquid and solid  precipitations by vegeta-
      tion, surface  runoff, ground-water aquifers,   and
      channeled streams.
    
    Both models use a similar set of watershed input  data,
    derived  from CIS (e.g., elevations, slopes,  channel
    slopes, stream network configuration, soil texture,  land
    cover). The methodology,  linking  CIS with  hydrologic
    models, was already tested in  the wetland study project
    at the Voyageurs National  Park in  Minnesota.  The
    ARC/INFO GRID module was  used to derive watershed
    variables for input to AGNPS. CIS then presented and
    interpreted the scenario-based results of the simulation
    (24). The typical stages of such an analysis and  inter-
    pretation for a watershed-scale area are  presented in
    Figures 1 through 5.
    
    Case Study Watersheds
    
    The  areas where wetland impacts on runoff are evalu-
    ated are located in Minnesota  (United States) and  Mos-
    cow  and  adjacent regions (Russia)  (see  Figures  6
    through 15). They have mixed  urban, rural, recreational,
    and  forest  land uses. Both regions have a variety of
    development pressures. The relative effects of different
    alterations in watershed management are distinguished
    and  quantified. CIS provides metrics for comparative
    assessments and analysis of  related variables for both
    areas.
    Table 2 and Figures 7 through 14 present a general
    overview of wetland extent  in both areas. The  case
    study subwatersheds used for more detailed analysis
    will include tributaries of the second and third order. At
    this stage, several watersheds are considered for more
    detailed analysis. The limitations imposed by data avail-
    ability as well as by project resources could affect the
    final selection. Table 2  serves, therefore, as a prelimi-
    nary overview of several areas that could potentially be
    adopted for more detailed studies.
    
    CIS analysis shows that in the Upper  Volga, wetlands
    extent  very much depends on allocation of populated
    areas. The  heavily urbanized Moscow metropolitan area
    affects a large territory of many thousands of square
    kilometers.  The ratio of wetlands as a percentage of total
    land area is one-tenth  of that in the neighboring Tver
    area, which has the same size but a smaller population
    (see Figure 11). In areas of intensive agriculture  (e.g.,
    the Pronya  basin located southeast of Moscow), almost
    all wetlands were drained and  have  not existed  for
    several decades.
    In Minnesota, despite the growing urbanization (e.g., the
    Twin Cities area [7,330 square kilometers]), about half
    of the presettlement wetlands still remain (25); wetlands
    occupy 442 square kilometers,  or over 6 percent of the
    land area; and shallow lakes constitute an additional 114
    square  kilometers (1.56  percent). Some  watersheds
    within the Twin Cities  metropolitan area  have a high
    wetland percentage, such  as 18.9 percent  in the  Lam-
    berts Creek watershed. Intensive studies with CIS ap-
    plication of landscape feature functioning  and wetland
    impacts on  stream flow  and water quality demonstrated
    an innovative approach and made detailed databases
    available for this area (15).
    
    Preliminary  comparative  analysis  indicates that two
    pairs of case study watersheds could be initially se-
    lected  for further studies in the Mississippi and Volga
    basins:
    • Upstream watersheds with wetlands  area of 15 to 20
      percent (Tver region  in  Russia and  Cass and  adja-
      cent counties in Minnesota).
    
    • Tributary watersheds  downstream with wetlands area
      of 1 to 2  percent (the Istra basin in Russia and sub-
      watersheds of the Minnesota River basin, located in
      Sibley, Scott, and adjacent counties  in Minnesota).
    
    Case study watersheds in the  Mississippi and Volga
    basins are  situated on gently rolling  plains in  mixed
    forest zones with  southern portions extending into the
    forest/steppe and prairies. The Quaternary sediments
    are of glacial, glaciofluvial, lacustrine, and alluvial origin.
    Wetlands have hydric soils with various degrees of gley
    process development and/or peat accumulation, varied
    by wetland type and soil  moisture regimen  (28). The
    annual precipitation is 500 to 600 millimeters with similar
    

    -------
                                Variable
                                                     Semiconstant
                                                                         Constant
    
    Climate
    
    
    
    
    Resource Use
    and
    Control Practices
    
    
    
    Soil and
    Physiographic
    
                                 Landscape Feature
                                Positioning Alternatives
                                and Recommendations
                         Improved Methodology for
                         Spatial Process Analysis
                                                                                             Factors
                                                                                             Input
                                                                                             Parameters
                                                                                             Processes
                                                                                             Analysis Based on
                                                                                             Models and CIS
                                                                                             Output Results
                                                                                             Demonstrated
                                                                                             on CIS
    Figure 1.  Conceptual framework of linking GIS and models for environmental management.
          Hypsometric curve
                                                                      With Ponds
    •E 40 -
    D
    o
    °20,
                        V
         340   360   380   400
                   Value       Outlet
    Elevations (meters)
    
    I—I <350
    EZ3 350 to 360
    m 360 to 370
    m 370 to 380
    •B >380
                                                                                                     ^B Beaver Ponds
                                                                                                         Beaver Wetlands
                                                                                                     rzn Wooded Wetlands
                                                                                                     ."  l Coniferous Forest
                                                                                                     I   l Deciduous Forest
                                                                                                 0   500  1,000  1,500  2,000
    Figure 2.  Stream network configuration derived from GIS ele-
              vation map.                                          Figure 3.  Scenarios of land use.
    

    -------
            With Ponds
                                                                        With Ponds
                    500  1,000  1,500   2,000
                                                                              500   1,000   1,500  2,000
    Figure 4.  Scenario-related hydrologic curve numbers.
    
    
    
     Table 2.  Comparative Data on Wetland Extent in Minnesota and in the Upper Volga Basin (8, 25-27)
    Figure 5.  Patterns of  sediment  transfer between cells (%),
              + deposition, - erosion.
                                             Total Area
                                                                           Wetland Area
    Region
    United States
    Minnesota
    Beltrami Co.
    Cass Co.
    Hubbard Co.
    Le Sueur Co.
    Hennepin Co.
    Sibley Co.
    Wright Co.
    Scott Co.
    Lambert Creek
    Russia
    Tver region
    Moscow region
    Istra basin
    Pronya basin
    (Square Kilometers)
    
    205,940.30
    7,923.04
    6,256.38
    2,624.81
    1 ,204.82
    1 ,588.07
    1 ,555.38
    1 ,852.97
    982.56
    9.51
    
    10,000.00
    10,000.00
    1 ,827.38
    10,200.00
    (Square Kilometers)
    
    30,500.00
    3,909.23
    1,505.29
    283.22
    28.31
    36.37
    24.26
    24.27
    8.06
    3.69
    
    1,169.08
    165.39
    24.07
    a
    Percentage
    
    14.80
    49.34
    24.06
    10.79
    2.35
    2.29
    1.56
    1.31
    0.82
    18.90
    
    16.90
    1.70
    1.32
    a
    aWetland area is insignificant and not identified by available maps.
    

    -------
                                                            1 - Doibiza,  2 - Istra,   3 - Pronya
    Figure 6.   Location of study areas in the Volga basin.
    
                                         Volga Basin, Russia
                                                                                                   Land Features
    
                                                                                                  •   Urban Lands
                                                                                                  H   Peat Bogs
                                                                                                  El   Wetlands
                                                                                                  aaa
                                                                                                  H   Reservoirs and Lakes
                                                                                                  ii
                                                                                                  /]   Rivers
                                                                                                  71   Roads
                                                                                                Statistics      %
                                                                                                Total Area    100.00
                                                                                                Urban         12.38
                                                                                                Water          1.58
                                                                                                Wetlands       1.66
                                                                                                        Kilometers
                                                                                                   10      20      30     40
    Figure 7.   Wetlands and urban lands in the Moscow region.
    

    -------
    Figure 8.   Wetlands and urban lands in the Tver region.
                                                                                                   Land Features
                                                                                                  B  Urban Lands
                                                                                                  I  Peat Bogs
                                                                                                  j  Wetlands
                                                                                                  11  Inundated
                                                                                                  w
                                                                                                  H  Reservoirs and Lakes
                                                                                                  7\  Rivers
                                                                                                  7\  Roads
                                                                                                   Statistics       %
                                                                                                   Total Area   100.00
                                                                                                   Urban         1.22
                                                                                                   Water         4.64
                                                                                                   Wetlands     16.93
                                                                                                      Kilometers
                                                                                                   i      • "1        f	i
                                                                                                  10      20      30      40
           Wetlands, 1954
           Wetlands, 1980s
    Urban Lands
    Reservoirs and Lakes
    Kilometers
                                                                                        10
                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                             30
                                                                                                                       40
    Figure 9.   Wetland decline since 1954, Moscow region.
                                                                    10
    

    -------
                               Volga Basin, Russia
    £59
                    £68
           Land Features
    
          Urban Lands
          (Population, Thousands)
          Peat Bogs
    
          Wetlands
    
          Reservoirs and Lakes
    
          Rivers
    
          Roads
    
      l\   Watershed
    
          Elevation (meters)
    
    
                    Square
                   Kilometers      %
       Total Area    1,827.38    100.00
       Urban          61.31       3.36
       Water          40.43      2.21
       Wetlands       24.07      1.32
    
    
    
               Kilometers
                                                                                             10
                                                                                                       20
                                                                                                                 30
                                                                                                                           40
    Figure 10.  Istra watershed in the Moscow region.
    
                              Wetlands                  Moscow Region, Russia
    Populated Areas
                  I  "1 <10    (US 20-29  m 40-49   ^ffl 75-99
                       10-19   F~^l 30-39       50-74        100
                                                                                             Kilometers
                                                                                        50      100     150      200
    Figure 11.  Land cover, percentage of total in Moscow and Tver regions.
                                                                 11
    

    -------
              Presettlement
                                                          Current
         Wetland Drop, Percentage
         and Location of Study Areas
                      0-10    ["""]  21-30  [~~]  41-50    KH  61-70
                      11-20   I     I  31-40  ["-' •-.  I  51-60    BiH  >70
              Kilometers
    0     100    200   300    400
    Figure 12.  Wetlands in Minnesota, percentage of total area.
                                                 Mississippi Basin, Minnesota
                                                                                         Land Features
                                                                                        H  Urban Lands
    
                                                                                        ~~]  Forests
                                                                                         j-.i
                                                                                        H  Wetlands
    
                                                                                        HI  Reservoirs and Lakes
                                                                                        2  Rivers     |/\/|  Roads
    
                                                                                        /]  Watershed I A/1  Counties
                                                                                            Statistics
                                                                                            Total Area
                                                                                            Urban
                                                                                            Water
                                                                                            Wetlands*
                  100.00
                    0.04
                    14.5
                   18-24
                                                                                            'Indicated by County, %
                                                                                                  Kilometers
                                                                                             10
                                                                                                      20
                                                                                                               30
                                                                                                                        40
    Figure 13.  Wetlands and urban lands in Cass County area.
                                                                  12
    

    -------
                                                                                                  Land Features
                                                                                                  |  Urban Lands
                                                                                                  ]  Forests
                                                                                                    Wetlands
                                                                                                    Reservoirs and Lakes
                                                                                                    Rivers     |/S/|  Roads
                                                                                                    Watershed |/'V'' |  Counties
                                                                                                 Statistics      %
                                                                                                 Total Area   100.00
                                                                                                 Urban           9.0
                                                                                                 Water           4.5
                                                                                                 Wetlands*       1-2
                                                                                                      Kilometers  	
                                                                                                  I    •••-'!       I        I
                                                                                                  10      20     30      40
    Figure 14.  Wetlands and urban lands in Twin Cities area.
                                     Mississippi Basin, Minnesota
           Major Watershed   l/v I Clean Streams
           Minor Watersheds  L-'Vl Impaired Quality
    Urban
    Lakes
    Sampling Sites
                              Kilometers
                                                                                    10
                                                                                               20
                                                                                                          30
                                                                                                                     40
    Figure 15.  Minnesota River watershed in Twin Cities area.
                                                                    13
    

    -------
    seasonal  distribution  in both  areas.  Average  runoff
    ranges from 150 to 250  millimeters (7, 29).
    
    Conclusion
    
    The current status of the project indicates that most of
    the  input  data is  available, though  dispersed  among
    many  agencies. In  both the United States and Russia,
    research methodologies have been developed and ap-
    plied to study landscape feature impacts on runoff quan-
    tity  and  quality  based  on simulation  and  statistical
    analysis. The comparative analysis  of hydrologic and
    diffuse pollution processes on watersheds in the Upper
    Mississippi and Upper Volga basins will allow derivation
    of metrics of wetland loss relative to impacts  on runoff
    and water quality.
    The applications of CIS to watershed hydrology are
    currently much more advanced in the  United States than
    in Russia. Initiatives  emerging  in the  United  States,
    however, could considerably promote CIS use in Rus-
    sia.  Such  promotion  is  beneficial for several  reasons.
    First, this  kind of cooperative political activity  is in  full
    compliance  with the  1992 Freedom Support Act, ap-
    proved by the U.S. Congress. Second, support of CIS
    as a new information technology will  create a favorable
    infrastructure in many bilateral economic fields  and busi-
    nesses. Third, a better meshing  of the CIS systems in
    the two countries will lead to further international coop-
    eration in responding to  global changes.
    Project implementation also helps meet the goal of pro-
    viding a basis for sound environmental, technical, and
    economic decision-making  on the  use of natural  re-
    sources. This knowledge is essential in developing prac-
    tical guidelines for sustainable economic development
    through applied research and technologies.
    
    Acknowledgments
    
    The Water Quality Division of MPCA provided valuable
    assistance with CIS data for Minnesota. The National
    Science Foundation  (NSF/EAR-9404701) contributed
    research support. Any opinions, findings, and conclu-
    sions  or recommendations  expressed in  this  material
    are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the
    views  of the National Science Foundation.
    
    References
     1. Wetland management: Hydraulic and hydrologic research needs.
        1987. In: Wetland hydrology: Proceedings of the National Wet-
       land Symposium, Chicago, IL (September 16-18). Association of
       State Wetland Managers, Inc. pp. 331-333.
     2.  Sather, J.H. 1992. Intensive studies of wetland functions: 1990-
        1991 research summary of the Des Plaines River Wetland dem-
       onstration project. Technical Paper No. 2. Wetland Research, Inc.
     3.  Hey, D.L. 1985. Wetlands: A strategic national resource. National
       Wetlands Newsletter 7(1): 1-2.
     4.  Kloet, L. 1971. Effects of drainage on runoff and flooding within
        the Pembina River basins, North Dakota and Manitoba. Unpub-
        lished report by the Bureau of Sport, Fisheries, and Wildlife (De-
        cember).
    
     5.  Simon, B.D., L.J. Stoerzer, and R.W. Watson. 1987. Evaluating
        wetlands for flood storage. In: Wetland hydrology: Proceedings
        of the  National Wetland Symposium, Chicago,  IL (September
        16-18). Association of State Wetland Managers, Inc. pp. 104-112.
    
     6.  Johnston, C.A. 1994.  Cumulative impacts to wetlands. Wetlands
        14(1):49-55.
    
     7.  Higgins J.M., T.B.  Nawrocki, and N.A. Nazarov. 1993. Hierarchi-
        cal approach to integrated watershed  management:  Joint
        TVA/Russian demonstration  project. Proceedings of AWWA
        CONSERV93 Conference,  Sessions 4B-1  through 7C-3,  Las
        Vegas, NV. pp. 1,177-1,197.
    
     8.  Environmental Science Research Institute. 1993. Digital chart of
        the world.
    
     9.  Vogelmann, J.E.,  F.R. Rubin, and  D.G. Justice.  1991. Use of
        Landsat thematic mapper data for fresh water wetlands detection
        in the  Merrimack River watershed, New  Hampshire  (unpub-
        lished).
    
    10.  Conger, D.H.  1971.  Estimating magnitude and  frequency of
        floods in Wisconsin. Open File Report. Madison, Wl: U.S. Geo-
        logical  Survey.
    
    11.  Jacques, J.E., and D.L. Lorenz. 1988. Techniques for estimating
        the magnitude and frequency of floods in Minnesota. Water Re-
        sources Investigation  Report 87-4170. St. Paul, MN: U.S. Geo-
        logical  Survey.
    
    12.  Novitzki, R.P.  1979.  Hydrologic characteristics of Wisconsin's
        wetlands and their influence on floods,  stream flow, and sedi-
        ment. In: Greeson, P.E., J.R.  Clark, and J.E. Clark, eds. Wetland
        functions and values: The state of our understanding. Minneapo-
        lis, MN: American Water Resources Association, pp. 377-388.
    
    13.  Larson, L.A. 1985. Wetlands  and flooding: Assessing hydrologic
        functions. Proceedings of the National Wetland Assessment Sym-
        posium, Portland, ME (June 17-20). pp. 43-45.
    
    14.  Ogawa, H., and J.W Male. 1986. Simulating the flood mitigation
        role of wetlands. J. Water Res.  Planning and Mgmt. 112(1).
    
    15.  Johnston, C.A., N.E. Detenbeck, and G.J. Niemi. 1990. The cu-
        mulative effect of wetlands on stream water  quality and quantity:
        A landscape approach. Biogeochemistry 10:105-141.
    
    16.  Moore, I.D., and C.L.  Larson. 1979. Effects  of drainage projects
        on  surface  runoff from small depressional watersheds in the
        North Central Region. WRRC Bulletin 99. Water Resources Re-
        search Center, University of Minnesota.
    
    17.  Maslov, B.S., I.V.  Minaev, and  K.V.  Guber. 1989. Reclamation
        manual. Rosagropromizdat (in Russian).
    
    18.  Oberts, G.L. 1981. Impacts of wetlands on watershed water qual-
        ity. In: Richardson, B., ed. Selected proceedings of the midwest
        conference on wetland values and  management.  Navarre, MN:
        Freshwater Society, pp. 213-226.
    
    19.  Horton, R.E. 1945. Erosion development of  streams. Geol. Soc.
        Amer. Bull. 56:281-283.
    
    20.  Chow,  V. 1964. Handbook of applied hydrology. New York,  NY:
        McGraw-Hill.
    
    21.  Wishmeier W.H., and D.D. Smith. 1978. Predicting rainfall erosion
        losses: A guide to conservation planning. Agriculture Handbook
        No. 537. U.S. Department of Agriculture.
                                                            14
    

    -------
    22. Young, R.A., C.A. Onstad, D.D. Bosch, and W.P. Anderson. 1987.
        AGNPS: Agricultural nonpoint-source pollution model. U.S. De-
        partment of Agriculture Conservation  Research Report 35.
    
    23. Nazarov, N.A. 1988. Model formation of the flood hydrograph of
        Northern Plain Rivers. Water Resour. 15(4):305-315.
    
    24. Nawrocki, T., C. Johnston, and J. Sales. 1994. CIS and modeling
        in ecological studies: Analysis of Beaver Pond impacts on runoff
        and its quality. Voyageurs National Park, Minnesota, case study.
        NRRI  Technical Report 94/01 (February).
    
    25. Anderson,  J.P., and W.J. Craig. 1984. Growing energy crops on
        Minnesota  wetlands: The land use perspective. Minneapolis, MN:
        Center for  Urban and Regional Affairs, University of Minnesota.
        pp.  1-88.
    26. Mitsch, W.J., and J.G. Gosselink. 1986. Wetlands. New York, NY:
        Van Nostrand Reinhold.
    
    27. Brown, R.G. 1987. Effects of wetland channelization on storm
        water runoff in  Lamberts Creek, Ramsey County, Minnesota. In:
        Proceedings of the  National Wetland Symposium  on  Wetland
        Hydrology, Chicago,  IL (September 16-18). pp. 130-136.
    
    28. SCS.  1975. Soil taxonomy: A basic system of soil classification
        for making  and interpreting  soil surveys. Agriculture Handbook
        No. 436. Soil Conservation Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
    
    29. USGS. 1988. Water resources data: Minnesota, water year 1988.
        Vol. 2, Upper Mississippi and Missouri River basins. U.S.  Geo-
        logical Survey Data MN-88-1.
                                                                  15
    

    -------
        Mapping Vulnerability of Soils to Nitrate Leaching at Different
                           Scales, Using  Different Models
    
                  Tamas Nemeth, Laszlo Pasztor, Jozsef Szabo, Zsofia Bakacsi
               Research Institute for Soil Science and Agricultural Chemistry of the
                               Hungarian Academy of Sciences
    
    ABSTRACT
    Various scale environmental information systems together with statistically supported GIS
    techniques were used for mapping the vulnerability of soils to a specific degradation
    process. In our work we present approaches for the evaluation of the vulnerability of soils for
    nitrate leaching. In two pilot areas -with different physiographical conditions - a
    methodological approach was initiated. A deterministic model family was introduced for the
    evaluation of the land vulnerability for nitrate hazard at a scale of about 1: 25,000.
    Compilation of vulnerability maps is a result of an iteration where data characteristics
    (availability, scale, informativity) and model parameters are in interaction. A stochastic model
    is also presented for the evaluation of the land vulnerability for nitrate leaching. This latter
    method was applied to mapping N-leaching hazard in Hungary at a scale of 1:  1M
    
    INTRODUCTION
    The increase of soil degradation at an alarming rate all over the world requires modeling and
    quantification of the regional extent and severity of these processes  (FAO 1983, Varallyay
    1991). The various scale soil information systems and the inherent techniques of GIS
    provide unique basis for studies of environmental degradation in modeling of changes in soil
    characteristics e.g. mapping the vulnerability of soils to degradation or pollution (Batjes and
    Bridges 1997,  Pasztor et al. 1998). The produced maps may increase awareness on the
    potential nature, severity and extent of soil degradation at regional scales, and also permit
    identification of environmental hot spots that is sensitive, vulnerable  or conflict areas
    (Pasztor et al.  1999).
    
    In the agricultural practice application of nitrogen to enhance crop yields is necessary in
    most of the countries. The unproper use of the fertilizer-N (added to  the soil N-pool) might
    play a significant role in nitrate contamination of subsurface waters, which are the main
    drinking water supplies (Addiscott et al. 1991). The agricultural practice in a certain area
    exists together with other activities, which also take part in the contamination processes, i.e.
    animal husbandry, leakage in urban and industrial canalization (Boumans et al. 1999). There
    

    -------
    are also some natural contamination sources like wet and dry deposit, nitrogen
    transformation within the soil, nitrogen originating from the subsoil (and rocks), etc.
    
    The proportion of nitrogen present in mineral forms is greatly affected by climatic and soil
    conditions, by soil microbial population, and by land use. The ratio between the organic and
    inorganic forms of nitrogen in soil can be modified only slightly over the years. However,
    under certain environmental conditions (dry climate, negative water balance,
    overfertilization) a great part of the surplus nitrogen can accumulate in the soil profile,
    leaving the rooting zone of various crops, in the form of nitrate after the growing season
    (Nemeth, 1993a,b; Kovacs et al. 1995), even when land is cropped  annually. Integration of
    knowledge related to environmental conditions of a certain area with the soil, water, and crop
    management practices helps to prevent the simultaneity of the unfavorable processes
    leading to nitrate leaching, thus water resources may be protected from nitrate pollution of
    agricultural origin. It is of increasing importance that such  an approach be applied in crop
    production.
    
    It has been estimated that 80 percent of data have some geographic component using
    economic, environmental, political, social etc. information. A GIS is a tool that uses the
    power of the computer to  pose and answer geographic questions by arranging and
    displaying data about places in a variety of ways, such as maps, charts, and tables (http:
    //www.esri.com, 1999). People have used maps for thousands of years to clearly present
    information about places,  and GIS is a modern extension  of that ancient tradition (Longley et
    al., 1999). Geographical Information Systems are designed for storing, querying, analyzing
    as well as for displaying data and/or information with spatial characteristics. GIS represents
    both the techniques to realize  spatially manageable storage of spatial data and extended
    opportunities of spatial analysis on the stored data (Maguire 1991, Scholten 1995). Recently,
    this latter is getting more and more attention.
    
    GIS often lacks any means to  deal with stochastic processes (Burrough 1999), ignoring the
    parallel development in spatial and/or multivariate statistics. In our work we are using
    stochastic models (Linhart and Zucchini,  1986) and apply various methods of multivariate
    statistical analysis (Lebart et al. 1984, Murtagh and Heck  1987). There are evidences in
    recent works (e.g. Pasztor and Csillag 1995, Pasztor et al. 1998, Toth et al. 1998) that
    automatizable multivariate descriptive data processing methods can efficiently be applied to
    analyze and model various environmental processes, occasionally supplied with the tools of
    information theory.
    MATERIALS AND METHODS
    

    -------
    Hierarchical structure of modeling
                                   VNL MODEL
                                     FAMILY
           1st level
           2nd level
           3rd level
           4+h level
           5+h level
                                                                   INFLUENCING
                                                                       FACTORS
                                                                          DATA
                                                                       DERIVED
                                                                       FACTORS
    MATHEMATICAL
            MODEL
                                                                    PARAMETERS
              FINAL MEMBER
                  Figure 1. The sketch of hierarchical structure of modeling
    GIS based mapping of soil vulnerability is composed of a hierarchical structure of models
    and the final map is a result of subsequent model selections (Fig. 1). On the first level the
    influencing factors are identified: 'Which environmental parameters determine the given
    vulnerability feature?' On the second level the available data on the formerly selected
    parameters are identified: 'What kind of datum is measured and/or available at all on the
    given influencing parameter?' On the third level some derived factors may be calculated:
    'May the input data be converted/transformed into more appropriate format?' On the forth
    level the mathematical model is set up: 'What is the functional relation between the
    vulnerability feature and the determining factors?' On the further levels the refinement of the
    

    -------
    mathematical model takes place: 'Which value should be assigned to parameters to get
    good/better/the best result?'
    
    The above-described procedure induces a model family. In this context compilation of the
    vulnerability map is the result of iteration where data characteristics and model parameters
    are in interaction.
    
    Vulnerability of soils to N-leaching
    Beside soil characteristics the effect of precipitation and the accessibility of groundwater
    determine the possibility of nitrate contamination of groundwater (Boumans et al., 1999,
    Nemeth et al., 1998). Physico-chemical characteristics of soils represent their buffer
    capacity/resistance feature according to the transfer of pollution. Precipitation surplus
    induces nitrate pollution to move downwards. Finally, location of groundwater table
    determines the distance to be done by nitrate to reach the water body.
    
    Large-scale approach
    The objective of the large-scale nitrate vulnerability mapping project was to establish an
    approach which is able to provide nitrate vulnerability maps at a scale of 1: 25,000 for
    different geographical conditions. Two pilot areas were  selected for the implementation. The
    two regions differ in their physiographical conditions, land use, exposure to pollution and
    even the two sets of data available for them are distinct. The two pilot areas are well-defined
    physiographical units each. Csepel  Isle is  enclosed by River Danube, Watershed of Tetves
    Creek is a subcatchment of Lake Balaton. Area of the former is 248 km2, that of the latter is
    120 km2. A simple comparison of the two pilot areas is given in Table 1.
    
                       Table 1. Some characteristics of the pilot areas
    
                                      Csepel Isle                 Tetves  Creek
    
    physiography:                     plain, island                hilly, catchment
    dominant land use:                 arable land                 forest, pasture
    exposure to pollution:               base of drinking water       Lake Balaton
    soil information:                    PemeTIR database          Kreybig GIS
    groundwater information:            detailed, available           incomplete, derived
    precipitation information:            poor                       poor
    

    -------
    The following data representation of the influencing parameters was available. For the
    description of precipitation annual average precipitation measurements were used.  In first
    approximation it characterizes properly the degree of induction for leaching. For better
    results seasonal variability in precipitation as well as effects of non-natural water input
    (irrigation) should be considered. For the description of groundwater table measures on its
    average depth were used. To achieve  more precise results, seasonal changes also in this
    parameter should be accounted for.  For the representation of resistance of soils against the
    transfer of nitrate pollution their physico-chemical characteristics were used, namely texture
    and organic matter content together with depth of rootable depth of soils. For better results
    vertical variability in these parameters  should taken into account by description of soils
    horizon by horizon (e.g. layer by layer).
    
    Two factors were derived from  the raw soil data. Organic matter content of soil is a density
    type parameter, consequently its product with rootable depth provides a quantity featuring
    column density of organic which is a much more proper parameter in our context. On the
    other hand, texture information on soil  is generally (and as it was in the present case) given
    in categories. Thus according to their transferability, soils were described by numerical
    values on ordinal scale based on the knowledge of their texture properties.
    
    The next step was the set up of the mathematical model.  As a first approximation, general
    linear model was used as it is commonly used in multivariate methods.
                                   4
                               V=Z w*Fj  , where                                     (1)
    V is the measure of vulnerability, F, is the /th factor and w/ is its corresponding weight.
    
    Small-scale approach
    In our small-scale approach a stochastic model is put forward for the evaluation of the land
    vulnerability for N-leaching. For the determination of nitrate leaching hazard in national scale
    three influencing factors proved to be relevant and available.
    
       >  Hungarian soils were classified into nine main soil water management categories
           according to their hydrophysical properties (Varallyay et al., 1980). The categories
           characterize infiltration rate, permeability, and hydraulic conductivity, field capacity
           and water retention features of Hungarian soils.
    

    -------
       >   Input map of 'Annual average precipitation' is based on data collected by the National
           Meteorological Institute and registered by meteorological stations for the period of
           1951-1980.
    
       >   Map of 'Groundwater depth' is based on data collected in the frame of groundwater
           observation well network of Scientific Research Center for Water Resources and
           registered for the period of 1961-1980. The scale of this map is also a 1: 1,000,000
           and covers non-mountainous region of the country.
    
    Information on precipitation and soil  has been available within AGROTOPO digital database
    compiled in Research Institute for Soil Science and Agricultural Chemistry of the Hungarian
    Academy of Sciences (RISSAC HAS) (Varallyay et al., 1985; Szabo and Pasztor, 1994).
    AGROTOPO is composed of territorial information on soils at a scale of 1: 100,000 and
    meteorological conditions at a scale of 1: 1,000,000 for the whole country.
    
    The input data had to be harmonized because of the following  reasons.
    
       >   Groundwater and precipitation information was originally collected in points, then
           interpolated, which resulted in isolines, however our procedure requires polygon
           features as input. Thus transforming contour information into polygon information
           restructured these maps.
    
       >   Scale of these two maps and that of water management categories map was highly
           dissimilar. Due to this fact information content of the latter must have been reduced,
           that is the map was generalized also to a scale of 1: 1,000,000.
    
       >   Finally, since the map of groundwater depth is constrained to non-mountainous
           regions, the other two maps must have been restricted  to this extent, too.
    
    Once having the  accurate database  as a set of topologically constructed, associated
    coverages, geographic analysis could be performed. To complete our objectives, the maps
    of various factors, as different layers, were overlaid (intersected). Feature attributes from all
    coverages were joined, that is a polygon of the resulted map is characterized by three
    attributes as opposed to the single attributes of the original maps.
    
    The inherent errors of both analogue and digitized maps result in shifts of arcs. Thus even
    the correlated (e.g. common geographical) boundaries deviate from each other in the
    

    -------
    different maps. As a consequence, in the course of overlay of maps displaying correlated
    information sliver (that is small and/or elongated) polygons emerge. The number of this kind
    of polygons can be significant. Since they apriori distort the results, as well as cause
    overcomputation, they must have been eliminated. The criterion of elimination was set up
    based on the distribution of area of resulted polygons. Defining a threshold value under
    which polygons were eliminated cut the sharp peak of the distribution.
    
    From mathematical/statistical point of view units of the resulted map are elements of a
    multidimensional factor space. Statistical behavior of the almost 500 units in this three-
    dimensional feature space was then studied. Since the number of units does not necessarily
    reflect their extent,  in the computations their areas were used as weights.
    
    Applying pure clustering techniques where there is no a priori rule to define the optimum
    number of groups, one needs some measure of the reality of the groups found by the
    partitioning algorithm. Finding the extreme value of an information theoretic criterion can
    provide the best fitting model and the best partition of the sample. Many model selection
    procedures may be found in the literature. Most of them take the form of a penalized
    likelihood, where a penalty term is added to the log-likelihood in order to compromise
    between the goodness-of-fit and the number of parameters. The ancestor of these models
    was developed by Akaike (1972) and we also turned to it, since it provides a versatile
    procedure for statistical model identification. The definition of Akaike's Information Criterion
    (AIC) is:
    
    AIC=-2ln(maximum likelihood)+2 (# of parameters).                                   (2)
    
    One of the most desirable properties of AIC is that (as it penalizes for large degrees of
    freedom) it tends to adopt simpler models and achieves a principle of parsimony. As AIC is
    basically an estimator of the risk of a model selection, it should be minimized to select
    among the alternative possibilities, that is the smaller is AIC the better is the classification of
    the points into groups. Its estimate can be computed by,
    
    AIC(estimated)=nln(R)+2p,                                                        (3)
    
    where n is the number of objects to  be grouped, p is the number of estimated parameters
    and R\s the residual  sum of squares of deviation from the fitted model (Akaike, 1974).
    

    -------
    For the determination of optimal classification a sequence of non-hierarchical clustering was
    carried out and AlC(estimated) was calculated for each partition.
    
    RESULTS
    To get final result, w, should be determined/defined in formula (1). In the case of vulnerability
    term of definition is more appropriate. In the simplest case role of the four (original or
    derived) factors can be considered uniform. In this case weights merely help to standardize
    factors that is to make their scale comparable. The resulted  vulnerability maps of the two
    pilot areas are displayed  in Fig 2 and Fig3.
    
    Spatial categorization (zoning) of land according to its sensitivity to a given pollution is
    generally required by decision-makers.  This involves regionalization  of the resulted mapping
    units, which are characterized by vulnerability values on nominal scale as a result of our
    large-scale approach. Our small-scale approach, solved this problem together with the 'pure'
    mapping procedure.
    

    -------
    EOIR 224.000
                                   Mapping vulnerability
                                                         toN-
                                                            in
    
                                                            Isk
                                         Derived vulnerability
                                         features
                                         MxlelNo. 1
                                               least vulnerable
                                               most vulnerable
                                               settlements
                                               na
                                 2.5    0    2.5     5     7.5     10
                                   Hungarian Unified Map Projection System
                                               Conpiled inRISSAC GS Lab
        Figure 2. Result of large-scale approach on the Isle of Csepel
    

    -------
    Maf
    to TV
    inH
    
    Vdtte
                     'lity
                     lap Projection System
                                                                  BOTR 152000
    Figure 3. Result of large-scale approach in the watershed of Tetves Creek
                                     10
    

    -------
    Estimated AIC function for our dataset showed two local minima at 5 and 12 categories
    respectively. The 12-class solution in our scale provides too detailed thematic resolution,
    however a possible spatial zooming-in in the future may require also this thematic
    detailedness. Consequently, merely the 5-class solution was further studied. The
    identification of vulnerability categories was facilitated by displaying of the resulted
    categories on the units of the intersected map. The different categories showed well
    recognizable patterns. Analyzing their geographical distribution and extent, it was also
    possible to rank the resulted categories into a one-parameter sequence from severe hazard
    to the case of no hazard (Fig. 4).
         Vulr
                           Figure 4. Result of small-scale approach
    
    Severely susceptible soils are located on calcareous alluvial deposits where annual
    precipitation is relatively and groundwater level is actually high. They are characterized by
    shallow humus layer but relatively deep and coarse textured pedon, pH is mostly neutral,
    they have carbonate from the top, their texture class is mostly sand and loam. Highly
    susceptible soils are located on alluvial plains, where annual precipitation is relatively low
    (under 600 mm/year) and groundwater level is high. The pH, carbonate content and particle
    size distribution of these soils depend on the flooding material. Moderately susceptible soils
    are located on the coarse texture covered plains and chernozem areas. In spite of good
    drainage conditions these pour and humus sandy soils are moderately susceptibility
                                              11
    

    -------
    because of low annual precipitation and deep groundwater level. Slightly susceptible soils
    are located on poor drainaged hydromorphic soils. Either flat areas are occupied by this
    category or they are located in depressions, where level of ground water is relatively high,
    soil texture tends to be heavier, amount of annual precipitation is the lowest in the country.
    Relatively unsusceptible soils are located on salt-affected landscapes; on heavy textured
    meadows  of floodplains and peats; in poorly drained boggy and swampy depressions. In
    spite of different properties of these soils, they are commonly featured by poor drain
    conditions. 12-class solution of the procedure, by all means, might require more detailed,
    e.g. multi-level or multi-furcated explanation.
    
    CONLUSIONS
    The presented procedures provide application-sensitive approaches to the general problem
    of evaluating the vulnerability of various environmental elements for different degradation
    processes. The methods rely upon the up-to-date tools of GIS, multivariate methods and
    information theory.
    
    Result of our large-scale approach represent a unique member of a model family where
    further family members may provide similarly good or  even better results. However this
    member was reached in the course of subsequent model selections and each model
    selection means a compromise between optimum and executibility.
    
    In our small-scale case study, the resulted map was easily interpretable providing
    straightforward characterization of vulnerability of Hungarian  soils for leaching of nitrate
    accumulated after the growing season.
    
    Our procedures are proposed for application in other fields with similar conditions.
    
    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
    The present work was partly founded by the Hungarian National Research Foundation
    (OTKA, Grant No-s T021275 and F026089).
                                             12
    

    -------
    REFERENCES
    
    AddiscottT.M., Whitmore A.P., Powlson D.S., 1991, 'Farming, Fertilizers and the Nitrate
           Problem', CAB International.
    
    Akaike H., 1972, 'Information theory and an extension of maximum likelihood principle'. In:
           Petrov B. N. and Csaki F. (eds.) Proc. 2nd International Symp. on Information
           Theory, , Akademiai, Budapest, p: 267-281.
    
    Akaike H., 1974, 'A new look at the statistical model identification', IEEE Transactions on
           automatic control AC-19, p: 716-723.
    
    Batjes N.H., E.M. Bridges (eds.), 1997, 'Implementation of a Soil Degradation and
           Vulnerability Database for Central and Eastern Europe', ISRIC, Wageningen.
    
    Boumans L, G. van Drecht, D. Fraters, 1999, 'Nitrate in shallow groundwater of the sandy
           regions of the Netherlands', In:  Proc. 'Conference Spatial Statistics for Production
           Ecology' Vol. 1. International Statistical Institute.
    
    Burrough P.A., 1999,  'GIS and Geostatistics:  essential partners in spatial analysis', In:
           Proc. 'Conference Spatial Statistics for Production Ecology' Vol. 1. International
           Statistical Institute.
    
    FAO, 1983, 'Guidelines for the Control of Soil Degradation', UNEP-FAO, Rome.
    
    Kovacs G. J., J.T. Ritchie, T. Nemeth, 1995, Testing simulation models for assessment of
           crop production and nitrate leaching in Hungary', Agricultural Systems, 49(4), p:  385-
           397.
    
    Lebart L., A. Morineau, K.M. Warwick ,  1984, Multivariate descriptive statistical analysis,
           Wiley, New York.
    
    Linhart H., W. Zucchini, 1986, 'Model selection',  Wiley,  New York.
    
    Longley P.A., M.F. Goodchild, D.J. Maguire, D.W. Rhind (eds.), 1999, 'Geographical
           Information Systems,  Principles and Technical Issues', Wiley.
    
    Maguire D.J., 1991, 'Geographical Information Systems:  principles and application',
           Longman, London.
    
    Murtagh  F., A.  Heck,  1987, 'Multivariate data analysis', Reidel, Dordrecht.
    
    Nemeth T., 1993a, 'Effect of N fertilization on the nitrate-N content of soil profiles in
           long-term experiment'. Agrokemia es Talajtan, 42, p: 115-120.
    
    Nemeth T., 1993b, 'Fertilizer recommendations - Environmental aspects.' Zeszyty Prob.
           Post. Nauk Roln,  400, p: 95-104.
    
    Nemeth T., L. Pasztor, J. Szabo, 1998, 'Stochastic modeling of N-leaching using GIS and
           multivariate statistical methods', Water Science and Technology, 38, No. 10, p:  191-
           197.
                                             13
    

    -------
    Pasztor L, F. Csillag, 1995, 'Reduction of high resolution spectra; Application to
           characterization of salinity status of soils.' In:  Sensors and Environmental
           Applications of Remote Sensing; Proc. of the  14th EARSeL Symposium, Balkema,
           Rotterdam, pp. 393-397.
    
    Pasztor L., Zs. Suba, J. Szabo, Gy. Varallyay, 1998, 'Land degradation mapping in Hun-
           gary', In: J.F.Dallemand, V. Perdigao (eds.) 'EUR 18050- PHARE Multi-Country En-
           vironment Programme MERA Project Proceedings', European Commission, p: 43-54.
    
    Pasztor L., J. Szabo, T. Nemeth, 1998, 'GIS-based stochastic approach for mapping soil
           vulnerability', Agrokemia es Talajtan, Vol. 47,  No. 1-4, p: 87-96.
    
    Pasztor L, J. Szabo, Zs.  Bakacsi, S.T.D. Turner, T. Tullner, 1999, 'Applicability of GIS tools
           in environmental conflict mapping: A case study in Hungary', (in this volume).
    
    Scholten H., 1995, 'Geographical Information Systems, Spatial Data Analysis and Spatial
           Modeling, A Perspective in European Context', In: Proc. of 10th European ARC/INFO
           User Conference, Prague, p: 2-14.
    
    Szabo J., L.  Pasztor,  1994, 'Magyarorszag agrookologiai adatbazisa es annak
           kornyezetvedelmi felhasznalasi lehet segei'  (in Hungarian), In: 'Orszagos
           Kornyezetvedelmi Konferencia', Siofok, pp. 156-163.
    
    Toth T., M. Kertesz, L. Pasztor,  1998, 'New approaches in salinity/sodicity mapping in
           Hungary', Agrokemia es Talajtan, Vol. 47, No. 1-4, p: 76-86.
    
    Varallyay Gy, L. Sz  cs, K.  Rajkai, P. Zilahy, A. Muranyi, 1980, 'Soil water management
           categories of Hungarian soils and the map of soil water properties' (in Hungarian -
           English summary)  Agrokemia es Talajtan, 29, p: 77-108.
    
    Varallyay Gy., L. Szucs, A. Muranyi, K. Rajkai, P. Zilahy, 1985, 'Soil factors determining the
           agro-ecological potential of Hungary', Agrokemia es Talajtan, 34(Suppl), p:  90-94.
    
    Varallyay Gy., 1991. 'Soil vulnerability mapping in Hungary'. In: Proc. Int. Workshop on
           'Mapping of soil and terrain vulnerability to specified chemical compounds in Europe
           at a scale of 1: 5 M', p: 83-89.
                                            14
    

    -------
                Habitat Filters, GIS, and Riverine Fish Assemblages:
                            Sifting Through the Relationships
                  Douglas A. Nieman1, Gregg S. Sermarini, and William S. Ettinger
                    Respectively: Senior Scientist, Information Systems Manager, and Principal Ecologist
                    Normandeau Associates, Inc., 3450 Schuylkill Road, Spring City, Pennsylvania 19520
                                          Thomas Proch
                        Regional Biologist, Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
                             400 Waterfront Drive, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15222-4745
                                            John Arway
                      Chief, Environmental Services Division, Pennsylvania Fish and Boat Commission
                             450 Robinson Lane, Bellefonte, Pennsylvania 16823-9616
                                           Jerry Schulte
                           Senior Biologist, Ohio River Valley Water Sanitation Commission
                               5735 Kellogg Avenue, Cincinnati, Ohio 45228-1112
    
    ABSTRACT
    Hierarchy theory suggests that natural  systems are organized as an endogenous series of
    levels that reflect differences in process rates acting over a range of spatiotemporal scales.
    Several hierarchical classifications of spatial scales have been proposed for lotic systems (e.g.,
    basin, network, reach, channel unit, patch). We used a classification similar to one by Lubinski
    for navigation rivers (basin, network, reach, navigation pool, aquatic area,  patch) to develop a
    hierarchical filter model of habitat quality and assemblage composition in mainstem navigation
    pools of the upper Ohio River basin.  A  macroscale filter first considers the geographic
    distribution of species in the regional assemblage across 10 pools  in the study area. This filter
    reflects the influence of historical  events and response of individual species to long-range
    environmental gradients at the basin, network, and reach scales. Aquatic areas defined by
    channel geometry comprise a mesoscale filter. Aquatic areas divide a navigation pool into
    lateral and longitudinal components defining major within-pool gradients of depth, velocity,
    substrate, and cover.  Literature-based  information on habitat requirements was used, via
    canonical correspondence analysis, to  group species and life-stages into ten "species-habitat
    associations" that segregate species by anticipated habitat use along  major lateral (margin  to
    midchannel, or primary to secondary/tertiary channel) and longitudinal (tailwater-riverine to
    lower pool-lacustrine) habitat gradients within navigation pools. After accounting for macroscale
    and mesoscale influences, filter models can be further refined by considering microscale habitat
    preferences in relation to the distribution of cover and substrate patches mapped at finer spatial
    1 Corresponding author, Dnieman@normandeau.com
    

    -------
    scales. Theoretical underpinnings of the filter concept are discussed with respect to habitat
    features that appear to shape fish assemblage patterns across multiple spatial scales.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    Successful natural resources management requires knowledge of the past, present, and
    potential future status of ecosystem components that sustain or comprise management units.
    The elements of required knowledge can be  divided broadly into realms of status (inventory)
    and process (mechanisms). Status recognition involves the questions "what" and "how much",
    which are addressed with techniques of classification, measurement, and statistical estimation.
    Process estimation asks "how" and involves  mechanistic understanding, which confers
    predictive ability. The questions "where" and "when" bridge these realms by challenging us to
    account for the mechanisms responsible for  spatiotemporal variation. The advent of geographic
    information systems (GIS) has provided tools to effectively manage large datasets, enabling
    construction of spatially explicit ecological inventories. With GIS, spatiotemporal variation can
    be measured and  analyzed within a multi-scale context, facilitating construction of ecological
    models that incorporate the kinds of spatial complexity observed in nature. However, effective
    use of such tools can be hindered by lack of  a conceptual framework for guiding applications.
    
    Hierarchy theory (Allen and Starr 1982, O'Niell 1989, Levin 1995) provides a unifying
    conceptual approach for understanding patterns of natural variation. A main tenet of this theory
    is that complex systems have an endogenous organization that is structured in part by
    differences in process rates acting over a range of spatiotemporal scales. For a given scale,
    activities or patterns at finer, briefer scales appear as unpredictable "noise", while those at the
    coarser, slower scales of higher levels appear as near-constant features of the environment that
    constrain activities or the expression of variability at the chosen level of perception.
    
    There are consequences arising from this conceptual framework that can  provide clues to
    mechanisms that generate ecological pattern. For example,  higher-level features may constrain
    expression of lower-level properties, causing variation in the lower level to appear non-random
    and spatially organized (Legendre and  Fortin 1989, Borcard etal. 1992). Repetition of
    disturbance at lower levels through space and time eventually alters higher-level properties
    (Lubinski 1993), leading to synergism, positive feedback, emergence, and other forms of
    surprise (Casti 1994). Ecologists have learned that large-scale processes drive many patterns
    at fine scales (Rabeni and Sowa 1996,  Richards et al. 1996), and that the problem is not to
    

    -------
    select a correct scale for description, but to recognize that change occurs at many scales all at
    once; interactions among scales should therefore be afforded great scrutiny (Levin 1995).
    
    A common goal in applied ecology is to predict status of biological populations from knowledge
    of physical habitat. Numerous methods, based on various conceptual approaches, exist for
    making such predictions. A model well-suited for GIS application is the "hierarchical filter", which
    contends that in order to "belong" to a local assemblage, a species must possess traits that
    allow it to "pass" through a nested series of ecological filters operating at successively finer
    spatiotemporal scales. Furthermore, if a given patch of habitat is to be suitable, the filter model
    dictates that higher-level features of the environment, within which the patch is embedded, must
    be suitable as well. Scales may range through several orders of spatial and temporal
    magnitude, from broad-evolutionary (global, continental) through intermediate-ecological
    (ecoregion, basin), to fine-stochastic (mosaic, patch). This model has appeared several times in
    the ecological literature, especially in aquatic contexts (Smith and Powell  1971, Poff and Ward
    1990, Tonn 1991, Imhoff etal.1996, Poff 1997).
    
    Our objectives in this paper are first, to briefly review the literature on hierarchical filters,
    second, to identify potential habitat filters that may shape fish assemblage patterns in the Ohio
    River and  other large navigation rivers; and third, to summarize GIS-based models of habitat
    quality and fish assemblage composition we developed for navigation pools of the upper Ohio
    River basin in Pennsylvania. We conclude with some thoughts on potential uses of this model
    for fisheries research and management. Our goal is to foster a more holistic understanding of
    fish-habitat relationships in navigation rivers than is provided by approaches that focus on only a
    single level of ecological description, e.g., on local habitat features.
    
    REVIEW OF HIERARCHICAL FILTER MODELS
    Smith and Powell (1971) offer an early description of hierarchical filters in their discussion  of
    "screens" that helped shape fish assemblages in Brier Creek, Oklahoma,  a small southwestern
    warmwater stream. In his recent book on freshwater fish ecology, Matthews (1998) draws
    heavily on hierarchical perspectives as a framework for organizing factors that shape patterns of
    fish distribution and abundance. Tonn (1991) filtered the world's fish fauna through four levels to
    show how global warming might influence local assemblages via different pathways.  Imhoff et
    al. (1996)  adopted a hierarchical system linked to specific mechanisms regulating salmonid
    abundance. Poff (1997) explored links between macroinvertebrate traits and habitat filters within
    

    -------
    levels of a nested landscape hierarchy. Other researchers concerned with description of
    physical habitat have proposed hierarchical systems that reflect "endogenous organization"
    (Frissell et al. 1986, Lubinski 1993, Wilcox 1993). These examples share the common attribute
    of hierarchical structure, and are similar in terms of the number and characteristics of levels
    (Table 1).
    
    An important feature of natural hierarchies is a positive association between spatial extent and
    temporal constancy. Larger spatial scales are generally associated with processes that occur
    slowly over long periods of time, while local processes linked to finer spatial scales operate at
    higher frequency (Poff and Ward 1990). Often, the major processes that drive ecosystem form
    and function are grouped as distinct levels in a nested hierarchy (Kolasa 1989).
    
    Although hierarchical classifications can organize patterns of variation in physical habitat
    characteristics, understanding their role as "filters" depends on identification of the
    environmental characteristics that  selectively cull potential assemblage members at
    successively finer scales. Thus, it is necessary to understand how species' traits confer ability to
    resist selective environmental constraints that would act at some level to remove a species from
    a local assemblage (Poff and Ward 1990, Poff 1997). Such traits encompass morphological,
    physiological, behavioral, and other life-history characteristics of organisms (Imhoff etal. 1996,
    Poff 1997, Schlosser 1990,  1991, Winemiller and Rose 1992). In Hutchinsonian terms, the filter
    model contends that a species' niche requirements will only be met where "windows of
    opportunity" overlap across the range of spatiotemporal scales that ultimately influence local
    assemblages.
    

    -------
    Table 1.  Examples of hierarchical filter models3 and habitat classifications'3 developed for  aquatic systems.
    Type of system
    (Authors)
          Levels in         Description of filtering effects or levels
          hierarchy       (simplified; see original papers for details)
    Fishes living in
    freshwater
    lakes and streams3
    (Smith and
    Powell 1971)
    
    Fishes living
    in north temperate
    lakes3
    (Tonn 1990)
    
    Benthic macro-
    invertebrates
    in streams across
    a landscape3
    (Poff 1997)
    
    Large navigation
    riversb
    (Lubinski 1993)
    Controls on
    stream habitatb
    (Frissel  et al.  1986)
    Scales for
    watershed
    systems
    analysis"
    (Imhoffetal. 1996)
      Gross physiology
      Gross geography
       Fine geography
           Climate
       Fine physiology
    
       Continental filter
        Regional filter
       Lake-type filter
          Local filter
    -Filters freshwater fishes from world fauna
    -Determines continental taxonomic composition
    -Determines regional species pool
    -Affects local distribution patterns
    -Local suitability affects ultimate composition of assemblages
    
    -Determines continental fauna
    -Determines regional species pool
    -Separates regional fauna into lake-type species pools
    -Local fish assemblages selected from lake-type pools
    Watershed/basin filter -Effects of history, climate, geology, and disturbance
      Valley/reach filter   -Effects of stream confinement, slope, lithology, channel morphology
      Channel unit filter   -Effects of stream morphology, hydraulics, substrate distribution
      Microhabitat filter   -Influence of depth, velocity, particle size, food availability,
                          biotic interactions, etc., on habitat selection
            Basin
       Stream network
    
       Floodplain reach
    
       Navigation pool
    
           Habitat
    
    
       Stream system
    
       Segment system
    
        Reach system
    
    
       Pool/riffle system
    
     Microhabitat system
         Watershed
        Subwatershed
           Reach
                                 Site
    
                            Habitat element
    -Fundamental landscape units defined by watershed boundaries
    -Flowing channels within basins; linkage between aquatic
     and terrestrial ecosystem components
    -Length of river defined by degree of interaction between river
     and valley/floodplain in conjunction with disturbance regimes
    -Length of river between adjacent dams; artificial element of the
     landscape that fundamentally alters finer scale habitat features
    -Fine-grained structural components most intimately associated
     with biological assemblages
    
    -Uplift and subsidence, volcanism, and climate change variables that
     influence planation, denudation, and drainage development
    -Minor glaciation, volcanism, earthquakes, landslides, and
     valley development that control evolution of drainage pattern
    -Debris torrents, landslides,  meandering,  human alterations that
     influence stream bed elevations through  modification of sediment
     storage, bank erosion, and  riparian vegetation.
    -Delivery/transport dynamics of wood and sediment affected by local
     bank failure, flood scour and deposition, and  human activities
    -Sediment load, organic matter transport,  localized scour, and
    seasonal plant growth affecting depth, velocity, accumulation
    of fines, community metabolism, structural habitat heterogeneity
    
    -Drainage divides between tertiary basins
    -Boundaries of stream basins nested within watershed
    -Minimally, two meander wavelengths within a stream segment
     of a specific type (i.e., Rosgen 1994), bounded laterally by 1:20-year
    (active profile) and 1:100-year (passive profile) flood elevations
    -Channel segment bounding a single riffle or pool lengthwise,
     bounded laterally by  bankfull elevation
    -Area of relative homogeneity in depth, velocity, and
     substrate within a site
    

    -------
    HABITAT FILTERS FOR NAVIGATION RIVERS
    We define navigation rivers generally as those that support commercial barge traffic. We restrict
    our discussion (but not our definition) to systems where navigability is maintained by "low-head"
    locks and dams, excluding systems where navigability is maintained by channel training
    structures (e.g., lower Mississippi River,  Baker et al. 1991) or by large dams with massive
    reservoirs (e.g., many Tennessee River impoundments). We invoke a conceptual model of the
    upper Mississippi River system (UMRS)  by Lubinski (1993) as a framework for developing a
    hierarchical approach to organizing patterns of habitat and assemblage variation in the Ohio,
    Allegheny, and Monongahela River mainstems, where navigability is maintained by a chain of
    38 locks and dams. These rivers share many similarities but exhibit important differences
    compared to the UMRS, which we will note during the following discussion.
    
    The model identifies five  important spatial scales: basin, stream  network, floodplain-reach,
    navigation pool, and habitat. Table 2 lists important features of this model which are useful in
    developing a "filtering framework" for estimating habitat suitability and fish assemblage
    composition from knowledge of environmental conditions. In this section, we discuss each scale
    within the context of the Ohio River, and identify possible filtering mechanisms, hypothesized
    here or by others, and how they might influence fish assemblages across the range of identified
    spatiotemporal scales. In examining potential habitat filters that shape fish assemblages, it is
    important to remember that assemblages are composed of individual organisms that respond to
    environmental selective forces operating within the context of local habitats (Poff 1997). Higher
    level filters operate by constraining local conditions, making certain combinations of local factors
    possible while ruling out others. Coarse filters may also preclude a species from otherwise
    acceptable localities because they reflect the influence of history, or because they account for
    long-range effects of local disturbance, changes in patterns of spatial connectedness, and other
    phenomena that are determined  by the way in which local habitats are distributed across a
    landscape.
    

    -------
    Table 2.  Spatial scales of the Ohio River, with major structural, functional, and scale characteristics at each level.  Adapted from Lubinski (199
    Spatial Scale:
    Components:
    
    
    Major features:
            Basin
       Stream network
    Abiotic factors:
    Biotic factors
    Natural
    disturbance
    Human
    disturbance
    -Basins and sub-basins  -Headwaters, tributaries,
                           mainstems
    -Fundamental units of
     landscape division;
    -Provide structural and
     functional constraints
     on lower levels of
     organization
    
    -Size and location
    -Climate and geology
    -Vegetation
    -Dispersal
    -Glaciation
    -Flood and drought
    -Catastrophe
     (volcanism, wildfire)
    -Agriculture
    -Urbanization
    -Industrialization
    -Resource extraction
    Approximate range in scale
              -space
              -time      101-104yr
    103-107km2
    -Interactions between
     aquatic and terrestrial
     ecosystem components;
    -Linear processes
     emphasized, modified
     by network shape and
     position
    -Drainage pattern
    -Hydrology
    -Channel morphology
    -Water quality
    
    -Vegetation
    -Dispersal and migration
    -POM dynamics
    > Bankfull flow
    -Intermittency
    -Stream capture
    
    -Channelization
    -Dams and diversions
    -Contaminants
    -Exotic species
    10"1-103 km2
    10°-103yr
       Floodplain-reach
    -Reaches with
     valley, floodplain,
     channels, cutoffs
    -Interactions between
     channel and valley-
     flood plain
    -Annual floods
    -Valley gradient and
     floodplain morphology
    -Thermal regime
    -Sediments and nutrients
    -Vegetation production
     and diversity
                               Navigation pool
                            -Locks and dams and
                            associated navigation
                            pools
                            -Artificial component of
                            the landscape
                            -Modifies structural
                            components and
                            functional processes
                            at habitat scale
    
                            -Size and location
                            -Channel geometry
                            -Lateral, longitudinal, and
                            vertical gradients
    
                            -Vegetative cover
                            -Flood and drought
            Habitat
    -Aquatic areas and
    habitat conditions
    -Scale most intimately
    with the abundance
    and distribution of biota
    -Absence of flood pulse
    -Meandering (local
     distrubance providing
     long-range equilibrium)
    -Levees and revettments  -Water level management
    -Harvests
    101-103km2
    1(J1-103yr
                            101-103 km2
                            10~1 -101 yr
    -Velocity and turbulence
    -Substrate and cover
    -Depth and clarity
    -Water chemistry
    -Diel variation
    -Vegetation (riparian,
     submergent, emergent)
    -Plankton
    -"Engineer" species
    -Bioturbators
    -Windthrow, debris
    -Ice
    -Wind-generated waves
    
    -Snag removal
    -Dredging and disposal
    -River traffic, fleeting
    -Berming
    10'3-104m2
    1Q-2-10°yr
    

    -------
    Basin Scale
    Basins are fundamental landscape units delimited by watershed boundaries (Petts 1989,
    Lubinski 1993). Basins can be decomposed hierarchically as nested subbasins down to the
    level of individual watersheds (Frissell etal. 1986). Characteristics of geology, landform,
    climate, and vegetation are basin attributes that shape and constrain features at finer levels.
    Lubinski (1993) defines such characteristics as "major factors" that control the range of
    ecological heterogeneity at finer scales. These attributes are relatively static when viewed from
    lower levels  in a habitat hierarchy, but do change over long periods of time. Changes in  such
    factors are usually associated with high-magnitude, low-frequency events such as glacial
    advance/retreat, earthquakes, and volcanism that qualify  as "disturbance". Disturbance at
    coarse scales fundamentally alters finer scale habitat, doing so over relatively brief periods of
    evolutionary time. Frissell et al. (1986) note that such disturbance is "extrinsic" in that it changes
    the system's potential by creating  a "new" system with a different range of possible future states
    from the destruction of the "old" system  that had  a different range of possible future states.
    Between disturbances that either create or destroy them,  systems are modified by "intrinsic"
    developmental processes.
    
    Application of the habitat filter concept at the basin scale should incorporate historical legacies
    that determined biogeographic patterns of species' distributions and thus the pool of species
    potentially available to local assemblages at finer spatial scales (i.e., within and between sub-
    basins). Much of the modern broad-scale distribution patterns in the Ohio River basin were
    shaped by events associated with glaciation and glacial retreat (Trautman 1981, Strange 1999).
    Efforts to relate fish assemblages  to local habitat variation should therefore be placed in a
    context that  recognizes regional history. Trautman (1981, pages 1-12) provides such a regional
    analysis by summarizing how fish  assemblages of present-day Ohio were shaped in part by
    broad-scale, regional variation in climate, topography, and the effects of glaciation.
    
    The importance of broad-scale phenomena can also be seen in the swift alterations to native
    fish fauna in the Ohio River that followed European settlement, largely resulting from the
    conversion of natural landscapes into agricultural, urban,  and industrial  systems (Trautman
    1981, Pearson and Krumholz 1984). Such changes reflect the cumulative nature of human
    disturbance, which, when repeated often at many places, begins  to impact larger scales
    (Lubinski 1993). Even small,  seemingly  isolated disturbances, can "scale-up" by inducing
    positive feedback. Construction of a  dam, or destabilization of a local stream bank, can alter
    

    -------
    stream channel geometry, hydraulics, and sediment transport over distances that far exceed the
    boundaries of the local disturbance (Leopold 1994). Such magnification of individual
    disturbances serves to decrease the number of such events required to modify basin-level
    controls on aquatic ecosystems.
    
    Stream Network Scale
    As described by Lubinski (1993), water-carrying channels above a defined location within a
    basin comprise the stream network scale, which is similar to the stream system scale of Frissell
    et al. (1986). Stream networks resolve linkages between the aquatic and terrestrial components
    of a watershed ecosystem. This scale focuses on interactions between streams and riparian
    zones (Gregory et al. 1991, Schlosser 1991),  longitudinal processes (Vannote et al. 1980), and
    the influence of tributary spatial position on biotic assemblages (Gorman 1986, Osborne and
    Wiley 1992, Fairchild et al. 1998). Natural disturbances at this scale include large floods,
    drought, and events that alter drainage patterns (Lubinski 1993, Strange 1999). Human
    disturbances include dams, altered hydrologic regimes, and fragmentation and isolation of the
    network by numerous mechanisms (Sheldon 1987, Lubinski 1993, Pringle 1997).
    
    Since our focus is on the larger mainstems of the drainage  network, it is important to identify
    how certain filters might operate at the stream network scale to influence "main river" fish
    assemblages. As accumulators of flow from large areas,  large rivers reflect their position in a
    drainage network in terms of channel morphology, energy,  sediment, water quality, flow regime,
    and instream habitat (Vannote et al. 1980, Ryder and Pesendorfer 1989, Sedell et al. 1989,
    Ward and Stanford 1989, Junk et al.  1989). Thus, the filtering influences on  a regional species
    pool at the  stream network scale should reflect the segregation of species according to
    preferred ranges of stream size, coupled with other habitat  differences related to position within
    the drainage network (Osborne and Wiley 1992). However, such influences  are not  simply those
    that reflect  differences in preferred habitat use related to stream size, which include inherently
    local factors, i.e., local filters will remove species incapable of maintaining populations in a local
    setting. Rather, network filters reflect geomorphologic and fluvial controls on local habitat and
    patterns of  connectivity that helped determine how different fish species came to be where they
    are today.
    
    Understanding the filtering role of habitat variation at the stream network scale on mainstem
    assemblages should start by considering pristine mainstems. Accounts of habitat conditions in
    

    -------
    the pre-settlement Ohio River (Trautman 1981, Pearson and Krumholz 1984) paint a picture of
    the Ohio River that is much different than the one we see today. The clearer water, lower
    sediment load, shallower and faster riffles and rapids, and extensive floodplain marshes
    supported a fish fauna that was markedly different than the present one. The pristine Ohio River
    and major tributaries likely served as habitat for a greater array of obligate riverine species,
    some of which specialized in "big river" habitat. Larger species such as paddlefish (Polyodon
    spathula), shovelnose sturgeon (Scaphirhynchusplatorynchus), gars (Lepisosteusspp.), blue
    sucker (Cycleptus elongatus), flathead catfish (Pylodictis olivaris), blue catfish (Ictalurus
    furcatus), and some smaller species (e.g., mimic shiner, Notropis volucellus; emerald shiner, /V.
    atherinoides) probably achieved maximum population densities in the main river and lower
    reaches of major tributaries. Some species (e.g., many catostomids) maintained large adult
    populations in mainstems, but relied more or less on tributaries for nursery habitat. Many other
    species ranged throughout much of the drainage network, with populations found in both
    mainstems and tributaries. Still others generally occurred in mainstems as strays from
    populations centered in tributaries. For such species (e.g., many Etheostoma and Percina),
    mainstems still served as important migration corridors that maintained connections between
    separate local populations. Mainstems probably served as refugia for small stream species
    during episodic disturbance (e.g., drought), conversely, tributaries could shelter fish from poor
    main river conditions (e.g., floods or low dissolved oxygen,  Gammon and Reidy 1981).
    
    Mainstems were altered progressively after European settlement, beginning with  large-scale
    changes in physicochemical conditions linked to deforestation and conversion of the landscape
    to agriculture (Trautman 1981). Somewhat later,  industrial development marked the beginning
    of an era of severe pollution that abated only recently.  Such disturbances directly impacted
    fishes using mainstems, leading to extirpations throughout many kilometers of river (Trautman
    1981, Cooper 1983). Alterations to both tributaries and mainstems undoubtedly changed
    metapopulation structures by interfering with the  normal patterns of migration that maintained
    gene flow and allowed local populations to recover from natural disturbance. Before the period
    of severe pollution ended, construction of the navigation system fundamentally altered
    mainstem habitat, likely influencing  patterns  of connectivity even further. As a repetitive feature,
    the chain of navigation dams represents a "scaling up" of the local effects associated with any
    one dam, possibly influencing a spatial scale higher up in the ecosystem hierarchy by altering
    patterns offish movement within the drainage network.
                                               10
    

    -------
    Filtering influences at the stream network scale may interact with heterogeneity at lower levels
    in the Lubinski (1993) hierarchy. For example, Emery et al. (1999) document changes in the
    species composition of catostomids within and across navigation pools in the Ohio River. They
    cited possible causes for shifts in abundance between round and deep-bodied suckers that can
    be related to heterogeneity across four scales. Round-bodied suckers depend  more on  lotic
    conditions (e.g., fast currents, coarse substrates), while deep  bodied suckers thrive in lentic
    conditions. Thus, local assemblages at fine scales differ in sucker representation depending on
    the relative mix of these habitat types. In navigation pools, lotic and lentic habitats are divided
    between the upper and lower ends of each pool, respectively  (Wilcox 1993). Chaining dams
    together results in an alternating sequence consisting of a lotic tailwater below an upstream
    dam that grades into a lentic environment above the next dam downstream. This pattern is then
    modified over a series of dams by heterogeneity at the reach  scale. The lowering of slope
    downstream along the river results in longer pools, decreased sediment particle size, changes
    in trophic dynamics, and increased distance between mainstem habitat favorable to round
    bodied suckers. Off-channel habitat favorable to reproduction of deep bodied suckers is more
    developed in lower gradient reaches where channel cutoffs, embayments, and flooded tributary
    mouths are more extensive. An influence at the stream network scale is apparent because of a
    decrease in the number of tributaries along the lower Ohio River compared to upstream (Emery
    et al. 1999). As favorable areas for reproduction in the mainstem dwindle,  maintenance of round
    bodied sucker populations would depend on availability of tributary spawning habitat. Fewer
    tributaries along a reach would therefore reduce round bodied sucker populations. In summary,
    the shift in sucker composition appears to involve multiscale interactions among several factors
    (sensu Levin 1995, Poff 1997).
    
     Floodplain-reach Scale
    This scale resolves floodplain reaches as structurally distinct river segments in which finer-
    scaled ecological characteristics are controlled in part by the degree of interaction between the
    river and its valley and floodplain (Lubinski 1993, Sedell et al. 1989, Ward and Stanford 1989).
    Reaches can be distinguished based on geology, physiography, and large increases in  drainage
    area at major tributary junctions (Ward and Stanford 1989). Morphological aspects that  help
    distinguish reaches include valley width,  slope, and floodplain development. Unlike mainstems
    of the UMRS, those of the upper Ohio River basin  are valley constrained and lack broad,
    dynamic floodplains. As a result, upper basin mainstems have little "off-channel" habitat (sensu
    Wilcox 1993), and flooded tributaries are rarely backwatered by more than a kilometer. Valley
                                              11
    

    -------
    slope decreases and width increases in the middle and lower Ohio River, where there is a
    general increase in off-channel habitat. None of the Ohio River approaches the complexity of
    off-channel habitat associated with floodplains of the UMRS, however.
    
    To our knowledge, formal reaches for the Ohio River system have not been defined, although
    the "Three Rivers" union defines a clear reach boundary because of the difference in character
    between the confluent rivers that create the Ohio River at Pittsburgh, PA. Various researchers
    have referred to upper, middle, and lower thirds of the Ohio River as distinctive (Pearson and
    Krumholz 1984, Emery et al.  1999), with the "Falls of the Ohio" at Louisville, KY appearing to be
    a logical site for another reach boundary.
    
    Filtering influences at the floodplain-reach scale on potential fish assemblages likely reflect
    differences in the amount and character of off-channel habitat, possibly by filtering species that
    require off-channel nursery sites from areas where those sites are lacking, or have been
    disconnected by floodplain modification (Lubinski 1993, Gutreuter 1992, 1993). As the river
    flows along major climatologic gradients, species may come and go at reach scales in relation
    to thermal tolerance (Gutreuter 1992). Within and between reaches, assemblages fluctuate in
    composition as a result of annual variation in flow regime, often associated with the presence or
    absence of seasonal flood pulses (Junk et al. 1989, Lubinski 1993).
    
    Navigation Pool Scale
    The navigation pool scale is unique among  spatial scales in representing an artificial element
    and major modification of the riverine ecosystem (Lubinski 1993). Serial repetition of these
    structures scales up to influence ecological  processes at the broader reach and stream network
    scales. Dams also constrain habitat variation at finer scales through both passive and active
    mechanisms. Passively, dams set up longitudinal gradients in fine-scaled habitat features by
    imposing a step-pool structure along the river continuum  (Wilcox 1993). Tailwaters below dams
    retain some of their original riverine character as sites of greater velocity, turbulence, and
    substrate particle size, which then grade into slower, deeper impounded areas above dams
    where finer sediments accumulate. Actively, short-term variation in fine-scale habitat is tied to
    water-level management, which in the Ohio basin attempts to maintain a constant pool elevation
    at each dam. As a result, depth varies more over time in upstream areas of the pool, thus
    influencing inundation  frequency and duration of aquatic-terrestrial transition zones along the
    river margin (Junk et al. 1989). Less variation in depth above the downstream  dam limits
                                               12
    

    -------
    change in cross-sectional area, resulting in higher average velocity when passing elevated
    discharge. These factors interact along the spatial axes of a pool to influence temporal
    variability in fine-scale habitat, which fundamentally affects selective forces acting on biota (Poff
    and Ward 1990). Similar interactions occur in the UMRS, although spatiotemporal dynamics
    differ there because water levels  are manipulated to approach stability at a mid-pool "hinge
    point" (Lubinski 1993).
    
    Habitat Scale
    Within navigation pools, fine-grained features of the environment are functionally linked to the
    success of individual fish at the habitat scale. Because each species perceives and responds to
    environmental heterogeneity uniquely, no single description of fine-grained habitat will suit all
    cases. Just how species perceive and respond to local heterogeneity, and how such responses
    help shape fish assemblage pattern, is an area of active inquiry (Poff and Ward 1990, Taylor et
    al. 1993). A hierarchical perspective on how "patches" of fine-scaled habitat are spatially
    arranged leads to the general prediction that habitat "specialists" should outnumber "generalist"
    species, but generalists will on average be more abundant and more broadly distributed in
    ecological range and habitat use  (Kolasa 1989).
    
    Descriptions of habitat use by fish typically refer to hydraulic variables (e.g., depth and velocity),
    substratum (e.g., particle size, embeddedness, organic matter content), cover (type and
    amount), and physicochemical limits of tolerance. A common theme in lotic ecology is that
    habitat conditions are arranged along a continuum at broad scales, while heterogeneity and
    habitat use are patchy along fine-scaled gradients controlled in part by stream channel
    geometry at local scales (Vannote et al. 1980, Bain and  Boltz 1989, Lobb and Orth 1991).
    
    Predictable environmental gradients occur at the habitat scale along the spatial axes of a
    navigation pool, which are reflected in habitat classifications developed for navigation rivers
    (Pearson and Krumholz 1984, Wilcox 1993, Arway et al. 1995). As Table 3 indicates, a
    longitudinal riverine-to-lacustrine  gradient interacts with cross-sectional geometry and meander
    pattern to influence near-shore to mid-channel gradients in depth, velocity, substrate, and cover.
    Where islands are  present, the primary channel used for navigation usually differs distinctly from
    smaller secondary  or tertiary channels opposite the island. Meander pattern influences near-
    shore erosion and  deposition, resulting in steeply sloping banks with deep water near rocky
    shores alternating with shallow flats where gravel, sand, and silt predominate.
                                               13
    

    -------
    Natural patterns of regular habitat variation are interrupted by human modifications (e.g.,
    bermed, rip-rapped, and bulkheaded shores and dredged channels) or by other natural, but
    irregular features (e.g., delta formations at tributary junctions), creating a complex mosaic with
    both predictable and unpredictable components. Temporally, a mosaic will change in a spatially
    dependent manner, because some areas will be inherently more dynamic than others.
    Terrestrial mosaics subjected to unpredictable patchy disturbance may still achieve an
    equilibrium distribution in the relative proportion of patches within different successional states
    (O'Niell 1989). Similarly, fluvial processes that continually alter the state of an alluvial channel at
    a fine scale are also responsible for maintaining an equilibrium pattern in channel dimension at
    a broader scale (Leopold 1994). Human disturbances at the broader reach and navigation pool
    scales exert control over local assemblages in part by the way they influence spatiotemporal
    variation at the habitat scale.
    
    The filtering  influence  of fine-scale habitat heterogeneity ultimately determines which species in
    the regional  pool will succeed in a given environmental  setting. Conditions suitable for growth
    and reproduction must be maintained over long periods of time for a species to persist in a
    given environmental setting. The degree to which a species is able to withstand unfavorable
    conditions on occasion reflects traits that confer resistance to local habitat filters.
    
    Generally, highly variable environments are occupied by assemblages composed of eurytopic
    species in which abiotic controls on temporal variation predominate, while stenotopic habitat
    specialists and biotic interactions become more important in stable environments (Matthews
    1987, Poff and Ward 1989, 1990).
    
    Temporal  variation in lotic habitat is driven strongly by flow regime, which in large rivers has a
    strong contingent component reflecting predictable seasonal flow patterns (Poff and Ward
    1989). Assemblages facing regular cycles of variation typically include species with adaptations
    for taking advantage of (or avoiding) favorable (or unfavorable) periods within a cycle of
    variability. Many large river fishes, for example, are strongly dependent on seasonally inundated
    floodplains and backwaters for reproduction. Such species can be reduced or eliminated from
    local assemblages by  regulated flows that deviate too far from natural pattern (Poff et al. 1997),
    or by activities that disconnect spawning and nursery areas from the river.
                                               14
    

    -------
    Table 3. Gradients of habitat conditions found within navigation pools of large navigation rivers.
    Entries in "low" and "high" columns are habitat classification elements devised to
    compartmentalize variation at the habitat scale.
    Habitat
    condition
    Depth
    
    
    Velocity and
    turbulence
    
    Substrate
    coarseness
    
    
    Cover density
    (e.g., vegetation,
    large woody debris)
    
    Relative value
    Low
    near shore zone
    tertiary channel
    tail water
    lower pool
    near shore zone
    tertiary channel
    lower pool
    tertiary channel
    very wide border
    island shore
    midchannelzone
    primary channel
    valley shore
    very narrow border
    
    High
    midchannel zone
    primary channel
    lower pool
    tail water
    midchannelzone
    primary channel
    tail water
    primary channel
    very narrow border
    valley shore
    near shore zone
    tertiary channel
    island shore
    very wide border
    Gradient
    type
    lateral
    lateral
    longitudinal
    longitudinal
    lateral
    lateral
    longitudinal
    lateral
    lateral
    lateral
    lateral
    lateral
    lateral
    lateral
    Gradient
    strength
    strong
    intermediate
    weak
    intermediate
    intermediate
    intermediate
    strong
    intermediate
    intermediate
    weak
    strong
    intermediate
    weak
    weak
    Trautman (1981) frequently comments on the negative or positive influence that the locks and
    dams had on many fishes of the Ohio River. By and large, the physical changes resulting from
    impoundment have negatively impacted most obligate riverine species that require moderate to
    strong current and coarse, or at least silt-free substrates. Impoundment favored "generalist"
    species, including many that are found naturally in both rivers and lakes.
    
    HABITAT FILTERS AND CIS
    An Aquatic Resource Characterization Study (ARCS) for the Allegheny, Monongahela, and Ohio
    River in Pennsylvania (Arway et al. 1995) provides an example of a GIS application using the
    habitat filter concept. The objective of ARCS was to develop a GIS for natural resources
                                              15
    

    -------
    management of the "Three Rivers" area (ten navigation pools and 176 km of mainstem) near
    Pittsburgh, PA. Base maps generated from  1:24,000-scale topography included the drainage
    network out to the limit of counties containing a defined study area, which incompletely captured
    the landscape at basin,  network, and reach  scales. Since our focus was on mainstems, main
    channels at 1:24,000 scale were revised from aerial photography at 1:8,400 scale to provide
    details for habitat mapping. Much of ARCS was devoted to habitat inventory and classification
    (Arway et al. 1995), including videography of near-shore cover (e.g., submerged and emergent
    vegetation, woody debris) and substrate (Nieman et al. 1996), and side-scan sonar of  riverbed
    substrate and morphology (Nieman et al.  1999). Channel border width was obtained from
    navigation charts. Inventory data were ascribed to polygons and overlaid with maps of aquatic
    areas defined by channel geometry. For our purposes, the habitat components of the GIS can
    be envisioned as a mosaic resulting from  the overlay of component coverages. Associated with
    each polygon are attributes that describe  the mix of habitat conditions and aquatic area type
    found within  it.
    
    In a parallel effort, inventory data were linked to literature-based analyses of habitat
    requirements so that GIS applications could be devised for estimating relative habitat suitability
    for a selected fish species and life stage,  or likely assemblage composition, for any user-defined
    subset of the study area. Because this process was complex, a conceptual framework was
    needed to organize the  research effort. A habitat filter framework, broadly summarized in Figure
    1, eventually arose as the conceptual model around which GIS applications were built. This
    framework grew out of an effort to devise an ecologically based habitat classification, which led
    to the realization that habitat influences on riverine biota must be organized hierarchically. The
    result was a  model that focuses on how channel geometry constrains microhabitat variation
    along the spatial axes of a navigation pool, and that acknowledges further constraints on fish
    assemblages stemming from  broader reach, network, and basin scales.
    
    The left column of text in Figure 1 broadly summarizes model components associated  with three
    levels of a simple hierarchy that correspond to one or more of the five spatial scales discussed
    previously. To the right are listed the chief ecological consequences of each component. At the
    "macro scale" level, some species in the regional species pool were removed a priori as small-
    stream specialists, while others were assigned membership in only a few of the ten pools of the
    ARCS study area, reflecting the influence of broad-scale constraints associated with existing
    and historical influences at basin, network, and reach scales.
                                              16
    

    -------
    At a "mesoscale", the influence of channel geometry on microhabitat distribution among aquatic
    areas was compared to literature on fish habitat requirements. Scores were assigned to reflect
    suitability for each species and life stage based on comparison of literature to "typical"
    microhabitat within aquatic areas. Since aquatic areas define environmental gradients,  scores
    were analyzed along with descriptions of "typical" microhabitat (=depth, velocity, substrate,
    cover) variation among aquatic areas using canonical correspondence analysis (ter Braak
    1986). The resultant ordination placed life stages of each species into "species-habitat
    associations" that reflect orientation along a riverine-to-lacustrine gradient and lateral gradients
                                                17
    

    -------
    Figure 1. Summary of a CIS-based filter model for estimating habitat suitability and fish assemblage composition in navigation pools of the
    upper Ohio River basin in Pennsylvania.
                                              REGIONAL SPECIES POOL
    Model begins with 100 species and 4 life
    stages that are likely full or part-time
    residents of upper Ohio River basin
    mainstem navigation pools.
                                 tCZ>
    Geographic distribution across
    navigation pools reflects historical
    ecology and  influence of long-range
    environmental gradients at broad
    spatial scales.
    Aquatic areas based on channel
    geometry define within-pool
    gradients of depth, velocity,
    substrate, and cover along which
    patterns of habitat use are arrayed,
    as determined by literature review of
    habitat requirements.
    Habitat inventory data and fine-scale
    channel morphology mapped in CIS
    includes: near-shore cover and
    substrate from videography, channel
    border width and tributary junctions
    from navigation  charts, submerged
    substrate, cover, and riverbed
    morphology from side-scan sonar.
                                               tC^>
                                                                 I
    MACROS CALE FILTER
                                                                  I
                                                       ME SOS CALE FILTER
                                                                  I
                                                       MICROS CALE FILTER
                                                  LOCAL ASSEMBLAGE
                                                                                                      Small stream specialists are
                                                                                                    removed to reflect segregation
                                                                                                      at the stream network scale.
                                                                                                   Certain coolwater forms (mainly
                                                                                                       percids) restricted to upper
                                                                                              Allegheny River; upper Ohio River is
                                                                                                 at eastern edge-of-range for some
                                                                                                      midwestern species. Most of
                                                                                                regionally available fauna are wide
                                                                                                        spread across study area.
                                            Obligate riverine species confined to
                                          tailwaters; lacustrine forms dominant in
                                          |    lower pools; generalists distributed
                                           widely; species/life stages segregated
                                          along near-shore to midchannel benthi-
                                            pelagic gradient, mainly by depth and
                                             cover preferences; segregation also
                                          occurs between primary and secondary
                                                channels and off-channel areas.
                                         1  Maps of features are overlapped with
                                          I      aquatic areas to create a patch
                                                mosaic; each patch has a list of
                                             attributes; each attribute can have a
                                          positive, neutral, or negative effect on a
                                           given species  and life stage.  From this
                                           information, habitat quality for a target
                                                 organism, or likely assemblage
                                              composition, can be estimated in a
                                                       spatially explicit manner.
    

    -------
     in the use of near-shore versus transitional off-shore and benthi-pelagic areas in mid-channel,
    along with differential use of primary, secondary-tertiary channels, and off-channel areas.
    
    A "micro scale" filter operating at the finest level of resolution in the environmental data further
    modifies model output by accounting for local features that have positive, neutral, or negative
    influence on habitat quality for a target organism. Customized analyses in GIS and spreadsheet
    programs calculate and summarize weighted area statistics for individual cases, display
    choropleth maps, and rank all species and life stages by a value that reflects relative likelihood
    of occurrence in  any user-defined subset of the study area.
    
    There are many  details of model development that are beyond the scope of this paper. Our
    main  intent was to show how the concept  of habitat filters could be used to organize thinking
    about relationships between fishes and riverine habitat. In summary, fish distribution and
    abundance in navigation rivers like the Ohio River can be related to historical legacies and
    environmental constraints at broad spatial scales, to the influence that channel geometry has on
    the distribution of microhabitat in navigation pools, and to local factors that proximally influence
    habitat use and the ability of individual  species to  persist in a given environment.
    
    To date, the ARCS GIS has not been rigorously evaluated against field data. It does portray
    patterns of habitat use variation found in several empirical studies (Gutreuter 1992, PFBC 1992,
    Emery et al. 1999). Consideration of how hierarchical systems operate suggests that the ARCS
    GIS filter model should be better able to predict statistical patterns in large data sets, rather than
    details of individual sampling events, because of the influence of random noise at fine
    spatiotemporal scales. For example, comparisons of model  outputs from Allegheny River pools
    5 and 6 with results of a PFBC (1992) field study compare favorably when aggregated for each
    pool,  despite unpredictable variation within individual field samples. Users of the ARCS GIS and
    similar models should be aware of scale dependencies in ecological patterns, so that analyses
    are applied and results interpreted properly.  Field studies designed with these concepts in mind
    are likely to yield new insights into fish-habitat relationships  in large rivers.
                                               19
    

    -------
                                      LITERATURE CITED
    
    Allen, T. F. H., and T. B. Starr. 1982. Hierarchy: perspectives for ecological complexity.
    University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois.
    
    Arway, J.,  D. Nieman, T. Proch, and J. Schulte. 1995. Aquatic resource characterization of the
    upper Ohio River basin using a geographic information system. Pages 381-386 in Proceedings of
    the 1995 International Oil Spill Conference, Washington, D.C.
    
    Bain, M. B., and J. M. Boltz. 1989. Regulated streamflow and warmwater stream fish: a general
    hypothesis and research agenda. United States Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service
    Biological  Report 89(18). Alabama Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Auburn,
    Alabama.
    
    Baker, J. A., K. J. Killgore, and R. L. Kasul. 1991. Aquatic habitats and fish communities in the
    lower Mississippi River.  Reviews in Aquatic Sciences 3:313-356.
    
    Borcard, D., P. Legendre, and P. Drapeau.  1992. Partialling out the spatial component of
    ecological variation. Ecology 73: 1045-1055
    
    Casti, J. L. 1994. Complexification—explaining a paradoxical world through the science of
    surprise. Harper-Collins, New York, New York.
    
    Cooper, E. L. 1983. The fishes of Pennsylvania and the northeastern United States.
    Pennsylvania State University Press, University Park, Pennsylvania.
    
    Dodge, D. P. (editor). 1989. Proceedings of the international large river symposium. Canadian
    Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences  106.
    
    Emery, E. B., T. P. Simon, and R. Ovies. 1999. Influence of the family Catostomidae on the
    metrics developed for a Great Rivers Index of Biotic Integrity. Pages 203-224 in Simon (1999).
                                               20
    

    -------
    Fairchild, G. W., R. J. Horwitz, D. A. Nieman, M. R. Boyer, and D. F. Knorr. 1998. Spatial
    variation and historical change in fish communities of the Schuylkill River drainage, southeast
    Pennsylvania. American Midland Naturalist 139:282-295.
    
    Frissell, C. A., W. J. Liss, C. E. Warren, and M. D. Hurley. 1986. A hierarchical framework for
    stream habitat classification: viewing streams in a watershed context. Environmental
    Management 10: 199-214.
    
    Gammon, J. R., and J. M. Reidy. 1981. The role of tributaries during an episode of low
    dissolved oxygen in the Wabash River, Indiana. Pages 396-407 inC. F.  Bryan, G. E. Hall, and
    G. B. Pardue, editors. The warmwater streams symposium.  Southern Division, American
    Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland.
    
    Gorman, O. T. 1986. Assemblage organization of stream fishes: the effects of rivers on
    adventitious streams.  American Naturalist 120:423-454.
    
    Gregory, S. V., F. J. Swanson, and W. A. McKee. 1991. An ecosystem perspective of riparian
    zones. BioScience 40:540-551.
    
    Gutreuter, S. 1992. Systemic features of fisheries of the upper Mississippi River system 1990
    fisheries component annual report. Long Term Resource Monitoring Program Technical Report
    92-T001. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service Environmental Management Technical Center,
    Onalaska, Wisconsin.
    
    Gutreuter, S. 1993. A statistical review of sampling of fishes in the Long Term Resource
    Monitoring Program. Long Term Resource Monitoring  Program  Technical  Report 93-T004.
    National Biological Survey Environmental Management Technical Center, Onalaska, Wisconsin.
    
    Imhoff, J. G., J. Fitzgibbon, and W. K. Annable. 1996. A hierarchical evaluation system for
    characterizing watershed ecosystems for fish habitat. Canadian Journal  of Fisheries and
    Aquatic Science 53 (Supplement 1): 312-326.
    
    Junk, W. J., P. B. Bayley, and R. E. Sparks. 1989. The flood pulse concept in river-floodplain
    systems. Pages 110-127 in Dodge (1989).
                                              21
    

    -------
    Kolasa, J. 1989. Ecological systems in hierarchical perspective: breaks in community structure
    and other consequences. Ecology 70: 36-47.
    
    Legendre, P., and M.-J. Fortin. 1989. Spatial pattern and ecological analysis. Vegetatio 80:107-
    138.
    
    Leopold,  L. B. 1994. A view of the river. Harvard University Press, Cambridge,  Massachusetts.
    
    Levin, S.  A. 1995. The problem of pattern and scale in ecology. Pages 275-326 /nT. M. Powell
    and J. H.  Steele, editors. Ecological time series. Chapman and Hall, New York, New York.
    
    Lobb, M.  D. Ill, and D. J. Orth. 1991. Habitat use by an assemblage offish in a large warmwater
    stream. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 120: 65-78.
    
    Lubinski,  K. 1993.A conceptual model of the upper Mississippi River system ecosystem. Long
    Term Resource  Monitoring Report Technical Report 93-T001. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
    Environmental Management Technical Center, Onalaska, Wisconsin.
    
    Matthews, W. J. 1998. Patterns in freshwater fish ecology. Chapman and Hall,  New York, New
    York.
    
    Matthews, W. J. 1987. Physicochemical tolerance and selectivity of stream fishes as related to
    their geographic ranges and local distribution. Pages 111-120 in Matthews and Heins (1987).
    
    Matthews, W. J. and D. C. Heins (editors). 1987. Community and evolutionary  ecology of North
    American stream fishes. University of Oklahoma Press,  Norman, Oklahoma.
    
    Nieman, D. A., J. Arway, T. Proch, J. Schulte, G. Sermarini, and R. Shema. 1996.  Construction
    of a geographic  information system for natural resources management in a large navigation
    river system. Pages 924-938 in Practical environmental  directions: a changing  agenda. National
    Association of Environmental Professionals 21st annual conference proceedings. Washington,
    D.C.
                                              22
    

    -------
    Nieman, D. A., G. S. Sermarini, S. Sherman, and W. S. Ettinger. 1999. Use of side-scan sonar
    and GIS for mapping substrate and dredging disturbance in large rivers. Pages 129-148 in R. A.
    Randall, editor. Proceedings of the Western Dredging Association Nineteenth Technical
    Conference and Thirty-first Texas A&M Dredging Seminar. Center for Dredging Studies, Texas
    A&M University, College Station, Texas.
    
    O'Neill, R. V. 1989. Perspectives in hierarchy and scale. Pages 140-156 /nJ. Roughgarden, R. M.
    May, and S. A. Levin, editors.  Perspectives in ecological theory. Princeton University Press,
    Princeton, New Jersey.
    
    Osborne, L. L, and M. J. Wiley  1992. Influence of tributary spatial position on the structure of
    warmwater fish communities.  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 49:671-681.
    
    Pearson, W. D., and L. A. Krumholz. 1984. Distribution and status of Ohio River fishes. Oak
    Ridge National Laboratory ORNL/Sub/79-7831/1. Oak Ridge, Tennessee.
    
    Petts, G. E. 1989. Perspectives for ecological management of regulated rivers. Pages 3-24 in J.
    A. Gore and G. E. Petts, editors. Alternatives in regulated river management. CRC Press, Inc.,
    Boca Raton, Florida.
    
    PFBC (Pennsylvania Fish and Boat Commission). 1992. Dredging impacts study, pools 5 and 6,
    Armstrong County, Pennsylvania. Unpublished internal agency report, Harrisburg,
    Pennsylvania.
    
    Pringle, C. M. 1997. Exploring how disturbance in transmitted  upstream: going against the flow.
    Journal of the North American Benthological Society 16:425-438.
    
    Poff, N. L.  1997.  Landscape filters and species traits: towards  mechanistic understanding and
    prediction in stream ecology.  Journal of the  North American Benthological Society 16: 391-409.
    
    Poff, N. L., and J. V. Ward. 1990. Physical habitat template of lotic systems: recovery in the
    context of historical pattern of spatiotemporal heterogeneity. Environmental Management 14:
    629-645.
                                              23
    

    -------
    Poff, N. L, and seven coauthors. 1997. The natural flow regime. BioScience 47:769-784.
    
    Rabeni, C. F., and S. P. Sowa. 1996. Integrating biological realism into habitat restoration and
    conservation strategies for small streams. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    53 (Supplement 1):252-259.
    
    Richards, C., L. B. Johnson, and G. E. Horst.  1996. Landscape-scale influences on stream
    habitats and biota. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 53 (Supplement 1):
    295-311.
    
    Rosgen, D. L. 1994. A classification of natural rivers. Catena 22: 169-199.
    
    Ryder, R. A., and J. Pesendorfer. 1989. Large rivers are more than flowing lakes: a comparative
    review. Pages 65-85 in Dodge (1989).
    
    Schlosser, I. J. 1990. Environmental variation, life history attributes, and community structure in
    stream fishes: implications for environmental management and assessment. Environmental
    Management 14: 621-628.
    
    Schlosser, I. J. 1991. Stream fish ecology: a landscape perspective.  BioScience 41: 704-712.
    
    Sedell, J. R., J. E.  Richey, and F. J. Swanson. 1989. The river continuum concept: a basis for
    the expected ecosystem behavior of very large rivers? Pages 49-55  in Dodge (1989).
    
    Sheldon, A. L. 1987. Rarity: patterns and consequences for stream fishes. Pages 203-209 in
    Matthews and Heins (1987).
    
    Simon, T. P. (editor). 1999. Assessing the sustainability and biological integrity of water
    resources using fish communities. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.
    
    Smith, C. L., and C. R. Powell. 1971. The summer fish communities  of Brier Creek, Marshall
    County, Oklahoma. American Museum Novitates 2458: 1-30.
                                              24
    

    -------
    Strange, R. M. 1999. Historical biogeography, ecology, and fish distributions: conceptual issues
    for establishing IBI criteria. Pages 65-78 in Simon (1999).
    
    Taylor, C. M., M. R. Winston, and W. J. Matthews. 1993. Fish species-environment and
    abundance relationships in a Great Plains river system. Ecography 16:16-23.
    
    ter Braak, C. J. F. 1986. Canonical correspondence analysis: a new eigenvector technique for
    multivariate direct gradient analysis. Ecology 67:1167-1179.
    
    Tonn, W. M. 1991. Climate change and fish communities: a conceptual framework.
    Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 119: 337-352.
    
    Trautman, M. B. 1981. The fishes of Ohio. Revised edition. The Ohio State University Press,
    Columbus, Ohio.
    
    Vannote, R.  L, G. W. Minshall, K. W. Cummins, J. R. Sedell, and C. E. Gushing. 1980. The
    river continuum concept. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 37:  130-137.
    
    Ward, J. V., and J. A. Stanford. 1989. Riverine ecosystems: the influence of man on catchment
    dynamics and fish ecology. Pages 56-64 in Dodge (1989).
    
    Wilcox, D. B. 1993. An aquatic habitat classification  system for the upper Mississippi River
    system. Long Term Resource Monitoring Program, U.  S. Fish and Wildlife Service Technical
    Report 93-T0023. Onalaska, Wisconsin.
    
    Winemiller, K. O., and K. A. Rose. 1992. Patterns of life-history diversification in North American
    fishes: implications  for population regulation. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
    Sciences 49: 2196-2218.
                                              25
    

    -------
                 GIS as a Tool for Predicting Urban Growth Patterns and Risks
                           From Accidental Release of Industrial Toxins
                                               Samuel V. Noe
                                  University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio
    Introduction                                       At the  other end of the  equation, we  can construct
                                                         models for projecting patterns of urban growth. Those
    The catastrophic Bhopal incident demonstrated to the    responsible for planning, howeve    r,  have not made the
    world what could happen when industry and population    connections between these techniques. Hazardous fa-
    are geographically incompatible. Many believe that the    cilities sites are thus still permitted in  areas that place
    large urban population "should not have been there." A    existing  urban  residents and their  drinking water sup-
    recent publication, "New  York Under a Cloud," presents  pHes at risk  and new urban development grows in areas
    a frightening map of New  York State that indicates po-  polluted by existing hazardous substance sites.
    tential areas of serious population exposure to acciden-
    tal releases of chemicals stored by area industries and    Clearl y, this situation displays a need forthe coordinated
    municipalities.                                        application of scientific risk assessment techniques and
                                                         new  approaches to regulating urban  development.
    Conventional urban  planning and administrative prac-    Equally  critical, howeve  r,  is the  need to give greater
    tices at the local level do no  t adequate! y provide for the attention to formulating appropriate public policy meas-
    minimization of these risks. Local jurisdictions  on the    ures at  the local and state  levels  for dealing with the
    fringe s  of metropolitan areas may be particularly ill-   complex disputes that surround these  issues.
    equipped t o respond and plan e  ffectivel  y.  Their elected
    officials, supported by minimal professional  sta    ffs an(troiect Backaround
    unaware of specific potential risks, may be more inter-
    ested in soliciting new industrial development along with    The  project this  paper  describes addressed these
    the tax base it brings. They therefore create industrial    needs.  It was undertaken  by a team of faculty from the
    zones without restricting facilities that ma    y generateyniversit y of Cincinnati 's  School of Planning, Depart-
    hazardous substances and without recognizing th    e pos-ment of Environmental Health, and the College of La   w.
    sibility that underground aquifers, which are  current or    The study team  focused  on the accidental release of
    potential sources of drinking wate   r, may underli e thesehazardous materials both into the  air and  into the
    zones. Jurisdictions often permit facilities that could rou-    ground-water suppl  y.  The  team's purpose was  to de-
    tinely or accidentally  release toxic substances into the    Velop an integrated  approach to scientific  risk assess-
    air without due regard  for prevailin   g wind patterns or ment,  environmental analysis, urban planning,  and
    existing  or projected  urbanized  areas  that may be    p0|jCy analysis  to address conflicts  between:
    affected.
                                                         • Expected patterns of suburban residential growth.
    Although the available  data  and methodology have
    some gaps, much of the knowledge required  to provide    • Tne need to safeguard  existing and new residential
    adequate  protection  from these risks exists.     We know   areas, and their water supplies,  from toxic chemical
    how to identify the hazardous substances that these      pollution.
    sites may produce or store and  how to calculate the    . The promotion of industria| development on  the pe-
    types and  levels of risks associated with them.    We can   rj herjes Qf urbgn    jons  whjch often  |egds to the
    accurately map the locations of streams,  underground      pro|iferation of hazardous  substances  sites.
    aquifers, and their catchment areas. Although with less
    precision,  we also can indicate the areas more likely to    • The need  for effective regulation  of these sites in
    receive the outfall of airborne and waterborne  pollutants.      complicated  multijurisdictional environments.
    

    -------
    This project examined these issues within a 100-square-    the stud y area, was available as a result of reporting
    mil e area on the northern edge of metropolitan Cincin-   requirements mandated by several federal statutes. The
    nati. The study area is not yet completely urbanized but    study team assumed that a similar ratio reflecting sites
    lies in the path of urbanization. It contains a significant    containing hazardou  s material s to the area of industri-
    number of industrial or storage facilities tha    t house supally developed  land  would continue into  the  future.
    plies of hazardous materials  . A major aquifer serving as  Based  on this assumption, the study team could ran-
    a public water supply source passes under the area.
    Approximately 17 local jurisdictions fall within the study
    area: two counties, six townships, and nine municipali-
    ties. The area encompasses an intricate mix of agricul-
    tural, residential, and commercial land uses. In addition,
    several major industrial concentrations,  as well as a
    number of jurisdictions, are aggressively  soliciting new
    industrial employment. Because of its proximity to most
    major employment sites in southwest Ohio and to a
    variety of large retail complexes, the area i   s experiencing
    rapid residential development.
    
    Projecting Areas of Future Development
    
    The study team used PC ARC/INFO geographic infor-
    matio n system s (CIS) to project the locations of future
    residential and  industrial growth in  the study area, to
    show the locations of areas at various degrees of risk
    from either airborne or waterborne industrial toxins, and
    to reveal the potential areas of population exposure
    resulting from the overlap of these areas.
    
    Although this paper does not describe the models used
    to project residential and industrial growth in the study
    area, it does  include the criteria used to make projections.
    The criteria we used to project residential growth were:
    
    • Travel times to major employment concentrations in
      the region.
    
    • Proximity  to interstate highways,  interchanges, and
      main trunk sewers.
    
    • Avoidance of areas composed of steep slopes and
      flood plains.
    
    • Land currently zoned for agriculture or housing.
    
    The criteria for projecting industrial areas  were:
    
    • Relatively flat,  not in a flood plain, and zoned industrial.
    
    • Proximity  to  existing industrial development, main
      trunk sewers, and interstate highways.
    
    • Relative aggressiveness of local  jurisdictions in at-
      tracting industrial development.
    Identifying Areas at Risk From
    Airborne Releases
    
    The study team determined the model project areas at
    risk from airborne releases by using information avail-
    able from the Ohio Environmental  Protection Agenc
    This information, which included  the  location,  identit
    and quantity of hazardous materials recently stored in
     domly project new potential release sources.
    
     The algorithm and associated software used for calcu-
     lating the plume size of aerial dispersion of hazardous
     chemicals was  Aerial Locations of Hazardous Atmos-
     pheres  (ALOHA). The National Oceanic and Atmos-
     pheric Administration (NOAA) developed this system,
     which is in wide use by government and industry for the
     preparation of emergency contingency plans. This soft-
     ware is available for use on any Macintosh compute    r, or
     any IBM-compatible with an Intel 80286 (or better) CPU.
     This software  employs three classes of variables in
     calculating the plume dispersion for a specifi   c chemical:
    
     • Chemical variables
    
     • Meteorological options
    
     • Source strength options
    
     Chemical variables  include both physical properties of
     the chemical and parameters that define the  human
     health e ffects of the chemical. In the latter case, the two
     variables are the threshold limit  value  (T  LV)  and the
     immediately dangerous to life and health (IDLH) value.
     The TLV is a measure of chronic toxicity of the chemical
     in humans. It represents the maximum concentration of
     the chemical in air to which a  human  can safely be
     exposed for 8 hours per day o  n a daily basis. The IDLH
     is a measure of acute toxicity of the chemical in humans.
     The IDLH  represents the  maximum concentration to
     which a human  ca n be exposed fo r a short tim e and not
     experience death or some other severe endpoint.
    
     Meteorological  options describe  the ambient  atmos-
     pheric conditions into which the  chemical disperses.
     ALOHA has the capability of downloading real-time data
     from NOAA satellites. This case, howeve r,  employed
     average meteorological conditions for the study  area
     over the course of a yea r. The variables this stud  y used
     were  atmospheri c inversion height  (or no  inversion),
     wind velocit y, air temperature, ground roughness (rural
     or urban), and stability class (a combined variabl    e de-
     scribing cloud cover and incoming solar radiation).
    
     The source options  quantify the  amount of  chemical
     being released  and describe how  the chemica   I is re-
     leased (instantaneous or continuous).
     The ALOH A model provides a procedure for showing the
     IDLH and TLV risk zones from a single accidenta   I re-
     lease of a single chemical, given specified conditions of
    yatmospheric stabilit  y, wind direction, and air tempera-
     y.ure.  Obviousl  y,  climatic conditions change dail   y, so
     areas surrounding a single  industrial site  experience
    

    -------
    different degrees of risk depending on the variability of   3. When a single  industrial  location employed  more
    thes e conditions. Moreove  r, a single site that can poten-    than one chemical, the IDLH and T  LV ris k  patterns
    tially release more than one chemical poses a higher      for each were overlaid on  on  e other.  Where the
    risk to surrounding areas. Finall   y, when release plumes   overlap occurred, we added the risk factors togethe    r.
    from two or more sites that are located relatively  close
    to each other overlap,  risks als  o increase . To account 4- Final1 Y> wnen tne risk patterns from two or more sites
    for these factors of climatic variation and overlapping      overlapped,  we  added together the  ris  k factors
    chemical release plumes, the study team constructed      assigned to overlapping areas. The overlap capabilities
    the model described belo  w.                             of GIS allowed us to easily draw an  d combine the risk
                                                            patterns, superimposed on a map of the  industrial
    In discussing these procedures, bear in mind that the      sites under consideration.
    risk factors are relative. Su  fficient data are not available        we                   exist    combjned
    to estimate the absolute  probability  of an  accidental    gpd  JLV rjsk  ^         {   rjsk ^
    release of industrial toxins into the a,   r. Consequent! y, nowhen  six   £     pew sQurces ^ re|egses     ™
    absolute risk levels can be estimated.                    jected ^ Qf residentig|  grQwth gre gdded ^
                                                          change s are rathe r dramatic. Of course, we must note
    1 . We acquired NOA A climatic statistics for a full year   thgt the    jected SQurces Qf    tentjg| re|egses gre h
       for  the  weather  station nearest the   study. NOAA pothetica|  and  their ,ocations se|ected  at random  ,n
       tabulates eight wind directions (N, NE, E, SE, S, S   W, reg|it      jse |ocgtions Qf gregs gt   gter rjsk cgnnot
       W,  and NW).  We  sorted the  average  daily wind    be    djcted wjth     d      Qf certgjnt     We cgn reg.
       speeds and average daily temperatures according to    songb| deduce from the mg    howeve    thgt     sub.
       the daily prevailing wind direction. Thus, for each of    stgntjg| jncregse jn industries  storing  or using toxic
       the eight wind directions, it was possible to determine    chemica|S that might be accidentally released into the
       the number of days in the year that the prevailing    gjr cgn compound risk |eve|S much more than migh    t be
       wind comes from that direction, as  well as the    expected  The maps we produced  indicated five risk
       average daily wind speed and temperature.            levels
    
    2. We then input the temperature and wind speed data,    The study results also showed that an industry capable
       derived  as explained above, into the ALOH   A model of generating accidental releases of airborne toxins will
       to prepare plots of the IDLH and T  LV zones, or plumes,  very likely place at risk residents not only of the  same
       for each of the eight wind directions. Individual!    y, theoommunity but those in neighboring jurisdictions as well.
       plumes  emanated  downwin d from  the source of theThis is particularly  true on the  fringes  of metropolitan
       release. In our stud  y, IDLH plumes varied from 0.17   areas  where highly fragmented  political boundaries ex-
       miles to greater than 10 miles. T  LV plumes varied ist.  This fact complicates tremendously the  ability of
       from 0.52 miles to greater than 10 miles.                each jurisdiction to protect its citizens and suggests a
                                                          need for a more comprehensive approach to regulation
       When the plumes for the eight di  fferent wind directions than conventional land use zoning measures  that each
       were combined, the results were  translated  into  a    locality administers.
       pattern of wedges representing   various plume lengths
       in each  of the eight di  fferent wind directions. These  |dentif^ing Areas at Risk From Accidental
                                                                    1-10 Ground-Water Supplies
       of the release. Plumes blowin  g in different directions
       vary in length according to average temperature and    As the introduction of this paper indicates, local govern-
       wind velocities for the days the wind blew in each    ment usual|V mana9es conventional land use planning,
       direction. The numbers in the wedges represent risk    while air quality is largely a state or federal responsibilit     y.
       factors assigned as indicated in    Table 1.            Thus< decisions re9ardin9 the regulation  of industrial
                                                          location  may not  account for the types  of industrial
    Table 1.  Assigned Risk Factors                            operations proposed, th  e possible use of hazardous
                                                          materials , and  possible  risks to local  residents from
         Frequency of wind              Risk Factor            accidental release of toxins into the ai   r. The  same prob-
                                                          lem  applies to the location of industries that have the
           0-25 days/year                     1                potential for accidental release of hazardous materials
          26-so days/year                    2               into  ground-water supplies. In  our stud   y, we outlined a
          51 -75 days/year                    3               technique for predicting where local  resident   s  may be
                                                          placed at risk by drinking water from sources vulnerable
    _ 76-100days/year _ f _    to contamination by industrial toxins.
    

    -------
    As stated earlie r, the study area includes a major aqui-   areas served by water companies whose supplies may
    fer. We noted industrial and related facilities that use and    be at risk. In this case, the projected risk   s of polluted
    store hazardous materials, and that are located over or    water supplies were identical to existing risk level    s be-
    immediately adjacent  to the area aquifers.    We distin-  cause no public water wells happened to be located in
    guished between sites where a previous spill had been
    reported, those where a waste well is located, and all
    other locations where a  hazardous material is used or
    stored. The results clearly indicated a significant poten-
    tial for contamination.
    areas where additional  potential sources  of  pollution
    were projected.
    Of course, wide areas in the study area had no public
    water supply. Residents  in these areas may be at risk
    depending on where they  dig private wells. The maps
    we generated showing areas at risk nonetheless provide
    useful guides to potentially hazardous areas.
    To predict the number and locations of additional indus-
    trial toxin sources that might appear over a 10-year
    period following 1990 (the base year of the study), we
    employed a procedure similar to  that use   d in th e airAs in the construction of all such models, we needed to
    pollution  section of the stud   y. We assumed that during make a number of assumptions,  simplifications, and
    this period, the number of such sites would increase by    value Judgments. In this case, these included the pro-
    35 percent. The 35-percent increase represented  an    Jected number of new toxic sites and P°int scores as'
    arbitrarily selected  figure  approximately midway be-    S|9ned  to hazardous materials sites and the various
    tween estimates of 25- and 50-percent industry growth    areas in th e DRASTIC  maps. Also, for the sake  of
    in  the study area.  We used this increment t o project simplicit y, we projected no new well sites in preparing
    additional waste well sites and sites that would experi-
    ence a spill sometime during the decade, as well as the
    total number of new sites.
    
    We projected the locations of the additional  sites  by
    overlaying a 5,000-foot by 5,000-foot grid on the study
    area and assigning  the new sites to grid  cells using a
    random number generate  r.  We considered  only  cells
    lying completely or  largely over the aquifers and also
    falling within the area of projected industrial land use.
    Each  cell was  assigned a  relative contamination risk
    factor based on the number of projected sites it con-
    tained, with a multiplier of 3 applied to sites with a waste
    well and a  multiplier of 4 applied to sites assumed to
    have had spills.  We also assigned existing sites to grid
    cells and scored them in the same manne   r.
    
    To obtain more information, we used a simplified version
    of DRASTIC maps prepared by the Ohio Department of
    Natural Resources.  DRASTI C is an acronym foDepth
    to wate r, netRecharge, Aquifer media  ,Soil media ,To-
    pograph y, Impact of the  vadose  zone, and hydraulic
    Conductivit y of the aquife r. These factors contribute to
    an  index of the relative vulnerability of the aquifer to
    pollution. Di fferent  shades on the map represented the
    relative vulnerability of sections of the  aquifers  to
    ground-water  pollution.  We assigned two points to aqui-
    fers with a DRASTIC pollution potential index less than
    180 and four points to aquifers with a higher index. This
    allowed us to  use the CIS to  combine the DRASTIC
    vulnerability map  with the maps that showed risks of
    one of the maps. This additional element should prob-
    ably be included, assuming local water companies could
    provide projected well locations. Use of a CIS, howeve   r,
    makes it possible to explore the implications of adjust-
    ment of any of these factors.
    
    We must note two more significant omissions from the
    model that the CIS cannot factor in. One was our inabil-
    ity to identify from the data specific chemicals that each
    sight might release and the relative e   ffects of each.  We
    would  have required  more  complicated techniques for
    dealing with these variables and for projecting the travel
    and dilution of plumes of contaminants in an aquife    r. In
    the interest of providing a simple, if relatively crude,
    model  capable of replication by a local planning agency
    with a  simple  CIS, we elected  not to  propose use of
    more sophisticated techniques.
    
    Another  obvious omission was the  consideration of
    water pumping and treatment measures that might  miti-
    gate risks of water contaminated by accidental release
    of industrial toxins. Perhaps, with knowledge of the spe-
    cific contaminants found in the water at any given time,
    such mitigation might be possible.    We elected not to
    consider this factor for reasons  of simplification but  also
    because this study aimed to provide planning agencies
    the means  to  identify  potential risks to local residents
    and to  prevent or minimize them through better land use
    planning and regulatory measures.
    
    Some Final Notes
    pollution from the hazardous materials sites    . The resul-
    tant maps showed the existing and projected potential   As stated earlie r, the purpose of the study was to pro-
    risk of pollution in di  fferent areas of the aquifers.       pose a technique that planning agencies could use to
                                                         identify:
    The next step in the study related the above information
    to public water companies that extract water from di    ffer*  The locations of existing  and projected pattern   s
    ent parts of the aquifers   . Thus, we were able to associ-   residential and industrial development in a multijuris-
    ate risk levels with well locations as well as with the      dictional suburban area.
                                                        of
    

    -------
    • The  locations of existing and projected  industrial,
      storage, and disposal sites of hazardous materials.
    
    • Residential areas that might be placed at risk by the
      accidental release of these hazardous materials into
      the air or into ground-water supplies.
    
    • The  relative  levels of  risks  resulting  from potential
      exposure to more than one hazardous material at a
      single site, or from multiple sites in the vicinit    y.
    
    The technique we used in the study permitted projection
    of relative risk levels. Projecting absolute risk levels is
    impossible without data on the actual incidence of acci-
    dental  releases of toxins overtime in this or in similar
    areas.  A related  question is whether it is possible to
    meaningfully  indicate the combined risk from airborne
    releases of industrial toxins and  drinking water contami-
    nation  to a  particular  residential area. The issue  of
    weighting relative risk factors is  central here. Could we,
    for example,  weight the risk levels of exposure to  air-
    borne  releases three—or possibly four—times higher
    than water contamination risks? Or can we say that the
    risks may be the same, but the danger from airborne
    releases is three or  four times greater?
    
    Obviousl y, these would  be futile exercises, especially
    becaus e the point scores in the separate mapping stud-
    ies were arbitrarily assigned. The public should  kno
    howeve r, which present  or projected residential areas
    carry some level  of risk from both types of exposure.
    Thus, after calculating point scores to derive relative risk
    levels  from  waterborne  pollutants, we  multiplied  the
    scores by 4 to bring their maximum ranges into the same
      order of magnitude. Otherwise, the e  ffect of waterborne
      pollutants would not be apparent. Consequentl   y, we
      created two maps to show the combined existing and
      projected risks; therefore, we highlighted the combined
      risks that residents face from both airborne and water-
      borne  hazardous materials.
    
      The maps of airborne releases used in these combina-
      tions showed T  LV. Continuing exposure within the T   LV
      areas  over an extended  perio  d can also have adverse
      health effects. This study focused only on accidental
      releases, howeve r, and a single release is unlikely to
      sustain continuous exposure. Of course, residential ar-
      eas at risk from several sites might approach conditions
      of sustained exposure. This situation is more analogous
      to prolonged exposure to contaminated drinking water
      supplies.  We did not combine the maps of IDLH airborne
      releases with th  e maps of areas  at risk from ground-
      water  contamination because they are  not  analogous
      conditions. Nonetheless, the IDLH  risk  maps  in them-
      selves reveal the conditions that local planning o    fficials
      should most seriously conside   r.
    
      Replicating the procedures outlined in this study should
      be technically and financially feasible  for local  planning
      agencies. Armed with the results of such an investiga-
    wtion, their next step should be to establish the  planning
      and regulatory measures that would minimize both ex-
      isting and projected levels of risk to area residents. The
      attorney on our team has outlined a range of possible
      measures, but detailing them would be the subject of
      another pape r.
    

    -------
        Use ofGIS in Modeling Ground-Water Flow in the Memphis, Tennessee, Area
                                  James Outlaw and Michael Clay Brown
                               University of Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee
    Abstract
    
    Memphis,  Tennessee relies solely on ground water for
    its municipal and industrial water supply. Memphis Light,
    Gas, and  Water (MLGW) Division owns and operates
    over 160 water wells in 10 production fields throughout
    Shelby County. MLGW produces an average of approxi-
    mately 200 million gallons per day, excluding much of
    the industrial demand. The city obtains its water from a
    thick, prolific  aquifer known  as the Memphis Sand,
    which was thought  to be separated  from  a surficial
    aquifer by a thick confining layer.  In recent years, evi-
    dence of leakage from the surficial aquifer to the Mem-
    phis Sand has been found.
    
    The University  of  Memphis  Ground Water  Institute
    (GWI) is developing a hydrogeologic database of the
    Memphis area to study the aquifer. The database serves
    as the basis for several ground-water flow models that
    have been created  as well as part of the  wellhead
    protection  programs currently being developed for Mem-
    phis and other municipalities in Shelby County. A geo-
    logic database was developed and is constantly being
    updated from borehole geophysical logs made in the
    area. Well locations  are being field verified  using a
    global positioning system (GPS).
    
    Use of the database has  allowed the development of a
    three-dimensional model  of the Memphis area subsur-
    face. The database also contains locations of and infor-
    mation  on both  private  and  public  production  and
    monitoring wells, Superfund sites, underground storage
    tanks, city and county zoning, land use, and other per-
    tinent information. Procedures  for linking the database
    to ground-water flow and  solute transport models have
    been developed. The data visualization capabilities and
    the ability to  link information  to geographic features
    make geographic  information  systems (CIS) an ideal
    medium for solving ground-water problems.
    
    An example of CIS use in ground-water flow modeling
    is the study of the Justin  J. Davis Wellfield. The water
    quality  parameters of alkalinity, hardness, sulfate, and
    barium have significantly  increased over the  past 10
    years at this facility. To understand why these changes
    are occurring, MLGW, the GWI, and the U.S. Geological
    Survey (USGS) participated in a joint investigation of the
    wellfield.
    
    In the spring of 1992, a series of 12 monitoring wells was
    drilled into the surficial aquifer nearthe production wells.
    Geophysical logging and split-spoon sampling revealed
    an absence of  the  confining layer, referred to as a
    window, at  one of the monitoring wells. All other wells
    penetrated  various thicknesses of clay. This window in
    the confining layer suggests that the  water  quality
    changes  could  be due to leakage  from the  surficial
    aquifer to the Memphis Sand.
    
    The CIS database was used to construct a flow model
    of the  Davis area. Also,  using the  surface modeling
    capabilities  of CIS,  the extent of the confining layer
    window was estimated and used  to calculate  leakage
    between the two aquifers. The results of these analyses
    also  indicate  that further subsurface  exploration  is
    needed to more accurately define the extent of the con-
    fining layer window.
    
    Introduction
    
    Memphis, Tennessee, relies solely on ground water for
    its municipal and industrial water supply.  The Memphis
    Light, Gas,  and  Water (MLGW) Division  owns  and op-
    erates  over 160 water wells in  10 production  fields
    throughout Shelby County, as shown in Figure 1. MLGW
    produces an average of approximately 200 million gal-
    lons per day, excluding much  of the industrial demand.
    
    The city obtains its water from a  thick, prolific aquifer
    known as the Memphis Sand, which was thought to be
    separated from the surficial aquifer by a thick confining
    layer. In recent  years, evidence  of leakage from the
    surficial aquifer to the Memphis Sand has been found.
    The  University  of Memphis  Ground  Water  Institute
    (GWI)  is developing a hydrogeologic database of the
    Memphis area to study the  aquifer. Several ground-water
    

    -------
      Mississippi Alluvia] Plain
                           N
                          A
                    0     25     50
                  Scale in Thousands of Feet
    Figure 1.  Physiographic description and MLGW Wellfields in
             Shelby County.
    
    flow models have been developed using the database.
    Also, the database is an integral  part of wellhead pro-
    tection programs being developed for Memphis and
    other municipalities in Shelby County. A geologic data-
    base was developed and is  constantly being updated
    from borehole geophysical logs made in the area. Well
    locations are being field verified using a global position-
    ing system (GPS).
    
    Use of the database has allowed the development of a
    three-dimensional model of the subsurface of the Mem-
    phis area. The database also contains  locations of and
    information on both private and public production and
    monitoring wells; Superfund sites; underground storage
    tanks; city and county zoning; land use; and other per-
    tinent  information. Water quality measurements for
    every MLGW production well have been obtained, and
    a history of water quality for the Memphis Sand is being
    developed. Procedures have been developed for linking
    the database to ground-water flow and solute transport
    models (1). The  data visualization capabilities  and the
    ability to link information to geographic features make
    geographic information systems (CIS) an ideal medium
    for solving ground-water problems.
    
    GIS Database
    
    The GWI has developed and is continuing to update a
    hydrogeologic   database  for the   Memphis  area.
    ARC/INFO (marketed  by Environmental Systems Re-
    search Institute,  Redlands, California)  is the GIS pro-
    gram that the  GWI is using.  The program  runs on a
    network of 10 SUN SPARC stations. The capabilities of
    ARC/INFO and the computational speed of the SPARC
    stations allow very sophisticated ground-water analyses
    to be performed and have allowed the development of
    an extensive electronic database.
    The basic unit of data storage in ARC/INFO is a cover-
    age. A coverage is a digital representation of a single
    type of geographic feature (e.g., points may represent
    wells, lines may represent streets or equipotential lines,
    and polygons may represent political boundaries or zon-
    ing classifications). Information may be associated with
    an individual  geographic feature in a feature attribute
    table. This information may then be queried and used in
    analyses. ARC/INFO also has its own macro language
    that allows the customization and automation of many
    ARC/INFO procedures.
    A relatively new feature of ARC/INFO is address match-
    ing. This procedure compares a file containing the street
    address of a  particular feature with an address cover-
    age. This  coverage is basically  a library of addresses
    that are linked to a geographic coordinate. As the ad-
    dresses from the input file are compared with the ad-
    dress coverage, the matching points are written to a
    second coverage. Any addresses in the input file that do
    not match an address in the address coverage  are
    written to a "rejects" file. These can be matched by hand
    on a one-by-one basis.
    Address matching serves as an alternative to digitizing,
    as long  as a good address coverage for a specific area
    exists. The GWI has used this capability extensively and
    has developed a coverage of underground storage tank
    (UST) locations inside Shelby County. A database of
    private and monitoring wells is  also  being developed
    and updated using address matching. The raw informa-
    tion was obtained in an ASCII format from the appropri-
    ate regulating agencies (i.e., the Tennessee Department
    of Environment and Conservation  Division of Under-
    ground Storage Tanks and the Memphis/Shelby County
    Health Department).  The ASCII information  was im-
    ported into ARC/INFO and address matched. The crea-
    tion of a suitable address coverage and completion of
    the address matching of the UST file has taken almost
    2 years. The private well coverage is currently  being
    updated from historical information provided by regulat-
    ing agencies and local well drilling companies.
    An important  part of the database is the geologic infor-
    mation  obtained from geophysical  logs  in the  area.
    Gamma logs, resistivity logs, and spontaneous potential
    (SP) logs are three major types  of electric geophysical
    logs. Gamma logs measure naturally occurring radiation
    emitted  from soil in the borehole. Clays and shales emit
    gamma  rays.  A high gamma count  indicates the pres-
    ence of clay or shale, and a low gamma count implies
    that little or no clay is present. Sand layers that contain
    fresh water are located using resistivity logs. Maximum
    values of  resistivity indicate  the possibility of a sand
    

    -------
    layer. Clays and  sands that contain  salt water may
    exhibit similar resistivities. SP logs are  used to differen-
    tiate between the two (2).
    
    Corroborating data  such as formation logs, geologic
    studies, and available material samples should be con-
    sulted when reading and interpreting geophysical logs.
    The accuracy and reliability of an application  based on
    well logs is completely dependent on a realistic interpre-
    tation of the geophysical data. A sample interpretation
    of a set of geophysical logs is shown  in Figure 2. The
    results of interpretations like this are  entered into the
    point attribute file of a well coverage.
    
    The Triangulated  Irregular  Network (TIN) module of
    ARC/INFO is used to create a three-dimensional sur-
    face from information stored in a coverage. TIN creates
    a surface from a set of nonoverlapping triangles defined
    by a set of irregularly or regularly spaced points.  In this
    study, the points defining the triangular TIN surfaces are
    the locations of the wells in the model area.  TIN uses
    various  interpolation routines to estimate surface val-
    ues. Once the surfaces have been developed, two-di-
    mensional profiles can  be made that show the relative
    thicknesses of the various soil strata, as shown in Figure
    3. These profiles aid in selecting boundary conditions
    and defining layers in ground-water flow models (3, 4).
    
    In addition to the creation  of profiles, a  process that
    extracts surface values for  use in a ground-water flow
    model has  been developed. The GWI  uses the United
    States Geological Survey (USGS) flow model,  MOD-
    FLOW (5). Being  a cell-based model, MODFLOW re-
       Gamma
                  SP    Resistivity
    Figure 2.  Example interpretation of geophysical logs.
    quires  a value for each  hydrogeologic parameter for
    each cell in the model grid. A series of FORTRAN pro-
    grams  and arc macro language (AMI) programs were
    coupled to extract the required hydrogeologic data from
    surface models. For example, piezometric surface val-
    ues are required to set initial conditions for the model. A
    coverage  of the piezometric surface of the Memphis
    Sand was created, converted to a TIN surface, and the
    required values for each cell in the model were extracted
    using the procedure described above.
    
    The results and hydrogeologic data from the calibrated
    model  can be read  back into the database and con-
    verted  into coverages. This allows piezometric contours
    to be developed and displayed with other information in
    the database to aid in decision-making. Also, capture
    zones forthe wells can be brought into the database and
    compared with surface features like industries,  landfills,
    Superfund sites, LIST locations,  or other sites that may
    have an impact. This  has proved  especially helpful in
    developing wellhead protection programs where a com-
    plete contaminant source inventory must be performed
    for the  capture zone  of each well and within  a fixed
    radius  around the well. The procedure  used to develop
    model  data from  the CIS database is summarized in
    Figure  4.
    
    Me Cord Wellfield Wellhead
    Protection Program
    
    MLGWand the GWI performed a demonstration project
    funded  by the  U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency
    (EPA) for the C.M. McCord Wellfield Wellhead  Protec-
    tion Program (6). This wellfield was selected because of
    multijurisdictional problems that will be encountered dur-
    ing plan implementation. The City of Memphis owns all
    the wells, but many of them, and all future well lots, are
    located within the city  limits of Bartlett.  A wellhead pro-
    tection plan will have to involve the cooperation of both
    municipalities. The existing wellfield is shown in Figure 5.
    
    Tennessee wellhead protection regulations require the
    delineation of two zones of protection for a city the size
    of Memphis: a 750-foot radius around the wellhead and
    a 10-year capture zone for the well. The 10-year capture
    zone (called the Zone 2 area) was delineated using two
    flow models and  information obtained from the GWI
    database. Results were imported into the CIS database
    and compared  with  existing  information. The Zone  1
    area was delineated by buffering each  well point in the
    coverage by the appropriate  radius. Each well location
    was verified using a Trimble  GPS unit and is accurate
    to within 2 meters. A contaminant source inventory was
    performed using the coverages  developed  by  address
    matching.  The primary potential sources of contamina-
    tion in  this area are USTs. A windshield survey  located
    other potential  sources, such as dry cleaners.  These
    locations were entered into the database also by using
    

    -------
                     Surficial Aquifer
    Transitional Layer
                     Confining Layer/Clay Lens
    Memphis Sand
    
    Figure 3.  Two-dimensional profile constructed from surface models.
                                   Study Area Defined and
                                     Model Grid Developed
                                        Within ARC/INFO
                     Model Input Files
                        Developed
                                   V
                                 Model Calibration
                                  and Verification
     the address-matching capabilities of ARC/INFO.  The
     Zone 2 areas for present wells and future wells, along
     with the potential sources of contamination, are shown
     in Figure 6.
    
     Davis Wellfield Study
    
     An example of CIS use in ground-water flow modeling
     is the study of the Justin J.  Davis Wellfield. The Davis
     Wellfield is one  of 10 producing fields  operated by
     MLGW It  is  located  in the  southwestern  corner of
     Shelby County and consists of 14 wells,  as  shown in
     Figure  1.  Production at the Davis Wellfield  began in
     1971, and  an estimated 13  million gallons per day are
     currently withdrawn from the Memphis Sand aquifer.
     Since  1972,  MLGW  has  collected water quality  data
     from the wells at the Davis Wellfield, including values for
     alkalinity, hardness, chloride, sulfate, iron, and barium.
     Water quality parameters of alkalinity, hardness, sulfate,
     and barium have significantly increased in the past 10
     years.1 A possible explanation for the change in water
     quality is water leakage from the upper aquifer through
     the confining  unit to the Memphis Sand aquifer.1  The
     water chemistry from the two aquifers is noticeably dif-
     ferent. The surficial aquifers  generally  have a higher
     total dissolved solids concentration, hardness, and alka-
     linity than water from the Memphis Sand.1
    Figure 4.  Procedure for integrating GIS and flow model.
     1 Webb, J. 1992. Memphis Light, Gas, and Water Division. Personal
     interview.
    

    -------
                                                                                       Shelby    |
                                                                                       County
                                                                                 Well Location
                                                                                  Pumping
                                                                                  Station
                                                                                  Municipal Boundary
    Figure 5.  Existing McCord Wellfield.
    
    MLGW, the GWI, and the USGS participated in a joint
    investigation of the wellfield to determine why the water
    quality changes are occurring. In the spring of 1992, 12
    monitoring wells were drilled into the surficial  aquifer
    near the production wells, as shown in Figure 7.
    
    Geophysical logging and split-spoon sampling revealed
    an absence of the confining layer at one monitoring well,
    GWI-3. All other wells penetrated various thicknesses of
    clay. This "window" in the confining layer suggests that
    the water quality changes could be due to leakage from
    the surficial aquifer to the Memphis Sand. The  logs for
    these monitoring wells were  combined with an  existing
    geophysical  log coverage. The extent of the confining
    layer window was estimated  using CIS surface model-
    ing capabilities, as shown in  Figure 8.
    Two-dimensional profiles were created to further show
    the extent of the confining layer window. The locations
    of the profiles in relation to various surface features are
    shown in Figure 9. Profiles 1 and 2 were taken across
    the river bluff,  and Profiles 2 and 3 were taken across
    the window. The profiles are shown in Figure 10.
    
    Many important features of this area's geology can be
    inferred by looking at the profiles. A connection of the
    alluvial and  fluvial aquifers is shown in Profile 2. Else-
    where along the bluff, the connection of the two aquifers
    is less prominent,  as shown in Profile 1. The connection
    of the two aquifers in Profile 2 may be the cause of a
    peculiar mounding effect in the water table of the alluvial
    aquifer in that area. The thinning of the top soil in Profiles
    1 and 3 may  indicate  a  local  recharge area for the
    

    -------
                                                                                  N
                     0      5      10
    
                   Scale in Thousands of Feet
                                                                         Germantown
                                                                  \      Road
    10 -Year Capture Zones
      	  Developed Wellfield
      . . » a  Fully Developed Wellfield
       *   Underground Storage Tank
       &   Aboveground Storage
    Figure 6.  Underground storage tanks and aboveground storage locations.
    alluvial aquifer. Profiles 2 and 3 show the confining layer
    window that suggests a connection between the surficial
    aquifer and the Memphis Sand.
    
    Following the convention of the USGS, a "window" is
    defined as any area where the aggregate clay thickness
    is less than 10 feet (8). Asurface of the thickness of the
    confining layer was generated from the geophysical log
    coverage. The surface model was converted to a con-
    tour line coverage on a 5-foot interval. Using the ARC-
    EDIT module of ARC/INFO, the contour line coverage
    was converted to  a  polygon  coverage. The area
    bounded by the 10-foot contour of the  surface model
    was calculated to be 840,000 square feet (about 19
    acres). The  area was calculated by adding the areas
    between the 10- and 5-foot contours and the area within
    the 5-foot contour.
    
    A flow model of the  area was developed based on  the
    hydrogeologic data contained in the database. A steady
    state model  was calibrated  to hydraulic conditions re-
    corded during fall 1992  by the USGS and the GWI;  the
    root mean square (RMS) error for this model was 1.76
    feet. A second steady state model was developed to
    simulate conditions recorded during spring 1993 (a  pe-
    riod of high water levels in area lakes). The RMS error
    for this simulation  was 5.19  feet. This higher error may
     indicate that the high water levels in surface water bod-
     ies are not realistic for steady state boundary conditions.
     Realistically, monitoring wells that are relatively far from
     a surface water body are affected more  by average
     water levels over time ratherthan relatively short periods
     of highs and lows.
    
     Using average values of hi, h2 (head in upper and lower
     aquifers), / (vertical flow distance), and VCONT (a pa-
     rameter used in MODFLOWto allow for vertical conduc-
     tance), the estimated flow rate through the window for
     fall 1992 may be computed as:
          k = VCONT 1 = 1.76e-3 x 199.2 = 0.351
                                            ft
                                           day
                 h1-h2  186.5-156.1
                   I    ~     199.2
                                    = 0.153
        Q = kAi = 0.351 x 840,000 x 0.153 = 45,111
                                             ft3
                                             day
    45,111 -- x 7.48
         day
                                          = 0.34 MGD
     The flow rate calculated  from average spring 1993 (a
     period of high water levels in the surficial aquifers)
     model results was computed as:
    

    -------
     Horn Lake Cutoff
                             Sewanee Road
                                                                  Horn Lake Cutoff
                                           Raines Road
                                         Shelby Drive
                           Legend
                    A      GWI Well
    
                    mi        Water Body
    
                    NUU^UU^ BlUff
    
                    	 Roads
                    01234
    
                   Scale in Thousands of Feet
    Figure 7.  Location of GWI monitor wells.
          k = VCONT I = 176e-3 x 199.2 = 0.351 -^-
                                              day
    
              .  h!-h2  196.4-156.8
    I
                             199.2
      Q = kAi = 0.351 x 840,000 x 0.199 = 58,673
    
    
    58,673 -ft- x 7.48 gall°ns= 438,874 -  _,
          day         ff              day
                                                day
    Using the GIS-delineated window, an estimated 0.34 to
    0.44 million gallons per day flow from the alluvial aquifer
    to the Memphis Sand aquifer. This variation in the flow
    rate was due to seasonal variations of water level in the
    alluvial aquifer.
    Since the wellfield pumps approximately 13 million gal-
    lons per day, the effect of the window on the entire Davis
    Wellfield may not be significant. The window lies within
    the  30-year capture zone of two wells in the field, however.
                                                                                                 Raines Road
                                                                                                 Shelby Drive
                                                                                   Legend
                                                                            Water Body
    
                                                                            Bluff
                                                                            GWI Well
    
                                                                            Roads
                                                           Scale in Thousands of Feet
    
    
                                                            Thickness of Confining Unit
    
                                                                     < 5 Feet
                                                                     5 to 10 Feet
                                                                     10 to 20 Feet
                                                                     20 to 30 Feet
                                                                     30 to 40 Feet
                                                                     > 40 Feet
                                           Figure 8.  Location and extent of window in confining unit.
    
                                           The flow rate through the window is approximately 20
                                           percent of the total production of these two wells. Addi-
                                           tionally, since the wells would probably not operate si-
                                           multaneously, the flow  rate through the window may
                                           account  for  approximately 40 percent of the flow  at
                                           either well.
    
                                           Particle tracking  in the  Memphis  Sand was developed
                                           using MODPATH (9) from MODFLOW results. Particles
                                           were placed at model  well screens  and tracked back-
                                           ward for 30 years. The output from MODPATH was read
                                           into the CIS database for comparison  with other data,
                                           as shown in Figure 11. The hole in the confining unit lies
    

    -------
                                                     Legend
                                   Bluff
    — Roads   '""-
     o   s    10
    „,,.,. Profile
    
     15    20
    Water Body
                                              Scale in Thousands of Feet
    Figure 9.  Location of selected profiles.
    
    within the 30-year capture zone of MLGW wells 418 and
    419. Historically, 419 was the first well that experienced
    water quality changes. The water quality  is becoming
    similar to water found in the alluvial aquifer.
    
    A change in the water quality  in well  418 is  not as
    immediately noticeable as in  well 419.  This inconsis-
    tency in  data may indicate that the  window does not
    extend northward from GWI-3, as the TIN model pre-
    dicted. To determine which  capture zone (418 or 419)
    encompasses GWI-3,  particles were  tracked backward
    for 40 years, as shown in Figure 12.  GWI-3  lies on the
    edge of the capture zone for 419. The flow lines from
    418 and 419 move toward the northwest and southwest
    in the Memphis Sand, pass up through the window, and
    emerge in the upper aquifer.
    
    Conclusions
    
    The explanation of the Davis Wellfield investigation ad-
    dressed some limitations of the database. The utility that
    this hydrogeologic database provides greatly outweighs
                the disadvantages, however. Without the ability to map
                and define hydrogeologic features, this project may not
                have been completed in the allotted  time frame or may
                not have been completed in the same level of detail. CIS
                greatly enhances the development  and evaluation of
                ground-water flow models.
    
                Specific conclusions that can  be drawn from the analy-
                sis performed in this project are:
    
                •  The delineation  of a  window in the confining layer
                  using a CIS database is possible.
    
                •  Based on  the CIS-generated window, an estimated
                  0.34 to 0.44 million gallons  per day flow from the
                  upper aquifer to  the Memphis Sand,  which may
                  account for as much as 40  percent of the flow at
                  either well 418 or  419.
    
                •  The drilling of more  monitoring wells  north,  south,
                  east, and  west  of GWI-3  may provide for a more
                  accurate delineation of the  window.
    

    -------
                            Profile 1
                                                   East
       West
                            Profile 2
                                                    North
                            Profile 3
                                       Top Soil
         Horizontal Scale in Thousands of Feet   p**— i  gg^ an(j Qrave|
    
                a i 2 3 a            [pH  Confining Clay
          Vertical Scale in Hundreds of Feet
                                       Memphis Sand Aquifer
    Figure 10.  Selected subsurface cross sections in the Davis
              Wellfield.
                               Sewanee Road
                                          Shelby Drive
                           Legend
    * MLGW Production Well
    [U Window in Confining Unit
    01234
    Scale in Thousands of Feet
    - 	 — - Flow Path
    	 Water Body
    	 Bluff
    
    
    General conclusions that may be drawn from this dis-
    cussion are:
    
    • CIS provides a convenient method of viewing flow
      model input and output.
    
    • A flow model may be developed  and evaluated in a
      relatively short time using CIS.
    
    • CIS provides a convenient means of compiling and
      managing the information required to develop a well-
      head protection program.
    
    Some CIS disadvantages that have been noted are:
    
    • The time required to develop a database  and learn
      to apply the CIS program in a particular situation may
      be  prohibitive.
    
    • CIS-generated  results from a limited database may
      be  misleading and should be corroborated  with other
      analysis methods.
    
    Acknowledgments
    
    The authors would like to acknowledge the efforts of the
    professors and students of the GWI,  both present and
    past,  for their  contributions  to the  database and this
    
                                     Sewanae Road
                                                               Particles From Well
                                                               418 Emerging in
                                                               the Upper Aquifer >
                                                                   GWI-3
                                                                                                         A
                                                                                     Legend
    •
    *•
    
    
    
    01234
    Scale in Thousands of Feet __
    
    
    
    _ Bluff
    — Water Body
    Figure 11.  Backward tracking for 30 years.
    Figure 12.  Backward tracking for 40 years.
    

    -------
    project, especially: Dr. John W. Smith, Director, and Dr.
    Charles  V.  Camp  for their patience and  guidance  in
    interpreting the model results and hydrogeologic condi-
    tions  of the  area; and  David W.  Kenley,  Brian  A.
    Waldron, and Robert B. Braun for their help in creating
    the well  log database.
    
    References
    
    1.  Camp,  C.V.,  J.E. Outlaw,  and  M.C. Brown. 1994. CIS-based
       ground-water modeling. Microcomputers in Civil Eng. 9:281-293.
    2.  Driscoll, F.G. 1986. Groundwater and wells. St. Paul, MN: Johnson
       Division.
    3.  Camp, C.V., and M.C. Brown. 1993. A CIS procedure for develop-
       ing a three-dimensional subsurface profile. J. Computing  in Civil
       Eng. (July).
    4.  Camp, C.V., and J.E. Outlaw. 1993. Constructing subsurface pro-
       files using CIS. Adv. in Eng. Software. 18:211-218.
    5.  McDonald,  M., and A. Harbaugh. 1988. A modular three-dimen-
       sional finite-difference ground-water flow model. Open File Report
       83-875. U.S. Geological Survey.
    
    6.  Palazolo, P.J., J.W. Smith, J.L. Anderson, and C.V.  Camp. 1994.
       C.M.  McCord  wellhead  protection  demonstration  grant. Final
       report.  Herff College  of  Engineering Ground  Water Institute,
       University of Memphis, Memphis, TN.
    
    7.  Richardson, G. 1989. A study of potential sources of leakage into
       the Memphis sand aquifer beneath the Davis well field in Memphis,
       Tennessee. M.S.  thesis. Memphis State University, Memphis, TN.
    
    8.  Parks, W.S. 1990. Hydrology and preliminary assessment of the
       potential for contamination of the Memphis aquifer in the Memphis
       area,  Tennessee. Water Resources  Investigation Report 90-4092.
       U.S. Geological Survey.
    
    9.  Pollock, D.  1989. Documentation of computer programs to com-
       pute and display  pathlines using results from the U.S.  Geological
       Survey  modular three-dimensional finite difference ground-water
       flow model. Open File Report 89-381. U.S. Geological  Survey.
                                                               10
    

    -------
     Public Participation Geographic Information Systems Applications for
        Environmental Justice Research and Community Sustainability
                                   (Working Paper)
    
                                      David A. Padgett
                                 Tennessee State University
                                       Nashville, TN
                               Lynn Pinder, Youth Warriors, Inc.
                                       Baltimore, MD
    
    INTRODUCTION
    The primary objective of this study is the development and assessment of a community-based
    geographic information systems (GIS) method for researching childhood lead-soil exposure and
    subsequent poisoning. Means to fund  and conduct research on childhood lead exposure
    preventative measures have been addressed under the Residential Lead-Based Paint Hazard
    Reduction Act (U.S. Congress, 1992) and the Lead Exposure Reduction Act (U.S. Congress,
    1993). Among the major action elements listed in the U.S. EPA's 1991 "Strategy for Reducing
    Lead Exposures" are recommendations for the development of GIS methods to identify and
    delineate "geographical hot spots" (i.e. highly susceptible areas) (U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, 1991). The U.S.  EPA has recommended that GIS be applied in efforts to learn more
    about the nature and distribution of environmental lead:
    
          "Continued reanalysis of the data by independent investigators will reveal even
          more information about the movement of lead in urban environments. These
          analyses should include...GIS  analysis." (U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency,
          1993)
    
    Several studies utilizing GIS to link lead poisoning sources with specific sensitive population
    characteristics have been conducted within the past decade (Mielke and Adams,  1989
    Huxhold,1991; Guthe etal,  1992; Wartenburg, 1992; North Carolina Department of
    Environment, Health, and Natural Resources, 1993; Bailey etal, 1994; Brinkmann, 1994; Dakin's
    1994; Bocco and Sanchez,  1997; Margai etal, 1997; Bailey, Sargent, and Blake,  1998; Griffith et
    al, 1998; Lutz et al, 1998). The issue of residential lead contamination has recently become the
    subject of a major class-action lawsuit (Koff, 1999). While prior research has provided
    

    -------
    substantial information regarding the spatial nature of environmental lead, there is little to no
    indication that members of potentially impacted communities have been actively involved in
    implementing the projects. The application of the public participation GIS method developed in
    this study brings forth several issues associated with community participation in scientific
    research. Interest in community-based research is being more frequently raised and discussed
    at environmental justice-oriented conferences. The general trend among "at-risk" neighborhoods
    is that they are "fed up" with having their human environment studied by outsiders from
    academia or the government without being able to fully or even partially participate themselves.
    The term "guinea pig" has been commonly tossed around during the discourse.
    
    ARGUMENTS FOR A COMMUNITY-BASED PUBLIC PARTICIPATION  GEOGRAPHIC
    INFORMATION SYSTEMS APPROACH
    Four key areas have been identified supporting the need for full community involvement in
    neighborhood level lead-soil GIS mapping research. First, the non-spatial organization of blood-
    lead screening data may result in inaccurate mapping. Second, mapping the dynamics of long
    and short-term human migration within the study may prove problematic with the static nature of
    GIS. Third, the issue of "neighborhood" definition almost certainly requires input by study area
    residents. Fourth, those same residents may have privacy issues surrounding the release of
    children's health data, and residential lead contamination levels. Upon learning that they are
    being used as subjects in research conducted by non-resident investigators, people within  study
    site communities  may refuse to cooperate. In a worst case scenario, a community may act  to
    block the release or use of any data collected.  Each key issue  is discussed in greater detail
    below.
    
    Non-Spatial Nature of Public Health Data
    Norman et al's (1994) research on the differences between rural and urban blood-lead
    concentrations in North Carolina, focusing primarily upon ethnic, gender and age differences
    among 20,000 participants, is a recent example of public health data being analyzed spatially.
    However, the level of analysis is at the county scale without including street addresses,  typical
    public health data format. Earlier research conducted at Leeds, Alabama (U.S. Department of
    Health  and Human Services,  1991) is a classic example of the common omission of critical
    spatial  data from public health investigations. At Leeds,  while lead-soil concentrations exceeded
    16,000 ppm in some sections of the town, no children participating had blood-lead levels above
    25 micrograms per deciliter (ug/dl) (U.S. Department of  Health and Human Services, 1991).
    

    -------
    However, because the participant's addresses were unavailable, there was no way of knowing
    whether any of the participants resided in the most contaminated areas. Children's blood-lead
    levels were derived using parental reporting forms. Missing from the forms were requests for the
    children's residential addresses. Without street addresses it is virtually impossible to determine
    the existence of any spatial correlation between lead poisoned children and lead releases.
    Further, compiling children's residential locations for GIS databases may be problematic as
    records kept by health departments may list incorrect, inaccurate, or defunct addresses, or no
    addresses at all. In some cases, the address given by a child's parent or guardian may not be
    where the child actually resides. Further, even if a correct address is provided, that site may not
    necessarily be the point of exposure. The spatial inconsistencies associated with blood-lead and
    lead exposure data may render GIS address geocoding efforts very difficult, if not impossible to
    do by outside investigators. The primary challenge is capturing the daily movements among
    residences  and public facilities by children under the age of six.
    
    Dynamics of Human Movement Versus Static Data
    The static nature of GIS may be limited with respect to the daily migratory patterns of human
    beings, especially small children. Pin-pointing an exact lead exposure site for a poisoned child
    may prove difficult considering that a child may move from his/her home to school, back home,
    and then to a relative or friend's home within a given 24 hour period. Temporal GIS problems
    and issues  are discussed by Langram  (1992), Monmonier (1991), and Peuquet (1994). Adams
    (1995) discusses the difficulties inherent in dealing with people as "point entities." Daily, short
    distance human migration cannot be captured on a non-real-time GIS image. In  a static GIS
    application, lead-poisoned children would have to be treated  essentially as a "dynamic point file."
    Low-income children, who are most susceptible to lead poisoning, tend to move from one home
    to another more frequently than those from middle and high income homes, which adds to
    address matching accuracy problems.  With humans being non-stationary objects, tracking them
    as they move through space during a particular time period may complicate any efforts to draw
    sound conclusions about conditions within that space which may be impacting the humans
    present. While recent research indicates that methods for accurate parental estimation of
    children's soil ingestion rates have yet  to be perfected (Calabrese, Stanek, and Barnes,  1997),
    the community knowledge base remains the best source of information for potential childhood
    lead-soil exposure incidences.
    Neighborhood Delineation
    Selecting the spatial limits of the target population in  lead-soil exposure studies comes with a
                                               3
    

    -------
    variety of challenges. Martin (1991) and Hunter (1979) discuss the difficulty of classifying
    residential neighborhoods. Coombes et al (1993) discuss the pertinent ingredients which make
    up a "community," and how the importance of those ingredients may be overlooked during GIS
    database construction. In most cases, census tracts, school districts, and other readily-available
    data polygons are not sufficient for targeting specific groups. Neighborhood and/or community
    lines do not necessarily coincide with municipal boundaries. Tosta (1993) writes "If the bits and
    bytes on our screens have become our knowledge about a place, and if we are using that
    knowledge to make decisions . .. and we've never been  in that space, then something is terribly
    wrong." On-the-ground analyses of study areas are necessary for the creation of culturally,
    socioeconomically, and racially homogenous polygons. In order to delineate the spatial extents
    of a target population, it is necessary to peruse the study area. During inter-census periods,
    many communities may undergo significant changes due to gentrification, filtering, and other
    migratory phenomena. Groundtruthing by study area residents is most effective in establishing
    the daily movement patterns of children. This step is best conducted during the summer months
    when children have maximum opportunity for daily contact with playground soil. The observers,
    practicing "street geography," are able to identify specific
    exposure points and then spatially match those exposure points with locations of lead poisoned
    children.
    
    Privacy Issues
    Because public health data contains information specific to private individuals, obtaining such
    data in useful form may prove difficult. Parents of children with elevated blood lead levels will
    most likely wish to remain anonymous. Privacy issues may interfere  with sampling  efforts as
    parents of children and landlords may refuse access to private property for the collection of soil
    samples. The omission of children's addresses in the aforementioned Leeds, Alabama study
    may have been an effort to protect the children's privacy. The potential for lead poisoning to
    result in learning disabilities and lowered I.Q. scores may be reasons for parents wishing for
    anonymity. Childhood lead poisoning has also been linked to delinquent behavior (Needleman et
    al, 1996). Such revelations will most likely further influence families'  insistence to keep such
    medical information private. Children with blood-lead levels above 10 ug/dl are now considered
    at risk (National Research Council, 1993). With indications that the consequences and
    prevalence of childhood lead poisoning may be more serious than earlier perceived, many
    municipalities are now making efforts to compile more concise databases. New databases
    include addresses of children having elevated blood-lead levels;  however, due to their sensitive
    

    -------
    nature, they are relatively difficult to obtain by outside investigators. Potentially impacted
    stakeholders have greater rights, if not access, to community children's health data.
    Therefore, it is in their best interest to have some form of proprietorship over any data being
    used to develop GIS-supported lead lead-soil mapping.
    
    CHILDHOOD LEAD POISONING HEALTH RISKS ASSOCIATED
    WITH LEAD-SOIL EXPOSURE
    Research conducted by the U.S. Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR)
    and others have indicated that childhood lead poisoning, thought to have been eradicated
    through the legislated ban on leaded gasoline and lead-based paint during the late 1970s,
    remains to be a pervasive public health problem, especially for poor urban children (Chadzynski,
    1980; Lin-Fu,  1980; Mushak and Crocetti, 1988; Breen and Stroup, 1992; Brewer etal, 1992;
    Fernandezetal, 1992; National Research Council, 1993; Norman etal, 1994; U.S. General
    Accounting Office, 1998; Mielke, 1999). The potential neurological, behavioral, and renal
    damage associated with lead poisoning is well documented in public health related research
    (Needleman etal, 1990; U.S. Department of Health & Human Services, 1991a; Needleman,
    1992; Florini and Silbergeld, 1993; Mushak, 1993; Bernard etal, 1995; Needleman etal,  1996).
    Youths under the age of seven are identified as being most susceptible to the harmful effects of
    lead ingestion including nerve damage, brain swelling, and lowered IQ scores (Wriggins,  1997).
    
    Lead contaminated soil is becoming increasingly recognized as a significant exposure pathway
    for children. Among the most infamous childhood lead-soil poisoning cases are those of West
    Dallas, Texas (Bullard, 1994) and Leadville, Colorado (Colorado Department of Health, 1990). At
    Leadville, a study of residential surface soils found lead-soil levels higher than 1000 ppm with 80
    percent of homes with concentrations over 500 ppm. Consequently, it was discovered that 41
    percent of the children in Leadville had blood-lead concentrations higher than 10 micrograms
    lead/decilter (ug/dl) blood. A multi-city study conducted by Mielke (1991) concluded that because
    soil is a major reservoir for lead, there is a strong association between lead-soil levels and
    childhood blood-lead elevation. White (1992), in an analysis of high lead-soil levels associated
    with an abandoned landfill in Orleans Parish, Louisiana, found that nearly 70 percent of the
    children in the area had elevated blood lead concentrations. Other research conducted in
    Australia (Young, Bryant, and Winchester, 1992), Michigan (Francek, 1992), Minnesota (Mielke
    et al, 1984), and Louisiana (Mielke, 1993) support the above findings linking lead-soil
    contamination with childhood lead exposure hazard. Research conducted in Venezuela
                                              5
    

    -------
    indicates that proximity of residential backyards to roadways may establish a link between lead-
    soil levels and traffic volumes, adding yet another parameter to lead-soil pathway analysis
    (Newsome, Aranguren, and Brinkmann, 1997).
    
    In 1994, the U.S. EPA released guidelines for lead-soil hazard assessment with lead-soil
    concentrations exceeding 400 ppm being considered potentially hazardous to human health
    (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1994a). However, as Page and Chang (1993) point out,
    "There is no universally accepted safe level for lead in soil." The Centers for Disease Control
    (CDC) recommends that cleanup should be considered when residential lead-soil is between
    500 and 1000 ppm (Clickner, Albright, and Weitz, 1995). The CDC recommendation may be
    complicated by the fact that lead may exist naturally in the upper horizons of all soils at
    concentrations as high as 500 ppm (Zimdahl and Hassett, 1977). A study conducted during the
    1980s at Cincinnati, Ohio estimated that childhood blood-lead levels increase at a rate of 6.2
    ug/dl blood for each 1000 ppm increase in lead-soil (Burgoon, Rust,  and Hogan,  1995). A U.S.
    EPA (1993a) study indicated that for each 100 ppm lead in soil above 500 ppm, there is a one to
    two ug/dl increase in children's blood-lead levels. The above indicates that a standard
    quantitative relationship between lead-soil and blood-lead levels has yet to be established.
    Other research indicates that outdoor lead-soil contamination may contribute significantly to
    indoor lead-dust contamination (Sayre, 1981; Charney, 1982;Calabrese and Stanek, 1992;
    Clickner, Albright and Weitz, 1995; Lanphear et al, 1995; Rust and Hogan, 1995). Duggan and
    Inskip (1985) compiled an extensive list of childhood lead-dust exposure studies  and estimated
    the mean lead-dust to blood-lead relationship at about five ug/dl blood for every 1000 ppm lead
    in indoor dust.
    
    In order to measure the effectiveness of lead-soil abatement efforts,  the U.S. EPA (1993a)
    completed a major three-city study focused primarily upon the relationship between lead
    contaminated soil and childhood blood-lead levels. Contaminated soil was removed from urban
    communities having above average childhood blood-lead levels. Following abatement local
    children's blood-lead concentration was analyzed in order to determine whether removal of the
    soil would result in any reduction. The study concluded that a decrease of 1,000 ppm lead in soil
    results in a reduction of approximately one ug/dl blood. With soil being the apparent starting
    point of the lead exposure pathway, it is necessary that mitigation and/or abatement of
    contaminated soil be of primary concern in efforts to  lessen childhood lead poisoning hazards
    both inside and outside of the home. The U.S.  EPA study includes recommendations for
                                              6
    

    -------
    mitigating hazards from contaminated indoor dust among its 1994 guidelines (1994a).
    
    ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE USING
    GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS
    Geographic information systems is applied in this project primarily as a tool for
    environmental risk assessment, which is generally considered to be a pro-active
    approach to solving environmental problems. Environmental risk assessment involves
    the analysis of physical and population data in order to estimate the potential magnitude
    of hazard associated with various environmental problems. The U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency (EPA) has established that for its risk assessment data needs
    "Geographic Information System technology could be used to  identify high-risk
    populations...the most exposed and highly susceptible populations in each region would
    be targeted for enforcement actions" (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1990).
    Currently, GIS-based models, graphics, and statistical packages are being used and
    developed in environmental risk assessments by environmental scientists at the U.S.
    EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1990 and 1992;  Stockwell et al, 1993).
    
    In 1993 the "Environmental Justice Act" was introduced to Congress by Representative
    John Lewis (U.S. Congress, 1993). Among the provisions of the Act are requirements for
    the U.S. EPA and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to establish the
    geographical units used for determining Environmental High Impact Areas (EHIAs) which
    are the 100 geographical areas found to have the highest volumes of toxic chemical
    releases. Padgett and Robinson  (1999) have developed a GIS method for delineating
    EHIAs. The Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) has
    determined GIS to be the "best methodology for identifying potentially impacted minority
    populations" (Harris and Williams, 1992). The spatial, socioeconomic, and demographic
    nature of neighborhood level lead-soil contamination analysis  offers significant
    opportunities for academic researchers and people of color and/or low-income
    communities to cooperatively employ GIS.
    
    A SIX-STEP COMMUNITY-BASED PUBLIC PARTICIPATION GEOGRAPHIC  INFORMATION
    SYSTEMS APPROACH
    For this study, a  six-step public participation GIS method has been developed specifically for
    lead-soil research. The steps are to be considered a guide for future research and need not be
    

    -------
    followed to the letter. Issues and concerns central to community action agendas should take
    precedence in shaping the exact procedures followed.
    
    Step One: Preliminary Groundtruthing
    The assessment should begin by determining the extents of the community site, which must be
    conducted on-the-ground. The goal is to delineate, to the best extent possible, contiguous
    demographically, socioeconomically,  and culturally homogenous communities. At this point it is
    prudent to turn to community residents for greater insight into community characteristics.
    Another critical task to be conducted  here is the observation of children at play. Children's daily
    movement patterns are most likely best assessed via first-hand community sources. An
    "outsider's" simple observations may not be sufficient; for projects covering large areas with
    diverse socioeconomic dynamics, an "insider's" viewpoint may  be required to ensure an
    acceptable level of accuracy. Knowledge indigenous to the community population most likely
    provides the best indication of where children six months to six years old may frequently be
    exposed to lead in play area soils.
    
    Step Two: Community Soil Sampling  and Analysis
     Following the delineation of the community site(s) and the play areas therein, samples must be
    collected from play area soils. The sampling and analysis methods applied will vary from case to
    case. The amount of resources available to the researcher will  determine the numbers of
    samples he/she will be able to analyze. Costs for having soil samples analyzed may range from
    $45.00 to over $80.00 per sample. Field assessments requiring several hundred samples could
    obviously and easily become very expensive. For this study, recently available field test kits for
    lead  in soil, sensitive to 400 ppm, will be used (Hybrivet Systems, 1996).  Soil samples will be
    collected by neighborhood residents on a voluntary basis. Perusal of the  aforementioned
    research on GIS applications in lead-soil research generally indicates that, for community-level
    studies, one to two samples per census tract is suitable for accurately establishing the nature of
    neighborhood lead-soil concentration levels.
    
    For this project, 400 ppm lead in soil will be the target concentration in agreement with U.S. EPA
    sampling protocol (U.S.  EPA, 1994); however, it is not a permanent value and should not be
    treated as a constant. Whatever lead-soil level is most appropriate for an area under
    investigation is the one which should  be utilized. For example, according to the most recent EPA
    assertions, residential lead-soil concentrations exceeding 400 ppm are considered potentially
    

    -------
    hazardous to human health (1994); however, in some cases, 1,000 ppm may be considered an
    appropriate benchmark. It is in the primary interest of potentially impacted communities to locate
    areas where concentrations exceed this standard. Therefore, in this study with qualitative
    testing, it is not necessary to know exact lead concentrations above 400 ppm.
    
    Step Three: Location of Sample Sites Exceeding Target Levels
    The locations of play areas exceeding target levels should be noted either by street address or
    through some alternative grid reference system. In this study mapping contaminated sites
    identified by street addresses will be done voluntarily. Names of participants will not be included
    on survey forms in order to protect the privacy of community residents. A sufficient number of
    sampling points will  be noted to produce a point attribute file of potential problem sites within the
    selected community.
    
    Step Four: Analysis  of Community Childhood Blood-Lead Data
    Blood-lead concentrations for children residing within the community site(s) should be obtained
    and analyzed. Due to privacy concerns, this step may require a lengthy negotiation period. If this
    procedure is followed by a public agency or otherwise with free access to blood-lead data,
    attaining the information should be able to be done in relatively little time. The currently accepted
    benchmark for blood-lead potentially being a health hazard in children is 10 ug/dl. The numbers
    of children exhibiting elevated blood-lead levels residing in close proximity to potential hot spots
    should be noted, as  should their respective blood-lead concentrations in ug/dl. Methods used to
    analyze blood-lead data may vary; however, the primary goal should  be to determine whether
    above-average blood-lead levels are exhibited  by relatively high percentages of children within
    the community site(s). Populations with more than five to ten percent of children having elevated
    blood-lead should be considered above the norm (Society for Environmental Geochemistry and
    Health, 1993).  For this study, the lead community organization will be charged with determining
    local childhood blood-lead levels from existing  public health data. No blood samples will be
    collected; however,  parents may be advised to have their children tested at residences where
    lead-soil levels above 400ppm are found.
    
    Step Five: Development of Geographic Information Systems Point Attribute Files
    In order to establish  a spatial relationship between children and sites of potential lead-soil
    exposure, home addresses where samples are collected will be submitted confidentially and
    voluntarily. Residents who have received training in GIS point file geocoding processes and will
                                               9
    

    -------
    collect the data from the volunteers and then build a point layer of sampling locations. Samples
    found to have at least 400ppm lead in soil will be noted as potential hot spots. The final "hot
    spot" maps will be maintained within the community, most likely by the lead community
    environmental justice organization. The maps will not be released to the public outside of the
    community without some form of consent from the voluntary participants.
    
    Step Six: Community Education and Dissemination of Results
    If the project results warrant it, potentially impacted volunteers and their children will be notified
    of the existence and location of lead contaminated soils. Ideally, community residents with
    proper access will be able to view the maps on-line via the internet at local public libraries or
    other institutions. Hardcopy maps showing hot spot zones will also be made available to
    qualified persons. If outside consultation is deemed necessary, and there is a general
    agreement among the project participants and volunteers, data and graphics will be made
    available to disciplinary experts, government decision-makers and others who may be better
    able to analyze and mitigate significant incidences of lead-soil contamination.
    
    CASE STUDY ASSESSMENT METHOD FOR THE SIX-STEP COMMUNITY-BASED
    RESEARCH APPROACH
    An instrument for measuring the effectiveness of the public participation GIS project has been
    derived from Bullard's environmental conflict resolution assessment framework (Bullard, 1994),
    and Barndt's method for evaluating public participation GIS programs (Barndt, 1998) (Table 1).
    The qualitative criteria included at Table 1 are intended for the purpose of determining whether
    the goals of the project have been attained. However, it should be understood that these  criteria
    are neither those of the community participants nor the lead environmental justice group.  The
    standards included in the instrument are parameters set forth for academic evaluation only. The
    involved parties themselves are to independently determine their gains and losses from the
    experience.
    
    IMPLEMENTATION OF THE COMMUNITY-BASED APPROACH:
    BALTIMORE, MARYLAND: JULY 1998-JUNE 1999
    The lead community organization at the Baltimore, Maryland  site is Youth Warriors, Inc., an
    environmental justice organization founded in 1996, the primary purpose of which  is to work with
    local communities in Baltimore's inner-city to educate and mobilize young African Americans
    around urban environmental education, training, leadership development, and organizing skills.
                                              10
    

    -------
    The group works to "encourage our young people to be stakeholders in their communities - loving,
    
    respecting, and valuing the worth of themselves and their neighborhoods." Youth Warriors has two
    
    main campaigns: 1) the Urban Gardens Initiative, a collaborative with local neighborhood
    
    associations to identify vacant lots and convert them into flower gardens, and 2) PROJECT LEAD,
    Table 1. Case Study Assessment Criteria for Community-Based Public Participation
    Geographic Information Systems
    Assessment Dimensions
    
    Issue Crystallization
           Environment
           Public Health
           Equity and Social Justice
           Economic Trade-Off
    Type of Leadership Group
           Mainstream Environmental
           Grassroot Environmental
           Social Action
           Emergent Coalition
    GIS Development and Management Process
           Sustainable
           Replicable
           Efficient
           Timely
           Immediate
           Sophisticated
    Results/Outcomes
           Appropriate
           Actionable
           Fits Schedule of Activities and Priorities
           Accurate
           Insightful
           Offers Perspective
           Synergistic
           Combines Qualitative and Quantitative
           Results in Changed Outcomes
    Contribution to Broader Community Development Agenda
           Integrates the Components of a Working Community Information System
           Encourages a More Open Dialog Using the Information Organized
           Increases Access to Information and Ensures the Right of Access
           Keeps Priority Setting in the Hands of Community
           Addresses Process Objectives
           Recognizes the Value of Co-Production
           Increases the Capacity of Local Community Systems to Use the Technology
           Integrates into a Broader Community Development Process
                                             11
    

    -------
    a lead poisoning prevention education program. In April 1998, Youth Warriors was awarded a
    Conservation Technology Support Program (CTSP) Grant (www.ctsp.org) for GIS support which
    includes the components listed at Table 2.
    
    
    Table 2. Youth Warriors' Conservation Technology Support Program Grant
    
    
    Award Components
    Hardware: (Received - July 1998)
    Processor (HP VL 266 64 MB RAM 4.3. GB HDD 24xCD Win95)
    Monitor (HP Ultra VGA  17" Display)
    Printer (HP DeskJet 1120Cse Printer)
    CD-Writer (HP SureStore 7200I Internal IDE with software)
    
    Software:
    ArcView 3.0 Windows 95
    ArcPress Extension
    
    Training:
    Five days ArcView GIS  training on a space-available basis. (Training completed by On-Site
    Coordinator, November 1998)
    Two days ArcView 3.1 GIS Basic Conservation Training. (Training completed by GIS Team
    Leader, July 1998)
    The GIS hardware and software is being used in support of PROJECT LEAD, a lead poisoning
    prevention education campaign through which teenagers from the local community are trained in
    U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) approved sampling methods for indoor lead dust
    content at residents' homes. Selected sampling areas are considered to have high risk for lead
    exposure due to their socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. There are currently
    approximately 60 participating households. If samples show high levels of lead dust, residents
    are (1) informed immediately and told the implications of test results (2) sent a Help Packet listing
    available resources in Baltimore City, and (3) referred by staff to appropriate Baltimore City
    agencies for further assistance.
                                             12
    

    -------
    With outdoor soils being the primary source of indoor dust, the scope of PROJECT LEAD is being
    expanded to include sampling of residential outdoor soils. Spatial analysis of sample test results
    are being conducted in order to determine the extent and nature of lead soil/dust contamination
    throughout the community site. ArcView 3.1 GIS is being used to map inner-city residential indoor
    dust/outdoor soil lead concentrations. Using GIS to support the on-going PROJECT LEAD project
    is providing an inner-city community with an assessment of local lead exposure risks in an easily
    understandable graphic format. The community-driven method developed here is applicable at
    other urban areas. Student participants and organizers in Youth Warriors have gained
    invaluable skills and training in GIS technology, environmental assessment, database
    management, and scientific field methods. Student trainees will use Microsoft Excel to build a
    database of the participants in PROJECT LEAD. Pertinent attribute information will include:
    residential street addresses, census tracts, parts per million (ppm) lead in soil, household lead dust
    concentration (ppm), and ages of children present (voluntary). Data is being obtained through
    surveys and field sampling.
    
    Geographic information systems training adds a community sustainability component to the
    campaign. Training in ArcView 3.1 GIS and its extensions is enabling Youth Warriors participants
    to develop skills very attractive to employers, or for entrepreneurial pursuits. The students and
    young people (ages 13-30) are increasing their awareness about their urban environment, and also
    gaining practical skills which will enable them  access to resources that they may use for long-term
    community  restoration. In May 1999, several participants completed an eight-hour Lead Poisoning
    Prevention Training course held at the National Safety Council Environmental Health Center.
    
    PROJECT LEAD'S implementation plan is built around three components: public education,
    community  service, and grassroots organizing. Interwoven throughout each of these components
    is the main  purpose of providing opportunities for predominantly African Americans from low-
    income urban communities to participate in high quality environmental training projects that foster
    environmental education, cultural enrichment, leadership development, and civic responsibility.
    It is building community capacity to identify local environmental justice problems and enhance
    stakeholder understanding of environmental and public health information systems. Pertinent goals
    include the  education of 150 young people in  lead poisoning's dangers and lead sampling
    techniques, as well as training community-based organizations in GIS technology.
                                               13
    

    -------
    SIX-STEP APPROACH AS APPLIED TO PROJECT LEAD: JULY 1998-JUNE 1999
    1.  July-September 1998: Training on GIS applications and lead sampling forGIS Team Leader,
       On-Site Coordinator Assistant, and Youth Warriors participants
    2.  August-September 1998: Delineation of study area with assemblage of PROJECT LEAD
       residential sampling sites ~ approximately 60 ~ and demographic/socioeconomic attribute
       database construction.
    3.  October 1998-January 1999: Lead-soil and indoor dust sampling at PROJECT LEAD
       residential sites and input of results into point file and attribute database format.
    4.  January-April 1999: Import of lead sampling results point file into ArcView 3.1 GIS for sample
       site address geocoding for GIS point file map development.
    5.  February-April 1999: Development of initial  community lead exposure hazard maps
       using ArcView 3.1 GIS.
    6.  May-June 1999: Development of initial community lead hazard statistical graphics using
       Arcview3.1 GIS.
    7.  May-June 1999: Development of community lead hazard maps and other graphics
       using ArcPress for local distribution and target group education.
    
    It should be noted that in  keeping with Youth Warrior's agenda, the "six-step approach" has
    been adjusted to seven steps. At the time of this working paper, the project had reached  step
    three above, approximately  seven months behind schedule due to a variety of unforeseen and
    unavoidable circumstances. Work continues at the study area shown at Figure 1. The
    neighborhood generally encompasses Baltimore City census block groupl 605-5. The population
    of 1,068 in the one-tenth mile area is 99.4 percent African American with approximately 10
    percent being under six years of age (U.S. Department of Commerce, 1997). With a median
    household income of $23,750 and only 7.7 percent of the population in poverty, the community
    is not economically typical of those with high risk for lead exposure. However, the median year
    built for homes is 1941, and 221 of the 471 housing units were built prior to 1940. Soil sampling,
    GIS mapping, and  assessment should be completed by October, 1999.
                                             14
    

    -------
                            Calverton Junior High School
                                                James Mosher Elementary School*-
    Figure 1. PROJECT LEAD study area: Baltimore, Maryland (U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 1997)
                                              15
    

    -------
    REFERENCES
    
    Adams, P.C. 1995. "A Reconsideration of Personal Boundaries in Space-Time," Annals of the
           Association of American Geographers, 85(2):267-285.
    
    Bailey, A.J., Sargent, J.D., and Blake, M.K. 1998. A Tale of Two Counties: Childhood Lead
           Poisoning, Industrialization, and Abatement in New England. In, Economic Geography.
           Special Issue for the 1998 Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers.
           Edited by Susan Hanson and Richard Peet. Worcester, MA: Clark University, pp. 96-111.
    
    Bailey, A.J., Sargent, J.D., Goodman, D.C., Freeman, J., and Brown, M.J. 1994. "Poisoned
           Landscapes: The Epidemiology of Environmental Lead Exposure in Massachusetts
           Children 1990-1991," Social Science and Medicine, 39(6):757-766.
    
    Barndt, M. 1998. "A Model for Evaluating Public Participation GIS Programs," Varenius
           Specialist Meeting - Empowerment, Marginalization and Public Participation GIS.
           National Center for Geographic Information and Analysis. Santa Barbara, California, 15-
           17 October, 1998 
           (accessed April 4, 1999).
    
    Bernard, A.M., Vyskocil, A., Roels, H., Kriz, J., Kodl, M., and Lauwerys, R. 1995. "Renal Effects
           of Children Living in the Vicinity of a Lead Smelter," Environmental Research, 68:91-95.
    
    Bocco, G., and Sanchez, R. 1997. "Identifying Potential Impact of Lead Contamination Using a
           Geographic Information System," Environmental Management, 21(1):133-138.
    Boulding, J.R. 1994. Description and Sampling of
           Contaminated Soils. Second Edition. CRC  Press: Boca Raton, Florida.
    
    Breen, J.J., and Stroup, C.R. 1992. "Lead Exposure Reduction in Children: The Need for Quality
           Environmental Laboratories," American Environmental Laboratories, 4:14.
    
    Brewer, R.D., Miller, C.P., Norman, E.H., Freeman, J.I., and Wester, T. 1992. "The Prevention of
           Childhood Lead Poisoning in North Carolina," North Carolina Medical Journal, 53(4):
           149-152.
    
    Brinkmann, R. 1989. Spatial Distribution of Soil Lead Pollution in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin.
           Doctoral Dissertation. Milwaukee: Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-
           Milwaukee.
    
    _. 1994. Lead Pollution in Soils Adjacent to Homes in Tampa, Florida. Unpublished Paper.
           Tampa, Florida: Department of Geography, University of South Florida.
    
    Bullard, R.D. 1994. Dumping in Dixie: Race, Class, and Environmental Quality.  Boulder, CO:
           Westview Press.
    
    Burgoon, D.A., Rust, S.W., and Hogan, K.A. 1995."Relationships Among Lead  Levels in Blood,
           Dust, and Soil." In, Lead Poisoning: Exposure, Abatement, Regulation. Edited by Joseph
           J. Breen and Cindy R. Stroup. Boca Raton, Florida: Lewis Publishers, pp. 255-264.
    
    Calabrese, E.J., and Stanek, E.J. 1992. "What Proportion of Household Dust is Derived from
           Outdoor Soil?" Journal of Soil Contamination, 1:253-263.
                                             16
    

    -------
    Calabrese, E.J., Stanek, E.J., and Barnes, R. 1997. "Soil Ingestion Rates in Children Identified
           by Parental Observation as Likely High Soil Ingesters," Journal of Soil Contamination,
           6:271-279.
    
    Chadzynski, L. 1980. "Finding the Source of Lead." In, Low Level Lead Exposure: The Clinical
           Implications of Current Research, Edited by Herbert L. Needleman, New York: Raven
           Press, pp. 239-246.
    
    Charney, E. 1982. "Lead Poisoning in Children: The Case Against Household Lead Dust." In,
           Lead Absorption in Children. Edited by J. Julian Chisolm, Jr., and David M. O'Hara.
           Baltimore, Maryland: Urban & Scharzenberg, pp. 79-88.
    
    Clinckner, R.P., Albright, V.A., and Weitz, S. 1995. "The Prevalence of Lead-Based Paint in
           Housing: Findings From the National Survey." In, Lead Poisoning: Exposure, Abatement,
           Regulation. Edited by Joseph J. Breen and Cindy R. Stroup. Boca Raton, FL:  Lewis
           Publishers, pp. 3-12.
    
    Colorado Department of Health. 1990. Leadville Metals Exposure Study.
           Unpublished Report. State of Colorado.
    
    Coombes, M., Openshaw, S., Wong, C., and Raybould, S. 1993. "Community Boundary
           Definition: A GIS Design Specification," Regional Studies, 3:280-86.
    
    Cox, D.C., Dewalt, G.D., Haugen, M.M., Koyak, R.A., Schmehl, R.L., Balsinger, J., Constant,
           P.C., Friederich, N.J., Nichols, D.R., Scalera, J.V., and Schwemberger, J.G. 1997. AA
           Field Test of Lead-Based Paint Testing Technologies,® American Environmental
           Laboratory, 9(6): 17-19.
    
    Croner, C.M.,  Pickle, L.W., Wolf, D.R., and White, A.A. 1992. "A GIS Approach to Hypothesis
           Generation in Epidemiology." In, American Society for Photogrammetry and Remote
           Sensing/American Congress on Surveying and Mapping/RT 92: Technical Papers:
           Volume 3 - GIS and Cartography, Washington, DC, August 3-8, 1992, pp. 275-283.
    
    Cutter, S.L.  1993. Living With Risk: The Geography of Environmental Hazards.  New York,
           NY: Routledge, Chapman, and Hall, Inc.
    
    Cutter, S.L., Renwick, H.L., and Renwick, W.H. 1991. Exploitation,  Conservation, Preservation:
           A Geographical Perspective on  Natural Resource Use. Second Edition.    New York, NY:
           John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
    
    Dakins, M. 1994. Spatial Patterns and Statistical Models of Childhood  Lead Poisoning in
           Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NNMEMS Project Report 93-3006. Syracuse, NY: SUNY-
           College of Environmental Science and Forestry.
    
    Duggan, M.J., and Inskip, M.J. 1985. "Childhood Exposure to Lead in Surface Dust and Soil: A
           Community Health Problem," Public Health Reviews, 13(1-2):1-54.
    Eastman, R.J. 1992. IDRISI Technical Reference. Clark University  Graduate School of
           Geography: Worcester, MA.
    
    Environmental Systems Research Institute. 1995. Understanding GIS: The ARC/INFO Method.
                                             17
    

    -------
           Redlands, CA.
    
    Fernandez, A.M., McElvaine, M.D., Orbach, H.G., and Pulido, A.M. 1992. "An Assessment of
           Childhood Lead Poisoning: A Demographic Profile of Ten Community Areas in Chicago."
           In, The National Minority Health Conference: Focus on Environmental Contamination.
           Edited by Barry L. Johnson, Robert C. Williams, and Cynthia M. Harris. Princeton, New
           Jersey: Princetion Scientific Publishing Company, pp. 69-75.
    
    Florini, K.L., and Silbergeld, E.K. 1993. "Getting the Lead Out," Issues in Science and
           Technology, 9(4):33-39.
    
    Francek, M.A. 1992. "Soil Lead Levels in a Small Town Environment: A Case Study from Mt.
           Pleasant Michigan," Environmental Pollution, 76:251-257.
    
    Golden Software, Inc. 1992. SURFER Reference Manual. Golden, CO.
    
    Griffith, D.A., Doyle, P.G., Wheeler, D.C., and Johnson, D.L 1998. "A Tale of Two Swaths:
           Urban Childhood Blood-Lead Levels across Syracuse,  New York," Annals of the
           Association of American Geographers, 88(4):640-665.
    
    Guthe, W.G., Tucker, R.K, Murphy, E.A., England, R., Stevenson, E., and Luckhardt, J.C. 1992.
           "Reassessment of Lead Exposure in New Jersey Using GIS Technology," Environmental
           Research, 59:318-325.
    
    Harris, C.H., and Williams, R.C. 1992. "Research Directions: The Public Health Service Looks at
           Hazards to Minorities," EPA Journal, 18(1): 40-41.
    
    Hunter, A. 1979. "The Urban Neighborhood: Its Analytical and  Social Contexts," Urban Affairs
           Quarterly. 14(3):267-288.
    
    Huxhold, W.E. 1991. An Introduction to Urban Geographic Information Systems. New York, NY:
           Oxford University Press.
    
    HybriVet Systems, Inc. 1996. LeadCheck Soil: Professional Lead Test Kit. Framingham,
           Massachusetts.
    
    Koff, S. 1999. "Broad-brush Approach to Suit Over Lead Paint." Cleveland Plain Dealer
           13 Jun.: A1 +
    
    	. 1994. Lead Check Instruction Manual. Framingham, Massachusetts.
    Langram, G. 1992. Time in Geographic Information Systems. Taylor & Francis: Washington, DC.
    

    -------
    Lanphear, B.P., Edmond, M., Jacobs, D.E., Weitzman, M., Tanner, M., Winter, N.L., Yakir, B.,
           and Eberly, S. 1995. "A Side-by-Side Comparison of Dust Collection Methods for
           Sampling Lead-Contaminated House Dust," Environmental Research, 68:114-123.
    
    Lee, F.G., and Jones-Lee, A. 1992. "Importance of Considering Soil-Lead in Property Site
           Assessments." Unpublished paper presented at the National Groundwater Association
           Conference, Orlando, Florida, August 1992.
    
    Lewis,  M.W. 1994. "Environmental History Challenges the Myth of a Primordial Eden," Chronicle
           of Higher Education, 40(35): A56.
    
    Lin-Fu, J.S. 1980. "Lead Poisoning and Undue Lead Exposure in Children: History and Current
           Status." In, Low Level Lead Exposure: The Clinical Implications of Current Research,
           Edited by Herbert L. Needleman, New York: Raven Press, pp. 5-17.
    
    Lutz, J., Jorgensen, D., Hall, S., and Julian, J. 1998. "Get the Lead Out: A Regional Approach to
           Healthcare and Beyond," Geo Info Systems, 8(7):26-30.
    
    Maniates,  M.F. 1993. "Geography and Environmental Literacy: Let's Look Before We Leap,"
           Professional Geographer, 45(3):351-354.
    
    Margai, F.L, Walter, S.G., Frazier, J.W., and Brink, R. 1997. "Exploring the Potential
           Environmental Sources and Associations of Childhood Lead Poisoning," Applied
           Geographic Studies, 1(4):253-270.
    
    Martin, D.  1991. Geographic Information Systems and Their Socioeconomic Applications. New
           York, NY: Routledge.
    
    Mielke, H.W., and Adams, J.L.  1989. Environmental Lead Risk in the Twin Cities. Publication
           No. CURA 89-4. Minneapolis: Center for Urban and Regional Affairs.
    
    Mielke, H.W., Blake, B., Burroughs, S., and Hasinger, N. 1984. "Urban Lead Levels  in
           Minneapolis:  The Case of the Hmong Children," Environmental Research, 34, pp. 64-76.
    
    Mielke, H.W. 1991. "Lead in Residential Soils: Background and Preliminary Results," Water, Air,
           and Soil Pollution. 57-58:111-119.
    
    	. 1999. "Lead in the Inner Cities," American Scientist, 87(1):(accessed February 9, 1999).
    
    .. 1993. "Lead Dust Contaminated U.S.A.
           Communities: Comparison of Louisiana and Minnesota,"  Applied Geochemistry,
           2:257-261.
    
    Milar, C.R., and Mushak, P. 1982. "Lead Contaminated Household Dust: Hazard, Measurement
           and Decontamination." In, Lead Absorption in Children: Management, Clinical, and
           Environmental Aspects, Edited by J.J. Chisholm and D.M. O'Hara. Urban and
           Schwarzenbert: Baltimore, Maryland, pp. 143-152.
    
    Monmonier, M. 1991. How to Lie With Maps. University of Chicago Press: Chicago,  IL.
                                             19
    

    -------
    Mushak, P. 1992. "Defining Lead as the Premiere
           Environmental Health Issue for Children in America: Criteria and Their Quantitative
           Application," Environmental Research, 59: 281-309.
    
    Mushak, P., and Crocetti, A.F. 1988. The Nature and Extent of Lead Poisoning in Children in the
           United States: A Report to Congress. Atlanta, GA: U.S. Department of Health and
           Human Services.
    
    National Research Council. 1993. Measuring Lead Exposure in Infants, Children, and Other
           Sensitive Populations. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
    
    Needleman, H.L., Riess, J.A., Tobin, M.J., Biesecker, G.E., Greenhouse, J.B. 1996. "Bone Lead
           Levels and Delinquent Behavior," 275(5):363-369.
    
    Needleman, H.L. 1992. "Childhood Lead Poisoning: An
           Eradicable Disease." In, The National Minority Health Conference: Focus on
           Environmental Contamination.  Edited by Barry L. Johnson, Robert C. Williams, and
           Cynthia M.  Harris. Princeton, New Jersey: Princetion Scientific Publishing Company, pp.
           113-116.
    
    Needleman, H.L., Riess, J.A., Tobin, M.J., Biesecker, G.E., Greenhouse, J.B. 1996. "Bone Lead
           Levels and Delinquent Behavior," Journal of the American Medical Association,
           275(5):363-369.
    
    Needleman, H.L., Schell, A., Bellinger, D., Leviton,  A., and Allred, E. 1990. "The  Long-Term
           Effects of Exposure to Low Doses of Lead in Childhood: An 11-Year Follow-up Report,"
           New England Journal of Medicine, 322(2):83-88.
    
    Newsome, T., Aranguren, F., and Brinkmann, R. 1997.  "Lead Contamination Adjacent to
           Roadways in Trujillo, Venezuela," The Professional Geographer, 49(3):331-341.
    
    Norman, E.H., Bordley, W.C., Hertz-Picciotto, I., and Newton, D.A. 1994. "Rural-Urban Blood
           Lead Differences in North Carolina Children," Pediatrics, 94(1):59-64.
    
    North Carolina Department of Environment, Health, and Natural Resources, State Center for
           Health and Environmental Statistics. 1993.  Lead Database Evaluation and GIS Modelling
           Project. PR-242592. Raleigh, NC.
    
    Padgett, D.A., and Robinson, P.L.  1999. A Geographic  Information Systems Method for
           Environmental High Impact Areas (EHIAs) Delineation for Environmental  Justice
           Research. In, Papers and Proceedings of the Applied Geography Conferences, Volume
           22, Edited by F. Andrew Schoolmaster, Denton, Texas: Applied Geography Conferences,
           Inc. (forthcoming).
                                             20
    

    -------
    Padgett, D.A. 1994. Polygon Design Problems and Improvement Techniques at the
           Human/Physical Interface: The Case of Lead (Pb) Contamination. In, Papers and
           Proceedings of the Applied Geography Conferences. Volume 17. Edited by J.W. Frazier,
           B.J. Epstein, F.A. Schoolmaster III, and K.G. Jones. Kent, Ohio: John W. Frazier, pp.
           182-190.
    
    Page, A.L., and Chang A.C. 1993. "Lead Contaminated Soils: Priorities for Remediation?"
           Hazardous Waste & Hazardous Materials, 10, pp. 1-2.
    
    Peuquet, D.J. 1994. "It's About Time: A Conceptual Framework for the Representation of
           Temporal Dynamics in Geographic Information Systems," Annals of the Association of
           American Geographers, 84(3): 441-461.
    
    Phoenix, J. 1993. "Getting the Lead Out of the Community."
           In, Confronting Environmental Racism. Edited by Robert D. Bullard. South End Press:
           Boston, Massachusetts, pp. 77-92.
    
    Sayre, J. 1981. "Dust Lead Contribution to Lead in Children." In, Environmental Lead. Edited by
           Donald R. Lynam, Lillian G. Piantanida, and Jerome F. Cole. Academic Press: New York,
           pp. 23-40.
    
    Society for Environmental Geochemistry and Health. 1993. Lead in Soil: Recommended
           Guidelines. Science Reviews: Northwood, United Kingdom.
    
    Stockwell, J.R., Sorensen, J.W., Eckert, J.W., Jr., and Carreras, E.M.  1993. "The U.S. EPA
           Geographic Information System for Mapping Environmental Releases of Toxic Chemical
           Release Inventory (TRI) Chemicals," Risk Analysis, 13(2): 155-164.
    
    Sutton, P.M., Athanasoulis, M., Flessel, P., Guirguis, G., Hann, M., Schlag, R., and Goldman,
           L.R. 1995. "Lead Levels in the Household Environment of children in  Three High-Risk
           Communities in California," Environmental Research, 68:45-57.
    
    Taylor, P.J., and Johnson, R.J. 1995. "Geographic Information Systems and Geography," In,
           Ground Truth. Edited by John Pickles, The Guilford Press:  New York, NY, pp. 51-67.
    
    Tobias, R.A., Roy, R., Alo, C.J., and Howe, H.L 1996. "Traking Human Health Statistics in
           'Radium City,'" Geo Info Systems, 6(7):50-53.
    
    Tosta, N. 1993. "Sensing Space," Geo Info Systems, 3(9):26-32.
    
    Trimble Navigation Limited.  1996. Pro XL System Training Manual. Sunnyvale, CA.
    
    U.S. Congress. House. 1993. Environmental Justice Act of 1992. 103rd Cong., 1st sess.,  H.R.
           2105, Congressional Record. Vol. 139. Daily ed. (12 May),  H2462.
    
    U.S. Congress. House. 1992. Residential Lead-Based Paint Hazard Reduction Act of 1992.
           Public Law 102-550. House Report 102-1017. Washington, DC: U.S. Government
           Printing Office.
    
    U.S. Congress. Senate. 1993. The Lead Exposure Reduction Act of 1993. Senate Hearing 103-
           181. Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Toxic Substances, Research and
                                             21
    

    -------
           Development of the Committee on Environment and Public Works. Washington, DC:
           U.S. Government Printing Office.
    
    U.S. Department Department of Commerce. 1997. LandView III: Environmental Mapping
           Software. CD-ROM. Disc 1 of 10. U.S. Bureau of the Census. Dec. 1997.
    
    U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease
           Registry. 1991. Child Lead Exposure Study, Leeds, Alabama - Final Report. ATSDR/HS-
           92/13. Washington, DC.
    
    U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Public Health Service. 1991a. Healthy Children
           2000. DHHS Publication No. HRSA-M-CH 91-2. Washington, DC.
    
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  1990. Toxics in the Community: National and Local
           Perspectives - The 1988 Toxics  Release Inventory Report. Washington, DC: U.S.
           Government Printing Office.
    
    _. 1994. Agency Guidance on Residential Lead-Based      Paint, Lead Contaminated Dust, and
           Lead Contaminated Soil. Unpublished agency memorandum. Washington,  DC: U.S.
           Government Printing Office.
    
    _. 1994. Guidance Manual for the Integrated Exposure Uptake Biokinetic Model for Lead in
           Children. EPA/540/R-93/081. U.S. Government Printing Office: Washington, DC.
    
    _. 1991. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Strategy for  Reducing Lead Exposures.
           Unpublished draft report. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
    
    _. 1993. Investigation of Test Kits for Detection of Lead in Paint, Soils and Dusts. EPA/600/R-
           93/085. Research Triangle Park, NC.
    
    _. 1993a. Urban Soil Lead Abatement Demonstration Project - Volume 1: Integrated Report.
           EPA/600/AP-93/001A. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
    
    _. 1992. Environmental Equity: Reducing Risk For All Communities. 230 DR-92-002.
           Washington, DC: U.S.  Government Printing Office.
    
    U.S. General Accounting Office. 1998. Medicaid: Elevated Blood Lead Levels in Children.
           GAO/HEHS-98-78. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
    
    Wartenberg, D. 1992. "Screening for Lead Exposure Using  a Geographic Information System,"
           Environmental Research, 59:310-317.
    
    White,  L.E.  1992. Lead Exposure from the Agriculture Street Landfill. In,  National Minority Health
           Conference: Focus on Environmental Contamination. Edited by Barry L. Johnson,  Robert
           C. Williams, and Cynthia M. Harris. Princeton, NJ: Princeton Scientific Publishing Co.,
           pp. 149-157.
    
    Wixson, E.G., and Davies, B.E. 1994. "Guidelines for Lead in Soil: Proposal of the  Society for
           Environmental Geochemistry and Health," Environmental Science & Technology, 28(1):
           26A-31A.
                                            22
    

    -------
    Wriggins, J. 1997. "Genetics, IQ, Determinism, and Torts: The Example of Discovery in Lead
           Exposure Litigation," Boston University Law Review, 77(5): 1025-1088.
    
    Young, A.R.M., Bryant, E.A., and Winchester, H.P.M. 1992. "The Wollongong Lead Study: An
           Investigation of the Blood Lead Levels of Pre-school Children and Their Relationship to
           Soil Lead Levels," Australian Geographer, 23(2):121-133.
    
    Zeigler, D.J., Johnson, J.H., Jr., and Brunn, S.D. 1983. Technological Hazards. Washington,
           DC: Association of American Geographers.
    
    Zimdahl, R.L., and Hassett, J.J. 1977. "Lead in Soil." In, Lead in the Environment. NSF/RA-
           770214.  Edited by William R.  Boggess and Bobby G. Wixson. National Science
           Foundation: Washington, DC,  pp. 93-98.
                                             23
    

    -------
            Polygon Development Improvement Techniques for Hazardous Waste
                                   Environmental Impact Analysis
                                              David A. Padgett
                           Austin Peay State University, Clarksville, Tennessee
    Introduction
    
    Recently, concern has arisen regarding the effect Super-
    fund sites have on surrounding communities and, spe-
    cifically, the distribution  of those  impacts  on target
    populations. In designing geographic information sys-
    tems (CIS)  applications for analyzing potential impacts
    of hazardous wastes or waste sites on adjacent neigh-
    borhoods, many challenges may be encountered. CIS
    database design requires addressing questions of time,
    space, and  scale.
    
    The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and
    other federal agencies have conducted studies that in-
    dicate  that  certain sectors of the population may be
    more vulnerable to exposure to toxics than others. To
    date, federal departments have enlisted in several CIS-
    based  research projects that attempt to delineate "geo-
    graphic hot spots" of toxic contamination. Such CIS
    applications at hazardous  waste sites have typically
    used polygons to represent data from census tracts
    and/or municipal  boundaries. In most cases,  however,
    census tract and other boundaries do not necessarily
    jibe with community and neighborhood boundaries; there-
    fore, the  polygons representing characteristic data for
    target populations may not be consistent with the actual
    status of those populations.
    
    The objective of this paper is to demonstrate CIS meth-
    ods for producing, to the greatest degree possible, so-
    cioeconomically and  culturally homogenous  polygons
    for impact  analysis  of specific  sensitive populations
    and/or communities.  The paper presents case studies
    of community/neighborhood characterization problems
    encountered in developing polygons during  previous
    field  investigations involving lead (Pb) contamination,
    toxic release inventory (TRI) sites, and solid/hazardous
    waste sites. The paper attempts  to demonstrate effec-
    tive solutions and suggestions for improving polygon
    development, including CIS data  manipulations and
    software  applications. In addition, the paper provides
    geographic and groundtruthing field methods to sup-
    port and enhance the accuracy of remotely obtained
    information. Finally, the discussion includes commu-
    nity and geographic hot spot analyses for potential
    public health impacts.
    
    Background
    In 1992,  EPA established the Environmental Equity
    Workgroup. Its members included personnel from the
    Offices of Toxic Substances and Civil Rights, as well as
    Policy,  Planning and Evaluation. The workgroup con-
    ducted an  extensive study on environmental equity is-
    sues. Their report offered several recommendations for
    improving federal agency efforts in protecting minority
    and low-income populations and recognized a need for
    more spatial and demographic data. The final report,
    titled Environmental Equity: Reducing Risk for All Com-
    munities (1), was released in  February 1992 and con-
    cluded that "there is (sic) limited data on environmental
    health effects by race; there are differences by race and
    income in potential and actual exposures to some pol-
    lutants." In  response to the above findings, the work-
    group offered the following recommendations (1):
       EPA should  establish  and  maintain  information
       which provides an objective basis for assessment of
       risks by income and race, commencing with devel-
       oping a research and data collection plan.
       It  (EPA) should revise its risk assessment proce-
       dures to ensure . . . better characterization of risk
       across  population, communities or geographic ar-
       eas. In some cases it may be important to know
       whether there are any population groups at dispro-
       portionately high risk.
    
    The Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry
    (ATSDR) formed a community health branch to specifi-
    cally examine the potential health impact of hazardous
    waste sites upon people living in surrounding communi-
    ties. The new branch's personnel direct ATSDR's minor-
    

    -------
    ity health initiative, which focuses upon health threats to
    minority  populations,  including  those from  environ-
    mental contaminants.
    
    In addition, EPA established the Office of Environmental
    Equity. The office's mission includes analyzing environ-
    mental impacts  upon minority  populations,  providing
    technical  assistance to disadvantaged communities,
    and  establishing environmental  initiatives at  minority
    academic institutions (MAIs). The office  serves as a
    clearinghouse of environmental data and information for
    groups and individuals involved in environmental equity
    activities.
    
    In 1993, Representative John Lewis (Democrat-Georgia)
    introduced the Environmental Justice Act to Congress. The
    act requires EPA and the Department of Health and Hu-
    man  Services (DHHS) to establish the geographic units for
    determining  environmental high-impact areas  (EHIAs),
    which are the 100  geographic areas found to have the
    highest volumes of toxic chemical  releases.
    
    GIS Applications
    
    CIS  could potentially help  address the above data and
    information needs of EPA. The Agency specifically ac-
    knowledges this in  other recommendations (1):
    
       EPA could further develop its enforcement prioritiza-
       tion policy to target high-risk populations. Under this
       scheme, the most exposed and highly susceptible
       populations in  each region would be targeted  for
       enforcement actions. Geographic Information Sys-
       tem technology could  be used to identify high-risk
       populations.
    
    Several recent  environmental  studies have employed
    computer applications and spatial data. Goldman (2) used
    GIS  in a major study that graphically displayed counties
    having high percentages of African-Americans, hazardous
    wastes, and diseases. Mohai and Bryant  (3) applied a
    linear regression model  to show a positive correlation
    between  increasing  proportions of minority populations
    and decreasing distances from hazardous waste sites in
    Detroit. Lavalle and Coyle (4)  conducted  an extensive
    analysis of computer  databases that hold hazardous
    waste law enforcement information for the past 10 years.
    They found inequity in enforcement and remedial actions
    in white communities versus nonwhite communities.
    
    EPA  has enlisted GIS for community environmental im-
    pact  projects at Regions II and III. EPAs Office of Health
    Research  (OHR) is investigating methods for linking
    demographic data with  TRI information to evaluate the
    relationship  between levels of  hazardous waste  re-
    leases and exposure risks in minority communities. EPA
    has  also  developed the TRI "risk screening" process,
    which employs TRI, U.S. Census data, and GIS to iden-
    tify TRI releases that may pose significant risk to human
    health or the environment (5).
    Both EPA (6) and the North Carolina Department of Envi-
    ronment, Health, and Natural Resources (7) have recently
    completed CIS-based environmental investigations. The
    EPA study involved GIS analyses of TRI chemical releases
    in  the southeastern United States. The report included
    numerous CIS-produced maps that show locations where
    TRI releases may be affecting densely populated areas
    and sensitive  ecosystems. The  North  Carolina study
    applied  GIS in searching for sources  of lead-poisoning
    in children. Findings indicated a positive spatial correla-
    tion between high lead-contamination risk communities
    and those having certain socioeconomic characteristics,
    such as low income, above-average  African-American
    population  percentages, and above-average percent-
    ages of residents receiving public assistance.
    
    The ATSDR recently implemented a study using GIS to
    evaluate and  analyze  the  demographic characteristics
    of populations near National Priorities List (NPL) sites.
    According to the ATSDR,  "As a result of our pilot tests,
    we have determined GIS to be the best methodology for
    identifying potentially impacted minority populations" (8).
    
    Limitations of GIS
    
    While GIS may be a viable tool for investigating environ-
    mental  inequity,  it  is not  an absolute solution. Issues
    involving hazardous waste impact assessments tend to
    be very  complex without the added dimension of racism
    or discrimination. Efforts to determine  a causal relation-
    ship between the presence of minority communities and
    environmental hazards must consider the questions of
    time, scale, and place.  Unfortunately, in many instances,
    GIS applications may be unable to adequately illustrate
    these three pertinent issues resulting in skewed or alto-
    gether incorrect conclusions.
    
    With respect to scale, among the immediate concerns
    when applying GIS is selecting  appropriate sizes  for
    polygons. As  indicated above, EPA is in the  process of
    determining the scale  for EHIAs. A polygon may be a
    county or a census tract.  Figure  1  illustrates problems
                                                 m
                                     m  m B *•  s
                                          o  °
                                     90 Percent Nonminority
    Figure 1.  Problems of scale in GIS polygon design.
    

    -------
    of scale associated with polygon size selection. At the
    county-size scale, a case of environmental inequity ap-
    parently exists with the presence of a Superfund site in
    the sample county because 80 percent of the county's
    population belongs to a minority ethnic group. A closer
    look, however, reveals that the population residing in the
    immediate vicinity of the waste  site is predominantly
    nonminority.
    
    Useful as CIS may be, its output in  some cases may
    display  static conditions without considering human
    movements  over time. Figure 2  displays a  common
    situation  associated with the "filtering" phenomenon, in
    which a nonminority population moves out of an  area
    while increasing numbers of an  ethnic minority group
    moves into it. The figure shows that in 1950,  a nonmi-
    nority community surrounded a TRI site (i.e., an active
    industrial site releasing toxic  substances).  By 1990,
    the demographics of the neighborhood had  changed
    along with the status of the TRI site, which is now an
    abandoned  Superfund site. A CIS database  probably
    would contain only information on the community  from
    1990. Such  an instance could suggest that some  form
    of environmental injustice exists given the presence of
    the Superfund site within the minority community. Ac-
    counting  for the dynamics  of time and human  move-
    ment, however, would show that the waste site preceded
    the minority population and that, in actuality, the minority
    community moved toward the site. This conflicts with the
    prior notion that unsavory forces placed the site in the
    minority community.
    Figure 3, a schematic of polygons used in an investiga-
    tion into sources of lead-poisoning in  children, also dis-
    plays the limitations of CIS with  respect to time and
    human dynamics, but at a lesser time interval. The study
    area is divided into  low-  and high-risk areas for lead
    contamination. The locations at which children with lead
    poisoning were found, however, do not correspond with
    the areal risk factors. In this case, the CIS is  limited in
    its ability to follow human movements on a daily basis.
    For instance,  a  parent with a child  who exhibits un-
    healthy blood-lead concentrations may report the child's
    home address as someplace within  the low-risk poly-
    gon. The child may  attend school in the high-risk area,
    however. The children's points of contact with lead may
    not necessarily correspond with their home addresses,
    resulting  in an inaccurate graphic display.
    
    With respect to place, CIS may be limited in its ability to
    determine the specific borders of a socioeconomically
    and demographically homogenous human population.
    Tosta (9) and Coombes et al. (10) discuss the dilemmas
    associated with neighborhood  boundary delineation in
    CIS applications. Figure  4 displays  a schematic of a
    census tract. The CIS database may list the tract's per
    Figure 2.  Example of changing community demographics with
             time near a hazardous waste facility.
            • = Homes of Lead-Poisoned Children
    Figure 3.  Lack of correspondence between locations of lead-
             poisoned children and high-contamination risk areas
             due to daily dynamics of human movements.
                Middle
                Income
              Community
                    Census Tract Schematic
    
    Figure 4.  Example of significant neighborhood-type variation
             within a single polygon, possibly resulting in skewed
             socioeconomic data.
    

    -------
    capita income as relatively low and may list the tract as
    a low-income neighborhood. Further investigation may
    find, however, that two very different socioeconomic
    communities exist within the tract,  one middle-class
    and the other a public housing facility. Frequently,
    middle-income,  African-American communities  have
    low-income housing projects built adjacent to them. With
    respect to the polygon  in Figure  4, if an  investigator
    wanted to research health impacts of toxic wastes for
    low-income households, using this polygon and others
    like it  would inaccurately  depict communities  within
    them.
    
    An additional problem in community  definition is deter-
    mining exactly what defines a minority community. The
    most common indicator for discerning a  minority com-
    munity would be the  existence of a clear majority of
    some minority group  as in Polygon A of Figure 5, or
    where the minority group makes up more than 50 per-
    cent of the  population as in Polygon B. In  some in-
    stances, however, communities  have received minority
    status without the  presence of the conditions in  Poly-
    gons A and B.
    
    Previous investigations  show a number of measures
    used to identify minority communities and census tracts.
    Greenpeace conducted a 1990 environmental justice
    study that determined  a community's status as minority
    based  upon the relationship between a community's
    percentage of minority population  and the selected mi-
    nority group's national percentage (11).
    
    Polygon C  in Figure 5 depicts Greenpeace's minority
    community  definition.  Taking the target ethnic group in
    Polygon C  as African-Americans  and the hypothetical
    extent of Polygon C as the United States (African-Ameri-
    cans make up approximately 12 percent of the total U.S.
    population), one may determine that Subpolygon C is a
    minority polygon or community because its minority per-
    centage is over twice that of the national  percentage or
    extent of the large population in Polygon  C. The  condi-
    tion that Polygon C  illustrates is also evident in a study
                                          Subpolygon C
    
                                         30 Percent Minority
         Polygon A
    
       80 Percent Minority
      Polygon B
    
    51 Percent Minority
      Polygon C
    
    12 Percent Minority
    Figure 5.  Problems in defining minority polygons.
    by Mohai and Bryant (3). The authors claim that envi-
    ronmental inequity exists in Detroit where they found
    that  on average, within a  1-mile radius of the  city's
    hazardous waste facilities, 48 percent of the population
    is nonwhite.
    
    Solutions With GIS and Supporting
    Technological Methods
    
    From the above discussion, GIS may appear very lim-
    ited for use in environmental community impact investi-
    gations, but GIS can actually be an extremely effective
    tool if employed with appropriate supporting technology.
    
    Preliminary Groundtruthing
    
    To design GIS databases that reflect the true nature of
    target  groups   and  human  dynamics,  preliminary
    groundtruthing may be necessary. In some cases, inves-
    tigators make gross interpretations of suspected envi-
    ronmental inequity without actually visiting the study
    area. Without groundtruthing prior to final database de-
    velopment, questions of time, scale, and human dynam-
    ics may be left unanswered. The integrity of databases
    produced  this way and  the antecedent conclusions
    based  upon them may fall into question. Thus, because
    the nature of environmental and human health impact stud-
    ies is complex, some on-the-ground work should precede
    or at least accompany database construction efforts.
    
    Cause-Effect Analyses
    
    Epidemiological  studies  are increasingly  employing
    GIS. This use is important with respect to environmental
    investigations because in many cases, proof of a corre-
    lation between a waste site and community health prob-
    lems may be necessary. Croner et al.  (12) describe
    statistics-supported GIS applications for linking "cancer
    hot spots" with  pollution sources.  Without  conclusive
    evidence that waste  sites  and other environmental
    hazards negatively  affect health in  socioeconomically
    disadvantaged populations, claims of environmental in-
    justice may be difficult if not impossible to prove.
    
    In historical analyses of waste facility sitings, GIS may
    be useful, along with the support of gravity models, in
    investigating whether the sitings followed the prescribed
    logic for such siting decisions. Noble (13) wrote that the
    costliest aspect of waste facilities management is trans-
    portation; therefore, siting decisions should favor loca-
    tions in closest proximity to a selected community's
    centroid of waste production. Using a GIS gravity model
    with  data for household wastes produced within a given
    locality, the center of gravity of the volumes of wastes
    produced could be located. Historical analyses of past
    siting decisions may find that past siting decisions defied
    logic. Instead of finding waste sites placed in environ-
    mentally safe locations as close as possible to areas of
    greatest refuse generation, analyses may find instead
    that sites have been placed farther away in disadvantaged
    

    -------
    communities. Both the taxpaying  and  potentially  af-
    fected  residents would pay for such unsavory siting
    practices.
    
    Conclusion
    
    The potential for technological applications, including
    CIS, in  this  arena  is great. Increased involvement by
    technologically  trained  environmental professionals is
    imminent. Their future  involvement,  however, must fo-
    cus on the scientific soundness of investigative meth-
    ods,  data integrity, and the equitable participation  of
    potentially affected citizens in any subsequent decision-
    making  processes.
    
    References
     1.  U.S. EPA. 1992. Environmental equity: Reducing the risk for all
        communities. EPA/230/DR-92/002. Washington, DC.
     2.  Goldman, B. 1991.  The  truth about where you live. New York,
        NY: Times Books.
     3.  Mohai, P., and B. Bryant. 1992. Environmental racism: Reviewing
        the evidence. In: Bryant, B., and P. Mohai, eds.  Race and the
        incidence of environmental hazards: A time for discourse. Boul-
        der, CO: Westview Press.
     4.  Lavalle, M., and M.  Coyle. 1992. Unequal protection: The racial
        divide  in environmental law.  The Environmental  Professional
        153:S1-S12.
     5.  U.S. EPA. 1990. Toxics in the community:  National  and  local
        perspectives. EPA/560/4-90/017. Washington, DC.
    
     6.  Stockwell, J.R., J.W Sorensen, J.W.  Eckert, Jr.,  and  E.M. Car-
        reras. 1993. The U.S.  EPA geographic information system for
        mapping environmental releases of toxic chemical release inven-
        tory TRI chemicals.  Risk Analysis 132:155-164.
    
     7.  North Carolina Department of Environment, Health, and Natural
        Resources. 1993. Lead database evaluation and CIS modeling
        project.  PR-242592. Raleigh, NC:  National Institute for Environ-
        mental Health Sciences.
    
     8.  Harris, C.H., and R.C. Williams. 1992. Research directions: The
        Public  Health Service  looks at hazards to  minorities.  EPA J.
        181:40-41.
    
     9.  Tosta, N. 1993. Sensing space. Geo.  Info. Sys. 39:26-32.
    
    10.  Coombes, M., S. Openshaw, C. Wong, and S. Raybould. 1993.
        Community boundary definition: A GIS design specification. Re-
        gional Studies 3:280-86.
    
    11.  Bullard, R.D. 1993. Environmental equity: Examining the evidence
        of environmental racism. Land Use Forum (Winter), pp. 6-11.
    
    12.  Croner,  C.M., L.W  Pickle, D.R. Wolf, and A.A. White. 1992. A
        GIS approach  to hypothesis generation in  epidemiology. In:
        American  Society  for  Photogrammetry  and Remote Sens-
        ing/American Congress on Surveying and Mapping/RT 92, Wash-
        ington,  DC  (August).  Technical   papers,  Vol.  3:   GIS  and
        cartography, pp. 275-283.
    
    13.  Noble, G. 1992.  Siting landfills and LULUs. Lancaster, PA: Tech-
        nomic Publishing Company, Inc.
    

    -------
        Applicability of GIS Tools in Environmental Conflict Mapping:
    
                             A Case Study in Hungary
    
                       Laszlo Pasztor1*, Jozsef Szabo1, Zsofia Bakacsi1,
                             Simon T.D. Turner2, TiborTullner3
                 ^Research Institute for Soil Science and Agricultural Chemistry
                           of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, GIS Lab
                                  2ADAS International, UK
                               3 Geological Institute of Hungary
    ABSTRACT
    Present paper demonstrates technical problems and their solution emerged during the
    compilation of first draft Environmental Conflict Maps (ECM) in Hungary. The development of
    a methodology elaborated for a pilot area, and the produced ECMs themselves are
    presented. In developing this ECMs, local knowledge, that captures and identifies existing
    environmental problems, was integrated with agri-environmental spatial databases. Various
    input information sources, their spatial and/or thematic compatibility/incompatibility, data
    availability, spatial analysis are presented and discussed. Definition of and examples for
    direct and indirect conflicts are demonstrated.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    The Integrated GIS of the Ministry of Environment and Regional Policy of Hungary (MERP)
    laid the foundation of a standard environment and user interface for environmental data
    management first of all in Thematic Information Centres (TICs) and other regional authorities
    of the Ministry. The completion of this project brought up the necessity to provide this kernel
    system with extensions furnishing ministerial authorities decision-making tools for
    environmental management and state of the environmental assessment. The ECM
    methodology is regarded as one of the cornerstones of these extensions facilitating the
    understanding, assessment, as well as the mitigation and/or elimination of environmental
    conflicts occurring as a result of the interaction of socio-economic and natural factors.
    The purpose of compiling ECMs upon standard methodology within the  framework of the
    related subproject can be summarised as follows:
     H-1022 Budapest, Herman Otto ut 15. , Hungary, Fax: (36-1) 212-1891, E-mail: lacus@rissac.hu
    

    -------
       •   identifying the users of the related data;
       •   identifying conflicting environmental factors;
       •   raising public awareness on the gravity of the issue;
       •   assessing the need, feasibility and format of communication links between TICs and
           municipalities;
       •   setting up an evaluation scheme supporting complex assessment of different factors;
       •   full compatibility of the MERP with the Integrated GIS; and
       •   harmonising with EU standards and priorities.
    
    Definition of environmental conflicts and their management is a sophisticated issue
    considering both the complexity of interacting factors and local and regional organisations
    involved in their evaluation. The possibility of working up a standard method is further
    impeded by the multitude of local factors specific for the regarded geographic area. It was
    thus necessary to involve a broad range of regional and local experts possessing
    professional knowledge in handling these problems.
    
    DEFINITIONS
    The issue of ECM is extremely complex, the successful outcome of which will largely depend
    on the issues involved, the stakeholders and scope for negotiation or mediation. However,
    the application of maps, and notably environmental conflict maps can play a useful role in
    the process of ECM. The use of a map to communicate complex environmental information
    is well recognised. An environmental conflict will almost certainly be unique to a particular
    set of circumstances and therefore to  prescribe a rigid approach to producing an ECM would
    probably give rise to a product that will not be useful to the stakeholders involved.
    Despite the broad range of factors acting in environmental conflicts it is necessary to provide
    its explicit definition as well as to distinguish between direct conflicts occurring invariably  as
    a result of a well-defined pollution load on a target surface and indirect conflicts always
    related to actual or foreseen modification of the land use pattern. Environmental problems
    can be defined as damage or the threat of causing damage to the quality of the environment.
    
    Environmental Conflict: within and/or between spatial and/or temporal coincidence of
    environmental pressure (pollution, /threshold of land and susceptibility of target surface)
    and/or general environmental elements which is recently and/or might prove to be in the
    future disturbing or harmful for the receptor (actual- and future state of landuse).
    
    Direct conflict: between pollution  load and susceptibility of target surface.
    

    -------
    Indirect conflict: between suitability for a human induced environmental management and
    actual/future state land use/management.
    
    PILOT PROJECT
    In order to present a practical case study of ECM methodology, a pilot area was selected
    along the NE shore of Lake Balaton. It represents an approximately 5 km. wide belt
    amounting to approximately 100 km^. Selection of this area was based on the following
    aspects:
    
       •   it is considered as the most important recreation area and tourist target in Hungary;
       •   it is affected by a number of factors providing sources to environmental conflicts; and
           the
       •   availability of a number of thematic data necessary for complex evaluation.
    
    ELEMENTS OF ECM CIS
    Huge work was invested in the collection of all  relevant data for the pilot area. Compromising
    between data requirements and availability proved to be the greatest challenge.  Finally the
    following dataset was set up.
    
    > Topography is represented by the following:
       •   DTM with a cell size of 50 meters,
       •   Road, railway, water networks,
       •   Lake Balaton is represented by a further theme, and
       •   Watersheds of Balaton are also represented by a polygon theme.
    
    > In addition to the topography of the pilot area, the
       •   Country border of Hungary and the
       •   Main rivers of the country are added as a background.
    
    > A satellite image theme covers the majority of the pilot area. Involvement of further
       remotely sensed data was hindered due to  their high cost. Actually, land cover
       information of (CORINE; see later) is also based on satellite imagery.
    
    > Information on soil is represented by the polygon theme AGROTOPO. AGROTOPO is a
       soil information system on Hungarian soils in a scale of 1:100.000. Its mapping units
       (agroecological units) are  characterized with nine different attributes.
    

    -------
                   M A) .
                                        Figure 1
                      Some quick views on ECM ArcView project file
    >  Information on geology is also represented by one theme. An expert system based value
       characterising the vulnerability of the geological environment is involved in the ECM
       methodology.
    

    -------
    >  Information on land cover is also represented by one theme (CORINE). Land cover
       categories are given with a code of three digits where the first two digits refer to two
       further, higher level categorization of actual land cover.
    
    >  A raster was filled up by local municipal experts. Environmental impact categories were
       determined upon the experience of EU and Hungarian studies but considering the Sofia
       priorities and the 5th  Environmental Action Program as well. Moreover, they indicated
       conflicting land use schemes occurring in their area and made a summary of the major
       problems occupying them. The specified criteria (namely 15 different factors) were to be
       classified and indicated by the municipalities for each cell of the raster on a scale ranging
       between 0-4. The spatial resolution of the raster is 500x500 meters inside settlements
       and 1000x1000 meters around settlements. This local knowledge based information is
       shared in four individual themes. Data were provided for settlements and  outer regions
       for low and high (touristic) season.
    
    >  TIC data involves two kind of information:
       •   sub-catchments of Lake Balaton as a polygon theme without any important attribute
           furthermore only three of them are touched by the pilot area.
       •   potential and/or actual polluter sites within pilot  area as a point theme with a huge
           number of descriptive data, which includes detailed information on industrial and
           communal  waste depositories, 75 are lying inside the pilot area.
    
    ECM ArcView project collects all relevant and available data for Balaton pilot area in one
    session. In one hand this project is highly suitable for computer demonstrations of the data
    collection activities, on the other hand it also represents the starting point of any spatial
    analysis carried out based on the ECM database in order to achieve ECMs.
    
    SAMPLE ECMs
    Sample ECMs are stored in various ArcView project files. These files originate from ECM
    project file. They are supported with ArcView extension: Spatial Analyst for the execution of
    spatial analysis. Unrelevant data layers are deleted, new themes created either as auxiliary
    themes or ECM results. A final softcopy map as a layout is always compiled.
    
    1. Groundwater vulnerability under TIC censused sites
    The vulnerability of the geological environment is of outstanding importance in accelerating
    or preventing the progress of pollution in groundwater and deep subsurface water horizons.
    Various geological factors determine the capacity of preventing the migration of pollution into
    

    -------
    subsurface water tables. TICs are responsible for the management and operation of regional
    environmental data as well as to collect information on pollutants/potential pollutants:
    location, ownership, cadaster emission data, amount of processed and produced hazardous
    waste, site and state of communal waste depositories. Potential and/or actual polluters
    situated over locations with higher hazard of pollution vulnerability should be
    treated/checked more seriously. Consequently, a co-evaluation, spatial analysis of the
    conflicting environmental factors should be carried out to get a complex picture on
    groundwater vulnerability endangered by TIC censused sites.
      Sroundwater vulnerability to
      migration of pollution
      based on geological
      factors
                                                           low
                                                       »   no
                                                       hazard for subsurface pollution
    
                                                                             Location of potential
                                                                             point pollution sources
      Compiled in W5SAC 615 lab m 199$ *i the frame at EnrnreniwitfiJ bfaiMiiwi System*.
      HU9402-QI-QI-L2, Elaboration o-t methodology far EnvvwuMAfal Confhcf Mopping
                                            Figure 2
              Sample ECM: Groundwater vulnerability under TIC censused sites
    An expert system based methodology of pollution vulnerability assessment subdivides the
    considered area into 4 classes according to the combination of three geological factors
    (namely permeability of the superficial geological formations, thickness of the eventual
    impermeable overburden and the highest groundwater level). High, medium and low
    vulnerability classes are defined considering the capacity of preventing the migration of
    pollution. TIC censused sites were categorized according to their profiles into two groups:
    

    -------
    sites producing or not producing hazardous waste with risk to subsurface water tables. Sites
    belonging to the former class then were further classified according to their geographical
    location within the various geology based vulnerability categories. Sites are ranked as ones
    with high, low or no hazard of subsurface pollution. The output ECM entitled 'Groundwater
    vulnerability underlie censused sites' is displayed in Fig. 2.
    
    2. Impact of traffic on Natural Conservation
    Territory of Balaton National Park covers major part of northern Balaton region,
    consequently overlaps the present ECM pilot area. Balaton region is also characterized as
    tourist attraction which requires infrustructural background: road and railway network. Noise
    and pollution of the traffic network conflicts with the functions of National Park, parts of
    National Park close to elements of traffic network are less valuable and strongly exposed to
    damages than farther areas. The co-evaluation, spatial analysis of the conflicting
    environmental factors gives a  complex picture on status of Balaton National Park
    endangered by traffic caused impacts.
    
    Impact of environmental elements represented as line features was modeled using buffering
    techniques. Buffering generally means creating a polygon around spatial objects with a given
    radius. Spatial Analyst module of ArcView however provided a more sophisticated
    opportunity. According to the distance of the elements of a grid from a spatial unit grid cells
    were classified; thus the whole territory was characterized with one operation. Co-evaluation
    of buffer zones resulting from railway and road system and further merging with spatial
    extension of National Park then provided vulnerability classification of Balaton National Park.
    The output ECM entitled 'Impact of traffic on Natural Conservation' is displayed in Fig. 3.
    
    3. Overall perception on state of local environment
    Simultaneous environmental impacts sum up in overall perception on state of environment in
    human mind. Too much  load results in bad perception, which  is a conflict in itself. This
    situation can be treated as a 'polarized' conflict where is no other component, but any, even
    the slightest,  potential negative change in state of environment results in real conflicts.
    Highly impacted sites  are 'preconflict' areas.
    
    Values for specific environmental elements provided by municipalities for pilot area raster
    were summed up. Since high value for a given factor means bad feeling on state of
    environment, higher the  summed up value the more the environmental impact within a given
    raster cell. Actually, summarizing category values representing as different factors involved
    

    -------
      Roads
    Impact of traffic on Natural Conservation
                                                                                    2300  9QOO M«wi
                                       Slight impact
                                       Medium impact
                                       High impact
                                                          Balaton National Park
                                                            Comp-ltd m 6I5SAC CIS Lab m 1998 •* the f romc of Environmental Information Systems:
                                                               HU9402-OI -OJ-U flobort)t«n of ineltotlolo^ for EFmronmefiTol Cwrflict A
                                              Figure 3
                     Sample ECM: Impact of traffic on Natural Conservation
    in data collection can be judged at the first sight. Nevertheless overthinking the procedure it
    can be concluded that the result does give an indication about the state of local environment.
    The output ECM entitled 'Overall perception on state of local environment' is displayed in
    Fig. 4.
                                                  8
    

    -------
     Overall perception on state
     of local environment
    
          Rather good
        mftlSSACoIS Latt * I99S in the frame of EnvirowvenTcl MafMftBl
     HU94Q2-QI-QI-L2. ElotoratKw of mcfhodok^y f&«- FwirowwMal Conflict
                                            Figure 4
                Sample ECM: Overall perception on state of local environment
    4. Water quality evaluation
    The greatest attraction of Lake Balaton, as a tourist target, is its water. Consequently, water
    quality is of prime significance. Quality of water is affected by multiple factors and shows
    temporal/seasonal changes. About forty water quality parameters area measured in the
    course of the year at sample sites along the shoreline. Cartographic treatment of this
    problem also produces ECMs. The visualisation of the point, but multitemporal and/or
    multivariate information was a challenging task for us. Our proposed solutions area
    displayed in Fig 5 and Fig 6.
                                               9
    

    -------
    Water quality along shoreline
                                                                   June 1989
                      '  <
    quality according to
    
    oxygen management
         (biological oxigen requirement)
                             organic pollution
                                  (mineral oil)
                             microbiological state
                                  (coli bacteria)
                                                                     in RISSAC MS Lab m L99B in the franc of environmental Iivf cn*ji*«
                                                                     HW9402-OI-01-U. Etocroi-sn ei mct
                                                 Figure 5
             Sample ECM: Water quality along shoreline: multivariate evaluation
                                                     10
    

    -------
       Water quality along shoreline
       iT
               -s*
                              nitrate
                               phosphate
       Water quality
            excellent
            good
    *
           moderate
         .
           polluted
    ?
           highly polluted
                                                         rri RI5MC fiI5 tab in 1996 in The frame of BMMHMfH Infonmation Syslems.
                                                         HUWO?-01-01-U. Etobofou&naf meThodolo^ fof EnwrtHVMnlid CnnMit
                                          Figure 6
      Sample ECM: Water quality along shoreline: multivariate/multitemporal evaluation
    
    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
    Present work was carried out in the frame of PHARE project No. HU 9402-01-01-L2. The
    ECM Project was very effectively aided by Chief Information Office, Departement for
    Environmental Information Systems, Directorate for Environmental Strategy, Ministry of
    Environment and Regional Policy, under chairmanship of Pal Bozo. The Ministry of
    Environment and Regional Policy has made significant progress in the establishment of an
    Environmental Information System. This has included, through close co-operation with the
    UNEP-GRID programme, the establishment of GRID Budapest as a node on the GRID
    network; the establishment of two Thematic Information Centres (TIC's) at Hortobagy and
    Szekesfehervar covering the themes Nature Conservation and Environmental Protection
    respectively. Our special thanks go to the following persons who were very active in the
    project:  Kalman Rajkai, Balazs Zagoni,  (Research Institute for Soil Science and Agricultural
    Chemistry of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences),  Entire Farkas and Imre Szepesi,
    (Environmental Protection Thematic Information Centres at Szekesfehervar), TiborCserny,
    Gabor Turczy,  (Geological Institute of Hungary, Division of Information Management) and
    Zsuzsanna Flachner.
                                             11
    

    -------
       Watershed Stressors and Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program
                        Estuarine Indicators for South Shore Rhode Island
                                   John F. Paul and George E. Morrison
               Environmental Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
                                        Narragansett, Rhode Island
    Abstract
    
    The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has initiated
    the Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program
    (EMAP),  a  nationwide ecological research, monitoring,
    and assessment program whose goal is to report on the
    condition of the nation's ecological resources. During the
    summers of 1990 through 1993, data were collected from
    approximately 450 sampling locations in estuarine waters
    of the Virginian  Biogeographic Province  (mouth of the
    Chesapeake Bay to Cape Cod). During  this period, sam-
    pling stations were located  in the coastal ponds and
    coastal area of south shore Rhode Island.
    
    One  objective of EMAP is to explore associations be-
    tween indicators of estuarine condition and stressors in
    the watersheds of the sampled systems. Extensive wa-
    tershed  information for south shore  Rhode Island is
    available in geographic information system (CIS) for-
    mat.  Watershed  stressors  along  south  shore  Rhode
    Island were  compared with EMAP indicators of estu-
    arine conditions using CIS analysis tools.  The indicator
    values for coastal EMAP stations  (those offshore  from
    coastal ponds) were associated with all of the aggre-
    gated south shore watershed stressors. The coastal
    pond indicator values were associated  with stressors in
    the individual coastal pond watersheds. For the total south
    shore watershed,  the major land use categories are resi-
    dential and forest/brush  land, followed by agriculture.
    Closer to the coast, residential land use is more preva-
    lent,  while further from the coast, forests/brush lands
    dominate. All coastal EMAP stations, with one exception,
    exhibited unimpacted  benthic conditions,  indicating no
    widespread problems.  For the individual watersheds, the
    major land use categories are residential and forest/brush
    land. The population density (persons  per square  mile)
    shows an increasing trend from west to east. Impacted
    benthic conditions were observed at EMAP sampling sites
    in two coastal ponds. These two impacted benthic sites
    appear to be organically enriched.
    
    Introduction
    
    Since its inception in 1970, the U.S. Environmental Pro-
    tection Agency (EPA) has had the responsibility for regu-
    lating, on a national scale, the use of individual and
    complex mixtures of pollutants entering our air, land, and
    water. The Agency's focus  during this  period centered
    primarily on environmental  problems attributable to the
    use of individual  toxic chemicals. Regulatory policy,
    while continuing to control new and historical sources of
    individual chemicals (i.e., "end of the pipe") and remedi-
    ate existing pollution problems, will have to address the
    cumulative  impacts from multiple stresses  over large
    spatial and temporal scales.
    In this decade, the focus of environmental problems, or
    "scale of concern," has shifted  from point-source and
    local scales to regional and  global  scales. Concurrently,
    the focus  has shifted  from chemical  to  nonchemical
    stressors. The threat posed by nonchemical stresses
    (e.g.,  land  use, habitat alteration and fragmentation,
    species  loss and  introduction) presents a substantial
    risk to the  integrity of both specific populations and
    ecosystems, and entire watersheds and landscapes.
    The shift in the scale of concern for environmental prob-
    lems presents a unique challenge for environmental
    decision-making. Traditionally, environmental informa-
    tion has  been collected  over local spatial  and short
    temporal scales, focused on addressing specific prob-
    lems, limited in the number of parameters  measured,
    and collected with  a variety of sampling designs that
    were neither systematic nor probabilistic. It  is not sur-
    prising, then, that several scientific reviews  concluded
    that the information needed to assess, protect, and man-
    age marine and estuarine resources was either insuffi-
    cient  or  unavailable  and  recommended a  national
    

    -------
    network of regional monitoring programs (1, 2). Two key
    recommendations resulted from these reviews: (1) the
    need  for a national monitoring program designed to
    determine the status and trends of ecological resources,
    and (2) the need for an assessment framework for syn-
    thesizing and  interpreting the  information  being  pro-
    duced in a timely manner and in a form that the public
    can understand and decision-makers can use. EPA's
    response to these recommendations was to institute a
    long-term monitoring program, the Environmental Moni-
    toring and Assessment Program (EMAP), and to adopt
    a risk-based strategy for decision-making.
    
    EMAP is a nationwide ecological research, monitoring,
    and assessment program whose goal is to report on the
    condition of the nation's ecological resources. During
    the summers of 1990 through 1993, data were collected
    from approximately 450 sampling locations in estuarine
    waters of the  Virginian Biogeographic Province (mouth
    of the Chesapeake Bay to Cape Cod) (3-5). During this
    period, some  of the sampling stations were located in
    the coastal ponds and coastal area of south shore
    Rhode Island. One objective of EMAP  is to  explore
    associations between indicators of estuarine condition
    and stressors  in the watersheds of the sampled sys-
    tems. Extensive watershed information  for south shore
    Rhode Island is available in geographic information sys-
    tems (CIS) format.
    
    The intent of this paper is  to compare watershed stres-
    sors with EMAP indicators of estuarine  condition along
    south shore Rhode Island  using CIS analysis tools. The
    indicator values for  coastal EMAP stations (those off-
    shore from coastal ponds) are associated with all of the
    aggregated south  shore  watershed  stressors.  The
    coastal  ponds  indicator  values are associated with
    stressors in the individual coastal  pond watersheds.
    The project reported on in this  paper served as a pilot
    for integrating watershed information with wide-scale
    ecological data collected  to assess condition of estu-
    arine waters.
    
    Ecological  Risk Assessment Context
    
    Robert Huggett, EPA's Assistant Administrator for Re-
    search and Development,  is using the risk assessment-
    risk  management  paradigm  as  a  framework to
    reorganize the EPA research laboratories (6). Huggett is
    also  reorienting the  research that EPA conducts to be
    risk based  (both  human  and  ecological). The major
    thrust of the research to be conducted in the EPA labo-
    ratories  will be directed toward  reducing the uncertain-
    ties in the risk assessment process. In this way, the risk
    assessment context provides the "why" for the research
    conducted.
    
    Ecological risk assessment is defined as a process for
    evaluating the  likelihood that adverse ecological effects
    have occurred, are occurring, or will occur as a result of
    exposure to one or more stressors (7). The value of the
    risk assessment framework lies in its utility as a proc-
    ess for ordering and analyzing exposure and effects
    information, and in its flexibility for describing past, pre-
    sent, and future risks.
    
    One way of depicting the  ecological risk assessment
    process is shown in Figure 1 (8). The key points are that
    the process is continuous; the process can be oriented
    in either direction, dependent upon the form of the ques-
    tion or issue being addressed; and monitoring is at the
    hub, providing information to all activities. The end result
    of the effort is to provide better information for making
    environmental management decisions.
    Figure 1.  Ecological risk assessment framework (8).
    
    Overview of EMAP and Estuarine Results
    
    EMAP has been described as an approach to ecological
    research, monitoring, and assessment (9). It is not the
    only approach but is an  approach that is driven by its
    goal to monitor and assess the condition of the nation's
    ecological resources. The objectives of the  program to
    address this goal are to:
    
    • Estimate the current status, trends, and changes in
      selected  indicators of the condition of the nation's
      ecological resources on a regional basis with known
      confidence.
    
    • Estimate the geographic coverage and extent of the
      nation's ecological resources with known confidence.
    
    • Seek associations among selected indicators of natu-
      ral and anthropogenic stress and  indicators  of eco-
      logical condition.
    
    • Provide annual statistical summaries and periodic as-
      sessments of the nation's ecological resources.
    

    -------
    The approach used by the program to meet its objec-
    tives and address its goal includes:
    
    • Use of a large, regional scope that encompasses the
      entire county but provides information on the scale that
      federal and regional environmental managers require.
    
    • Emphasis on ecological indicators to provide the in-
      formation to assess condition (i.e., collect information
      on the ecological systems themselves to determine
      their condition or "health").
    
    • A probability-based sampling design to produce sta-
      tistically unbiased estimates  on condition and to pro-
      vide uncertainty bounds for these estimates.
    
    • A vision of the program as long-term, continuing into
      the next century, which  is consistent with the large,
      regional spatial scale  being  addressed.
    
    • Development through partnerships with other agencies
      that have natural resource stewardship responsibility.
    
    The  estuarine component  of  EMAP was initiated  in
    1990, with monitoring in the  estuarine waters of the
    Virginian   Biogeographic    Province   (mouth    of
    Chesapeake Bay northward to Cape Cod) (10). Figure 2
    depicts  the  biogeographic  provinces  of  estuarine re-
    sources of the country. These provinces have been deline-
    ated based upon major climatic zones and the prevailing
    offshore currents  (11).  This  is comparable  with  the
    ecoregion approach used to describe the distribution of
    terrestrial ecosystems (12). The biogeographic province
    is the  comparable approach  for coastal ecosystems.
    Monitoring in the Virginian  Province continued through
    
             Columbian
    1993;  monitoring was conducted  in the  Louisianian
    Province from  1991  to 1994; monitoring was initiated in
    the Carolinian  Province in 1994; and monitoring will be
    initiated in the \Afest Indian  Province in 1995.
    
    A suite of measurements was collected  at each of the
    EMAP-Estuaries sampling sites that were selected with
    a probability-based  sampling design  (13, 14). As indi-
    cated above, the measurements emphasized ecological
    conditions indicators, which included biotic indicators
    such as benthicand fish abundance, biomass, diversity,
    and composition, and also included  abiotic indicators
    such as dissolved oxygen, sediment contaminant con-
    centration, and sediment  toxicity (15).
    
    In the Virginian Province,  approximately 450 probability-
    based sampling  sites were visited  during the summer
    periods in 1990  through  1993 using consistent indica-
    tors and collection and analysis procedures. An example
    of the  results is shown in Figure 3, which presents the
    condition of benthic resources (16). The  benthic condi-
    tion is reported using a benthic index, which is an ag-
    gregate of individual benthic measurements that were
    combined using discriminant  analysis to differentiate
    impacted from unimpacted sites (3, 17). The figure pre-
    sents results for values of the benthic index that were
    determined to  be impacted. The bar chart is the stand-
    ard EMAP format for results: province-scale results with
    95-percent confidence intervals about estimates. The
    large, small, and tidal categories refer to the strata used
    in the probability-based sampling design: large systems
    are the broad expanses of water such as in Chesapeake
    Bay,  Delaware  Bay,  and Long Island  Sound;  small
                                                                                              Acadian
             Californian
                                                            Lousianian
                                                                                    West Indian
    Figure 2.  Biogeographic provinces used by EMAP-Estuaries (13).
    

    -------
                Impacted EMAP Site
           Baltimore
    
         Washington
    Figure 3.  Condition of benthic communities in Virginian Province.
    
    systems include the bays and harbors along the edges
    of the major systems and embayments along the coast;
    and large tidal rivers include the Potomac, James, Rap-
    pahannock, Delaware, and Hudson Rivers.
    
    The results indicate that 24 percent + 4 percent of the
    estuarine waters  of the Virginian Province have  im-
    pacted benthic communities. The small and tidal river
    systems have proportionately more impacted area than
    the large systems.
    
    All the EMAP data are geographically referenced; there-
    fore, the data can  be spatially displayed to explore
    patterns. The spatial display  of the  impacted benthic
    community information is a simple spatial analysis of the
    EMAP data. This analysis shows that the impacted ben-
    thic resources are distributed across the entire province,
    with  more impacted sites  in the vicinity of the major
    metropolitan areas.
    
    In addition to analyzing the EMAP results at the regional
    scale, analyses have been conducted at the watershed
    scale (see  Figure 4).  The probability-based sampling
    design permits the data to be aggregated (poststratified)
    in ways other than the way  the original  design  was
    stratified. The only restriction to the aggregation is the
    number of available sample sites for the aggregation; a
    small number of sites leads to large uncertainties in the
    results. Figure 4 shows the aggregation for four major
    watersheds: Chesapeake Bay, Delaware Bay, Hudson-
    Raritan system, and Long Island Sound. This watershed
    scale is close  to the  practical scale at which environ-
    mental management  decisions are implemented. The
    data need to be analyzed at smaller scales, however, to
    focus on environmental management of the smaller wa-
    tersheds (e.g.,  contaminated sediments). This leads into
    the need to conduct the  pilot project addressing water-
    shed information.
    
    South Shore Rhode Island Pilot Project
    
    EMAP's third objective relates to exploring associations
    between  indicators of estuarine condition and water-
    shed stressors.  Note  that the word "watershed" was
    added. One way to address environmental management
    remediation strategies is to look at the watershed activi-
    ties that could  possibly be modified or changed to im-
    prove estuarine conditions.
    
    Watershed stressors for the estuarine environment in-
    clude land-based sources of pollution, such as point
    sources of pollution, and land use activities (i.e., how the
    land is actually used,  including landscape  patterns).
    

    -------
    Figure 4.
                                                                                               LIS
    Condition of benthic communities in major watersheds in Virginian Province (Chesapeake Bay, Delaware Bay, Hudson-
    Raritan system, and Long Island Sound).
    Which of these stressors is more important for a particu-
    lar situation depends on the types of estuarine impact
    (localized or systemwide) and the management ques-
    tion that is being addressed.
    
    The specific objective of the south shore Rhode  Island
    pilot project was to compare watershed stressors with
    EMAP indicators of estuarine condition using CIS analy-
    sis tools. This project was not intended to be a definitive
    study by itself of south shore Rhode Island butto explore
    the process necessary to undertake the comparisons, to
    investigate the feasibility of pulling the necessary infor-
    mation together, and to identify potential problems  before
    undertaking this comparison on a much larger scale.
    
    The south shore Rhode Island study area is depicted in
    Figure 5. This coastal area drains into the coastal waters
    of Block Island  Sound.  The project was intentionally
    restricted to a limited geographic area to avoid being
    overwhelmed with the tremendous volumes of data that
    could have been encountered.
    
    All data sources used in this  project were  available
    electronically. Digitized U.S. Geological Survey quad
    maps were available from the Rhode  Island Geographic
                                               Information System (RIGIS) at the University of Rhode
                                               Island. The  National Pollutant Discharge  Elimination
                                               System (NPDES) was available for major dischargers
                                               from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
                                               tion's  National Coastal Pollution Discharge Inventory
                                               (18). The 1990 census was also available from RIGIS.
                                               The EMAP  1990 through 1993  estuarine data were
                                               available from the EMAP-Estuaries Information System
                                               at the EPA Environmental Research Laboratory in Nar-
                                               ragansett,  Rhode Island. The RIGIS data were already
                                               available as ARC/INFO coverages.  The NPDES and
                                               EMAP data  had to  be converted to ARC/INFO point
                                               coverages.
                                               Two approaches were used to conduct spatial analyses.
                                               Buffer zones at 1, 3, 5, 10, and 20 kilometers from the
                                               south coast of Rhode Island were created and used to
                                               clip the south shore area coverages (e.g., land  use,
                                               population, point sources). The watershed boundaries
                                               of three south shore coastal ponds were manually de-
                                               lineated and used to clip the south shore area cover-
                                               ages. The ponds were Quonochontaug, Ninigret, and
                                               Point Judith (west to east).
    

    -------
                                  Quonochontaug Pond
                                                                Block Island Sound
    Figure 5.  South shore Rhode Island study area.
    
    South Shore Rhode Island Pilot
    Project Results
    
    The results for land use by distance from the coast are
    presented in Figure 6. These results give the broad-scale
    coastal perspective. For the total south coast watershed,
    the major land  use categories are residential and  for-
    est/brush land, followed by agriculture. Closerto the coast,
    residential land use is more prevalent, while farther from
    the coast, forests/brush lands dominate.  Population (see
    Figure 7) increases with distance from the coast, but popu-
    lation  density does not appear to be a function of distance
    from the coast. Only one out of five coastal EMAP stations
    exhibited impacted benthic conditions, indicating no wide-
    spread benthic problems in the coastal waters. The one
    station that was classified as impacted was dominated by
    an extremely high number of individuals of one species.
    
    A smaller scale view can be  gained by looking at the
    results for  the  individual watersheds.  This view  also
    provides an east-west perspective compared with the
    south-north  perspective  with  the  distance from  the
    coast. Again, for the individual  watersheds, the major
    land use categories are residential and forest/brush land
    (see Figure 8). The population increases from west to
    east, and population density shows an increasing trend
    from west to  east (see  Figure  9). Impacted benthic
    conditions were observed at the EMAP stations  in
    Quonochontaug and Point Judith  Ponds. These stations
    exhibited organic enrichment (total organic carbon in the
    sediments exceeding 2 percent), possibly from histori-
    cally improperly treated sewage.  No benthic data were
    available for the Ninigret Pond  station;  however, dis-
    solved oxygen was observed to  be low at this station.
    No major NPDES point sources are located in the coastal
    pond watersheds, although two are located on the eastern
    edge of the Point Judith Pond watershed boundary.
    
    Discussion
    
    A pilot project was conducted for south shore Rhode
    Island to compare watershed stressors with EMAP indi-
    cators  of estuarine condition. The results indicate that
    such a comparison can be accomplished, with the wa-
    tershed information providing a  qualitative link to the
    estuarine conditions observed. One potential problem is
    the need to delineate the watershed boundaries for  all
    

    -------
             4,500
             4,000
                                                     0-1 Kilometer
    
                                                     0-3 Kilometers
    
                                                     0-5 Kilometers
    
                                                     0-10 Kilometers
    
                                                     0-18 Kilometers
                     Residential   Commercial   Transportation   Recreational   Agricultural
    
                                                      Land Use Categories
    
    Figure 6.  South shore Rhode Island land use by distance from south coast.
                                                                                    Forest
                                                                                                Barren
    watersheds  for  which  EMAP  data  are  available.
    ARC/INFO provides tools  for doing this, but practical
    application indicated that  difficulties are encountered
    when the topographic relief is  relatively flat, and on-
    screen corrections needed to be applied (19).
    
    A restriction that needs to be understood before applying
    the procedures used in this project to  a much wider
    geographic area is that the data sets for the watershed
    stressors need to be available over the wider geographic
    area. Further, these data  sets  need to be temporally
    consistent and constructed with consistent methods and
    land use classification schemes.
                                                           This project was conducted with only a small number of
                                                           actual EMAP sampling sites, particularly for the individual
                                                           watersheds. Because of this restriction, no  statistical
                                                           analyses were conducted with the EMAP data for com-
                                                           parison with the watershed information. Only qualitative
                                                           comparisons were attempted. The next step is to in-
                                                           crease  the  number of individual watersheds so that a
                                                           rigorous statistical  analysis can  be conducted. This is
                                                           being conducted by Comeleo et al. for comparing wa-
                                                           tershed  stressors  for subestuary watersheds in the
                                                           Chesapeake  Bay with estuarine sediment contamina-
                                                           tion (19). The steps  after this will be to (1)  apply the
                                                           techniques to the entire  EMAP Virginian Province data
        100,000 ,
    
    
         80,000
     c
     g
     I   60,000
    
    
         40,000 •
    
    
         20,000
    
    
             0 •-
    Q.
    O
    CL
    0-1 Kilometer
    
    0-3 Kilometers
    
    0-5 Kilometers
    
    0-10 Kilometers
    
    0-18 Kilometers
                                                                    500
                                                                0)
                                                                ra
                                                                cr
                                                                W
                                                                
    -------
           2,500 -
           2,000
            1,500
       in
       
    -------
     4.  U.S. EPA. 1994. Statistical summary:  EMAP-Estuaries Virginian
        Province (1991). EPA/620/R-94/005. Narragansett, Rl.
    
     5.  U.S. EPA. 1994. Statistical summary:  EMAP-Estuaries Virginian
        Province (1992). EPA/620/R-94/019. Narragansett, Rl.
    
     6.  Newman, A. 1995. A new direction for EPA's Office of Research
        and Development. Environ. Sci. and Technol. 29(3):126A-129A.
    
     7.  U.S. EPA.  1992.  Framework for  ecological risk assessment.
        EPA/630/R-92/001. Washington, DC.
    
     8.  Gentile, J.H., J.F.  Paul, K.J. Scott, and R.A. Linthurst. 1995. The
        role of regional monitoring in  ecological  risk  assessment: An
        EMAP example for watersheds. Manuscript in review.
    
     9.  Messer, J.J., R. Linthurst, and W. Overton. 1991. An EPA program
        for monitoring ecological status and trends. Environ. Monitor, and
        Assessment 17(1):67-78.
    
    10.  Paul, J.F., K.J. Scott, A.F. Holland, S.B. Weisberg, J.K. Summers,
        and A.  Robertson. 1992.  The estuarine component of the  U.S.
        EPA's  Environmental  Monitoring  and  Assessment  Program.
        Chemistry and Ecology 7:93-116.
    
    11.  Bailey, R.G. 1983. Delineation of ecosystem regions. Environ.
        Mgmt. 7:365-373.
    12.  Omernik,  J.M.  1987.  Ecoregions of the  conterminous  United
        States. Annals of the Assoc. of Amer. Geographers 77:118-125.
    
    13.  U.S. EPA. 1990. Near coastal program plan for 1990: Estuaries.
        EPA/600/4-90/033. Narragansett, Rl.
    
    14.  U.S. EPA. 1991. Design report of the Environmental Monitoring
        and Assessment Program. EPA/600/3-91/053. Chervils, OR.
    
    15.  U.S. EPA. 1990. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Pro-
        gram:  Ecological indicators. EPA/600/3-90/060. Washington, DC.
    
    16.  U.S. EPA. EMAP-Virginian  Province four-year assessment (1990-
        1993). EPA report in review.
    
    17.  Engle, V.D., J.K. Summers, and G.R.  Gaston. 1994. A benthic
        index  of environmental  condition  of Gulf of Mexico estuaries.
        Estuaries 17(2):372-384.
    
    18.  NOAA. 1993. Point-source methods document. NOAA technical
        report. Silver Spring, MD: Strategic Environmental Assessments
        Division, National Ocean Service, National Oceanic and Atmos-
        pheric Administration.
    
    19.  Comeleo, R.L.,  J.F.  Paul, P.V August, J. Copeland, C. Baker, S.
        Hale, and R.W  Latimer. 1995. Relationships between landscape
        stressors and sediment contamination in Chesapeake Bay estu-
        aries. Manuscript in review.
    

    -------
            Nonpoint Source Pesticide Pollution of the Pequa Creek Watershed,
                    Lancaster County, Pennsylvania: An Approach Linking
                             Probabilistic Transport Modeling and GIS
                                            Robert T. Paulsen
                                  The Paulsen Group,  Bowie, Maryland
    
                                               Allan Moose
                             Southampton College, Southampton, New York
    Abstract
    
    The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has
    mandated that each state prepare a state management
    plan (SMP) to manage pesticide residues in the state's
    environment. One aspect of an SMP involves identifying
    specific soils and sites that may be  vulnerable to the
    transport of pesticides into water resources. A recently
    developed system identifies vulnerable  areas by cou-
    pling probabilistic modeling that uses the  Pesticide Root
    Zone Model (PRZM) with a desktop geographic informa-
    tion system (GIS-MAPINFO). A limited test  of this sys-
    tem succeeded in identifying and mapping individual soil
    series in a watershed that were shown  to  have trans-
    ported atrazine to surface and ground water.
    
    During  this  project, various digital data  sources were
    evaluated for availability and ease of use, including:
    
    • STATSGO.
    
    • U.S.  Geological  Survey (USGS) digital  line graphs
      (DLGs).
    
    • National Oceanic  and Atmospheric  Administration
      (NOAA) climate data.
    
    This study documents hands-on  hints  and tricks for
    importing and using these data.
    
    From 1977 to 1979, the USGS measured the movement
    of atrazine off fields of application into water resources
    in the Pequa Creek basin in Lancaster County, Pennsyl-
    vania (1). Atrazine in surface water appeared at levels
    exceeding 20 parts per billion in storm flow and above
    the 3 parts per billion maximum contaminant level (MCL)
    during base flow from Big Beaver Creek, a  tributary to
    Pequa  Creek.  Each soil series in the  subbasin was
    digitized into a GIS. PRZM allowed simulation of runoff,
    erosion, and leaching of atrazine (applied at 2.24 kilo-
    grams per hectare in conventionally tilled corn) for each
    soil. This process included simulating each soil under
    different slopes for an 11 -year period from 1970 to 1980.
    Interpreting  the results for each soil series determined
    the probability distribution of atrazine in kilograms per
    hectare for each mode of transport. GIS used these data
    to thematically map each  soil series for atrazine loss.
    
    The results  of this demonstration  project suggest that
    the Manor silt loam, with slopes varying from 6 percent
    to 20 percent, had a high  potential to transport atrazine
    residues to  surface water. This type of analysis could
    suggest that this soil series be:
    
    • Farmed using conservation tillage.
    
    • Managed  to install grass waterways or buffer strips
      to stop runoff.
    
    • Set aside  from production to protect water resources.
    
    Digital databases were available for the study area, but
    many technical  problems were encountered in using the
    data. Researchers embarking on these types of model-
    ing  and GIS projects should  prepare themselves for
    significant expenditures of time and finances.
    
    Introduction
    
    A significant volume of published literature documents
    pesticide residues in ground water, and the volume of
    investigations of residues  in surface water is expanding.
    The growing acceptance of immunoassay techniques
    for the determination of pesticide residues in  water has
    given the field of  pesticide monitoring an accurate and
    economical  analytic methodology. This will result in an
    increase in  monitoring capability at the federal, state,
    

    -------
    local, and university levels. These increases in monitor-
    ing capability have documented and will continue to
    document the occurrence of pesticides in water re-
    sources as the result of past transport through the soil
    profile.  The  U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency
    (EPA) has  mandated that each state prepare a state
    management plan (SMP) to manage pesticide residues
    in  the state's environment. Lacking,  however, is a  reli-
    able pesticide screening  technique  to  indicate which
    soils, on a  countywide scale, may be sensitive to the
    transport of a specific pesticide  to deep within the soil
    profile or to the surface water resources. These assess-
    ments would greatly supplement the usability and valid-
    ity of SMPs.
    
    Electronic databases such as State Soils Geographic
    (STATSGO), Data  Base Analyzer  and Parameter Esti-
    mator (DBAPE), or the SOILS subsets found  in Nitrate
    Leaching and Economic Analysis Package  (NLEAP)
    provide  easy access to detailed soil data  and model
    input estimator subroutines, thereby simplifying data en-
    try to numerical models. Two groupings define soils: soil
    series and soil associations. Soil series  are the individ-
    ual soil taxa found in a field. Soil  associations represent
    groups of soil series,  usually three  or four soil series
    occurring together in an  area, and  are mapped as  a
    single unit  on a county scale.  Mapping of most  soil
    associations across the United States is complete, with
    open access to the county scale maps. A digital soils
    mapping data set called SSURGO contains many of the
    soil  series  maps  for the United States. Climatologic
    databases also provide easy access to  long-term data
    from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
    tion  (NOAA) weather stations, allowing  a user the op-
    portunity to input  realistic climate  data to  pesticide
    transport models.
    
    Many numerical pesticide transport models, such as the
    Pesticide  Root Zone Model (PRZM),  Ground-Water
    Leaching Effects of Agricultural  Management Systems
    (GLEAMS),  and  Leaching Estimation and Chemistry
    Model (LEACHM),  can produce  transport estimates for
    specific pesticides  in specific soils. Each model has its
    own strengths and weaknesses,  and detailing these
    characteristics is beyond the scope of this paper. Sev-
    eral authors, however, have described comparisons be-
    tween models (e.g., Smith et al. [2], Mueller  et al. [3],
    and Pennell et al. [4]). These numerical models all gen-
    erally require extensive site-specific soil,  agronomic,
    and  climatologic databases. The results from  these
    models are extremely detailed. Their pesticide transport
    estimates, however, are only valid for those locations for
    which site-specific data are sufficient to allow calibration
    of the model. Applying such site-calibrated model results
    to  larger scales (county scales) is inappropriate.
    
    In  one procedure,  a user could identify soils and  use
    transport models that may have a limited ability to retard
    pesticides from reaching water resources. This type of
    modeling has recently been called probabilistic model-
    ing (5). The concept behind this procedure is to use an
    existing transport model, such as PRZM, and vary cer-
    tain input parameters (e.g., slope, organic content, pes-
    ticide Koc) to produce a probability  of a given output
    being equaled  or  exceeded. For example,  a PRZM
    model could be created for a soil series with an average
    organic content of 1 percent and a slope of 8 percent in
    the eastern corn belt. The model would use the 30 years
    of historical climate data for a nearby station. The model
    would vary the organic content and surface slope within
    given ranges for the soil series and  run  1,000 simula-
    tions. The analysis could then entail plotting the results
    (i.e., monthly runoff loads, erosion loads, and  leaching
    through the root zone) in a frequency diagram and gen-
    erating probability curves. This analysis would allow the
    user to estimate the anticipated pesticide losses, runoff,
    erosion, and leaching  for any given  soil  in  the county.
    The soils  with greater probabilities  for pesticide loss
    could be identified and mapped using CIS.
    
    Recent advances  in  computing speed  and efficiency
    have reduced the amount of time and expense needed
    to run numerical pesticide transport models. This makes
    it possible, in a relatively short amount of time,  to quan-
    titatively model not just one soil series, but the hundreds
    of major soil series that occur in an entire state (e.g.,
    357 major soil series  combined into 464 different  soil
    associations in Wisconsin).  This type of model can be
    very useful to the development of SMPs as well as to a
    variety of users,  including  pesticide registrants, bulk
    pesticide handlers, custom appliers, county agricultural
    extension agents, and individual growers.
    
    Objective
    
    The objective of this study was to use probabilistic mod-
    eling analyses  and a geographic information system
    (CIS) to determine which soil series in a watershed may
    contribute to nonpoint source pollution through  runoff of
    agricultural chemicals. Specifically, the study aimed to
    locate a watershed with  historical atrazine runoff, map
    the soils, and perform transport modeling using histori-
    cal precipitation. The  results of this procedure would
    determine which soil series had a high potential to con-
    tribute to the nonpoint source pollution of the watershed.
    Once the  transport modeling was  completed, a CIS
    would help map the distribution of the  sensitive  soil
    series. The mapping would act as a base for implement-
    ing best management  practices (BMPs) to reduce non-
    point source pollution.
    
    Background
    
    Ward (1) described the water quality in the Pequa Creek
    basin in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, for the years
    1977 through 1979. Flow from Pequa Creek (154-square-
    

    -------
    Figure 1.  Location of Pequa Creek basin, Lancaster County,
             Pennsylvania.
    
    mile drainage area)  eventually discharges into  the
    Chesapeake Bay (see Figure 1). The data collection
    efforts (6)  documented the  occurrence of atrazine
    (2-chloro-4-ethylamino-6-isopropylamino-s-triazine),
    a commonly used  herbicide for weed control in corn-
    growing regions, and other agrichemicals in both base-
    flow and storm-flow conditions of the Pequa Creek. A
    subbasin of Pequa Creek, Big Beaver Creek, had the
    greatest  reported atrazine  concentrations during  the
    sampling period. The maximum reported atrazine con-
    centrations at the Big Beaver Creek sampling station,
    near Refton, Pennsylvania,  were 0.30 parts per billion
    during base-flow conditions and 24.0 parts per billion
    during storm-flow conditions. The  Big  Beaver Creek
    basin is 20.4 square miles in area, and agriculture con-
    stituted about 66 percent of the land use in 1979. Corn
    was grown on 26.6  percent of the agricultural lands in
    this subbasin. The average rainfall forthis basin is about
    37 inches annually (1).
    
    As noted, agriculture represented the major land use in
    the area. The primary agricultural soils in Lancaster
    County are silt loams (Typic Hapludults and Hapludalfs)
    in texture with slopes that range from  0 percent to 8
    percent (7). Upon inspection of the air-photo soil se-
    ries maps found  in the county soil survey, however,
    agricultural  crops grew on lands with slopes of up to
    and  exceeding 15 percent,  with  soils such  as  the
    Manorsilt loam, Pequa silt loam,  and Chestersilt loam
    (7).
    Natural  soil organic  contents in  the agricultural  soils
    range from 0.1 percent to 2.0 percent. Water contents
    of the agricultural  soils range from 10 percent to nearly
    30 percent. The soil Erosion Factor (K) for the surface
    layer ranges from 0.17 for the relatively stable  Lingers
    Series to 0.43 for the Pequa Series. The greater the
    value, the  greater the susceptibility to sheet  and rill
    erosion. The soil Erosion Factor (T in tons/acre/year) for
    the entire soil profile  ranges from  2 for the relatively
    stable Clarksburg  Series to 5 for the Elk Series.
    
    Methods
    
    Determining which soil series in the Big Beaver water-
    shed  may contribute  to nonpoint  source pollution
    through  runoff of agricultural chemicals entailed per-
    forming  a combination of probabilistic modeling analy-
    ses and a CIS data manipulation.
    
    Physiographic and Soil Series Boundaries
    
    The orientation of Pequa Creek, Big Beaver Creek,  and
    other surface water bodies was digitized  directly from
    the 1:50,000-scale county topographic map for Lancas-
    ter County (8). This  map also provided the basis for
    digitizing the Pequa Creek drainage divide, location of
    urban areas, and roadways. The MAPINFO CIS allows
    for the creation of boundary files by tracing the boundary
    off the topographic map with  a digitizing tablet config-
    ured to the latitude and  longitude coordinates of three
    points on the map. The  latitude and longitude are  dis-
    played while the boundary is being traced, allowing the
    user to  verify the accuracy of the boundary  against
    known coordinates on the map.  CIS contains a self-
    checking boundary closure program to ensure that the
    polygons are closed and that the  boundary contains no
    extraneous line segments.  These  boundary data are
    already  available from the USGS in a digitized format,
    digital line graphs  (DLGs). Because digitizing is an easy
    task, however, and to minimize costs, the project used
    manual digitizing rather than  purchase the data.
    
    The roadways and urban areas were digitized to allow
    use of standard control  points, such as road intersec-
    tions and benchmarks, to configure the U.S. Depart-
    ment of Agriculture (USDA) Soil Conservation Service
    air-photo-based, 1:15,840-scale soil series maps for the
    Big Beaver Creek watershed. Known land grid coordi-
    nates were noted on the air-photo  maps  (7). We con-
    cluded,  however,  that using  known reference points,
    such as roadways and towns, allowed for a better con-
    figuration of the digitizing tablet to  the air photos  and
    

    -------
    eliminated concerns over scale distortions sometimes
    common in air photos.
    
    After configuring the air photos to the digitizing tablet, a
    2-square-mile area around the surface water sampling
    points was digitized. The next step entailed digitizing all
    the mapped soil series units within this area. The loca-
    tions of crop areas, as  plowed fields, were  noted. In
    noting  forested areas, it became apparent  that only
    minor  acreages were  not  in  agricultural  production.
    Those  mapped units  were generally the  Manor and
    Pequa  Series soils with slopes exceeding 25 percent.
    
    Pesticide Transport Modeling
    
    The PRZM pesticide transport model helped to quantify
    the ability of several soil series to retard the transport of
    atrazine through the root zone as leachate, dissolved in
    surface runoff and adsorbed on  sediment that  moved
    during  erosion.  The PRZM model performed  in  an un-
    calibrated or screening model mode. The input values
    for soil properties came from both the EPA DBAPE
    database and the Lancaster County Soil Survey (7). The
    modeled soil profile was 150 centimeters thick  and  di-
    vided into 5-centimeter compartments. The soil  half-life
    of atrazine was set at 57 days in accordance with values
    that the PRZM manual listed (9). The primary soil prop-
    erty that varied in this demonstration project was  surface
    slope. All other parameters, such as soil organic content,
    moisture content,  and bulk density, appeared as mid-
    point values for the ranges listed in DBAPE.
    
    The agronomic scenario that the model simulated was
    for corn grown continuously for 10 years using conven-
    tional tillage practices and planted on May 7 of each
    year. Atrazine was surface applied at a rate of 2  pounds
    per acre (2.24 kilograms per hectare) on May 1  of each
    year. For climatic input, the model used the historical
    precipitation regimen from 1970 through 1980, as meas-
    ured at the Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, station.
    
    PRZM  simulations were made for each of the following
    soil series:
    
    • Chester
    
    • Conestoga
    
    • Elk
    
    • Glenelg
    
    • Glenville
    
    • Hollinger
    
    • Letort
    
    • Manor
    
    • Pequa
    
    Monthly values were calculated for leachate, runoff, and
    erosion per hectare.  Unfortunately, no data  for  the
    Pequa Series were available in the DBAPE database;
    therefore, this portion  of the analyses omitted it. In
    addition, analyses of the Manor Soil Series included
    more detailed probabilistic modeling where the surface
    slope held constant (6-percent slope) and the surface
    soil organic content varied to include the high, average,
    and  low organic contents as listed in  DBAPE. PRZM
    also calculated the volume of water as evapotranspira-
    tion, runoff, and recharge through the root zone.
    
    Results
    
    The  results of this study should demonstrate the appli-
    cation of transport modeling to the possible protection
    of water resources. Regulatory  decision-makers should
    not consider these results in their current form because
    such decisions would require  a much  more rigorous
    simulation strategy to increase the level of confidence in
    the data. As a demonstration study, however, the results
    do show the usefulness of this  approach.  Table 1 con-
    tains the cumulative  frequency  data for the simulated
    atrazine residues in runoff,  erosion, and leaching that
    occurred under 30 years of  historical precipitation. The
    data cover the 12 soils mentioned, with the surface
    slope held constant at 6 percent.
    
    Atrazine in Runoff and Erosion
    
    The  results  of this analysis suggest that  the Hagger-
    stown  Series had the  greatest potential  for yielding
    atrazine in runoff; approximately 50 percent of the simu-
    lated monthly atrazine in runoff values equaled or ex-
    ceeded 0.0001  kilogram per hectare. Conversely, the
    Elk Series yielded the least atrazine to runoff; 50 percent
    of the  runoff data were at  residue levels  of 1  x 10~6
    kilograms per  hectare. Within  the Big  Beaver Creek
    subbasin, the Manor Series had the greatest potential
    to yield atrazine in runoff.
    
    As with the runoff data, the Haggerstown Series had the
    greatest potential to yield atrazine in eroded sediments,
    and the Elk Series yielded the least atrazine in erosion.
    Within the Big Beaver Creek subbasin, the Manor Series
    had the greatest erosion potential regarding atrazine.
    
    GIS Analyses
    
    After entering the results from the transport modeling
    into a database, GIS could produce maps showing the
    location of soils with high runoff potentials. Figure  2a
    shows the orientation of soil series around the surface
    water sampling points in Big Beaver Creek. Figure 2b
    represents the same scene but fills in the soils with high
    runoff potential. Using  this  type of analysis can help
    areas that may be sources of nonpoint source  runoff
    contamination. Once identified, these soils can be tar-
    geted for alternative  management practices that may
    reduce the amount of runoff and the degree of nonpoint
    source contamination.
    

    -------
    Table 1.  Cumulative Frequency of Simulated Atrazine Residues in Runoff for 12 Major Soils in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania
            (values are percentage of data)
    Load
    (kilograms
    per
    hectare)
    IE-10
    IE-9
    IE-8
    IE-7
    IE-6
    IE-5
    IE-4
    IE-3
    0.00
    0.01
    0.10
    1.00
    10.00
    25.00
    
    Bucks
    83.33
    78.79
    74.24
    66.67
    56.06
    47.78
    36.36
    24.24
    15.91
    6.82
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    
    Chester
    84.85
    80.30
    76.52
    68.94
    46.97
    35.61
    21.97
    15.15
    6.82
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    
    Clymer
    84.09
    80.30
    75.00
    66.67
    56.06
    46.21
    32.58
    21.21
    14.39
    6.06
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Soil
    Connestoga
    84.08
    81.82
    78.03
    72.73
    61.36
    50.00
    35.61
    21.21
    15.12
    6.06
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Series
    Elk
    78.79
    75.76
    69.70
    59.09
    50.00
    43.18
    31.82
    21.21
    15.15
    6.82
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania
    Glenelg
    84.85
    80.30
    76.52
    68.18
    56.06
    47.73
    34.85
    21.21
    13.64
    3.79
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Haggerstown
    93.94
    93.94
    93.94
    91.67
    84.85
    74.24
    53.79
    37.12
    19.70
    7.58
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Hollinger
    83.33
    81.06
    77.27
    68.94
    59.09
    47.73
    34.85
    21.21
    15.15
    6.06
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Lansdale
    88.64
    85.61
    80.30
    75.00
    65.15
    51.52
    40.15
    24.24
    15.91
    6.82
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Letort
    85.61
    84.85
    84.09
    83.33
    76.52
    67.42
    46.97
    31.82
    17.24
    4.55
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Manor
    86.36
    84.61
    84.85
    75.52
    66.67
    46.97
    31.82
    16.67
    4.55
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    Lingers
    84.09
    84.09
    81.82
    75.76
    67.42
    53.03
    39.39
    24.24
    15.15
    4.55
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    0.00
    This table reads as follows:  Given the Elk Series, the first value
    IE-10 kilograms per hectare. Similarly, within the same column, 6
    than 0.1 kilograms per hectare.
    reads that 78.79 percent of the simulated data were greater than or equal to
    .82 percent of the data were greater than 0.01 kilograms per hectare but less
      Pequa Creek
                                                              Pequa Creek
          0    0.5     1
    
    Figure 2a.  Soil series  in the Big Beaver Creek basin.
    
    Detailed Modeling of the Manor Series
    
    Performing an  introductory probabilistic modeling exer-
    cise allowed further investigation of the potential of the
    Manor Series to release atrazine into runoff. The exist-
    ing 30-year climate data and the stated agronomic data
    were retained from the previous modeling. The organic
    carbon content of the surface soil layer, however,  was
    allowed to vary between the published low, average, and
    maximum values found in the  DBAPE database.  This
    exercise followed the principles set forth by Laskowski
    et al. (5) and others who describe probabilistic modeling
                     0.5
          Figure 2b.  Soils sensitive to atrazine runoff in the Big Beaver
                     Creek basin.
          approaches.  In essence, by varying input parameters
          within known endpoints, the probabilistic approach can
          generate a distribution of pesticide residue values that
          statistically reflects the anticipated  residues. Parame-
          ters to vary may include:
    
          • Organic carbon content
    
          • Surface slope
    
          • Kd (distribution coefficient)
    

    -------
    • Moisture content
    
    By allowing input variables to vary according to a normal
    distribution, this  approach thereby eliminates some of
    the uncertainty associated with pesticide transport mod-
    eling. The probabilistic modeling approach requires the
    creation of a significant database by performing many
    runs  (e.g., 1,000  model  runs that generate  12,000
    monthly values for each soil).
    
    This study included a limited probabilistic modeling ex-
    ercise. Table 2 lists the  results for the mean atrazine
    residues in runoff, erosion, and leaching for the Manor
    Soil Series during the:
    
    • Entire year
    
    • Growing season
    
    • Winter months
    
    The surface slope was held constant at 6 percent, but
    the soil organic carbon content varied within the publish-
    ed range.  The means for all months show limited vari-
    ation  in mean residues. Runoff was by far the major
    Table 2.  Summary Statistics for Detailed Modeling of the
            Manor Soil Series in the Pequa Creek Watershed
            (statistics based on 1,080 values)
    
                           Mean Atrazine Residue
                            (kilograms per hectare)
    Percent
    Organic
    Carbon3
    All Months
    Low
    Average
    High
    Growing Season
    Low
    Average
    High
    Winter Months
    Low
    Average
    High
    Runoff
    
    0.01381
    0.01229
    0.01105
    
    0.03290
    0.02881
    0.02540
    
    0.00014
    0.00045
    0.00075
    Erosion
    
    0.00024
    0.00042
    0.00057
    
    0.00058
    0.00100
    0.00130
    
    < 0.000002
    < 0.000001
    < 0.000003
    Leaching
    
    0.00028
    0.00012
    < 0.000006
    
    0.00017
    < 0.000008
    < 0.000004
    
    0.00036
    0.00014
    < 0.000007
     Data taken from DBAPE soils database as low, midpoint, and maxi-
     mum reported organic contents.
    source of atrazine. Erosion and leaching values were on
    similar scales (trace amounts).
    
    The greatest runoff and erosion values occurred during
    the growing season. The greatest leaching,  however,
    occurred during the winter months. These results sup-
    port the general observations that surface residues run
    off during spring and summer but that as the crops grow
    and evapotranspiration increases, recharge to ground
    water decreases, subsequently limiting pesticide trans-
    port  to  ground water.  Conversely, during the winter
    months, the surface soil pesticide residues generally
    decrease because of exposure to months of photolysis,
    hydrolysis,  and biodegradation.  Subsurface residues
    have  been  protected from degradation, however, and
    increased ground-water recharge, due to  great reduc-
    tions  in  evapotranspiration, transports  the  residues
    through the soil column.
    
    This limited exercise provided a valuable learning expe-
    rience regarding probabilistic  modeling. As computing
    techniques and hardware advance, the cost in time and
    money for each simulation should decrease dramati-
    cally. Although researchers tend not to have great faith
    in  pesticide  transport modeling,  the advances in this
    field  will reduce uncertainty and instill greater confi-
    dence in the modeling process.
    
    GIS Pitfalls
    
    CIS is a powerful tool and has great promise for use
    in  environmental  problem-solving. Several points  or
    pitfalls,  however, hinder broad acceptance of GIS. As
    with most new technologies, cost is the overriding con-
    cern  in using GIS. Although technical staff and project
    scientists understand the power  of GIS and the effort
    that data preparation requires, management and corpo-
    rate staff often do not  see  the benefits for the  costs.
    Many managers assume that current GIS systems re-
    semble those  seen on  "Star Trek," and when reality
    becomes apparent,  managers tend to discard GIS  as
    too costly and complex. Several points  need considera-
    tion when contemplating the use of GIS. Although vari-
    ous   products  exist,  this  discussion   focuses   on
    ARC/INFO and MAPINFO products.
    
    Hardware
    
    Computer hardware is  plentiful if the  available  budget
    can support a purchase. Many high- powered GIS pack-
    ages (e.g., GRASS, ARC/INFO, INTERGRAPH, IDRISI)
    run best on mainframes or minicomputers. Most techni-
    cal staff, however, only have access to PC machines.
    Corporate purchasing departments more readily expend
    funds for PC technology because they will  eventually
    find use forthese machines even if they are not used for
    GIS. A recent ARC/INFO advertisement (August 1994)
    lists costs for SUN SPARC minicomputer systems with
    ARC/INFO software at  $12,000 to $15,000 depending
    on configuration.
    
    Minicomputers and mainframes require specialized staff
    to  configure and maintain the hardware. Today, many
    staff level personnel can open and augment their PC
    machines with a minimum of external support. GIS per-
    formance reflects the tradeoff in  hardware, particularly
    

    -------
    when  a considerable  amount of data manipulation is
    required. For example, if linking discrete depth soil se-
    ries data to STATSGO soil associations is necessary,
    then a minicomputer system may be best. The postproc-
    essed data could, however, be exported to a format that
    will run on  PC-based  systems. If the user wants to
    import  and  manipulate remote sensing  imaging (e.g.,
    SPOT or Landsat data), then minicomputers are recom-
    mended. If  the  user wants to display already edited
    images  and preprocessed  CIS  data, then  PC-based
    computing may  be sufficient. The  ultimate use of CIS
    drives the hardware selection.
    
    Software
    
    A great number of CIS software packages are available
    to meet almost any level of use and expertise. Software
    runs under  both UNIX and DOS/Windows (denoted as
    DOS forthe remainder of this paper) operating systems.
    The UNIX-based software tends to be more powerful
    and flexible  than the DOS-based software. UNIX-based
    packages require more specialized  staff to optimize
    CIS, however.
    
    UNIX-based  software  packages  include  GRASS,
    ARC/INFO,  INTERGRAPH,  and  IDRISI. Costs  vary
    from public  domain charges for GRASS  and  IDRISI to
    vendor supplied ARC/INFO and  INTERGRAPH, which
    can cost several thousand dollars each.
    
    DOS versions of ARC/INFO (e.g., PC ARC/INFO,
    ARCAD, ARC/VIEW) are also available and provide the
    userwith various levels of data editing and manipulation
    abilities. Generally, PC ARC/INFO is the same as the
    UNIX version, varying in speed of  processing. ARCAD
    is a CIS engine that  uses  AutoCAD for drawing and
    displaying, giving the  user most of the abilities of the
    UNIX-based version. ARC/VIEW I  was primarily a dis-
    play and simple analysis tool. It allowed the user to view,
    display,  and manipulate existing arc data but did not
    support image editing. Currently, ARC/VIEW II provides
    more support for image editing and data manipulation.
    Costs range from about $3,000 for PC ARC/INFO and
    ARCAD (AutoCAD also costs  about $2,000) to around
    $500 for the ARC/VIEW products.
    
    MAPINFO is a DOS-based CIS that was designed  for
    marketing and demographic applications. Several  re-
    searchers, however, have used MAPINFO for environ-
    mental applications. The most outstanding  feature of
    MAPINFO is that it easily imports data layers as it reads
    dBASE type files directly. MAPINFO V3 also reads da-
    tabase files  and recreates them as *.TAB files. In con-
    trast to the "coverage and  entity"  concepts  of the
    ARC/INFO  line of programs, MAPINFO  reads latitude
    and longitude coordinates and displays the results. This
    simplifies data management because many researchers
    who have already created custom databases can easily
    import those data as long as latitude  and longitudes
    coordinates are present.
    
    As with the ARC/INFO line of programs, many common
    data layers can be purchased for use in MAPINFO.
    These layers  can be expensively priced,  costing ap-
    proximately $1,000 per county for roadway, census, and
    demographic data. One major lapse is the poor library
    of environmental  layers, USGS topography,  hydrogra-
    phy, soil boundaries, or climate stations. MAPINFO does
    sell a module  that allows  users to  convert to and from
    ARC/INFO coverages so that common data layers can
    be established. Experience shows, however, that con-
    version programs do not always work as advertised. For
    example, large boundary files (STATSGO data for Indi-
    ana) do not readily convert from ARC/INFO to MAP-
    INFO. Third-party vendors may be needed to convert
    data for use in MAPINFO.
    
    One very important factor supporting the use of MAP-
    INFO is that it has a business application slant; there-
    fore,  it  is slightly   easier  to  convince   corporate
    management to invest in  CIS because marketing and
    sales data (territories) can be relatively easily overlain
    onto environmental data.
    
    Finally, some packages that are add-ons to spreadsheet
    programs tend not to be powerful or versatile enough for
    use in environmental CIS work. These software pack-
    ages may be valuable as an introduction to  CIS  tech-
    niques, however.
    
    Data A vailability and Format
    
    After compiling the hardware and software into CIS, the
    next step entails accessing data layers such as:
    
    • State and county boundaries
    
    • Land use covers
    
    • Water boundaries
    
    Currently, USGS DLGs for hydrography, land use, trans-
    portation, and cultural features are available for minimal
    costs. Shareware programs can  convert the  USGS
    DLGS formats into DXF (data transfer files) for import to
    CIS packages. These data require conversion to DXF
    or  ARC  coverage type  formats  for  use  in  either
    ARC/INFO or MAPINFO.
    
    The USDA Soil Conservation Service produces digital
    data for soil types (STATSGO and SSURGO) that users
    can import to ARC/INFO relatively easily. The STATSGO
    data cost approximately $1,000 per state and are avail-
    able for most states. The detailed soil series maps,
    SSURGO, cost approximately $500 per county and are
    not available for every county in the United States. Many
    data layers  are available for direct use by GRASS. As
    of yet, however, no convenient conversion utilities exist
    to move GRASS data to ARC/INFO or MAPINFO. The
    

    -------
    U.S.  Fish and  Wildlife Service now distributes data
    layers from the National Wetlands Inventory on the
    Internet  (enterprise.nwi.fws.gov).
    
    Other data sources  available through  private vendors
    are listed in the MAPINFO and ARC/INFO user guides
    and  in  any issue  of CIS  World.  The  user should be
    prepared to absorb significant costs if purchasing all the
    required data layers.
    
    Conclusion
    
    This study shows that the technology and software exist
    for a water resource  manager to couple pesticide trans-
    port modeling with CIS to identify areas or individual
    soils that may contribute to nonpoint source pollution of
    water resources. The study used PC-based computing
    system and  software.  Soils  maps and hydrographic
    maps can be easily  digitized  for limited cost. A skilled
    scientist or technician, without being a  CIS expert, can
    run CIS to answer specific questions. The technologies
    this study demonstrated may be extremely valuable to
    managers responsible for producing SMPs.
    
    The  pesticide transport  modeling  performed during
    this study was intended for illustrative purposes. More
    detailed analyses,  and additional simulations, would be
    necessary to use these data for regulatory actions or
    land use management. The study did, however, succeed
    in identifying the Manor Soil Series, with slopes exceed-
    ing 6 percent, within the Big Beaver Creek subbasin of
    the  Pequa Creek  basin,  as  a  potential source for
    atrazine in runoff.
    
    
    References
    
    1. Ward, J.R. 1987. Surface-water quality in  Pequa Creek Basin,
      Pennsylvania, 1977-1979.  U.S. Geological Survey. Water Re-
      sources Investigation Report 85-4250.
    
    2. Smith, M.C., A.B. Bottcher, K.L. Campbell, and D.L. Thomas. 1991.
      Field testing and comparison of the PRZM and GLEAMS models.
      Trans. Amer. Soc. of Agric.  Eng. 34(3):838-847.
    
    3. Mueller, T.C., R.E. Jones, P.B. Bush, and PA. Banks. 1992. Com-
      parison of PRZM and GLEAMS computer model predictions with
      field data for alachlor, metribuzin, and norflurazon leaching. Envi-
      ron. Toxicol. and Chem. 11:427-436.
    
    4. Pennell, K.D., A.G. Hornsby, R.E. Jessup, and P.S.C. Rao. 1990.
      Evaluation  of five simulation models for predicting aldicarb and
      bromide behavior  under field  conditions. Water Resour.  Res.
      26(11):2,679-2,693.
    
    5. Laskowski, D.A., P.M. Tillotson, D.D. Fontaine, and E.J. Martin.
      1990. Probability modeling. Phil. Trans. Royal Soc. of London
      329:383-389.
    
    6. Ward, J.R., and  D.A. Eckhardt. 1979. Nonpoint-source discharges
      in Pequa Creek  Basin, Pennsylvania, 1977. U.S. Geological Sur-
      vey. Water Resources Investigation Report 79-88.
    
    7. Custer, B.H. 1985. Soil survey of Lancaster County, Pennsylvania.
      Washington, DC: U.S. Department  of Agriculture, Soil Conserva-
      tion Service.
    
    8. U.S.  Geological  Survey. 1977.  Lancaster County, Pennsylvania:
      County map series (topographic) 1:50,000 scale.
    
    9. Carsel, R.F., C.N. Smith, L.A. Mulkey,  D.J. Dean, and P. Jowise.
      1984. Users manual for Pesticide Root Zone Model (PRZM), Re-
      lease I. EPA/600/3-84/109.
    

    -------
         Integration of GIS With the Agricultural Nonpoint Source Pollution Model:
        The Effect of Resolution and Soils Data Sources on Model Input and Output
                                            Suzanne R. Perlitsh
                            State University of New York, Syracuse, New York
    Abstract
    The assessment of agricultural nonpoint source pollu-
    tion has been facilitated by linking data contained in a
    geographic information  system (GIS) with  hydrologic
    models. One such  model is the Agricultural Nonpoint
    Source (AGNPS) Pollution Model, which simulates run-
    off, nutrients, and  sediment from agricultural water-
    sheds. Vector-based (ARC/INFO)  and raster-based
    (IDRISI) GIS systems were  used to generate AGNPS
    input parameters.
    The objectives of this project were to generate AGNPS
    input parameters in GIS format from GIS data at differ-
    ent resolutions and different levels of detail (soil survey
    soils data versus soils data currently available in digital
    format from the United States Department of Agricul-
    ture).  Differences in the AGNPS model sediment out-
    put based on the variations  in CIS-generated AGNPS
    model input were evaluated.
    The study also evaluated the influence of cell size reso-
    lution and soils data on sediment generated within each
    cell in the watershed (SGW), sediment yield  from each
    cell in the watershed (SY), sediment yield at the water-
    shed outlet, and peak flow. Model output was validated
    by comparison with measured  values at the watershed
    outlet for a monitored storm event. Results of this study
    indicate that the  use of different resolution GIS data and
    different soils data sources to  assemble AGNPS input
    parameters affects AGNPS model output. Higher reso-
    lution  data do not  necessarily provide better results.
    Such comparisons could affect decision-making regard-
    ing the level and type of data analysis necessary to
    generate sufficient information.
    
    Introduction
    Agricultural runoff is a  major contributor to nonpoint
    source pollution. Fifty-seven  percent of the pollution in
    impaired  lakes and 64 percent of the pollution  in im-
    paired  rivers of  the United States can be attributed to
    agricultural nonpoint source pollution (1). Sediment is
    one of the most common agricultural nonpoint source
    pollutants and is the largest pollutant by volume in the
    United States (2). More than 3 billion tons of sediment
    enter surface waters of the United States each year as
    a result of agricultural practices (1).
    
    Accurate assessment of the effects of agricultural activi-
    ties on  water quality  within a  watershed is  vital for
    responsible watershed management and depends on
    our ability to quantify the spatial variability of the water-
    shed and the complex interactions of hydrologic proc-
    esses (3). Computer models have been developed to
    simulate these hydrologic processes to provide esti-
    mates  of nonpoint source pollutant loads. Adequate
    simulation of a watershed's spatial variability helps pro-
    vide the best representation of hydrologic processes
    within the watershed.
    
    Preservation of spatial variability within hydrologic mod-
    els can be accomplished using a distributed parameter
    model. The distributed parameter model is more advan-
    tageous than lumped parameter models, which gener-
    alize watershed  characteristics,  because  distributed
    parameter models provide more accurate simulations of
    the systems they model (4). One of these models is the
    Agricultural Nonpoint Source (AGNPS) Pollution Model.
    AGNPS is a distributed process model because it pro-
    duces  information regarding  hydrologic processes at
    grid cells within the watershed, thus enabling preserva-
    tion of the spatial variation within the watershed. Distrib-
    uted parameter models integrate well with GIS because
    GIS can replicate the grid used in a distributed parame-
    ter model. Manual compilation of AGNPS input parame-
    ters required to evaluate small areas at low resolution
    (large grid cells) is relatively easy. Manually assembling
    data to  evaluate larger areas  at  finer resolutions  be-
    comes tedious,  however.  The  integration of GIS data
    with the AGNPS model facilitates data assembly and
    manipulation (5).
    

    -------
    Several researchers have integrated AGNPS with CIS
    (4-11). Smaller cell sizes within distributed  parameter
    models are thought to best represent spatial variability
    within  a watershed  (5,  10).  Certain  AGNPS input
    parameters show sensitivity to changes in grid cell size,
    affecting sediment yield output (11). The use of CIS to
    generate input parameters for the AGNPS model  en-
    ables analysis of watersheds at higher resolutions than
    would be practical using manual methods (5).
    
    Research Hypotheses
    
    The project investigated the following research hypotheses:
    
    • AGNPS output  at the highest resolution  will  better
      approximate sediment yield at the watershed outlet.
    
    • AGNPS output for sediment generated within each
      cell in the watershed at highest resolution will best
      reflect the watershed processes.
    
    • AGNPS output generated from the more detailed  soil
      survey data will better estimate watershed processes.
    
    The project also investigated other questions: will cer-
    tain AGNPS input parameters (cell land slope, soil erodi-
    bility  [K],  the  cropping  factor [C],  and  the U.S.
    Department  of Agriculture [USDA] Soil Conservation
    Service [SCS] curve  number [CN] show sensitivity to
    changes in grid cell size?  How does slope affect model
    output? Does a qualitatively significant difference exist
    between model input parameters and output calculated
    from data sets generated at different resolutions with
    different levels of detail in soils output?
    
    Objectives/Tasks
    
    The research in this project included analyses of:
    
    • Certain AGNPS input parameters generated at differ-
      ent resolutions (10-  x 10-,  30- x 30-,  60- x 60-, and
      90- x 90-meter resolutions).
    
    • AGNPS output for sediment yield  (SY) and sediment
      generated within each cell (SGW) at different resolu-
      tions (center cells of 10- x 10-, 30- x 30-, 60- x 60-,
      and 90- x 90-meter  resolutions).
    
    • AGNPS output generated from different levels of de-
      tail  in the soils input data (soil survey versus STAT-
      SGO data sources).
    
    Significance
    
    Version 4.03 of AGNPS was released in June 1994. Ver-
    sion 4.03 allows for evaluation of 32,767 cells. This version
    allows  for cell sizes from 0.01 to 1,000  acres (approxi-
    mately 6.36-x 6.36-meter resolution to 2,012-x 2,012-me-
    ter resolution). Previous versions of AGNPS  limited  the
    number of cells to 3,200 and the cell size resolution to 0.4
    hectares (or 63.25 x 63.25 meters) (12). Reviewed litera-
    ture provides  no evidence that AGNPS has been used
    to evaluate a  watershed at 10- x 10-meter resolution.
    
    The soils data in this study were compiled at two differ-
    ent levels of detail. Soils data at the 1:20,000 soil survey
    level were generated in digital format. This level of detail
    was compared with soils data at the State  Soil Geo-
    graphic (STATSGO) database level with a scale of
    1:250,000. Reviewed  literature  mentions no previous
    studies comparing AGNPS output with input  generated
    from these two different levels of detail in soils input.
    
    Technology for collecting and  processing geographic
    data is  continuously improving. Currently, the United
    States Geological Survey (USGS)  1:24,000 digital ele-
    vation models (OEMs) are available at 30- x 30-meter
    resolution.  New satellite technology will enable DEM
    data to  be available at 10- x 10-meter  resolution, or
    higher. Certain  satellites currently provide  land cover
    data at 10- to 30-meter resolution (13).
    
    An important  objective of this project was to  determine
    whether higher resolution  data provide different results
    when  routed  through  AGNPS.  Does spatial data at
    higher resolutions provide better information? This pa-
    per describes the results of an analysis of AGNPS out-
    put based on different levels of both resolution and soils
    detail  in CIS data input sources.
    
    Materials
    
    The Study Area
    
    An ongoing effort is underway to clean up Onondaga
    Lake,  Onondaga County, New York. To accomplish this
    effort, areas  contributing  agricultural nonpoint source
    pollution to the lake are being evaluated.
    
    The Onondaga  Lake watershed  is approximately 287.5
    square miles, with 40 subwatersheds. The  subwater-
    sheds in the agricultural portion  of the Onondaga Lake
    watershed  (south of Syracuse,  New York) have been
    isolated for study of their potential nonpoint source con-
    tributions to Onondaga Lake (see Figure 1).  The study
    area watershed (1.84  square  miles, 1,177.5 acres) is
    one of these agricultural subwatersheds. CIS data were
    collected within the Otisco Valley quadrangle  (USGS
    1:2,400), which  includes  the  southern  portion of the
    Onondaga Lake watershed. Elevations in the study wa-
    tershed  range from 1,820 feet  to  1,203 feet, with an
    average elevation of 1,510 feet. The watershed perime-
    ter is approximately 6.5 miles (34,505 feet). The streams
    in the watershed flow from south to north to Rattlesnake
    Gulf, with  a stream length of approximately 3.08 miles
    (16,265.4  feet). The stem fall of the main stream stem
    is quite steep at 283 feet per mile. The drainage density
    of the watershed is 1.67 miles of stream persquare mile.
    Land use in the watershed is predominantly agricultural
    (82.8 percent).
    

    -------
                                                                Study Area Watershed
                                                    Canty Hill Rd. \  Bardwell Rd
                                                    		-I"	~~~
    Figure 1. Onondaga Lake watershed and study area (not to scale).
    The AGNPS Model
    
    AGNPS was developed to analyze  and provide esti-
    mates of runoff water quality, specifically to  evaluate
    sediments and  nutrients  in  runoff  from agricultural
    watersheds for  a specific  storm  event  (11). To  use
    AGNPS, a watershed is divided into cells of equal area.
    Calculations for each of the model output values are
    made within  each cell based on  the watershed data
    contained in each cell. Approximately 1,000 people in 46
    different countries use the AGNPS model. Users include
    students, university professors, government agencies,
    lake associations,  and  environmental  engineers.1
    AGNPS was developed in 1987 by the Agricultural Re-
    search Service (ARS) in cooperation with the Minnesota
    Pollution  Control Agency  (MPC)  and  the SCS. The
    model runs on an IBM-compatible personal computer.
    Data Sources
    
    The CIS packages of ARC/INFO Version 3.4D (14) and
    IDRISI  Version 4.1 (15)  were used to prepare  input
    parameters for the AGNPS model. AGNPS input pa-
    rameters were derived from  three base maps—land
    use,  a  DEM, and soils.  Table 1 shows  the  22  input
    parameters that AGNPS required, and the base source
    for the data.
    
    The  land  use map was obtained from a classified
    ERDAS image (resolution of 28 x28 meters). The image
    was converted to IDRISI, brought into ARC/INFO, and
    regridded based on the resolution requirements of each
    data  set. USGS could not provide a DEM for the study
     Personal communication from AGNPS Technical Support, September
    1994.
    area, so the OEMs were interpolated from points digit-
    ized in ARC/INFO based on the Clarke method (16). The
    OEMs were interpolated in IDRISI on 10- x 10-, 30- x30-,
    60- x 60-, and 90- x 90-meter resolution surfaces.
    
    Soil survey data were obtained from Onondaga County
    Soil Survey air  photographs. An  orthophoto of the
    7.5 minute quadrangle was  obtained from the USGS
    and was used with a zoom transfer scope to ortho-cor-
    rect the soil survey data. The corrected soil polygons
    were then digitized  in  ARC/INFO. The Otisco  Valley
    quadrangle comprises  79 soils mapping units. Thirty-
    eight different mapping units occur in the  study area
    watershed.
    
    The USDA SCS (now  the Natural Resource Conser-
    vation  Service [NARCS])  provides digital soils data
    from its STATSGO database. The mapping scale of
    STATSGO data is 1:250,000, thus it is best suited for
    broad planning and management uses. The number of
    soil polygons per quadrangle is between 100 and 400,
    and the minimum area mapped is 1,544 acres.  The
    STATSGO soil data used in this project were obtained
    from the Onondaga County Soil Conservation Serv-
    ice. Approximately seven STATSGO soil groups were
    identified for the Otisco Valley quadrangle. Only one
    STATSGO soil type occurs in the study area watershed
    (Honeyoe silt loam).
    
    Methods
    
    AGNPS input parameters that  showed  sensitivity to
    changes in grid cell size in previous studies were com-
    pared between the resolutions. The AGNPS model was
    run eight times using precipitation values from the actual
    

    -------
    Table 1.  AGNPS Input Parameters
    #            AGNPS Parameter
                                               Root Data Source
                                                                                General Derivation of Input
     1.
     2.
     3.
     4.
     5.
     6.
     7.
     8.
     9.
    10.
    11.
    12.
    13.
    14.
    15.
    16.
    17.
    18.
    19.
    20.
    21.
    22.
                 Cell number
                 Cell division
                 Receiving cell number
                 Receiving cell division
                 Flow direction
                 SCS curve number
                 Land slope percentage
                 Slope shape factor
                 Average slope length
                 Manning's n coefficient
                 USLE K factor
                 USLE C factor
                 USLE P factor
                 Surface condition constant
                 Chemical oxygen demand
                 Soil texture
                 Fertilizer indicator
                 Pesticide indicator
                 Point source indicator
                 Additional erosion
                 Impoundment indicator
                 Channel indicator
    Watershed map
    Not applicable
    Aspect map from DEM
    Not applicable
    Aspect map from DEM
    Land  use and soils coverage
    Slope map from DEM
    Algorithm
    Table of values
    Literature values
    SCS and soil survey
    Literature values
    Literature values
    Land  use coverage
    Land  use coverage
    Soil survey
    Land  use coverage
    Land  use coverage
    USGS 1:24,000 map
    Field survey, known gullies
    1:24,000 map, field survey
    Streams coverage
    Program written to determine #
    No cell division, assumed 0
    Program written to determine #
    No cell division, assumed 0
    Reclassed 1-8 from azimuth map
    SML written to determine CN
    Provided in slope percentage from IDRISI
    Assume uniform slope
    Obtained from SCS
    Attached to land use database
    Attached to soils database
    Attached to land use database
    Attached to land use database
    Attached to land use database
    Attached to land use database
    Attached to soils database
    Assumed for agricultural land class
    Assumed for agricultural land class
    Points in ARC/INFO and IDRISI
    Assume no additional erosion
    Assume no impoundments
    Assume no significant channel
    storm that was monitored. Each time, the model was run
    using an input file created with the different input data
    sources as follows:
    1.  30- x 30-meter resolution-soil survey data.
    2.  30- x 30-meter resolution-STATSGO data.
    3.  60- x 60-meter resolution-soil survey data.
    4.  60- x 60-meter resolution-STATSGO data.
    5.  90- x 90-meter resolution-soil survey data.
    6.  90- x 90-meter resolution-STATSGO data.
    7.  Center cells of the 10- x 10-meter resolution—soil survey
       data.
    8.  Center cells  of the  10- x 10-meter resolution—
       STASGO data.
    As grid cell size increases, the time required to assemble
    data as well as the space required to store the data files
    increase.  If a cell size resolution is cut in  half,  the
    number of cells in that coverage quadruples. In the study
    area watershed, increasing grid cell size from 90- x 90-
    meter resolution to 60-  x 60-meter resolution created
    778 more  cells  within  the watershed.  Moving from
                  60- x 60-meter resolution to 30- x 30-meter resolution
                  added 3,646 cells to the watershed, and moving from
                  30- x 30-meter resolution to 10- x 10-meter resolution
                  added  40,115  cells to the watershed data  set (see
                  Figure 2). Due to the 32,767-cell  limitation of AGNPS
                  Version  4.03, AGNPS output for SY and SGW at the
                  10- x 10-meter resolution (which contains 45,104 cells)
                  could not be obtained.  Input parameters at 10- x 10-meter
                  resolution,  however,  could  be compared  with  input
                  parameters at 30- x 30-meter resolution.
                  Methodology of Data Analysis
                  The input parameter "maps" were converted to IDRISI
                  files and combined in a format that  could be routed
                  through  the AGNPS model. AGNPS model output for
                  soil generated within  each  cell and  for sediment yield
                  was assembled. The 30- x 30-meter resolution maps
                  were compared with the 60- x 60-meter resolution maps;
                  the 60- x 60-meter resolution maps were compared with
                  the 90- x 90-meter resolution maps; and the  30- x 30-
                  meter resolution maps were compared with the 10- x 10-
                  meter resolution maps.
                  A method for comparing maps with  different grid sizes
                  was developed  so that  maps of different  resolutions
    

    -------
                                                                                         45,104
              "oi
              O
              
    -------
    feet per second per square mile. The runoff volume per
    day was 0.09 inches.
    
    Total sediment yield was derived from the analysis of total
    solids measured in field samples throughout the 24-hour
    storm period. The samples were processed to evaluate
    total suspended solids (TSS) using the vacuum filtration
    procedure (17). A total of 1.204 tons of suspended sedi-
    ment was predicted at the watershed outlet from field
    data samples. A LaMotte field nutrient test kit was used
    to measure nitrate and phosphate concentrations in the
    stream. Nutrient values in this watershed for this storm
    event were so small (phosphorous below 0.1  parts per
    million and nitrogen 0.3 parts per million), they were not
    selected  as  parameters to be used in evaluating and
    validating the AGNPS model. The AGNPS predicted
    nutrient output for the storm was not measurable (0.00
    parts per million). The low levels of nitrogen  and phos-
    phorous in the stream channel during the storm event
    can be attributed to the time of year  in which the stream
    was monitored. At the time of field validation, agricultural
    activities  were not operating.
    
    Results at the Watershed Outlet: Peak Flow
    
    The peak flow values that AGNPS calculated are  largest
    at the highest resolution and decrease as cell size in-
    creases. The peak discharge from the watershed during
    the  monitored storm event was 11.15 cubic feet per
    second. Comparisons of the  AGNPS  predicted peak
    flow and the actual field-validated peak flow showed that
    the 30- x  30-meter resolution cells best approximate the
    peak flow of the watershed for the sampled storm event.
    As grid cells increase from 30 x 30 to 60 x 60 and  from
                                        60 x 60 to 90 x 90, the peak flow is underestimated. As
                                        grid cells decrease from 30 x 30 to 10x10, the peak
                                        flow is grossly overestimated (see Table 2).
    
                                        Results at the Watershed Outlet:
                                        Sediment Yield
    
                                        Sediment yield at the watershed outlet was determined
                                        to be 1.204 tons.  In all of the resolutions, the amount of
                                        sediment deposited at  the watershed outlet  cell  in-
                                        creased as cell resolution increased (see Table 2). For
                                        this particular watershed in this particular storm, the
                                        AGNPS model overestimated the sediment yield pre-
                                        dicted at the watershed outlet at the 10- x 10-, 30- x 30-,
                                        and 60- x 60-meter  resolutions  and underestimated
                                        sediment yield at the 90- x 90-meter resolution. Table 2
                                        includes the information that AGNPS predicted for the
                                        cell  designated as the  watershed outlet within each
                                        resolution.  (The results reported include output from the
                                        center cells of the 10- x 10-meter resolution data set,
                                        routed through the AGNPS model. Although these val-
                                        ues are reported, the results from this data set cannot
                                        be assumed to approximate the sediment output that
                                        would result had the  entire 10- x  10-meter resolution
                                        data set been simulated.)
    
                                        So/7 Survey Versus STATSGO Data
    
                                        The Kappa statistic (14,18)  was used as an indicator of
                                        similarity  to  describe  the  differences  between  the
                                        AGNPS output for SY and SGW generated from STATSGO
                                        and soil survey data. Results (see Table 3) indicate that no
                                        significant difference exists  between the output  derived
                                        from the STATSGO and soil survey data  inputs within
                                       Relationship Between Streamflow Discharge
                                              and Suspended Sediment
                 c
                 o
                 "c
                 CD
                 o
                 c
                 o
                 o
                 "c
                 CD
                 E
                 T3
                 CD
                     600 T
                     500 --
    400 --
    300
    200 -• :
                     100 -•
    i
    CD
    O)
                                               Time (8/29/94 to 8/29/94)
    Figure 4. Storm event hydrograph and pollutograph.
    

    -------
    Table 2. AGNPS Results at the Watershed Outlet Versus
    Actual Field Values
    
    Predicted
    Soil Difference Predicted
    Resolution Survey From STATSGO
    (meters) Data Actual Data
    
    10 x 10
    (center cells)
    Peak runoff 29.88 +18.73 29.88
    rate (cfs)a
    Total sediment 4.48 +3.49 4.69
    yield (tons)
    30x30
    Peak runoff 11.27 +0.12 11.27
    rate (cfs)
    Total sediment 2.84 +1.64 3.11
    yield (tons)
    60 x 60
    Peak runoff 9.96 -1.19 9.96
    rate (cfs)
    Total sediment 2.11 +0.91 2.12
    yield (tons)
    90x90
    Peak runoff 8.87 -2.28 8.87
    rate (cfs)
    Total sediment 0.86 -0.34 0.87
    yield (tons)
    acfs: cubic feet per second.
    
    
    Table 3. Kappa Coefficient of Similarity
    Resolution (meters)
    
    
    10 x 10 (center)
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SY
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SGW
    
    30 x 30
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SY
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SGW
    60 x 60
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SY
    
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SGW
    90x90
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SY
    Soil survey versus STATSGO SGW
    
    
    Difference
    From
    Actual
    
    
    
    +18.73
    
    +3.28
    
    
    +0.12
    
    + 1.91
    
    -1 .19
    
    +0.92
    
    
    -2.28
    
    -0.33
    
    
    
    
    
    Kappa
    
    
    
    0.9866
    0.9703
    
    
    0.9859
    0.9785
    
    0.8960
    
    0.7542
    
    0.8743
    0.6574
    Table 4. RMS for AGNPS Sediment Loss Output
    
    Description SGW Pounds SY Pounds
    Soil Survey Data Constant
    10 centers to 30-meter resolution 168.38 344.22
    30- to 60-meter resolution 125.43 739.75
    
    60- to 90-meter resolution 93.50 498.01
    30- to 90-meter resolution 29.91 711 .49
    
    STATSGO Data Constant
    10 centers to 30-meter resolution 164.45 312.48
    30- to 60-meter resolution 125.37 782.07
    60- to 90-meter resolution 97.07 501 .81
    
    30- to 90-meter resolution 122.04 747.51
    
    Moving to higher cell resolutions increasingly affects
    sediment generated within each cell; the largest differ-
    ence in sediment generated within each cell occurs as
    cell resolution increases from 30 x 30 to 1 0 x 1 0 meters.
    Sediment generated within each cell is least affected by
    moving from 60 x 60 to 90 x 90 meters. Sediment yield
    per cell is most affected when cell resolution increases
    from 60 x 60 to 30 x 30 meters and least affected by
    increasing resolution from 30 x 30 to 10x10 meters.
    
    These results prompted an assessment of the methods
    used to compare resolutions, to determine whether the
    effect on sediment yield between the 30- x 30- and
    60- x 60-meter resolutions could result from the method
    used in comparing the resolutions (expansion of the
    60- x 60-meter resolution). The procedure of comparison
    between the 30- x 30- and the 60- x 60-meter resolu-
    tions was repeated; however, rather than expanding the
    60 x 60 data file, the 60 x 60 data file was "resampled"
    onto the 30- x 30-meter resolution grid, then the files
    were compared. The RMS results (see Table 5) show
    that both methods for comparing data between the reso-
    lutions provide essentially the same results. The effect
    of resolution on sediment yield per cell is, in fact, greatest
    as resolution increases from 60 x 60 to 30 x 30 meters.
    
    Results: AGNPS Input Parameters of Concern
    Previous AGNPS analyses have shown sediment yield
    (and sediment-associated nutrient yields) to be most
    the same resolutions. This may be due to the homoge-
    neity of the soil textures in  both soils data sets (both
    dominated by silty soils).
    
    Effects of Resolution on SGW and SY
    
    AGNPS output for SGW and SYwas evaluated for every
    cell within the watershed. The RMS difference was ap-
    plied to determine the relative effect of input data reso-
    lution on SY and SGW output (see Table 4 and Figure 5).
    affected by AGNPS inputs for cell land slope, the soil
    erodibility factor (K), the Universal Soil Loss Equation's
    
    Table 5.  Comparison of RMS for 30 x 30 to 60 x 60
    
    Method             RMS SGW Pounds   RMS SY Pounds
    Expansion of 60 x 60
    to 30 x 30
    Resampling 60 x 60
    to 30 x 30
    Difference
    125.43
    125.37
    0.06
    739.75
    739.30
    0.45
    

    -------
                            RMS Difference
               Sediment Generated in Each Cell—Soil Survey Data
             10 to 30
                    0 20 40  60 80 100 120140160180
                      RMS Difference
            Sediment Yield per Cell—Soil Survey Data
                                                              60 to 90
                                                              30 to 60
                                                              10 to 30
                                                                    0 100 200 300 400 500 600700 800
                            RMS Difference
               Sediment Generated in Each Cell—STATSGO Data
             60 to 90
             30 to 60
             10 to 30
                                                                            RMS Difference
                                                                   Sediment Yield per Cell—STATSGO Data
                                                               60 to 90
                    0 20 40  60 80 100 120140160180
                                                                     0 100 200 300400 500 600700 800
    Figure 5.  RMS for AGNPS sediment output.
    
    (USLE) cropping management factor (C) and the SCS
    curve number (CN). To address the concerns regarding
    the influence of these parameters on sediment yield, the
    RMS differences  (see Table 6 and  Figure 6) and general
    statistics (see Table 7) for these parameters were computed.
    
    Discussion
    
    When evaluating the RMS as an indicator of the effect
    of resolution on input  parameters and output  sediment
    values, looking at the overall trend between resolutions,
    rather than focusing on specific values, is important. The
    RMS statistics for the soil erodibility factor (K), the crop-
    ping management factor (C), and the SCS curve number
    (CN) are least affected by a decrease in cell size reso-
    lution from 10x10 meters to 30 x 30 meters. These
    parameters  are most affected when cell size resolution
    decreases from 30- x  30-meter to 60- x 60-meter reso-
    lution.  As resolution decreases  further from 60 x 60
    meters to 90 x 90 meters, the effect on RMS decreases.
    The small-large-smaller trend in the RMS for these pa-
    rameters is  the same  trend seen  in the RMS for sedi-
    ment  yield  throughout the watershed.  The  sediment
    Table 6.  RMS Difference: AGNPS Input Parameters of
            Concern
    Parameters of Concern
    K value
    Cropping factor
    SCS curve number
    Slope
    10 to 30
    0.0058
    0.03
    2.11
    8.17
    30 to 60
    0.054
    0.173
    11.40
    5.59
    60 to 90
    0.051
    0.015
    8.40
    3.68
    yield within each cell therefore seems to be most af-
    fected by these input parameters. The general statistics
    for each of these parameters of concern show that very
    little difference exists in the values within each resolu-
    tion, with the exception of slope. Slope values are higher
    at the  higher resolutions  and decrease  as resolution
    increases. This is related to the method in which the CIS
    calculates slope.
    
    The RMS statistics comparing resolutions for sediment
    generated within each cell follow the same trend as the
    RMS statistics for slope percentage. As  resolution in-
    creases, so do the discrepancies between the compared
    

    -------
                                 Soil Erodibility (K)
              60 to 90
              30 to 60
              10 to 30
                         0.01   0.02   0.03   0.04   0.05   0.06
                                                                          USLE Cropping Management (C)
                                                            60 to 90
                                                            30 to 60
                                                            10 to 30
                                                                   0  0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08  0.1  0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18
                              SCS Curve Number (CN)
                             Slope '
              60 to 90
              30 to 60
              10 to 30
                                                            60 to 90
                                                            30 to 60
                                                            10 to 30
                                               10    12
                                                                  01    234567
    Figure 6.  RMS difference for AGNPS input parameter of concern.
    
    data sets. This trend between resolutions indicates that
    slope values influence sediment generated within each
    cell in the watershed.
    
    The  results from the 10- x 10-meter resolution data set
    were obtained  by  selecting  the center cells  of  the
    10- x 10-meter resolution data set and routing the data
    from this set through AGNPS using the  flow pathways
    developed for the 30- x 30-meter resolution. The results
    do not provide the same information as  would be pro-
    vided had the entire 10- x 10-meter data set been routed
    through AGNPS. The  RMS values  obtained from com-
    parisons of the 10- x 10-meter resolution input parame-
    ters with the 30- x 30-meter resolution input data reveal
    that  little difference exists between the data in these
    resolutions. Comparison of the center cell  10- x 10-meter
    data set output with field monitored  data shows that the
    10x10 center cell data overestimates both  peak flow
    and sediment yielded at the watershed outlet. This can
    be attributed to the larger slope values in this resolution.
    
    Conclusion
    
    This study used CIS to generate data files for application
    to the AGNPS model. The objectives of this project were
    to evaluate the effect of different levels of detail used in
    generating the input files on selected input and output
    parameters. The results show that, for a watershed with
    characteristics equivalent to  those  of the study  area
    watershed, differences exist in model output based on
    the cell size resolution of the watershed.
    
    The selected cell size  resolution directly affects slope
    values. The influence of the slope parameter dominates
    AGNPS predictions for sediment generated within each
    cell and sediment yield at the watershed outlet in the
    study area watershed. The indicated  parameters of con-
    cern have the most influence on sediment yield for each
    cell in the watershed. The greatest variation in the  indi-
    cated parameters of concern and thus the sediment
    yield output occurs between  the 30- x 30-meter and
    60- x 60-meter resolutions.  AGNPS  estimates for sedi-
    ment yield in files generated from STATSGO data were
    larger than sediment yields from files generated with soil
    survey soils data in the 30- x 30-, 60- x 60-,  and
    90- x 90-meter resolutions. For this watershed, how-
    ever, no significant difference existed between data  gen-
    erated from soil survey and STATSGO data sources as
    indicated by the kappa coefficient of similarity.
    
    Results predicted  by the AGNPS model at the water-
    shed outlet were compared with results from an actual
    storm monitored at the watershed outlet. The 30- x 30-
    meter resolution data set provided  the most accurate
    

    -------
    Table 7.  Statistics for AGNPS
    
    Value              10 x 10
    Input Parameters of Concern
    
      30 x 30   60 x 60   90 x 90
    K Value (units of K)
    Average
    Maximum
    Minimum
    Standard deviation
    C Factor (units of C)
    Average
    Maximum
    Minimum
    Standard deviation
    CN (units of CN)
    Average
    Maximum
    Minimum
    Standard deviation
    Slope (%)
    Average
    Maximum
    Minimum
    Standard deviation
    
    0.2989
    0.49
    0.17
    0.0453
    
    0.0306
    0.076
    0
    0.0212
    
    71 .004
    100
    55
    9.13
    
    34.13
    567
    0
    33.75
    
    0.2989
    0.49
    0.17
    0.0453
    
    0.0306
    0.076
    0
    0.0211
    
    71.003
    100
    55
    9.08
    
    30.153
    224
    0
    23.45
    
    0.2882
    0.37
    0.17
    0.0513
    
    0.0295
    0.076
    0
    0.0213
    
    70.75
    100
    55
    8.97
    
    27.67
    152
    0
    18.97
    
    0.2889
    0.49
    0.17
    0.0456
    
    0.0295
    0.076
    0
    0.0208
    
    70.68
    100
    55
    8.84
    
    26.38
    99
    0
    16.44
    prediction for peak flow at the watershed outlet. AGNPS
    output in the 10- x 10-meter center, 30- x 30-meter, and
    60- x  60-meter resolutions  overestimated the actual
    sediment yield recorded  at the watershed outlet for the
    validated storm event.
    
    For the  study area watershed,  cell size resolution of
    30 x 30 meters seems appropriate based on the accurate
    AGNPS  model prediction for peak flow when  validated
    with the field-monitored storm. The steep slopes created
    in the 10- x 10-meter resolution data set may lead to an
    overestimation of sediment output, rendering data at this
    resolution  unreliable. At this time, the 10- x  10-meter
    resolution is both impractical and infeasible for use with
    the AGNPS model.
    
    AGNPS  output at the  highest resolution does not pro-
    vide a better approximation of sediment yield at the
    watershed outlet. AGNPS  output for  sediment gener-
    ated within each cell  in  the watershed at the highest
    resolution does  not accurately simulate the watershed
    processes.  AGNPS output generated from the more
    detailed soil survey data is not significantly different from
    data generated by the  STATSGO digital soils database.
    
    This study raises the following questions:
    
    • What level of  detail  is both practical and acceptable
      for policy-making and  decision-making?
    • What constitutes a cost-effective analysis?
    
    Ultimately, these questions  are  best answered on  a
    case-by-case basis and should be determined based on
    the size of the study area and on how the results of the
    analysis  will  be used  (i.e., to make  a direct land  use
    decision  or for broader planning).  For broad planning
    analyses  on  large watersheds, the benefit of digitizing
    the soil survey data is outweighed by the cost in time
    and effort to generate this detailed database. STATSGO
    data may be sufficient.  If a direct land  management
    decision  is being made for a  small area such as a farm
    within  a watershed, however, the analysis should  use
    the most detailed soils data.
    
    
    Recommendations for Future Work
    
    The original intent of this study was to use the capabili-
    ties of AGNPS Version 4.03 to evaluate a watershed
    using data generated  at  a  high cell size resolution—
    10x10 meters. AGNPS h
    
    ad  never been used to  evaluate data at such a high
    resolution. As discovered during this project, the newest
    version of AGNPS  is not, at  this time, capable of han-
    dling a data  set that has more than  32,767  cells (19).
    Once this limitation with the AGNPS model is remedied,
    the entire 10- x 10-meter resolution data set should be
    routed through the model so that definite conclusions
    regarding the applicability of such  a detailed data set
    can be made.
    
    
    References
    
     1.  U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).  1991. Riparian forest
        buffers: Function and design for protection and enhancement  of
        water resources. N1-PR-07-91.
    
     2.  Ashraf,  M.S., and O.K. Borah. 1992. Modeling pollutant transport
        in runoff and sediment. Trans. Amer. Soc. Agric. Eng. 35:1,789-
        1,797.
    
     3.  Barten, P., and K. Stave. 1993. Characterization of streamflow
        and sediment source areas for  the Little Beaver Kill Watershed,
        Ulster County, NY (July).
    
     4.  Vieux,  B., and S. Needham. 1993. Nonpoint-pollution model sen-
        sitivity  to grid  cell size. J. Water Resour. Planning and Mgmt.
        119(2).
    
     5.  Kumar,  V. 1993. Geographic information  system application for
        nonpoint source pollution management. Logan, UT: Utah State
        University.
    
     6.  Yoon, J., L.  Padmanabhan, and L. Woodbury.  1993. Linking Ag-
        ricultural Nonpoint Source Pollution  Model (AGNPS)  to a  geo-
        graphic  information  system.  Proceedings   of  the  AWRA
        Conference  on Geographic Information Systems and Water Re-
        sources (March).
    
     7.  Haddock, G., and P.  Jankowski.  1993. Integrating  nonpoint
        source pollution modeling with a geographic information system.
        Department of Geography, University of Idaho.
                                                         10
    

    -------
     8.  Mitchell, J., B. Engel, R. Srinivasan, and S. Wang. 1993. Valida-
        tion of  AGNPS  for  small  watersheds  using  an integrated
        AGNPS/GIS system. Proceedings of the AWRA Conference on
        Geographic Information Systems and Water Resources (March).
    
     9.  He, C., J. Riggs, and Y. Kang. 1993. Integration of geographic
        information systems and a computer model to evaluate impacts
        of agricultural runoff on water quality. Proceedings of the AWRA
        Conference on Geographic Information Systems and Water Re-
        sources (March).
    
    10.  Freezor, D., M. Hirschi, and  B. Lesikar. 1989. Effect of cell size
        on  AGNPS prediction. Paper No. #89-2184. ASAE/CSAE Meet-
        ing, St. Joseph, Ml.
    
    11.  Young,  R., C.  Onstad, D.  Bosch,  and  W  Anderson.  1989.
        AGNPS: A nonpoint-source pollution model for evaluating agri-
        cultural watersheds. J. Soil and Water Conserv. 44(2).
    
    12.  U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). 1987. Agricultural Re-
        search  Service,  AGNPS: Agricultural nonpoint-source  pollution
        model, a watershed analysis tool. Conservation Research Report
        No. 35.
    13.  Star, J., and J. Estes. 1990. Geographic information systems: An
        introduction. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.
    
    14.  ESRI.  1987. PC ARC/INFO user's guides. Redlands, CA: Envi-
        ronmental Systems Research  Institute, Inc.
    
    15.  Eastman, R. 1993. IDRISI technical reference. Worcester, MA:
        Clark University.
    
    16.  Clarke, K.C. 1990. Analytical and computer cartography. Engle-
        wood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.
    
    17.  Clesceri, L, A. Greenberg, and R. Trussell. 1989. Standard meth-
        ods for examination of water and wastewater, 17th ed. pp. 2-75
        to 2-76.
    
    18.  Rosenfield, G.H., and K. Fitzpatrick-Lins.  1986. A coefficient of
        agreement as a  measure of thematic classification accuracy.
        Photogrammetric  Engin. and  Remote Sensing 52(2).
    
    19.  U.S. Department of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service. 1995.
        AGNPS Newsletter.
                                                                 11
    

    -------
     Comparing Experiences in the British and U.S Virgin Islands in Implementing GIS
                                for Environmental Problem-Solving
    
    
                                               Louis Potter
                   Office of the Chief Minister of the Government, British Virgin Islands
    
                                               Bruce Potter
                      Island Resources Foundation, St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands
    The British and U.S. Virgin Islands:
    Comparisons and Contrasts
    British Virgin Islands
    
    Three miles to the north and east of the U.S. Virgin
    Islands  (USVI) lie the British Virgin Islands  (BVI),  a
    group of 36 islands and  cays with a total area of 60
    square miles.  The four largest are Tortola (24 square
    miles), Anegada (14 square miles), Virgin Gorda  (8.5
    square miles), and Jost Van Dyke (4.5 square  miles).
    
    Geologically, the BVI belong to the Greater Antilles, and
    like the USVI and Puerto  Rico, rise from the Virgin
    Banks (or Puerto Rican Shelf). Rocks of the BVI, except
    Anegada, consist  of thick, steeply inclined, metamor-
    phosed  volcanic and  sedimentary stratified series of
    Cretaceous age, with  dioritic and pegamitic intrusions.
    Anegada is a 30-foot-high  emergent coral limestone
    platform, apparently from  the Pleistocene age.
    
    The BVI are a crown colony of the United Kingdom (UK)
    with a total population in  1991 of  16,108. Most of the
    population resides on  Tortola (13,225 inhabitants). Be-
    tween 1980 and 1991, population  increased 46.6 per-
    cent.  The  BVI  have internal self-government with an
    elected  council headed by a chief minister.  The UK
    appoints a governor to represent the queen and to man-
    age defense, internal security, external affairs, civil serv-
    ice, and court administration.
    
    The BVI economy is based mainly on tourism and serv-
    icing international business. Sailing and diving are piv-
    otal features in BVI tourism. The  average number of
    tourists per capita in the BVI is 221, compared  with 119
    for the USVI (1). The BVI 1990 per capita income was
    recorded at $10,125. Prior to the 1970s, the BVI economy
    was based on subsistence agriculture and remittances
    from British Virgin Islanders who worked in the USVI.
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    The USVI are an unincorporated territory of the United
    States, purchased from Denmark in 1917. The total popu-
    lation  in 1990 was  about 101,000,  divided  among St.
    Thomas (48,000), St. Croix (50,000), and St. John (3,500).
    The tourism-dominated economy of the Virgin Islands gen-
    erated a per capita Gross Territorial  Product in 1990 of
    approximately $11,000—the highest in the Caribbean (2).
    
    Geographically,  geologically, and topographically, St.
    Thomas (28 square miles) and St. John (20 square
    miles) are similar; they are both largely volcanic, have
    deeply indented coastlines, and lie on the Puerto Rican
    Shelf. St. Thomas and St. John are close to the BVI. St.
    Croix is a relatively large (84 square miles) and mostly
    limestone island that lies on its  own submarine ridge,
    which rises more than 4,000 feet from the bottom of the
    Caribbean Sea. St. Thomas and St. John are about
    5 miles apart, and St. Croix is 48 miles south of them.
    
    During the  height of tourism development (from  the
    late 1950s through the  mid-1970s), the USVI experi-
    enced average  annual  compound  population growth
    rates of over 6 percent, as well as a doubling in real
    incomes. This unprecedented paroxysm of growth is
    still being  assimilated  by  a population that differs
    greatly from the 30,000 people who  lived in a predomi-
    nantly agricultural USVI in 1950. In 1990, the USVI
    received a  daily average of 37 visitors per square
    kilometer. This  compares with a  visitor  load of 23
    visitors per day per square kilometer in the BVI, which
    is also a high-density tourist destination (1).
    
    Background to GIS Implementation
    Activities
    
    British Virgin Islands
    
    The idea of geographic  information  systems (GIS) ap-
    plications in the BVI first arose with a presentation about
    

    -------
    a proposed project for St. Lucia, made by Dr. Jan Ver-
    meiren of the Organization of American States at the
    Caribbean  Conference of Planners  in Kingston,  Ja-
    maica, in  1984 (3). The  Town and Country Planning
    Department recognized that it could use GISs analytical
    and display properties to make presentations to the chief
    minister and the BVI Executive Council. This proposal
    fell on fertile ground, given a relatively long-held tradition
    of support for the Town and Country  Planning Depart-
    ment by the United Nations Development Programme
    (UNDP) and the British Development Division, dating
    back to the early 1970s.
    
    Subsequent to this  inspiration, the Town and Country
    Planning Department requested budget authority to de-
    velop a land use database. This database would include
    buildings,  property  boundaries, and  constructed  and
    natural features of importance. The Finance Department
    hoped this project would help combat  growing competi-
    tion to the postal services by independent package de-
    livery services. They renamed the project the National
    Addressing  System,  and the  legislature  provided
    $200,000 to provide a physical address for each prop-
    erty in the territory.
    
    The Town and Country Planning Department conducted
    a pilot project, focusing on Road Town, the capital.  The
    pilot project demonstrated that the hard copy land own-
    ership or cadastral  maps that the Survey Department
    was then using were inadequate for accurately account-
    ing  for properties,  even in the BVI's most  developed
    urban areas. Therefore, the Town and  Country Planning
    Department expanded  the scope of  the National  Ad-
    dressing System project to identify options for increas-
    ing  the  accuracy  of property   ownership records,
    including maps.
    
    Because the Town and Country Planning Department
    had little experience with computerized land information
    systems, departmental managers  sought support from
    the UNDP office in Barbados. The UNDP had previously
    assisted with the department's development control ap-
    plications database. This mode of operation, in which
    the BVI purchase services provided through the UNDP,
    which acts as a "vetting agent" for consultants and other
    technical assistance, continues to this day. An expert
    from the United Nations Community and Housing Serv-
    ices (UNCHS) Nairobi office provided the first such con-
    sultation by exploring how the BVI might implement a
    CIS. Over the  next few years,  three other experts
    provided input, which  the Town and Country Planning
    Department gradually integrated into a picture of how to
    use a CIS within the technical and financial limitations
    of a small  island government.
    
    In the meantime, external conditions were improving the
    chances for the  success of the  BVI  program.  British
    Virgin Islanders were receiving formal and informal train-
    ing in computer applications in general, and specifically
    in AutoCAD drafting systems, which increasing numbers
    of local architects and engineers are using. In addition,
    the  power of rugged microcomputer systems that could
    withstand  the harsh operating conditions of the Virgin
    Islands was also  improving, and local dealers were
    increasing their skills in support of such systems.
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    In 1988, a proposal to develop a locally supported CIS
    was being discussed in  detail in the USVI  (4). This
    project resulted in a formal application from the govern-
    ment of the USVI for financial assistance from technical
    assistance funds provided  by the Office  of Territorial
    and Insular Affairs of the  U.S. Department of the Inte-
    rior. The grant was awarded in March 1991. The pro-
    posed  project  combined  existing  information  from
    several USVI  government  agencies to produce CIS
    overlays, as shown in Table 1 (5).
    
    In addition, according to  the grant application, (which
    was written by the Virgin  Islands government and may
    not   have  represented  U.S.  Geological   Survey's
    [USGS's]  intentions)  the  National  Mapping  Division
    (NMD) of the USGS agreed to digitize the eight USGS
    1:24,000-scale quad sheets ("quadrangles")  that cover
    the  USVI,  including the following categories:
    
    • Roads and trails
      - Power transmission lines
    
    • Hydrography
      - Stream networks
      - Shorelines
      - Wetlands
      - Mangroves
      - Reefs
    Table 1.  GIS Overlays
    
    Agency
    GIS Overlays
    DPNR
    WAPA
    VITEMA and emergency services
    DPW
    Zoning
    Flood plain
    Subdivision
    
    Water distribution
    Aquifer profiles
    Electrical distribution
    
    Critical routes
    Critical facilities
    
    Sewer line network
    Transportation
    Flood plain
    DPNR   = Department of Planning and Natural Resources
    WAPA   = [Virgin Islands] Water and Power Authority
    VITEMA = Virgin Islands Emergency Management Agency
    DPW   = Department of Public Works
    

    -------
    • Topographic contours
    
    • Political boundaries
    
    (These categories were  subsequently adjusted based
    on discussion between the USGS, WAPA, and govern-
    ment  agencies. Documentation for these new cover-
    ages  is  not  available,  but  the  general idea holds,
    although  no VITEMAdata were used, and the USGS did
    not digitize the WAPA power system.)
    
    The underlying notion was that  the  whole  would be
    bigger than the parts—each organization would bring its
    own corporate data and maps so all could share in the
    digitized product.
    
    Five objectives were identified for the  project:
    
    • Provide the USGS in  St. Thomas  with a complete
      microcomputer (CIS) workstation.
    • Develop  a  digitized
      graphic maps.
    database  from USGS topo-
    • Contract for the digitizing.
    
    • Acquire digital data to load into CIS.
    
    • Enter data not in digital format.
    
    The proposal required a 50-percent local cost contribu-
    tion to the project,  including a matching suite of hard-
    ware for data maintenance, backup, and analysis. The
    application stated that itemized costs  of $305,000 "will
    be provided by  the Virgin  Islands Water and  Power
    Authority (WAPA) and the Office of Territorial and Inter-
    national Affairs."
    
    The project application  is ambiguous  about the nature
    of the  hardware and operating  systems that the CIS
    requires. A list of hardware for USGS use refers to a
    "microcomputer workstation." Later references to "ESRI
    ARC/INFO workstation  software," however, indicate to
    sophisticated users that these applications require UNIX
    workstations and UNIX  language operating systems. In
    general, UNIX is not used  or supported in  the Virgin
    Islands. Some Virgin Island officials associated with the
    CIS project feel they were not fully informed about the
    CIS operating environment and the long-term support
    costs to which they were committing.
    
    A frustration for  USGS in the project stems from the
    somewhat limited role the agency has had in providing
    high-quality data conversion services (digitizing).  One
    USGS staff  member explained  that unfortunately the
    agency's mandate  only extends to  providing data; the
    agency "can't get involved in applications."
    
    The initial project  proposal also was unclear about owner-
    ship of the digitized data. The proposal spoke in general
    terms: "All available  digital data and attributes will be com-
    plete,  accurate, and up-to-date at the end of the  project,
                                   and will be available for use and transfer to the Depart-
                                   ment of Planning and Natural Resources (DPNR) (5)."
    
                                   Given the conditions and environmental constraints dis-
                                   cussed, a number of specific differences developed be-
                                   tween the CIS implementation processes of the BVI and
                                   the USVI.
                                   Initial System Planning Activities
    British Virgin Islands
    
    Although the BVI had no formal systems plan, consult-
    ants worked with the Town and  Country Planning De-
    partment on four different occasions to provide insight
    into some aspect of CIS applications. Sometimes, the
    benefits from the consultations  were neither the type
    nor the quality the department originally expected.  In
    general, however, each provided some additional per-
    spective on the possible benefits and perils of imple-
    menting a CIS.
    
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    The USVI apparently made few  initial system planning
    efforts, although the U.S. Department of the Interior and
    USGS have wide  experience in the territory. (An in-
    formed source claims a grant was  made, possible by
    EPA, for a preceding $50,000 CIS project,  but no men-
    tion of this has been found in the materials available for
    this article, either as a proposal, or  in terms of specific
    products.) Possibly, this very familiarity led to a series of
    unexamined assumptions and diminished  communica-
    tions about the exact terms of the assistance and serv-
    ices that the USGS exchanged with several agencies of
    the Virgin  Island government.
    
    One indicator of the lack of system planning activities in
    the Virgin Islands is a proposal  that the Virgin Islands
    Emergency Management Agency (VITEMA) circulated
    fora "Geographical Information Systems: Technical Op-
    erators Meeting." This  proposal, from an  agency that
    has always been one  of the most important participants
    in  CIS activities, called for a "technical working group"
    to  examine existing database management systems in
    the territory to develop a planning  strategy  for imple-
    menting CIS.1 This proposal was dated September
    28, 1992, 10 days before the  USGS  announced a
    demonstration of the completed  products of Phase I of
    the "comprehensive geographic information system be-
    ing developed for the USVI (6)."
                                   1 Ward, R.G. 1992. Geographical information systems: Technical op-
                                   erators meeting. Memorandum to Cyrille  Singleton. VITEMA, St.
                                   Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands (September).
    

    -------
    Software Selected and Rationale
    
    British Virgin Islands
    
    In part because of the extended timeframe for the BVI
    planning and initiation of the CIS system, the Town and
    Country Planning Department never  committed  to  a
    specific system configuration until the last stages of the
    planning process.
    
    This process of "creative procrastination" had three syn-
    ergistic results:
    
    • PC  power increased (and prices  decreased) to the
      point where reasonably priced systems could perform
      many of the compute- and data-intensive operations
      demanded for graphics software mapping.
    
    • ARC/INFO released the ARC/CAD version of its CIS
      software, which worked on PCs within the well-known
      AutoCAD drafting software. Architect and engineering
      offices in the BVI already used computer-aided design
      (CAD) software, so upgrading to  include CIS func-
      tionality was relatively easy.
    
    • The fourth  CIS consultant to work  in the BVI was
      experienced in implementing systems in the Carib-
      bean and had special knowledge and access to  early
      versions  of both  ARC/CAD  and  Version  1.0  of
      ARC/VIEW. These two tools, based  on a last minute
      proposal  by International  Development  Advisory
      Services (IDAS) of Miami, Florida,  a  private CIS sup-
      port contractor, became the basis  for the BVI CIS.
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    Workstation ARC/INFO 6.1 was selected as the basic
    software for the  USVI CIS project  because it is the
    USGS standard software. In the environment surround-
    ing  the USVI project, this  seemed  to be  a  sufficient
    explanation, although there may  have  been other rea-
    sons. Because of this  decision, however, WAPAand the
    DPNR lack any means of updating map or attribute data
    files. Outside providers, such as the USGS's NMD,  must
    perform that service. The USGS has  noted that the only
    reason WAPA and DPNR lack these capabilities is be-
    cause they (WAPA and  DPNR)  failed to  provide the
    matching suite of hardware and software specified in the
    grant application.
    
    The digitized water supply system offers an example of
    the extra costs that such a condition creates. The USGS
    built an ARC/INFO coverage by converting mapped data
    from AutoCAD source files, which they then linked to
    detailed attribute information about each  element (e.g.,
    pipe, valve, elbow) in the system. The USGS then  used
    ARC/INFO  network software,  purchased with  project
    funds, to build a network model that analyzes and dis-
    plays the operation of the entire water distribution sys-
    tem—but no software in the Virgin Islands can run the
    network model.
    
    Hardware Platforms
    
    British Virgin Islands
    
    The BVI CIS was originally installed on a Compaq 486-
    50, with a 21-inch screen.  The Town and Country Plan-
    ning Department soon learned, however, that data input
    would be more efficient if two or three smaller machines
    split the work, with the Compaq available for analysis
    and data quality checking.  The department upgraded its
    existing office computers to handle the data entry. Users
    already feel the  need for networked  applications to
    share data more quickly.  Plans  for CIS expansion to
    other offices, such as the Electricity  Corporation,  in-
    crease the pressure for an  extended local area network.
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    The system that the USGS used to build the USVI CIS
    database was a Data  General  UNIX workstation with
    one large digitizing tablet and one pen plotter. No match-
    ing or comparable hardware are installed anywhere in
    the USVI, as the original project proposal had  foreseen.
    Observers tend to agree,  however, that the  failure to
    provide a specific hardware configuration is less signifi-
    cant than the lack of committed, senior, full-time techni-
    cal staff. This staff is required to operate the level of CIS
    facility that the USGS envisioned.
    
    Base  Map Priorities and Layers
    Constructed
    
    British Virgin Islands
    
    Building a map database is proving to be a long process
    for the  Town and Country Planning Department. This is
    complicated by the failure  of a key digitizing contractor
    in Texas to provide property lines in a format conducive
    to  constructing accurate property polygons.  Operators
    in  the  Town and Country Planning Department  have
    increased  their data entry efficiencies,  however, and
    most properties on the most densely inhabited islands
    have now been digitized.
    
    Producing demonstration data displays accounts for a
    significant part of the cost of developing databases  for
    the early phases of the BVI CIS implementation. These
    demonstrations aim to illustrate  possible new applica-
    tion areas for other agencies and departments of the BVI
    that are interested in cooperating and  sharing costs of
    additional system development. For example, the  Elec-
    tricity Corporation and the National Disaster Prepared-
    ness Agency need to map emergency services.
    
    Converting the data (i.e., digitizing) in house in the BVI
    has produced costs and  benefits. The costs revolve
    

    -------
    around the steep learning curve for data entry proce-
    dures and the constant distractions  of responding
    quickly to  "outsiders" who may be important long-term
    supporters of the CIS. The benefits include increasing
    staff skills  and the ability to build constituencies for the
    program by promptly responding to real needs.
    
    Coverage  priorities for the BVI CIS include a national
    addressing system, completion  of the territorial land
    use mapping, and accurate cadastral mapping (which
    has major environmental planning  and management
    implications).
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    The USGS produced 44 coverages for the Virgin Islands
    from a variety of sources. Table 2 shows the major
    coverages and scales, by island.
    
    Table 2. Major Coverages and Scales for the USVI
    St. Croix        St. John            St. Thomas
    STC water
    distribution
    1 :2,400
    STC roads
    1 :2,400
    STC building
    footprints
    1 :2,400
    STC shorelines
    1 :2,400
    STC DIG
    boundaries
    1 :24,000
    STC DIG
    roads
    1 :24,000
    STC DIG
    hydrography
    1 :24,000
    STC DIG
    hypsography
    1 :24,000
    STJ water
    distribution
    1 :2,400
    STJ roads
    1 :2,400
    STJ building
    footprints
    1 :2,400
    STJ shorelines
    1 :2,400
    STJ DIG boundaries
    1 :24,000
    
    STC DIG roads
    1 :24,000
    
    STJ DIG
    hydrography
    1 :24,000
    STJ DIG
    hypsography
    1 :24,000
    STT water distribution
    1:2,400
    
    STT roads
    1:2,400
    STT building
    footprints
    1:2,400
    STT shorelines
    1:2,400
    STT DIG boundaries
    1 :24,000
    
    STT DIG roads
    1 :24,000
    
    STT DIG
    hydrography
    1 :24,000
    STT DIG
    hypsography
    1 :24,000
    In addition, the following  National Park Service  data
    were converted and added to the data set but were not
    produced by the USGS:
    
    • STJ NPS boundaries, 1:24,000
    
    • STJ NPS roads, 1:24,000
    
    • STJ NPS hydrography,  1:24,000
    
    • STJ NPS hypsography,  1:24,000
    
    • STJ NPS benthic communities, 1:24,000
    
    • STJ NPS historical  sites, 1:24,000
    
    • STJ NPS vegetative cover, 1:24,000
    Mapping for St. Thomas, St. John, and St. Croix identi-
    fied a total of 10 coverages for each island. They are
    based on  information from the USGS ("quad sheets"
    specifically demarking political boundaries,  shorelines
    and streams, topography, and roads) and higher preci-
    sion  WAPA mapping, which derives from 1986 aerial
    photogrammetry, including left and right  road bounda-
    ries,  building footprints, shorelines, and  water supply
    system data. The WAPA data are at 1:2,400 scale, an
    order of magnitude more precise than the USGS base
    map. St. John mapping consists of 10  added layers
    based on  data  that the Virgin Islands National Park
    (VINP) provided.
    
    The original USVI project proposal referred to a two-phase
    process of database development, shown below (5):
     Phase
    
     I.  Base system
       development
                                                           Agency extensions
                                                           (i.e., by USVI
                                                           agencies)
    Tasks
    
    Water distribution network
    Power distribution network
    Flood plain maps
    
    Land use maps
    Transportation  networks
    Emergency facility networks
    Tax parcel/land value
    The USGS announced that Phase I was completed in
    October 1992 (6). Supposedly, the contents of these two
    phases were subsequently adjusted to reflect a different
    range of coverages, but the notion of a "Phase  II" in
    which local  agencies would assume  more operating
    responsibilities was retained.
    
    Ownership of, access to, and terms that govern the use
    of this digital data are confused. The USGS says it is
    unable to provide an authoritative catalog of the cover-
    ages because "one has not been produced." WAPAsays
    it has several diskettes of data in the safe but no equip-
    ment to  manipulate them. The VINP has learned that it
    can use its own data as well as WAPA data converted
    and attributed  by the  USGS,  but the park does not
    possess or use USGS digital line graph (DIG) data. To
    personnel in USVI  agencies, USGS statements  have
    clouded the question of access to the CIS information.
    For example, one such statement announced that the
    USGS Water Management Division cannot make the
    digitized  data  available to Virgin  Island  government
    agencies.
    
    The DPNR apparently  has no means of making direct
    use of the digital data. First, DPNR has no hardware or
    software that can use the data.  Secondly, it has no
    operators  who can build the GIS systems to actually
    apply the data to decision-making  needs. The depart-
    ment is  said to be  preparing a new GIS  proposal for
    training, hardware, and software for a new GIS system.
    According to unconfirmed rumors, this system  will be
    based on MapGrafix, a Macintosh mapping system.
    

    -------
    In operational terms, the data seem to belong to WAPA,
    which contributed major financial support and map re-
    sources to the project. WAPA has been helpful in  pro-
    viding copies of the digital  data to other groups  and
    agencies.
    
    Environmental Problem-Solving in Local
    Decision-Making
    
    British Virgin Islands
    
    In the BVI, the first priority of the CIS  facilities is to
    extend the National Addressing System and  to improve
    the  property ownership system. This will both improve
    postal services, as originally proposed, and provide bet-
    ter  information for  important  revenue  and  financial
    analyses. Land use mapping and environmental impact
    assessments are important second priorities for  CIS
    applications. Other features already developed  for in-
    terim studies and analyses  include mapping of signifi-
    cant coastal and wildlife features and environmentally
    sensitive areas from the Anegada Development Plan
    and mapping of important submarine habitats  adjacent
    to Virgin Gorda.
    
    The BVI have concentrated on developing CIS applica-
    tions to address strategically  important  issues  in the
    territory. Marine and coastal  resources  are vitally impor-
    tant to the BVI economy. They embody historical  and
    cultural values, as well as maintain a high-quality envi-
    ronment to support charter yacht-based tourism, which
    is integral to the BVI economy. The Conservation  and
    Fisheries Department  is working with the  Town  and
    Country Planning Department  to convert the country's
    coastal atlas to digital form (see section on  Principal
    Users), as has been done on a demonstration  basis for
    the Anegada and Virgin Gorda mapping.
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    In the USVI, environmental  decision-making generally
    follows an adversarial, rather than  a  problem-solving
    format. A combination  of historical and cultural factors
    have created the general assumption that the develop-
    ment process creates winners and losers. In this envi-
    ronment, information  becomes  an  important tactical
    weapon, making it difficult to gather support for activities
    or programs that aim to make  information more widely
    accessible.  Technology is more acceptable, and more
    likely to receive leadership support, if it  is justified on
    technical, less "political" terms.
    
    The  USGS team made  a presentation  on  the  Virgin
    Islands CIS  in October 1992, after just completing the
    digital coverages for Phase I of the CIS project.  The
    presentation emphasized that the CIS is intended to
    provide decision-makers with easily accessible spatial
    information (6).
    
    Originally, the CIS was expected to benefit primarily the
    territory's three coastal zone commissions in their as-
    sessment of environmental effects of major develop-
    ment proposals. The ground-water protection program
    of the Division of Environmental Protection of the DPNR
    is using CIS analyses produced by the Water Resources
    Division of the USGS,  employing  the USVI CIS cover-
    ages with added data  (e.g., wells) that the Water Re-
    sources Division is digitizing.
    
    GIS Support Factors
    
    According to the GIS support contractor for the BVI, a
    successful GIS requires three key support elements:
    
    • GIS policy leadership
    
    • GIS technical leadership
    
    • Competent outside expert assistance
    
    The following summarizes the comparative experience
    of the two programs for these three key implementation
    support factors:
     Support
     Factors
    
     GIS
     policy
               BVI
    
               Town and
               Country Planning
               Department
               director led
               project from chief
               minister's office
    
    GIS        BVI technician
    technician  trained in the
               United  States
    USVI
    
    No GIS manager
    in government
     Outside
     support
               UNDP and IDAS
    No GIS specialist
    in government
    (draftsman at
    WAPA)
    
    USGS technical
    support and  U.S.
    Department of
    the Interior
    financial support
    Principal Users: Planned and Actual
    
    British Virgin Islands
    
    The BVI Department of Finance is the first user of data
    products from the GIS, based on the initial funding for
    the addressing system. This system is based on detailed
    parcel maps of the BVI so that the effective base map
    resolution of the BVI system is 1:2,500. This is  consid-
    erably finer than the 1:24,000 scale of the USVI maps.
    

    -------
    The Town and Country Planning Department, however,
    is working to recruit other users to the system, including:
    
    • Public Works.
    
    • Water and Sewerage Department for a systemwide
      map (which may eventually spin  off as a separate
      system, given this department's long-term interest in
      engineering-quality facilities management information).
    
    • Conservation and  Fisheries.
    
    • British Overseas Development Administration, which
      funded a  coastal atlas for the BVI (7). At the sugges-
      tion of the Town and Country Planning  Department,
      this mapping was developed in ARC/INFO.  A pro-
      posal has been made to convert the coastal atlas to
      digital form for natural resource management appli-
      cations,  with  a demonstration already  developed
      showing the distribution of sensitive marine commu-
      nities around Virgin Gorda.
    
    In addition to these uses, the  CIS group is starting to
    experiment  with the use of remote sensing products in
    CIS production, which would encourage the use of CIS
    for natural resource change detection.
    
    The Town and Country Planning Department's CIS spe-
    cialist,  Mikey Farara, is  being reassigned  to provide
    networking  support (including CIS distribution over the
    network) for several government agencies. Meanwhile,
    the CIS operation is adding a cartographer to assist in
    tailoring CIS products to users' needs.
    
    As enthusiasm for the CIS has blossomed in the BVI,
    managing for realistic expectations  and stressing the
    investment costs that participating agencies can expect
    have become problems for the Town and Country Plan-
    ning Department.
    
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    
    Complex evaluation issues  face the USVI's  three
    coastal zone  commissions  (one on  each  island).
    Therefore,  land use planning in general  and coastal
    zone permitting specifically were assumed to  be im-
    portant first users of the CIS. The DNPR, however,
    had no process to prepare the Division of Comprehen-
    sive  and Coastal Zone  Planning to  implement this
    system. In addition, the scale of permitting decisions
    may be too  fine forthe CIS base map. (See discussion
    of scale below.)
    
    WAPA is not using the CIS data. One senior manager
    characterized their experience with the CIS project as
    "paying a lot of money for a diskette of data that we keep
    locked in the safe."
    
    The VINP (part of the U.S. National  Park Service) and
    Biosphere Reserve have  purchased a PC-based CIS
    system and employed an analyst to implement it for the
    park and adjacent areas on St. John and the surround-
    ing seas. With this system, they plan to enter the USGS-
    developed data into the database. In addition, the Virgin
    Islands Resource Management Cooperative (a collabo-
    ration of research and resource management organiza-
    tions) makes the VINP CIS data and analytical capabilities
    available to members, including government members.
    
    At this time, the only major Virgin Islands government
    user of the CIS is  the ground-water protection group of
    the  DPNR's Division of Environmental Protection.  Be-
    cause they lack equipment or software to manipulate the
    CIS  data  already available, they use the Water  Re-
    sources Division of USGS as a CIS contractor. This
    arrangement has two problems:
    
    • High costs: Although the USGS "owns" the existing
      digital data, and processing private contracts  would
      be complex, DPNR believes it could get similar serv-
      ices at cheaper prices from other vendors.
    
    • Inappropriate  scale:  Environmental   management
      processes in the Virgin Islands (and in  most other
      small  island states)  require knowledge  of property
      ownership, implying  maximum  map  scales  of
      1:5,000  to 1:10,000. The USGS quad sheet scale
      of 1:24,000 is  too coarse for many  management
      purposes. Costs of remapping areas of concern at
      the higher resolution are high, and the problems of
      maintaining multiple map resolutions and sources
      are not  trivial.
    
    What GIS Can Do
    
    Joseph Berry has proposed seven basic categories of
    "What GIS Can Do for You" (8). These applications can
    be related to the GIS products and proposals forthe BVI
    and  USVI, with  special attention given to natural re-
    source and environmental issues. Table 3 shows what
    coverages that have been or are being developed for
    the two systems can do.
    
    Table 3 illustrates two contrasting issues separating the
    two jurisdictions. The USVI have the data available to
    perform a  number of relatively complex analytical proc-
    esses, especially in St. John. They have no capability to
    actually  execute any such studies,  however. The BVI,
    on the other hand, have proposed and often developed
    pilot or demonstration applications for several GIS uses
    but still need to develop the data resources to support
    these on a territorywide basis.
    
    Lessons Learned
    
    The  comparative experience of these two very distinct
    GIS programs reinforces three basic lessons of informa-
    tion system design and implementation:
    
    • Plan, don't assume: The prolonged, sometimes repe-
      titious, planning process that evolved  in  the  BVI
    

    -------
    Table 3.  Coverage Capabilities
                                                      USVI
                                                                                          BVI
    Questions:
    Can you map it?
    Where is what?
    
    
    
    
    Where has it changed?
    
    What relationships exist?
    Where is it best?
    What affects what?
    What if...?
    Analytical
    Function
    Mapping
    Natural resource
    management
    
    
    
    
    Temporal
    
    Spatial
    Suitability
    System
    Simulation
    Application
    USGS and WAPA-based
    coverages
    DIG hydrography
    DIG hypsography
    Well inventory
    STJ national park
    coverages
    DIG and WAPA
    Boundaries and roads
    1982 to 1989
    
    STJ national park
    coverages (limited
    application)
    STJ national park
    coverages (limited
    application)
    None discussed
    Status Application
    Done Land use cadastral
    Done Coastal atlas
    Sensitive areas
    Done Significant features
    Population data
    Done Land use
    Done Sensitive areas
    
    Done Land use updates population
    
    Land use
    Population data
    Coastal atlas
    Done Land use
    Coastal atlas
    Sensitive areas
    Significant features
    Done Land use
    Coastal atlas
    Sensitive areas
    Significant features
    Population data
    Speculation, but no plans to
    implement yet
    Status
    Done and
    proposed
    Proposed
    and partial
    Major
    islands done
    
    
    
    Proposed
    Proposed
    Partial
    Proposed
    Partial
    Partial
    Partial and
    proposed
    
      involved multiple consultants providing often conflict-
      ing advice. This process served to educate policy-mak-
      ers and  managers  in  a  much  broader  range of
      possibilities and avoidable problems than were avail-
      able to the USVI. A corollary to the need for careful
      planning is the need to  avoid making decisions or
      commitments to specific systems before such deci-
      sions  are absolutely necessary. Especially in systems
      involving high technology, premature decisions often
      mean early obsolescence.
    
      Implement  in  phases  with  early  demonstration
      products:  Some issues, such  as cadastral mapping
      and scale, are so subtle to inexperienced users  that
      they need practice in real-life situations. If the USGS
      had spotted the scale problems at an early stage in
      the data conversion process, the  USGS may have
      been  able to provide a better solution. Some USVI
      critics claim the "1:24,000—one size fits all" attitude
      characterizes the federal approach.
    
      Identify critical success factors for each situation: In
      some environments (e.g., USVI), CIS is most attrac-
      tive for its ability to provide enhanced powers of
      analysis. In others,  such as the BVI,  it is seen as a
      data integration tool and  as a way to better inform
      political leadership and the  public. To ensure suc-
      cess, major CIS implementations also need to  meet
      the three major support requirements:
      - A political/senior management "chief
      - A technical "chief
      - Competent outside technical assistance
    
    Finally, implementers should recognize that they have a
    stake in  open  information sharing. They should  seek
    ways  to  redefine the decision-making  process  as a
    nonzero sum game:  more information should benefit all
    parties. Of course, such changed attitudes require fun-
    damental value shifts that take a long time  to achieve
    and may have high short-term costs.
    
    
    References
    
    1. McElroy, J.L. 1991. The stages of tourist development in small
      Caribbean and Pacific  islands. In: Proceedings  of the International
      Symposium on the Island Economies: Policy Models for Planning
      Development, Lesbos, Greece (November).
    2. Bureau  of Economic Research,  Virgin Island Department of
      Commerce. 1994.  Economic indicators. St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin
      Islands  (July).
    

    -------
    3.  Potter, L. 1984. Program notes from the Caribbean Conference of
       Planners, Kingston, Jamaica.
    
    4.  Potter, B., K. Green, and M. Goodwin. 1988. Management of natu-
       ral resource information for the  Virgin Islands National Park and
       Biosphere Reserve: Special biosphere reserve report. St. Thomas,
       U.S. Virgin  Islands: Island  Resources Foundation.
    
    5.  Government of the U.S. Virgin Islands. 1991.  Application for tech-
       nical assistance funds:  Virgin Islands GIS system. Office of Terri-
       torial and  International Affairs,  U.S.  Department  of the Interior
       (April).
    6.  Parks, J.E. 1992. Invitation to a demonstration of the Virgin Islands
       GIS. U.S. Geological Survey, St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands (Oc-
       tober).
    
    7.  University of Manchester, British Overseas Development Admini-
       stration. 1993.  British Virgin  Islands coastal  atlas.  Project was
       collaboration between graduate students at Manchester University,
       the  British government, and the government of the British  Virgin
       Islands.
    
    8.  Berry, J.K. 1994. What GIS can do for you. GIS  World. Boulder,
       CO  (May).
    

    -------
           The Application of Geographic Information Systems in the
      Development of Regional  Restoration Goals for Wetland Resources
                     in the Greater Los Angeles Drainage Area
    
                            Charles Rairdan and Richard F. Ambrose
                       U.S. Army Corps of Engineers - Los Angeles District
    
    ABSTRACT
    The 2,320 square-mile  Greater Los Angeles Drainage Area historically supported a broad
    diversity and extent of wetland resources that have been almost entirely lost or transformed by a
    system of upstream impoundments, channelization of lowland watercourses, depletion of
    ground water supplies,  and widespread development.
    
    Restoration planning efforts are now mostly site-specific, concentrated in the coastal zone, and
    do not adequately consider the functional  linkages with adjoining ecosystems or the effects of
    urbanization in the contributing watersheds. Because it is unlikely that a significant likeness of
    the region's wetland heritage can be recovered, it will be important to instead optimize the
    functions performed by the remaining and restored systems.
    
    Geographic Information Systems (GIS) was used in conjunction with a modified
    Hydrogeomorphic (HGM) classification method to reconstruct recent historic (ca. 1870) wetland
    resource conditions, and to perform a landscape-level comparison with current conditions to
    determine the nature and extent of the associated functional losses.
    
    Results indicated the widespread loss of individual wetland resource functions within the
    categories of: hydrologic, water quality, nutrient cycling/food chain support, and habitat; and
    severe disruption of the broadscale functions of landscape maintenance and biodiversity, which
    relate the successful performance and continuity of the individual functions and the biological
    integrity of supporting ecosystems.
    
    In response to these findings, a set of fifteen, function-based regional restoration goals was
    developed, the objectives of which are to rehabilitate key elements of the current landscape
    (hydrology, sediment and nutrient budgets, water quality, and habitat) with restoration measures
    that will enhance the long-term success and regional sustainability of remaining and restored
    

    -------
    wetlands, and that will lead to the creation of new restoration opportunities in a highly
    constrained urban environment.
    
    This study effectively demonstrates the capabilities of GIS in conducting landscape-scale
    analyses of multiattribute systems in support of regional and watershed planning activities.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    Background
    Wetland losses in southern California, among the highest in the U.S., are on the order of 90
    percent (Dahl 1990), and are frequently higher in coastal areas where development is
    concentrated. As momentum builds to restore the region's wetland resources, the range and
    intensity of stakeholder interests, the extent to which the landscape has been altered, and
    ongoing development pressures all act to hinder the coordinated progress of these efforts
    (Sorensen and Gates 1984).
    
    Restoration planning and research in the region have typically focused on individual tracts of
    wetlands. Moreover, the functional linkages of coastal and inland systems have not been
    sufficiently recognized and incorporated into the planning process (Rairdan 1998).In order to
    promote a more cohesive approach to wetlands restoration planning in the metropolitan Los
    Angeles area, a landscape-level comparison of recent historic (ca. 1870) and current wetland
    resource conditions was performed with Geographic Information Systems (GIS) to serve as a
    basis for the development of a comprehensive set of function-based restoration goals.
    
    This paper outlines the role of GIS in that research and provides examples of the methodologies
    and results generated. A full description of the study and its data are available in Rairdan
    (1998).
    
    Study Area
    The Greater Los Angeles Drainage Area (GLADA) comprises a 2,320 square-mile area and five
    constituent watersheds (Figure 1). The majority of the study area is covered by Los Angeles
    County, but also contains portions of Ventura, San Bernardino, Riverside, and Orange Counties.
    The current population of the Los Angeles metropolitan area is about 14 million  people.
    

    -------
    Figure I.The greater Los Angeles drainage area and constituent watersheds.
    
    The major landforms in the region include the high-ranging (3,000 to 10,000 feet elevation)
    interior San Gabriel mountains, the interior (San Fernando and San Gabriel) valleys, and the
    ring of coastal mountains (1,500 to 2,000 feet elevation) that encloses the coastal plain and
    geologically separates it from the interior valleys. At the transition between these two landforms
    are the mountain gaps (Glendale and Whittier Narrows) through which the Los Angeles and San
    Gabriel Rivers pass, and where ground water flows from the interior valleys historically re-
    emerged as surface flows during the dry season. In a similar manner, the Lower Santa Ana
    River emerges from a gap in the coastal range in the southeastern portion of the study area and
    formerly debauched its alluvial contents onto the coastal plain.
    The orographic effect of the interior mountains and steep elevational gradient (approximately
    5,000 feet over a 45-mile distance) of this coastal drainage result in periodic, high-volume, high-
    velocity flood flows (flashy hydrology) that accompany the large winter storms of the region.
    

    -------
    The overall climate in GLADA is Mediterranean, marked by warm, sunny winters having widely
    variable precipitation, and hot, rainless summers moderated by coastal breezes. The diversity
    and arrangement of major landforms, however, coupled with the basin's proximity to the ocean,
    result in a set of distinct microclimates-ranging from marine conditions in the coastal plain to
    alpine weather in the interior mountains. The complex interactions of climate and major
    landforms, in turn, once resulted in a broad diversity of wetland ecosystems across the semi-
    arid landscape (Rairdan 1998).
    
    Research Questions
    Given the apparent extensive loss of wetland resources in the study area due to widespread
    development over the last 120 years, GIS was utilized to facilitate the resolution of the following
    research questions:
    
           1.  What were the recent historic wetland resource conditions in GLADA?
    
           2.  What are the current wetland resource conditions?
    
           3.  What has been the nature (in terms of ecosystem structure and function) and extent
              of wetland resource losses in the region?
    
           4.  How might some of these losses be reversed or ameliorated at the regional scale of
              planning?
    

    -------
    METHODS
    GIS Database
    Applying the principles of landscape ecology and computer modeling techniques (Forman and
    Godron 1986, Haines-Young et al. 1993, Stow 1993), Arclnfo® GIS was employed to reconstruct
    recent historic and current wetland resource conditions. However, only through the availability of
    complete sets of early U.S. Coast and Geodetic Surveys (1859-1893; 1:10,000) and USDA Soil
    Surveys (ca. 1910), augmented by a variety of other manuscript maps, historic photos, and
    narrative accounts in  university and regional archives, was the proposed research considered
    feasible. The period of circa 1870 for recent historic conditions was decided by the timing of en
    masse American settlement of the region, and the fact that most of the early landscape-level
    impacts to wetland resources occurred in the coastal zone, for which the original wetland
    configurations were known.
    
    The standardization of the modeling scale (approximately 1:100,000) and wetland resource
    feature resolution  (about a 5-acre minimum patch size) were determined by the soil survey map
    specifications, which included a scale appropriate for the level of detail needed for the study and
    which could be consistently reconciled among the various historic data sources and between
    recent historic and current conditions.
    
    To reduce the amount of digitizing needed to construct the GIS model, USGS  1:100,000
    hydrography data was imported from the Internet (http://nhd.usgs.gov/) and adapted as a
    template layer for both recent historic and current conditions. Because the interior mountain
    areas of GLADA had  not been extensively altered by development, manual digitization of recent
    historic conditions was limited primarily to the lowland areas and, for current conditions, the
    revision of existing wetland resource features.
    
    In addition to these principal data layers, supplemental layers of topography (DEM), land use,
    former artesian areas, and microclimatic zones were adapted from existing data sources to
    facilitate the landscape-scale analysis of the region's wetland resources.
    
    To ensure topologic consistency between recent historic and current conditions, a system of
    cross-referencing  the available source maps, and field verification of the mapped features and
    vestigial landforms (for recent historic conditions) was employed. Thomas Brothers® street maps
    were indispensable to accomplishing this task in the large, ubanized study area. Access to a full
    

    -------
    set of high-resolution aerial photographs, however, would have greatly facilitated the data and
    model validation process.
    
    Wetland resource features were categorized in the GIS database as either point, linear, or areal
    feature types depending on how much was known about them geographically and how they
    were depicted on source maps. For instance, because little is known about the former extent of
    the region's vernal pool complexes other than their approximate location, these systems were
    identified as point features and, along with the other feature types, associated with a
    characteristic set of structural and functional attributes.  Riverine wetland resources were mostly
    described as linear features,  whereas marsh-like wetlands or systems having a discernable
    area were delimited as polygon features.
    
    Once the wetland resource features were established within the GIS database and delineated
    with the below-described classification system, their relative quantities and distributions within
    GLADA, the fate (converted,  extirpated,  or remaining) and extent of recent historic wetland
    resources, and the extent of newly created wetland resources could all be determined by query
    and overlay analyses.
    
    Wetland Resource Classification System
    Wetland resource types were classified with a system adapted from Brinson's (1993)
    Hydrogeomorphic (HGM) method that grouped structurally-similar wetland resources  into the
    regional classes of riverine, depressional, slope, and estuarine fringe. The wetland resource
    types within each class (Table 1) were further distinguished according to their functional
    differences along the landscape gradients of geomorphic setting, substrate and vegetation,
    water supply, and hydrodynamics. Table 2 presents an  example of this classification scheme,
    which served, in effect, as the primary attribute table for the digital wetland resource features.
    

    -------
                     Table 1. Recent historic and current (in italics)
                     wetland resource types by regional class occurring
                     within the study area.	
                     RIVERINE:
                     Upper Riverine
                     Dry Wash
                     Lower Riverine
                     Riverine Marsh
                     Braided Lower Riverine
                     Soft-Bottomed Channel
                     Concrete-Lined Channel
    
                     SLOPE:
                     Slope Marsh
                     Peat Marsh
    DEPRESSIONAL:
    Vernal Pool
    Ephemeral Lake/Pond
    Depressional Marsh
    Non-Tidal Salt Marsh
    Flood Control Basin
    Reservoir/Recreational
    Lake
    Spreading Ground
    Constructed Lake/Pond
    
    ESTUARINE FRINGE:
    Tidal Marsh
    Marina/Harbor
                Table 2. Example of the wetland resource classification system.
    Wetland | Geomorphic Setting | Substrate and
    Resource || || Vegetation
    Water
    Supply
    Hydrodynamics
    
    RIVERINE:
    Braided
    Lower
    Riverine
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Lower reaches of mainstem
    channels characterized by a
    wide flood plain and
    meandering streams;
    wetlands occur in linear
    arrangements immediately
    adjacent to streams and in
    patchy distributions within
    the broader flood plain.
    
    Medium- to fine-
    grained
    sediments;
    vegetation
    charac-terized
    by riparian shrub
    and tree
    communities on
    point bars and
    river banks.
    Fresh;
    intermit-tent
    to seasonal;
    meandering
    and
    overbank
    flows,
    shallow
    ground water
    table.
    High volume,
    low velocity
    flows result in
    wider flood plain
    and longer
    residence times;
    some ponding
    may occur.
    
    
    Assessment of Wetland Resource Functions and Values
    From the characterization of the physical attributes of the region's wetland resources, and in
    conjunction with an extensive literature review, functions within the categories of hydrologic,
    water quality, nutrient cycling/food chain support, and habitat (Table 3) were related to the
    individual wetland resource types and evaluated with a qualitative rating scale as being
    either:"not supported", "weakly supported", "moderately supported", or "strongly supported".
    

    -------
            Table 3. Wetland resource functions described in the study.
            HYDROLOGIC:                       WATER QUALITY:
            Flood Attenuation                     Sediment and Toxic Substance
            Ground Water Recharge               Removal
            Sediment and Bank Stabilization        Nutrient Removal
            NUTRIENT CYCLING                 HABITAT:
            /FOOD CHAIN SUPPORT:             Macroinvertebrates
            Primary Production                   Herpetofauna
            Decomposition                       Fish and Shellfish
            Nutrient Export                       Mammals
                                                Perching Birds
                                                Waterfowl and Shorebirds
    The broadscale functions of landscape maintenance (relating to the successful performance
    and continuity of the individual wetland resource functions along the landscape gradients of
    hydrology, sediment and nutrient budgets, water quality, and habitat) and biodiversity
    (landscape-level support of the richness and diversity of wetland-associated species) were also
    considered, along with the ecosystem values of aesthetics and recreation, education and
    research, and wetlands  heritage with regard to their potential to further the realization of the
    regional restoration goals ultimately defined by the study.
    
    
    In combination, these evaluations were performed to: (1) characterize the functional attributes
    (and ecosystem values) of GLADA's wetland resources; (2) assess the functional linkages of
    the different wetland resource types within the landscape; and, (3) to estimate the functional
    losses from recent historic times to the present. A complete description of these assessments is
    contained in Rairdan (1998).
    
    RESULTS
    GIS Maps and Data
    The graphic results of the completed GIS database were displayed on 44" x 36" color maps to
    adequately capture the scale, resolution, and connectivity of the wetland resource features
    within the context of the broader landscape, while quantitative data were summarized in tabular
    form.
    

    -------
    By comparing recent historic and current conditions, the former diversity and magnitude of the
    region's wetland resources were clearly revealed. Figure 2 provides an example of the dramatic
    differences in wetland environments that have occurred between the two resource periods, and
    illustrates the extent to which the landscape has been fundamentally altered from recent historic
    times.
    
    An example of the fate and current status (converted,  extirpated, remaining, and created)
    accounting of the region's wetland resources, generated by an overlay analysis of recent
    historic and current conditions, is provided in Table 4.  In addition to these quantities, the types
    of conversion (from one wetland resource type to another) were also determined to ascertain
    the nature of individual wetland resource transformations (Rairdan 1998).
                  Table 4. Example of the fate and current status accounting of
                                 wetland resources in GLADA.
    
    Lower
    Riverine
    Extent (in miles)
    Recent
    Historic (Total)
    705
    Converted
    368
    Extirpated
    318
    Remaining
    21
    Created
    13
    Current
    (Total)
    34
    

    -------
      •  Ve-nal Pool
    
         Upper Riverine
    /\/ Lower Riverine
    y\y Braided Lower Riverine
    
         Dry Wuh
         Ephemeral Lake/Pond
     ^H Depressiona! Marsh
         Slope Marsh
     H Peat Marsh
     H Tidal Marsh
    
     Shrinkage of Artesian Amas
     - ' '• Original
       I 1904
        Hfl25
                                   Pacilfc
                                   Ocean
      •  Vernal Pool
    
        Upper Riverine
    /\/ LOWBC Riverine
    A,/ Soft-Bonomed Crmnnel
    y\y Concrete-Lined Channel
    
        Constructed Lake.'Pond
         Flood Control Basin
         Dapresslonal Marsh
         Tidal Marsh
         Marinsi/Harbor
    
         Urbanlzsd Araa
                                   Pacific
                                   Ocean
                                                                                          Milei
    Figure 2. Gray-scale images of recent historic and current wetland resource
    conditions in the coastal reaches of San Diego Creek watershed.
                                                   10
    

    -------
    From the comprehensive analysis of the GIS-based model, the estimated functional losses of
    wetland resources in GLADA can best be described as widespread and extensive for the
    individual functions,  and as resulting in the severe disruption of the broadscale functions of
    landscape maintenance and biodiversity. This examination of the data also validated a main
    study premise that, at a regional scale of planning, the ecological integrity of the broadscale
    functions is paramount to the successful maintenance and performance of the individual
    wetland resource functions. This finding  provided perhaps the greatest impetus for the
    development of the regional restoration goals, and for reinforcing the ideas that a landscape
    approach to restoration planning and implementation is necessary to achieve the optimum
    restoration benefits,  and will more likely result in the restoration or creation  of regionally
    sustainable wetland  ecosystems.
    
    Regional Restoration Goals
    From the foregoing analyses and results, a set of 15 function-based regional restoration goals
    was derived. Table 5 presents an abbreviated description of these goals, which were developed
    in conjunction with a literature review of case studies in which similar landscape-scale goals and
    restoration measures had been either identified or implemented.
    
    The order in which the goals are presented approximates the manner in which the  individual
    wetland resource functions propagate within the natural environment and also considers the
    practical constraints imposed by the existing urban environment.  In Rairdan (1998), the
    identification of these goals was followed by a discussion and examples of some of the ways in
    which the goals might be applied throughout the region. Finally, it should be recognized that, in
    order to be successful, these goals would have to be implemented in a coordinated fashion, and
    that their time-frame for implementation (20 - 50 years) is commensurate with the spatial scale
    at which they were developed.
    
    DISCUSSION
    The application  of GIS in this study allowed for the development of an  integrated, landscape
    perspective of the region's wetland resources and associated functional capacities. And
    although it was apparent at the outset of the study that the historic losses were substantial, the
    revelation of the former diversity and extent of wetland resources by the GIS database was
    nonetheless striking. The degree to which the current landscape has been altered had in effect
    obscured the perception of a past landscape that was capable of supporting a wide range of
                                              11
    

    -------
    highly-productive wetland ecosystems.
    Table 5. Abbreviated description of the regional restoration goals.
    Goal
    No.
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    Function
    Type(s)1
    Hyd
    Hyd, LM
    Hyd,
    NC/FCS, LM
    Hyd, LM, B
    WQ
    WQ
    WQ, B
    All
    All
    Hab, B
    Hab, B
    Hab, B
    B
    B
    B
    Restoration Goal
    Increase wetlands with high flood attenuation capacity at strategic
    locations within the drainage.
    Restore historic flow regimes to wetland ecosystems in conjunction with
    regional flood control measures.
    Restore the continuity of fluvial processes in each watershed by, for
    example, modifying upstream reservoir operations, restoring natural
    flood plain systems, and by active management of sediment and nutrient
    budgets along the watershed continuum.
    Restore or locate wetland resources with high ground water recharge
    capacity or injection wells in areas that, in addition to replenishing
    ground water supplies, would benefit downgradient wetland habitats.
    Restore wetland resources that are conducive to the improvement of
    water quality near storm water outfalls.
    Implement effective storm water management practices in upland areas
    to reduce the levels of non-point source pollutants entering wetland
    environments.
    Restore historic temperature regimes to the region's wetland resources
    (e.g., by modified dam operations, revegetation of riparian corridors,
    etc.).
    Reduce the extent of concrete lined channel.
    Establish riparian corridors either within or parallel to existing flood
    control channels.
    Eradicate or control the propagation of invasive non-native species in
    existing and restored habitats.
    Enhance the habitat values of flood control basins and water
    conservation facilities.
    Restore/enhance lost and degraded tracts of tidal and freshwater marsh;
    increase the size and connectivity of viable habitats.
    Create a network of freshwater inland habitats that function as stopover
    sites and species pools to larger, more sustainable wetland sites.
    For species having poor dispersal capabilities, initiate restocking
    programs in conjunction with the creation/restoration of wetland habitats.
    Increase the connectivity of existing and restored wetlands with adjacent
    and upstream ecosystems.
     1 B = Biodiversity; Hab = Habitat; Hyd = Hydrologic; LM = Landscape Maintenance; NC/FCS =
     Nutrient Cycling/Food Chain Support; WQ = Water Quality.
    
    By compiling the available wetland resource data in the GIS database according to a consistent
    set of topologic and classification criteria, and by combining the primary data layers with other
    supporting themes, a landscape-scale model of the region's wetland resources was successfully
                                              12
    

    -------
    generated. The completed model was then able to provide reasonable approximations of both
    recent historic and current wetland resource distributions, the fate and current status of these
    resources, and a tangible depiction of the complex interactions of climate, major landforms,
    hydrology, and land use in the creation and maintenance of the associated functional capacities.
    
    Fundamental data gaps (e.g., only knowing the approximate location of historic vernal pool
    complexes or not knowing the lateral extent of most riverine wetlands) were successfully
    overcome by attributing the basic physical characteristics of each wetland resource type (i.e., its
    geomorphic  setting, the typical distribution of wetlands within that setting, substrate/vegetative
    qualities, water supply,  and hydrodynamics)  to the corresponding point, line, or polygon feature
    type. The physical attributes were then coupled with the functional qualitites (Rairdan 1998) of
    each wetland resource type to evaluate their relative support levels and to assess the functional
    linkages of the region's wetland resources along the landscape gradients of hydrology,
    sediment and nutrient budgets, water quality, and habitat.
    
    However, even when the areal extents of certain wetland resource types (e.g., estuarine and
    inland freshwater marsh) were sufficiently known, the qualitative nature and quantitative
    uncertainty of the model analysis required only an approximation of the magnitude at which the
    individual and broadscale functions were performed. In other words, for the purposes of defining
    a comprehensive and functionally-integrated set of regional restoration goals, we were more
    interested in assessing the processes by which the wetland resource functions perform within
    the landscape than in just producing  a numerical accounting of estimated wetland resource
    extents.
    
    Other key advantages of the  GIS database were the ease with which it could be modified and
    refined during its development and subsequently navigated for analysis. The numerous
    methodological questions that arose  during the concurrent tasks of data entry, development of
    the wetland resource classification system, wetland resource feature delineation, and attribute
    coding all required iterative and sometimes substantial changes to the GIS model as it was
    being built. Without the automated GIS capabilities, the heuristic qualities of the model and the
    manual implementation of its many changes would have likely proved too time-consuming and
    costly to warrant the construction of a non-digital version. Once the database was complete, the
    overlays and quantitative analyses and the production of large color maps for visual
    assessments were generally  straightforward and justified the initial database efforts.
                                               13
    

    -------
    Another time-saving aspect of the GIS resulted from the application of the principles of
    landscape ecology to the digital technology. For example, by definition, a landscape consists of
    a heterogenous mosaic of interacting ecosystem, or wetland resource, units that are
    characterized by spatially distinct landforms and a number of other interrelated physical and
    biological factors (Rairdan 1998).This definition was instrumental in determining where the
    boundaries between the different wetland resource types occurred (e.g., the transition between
    upper and lower riverine systems at the outlets of mountain canyons) within their characteristic
    landscape or geomorphic setting. By verifying  in the field what the typical landscape
    configuration was at the boundary between adjoining wetland resource types and adjacent
    upland ecosystems, these regionally consistent relationships were employed to delineate the
    wetland resource boundaries without having to physically inspect every resource juncture
    across the 2,300 square-mile study area. This technique also ensured greater data consistency
    between recent historic and current conditions than could otherwise be achieved by cross-
    referencing the available manuscript maps, narrative accounts, and historic photographs.
    
    In conclusion, the GIS model facilitated an in-depth understanding of both past and present
    wetland resource conditions in the greater Los Angeles drainage area and ultimately led to the
    development of 15 function-based restoration goals that, if properly implemented over time,
    would result in the increased functional capacities of remaining wetland habitats, the creation of
    substantial  new restoration opportunities in a highly constrained urban environment, and the
    long-term sustainability of the  region's wetland resources.
                                               14
    

    -------
    REFERENCES
    
    Brinson, M. M.1993.A hydrogeomorphic classification for wetlands. U.S. Army Corps of
       Engineers, Washington DC. Technical Report WRP-DE-4.
    
    Dahl, T. E. 1990.Wetland losses in the United States, 1780's to 1980's. United States
       Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Washington, DC.
    
    Forman, R. T. T., and M. Godron.1986. Landscape ecology. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York,
       NY.
    
    Haines-Young, R., D.  R. Green, and S. H. Cousins. 1993.Landscape ecology and spatial
       information systems, pp. 3-8.In R. Haines-Young, D. R. Green, S. H.  Cousins
       (eds.).Landscape ecology and geographic information systems. Taylor & Francis, London,
       England.
    
    Rairdan, C. 1998.Regional restoration goals for wetland resources in the greater Los Angeles
       drainage area: a landscape-level comparison of recent historic and current conditions using
       geographic information systems. Dissertation, Environmental Science and Engineering
       Program, University of California, Los Angeles.
    
    Sorensen, J., and S. Gates. 1984.New directions in restoration of coastal wetlands, pp. 1427-
       1443.In O. T. Magoon, H. Converse, and L. T. Tobin (eds.).Proceedings from the third
       symposium on coastal and ocean management .American Shore & Beach Preservation
       Association/California State Lands Commission, Sacramento, CA.
    
    Stow, D. A. 1993.The role of geographic information systems for landscape ecological studies.
       pp. 9-21.In R. Haines-Young, D.  R. Green, S. H. Cousins (eds.).Landscape ecology and
       geographic information systems. Taylor & Francis, London, England.
                                             15
    

    -------
           Use of GIS for the Investigation and Classification of Land
         Redeveloped Under the Ohio Voluntary Action Program (VAP)
    
                    Andrew Rawnsley, Ravensfield Geographic Resources, Ltd.
              Craig A. Kasper, P.E., and W. Lance Turley, P.G., Hull & Associates, Inc.
    
    Ohio Voluntary Action Program, Background
    In an effort to entice developers, business owners, and investors to redevelop brownfields, the
    federal government and a number of state governments instituted various brownfield
    redevelopment programs. They allow communities, property owners, and developers of
    brownfield properties to voluntarily assess and remediate environmentally contaminated sites.
    Many states also provide that sites which successfully participate in these programs are
    released form future state environmental liability, eliminating one of the chief barriers to private
    investment and site redevelopment.
    
    Ohio's Voluntary Action Program (VAP) (Ohio Revised Code 3746) establishes a new approach
    to traditional environmental cleanup programs. The new program offers a number of incentives
    and new standards to prompt investigation and cleanup of contaminated properties or properties
    suspected of contamination. The establishment of such a law should move Ohio several steps
    forward by effectively joining environmental management with business development. The VAP
    offers a mechanism to address contaminated or potentially contaminated sites in Ohio, sites that
    might not otherwise be addressed. The program provides practical standards that consider the
    future use of the property and cost/benefit in developing the standards, and provides a
    mechanism that ends  the owner's responsibility for further cleanup of the property.
    
    A provision of the VAP is the Urban Setting Designation (USD), which designates areas in cities
    or urban townships where groundwater is not used for drinking water purposes,  and is not
    required to meet drinking water quality standards. This reduces or eliminates the need to
    remediate groundwater at a brownfield site. Groundwater within the USD may need to meet
    other water quality standards.
    
    Given the breadth of the program, applications for GIS in the redevelopment of properties under
    this sort of regulatory umbrella are quite extensive, although, as is the case with many
    

    -------
    environmental projects, cost considerations can limit its use short of its full potential. This
    discussion centers on two specific case studies, a complex investigation, construction, and
    development effort involving a major industrial facility, and an equally complex scenario
    involving the designation of a large portion of the City of Cleveland as a USD area. Both
    projects were very public and politically charged, adding several very pervasive concerns to
    already technically challenging projects.
    
    An important issue with both of these case studies is that GIS and other mainstream data
    management techniques were integrated from the beginning. Effective data management of any
    kind is extremely difficult to shoe-horn or retrofit into an existing project. This is not unique to
    regulatory projects; it is the classic "collection/conversion  of the data is 75 percent of the cost"
    scenario endemic to all GIS projects. With a long-term management system  such as one
    developed by utility or municipal government, this is an accepted portion of the cost of a project.
    Many environmental projects, aside from ones that involve massive cleanup, are often on the
    fringe of affordability for GIS application. Advanced GIS will simply not hold up in a cost/benefit
    if it has to overcome the initial burden of extensive data conversion. The projects are simply
    more finite in scope, and the use of GIS must be made be as efficient as possible. To do so, it is
    of paramount importance that the data management issues be resolved and planned for as part
    of the original scope of work, in the same way that sampling  and analysis or QA/QC plan is part
    of the original scope. In addition, while remediation activities are typically long-term,
    investigations, particularly ones involving redevelopment, are typically accelerated, even more
    so if a construction or resale schedule must be met. Under these conditions, data management
    issues must be planned for in advance, or their full benefit will not be realized.
    
    The specific goal of either construction or resale is one of the primary things that differentiates
    many VAP projects from a standard site investigation. While redevelopment of a site may not be
    the specific goal of all VAP  projects, most do have that goal, and economic pressures are added
    to regulatory ones. While under investigation or remediation, property is essentially idle, which if
    not costing money is at least not making any. As will be seen in the Jeep case study,
    construction schedules  are  often immutable. In these situations GIS is  a valuable tool, if planned
    for in advance. The entire purpose of effective data management is about standardization of
    collection, form, and retrieval, allowing for increased efficiency and consistency. In situations
    with compressed schedules, it is extremely useful.
    

    -------
    Another of the unique aspects of GIS use in this sort of redevelopment is that it combines
    several classic GIS applications, from more economic, infrastructure, and property oriented
    analysis to the modeling and data management required in extensive environmental site
    investigations. In addition, the GIS professional must prepare for any number of fringe roles or
    applications, such as construction management and high-profile, public projects where
    geopolitical relationships must be understood.
    
    Roles of GIS in Environmental Redevelopment
    VAP projects vary considerably in scale and complexity. While some may involve fairly standard
    Phase I  style site assessments, where GIS is limited to searching and presenting information
    from standard databases, some are full-blown Phase II investigations involving several hundred
    borings, wells, or other sampling points and tens to  hundreds of thousands of sampling results.
    In projects of this scale, effective data management is critical, and use  of GIS as a keystone of a
    data management strategy solves many  problems. The reasons for this are fairly obvious -
    everything that happens in a site investigation occurs at some point in space.
    
    One cannot in all honesty draw neat lines around the complex roles GIS can play in an any
    situation, particularly in an environmental investigation, although for sake of organization
    everyone tries. This discussion is no different, and centers on the management, analytical, and
    presentational roles of GIS in environmental investigations. The discussion does not, however,
    spend too much time on the role of specific technology, for the basic reason that it is relatively
    unimportant. There are few tasks that are specific to a specific software package, and no
    software package functions with complete satisfaction over a wide range of applications. In
    situations such as environmental redevelopment projects, with compressed budgets and time
    schedules, one uses the tools one has in the most expedient manner possible.
    
    Management Roles
    The management aspect of GIS in these situations cannot be underestimated. Much of the GIS
    literature slights management in favor of analysis; however,  one cannot analyze prior to proper
    collection and arrangement, and certainly one cannot analyze repeatedly without proper
    collection and arrangement. In addition, GIS tends to be too costly when applied as a surgical
    tool, particularly in environmental projects where any expenditure is likely to displease
    someone. While unique analysis and visualization may pique someone's interest, long-term
    efficient management often convinces clients to use GIS.
    

    -------
    Repeatability is stressed in the above paragraph for a reason: redevelopment projects under a
    regulatory framework such as the Ohio VAP are often either governed by sets of standards, or
    are risk-based. The choice of what standard or risk level to target for a specific property is
    mostly, if not wholly, a cost/benefit analysis. Different combinations of remediation and
    construction scenarios are weighed against various standards or risk levels to produce the
    optimal redevelopment strategy. One must be able to adjust and repeat analyses in an efficient
    manner. Consistency and predictability of error are two  of the main by-products of proper data
    management.
    
    Again, this centers on cost. As mentioned, many environmental projects are on the fringe of
    affordability for GIS application. Redevelopment projects are unique in that there is some
    component of added value to the investigation, and not viewed only as  a cost. They are still not,
    however, value-added to the degree that a government or utility GIS is, and is considerably
    more finite in scope. In short, to the environmental professional the utility or benefit of GIS is not
    always as immediately apparent, or at least not as obvious when costs are added. This
    becomes a considerable part of the GIS professional's challenge when working in  this area.
    
    Virtually everything involved in an environmental investigation involves  space and  location. This
    makes GIS the ideal tool for managing at least the spatial component of any site data. These
    site data include:
          •     Aerial photographs.
          •     Infrastructure (roads, rail, utilities, etc.).
          •     Topography.
          •     Geologic/hydrogeologic features.
          •     Sampling points.
    
    In addition, particularly true with regards to construction projects, GIS analysts  may be required
    to be the de facto coordinate transformation authority. In general, GIS analysts and operators
    abhor local coordinate systems, and many state agencies are requiring coordinates in accepted
    standard coordinate systems (State Plane, UTM, etc). Contractors and surveyors,  however, are
    strongly attached to them. It is not a duty to be taken lightly; in fact it is  one to be avoided, as it
    may expose the GIS operator to unneeded liability.
    

    -------
    While some ancillary attribute data is stored internal to the specific GIS, a complex data such as
    analytical results are typically stored in an external database system of some type. The ability of
    most GIS systems to link to external data sources, therefore becoming an effective
    clearinghouse for any type of information,  is one of its strong suits. The performance and utility
    of individual GIS packages in this regard vary.
    
    Analytical Roles
    The analytical roles for GIS in redevelopment typically fall into two general categories, one
    'introverted' (analysis of the site itself) and the other 'extroverted' (analysis of what surrounds
    the site). Each of the case studies exemplify one or the other of these concepts. The Jeep
    project is an extensive site investigation for purposes of meeting regulatory risk standards, while
    the Cleveland USD is a optimization of an areas meeting regulatory criteria.
    
    Of the two general categories, the first is often more complex,  as it often involves longer-term
    projects and greater amounts of information. Typical analytical processes in these situations
    may be considered a subset of more general  procedures done at any environmental site:
    modeling contaminant distribution and travel,  ground-water conditions, site geology, impacted
    wetlands, etc. Again the  goals of a VAP project  will color what one does and how one does it.
    Sites slated for redevelopment or resale have a different potential than one which  is merely
    seeking alternate remediation programs. The analysis often centers on analyzing risk levels to
    meet certain regulatory goals in a fairly direct cost/benefit sort of fashion.
    
    The second, 'extroverted' type of  analysis, typified in the VAP  by USD projects, resembles a
    classic facility placement exercise more than an environmental management system. One is
    attempting to either maximize a placement of a  'facility'  (in this case a USD area),  or prove that
    a current 'facility' meets specific guidelines, based upon regional conditions. Data  management
    is not as critical,  as it is more of a one-time, surgical procedure than a long-term need.
    
    Presentational Roles
    The presentation role that GIS may play in these sort of projects is critical, and one not always
    completely acknowledged. In short, the data must be presented. Site layouts, analytical results,
    standards comparisons,  impacted areas: all of it must be shown at some time to someone who
    will need to understand it, whether it be a property owner, a professional, a regulatory
    representative, or the public.
    

    -------
    Lost in all the hype in the "digital revolution" and typical GIS marketing literature is the fact that a
    paper map is still the most functional product of a GIS, and will continue to be so. Both case
    studies discussed in this paper produced large numbers of unique large-format maps, into the
    hundreds for the Jeep project. When discussing design issues, one quickly shifts from the
    mechanical to the perceptual, and as many, many pages of print have been consumed with the
    topic, little more will be said here. Effective design is not a mechanical process, and that
    'unscientific' fact does not diminish the importance of effective design and presentation.
                                                        Case Studies
                                                        Jeep
                                                        The Chrysler Corporation operates
                                                        two plants in the City of Toledo: the
                                                        Jeep Parkway Plant and the Stickney
                                                        Avenue Plant in North Toledo. Toledo
                                                        has been home for the production of
                                                        the Jeep automobile since 1940 when
                                                        Willys Overland developed the first
                                                        prototype and began to mass produce
                                                        the Jeep military vehicle in Toledo for
                                                        use in World War II. Chrysler is the
                                                        city's largest employer,  providing over
                                                        35,000 high-paying direct and
                                                        peripheral jobs,  and generates
                                                        millions in tax revenues. Clearly, the
                                                        loss of Chrysler would not only
    Chrysler Corp Stickney Ave. Jeep Plant
    devastate the Toledo regional economy, but would also have a direct impact on the state's
    economic well-being.
    In late 1996, Chrysler announced its plans to construct a new facility to expand production and
    replace the out-of-date Jeep Parkway Plant. After a year of intensive studies and assessments
    of the Stickney Avenue property and infrastructure, and a relentless campaign by the City of
    Toledo, Chrysler announced it would stay in Toledo and invest $1.2 billion into the expansion
    and production of its Toledo operations. The city is contributing $27.5 million for roadway,
    environmental, and other infrastructure improvements. The Stickney Avenue property, which
    

    -------
    possesses much of the necessary infrastructure such as adequate rail lines and access to major
    highways, contains 400 acres of land and 13 businesses. Land use of the 400-acre property
    includes railroad operations, aluminum smelting, a brass foundry, auto repair, and various other
    commercial activities.
    
    Phase I and Phase II Environmental Assessments are being conducted at all the properties,
    whether acquired or not. Remedial measures will be integrated with plant construction to take
    advantage of "dual-purpose" activities and engineering/institutional controls. The city is also in
    the process of acquiring and relocating 83 residential properties, relocating a railroad spur, and
    addressing a variety of environmental issues, including 43 acres of jurisdictional wetlands, of
    which 25 acres will be impacted by the plant expansion. Although environmental issues often
    represent only a small portion of a large-scale industrial redevelopment project such as this one,
    they are critical in the overall plans to determine the most economical, yet protective solution for
    a variety of property conditions.
    
    Due primarily to availability of a comprehensive GIS, RGR was able to assist HAI in rapidly
    assessing how changes in remediation goals would influence the project schedule and cleanup
    costs. HAI was in turn able to  alert the City to new investigative requirements and cleanup
    strategies that would fit within development time frames. The primary challenge for this project
    centered on  time. Once Chrysler made the decision to build, the construction schedule was
    quite aggressive, and the environmental investigation, while minor in comparison to the massive
    construction plans, had to happen prior to any construction. Any delays due to the
    environmental investigation would not have been received well.
    
    To reiterate, it is difficult to draw neat lines around the roles GIS can play in a project of this
    nature. In fact, it is a measure of the success of a GIS implementation if one cannot. If the use
    of GIS is essentially transparent through all phases of the project, and one cannot easily tell
    where it starts and ends, then it is a success. If it is not so pervasive, and one can therefore
    easily distinguish its presence, then it may be necessary to reevaluate how and why GIS was
    used, with particular attention  paid to project planning stages. Again, for sake of organization, all
    function and utility of a GIS flows from its management role. Transparent presence use and
    pervasive use is a direct consequence of a planned, central management role in a project.
    

    -------
    Project Details
    All spatial data collected in the investigation processes was managed with ARC/INFO. RGR
    managed the extensive analytical sample information using a custom database system with a
    web-based front end. AutoCAD Map was used frequently for complex editing, as ARC/INFO is
    deficient in this area, and Arcview was used for convenience from time to time. Map finishing
    was done in  Corel DRAW. While this appears on the surface to add step and an extra layer of
    management, and therefore extra time in a time-sensitive project, the trade off was well worth it.
    Professional publishing software has far better fine-grained page control than either ARC/INFO
    or Arcview, and the quality of the final maps was very important as they were window from the
    GIS to professionals,  public officials, and the public itself. So while basic layout of the GIS data
    was done using ARC/I NFO's layout manager, final text, color, symbolization, map  layout, and
    printing was  done in Corel.
    
    A list of the data collected for this project includes:
          •  Aerial Photographs
          •  Transportation (roads, rails)
          •  Site structures
          •  Parcel boundaries
          •  Surface hydrography
          •  Surface topography
          •  Sampling locations
          •  Surveyed wetlands
          •  Impacted soils areas
    
    HAI completed Phase I  Environmental Assessments at all properties identified for  potential
    delivery to Chrysler. The assessments determined past management and disposal practices for
    hazardous substances,  areas of potential contamination, and other environmental  concerns,
    cumulatively making up VAP identified areas. HAI also conducted preliminary evaluations to
    determine eligibility of the identified areas for the VAP.
    
    HAI and RGR conducted GPS and total station surveys of identified areas, entered their spatial
    attributes and descriptions into a GIS and presented the areas on an aerial photograph that also
    included property lines,  wetland delineations, initial plant designs and proposed  infrastructure
    

    -------
       Soils sampling points and related analytical data
                                                       improvements. The aerial photograph
                                                       formed a base map that was used to
                                                       show proposed sampling locations,
                                                       findings from various phases of
                                                       investigation and changes to proposed
                                                       land use as the project progressed.
    
                                                       HAI developed a scope of work for an
                                                       initial Phase II investigation that
                                                       stressed characterization of site
                                                       hydrogeology and sampling of "hot
                                                       spots" within the identified areas (i.e.,
    location within identified areas where evidence of contamination was the strongest). Soil
    analytical samples were preferentially collected from within two feet of grade - the point of
    compliance for direct contact in the context of industrial land use. Provisions were made for
    sampling at greater depth based on field observations and screening  results.
    
    The laboratory delivered Phase II analytical data directly to RGR, who immediately incorporated
    into the GIS integrated sample management system. In general, the data could be exported by
    RGR from the GIS and sent to HAI or shared with Chrysler's consultants as spreadsheets or on
    maps (e.g., isoconcentration contours for arsenic) within hours of RGR receiving an electronic
    report from the laboratory. Due to restrictions on HAI's ability to access some of the properties,
    multiple changes in the proposed footprint of the plant (daily at times), tight deadlines for
    investigation and remediation of the properties, and the need to present findings to a number of
    interested parties, the flexibility and rapid data management capabilities of the GIS proved
    invaluable to the ultimate success of the project.
    Following an initial Phase II investigation at a given property, HAI evaluated the data and, where
    necessary, collected additional samples to delineate areas of concern. Site-specific cleanup
    standards were developed based on multiple chemical adjustment for all chemicals of concern
    (COCs) detected on all properties combined. Data evaluation was iterative because as
    additional properties were investigated new COCs were detected; therefore requiring revised
    cumulative adjustments. The GIS database was an essential element in comparing and
    manipulating large data sets and mapping areas requiring remediation.
    

    -------
    The initial Phase II investigation identified direct contact with soils containing metals (primarily
    arsenic) and semi-volatile organic compounds (SVOCs) as being the driver for cleanup at most
    of the properties. At the project's onset, the City of Toledo envisioned that plant foundations and
    parking lots, which per Chrysler's design covered approximately 95 percent of the proposed
    plant property, would serve as engineering controls for limiting exposure to soils exceeding
    direct contact standards. During early phases of data analysis, HAI  and RGR worked closely
    with Chrysler's engineers to identify final  construction grades to map and identify volumes of
    soils requiring excavation during construction activities and additional volumes that would be
    excavated to preserve a two-foot point of compliance.  However,  as  plant design proceeded,
    Chrysler decided that leaving contaminated soils beneath engineering controls would be
    unacceptable due to the following reasons:
    
           •   Future changes in facility operations and structures over an approximately 100-year
              lifetime for the plant could result in contaminated soils being brought to the surface.
    
           •   Contaminated soils brought to the surface would require time-consuming and costly
              administrative tasks.
    
           •   Operations and maintenance requirements within the VAP would create an additional
              tier of administrative  responsibilities.
    Therefore, Chrysler and the City prepared a development agreement specifying that cleanup
    would generally conform to VAP standards, but that soils containing COCs at concentrations
    exceeding standards be remediated regardless of whether they were below the point of
    compliance.
                                                                    In addition to the soils
                                                                    investigation, HAI
                                                                    assessed impacts to
                                                                    approximately 45 acres of
                                                                    wetlands, knowing that a
                                                                    portion of them would be
                                                                    destroyed. Existing
                                                                    wetlands were delineated
    \
                    Wetlands impacted by a construction scenario
    

    -------
    using GPS, and a coverage created from that. The wetlands layer was then overlaid repeatedly
    on new plant footprints and road designs, trying to find the optimal mix of minimizing wetland
    impacts and maximizing plant design.
    
    A by-product of proper data management, in this case unplanned, is the ability of the system to
    behave as a comprehensive clearinghouse in projects such as this, where a wide variety of
    consultants worked on the project. This is similar to a large Superfund site with a large PRP
    group, where each requires a comprehensive view of the site, but cannot achieve this on their
    own. A properly managed GIS in that case becomes the de facto repository for information, and
    its ability to transform data from format to format and coordinate system to coordinate system
    becomes critical.
    
    The Jeep project had a wide variety of professionals working on it, such as the plant process
    designers, wetland scientists, construction contractors, and geotechnical consultants.  Each has
    its own (for lack of a better term) world view, and sees the data, or needs to see the data, in
    wildly different ways. In addition, there were three  separate coordinate systems in use at the
    site, two local ones and State Plane. Any GIS management and analysis system required to be
    a clearinghouse in this situation had to be both responsive and nimble to adjust to the continual
    requests from different sectors of the project.
    
    Cleveland Urban Setting Designation
    Urban Setting Designations are sub-programs within the Ohio VAP that designate areas within
                                                       cities and urban townships where
                                                       groundwater is not consumed. While
                                                       they are frequently sought by individual
                                                       property owners similar to a VAP  No
                                                       Further Action, they are increasingly
                                                       being sought by cities a development
                                                       incentive, providing blanket coverage
                                                       for large areas within their boundaries
                                                       to spur redevelopment of brownfield
                                                       areas.
        A portion of the Industrial Valley section of the
                                              11
    

    -------
    On May 10, 1999, the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency approved a USD submitted by the
    City of Cleveland, covering approximately 11,500 acres, or nearly a quarter of the city.
    Neighborhood Progress, Inc., and MacLaren-Hart, both of Cleveland, oversaw the project. RGR
    provided the GIS support for the project. The final submittal consisted of 6 separate areas
    across the city (West, Northeast,  Southeast, Inner East Side, Inner West Side, and Industrial
    Valley).
    
    For approval, a USD submittal must prove the following (summarized from Ohio Revised Code
    3745-300-10  Ground Water Classification and Response Requirements):
    
           (a) The property or properties for which designation is requested is entirely within the
           boundaries of a township with a population of twenty thousand or more residents in the
           unincorporated area of the township or entirely within the corporation boundaries of a
           city;
    
           (b) Not less than  ninety percent of the parcels within the city or township where the
           property or properties for which designation is requested is located is connected to a
           community water system.
    
           (c) The property or properties for which designation is requested is not located in a
          wellhead protection area.
    
           (d) Wells installed or used for potable water supply purposes are not located within one-
           half mile of the property boundary of the property or properties.
    
           (e) When the property or properties is located over a sole source aquifer in a
           consolidated saturated zone or an unconsolidated saturated zone capable of sustaining
           a yield greater than one hundred gallons per minute, the certified professional, must
           demonstrate that there is not a reasonable expectation that there will be  any wells
           installed or used for potable water supply purposes within one-half mile of the property
           boundary.
    
    All of the above stipulations are spatial phenomenon, and can be addressed in a GIS. (a), (c),
    and (e) are relatively simple in that they only require a single overlay, and (b) is often solved by
    
                                               12
    

    -------
    questioning the local water authority, (d) involves a greater amount of effort, as it involves
    collection of potential well locations from a number of sources (the Ohio Department of Natural
    Resources (ODNR), local health departments, local water authorities, etc.) and a fair amount of
    address matching.
    
    GIS proves itself in the well location phase of a USD. The USD requestor must verify that any
    possible well location within the half-mile radius is not being used. The records for the well
    locations can be very old (pre-1950), and wildly inaccurate in terms of actual location. Without
    'pre-location' via GIS, field workers would require an inordinate amount of time sorting and
    verifying potential well locations.
    
    Data Sources
    The City of Cleveland, from the Cuyahoga County Auditor, provided both the base parcel map
    used for the project, and the coverage containing the ward lines. In addition, Cleveland State
    University provided a data set based upon the same materials, the difference between the two
    being that the CSU data has been re-projected into State Plane while the original was in a local
    county coordinate system. RGR addressed-matched the well locations using the Dynamap 2000
    product from Geographic Data Technologies (GOT), of Lebanon, New Hampshire. Well
    locations were compiled from several sources: parcel ID's from the Cuyahoga  County Health
    Department, and Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) wells logs located by address,
    coordinate, or standard  well logs.
    
    Procedures
    RGR compiled the individual USD areas by aggregating parcels from the base materials.
    Unlocated  potential well locations were address-matched against the GOT Dynamap 2000
    database for Cuyahoga County using ARC/INFO. The well screening procedure left field
    workers with 83 potential well locations to verify. Of these 83 potential locations, 2 were found to
    still be in operation (original estimates had no wells still in operation). The preliminary USD
    areas had to be redrawn around the two wells.
    
    Final Products
    USD requestors are required to provide an acceptable legal description of the  area.  There was
    considerable debate as to what was an 'acceptable' legal description in this instance. On other
    USD projects RGR had been involved with, either the number of parcels was small enough that
    
                                              13
    

    -------
    a complete legal description was feasible, or the areas were regular enough in shape that a
    legal description of the outside boundary was possible.  Neither was practical in this case. The
    number of parcels involved (@14,000) made individual  descriptions impossible, and the outside
    boundary of the areas was too complex. The original set of paper maps produced by RGR was
    deemed unacceptable to the State, and the State's suggested modifications were deemed too
    expensive by the project coordinators. While on the surface it seems that a parcel list compiled
    from the GIS would work, in reality a permanent parcel  number is not, in fact, permanent, due to
    frequent splits and parcel combinations. In the end,  the parcel list combined with the actual GIS
    data was accepted as the legal description for the area.
    References
    Kasper, Craig A., Chrysler-Jeep Industrial Redevelopment Project, Toledo, Ohio, The 27th
    Annual Conference on Environmental Law, March 12-15, 1998.
                                             14
    

    -------
       Using GIS To Identify Linkages Between Landscapes and Stream Ecosystems
                            Carl Richards, Lucinda Johnson, and George Host
                                University of Minnesota, Duluth, Minnesota
    Introduction
    
    Factors that operate on a variety of temporal and spatial
    scales influence the structural and functional  compo-
    nents of stream ecosystems (1). Quantifying the effects
    of factors that operate across multiple scales has chal-
    lenged aquatic scientists over the last several decades.
    Recently, scientists have recognized that they cannot
    successfully protect or restore ecosystem integrity with-
    out taking into account all appropriate scales; therefore,
    they are focusing on understanding interactions between
    terrestrial and aquatic components of entire watersheds
    (2). Although awareness of the importance of watershed
    and landscape-scale influences on streams is growing,
    the tools to examine these  influences are still in their
    infancy.
    
    Most  watershed and  landscape studies to date  have
    focused on the role watershed-scale parameters play on
    water chemistry (3-5). These studies usually examined
    nutrient and sediment inputs from various watershed
    land covers. Methods for evaluating the patterns in the
    terrestrial segment of the watershed were awkward and
    laborious, involving use  of planimeters or cutting and
    weighing maps.  More  recent watershed studies  have
    attempted to integrate both longitudinal and lateral influ-
    ences of the terrestrial ecosystems on water quality in
    streams and wetlands (6-8). This approach takes advan-
    tage  of newly  available  tools (geographic information
    systems and multivariate statistics) for quantifying land-
    scape structure.
    
    Relatively few  studies  have examined how watershed
    features influence biological communities. Most studies
    examining stream biota  have concentrated  on single
    land  use types (9, 10) or on the relationship between
    watershed land use and stream physical habitat (11,12).
    Typically, study designs have not addressed questions
    concerning variability of stream communities over rela-
    tively  large geographic scales.
    
    Our own work  centers on identifying  linkages between
    landscape features (watershed scale) and stream reach
    environments (physical habitat, chemistry), and relating
    these parameters to major patterns of community vari-
    ation. In this manner, landscape and reach environment
    interactions probably control the influence that specific
    landscape components have on biological communities
    (13). This is the general premise when using biological
    communities to assess watershed status. To represent
    stream biota,  we examine benthic  macroinvertebrates,
    which have been used  extensively for biomonitoring
    numerous environmental stresses  (14). Macroinverte-
    brates are sensitive to watershed conditions and exhibit
    sufficient stability in assemblage structure over time to
    make them useful as long-term monitors of stream
    health (15).
    
    This paper presents  an  overview  of our  attempts to
    identify the relative strengths of landscape variables on
    macroinvertebrate communities. We classify landscape
    variables into two general categories. The first category,
    geology and  landscape  structure  (GEOS), considers
    variables that are fixed on the landscape and are largely
    uncontrollable  by management activities. The second
    category, land use (LU), includes  variables that  have
    anthropogenic origins and  may be  influenced  by land
    management  activities.  By understanding  the relative
    strengths these two sets  of variables possess in deter-
    mining community structure, we hope to identify specific
    species  groups that can act as land use and land form
    indicators. We also hope to identify ways to predict the
    outcome of specific large-scale land management activi-
    ties (e.g.,  silviculture, agriculture) or other large-scale
    environmental changes (e.g., global  warming) on stream
    ecosystems.
    
    Study  Area
    
    This study was conducted in the Saginaw River basin,
    a 22,562-square-kilometer watershed  in  east-central
    Michigan (see Figure 1) that flows  into Lake Huron.
    The  Saginaw  River watershed was chosen  for this
    study because its  component  drainages  range  from
    heavily affected agricultural to relatively  pristine areas.
    

    -------
    Figure 1. The Saginaw basin study area.
    
    Dominating the soils in the lake plain are medium- and
    fine-textured loams to clays,  with sand found in the
    outwash plains and channels. Artificial drainage and tile
    systems extensively drain the clay regions. Glacial fea-
    tures such as ground  moraines and outwash plains are
    common. The western sector is characterized by rolling
    plains with  coarse-textured ground moraines. This re-
    gion contains a high  percentage of the forested land,
    while agricultural land use dominates the eastern sector.
    
    The Saginaw basin covers 16,317 square  kilometers,
    including four  major subbasins: the   Tittabawassee
    (6,734 square kilometers), Shiawassee (3,626 square
    kilometers), Flint (3,108  square kilometers), and Cass
    (2,331  square  kilometers) Rivers. The  Tittabawassee
    subbasin further  divides into  three  principal  water-
    courses—the Chippewa, Pine, and Tittabawassee Riv-
    ers. Watersheds adjacent to Lake Huron  (Kawkawlin
    and East basins) are  characterized by low topographic
    relief and elevations  averaging 203  and 206  meters,
    respectively. The Flint and Chippewa/Pine basins aver-
    age about 278  meters  in elevation.  These  drainages
    also exhibit the greatest variation in topography.
    
    Study Design
    
    The analysis covers  45  stream sites within the  study
    area.  These sites reflect a gradient of land use and
    physiographic conditions in the Saginaw River drainage.
    Researchers obtained biological, chemical,  and physi-
    cal  samples at one 200-meter stream segment at each
    site. In addition, a geographic information system (CIS)
    database was  compiled reflecting a number of land-
    scape  parameters  for the watershed of each stream
    segment.
    
    Sampling Methods
    
    Macroinvertebrates
    
    At each sampling site, we deployed Hester-Dendy arti-
    ficial substrate samplers  (16) for macroinvertebrate
    community characterizations twice, in early summer and
    during  base flow conditions in late summer and fall of
    1991 or 1992. We allowed samplers to colonize for 6 to
    8 weeks.  In the laboratory,  macroinvertebrates were
    counted and identified to  genus whenever possible. A
    series  of derived  variables from the original species
    abundance tables  was used to  describe community
    characteristics. We chose metrics based on their rela-
    tive utility for examining macroinvertebrate communi-
    ties, as suggested by Barbour et  al. (17) and Karr and
    Kearns (18). Because macroinvertebrate assemblages
    are relatively stable through time (15) and preliminary
    analysis indicated  no significant  differences  between
    sampling years at stations for which we  had 2 years of
    data (unpublished data),  we combined  macroinverte-
    brate data into one database.
    
    Chemistry
    
    We assessed nutrients and other chemical properties
    related to water quality at each stream site during sev-
    eral periods in the summer and  fall of  1991 or 1992.
    Stream flow during fall sampling was typically less than
    median flow rates and was considered to represent base
    flow levels. We used the maximum values of samples
    taken in June and July to represent summer conditions
    and the maximum values from September and October
    to represent fall base flow conditions.  The nutrients
    measured were ammonium (NHs), nitrate-nitrogen, total
    nitrogen (TN),  orthophosphate (PO4), and total phos-
    phorus (TP). In addition, we assessed alkalinity (ALK),
    conductivity, total dissolved solids, and total suspended
    solids  (TSS).  Standard  methods were used  for all
    measurements (19).
    
    Physical Habitat
    
    We assessed physical habitat during base flow condi-
    tions at each stream site in a stream reach that is at least
    8 to 12 times the width of the stream segment. A suite
    of quantitative habitat structure measurements and  ob-
    servations was made at each site. We derived values
    for six general habitat attributes:
    
    • Substrate characteristics
    
    • Instream cover
    
    • Channel morphology
    
    • Riparian and bank conditions
    

    -------
    • Riffle/Run quality
    
    • Pool quality
    
    Landscape Descriptors
    
    Land use patterns, surficial geology, hydrography, and
    elevation databases helped to quantify landscape char-
    acteristics in the study area (see Table 1). Land use
    patterns were derived from existing  digital data at the
    Michigan Department of Natural  Resources (Michigan
    Resource Information System [MIRIS] database)  (see
    Table 2). We based classification of land use/cover cate-
    gories  on  a modified version of the Anderson  (20)
    scheme, which was constructed specifically for natural
    resource applications. The result was the following nine
    land use/cover categories:
    
    • Urban
    
    • Row crop/agriculture
    
    • Other agriculture
    
    • Herbaceous range land
    
    • Shrubby range land
    
    • Nonforested wetlands
    
    • Forested  wetlands
    
    • Mixed hardwood forests
    
    • Deciduous forests
    
    In this region, nonrow-crop agriculture is largely repre-
    sented by pasture, and range lands  are predominantly
    abandoned fields (old fields).
    
    The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) STATSGO
    soils database enabled the compilation of soil data. The
    database consists of U.S. Soil Conservation Service
    (SCS) soil surveys  and includes information  on domi-
    nant texture and drainage  in large landscape units. We
    
    Table 1.  Spatial Data Used for Landscape Characterization
    Data Layer                  Source
    aggregated soils  into simplified  categories based  on
    glacial landform.
    
    We delineated watershed boundaries for each sampling
    station on  United  States  Geological Survey  (USGS)
    topographic maps and digitized them using ARC/INFO
    (Environmental  Systems  Research  Institute  [ESRI],
    Redlands, California). We identified  stream order  for
    each stream segment and coded it as an attribute of the
    stream reach file. All databases were transformed into a
    common digital  format as necessary and projected into
    a common coordinate system. We stored data in vector
    format and analyzed them  in ARC/INFO.
    
    Table 2 lists the  landscape variables we derived for each
    watershed.  Land use/cover values were reported and
    analyzed as a percentage of the  total watershed area.
    Patch  heterogeneity  measured landscape fragmenta-
    tion and was reported  as the number of patches per
    hectare.  We derived slope from  elevation data using
    ARC/INFO. The standard deviation  of elevation was
    used as a surrogate measure of topographic variability.
    
    Statistical Analysis
    
    Using redundancy analysis (RDA), a canonical exten-
    sion of principal component analysis (PCA),  we de-
    tected  relationships among the individual  multivariate
    data sets. RDA  is a form of direct gradient analysis that
    describes variation in a  multivariate data set (e.g., habi-
    tat variables or  macroinvertebrate metrics) based upon
    environmental data (21). In RDA, the station scores from
    a PCA are regressed on a specified set of environmental
    variables with each iteration, and the fitted values of the
    regression become new station scores (22). Thus, envi-
    ronmental or predictor variables constrain  PCA. Two
    important outputs from this method are the interset cor-
    relations of environmental variables with the RDA axes,
    which indicate the environmental variables that have the
    strongest influence in the ordination, and the fraction of
        Scale
                                 Format Received
    Hydrology
    Elevation
    Land use/cover
    Land use/cover
    Watershed boundary
    Station locality
    Soils
    Major basin
    Quartenary geology
    U.S. EPA stream reach
    USGS-DEM
    USGS
    MIDNR
    USGS topographic maps
    USGS topographic map
    USDA SCS STATSGO
    USGS topographic
    University of Michigan
    1:100,000
    1 :250,000
    1:100,000
    1 :24,000
    1 :24,000
    1 :24,000
    1 :250,000
    1 :24,000
    1 :250,000
    ARC/INFO
    Digital elevation model
    Digital line graph
    Intergraph
    Manual delineation
    Manual digitizing
    ARC/INFO
    Manual digitizing
    Manual digitizing
    Key: USGS = United States Geological Survey
    DEM = Digital elevation model
    MIDNR = Michigan Department of Natural Resources
    USDA SCS = United States Department of Agriculture Soil Conservation Service
    

    -------
    Table 2.  Landscape Variables Measured or Derived for Each
            Watershed
                               Results
    Variable
                              Units
    Land use/cover
    
    Slope
    
    Standard deviation elevation
    
    Patch heterogeneity
    
    Soils
    
    Total area
    Proportional area
    
    Degrees
    
    Meters
    
    Patches/hectare
    
    Proportional area
    
    Hectares
    total variance of each predicted variable that is ex-
    plained by the RDA axes (22).
    
    Performing Monte Carlo permutation tests determined
    the statistical validity of the association between predic-
    tor and  predicted variables. Tests were conducted by
    random permutation of the site numbers in the predictor
    variables. We randomly linked the predictor data to the
    predicted data. We conducted 99 simulations to approxi-
    mate a  normal distribution with which to compare our
    data with random combinations.
    
    We first determined which  of the reach variables had
    strong influences on macroinvertebrate distributions by
    conducting separate RDAs  with physical  habitat and
    chemistry variables as environmental descriptors. We
    then examined the ability of the landscape data to pre-
    dict the variation in the important reach variables.
    
    To determine the relative influences of LU and GEOS
    landscape variables on stream chemistry and physical
    habitat,  we  used partial  RDA,  where  one landscape
    variable type was held constant and variation due to the
    other landscape set was examined independently. Us-
    ing this  approach, total variation in a multivariate data
    set can  be  decomposed  in a  manner analogous to
    analysis of variance (23, 24). For this analysis, we at-
    tributed  variation in the reach variables (habitat and
    chemistry) to four separate components:
    
    • The variation  in reach variables  that LU  variables
      explained  independently of GEOS variables.
    
    • The variation in reach variables that GEOS variables
      explained  independently of LU variables.
    
    • The variation in reach variables that both GEOS and
      LU  variables  shared. This  shared variation could
      have been due to both the dependence of one type
      of variable on the  other as well as noncausal rela-
      tionships (e.g., the types of soil found in a watershed
      determine in  large part the types of agriculture that
      can be practiced).
    
    • The variation in reach variables that were unexplain-
      able.  This  may  have been attributable  to  sampling
      error,  stochastic variation, or  other variables not
      sampled.
                                                          Regional Characteristics
    Land Use
    
    Land  use within the study region  was dominated by
    row-crop agriculture (see Table 3).  Individual water-
    sheds ranged from 14 to 99 percent in agricultural  land
    uses, with  the  East basin watersheds exhibiting the
    greatest proportion of agricultural land use and the  Flint
    having the lowest proportion of agricultural land  use.
    The Chippewa/Pine and Kawkawlin watersheds exhib-
    ited the greatest diversity of land use and  cover types
    within the study region.
    
    Wetlands represented a minor land  use component with
    most watersheds having between 0  and 15 percent  land
    area.  The Cass and Kawkawlin basins had the greatest
    proportion of wetlands, with a median of 6.8 percent for
    individual watersheds.
    
    Macroinvertebrates
    
    Considerable variation existed among the major basins
    with  respect to the  15 macroinvertebrate community
    metrics during summer (see Table 4). Metric values for
    the Flint, Shiawassee, and Chippewa watersheds were
    similar.  Sites within  the  Kawkawlin and  East basins
    differed  considerably from the Flint, Shiawassee,  and
    East basins in several of the metrics. The Kawkawlin
    watershed  was notable for high shredder and filterer
    proportions  and a low proportion  of detritivores.  The
    East basin also had a high proportion of shredders. Both
    the East and Kawkawlin basins had  lower proportions of
    strictly erosional taxa and higher proportions of deposi-
    tional taxa than the other  major basins.
    
    Taxa at the East and Kawkawlin basins also exhibited
    lower oxygen tolerance than at other major basins. In
    addition, their  Hilsenhoff Biotic Index  (HBI) scores
    (which are sensitive to oxygen availability) were higher
    than other basins, and they had  the lowest  EPT (Ephe-
    meroptera, Plecoptera, Trichoptera) richness. Total  rich-
    ness  at Kawkawlin  was  relatively  high,  however.
    Richness was highest in the Chippewa/Pine watershed
    and lowest in the East basin.
    
    In general, fall  patterns of macroinvertebrate  metrics
    resembled those of summer. The Kawkawlin and East
    basins had high HBI scores, low EPT scores, low  pro-
    portions of erosional taxa, and high proportions of depo-
    sitional   taxa.  The   proportion  of  predators   was
    exceptionally high in the  Kawkawlin basin due to the
    abundance and trophic classification of one chironomid
    genus.
    

    -------
    Table 3.  Summary of Landscape Metrics in Six Major Basins of the Saginaw River Drainage
    
    Landscape Variables      East Basin        Cass          Flint        Shiawassee    Chippewa/Pine     Kawkawlin
    n
    Row crops
    Other agricultural land
    Urban
    Deciduous forest
    Mixed hardwood
    Range: Herb
    Range: Shrub
    Forested wetlands
    Non-forested wetlands
    Slope (degrees)
    Elevation (meters)
    Patch heterogeneity
    Watershed area
    (hectares)
    8
    86.4
    79.7-98.0
    0.2
    0.0-1.2
    0.8
    0.1-2.0
    6.4
    0.5-12.1
    0.03
    0.0-0.3
    1.0
    0.1-3.6
    1.3
    0.0-2.3
    0.1
    0.0-0.5
    1.7
    0.0-5.3
    0.15
    0.07
    206.5
    19.8
    241.5
    102.0
    14,968.9
    11,132.0
    7
    58.4
    45.1-73.3
    0.6
    0.4-1.4
    1.9
    0.4-3.7
    16.9
    5.8-33.4
    0.3
    0.01-1.7
    6.7
    2.1-12.7
    4.7
    3.2-7.7
    0.1
    0.0-0.3
    6.7
    1.9-14.5
    0.29
    0.12
    239.8
    6.7
    711.4
    250.6
    38,117.7
    58,321.9
    8
    38.0
    25.6-65.5
    3.1
    0.6-4.1
    8.56
    1 .4-23.2
    17.5
    10.2-20.5
    2.6
    0.0-3.8
    13.0
    6.6-14.5
    6.5
    2.6-10.5
    2.3
    0.3-3.2
    3.9
    0.4-5.2
    0.41
    0.11
    277.2
    22.5
    950.4
    228.6
    28,926.1
    19,236.7
    5
    43.5
    26.7-71 .8
    0.4
    0.1-2.0
    10.3
    2.4-15.0
    19.2
    16.4-30.4
    0.7
    0.4-0.9
    12.6
    0.9-17.3
    7.3
    2.2-10.1
    0.7
    0.0-3.7
    3.6
    0.7-5.0
    0.27
    0.10
    252.6
    47.1
    762.7
    223.6
    46,530.0
    50,798.0
    15
    48.2
    13.9-91.3
    4.0
    0.3-6.6
    2.1
    0.8-4.0
    23.2
    3.2-42.1
    5.4
    0.1-8.5
    6.9
    1 .0-9.0
    5.6
    0.7-9.0
    1.0
    0.0-2.5
    4.3
    0.1-7.9
    0.35
    0.10
    278.7
    34.9
    703.6
    185.9
    53,704.2
    44,872.8
    3
    26.4
    18.5-74.9
    1.9
    0.2-2.3
    1.2
    1.0-6.8
    56.8
    13.2-64.5
    0.3
    0.1-0.3
    2.5
    0.7-3.1
    3.0
    2.7-3.2
    1.8
    0.1-2.2
    5.0
    1.3-5.9
    0.14
    .03
    203.1
    9.8
    519.6
    156.7
    22,240.2
    3,848.0
    Land use/cover variables
    (slope through watershed
    (agricultural land through nonforested wetlands) are reported as median and
    area) are reported as mean and standard deviation. Land use/cover represents
    range; landscape structure variables
    proportional areas of each watershed.
    Identification of Important
    Reach-Scale Variables
    
    Chemistry
    
    RDA showed that chemical variables explained 26 per-
    cent of the variation  in macroinvertebrate data in sum-
    mer and 33 percent in fall. The most important variables
    in  summer  were  TN and  TSS (see  Table  5).  Fall
    macroinvertebrate communities  were influenced by a
    greater number of variables, including  NHs, TP, ALK,
    and TSS.
    
    Physical Habitat
    
    The 13 physical habitat variables explained 37 percent
    of the macroinvertebrate data in summer and 46 percent
    of the macroinvertebrate data in fall.  In summer, the
    percentage of deep pools and canopy extent along with
    channel dimensions,  such as bank full width (BFW) and
    bank  full depth  (BFD), were the most  important vari-
    ables. In fall, the percentage of fines and deep pools as
    well as canopy extent were among the  most important
    variables (see Table 6).
                                        Landscape Influences on Surface
                                        Water Chemistry
    
                                        In summer, the landscape data explained 55 percent of
                                        the variation in chemical variables. The proportion attrib-
                                        utable to LU was larger than that attributable to GEOS
                                        (see Figure 2). The two data types shared 12 percent of
                                             100
                                                      Physical
                                                      Habitat
                                                        ' Land Use
    
                                                      • Geology/
                                                         Structure
       Summer        Fall
      Chemistry     Chemistry
          [T] Shared
    
          [	| Unexplained
                                       Figure 2.  Results of variance decomposition from partial RDA.
    

    -------
    Table 4.  Mean and Standard Deviation of Macroinvertebrate Metrics Calculated for Summer Collection Periods for Six Major
            Basins of the Saginaw River Drainage
    
    n
    Chironomidae
    
    Omnivores
    
    Detritivores
    
    Shredders
    
    Gatherers
    
    Filterers
    
    Grazers
    
    Predators
    
    2 Dominants
    
    Total abundance
    
    HBI
    
    Erosional taxa
    
    Depositional
    taxa
    Species
    richness
    EPT taxa
    richness
    East Basin
    8
    59.1
    35.3
    19.4
    13.7
    57.1
    34.1
    30.3
    33.9
    59.8
    32.9
    27.4
    38.1
    32.2
    34.4
    1.5
    2.2
    64.5
    25.5
    2077
    4951
    7.1
    1.4
    25.9
    12.4
    35.5
    13.2
    17.2
    4.5
    5.0
    2.7
    Cass
    7
    57.9
    20.3
    19.1
    7.1
    69.7
    9.7
    18.7
    5.1
    18.7
    5.1
    23.4
    18.5
    13.6
    16.2
    1.2
    1.2
    54.3
    6.1
    650
    739
    5.6
    ?
    36.1
    5.5
    23.7
    9.6
    18.3
    9.6
    5.7
    2.8
    Flint
    8
    45.9
    27.9
    18.1
    13.9
    75.3
    16.0
    10.6
    6.0
    64.3
    12.8
    22.4
    14.1
    26.2
    21.0
    1.5
    2.0
    50.3
    15.2
    574
    622
    5.6
    0.8
    35.5
    9.5
    27.5
    11.5
    22.1
    8.2
    7.3
    3.0
    Shiawassee
    5
    32.2
    28.5
    14.4
    3.8
    79.9
    6.4
    7.7
    6.8
    65.0
    14.1
    18.9
    12.8
    40.1
    22.7
    1.0
    1.0
    54.2
    9.5
    325
    91
    6.0
    0.5
    38.9
    14.7
    27.0
    6.6
    20.6
    4.7
    8.0
    2.3
    Chippewa/Pine
    15
    45.5
    29.6
    21.5
    9.8
    70.4
    9.8
    14.4
    15.6
    65.8
    17.2
    17.6
    15.1
    25.5
    21.1
    1.4
    0.8
    51.9
    11.6
    497
    230
    5.1
    1.1
    36.1
    11.0
    25.4
    10.7
    26.6
    3.0
    10.0
    3.7
    Kawkawlin
    3
    67.1
    18.6
    22.0
    16.7
    29.0
    26.1
    51.0
    26.9
    39.8
    30.1
    39.9
    35.7
    25.4
    22.9
    1.9
    0.8
    60.0
    21.7
    433
    297
    8.1
    0.8
    14.9
    5.3
    52.4
    6.5
    23.3
    4.9
    3.3
    0.5
    the variation. The relationship between LU variables and
    chemistry was significant (p < 0.05), and the relationship
    between GEOS  variables  and  chemistry  was  not
    significant (p > 0.05).
    
    In fall, variation explained by LU was proportionally less
    than during summer (see Figure 2). GEOS landscape
    variables explained 25  percent  of the total variation
    while LU variables accounted for less  than 10 percent
    of the total variation. LU and GEOS variables shared
    approximately 8 percent of the variation. In contrast with
    summer, GEOS variables were significant and LU vari-
    ables were  not  significant when  examined with the
    Monte Carlo test (p < 0.05).
    
    The importance of GEOS and LU variables in explaining
    variation in the chemistry variables, as  well as the total
    amount of variation explained,  differed  considerably
    among the chemistry variables.  Figure 3 shows  only
    summer data. For example,  the  landscape variables
    explained almost 80 percent of the total variation in TN
    (see Figure 3). The largest proportion of variance was
    explained by the shared influences of GEOS and  LU.
    Alkalinity, which was also well predicted, however, was
    much more  influenced by variation  attributable to LU
    variables. In  comparison, LU variables explained less
    than 45 percent of the total variance in TP, and the
    majority of this variance was attributable to GEOS.
    
    To further examine the influence of specific landscape
    variables, we compared the various axes in the signifi-
    cant partial ordinations (see Figure 4). In summer, when
    we observed a significant effect of LU variables on water
    chemistry, forested land covers  and nonrow-crop agri-
    culture had their greatest influence on TSS and ALK. LU
    heterogeneity and shrub vegetative cover most strongly
    influenced both TN and NHs. In fall, when GEOS vari-
    ables had a significant relationship to water chemistry,
    ALK and NHs were more influenced by peat land soils
    and watershed size. The proportion of sand and gravel
    soils, as well as clays,  explained much of the variation
    in TN and TSS.
    

    -------
    Table 5.  Chemistry Variables That Had a Correlation (r) of at Least 0.30 With One of the RDA Axes With the Summer or Fall
            Ordinations; a Monte Carlo Analysis Indicated That Both Summer and Fall Ordinations Were Significant (p < 0.05)
                               RDA 1
                                                              RDA 2
                                                                                             RDA 3
    Variable
                       Summer
                                        Fall
                                                     Summer
                                                                       Fall
                                                                                    Summer
                                                                                                      Fall
    TN
    NH3
    TP
    P04
    TSS
    ALK
    0.44
    0.05
    0.12
    -0.04
    0.01
    -0.08
    0.03
    0.04
    0.40
    0.19
    -0.31
    -0.36
    -0.04
    0.09
    0.07
    0.01
    0.43
    -0.16
    -0.07
    0.52
    0.26
    -0.08
    0.36
    0.09
    0.05
    0.07
    0.25
    0.26
    0.22
    0.15
    -0.14
    -0.09
    0.14
    0.34
    -0.13
    0.2
    Table 6.  Physical Habitat Variables That Had Correlations (r) Over 0.3 With the Ordination Axes; Results of the Monte Carlo
            Simulation Indicated That the Fall but Not the Summer Ordinations Were Significant (p < 0.05)
                               RDA1
                                                              RDA 2
                                                                                             RDA 3
    Variable
    Percentage of
    fines
    Percentage of
    shallows
    Wood
    Percentage of
    deep pools
    Erosion
    Maximum
    depth
    Canopy extent
    BFW
    BFD
    Flood ratio
    Summer
    0.27
    -0.06
    0.09
    0.50
    0.16
    0.08
    
    0.75
    -0.10
    -0.09
    0.03
    Fall
    0.47
    0.17
    0.34
    0.54
    0.30
    -0.14
    
    0.21
    -0.23
    -0.13
    -0.30
    Summer
    0.04
    -0.28
    -0.1
    0.16
    -0.3
    0.08
    
    -0.47
    0.52
    0.32
    0.07
    Fall
    0.28
    -0.11
    0.02
    0.09
    -0.31
    0.16
    
    -0.42
    0.36
    0.02
    0.23
    Summer
    0.18
    0.32
    0.10
    -0.17
    0.01
    -0.39
    
    0.21
    0.07
    -0.08
    -0.41
    Fall
    -0.09
    -0.38
    -0.17
    0.26
    0.27
    0.13
    
    -0.25
    0.03
    0.22
    0.02
    Landscape Influences on Physical Habitat
    
    GEOS landscape  variables attributed for the  largest
    portion (22 percent) of the explained variation in physical
    habitat variables (see Figure 2). LU variables accounted
    for  16 percent of  the explained variance. The partial
    ordination for GEOS but not LU  was significant as the
    Monte Carlo procedure determined.
    
    As noted with chemistry variables, there were  consider-
    able differences in  the ability of the landscape variables
    to predict individual habitat characteristics. Landscape
    variables were best at predicting  BFW and least power-
    ful for predicting the  percentage of deep pools (see
    Figure 5). BFWwas influenced predominantly  by GEOS
    and  only minimally by LU. The most  influential GEOS
    variables for BFW related to watershed area (see Figure 6).
    Woody debris was  predominantly influenced by LU vari-
    ables. The most influential LU variables for woody debris
    related to forested  wetlands. Flood ratio was intermedi-
    ate to these examples. Both sets  of landscape variables
    shared the largest proportion of explained variance for
    this parameter.
    
    Discussion
    
    Our studies demonstrate  the distinct influences land-
    scape features have on stream macroinvertebrate com-
    munities through modifying surface water chemistry and
    stream  habitat.  Land  use  most  strongly  influences
    stream chemistry during summer months when surface
    runoff and soil leaching are greatest. In addition, fertil-
    izer application in row-crop agriculture is highest in the
    first part of the growing season. The strong relationship
    between some aspects of land use and stream water
    chemistry were similar to those observed in other stud-
    ies (4, 6, 7). The specific  mechanism by which stream
    chemistry influences macroinvertebrates  is not clear.
    The addition of nutrients can significantly affect stream
    productivity (25-27); however,  light often limits primary
    production in agricultural areas (28-30). Nutrients may
    

    -------
             Summer Chemistry
                                                                    Fall Chemistry
        120
      I 100
    
      I  80
      8  60
    
    
      |  40
    
      1  20
      o
      
    -------
         100
          60
       .i  40
          20
       
    -------
               Land Use
                                                                                Geology/Structure
    
    
    T3
    
    -------
    29. Bushong, S.J., and R.W. Bachmann. 1989. In situ enrichment
        experiments with  periphyton in agricultural streams. Hydrobiologia
        178:1-10.
    
    30. Wiley, M.J., L.L. Osborne, and R.W. Larimore. 1990. Longitudinal
        structure of an agricultural prairie  river system and its relation-
        ship  to current stream  ecosystem theory. Can. J.  Fish. Aquat.
        47:373-384.
    
    31. Vannote, R.L., G.W Minshall, K.W. Cummins, J.R.  Sedell,  and
        C.E.  Gushing. 1980. The river continuum concept. Can. J. Fish.
        Aquat. 37:130-137.
    32. Statzner, B., J.A. Gore, and V.H. Resh. 1988. Hydraulic stream
        ecology: Observed patterns and potential applications. J. North
        Am. Benthological Soc. 7:307-360.
    
    33. Osborne, L.L., and D.A. Kovacic. 1993. Riparian vegetated buffer
        strips  in water-quality restoration  and  stream  management.
        Freshwater Biol. In press.
    
    34. Sedell, J.R., G.H.  Reeves, F.R. Hauer, J.A. Standford, and C.P.
        Hawkins. 1990. Role of refugia in recovery from disturbances:
        Modern fragmented and  disconnected river  systems.  Environ.
        Mgmt. 14:711-724.
                                                                  11
    

    -------
     A Watershed Approach to Source Water Assessment and Protection
        Utilizing CIS-Based Inventories: A Case Study in South Carolina
                           James M. Rine, and Elzbieta R. Covington
                            Earth Sciences and Resources Institute
                                 University of South Carolina
                                    Columbia, SC 29208
    ABSTRACT
    The Earth Sciences and Resources Institute at the University of South Carolina (ESRI-USC)
    developed a watershed -based methodology for conducting contaminant inventories and
    susceptibility analyses required under the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA)
    State Source Water Assessment and Protection Program Final Guidance (SSWAPP Final
    Guidance, August 1997). SSWAPP is an offspring of the 1996 Safe Drinking Water Act. The
    watershed-based methodology was tested within a medium-size public water system which
    utilizes surface water. The project, initiated at the request of the South Carolina Department of
    Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC), helped prepare South Carolina's initial response
    to the SSWAPP Final Guidance (US EPA, 1997). In  the initial response, US EPA required all
    states to submit a source water assessment plan for their state. The three components of that
    assessment plan are: 1.) Delineation of the source water area(s); 2.) Inventory of contaminants
    within a source area; and 3.) Determination of source water susceptibilities. SCDHEC tasked
    ESRI-USC to perform the assessment component #2, An Inventory of contaminants. Following
    the termination of the SCDHEC project, ESRI-USC also completed the other components of the
    assessment. The ESRI-USC version of the SSWAPP assessment plan, which differs from the
    plan adopted by SCDHEC, is presented in this paper.
    
    In the plan proposed by ESRI-USC for South Carolina (or any State), the inventory assessment
    methods follow a watershed-approach which is comprised of three key elements. First, a master
    database is maintained for each public water supply (PWS) source area by the respective PWS
    operator/owner or by the State environmental agency (SCDHEC). Each PWS master database
    lists all inventoried sites within the entire source-area watershed(s) upstream  of the PWS intake
    structure and lists all databases where pertinent environmental data are stored for those
    inventoried sites. Second, each watershed database is linked to original databases maintained
    and updated by their originating agency (e.g. SCDHEC, US EPA, U.S. Department of
    Agriculture,  other SC agencies, etc.). This second element will allow routine updating of
    

    -------
    inventories without requiring additional programs. Assuming the inventories are updated
    routinely, watershed susceptibility analyses can be revised with current and timely information.
    Third, the proposed plan has each PWS database linked to a statewide master database under
    the supervision of the State environmental agency.
    
    The first step in field testing of the ESRI-USC plan was the development of a contaminant
    inventory for the pilot study area, noting all the known and potential release sites of
    contaminants listed in US EPA's National Primary Drinking Water Standards. Initial work
    concentrated on synthesizing numerous Federal and State electronic databases of known or
    reported contaminant releases.  These databases proved to be the most complete source of
    information regarding the general type of known releases or discharges. However, inventory
    development of potential contamination sites utilizing existing databases was difficult due to the
    lack of accurate location data, unpopulated databases,  and incomplete listings of the types and
    amounts  of contaminants present at each permitted site. Consequently, field surveys were
    needed to complete the contaminant inventories.  The field test demonstrated the need for
    consistency and coordination in database development and management, both within and
    among Federal and State agencies.
    
    Regarding the determination of source water susceptibilities, ESRI-USC proposes that
    inventories of the entire topographically-bound watershed are necessary to develop meaningful
    relative susceptibilities. With this approach, the contaminant inventory can be joined  with other
    digital data sets of the watershed, such as hypsography, land  use, soils, and infrastructure to
    more accurately determine the relative susceptibilities of specific contaminants at specific sites
    anywhere in the watershed.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    According to the US Environmental Protection Agency's State Source Water Assessment and
    Protection Program Final Guidance (US EPA's SSWAPP Final Guidance, August 1997, page A-
    25) susceptibility analysis should be conducted with, "a clear understanding where the
    significant potential sources of contamination are located." The Earth Sciences and Resources
    Institute at the University of South Carolina (ESRI-USC) interprets this US EPA guidelines to
    mean that the source water assessment process should fully integrate susceptibility analysis
    with the inventory  of present and future sources of contaminants, wherever they may be located
    within the source area. To have a "clear understanding" of the "significant potential sources of
    

    -------
    contaminants" an entire watershed should be inventoried. Or, at the minimum, significant
    sources should not be ignored just because their locations lie outside of some arbitrary
    boundary.
    
    In 1998, ESRI-USC conducted a comprehensive contaminant inventory of the upper portion of
    the watershed for Shaw Creek (HUC3050204) in the Coastal Plain of South Carolina (Fig. 1).
    
    Shaw Creek is the source for the run-of-river withdrawal for the City of Aiken public water supply
    (PWS) which has over 14,300 connections to homes and businesses. The pilot study portion of
    the Shaw Creek watershed occupies 181 km2 (70.5 sq. miles). South Carolina Department of
    Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) initiated this project to help develop a plan for
    implementing South Carolina's response to US EPA's State Source Water Assessment and
    Protection Program Final Guidance (SSWAPP; August 1997). A report on this pilot study can be
    viewed via the Internet by visiting http://gisweb.esri.sc.edu and selecting Projects Contaminant
    Inventory for Source Water Assessment and Protection Project (SWAP). REPORT:
    Development of a Contamination Inventory Methodology for the Source Water Assessment and
    Protection Program in South Carolina. In addition, the contaminant inventory can be queried via
    the internet at the same location: Projects: Prototype Model of a Interactive GIS Database for
    SWAP Contaminant Inventory.
    
    Via a narrative of the pilot study results,  this paper will describe how the assessment of the
    entire watershed (topographically delineated boundaries) is a superior approach to restricting
    the assessment to some arbitrary segment of the watershed. Secondly, a template for
    organizing State SSWAPP databases is suggested. Third, it is suggested that watershed wide
    assessments are economically feasible, and in the long term more economical than the piece-
    meal assessments that require additional surveys and added funding.
    
    DESCRIPTION OF PILOT STUDY
    Development of a Contaminant Inventory
    The objective of the pilot study was to develop a contaminant inventory for the entire watershed
    area upstream of the City of Aiken  Public Water Supply (PWS) intake. In this inventory are the
    locations and the characteristics of the sites of all known or reported contaminant releases and
    the sites of all potential contaminant releases (i.e., sites where hazardous materials are used
    but no release has been reported to date). The substances inventoried were restricted to only
    

    -------
                                                    Figure 1
           Back
                            Stop   Refresh   Home
                                         Search   Favorites  History  Channels  Fullscreen   Mail
                                                                                            Print
                                                                                                   Edit
         Address   703537263Mop=3897608.75t:choice=Loc^state=ongth2oshed=on8.bndry_s=on8:rivers=onJ.lakes=onJ
    -------
     those listed in US EPA's National Primary Drinking Water Standards (NPDWS) with groupings
     under the categories of: petroleum; chlorinated solvents and other volatile organic compounds
     (VOC's); pesticides/ herbicides;  inorganics, mobile inorganics; and pathogens. (Forthe current
     National Primary Drinking Water Standards visit www.eps.gov/OGDW/wot/appa.html.)
     Survey of Existing Databases for Reported Contaminant Releases
     Work concentrated first on synthesizing and cross-referencing numerous Federal and State
     electronic database-listings of reported contaminant releases. Cross-referencing between
     USEPA databases is relatively straight forward because each site is given a unique Facility ID
     number. Within most of the South Carolina (SC) databases examined, however, the absence an
     unique ID for each site makes it impossible to easily cross-reference between databases. In
     order to accomplish the objectives of this project, ESRI-USC compiled a prototype master
     database for the entire pilot study watershed (see Table 1: Master Watershed Site List for
     Source Area to City of Aiken PWS). This master database is designed to link each inventoried
     site to every database on which the site is listed (Fig. 2).
    
                                            Figure 2
                                   MASTER SITE LISTIN
                                            Linked /
                                          Auto update
    
    
    
    Source Water
    Maintained .
    by PWS
    
    Source Water
    . Maintained
    by PWS
    
    
    
    
    Windshield
      Survey
    DH EC    I Dept. Commerce
    US EPA
    Facilities ID
    US DA
    Crop data
     Organizational chart showing database structure as proposed for South Carolina by ESRI-USC. MASTER
     SITE LISTING would include entire state. PWS people would be responsible for updating and correcting
     data from within their respective watershed source area. The State agency responsible for SSWAPP
     (SCDHEC) would be responsible for overseeing the entire State MASTER SITE LISTING as well as
     maintaining liaison with upstream States. Links to routinely updated databases (e.g., US EPA TRIS or the
     states underground storage tank database [UST]) will allow routine updating of the source water
     assessments.
    

    -------
    Federal and State electronic database-listings of reported contaminant releases generally
    contain complete information on the general type and location of known releases or permitted
    discharges. Federal databases, such as the Toxic Release Inventory (TRIS;
    http://www.epa.gov/enviro/html/tris/state/south  carolina.html) indicate the reporting period of the
    release and list types and amounts of contaminants released. Within the computerized
    statewide databases in SC, however, data on amounts of contaminants released are generally
    incomplete.
    
    Figure 3 shows the distribution of reported contaminant release sites within the study area.
    
    Survey of Existing Databases for Potential Contaminant Releases
    from Commercial and Public Facilities
    Regarding potential contaminant release sites,  initial efforts centered on researching the
    following electronic databases:
    
        1.   SCDHEC databases listing  owners of various use permits, such as, underground or
           above ground storage tanks;
    
        2.   The Emergency Planning and Community Right to Know Act database (EPCRA/SARA
           Title III; www.state.sc.us/dhec/eqchome.html) which lists facilities within SC that contain
           10,000 Ibs. or more of hazardous raw materials;
    
        3.   The industrial facilities and land use databases  from the South Carolina Department  of
           Commerce.
    
    For those sites that have no listing  of potential contaminants present, an interpreted listing was
    made based on the commercial activities attributed to Standard Industrial Code (SIC)
    designated to the site (Table 2). For these descriptions refer to OSHA SIC website at
    www.osha.gov/cgi-bin .
    
    Figure 4 shows the distribution of potential contaminant release sites within the study area.
    

    -------
                                                    Figure 3
             Back
                      4
                    Forward
                              Stop
     LfJ
    Refresh
                                           Home
                   Search  Favorites  History   Channels  Fullscreen   Mail
                                                                                             Print
                                                                                                    Edit
           Address «2j .25tRight=726S22.3125!
    -------
                                                  Figure 4
       Back
               Forward
                         J
                        Stop   Refresh   Home
                                          	
    Search  Favorites  Historji  Channels  Fullscreen   Mail
                                                                                          Print
                                                                                                 Edit
     Address |g] 7536.6452836418Jop=3741036.25£:choice=Potent£:bndrv_s1 =on&streams=on8.inds_s=on&surv=on&iistsites=onS:click.x=2838.click..H52^] [ J Lii
        SOURCE WATER PROTECTION AND ASSESSMENT PROGRAM
    
                                   Earth Sciences & Resources Institute
        Click on Map to f Zoom In  <"" Pan <•  Redraw (~ Change Map  f Identify
                                                  HELP
                                             Return to Full Extent
        Choose a Map:
          Choose a Table:
       | Potential Sites of Contamination 7]
    
    
       Map Layers:
       metadata 17 Study Boundary
       metadata 17 Streams
       metadata 17 Industrial Sites
       metadata 17 Windshield Survey
       metadata 17
          PWS Master Contaminant Site Listing
          Reported Sites of TRIS
          Underground Storage Tank Sites
          General Contaminants and Species
          NPDES
          Pesticides Loading Rates
          Crop Data 1995
          US EPA RCRIS SITES
    Screen view is of potential sites of contamination derived from databases within SCDHEC. Because of a
    lack of correct location data, a field survey (windshield survey) was necessary to complete an accurate
    contaminant inventory of the study area. Out of a total of 62 potential sites identified and mapped in the
    final inventory of the pilot study area, only 14 of those sites were identified and located by computer
    searches of pre-existing data bases. No underground storage tanks sites (UST) could be located in the
    study area via computer searches prior to the windshield survey. After the survey, 15 sites were
    correlated with SCDHEC USTSITES database (Bureau of Underground Storage Tanks sites). In
    summary, a windshield survey was needed identify and locate over 50% of the inventoried sites found in
    the pilot study area.
    

    -------
    Field (Windshield) Survey
    A field survey (i.e., windshield survey) was critical to completing an accurate contaminant
    inventory of the study area. Out of a total of 62 potential sites identified and mapped in the final
    inventory of the pilot study area, only 14 of those sites were identified and located by computer
    searches of pre-existing data bases. No underground storage tank sites (LIST) could be located
    in the study area via computer searches prior to the windshield survey. After the survey, 15 sites
    were correlated with SCDHEC USTSITES database (Bureau of Underground Storage Tanks
    sites). In summary, a windshield survey was needed to identify and locate over 50 % of the
    inventoried sites found in the upper Shaw Creek watershed.
    
    Survey of Potential Agriculturally-derived Nonpoint Source Pollutants
    "Agriculture accounts for 75% of total pesticide use in the United States and is the primary
    source of pesticides to surface waters in most areas" (Larson and  others, 1997). In South
    Carolina and in many other states, however, there are no established procedures for
    determining the extent of the potential problem before it reaches the municipal water intake.
    
    Data available on agricultural use in the study area (and state-wide) are derived from two
    primary sources, SPOT Land-use / Land-cover data from the SC Department of Natural
    Resources and annual crop use data from the Farm Services Agency of USDA (FSA). The Land
    use / Land cover data are based on  1989-1990 multi spectral SPOT images. According to the
    Land-use/Land-cover data agricultural/grassland use occupies 32% of the upper Shaw Creek
    study area (Fig. 5). More specific agricultural data (i.e., land use according to individual crops)
    are available from the FSA with complete crop listings, according to specific fields, up to 1995.
    As of 1996, revisions to the Farm Act require farmers to report only a few selected crops. FSA
    crop data originate from individual farm holders and consist of reported use for each
    cultivated/farmed  plot,  crop type planted or maintained, and the number of acres used. Each
    field has an assigned ID number referenced to aerial photographic survey grids. The current
    FSA record of the individual fields consist of hand-drawn field boundaries on hard copies of
    aerial photographs. Presently USDA is conducting a nation wide program to convert this
    hardcopy mode of recording farm  locations into a digital format. Visit
    http://www.nhq.nrcs.usda.gov/ITD/gis.html for details on this USDA program.
    

    -------
      Snapped with HyperSnap-DX
      http:/Jwww.hyperionics.cQm
                                                   Figure 5
                                                     	o- —•
    
                                                   HELP
                                              Return to Full Extent
         Choose a Map:
         (Landuse/Landcover
    
    
         Map Layers:
         metadata F Agricultural Fields
         metadata P USDA/FSA Gnd
         metadata I? SPOT Landuse
         metadata F Simazine
         metadata F Aldicarb
         metadata F 2  4d
         metadata F
         metadata F Glyphosate
         metadata F
                      Choose a Table:
                      PWS Master Contaminant Site Listing
     Evergreen forest
    | Mixed forest
     Decidous forest
     Scrub/shrub
    | Bottomland forest
    | Non-forestedwetUnds
     Barren
    | UrtanAuilt-up
    [Underground Storage Tank Sites
    • General Contaminants and Species
    Reported Sites of TRIS
    NPDES
    Pesticides Loading Rates
                                                                Crop Data 1995
                                                                US EPA RCRIS SITES
    Land use / Land cover plot of the pilot study area. Coverage is ERDAS-generated CIS files utilizing 60
    meter SPOT data from the Land Resources group within the SC Department of Natural Resources
    (DNR). The ten categories of land use / land cover are shown in key at bottom of image. Grid pattern is of
    aerial photographic survey used by FSA to locate farm track and fields, the boundaries of which are  hand
    drawn on the photos and given  has an  unique identifying code that is referenced to the crop-use
    database. The irregular-shaped polygons in the NW part of the study area are digitized fields. By
    transferring the hard copy location data sets into a digital format, individual fields, crop use, and pesticide
    use can be spatially correlated with other data sets, such as topography, soils, geology to expedite the
    development of susceptibility analyses. USDA is beginning to implement a nationwide conversion of their
    data into such a CIS approach.  Image is screen save  from interactive, web based contaminant inventory
    (http://gisweb:esri.sc.edu).
                                                      10
    

    -------
    The potential value of the crop data is that it presents a reasonable means to estimate the
    loading of pesticides/herbicides per farm field based on the maximum recommended application
    rates in the 1997 Pest Management Handbook from the Clemson Agricultural Extension (see
    Table 3). Digital crop use data that are available from the FSA on a seasonal basis, can be
    immediately summarized for each aerial survey grid to arrive at a loading rate for that grid. If
    actual cultivated field boundaries were available, then the exact location where the pesticide
    was applied ccould be plotted. USDA is moving towards converting field locations into a GIS
    format. This USDA initiative should be strongly encouraged because of the benefits to the
    SWAP program. Precise delineation of cultivated areas will aid in the estimating the amount of
    specific pesticides introduced annually into the watershed. It will also benefit in susceptibility
    analyses. Some of these benefits are as follows.
    
        1.   Exact routes of any overland flow from a particular application site can be determined
            by overlaying field locations on topographic coverage (hypsography). This will allow
            accurate targeting of any necessary use restrictions  or remediation efforts.
    
        2.   Precise positioning of field locations in a digital format greatly facilitates the correlation
            of pesticide use with reported soils data to improve reliability of modeling the post-
            application fate of contaminants  (i.e., transport of contaminant into groundwater or
            surface waters).
    
    Design of Database Structure
    In the plan proposed by ESRI-USC for South Carolina (or any State), the inventory assessment
    methods follow a watershed-approach which is comprised of three key elements. First, a master
    database is maintained for each public water supply (PWS) source area by the respective PWS
    operator/owner or by the State environmental agency (SCDHEC). Each PWS master database
    lists all inventoried sites within the entire source-area watershed(s) upstream of the PWS intake
    structure and lists all databases where pertinent environmental data are stored for those
    inventoried sites. Second, each watershed database is linked to original databases maintained
    and updated by their originating agency (e.g. SCDHEC, US EPA, U.S. Department of
    Agriculture, other state agencies, etc.). This second element will  allow routine updating of
    inventories without requiring additional large survey projects such as required by SSWAPP.
    Assuming the inventories are updated routinely, watershed susceptibility analyses can be
    revised with current and  timely information. Third, the proposed plan has each PWS database
                                               11
    

    -------
    linked to a statewide master database under the supervision of the State environmental agency
    (Fig. 2).
    
    RELATIONSHIP OF WATERSHED-WIDE CONTAMINANT INVENTORY
    TO SOURCE WATER ASSESSMENT
    The source water assessment process should fully integrate susceptibility analysis with the
    inventory of present and future sources of contaminants, wherever they may be located within
    the source area. Following US EPA guidelines, to have a "clear understanding" of the
    "significant potential sources of contaminants" an entire watershed must be inventoried, or, at
    the very least, significant sources should not be excluded from the inventory just because their
    locations lie outside of some arbitrary boundary. This section describes the advantages of a
    watershed approach to contaminant inventory and the advantages of susceptibility analyses
    using delineations defined by natural boundaries versus fixed set-back or buffers.
    
    Absolute Distances vs. Buffers / Segmentation
    Numerous State SSWAPP plans include delineation schemes that consist of offsets or buffers
    from the surface water body and segmentation of the watershed at some arbitrary time of travel,
    such as the "24 hour travel distance computed for 10% exceedance flow..." (SCDHEC, 1999).
    Such a scheme will group  potential  contamination sites into broad categories. The South
    Carolina plan delineates three zones of susceptibility (Fig. 6):
           1.  the surface water zone of concern (61 m offset from edge of stream or geomorphic
               flood plain);
    
           2.  the ground water zone  of concern (457 m offset from edge of stream or geomorphic
               flood plain);
    
           3.  the area outside the ground water zone of concern , (The ground water zone of
               concern is defined as that area where shallow ground water may migrate into
               stream; SCDHEC, 1999).
    
    These three zones are delineated in both the primary and secondary protection areas within a
    watershed, areas demarcated by a 24 hour time of travel determination. Consequently, the
    SCDHEC plan delineates a total of six segments within the pilot study watershed (Fig. 7).
                                             12
    

    -------
                                                         Figure 6
                            Primary
                        source-water
                      protection areas
                                                            Secondary source-water
                                                            protection area
                                                          Primary
                                                          source-water
                                                          protection areas
     EXPLANATION
    
    
    ZONE OF CONTTHBUflON
    
    WATERSHED BOUNDARY
    
    SUB-WATERSHED BOUNDARY
    
    STREAM
    
    CRITICAL TRAVEL-TIME SEGMENT
    
    24-HOUR TRAVEL DISTANCE
    
    INTAKE
                     Zones of Contribution in
                  Source-Water Protection Area
                      Susceptibility
                     Determination
                        Zones
                     Area outside ground-water _
                          zone of contribution
                       457-meter ground-water.
                          zone of contribution
    
    
                        61 -meter overland flow _
                          zone of contribution
    
                      Surface-water flow system
                    (Including stream, floodplain, -
                   impoundments, ana tributaries)
    
                        61 -meter overland flow _
                          zone of contribution
                       457-meter ground-water _
                          zone of contribution
                     Area aursde ground-water _
                          zone of contribution
                                                                                                   ^_ Susceptibility
                                                                                                     zone 3
                    ^	Susceptibility
                      zone 2
                 Intake
                f   _ Susceptibility
                      zone 1
                                                                                                   _,	Susceptibility
                                                                                                     zone 2
                                                                                                   ^_ Susceptibility
                                                                                                     zoneS
    Proposed delineation plan for surface water systems in South Carolina contains primary and secondary
    source water protection areas (SWPA) and susceptibility offset zones 1,2,and 3. The primary SWPA is
    defined as "all subwatersheds adjoining the 24-hr travel distance upstream from the PWS intake"
    (SCDHEC, 1999). Offset from the stream trace, the SC plan delineates three zones of susceptibility.
    Figure is from SCDHEC (1999).
         1.   The surface water zone of concern consists of a 61 m off set from edge of stream or geomorphic
             flood plain.
                                                             13
    

    -------
        2.  The ground water zone of concern is a 457 m off set from edge of stream or geomorphic flood
           plain (the ground water zone of concern is defined as that area where shallow ground water may
           migrate into stream).
        3.  The Area outside the ground water zone of concern.
                                                Figure 7
                 • Pin f Itilw f CicjlMap T T
                         Undnjg nia-j 1 l^i.r.ijf T:mk Silr:.
         WrnddBtid Saray
                         [Iff EPA H(7RT5 SITES
                                                                                B
    Application of the proposed delineation plan for surface water systems in South Carolina to the pilot study
    area segments the watershed into a total of six segments within the pilot study watershed. The black line
    denote the 24-hr travel distance upstream from the PWS intake" (SCDHEC, 1999). A. The surface water
    zone of concern, which consists of a 61  m off set from edge of stream or geomorphic flood plain, only
    includes 12 of the 62 inventory sites. B. The ground water zone of concern, which is a 457 m offset from
    edge of stream or geomorphic flood plain, contains 37 of the 62 inventory sites. C. A problem with
    arbitrary delineations is that "reality" often ignores their presence. For example, in the pilot study area, the
                                                   14
    

    -------
    Bridgestone/Firestone (B /F) which lies outside of the SCDHEC designated Surface water Zone of
    Concern. This designation, however, did not prevent water used to fight a fire at the facility from
    overflowing the site's storm runoff basin and traveling down stream to the PWS intake where it was
    introduced into the public water supply.
    The spatial analytical capabilities inherent within a GIS, however, allow for a much more
    rigorous analysis, which includes the relative ranking of individual sites.
    
    Using Network Analyst ™ the individual flow-path distances from each site to the PWS intake
    can be automatically calculated. Figure 8 presents the flow lines, which have flow distances
    values as attributes from each survey site to the intake. A major advantage to this approach is
    that not only is there a parameter to individually rank each site, but arbitrary, and often
    misleading designations are avoided. For example, in the pilot study area, the
    Bridgestone/Firestone site lies outside of the SCDHEC designated "Surface water Zone of
    Concern" (Fig. 7 C). This designation, however, did not prevent water used to fight a fire at the
    facility from overflowing the site's storm runoff basin and traveling the 10.3 km (6.4 miles) down
    stream to the PWS intake where it was introduced into the public water supply.
    
    Environmental Fate of Contaminant Species vs. Single Susceptibility Determinations
    In SSWAPP, the US EPA suggests that susceptibility determinations "take into account...
    inherent characteristic(s) of the contaminants...." One interpretation of this guideline would be
    separate susceptibility analyses for each  species of contaminant, or,  at a minimum, maps made
    for groupings of contaminants that share  the same environmental fate. Figure 9 compares
    hypothetical sensitivity maps for benzene and cadmium. These maps are "stack- unit maps" or
    "spatially joined" maps, which sum various ranked environmental parameters. How these
    parameters are ranked depends on the environmental fate of the contaminant in question. For
    instance, cadmium adsorbs  readily onto sediment surfaces, with particles with higher surface
    areas (e.g., clays) adsorbing higher amounts of cadmium. Consequently, the higher ranked
    areas on the sensitivity map for cadmium are controlled by spatial distribution of finer grained
    soils, such as C and D soils  which occur as levees and overbank deposits within areas adjoining
    rivers (Fig.  10). In contrast, for benzene, proximity to the stream is considered the most
    important parameter as far as benzene's  impact on a surface water system. Since benzene
    volatilizes rapidly, if benzene is released too far from a stream, evaporation combined with
    infiltration into soils, may prevent benzene from reaching a stream. Consequently, the buffer
                                               15
    

    -------
    delineations are the most prominent parameter in the benzene soil sensitivity map (Fig. 7 and
    
    9).
                                               Figure 8
                 Boundary
                 Windshield Survey
                 Water Intake
            A/ Travel distance
             "   ' n
                 Roads
                 Contour Lines
    Using Network Analyst ™ (from Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc.) the individual flow-path
    distances from each survey site to the PWS intake can be automatically calculated. Using the stream flow
    calculations for overland as well as in-stream distances, time of travel from each site can be calculated
    and compared. Time of travel can also be calculated for low flow as well as high flow conditions. Using
    this tool, a coverage consisting of intersections of streams with roads, rails, and pipelines would give
    PWS operators quick access to time of travel information in case of an emergency spill due to a
    transportation accident. This information would be very accessible via the internet.
                                                  16
    

    -------
                                          Figure 9
          Benzene Surface Water Susceptibility
                                                      Cadmium Surface Water Susceptibility
        Susceptibility
        ^| very high
           high
           moderate
           low
        ^| very low
    Susceptibility
    r   very high
       high
       moderate
       low
     B| very low
    BENZENE PARAMETERS
    1. SURFACE WATER ZONE OF CONCERN (ZOC)
    2. SOIL HYDROLOGIC GROUPS
    3. GROUND WATER ZOC
    4. SOIL SLOPE
    CADMIUM PARAMETERS
    1. SOIL HYDROLOGIC GROUPS
    2. SOIL EROSION INDEX
    3. SURFACE WATER ZOC
    4. SOIL SLOPE
    Two contaminants on the NPDWS list, benzene, a VOC, and cadmium, a phase II inorganic,
    behave differently when released into the environment. Consequently, different sensitivity maps
    where developed for each. These maps are "stack- unit maps" or "spatially joined" maps, which
    sum various ranked environmental parameters. How these parameters are ranked depends on
    the environmental fate of the contaminant in question. For instance, cadmium adsorbs readily
    onto sediment surfaces, with particles with higher surface areas (e.g., clays) adsorbing higher
    amounts of cadmium. Consequently, the higher ranked areas on the sensitivity map for
    cadmium are controlled by spatial distribution of finer grained soils, such as C and D soils which
    occur as levees and overbank deposits adjoining rivers (see Fig. 10). In contrast, for benzene
    proximity to the stream is considered the most important parameter as far as benzene's impact
    on a surface water system. Since benzene volatilizes rapidly, if benzene is released too far from
    a stream, evaporation combined with infiltration into the soil, may prevent benzene from
    reaching a stream. Consequently, the buffer delineations are the most prominent parameter in
    the benzene soil sensitivity map (see Fig. 7).
                                             17
    

    -------
                                               Figure 10
                                             Return to Full Extent
      Choose a Map.
    (Soils                     jj]
    
    
    Map Layers:
    metadata F Study Boundary
    metadata f~ Soil Slopes
    metadata V Soil Types
    metadata W Soil Hydrologic Group
                                             Soils Hydro logic
                                             Bi A
                                                B
                                                                Choose a Table:
                                                                PWS Master Contaminant Site Listing
    Underground Storage Tank Sites
    General Contaminants and Species
    Reported Sites of TRIS
    NPDES
                                                                Pesticides Loading Rates
                                                                Crop Data 1995
                                                                US EPA RCRIS SITES
    Screen view is of the soil hydrologic group distribution within the upper Shaw Creek watershed area.
    Hydrologic soil groups are delineated based on their relative run-off versus infiltration characteristics.
    Group A soils have a high infiltration rate and low run-off potential, being deep, well-drained, and
    sandy/gravelly. The other end member, Group D soils, has a very slow infiltration rate, a high run-off
    potential, and have a high-clay-content layer near the surface or are shallow soils over a low-permeability
    bedrock or other material. Soil hydrologic group designations are just one of 14 soil attributes from USDA-
    NRCS Map Unit  Interpretation Database.
    The variability of the environmental fates for benzene and cadmium is not unique. Given the
    
    wide variations in the environmental fate and transport characteristics of hazardous materials, it
    
    does not seem scientifically defensible that a single susceptibility analysis should be applied for
    
    all the contaminants listed in the NPDW Standards.
                                                   18
    

    -------
    General descriptions of the characteristics of hazardous materials, including those listed in the
    NPDW Standards, can be obtained through the US EPA web site (for an example visit
    http://www.epa.gov/OGDW/dwh/t-soc.html).
    
    Using Natural Spatial Variability vs. Arbitrary Buffers for Susceptibility Analysis
    The diverse data sets describing the geographic, hydrogeologic, hydrologic, and land use
    characteristics are readily available for watersheds nationwide. These data sets can be easily
    integrated utilizing the GIS capability of spatial joining (also known as, polygon overlay or stack
    unit mapping).
    
    The process of integrating varied data sets necessary to develop a susceptibility analysis is
    relatively straight forward, utilizing a GIS. The next step of developing a logical and defensible
    scheme for ranking the relative importance of these data is not a simple process. To develop a
    logical ranking scheme will require the incorporation of ideas and experiences from a variety of
    sources. To enlist the appropriate expertise, we recommend establishing an advisory board,
    having discussions at public meetings, and posting of the plan on a web site for review.
    
    When conducting a susceptibility analysis of a watershed or a specific site within a watershed,
    more than the physical characteristics of the area  must  be considered. The factors ESRI-USC
    recommend are considered for a susceptibility analysis  of a specific contaminant or groups of
    contaminants with similar environmental fate characteristics and toxicity levels are as follows:
    
       1.   PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS
            •  soils
            •  geology
            •  hydrology
    
       2.  SITE STRUCTURAL / PROCEDURAL CHARACTERISTICS
            •  history of reported releases, complaints, etc.
            •  BMP or Emergency Plan in place
    
       3.  CONTAMINANT LOADING
            •  % of product that is a hazardous material
            •  travel distance from release site to PWS intake or well
                                              19
    

    -------
    If a susceptibility analysis lumps contaminants with different environmental fate characteristics
    and toxicity levels it is suggested that the most conservative environmental fate
    (environmentally harmful) and most lethal toxicity level of the contaminant group be used in the
    analysis.
    
    The susceptibility analysis proposed by ESRI-USC is a "relative comparison" approach as
    described in the USEPA SSWAPP guidelines (1997, p. 2-18). In implementing this approach,
    the ranking scheme will be clearly documented for critique and later revision. In addition, such
    an analytical approach can be applied to either surface or ground water systems.
    
    CONCLUSIONS
    1.  In the susceptibility plan proposed by ESRI-USC for South Carolina (or any State), the
       inventory assessment methods follow a watershed-approach which is comprised of three
       key elements. First, a master database is maintained for each public water supply (PWS)
       source area by the respective PWS operator/owner or by the State environmental agency
       (SCDHEC). Each PWS master database lists all inventoried sites within the entire source-
       area watershed(s) upstream of the PWS intake structure and lists all databases where
       pertinent environmental data are stored for those inventoried sites.  Second, each watershed
       database is linked to original databases maintained and updated by their originating agency
       (e.g. SCDHEC, US EPA, U.S. Department of Agriculture, other State agencies,  etc.). This
       second  element will allow routine updating of inventories without with out requiring additional
       programs. Assuming the inventories are updated routinely, watershed susceptibility
       analyses can be  revised with current and timely  information. Third, the proposed plan has
       each PWS database linked to a statewide master database under the supervision of the
       State environmental agency, such as SCDHEC in SC.
    
    2.  Given the wide variations in the environmental fate and transport characteristics of
       hazardous  materials, it does not seem scientifically defensible that a single susceptibility
       analysis should be applied for all the contaminants listed in the NPDW Standards.
    
    3.  The spatial analytical capabilities inherent within a GIS allow for a rigorous susceptibility
       analysis utilizing  diverse data sets describing the geographic, hydrogeologic, hydrologic,
       and land use characteristics which are readily available for watersheds nationwide. These
                                              20
    

    -------
    data sets can be easily integrated utilizing the GIS capability of spatial joining (also known
    as, polygon overlay or stack unit mapping).
                                             21
    

    -------
    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
    ESRI-USC wishes to thank SCDHEC for the opportunity to participate in our portion of the pilot
    studies for SSWAPP. ESRI-USC also extends it appreciation to the U. S. Geological Survey
    (USGS) for their cooperation while we worked coincidentally on our separate portions of this
    project. ESRI-USC offers a special thanks to the SC office of the Farm Services Agency of
    USDA for helping us examine and analyze crop use information for the study area.
                                             22
    

    -------
                                         CITATIONS
    Clemson University Cooperative Extension Service, 1997. 1997 Pest Management Handbook,
           Field Crops, Fruits, and Vegetables. Volume 1: Clemson Agricultural Extension,
           Clemson, SC, 700 pp.
    
    Larson, S.J., P.O. Capel, and M.S. Majewski, 1997. Pesticides in Surface Waters, Distribution,
           Trends, and Governing Factors; Volume 3 of the Series, Pesticides in the Hydrologic
           System: Ann Arbor Press, Inc., Chelsea, Ml, 373 pp.
    
    Rine, J.M., R.C. Berg, J.M. Shafer, E.R. Covington, J.K. Reed, C.B.  Bennett, J.E. Trudnak,
           1998. Development and testing of contamination potential mapping system for a portion
           of the General Separations Area, Savannah River Site, South Carolina: Environmental
           Geology, vol. 35, no. 4, p. 263-277.
    
    Rine, J.M., E.R. Covington, J. B. Atkins, 1998. Development of a Contaminant Inventory
           Methodology for a SWAP Program in South Carolina, Earth Sciences and Resources
           Institute, University of South Carolina, ESRI-USC Technical Report 98-10-F140,
           Columbia, SC
    
    South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control, Bureau of Water (SCDHEC),
           1999. South Carolina Source Water Assessment & Protection Program: Final Draft for
           Advisory Committee Review January 1999; Columbia, SC
    
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1997. State Source Water Assessment and Protection
           Programs Guidance, Final Guidance: U.S. EPA Office of Water, EPA 816-R-97-009,
           Washington, D.C.
                                             23
    

    -------
                                                                                        Table 1.
                                                   Master Watershed Site List for Source Area to City of  Aiken Public Water Supply
    USCWID                         FAC_NM
       1     Beaulieu of America
       2     RaceTrac
       2     RACETRAC #427
       2     RACETRAC #427
       3     BP Gas & convenience store
       3     BP Gas & convenience store
       3     BP Gas & convenience store
       4     Amoco VACANT
       5     Smile Gas
       5     Smile Gas
       5     Smile Gas
       5     Smile Gas
       5     Smile Gas
       6     S.E. Peters, Inc.
       7     Firestation
       8     Pepperidge Farm, Inc.
       8     Pepperidge Farm, Inc.
       9     Beloit Manhatten MillPro Service
       10     Smith Kline Beecham
       11     Carlisle Tire
       12     Gorham Bronze
       13     United Defence LP Ground Systems Div.
       13     United Defence LP Ground Systems Div.
       13     United Defence LP Ground Systems Div.
       14     Aiken Airport BP fuel pump
       14     Aiken Airport (fuel pump?)
       14     Aiken Airport (fuel pump?)
       14     Aiken Airport (fuel pump?)
       15     Aiken Airport Sunococ fuel pump
       16     Bridgestone/Firestone Special Training
       17     Airport Industrial Park building (VACANT)
       18     Aiken Co. Drop off Center #3
       19     Southeastern Clay Co.
       20     Kentucky-Tennessee Clay Co.
       21     Shell gas & convenient shore
       21     Shell gas & convenient shore
       21     Shell gas & convenient shore
       22     VACANT (Abandoned Gas station)
       23     Morris Quick Lube
       24     Jordans Auto Service & Sales
       25     Shiloh Baptist Church
       26     Quick Stop & Gas
       26     QUICK STOP II
       26     QUICK STOP II
       27     Shell Food Mart & Blimpies
       27     Shell Food Mart & Blimpies
       27     Shell Food Mart & Blimpies
       28     Exxon / Subway (Garvin Oil, Inc.)
       28     Exxon/Subway (Garvin Oil, Inc.)
       29     Automotive machine Shop
       30     B&B Paint & Body Shop
       31     Curry's Auto Service
       32     Graves Auto Salvage
                   AKA FAC NM
    Beaulieu Fibers
    RACETRAC #427
    RACETRAC #427
    RACETRAC #427
    DEPOT FOOD STORE 135
    DEPOT FOOD STORE 135
    DEPOT FOOD STORE 135
    Amoco
    SMILE GAS #77
    SMILE GAS #77
    SMILE GAS #77
    SMILE GAS #77
    SMILE GAS #77
    Beecham Products
    Nl Industries MirreY
    Gorham Bronze Div. Textron
    FMC Corp.
    FMC Corp.
    FMC Corp.
    AIKEN AVIATION ENTERPRISES INC
    AIKEN AVIATION ENTERPRISES INC
    AIKEN AVIATION ENTERPRISES INC
    AIKEN AVIATION ENTERPRISES INC
    AIKEN AVIATION ENTERPRISES INC
    ?AIRPORT STOP AND SHOP?
    ?AIRPORT STOP AND SHOP?
    ?AIRPORT STOP AND SHOP?
               Abandoned Gas station
    QUICK STOP II
    QUICK STOP II
    QUICK STOP II
    I-20 SHELL
    I-20 SHELL
    I-20 SHELL
    KENTSKORNER#15
    KENTSKORNER#15
                     ADDRESS
    136 Frontage Rd.
    Columbia Hwy (address*?)
    2664 N COLUMBIA HWY
    2664 N COLUMBIA HWY
    2655 Columbia Hwy (US HWY 1 AT I-20)
    US HWY1 ATI-20
    US HWY1 ATI-20
    Columbia Hwy
    2645 COLUMBIA HWY I-20 & US 1
    2645 COLUMBIA HWY I-20 & US 1
    2645 COLUMBIA HWY I-20 & US 1
    2645 COLUMBIA HWY I-20 & US 1
    2645 COLUMBIA HWY I-20 & US 1
    127W. Frontage Rd.
    Columbia Hwy
    10 Windham Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    10 Windham Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    25 Beloit St.(Verenes Industrial Park)
    65 Windham Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    25 Windhan Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    45 Windhan Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    15 Windhan Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    15 Windhan Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    15 Windhan Blvd (Verenes Industrial Park)
    AIKEN AIRPORT - HWY #1
    AIKEN AIRPORT - HWY #1
    AIKEN AIRPORT - HWY #1
    AIKEN AIRPORT - HWY #1
    AIKEN AIRPORT - HWY #1
    (Verenes Industrial Park)
    REYNOLDS POND RD N
    US 1 AT I-20
    US 1 AT I-20
    US 1 AT I-20
    US 1 (Columbia Hwy)
    Columbia Hwy
    2142 Edgefield Hwy
    HWY 19 & 191 NORTH
    HWY 19 & 191 NORTH
    I-20&HWY19
    I-20&HWY19
    I-20&HWY19
    1925 Edgefield Rd. (survey notes)
    1925 EDGEFIELD HWY(I-20 @ SC19)
    1625 Edgefield Rd.
    599 Hazel Dr
    Shilo Hts. Rd.
     Edgefield Rd.
     CITY
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    AIKEN
    

    -------
                                                                                   Table 1.
                                               Master Watershed Site List for Source Area to City of Aiken Public Water Supply
    33    BP Depot
    34    Williams Garage & Auto Salvage
    35    2 Fine Fellows US 1
    36    Gerry's Automotive
    37    Speedway/Starvin' Marvin
    38    Grace Div. Kaolin Products
    39    City of Aiken Waterworks
    40    Chave's Auto
    41    Noth Side Golf Club
    42    Thomas Used Cars
    43    Mt. Sinai Baptist Church
    44    Satterfield Construction Co., Inc
    45    Trenton Quick Stop/Phillip 66
    45    Trenton Quick Stop/Phillip 66
    45    Trenton Quick Stop/Phillip 66
    46    Bill'y Super Store
    46    Bill'y Super Store
    46    Bill'y Super Store
    46    Bill'y Super Store
    46    Bill'y Super Store
    46    Bill'y Super Store
    47    Martin Color Fi
    48    Carlisle Tire & Wheel
    49    Trenton Correctional Institute
    49    Trenton Correctional Institute
    50    Edgefield Co. Collection & Recycling center
    51    Ebenezer Baptist church
    52    Carlisle Engineering Products
    53    Moore Craft Cabinet Co.
    54    Yonce Field (grass airfield)
    55    191 Country Convenience Store
    56    Resale shop and Auto service (abandoned gas pumps)
    57    Lewis E. Holmes Farms
    58    Condrey's Auto and Cycle Shop
    59    Aiken Correction Center
    60    Ramada Inn
    61    Edgefield Co. Water & Sewer Authority
    62    Feldspar Production Inc.
    Asphalt plant #1
    TRENTON QUICK SHOP
    TRENTON QUICK SHOP
    TRENTON QUICK SHOP
    TRENTON CORRECTIONAL CENTER
    TRENTON CORRECTIONAL CENTER
    US 1 & Rutland Rd.
    SCHWY19
    1139 Rutland Rd.
    Rutland Rd.
    US 1 (Columbia Hwy)
    
    US 1 (Columbia Hwy)
    1955 US 1 (Columbia Hwy)
    US 1 (Columbia Hwy)
    State Hwy 191
    
    SC HWY 191
    HWY 121
    HWY 121
    HWY 121
    intersection US1 &SC19 & SC 121
    CORNER OF HWY 121 & US 25
    CORNER OF HWY 121 & US 25
    CORNER OF HWY 121 & US 25
    CORNER OF HWY 121 & US 25
    CORNER OF HWY 121 & US 25
    Trenton 121
    intersection US1 &SC19 & SC 121
    85 OLD PLANK RD
    85 OLD PLANK RD
                                             E. Wise Trenton
                                             E. Wise Trenton
                                             off SC HWY 121 connector
                                             177R1. 191
                                             Box 28 Rt. 2 (SC Hwy 191)
                                             ROUTE 4 BOx 494-B US 1 N
                                             110 Frontage Rd.
                                             ???
                                             P.O. Box 2455
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
      AIKEN
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
    TRENTON
       SC
       SC
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
      AIKEN
    TRENTON
      AIKEN
          KEY TO HEADER ABBREVIATIONS:
          USCWID
          FAC_NM
          AKA FAC_NM
          DHECUSTID
          surv-id
    unique ID# for each inventoried site in watershed
    facility name
    other / previous facility name
    UST permit I D#
    site ID numbers utilized in windshield survey
                                             DHECSPCCID
                                             DHECNPDES
                                             DHECSTORMW
                                             EPA FACILITY ID
                                             RCRIS CITE
                                             TRIS CITE
    

    -------
                                                              Table 2.
    Listing of General Types of Potential  Contaminants from Industrial/Govermental Facilities as Derived from Facility SIC Descriptions
    u
    in
    0191
    1455
    1629
    2051
    2282
    2511
    2821
    2824
    2834
    2899
    2951
    3011
    3069
    3089
    3295
    3297
    3364
    3492
    3499
    3599
    3714
    3795
    4581
    4941
    4952
    5015
    5093
    5411
    5521
    5541
    5812
    6512
    7011
    7538
    7549
    7992
    8661
    9223
    9223
    SIC DEFINITION
    General farms, primary crop
    Kaolin and ball clay, mining
    Heavy construction not elsewhere classified
    Bread and other bakery products, eYcept cookies & crackers, manufacturing
    Yarn texturizing, throwing, twisting, and winding mills, manufacturing
    Wood household furniture.except upholstered
    Plastics materials and resins, manufacturing
    Organic fibers, noncellulosic, manufacturing
    pharmaceutical preparations
    Chemicals and chemical preparations, not elsewhere classifies manufacturing
    Asphatt paving matures and blocks
    Tires and inner tubes manufacturing
    fabricated rubber products, not elsewhere classified, manufacturing
    Plastic products, not elsewhere classified, manufacturing
    Vlinerals and earths, ground or otherwise treated, manufacturing
    Monday refractories
    Nonferrous die-castings, eYcept aluminum, manufacturing
    Fluid power valves and hose fittings, manufacturing
    Vliscellaneous fabricated metal products
    Industrial and commercial machinery and equipment, not elsewhere, manufacturing
    Motor vehicle parts and accessories
    Tanks and tank components
    Airports, flying field and airport
    Water supply
    Sewerage systems
    Motor vehicle parts, used (junkyards)
    Scrap and waste materials
    Grocery stores
    Motor vehicle dealers (used only)
    Gasoline service station
    Eating places
    Operators of nonresdential buildings
    Hotel and motels
    General automoth/e repair shops
    Automoth/e services, eYcept repair
    Public golf courses
    Religuous organizations (church yard wfth cemetery)
    Correctional instftutions (w/UST?, vehicle maintenance, small manufacturing)
    =ire protection ((Fire station)
    SIC GROUP
    01
    14
    16
    20
    22
    25
    28
    28
    28
    28
    29
    30
    30
    30
    32
    32
    33
    34
    34
    35
    37
    37
    45
    49
    49
    50
    50
    54
    55
    55
    58
    65
    70
    75
    75
    79
    86
    92
    92
    SIC MAJOR GROUP DEFINITION
    Agricultural production crops
    Mining & quarrying of nonmetallic minerals, ex+D6cept fuels
    Heavy construction other than building construction contractors
    Food & kindred products
    Textile mill products
    Furniture and fixtures
    Chemicals and allied products
    Chemicals and allied products
    Chemicals and allied products
    Chemicals and allied products
    Detroleum refining and related products
    Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products
    Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products
    Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products
    Stone, clay, glass and concrete products
    Stone, clay, glass and concrete products
    Primary metal industries
    Fabricated metal products, eYcept machinery and transportation equipment
    fabricated metal products, eYcept machinery and transportation equipment
    Industrial and commercial machinery and computer equipment
    Transportation equipment
    Transportation equipment
    Transportation by air
    Electric, gas, and sanitary services
    Electric, gas, and sanitary services
    Wholesale trade-durable goods
    Wholesale trade-durable goods
    Food stores
    Automotive dealers and gasoline service stations
    Automotive dealers and gasoline service stations
    Eating and drinking places
    Real estate
    Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps, And Other Lodging Place
    Automotive repair, services, and parking
    Automotive repair, services, and parking
    Amusement and recreation services
    Vlemberchip organizations
    Justice, public order, and safety
    Justice, public order, and safety
    PETROLEUM
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    QJ
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Ethylbenzene
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    m
    2
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Tetrachloroethlylene
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Dichloromethane
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    Benzo(a)pyrene (PAHs)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Phthalate
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    1 .2 Dichloropropane
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    1 ,2,4 - Trichlorobenzene
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    QJ
    Q
    h1
    (M
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Total trihalomethanes (Interim)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    

    -------
                                                              Table 2.
    Listing of General Types of Potential  Contaminants from Industrial/Govermental Facilities as Derived from Facility SIC Descriptions
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    PESTICIDES/HERBICIDES
    Y
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Acrylamide
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Alachlor
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    is
    •e
    8
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Atrazine
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Carbofuran
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Chlorodane
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Q
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Dibromochloropropane
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Epicchlorohydrin
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Ethylene dibromide
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Hepachlor + metabolites
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Lindane
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    b
    0
    i
    E
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Pentachlorophenol
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    QJ
    1
    Q_
    1—
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    2,4,5-TP
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Dinoseb
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    "ro
    O"
    H
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    g
    o
    H
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    S
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    £
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Q.
    5
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    QJ
    1
    I
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Hexachlorocyclopentadiene
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    O
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Picoloram
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Simazine
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    a
    Q.
    s
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    S
    Q.
    1
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    INORGANICS
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    1
    QJ
    1
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    E
    1
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Cadmium
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    E
    o
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    E
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    •o
    0)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    SB
    Q_
    §
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Antimony
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    1
    I
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    QJ
    •o
    I
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Thallium
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Selenium
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Sulfate (proposed)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Arsenic (Interim)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    MOBILE INORGANICS
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    ±
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    RADIONUCLIDES
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Radium (proposed)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    1
    1
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Uranium (proposed)
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    PATHOGENS
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Giardia
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    ,0
    o
    1
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    i—
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Viruses
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    

    -------
                                                                                      Table 3.
                                              Estimated loading rates of specific pesticides/herbicides per acre farmed land based on maximum
                                              recommended application rates in the 1997 Pest Management Handbook from Clemson University
                                                                            Cooperative Extension Service
                                                                                                                                                          2-4pt/1000gal
    Conservation Reserve Plan
         CUCUMBER
                                                                                                                                          4lb/gal
     OATS (SMALL GRAINS)
      RYE(SMALL GRAINS)
        CORN (SWEET)
       SWEET POTATO
       UPLAND COTTON
    WHEAT (SMALL GRAINS)
    

    -------
                  Management and Reuse of Contaminated Soil -
                                The SoilTrak™  Method
    
                            Edward Rogers, Jr., BEM Systems, Inc.1
    
    Introduction
    In 1991, BEM Systems, Inc. was contracted to conduct environmental investigations along a
    20+ mile corridor for development of a new light rail transit system project. During these
    investigations, suspicions that widespread and varying degrees of contamination would be
    found were confirmed.
    
    At about the same time, a new approach to contamination had recently been developed by the
    State regulatory agency wherein low-level contamination could be left in place based on
    proposed land-use and the imposition of engineering controls to limit potential exposure to the
    contaminants. This would allow for the redevelopment of mildly contaminated properties for
    industrial use where the likelihood of exposure to contamination would be far less than that
    encountered for residential development, for example. If such an approach were implemented,
    the developer would have to negotiate site-specific cleanup standards, design and implement
    engineering controls to limit any potential exposure to remaining contamination and map out the
    type  and extent of contamination allowed to remain on-site. This information would be attached
    to the property deed. The document would further stipulate that as long as the land use
    remained as proposed, the contamination could remain in-place. Should the land use change,
    the issue of contamination and remedial options would have to be revisited. A document stating
    the allowable land use and identifying the contaminants, their locations and concentrations
    would be attached to the property deed. This document is referred to  as a "Declaration of
    Environmental Restrictions" (DER).
    
    As part if its investigations, BEM recommended that contaminated soil reuse be implemented as
    the preferred remedial alternative and that a Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) should be
    negotiated with the State. The proposal involved reuse of over 400,000 cubic yards of
    "moderately" contaminated soil using engineering controls to minimize exposure potential to the
    contaminants that would remain. This would minimize the costs associated with off-site disposal
    1 Edward Rogers, Jr., BEM Systems, Inc., 100 Passaic Avenue, Chatham, NJ 07928;
    

    -------
    of soil and would provide much needed engineering fill material. Since the proposed reuse of
    the property was a rail corridor, the probability of public exposure to contamination would be
    nearly zero. The state agency agreed to this approach with the following stipulations. Reused
    soil must not have contaminant levels that are greater than 10 times the State agency's "Non-
    Residential Direct Contact Cleanup Standards". The contaminated soil would have to be placed
    at least two feet above the seasonal high water-table level and two feet below grade. Another
    stipulation of the MOA was that mapping would be required which showed where contaminated
    soil was placed, which contaminants traveled with it and at what concentrations.
    
    For the typical property, implementation of such a plan is fairly straightforward. Such properties
    are generally no more than a few acres in size and identifying the degree and extent of
    contamination is "text book" environmental work. BEM, however, was working with a single
    "site" that was 20 miles long,  involved most urban land uses and passed through six
    municipalities and two counties. BEM would have to develop a detailed system of tracking and
    reporting soil movements and identifying their associated contaminants.
    
    As though this task were not complex enough, the client added another twist. It was the
    transportation agency's intention to recover the costs of remediation from the owners of the
    properties they planned to acquire. Since the transportation agency could approach the corridor
    as one site, they would enjoy an economy-of-scale with regard to investigation costs,
    remediation costs, and more favorable cleanup standards  that no individual property owner
    could achieve alone. Using this information, it was reasoned that property owners would settle
    on the final sale price of the property sooner if we could demonstrate that the cost of
    remediation, which would be deducted from the sale price, was lower than the property owner
    would have paid. Timely property acquisition was key  to the success of this rail project. It would
    be necessary to provide a detailed accounting of the remediation cost, by property owner, to
    defend our client's cost recovery efforts.
    
    It quickly became clear that BEM would have to develop a method of tracking soil movement
    activity throughout the corridor. In light of the amount of data that would be generated by the
    remediation/construction activity, a database of some  type would also have to be developed. In
    order to meet the objectives of cost recovery and the DER, this database would have to
    integrate tightly with other parts of BEM's environmental database management system. This
    
    908-598-2600,  x143; erogers@bemsys.com
    

    -------
    would be particularly true for sample analytical data and property owner information, as well as
    existing spatial databases of the corridor that included sample locations and tax lot boundaries.
    
    This paper will present the design and implementation of the SoilTrak Method, including the
    issues leading to design decisions, the successes and failures of SoilTrak, an evaluation of
    whether intended objectives were met, and where SoilTrak is headed now.
    
    Developing the SoilTrak™ Strategy
    The first step  in developing the SoilTrak Method was determining precisely what information
    would be needed and what would have to be tracked. It seemed clear that we would have to
    track soil movement itself. Since it was necessary to know not only the contaminants at source
    locations, but also the specific source property, a grid system based on tax  lot boundaries and
    the width of the corridor seemed ideal. This would allow the contractors to report soil movement
    based on a source cell and a  destination cell. This seemed an ideal solution to everyone except
    the first of the contractors we  would work with. SoilTrak would be developed and tested on a
    small segment of the corridor that would  become the largest of the several "Park & Ride"
    facilities. "Contractor 1" was hired to do the construction of this site. Contractor 1 stated that the
    unusual shapes of the tax lot  parcels in this area, many of which had sweeping curves in them,
    were too difficult to map and track during field activities. They proposed developing an
    irregularly shaped grid system based upon activity and  depth of excavation. The cells would
    either be "cut" (excavation) cells or "fill" cells. Since  anything else would be  too complex to
    manage in the field, this approach was adopted. The contractor supplied us with a CAD file
    mapping the proposed cut, which would later be critical to implementing the system. From this
    point, development of the SoilTrak database and application began.
    
    Database Design
    As with most database projects, reporting needs would primarily dictate what information  was
    stored in the database.  It was already known that the primary needs were to support cost
    recovery by property owner and to report the source, destination and contaminant content of
    reused soil. BEM's environmental management information  system (BEMIS™) already had a
    database and associated GIS coverage for tax lot information along the corridor, so SoilTrak
    would be designed to integrate with these. BEMIS also had  tables containing analytical results
    data and a sampling location  table with an associated sample location GIS coverage. It is
    important to understand that BEMIS was designed to be data-centric, rather than GIS-centric.
    

    -------
    All attribute information is stored in a central database of many related tables with GIS
    coverages and applications like SoilTrak acting as data "peripherals". They could draw data
    from, or add data to, the specific tables they supported. This strategy allowed SoilTrak to focus
    only on the tables needed to track soil movement and cost information. These tables would be
    SoilTrak's contribution to BEMIS.
    
    The first, and main, table would track soil movements (SoilMove). A key question on the
    contents of a record centered on whether a record should record the source and destination, or
    only source or destination. That is, would a record report the cut and subsequent fill activity, or
    the cut and fill activities separately. The first approach, and seemingly the most intuitive, could
    produce half as many records as the second could. However,  it was determined the soil cut on
    one day could be temporarily stockpiled and filled on a later date. This would create confusion
    during data entry since SoilTrak would require both a source and destination cell. In many
    cases, soil would also be cut from a single cell and filled to several cells. This would result  in
    significant redundancy in the data since the single cut would have to be written for every fill. It
    was decided to record the activities as separate records.
    The next decision centered on precisely what it was
    that should be tracked. Since soil movement was the
    focus, it seemed logical to track the movement of
    each discreet amount of soil removed from the
    ground, which we will refer to as "slugs" of soil.
    Every time a soil excavation activity occurred, the
    soil removed would now become an entity in the
    database and would receive a unique ID, a "Soil
    Code". Other information such as excavation date,
    volume, a cell  ID and an activity (was the record  of
    this soil reporting a cut or fill?).  Fill records would be
    virtually identical to cut records. The Soil Code
    would be the primary key of SoilTrak, an approach
    that would later prove not to be optimal.
    
    This information was adequate for tracking soil
    movements but could not meet either of SoilTrak's
                  Figure 1
    Soil volumes would be assigned as a ratio
    of the volume to the area a tax lot
    occupied within the source cell.
    

    -------
    objectives of cost recovery and contaminant tracking. Another piece of information was
    necessary, property ID. Since BEM already had a database of tax blocks and lots, It seemed
    reasonable to use this existing data. Each cut or fill activity would occur within a tax block and
    lot combination identified within BEMIS by a property code. The inclusion of this field would
    provide SoilTrak with the needed link into the rest of  BEMIS.
    
    Database Design - Cost Recovery
    However, the inclusion of prop_code in a soil move record created a dilemma. The cut and fill
    grid was drawn without regard to property boundaries. If soil were excavated from a cell that
    was subdivided by multiple property codes,  which would you report? Since the smallest
    geographic unit the contractors could report on was the cut or fill cell, it would be necessary to
    report all properties present in the cell. Cost recovery objectives dictated knowing how much soil
    was removed from each property, not cut or fill cell. In the case where a cell were divided by
    three tax lots, SoilTrak's data approach would require the three cut records be entered for every
    cut from that cell.
    
    With this in mind, the next question centered on assigning the soil volume.  For all intents and
    purposes,  soil excavation and reuse was the cost-recoverable remediation activity. If a rate per
    cubic yard could be arrived at, cost recovery reporting would be as simple as multiplying that
    rate by the total volume of soil removed from a specific tax lot (property code). However, soil
    volumes were being reported by cut cell. This  problem was solved using BEM's GIS. At the
    time, BEM was using ESRI's ArcCAD™  GIS product. This product used AutoDesk's®
    AutoCAD™ as its graphics engine and created PC Arclnfo coverages for storing GIS related
    data. BEM had polygon coverages of both the tax lot boundaries and the proposed cut cells. In
    ESRI's model of the GIS universe, area features are  recorded as polygon coverages, with each
    polygon having an area and perimeter. These two pieces of information are reported in every
    record  of an ESRI Arclnfo polygon attribute table. If one were to assume that any soil removed
    from a  cell was removed from the entire area of the cell and to a constant depth, the area
    information could be useful (Figure 1). Since ArcCAD is a true GIS application, it would be
    possible to intersect the tax lot coverage with the cut and fill cell coverage.  This would produce
    a new polygon attribute table containing the property code, cut or fill cell ID and the area of the
    polygon (Figure 2). This table, a Dbase file, was lifted from the coverage and put into a
    spreadsheet. From there the percent of the  total area of a cell present in a tax lot was
    computed. This number would be used as a volume multiplier. If an excavation volume were
    

    -------
    reported as 150 cubic yards for a cell, and the cell were subdivided equally by three different tax
    lots, three records would be entered into SoilTrak with 50 cubic yards of the soil attributed to
    each record, and thus, each lot.
    
                                                      Knowing the volume of soil removed
                                                      from a cell alone was not enough to
                                                      determine recoverable costs. SoilTrak
                                                      was programmed with a default value for
                                                      cost per cubic yard. However, a module
                                                      was added that allowed for line item
                                                      costs to be entered by cell. Thus, while
                                                      one truck may have been used for cut
                                                      cell C-1, two may have been used for cut
                                                      cell C-2. Off-site disposal may have
                                                      been  required for only a few cells,
    though this could add greatly to the cost of remediation within that cell.  The cell  cost module
    allowed for cell-specific rates that could be calculated and applied to cost recovery reports. This
    approach also provided a more defensible and accurate picture of the actual remediation costs
    for property owners.
    
    
    I
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    1
    Area
    -7142316.0000
    Perimeter | Cnf_prop_
    0.9918399E+05! 1
    ].1858992E+04i0.1975570E+03! 2
    18201 1 72E+01
    /i >! TJ863E+04
    j Hjwsu'jt-ib
    Jbi'UJ.-'Jbt -Lib
    HJ4193E+04
    148091 80E +02
    
    0.545/3bOE+02! 3
    0.481 61 74E+03! 4
    0.7981525E-f02! 5
    0. 1 980884E+04! 6
    0.5001 563Et03l 7
    0.3903281Et02i 8
    T"
    Cn(_pinp_i
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    
    Cnf real i
    0
    312
    312
    313
    313
    314
    315
    315
    
    Prop_code
    0.00000
    526.00000
    531.00000
    526.00000
    0.00000
    100.17000
    526.00000
    0.00000
    *
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    T
    - - .-y
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Figure 2
    Intersecting the tax lot coverage (prop_code) with the
    cell coverage (cnf_real_i) yielded a
    each fraction of a lot within
    table with areas for
    a cell. These were used to
    find the multipliers needed to assign volumes to
    owners.
    
    
    
    
    
    Database Design - Contaminant Tracking
    This aspect of SoilTrak was quite different from the property considerations of cost recovery.
    Contaminated soil was to be reused as fill material. In this case, the only information of interest
    was what contaminants were present in the reused soil, where the soil was placed and what
    volume of soil was placed there. Every soil placed as fill would have to have an origin and a
    means of determining which contaminants were present. Soil would be cut from cell C-12 and
    placed in cell F-15. Recall, however, that during the data entry phase, if property lines split a
    cell, multiple records for the cut activity were entered. That is,  multiple "soil codes" were created
    for a single cut cell in a single soil move event. Which one do we list as the source? The answer
    is all of them. This was facilitated through a utility that allowed mixing  of soil. If three soil  codes
    existed for a cut activity, this module would allow you to mix them together to form a single new
    soil code. This would then be the code used for filling activities. A later re-analysis of the
    SoilTrak method would reveal that this was far from an optimal approach, though it did work. A
    separate table called "SoilMix" was used to store this "fake" mixing information.
    

    -------
    The issue then centered on
    determining which contaminants
    were present. In an ideal model,
    the distribution of contamination
    would be known in at least two-
    dimensions for the entire corridor.
    However,  creating such fine
    resolution of contaminant data
    over 20 miles would require far
    more analytical  samples, and thus
    cost, than could be supported or
    justified. Another approach would
    find all sample locations within the
    cut cells and assume that any
    contaminants present at those
    locations were present throughout
    the cell. An examination of the
    data showed that too few samples
    were located directly within the cut
    cells. Since many of the samples
      G01-B04
                                              G01-B07
      G01-B05
                                        G01-B08.
                          Figure 3
    The CIS was used to determine in which lots samples had
    been collected. This allowed SoilTrakto assign any sample in
    a lot to its associated cell. Thus, the contaminants found in
    any of the sample locations above would be said to be
    present in Cell C-15.
    were collected to characterize an entire tax lot, they were spread too thin to use only those that
    fell within the cut cells. The final, and selected approach, involved using the GIS to determine all
    samples collected by tax lot. Then, any cell that crossed into the tax lot was assumed to have
    any contamination found within the lot, regardless of whether the sample was collected within
    the cell (Figure 3). This provided a conservative, but reproducible and systematic approach. The
    GIS was used to identify samples by tax lot, and tax lots within cells.  These data were tabulated
    and provided to SoilTrak which then used its connection to the BEMIS database to determine
    which contaminants were present, at what concentrations and whether or not they exceeded
    State concentration  standards.
    Recall that the MOA stated that any reused contaminated soil would have to be at least two feet
    below grade and two feet above the mean high water table. This was handled by allowing the
    starting and finishing elevations for each fill to be reported.
    

    -------
    Implementation - Contractor 1
    In order to provide the data that would be needed for the SoilTrak method, forms were
    developed for use by field personnel. These essentially reported the date, source, destination
    and volumes of soil moved. Cell specific cost sheets were later provided by the contractor and
    used in the cell-specific cost module described above.
    
    The contractor then provided a CAD map showing the proposed cut cells. Fill cell mapping was
    not provided, as the cells had not yet been determined. The CAD file was converted into an
    ArcCAD polygon coverage and later intersected with an existing tax lot coverage to provide
    information that SoilTrak would need.
    
    The SoilTrak application was developed primarily in the spring of 1996 and was on-line by July
    of the same year. The application was created using Microsoft FoxPro® version 2.6 with all data
    tables in FoxPro's native dBase® (*.dbf) format. This choice worked well with our then current
    GIS platform, ArcCAD, since it too stores its attribute data as dBase files.
    
    Initial implementation of SoilTrak and the SoilTrak method went well and the required objectives
    were met. During implementation however, one issue did arise.  As  described above, the
    contractor provided CAD files of the proposed cut cells, with each cell having a constant depth
    of excavation. Fill cells however were not mapped at all. Fill areas were decided and recorded in
    the field. Initially, fill cells were so large in areal extent that making any statements  about the
    locations of specific contaminants within the cells would be meaningless. At BEM's request, the
    contractor began to subdivide the fill cells. These new cell boundaries were largely dictated by
    "lifts" of soil that were placed, usually from a particular source area. Unexpectedly,  however,
    these cells began to overlap each other. Recall that filling was occurring in three dimensions.
    These cells were not truly overlapping since they were being defined at different depths. To a
    two-dimensional  GIS however, these cells did overlap. This apparent overlapping made
    mapping fill cells in the GIS impossible since the GIS would try to create new polygons  every
    time a cell was overlapped. This would have made assigning attributes to fill cells
    unmanageable, as there would be multiple many-to-one relationships between cell polygons
    and cell  attributes. At that point in time  however, the SoilTrak application was not GIS enabled
    and thus the issue of unmanageable fill cell mapping had no impact.
    

    -------
    Implementation - Contractor 2 - 1998
    Several months had passed and SoilTrak had been a success. A new and larger phase of the
    corridor construction was about to begin and BEM again prepared to use this new tool. Some
    lessons had been learned from the Park & Ride construction implementation. Among these
    were:
       •   The first version did not include a module for entry of cell cost details (line-item costs).
           Such a module was added by the conclusion of the Park & Ride effort;
       •   Cells would not be allowed to overlap at all, each cell would be discrete. This would
           support GIS mapping;
       •   All cell  mapping was to be completed prior to the start of soil movement activities.
    
    The Park & Ride test area was fairly small, measuring only 14 acres. The next activity would
    involve half of the corridor, covering a distance of approximately 11 miles.
    
    Work began in the spring of 1998 with meetings between BEM and the new contractor. The field
    reporting form  was refined and initial efforts at cell mapping were made. The corridor consisted
    of several Park & Ride facilities and a large light rail maintenance facility. Work was to begin at
    the large maintenance facility so mapping was first provided for this facility with Park & Ride
    facilities close  behind.
    
    Cell Mapping
    As planning continued one new change became apparent, there would be no "cut" or "fill" cells.
    Previously, cell mapping had been based on the depth of excavation and cutting or filling
    activity. This contractor chose a systematically  based  cell system instead, where cells were 200
    feet long and 100 feet wide in the aforementioned areas. The effect of this system was that both
    cutting and filling could occur within the same cell. Cell IDs were based primarily on station
    numbers along the corridor.  Each cell  would be named using the station number it started  at
    going from south to north. The prefix "C" or "F"  would  identify the cell as a cut or fill cell. Since
    both activities could occur within a cell, each cell was  given both a cut and fill cell ID. This would
    be no problem for the SoilTrak application  but posed a problem for the GIS,  as it could not
    handle one (polygon) to many (Cell IDs) relationships. This would be addressed later since the
    SoilTrak application did not yet support GIS mapping.
    

    -------
    With cell mapping completed for the Park & Ride areas and the large maintenance facility,
    construction began. Initially, the SoilTrak Method worked smoothly, but soon, problems began
    to surface.
    
    Incomplete Cell Mapping
    As stated previously, cell mapping had been received for only certain areas. Eventually,
    construction began along the actual corridor portions of the project area for which no cell
    mapping had been received. Many requests were made for this information, however Contractor
    2 was not as "computer savvy" as Contractor 1 and was slow to respond with any additional
    mapping. Maps that were provided often consisted of small-scale paper maps showing only tick
    marks every 200 feet along the corridor. However the width of the cells was never provided.
    Without this information, it was impossible to create the CAD drawings needed to build a GIS
    coverage. It was later stated that the width of the cells was the corridor "right-of-way". Obtaining
    CAD files with complete mapping of the right-of-way lines turned out to be more difficult than
    one would have anticipated. CAD files existed with complete design information, but right-of-
    way lines were hard to identify as many were not labeled and easily lost among many other
    unlabeled lines. Recall that a cut-fill cell GIS coverage was needed to provide the cell-to-
    property data needed for data entry. While soil movement activities continued, SoilTrak data
    entry ground to a halt. Many months would pass before BEM was able to build a usable cell
    coverage while questions continued as to the accuracy of the right-of-way width designations.
    This delay allowed field data reporting problems to go unnoticed,  and thus unaddressed, for
    months.
    
    Significant Issues
    By this point, flaws in the SoilTrak method and approach began to surface; these centered on
    designation of contaminated areas and the practice of soil mixing via stockpiling. Each is
    addressed separately below.
    
    Contaminated Cells
    Recall that  SoilTrak was created to track the reuse of contaminated soil. Inherent to this mission
    is the determination of what is, and is not, contaminated. Daily soil movement sheets reported
    all soil movement, contaminated or not. There was a place on the form to designate which soil
    movements involved contaminated soil. With this information, only entries for contaminated soil
    movement were entered into the SoilTrak application. It was later discovered that there was a
                                              10
    

    -------
    lack of clarity between contractors and BEM staff on how to determine if a cell was
    contaminated. Different methods were being used, creating data accuracy problems. Some cells
    had been reported as being contaminated and later were considered "clean", and vice-versa.
    This again brought SoilTrak data entry to a halt while a time-consuming purge of bad data
    ensued. This was made additionally painful by the fact that "fake-mixing" and filling using these
    "mixes" pervaded the two main database tables. A consistent standard was developed and
    necessary data was reentered and bad data expunged. Data entry resumed, but a new and
    more serious problem was being identified.
    
    Stockpiles
    When the SoilTrak application was designed,  some discussions centered on the likelihood of
    soil "mixing". The Soil Reuse Plan that was driving the construction stipulated that soil
    "blending" (mixing) was not permitted. Clean soil could not be mixed with contaminated to make
    it "less" contaminated or to change it's engineering characteristics. It was decided, however, that
    mixing of contaminated soil from different cells was possible. Thus, a mixing module was added
    to SoilTrak to address the anticipated cases where soil from varying cells had been temporarily
    stockpiled together. This type of activity would have no effect on the cost recovery objective  of
    SoilTrak, but would have a profound  impact on the tracking of contaminants.
    With contaminant tracking in
    mind, a model had to be
    developed that could
    accurately account for the
    addition of "new"
    contaminants in a stockpile,
    while assuring that any new
    contaminants did not show
    up in fill records occurring
    prior to addition of the new
    contaminants. Recall that
    SoilTrak tracked "slugs" of
    soil removed from the
         January 1
    January 2
    January 3
        Cells
           Stockpile A
           SollCode 102
                           Stockpile A
                           SollCode 102
                                    iNCode
                                   102
                                                       Cells
                        Stockpile A
                        SollCode 104
                              Figure 4
    The new Soil Code created for Stockpile A was required to prevent
    Contaminant D from showing up in the fill activity of January 2
                              ,nd
    ground via "Soil Code" numbers. It was determined that a mix could simply be a new Soil Code
    to which the comprising soil codes were attached. In this way, SoilTrak could identify a record
                                               11
    

    -------
    as a "mix" record, look into the source soil code field of each mix record and identify which
    contaminants were present in the source area, and thus, the mix. Filling would be done using
    the mix soil code. However, what if soil containing new contaminants is added to an existing soil
    mix/stockpile? If SoilTrak used the mix's soil code to identify contaminants, then early fills would
    be identified as  having contaminants that weren't part of the stockpile until after the filling
    occurred. The solution to this was to create a new soil code every time a new soil was added to
    an existing mix.  The new soil code would always represent the current suite of contaminants.
    
    This model proved effective in the first phase where nearly all of the mixing was "fake" mixing
    required for tracking costs. During the second phase, stockpiling (mixing) became common
    place. Three serious issues began to appear, the combination of which would prove a fatal flaw
    to SoilTrak's DER contaminant tracking objective.
    
    Multiple Additions to Stockpiles
    During SoilTrak's programming, soil mixing was not a major consideration since it was not
    anticipated to occur. The above model had been anticipated but it was later discovered that the
    code could not backtrack more than one mix at the reporting end. The data entry module could
    support entry of these records, however, so data entry continued. This flaw in the code could be
    addressed at a later time.
    
    Stockpile Nomenclature
    Mixing of soil from multiple cells into stockpiles became a common  practice of Contractor #2.
    Since the mixing was occurring with contaminated soils from within  the corridor, no rules were
    being broken. However, the degree  to which stockpiling was occurring was unanticipated, so no
    agreements were reached regarding stockpile naming. Reviews of soil movement reporting
    sheets coming from the field were found to have stockpile  names not known to those doing data
    entry. Upon further investigation, it was discovered that stockpiles often had more than one
    "name", one had at least five synonyms.
    
    Upon discovery of this issue, meetings were arranged between BEM,  the Contractor and their
    field crews to develop a consistent nomenclature system for the stockpiles. Each stockpile
    would receive a name that would  include the construction area in which it was located, followed
    by a sequential  number identifying the order in which the stockpile had been created. This
    approach worked, but considerable  damage had been done to the data requiring a substantial
                                              12
    

    -------
    effort to correct. Most of the corrections had to be done directly to the data since the SoilTrak
    application could not edit Soil Code numbers. Since Soil Codes are program assigned and
    represent a key field, SoilTrak application users were not permitted to edit these numbers.
    
    Combining Stockpiles
    Frequent additions of soil to an existing stockpile created a large number of new soil codes.
    Tracking all of these was proving to be a data entry nightmare for the SoilTrak operators.
    Extreme care always had to be taken when selecting the stockpile (Soil Code) to mix new soil
    into, since each stockpile was represented by many soil codes. While difficult, however, data
    entry through SoilTrak was still possible. One more twist was discovered which would break the
    SoilTrak application; Contractor #2 was mixing stockpiles into other stockpiles. By this point the
    new soil code - source soil code method of tracking contaminants broke down. Stockpiles could
    now have multiple layers of mixing which would be very difficult to backtrack to original cut soil
    codes. SoilTrak also had no means of allowing data entry of these kinds of mixes. Data entry
    was forced to continue directly into the SoilTrak tables. A major code re-write would be required
    to support the combining of stockpiles. Since nearly all of the soil filling during this second
    phase of construction originated from stockpiles, it would be some time before the SoilTrak
    application could meet its soil contaminant-reporting requirement.
    
    Lessons  Learned
    In the spring of 1999, the SoilTrak process and application were re-evaluated. The first most
    important question was whether or not SoilTrak met its two objectives, cost recovery support
    and contaminant tracking. The cost recovery support objective was cleanly met. Accurate
    reports could be generated for any tax lot, property owner or cut cell. A default value for cost per
    cubic yard of soil excavation  could be used or calculated from line item actual  costs for a cell.
    Many difficulties and issues arose during the initial use of SoilTrak,  but none of these affected
    the cost recovery tracking or reporting. Periodic mapping of soil movements involving both
    cutting and filling was greatly simplified by SoilTrak's ability to generate the attribute tables
    needed to link-up with BEM's GIS. SoilTrak successfully tabulated this data for reporting as well.
    
    From the contaminant tracking and reporting perspective, SoilTrak fell significantly short of its
    goal. The inability to handle complex soil mixing associated with stockpiling  crippled both the
    data entry and reporting capabilities. This wasn't the only shortcoming of SoilTrak however.
                                               13
    

    -------
    During the evaluation, and subsequent re-design of SoilTrak, many issues were addressed.
    Each is discussed below.
    
    Preparing Data for Data Entry was too Complex
    SoilTrak's user interface was not difficult to use; the failing was in the amount of preparation
    needed to start entering data. In order to enter data, the user first had to know which properties
    a cell consisted of.  Using the GIS, a spreadsheet was supplied that listed the properties in a cell
    and the area multipliers needed to assign soil excavation volumes to owners. Still, this required
    the user to take a field entry of "Cut, 500 yards from cell C-15" and divide it into as many entries
    as there were tax lots within cell C-15. Every cut typically needed a fake mix from which fill
    records could later be completed. A cell having only three tax lot fragments in it required six
    record entries for each cut from that cell. While programming could have eliminated much of the
    data entry problem, the database model still required that this many records be written to the
    database.
    
    Keeping track of  stockpile Soil Codes proved to be nearly impossible for both operators and
    SoilTrak. The SoilTrak database was re-evaluated and a more fundamental issue was about to
    be identified.
    
    Tracking Soil Codes Created  Needless Complexity
    The initial idea was to track each "slug" of soil, each discreet cutting activity, from cradle to
    grave.  However,  the smallest geographic unit being reported was the cell. Without the ability to
    map precisely where within a cell a "slug" of soil came from, no useful information was gained
    by tracking soil at this level. What then was the level of detail that should be tracked? It became
    evident that what was really being tracked  was cells, not soil. All  activity occurred at that level,
    soil was either removed from, or placed within, a cell.  Stockpile tracking was also complicated
    by soil codes. Every time a soil  was added to a stockpile, a new Soil Code was created. This
    was true even  if soil were added from a cell that had been previously added.
    
    It was decided that SoilTrak's database should be redesigned to track soil movement by cells
    rather than Soil Codes. Soil would either go into or out of a cell. Stockpiles would be treated as
    cells into which soil could be added or removed  at any time. Dates, rather than Soil Codes,
    would identify which contaminants were present in fills made from stockpiles. By dealing with
                                               14
    

    -------
    cells only, no distinctions had to be made as to which lots were in a cell during data entry
    eliminating the need for multiple record entries. Fake mixes were also eliminated.
    
    Another benefit of this approach was that by treating stockpiles as cells, a separate "soilmix"
    table was no longer required. This paradigm shift promised to greatly simplify the data entry and
    programming tasks.
    
    Handle Cell-Property Relationships at the Back-End
    Part of SoilTrak's complexity-of-use centered on relating cells to properties at data entry time.
    Moving to a cell-based tracking model changed the need for this. These relationships could be
    derived at report-time when the information was needed,  rather than stored record-by-record.
    This would reduce the number of  records in the database by 6:1 for cells that had three lots
    within them. Also, if real-time embedded GIS were used to determine these relations at run-
    time, any updates to the cell or property coverages would be immediately applied to any reports.
    BEM had already  had success developing embedded GIS applications using Microsoft Visual
    Basic and ESRI's  Map Objects LT™. At a minimum, the GIS could be used to re-create a table
    of the property-cell relationships that could then be stored as a look-up table in the new SoilTrak
    database.
    
    Another advantage would be the ability to enter data into a new SoilTrak without the need for
    completed cell or property mapping. This could allow data entry at the outset of the project,
    assisting in early identification of any field procedural issues.
    
    Identify Contaminated Cells at the Back-End
    SoilTrak's fundamental goal was to track  reuse of contaminated soil. In order to achieve this
    objective, determinations had to be made up-front regarding which cells were, and were not
    contaminated.  The field sheets used by the contractors had a check box to identify which cuts
    occurred in contaminated cells, allowing them to report all soil movement easily. But it was later
    discovered that Contractor #2 was using a different means of determining which cells were
    contaminated than the BEM staff. Then, during the re-evaluation  of SoilTrak, questions were
    raised about whether the method  we were using was too conservative and  perhaps
    indefensible. Such questions at the near end of the data entry process were devastating. Since
    only contaminated soil movements were supposed to be  present in SoilTrak, any change in
                                               15
    

    -------
    which cells were designated as contaminated could force major editing of the data and entry of
    new data.
    
    In order to prevent this chaos in the future, it was decided that SoilTrak should store all soil
    movement without regard to classifications of "clean" or contaminated. Determination of which
    cells were contaminated could then be done at report time. This would also allow for multiple
    methods of making this determination and the ability to change the method at-will, with no
    changes in the data. Another advantage of this approach was the elimination of the contractor
    as a factor in reporting clean versus contaminated soil reuse.
    
    Providing users with this flexibility would require additional data tables and complicate the
    programming task, but the cost was deemed well worth it.
    
    Handle Depth to Contaminated Soil at the Back-End
    One minor failing of the SoilTrak application was its inability to report the starting and ending
    elevations of contaminated soil filling for a cell. Although the database was designed to handle
    this information,  it was requested from the user for each  filling activity. Rarely was this
    information available from the field. More typically,  construction firms will survey the beginning
    elevation, complete all filling activities and then re-survey. The paradigm shift toward cell-based
    tracking resulted in a new data table that stored the current  net cut-fill volumes of each cell.  This
    created a convenient place to store the starting and final elevations of the filled soils by cell.
    This would also require only one data entry effort for each cell and could be done when final
    elevation data was available.
    
    Agree on all Nomenclature Up-Front
    BEM and both contractors had agreed at the outset of each phase what name each cell would
    have.  In Phase 2, stockpiles became a factor but were named in a haphazard fashion. Often
    times  multiple names were associated with the same stockpile. The discovery of this problem
    resulted in substantial data editing. In a new, cell-based  model where even stockpiles are
    considered a cell, consistent nomenclature would be  critical. Any naming schemes would be
    decided by all parties up-front.
                                               16
    

    -------
    Summary
    The SoilTrak method and application were designed to track and report on contaminated soil
    reuse. It used a database and application developed in Microsoft FoxPro and depended heavily
    upon data provided by GIS coverages managed in ESRI's ArcCAD GIS. SoilTrak had two
    primary objectives. One was to track and report on costs associated with this cost-effective
    remedial option for the purposes of recovering these costs from property owners. The second
    was to report on the contaminants present in contaminated soils used as fill throughout the
    corridor. This would  satisfy the state environmental agency's requirements for the Declaration of
    Environmental Restrictions that was a foundation of the soil reuse option.
    
    In the initial phase of construction, a large Park & Ride facility, the SoilTrak method and
    application were able to meet these objectives. During the second phase, the southern half of
    the rail corridor, the complexity associated with soil mixing via stockpiling proved to be too great
    for the SoilTrak application to manage, and the contaminant tracking objective could  no longer
    be met. Cost tracking and cost recovery objectives were unaffected. A later addition to the
    SoilTrak application  supported regular mapping and  reporting of both cutting and filling
    activities.
    
    An evaluation of SoilTrak's effectiveness showed that too much data preparation was required
    prior to data entry. It was also  clear that SoilTrak had failed its contaminant-tracking objective.
    An examination of SoilTrak's data model showed that the tracking of individual "slugs" of soil via
    Soil Codes was complicating data management and yielding no benefits. The paradigm was
    changed to track activity by cell instead. This solved  many problems by simplifying both data
    entry and management as well as allowing for back-end determination of cell-property
    relationships and resulted in many fewer database records.
    
    In order to provide greater flexibility and minimize confusion, the new paradigm also stated that
    all soil movements should be logged. Determination  of which source (cut) cells were
    contaminated would be done at the back end, allowing for multiple methods of determination.
    Moving this determination to the back-end also eliminated any need to edit or add soil
    movement data if the determination method was changed.
    
    With these changes, and better communication between all involved parties, SoilTrak can  meet
    all of its objectives with significantly less labor and reduced chance of error. At this writing  (June
                                               17
    

    -------
    1999) SoilTrak is still being examined and development of a more powerful version, including
    embedded GIS mapping, is scheduled to begin shortly.
                                             18
    

    -------
               Application of a Geographic Information System for
                         Containment System Leak Detection
    
                  Randall R. Ross1, Milovan S. Beljin2 and Baxter E. Vieux3
    ABSTRACT
    The use of physical and hydraulic containment systems for the isolation of contaminated ground
    water associated with hazardous waste sites has increased during the last decade. Existing
    methodologies for monitoring and evaluating leakage from hazardous waste containment
    systems rely primarily on limited hydraulic head data. The number of hydraulic head monitoring
    points available at most sites employing physical containment systems may be insufficient to
    identify significant leakage. A general approach for evaluating the performance of containment
    systems based on estimations of apparent leakage rates is used to introduce a methodology for
    determining the number of monitoring points necessary to identify the hydraulic signature of
    leakage from a containment system. The probabilistic method is based on the principles of
    geometric probability. A raster-based GIS (IDRISI) was used to determine the critical dimensions
    of the hydraulic signature of leakage from a containment system, as simulated under a variety of
    hydrogeologic conditions using a three-dimensional ground-water flow model. MODRISI, a set of
    computer programs was used to integrate ground-water flow modeling results into the hydraulic
    signature assessment method.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    Subsurface vertical  barriers have been  used to control ground-water seepage in the construction
    industry for many years. Recently, the industrial and regulatory communities have applied
    vertical barrier containment technologies as supplemental or stand-alone remedial alternatives
    at hazardous waste sites to prevent or reduce the impact of contaminants on ground-water
    resources (Rumer and Ryan, 1995). While subsurface barriers appear to be useful for isolating
    long-term sources of ground-water contamination at many sites, the potential exists for leakage
    1Hydrologist, U.S. EPA Nat. Risk Mgmt. Res. Lab, Subsurface Protection and Remediation Div., P.O. Box
    1198, Ada, OK 74820
    Consulting Hydrologist, M.S. Beljin & Associates, 9416 Shadyoak Court, Cincinnati, OH 45231
    3Assoc. Prof., School of Civil Eng. and Env. Sci., Univ. of Oklahoma, 202 West Boyd Street, Norman, OK
    73019
    

    -------
    of contaminants through relatively high hydraulic conductivity zones ("windows") within the
    barriers.
    
    This paper describes the application of a Geographic Information System (GIS) as a tool to help
    identify leakage through discrete zones within a subsurface vertical barrier. The proposed
    techniques could be useful for evaluating existing containment systems by providing insight as to
    how many monitoring points are necessary to determine the approximate locations of discrete
    leaks, given specified confidence and constraints.
    
    Containment Systems
    Subsurface containment systems may be active (e.g., ground-water extraction to manage
    hydraulic gradient), or passive (e.g., physical barriers only) depending on the remedial objectives
    and complexity of the hydrogeologic setting (Canter and Knox, 1986). Frequently, containment
    systems employ a combination of active and passive components, which commonly incorporate
    vertical barriers keyed into underlying  low-permeability units. Many containment systems also
    include a low permeability cover to reduce  the rainfall infiltration, extraction and injection wells,
    and trenches for ground-water management.
    
    Soil-bentonite slurry cutoff walls (slurry walls) are the most common type of subsurface vertical
    barriers used at hazardous waste sites and are generally installed around suspected source
    areas (U.S. EPA, 1984). Construction defects or post-construction property changes are
    potential failure mechanisms of subsurface vertical barriers (Evans, 1991). Construction defects
    may result in the formation of relatively high hydraulic conductivity windows in a barrier. Some of
    the mechanisms responsible for the formation of such windows include emplacement of
    improperly mixed backfill materials, sloughing or spalling of in situ soils from trench walls, and
    failure to excavate all in situ material when keying wall to the underlying low permeability unit
    (U.S.EPA, 1987). Post-construction property changes may result from wet-dry cycles due to
    water table fluctuations, freeze-thaw degradation, or chemical incompatibility between the slurry
    wall material and groundwater contaminants.
    
    Monitoring of Containment Systems
    The performance of hazardous waste containment systems has generally been evaluated based
    on construction specifications. Most subsurface vertical barriers are required to maintain a
    hydraulic conductivity of 1x10"7 cm/s, or less. The use of appropriate construction quality
    

    -------
    assurance (QA) and quality control (QC) testing during installation is essential to ensure that the
    design performance specifications are achieved. The regulatory community recognized the need
    to develop procedures to verify post-construction performance and identify unsatisfactory zones
    in containment systems (U.S.EPA, 1987). While construction dewatering systems are deemed
    successful if the barriers limit ground-water leakage to reasonably extracted quantities, there are
    no uniform methods to reliably measure and document the hydrologic performance of existing
    and proposed hazardous waste containment systems (Grube, 1992).
    
     The minimum number of monitoring points necessary to determine whether a containment
    system is functioning as designed depends on site-specific conditions. For example, in some
    cases it may be possible to determine whether leakage has occurred by analyzing the water
    level trends in monitoring wells (Ross and Beljin, 1998). Subtle variations in the  hydraulic head
    distribution associated with leakage through a subsurface barrier may be identifiable if sufficient
    hydraulic head data are available for analysis. Such an undertaking would generally be
    considered prohibitively expensive due to the high cost of installing a piezometer network
    capable of adequately defining the hydraulic head distribution. However, the recent development
    of relatively inexpensive installation techniques may make it feasible to install a  sufficient
    number of small diameter piezometers to identify the hydraulic signatures associated with
    containment system leakage.
    
    A New Monitoring Method
    The process of locating a  leak in a hazardous waste containment system can be analogous to
    mineralogical prospecting where a compromise is sought between the cost of exploration and
    the thoroughness of the search. For mineral exploration applications, the expected  benefit of a
    search is the sum of the value  of each target multiplied by the probability of finding it, assuming
    that the target exists in the search area (Singer, 1972). For containment system leak detection,
    the expected benefit of a search is the potential reduction in risk to human health and the
    environment associated with the detection and abatement of significant leaks.
    
    Gilbert (1987) presents a methodology based on the work of Savinskii (1965), Singer and
    Wickman (1969), and Singer (1972) that can be used to determine the grid spacing required to
    detect highly contaminated local areas or hot spots at a given level of confidence, or estimate
    the probability of finding a hot spot of specified dimensions,  given a specified grid spacing.
    Given a specific grid spacing, the probability of detecting a target is determined  by the method of
    

    -------
    geometric probability, which is a function of the ratio of the area of the target to the area of the
    grid cell. The method assumes that the highly contaminated areas are circular or elliptical in
    shape, the boundaries of the hot spot are clearly identifiable based on contamination levels, hot
    spot orientation is random with respect to the sampling grid, and the distance between grid
    points is much larger than the area sampled. In order to address variations in the distribution of
    hydraulic head, rather than contaminant concentrations, the assumptions were modified for the
    methodology presented in the paper.
    
    METHODOLOGY
    The hydraulic signature associated with leakage from a containment system is  simulated using a
    numerical model for a variety of hydrogeological settings.  The modeling results provide the data
    on which the hydraulic signature assessment method is demonstrated. A set of computer
    programs was developed (Ross and Beljin, 1995) to import modeling data into a raster-based
    GIS, for further processing. The GIS was used to generate the input data for the ground-water
    model.
    
    Ground-Water Modeling
    A model may be defined as a simplified version of a real system that approximates the stimulus-
    response relationships of that system (Bear and others, 1992). By definition, the use of a model
    requires the application of simplifying assumptions to describe the pertinent features, conditions,
    and significant processes that control how the system  reacts to stimuli. In this study, one of the
    primary objectives of the modeling was to predict the hydraulic head distribution associated with
    leakage through discrete leaks in a vertical barrier under different hydrogeologic conditions.
    
    The conceptual model presented in this paper is based on characteristics of several specific
    hazardous waste sites that incorporate physical containment as a major component of the
    remedy. The sites which influenced the development of the model used in this study include the
    Gilson Road Superfund site (Nashua, New Hampshire), the G.E. Superfund site (Moreau,  New
    York), and the Velsicol/Michigan Chemical Company Superfund site (St. Louis, Michigan).  The
    conceptual model for the containment system consists of  a slurry wall fully penetrating  an
    unconsolidated surficial aquifer, keyed in to an underlying low permeability aquitard (Figure 1).
    
    Hydraulic head values are assumed to be higher in the interior of the containment system,
    simulating a worst-case scenario for potential contaminant losses from the system (Figure 1).
    

    -------
    The elevated water levels within the conceptual containment system are assumed to be derived
    from deficiencies in the system (i.e., leakage under or through the upgradientwall and infiltration
    through the cap), and water levels are assumed to be relatively stable over time. Ground-water
    flow is assumed to be horizontal, except in the immediate vicinity of the vertical barrier. Given the
    long-term nature of most hazardous waste containment systems, the hydraulic heads are
    averaged over long time periods. Consequently, steady-state flow conditions are assumed for all
    simulations used in this study.
    
    The hydraulic head distribution associated with a linear segment of a conceptual vertical barrier
    was simulated using Visual MODFLOW7 (Guigerand Franz, 1995), a commercial version of the
    three-dimensional, finite difference ground-water flow model MODFLOW, developed by the U.S.
    Geological Survey (McDonald and Harbuagh, 1988).
    
    Data Processing with a GIS
    The hydraulic head data generated by the numerical simulations are extracted, visualized,
    sampled, analyzed, and appropriately manipulated using several software packages. Hydraulic
    head data from a vertical cross-section parallel to, and immediately down gradient from the
    simulated vertical  barrier are used throughout this study. The data are extracted from
    MODFLOW output files and reformatted as image files for analysis using MODRISI (Ross and
    Beljin, 1995). The GIS software used in this study is IDRISI (Eastman, 1995), a raster GIS that
    provides numerous analytical capabilities that are directly applicable to this, and other
    hydrogeologic studies. The uniform grid spacing facilitates the transfer of data from one software
    package to another. The raster format allows import and export of uniform grid model data and
    also provides a robust platform for the analysis, visualization and data manipulation.
    
    Model Setup
    The model domain consists of 51 rows, 51 columns,  and 25 layers (Figure 2) and is discretized
    into uniform 1 m3 blocks. This configuration is sufficiently large to reduce boundary effects and
    provides sufficient resolution to allow identification of subtle variations in hydraulic heads
    

    -------
                                      Idealized Contianment System
    
                                              Hln>rL>HB
    
                                          Undesirable Conditions
                                               Qin
              Aquifer A
                                  'Cap
                                 Slurry Wall
                                                Qc.
              Aquitard
              Aquifer B
             Hh = Hydraulic Head Inside Containment System
             HM = Hydraulic Head In Adjacent Aquifer A
             HB = Hydraulic Head In Underlying Aquifer B
             Q,, = Leakage Out Of Containment System
             Q, = Leakage Into Containment System Via Cap
            Figure 1. Major components of an idealized hazardous waste containment system
            exhibiting unfavorable conditions (e.g., outward hydraulic gradient).
    associated with leakage through a vertical barrier. The uniform grid size allows consistent
    
    precision over the entire model domain and simplifies data management and transfer between
    
    software packages.
    

    -------
    he slurry wall is simulated as a one-meter thick barrier with uniform properties, except for the
    window. The hydraulic conductivity values for the aquifer and window are scenario dependent.
    Leakage through the wall is simulated as a window with dimensions of 2 x 3 cells (6 m2), located
    in the approximate center of the vertical barrier (row 25, columns 24-26, layers 12 and 13).
                        No-Flow Boundary
                          Constant-Head Boundary
             Columns (J) = 51         /
         Vertical Barrier (row 25)
    Ground-Water Flow
      Direction
                                                                             Layers (K) = 25
                                                                              v» = 1 m
                                                                         Sc, = 1 m
                                                                         Rows (I) = 51
                                                                  No-Row Boundary
                (not to scale)
                                     r,= 1 m
                Constant-Head Boundary
                     Figure 2. Conceptual model domain and boundary conditions.
    Boundary conditions are depicted in Figure 2. The upgradient and downgradient sides of the
    model are constant-head boundaries, resulting in a horizontal hydraulic gradient across the
    model domain of 0.0196 m/m. This value falls within the range of hydraulic gradients commonly
    observed in the field. The sides and lower surface of the model oriented parallel to ground-water
    flow are simulated as no-flow boundaries.
    The applicability of the numerical model for simulating the hydraulic head distribution associated
    with leakage from a containment system was demonstrated by comparing model results to data
    generated from a laboratory bench scale model of a cutoff wall (Ling, 1995). Simulation results
    agreed favorably with the physical model results, indicating that the approach described in this
    

    -------
    study is appropriate for simulating the hydraulic head distribution associated with leaking vertical
    barriers.
    
    General Simulation Scenarios
    Several hypothetical hydrogeologic conditions are evaluated in this study. Different scenarios are
    used to better understand the potential variability of the hydraulic signatures associated with
    different subsurface conditions and to account for potential uncertainties associated with
    predictive modeling.
    
    A range of homogeneous and isotropic conditions were simulated in an effort to provide a
    reference case for evaluating the effects of varying average aquifer hydraulic conductivity values
    on the hydraulic signature of a simulated leak. The scenarios spanned a wide range of hydraulic
    conductivity values with respect to the aquifer material and zone of leakage. The hydraulic
    conductivity values for the aquifer range from 1   10"2 cm/s to 1   10"5 cm/s. The hydraulic
    conductivity of the vertical barrier is maintained throughout the study at 1   10"7 cm/s. The
    hydraulic conductivity values for the window ranged from  1   10"2 cm/s to 1    10"5 cm/s. The
    hydraulic conductivity value for the window is assumed to be less than or equal to that of the
    adjacent aquifer materials. The scenarios simulate the general effects of layering by varying the
    horizontal to vertical hydraulic conductivity ratios of aquifer materials.
    
    One of the primary limitations of using ground-water flow  models as a predictive tool results from
    the uncertainty associated with input parameters. This uncertainty is directly related to the spatial
    variability of hydrogeologic properties of the porous  medium (i.e., aquifer material). To account
    for some of the spatial variability and uncertainties associated with three-dimensional  predictive
    flow modeling, several scenarios utilizing heterogeneous  distributions of hydraulic conductivity
    were assessed. The assumption of lognormally distributed hydraulic conductivity is used for the
    heterogeneous, isotropic and heterogeneous, anisotropic simulations. Unique lognormal
    hydraulic conductivity distributions were generated for each of the 25 layers using built-in
    functions of the GIS software. This approach resulted in the generation of approximately 63,000
    hydraulic conductivity values within the model domain.
    
    Hydraulic Signature Assessment Method
    The methodology used to address the hydraulic head distribution associated with leakage from a
    containment system was developed based on the work of Singer and Wickman (1969) and
    

    -------
    Gilbert (1987). The proposed method is directly applicable to determining the grid spacing
    necessary to detect the hydraulic signature associated with a discrete leak in a subsurface
    vertical barrier. The methodology requires the following assumptions:
           •   the hydraulic signature of the leak is circular or elliptical;
           •   hydraulic head data are acquired on a square grid;
           •   the criteria delineating the hydraulic signature are defined; and
           •   there are no measurement misclassification errors.
    
    The model results indicate that the hydraulic signatures associated with the simulated leaks
    range in shape from approximately circular to elliptical when viewed in vertical cross-section. An
    increase in the anisotropy results in the elongation of the signatures in the horizontal directions.
    As expected, the greater the anisotropy, the more elliptical the hydraulic signature of the leak.
    
    The criteria for delineating the hydraulic signature of a leak from background noise are based on
    the average hydraulic head value ( h) of the model cross-sectional surface. For this study,
    hydraulic head values of   h+0.05 m and  h+0.1 m were identified as critical values (Cv),
    indicating the presence of a hydraulic anomaly associated with containment system leakage.
    This follows  the assumption that any background noise associated with the hydraulic head
    measurements is significantly less than 0.05 m. The dimensions of the hydraulic anomalies are
    determined using GIS software by image reclassification to delineate nodes exceeding the
    average hydraulic head by the specified critical values. The dimensions of the hydraulic
    signatures delineated by the two values for Cv are expressed as shape factors (S), defined as
    the ratio of the length short axis to the length of the long axis of the hydraulic signature. The
    shape factor for a circular feature is 1. An  increase in anisotropy results in the elongation of the
    feature and a decrease in S, where 0 < S  < 1.
    
    The probability tables of Singer and Wickman (1969), were used to determine the probability of
    not detecting a leak when a leak is present (P) to the ratio of the semi-major axis to grid size
    (L/G). The semi-major axis is defined as one half the length of the long axis of an elliptical
    feature. The general procedure for determining monitoring point spacing necessary to detect a
    hydraulic anomaly of given dimensions and specified confidence is outlined in Table  1, and in
    the following example.
    

    -------
                 Table 1. General steps for determining monitoring point grid spacing.
            1.
    Specify the radius or one half the length of the long semi-major axis
    (L) of the hydraulic signature (mound) associated with the leak;
                 Assuming a circular hydraulic signature, let the shape factor (S) equal
                 one; for elliptical features, S may be calculated using equation (9);
            3.
    Specify the maximum acceptable probability (P) of not detecting the
    hydraulic feature (=0.1);	
                 Knowing L, S and assuming a value for p, determine L/G from Figure
                 4, and solve for G (minimum grid spacing required to detect the
                 hydraulic anomaly associated with the leak, given the specified
                 constraints).
    In order to determine the minimum grid spacing necessary to identify a hydraulic feature of
    specified dimensions, an acceptable probability of not detecting the feature must be established.
    For this example, a value of p= 0.1 is assumed for a leak signature with dimensions of 5 m by 4
    m, as delineated by Cv= 0.1 in Figure 3a. From Figure 4, a value of approximately 0.64 is
    indicated for the ratio of the length of the semi-major axis to grid size (L/G), given = 0.1 and S =
    0.8. Therefore, solving for G using L = 2.5, it is determined that a minimum grid spacing of
    approximately 3.9 m is necessary to identify the specified feature with a 90% probability of
    success. The resulting grid spacing (G) may be used to determine the minimum number of
    block-centered monitoring points required to detect the feature for a  specified area by dividing
    the total area by the area of one square grid (G2).
    
    The probability tables were also used to generate nomographs relating the probability of not
    detecting a leak (P) of specified dimensions (L), for different grid dimensions (G). Figure 5
    illustrates this relationship for circular hydraulic signature (S = 1.0). The nomographs may be
    used to estimate the dimensions of the smallest hydraulic signature capable of being identified
    by a monitoring network of known dimensions within an acceptable level of confidence (P). For
    example, given a monitoring point spacing of 20 m, what is the smallest circular hydraulic
    anomaly that can be detected with 80% probability of success (P= 0.2). From Figure 5 it is noted
    that a circular feature with a radius of approximately 10.1 m can be detected with the specified
                                            10
    

    -------
    probability and grid spacing. The probability of not detecting the anomaly will increase as the
    radius of the hydraulic signature decreases.
    
    RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
    The dimensions of the hydraulic signatures associated with leakage through a subsurface
    vertical barrier are a function of the hydrogeologic properties of the aquifer, vertical barrier, and
    zone of leakage. Assuming all other variables remain constant, the magnitude of the hydraulic
    signature diminishes significantly as the hydraulic conductivity of the window decreases (Figure
    3). The hydraulic signature of leakage through the hydraulic conductivity window becomes  less
    prominent as its value is reduced by one order of magnitude (Figure 3g). As the value is further
    reduced, the hydraulic signature becomes discernable only immediately adjacent to the window
    (Figure 3j). The decrease in hydraulic signature corresponds to a decrease in flux through the
    window, as the window hydraulic conductivity is reduced (Table 2).
                                           11
    

    -------
    o co UD OT T— -a- r--
      §•*• oo (M r-- i— in
      i— CM <•* ir> r~ oo
    OOQOOOO
                                     LLl III III
                                        - -
                              3
                              o
    CM CM CM CM CM CM CM C\j CM CM CM   ^3
                                         in o
                                         co o
                                         T— CM
                                           Al
                          ••••SDDDD
                                                           X
                                                       N
    
                                                                             2
                 r^
               a  IPJI
               o  ° ^^
               S0'*3 M
               § ^ a
               S  « '>
               O  O l>
              ffi O ^
                                   (0
                                   60 '-
                                   2
                                   O O
                                   ffi O
                                         o o
                                         ffi O
    Figure 3. Vertical cross-section of model results illustrating hydraulic signature (head) variations
    due to changes in conceptual hydrogeological setting.
                                          12
    

    -------
    1 -,
    *••" n Q -
    D)
    ro n ft -
    c o?
    '(0
    ^ 06 -
    M—
    one;
    ^°-5.
    = 04-
    ro
    o
    o n ^
    CL
    "09-
    ro u.z
    0)
    co n 1 -
    Q
    
    ^%^
    ^x\^
    \\\\
    \\\
    VX
    \\
    \ i
    S=1.0 \
    
    
    
    ^
    ^^
    \ ^^
    ; \
    \ X
    \\ X
    \S=0.8\ S=0.6 \
    \\ \
    XXV
    
    
    
    
    ^^^
    ^\
    
    S=0.4
    \
    \
    \
    
    
    
    
    
    
    ^^^
    3=0.2 ^^^^
    
    
    
    0 0.5 1 1.5 2
    Ratio of Semi-Major Axis to Grid Size (L/G)
    Figure 4. Nomograph relating ratio of semi-major axis of elliptical target and grid size to the
    probability of missing the target (Beta) for different shape factors using a square grid pattern.
                 0.8
    
    
                 0.7
    
                 0.6
    
                 0.5
    
                 0.4
    
                 0.3
    
    
                 0.2
    
                 0.1
    G=5
            G=10
                     G=15
                            XG=20
                                           6       8       10      12
    
                                            L = Radius of Circular Target (m)
                                                                           14
                                                                                   16
                                                                                           18
           Figure 5. Nomograph relating radius of circular hydraulic signature to probability of not
           detecting leak (Beta) for different grid spacings.
    

    -------
           Table 2. Simulated flux through windows of varying hydraulic conductivity.
    Window
    Hydraulic
    Conductivity
    (cm/s)
    1 10'2
    1 10'3
    1 1C'4
    1 10'5
    Minimum
    Head
    Value (m)
    24.0293
    24.0117
    24.0071
    24.0063
    Maximum
    Head
    Value (m)
    24.2627
    24.0826
    24.0165
    24.008
    Range
    (m)
    0.2334
    0.0709
    0.0094
    0.0017
    Flux
    Through
    Window
    (m3/d)
    1.31101
    3.98
    4.961 0'1
    5.091 0'2
    The effect of varying the horizontal to vertical hydraulic conductivity values is illustrated in Figure
    3. For example, the hydraulic signature from leakage through a window under homogeneous
    and isotropic conditions forms an approximately circular feature (Figure 3a). However, as the
    horizontal to vertical hydraulic conductivity ratio increases, the hydraulic signature of the leak
    becomes more elliptical (Figure 3b,c). Similar trends are observed with respect to increasing the
    horizontal to vertical hydraulic conductivity ratio for the heterogeneous simulations (Figure 3d,e,f)
    and other homogeneous simulations with smaller hydraulic conductivity values for the windows
    (Figure 3g-l).
    
    The method was applied to different hydraulic signatures developed from ground-water flow
    simulations of  leakage through a vertical barrier. The criteria used to differentiate the hydraulic
    signature of leakage from background  noise are Cv =  h+0.05 m and  h+0.1 m. Figure 6a
    depicts the head distribution  associated with hydraulic signature of leakage through a window
    located in the approximate center of a vertical barrier in a homogeneous, isotropic aquifer. The
    approximate dimensions of the vertical hydraulic mound as defined by Cv=  h+0.05 and   h+0.1
    are 7 m by 6 m, and 5 m by 4 m, respectively.
                                            14
    

    -------
    An increase in the anisotropy of the simulated aquifer by one order of magnitude produces a
    vertically compressed and horizontally elongated hydraulic signature (Figure 6b). Similarly,
    increasing the anisotropy of the simulated aquifer by two orders of magnitude results in even
    greater compression and elongation of the hydraulic signature in the vertical and horizontal
    directions, respectively (Figure 6c).
    
    Hydraulic signatures for leakage through a window with a hydraulic conductivity value of 1   10"3
    cm/s exhibit similar trends in response to increases in anisotropy (Figure 7a,b,c). However, the
    overall hydraulic signature of the window is decreased significantly relative to that of the base
    case. This results in a lack of head values greater than the elevation threshold for Cv=  h+0.1 for
    the homogeneous, isotropic simulations. The hydraulic head values associated with leakage
    through windows with hydraulic conductivities < 1   10"3 cm/s were all less than Cv=  h+0.05, and
    therefore, could not be  evaluated as described above.
    
    The grid sizes necessary to identify the hydraulic features described below with a 90%
    probability of success ((3=0.1) were obtained using the nomograph in Figure 4. The number of
    sampling points (Ns)  necessary to identify the hydraulic features within the domain of the model
    cross-section is determined by dividing the cross-sectional area of the model (1,275 m2) by the
    area of one square grid spacing (G2). The results  are listed in Table 3.
    
    The number of monitoring points required to identify the hydraulic signatures of the simulated
    leaks using the prescribed constraints and confidence ranges from approximately 40 to over
    300. The wide range of values  is a function of the variability in the size and shape of the
    hydraulic features. This variability results from the use of different critical values to define the
    hydraulic signatures of the leaks and the wide range of shape factors resulting from the three
    orders of magnitude  range of the anisotropy values.
                                            15
    

    -------
     a. Homogeneous and feotropic Simulation Results
    b. Homogeneous and Arisotropic Results (KhKv=10)
    •   2.40000E+01
    •   2.40143Ei-01
    •   2.4Q28GE+Q1
    •   2.40429E+01
    •   2.40571E+01
    •   2.40714E +01
    I   1   2.40857E+01
    •   2.41000E+01
    •   2.41143E+01
    •   2.41286E+01
    IS   2.41429E+01
    I   I   2.41571E+01
    I   I   2.41714E+01
    I   I   2.41857E+01
    I   I  >2.42000E+01
    Hydraulic Head Values
                                                                       X
     c. Homogeneous and Arisotropic Results (KhKv= 100)
    Figure 6. Vertical cross-section of model results illustrating variations in hydraulic head
    values due to changes in anisotropy (Kaq=1   10"2 cm/s, Kwin=1   10"2 cm/s). The ellipses
    define the approximate boundaries of the hydraulic features defined by specified critical
    values (Cv=  +0.1 and  +0.05).
                                        16
    

    -------
      a. Homogeneous and feotropic Simulation Results
      b.  Homogeneous and Arisotropic Results (KhKv=10)
    •   2.40000E+01
    •   2.40143E+01
    •   2.40286E+Q1
    •   2.40429E+Q1
    •   2.40571E+01
    •   2.40714E+01
    I   i   2.40857E+01
    •   2.41000E+01
    •   2.41143E+01
    •   2.412SGE+01
    I   1   2.41429E+01
    I   I   2.41571E+01
    I   I   2.41714E+01
    I   I   2.41S57E+01
    I   I >2.42000E+01
    Hydraulic Head Values
                                                                         X
      c.  Homogeneous and Arisotropic Results (KhKv=100)
    Figure 7. Vertical cross-section of model results illustrating variations in hydraulic head
    values due to changes in anisotropy (Kaq=1   10"2 cm/s, Kwin=1    10"3 cm/s). The ellipses
    define the approximate boundaries of the hydraulic features defined by specified critical
    values (Cv=  +0.1 and  +0.05).
                                        17
    

    -------
    Table 3. Parameters and Results Obtained from Hydraulic Assessment Method.
    Kwin
    (cm/s)
    1 10'2
    1 10'2
    1 10'2
    1 10'2
    1 10'2
    1 10'2
    1 10'3
    1 10'3
    1 10'3
    1 10'3
    1 10'3
    1 10'3
    1 10'2*
    1 10'2*
    1 10'2*
    1 10'2*
    1 10'2*
    1 10'2*
    Kh:Kv
    1
    1
    10
    10
    100
    100
    1
    1
    10
    10
    100
    100
    1
    1
    10
    10
    100
    100
    Cv
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.05
    0.1
    0.01
    0.1
    0.05
    s
    0.8
    0.85
    0.28
    0.31
    0.13
    0.16
    BCL
    0.67
    0.67
    0.4
    0.4
    0.15
    0.8
    0.85
    0.28
    0.31
    0.13
    0.16
    L
    2.5
    3.5
    3.5
    6.5
    7.5
    12.5
    
    1.5
    1.5
    2.5
    2.5
    6.5
    2.5
    3.5
    3.5
    6.5
    7.5
    12.5
    L/G
    0.64
    0.62
    1.64
    1.51
    3.5
    2.9
    
    0.74
    0.74
    1.17
    1.17
    3.05
    0.64
    0.62
    1.64
    1.51
    3.5
    2.9
    G
    3.91
    5.65
    2.13
    4.3
    2.14
    4.3
    
    2.03
    2.03
    2.14
    2.14
    2.13
    3.91
    5.65
    2.13
    4.3
    2.14
    4.31
    Ns
    84
    40
    280
    69
    278
    69
    
    311
    311
    280
    280
    281
    84
    40
    280
    69
    278
    69
    BCL = All head values below critical value threshold.
    *Heterogeneous simulations; all other simulations homogeneous
                                           18
    

    -------
    CONCLUSIONS
    Numerical modeling of ground-water flow through high hydraulic conductivity windows in
    subsurface vertical barriers was conducted to provide data sets for use with a probabilistic
    method for determining the grid spacing necessary to identify the hydraulic signature associated
    with the leaks. The proposed method of combined ground-water modeling and GIS represents a
    potential tool that may be used by the regulatory community and others to evaluate the
    adequacy of existing and proposed hazardous waste containment systems for identifying
    containment system leakage. The utility of the proposed method is demonstrated using
    simulated data.  Based on the application of the method presented, the following conclusions
    were made:
       •   The number of points necessary to identify the hydraulic signature of a discrete leak
           within  prescribed constraints is a function of the criteria used to delineate the feature;
       •   The hydraulic signature associated with a minor leak in a vertical barrier may be difficult
           to detect with a realistic number of monitoring points;
       •   By using the nomographs described above, the probability of failing to detect the
           hydraulic signature of a leak can be estimated for a given monitoring well spacing and
           specified confidence;
       •   The dimensions of the smallest hydraulic signature detectable with a given monitoring
           point spacing can be estimated, given the appropriate constraints and specified
           confidence;
       •   The monitoring point spacing used at many hazardous waste sites is likely inadequate to
           detect the hydraulic signatures of all but the largest leaks; and
       •   The method for delineating the hydraulic signature of a leak using the average hydraulic
           head plus specified values does not appear to be as sensitive to the heterogeneity of the
           aquifer as it is to anisotropy.
    
    DISCLAIMER
    The U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency, through its Office of Research and Development,
    funded and managed the research described here through in-house efforts. This information has
    not been  subjected to the Agency's peer or administrative review and  therefore does not
    necessarily reflect the views of the Agency; no official endorsement should be inferred. Mention
    of trade names  or commercial products does not constitute endorsement of recommendation for
    use.
                                           19
    

    -------
    REFERENCES
    
    Bear, J., Beljin, M.S., and Ross, R., (1992). Fundamental of Ground-Water Modeling, Ground
    Water Issue, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, R.S.
    Kerr Environmental Research Laboratory, Ada, OK, EPA/540/S-92/005.
    
    Canter, L.W., and Knox, R.C. (1986). Ground Water Pollution Control, Lewis Publishers, Boca
    Raton, FL.
    
    D'Appolonia, D.J. (1980). A soil-bentonite slurry trench cutoff, Journal of Geotechnical
    Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 106, no. 4, pp.399-417.
    
    Eastman, J.R. (1995). IDRISI for Windows: User's Guide, Version 1.0, Clark University,
    Worchester, MA.
    
    Evans, J.C. (1991). Geotechnics of Hazardous Waste Control Systems, Chapter 20, Foundation
    Engineering Handbook, 2nd ed., H.Y. Fang, ed., Van Nostrad-Reinhold Company, New York.
    
    Gilbert, R.O. (1987). Statistical Methods for Environmental Pollution Monitoring, Van Nostrand
    Reinhold, New York, N.Y.
    
    Grube, W.E., Jr. (1992). ASIurry Trench Cut-Off Walls for Environmental Pollution Control, Slurry
    Walls: Design, Construction and Quality Control. ASTM STP 1129, David B. Paul, Richard R.
    Davidson, and Nicholas J. Cavalli, Eds., American Society for Testing and Materials,
    Philadelphia.
    
    Guiger, N., and Franz, T. (1995). AVISUAL MODFLOW, The Integrated Modeling Environment
    for MODFLOW and MODPATH, Version 1.1, Waterloo Hydrogeologic,  Ontario, Canada.
    
    Ling, K., (1995b). Windows Development and Detection in Soil-Bentonite Cutoff Walls,  Ph.D.
    Dissertation, University of Cincinnati.
    
    McDonald, M.G., and Harbuagh, A.W. (1988). AA Modular Three-Dimensional Finite-Difference
    Ground-Water Flow Model (MODFLOW), U.S. Geological Survey Techniques of Water-
    Resources Investigation, Book 6, Chapter A1.
    
    Ross, R.R., and Beljin, M.S. (1995). AMODRISI: A PC Approach to GIS and Ground-Water
    Modeling, Proceedings, National Conference on Environmental Problem-Solving with
    Geographic Information Systems, Cincinnati, OH, September 21-23, 1994. EPA/625/R-95/004.
    Ross, R.R., and Beljin, M.S. (1998). An Evaluation of Containment Systems Using Hydraulic
    Head Data, J. Envir. Eng.. 124(6), 575-578.
    
    Rumer, R.R., and Ryan, M.E., eds. (1995). Barrier Containment Technologies For Environmental
    Remediation Applications, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York.
    
    Savinskii, J.D. (1965). A Probability Tables for Locating Elliptical Underground Masses with a
    Rectangular Grid, Consultants Bureau, New York, pp. 110
                                          20
    

    -------
    Singer, D.A., (1972). AELIPGRID, a Fortran IV program for calculating the probability of success
    in locating elliptical targets with square, rectangular and hexagonal grids, Geocon Programs,
    Vol.4, No. 1, p.1-16.
    
    Singer, D.A., and Wickman, F.E. (1969). Probability Tables for Locating Elliptical Targets with
    Square, Rectangular and Hexagonal Point-Nets, Mineral Sciences Experiment Station Special
    Publication 1-69, Penn. State University, University Park Pennsylvania, 100 p.
    
    U.S. EPA (1987). A Construction Quality Control and Post-Construction Performance
    Verification for the Gilson Road Hazardous Waste Site Cutoff Wall, Hazardous Waste
    Engineering Research Laboratory, Office of Research and Development, Cincinnati, OH,
    EPA/600/2-87/065
                                           21
    

    -------
                 MODRISI: A PC Approach to GIS and Ground-Water Modeling
                                              Randall R. Ross
       Robert S. Kerr Environmental Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
                                              Ada, Oklahoma
    
                                              Milovan S. Beljin
                                 University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio
    Abstract
    
    It is widely accepted  that ground-water contamination
    problems cannot be adequately defined  or addressed
    until the governing physical,  chemical, and biological
    processes affecting the transport and fate of contami-
    nants  are  adequately characterized. Recent research
    has led to a better understanding  of these complex
    processes and their effect on the movement of contami-
    nants in the subsurface. The compilation and application
    of such information has yet to be accomplished at many
    hazardous  waste  sites,  however. Too often,  copious
    quantities  of data  are collected, only to be stored, ig-
    nored, or misplaced, rather than used for problem-solving.
    Geographic information systems (GIS) are computer-
    based tools that are  relatively new to many  environ-
    mental professionals. GIS  allows  the  manipulation,
    analysis, interpretation, and visualization of spatially re-
    lated data (e.g., hydraulic head, ground-water velocity,
    and contaminant concentration). GIS  is more than a
    cartographic utility program, however. The analytical ca-
    pabilities of GIS allow users to display, overlay, merge,
    and identify spatial data, thereby providing the basis for
    effective environmental decision-making.
    
    IDRISI is a widely used  PC-based raster GIS system
    that provides numerous analytical capabilities that are
    directly applicable to hydrogeologic studies. Raster sys-
    tems are particularly well suited for analysis of continu-
    ous data such as elevation (e.g., water table, land and
    bedrock surfaces), precipitation, recharge, or contami-
    nant concentrations and may be readily integrated with
    finite-difference ground-water models. Because the for-
    mats for IDRISI and ground-water model input data sets
    are different,  a need  exists for a program to integrate
    these two types of robust tools.
    
    MODRISI  is a collection of utility programs that allows
    easy manipulation and transfer of data files between
    IDRISI and  ground-water  models (e.g.,  MODFLOW,
    ASM, MOC). In addition,  MODRISI integrates other
    widely used  commercial and private domain software
    packages, such as SURFER, Geopack, GeoEas, Auto-
    CAD, CorelDraw, and  various spreadsheet programs.
    Two-dimensional arrays of models' input data sets can
    easily be  created from IDRISI image files. AutoCAD
    vector files obtained by digitizing model boundaries, well
    locations, rivers and streams, or U.S. Geological Survey
    digital elevation model (DEM) files can also be  trans-
    lated into model input file formats. MODRISI can proc-
    ess model output files and prepare GIS image files that
    can be displayed and manipulated within IDRISI. Thus,
    MODRISI  is  more than a pre- and postprocessor for
    ground-water models; it is a complete GIS/ground-water
    modeling interface that is accessible to most  ground-
    water hydrologists.
    
    Introduction
    
    Hydrogeologists collect and analyze  large volumes of
    data during a ground-water modeling process. These
    data are stored and  presented in  many different forms
    such as maps, graphs, tables, computer databases, or
    spreadsheets. To most hydrogeologists, geographic in-
    formation systems (GIS) are relatively new tools. They
    have been developed and applied in  other natural and
    social science fields for over two decades, however, and
    can also be used in the ground-water modeling process.
    
    GIS  represents a new, powerful set of tools that can
    significantly improve the usefulness of results obtained
    during the ground-water modeling process. Bridging the
    disciplines of ground-water modeling, computer graph-
    ics, cartography, and data management, GIS represents
    a computer-based set  of tools to  display and  analyze
    spatial data (e.g., water level elevations, ground-water
    quality data, modeling results, ground-water pollution
    potential). Efficient use of increasingly large volumes of
    

    -------
    data can be achieved only with powerful systems capa-
    ble of acquiring information from a variety of sources,
    scales, and resolutions.
    
    CIS can  be defined as a computer-assisted system for
    the efficient acquisition, storage, retrieval, analysis, and
    representation of spatial data. Most CIS platforms con-
    sist of numerous subsystems that perform the listed
    tasks. The subsystems have the ability to query spatially
    related information and incorporate statistical analyses
    and modeling  of relations and their temporal changes
    within the database. More than just a mapping system,
    CIS allows the user to analyze spatially related data and
    visualize results in either paper map form or graphically
    on screen. The data to be analyzed are a collection of
    spatial information  represented by points, lines,  and
    polygons and their associated attributes (characteristics
    of the features such as elevation or concentration). The
    cartographic tools of CIS allow the analyst to display,
    overlay, measure, merge, and identify the data to sup-
    port a particular analysis. By allowing spatial data analy-
    sis and display, CIS provides the means necessary for
    effective environmental decision-making and implemen-
    tation of environmental management plans.
    
    CIS uses two  basic  map representation  techniques:
    vector and  raster. Vector  representations describe fea-
    tures with a number of connected points. Raster repre-
    sentations subdivide a study area into a mesh of grid
    cells, each cell containing either a quantitative attribute
    value or feature identifier. Raster systems are well suited
    for analysis of continuous data (e.g., water level eleva-
    tions, infiltration and recharge rates). This makes raster-
    based systems ideal for integration with ground-water
    models that use regularly spaced nodes. The objective
    of this paper is to illustrate such an  integration of MOD-
    FLOW (1),  a widely used  U.S.  Geological  Survey
    (USGS) finite-difference ground-water flow model, and
    IDRISI (2), a raster-based CIS.
    
    Previous Studies
    
    To enhance understanding of a hydrogeologic system,
    and also to develop a credible ground-water model of
    the system, hydrogeologic features such as lithological
    logs, recharge and withdraw rates,  estimates of spatial
    distribution of hydraulic conductivity, or specific storage
    can be plotted using CIS capabilities of data retrieval
    and overlay options to interactively define an area of
    interest (3-6). Two  previous studies that combined CIS
    and ground-water modeling are briefly described.
    
    Torak and McFadden (7) used CIS to facilitate finite-element
    modeling of ground-water flow. Complex aquifer geometry
    and irregularly distributed aquifer-system characteristics
    that influence ground-water flow affect the design of the
    finite-element mesh. CIS systems represent the com-
    plex arrangement of nodes and elements and the dis-
    tribution  of aquifer properties to provide input to the
    flow model. Point-data coverages of pertinent aquifer
    characteristics are rated from a relational database and
    are displayed using CIS.
    
    Contoured surfaces based on point-data coverages pro-
    duce triangulated irregular networks (TINs) that are su-
    perposed on the finite-element mesh to delineate zones
    of elements  having  similar aquifer properties.  Zone
    boundaries are identified using the contoured TIN sur-
    face and by manually determining  where boundaries
    align with the  element sides. The allocation of well
    pumping rates  to nodes  in the finite-element mesh  is
    performed  efficiently with CIS for  model input. Well
    pumping rates  are accumulated  by element  from the
    combined coverages of the pumping data and the mesh,
    and  element data are distributed to the node points for
    input. CIS is also used to prepare data for model input
    and to assess the adequacy of the data priorto simulation.
    
    Three-dimensional perspectives  showing TIN  cover-
    ages of aquifer-property data are used to analyze and
    interpret complexities  within the  flow  system  before
    zonation. Additionally,  CIS is used to display computed
    hydraulic heads over the finite-element mesh to produce
    contour maps of the simulated potentiometric surface.
    Because the node points in the finite-element mesh are
    not arranged in an orthogonal fashion, such as a finite-
    difference grid, a map display of the computed  values of
    hydraulic head at the nodes is prepared for efficient and
    accurate interpretation of simulation  results.
    
    Harris  et al. (8)  conducted the Remedial Investiga-
    tion/Feasibility Study (RI/FS) of the San Gabriel basin.
    Vast amounts of  hydrogeologic data have been gath-
    ered, and a comprehensive systematized CIS database
    has been developed. The identified hydrologic bounda-
    ries, recharge basins, stream locations, well locations,
    and  contaminant distributions are some of the features
    considered in developing a base map. The CIS-gener-
    ated base map  has allowed development of a finite-ele-
    ment grid for the basin. For each finite element, the initial
    estimates  of the  hydraulic  conductivity, specific yield,
    recharge rates, and other input parameters were provided.
    
    Using  simple interfacing programs, the  retrieval CIS
    nodal and elemental data were converted to required
    formats for the  input files of the Couple Fluid, Energy,
    and Solute Transport (CFEST) code. Simulated ground-
    water levels  were compared with  the CIS-generated
    potentiometric surfaces. In areas of wide variations be-
    tween simulated and observed data, the zonal distribu-
    tion  of  controlling   parameters  was  reevaluated,
    analyzed, and updated. Data processing,  development
    of input files for computerized analysis of ground-water
    flow, and analysis of simulation  results with different
    alternative  conceptualizations  is  time consuming and
    tedious. Efficient use of CIS and CFEST not only eased
    the  burden  of  conducting  multiple  simulations but
    

    -------
    reduced the probability of errors as well as the amount
    of time and effort required for each simulation.
    
    IDRISI
    IDRISI is a grid-based geographic information and im-
    age  processing system developed by the  Graduate
    School of Geography at Clark University and supported
    by the United Nations  Institute  for Training and  Re-
    search (UNITAR) and the United Nations Environment
    Programme Global Resource  Information  Database
    (UNEP/GRID) (9).  IDRISI is a  collection of over  100
    program  modules  that  are  linked  through a  menu
    system. These programs are organized into several
    groups:
    
    • The  core modules provide data entry and database
      management capabilities.
    
    • The  geographic  analysis  modules provide tools for
      database analysis.
    
    • The statistical analysis modules allow statistical char-
      acterization of images.
    
    • The  peripheral modules provide a series of utilities.
    
    IDRISI and other raster-based systems divide data sets
    into map layers; each layer contains data for a  single
    attribute.  For the  example of a ground-water  model,
    these layers could  correspond to the MODFLOW two-
    dimensional arrays (e.g., initial water levels, transmis-
    sivity distribution, IBOUND arrays, computed hydraulic
    heads). IDRISI provides many analytical tools that are
    useful in hydrogeologic studies.
    
    Three of the  most  important categories of these tools
    are database  query, map algebra, and context operator.
    Asemihypothetical  case described below illustrates the
    use of these analytical tools. IDRISI provides an  exten-
    sive set of tools for image processing, geographic and
    statistical analysis,  spatial decision support, time series
    analysis,  data display, and  import/export and conver-
    sion. In addition, as a set of independent program mod-
    ules linked to  a broad set of simple data structures, the
    system is  designed such that researchers may readily
    integrate into  the system their own modules, written in
    any programming language.
    
    IDRISI uses three types of data files: image, vector, and
    attribute.   Image files  contain  rasterized  information
    relating to  a  spatial variable. Vector files contain the
    coordinates of points, lines, and polygonal features. An
    attribute file lists the identifiers of features and the asso-
    ciated  attribute values.  Values  files can  be  extracted
    from the existing  image files, or image  files can be
    created from  existing values files. The values files can
    be combined and stored  in a dBASE format. Each image,
    vector, or attribute file has a corresponding documentation
    file that contains information about the data file (e.g.,
    title, number of rows and columns).
    MODRISI: MODFLOW/IDRISI Interface
    
    MODRISI  is a set of utility programs that allows the
    transfer of data files between MODFLOW, IDRISI, Gold-
    en Software SURFER, GeoEas, and other software.
    Preparation of two-dimensional arrays  for the MOD-
    FLOW input files is generally tedious and time consum-
    ing. The arrays can  be  created easily from the IDRISI
    image files, however. Thus, MODRISI serves as a pre-
    processor for MODFLOW. For example, when the val-
    ues of a variable are available only for irregularly spaced
    points, interpolation  routines in SURFER or GeoEas
    may be used to estimate the values of the variable on
    regularly   spaced  grid-nodes.  MODRISI  translates
    SURFER  or GeoEas files  into IDRISI  image files  for
    manipulation,  analysis,  and display. IDRISI  recognizes
    either latitude  and longitude geodetic  coordinates or
    arbitrary Cartesian plane coordinates. IDRISI assigns
    the lower left grid-block of a raster image as a zero-row,
    zero-column block.
    
    Vector files, such as model boundaries,  well locations,
    and rivers, may be created within IDRISI  and translated
    into a MODFLOW input file format. For example, the
    location of a river may be digitized on screen in IDRISI.
    The vector-to-raster function may be invoked, assigning
    all blocks through which the river passes as river nodes.
    Similarly,  the  positions  of wells may be digitized and
    translated into the row-column positions and saved as a
    MODFLOW input  file for the well  package. Once the
    MODFLOW input files are prepared, MODFLOW simu-
    lations may be initiated. The MODFLOW hydraulic head
    output files may be read by MODRISI and modified to
    create IDRISI  image files. Again, the image files may be
    displayed and evaluated within IDRISI. Thus, MODRISI
    is used as a postprocessor for MODFLOW.
    
    Case Study
    
    The utility of MODRISI was demonstrated at a hazard-
    ous waste site. Previous investigations  provided site-
    specific information,  including water level and bedrock
    and land  surface elevations, which was  then analyzed
    using GeoEas, a public domain geostatistical software
    program.  These data were kriged to produce a grid of
    regularly  spaced data. These data were imported into
    MODRISI  and converted to IDRISI image files. IDRISI
    was used to visualize the surfaces that GeoEas generated.
    
    Several prominent features are obvious upon inspection
    of the kriged bedrock topography (see Figure 1). Abed-
    rock ridge trending northwest  to southeast is flanked by
    a minor trough to the east and a  major trough to the
    southwest. The outline of the site is visible on all figures.
    The  kriged water  level elevation map  (see Figure 2)
    illustrates  the general  hydraulic gradient to the west.
    Land  surface elevations (see  Figure 3)  range  from
    greater than 200 feet in the northeastern portion of the
    site to a  low of 166 feet  on the western boundary.
    

    -------
                                                                                                        70-80 H
                                                                                                        80-90 M
                                                                                                       90-100 Mi
                                                                                                      100-110 ••
                                                                                                      110-120 m.
                                                                                                      120-130  :
                                                                                                      130-140
                                                                                                      140-150  .:.
                                                                                                      150-160
                                                                                                       (Feet)
                                                                                                     310 Feet
    Figure 1.  Bedrock elevation contour map derived from kriged data and transformed by MODRISI into IDRISI image file format.
                                                                                                 168W*
                                                                                                 169
                                                                                                 170
                                                                                                 171 KB
                                                                                                 172
                                                                                                 173 HI
                                                                                                 174 Ml
                                                                                                 175 Ml
                                                                                                 176 •§
                                                                                                (Feet)
                                                                                                 310 Feet
    Figure 2.  Water level contour map derived from kriged water level data and transformed by MODRISI into IDRISI image file format.
    

    -------
                                                                                            165-170|
    
                                                                                            170-1751
    
                                                                                            175-180
    
                                                                                            180-1851
    
                                                                                            185-190!
    
                                                                                            190-1951
    
                                                                                            195-2001
    
                                                                                             (Feet)
                                                                                              310 Feet
    Figure 3.  Land elevation contour map generated from kriged data and transformed by MODRISI into IDRISI image file format.
    Additionally, the value (e.g., elevation) and (x,y) coordi-
    nates may be queried for any point, line,  or area of an
    image file.
    
    The analytical capabilities of IDRISI are illustrated in the
    following example. The saturated thickness was deter-
    mined by subtracting the bedrock surface from the water
    level surface. The results illustrate the spatial variability
    of saturated thickness of the  overburden aquifer  (see
    Figure 4). The  results correspond favorably with the
    general bedrock  topography, as  would  be expected
    given the relatively low hydraulic gradient across the
    site. This OVERLAY (subtract) function may also readily
    be used to evaluate the adequacy of model calibration.
    For example,  predicted values may be  compared with
    observed  values  graphically,  allowing the  modeler to
    quickly visualize and identify areas of the model domain
    requiring additional consideration and manipulation.
    
    Conclusions
    
    One of the most tedious tasks in a ground-water mod-
    eling process  is preparing input data and  postprocess-
    ing model results. CIS allows rapid incorporation and
    evaluation of new site characterization information. The
    proposed  combination of IDRISI, a raster-based CIS
    system, and MODRISI, a set  of utility programs, could
    significantly reduce the amount of time necessary  for
    entering data in required array formats. The visualization
    capabilities of IDRISI in conjunction with MODRISI and
    MODFLOW allow project managers to better under-
    stand the three-dimensional nature of subsurface envi-
    ronmental problems.
    
    
    Acknowledgments
    
    The authors wish to thank Chet Janowski, U.S. Environ-
    mental  Protection Agency Region I, for his support on
    this project.
    
    
    References
    
    1. McDonald, M., and A. Harbough. 1988. A modular three-dimen-
      sional  finite-difference ground-water flow model: USGS techniques
      of water resources, Book 6, Chapter A1.
    
    2. Eastman, J.R. 1992. IDRISI: Technical reference. Clark University,
      Worcester, MA (March).
    
    3. Van Metre, P.C. 1990. Structure and  application  of an  interface
      program between a geographic-information system and a ground-
      water  flow model. USGS Open File Report 90-165. Denver, CO:
      U.S. Geological Survey.
    
    4. Hinaman, K.C. 1993. Use of a geographic information system to
      assemble input-data sets for a finite-difference model of ground-
      water  flow. In: Proceedings of the AWRA Symposium  on Geo-
      graphic Information Systems and Water Resources, Mobile, AL,
      (March 14-17). pp. 405-412.
    
    5. Rifai, H.S., L.A. Hendricks, K. Kilborn, and P.B. Bedient. 1993. A
      geographic information system (GIS) user interface for delineating
      wellhead protection areas. Ground Water 31 (3):480-488.
    
    6. Orzol,  L.L., and T.S. McGrath. 1992. Modifications of the USGS
      modular three-dimensional  finite-difference, ground-water flow
      model. U.S. Geologic Survey Open File Report 92-50.
    

    -------
                                                                                                                   <20
    
                                                                                                                  20-30
    
                                                                                                                  30-40
    
                                                                                                                  40-50
    
                                                                                                                  50-60
    
                                                                                                                  60-70
    
                                                                                                                  70-80
    
                                                                                                                  80-90
    
                                                                                                                 90-100
    
                                                                                                                100-110
    
                                                                                                                 (Feet)
    
                                                                                                                  310 Feet
    Figure 4.   Saturated thickness contour map developed by subtracting bedrock image file from water level image file within IDRISI.
    7.  Torak, L.J., and K.W. McFadden. 1988. Application of a geographic
       information  system to finite-element modeling of ground-water
       flow.  In: Proceedings of the CIS Symposium Integrating Technol-
       ogy and Geoscience Applications, Denver, CO (September 26-30).
    
    8.  Harris, J., S. Gupta, G. Woodside, and N. Ziemba. 1993. Integrated
       use of CIS  and three-dimensional, finite-element model: San
       Gabriel basin ground-water flow analyses. In: Goodchild,  M., B.
       Parks, and  L. Steyaert, eds.  Environmental modeling with CIS.
       New York, NY: Oxford University Press.
    9.  Eastman, J.R., PA. Kyem,  J. Tolendano, and W. Jin. 1993.  CIS
       and decision making.  Explorations in geographic information sys-
       tems technology, Vol.  4. United Nations Institute for Training  and
       Research, Geneva, Switzerland.
                                                                 6
    

    -------
     Integration of EPA Mainframe Graphics and GiS in a UNIX Workstation Environment
                                 To Solve Environmental Problems
                                           William B. Samuels
                    Science Applications International Corporation, McLean, Virginia
    
                                              Phillip Taylor
                                     Tetra Tech, Inc., Fairfax, Virginia
    
                                             Paul Evenhouse
                       Martin Marietta, Inc., Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
    
                                               Robert King
        Assessment and Watershed Protection Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
                                             Washington, DC
    Abstract
    
    The Assessment and Watershed Protection Division of
    the Office of Wetlands, Oceans, and Watersheds has
    developed water quality analysis software on the U.S.
    Environmental  Protection  Agency  (EPA)  mainframe
    computer. This software integrates national on-line en-
    vironmental databases and  produces maps, tables,
    graphics, and reports that display information such as
    water quality trends, discharge monitoring reports, per-
    mit limits, and design flow analyses.
    
    In the past,  this graphic software was available only to
    users connected to the mainframe with IBM graphics
    terminals or PCs with graphics emulation software. Re-
    cently, software has been developed that can be used
    to: 1) access the EPA mainframe from a UNIX worksta-
    tion via the Internet, 2) execute the Water Quality Analy-
    sis System  (WQAS)  procedures, 3)  display WQAS
    graphics in  an X-Window on  the workstation, and  4)
    download data in a geographic information system (GIS)
    format from  the mainframe. At the same time, this work-
    station can execute ARC/INFO and ARC/VIEW applica-
    tions in other X-Windows. This capability allows analysts
    to  have  the power of GIS, the mainframe databases
    (e.g.,  Permits  Compliance System [PCS], STORET,
    Reach File,  Industrial Facilities  Discharge File,  Daily
    Flow File, Toxic Chemical Release Inventory), and the
    retrieval/analysis/display software (Environmental Data
    Display Manager, Mapping and Data Display Manager,
    Reach Pollutant Assessment [RPA],  PCS-STORET In-
    terface, UNIRAS) available to them on one desktop.
    This capability extends the tool set available to GIS
    analysts for environmental problem-solving.
    
    This paper discusses application of these  tools and
    databases to several problems, including EPAs water-
    shed-based approach to  permitting, and the RPA, an
    automated method to identify priority pollutants in water-
    sheds.
    
    Introduction
    
    The purpose of this paper is to explore new geographic
    information systems (GIS) data integration tools that are
    applicable to a wide range of environmental problems,
    including  the U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency's
    (EPAs) watershed-based  approach to permitting and
    the Reach Pollutant Assessment (RPA), an automated
    method to identify priority pollutants in watersheds. The
    ultimate goal  is to  make these tools and databases
    accessible to a wide range of users.
    
    Understanding aquatic resource-based water  quality
    management depends on access to and integration  of
    diverse information  from many sources. To date, the
    techniques to perform this integration, and  thus yield
    meaningful analyses supporting  environmental deci-
    sion-making,  are neither  fully developed nor docu-
    mented. New tools and information resources are now
    available, but  not used to their full potential, for more
    valuable water quality and watershed analyses.  EPA
    

    -------
    headquarters is responsible for ensuring that integrated
    data management tools are available for water quality
    analyses and data reporting  as well as making national
    data systems more useful. EPA will accomplish this by
    upgrading and crosslinking systems, developing interac-
    tive data retrieval and analysis mechanisms, and provid-
    ing  easy downloading of data to client workstations.
    
    The Assessment  and Watershed Protection  Division
    (AWPD) of the  Office of Wetlands, Oceans, and Water-
    sheds (OWOW) has developed water quality  analysis
    software on the EPA mainframe computer (1). This soft-
    ware integrates national on-line environmental data-
    bases and produces maps, tables, graphics, and reports
    that display  information such as water quality trends,
    discharge monitoring reports, permit limits, and design
    flow analyses.  In the past,  this graphic software was
    available only to users connected to the mainframe with
    IBM graphics terminals or PCs with graphics emulation
    software. Recently, software has been developed that
    can be used to:
    
    • Access the EPA mainframe from a UNIX workstation
      via the Internet.
    
    • Execute the Water Quality Analysis System  (WQAS)
      procedures.
    
    • Display WQAS graphics in  an  X-Window  on  the
      workstation.
    
    • Download data in a CIS format from the mainframe.
    
    At  the  same  time, this   workstation  can  execute
    ARC/INFO and ARC/VIEW applications in other X-Win-
    dows. This capability allows  analysts to have the power
    of CIS, the mainframe databases (e.g., Permits Compli-
    ance System [PCS], STORET, Reach File, Industrial
    Facilities Discharge File, Daily Flow File, Toxic Chemical
    Release  Inventory), and the retrieval/analysis/display
    software  (Environmental Data Display Manager, Map-
    ping and Data Display  Manager, RPA, PCS-STORET
    Interface, UNIRAS) available to them on one desktop.
    This extends the tool set available to CIS analysts for
    environmental  problem-solving. This paper discusses
    how these tools and databases have  been applied to
    two examples:  1) a watershed-based approach to per-
    mitting  and 2)  the  RPA, an automated  procedure  for
    identifying watersheds with priority pollutants.
    
    Mainframe Databases  and Tools
    
    The EPA IBM ES9000 mainframe computer, located in
    Research Triangle Park,  North Carolina, contains a
    large volume of digital water quality and environmental
    data available on-line through a number of data retrieval
    and display tools (see Figure 1). Other documents de-
    scribe these databases and tools in detail (2, 3).
    
    This effort focused on showing how these databases
    and tools can complement CIS activities. In some cases,
    data can be directly downloaded to a workstation in CIS
    format. An example of this is accessing EPAs Reach
    File (Version 1) from GRIDS (4). In  other cases, data-
    bases are accessed by mainframe tools, the data are
    processed, and a CIS data set is produced that can be
    downloaded to a workstation. An example of this  case
    is the RPA (RPA3) tool that integrates data from the
    Reach File, STORET, and PCS to identify priority pollut-
    ants in watersheds (5).
    
    The mainframe can be accessed through several paths:
    Internet, PC dialup, or  dedicated line into a terminal
    controller (see Figure 2). In the applications presented
    here, the Internet  connectivity is emphasized because
    this is the mechanism that makes these databases and
    tools available to  CIS analysts at their workstations.
    Figure  3 shows the hardware  and software require-
    ments for Internet  access to the water quality data inte-
    gration tools.  The  basic  components  are a UNIX
    workstation with an X-Window manager, the X3270 soft-
    ware, and Internet connectivity. The X3270 software is
    required to emulate an  IBM 3270 full-screen terminal.
    This software is publicly available through EPAs Na-
    tional Computer Center User Support.  In addition,  an
    account on the mainframe computer is required. Once
    this account is established, an additional software mod-
    ule, GDDMXD, is required to map IBM host-based
    graphics to the workstation's X-Window. The GDDMXD
    software resides on the mainframe and is loaded when
    the  user logs  in. Once the hardware and software are
    set up, a single UNIX workstation can provide access to
    mainframe and workstation tools and databases on one
    desktop (see Figure 4).
    
    Applications
    
    To  illustrate  how  these mainframe and  workstation
    tools/databases can work together to  solve environ-
    mental  problems, we present two applications. The first
    shows a watershed-based approach to permitting; the
    second describes the RPA.
    
    Watershed-Based Approach to Permitting
    
    The watershed  approach is a  process to synchronize
    water quality monitoring, inspections, and permitting to
    support  water quality protection activities on  a  geo-
    graphic basis. It is  a coordinated and integrated  method
    to link science, permits,  and other pollution control and
    prevention activities to meet state water quality stand-
    ards. Numerous local, state, and federal agencies have
    recognized watershed approaches as the  best way to
    manage natural resources effectively and efficiently. Es-
    tablishing a schedule for data collection, permit  issu-
    ance, and other elements of this approach affords the
    opportunity to coordinate  and integrate other  natural
    resource management efforts  to  make  better use of
    

    -------
         NATIONAL DATABASES
         Reach File
         STORET
         PCS
         TRI
         IFD
         Gage
         Drinks
         Daily Flow
         BIOS
    FRDS
    USGS DLG
    LU/LC
    Soils
    Population
    Dun &
    Bradstreet
    ODES
    MAINFRAME TOOLS
    EDDM
    MDDM
    RPA3
    IPS5
    UNIMAP
    Sitehelp
    GRIDS
    DFLOW
    DESCON
    RF3MSTR
    Bookmanager
    Pathscan
                                   GIS
    Figure 1. EPA mainframe databases/tools and linkage to GIS.
                             INTERNET
                            DIALUP
                             EPA MAINFRAME
                                Databases
                                Tools
                           DEDICATED LINE
     PC or UNIX workstation
     with GIS software
    Figure 2. Access to the EPA mainframe databases and tools.
    

    -------
     LOCAL WORKSTATION
    
    
     HARDWARE
    
       UNIX workstation (with X-Windows) on Internet (i.e., DG Aviion)
    
    
     SOFTWARE
    
         X3270 Software - creates an X-Window, which emulates an IBM 3270
          full-screen session (provided by EPA)
    
    
     EPA MAINFRAME ACCOUNT
    
         GDDMXD software provided on the mainframe to map GDDM
          graphics into X-Windows
    Figure 3. Hardware and software requirements for accessing water quality data integration tools via INTERNET.
       EPA MAINFRAME
       WINDOW- X3270
                        ARC/INFO
                        WINDOW
                                       ARC/VIEW
                                       WINDOW
                                                      DATA DOWN-
                                                      LOADING (FTP)
    Figure 4. A UNIX workstation environment provides access to mainframe and workstation tools and databases on one desktop.
    

    -------
    limited local, state, and federal financial and human
    resources (6).
    
    This application illustrates how the watershed approach
    used CIS and EPA mainframe databases and tools. As
    an example, a four-step approach (see Figure 5) has
    been developed and applied to an impaired watershed
    (Saluda River basin) in South Carolina. Steps one and
    two identified  watersheds  of  concern through  their
    nonattainment of designated uses (see Figure 6) and
    highlighted the cause  of nonattainment,  in this  case
    pathogens (see Figure 7). The data sets used were U.S.
    Geological Survey (USGS) hydrologic unit boundaries,
    Soil Conservation Service (SCS) watershed bounda-
    ries, and data  from the EPA waterbody system, which
    were indexed to the SCS watersheds.1 These data sets
    were integrated into an ARC/INFO arc macro language
    (AMI) to allow users  to pose queries and  prioritize
    watersheds for further investigation.
    
    Once priorities were set, the third step was to evaluate,
    in detail, the sources and causes of nonattainment. The
    Saluda River basin, which had pathogens as its cause
    of nonattainment, was selected for further analyses. In
    this step, the mainframe tools supplement the worksta-
     Clifford, J. 1994. Personal communication with Jack Clifford, U.S.
    EPA, Washington, DC.
    tion CIS capabilities illustrated so far. A STORET re-
    trieval was performed for ambient water quality stations
    monitoring for fecal conforms. The STORET stations
    were partitioned into three categories (low, medium, and
    high) according to the state fecal coliform standard (7),
    which reads:
    
        not to exceed a geometric mean  of 200/100 ml,
        based on five consecutive samples during any 30
        day period; nor shall more than 10% of the total
        samples during any 30 day period exceed 400/100 ml
    
    The categories in Figure 8 correspond to the standard
    as follows:
    
                 low:  < 200/100 milliliters
    
       200/100 milliliters < medium < 400/100 milliliters
    
                 high: > 400/100 milliliters
    
    Figure 8 illustrates the use of ARC/VIEWto visualize the
    location of fecal coliform "hot spots" in the Saluda River
    basin.  Figure 9 focuses on one SCS  watershed
    (03050109-040)  where  pathogens cause  nonattain-
    ment. The locations of industrial  and municipal dis-
    chargers are  plotted, and  facilities with fecal coliform
    limits and their respective permit expiration dates (cap-
    tured from the PCS) are shown in a table included with
    the figure. The CIS capabilities used to generate Figure 9
              1. IDENTIFY WATERSHEDS OF CONCERN
                  - Nonattained waters
           2. PRIORITIZE WATERSHEDS FOR PERMITTING
               • Toxic vs. Nonconventional vs. Conventional
               - Point source vs. Nonpoint source
               - Existing/Designated use(s)
               - Environmental equity; populations; endangered/sensitive species; etc.
          3. EVALUATE SOURCES AND CAUSES
              - Ambient water quality
              - Location of point and nonpoint source discharges
              - Existing controls
          4. DEVELOP CONTROLS
              - TMDL/WLAs
              - NPDES permit limits/controls
              • Synchronize issuance
    Figure 5.  Four steps illustrating an example approach to permitting on a watershed basis.
    

    -------
                                                    Step 1: Identify Watersheds of Concern
                                                                         SseMoh 30Sb Clean Water tet Support
    
                                                                              Select Use Category
    Figure 6.  Identification of watersheds of concern—watersheds where at least 10 percent of the reaches are  not fully supporting
              overall designated use (data and ARC/INFO AMLs provided by Jack Clifford).2
    
    
                                                    Step 2: Evaluate Priorities
    Figure 7.  Watersheds where the cause of nonattainment is pathogens (data and ARC/INFO AMLs provided by Jack Clifford).
    
    2 See note 1.
    3 See note 1.
    

    -------
                       Step 3: Evaluate Ambient Water Quality—Low, Medium, and High Levels of Fecal Coliforms
                                                                                           ?&|3F
    
    Figure 8.  Map of the Saluda River basin showing the location of STORET monitoring stations and fecal coliform levels.
    
                            Step 3: Existing Controls—Dischargers That Have Limits for Fecal Coliforms
                                                                                    t>l rhaigm In SCS !ja in 4
    Figure 9.  Focus on SCS watershed 03050109-040 (shaded in gray).  Locations of STORET stations, municipal and industrial dis-
              chargers are also shown. The table in the upper right highlights dischargers with fecal coliform limits and their respective
              permit expiration dates.
    

    -------
    show that permit issuance is not synchronous, which is
    a key element in the watershed approach.
    
    Within this local workstation CIS environment, the attrib-
    utes associated with the STORE! monitoring stations
    and the PCS dischargers are limited with respect to the
    large amount of time series sampling data that exists in
    these databases. Figures 10 through 12 illustrate how
    an EPA mainframe procedure, the Environmental Data
    Display Manager (EDDM),  can  be  accessed from an
    X-Window on the  CIS workstation to query the entire
    STORE! and PCS databases and thus provide additional
    data analysis and  display capabilities to the CIS work-
    station. In Figures 10 and 11, a water quality inventory was
    performed for a  STORET station, and a time series plot
    of fecal coliform levels is displayed. In Figure 12,  the
    limits and discharge monitoring report (DMR) data were
    accessed from PCS for a sewage treatment plant.  Ex-
    cursions beyond the PCS limits for fecal conforms  are
    easily visualized in the plot.
    The fourth and final step in the watershed approach was
    to develop controls for achieving water quality stand-
    ards. This might include the development of total maxi-
    mum daily loads (TMDL), waste load allocations (WLA),
    and the  synchronization of  permit  issuance. Another
    mainframe tool, the  PCS-STORET  INTERFACE  (re-
    ferred to as IPS5  on the mainframe), can be  used to
    access and compute design flows for TMDL develop-
    ment (see Figure 13) and to find all facilities discharging
    to a particular reach (see Figure 14), an initial step in the
    synchronization  of permit issuance.
    
    RPA
    
    The RPA is a procedure on the EPA mainframe that
    automates identification of reaches where priority pollut-
    ants have  been detected.  It can  be run for  a user-
    selected  state or USGS hydrologic  unit.
    
    Section 304(1)  of the Clean Water Act (CWA) identifies
    water bodies impaired by the presence of toxic substances,
                          Step 3: Using EDDM To Evaluate Ambient Upstream Fecal Coliform Levels—Regulation
                          of Upstream Dischargers Is Necessary
               WATERSHED BASED APPROACH TO PERMITTING
                                                                                   fecal conform tevels~2D3
       SALUDA RIVER WATERSHED - ARCVIEW
       MAPPING AND DATA DISPLAY MANAGER (MDDM)
       ENVIRONMENTAL DATA OISPLAV MANAGER (EDDM)
       PCS-STORET INTERFACE
       REACH POUUTANT ASSESSMENT
       IMDL DEVELOPMENT -CLARK FORK RIVER
       ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT-BRANDYW1NE RIVER
         ENVIRONMENTAL DATA DISPLAY MANAGER (EDDM)
       STORET RETRIEVAL S-OS4
       PCS FACILITY LEVEL DATA SUMMARY
       PCS PIPE LEVEL DATA SUM MARY
    Figure 10.  Using EDDM to perform a water quality inventory for STORET station 21SC06WQ S-084 in the Saluda River basin, South
              Carolina.
    

    -------
                           Step 3: Using EDDM To Visualize Trends in Ambient Coliform Levels Upstream
                           of a Discharger
              WATERSHED BASED APPROACH TO PERMITTING
      SALUDA RIVER WATERSHED -ARCVIEW
                                                                                      fecal culilomi levels-mi
      MAPPING AND DATA DISPLAY HAMACER (MDDM)
      ENVIRONMENTAL DATA DISPLAY MANACEMEDDH)
      PCS-STORET INTERFACE
      REACH POLLUTANT ASSESSMENT
      TMDL DEVELOPMENT - CLARK FORK RIVER
      ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT-BRAHfWI
                        DISPLAV MANAGER (EDDM)
      STORET RETRIEVAL S-OB4
      TIME SERIES- FECAL COLIFORM
      PCS FACILITY LEVELDATA SUMMARY
    Figure 11.  From the EDDM water quality inventory table, the fecal coliform parameter (31616) was selected for a time series plot.
    identifying point source dischargers of these substances
    and  developing individual control strategies for these
    dischargers. To meet these  requirements,  the EPA Of-
    fice  of Wetlands, Oceans,  and Watersheds prepared
    guidance identifying criteria to be used in  reviewing
    state reports.
    
    The  RPA was designed to  address the requirements
    under criterion 7 of Section 304(1): identification of state
    waters with  likely presence  of priority toxic pollutants.
    This assessment was accomplished by identifying and
    summarizing reaches  with point source dischargers of
    priority pollutants and water  quality stations with priority
    pollutant data.
    
    Information  on the state's waters is summarized using
    the USGS hydrologic  unit naming convention and the
    Reach Structure File (Version 1). Numerous databases
    were accessed  and  analyzed,  including  the  Reach
    Structure and  Reach Trace  File (Version 1), industrial
    facilities discharge (IFD) file, STORET parameter file,
    PCS, and the STORET water quality file. The IFD file
    and  PCS provided the facility information.  Comparing
    information from both data sources identified active fa-
    cilities and generated a complete list of facilities by their
    assigned reach numbers.  Water quality  data  from
    STORET were summarized on reaches with priority pol-
    lutant monitoring data.  Stations were  retrieved with the
    following restrictions:
    
    • Stations located within the state or hydrologic unit of
      interest.
    
    • Ambient monitoring stations  located  on streams,
      lakes, or estuaries.
    
    • Stations sampled for at least one priority pollutant in
      either water, sediment, or fish tissue on or after January
      1,  1982.
    

    -------
                              Step 3: Using EDDM To Evaluate Existing Controls—PCS Limits and DMR
         3CG023ci0fc|UJCRSA/PIEDnaNT PIT
    PFJ-END
    
    PT4-DHR
    
    PF5-STDRET
    
    
    PFfe-flPERTURE
    
    PF7-LIMITS
    
    PF8-FLUUI
                                                                              ENVIRONMENTAL DATA DISPLAY MANAGER (EDDM)
                                                                           DATA SELECTION
                                                                           REACH MAP
                                                                           ZOOM LEVELS
    
                                                                           PCS FACILITV LEVEL DATA_SUMMARV
    
                                                                           PCSJMPE LEVEL DftTA SUHMflRY
    
                                                                           PLOT OF LIMITS/DMB
    Figure 12.  Using EDDM, PCS data is accessed for discharger SC0023906, Piedmont sewage treatment plant.  The windows show
              plant location (upper left), facility and pipe summary data (upper right) and time series plot (lower left).
    Recently, the RPA program was modified to output files
    compatible with CIS. An example of this is shown in
    Figure 15. The data in the table portion of this figure are
    written to two files as follows:
    
    • For each reach in the hydrologic unit, the geographic
      coordinates are written to a file  in ARC/INFO GEN-
      ERATE format.
    
    • The attributes  associated with  each  reach (e.g.,
      name, length, number of water quality stations) are
      written to a  delimited ASCII file.
    
    A third file is also automatically generated. This file is an
    AMI that GENERATES  the  line coverage of reaches,
    defines and populates the INFO table of attributes, then
    joins the attributes in the  INFO table to the line coverage
    of reaches. Once these three files are created, they are
    downloaded to the CIS workstation (via ftp) and proc-
    essed by ARC/INFO. In ARC/VIEW, the user can identify
    a reach and determine:
    
    • The number of water quality stations with priority pol-
      lutant monitoring data.
    
    • The  number and type of industrial facilities with pri-
      ority pollutant discharge.
    
    • The  number of publicly owned  treatment works
      (POTW) with and without indirect dischargers  (see
      Figure 15).
    
    In addition to this  reach  summary  data, other tables
    (cross-linked to reaches, water quality stations,  and dis-
    chargers) are produced that summarize the data by pollut-
    ant (see Figure 16). In this figure, each pollutant is cross-
    linked to the reach where it was detected, and the source
    of detection is also identified (i.e., water column, sediment,
    fish tissue, NPDES permit limit,  Form 2(c) submittal) or
                                                         10
    

    -------
                       Step 4: Using the PCS/STORET INTERFACE for NPDES Permit Development—Analysis of
                       Receiving Stream Flow Data
                       ti' IPFM JFf is| PFIE j PF17 j PF10 tFr^1'^l'p^"n^i^
    Figure 13.  Using the PCS-STORET INTERFACE to access and compute design flows for a specific reach.
                       Step 4: Using the PCS/STORET INTERFACE To Determine Other Facilities on a Reach for
                       Wasteload Allocation Purposes
                             IHEffi fKt  6 FflCILITlES flSSQCiflTED HUH THIS R£ft£H
                         «- | ir V8P TFTEH1 NEB F TtE SFBfH MUfcS (Uh 1HE !FE RLE
    Figure 14.  Using the PCS-STORET INTERFACE to list all facilities that discharge to a specific reach.
                                                              11
    

    -------
    predicted to be in the discharger's effluent based on the
    standard industrial classification (SIC) code. More de-
    tailed information is also generated. For example, Fig-
    ure 17  shows  a detailed report for priority pollutants
    detected in the water column (similar reports are gener-
    ated for sediment and fish tissue). Each pollutant is
    cross-linked to a reach and the specific monitoring sta-
    tion where it was detected. Basic summary statistics are
    also presented.
    
    Figure 18 shows a detailed report for pollutants detected
    in the NPDES permit limit. In this figure, each pollutant
    is cross-linked  to a reach and the specific NPDES dis-
    charger containing a permit limit. In addition, each dis-
    charger is identified as a major, minor, or POTW.
    
    Figures  15  through 17  show the  RPA output in the
    foreground and coverages displayed  by ARC/VIEW in
    the background. Inspection of these figures  shows that
    the Bush River is a priority pollutant reach containing
    seven industrial facilities, four of which discharge priority
    pollutants (one pulp and paper mill, three textile facto-
    ries). Further examination of the data  shows that  cad-
    mium has been detected in the water column and is also
    contained in the NPDES permit limit. It is also predicted
    to be in the discharge effluent based on SIC code. In the
    water column, cadmium was measured at 10 u,g/L at two
    stations sampled in 1988.
           Finally, there is a limit for cadmium in NPDES facility
           SC0024490  (Newberry  plant), a  POTW on the Bush
           River. The RPA output, linked to CIS, can be used as a
           screening  and  targeting tool for identifying  specific
           reaches within watersheds where toxic priority pollut-
           ants cause water quality degradation.
    
    
           Summary and Conclusions
    
           The proliferation of CIS workstations, the expansion of
           the Internet, and the development of X-Window-based
           graphics emulation software (X3270 and GDDMXD) has
           afforded analysts the opportunity to use the powerful
           analytical capabilities of CIS and  the  EPA mainframe
           databases and tools together on one desktop. Thus, a
           user  performing a  CIS watershed analysis  can also
           have immediate and complete access to national on-line
           databases such as STORET and PCS by opening up a
           "window" to  the EPA mainframe. This allows detailed
           queries to be performed that supplement the data al-
           ready being  analyzed at the  local workstation. This ca-
           pability allows users to easily visualize additional data
           without having to spend effort in retrieval, downloading,
           transforming, and reformatting  to make it useful.  By
           enhancing existing mainframe programs to create out-
           put in CIS format, the time spent importing data to the
           CIS is reduced and more time can be spent on analysis.
           An example  of this capability is the RPA program.
                             Reach Pollutant Assessment: Priority Pollutant Detection in the Bush River
                     •• I Dlgch&rgsni ;>| gc§ badn 4
                     1 "*..,-.-K* • '•'
                     _j fecei cultftrm lewlf"" .
                     J Drhlkln^ Wafer SuppfiiM ,
                      h To»c Chemical R
                                         ii i;, SliS
                         WATERSHED BASED APPROACH TQ PERMETTIAIG
                                                          E ?. StlLWRV OF SUilEKiCftllrf SOE1TED REACHES VOTh PRIORITY FOUUTSNT SC-JtHES
    
                                                                  ftNLr WVltK rjUftUT" B'lfiTIOHS IN CATfiLOGINr; UM1 JUMJIW
                                               Cat. Unit No.  MHas PEKH Marr
    
                                                 CO  C2)   (3)  M)
                                                3Q5D1-D9  001  7.' S^LADfl R
    UH2  •!,) 5flLADfl H
    
    OfH  68.9 L WBdW
    
    nns  5i.fi L MURfi'W
    
    013  -4.-S QWIM 01
    
    Oil  O.S SfllftDA R
    
    01^  1Q.B iflLADfi R
    
    013  2?,3 9-SH IV
                                                                         7 1 PLMTIC MOLBIHC 4
    
                                                                          » ME AM LLECTrilC
    
                                                                          1 nHdiWU (.HtFKftLi
                                                                         ? 0
    
                                                                         0 3
    Figure 15.  Using the RPA procedure to identify specific reaches with priority pollutants.
                                                        12
    

    -------
                                                    Reach Pollutant Assessment: Cadmium in the Bush River
                                                                    RPAS SUHHWY SEPCRT 0V FdUnfcNT
                                                                                             AMOIENT KQ        HPDti thh
                                                                                            1C  5Fn FISH      LIMIT ?f SIC  ,
                               PRIOR IT*' POIitlTfl NT SUMMARY REPOfl
                               EETftlL REPOfif - BESHiT UMiT
                               bETASL ftEPORT ~ W&TER CuUIHN
                               DETA i RIPOBT:- SB&IMENT
    Figure  16.   RPA summary report by  pollutant.
                                           Reach Pollutant Assessment:  Bush River: Cadmium  in the Water Column
                                                                              cmdlool-/Hln/r=:ti
                              POL L UTANT   PARSM  RFWH
                              MAME       CODE   NUMBER
                                                                     RPAS DETCL REPORT fi) B¥ POLLllTAHT
                                                                     POLLllTfl^S DETECTED 114 B^TER ti>LIJMN
                                                                   STOfiFT S'ATTOH ID    WO- OF
    Mh 39500 -jobuiDausj fitter B     mc&mg *~ots
         1Q2"f 3J50109013 SUSH R     21SCSOWQ 5-U>^
    
         102? 3D5C5D3C53 fl-Eb'i B     2lSC60WQ S-OS8
         1C2P 305010,9030 LITTLE R    21SCBQWQ S-034
         13?? 30M1I8C41 L CREEMWOCS)  ZtSCEtJ^Q S-\$K
         1027 3D501D9CS2 COROHrtCft CR  21SCEDWQ 5»?!8
    
         1027 305C105C16 BJ5H R     21SfFinw; 5-S38
    bran 32105 3050109C59 SfcLAPA P    215CfOW<; 5-125
    hrora 32105 SBSffllS9C5.1 R'ECV R     21SfffSWJ S-lUS
     tot  1B34 3D50109ne 3J5H R     215C£OWQ 5-042
     tot  1034 3D501IBD53 nrCOV R     21SC6DWQ S-JS"!
    J/HJ-000    37IU.5JOO
      lO.UUU      1CF,OOD
      •f (t.LWl      l!>.fi!iEi
      10,000      )?.COO
      10,000      10.000
      !P.UUO      1D.DOO
      10.ODD      1Q.COO
      id, nnn      sn.fioo
      in, (ion      ID. ODD
      2.000       2.COO
      3.HH       S.I'iC
                                                                                                                 -J/1C.OTU 8t'U5S3 J1U0503
                                                                                                                  1C. (JOB SE1U19 831Q20
                                                                                                                  1R.UUO fl?CT3"^ a?0812
                                                                                                                  1 1.000 6'11D03 0E3110
                                                                                                                  ic.nao &ioio^ at 31 01
                                                                                                                  •JO.nfflJ 38121-1 SBUI4
                                                                                                                  10.^00 8700*2 C7D812
                                                                                                                  •:t>,qen BJaut2 8?aniZ
                                                                                                                  to, urn fi3!ozn eaitjo
                                                                                                                   2.0CQ fl?Cr!D; 8SB502
                                                                                              1D.CIUU
                                                                                                        10. COO
                          10.DCO B30217
                         205,000 8307 1 9
                                                                                                                             E90217
                                                                                                                             'J31DS3
    Figure  17.   RPA detail report: pollutants detected in the water column.
                                                                                           13
    

    -------
                         Reach Pollutant Assessment: Permitted Industries for Cadmium—Bush River
                                                       cmdtDol "/bin/rah
                 CIS:  3BM1fiS
                 P3UUTANT MME
                                              RPd5 DETAIL REPORT Hi SV POLLCTAHT
    
                                           POLLUTANTS INCLUDED lb NPOE5 PERKIT LIMIT
                                   PflRAM  REftCH
    
                                   CODE   HUrffiEft
                 Atenaphthene
    
                 Acenaphthylene
                 ftnthracsne
    
                 flrsGn:c
    MZflS 30SOI090D1 SAiA&ft ft
    
    "•4203 SDE0139QO! 5ALADA ft
    
    3-^215 5050,39001 SfllAM R
    
    •j^ZZt) J[JbDiJ3DL31 SAlAPft Fl
    
     1UUJ JfJ5UU9073 S SA11JL5W t
                          ) phthalste
    3^525 3050lOSOni SALAtiA R
    
    3^3-*? 3D5UIL33D13! SALADft R
    
    34242 305Q10SOQ1 SfltftDA R
    
    39103 305010SOP1 5ALAPA R
    
     1C2? 3iHSmssO ^ WISH R
    
     10?'? 3050109(130 LITTlF R
                                 PERMIT   FRCILITV NAME
    
                                 NUMBER
                             MWOR/ POTV* PIPE:
    
                             HIHOR
    scBsasssr
    
    5CDD03557
    
    5COJ0355?
    
    SCDUDJSif'
    
    itusa^ia
    
    SCOOQ355
    
    4CODC355
    
    SCOOG355
    
    SC000355
    
    SCODD355?
    
    •?COO?449i5
    
    SL"OC;orQ2
    ALlIEt FIEERS/COLUhBIA PLAHT
    
    AU.IED FIEER5/:CLL1HBIfi PLANT
    
    ALLIED FIBERS/CGUJMBIA FtftXT
    
    ALiltD UttHS/L'OLUHKlft t- AHT
    
    MiUIKEN a CO/^^YLE'J IIL
    
    ftUItt f!EERS/CCLU»«TA P
    
    ALLIED FIEER5/COIUMBIA P
    
    fttLIEft nOTRS/COLUieiA P
                                                                         ) FIBERS/COLUMeifi
                                                                                     ANT
    
                                                                                     AHT
    waos
    
    HAT OR
    
    HftJOS
    
    fVJOfi
    
    MflJOP
    
    HflJtm
    
    MAJOR
    
    MAJOR
    
    MfiJOR
    
    KAJOR
    
    MT^OR POT*? 001
    
    MATOR POTff fini
    Figure 18.  RPA detail report: pollutants included in the NPDES permit limit.
    Two examples were  presented as illustrations of how
    CIS and the mainframe databases and tools can work
    together.
    In the first example, EPA's watershed-based approach
    to permitting, a four-step approach, was outlined, show-
    ing how a combination of local CIS functions and remote
    mainframe databases and tools were used in each step
    of the process. The  end result was the targeting and
    prioritizing of watersheds of concern, and a detailed look
    at where and  why water quality standards were not
    being  met.
    In the second example, the RPA program along with CIS
    was used to identify and map toxic priority pollutants and
    cross-link them to reaches, media (water  column, sedi-
    ment,  fish tissue), NPDES dischargers, and monitoring
    stations. This analysis focused  on what the  toxic pollut-
    ant problems are and where they occur.
    
    Acknowledgments
    The authors wish to thank Jack Clifford, AWPD, OWOW,
    EPA, for providing data  and ARC/INFO AMLs that were
    used in the  South  Carolina  watershed example. The
    authors also extend their appreciation to Duane More
                                   and Tom Lewis (both with Martin Marietta), who provided
                                   support in setting up the X3270 and GDDMXD software.
    
    
                                   References
    
                                   1. Taylor, P.L., P. Evenhouse, L. Hoelman, T. DeWald, W.B. Samuels,
                                     and O.  Hansen. 1988. STORET—Water quality analysis system.
                                     Presented  at  the  State/EPA  Data Management  Conference,
                                     Raleigh, NC (June).
    
                                   2. U.S.  EPA.  1992.  Office  of Water  environmental and  program
                                     information systems compendium, information resources manage-
                                     ment:  Tools for making  water  program  decisions. EPA/800/B-
                                     92/001. April.
    
                                   3. Samuels, W.B., PL.  Taylor, P.B. Evenhouse, T.R. Bondelid,  PC.
                                     Eggers, and S.A. Hanson. 1991. The environmental display man-
                                     ager: A tool for water quality data integration. Water Resources
                                     Bull. 27(6):939-956.
    
                                   4. U.S. EPA. 1993. Geographic Resources Information and Data Sys-
                                     tem (GRIDS):  User guide. Office of Information Resources Man-
                                     agement, National GIS Program.
    
                                   5. Samuels, W.B. 1990. Reach pollutant assessment user's guide.
                                     McLean, VA: Science Applications International Corporation.
    
                                   6. Washington State  Department of Ecology (WDEC). 1993. Water-
                                     shed approach to water  quality  management.  F-WQ-93-029.
                                     October.
    
                                   7. State of South  Carolina. 1992. South Carolina code of regulations,
                                     Chapter 61, Regulation 68 and 69. Amended April 24, 1992.
                                                              14
    

    -------
                 You Can't Do That With These Data! Or: Uses and Abuses of
                                   Tap Water Monitoring Analyses
                                             Michael R. Schock
       Drinking Water Research Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, Ohio
    
                                            Jonathan A. Clement
                                Black & Veatch, Cambridge, Massachusetts
    Introduction
    
    Linkage between human health and drinking water qual-
    ity has been an area of interest in the United States for
    many years.  Over the past  approximately 10 years,
    drinking water monitoring requirements have expanded
    rapidly under the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA).
    Growing public and governmental interest in this envi-
    ronmental area makes the aggregation  and consolida-
    tion of data on the occurrence and distribution  of many
    organic and inorganic contaminants and background
    constituents of drinking water an  important process.
    These data can then be made available for systemiza-
    tion and visualization to regulators, municipalities, water
    utilities, public interest groups, health researchers, con-
    sulting engineers, and water treatment scientists.
    
    Given a sufficient number of data points and a  conven-
    ient computerized database/mapping platform, a wide
    variety of maps can be generated to use in research and
    decision-making processes. The validity of doing so,
    however, rests inseparably upon the basis of the sam-
    pling plan and protocols, as well as the precision  and
    accuracy of the analytical methods used forthe constitu-
    ents of interest. The well-known problem of matching the
    proper scale of the source data to that employed in the
    maps for interpretation  is a critical problem with drinking
    water sampling, where  many unappreciated small-scale
    variations  render many, if not most, attempts to make
    generalizations inaccurate or  meaningless.
    
    This paper introduces and describes many concepts re-
    lated to what generates or controls the concentrations
    of metals and other constituents in drinking water, ways
    in which the sampling protocol affects apparent levels of
    constituents, and the magnitude of temporal and spatial
    variability  present in both  municipal and private water
    supplies. Illustrations from water quality studies show in
    practical terms how generalizations must be kept to a
    minimum and  how the data input  into  a geographic
    information system (CIS) for interpretation and evalu-
    ation must be carefully analyzed and screened to deter-
    mine  the  appropriateness  for various  well-intended
    purposes.  The discussion  and examples show  how
    many apparently significant trends and assessments of
    exposures or occurrences turn out to be merely artifacts
    of critical (yet subtle) inconsistencies or errors in the
    planning and execution of the sample collection proc-
    ess, or inconsistencies caused by the fact that regula-
    tory (and not research) requirements govern the origin
    of the data.
    
    The concepts this paper  covers  are equally valid in
    many other disciplines using or contemplating the use
    of CIS for interpretation of all kinds of "field" data.
    
    Why Maps Are Useful for Drinking
    Water Studies
    
    Maps and  CIS databases could have wide applicability
    to drinking water studies. For example, they could pro-
    vide the basis for investigating the occurrence of regu-
    latory contaminants  or related constituents, either to
    estimate the costs of compliance with a regulation  or to
    estimate human health effects. Mapping could be useful
    to utilities and consultants investigating process changes
    for a  utility or  determining the effectiveness of some
    existing treatment such as corrosion control orchlorina-
    tion.  Use  of CIS  could also assist in assessing the
    feasibility and  impact of system expansion.  Another
    promising application would be CIS assistance in devel-
    oping and  implementing  wellhead  protection plans.
    Many other areas of application may be  possible  now,
    or will be discovered  in the future, as CIS technology
    and regulatory requirements continue to develop.
    

    -------
    Sampling Protocols for Data Usable in GIS
    
    Several SDWA regulations have resulted or will result in
    the collection of geographically diverse drinking water
    quality data that may interest mappers. The  Lead  and
    Copper Rule, the Surface Water Treatment  Rule, the
    proposed Information Collection Rule, and the Disinfec-
    tion/Disinfection Byproduct Rule are but four examples.
    Many states have their own variations on federal drink-
    ing water regulations, so their data  collection require-
    ments may differ somewhat. Considerable data may
    also be collected for specific research studies of either
    academic or purely practical nature.
    
    Chemical Factors in Constituent Behavior
    
    For the purposes of this discussion,  chemical constitu-
    ents in drinking water may be classified as being gener-
    ally reactive or nonreactive. Reactive constituents may
    change concentrations or chemical form for a variety of
    reasons, such as:
    
    • A result of interaction with the background composi-
      tion of the drinking water.
    
    • By precipitation or dissolution reactions with pipe ma-
      terial used for the distribution system.
    
    • By  chemical  reactions with disinfectants  added at
      water treatment plants.
    
    • By slow chemical reactions started at water treatment
      plants.
    
    Nonreactive constituents may play an important role by
    providing a chemical background that indirectly influ-
    ences the speed or extent of other chemical reactions
    and transformations. Table 1 gives a summary of many
    common constituents of  drinking water  and identifies
    whether they function essentially as  reactive  or nonre-
    active constituents.
    
    Reactive Constituents
    
    Clearly, chemical  species or compounds  that  can
    change in concentration or transform into other species
    or compounds during distribution make mapping on very
    large scales difficult to justify. Reactive constituents may
    also change concentration in the same place overtime,
    such as water standing overnight in a home, school, or
    building, which  is discussed in a later section.  Some
    examples of reactions during water distribution follow:
    
    • During lime softening  processes at  some  central
      water treatment plants,  a  supersaturated state  is
      used for the compound calcium carbonate to remove
      calcium  (and  sometimes magnesium)  ions from the
      water. This condition is sometimes maintained  into
      the distribution system as well to assist in maintaining
      chemical conditions useful for corrosion  control of
      lead and copper. Thus, calcium levels,  pH, and  car-
    Table 1.  General Reactivity Trends for Common Drinking
            Water Constituents
    Constituent
                     General Reactivity Tendency
    PH
    Dissolved oxygen
    Calcium
    Magnesium
    Total carbonate
    Total alkalinity
    Chlorine residual
    Temperature
    Iron
    Copper
    Lead
    Zinc
    Silica
    Sulfate
    Orthophosphate
    Polyphosphate
    Total phosphate
    Nitrate
    Chloride
    Fluoride
    Trihalomethanes
    Haloacetic acids
    Highly reactive
    Reactive
    Nonreactive (reactive when cementitious
    pipe linings are present)
    Nonreactive
    Nonreactive
    Reactive, particularly with pH changes
    Reactive
    Either
    Reactive
    Reactive
    Reactive
    Reactive
    Nonreactive
    Nonreactive
    Reactive
    Reactive
    Reactive
    Nonreactive
    Nonreactive
    Nonreactive
    Reactive
    Reactive
      bonate concentrations (and consequently, alkalinity)
      drop as water passes away from the plant (1, 2).
    
    • The  metals in pipe  materials, such  as iron, copper,
      zinc  (in galvanized pipe), and lead,  are oxidized by
      oxygen, free chlorine, chloramines, ozone, and other
      disinfectants,  which  renders them into a form  that
      water can transport, unless other chemical conditions
      are such that  a highly insoluble scale deposits on the
      pipe, immobilizing the metal (1,  3).
    
    • Prolonged contact with chlorine disinfectant species
      converts a fraction of natural organic matter present
      in many distributed waters into regulated "disinfection
      byproduct"  compounds, such  as  trihalomethanes,
      chloroform, and haloacetic acids (4, 5).
    
    • Following the addition of chlorine or after increasing
      pH to enable  some  corrosion control for copper and
      lead, iron present in well waters in dissolved  ferrous
      (Fe2+) form oxidizes into Fe3+  form, which is much
      less soluble. Obnoxious "red water"  results, as ferric
      oxyhydroxide  precipitate forms and clouds the water.
    
    • Polyphosphate chemicals added to  "sequester"  iron
      or manganese in well waters break down into simpler
    

    -------
      polyphosphate forms of shorter chain lengths, plus
      orthophosphate.  The orthophosphate frequently be-
      comes present at high enough concentration to aid
      in controlling lead or copper (1, 6-8).
    
    • Water passes  through  newly installed cement mor-
      tar-lined pipes, or aggressive water passes through
      older asbestos-cement pipes. Because of the particu-
      lar chemical nature of the water, calcium carbonate
      and calcium hydroxide in the cement dissolve, raising
      the pH and hardness of the water (1).
    
    • Free chlorine is added to disinfect water and  is such
      a strong oxidant that it is unstable in water at normal
      concentrations. Additionally, it reacts with miles of
      unlined cast iron pipe,  accelerating the decomposi-
      tion of hypochlorous acid or hypochlorite ion to chlo-
      ride. Consequently,  the overall redox potential of the
      water supply and  the  effectiveness of disinfection
      decrease.
    
    • A concentration of 1 milligram per liter (as PO4) phos-
      phoric acid is added to a distributed water at pH 7.5
      to control lead  corrosion. The orthophosphate reacts
      with  exposed iron in the distribution main, however,
      and  the  residual concentration  of orthophosphate
      decreases  throughout  distribution passage  to the
      point where the level is no longer adequate to create
      the lead orthophosphate passivating film needed  (1,
      6, 8, 9).
    
    Unless a constituent is known to be nonreactive, maps
    may be falsely generated under the premise that the
    concentration of  a constituent is essentially  a constant
    over some geographic area. Following  the changes in
    concentration or  chemical form of reactive constituents
    would also seem to be a useful application of CIS tech-
    nology. One major restriction applies to the viability of
    that approach, however. Presuming that the analytical
    techniques used can adequately quantify the concentra-
    tion and concentration changes observed, the scale of
    the variability or concentration change relative to the
    scale  of the mapping perspective becomes critical to
    accurate mapping. A latersection ofthis paper considers
    this critical factor in more specific detail.
    
    Nonreactive Constituents
    
    Almost no inorganic constituents in natural or drinking
    water are purely chemically inert. Under some condi-
    tions, and at some  concentrations, significant reactions
    can occur. Some constituents that are actually reactive
    may act as if they are nonreactive constituents, how-
    ever, because they are present in high enough concen-
    trations relative  to the  extent of chemical  reactions
    taking place that  no discernible change in their concen-
    tration  results. An  obvious  example is the dissolved
    inorganic carbonate (DIG = hteCOs* + HCOs- +  COs2-)
    concentration (1, 10). Complexation  and formation of
    passivating basic carbonate solid films of lead and cop-
    per by carbonate  and bicarbonate ion  dominate the
    corrosion control chemistry of copper(ll) and lead(ll) (1,
    11). The concentration of DIG in water on either a molar
    or weight basis, however, is normally a factor of 500 to
    10,000 higher than the lead or copper concentrations.
    Hence, changes in the DIG content from these reactions
    normally are analytically undetectable.
    
    Another example is fluoride ion, which is often used as
    a distribution  system water  flow "tracer" because of its
    relative inertness. Actually, fluoride ion can form strong
    complexes with aluminum left in water following coagu-
    lation treatment  with  alum.  The solubility of fluoride-
    containing solids  with other major drinking water
    components (such  as calcium and sodium) is very high,
    however, and fluoride reacts only weakly with metallic
    plumbing materials in the distribution system. Therefore,
    total fluoride concentrations tend to remain constant.
    
    Relatively accurate maps of the occurrence and distri-
    bution of  nonreactive constituents can be  made, but
    their usefulness depends on the scale of the mapping
    relative to their occurrence  and the particular question
    under investigation.  All of  this supports the need to
    ensure that the question asked can be answered  cor-
    rectly at the map scale.
    
    Scale of Drinking Water  Constituent
    Sources
    
    More than 59,000  public water suppliers  exist in the
    United  States (12). Of these,  approximately 660 are
    considered large water systems, which  serve  over
    50,000 in population.  These  municipal systems  use
    source water supplies that can be ground-water wells,
    "surface" waters (i.e.,  rivers,  reservoirs, lakes),  or a
    combination of both. Some water suppliers perform
    minimal water treatment of their  own  and purchase
    water from another water system or systems to satisfy
    their needs.
    
    Surface Water Sources
    
    Many water utilities use a single water treatment plant
    to treat surface waters, which  could satisfy the  entire
    water demand of the community all year. In many cases,
    however,  utilities  combine  several  surface  water
    sources and use a different treatment plant to treat each
    water source. The  water plants usually discharge  into
    the  distribution system at different points,  and system
    hydraulics dictate  the  areas of the  system in which
    waters mix. This  is  important because the water quality
    characteristics,  which  often differ among treatment
    plants, influence the corrosivity of the waters to various
    plumbing materials in the distribution system. Different
    water constituents also may affect the disinfection effec-
    tiveness of the treatment and the formation of unwanted
    disinfection byproducts.
    

    -------
    For surface water systems, the chemical composition of
    the water depends on the upstream or watershed geo-
    chemistry, the seasonal nature of the water body used
    as the source, and the characteristics that the treatment
    imparts, such as coagulation with ferric sulfate or alum
    (aluminum sulfate), lime softening, filtration, pH adjust-
    ment, corrosion control treatment, chlorination, etc.
    
    The scale of the source water chemical data, therefore,
    is large, driven by the geology, soil nature, land use, and
    climate. The chemical nature of the treated water, how-
    ever, may differ significantly from that of its source.
    
    Ground-Water Supplies
    
    Many water utilities use multiple ground-water wells. A
    water supply of medium to large size usually uses mul-
    tiple wells, instead of or in addition to the surface water
    supplies. Wells  number from only two or three to more
    than 100 for very large water systems. Wells normally
    operate in different patterns, and only rarely do all wells
    operate at the same time. The yield of the wells and their
    water quality dictates the combination and number of
    wells used at a particular moment. The wells may or may
    not be from the same aquifer, and even if they are, local
    inhomogeneities frequently exist in water composition
    (especially with  iron and manganese) that  limit the use-
    fulness of certain wells without substantial treatment.
    
    Historically, utilities have treated  some (but not neces-
    sarily all) wells with  a chemical  such as a polyphos-
    phate or sodium silicate  to  sequester the  iron  and
    manganese from wells.  Some utilities install  physical
    removal processes such as ion-exchange softeners, re-
    verse-osmosis  plants,  aeration  systems  for  iron  re-
    moval, air stripping towers for volatile organic compound
    or radon removal, or "greensand" filters for the removal
    of iron and manganese. These facilities sometimes exist
    at only certain well sites or at some point  where water
    from multiple wells is combined.
    
    The scale of chemical controls on ground-water sup-
    plies, therefore, becomes only hundreds of feet. Con-
    taminants of raw waters, such  as arsenic, nitrate, or
    chromium, are geologically and geochemically control-
    led. Therefore, their occurrence is geographically vari-
    able on even a small scale, and the variability exists
    vertically in  the subsurface as well as horizontally. A
    municipality may use wells of different depths into differ-
    ent aquifers, or even approximately the  same depth
    spread out over hundreds of feet to many miles in the
    same aquifer or a variety of geologic units.
    
    The variability of individual ground-water wells overtime
    (such as seasonally)  is usually less apparent than with
    surface water sources, but the fact that many wells are
    frequently used in different combinations and for differ-
    ent lengths of time (hours to days, usually) makes char-
    acterizing "influent"  water quality  complicated.  The
    same observation applies to water systems that allow
    different amounts of water to bypass treatment proc-
    esses (e.g., ion-exchange, reverse osmosis) depending
    on the levels of targeted undesirable contaminants (e.g.,
    nitrate, sulfate, arsenic).
    
    These characteristics of the nature of chemical compo-
    sition,  use,  and treatment of ground-water supplies
    clearly show that generalizations  over areas such as
    states or geographic regions (e.g., New England, Upper
    Midwest) are at least very gross and uncertain and at
    worst,  entirely misleading when decisions are to be
    made about risk and health assessments, or estimates
    of the necessity for certain treatments or economic im-
    pacts of different potential drinking water regulations.
    
    Combination Systems
    
    Some municipalities combine the use of surface water
    supplies  and ground-water wells.  Therefore, general
    water chemical characteristics vary throughout the sys-
    tem in a regular manner in response to the location and
    use of different sources, as well as relative amounts of
    water that the different sources produce and deliver.
    
    Distribution System Mains
    
    The next lower level of scale is the distribution  system
    network of pipes and storage. Common materials used
    for distribution system piping include cast  iron, ductile
    iron, cement mortar-lined iron, iron with organic coat-
    ings, asbestos-cement (A-C), and various forms  of plas-
    tic. Pipe diameters range from about 4 inches to many
    feet, depending on size of the water utility and commu-
    nity, size of the neighborhood fed  by the line, and  dis-
    tance of travel for the water. Here, because of the large
    volume of water involved relative to the pipe diameter,
    the major chemical interactions involve such constitu-
    ents as hardness (calcium  and  magnesium)  ions, pH,
    iron, bicarbonate and carbonate ions, and  chlorine re-
    sidual species, and possibly microbiological parameters
    such as total plate counts,  heterotrophic plate  counts,
    and assimilable organic carbon. Disinfection byproducts
    (DBFs) may change in concentration and type because
    of the time involved in the water traveling  through the
    piping from the treatment plant. Trace metal contamina-
    tion, such as lead and copper, is usually negligible from
    this source,  unless it is  present when distributed from
    the wells or water treatment plants.
    
    Depending on prevalent economics  and construction
    practices during  periods of water system  growth, the
    materials will not be either randomly or uniformly distrib-
    uted geographically within  system boundaries. Water
    flow often varies greatly within the distribution system,
    and water lines sometimes terminate in dead-end areas
    with minimal flow rates. Water quality often differs sub-
    stantially in these dead ends from that in the fully flowing
    parts of the distribution system.
    

    -------
    Household Service Lines
    
    Service lines represent the connection between the
    house or building and the distribution main. Sometimes,
    the service lines are joined to the mains by a flexible,
    approximately 2- to 3-foot long pipe called a "goose-
    neck" or "pig-tail." Historically, this connector was often
    made of lead.  Recently, copper  has been the  most
    widely used material, with plastic gaining in acceptance.
    Service lines for homes are usually 0.75 to  1  inch in
    diameter, with service lines for many commercial build-
    ings or multifamily dwellings ranging in size from 1.5 to
    3 inches in diameter. Service line for homes and build-
    ings have usually been made  of lead, brass, copper,
    galvanized steel, or plastic. The material used depends
    on the age of the water connection and the construction
    practices of the area involved. A recent report estimated
    that approximately 6.4 million lead connections ("goose-
    necks") still  exist in the United States, and about 3.3
    million lead service lines still exist (13). In many commu-
    nities, old lead service  lines remain a major source of
    lead in  drinking water.
    
    Like distribution system materials, service line materials
    may vary greatly within a distribution system by space
    and time. For instance, in large eastern cities, very old
    neighborhoods may have many (or even mostly) lead
    service lines. New neighborhoods likely have copper or
    plastic  service  lines. Galvanized steel or copper pipes
    may have been installed between the era when lead was
    used and modern times. With the exception of Chicago,
    where lead service lines were occasionally installed into
    the 1980s, the  use  of lead for service lines  generally
    stopped in the late 1940s or early 1950s. An example of
    nonuniform  distribution  of service line  materials is
    shown  by Figure 1, a map indicating Cincinnati sampling
    sites for Lead  and  Copper Rule (14-17)  monitoring.
    Erratic  clustering of different service line materials is
    evident.
    
    Rehabilitation of old houses or replacement of failed
    piping results in a mixture of new and old material in
    areas where houses are predominantly old. Following
    completion of the construction,  maps of service line
    material would show many clusters representing preva-
    lent plumbing codes and economics.
    
    Interior Plumbing
    
    Interior plumbing of buildings and  houses reflects even
    more variability than service lines. This is the dominant
    contributor to lead and copper levels at most sites cov-
    ered under the Lead and Copper Rule (14-17).  Interior
    plumbing consists of piping, plus a  large number of
    valves, connectors, fixtures, and perhaps soldered joints
    and a water meter. Any or all of these components are
    replaced at varying  intervals as a result of failures or
    remodeling.  Therefore, even generalizations within a
    small neighborhood  are risky, unless the neighborhood
    is very new and uniformly constructed. When attempting
    to  survey the  composition of plumbing materials that
    might be the source of drinking water contamination,
    merely asking for the age of the house or building is
    insufficient. Questions must be asked to obtain the nec-
    essary precise information on  the  age and type of
    plumbing materials and components in the building.
    
    Typical interior plumbing materials include lead, galva-
    nized steel, copper, and different  plastics for pipes.
    Some brass and black steel  have been used for short
    times in some areas. Faucets are almost always made
    with either brass or plastic internal parts, which differ in
    composition from the exteriors, which are usually plated
    with chrome or other metal. Interior faucet volumes typi-
    cally range from about 30 milliliters  to 120  milliliters,
    depending upon design. Valves and meters are also
    frequently made of brass or bronze, which  are  cop-
    per/zinc alloys usually containing 2 percent to 6 percent
    lead. Until recently, solders used to join copper drinking
    water pipe sections  were usually a tin and lead combi-
    nation, containing 40 percent to 60 percent  lead. Occa-
    sionally,  connector  lines to  fixtures  include copper,
    stainless steel, aluminum, or flexible plastic sections.
    
    Private  Water Systems
    
    The many possible designs of domestic water systems
    originating from wells or cisterns are too numerous to
    illustrate. Figure 2 gives an example of one such system
    layout. Private systems share many  features with do-
    mestic systems  supplied by  water utilities,  however.
    Interior plumbing shares most of the same configura-
    tions and materials. For private water systems, addi-
    tional plumbing that could cause  contamination or water
    chemistry changes includes well casing material, sub-
    mersible  pump casing and fittings,  pressure tank feed
    and control plumbing, and nonsubmersible pump inte-
    rior materials. Therefore, problems with determining the
    frequency and distribution of levels of potential contami-
    nants include  those present  for domestic situations in
    general, plus those complications arising from cycling of
    the pumps, pressure tank system, or both.
    
    Water Samples  Representing Distances
    
    One  of the most  important  fundamentals of under-
    standing  drinking water sampling is that  volumes of
    water (e.g., 1-liter samples, 250-milliliter samples) rep-
    resent the linear distance of plumbing material in contact
    with the water sampled. Because of water mixing and
    flow during use or sampling,  they are  also integrated
    samples  of that volume. This understanding is at the
    heart  of designing  accurate water sampling programs
    and making viable interpretations of existing monitoring
    data that may  be contained in (or mappable by) a CIS.
    
    Table 2 summarizes some interesting and  important
    relationships between pipes of different inside diameters
    

    -------
                                                                      California Water
                                                                     Treatment Complex
                 • Lead Site
                 * Copper Site
                 « W.Q.P. Site
                 ' C.W.W. Facility
                -^ Bolton D.S.
                *•* California D.S.
                 • Not C.W.W. D.S.
                — Service Limits
    
    Figure 1.  Cincinnati Water Works Lead and Copper Rule compliance monitoring, July to December 1992.
    Figure 2.  Distribution system.
                                                           (IDs) and the volumes of water they contain per unit of
                                                           length (7). Much domestic interior plumbing has an ID of
                                                           approximately 0.5 inches, depending upon the material.
    
                                                           Figure 3 shows schematically what parts of a plumbing
                                                           system would likely be represented by samples of differ-
                                                           ent volumes taken after water was allowed to stand in
                                                           the pipe for many  hours. Faucets, bubblers, and other
                                                           terminating fixtures vary widely in volume. Kitchen-type
                                                           fixtures usually contain from 60 to 120 milliliters of water.
                                                           Bathroom-type fixtures may contain only about 30 to 60
                                                           milliliters of water. Bubblers,  such as those frequently
                                                           found on school or office drinking fountains, are smaller
                                                           still. As can be seen schematically in Figure 3a, a small
                                                           volume such as  125 milliliters captures the faucet and a
                                                           short distance of pipe immediately leading to it. In many
                                                           plumbing systems, this volume catches water in contact
                                                           with numerous soldered joints. On the other hand, if a
                                                           single 1-liter first-draw sample is taken, the water in the
                                                           bottle represents a much longer distance back  into the
                                                           plumbing system. In a situation where the source of lead
                                                           in drinking water is a new brass faucet, or soldered joints
                                                           of lead-tin  solder,  this larger volume  usually gives a
                                                           lower lead concentration than the smaller volume be-
                                                           cause more water in the sample is not in intimate contact
                                                           with materials containing lead.
    
                                                           Other sampling schemes logically  follow. For instance,
                                                           if examining copper pipe corrosion, discarding the first
                                                        6
    

    -------
    Table 2.  Interrelationships Among Pipe Length, ID, and
            Internal Volume for Selected Common Plumbing
            Materials and Pipe Sizes
    
                                         Length
                                        for 1,000
                Identification/  True   True  Milliliters Milliliters
    Material         Type       ID    OD   (Feet)  per Foot
    Copper
    tubing
    Copper
    tubing
    Copper pipe
    Galvanized
    steel pipe
    Lead pipe
    or tube
    Lead pipe
    or tube
    PVCor
    CPVC pipe
    0.5-inch, type
    L, annealed
    0.5-inch, type
    L, drawn
    0.5-inch,
    schedule 40
    0.5-inch,
    schedule 40
    0.5-inch ID,
    0.25-inch wall
    0.75-inch ID,
    0.25-inch wall
    0.5-inch,
    schedule 80
    0.545
    0.545
    0.622
    0.616
    0.50
    0.75
    0.546
    0.625
    0.625
    0.840
    0.840
    1.00
    1.25
    0.840
    22
    22
    17
    17
    26
    11.5
    22
    46
    46
    60
    59
    39
    87
    46
                    Plumbing Represented by Samples
    
    
              a.  1,000 Milliliters = 22 Feet @ 0.5-Inch ID Cu Type L
        Faucet
      1,000-Milliliter Sample
                              Household
                              Plumbing
                             Meter
                                                  Main
                           •mi-
                                    Service Line
                                                       125 or 250 milliliters of water  is likely to give more
                                                       accurate information because it minimizes the effects of
                                                       the faucet material as well as piping that connects the
                                                       faucet to the interior line. Often, this connecting piping
                                                       is not copper. If examining the corrosivity of the water to
                                                       lead service lines,  wasting a volume of water corre-
                                                       sponding to the distance from the outlet to the service
                                                       line better  estimates  the  effect, although not  without
                                                       uncertainty  (18).  Many other sampling schemes  are
                                                       possible and useful, but users must be aware that the
                                                       sampling protocol may have as much or more influence
                                                       on the observed metal concentration than water quality
                                                       or other variables. Hence, incorporation of monitoring
                                                       data into a  CIS database  must be done only when the
                                                       source represents equivalent samples.
    
                                                       Because of turbulent mixing during flow, local high con-
                                                       centrations of lead (or other contaminant) may become
                                                       broadened  and diluted by the  time the water to be
                                                       sampled reaches the sample collection bottle  (18). In
                                                       many  cases,  therefore,  numerous  small-volume  se-
                                                       quential samples can be  taken and used to profile a
                                                       plumbing system to locate brass valves, connectors,
                                                       soldered joints, etc. Figure 4 illustrates sequential sam-
                                                       pling results for one room of a  building. Peaks in the
                                                       distribution  of samples physically correspond to the lo-
                                                       cation of a chrome-plated  brass faucet and to  a  later
                                                       concentration of fresh Sn:Pb soldered joints. Unfortu-
                                                       nately, even small-volume sequential tap water samples
                                                       must pass over other potentially contaminating or alter-
                                                       ing surfaces on the way through the sampling tap.
    
                                                       Kuch and Wagner have shown how water can dissolve
                                                       large amounts of lead simply by traveling through long
                                                       distances in lead  pipes with small IDs (9, 19). Although
                                                       this study specifically examined lead, the principle ap-
                                                       plies to other metallic piping materials. This phenome-
                                                       non is inseparable from the aspect of time, which is the
                                                       next subject.
        Faucet
              b.  125 Milliliters = 2.75 Feet @ 0.5-Inch ID Cu Type L
                            Household
                            Plumbing
             T
             Soldered
             Joints
    
    
    125-Milliliter Sample
                                                  Main
                            Meter
                          1UI-
                                   Service Line
    Figure 3.  Schematic  diagram  of  plumbing materials repre-
             sented by sample volumes of a) 1 liter and b) 125
             milliliters.
                                                                                          Samples     	
                                                                                          1-2  60 Milliliters
                                                                                          3-12 125 Milliliters
                                                                    1  2  3   4   5  6   7  8   9  10  11  12
                                                                              Sample Sequence, #
                                                       Figure 4.  Sequential sampling results  from a  room on the
                                                                ground floor of a building.
    

    -------
    Effect of Time
    
    While  some chemical  reactions  are instantaneous,
    many dissolution and precipitation reaction steps that
    are important in controlling metal levels  in water take
    many hours to many days to reach equilibrium. In fact,
    passivation films and scales on pipes that inhibit corro-
    sion and  reduce leaching of trace metals  may  take
    months to decades to develop substantially. Some other
    chemical  transformations, such as creation of triha-
    lomethanes from chlorination  of natural organic matter
    during disinfection, or processes such as inactivation of
    pathogens, may occur over hours (20, 21).
    
    Many  steps in  an  overall chemical reaction  process
    could be rate-limiting. Figure  5 shows how lead levels
    increase in 0.5-inch ID pipe given two different assump-
    tions. The top  curve shows  how lead increases and
    levels off after about 8 to 12 hours (9, 19). This curve is
    closely applicable to any metal, as long as the limiting
    factor on the rate of metal migration into the water is the
    radial diffusion of the soluble  metal species away from
    the pipe surface. The second curve shows,  schemati-
    cally, the effect of a diffusion  barrier film (e.g., calcium
    carbonate, adsorbed iron hydroxide mixed with organic
    matter, aluminosilicate mineral deposits) or inhibition of
    metal oxidation rates on lead  migration into water after
    different amounts of time.
    
    In some water  systems, significant chemical changes
    can occur while the water is standing that can drastically
    affect the oxidation or solubility of the plumbing material.
    For example, dissolved  oxygen and free chlorine react
    quickly in  new copper pipe or  brass. If the water stands
       0.01
                            Stagnation Level Controlled by
                            Metal Ion Diffusion
                          Stagnation in Presence of Diffusion
                          or Oxidation Barrier Film
               10
                     20
                          30    40    50
    
                          Time, Hours
                                           60
                                                 70
    Figure 5.  Comparison of lead concentrations that would be ob-
             served after water stands different amounts of time
             given different controlling chemistry factors.
    sufficiently long, their concentrations may become neg-
    ligible, which would significantly alter the redox condi-
    tions  governing  metal  solubility.  In the  absence  of
    oxygen or chlorine species, the dominant form of copper
    in water and on plumbing material then becomes cop-
    per(l) instead of copper(ll), resulting in different solubility
    characteristics after consumption of the oxidant than at
    initiation of the standing period (11).
    
    Seemingly identical water samples collected from the
    same taps in houses, schools,  or other buildings yield
    different metal concentrations, depending on the time
    the water was in contact with the faucet,  solder, or piping
    material. Similarly, samples taken for disinfection bypro-
    ducts after different chlorine contact times may produce
    different concentrations and different speciation (e.g.,
    trihalomethanes, haloacetic acids). This factor causes
    considerable confusion in many investigations of con-
    tamination of school or building drinking water taps and
    water coolers and complicates estimating human expo-
    sure for health-effects studies.
    
    Interconnectedness of Distance and Time
    
    In  innumerable situations, the effects of distance and
    time are impossible to separate. Some generalizations
    and examples follow.
    
    Dead ends and slow rate areas produce long residence
    times for the distributed water. This results in long con-
    tact times with pipe materials, so reactive constituents
    can change  considerably in concentration. The process
    is totally interactive, in that concentration changes of
    reactive constituents are in response to  contact with the
    pipe materials, and in  turn, the materials respond to the
    water composition.  Water may take hours to days to
    reach a particular home  or building and  may traverse
    many miles of distribution system piping of the same or
    differing composition.  Water thoroughly run  through  a
    household faucet for 5 or 10 minutes to purge the lines
    is "fresh"  from the resident's perspective, but may be
    "old" from the distribution system perspective.
    
    The profile of the water line shown in Figure 4 was made
    on the basis of filling small volume (60 or 125 milliliters)
    sample bottles, one after another, without wasting any
    water.  If the  objective  were to capture only the highest
    risk of lead contamination from a lead service line after
    some hours of stagnation, then the sampling  process
    would  be  different.  Instead of collecting  all  water be-
    tween the tap and the  service line, the water can be run
    until either a target volume is wasted (representing the
    linear plumbing distance to the service line) or can be
    run at a given rate until, after the appropriate length of
    time passes, the sample bottle can "intercept" the slug
    of water residing in the service line. Beware  that differ-
    ences  may exist in the peak concentration of the con-
    taminant  and the  "width" of  the slug  of elevated
    

    -------
    contaminant level, depending upon the rate of waterflow
    before and during sampling (18, 22, 23).
    
    Other Sources of Variability in Water
    Samples
    
    Variability in water samples can stem from many sources
    aside from those discussed in this paper (18). The na-
    ture  of the errors and their likely magnitude may vary
    with  each episode of sampling and analysis and is far
    beyond the present scope of discussion. A brief listing
    to consider,  however,  when drawing conclusions from
    "field" data includes:
    
    • Analytical  imprecision or bias.
    
    • Flow rate of the water during sampling.
    
    • Temperature.
    
    • Particulate erosion  from plumbing materials during
      sampling.
    
    • Effect of container material.
    
    • Effect of air contact or other handling  effects during
      sample collection and shipment.
    
    A Case Study of Easy Misinterpretation
    
    Interpretations of water quality problems based on ag-
    gregate monitoring data can be very misleading unless
    analysis is performed at the appropriate scale. The situ-
    ation of one  utility described below  provides a good
    example  of  how using  a CIS  approach could have
    helped solve the problem but also highlights how care-
    fully  data would need  to be matched and consolidated
    only  at the proper scale  if CIS were to  be employed for
    evaluating some kinds of water quality problems.
    
    The utility at Hopkinton, Massachusetts, found very high
    lead  and  copper levels exceeding the regulatory action
    levels under the Lead and Copper Rule (14-17). The
    90th  percentile copper  levels even  exceeded 6  milli-
    grams per liter, compared with an action level require-
    ment of only 1.3 milligrams per liter. Some sites with lead
    service lines are present in the system. Figure 6 shows
    a schematic representation of the distribution system for
    this utility. Five wells feed the system, and four (1, 2, 4,
    and 5) are used regularly.
    
    The  background  hardness, alkalinity, and  carbonate
    concentrations are fairly similar for all wells. The pH of
    the ground water from the wells is usually slightly above
    6. Chlorine solution is dosed for disinfection. High  iron
    levels are present in wells 1, 2, and 3, and high manga-
    nese is also  present in well 3. Generally, high dosages
    of a polyphosphate chemical were added to wells 1  and
    2 to  respond to consumer complaints about the "red
    water" that results from iron oxidation and precipitation.
    Water from different wells mixes in the distribution sys-
    tem,  but the water tends to partition into two zones as
                                           WelM
       Well 4
        Well 5
    Figure 6.  Schematic representation of the utility's distribution
             system.
    
    Figure 6 indicates. The lead and copper levels tended
    to be distinctly lower in the section where the polyphos-
    phate was dosed, marked as the "treated" part of the
    system. The ongoing research study has employed ap-
    proximately 22 monitoring sites.
    
    From the information presented thus far, the  system
    clearly cannot be characterized by a discrete value for
    lead or copper contamination, as well as the chemical
    background  of water throughout  the  system.  Hence,
    putting data at the "whole system" scale into a statewide
    or countrywide data system would be tempting, but it
    could be very misleading in solving the treatment prob-
    lem. Having accurate spatially distributed data for back-
    ground water qualities, monitoring site characteristics,
    and  metal levels at the subsystem scale, such as that
    which could  be integrated into CIS, would have been
    extremely convenient, however. Yet, even more informa-
    tion at a smaller scale is necessary to understand and
    solve the whole treatment problem.
    
    The utility initially observed that because the lowest lead
    and copper levels coincided with the area of the system
    fed by the polyphosphate chemical, that chemical likely
    caused the corrosion inhibition. Median lead levels,  for
    example, were between about  200 and 300 milligrams
    per liter in the "untreated" section, compared with about
    10 to 15 milligrams  per liter in the "treated" section.
    Median copper levels were approximately 4 to 5 milli-
    grams per liter in the untreated section, but only about
    0.3 to 0.5 milligrams per liter in  the treated section. The
    utility and the researchers  wondered whether the poly-
    phosphate chemical should also be added to the other
    wells. This is a matter of significant concern because
    some studies indicate polyphosphate chemicals can en-
    hance lead corrosion (1, 6) and the  subject has rarely
    been studied under statistically valid controlled conditions.
    
    Additional site-by-site investigation,  however, first  re-
    vealed that the sites with lead service lines all lay in the
    untreated area of the distribution system. Because the
    

    -------
    research sampling  program included two successive
    1-liter samples, the additional contamination from the
    service lines was confirmed by higher lead levels in the
    second  1-liter sample than in the first in many cases.
    Therefore,  physical reasons, in addition  to  chemical
    ones, explained the discrepancy in the lead levels. Fur-
    ther, when considering only the treated system sites, the
    lead levels were still high enough to be of concern.
    
    Focusing on the copper sites resulted in the collection
    of more important and  interesting small-scale informa-
    tion. Figure 7 shows the  difference  between average
    copper levels in the two sections of the system. Almost
    all sites in both parts of the system had  copper interior
    plumbing with 50:50 or  60:40 Sn:Pb soldered joints and
    faucets with brass-containing internal materials. Though
    the chemical added for iron control was ostensibly a
    polyphosphate chemical,  it also contained an initially
    present fraction of orthophosphate  and also tended
    to partially break down to orthophosphate in the pres-
    ence of iron and calcium (as most polyphosphates do).
    Figure 8 shows the orthophosphate concentrations in
    the two different parts of the system. While the levels of
    orthophosphate present in the treated section would be
    far too low to significantly inhibit lead leaching at the
    background pH  (1, 6,  7,  9, 22), the orthophosphate
    plausibly may significantly inhibit copper dissolution, in
    concordance with recent research projections (11).
    
    Having determined  through detailed small-scale sam-
    pling and analysis  that the  chemistry affecting  metal
    levels in the system is generally consistent with modern
    knowledge, a new treatment plan is being implemented
    to control copper and lead  levels through  pH adjustment
    in conjunction with  iron control through a compatible
    sodium  silicate/oxidation  treatment. Incorporation  of
    system and monitoring  site physical characteristic data,
    plus monitoring results, into CIS could have saved con-
    siderable  investigatory effort. The importance of this
    case history,  however,  is that the data must be of the
    appropriate scale and highly documented to be useful in
    problem-solving. Failure to use  data  meeting these re-
    
                                   	Untreated Average
                                   ----• Treated Average
    0.6 -,
    
    0.5-
    0.4-
    0.3-
    0.2-
    0.1 -
    
    
    J
    /
    **
    
    ^
    *»^
    *<
    /
    t j_
    
    — Untreated Average
    
    	 Treated Average
    \
    T/ > 	 I
    1 T i 	 .
    !-!•-•-•
    
    
                                                                 Sept.    Oct.
                          Nov.      Dec.     Mar.     Apr.
          Sept.
    Figure 7.  Average copper levels in treated and untreated sec-
             tions of the system.
    Figure 8.  Average orthophosphate levels in  treated and un-
             treated sections of the system.
    
    quirements, as well as overgeneralization to a large
    mapping scale, can lead to ineffective if not damaging
    water treatment choices that could adversely affect pub-
    lic health.
    
    Conclusions
    
    The  examples  and discussion above lead to several
    general conclusions about the  use of CIS with drinking
    water monitoring data:
    
    • Temporal and spatial  variability stems from  many
      causes, down to a very small scale.
    
    • Sampling protocols must be keyed to the precise
      questions under investigation.
    
    • Regulatory sampling,  whose results  are generally
      readily available, is usually  inappropriate to assess
      human exposure to trace metals or other parameters
      of interest (such as DBPs).
    
    • Generalizations on a large scale are often impossible
      because  of the geology and water chemistry variations.
    
    Additionally, some  considerations  apply to the types of
    mapping that could be employed by CIS. For example,
    a mapping  technique such as contouring may  be espe-
    cially inappropriate for  use with  drinking water data.
    Major problems could result from:
    
    • Discrete, small-scale  (such  as within  an individual
      house) variability in distributions of certain  contami-
      nants, such as lead and  copper.
    
    • Physical  constraints of the distribution system network.
    
    • The small number of monitoring sites in relation to
      the size  of the distribution network.
    
    • Different chemical or hydraulic zones  in the distribu-
      tion system.
    
    Employing  CIS could be very useful in solving a variety
    of drinking water problems. Users must be extremely
    conscious of the nature of the source information, how-
    ever, to avoid abusive extrapolations and generalizations.
    

    -------
    Acknowledgments
    
    Some of the examples cited were  investigated as part
    of a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency cooperative
    agreement  (Darren A. Lytle, Project Officer) with the
    New England Waterworks Association. Jack DeMarco
    of the Cincinnati Water Works kindly provided Figure  1
    on distribution  of sampling sites for lead and copper
    monitoring.
    
    References
    
     1. Schock, M.R. 1990. Internal corrosion and deposition control. In:
        Water quality and  treatment: A handbook of community water
        supplies, 4th ed.  New York, NY: McGraw Hill.
     2. Benefield, L.D., and J.S.  Morgan.  1990.  Chemical precipitation.
        In: Water quality and treatment: A handbook of community water
        supplies, 4th ed.  New York, NY: McGraw Hill.
     3. Glaze, W.H. 1990. Chemical oxidation. In: Water quality and treat-
        ment: A handbook of community  water  supplies,  4th ed. New
        York, NY: McGraw  Hill.
     4. Cotruvo, J.A., and  C.D. Vogt. 1990. Rationale for water quality
        standards and goals. In: Water quality and treatment: A handbook
        of community water supplies, 4th ed. New York, NY: McGraw Hill.
     5. Tate, C.H., and K.F. Arnold. 1990.  Health and aesthetic aspects
        of water quality. In: Water quality and treatment: A handbook of
        community water supplies, 4th ed. New York,  NY: McGraw Hill.
     6. Schock, M.R. 1989. Understanding corrosion control strategies
        for lead. JAWWA 81:7:88.
     7. AWWARF. 1990.  Lead control strategies. Denver, CO: American
        Water Works Association  Research Foundation and  American
        Water Works Association.
     8. AWWARF. 1994.  Corrosion control in water distribution systems,
        2nd  ed. Denver,  CO: American Water Works Association  Re-
        search Foundation/Engler Bunte Institute.
     9. Schock, M.R., and  I. Wagner. 1985. The corrosion  and solubility
        of lead in drinking water. In: Internal corrosion of water distribution
        systems. Denver,  CO:  American Water Works Association  Re-
        search Foundation/DVGW Forschungsstelle.
    10.  Pankow, J.F. 1991.  Aquatic chemistry concepts.  Chelsea, Ml:
        Lewis Publishers, Inc.
    
    11.  U.S. EPA. 1995. Effect of pH,  DIG, orthophosphate and sulfate
        on drinking water cuprosolvency. Cincinnati, OH:  Office of Re-
        search and Development. In press.
    
    12.  AWWA. 1993. Initial monitoring  experiences of large water utilities
        under U.S. EPA's Lead and Copper  Rule. Denver, CO:  Water
        Industry   Technical   Action   Fund/American   Water  Works
        Association.
    
    13.  AWWA. 1990. Lead service line replacement:  Benefit to cost
        analysis.  Denver,  CO:  Water   Industry  Technical  Action
        Fund/American Water Works Association.
    
    14.  AWWA. 1991. Lead and copper: A working explanation  of the
        Lead and Copper Rule. Denver,  CO: American Water Works
        Association.
    
    15.  Federal Register. 1991. Lead and copper: Final rule correction.
        Fed. Reg. 56:135:32,112 (July  15).
    
    16.  Federal Register. 1991. Lead and copper: Final rule. Fed. Reg.
        56:110:26,460 (June 7).
    
    17.  Federal Register. 1992. Lead and copper: Final rule correction.
        Fed. Reg. 57:125:28,785 (June 29).
    
    18.  Schock,  M.R. 1990. Causes of temporal variability of lead in
        domestic plumbing systems. Environ.  Monit. Assess. 15:59.
    
    19.  Kuch, A., and I. Wagner. 1983. Mass  transfer model to describe
        lead concentrations in drinking  water.  Water Res. 17:10:1,303.
    
    20.  Ireland, J.C. 1993. Alternatives to chlorine for disinfection of drink-
        ing water. In: Strategies and  technologies for meeting SDWA
        requirements. Lancaster, PA: Technomic.
    
    21.  Miltner, R.J.  1993. Pilot scale treatment for control of disinfection
        byproducts.  In: Strategies and  technologies for meeting SDWA
        requirements. Lancaster, PA: Technomic.
    
    22.  Sheiham, I., and P.J. Jackson. 1981.  Scientific basis for control
        of lead in drinking water by water treatment. J. Inst. Water Engrs.
        and Scientists 35:6:491.
    
    23.  Heumann, D.W.  1989. Los Angeles  Department of Water and
        Power: Solid lead gooseneck slug dispersion in consumer plumb-
        ing system. Proceedings of the  AWWA Water Quality Technology
        Conference, Philadelphia, PA.
                                                                11
    

    -------
                   Evaluating Soil Erosion Parameter Estimates
                             From Different Data Sources
                         G. B. Senay1, B. Subramanian2 and S. Cormier2
                            1 SAIC/PAI, c/o USEPA, Cincinnati, OH
                                  2 US EPA, Cincinnati, OH
    Abstract
    Topographic factors and soil loss estimates that were derived from three data sources
    (STATSGO, 30-m DEM, and 3-arc second DEM) were compared. Slope magnitudes derived
    from the three data sources were consistently different. Slopes from the OEMs tended to
    provide a flattened surface with large areas having 0.0% values. The 3 arc second DEM
    generally produced a lower slope estimate than either the STATSGO or 30-m DEM. Slopes
    from the 30-m DEM  fell between the 3-arc second and the STATSGO. Thus, the STATSGO
    database provided a higher slope estimate than either of the two DEM sources. However,
    slopes from the 30-m DEM and the STATSGO were more comparable than the slope estimates
    from 30-m and 3-arc second OEMs. For example, 0.0, 10.0, and 20.0%  slope classes from the
    30-m DEM showed mean  values of 0.0, 4.0, and 6.0 %, respectively with the 3-arc second
    DEM, and 3.0, 18.0, and 24.0 %, respectively with the STATSGO. Along with the slope
    differences, potential erosion estimate trends varied between the data sets although the soil
    loss differences were higher than the slope differences. A recommendation was made to
    validate slope and erosion estimates using field data; however, it appeared that STATSGO may
    be more reliable than the two data sets for smaller slopes and either STATSGO or the 30-m
    DEM may be used for higher slopes. Due to the ease of GIS in combining data from various
    sources, the importance of a thorough understanding of data accuracy standards and their
    limitations and intended use were highlighted.
    
    Introduction
    One of the most difficult challenges in ecological hydrology is the paucity and accuracy of
    hydrologically relevant data on factors such as soils, topography, vegetation and stream
    ecology. The available data sources vary in their accuracy, accessibility, and data formats.
    
    Stream ecology can be affected by pollution caused by the process of erosion and sediment
    transport. Erosion estimates are generally made using the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE)
    

    -------
    from the multiplicative nature of soil erodibility, topography, landcover, conservation practice
    and rainfall erosivity factors. Unlike the other factors, the topographic factor can be readily
    derived from different digital sources called Digital Elevation Models (OEMs) each with its own
    accuracy standard. Another widely used data set for this kind of study is the STATSGO (State
    Soil Geographic) data base that is distributed by the Natural Resources Conservation Service
    (NRCS).
    
    Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data files are digital representations of cartographic information
    in a raster form. OEMs consist of a sampled array of elevations for a number of ground positions
    at regularly spaced intervals. These digital cartographic/geographic data files are produced by
    the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) as part of the National Mapping Program and are sold in
    7.5-minute (also known as 30 -m DEM),  15-minute, 2-arc-second (also known as 30-minute),
    and 1-degree units (3-arc second DEM). The 7.5- and 15-minute OEMs are included in the large
    scale category while 2-arc-second OEMs fall within the intermediate scale category and
    1-degree OEMs fall within the small scale category (USGS, 1987).
    
    The accuracy of a DEM is dependent upon its source and the spatial resolution (grid spacing) of
    the data profiles. One factor influencing DEM accuracy is source data scale and resolution. A
    dependency exists between the scale  of the source materials and the level of grid refinement
    possible. The source resolution is also a factor in determining the level of content that may be
    extracted during digitization. For example, 1:250,000-scale topographic maps are the primary
    source of 1-degree OEMs while 1:24,000-scale maps are the primary source for 7.5 minute
    OEMs (USGS, 1987).Within a standard DEM, most terrain features are generalized by being
    reduced to grid nodes spaced at regular intersections in the horizontal plane. This
    generalization reduces the ability to recover positions of specific features less than the internal
    spacing and results in a de facto filtering or smoothing of the surface during gridding (USGS,
    1987) .
    
    STATSGO is a nationwide soils database that consists of soil maps and attributes that are
    assembled by generalizing more detailed soil survey data in accordance with the digitizing
    standards of the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS). Soil maps were digitized by
    line segment format (vector) from a U. S. Geological Survey topographic quadrangle base map
    with a scale of 1:250,000. This level of mapping  is designed to be used for broad planning and
    management uses covering state, regional, and  multistate areas. The mapping area of the
    

    -------
    smallest soil polygon is about 1, 544 acres, i.e., soil map units less than this area are not
    represented in STATSGO (USDA, 1994).
    
    Each STATSGO map is linked to the Soil Interpretations Record (SIR) attribute database. The
    attribute database gives the proportionate extent of the component soils and their properties for
    each map unit. The STATSGO map units consist of 1 to 21 components each. The Soil
    Interpretations Record database includes over 25 physical and chemical soil properties,
    interpretations, and productivity. Information that can be queried from the database include: land
    slope, available water capacity, soil organic matter, salinity, flooding, water table, bedrock, and
    interpretations for engineering uses, cropland, woodland, rangeland, pastureland, wildlife, and
    recreation development.
    
    The objective of this study was to compare topographic factors and soil loss estimates that are
    derived from three data sources namely STATSGO, 30-m DEM (7.5 minute data), and 3-arc
    second DEM (1 degree data). The three spatial data sources differ in data collection  techniques,
    spatial accuracy, and data formats.
    
    Material and Methods
    Study Site
    This study compares spatial data sets for the state of Ohio. Although the two data sets
    (STATSGO and 3-arc second DEM) had complete coverage for the entire state, the 30-m DEM
    only covered a portion of the state since the rest of the area was still under "work-in-progress"
    by the USGS. The total area of Ohio is around 120,362.00 km2 of which the 30-m DEM covered
    about 56%.
    
    STATSGO
    For this study, STATSGO data for the state of Ohio was downloaded from the NRCS web site.
    The file was formatted for use in a Geographical Information Systems software called Arc/Info
    7.0 (ESRI, 1997). The spatial data was projected in the Albers Equal Area coordinate system.
    
    Two soil/landscape parameters that are essential for soil erosion modeling were derived from
    the STATSGO database. These include the soil erodibility (K) and percent land slope (S). Since
    the attribute database is more detailed than the spatial mapping, the component percentage in
    each map unit was used to produce an area weighted average value that represents the various
    

    -------
    map components in a given spatial polygon (map unit). The attribute database contains
    information about soil components while the spatial coverage only identifies map units that are
    collections of soil components. Thus, the STATSGO attribute database and spatial map units
    were joined by a map unit ID called MAPUNIT in Microsoft Access, a relational database
    (Microsoft Corporation, 1996). Component percent values were used as a weighting factor to
    calculate the weighted average for each soil polygon. In STATSGO, generally, each soil
    parameter with a numerical value is represented by two values namely, the "low" and "high"
    range found in each soil component. Once the weighted average was calculated for the
    individual "low" and "high" range values, the average of the "high" and "low" was taken to
    represent a particular soil polygon (map unit).
    
    In order to process the STATSGO arc coverage file in a grid based (raster) GIS (Arc/lnfo:Grid),
    together with the OEMs and for convenience during the USLE calculation, the vector data was
    rasterized in Arc/Info using the POLYGRID command at 90 m resolution, closer to the spatial
    resolution of the 3-arc second DEM. A finer resolution was not chosen in order to avoid
    increased file sizes and computation time. It was believed that there would not be a loss of
    significant information by rasterizing the data at 90 m since STATSGO is relatively coarse data
    with the smallest polygon area occupying 635 hectares which is equivalent to about  772 cells at
    the 90-m grid spacing.
    
    DEM
    For this study, land slope was also calculated from two Digital Elevation Models (OEMs) with
    spatial resolutions of 30-m and 3-arc second. The 30-m DEM (7.5 minute) data correspond to
    the USGS 1:24,000 and 1:25,000 scale topographic quadrangle map series for all of the United
    States and  its territories. The 3-arc second  DEM (1-degree) provides coverage in 1- by
    1-degree blocks for all of the contiguous United States. The basic elevation model is produced
    by or for the Defense Mapping Agency (DMA), but is distributed by the USGS, in DEM data
    record format. The 3-arc second DEM data was available after being resampled to a uniform
    grid spacing of 102.0815 m in Albers Equal Area coordinate system.
    
    While the 3-arc second DEM was readily available for the state of Ohio in Albers projection, the
    30-m DEM  required some pre-processing before it was used together with the other data layers.
    The 30-m DEM were purchased from the USGS in separate 7.5 by 7.5 minute topographic
    quadrangle sizes in Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) projection. Using an automated
    

    -------
    procedure in Arc/Info's Arc Macro Language (AML), the individual data files (507) were first
    projected to an Albers projection, and elevation values were checked and converted to meters if
    they were not already in meters. Finally, the individual grids were mosaicked using the MOSAIC
    command in Grid-Arc/Info.
    
    Generating Topographic Parameters
    Land slope is a very important parameter in hydrological processes. Slope plays an important
    role in regulating the rate and amount of water flow on land surfaces. Particularly, slope is
    embedded in one of the multiplicative variables (topographic factor, LS) in the Universal Soil
    Loss Equation (USLE). The USLE is widely used to estimate the average annual soil loss from
    agricultural, range and forest lands.  Wischmeier and Smith (1978) formulated the USLE as
    follows:
    
    A = R*K*LS*C*P                                                              (1)
    
    Where,
    A = average annual soil loss in tons/acre
    R = rainfall and runoff erosivity index for a geographic location
    K = soil erodibility factor
    LS = slope steepness and length factor
    C = cover management factor
    P = conservation practice factor
    
    While there are limited sources to obtain the values of most of the variables, the availability of
    OEMs at different accuracy levels and GIS overlay techniques allow the determination of the LS
    factor from OEMs plus STATSGO. Generally,  the R factor is determined from weather data,
    requiring inputs of amount and pattern of rainfall for the area; the K factor is largely dependent
    on soil types with, for example, soils with high silt content being the most erodible. STATSGO
    provides K values for each soil polygon. The cover management factor (C) is generally
    dependent upon crop rotations and tillage sequences. For forest, rangeland and non-agricultural
    conditions, C is estimated from density of vegetation and the amount of residue on the soil
    surface. The P factor mainly accounts erosion control practices  such as contouring, terracing
    and strip cropping whose effect vary with the land slope. For many applications of the USLE, no
    erosion control practice will be used, and the P factor will be just 1.0 (Ward and Elliot, 1995).
    

    -------
    The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of using three data sources in the
    estimation of the LS factor and to evaluate its impact on the estimation of the average soil loss.
    The three data sources were: STATSGO, 30-m  DEM and 3-arc second DEM.
    The LS factor is a function of both the length (L) and the steepness of the land (slope, S). In
    most field applications,  both factors are considered as a single topographic factor. LS is the
    expected ratio of soil loss per unit area from a field slope to that from a 72.6 ft length field of
    uniform 9-% slope under otherwise identical conditions.
    
    The LS factor is calculated from the following formula (Wischmeier and Smith, 1978):
    
    LS = (• •/ 72.6)m * (65.41 * sin2- •+ 4.56 * sin-1- 0.065)                                (2)
    
    Where,
    • = slope length in feet;  • = angle of slope; and
    m = 0.5 if the percent slope is 5 or more; 0.4 on  slopes of 3.5 to 4.5 percent; 0.3 on slopes of 1
    to 3 percent; and 0.2 on uniform gradients of less than  1 percent.
    
    For STATSGO soil polygons, slope was obtained from  the attribute database. As described
    earlier, the component percentages in each soil  polygon were used to calculate area weighted
    slope values for each soil map unit. The average of the 'low' (slopejow) and 'high' (slope_high)
    range values were used to represent each soil polygon.
    
    For the DEM data sources, slopes were calculated using the SLOPE function in Grid Arc/Info.
    Slope identifies the maximum rate of change in value from each cell to its neighbors. An output
    "slope" layer was calculated as percent slope. Conceptually, the slope function fits a  plane to
    the "z: elevation" values of a 3x3 cell neighborhood of a center cell. The slope for the cell is
    calculated from the 3x3 neighborhood using the average maximum technique (Burrough, 1986).
    o/.
                         \ 2 _j_ /-j_ /-j. ,\2\ 0.5
    %-slope =100 * ((dz/dxr + (dz/dy)T                                               (3)
    
    Where the deltas (differences) are using a 3x3 roving window; a through i represent the z values
    (elevation) in the window shown below:
           a b c
           def
           g h i
    

    -------
    dz/dx = (a + 2d + g) - ( c + 2f + i) / (8 *x-grid_spacing)                                (4)
    
    dz/dy = (a + 2b + c) - (g + 2h + i) / (8 * y-grid spacing)                                (5)
    
    Since both the x- and y-grid spacing are the same, the grid spacing can be replaced by the
    spatial resolution of the grid, i.e., simply 30-m for the 30-m DEM.
    
    Once the slope layers were calculated from each DEM grid, the LS factor was calculated using
    Equation 2. A procedure was written in  Arc Macro Language (AML) to execute equation 2 for
    each grid cell. The procedure mainly checks for the magnitude of the slope of a particular cell in
    order to vary the exponent  'm' in equation 2 accordingly. The length of the slope was taken to
    be equal to the length of a cell. For calculating LS from STATSGO, the rasterized, 90-m
    STATSGO layer was used; similarly, equation 2  was used to generate the LS values.
    
    For estimating the average annual soil loss, the following assumptions and approximations were
    applied. First, the only variables varying from cell to cell were the LS and K factors. The rainfall
    and runoff erosivity index (R) was read  from a nation wide chart by Wishemeier and Smith
    (1978). A value of 150 seemed a reasonable representative value for most of Ohio. On the other
    hand, a cover factor (C) of 0.42was  used as a conservative estimate for corn and soybean fields
    that are managed in a conventional tillage practice in autumn (Cooperative Extension Service,
    OSU, 1979).A conservative value of 1.0 was assumed for the conservation factor for lack on
    any information on the application of any soil conservation measures.  Although such estimates
    may not represent the actual soil loss on a cell by cell basis, the most important exercise in the
    study was to show the relative differences in such estimates due to using different data sources
    particularly for the topographic factor, LS.
    
    The average annual soil loss was simply estimated by using equation  1  in  Grid: Arc/Info. To
    develop the 'soil loss' GIS layer, two GIS layers (LS, K factors) and two constants ( R and C)
    were multiplied on a cell by cell basis. Three soil loss layers were derived from each of the data
    sources which produced varying LS factors. Note that the K factor from STATSGO was also
    applied on the soil loss estimates from the DEM  sources. This was possible since all the three
    data sources were projected to the same coordinate system in  Albers Equal Area.
    

    -------
    Data Manipulation and Extraction in Arc/Info
    It was possible to estimate the average soil loss for the entire state of Ohio using STATSGO
    and a combination of STATSGO and the 3-arc second DEM. Only about 56% of the state could
    be evaluated using a combination of STATSGO and the 30-m DEM.  STATSGO remains
    essential in all data sets since it also provides the K factor. Due to the limited area of coverage
    and its relative spatial accuracy, the 30-m DEM was used as reference data to which the results
    of the other two data sources were compared.
    
    A recommended use of the LS equation is in land slopes not exceeding 20% (Wischmeier and
    Smith, 1978). A mask (20%-mask) was created to remove all areas with slopes greater than
    20% in the 30-m DEM before any overlay analysis was made with the STATSGO and 3-arc
    second DEM data. The combined area  of slopes with magnitudes greater than 20% covered
    14.4 % of the available 30-m DEM coverage.
    
    After creating the 20%-mask on the 30-m DEM, floating point slope values were rounded to the
    nearest integer so that distinct slope classes would be established based on which slope values
    from the other data layers can be queried and analyzed. For each of the slope classes, i.e., 1, 2,
    3,...,20, the corresponding mean and standard deviation slope values were derived from
    STATSGO and the 3-arc second DEM using the ZONAL STATS  command in Grid Arc/Info. The
    extracted slope values were again rounded to the nearest integer values.
    
    Similarly, soil loss estimates from the three data sources were compared using a soil loss layer
    derived from the 30-m DEM as a reference. Only slopes less than or equal to 20% were used
    for the soil loss estimation as well. Soil  loss estimates were first rounded to the nearest whole
    number for the reference data set (that  derived from the 30-m DEM). Then, for each soil loss
    class (tons/ac/yr) the corresponding mean and standard deviation soil loss estimates were
    derived from the other soil  loss estimate layers, i.e., those based on STATSGO and 3-arc
    second DEM. The mean soil loss estimates for the other layers were then rounded to the
    nearest whole number.
    
    Scatter plots of class-mean slope and soil loss estimates were plotted using Excel, a
    spreadsheet and graphing software (Microsoft Corporation, 1996). For both cases, the
    estimates derived from the 30-m DEM were placed in the x-axis (the reference) and estimates
    

    -------
    from STATSGO and 3-arc second were placed in the Y-axis. Relative spreads of the data were
    quantified by the standard deviation and coefficient of variation of the class values.
    
    Results
    Slopes
    It was shown that slopes derived from the three data sources were consistently different. The 3-
    arc second DEM showed a generally lower slope estimate than the STATSGO or 30-m DEM.
    Slopes from the 30-m DEM fell between the 3 arc second DEM and the STATSGO (Table 1,
    Figure 1). Thus, the STATSGO database generally provided a higher slope estimate than either
    of the two databases.
    
    Generally, lower slope values occupied most of the area with higher slopes constituting a
    smaller percentage of the area. The most abundant slope was the 0.0% in both the 30-m and 3-
    arc second DEM, covering about 18% of the 30-m DEM coverage (56% of Ohio) and 44.5% of
    the study area, respectively. In STATSGO, the most abundant slope was  the 2% slope covering
    17% of the study area followed by the 4% slope and 1% (minimum for STATSGO) slope
    covering 11.4% and 10.6% of the study area, respectively. The maximum slope values were
    245%, 61% and 41% for 30-m DEM, 3-arc Second DEM and STATSGO,  respectively.  However,
    the maximum slope values from the OEMs were more likely to represent outliers since they
    were only observed in one pixel. For STATSGO, the maximum slope covered about 0.9% of the
    study  area. An upper quartile comparison of the slope distribution showed that about 75% of the
    area in each data set showed that slope values were  less than or equal to 14%, 3%, and 16%
    for 30-M DEM, 3 arc second DEM, and STATSGO, respectively (data not shown).
    
    Slopes from the 30-m DEM and the STATSGO appeared more comparable than the slope
    estimates from 30-m and 3 arc second OEMs, particularly in higher slope classes. For example,
    0.0, 10.0, and 20.0% slope classes from the 30-m DEM showed mean values of 0.0, 4.0, and
    6.0 %, respectively, with the 3-arc second DEM, and 3.0, 18.0, and 24.0 %, respectively with the
    STATSGO based data (Table 1, Figure 1).
    
    One of the unique characteristics of the STATGO database is that the average between the
    high and low values will result in a condition where a zero data point will be eliminated. That is
    one of the reasons why the STATSGO minimum value does not start at zero. In the case of the
    3-arc second DEM, the flat lands were accurately represented. On an average, slopes labeled
    

    -------
    as having 0.0% in the 30-m DEM were also labeled as having 0.0% slopes in the 3-arc second
    data set. This unique match in the two data sets can be explained by the general tendency of
    the 3-arc second to provide a flattened surface. However, the inverse was not true (data not
    shown) in that slopes identified as having 0.0% slopes in the 3-arc second DEM were not
    necessarily 0.0% in the 30-m  DEM. This was because the 30-m DEM had a better capacity for
    resolving smaller slopes than  the 3-arc second DEM.
    
    Due to the generally depressed slopes observed from the 3-arc second DEM, the data also
    appeared less sensitive compared to the 30-m DEM, resulting in a step function pattern (Tablel;
    Figure 1). For example, slopes varying from 1 to 3% in the 30-m DEM were labeled as 1% in the
    3-arc second DEM. Similar effects are seen in other slope ranges such as6 to 9-% which were
    labeled as having 3% slope in the 3-arc second data set. A similar trend was observed in the
    STATSGO data,  but only at the higher slope ranges. For example, slopes 13 and 14% were
    labeled as 21% and slopes ranging from 17 to 19% were labeled as 23 %.
    
    A detailed investigation of the 30-m DEM with only slopes less than or  equal to 20% showed
    that most of the study area was under smaller slopes with about 63 % of the total area having a
    slope of 5 % or lower (Table 1). Areas with 0.0% slope occupied the largest area with about
    19% coverage, percentage slope area decreased with increasing slope (Table 1). The relatively
    large percentage of land areas with 0-% slopes indicates that even the 30-m DEM may not be
    adequate if a more accurate representation of a field is required in relatively flat to mild
    topography.
    
    The spread of the slope values in each 30-m DEM slope-class shows that the 3-arc second
    DEM was more spread than the STATSGO data set (Table 1); with coefficient of variation  (the
    ratio of standard deviation to mean) values  ranging from 100 to 150% for 3-arc DEM and only
    from 37 to 125%  for STATSGO.
    
    Soil Loss Estimate
    The differences in soil loss estimates  between the three data sets were generally a reflection of
    differences in  slope and slope length estimates since the topographic factor was the major
    difference between the different data sources. The combination of slope values and grid cell
    sizes (for slope length) were used to calculate the LS factor in the USLE equation. While the ®
    = 150) and © = 0.42) factors were constant, the "K" factor was spatially variable as obtained
                                              10
    

    -------
    from the STATSGO data set. The "K" values had a minimum and maximum of 0.09 and 0.45,
    respectively, with a mean value of 0.348 for the entire state of Ohio.
    
    From the 30-m DEM, the USLE calculation resulted in 119 soil loss classes ranging in values
    from 0 to 118 tons/ac/yr. The soils estimates are generally larger (up to 10 times) than is
    observed in agricultural fields and generally greater than the allowable soil tolerance limits that
    range from 3 to 20 tons/ac/yr, depending on the soil types (Ward and Elliot, 1995). This was
    mainly due to the assumption of a poor cover condition (high C factor) at the worst scenario.
    Table 2 shows soil loss classes in increments of 10 after the 10th class. The 0.0 soil class is
    due to rounding and it only represented values under < 0.5 tons/ac/yr that were obtained in a
    relatively small area (0.06%). As the slope extraction, the 30-m DEM soil classes were used to
    extract soil loss estimates from the 3-arc second DEM and STATSGO data sets (Table 2). The
    3-arc DEM compared well with the 30-m DEM estimates on lower soil loss estimates up to 10
    tons/ac/yr before  beginning to underestimate by as much as about 3 times lower at higher soil
    loss estimates (Table 2, Figure 2). The reason for the better comparison between the two data
    sets at lower soil  loss estimates was due to  relatively small slope difference at the lower erosion
    estimates. For example, slopes 1  to 3 in the 30-m DEM were averaged as 1% in the 3-arc
    second DEM. Also, the LS factor tends to compensate (higher) for longer slopes as exhibited in
    the 3-arc second  data set (102 m vs 30 m). Taking average conditions for K, R, and C factors,
    10 tons/ac/yr corresponds to about 4% slope for the 30-m DEM. On an average, the 4% areas
    on the 30-m DEM are  labeled as having 2% and 10% slope on 3-arc second DEM and
    STATSGO data sets, respectively (Table 1).
    
    Taking into consideration the sensitivity (exponential type relationship) of the LS factor
    (Equation 2) on slope, erosion estimates generally will be increased more than the increase in
    slope. For example, the LS factor will be about 6 times higher when a 4% slope of 30-m DEM is
    replaced  by a  10% slope from STATSGO. Thus, soil estimates from STATSGO were generally
    much higher than the 30-m DEM, reaching up to about 7 times higher (Table 2, Figure 2).This is
    certainly the result of the higher slopes observed in the STATSGO database even at lower
    slopes when compered to the 30-m DEM. In addition, the slope length of the STATSGO was
    three times higher than the 30-m DEM which would also lead to higher soil loss estimates.
    Soil loss trends for both data sets (3-arc second, STATSGO) were similar to the increasing
    values from the 30-m DEM for most of the data set (Figure 2). Irregular trends were observed at
    higher soil loss estimates (from 90 to 118 tons/ac/or). This was due to the fewer number of grid
                                             11
    

    -------
    cells that were being averaged at high estimates. Table 2 shows that about 95% of the area had
    soils estimate values less than or equal to 90 tons/ac/or indicating that soil loss estimates
    beyond 90 tons/ac/or were found in smaller areas. This shows that although this kind of multi-
    source comparison seems to be reasonable at a regional scale, conclusions from such studies
    can be misleading in applying these studies at a local scale in smaller areas.
    
    Conclusions
    Slope and soil loss estimates from the three data sources varied greatly. Slope and soil loss
    estimates were ranked from high to low for STATSGO, 30-m DEM, and 3-arc second DEM in
    descending order. A large percentage (44.5%) of the 3-arc second DEM coverage produced
    slope values of 0.0%. While the 30-m DEM  also contained a relatively large area (about 18%)
    under 0.0% slope, STATSGO showed that the 2% slope was dominant (about 17% of area)
    followed by 4 and 1% slope, each occupying about 11% of the area. The high percentage of
    0.0% slopes in the DEM data sets indicated that these data sets were unable to resolve small
    relief differences  between adjacent cells.
    
    Slopes from the 30-m DEM and the STATSGO were more comparable than the slope estimates
    from 30-m and 3-arc second OEMs, particularly at higher slope values. This indicated that
    although both OEMs tend to underestimate  slopes, the 30-m DEM was more reliable than the 3-
    arc second DEM  at higher slopes.
    
    Along with the slope differences, potential erosion estimates varied between the three data
    sources. Soil loss differences between the data sets were higher than the slope differences. An
    irregular trend in erosion estimates at the higher end was attributed to smaller class sizes,
    indicating the limitations of the this kind of study at smaller scales while suggesting its validity on
    larger scales.
    
    A recommendation was made to validate the slope and erosion estimates using field data.
    However, it appears that STATSGO may be more reliable than the two other data  sets for
    smaller slopes and either STATSGO or the  30-m DEM may be used for higher slopes.  Further
    investigation will be necessary to recommend the applications and limitations of these data at
    different scales. This study showed that the three data sources resulted in widely varying
    estimates of topographic factors and soil loss estimates. Although GIS makes it easy to
    combine data from various sources, the compatibility of the data accuracy standards and their
                                              12
    

    -------
    limitations and intended use should be thoroughly understood before scientific conclusions are
    
    drawn.
    Table 1: Slope distribution (%-slope) of 3-arc second DEM and STATSGO based on 30-m
    DEM slope classes.
    Class
    30-m
    Mean
    3-arc
    Mean
    STAT
    Std.
    3-arc
    Std.
    STAT
    Cum.
    %-Area
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2
    2
    3
    3
    3
    3
    4
    4
    4
    4
    4
    5
    5
    5
    5
    5
    6
    3
    4
    5
    8
    10
    11
    13
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    21
    22
    22
    23
    23
    23
    24
    1
    1
    2
    2
    3
    3
    4
    4
    4
    4
    5
    5
    5
    5
    5
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    3
    5
    6
    8
    9
    10
    10
    11
    11
    11
    10
    10
    10
    10
    10
    10
    10
    9
    9
    9
    9
    18.9
    31.0
    46.2
    52.9
    58.5
    63.2
    66.6
    70.1
    73.5
    76.0
    78.9
    81.6
    84.0
    86.3
    88.6
    90.8
    92.7
    94.7
    96.7
    98.3
    100.0
    30-m: 30-M DEM; 3-arc: 3-arc second DEM; STAT: STATSGO; Std.: Standard deviation;
    Cum.: Cumulative area occupied by the 30-m DEM class values.
                                            13
    

    -------
    Table 2: Soil loss estimate (tons/ac/or) distribution of 3-arc second and STATSGO based
    on 30-m DEM slope classes.
    Class
    30-m
    Mean
    3-arc
    Mean
    STAT
    Std.
    3-arc
    Std.
    STAT
    Cum.
    %-Area
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    20
    30
    40
    50
    60
    70
    80
    90
    100
    110
    118
    1
    2
    3
    4
    4
    6
    7
    8
    8
    9
    10
    16
    20
    23
    25
    28
    30
    30
    32
    37
    18
    5
    7
    7
    17
    22
    25
    39
    52
    51
    58
    70
    72
    130
    160
    179
    183
    196
    206
    205
    238
    175
    20
    18
    1
    3
    5
    8
    9
    12
    15
    15
    16
    18
    19
    27
    31
    34
    37
    39
    43
    42
    48
    54
    22
    2
    0
    21
    35
    53
    51
    69
    86
    80
    89
    96
    96
    123
    122
    120
    116
    112
    114
    113
    108
    81
    19
    0
    0.1
    11.4
    24.5
    32.2
    41.5
    46.7
    49.6
    52.5
    55.1
    57.2
    58.8
    71.5
    77.9
    83.3
    87.8
    91.4
    94.5
    97.1
    99.0
    99.7
    100.0
    100.0
    30-m: 30-m DEM; 3-arc: 3-arc second DEM; STAT: STATSGO; Std.: Standard deviation;
    Cum.: Cumulative area occupied by the 30-m DEM class values.
                                           14
    

    -------
      24-
      22
      20-
      18-
      16-
    a 14
      12-
      10-
       8-
       6-
       4
       2-I
    
      0
                             STATSGO     •  •
                                            3-arc second DEM
        0
                            8    10    12    14    16    18    20    22    24
                                 %_Slope: 30-m DEM
    Figure 1: Percent land slope comparison between three data sources
    with 30-m DEM as a reference.
     260
     240
     220
     200
     180
     160
     140
     120
     100
      80
      60
      40
      20
       0
                           STATSGO
                                    3-arc second DEM
         0    10    20   30   40   50    60   70   80   90   100  110   120   130
                             Soil Loss (tons/ac/yr): 30-m Dem
      Figure 2: Soil loss estimate comparison between three data sources
      with 30-m DEM as a reference. Data fluctuations at the end are caused
      by a small number of data points.
                                    15
    

    -------
    References
    
    Burrough, P. A., 1986. Principles of geographic information systems for land resources
           assessment. Oxford University Press, New York, NY, 50pp.
    
    Cooperative Extension Service and the Ohio State University, 1979. Ohio erosion control and
           sediment abatement guide. Columbus, OH, 24pp.
    
    ESRI, 1995. Arc/Info version 7.0.
    
    Microsoft Corporation, 1996. Office 97 spreadsheet, graphing and database software.
    
    U.S. Department of Agriculture,  1994. State soil geographic (STATSGO) data base-data use
           information, miscellaneous publication number 1492:  Fort Worth, TX, Natural Resources
           Conservation Service.
    
    U.S. Geological Survey, 1987. Digital Elevation Models. Data Users Guide 5. Reston, VA.
    
    Ward, A. D. and W. J. Elliot, 1995. Environmental Hydrology.  Lewis Publishers, NY, 462pp.
                                              16
    

    -------
                       Geology of Will and Southern Cook Counties, Illinois
    
    
                                           Edward Caldwell Smith
                            Illinois State Geological Survey, Champaign, Illinois
    Introduction
    
    The Silurian dolomite aquifer is the primary source of
    ground water in  northeastern  Illinois. It is overlain by
    glacially derived  sands  and gravels or tills. The sands
    and gravels within the glacial drift hydrologically interact
    with the fractured and creviced dolomite bedrock.
    
    The purpose of this study was to define the extent of
    major glacial drift aquifers and their relationship to the
    shallow bedrock  aquifer surface. The study succeeded
    in identifying two principal sand and gravel aquifers: an
    "upper" drift aquifer within the glacial tills and a "basal"
    drift aquifer overlying the bedrock. Bedrock topography,
    drift thickness, thickness  of the  Silurian dolomite, and
    thickness of major sand and gravel units were mapped
    to help define the geologic and hydrologic system and
    the interaction of the upper bedrock aquifer and the drift
    aquifers.
    
    The data collected to create the various maps came
    from well records, engineering borings, oil and gas tests,
    and structure tests on file at the Illinois State Geological
    Survey  (ISGS).  Reviewing published  reports,  manu-
    scripts, and unpublished reports on open file at the ISGS
    provided an overall  perspective of the geology of the
    study area. Previously, no detailed studies of the hydro-
    geology of the entire area had been conducted. Incor-
    porating water well and  other  data into a computer
    database greatly facilitated map construction. Prelimi-
    nary maps were developed using Interactive Surface
    Modeling (ISM) software and a geographic information
    system (CIS).
    
    Past regional geologic studies of the northeastern Illi-
    nois  area that have encompassed this  study area in-
    clude Thwaites (1), Bretz (2), Bergstrom et al. (3), Bretz
    (4),  Suter et al. (5), Hughes et al. (6), and Willman (7).
    Bogner (8) and Larsen (9) included interpretive maps of
    the surficial geology of the area as a part of planning
    studies for northeastern Illinois.
    
    Map Construction
    
    Creating the database used in the construction of the
    maps for this project entailed inputting information from
    well driller's logs into a PC-based computerized spread-
    sheet (Quattro Pro). Well logs were primarily from water
    wells and engineering borings. Data items input into the
    spreadsheet included:
    
    • Well identification (ID) number
    
    • Owner name
    
    • Location of well
    
    • Thickness of drift
    
    • Depth to top and bottom of the bedrock
    
    • Depth to top and bottom of each sand unit
    
    The ground surface elevation of each well was interpo-
    lated  from United  States Geological  Survey  (USGS)
    7.5-minute quadrangles. Elevations of the top of bed-
    rock and top and bottom of sand bodies were calculated
    based on the  interpolated elevations. Locations were
    verified wherever possible using plat books by matching
    either landowner names or the address location from the
    well log. After  compilation, the data were converted  to
    ASCII text and transferred into an ARC/INFO (Versions
    5.0.1 and 6.0) database on a SUN SPARC workstation.
    ARC/INFO is a product of Environmental Systems Re-
    search Institute, Inc., of Redlands, California.
    
    Of the more  than 10,000 records  reviewed for this pro-
    ject,  over 5,100 were  input into the database. Sub-
    sequently, numerous data quality checks ensured that
    duplicate well  ID  numbers were corrected, locations
    were corrected, thicknesses were checked so  that the
    sand thickness data reported did not exceed drift thick-
    ness,  and elevations were checked so that elevation  of
    a sand body was not below the bedrock surface. After
    running the data quality checks and removing questionable
    data from the  database, approximately  5,000  records
    remained.
    
    ISM,  a contouring  package  from Dynamic Graphics,
    Inc., of Alameda,  California, helped to  create two di-
    mensional grid representations of:
    
    • Surface topography
    
    • Drift thickness
    

    -------
    • Bedrock topography
    
    • Bedrock isopach
    
    • Intermediate sand body isopach
    
    • Basal sand isopach
    
    ISM also allowed for the creation of contoured output of
    the grids. Grids are regularly spaced rectangular arrays
    of data points (nodes) that allow for efficient mathemati-
    cal  calculations and contouring.  ISM uses a minimum
    tension  gridding  technique,  allowing for the curvature
    (change in slope) of the surface to be spread throughout
    the surface rather than being concentrated at the input
    data points. The ISM program uses a biharmonic in-
    verse cubic spline function (algorithm) to  assign data
    values to grid nodes. This function assumes that for any
    grid node assignment, input  data points farther away
    from the node being evaluated have less influence on
    that node's value than nearer data points. To determine
    each grid node value, ISM calculates an average value
    from the surrounding scattered input data (up to 15 input
    data points) and finds the standard deviation. ISM con-
    tinues to refine the values of the grid  nodes until the
    standard deviation is minimized (10).
    
    Several grid spacings were reviewed to determine which
    would best represent the density of the data. The grids
    that ISM uses, as described above, determine the fine-
    ness to which the data control the resultant contours.
    Experimentation  was  necessary to  determine  a grid
    spacing that adequately represented the data. Too fine
    a grid spacing can exaggerate or overly weight individ-
    ual  points, causing the resultant contours to be overly
    jagged.  With too large of a grid  spacing, the contours
    can become overgeneralized  and become much less
    data  dependent  because the  calculated grids are
    ove rave raged.
    
    The two-dimensional grid of the land surface topography
    was based on surface topography lines and spot eleva-
    tions digitized from USGS 7.5-minute quadrangles. The
    linework for each quadrangle was converted to ASCII
    files of data points. The ASCII files contained x and y
    coordinates and  the  elevation value of each data
    point. After inputting the  ASCII  files  into ISM,  a
    two-dimensional grid for each quadrangle was created.
    ISM also generated contour lines from each grid. Com-
    paring plots of the generated lines with USGS 7.5-minute
    topographic maps allowed for the correction of errors and
    ensured that the grid  elevation values were within 10
    feet of the elevations shown on the USGS maps. An ISM
    two-dimensional grid of the entire area's surface topog-
    raphy was created by combining the grids. After creating
    a contoured surface of the grid, an ARC/INFO coverage
    of the output was produced. ARC/INFO was used to edit
    the coverage and produce the final map.
    The two-dimensional grid of the bedrock surface topog-
    raphy was based on data from water well and engineer-
    ing boring  logs, ISGS field  observations  of  outcrop
    locations, and previous ISGS mapping (9). An ASCII file
    of x and y coordinates and the elevation of each bedrock
    top was input into ISM. Subtracting the bedrock topog-
    raphy grid from the land surface grid produced a grid  of
    the drift thickness.  A  contoured output  of the grid was
    produced, and an ARC/INFO coverage of the output was
    created. Again, ARC/INFO was used to edit the cover-
    age and produce the final map.
    
    Creating the isopach  maps entailed subtracting the top
    and  bottom elevations of each unit to calculate the
    thickness of each unit. ASCII files of the xand y coordi-
    nates and the thickness values for each data point were
    input into ISM. ISM then created two-dimensional grids
    of each isopach. Contoured  output of each grid  was
    produced, which allowed for the creation of ARC/INFO
    cove rages of the output. ARC/INFO was used to edit the
    coverages and produce the final maps.
    
    Bedrock  Geology of the Study Area
    
    All the sedimentary bedrock units are of the Paleozoic
    Era.  The Paleozoic bedrock  comprises sequences  of
    sandstones, dolomites, limestones,  and shales.  The
    stratigraphic column of Figure 1 illustrates the vertical
    succession of the bedrock. Major tectonic activity of the
    area includes the formation of the Kankakee  Arch  in
    Ordovician  time (11)  and  faulting along the  Sandwich
    Fault  Zone. Faulting  along the  Sandwich Fault  Zone
    (see Figure 2) may have occurred coincidentally with the
    formation of the Lasalle Anticlinorum in early Pennsyl-
    vanian time (12). No further faulting has  been noted
    since deposition of glacial sediments.  Bedrock  units
    gently dip to the east (7). The majority  of the area lies
    on the Niagara  cuesta, a south and west facing scarp
    that comprises the resistant Silurian strata that have an
    eastward dip of roughly 15 feet per mile (13). The Silu-
    rian strata are absent west of the Kankakee River as
    well as in an area west of the Des Plaines River  in
    west-central Will County  (see Figure 2). This study re-
    lates to the hydrogeology of the  Silurian strata  and the
    drift materials, and  details only the uppermost bedrock
    units. The report, however, does briefly summarize units
    below  the  Maquoketa Group using  information  from
    Hughes et al. (6) and  Visockey et al. (14).
    
    Precambrian Bedrock
    
    Granites  or granitic  rock  compose  the  Precambrian
    basement of northern Illinois.  Few details  about the
    nature of the basement rocks are known because few
    wells have completely penetrated the sedimentary bed-
    rock of the  region. The elevation of the top of the Pre-
    cambrian basement probably stands at 4,000 feet below
    mean sea level in the study area.
    

    -------
    SYSTEM
    QUATER-
    NARY
    PENNSYL-
    VANIAN
    
    QC
    
    z
    u
    ORDOV
    z
    CD
    a
    PRE-
    CAMBRIAN
    SERIES
    PLEISTOCENE
    DESMOINESIAN
    NIAGARAN
    ALEXANDRIAN
    CINCINNATIAN
    CHAMPLAINIAN
    CANADIAN
    
    
    
    
    
    CROIXAN
    
    
    GROUP OR
    FORMATION
    
    Spoon and
    Carbondale
    Racine
    Sugar Run
    Joliet
    Kankakee
    Elwood
    Wilhelmi
    Maquoketa
    Galena
    Platteville
    Glen wood
    St. Peter
    Shakopee
    New
    Richmond
    Oneota
    Gunter
    Eminence
    Potosi
    Franconia
    Ironton
    Galesville
    Eau Claire
    Elmhurst
    Member
    Mt. Simon
    
    AQUIFER
    Sands
    and
    Grave s
    
    
    
    Silurian
    
    
    
    
    Galena-
    Platteville
    Glenwood
    St. Peter
    "Vairie du
    Chien
    Eminence
    Potosi
    :ranconia
    ronton-
    Galesville
    
    omite aquifer system
    •8
    &
    \
    \
    \
    \
    \
    ovician aquifer system
    •o
    C
    
    h
    b
    d
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Elmhurst-
    Mt. Simon
    aquifer
    system
    
    LOG
    •.o^e/o;. „•.«
    "•* • •". " \" •".•
    
    J- '- J* / ' =^=
    B&V* rJHrh
    
    / \'\ *" . /
    / |.v.'/
    -/jil'tVT^
    — /-]. .** — /
    / L*» " /
    / 1" A /
    ^ryj-^o.; ^7-
    / I- :/. /
    /' \ b * * /
    A / Y1^ A/
    
    — /" t •"•-* — /
    T^7&'M=r*
    -J^sttv^-r
    — 	 	 7""®i "^^m/
    
    
    Z7
    
    / / /
    Al A
    A 1 A 1
    / /
    / ^A /"
    / /
    . | . . | Q. | .
    .'./.'.*?..
    mm
    g-:-.-.v-:^
    / •-•.•/"
    / ' • • • /
    
    /A • • , ^A/
    r * * * /
    / / .-.. / /
    •7^7 1. ' J. -/
    y. i • ./
    
    / ' ".'. / /
    "•-/ -•: •/• ••
    "7^:A- vT"
    
    /'Vfej^-
    =2?{V •VTs '^.'
    G*; .".;-!^i* •.. .^.
    ^S?S?
    
    y^ — y — Vt — /f •"•/>
    y^ y^V r^iisz,
    — /• "^/c y. ~ /•*«
    S
    X>^v
    THICKNESS
    (FT)
    0-260
    0 110
    
    
    -reef
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    0 100
    
    
    ftO-250
    310-380
    125-600
    0-410
    
    
    110- 160
    135-235
    390 - 570
    2200
    
    DESCRIPTION
    Unconsolidated glacial deposits-pebbly clay
    (till), silt, sand and gravel
    Alluvial silts and sands along streams
    Shale, sandstone, clay, limestone, and coal
    Dolomite, very pure to argillaceous, silly,
    cherty; reefs in upper part
    Dolomite, slightly argillaceous and silty
    Dolomite, very pure to shaly and shale,
    dolomitic; white, light gray, green, pink,
    maroon
    Dolomite, pure top 1 ' - 2', thin green shale
    partings, base glauconitic
    Dolomite, slightly argillaceous, abundant
    layered white chert
    Dolomite, gray, argillaceous and becomes
    dolomitic shale at base
    Shale, red to maroon, oolites
    Shale, silty, dolomitic, greenish gray, weak
    (Upper unit)
    Dolomite and limestone, white, light gray,
    interbedded shale (Middle unit)
    Shale, dolomitic, brown, gray (Lower unit)
    Dolomite, and/or limestone, cherry (Lower
    part)
    Dolomite, shale partings, speckled
    Dolomite and/or limestone, cherty, sandy
    at base
    Sandstone, fine an^t coarse-grained; little
    dolomite; shale at top
    Sandstone, fine to medium-grained; locally
    cherty red shale at base
    Dolomite, sandy, cherty (oolitic); sandstone
    Sandstone interbedded with dolomite
    Dolomite, white to pink, coarse-grained
    cherty (oolitic)
    Sandstone, medium-grained, slightly dolomitic
    Dolomite, light colored, sandy, thin sandstones
    Dolomite, fine-grained gray to brown,
    drusy quartz
    Dolomite, sandstone and shale, glauconitic,
    green to red, micaceous
    Sandstone, fine to coarse-grained, well
    sorted; upper part dolomitic
    Shale and siltstone, dolomitic, glauconitic;
    sand»tane, dclomitic. glauconitic
    Sandstone, coarse grained, white, red in lower
    half; lenses of shale and siltstone, red,
    micaceous
    Granitic rocks
    Figure 1.  Generalized stratigraphic column of rock units and aquifers in northern Illinois (prepared by M.L. Sargent, ISGS).
    

    -------
    Cambrian
    
    The Elmhurst-Mt. Simon Sandstone comprises the old-
    est sedimentary units in Illinois and consists of medium-
    grained  sandstones.  It  has  a  total  thickness  of
    approximately 2,500 feet. The upper part of this unit has
    acted as an aquifer in the Chicago region  in the past;
    ground-water mining of the aquifer (a nonreplenished
    lowering of the static water level), however,  has led to a
    discontinuation  of its use for that purpose. The Eau
    Claire Formation, the Basal Sandstone Confining Unit
    (14), consists of dolomitic shale and siltstone with thin
    beds of sandstone. It has a thickness of 300 feet to 400
    feet and separates the Elmhurst-Mt. Simon aquifer from
    the Ironton-Galesville Sandstones. The Ironton-Galesville
    Sandstones have a thickness of 150 feet to 250 feet and
    serve as a source of ground water in northern Illinois (6).
    The Galesville Sandstone is fine-grained, while the Iron-
    ton Sandstone  is  coarser grained and contains more
    dolomite. The Knox Megagroup, the Middle Confining
    Unit (14), comprises all the bedrock units between the
    Ironton-Galesville Sandstones and the Ancell Group. It
    includes the:
    
    • Cambrian Franconia Formation
    
    • Potosi  Dolomite
    
    • Eminence Formation
    
    • Jordan Sandstone
    
    • Ordovician Prairie du Chien Group
    
    The Knox Megagroup is primarily dolomitic in  compo-
    sition,  though it contains thin sandstones. Its thick-
    ness ranges from 400 feet in the northern portion  of
    the study area to about 700 feet in the southernmost
    tip of Will County. The sandstones tend to be some-
    what discontinuous and, where present, offer a local-
    ized  source of ground  water. The group as a whole
    acts  as a confining unit between the Ironton Sand-
    stone and the Ancell Group.
    
    Ordovician
    
    The Ancell Group, which  contains the St. Peter Sand-
    stone and  Glenwood Sandstone, has a thickness  of
    roughly 200 feet throughout the study area except in
    north-central Will County where it is over 400 feet. The
    thickness  of the Ancell  Group varies considerably in
    northern Illinois because it rests on an  erosion surface.
    The Ancell Group is the shallowest aquifer present in
    this area below the Silurian dolomite aquifer. The eleva-
    tions of the top of the Ancell Group range from just over
    sea level in the northwest corner of Will County to 500
    feet below mean sea level in the southwestern corner.
    The Galena and Platteville Groups provide a sequence
    of carbonate  rocks that are primarily dolomitic in com-
    position. The Platteville Group conformably overlies the
    Ancell Group. The two units have a combined thickness
    of 350 feet throughout this part of the state. The Galena
    and  Platteville Groups,  combined  with the  overlying
    Maquoketa Shale Group, act as an aquitard between the
    Ancell aquifer and the Silurian dolomite aquifer.
    
    Maquoketa Shale Group
    
    The study area has three subaerially exposed bedrock
    units. The oldest  of these that  this report details are
    Ordovician-aged strata comprising the Cincinnatian Se-
    ries  Maquoketa Shale Group.  The thickness  of the
    Maquoketa Group ranges from 260 feet in eastern Will
    County to 120 feet in the northwestern corner of Will
    County and is unconformably overlain by Silurian strata
    (15). The Maquoketa  Group comprises four formations:
    
    • Scales Shale
    
    • Fort Atkinson Limestone
    
    • Brainard Shale
    
    • Neda Formation
    
    The Scales Shale forms the lowermost unit and consists
    of gray to brown dolomitic shale. Thin layers with phos-
    phatic nodules  and pyritic fossils  occur near the top and
    base of the unit. The Scales Shale may attain a thickness
    of up to 120 feet in this  region (15). The Fort Atkinson
    Limestone, a coarse-grained crinoidal limestone to fine-
    grained dolomite, may range up to 60 feet thick (15). The
    Brainard Shale comprises greenish gray  dolomitic shale
    and has a thickness of generally  less than 100 feet (16).
    The  Neda Formation, the youngest  formation  in the
    Maquoketa Group,  is relatively thin  with  a thickness of
    usually less than 10 feet. In some places, it may attain a
    maximum thickness of 15 feet. The Neda is exposed along
    the Kankakee River, and the Silurian-aged Kankakee For-
    mation typically overlies it. The Neda Formation consists
    mostly of red and green shale with  interbedded goethite
    and hematite oolite beds (7, 16).
    
    Silurian System
    
    Silurian-aged rocks consist almost  solely of dolomites
    and dolomitic limestones. The Silurian is divided into the
    Alexandrian and Niagaran Series. The Alexandrian Se-
    ries is  about 25 feet thick and  is represented  by the
    Kankakee, Elwood, and Wilhelmi  Formations. These for-
    mations are  a  fine- to medium-grained,  white, gray to
    pinkish gray dolomite. The Kankakee Formation is exposed
    along the Kankakee River in southern Will County (17).
    
    The  Niagaran  Series comprises much of the bedrock
    surface of this  area and includes three formations. The
    Joliet Formation has  a lower member of dolomite with
    interbedded red and green shale, and two upper mem-
    bers with an increasing  purity of dolomite toward the
    top  of  the formation  (7). The Sugar Run  Formation,
    formerly termed the Waukesha  Formation  (17), is an
    argillaceous, fine-grained, medium- to thick-bedded,
    

    -------
    brownish gray dolomite (7). The Racine Formation is the
    thickest unit in the Niagaran Series, attaining a thick-
    ness of as much as 300 feet (17). The Racine Formation
    contains  large reefs that are as high as 100 feet and
    consist of vugular gray  dolomite. The  inter-reef rock
    consists  of dense, cherty  gray dolomite. The Racine
    Formation is exposed in the bluffs along the Des Plaines
    River from Joliet to Blue Island, Illinois (17).
    
    Figure 2  is an isopach of the Silurian dolomite indicat-
    ing the thickness  of the unit in the study area and the
    boundary of the Silurian rocks. The Silurian dolomite
    aquifer has a maximum thickness of just over 500 feet
    in  the  southeast corner of Will County and becomes
    thicker to the east and south. It rapidly increases in
    thickness from its margin along the western border of
    Will  County, where  it has eroded. The contact be-
    tween  the  Silurian dolomite  and  the  underlying
    Maquoketa  Shale Group has  relatively little relief.
    Thus,  the major differences in thickness of the unit
    result from erosion of the bedrock surface. Joints and
    fracture patterns within the upper bedrock have a domi-
                           nantly northwest-southeast  and  northeast-southwest
                           orientation (18).
    
                           Pennsylvanian System
    
                           Pennsylvanian-aged bedrock is found in the southeast-
                           ern portion of Will County west of the Kankakee River
                           with an outcropping at the confluence of the Des Plaines
                           and Kankakee Rivers. The  lowermost unit, the Spoon
                           Formation, is very thin and  consists of  clay beds with
                           scattered  occurrences  of coal formed  in channel-like
                           depressions (19). The Spoon Formation overlies the
                           Maquoketa  Shale Group. The  overlying Carbondale
                           Formation may attain a thickness of over 100 feet in the
                           southwestern corner of Will County. The Carbondale
                           Formation consists of shale with thin limestone beds.
                           The lowermost  unit, the  Colchester (Number 2)  Coal
                           Member, outcrops in this area and attains a thickness of
                           up  to  3 feet. It has  been extensively mined along the
                           Will-Grundy-Kankakee County border where large ar-
                           eas of strip-mined land are evident. Most of the available
                           coal has been mined out, and numerous gob piles exist
                       R9E
    R10
                                                                                        R15E
                          Scale of Miles
                               5
          10
                           Legend
                           300"' Thickness in Feet
                                Contour Interval 50 Feet
                         	•"• Western Boundary of
                         ^^     Silurian Dolomite
                         ^""""^  Fault
    it
    Figure 2. Thickness of the Silurian dolomite.
    

    -------
    in  the  area of Braidwood.  The Francis Creek  Shale
    Member, which overlies the  Number 2 coal, constitutes
    the remainder of Pennsylvanian units in the study area.
    The Francis Creek Shale is gray with numerous flat-
    tened concretions that contain the Mazon Creek flora of
    Pennsylvanian-aged  fossils (19). Weathering  of the
    mine  slag  materials  may have exposed fossiliferous
    concretions in the gob piles  (7).
    Bedrock Topography
    
    
    The highest bedrock elevations are in east-central Will
    County where the bedrock rises to over 700 feet above
    mean sea level (see Figure 3). Bedrock uplands occur
    as a  broken curved ridge from  the southeast to the
    northwest with  bedrock elevations consistently rising
    over 650 feet above mean sea level. The bedrock sur-
    face slopes from the bedrock upland high westward to
    the Des Plaines River. It also has a regional downward
    slope to the south into Kankakee  County, Illinois, to the
    northeast into the Lake Michigan basin, and to the east
    into Indiana. West of the Des Plaines River, the bedrock
    surface  rises to over 650 feet above mean sea  level in
    northeastern Kendall  County. Elsewhere, the surface
    has relatively low relief.
    The dominant features of the bedrock surface are the
    river valleys. The  Des Plaines River valley is  better
    expressed than the Kankakee River valley. This is true,
    in part, because it is older and acted as a drainageway
    for glacial meltwater where  it  may have  become en-
    trenched in  the present valley. The Kankakee River
    valley may be  less expressed  partly because of the
    amount of scouring that occurred over a large  area
    during the Kankakee flood event such that the river is
    not entrenched  in most places. Also,  smoothing of the
    study's contour maps has generalized some of the de-
    tail.
    
    The buried Hadley Bedrock valley, described initially by
    Horberg  and Emery  (20),  probably existed  prior to
    glaciation and  concurrently  with  the preglacial  Des
    Plaines River. The valley may have acted as a drainage-
    way  for glacial meltwaters until the  time  that glacial
    debris buried it.  Glacial scouring was originally believed
    to  have formed the valley, but evidence presented by
    McConnel indicated a fluvial origin of the  valley  (21).
    Also, the base of the Hadley valley does not overhang
    or lie much below the Des Plaines valley but rather joins
    it at a smooth juncture.
    
    The  bedrock surface contains a number of sinkholes
    or closed depressions that  are expressions  of  karst
    *v-x'~~x^
    Legend
    Bedrock Elevation in Feet
    Above Mean Sea Level;
    Contour Interval 25 Feet
    Western Boundary of
    Silurian Dolomite Aquifer
    Bedrock Quarry
    Figure 3.  Topography of the bedrock in the study area.
    

    -------
    development that formed prior to continental glaciation.
    Karst, a terrain developed on limestone or dolomite by
    solution or dissolving of the rock,  is characterized by
    closed depressions and cavity development along joints
    and fractures.  Fischer (22) first noted karst features in
    the Joliet area where early Pennsylvanian sediments of
    shale and  clay  filled cavities in the  upper bedrock.
    Buschbach and Heim (23) indicated closed depressions
    in the Silurian  dolomite surface in their bedrock topog-
    raphy map for the  Chicago  region. They speculated
    these depressions were expressions of karst develop-
    ment. McConnel  (21) demonstrated the existence  of
    sinkholes  in the area  of the  buried Hadley  Bedrock
    valley northeast  of  Joliet by using seismic  refraction
    survey data.
    
    Glacial Geology
    
    The  sediments overlying the bedrock comprise  tills,
    sands  and  gravels, lacustrine deposits from glacial
    lakes, and surficial eolian deposits of loess and sand.
    The  unconsolidated deposits are over 150 feet thick
    along the crest  of  the  Valparaiso  Morainic System.
    Figure 4,  adapted  from Willman  (24),  indicates the
    principal moraines. In the area where the Hadley Bed-
    rock valley is present, the deposits attain a thickness of
    over 175 feet. Bedrock is mainly exposed along the Des
    Plaines River valley and its tributaries. It is also exposed
    in isolated areas in southeastern Cook County. The drift
    thickness  map (see Figure 5) indicates the distribution
    of the  earth materials overlying the bedrock and the
    locations of bedrock outcrops. The  bedrock outcrop in-
    formation for this map was derived from Piskin (25) and
    Berg and Kempton (26).
    
    Erosion of the glacial sediments was a major factor in
    controlling the drift thickness of the area. Succeeding
    glaciers scraped off previously deposited sediments, but
    glacial  meltwaters, which came from the east and north
    along the  river channels,  caused much of the erosion.
    Both the Kankakee River and Des  Plaines River acted
    as meltwater channels as  the glaciers melted. The Du
    Page River acted as a minor drainageway and was most
    active during large-scale flooding events. The thickness
    of the drift varies in the area also because of the topo-
    graphic control that the bedrock on the overlying sedi-
    ments  exercises. The crest of the Valparaiso moraines
    coincides  with  the  topographic high  in  the bedrock
                                                                              End Moraines
                                                             Scale in Miles
                                                         0               10
    Figure 4.  End moraines (late Wisconsin) in Will and southern Cook Counties, Illinois.
    

    -------
                                                                                           Legend
                                                                                           Drift Thickness in Feet; Contour
                                                                                           Interval 25 Feet Between 0 to 50
                                                                                           Feet and 50 Feet Between 50 to
                                                                                           150 Feet
                                                                                           Bedrock Outcrop Area
                                                                                           Isolated Bedrock Outcrop
                                                                                           Strip-Mined Areas
    Figure 5.  Thickness of the glacial drift in the study area and bedrock outcrop information (25, 26).
    surface. The cross sections in Figure 6 also show this.
    The bedrock high may have caused late Woodfordian
    glaciers to stall repeatedly  in the same  area, causing
    moraines to build atop one another sequentially (27).
    
    Descriptions by well drillers  note few variations in  the
    character of the  unconsolidated  sediments;  therefore,
    we did not attempt to correlate these deposits. The drift
    materials present in the study area are late Wisconsinan
    or younger.  Though this region experienced glaciating
    repeatedly prior to the Wisconsinan glaciation, no  Illi-
    noisan or pre-lllinoisan deposits have been identified
    (28). The drift units divide into three main  units (29):
    
    • The Lemont Drift
    
    • The Yorkville Drift
    
    • The Wadsworth Drift
    
    The three drift units are all part of the Wedron Formation
    of Wisconsinan age. The Lemont Drift has a dolomitic
    character because the source material for the diamicton
    was glacially eroded Silurian dolomite. The Lemont Drift
    is the oldest of the three units and is found only under-
    lying the Wadsworth  Drift. The Yorkville Drift is the only
    drift unit present west of the Valparaiso Morainic System
    boundary within the study area. It overlies the bedrock
    surface wherever the basal sand unit is not present. The
    Wadsworth Drift comprises silty and clayey diamictons
    and  is the youngest of the drifts (29). It overlies  the
    Lemont Drift and the  upper  sand  unit.  In the  cross
    sections  (see Figure 6),  where the upper sand unit is
    present, it roughly indicates the boundary between  the
    Lemont and Wadsworth Drifts. The gradation  between
    the different drift units at the Valparaiso System bound-
    ary is not  well defined.  The Wadsworth Drift appears to
    grade  into the Yorkville  Drift because they are very
    similar in composition near the boundary (9).
    
    The  large Kankakee flood  left extensive deposits of
    sand  and gravel and  lacustrine sediments along  the
    Kankakee River and Des Plaines River. The flood  oc-
    curred as glacial  meltwaters built up behind a  constric-
    tion at the Marseilles Morainic System to the west (30).
    Large glacial lakes, which developed during the flood,
    subsequently emptied  into the Illinois River valley after
    a breach  in the moraines developed. The force of the
    flood waters eroded the glacial deposits along the river
    valleys, flattened  the surface of the drift, and, in places,
    

    -------
        North
    800-j £    T36N
    
    750-
                        700-
                  O TO  65°-
                  ^ 
                  CO g
                  JU 
                     §  550-
                                                                                                              South
                                                                                                                A'
                 North
                        500-1
                      T37N
    0)
    "S ^J
    0) ~Z
    ^ (^
    £= £=
    O CO
    ^ 0)
    TO 5
    > •=
    0) 0)
    QJ §
    JD
    
    800-
    750-
    
    700-
    
    650-
    
    
    
    600-
    
    550-
                  B
                  I? ^.  Valparaiso Moraines
                                      T36N
                                                                                                           T33N
                                                               Wast
    -800
    
    -750
    
    -700
    
    -650
    
    -600
    
    -550
    
    -500
    
        South
        B* r 800
    Inlersecl
    ol D-D'  .750
    
            •700
    
            -650
    
            -600
    
            -550
    
            -500
    
      East
                        Legend
                  l-rTTT7| Drift, Undifferentiated
                  PPSJ Sand
                        Silurian Dolomite
                                                                                                                              rSOO
                                                                                                                              -750
    Figure 6.   Geologic cross sections of the glacial drift and potentiometric profile of the Silurian dolomite aquifer.
    

    -------
    exposed the underlying bedrock. The flood event formed
    thin, dispersed lake plain deposits of silt, clay, and sand
    in southwestern Will County. Some lacustrine deposits
    lie between morainic ridges in southern Cook County
    where small glacial lakes developed as the Valparaiso
    Moraines were being deposited (8).
    
    Figure 7 shows the locations of some of the  surficial
    materials. Sands and gravels were also deposited along
    tributary creeks  and in abandoned  channels that once
    connected the Du Page River and Des Plaines River
    north of their present juncture. Wind has  reworked the
    surficial sand deposits forming  low dunes along  the
    Kankakee  River in southern Will County.  Masters (31)
    classified the sand  and gravel deposits of the  area by
    their origin, indicating that most of the deposits present
    in the  valley  of the Des  Plaines  River formed  as well-
    sorted valley train deposits. In the Kankakee River val-
    ley, the sands and gravels were primarily deposited as
    riverine sediments during the Kankakee flood event.
                       Sand and Gravel Isopachs
    
                       The sand and gravel isopach maps (see Figures 8 and
                       9) indicate the variations in thickness of the upper and
                       basal sand and gravel units. The most extensive depos-
                       its of both  exist throughout the area overlain by the
                       Valparaiso Morainic  System. This may be associated
                       with  bedrock control on the  formation of the moraines
                       and associated deposits referred to earlier.
    
                       The thickest deposits lie  in the buried Hadley Bedrock
                       valley where thicknesses of both units can exceed over
                       100 feet. The upper sand unit may be found in the glacial
                       drift  within  a wide range of elevations. For  mapping
                       purposes, we defined the upper sand unit as a sand unit
                       greater than 1 foot thick that occurs between two fine-
                       grained layers. The basal sand unit includes all coarse-
                       grained materials that overlie the bedrock surface. Most
                       of the basal sands present west of the Des Plaines River
                       were formed as valley train deposits along the river
                        R9E       R10E
                                                                   Legend
                                                            Surficial Glacial Geology
    n                                                Equality Fm - Glacial Lake  p-' ,1 Wendron Fm - Wadsworth Drift
                                                    Plain Deposits          lSf':::j Silurian Dolomite
    
                                                                      I  'I Strip-Mined Areas
    Figure 7.  Surficial glacial geology (23).
                                                        10
    

    -------
                            R8E        R 1QE
                                    F^^l
                                                                  R12E
                                                                                R13E       R14E
                                                                                                      R15E
                     T
                     32
                     N
    !V
                               Sca\e of Miles
                                     5          10
               Legend
      Thickness of Upper Sand
    0  Isolated areas > 10 Feet
    
             10 to 50 Feet
            50 to 100 Feet
             > 100 Feet
    Figure 8.  Thickness of the upper sand unit.
    
    channels as the glaciers melted back. The origin of the
    extensive deposits underlying the Valparaiso Moraines
    is not clear. They may have been formed during early
    Wisconsinan glacial  events as  outwash plain deposits
    or they may  have  been  deposited  subglacially.  The
    cross sections (see Figure 6) can reveal the variability
    and  complexity of the sand  and gravel layers as they
    occur within the drift. The sand and gravel  deposits very
    seldomly act as aquifers in this  region  because almost
    all wells are completed in the Silurian dolomite aquifer.
    Clearly, Figures 8 and 9  indicate that some  ground-
    water resource  potential may exist within  these depos-
    its.
    
    References
     1. Thwaites, FT. 1927. Stratigraphy and geologic structure of north-
       ern Illinois. Illinois State Geological Survey  Report of Investiga-
       tions 13.
     2. Bretz, J.H. 1939. Geology of the Chicago region, Part I: General.
       Illinois State Geological Survey Bulletin 65.
    3.  Bergstrom,  R.E., J.W.  Foster, L.F. Selkregg, and W.A. Pryor.
       1955. Ground-water possibilities  in northeastern Illinois. Illinois
       State Geological Survey Circular  198.
    
    4.  Bretz, J.H.  1955. Geology of the Chicago region, Part II: The
       Pleistocene. Illinois State Geological Survey Bulletin 65.
    
    5.  Suter, M., R.E. Bergstrom, H.F. Smith, G.H. Emerich, W.C. Wal-
       ton,  and T.E.  Larson.  1959. Preliminary report on the ground-
       water resources of the Chicago region, Illinois. Illinois State
       Geological Survey and Illinois State Water Survey Cooperative
       Ground-Water Report 1.
    
    6.  Hughes, G.M., P. Kraatz, and R.A. Landon. 1966. Bedrock aqui-
       fers  of northeastern  Illinois. Illinois State Geological  Survey Cir-
       cular 406.
    
    7.  Willman,  H.B.  1971.  Summary of the  geology of the Chicago
       area. Illinois State Geological Survey Circular 460.
    
    8.  Bogner, J.E. 1976. Geology for planning in northeastern Illinois,
       Vol.  V: Cook County. Illinois State Geological Survey Open-File
       Report.
    
    9.  Larsen, J.I. 1976. Geology for planning in northeastern Illinois,
       Part VI: Will County. Illinois State Geological Survey Open-File
       Report.
                                                             11
    

    -------
            R9E
    R 10E
                                                                                 R 14 E
                                                                                          R15E
                Scale of Miles
           Q          5          10
           i           i       	i
                                         Legend
                                         Basal Sand Thickness, Feet
                                         OtolO
                                         10 to so
                                         50 to 100
                                         >100
    Figure 9.   Thickness of the basal sand unit.
    
    10. Dynamic Graphics, Inc. 1991. Interactive surface modeling users
        guide. Alameda, CA.
    
    11. Ekblaw, G.E.  1938.  Kankakee Arch in Illinois.  Illinois State Geo-
        logical  Survey Circular 40.
    
    12. Kolata,  D.R., T.C. Buschbach,  and  J.D. Treworgy. 1978. The
        Sandwich Fault Zone of northern Illinois. Illinois State Geological
        Survey Circular 500.
    
    13. Horberg, L.  1950. Bedrock topography in Illinois.  Illinois State
        Geological Survey Bulletin 73.
    
    14. Visocky, A.P.,  M.G. Sherrill,  and K. Cartwright. 1985. Geology,
        hydrology, and water  quality of the  Cambrian  and Ordovician
        systems in  northern Illinois.  Illinois  Department of Energy and
        Natural Resources Cooperative  Groundwater  Report 10.
    
    15. Kolata, D.R., and A.M. Graese. 1983. Lithostatigraphy and depo-
        sitional environments  of the Maquoketa group (Ordovician) in
        northern Illinois. Illinois State Geological Survey Circular 528.
    
    16. Willman, H.B., et  al. 1975. Handbook of Illinois stratigraphy. Illi-
        nois State Geological Survey Bulletin 95.
    
    17. Willman, H.B.  1973. Rock stratigraphy of the  Silurian system in
        northeastern and  northwestern  Illinois. Illinois State Geological
        Survey Circular 479.
                                                   18.  Foote, G.R. 1982. Fracture analysis in northeastern Illinois and
                                                       northern Indiana. Master's thesis, University of Illinois.
    
                                                   19.  Smith, W.H. 1968. Strippable coal reserves of Illinois, Part 6: La
                                                       Salle, Livingston, Grundy, Kankakee, Will, Putnam,  and parts of
                                                       Bureau and Marshall Counties.  Illinois State  Geological Survey
                                                       Circular 419.
    
                                                   20.  Horberg, L., and K.O. Emery. 1943. Buried bedrock valleys east
                                                       of Joliet and their relation to water supply.  Illinois State Geological
                                                       Survey Circular 95.
    
                                                   21.  McConnel, D.R. 1972.  Bedrock topography  and paleogeomor-
                                                       phology northeast of Joliet, Illinois. Master's thesis,  University of
                                                       Illinois.
    
                                                   22.  Fischer, D.J. 1925. Geology and mineral resources of the Joliet
                                                       quadrangle. Illinois State Geological Survey Bulletin 51.
    
                                                   23.  Buschbach, T.C., and G.E. Heim. 1972. Preliminary geologic in-
                                                       vestigations of rock tunnel sites for  flood  and pollution control in
                                                       the greater Chicago  area.  Illinois State Geological Survey Envi-
                                                       ronmental  Geology Notes 52.
    
                                                   24.  Wilman,  H.B.,  and J.C. Frye.  1970. Pleistocene stratigraphy of
                                                       Illinois. Illinois State  Geological Survey Bulletin 94.
    
                                                   25.  Piskin, K. 1975. Thickness of glacial drift in Illinois.  Illinois State
                                                       Geological Survey 1:500,000 scale  map.
                                                                    12
    

    -------
    26. Berg, R.C., and J.P. Kempton. 1988. Stack-unit mapping of geo-
        logic materials in  Illinois to a depth  of 15 meters. Illinois State
        Geological Survey Circular 542.
    
    27. Hansel, A.K., and W.H. Johnson. 1987. Ice marginal sedimenta-
        tion in a  late Wisconsinan end  moraine  complex, northeastern
        Illinois, USA. In: van der Meer, J.J.M., ed. Tills and glaciotecton-
        ics. Proceedings of an INQUA Symposium on genesis and lithol-
        ogy of glacial deposits.
    
    28. Horberg,  L. 1953. Pleistocene deposits below the Wisconsinan
        drift in northeastern Illinois. Illinois State  Geological Survey Re-
        port of Investigations 165.
    29. Johnson, W.H., and A.K. Hansel. 1985. The Lemont section. In:
        Johnson, W.H., A.K. Hansel, B.J. Socha, L.R. Follmer, and J.M.
        Masters,  eds.  Depositional  environments and correlation prob-
        lems of the Wedron Formation (Wisconsinan) in  northeastern
        Illinois. Illinois State Geological Survey Guidebook  16.
    
    30. Gross, D.L., and  R.C.  Berg. 1981.  Geology of the Kankakee
        River system in Kankakee County, Illinois. Illinois State Geologi-
        cal Survey  Environmental Geology Notes 92.
    
    31. Masters,  J.M. 1978. Sand and gravel resources in  northeastern
        Illinois. Illinois State Geological Survey Circular 503.
                                                                   13
    

    -------
       Application ofGIS for Environmental Impact Analysis in a Traffic Relief Study
                                               Bruce Stauffer
                      Advanced Technology Solutions, Inc., Lancaster, Pennsylvania
    
                                                Xinhao Wang
                                 University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio
    Abstract
    
    This paper presents an application of a geographic infor-
    mation system (CIS) in a traffic relief study. Traffic conges-
    tion has severely affected the environmental quality and
    the quality of life for residents in the study area. A team of
    planners, environmental specialists, historians, landscape
    architects, traffic engineers, and CIS professionals organ-
    ized to solve the  problem. The team has evaluated the
    environmental and socioeconomic  impacts of highway
    alignments from the very first step through every major
    decision for the duration of the project.
    
    The CIS professionals have played a crucial role in
    maintaining  constant  and  active  interactions among
    members of the project team, federal and state agen-
    cies, and the public. CIS has helped to develop a natural
    and cultural  resource inventory,  identify contamination
    sources, assess environmental constraints, and evalu-
    ate proposed highway alignment alternatives.  CIS pro-
    vides  an ideal atmosphere for professionals to analyze
    data,  apply models, and make the best decisions. The
    high-quality map products that CIS creates enhance the
    quality of public presentations and reports. The authors
    feel that, as this  project has progressed,  more people
    have realized the benefit of using CIS.
    
    Introduction
    
    A  traffic relief study,  as  one type of transportation
    project,  aims to  resolve traffic  congestion problems
    through a combined  strategy of upgrading  existing
    infrastructure,  building new infrastructure, and  con-
    trolling traffic demand using congestion management
    strategies (CMS). This type of study proceeds through
    at least  the following steps:
    
    • Problem identification
    
    • Data collection
    • Preliminary design
    
    • Environmental impact analysis
    
    • Final design
    
    • Construction
    
    The process heavily involves federal, state, and local
    government agencies, as well as the public. The goal of
    the project  is to develop an environmentally sound so-
    lution  to the traffic congestion, which also happens to
    promote economic development and improve quality of
    life for people in the local area and the region. Environ-
    mental, social, and economic issues must  be equally
    addressed  from  the very first step through  the final
    design. Federal and state regulations generally require
    an environmental impact statement  (EIS) when con-
    structing new infrastructure or upgrading existing road
    systems. Preparing an EIS is a requirement for such a
    project and demands a significant commitment of time,
    money, staff, and technical resources.
    
    A geographic information system (CIS) has the ability to
    process spatially referenced data for particular pur-
    poses. Along  with the development of computer hard-
    ware  and  software, CIS has progressed  from pure
    geoprocessing, to management of geographic informa-
    tion, to decision  support (1). This paper presents the
    application  of CIS in  an  ongoing traffic relief study in
    Marshalls Creek, Pennsylvania. The CIS function in this
    study  has had various purposes:
    
    • Inventory data compilation
    
    • Spatial data analysis
    
    • Map production
    
    • Traffic modeling support
    
    • Public presentations
    

    -------
    The study shows that CIS can  play an important and
    innovative role in transportation studies.
    
    Project Description
    
    The study  area is  in the Pocono region,  located in
    northeastern Pennsylvania (see Figure 1). The Pocono
    Mountains and  Delaware Water Gap National Recrea-
    tion Area possess a wealth of natural and cultural re-
    sources. The area is famous for providing year-round
    vacation activities. Attractions include fishing, canoeing,
    and Whitewater rafting in the summer and downhill and
    cross-country skiing, snowmobiling, snowboarding, and
    ice fishing in the winter. The area includes quiet wood-
    land trails past  a rushing waterfall and scenic settings
    for camping.  In the fall,  the  area  is ablaze with the
    brilliant colors of foliage. Various scenic sights,  recrea-
    tional  sites, and national historic sites make the area
    ideal for attracting people to come for a day, a weekend,
    or a longer vacation.
    
    Although tourism brings people to the Pocono area and
    promotes economic growth, it also brings a traffic con-
    gestion problem to the community. In addition, the influx
    of new home owners from New Jersey and New York
    adds the problem of commuter traffic to the area.  The
    most troublesome section is in the vicinity of Marshalls
    Creek where U.S. Route 209 intersects with Pennsylva-
    nia (PA) Route  402. Two intersections are only about
    500 feet apart. The traffic tieups  can  extend up to
    3.5 miles on northbound Route 209, all the way back to
    Interstate Highway I-80. Emergency response times on
    U.S. Route 209 can be up to 20 minutes during  peak
    traffic. The heavy traffic volume results in traffic acci-
    dents exceeding state averages on secondary roads as
                             motorists seek alternative  routes to avoid congestion.
                             Through traffic traveling to and from New England using
                             U.S. Route 209 as a connector between I-80 and I-84
                             makes the problem even worse. The year-round outdoor
                             activities  perpetuate the constant traffic problems that
                             have severely affected the  quality of life for residents in
                             and around the Marshalls Creek area.
    
                             In response to the problems, the Pennsylvania Depart-
                             ment of Transportation (PennDOT) selected  a project
                             team in February 1993 to conduct a traffic relief study in
                             the  Marshalls Creek area. The project team consists of
                             individuals from seven firms and represents a wealth of
                             experience in the variety  of disciplines  necessary to
                             successfully complete this  project. The team  members
                             include land use and traffic planners, biologists, histori-
                             ans, traffic and environmental engineers, surveyors, and
                             CIS and global positioning system (GPS) professionals.
    
                             In addition to PennDOT, the funding agency, several
                             federal and state regulatory agencies periodically review
                             the  development  of the EIS to ensure that it meets
                             regulations. These agencies are the Federal Highway
                             Administration (FHWA), the U.S. Environmental Protec-
                             tion Agency (EPA), the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers,
                             the  Pennsylvania Department of  Environmental Re-
                             sources  (DER),  the Pennsylvania Historic  Museum
                             Commission, and the  Pennsylvania  Fish and Game
                             Commission. Local  planning commissions and citizen
                             representatives also actively participate in advisory ca-
                             pacities. A series of agency coordination meetings, pub-
                             lic  meetings,  and  public  information  newsletters
                             coordinates  the activities  of all participants  over the
                             course of the project.
           Primary and Secondary Highways
           Light Duty Roads
           Phase I Project Boundary-
           Streams, Ponds, and Reservoirs
                     5,000
                      Feet
    10,000
    Figure 1.  Phase I project area.
    

    -------
    After collecting traffic data and performing traffic de-
    mand modeling, the team realized that adopting strate-
    gies to control traffic demand and upgrading existing
    roads through widening and intersection improvements
    would not suffice to meet demand projections for the
    design year 2015. Consequently,  the team has deter-
    mined a new road is needed to alleviate congestion in
    Marshalls Creek.
    
    The study aims to identify alternatives to relieve traffic
    congestion  along  U.S. Route  209, PA Route 402, and
    Creek Road, and eliminate backups onto I-80 from U.S.
    Route 209.  The alternatives  should  also  improve air
    quality by reducing fuel consumption and vehicle emis-
    sions and facilitate travel through Marshalls Creek for
    local and through traffic. The improvements must com-
    ply with federal and state regulations. The study team
    must consider county and local government goals and
    objectives so that the traffic capacity improvements will
    be compatible with planned local development.
    
    The project is being conducted in two phases. Phase I,
    which is complete, was an investigation broad in scope.
    It  used  inventory of secondary data to describe the
    environmental  characteristics  of the area. A traffic de-
    mand model identified the area for detailed study after
    a preliminary analysis of a wide range of baseline data.
    In Phase II, the team analyzes both primary and secon-
    dary data and delineates alternative alignments or trans-
    portation upgrading options that  meet the need and
    minimize impacts. Analysis of environmental and engi-
    neering factors assists both in the determination of the
    most practical alternative and in preparation of the final
    EIS.
    
    The nature of the study requires the analysis of a variety
    of data  at  different scales by different professionals.
    Through field investigation, the project team also con-
    stantly updates and adds new data to the existing data-
    base. The new data may be attribute data about some
    geographic features  or  may  be  locational data. The
    project team has found CIS to be an appropriate tool to
    meet the challenge of better conducting the study.
    
    The team has used CIS extensively in both Phase I and
    Phase II studies. The two phases  vary in data require-
    ments, scales, and purposes of spatial analysis. With
    the support of CIS, the team  has  been able to quickly
    assemble data at adequate scales and present data in
    formats that are familiar to different professionals. GIS's
    data manipulation power distinguishes the  different re-
    quirements of  the two phases and at the  same time,
    clearly depicts the linkage between the two phases. The
    following sections describe CIS applications that have
    helped facilitate the study and coordinate project team
    members, public agencies, and citizens.
    GIS Application
    
    CIS contains powerful tools to process spatially refer-
    enced  data.  These  processes and  their results are
    meaningless, however, without a clearly defined objec-
    tive. Many professionals point  out the importance of
    focusing GIS on practical problems. Using GIS is not an
    end; it is a means to represent the real world in both
    spatial and temporal  dimensions. The benefits of using
    GIS can be summarized in three aspects:
    
    • GIS  helps to portray characteristics of the earth and
      monitor changes of the  environment  in space  and
      time (2).
    
    • GIS  helps us to more deeply understand the meaning
      of spatial  information  and how that information can
      more faithfully reflect the true nature of spatially dis-
      tributed processes  (3).
    
    • GIS  helps  us  to model alternatives of actions and
      processes operating in the environment (2), to antici-
      pate possible results  of planning decisions (4), and
      to make better decisions.
    
    This project demonstrates the advantages of applying
    GIS to solve practical problems from the above three
    aspects. An EIS requires extensive data about natural
    resources, land uses, infrastructure, and distribution of
    many interrelated socioeconomic factors. The accuracy
    and availability of required data depend on the scope of
    a study and the size of the study area. Our study shows
    that GIS, with its data retrieval,  analysis, and reporting
    abilities, significantly  improves the analysis. GIS helps
    to collect data at various  scales, store data, and present
    data in forms that allow the project team to carry out the
    study in an innovative way.
    
    Phase I Study
    
    Phase I of the traffic relief study was completed in 1993.
    The goal of Phase I was  to acquire understanding of the
    general features of the area and to use a traffic demand
    model  for delineating an area for detailed study.  The
    study area is approximately 52 square miles. To provide
    data for the preliminary analysis and the traffic demand
    modeling, the team developed baseline data inventory
    with GIS. Data were primarily secondary data that came
    from several  different sources in different formats. For
    example, the U.S. Census Bureau 1990 population data
    were in TIGER format, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
    National Wildlife  Inventory (NWI)  files  in digital line
    graph (DIG) format, the  U.S. Soil Conservation Service
    Monroe County Soils  in  DIG format, and the U.S. EPA
    Monroe County Natural Areas  in ARC/INFO format. The
    majority of data sources were at scales between 1:15,000
    and 1:24,000. With GIS tools, the team integrated these
    baseline data into a common presentation scale and pro-
    jection. This process ensured an effective and comprehen-
    sive spatial analysis in the study area.
    

    -------
    The team arranged and stored data in layers according
    to themes. Examples of the data layers included:
    
    • Road center lines.
    
    • Twenty-foot elevation contours.
    
    • Utility lines.
    
    • Water features.
    
    • Subdivision boundaries.
    
    • 1990 Census population by Census Tracts and Blocks.
    
    • Flood plains.
    
    • Geological formations.
    
    • Public facilities, including  schools,  churches,  and
      cemeteries.
    
    • Political boundaries.
    
    • Hazardous waste locations.
    
    • Potential archaeological areas.
    
    With these data layers, the team generated  a series
    of 17 thematic  maps to describe the features of the
    study areas. All maps were plotted on E-sized papers
    (48 inches x 36 inches) with the same map layout. The
    general reference map served as a base map for the
    other themes. It included several data layers to provide
    geographic references to the study area.
    
    In addition to the base map, each individual theme map
    showed only one theme at a time, such as soils, subdi-
    visions, and wetlands. Some theme maps showed de-
    rived data from the original data layers. For example, in
                                               developing a slope theme  map, the team first  built a
                                               three-dimensional  surface  from  the 20-foot elevation
                                               contours, then calculated slope in degrees and  aggre-
                                               gated areas based on a 10-degree  interval. The slope
                                               theme map showed the result from the data processing.
                                               In addition, the project team created summary statistics
                                               tables to help team members gain knowledge about the
                                               study area. Table 1 is  an example of the summary
                                               statistics for land use categories.
                                               Table 1.  Phase I Statistical Summaries for Land Use
                                                       Categories
                                               Land Use
                                                                                     Acres
                                               Urban
    
                                               Agricultural
    
                                               Rangeland
    
                                               Woodland
    
                                               Water
    
                                               Wetland
    
                                               Transitional
    10,628
    
     1,183
    
       12
    
    20,957
    
     1,394
    
     1,428
    
      422
                                               During preparation of the Phase I  inventory data and
                                               summary statistics, traffic planners performed traffic de-
                                               mand modeling to determine new road connections that
                                               would provide a minimum acceptable level of service in
                                               the year 2015. The modeling result was loaded into the
                                               CIS and converted into the same format and projection
                                               as other inventory data. Figure 2 displays the boundary
                                               that the traffic demand model delineated and the actual
                                               Phase II  boundary.  The two boundaries were not the
          Primary and Secondary Highways
          Light Duty Roads
          Unimproved Roads
          Trails
    
          Phase II Project Boundary
          Streams and Ponds
    
          Minimum Acceptable Service Level
                 N
    2,000
    Feet
                        4,000
    Figure 2.  Phase II project area.
    

    -------
    same. The thick line enclosed a Phase II study area that
    was delineated based on the traffic demand modeling
    and the  team's  understanding  of environmental  and
    other factors in the project area.
    
    Phase II Study
    
    The Phase II  study is  still  ongoing.  The area for the
    Phase  II  study is much smaller than that for Phase I. It
    is about 3.2 miles by 2.5 miles, or approximately
    4 square miles.
    
    The objective of the Phase II study is to conduct a detailed
    analysis for delineating  a  full range of feasible highway
    alignment alternatives. The  alternatives must meet the
    needs  of relieving  traffic congestion  and minimizing its
    impact  on environmental and cultural resources.
    
    Because the accuracy of the Phase I  data  was not
    sufficient for the Phase II study, the  project team has
    collected data using different approaches to develop a
    similar set of baseline data at a finer scale. The major
    data source has been  the  photogrammetry  data pro-
    vided by PennDOT at a  1:2,400 scale. The data include:
    
    • Road cartways
    
    • Five-foot elevation contours
    
    • Utility lines
    
    • Water features
    
    • Buildings footprints
    
    • Bridges
    
    The team directly digitized tax parcel boundaries from
    Monroe  County  Tax Assessor's  maps  that range  in
    scales from 1:1,200 to 1:4,800. After digitizing each map
    sheet separately, the team  merged  them together to
    create  a continuous parcel layer. The  data  layer has
    been adjusted to fit with the PennDOT photogrammetry
    data although the two data sets do not seem to match
    exactly. In addition, digital orthophotographs at 5-foot
    pixel resolution were also obtained for the project.
    
    From these  baseline data, the  team has constructed
    Phase  II  data layers in four different ways.
    
    The first approach digitizes from  compilations on project
    base maps. For example, the team creates a land use
    data layer from the digital orthophotographs and infrared
    photography. The CIS group first plots the digital ortho-
    photographs  on  a set of 1:2,400-scale  map  sheets.
    Road cartway and  water features  are plotted on top of
    the orthophotographs. Then land use specialists deline-
    ate land  use boundaries with fine color markers  and
    code land uses on maps according to the Anderson land
    use classification. In the end, the CIS group digitizes the
    land use boundaries from the compilations to create a
    land use data layer. Similarly, the 100-year flood plain
    data layer  is delineated from compilations on project
    base maps with 5-foot contours and digitized.
    
    The second approach derives  new data  layers from
    existing data. Buildings and structures are plotted at a
    1:2,400 scale. Both historians and environmental engi-
    neers use  the plots in their field investigations. After
    historians identify historic-eligible buildings on the plots,
    the CIS group develops an attribute data file that links
    the historic inventory data to the building geometry.
    Similarly, field investigations identify buildings and struc-
    tures associated with contamination sites. The system
    stores types of contamination as building attributes. By
    overlaying  the building data layer  with the tax parcel
    data layer,  the team can identify properties on which
    historic buildings or contamination sites are located.
    
    The third approach constructs  data layers by  refer-
    encing Phase I data. For example, Phase II subdivision
    boundaries are derived from the digitized  tax parcel
    boundaries  by referring  to  the Phase I  subdivision
    boundaries. Phase  I subdivisions were manually com-
    piled at 1:24,000 using approximate location, which did
    not align very well  with the  more accurate tax parcel
    boundaries. Using a 1:7,200-scale plot that shows both
    Phase I  subdivision boundaries  and the Phase  II tax
    parcel  boundaries,  planners  can verify and indicate
    properties  associated  with  each  subdivision.  These
    properties are dissolved to create new boundaries for
    subdivisions that precisely fit with tax parcels. The same
    approach is used to refine  public parks  and private
    recreation areas.
    
    The fourth approach obtains spatial data with GPS. The
    GPS surveyors collect accurate locational data about
    key features, such as boundaries of wetlands, site loca-
    tions for hazardous waste, and locations of archaeologi-
    cal field samples. GPS data also supplement existing
    data, such  as delineating footprints of new buildings to
    update the  PennDOT baseline data. The integration of
    CIS and GPS provides the project team with accurate
    and up-to-date data.
    
    Phase II data layers have provided much richer informa-
    tion for a detailed study of environmental features. They
    are merged in  many different combinations to show the
    spatial distributions of different  factors from different
    perspectives. Table 2 lists some of the map  themes
    created for  the Phase II study. All maps are plotted at a
    1:7,200 scale.
    
    In addition to using CIS as  a  data library and map
    production  tool, we use CIS to support decision-mak-
    ing in two ways. First, the creation of a composite data
    layer  has  revealed the  impact of alternative align-
    ments on several composite constraints. The compos-
    ite data layer is an overlay of several inventory layers
    and shows the various factors coincident at any loca-
    tion, and the relative importance  of  these factors.
    

    -------
    Table 2.  Selected Phase II Map Themes
    
    Theme          Description
    General
    reference
    
    Parcels
    
    Community
    facilities
    
    Flood plains
    
    Land use
    
    Subdivision
    
    Slope
    
    Wetlands
    
    Historic
    resources
    
    Hazardous
    wastes
                   Road networks, hydrographic features,
                   churches, municipal boundaries, and utilities
    
                   Tax parcel boundaries
    
                   Public parks and private recreation, cemeteries,
                   and public buildings
    
                   100-year flood plains
    
                   Current land uses
    
                   Approved subdivisions
    
                   Areas delineated with 5-degree slope intervals
    
                   Wetlands
    
                   Historic buildings and properties
    
    
                   Hazardous waste sites and related buildings
    These constraints have been identified  by  citizens,
    government agencies, and the project team. The major
    composite constraints include wetlands, historic proper-
    ties, steep slopes (slope greater than 15 degrees), pub-
    lic parks and  private recreation areas, 100-year flood
    plains, potential archaeological areas, prime agricultural
    land, subdivisions, and existing buildings and structures.
    
    Two maps have been created from the composite con-
    straints layer. One map shows the number of coincident
    constraint layers that occurs in any one location (see
    Figure 3). The other map shows the composite relative
    importance of coincident features.  Both maps  present a
    "sensitivity surface" view of the project area.
    Secondly, the  team  uses CIS to perform  interactive
    summary statistics for each  alternative alignment. The
    project team analyzes the impact of the alignment alter-
    natives  on each individual constraint layer.
    
    Two approaches define the  impact areas for compari-
    son. The first set impact areas are the areas enclosed
    by the footprint that traffic engineers delineated for each
    alternative. The second set  impact areas are  300-foot
    buffers on both sides of the alignment delineated by the
    traffic engineers. The boundaries of the impact areas
    overlay  on  constraint data  layers. Figure 4  displays
    wetlands crossed by  alignment alternative ROW1B.
    
    A  set of summary statistics are calculated for each
    alignment. In the end, we compare the statistics for each
    alignment in a matrix  (see Table 3). The matrix arranges
    constraints as  rows and alignment alternatives as col-
    umns. The statistics  include acres of selected features
    within each impact area, such as wetlands or high-quality
    watersheds, and total counts of features, such as his-
    toric-eligible buildings. The  summary statistics also in-
    clude listings of building names for businesses or public
    facilities within  the impact areas.
    
    The team has  repeated the summary statistics several
    times as alignments shift. This procedure ensures that
    the final selected highway alignment minimizes environ-
    mental  impacts, best meets project needs,  and is the
    most cost-effective alignment to construct. The statisti-
    cal matrix of impacts versus alignments is one of the
    critical evaluation criteria for comparing alignments and
    ultimately for selecting the final alignment.
             Existing Roads
    
    
             Pipeline
    
    
             Phase II Project Boundary
             One to Two Constraint Layers
             Three to Four Constraint Layers
             Five to Six Constraint Layers
         o
                   1,000
                   Feet
                              2,000
    
    
    Figure 3.  Composite constraints.
    

    -------
    Table 3.  Phase II Summary Statistics by Alternative
    
    Constraints             Alignment Alternatives
    
               ROW1A  ROW1B  ROW2A  ROW2B
                                                 ROWS
    Wetlands
    Acres
    Count
    
    2.76
    13
    
    3.27
    14
    
    3.25
    17
    
    1.8
    15
    
    13.64
    17
    High-Quality Watersheds
    Acres        66.18    85.62    71.92    94.58     82.90
    Hazardous Waste Parcels
    Acres        99.50    116.77    98.25    120.68    215.38
    Count         8        5       11      10       6
    Parcels With Historic-Eligible Buildings
    Acres        14.20     0.10     0.14    0.14     3.46
    Count         31222
    Historic-Eligible Buildings
    Count         1011        1
    
    
    Benefit of Using GIS
    
    In recent years, many federal, state, and local agencies
    have been actively acquiring and automating digital data
    (5). These databases provide various types of informa-
    tion at scales that are appropriate for a preliminary study
    covering a  large area.
    
    A more detailed study, which usually covers a smaller
    area,  often requires more accurate data to describe the
    spatial distribution of relevant factors. GIS is  flexible,
    allowing use of data at the scale and accuracy appropri-
    ate to the study purpose. The team has found that this
                               feature helps improve the efficiency of the project with-
                               out sacrificing the  accuracy. This study  has required
                               two sets of scales ranging from  1:24,000 scale for
                               Phase I, which  required projectwide socioeconomic
                               and environmental assessments, to 1:2,400 scale for
                               Phase II, which requires detailed analysis for design of
                               alternative alignments.
    
                               GIS has served  as a digital database manager to as-
                               semble  environmental,  traffic,  geographic,  socioeco-
                               nomic, and  other data  into  a  centralized  project
                               database. Data analyzed in this study originate from a
                               variety of sources,  such as PennDOT, U.S. Geological
                               Survey (USGS),  U.S.  Census Bureau, Monroe County,
                               and field survey.  They are in different formats, including
                               digital data in ARC/INFO, INTERGRAPH,  and AutoCAD
                               formats, GPS data,  digital  images, paper maps, and
                               tabular data. Many of the public agencies and private
                               organizations involved in this project already have digital
                               data that GIS could easily use for this specific project.
                               This  has helped to  reduce the overall costs of data
                               collection and conversion.
    
                               This study demonstrates that GIS can support the infor-
                               mation needs of many disciplines within  a common
                               framework and provide powerful, new tools for spatial
                               analysis. Aside from technological considerations, GIS
                               development initiates a higher-order systematization of
                               geographic thinking (3), which is crucial to the success
                               of a transportation  project. In this project, GIS helps to
                               determine the total  impacts of alternative alignments on
                               identified constraints. The team accomplishes  this  by
                               superimposing the  alternative alignments on constraint
           Existing Roads
    
           Alternative ROW1B
    
           Buffered Area Boundary
    
           Pipeline
    
           Phase II Project Boundary
    
    
           Wetlands
    
           Buffered Area of Alternative ROW1B
                  1,000
                   Feet
    2,000
    Figure 4.  Wetlands crossed by an alternative alignment.
    

    -------
    data layers to determine the total amount of each con-
    straint layer that each alignment encounters. This ap-
    proach  supports  the  analysis of multiple  alignments
    across the constraint surfaces for a variety of alternative
    scenarios.  The spatial  analysis tools and statistical
    function embedded in CIS prove to  be very  useful in
    such study.
    
    Digital data that the CIS stores are used to summarize
    environmental, social, and economic data in many dif-
    ferent  ways. These functions include summing  total
    acreage, listing entities of special interest, and counting
    numbers to provide useful baseline statistics for various
    alignments. Within a day, CIS accomplished what would
    have required  several months of staff labor; CIS sum-
    marized impacts of 11 alternative alignments on all con-
    straint layers.  In  addition,  CIS  creates  composite
    constraints from individual data layers. A composite con-
    straint data layer is created through a series of overlays
    to illustrate geographic coincidence of inventory themes.
    
    Conventionally, engineers in a project such as this first
    delineate alternatives for alignments from the engineer-
    ing  perspective; they often  consider factors  such as
    steep slopes and costs. Then, other professionals, such
    as environmental specialists, historians, and planners,
    evaluate the alternatives from each point of view. CIS
    makes possible an early integration of environmental
    and engineering activities, ongoing communication with
    funding agencies  and the public, and continual integra-
    tion of a multidisciplinary team.
    
    CIS helps to maintain high-quality data for the project.
    It allows for error checking and quality control of multiple
    data layers that would not be possible with conventional
    mapping. The team always compares a new data layer
    with other data to check for conflicts. Making check plots
    allows for quick identification of errors and missing data.
    
    For instance, in the process of assigning  building-use
    attributes to  existing buildings, the CIS team first plotted
    buildings on a map and created a table with  building
    identifiers. The field team then used the unique identifi-
    ers shown on the plots when noting building names and
    building uses in data collection tables. After relating the
    data table with the building data layer, the team found
    some buildings that did  not have building use data.
    Moreover, some buildings were assigned uses that were
    out of range or seemed out of place, such as a residen-
    tial  building  surrounded by  several commercial build-
    ings. The team highlighted the data for those  buildings
    and sent them to engineers for verification. Through this
    data cleaning  process, the  team was able to obtain
    complete building use information.
    
    Data quality directly affects project quality. Without CIS,
    this type of  study often involves using and comparing
    maps at different scales, which frequently introduces
    serious errors.  For each phase of  this study,  project
    team members have used a fixed-base map scale for all
    compilations. During data entry and data transformation,
    the team has kept accurate registration between data
    layers, ensuring data of the same resolution. In addition,
    the team has used FREQUENCY, one of the tools that CIS
    provides, to look for data values that are out of range  as
    well  as missing data. CIS tools  have  also  helped  to
    derive  new relationships for features. For example, dis-
    solving parcels has helped to create subdivision outlines,
    or overlaying  historic buildings with parcels has helped to
    find the parcels on which they are located.
    
    Planners, environmental  specialists, historians, and
    landscape architects on the  project team are responsi-
    ble for field data collection, verification, and if necessary,
    compilation of field data into the standard project data-
    base. Wherever possible, the  team has used GPS  to
    eliminate the  task of manual compilation and to improve
    accuracy of locating data. A fundamental requirement in
    applying the  technology appropriately is to understand
    its capabilities, requirements, and limitations. Because
    several members manage  inventory attributes,  they
    need to know  how to maintain unique identifiers for
    features so they can link up to the geometry. Because
    AutoCAD data transfers occur  routinely with engineers,
    it is  necessary to structure how the AutoCAD drawing
    files  can be organized, as well  as how certain attributes
    can  be transferred by line  color, layer name,  or line
    width.  The CIS group coordinates  closely with other
    team specialists to identify quick, accurate, and cost-
    effective methods of data collection, data analysis, and
    presentation. In conjunction with the progress of the
    project, specialists  from  different fields have become
    familiar with the concept,  requirements, and use  of CIS.
    They now feel comfortable discussing alternatives while
    looking at results displayed on  a computer screen.
    
    CIS  has created  high-quality  map products for public
    presentations and reports. CIS has also been  used in
    several agency coordination meetings to display data
    and alternative alignments. CIS has allowed for different
    data layers to be  displayed on the screen with specific
    combinations of features at various scales.  Public agen-
    cies  and citizens have been impressed by the clear and
    friendly graphic response to their questions. They have
    expressed interest  in using the  technology in future
    projects.
    
    Once the study is complete, digital data assembled in
    this project will be an excellent resource for future pro-
    jects in the study area. For these reasons, CIS provides
    more cost-effective  project support for gathering, man-
    aging,  and using data than that provided by paper and
    mylar maps.
    
    Summary
    
    For this project, the importance of innovation based on
    a solid  scientific foundation cannot be overstated. In the
    

    -------
    current economic and regulatory climate, sound CIS
    methods are emerging as the only convincing and cost-
    effective means for locating, designing, and gaining
    approval  for  major  public  and  private  infrastructure
    projects.
    
    The technology offers new and exciting tools for trans-
    portation planning.
    
    The methodology that this project team has used can be
    successfully applied to other projects that require envi-
    ronmental assessment. The team has found CIS to be
    an  extremely  useful tool  as users continue  to  learn its
    capabilities  and  the multiple tools that it offers. The
    regulatory  agencies  have  repeatedly made favorable
    comments on how CIS can offer interactive viewing in a
    show-and-tell environment. This project is one of the first
    EIS projects to use  CIS in  a PennDOT-funded project.
    PennDOT appears convinced that CIS is an important
    component  for  conducting  EIS  for  highway  studies.
    More EIS projects probably will demand CIS services as
    part of the project  approach, in part,  because many
    federal and state regulatory agencies are increasingly
    using  CIS.
    
    
    References
    
    1.  Fischer, M.M. 1994. From conventional to knowledge-based geo-
      graphic information systems. Computer, Environment, and Urban
      Systems  18(4):233-242.
    
    2.  Star, J., and J. Estes. 1990. Geographic information systems: An
      introduction. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, Inc.
    
    3.  Bracken, I., and C. Webster. 1990. Information technology in ge-
      ography and planning, including principles of CIS. London, Eng-
      land: Routledge.
    
    4.  Burrough, P.A. 1986. Principles of geographic information system
      for  land  resources assessment. Oxford, England: Clarendon
      Press.
    
    5.  Hendrix,  W.G., and D.J.A. Buckley.  1992. Use of a geographic
      information system for selection  of sites for land application of
      sewage waste. J. Soil and Water Conserv. 47(3):271-275.
    

    -------
       A Watershed-Oriented Database for Regional Cumulative Impact Assessment
                                       and Land Use Planning
                                            Steven J. Stichter
      Division of Coastal Management, State of North Carolina Department of Environment, Health,
                             and Natural Resources, Raleigh, North Carolina
    Introduction
    
    In 1974, North Carolina passed the Coastal Area Man-
    agement Act (CAMA) to guide growth and development
    in the state's coastal zone. Today, the Division of Coastal
    Management (DCM), under the direction of the gover-
    nor-appointed Coastal Resources Council, implements
    CAMA. DCM's jurisdiction covers the 20 counties that
    border either the Atlantic Ocean or the Albemarle-Pamlico
    estuary.
    
    This coastal region  comprises a diverse set of human,
    animal, and plant communities. Abroad array of coastal
    plain ecosystems occurs in this area, from the barrier
    dunes and maritime forests of the outer banks to cedar
    swamps and large pocosin complexes of interior areas.
    This area includes some of the state's  fastest growing
    counties and some that are losing population.  Urban
    centers  such  as Wilmington do exist, but the  region
    remains primarily rural.
    
    In recognition of the 20th anniversary of the passage of
    CAMA, the governor designated 1994  as the "Year of
    the Coast." Associated celebrations, panels, and studies
    highlighted  the unique features of the North  Carolina
    coast, successes of coastal management in the state,
    and unresolved  problems and concerns. Problems re-
    main despite protection efforts by various agencies. For
    instance:
    
    • Fish  landings  have dropped dramatically of late.
    
    • Shellfish Sanitation  recently closed a set of shellfish
      beds located in outstanding resource waters.
    
    • Shellfish statistics show that the  quality of the state's
      most productive coastal waters continues to decline.
    
    Because coastal North Carolina as a whole is growing
    more  rapidly than  any  other section of the  state,
    pressures  on coastal  resources can only continue to
    increase.
    Declining water quality and associated sensitive  habi-
    tats, resources, and animal populations have prompted
    several state agencies to develop new approaches to
    environmental  protection that  incorporate a  broader,
    natural systems perspective. The North Carolina Divi-
    sion of Environmental Management is developing river
    basin plans to guide point and nonpoint water pollution
    control efforts. The DCM has begun work to assess and
    manage the cumulative and secondary impacts of de-
    velopment  and  other  land-based activities  by using
    coastal watersheds as the basis for analysis. The goal
    of this work is to expand the regulatory and  planning
    programs in order to better address cumulative impacts.
    This paper describes the approach that DCM has devel-
    oped for cumulative impacts management, with special
    emphasis on the use of a geographic information system
    (CIS). The project described here is scheduled for com-
    pletion by the fall of 1996.
    
    Cumulative Impacts Management
    
    The concept of cumulative impacts management (1) is
    not  new to North  Carolina's coastal program. CAMA
    requires the consideration of cumulative impacts when
    evaluating development permits within defined areas of
    environmental concern. A permit must be denied if "the
    proposed development would contribute to cumulative
    effects that would be inconsistent with the guidelines.. .."
    Cumulative effects are  defined  as "impacts attributable
    to the collective effects of a  number of projects and
    include the effects of additional projects similar to the
    requested  permit in areas available for development in
    the  vicinity" (2). Despite this directive, few permitting
    actions have been denied because of cumulative ef-
    fects; the existence of limited impact data and a dearth
    of viable analysis approaches  have restricted applica-
    tion of this rule.
    
    Since the passage of the National Environmental Policy
    Act  (NEPA) in  1969, many attempts have been made to
    

    -------
    define and assess cumulative impacts. The Council on
    Environmental Quality developed the most familiar defi-
    nition in its guidelines for NEPA implementation. It de-
    fines cumulative impact as:
    
        ... the impact on the  environment which results
        from the incremental impact  of the action when
        added to other past, present, and reasonably fore-
        seeable future actions,  regardless of what agency
        or person undertakes such other actions.  Cumula-
        tive impacts can result  from individually minor but
        collectively  significant actions taking place over a
        period of time (3).
    
    Although this definition focuses the discussion of cumu-
    lative impacts, it provides little guidance on how to carry
    out such an analysis. Selecting both an  appropriate time
    frame for the assessment (how far into the  past and
    future to carry the  analysis) and appropriate boundaries
    for the study (municipal or county boundaries, water-
    sheds, ecoregions)  are  but two of the questions that
    require answers to successfully investigate cumulative
    impacts. Such decisions become  even more  complex
    when incorporating the limits imposed by available data
    and existing management structures.
    
    Rigorous cumulative impact analysis is  a difficult propo-
    sition. It requires identification of all sources of degrada-
    tion that affect a given resource. The next step involves
    assigning relative  significance to each of these sources
    along with any impacts that result from additive or syn-
    ergistic interaction between sources. Assessment of the
    impacts of a pier on surrounding  sea  grasses, for in-
    stance,  must include not only impacts related to the
    structure, such as  shading and wave or current changes,
    but also such ambient impacts as natural wave and wind
    effects,  upland runoff, and varying salinity.
    
    All these investigations require the availability or collec-
    tion of baseline environmental data at an appropriate
    spatial and temporal scale.  Quantifying all the sources
    and causal pathways that affect a resource is extremely
    complicated in all but the simplest of systems. Assigning
    proof of significant impact is difficult unless the cause is
    clear and direct.
    
    Because of the difficulties  associated with assigning
    cause  in cumulative impact analysis, especially in a
    regional review, DCM has chosen a different approach.
    It is focusing instead on locating areas at high risk to
    cumulative impacts. Impacts management studies and
    responses can then target the areas at greatest risk of
    degradation.  Changing the  scale of analysis from the
    site to the region requires  applying some simplifying
    assumptions. The first assumes that  any existing  re-
    source degradation  results from the cumulative impact
    of all sources within the system boundaries.  Locating
    such areas is relatively  straightforward because most
    natural resource fields have developed measurements
    and  indicators for locating degraded  resources. The
    second assumption claims that a sufficiently intensive
    concentration of activities within a limited area will result
    in cumulative impacts on the affected system. Determin-
    ing a threshold beyond which impacts  cause degrada-
    tion  is much harder than locating already degraded
    resources because the  level  of such  a threshold de-
    pends upon both the strength or spatial  concentration of
    the impacts and the sensitivity of the resource.
    
    Working  from  these simplifying  assumptions,  DCM's
    first step  in assessing regional cumulative  impacts is to
    identify areas within coastal North Carolina that exhibit
    symptoms of resource degradation, contain a concen-
    tration of activities that  affect resources,  or contain  a
    concentration of sensitive resources. The use of catego-
    ries of resources and impacts  have helped to focus this
    search. These eight cumulative impact, high-risk area
    categories are:
    • Impaired water  quality
    
    • High potential for water quality impairment
    
    • Sensitive ground-water resources
    
    • Impaired air quality (present or potential)
    
    • Historical rapid  growth
    
    • Anticipated high growth
    
    • High-value resources
    
    • Productive and  aesthetic resources
    
    This set of categories is presently under public review. The
    next  step is to develop indicators of the presence of im-
    pacts or resources  appropriate to each of these categories.
    These indicators, when applied to a database of information
    about the study area, will help identify those locations at
    high  risk as defined by the eight categories.
    
    The regional cumulative  impacts assessment approach
    that DCM developed is a hybrid of various assessment
    techniques.  The overall approach is  grounded  in the
    theory and methods of site-specific cumulative  impact
    assessment. Determination of high-risk categories and
    appropriate indicators and indexes is closely associated
    with both relative risk assessment procedures and geo-
    graphic targeting. By focusing on known  causes and
    effects of cumulative impacts on terrestrial and aquatic
    natural resources instead of attempting to quantify all
    impact pathways, available data and analysis techniques
    can help  assess relative risk of cumulative impacts.
    
    A Watershed Database for Cumulative
    Impact Assessment
    
    High-risk categories and indicators of degradation or
    sensitivity are useless without information on the location
    of sensitive resources and impact sites. Consequently,
    a comprehensive database of information about coastal
    

    -------
    North Carolina is central to cumulative impacts manage-
    ment in this area. The form of any database determines
    what types  of questions to ask it; the  selection of
    boundaries has been central to this study.
    
    County boundaries constitute the most typical reporting
    unit  in  DCM  operations.   Counties  determine  the
    boundaries of DCM's jurisdiction, and the great majority
    of statistics used in planning and assessment are avail-
    able primarily or solely by county. County  size, hetero-
    geneity, and the small number of counties available for
    comparison, however, have  made  county boundaries
    inappropriate for this project. Because the study focuses
    on impacts on natural resources, clearly the most appro-
    priate boundaries would  relate  more directly to those
    resources.
    
    Although using a single set of  boundaries may not be
    appropriate  for  assessing impacts  on all resources,
    management constraints limit the choice to one bound-
    ary type. Because the primary resources of concern are
    water based, watersheds were  considered most appro-
    priate. Surface waters receive the integrated effects of
    activities within a watershed; such boundaries fit intui-
    tively with the concept of cumulative  impact  assess-
    ment. The number of water-related resources of concern
    also supported this choice.  This analysis used small
    watersheds (5,000 to 50,000 acres) delineated in 1993
    by the Soil Conservation Service for the entire state of
    North Carolina.
    
    The  Population, Development, and Resources Informa-
    tion System (PDRIS), which was designed for this pro-
    ject, is a PC-based, watershed-oriented database that
    contains the following  information  about the coastal
    area:
    
    • Natural resources
    
    • Population and housing
    
    • Agricultural activities
    
    • Economic activities
    
    • Development activities
    
    Table 1 includes a list of database fields. The presence
    and extent (or absence) of each of the features that this
    database represents will be available for each coastal
    watershed. The small watershed orientation of this study
    is only possible  because  of the availability of CIS; the
    volume and complexity of the  watershed boundaries
    preclude any other assessment tool. In fact, 348 of these
    watersheds fall wholly or partially in the 20-county re-
    gion. Figure 1 shows a map of these small watersheds.
    This map indicates county boundaries and  shorelines in
    solid lines and the watershed boundaries in gray.
    Data Needs and GIS Analysis
    
    Over the past 5 years, North Carolina has actively col-
    lected a large amount of natural resource and base map
    information in GIS form. Research and funding associated
    with the Albemarle/Pamlico Estuarine Study (APES), a
    national estuary program study, spurred much of this
    data development in the coastal area. The state main-
    tains a  central  repository for geographic data at the
    North  Carolina Center for Geographic Information and
    Analysis (CGIA). Table 2 lists the general types of infor-
    mation available from the state database. The availabil-
    ity of data in GIS form is but one criterion  for selecting
    a data set for use in this analysis. To be useful, the scale
    and accuracy of the  data must be appropriate to the
    analysis.
    
    Data Scale
    
    The majority of data  in the state's GIS database was
    collected at a scale  of 1:100,000.  Broader  use and
    interest will probably urge the development of data lay-
    ers at finer scales. A recently released layer of closed
    shellfish waters, for instance, was created  at 1:24,000
    scale. This prompted an update of the associated shore-
    line coverage to the same base scale. A handful of state
    departments and divisions,  including Coastal  Manage-
    ment,  now use global  positioning systems to collect
    even more precise locational information. This scale
    suits DCM's regional cumulative impacts scan, which is
    based on summary values for entire watersheds. More
    detailed intrawatershed  planning  and  analysis would
    require finer scale data. A scale of 1:24,000 delineated
    the watershed boundaries in this project.
    
    Mixing  these 1:24,000 boundaries with the 1:100,000
    data sets, however, can  cause problems. For instance,
    a number of watersheds were designated  for the large
    open water  areas in  Albemarle and Pamlico  sounds.
    Although these should comprise exclusively water, over-
    lay analysis  of these  watershed boundaries on the Tl-
    GER-derived census boundaries  (1:100,000 scale)
    resulted in the assignment of small population  counts to
    some  of these watersheds. Individually locating and
    correcting such  discrepancies is necessary.
    
    Database Accuracy
    
    Data layer accuracy problems are difficult to identify and
    assess. Because other agencies developed the majority
    of data used in this project, these source agencies must
    be relied upon for accuracy assessment of the source
    data. CGIA, steward of the state GIS database, adheres
    to National Map Accuracy Standards for all GIS data that
    it maintains. CGIA delivers metadata reports with any
    data; these reports include the source agency, collection
    date, and scale for the information used to derive the
    GIS layer. Descriptions of data lineage (collection and
    processing  procedures), completeness, and positional
    

    -------
    Table 1.  Population, Development, and Resource Information System: Database Fields
    Agriculture: Livestock and Poultry
    Beef feedlots (< 300 head, > 300 head)
    Dairy farms (< 70 head, > 70 head)
    Hog  farms (< 200 head, > 200 head)
    Horse stables (< 200 head, > 200 head)
    Poultry farms (< 15,000 birds, > 15,000 birds)
    Agriculture: Farming
    Land in farms (acres, % of HU)
    Land with best mgmt. practices (acres, % of HU)
    Land w/o best mgmt. practices (acres, % of HU)
    Land in conservation tillage (acres, % of HU)
    Land w/o conservation  tillage (acres, % of HU)
    Harvested cropland (acres, % of HU)
    Hay crops (acres, % of HU)
    Irrigated land (acres, % of HU)
    Pasture land (acres, % of HU)
    Row crops (acres, % of HU)
    Primary
    Estuarine waters (acres, % of HU)
    Freshwater  lakes
    HU name
    Receiving HU
    Receiving water body
    Primary water body
    Secondary water body
    Shoreline
    Waterways w/vegetated buffers (miles, % of HU)
    Population 1970
    Population 1980
    Population 1990
    Population growth 1970 to 1980
    Population growth 1980 to 1990
    Counties
    Total HU size
    Land area (acres, % of HU)
    Water area  (acres, % of HU)
    Stream length (miles)
    Stream order (miles, % of stream length)
    Development
    Building permits—all residential
    Building permits—amusement/recreation
    Building permits—multifamily residential
    Building permits—one-family residential
    Building permits—hotels and motels
    Building permits—retail
    Building permits—industrial
    Highway mileage:
       Total (miles)
       Primary (miles, % of total)
       Secondary (miles, % of total)
       Paved (miles, % of total)
       Unpaved (miles, % of total)
    Rail lines (miles)
    Increase of primary & secondary roads (miles, %)
    Increase of paved vs. unpaved roads  (miles, %)
    Economic
    Ag-related business (number, employees, income)
    Farms (number, employees, income)
    Fisheries business (number, employees, income)
    Forestry/wood-using business (number, employees, income)
    Lodging establishments (number, employees, income)
    Manufacturing establishments (number, employees, income)
    Marinas (number, employees, income)
    Mining establishments (number, employees, income)
    Recreation business (number, employees, income)
    Restaurants (number, employees,  income)
    Retail establishments (number, employees, income)
    Ground Water
    Ground-water contamination  incidents
    Ground-water class (acres, % of HU)
    Ground-water contamination  area (acres, % of HU)
    Ground-water capacity  use areas (acres, % of HU)
    Land and Estuarine Resources
    Anadromous fish streams (miles, % of streams)
    Coastal reserve waters (acres, % of HU)
    Coastal reserve lands (acres, % of HU)
    Federal ownership:
       National parks (acres, % of HU)
       National forests (acres, % of HU)
       Military reservations (acres, % of HU)
       USFWS refuges (acres, % of HU)
       Federal ownership—other (acres, % of HU)
    State ownership:
       Game lands (acres, % of HU)
       State parks (acres, % of HU)
       State forests (acres, % of HU)
       State ownership—other (acres, % of HU)
    Natural heritage inventory sites (count)
    Primary nursery areas (acres, % of water area)
    Private preservation (acres, % of HU)
    Secondary nursery areas (acres, % of water area)
    Threatened/endangered species habitat
    Water supply watersheds (acres, % of HU)
    
    Land Use
    Total wetland area (acres, % of HU)
    High-value wetlands (acres, % of HU)
    Medium-value wetlands (acres, % of HU)
    Low-value wetlands (acres, % of HU)
    Predominant land cover
    
    Population and Housing
    Average seasonal population
    Peak seasonal population
    Units without indoor plumbing
    Units with  septic tanks
    Units on central water systems
    Units on central sewer
    Units with  wells
    
    Permits
    Air emission permits—PSD
    Air emission permits—toxic
    CAMA minor permits
    CAMA general permits
    CAMA major permits
    CAMA exemptions
    CWA Sect. 404/10 permits
    Landfill permits—municipal
    Landfill permits—industrial
    Nondischarge permits
    NPDES permits—industrial
    NPDES permits—other
    NPDES permits—POTW
    Stormwater discharge permits
    Sedimentation control plans
    Septic tank permits
    
    Shellfish
    Shellfish waters (acres, % of HU)
    Shellfish closures—permanent (acres, % of HU)
    Shellfish closures—temporary (acres, % of HU)
    
    Water Quality—Open Water
    Class B waters (acres,  % of water area)
    Class C waters (acres,  % of water area)
    HQW waters (acres, % of water area)
    NSW waters (acres, % of water area)
    ORW waters (acres, % of water area)
    Swamp waters (acres, % of water area)
    SA waters (acres, % of water area)
    SB waters (acres, % of water area)
    SC waters (acres, % of water area)
    WS-I waters (acres, % of water area)
    WS-II waters (acres, % of water area)
    WS-III waters (acres, % of water area)
    

    -------
    Table 1.  Population, Development, and Resource Information System: Database Fields (Continued)
    Water Quality—Streams
    Class B streams (miles, % of streams)
    Class C streams (miles, % of streams)
    HQW streams (miles, % of streams)
    NSW streams (miles, % of streams)
    ORW streams (miles, % of streams)
    Swamp water streams (miles, % of streams)
    SA streams (miles, % of streams)
    SB streams (miles, % of streams)
    SC streams (miles, % of streams)
    WS-I streams (miles, % of streams)
    WS-II streams (miles, % of streams)
    WS-III streams (miles, % of streams)
    Key
    HU = hydrologic unit
    PSD = point source discharges
    POTW = publicly owned treatment work
    NPDES = National Pollutant  Discharge Elimination System
    HQW = high-quality waters
    NSW = nutrient-sensitive waters
    ORW = outstanding resource waters
    SA = saltwater classification A
    SB = saltwater classification  B
    SC = saltwater classification  C
    WS1 = water supply classification 1
    WS2: water supply classification 2
    WS3: water supply classification 3
    Water Quality—Use Support
    Algal blooms (count, extent/severity)
    Fish kills (count, extent/severity)
    Streams fully supporting (miles, % of streams)
    Streams support threatened (miles, % of streams)
    Streams partially supporting (miles, % of streams)
    Streams nonsupporting (miles, % of streams)
    Waters fully supporting (acres, % of water area)
    Waters support threatened (acres, % of water area)
    Water partially supporting (acres, % of water area)
    Waters nonsupporting (acres, % of water area)
    accuracy are not available from these standard metadata
    reports, however.
    
    DCM's cumulative impacts analysis also incorporates
    information  not available from the state CIS database.
    Some of this information, such as business locations, is
    available from private data providers. Other information,
    especially agricultural statistics, does not presently exist
    in CIS form. Non-GIS formats include county statistics,
    voluntary compliance databases with  self-reported  co-
    ordinates, and other tabular databases. Typically, little
    quality control has been performed on  any coordinate
    information. When the  data originate  from other state
    agencies, DCM is  often the first user of the data outside
    of the source agency.
    
    
    CIS Analysis Procedures
    
    This study involves no  sophisticated CIS analysis pro-
    cedures. CIS helps to  generate  summary  statistics by
    watershed for each of the database features. CIS draw-
    ing  and query operations allow analysis of database
    accuracy.  If the data are acceptable,  the next step re-
    quires overlaying the watershed boundaries on the fea-
    ture and assigning the  appropriate watershed codes to
    all features that fall within the study area. Statistics  can
    then  be generated on the number of points, length of
    lines, acreage of  polygons, or a total of any other nu-
    meric field in the feature coverage. Finally, the resulting
    summary  file is converted to the format  that PDRIS
    requires. A macro  has been developed to complete  this
    analysis. This macro generates  a  page-size reference
    map, performs the overlay, generates  the watershed
    summary statistics, and converts  the  statistics to  the
    final PC format.
    
    Extra steps are necessary to analyze  any information
    that does not already exist as a CIS coverage. Typically,
    these are tabular summaries associated with a specific
    boundary layer, such as county or U.S. Census statis-
    tics. These  cases entail  overlaying  the  watershed
    boundaries on the reporting unit boundaries;  the data
    are distributed to the watershed in direct proportion to
    the percentage of the unit that falls into the watershed.
    
    For  instance, if a census tract falls  30 percent into
    watershed  A and 70 percent into watershed B, 30 per-
    cent of the total tract  population  will  be assigned to
    watershed  A and the remainder to B. After performing all
    assignments,  summary statistics are again generated
    by watershed. This procedure assumes that the distri-
    bution  of the feature is even across each reporting unit.
    Rarely is this a valid assumption, but when the  units are
    considerably  smaller than the  watersheds, as is  the
    case with  census  tracts  and blocks,  this assumption
    introduces  only limited errors.  Watershed estimates
    based  solely  on  county  statistics,  however,  can   be
    grossly inaccurate. When working with  county informa-
    tion, therefore,  using  covariate information that ties
    more precisely to specific locations is necessary. Crop-
    land location  derived  from the LANDSAT land cover
    layer,  for  instance, can  be used  to  better distribute
    county-level agricultural statistics.
    
    Database and Analysis Documentation
    
    Data documentation is essential to this  project. Given
    the large number of fields  in the final database and  the
    

    -------
    Figure 1.  Watersheds in the North Carolina coastal area.
    correspondingly  large  number  of data  types  and
    sources, such documentation is key to understanding
    the quality of the individual database components as
    well as  easing future database additions and updates.
    Because the results of this cumulative impact analysis
    exercise will be used to extend  DCM's resource man-
    agement efforts, documenting data sources and analy-
    ses will  be critical if any decisions made based on this
    information are disputed.
    A metadata database has been developed to document
    PDRIS data sources and analysis procedures. For each
    Table 2.  A Sample of North Carolina GIS Database Contents
    Type                             Examples
                          database entry, fields exist for a description and contact,
                          collection methodology, and geographic extent of the
                          source  data. Data selection, overlay, and  conversion
                          procedures are also documented,  along  with any as-
                          sumptions made in the analysis. In addition, recording
                          data source, analysis procedure, and the date facilitates
                          future database updates. Fields  also record accuracy
                          assessments for positional and attribute accuracy, logi-
                          cal consistency, and completeness.
                          The restrictions listed above regarding source data ac-
                          curacy  assessment, however,  have limited their use.
                          Once an entry is made to the PDRIS, all project team
                          members receive  metadata reports along with a refer-
                          ence map for  a final  review of completeness of the
                          source data, data selection,  and analysis logic. Figure 2
                          shows an example of a blank metadata worksheet.
                          Status of the Cumulative Impacts
                          Assessment
                          DCM is presently  gathering, verifying, and analyzing
                          information for  entry into the  PDRIS.  Although each
                          source data layer was checked for accuracy before use,
                          the logical consistency of each of the database entries
                          relative to the other components also needs addressing.
                          One example of such database  inconsistencies  is the
                          watersheds that are covered entirely by water but also,
                          according to the database,  support a resident popula-
                          tion. These inconsistencies  could result from problems
                          related to scale, differing category definitions, data inac-
                          curacies, or errors  in the GIS conversion or analysis at
                          DCM. Database precision is essential for an  accurate
                          analysis and for general support of DCM's  cumulative
                                                  Coverage
    Natural resource
    Base data
    Ownership
    Permits, waste sites
    
    Cultural, population
    Fishery nursery areas
    Natural heritage sites
    Detailed soils
    Closed shellfish areas
    Water quality use classes
    Detailed wetlands maps
    Hydrography (24K, 100K)
    Roads/transportation
    County and city boundaries
    LANDSAT-derived land cover
    Federal and state ownership
    NPDES permit site
    Landfills, hazardous waste, Superfund
    TIGER boundaries, census information
    Historic register sites, districts
    Coastal North Carolina
    Statewide
    Varied
    Coastal North Carolina
    Statewide
    Varied
    Statewide
    Statewide
    Statewide
    Coastal North Carolina
    Statewide
    Statewide
    Statewide
    Statewide
    Statewide
    

    -------
    General Information:
       Field
       Description
       Database
       Definition
    Source Data  Description:
       Contact
       Data
       Scale
       Sample Method
       Geographic Extent
    Database Entry:
       Procedures
       Assumptions
    Accuracy Assessment:
       Rating
       Logic Test
       Error Comment
       Value Range
    Update Procedure:
       Next Update
       Procedure
                                 Overall
                                                Positional
        Units
                                                                 Attribute
                                                                                   Logical
                                                                                Consistency
                                          Completeness
        Source
    Figure 2.  Population/Development database: Data dictionary
    
    impacts approach. Because the watershed database pro-
    duced for this project will be widely available, errors and
    inconsistencies will undermine support for the rest of the
    project.  Careful documentation of data sources,  limita-
    tions, and analysis assumptions and procedures will pro-
    vide useful support should problems or concerns arise.
    
    Once database  development is  sufficiently complete
    (the database encompasses much  dynamic data and
    could be constantly updated),  indexes describing each
    of the cumulative impact, high-risk areas must be final-
    ized. Applying these indexes to the database will allow
    identification of the watersheds at highest risk to cumu-
    lative impacts. Discussions held concurrently with index
    development will determine which management re-
    sponses are appropriate  to each high-risk category.
    Possibilities include strengthened  land use planning re-
    quirements, new permit standards, or the designation of
    a new type of environmental critical area.
    
    Although the data-intensive approach that DCM has
    chosen  relies heavily on a  CIS, the greatest challenges
    in this project do not lie in the CIS analysis. Applying this
    watershed-based analysis to existing  political jurisdic-
    tions will be a more difficult undertaking. A convincing
    demonstration of the importance of including a natural
    systems perspective into a development permitting sys-
    tem, land use plan,  or even economic development
    strategy, will ultimately contribute more to environmental
    protection in coastal North Carolina than any individual
    regulation that emanates from this project.
    
    Summary
    
    Twenty  years after the passage  of CAMA, DCM has
    developed a framework for a consistent approach to the
    problem  of  cumulative  impacts  of development. The
    approach and PDRIS database combine existing natural
    resource management techniques to locate areas of the
    coast at greatest risk of serious impairment from cumu-
    lative impacts. The availability of natural resource data
    at an acceptable scale (1:100,000) eases the develop-
    ment of  the database essential to this analysis. The
    simultaneous development of a set of comprehensive
    small watershed boundaries for the state, along with the
    initial planning of this project, provided the final critical
    component to DCM's approach.
    
    Perhaps  more  importantly, both  DCM and individual
    local governments will have a large volume of informa-
    tion on natural  units, which will  provide an  important,
    new perspective on the problems and prospects for local
    governmental action.
    
    This project will not solve all problems related to cumu-
    lative impacts. The PDRIS will provide little support for
    site-specific or within-watershed  cumulative  impacts
    analysis; such an analysis at fine scales requires a much
    more precise database. By providing a broader-scale
    framework for this discussion, however, DCM's regional
    cumulative impacts study will hopefully further discussion,
    understanding,  and  management of cumulative and
    secondary impacts on natural systems.
    
    References
    1.  Wuenscher, J.  1994. Managing cumulative  impacts in the North
       Carolina coastal area. Report of the Strategic Plan for Improving
       Coastal Management in North Carolina. North Carolina Division of
       Coastal  Management.
    2.  North Carolina General Statutes (NCGS) 113A-120.
    3.  40 CFR §1508.7.
    

    -------
                Wetlands Mapping and Assessment in Coastal North Carolina:
                                        A CIS-Based Approach
                                    Lori Sutter and James Wuenscher
      Division of Coastal Management, State of North Carolina Department of Environment, Health,
                             and Natural Resources, Raleigh, North Carolina
    Introduction
    
    The coastal area of North Carolina covers 20 counties
    and over 9,000 square miles of land  area, about 20
    percent of the state (see Figure 1). It also includes over
    87 percent of the state's surface water. The North Caro-
    lina Coastal  Management Program  (NC CMP) is  re-
    sponsible for managing this area to meet the goals set
    forth in  the Coastal Area  Management Act (CAMA)
    (North Carolina General Statute [NCGS] 113A, Article
    7). These goals provide a broad mandate to protect the
    overall environmental quality of the coastal area and to
    guide growth and development in a manner "consistent
    with the capability of the land and water for develop-
    ment, use, or  preservation based on ecological consid-
    erations" (NCGS 113A-102(b)(2)).
    Figure 1. HU and county boundaries in the  North  Carolina
            coastal area.
    Much of the North Carolina coastal area consists of
    wetlands, which, in many areas, constitute  nearly 50
    percent  of the landscape. These wetlands are of great
    ecological importance, in part because they occupy so
    much of the area and are significant components of
    virtually  all coastal ecosystems, and in part because of
    their relationships to  coastal water quality,  estuarine
    productivity, wildlife habitat, and the overall character of
    the coastal area.
    
    Historically, close to 50 percent of the original wetlands
    of the coastal area have been drained and converted to
    other land uses  (1-3). Although agricultural conversion,
    the largest historical contributor to wetlands loss, has
    largely stopped,  wetlands continue to disappear as they
    are drained or filled for development. Conflicts between
    economic development  and  wetlands protection con-
    tinue to be a major concern, with many coastal commu-
    nities considering wetlands  protection to  be a major
    barrier to needed economic development.
    
    Because wetlands are  such a  dominant part  of the
    coastal  landscape and  are  vitally important to many
    aspects  of the area's ecology,  their management and
    protection is a major concern  of the NC CMP.  The State
    Dredge  and Fill Act  (NCGS  113-229) and the  CAMA
    regulatory program stringently protect tidal wetlands, or
    "coastal  wetlands" as  law and administrative rules call
    them. Coastal wetlands are designated areas of environ-
    mental concern (AECs), with the management objective
    "to give  highest  priority to the protection and manage-
    ment of coastal  wetlands so  as to safeguard and  per-
    petuate their biological, social, economic and aesthetic
    values; and to coordinate and establish a management
    system capable  of conserving and utilizing  coastal wet-
    lands as a natural resource essential to the functioning
    of the entire estuarine system" (15A NCAC 7H .0205).
    
    North Carolina law does not, however, specifically  pro-
    tect nontidal freshwater wetlands. State  protection of
    

    -------
    freshwater wetlands is limited to the regulatory authority
    provided  under federal laws for state agency review of
    federal permits; in this case, §404 permits granted by
    the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Under §401  of the
    Federal Water Pollution Control Act (33 USC 1341), a
    Water Quality Certification from the North Carolina Divi-
    sion of Environmental Management (DEM) is required
    for a 404 permit to discharge fill material into  wetlands.
    Section 307 of the  federal Coastal Zone Management
    Act (CZMA - 16 USC 1451  et seg.) also  requires that
    404 permits be consistent with the enforceable rules and
    policies of the  NC CMP. The standards for consistency
    are the use standards for AECs and wetlands policies
    stated in the applicable local land  use plan. Other than
    AECs, the NC CMP has no consistent policies regarding
    wetlands. A few local land use plans include policies to
    protect freshwater wetlands, but most do not.
    
    Wetlands Conservation Plan
    
    In 1991, the CZMA §309  Assessment of the NC CMP
    revealed  NC  CMP's  weakness in protecting nontidal
    wetlands (4). The assessment demonstrated that both
    opponents and proponents of wetlands protection con-
    sidered the current system  inadequate. Economic de-
    velopment interests found the  404 regulatory program
    to be unpredictable and inconsistent, often resulting in
    the loss of needed economic growth in coastal counties.
    Environmental interests felt that the program allowed
    the continued loss of ecologically important wetlands. As
    a result, the assessment  identified wetlands manage-
    ment and protection  as  one of the  primary program
    areas in need of enhancement.
    
    The  North Carolina Division of Coastal Management
    (DCM) developed a 5-year strategy (5) for  improving
    wetlands protection and  management in the coastal
    area using funds provided under the Coastal Zone En-
    hancement  Grants  Program  established   by   1990
    amendments to §309 of the federal  CZMA. The Office
    of Ocean and Coastal Resources Management (OCRM)
    in the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Admini-
    stration (NOAA), U.S. Department of Commerce admin-
    isters the §309 program. Funds  provided under this
    program, particularly Project of Special Merit awards for
    fiscal years 1992 and 1993, supported the work reported
    in this paper. A grant  from the U.S. Environmental Pro-
    tection Agency (EPA) for a Wetlands Advance  Identifica-
    tion (ADID) project  in Carteret County, North Carolina,
    also funded this work.
    
    The  key element of DCM's strategy for improving wet-
    lands protection is the development of a wetlands con-
    servation plan  for the North Carolina coastal  area.  The
    plan has several components:
    
    • Wetlands mapping  inventory
    
    • Functional assessment  of wetlands
    • Wetlands restoration
    
    • Coordination with wetlands regulatory agencies
    
    • Coastal area wetlands policies
    
    • Local land use planning
    
    The obvious first step in developing a wetlands conser-
    vation plan is to describe  the wetlands resource. An
    extensive geographic information  system (CIS) wet-
    lands mapping  program is helping to accomplish this
    first step  by producing a CIS coverage of wetlands by
    wetland type for the entire coastal area. The CIS cover-
    age allows  generation of paper maps for areas within
    any boundaries available  in CIS  format.  This  is the
    subject of the first part of this report.
    
    One weakness of the 404 program is that, for individual
    permits, it attempts to apply the same rules and  proce-
    dures equally to all wetlands, regardless of the wetland
    type and  location in the landscape. This approach can
    result in permits being granted for fill of wetlands of high
    ecological significance or permits being denied to pro-
    tect wetlands of little significance.  Neither outcome  is
    desirable because the result  may be the loss of either
    vital wetland functions or beneficial economic activity.
    This  is an  unsatisfactory way to manage  wetland re-
    sources  in  an area such as the  North  Carolina  coast,
    where:
    
    • A high  proportion of the land is wetlands.
    
    • Many of the wetlands are vital to the area's environ-
      mental  quality.
    
    • Economic stimulation is sorely needed.
    
    To help overcome this weakness in the current wetland
    regulatory framework, the Wetlands Conservation Plan
    includes an  assessment of the ecological significance of
    all wetlands to determine which are the most important
    in  maintaining the environmental integrity of the area.
    This will result in a designation of each wetland polygon
    in  the CIS coverage as being of high, medium,  or low
    functional significance in the  watershed in  which it ex-
    ists. The  procedure by which this occurs is the subject
    of the second part of this report.
    
    The remaining components of the Wetlands Conserva-
    tion Plan  comprise the means by which the results of the
    wetland mapping and functional assessment steps will
    be used to improve wetland  protection and management.
    Close coordination with other state and federal agencies
    involved  in  wetlands  protection and management has
    been  an important component of the entire  effort.
    Agency representatives have been involved in develop-
    ing the methods used, and the  agencies  will receive
    copies of the resulting maps  for use in their own plan-
    ning and decision-making. Policies for protection of wet-
    lands of varying functional significance will be proposed
    to  the Coastal Resources Commission to serve  as the
    

    -------
    basis for consistency review of 404 permit applications.
    Wetland maps and  functional assessment results will
    also be provided to  local governments for use in local
    land use planning, and DCM will work with local govern-
    ments  to increase local involvement in the  wetlands
    regulatory structure.
    
    While the wetland maps themselves  are useful for land
    use planning and helping to find suitable development
    sites, simply knowing where the wetlands are located is
    insufficient information for many purposes. Any area for
    which a 404 permit  application is in  process has been
    officially delineated as a wetland by the Corps of Engi-
    neers.  The value of wetland maps to the  regulatory
    review  agencies  at this stage is limited to determining
    the relationship of the site to other wetlands in the area.
    While,  ideally, all wetlands should be avoided in plan-
    ning development, avoiding wetlands completely in the
    coastal area is difficult, and avoiding  all wetlands in any
    extensive development is virtually impossible.
    
    The results  of the functional  assessment will provide
    additional information about the ecological significance
    of wetlands. This information will be valuable to wetland
    regulatory review agencies in determining the impor-
    tance to an area's environmental  integrity of protecting
    a particular  site  for which a permit to fill  has been
    requested. It will also enable development projects to be
    planned so as to avoid, at all reasonable costs, the most
    ecologically important wetlands. An accurate functional
    assessment  of wetland significance, then, is the most
    valuable component of the Wetlands Conservation Plan.
    
    Wetlands Mapping Inventory
    
    An important, initial step in developing a comprehensive
    plan for wetlands protection is to understand the  extent
    and  location  of wetlands  in the coastal area.  When
    developing  mapping methods, DCM quickly  realized
    that the more than 9,000-square-mile coastal area was
    too large for any mapping effort in the field (see Figure
    1). To complete this task in an accelerated timeframe,
    DCM needed to use existing data compatible with CIS.
    Reviewing the existing data revealed that most are not
    applicable for one of two reasons: (1)  available wetlands
    data are based  on  older  photography, and  (2) more
    recent  data are not classified with the intent of wetlands
    mapping. These data types,  used  independently, are
    inappropriate for use in a coastal area wetlands conser-
    vation plan. In addition, the classification schemes used
    in the existing methods are too complex or not focused
    on wetlands.
    
    While several data sets were believed to be inappropri-
    ate if used exclusively for wetlands mapping in coastal
    North  Carolina,  each  contained useful components.
    DCM elected to combine three primary layers of data
    and  extract the most pertinent information from each
    layer. DCM selected the National Wetlands Inventory
    (NWI) because its primary purpose is to map wetlands.
    Unfortunately, these maps were based on photography
    from the early 1980s in  coastal North Carolina, and
    many changes have occurred  in the landscape since
    that time.  NWI also omitted some managed wet pine
    areas from its maps; DCM wished to include these areas
    because they are important to the ecology of the North
    Carolina coastal area. DCM also selected detailed soils
    lines for use in its mapping efforts.  While  soils alone
    should not be  used to  identify wetlands, soils can be
    very useful in identifying marginal areas. Finally, DCM
    also employed thematic mapper (TM) satellite imagery
    in its methods. This data layer was not developed as a
    wetlands inventory; however, the imagery is more recent
    than the soils and NWIs. DCM desired to incorporate the
    benefits of each of these data sources into its mapping
    techniques.
    
    The information provided  by this mapping exercise will
    be useful to county and municipal planners in helping
    guide growth away from  environmentally sensitive ar-
    eas. For this reason, DCM  elected to pursue mapping
    on a county by county basis. In addition, a single county
    allowed DCM to  focus methodology  development to  a
    limited geographic  area to refine its  methods.  Carteret
    County was selected as a methods development labo-
    ratory  because data were available for the area and
    because Carteret has a large number of representative
    wetlands.
    
    Data Descriptions
    
    The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service produces the NWI for
    all wetlands in the country. For the coastal North Caro-
    lina area,  these  vector  data  were developed  from
    1:58,000-scale color infrared photography taken during
    the winters of 1981, 1982, and  1983. Photointerpreters
    delineated wetland  polygons on clear stabilene mylar
    taped over the photographs. After an initial scan of the
    photographs to identify questions or problem signatures,
    the photointerpreters reviewed  areas in the field. They
    performed approximately one-half to one full day of field
    verification per quadrangle  (quad) (6).  Features were
    compared with U.S.  Geological Survey (USGS) topo-
    graphic maps for consistency. Following completion of
    the 'draft'  paper maps, the Regional  Coordinator re-
    viewed the data. After  approval as  a final  map, each
    quad was digitized. Initially, the North Carolina Center
    for Geographic Information  and Analysis (CGIA) digit-
    ized the coastal North Carolina NWI maps, and later, the
    NWI Headquarters in St. Petersburg, Florida, who sub-
    contracted the task, digitized them. Digital maps were
    obtained initially  from 1/4-inch tape  transfer and later
    from direct access to NWI via the Internet.
    
    CGIA provided digital, detailed soil lines, which also are
    vector  data based  on 1:24,000 quads. County soil sci-
    entists delineated soil boundaries on aerial photographs
    

    -------
    based on slope, topography, vegetative cover, and other
    characteristics. This process  occurs in any soil survey.
    After appropriate personnel approved the lines, a quali-
    fied soil  scientist  recompiled  them  onto  orthophoto
    quads. CGIA scanned or manually digitized these lines.
    The coverage incorporated databases describing soil
    characteristics, which were then released for use.
    
    The Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) imagery was clas-
    sified as part of the Albemarle-Pamlico Estuarine Study
    (APES). To provide complete coverage for the southern-
    most  region  of  DCM's  jurisdiction (Onslow,  Render,
    Brunswick, and  New  Hanover Counties),  DCM con-
    tracted with CGIA and the North Carolina State Univer-
    sity (NCSU) Computer Graphics Center to  have that
    area processed identically to the APES region. These
    data provide a raster-based coverage  of approximately
    30-meter pixel resolution.  Some of the  imagery was
    taken at high tide, which precludes some near-water
    wetlands  from appearing  in  certain  areas.  Using
    ERDAS, imagery  specialists  grouped similar spec-
    tral signatures into one of 20 classes.  DCM used these
    data in two formats: filtered and unfiltered. The unfiltered
    information was vectorized with the ARC/INFO GRID-
    POLY command. To remove some of the background
    noise in the coverage, it was filtered using ERDAS 'scan'
    with a Majority filter of 5 by 5 pixels, then vectorized with
    the ARC/INFO GRIDPOLY command.
    
    Methods
    
    Within  each  county,  mapping  is  based on  1:24,000
    USGS quads. After completion,  each quad is assembled
    into a countywide coverage, which eventually is assem-
    bled into a coastal area coverage. The initial step in the
    mapping  process is to ensure  completion of the base
    layers  described  previously.  Reviewing  for errors  at
    early stages prevents confusion in correction later in the
    process;  therefore, the importance of the preliminary
    techniques cannot be overemphasized.  The NWI data
    are first inspected to ensure complete coverage. If parts
    of the quad are  missing, the error is  investigated and
    corrected. Omissions  may be  areas  of severe cloud
    cover on the photography or areas neglected during the
    digitization process. Next, the coverage is reviewed for
    missing label points. Any omissions are corrected based
    on the finalized version of the published NWI paper map.
    Appropriate NWI staff are contacted for the necessary
    information. At this time, labels are verified  for typo-
    graphical misentry. If not corrected, these errors could
    lead to confusion later in the mapping  process.
    
    Once the label errors are detected and  corrected, the
    polygons are  reviewed for completion. Verifying every
    line in the areas of coastal North Carolina densely
    populated with wetlands  is impossible, but the lines are
    reviewed for completeness. NWI  staff again must pro-
    vide necessary information for any omissions. When the
    map is approved, technicians ensure projection of the
    quad to the State Plane Coordinate System. If this has
    not been completed, the ARC/INFO PROJECT com-
    mand is employed.
    
    The soils information is prepared in a similar manner to
    the NWIs, with questions being directed to the county
    soil scientist. Prior to  the steps described previously,
    soils must be verified for completeness. Because soils
    are mapped by county boundaries and DCM maps by
    quad, some files must be joined in quads that intersect
    county boundaries.  At this time, the quad must be
    checked for differing abbreviations between counties.
    Discrepancies are handled  on a case-by-case basis.
    When an abbreviation  describes different soils in differ-
    ent counties, a temporary abbreviation is created for one
    of the counties. If a  single  soil  is described by two
    abbreviations across counties, both abbreviations are
    incorporated into the classification scheme.
    
    The Landsat data do not require additional verification.
    Review of this layer  is  often helpful, however, to ensure
    that the geographic boundaries match. Cases  where
    landforms do not appear to match require  investigation
    of the discrepancies. If the  area  is mis registered, this
    layer might be omitted from the analyses. To date, no
    area has been mapped without this imagery.
    
    The hydrogeomorphology of a wetland is unique in de-
    fining the wetland's  function (7). Because these  maps
    serve as the base for additional  wetland  projects (as
    described later in this report), an accurate determination
    of this characteristic is essential.  Prior to the overlay
    procedure,  technicians add a  new item, hydrogeomor-
    phic (HGM), to the NWI coverage. Because  DCM con-
    siders  both  vegetation and landscape  position  in its
    classification (discussed later), riverine, headwater, and
    depressional wetland polygons are assigned an HGM of
    'r,' 'h,' or 'd,' respectively. The digital line graphs (DLGs)
    of hydrography are essential in this step of the procedure.
    
    All wetlands that are adjacent to streams  or rivers are
    considered in the riverine HGM class and  are  desig-
    nated as riverine polygons. This class should include all
    bottomland hardwood  swamps and some swamp for-
    ests.  It rarely  includes any of the  interfluvial wetland
    types. If it does, it is a small section of a large interfluvial
    flatwood from which a  small stream emerges. Only the
    polygons adjacent to the stream are considered riverine.
    Headwaters are defined  as linear areas adjacent  to
    riverine areas that do not have a stream designated on
    the hydrography data layer. Because these unique sys-
    tems form the transition between flatwoods and riverine
    wetlands, they are treated specially. Finally, polygons
    that exist on interfluvial divides are designated as flats
    or depressional wetlands. This class should not include
    any wetlands along streams.
    

    -------
    The complete data coverages are overlaid to create a
    new, integrated coverage that often approaches 100,000
    polygons. Each polygon has many characteristics assigned
    to it, including the Cowardin classification assigned by
    the NWI, the soil series provided by the detailed soil
    lines, the unfiltered land use/land cover code, the filtered
    land use/land cover code from the Landsat TM imagery,
    and the  HGM classification assigned in the previous
    step.
    
    Based  on these characteristics,  each  polygon is as-
    signed  to one of DCM's classes through an automated
    ARC/INFO model using an arc macro language (AMI).
    Personnel from the NWI and the North Carolina Depart-
    ment of Environment, Health, and Natural  Resources
    Division of Soil and Water Resources have reviewed the
    classification of the Cowardin types into DCM wetland
    types. The classes that DCM currently recognizes are
    upland, salt/brackish marsh, estuarine shrub scrub, es-
    tuarine  forest,  maritime  forest,  pocosin,  bottomland
    hardwood, swamp forest, headwater swamp, hardwood
    flatwoods, piney flatwoods, and  managed pinelands.
    DCM also classifies soils as hydric or nonhydric based
    on List A of the U.S.  Soil Conservation Service (SCS)
    List of Hydric Soils.
    
    The base of the  map is the NWI polygon  coverage.
    Some NWI polygons  are omitted  from the DCM maps
    because they are temporarily flooded, but on nonhydric
    soils or because recent TM imagery indicates these
    areas are currently bare ground. The managed pineland
    wetland group on DCM maps includes areas that NWI
    considers uplands, identified as pine monocultures on
    the imagery,  and that  occur on hydric soil.
    In addition, DCM also provides a modifier to some of
    these polygons. DCM notes if NWI has determined that
    the area has been drained or ditched. Areas designated
    as wetlands  at the time of the NWI photography that
    currently appear as bare ground on the TM imagery are
    designated  as  'cleared' on the  maps. Many of the
    cleared areas would  no longer be considered jurisdic-
    tional wetlands. These modifiers are useful indicators of
    the impacts wetlands  sustain from human activities.
    
    Initiation  of an interactive session  follows completion of
    the automated procedure. This session considers land-
    scape  characteristics that  are not easily described to
    a computer model in  correcting the classification. This
    is especially important  in  distinguishing  bottomland
    hardwood swamps from hardwood flats. Both contain
    deciduous, broad leaf species of trees and can be tem-
    porarily flooded. The hydrology of these systems, how-
    ever, is completely different. All bottomland  hardwood
    swamps, for example, must be adjacent to a river where
    they receive seasonal floodwaters from the channel.
    Conversely, hardwood flatwoods should be located on
    interfluvial flats and not adjacent to any streams. Water
    is not introduced into hardwood flatwoods via a channel;
    rather, precipitation and ground water provide the water
    for this system. Polygons that are adjacent to rivers or
    estuaries but do not have a distinct channel designated
    in the hydrography coverage are considered headwater
    swamps.
    
    During  the course of methodology development, staff
    members visited at least 371 sites in the field. As staff
    members  encountered new Cowardin  classes, they
    would verify that the polygons were  being placed into
    the  correct DCM categories. If they determined that a
    particular Cowardin class was systematically misidenti-
    fied, they updated the algorithm for automation. While
    this method does not provide for a usable accuracy
    assessment, it allowed development of the most accu-
    rate methods.
    
    The accuracy of these data is unknown at this time. An
    accuracy assessment  of the data is  anticipated in the
    near future. This assessment will allow map users to
    understand the strengths and  limitations of the data. It
    also will provide an overall summary of data error.
    
    Functional Assessment of Wetlands
    
    Certain initial  considerations shaped the approach and
    methods used in developing a wetlands functional as-
    sessment procedure. The procedure needed to fit within
    the context and objectives of the Wetlands Conservation
    Plan for the North Carolina  coastal area as described
    above.  This context, and the  opportunities and limita-
    tions it imposed, had considerable influence on the spe-
    cific procedure developed.
    
    Because we are dealing with  a large geographic area
    with many wetlands, we recognized from the outset that
    we needed a method we could apply to large land areas
    without site visits to each individual wetland. This ruled
    out  the many  site-specific functional assessment meth-
    ods that were applied  in other contexts. Almost of ne-
    cessity, a CIS-based approach was chosen. That meant
    we would have to use information available in CIS for-
    mat and make use of CIS analytical techniques.  The
    wetland mapping on which the functional assessment is
    based was performed using CIS, so the basic digital
    data were  available.
    
    The primary objective was to produce information about
    the  relative ecological importance of wetlands that would
    be useful for planning and overall  management of wet-
    lands rather than to serve as the basis for regulatory
    decisions.  While we could not visit every wetland, the
    goal was to predict the functional assessment value that
    a detailed, site-specific method would determine. We
    wanted to be able to predict in advance what the wetland
    regulatory agencies would  determine as  a  wetland's
    significance so that the  resulting  maps  would identify
    those wetlands where a 404 permit would be difficult or
    impossible  to  obtain. The resulting information would
    

    -------
    then be useful in determining where not to plan devel-
    opment. This would benefit potential permit applicants
    by preventing ill-advised plans that would be unlikely to
    receive permits and simultaneously serve to protect the
    most ecologically important wetlands. The result of the
    procedure, then, is not a  substitute for a site visit in
    making regulatory decisions, but a predictor of what a
    site visit would determine.
    
    A  primary  consideration was  that the procedure be
    ecologically sound and scientifically valid, based on the
    best information available  about the functions of wet-
    lands.  It needed to be based on fundamental principles
    of wetlands and landscape ecology rather than on arbi-
    trary or subjective decisions.
    
    Finally, the procedure was to be watershed-based. This
    requirement was primarily because consideration  of a
    wetland's role in its watershed is the soundest  basis for
    determining its ecological significance, but also  because
    the other  components of  the  Wetlands Conservation
    Plan, including wetland mapping and restoration plan-
    ning, are based on watershed  units. The  watersheds
    being used are 5,000- to 50,000-acre  hydrologic units
    (HUs) delineated by the SCS as illustrated in Figure 1.
    The North Carolina coastal area comprises 348 of these
    HUs. Watershed units of any size, however, could be
    used without changing the validity of the watershed-
    based  considerations used in the procedure.
    
    These  initial considerations result in a summary defini-
    tion of the functional assessment procedure. It is a CIS-
    based, landscape  scale procedure for predicting the
    relative ecological significance of wetlands throughout a
    region  using fundamental ecological principles  to deter-
    mine the functions of wetlands  within their watersheds.
    
    The functional assessment procedure is  meant to be
    used with  CIS data for regional application. It is not a
    field-oriented, site-specific  method that involves visiting
    individual wetlands and recording information. A CIS-
    based  procedure is the only practical approach for deal-
    ing with a large geographic area with many wetlands in
    a limited amount of time.
    This CIS-based approach can make information on wet-
    land functional significance available for broad regions
    in advance of specific development plans. The  informa-
    tion is then available for planning to help avoid impacts
    to  the  most  ecologically  important  wetlands. In  this
    sense, the North  Carolina procedure is unlike other
    functional assessment techniques that are designed for
    use in  a regulatory context or that require field data for
    each wetland.
    
    Data Requirements
    
    Because the procedure uses CIS analysis, it  requires
    digital information in CIS format. CIS data  layers used
    in the procedure include:
    • Wetland boundaries and types (the topic of the first
      section of this report).
    
    • Soils maps.
    
    • Land use/land cover.
    
    • Hydrography.
    
    • Watershed boundaries.
    
    • Threatened and endangered species occurrences.
    
    • Estuarine primary nursery areas.
    
    • Water quality classifications.
    
    In the North Carolina coastal area, these data  layers
    either already existed and were available from the CGIA
    or were developed as part of the Wetlands Conservation
    Plan.  Because other projects  funded most of the data
    acquisition and digitization, developing  the necessary
    CIS databases was not a major cost.
    
    The soils coverage consists of digitized, detailed county
    soils maps produced by SCS and digitized by CGIA. The
    soils coverage  allows  identification of the  soil  series
    underlying a wetland, and the properties  of the  series
    are used to determine soil capacity for facilitating the
    wetland's performance of various functions.
    
    The land use/land cover data layer was produced  for the
    APES from interpretation of satellite TM imagery (8). It
    is used to determine land cover and uses surrounding
    each wetland and in the watershed.
    
    The basic hydrography coverage consists of 1:24,000-
    scale USGS DLGs. Because the functional assessment
    procedure uses stream order  as  an indicator of  water-
    shed position, stream order according to the Strahler
    system was determined manually and added to the DIG
    attribute files.
    
    As described previously, the  watersheds used  in the
    procedure are relatively small  HUs delineated by SCS.
    DCM  contracted with  CGIA to have these boundaries
    digitized  for the coastal area. During the  digitization
    process,  the  watershed boundaries were rectified to
    USGS and DEM boundaries of larger subbasins to en-
    sure that the HUs could  be combined into  larger  water-
    shed units.
    
    A data layer  produced by the North Carolina Natural
    Heritage  Program  is used to identify threatened  and
    endangered species occurrences. The North Carolina
    Division of Marine Fisheries maintains the coverage of
    primary nursery areas,  and the Division  of Environ-
    mental Management developed a map of  water quality
    classifications that was digitized by CGIA.
    
    The ways in which these data layers are used to determine
    values for various parameters in the functional assess-
    ment procedure  are described later in this report.  The
    CIS procedures have been automated using ARC/ INFO
    

    -------
    AMI on  a  Sun workstation. The AMI programs  are
    available from DCM to anyone planning to use the pro-
    cedure elsewhere.
    
    Because the  assessment procedure was designed for
    CIS analysis, the choice and expression  of individual
    parameters have been shaped to some extent by the
    CIS data available and the capabilities and limitations of
    ARC/INFO techniques and AMI automation. DCM was
    fortunate to have a relatively large amount of CIS data
    readily available. For use in other areas, the procedure
    could  be modified  to use different CIS coverages. At
    least the first five databases listed above, however, are
    essential to its basic propositions.
    
    Classification Considerations
    
    The HGM classification system for wetlands (7) classi-
    fies wetlands into categories based on landscape position
    (geomorphic setting), water sources, and hydrodynam-
    ics (direction of water flow and strength of water move-
    ment).  It is being  increasingly used  as the  basis for
    wetland classification and functional assessment sys-
    tems. HGM classification focuses on the abiotic features
    of wetlands rather  than on the species composition of
    wetland vegetation  as do most traditional wetland clas-
    sification schemes.
    
    Several features of the HGM classification system make
    it a useful starting  point for an assessment of wetland
    functions. Because the HGM system is based on geo-
    morphic, physical, and chemical properties of wetlands,
    it  aggregates wetlands  with  similar functions into
    classes. The HGM  class of a wetland, in itself, indicates
    much about the ecosystem functions of the wetland. The
    HGM approach also forces consideration of factors ex-
    ternal to  the wetland site, such  as water source. This
    helps relate the wetland to the larger landscape of which
    it is a part and puts consideration of the wetland's func-
    tions in a landscape and watershed context.
    
    Three HGM classes are used as the starting point for
    the North Carolina functional assessment procedure. All
    wetlands are first classified as one of the following:
    • Riverine
    
    • Headwater
    
    • Depressional
    
    Riverine wetlands are those in which hydrology is deter-
    mined or heavily influenced by proximity to a perennial
    stream of any size or  order.  Overbank flow from the
    stream exerts considerable influence on their hydrology.
    Headwater wetlands exist in the uppermost reaches of
    local watersheds upstream of perennial streams. Head-
    water systems may contain channels with intermittent
    flow, but the sources of water entering them are precipi-
    tation,  overland  runoff, and  ground-water  discharge
    rather than  overbank flow from a stream. Depressional
    wetlands, including wet flats and pocosins, generally are
    not in direct proximity to surface water. While they may
    be either isolated from or hydrologically connected to
    surface water, the hydrology of depressional wetlands is
    determined by ground-water discharge, overland runoff,
    and precipitation.
    
    The  functions of wetlands  in these different  HGM
    classes differ significantly. Riverine wetlands regularly
    receive overbank flow from flooding streams and, thus,
    perform the functions of removing sediment and pollut-
    ants that may be present in the stream water and pro-
    viding  temporary floodwater storage.  Headwater and
    depressional wetlands cannot perform these functions
    because they do not receive overbank flow. Headwater
    wetlands occur at landscape interfaces where ground
    water  and  surface runoff coalesce to form streams.
    Headwater wetlands provide a buffer between uplands
    and stream flow so they can perform significant water
    quality and  hydrology functions. While depressional wet-
    lands do not perform buffer functions, they often store
    large amounts of precipitation or surface runoff waters
    that otherwise would  more rapidly enter streams. Wet-
    lands in all  HGM classes can perform important habitat
    functions.
    
    Because the wetlands in  these different HGM classes
    are functionally different, their functional significance is
    assessed using different, though similar, procedures. If
    the same procedure  were used for all HGM classes,
    depressional wetlands would always be considered of
    lower functional significance  simply because they are
    not in a landscape position to perform some of the water
    quality and  hydrologic functions of riverine and headwa-
    ter wetlands.
    
    In addition to HGM classes, wetland types identified by
    dominant vegetation are used at several points in the
    functional assessment. This reflects a recognition that
    the biologic properties of a wetland site considered  to-
    gether with its hydrogeomorphic properties can provide
    a more detailed  indication of its  functions than either
    taken alone. The HGM class of a wetland, as a broad
    functional indicator, determines which assessment pro-
    cedure to use. Within each HGM class and correspond-
    ing assessment procedure, wetland type determines the
    level or extent of specific parameters.
    
    The wetland types used are those typical of the North
    Carolina coastal area. They result from a clumping of
    the Cowardin classes used on NWI maps  into fewer
    types with  more intuitively obvious  type names (e.g.,
    swamp forest, pocosin), as described previously. These
    wetland types are used in the wetland maps that form
    the starting point for the functional assessment.
    
    Wetland types are used in the procedure as indicators
    of functional characteristics. Correlations between wet-
    land type and wetland functions were determined from
    

    -------
    statistical analysis of field data from nearly 400 sites. At
    each site, the presence or absence of a list of functional
    indicators was recorded. Dr. Mark Brinson of East Caro-
    lina University developed the functional indicators lists,
    in part. Dr. Brinson served as primary scientific consult-
    ant in developing the HGM classification system and the
    field sampling methodology.
    
    Wetland types differ in other areas, so their inclusion in
    this procedure limits its use  in its current form to the
    southeastern coastal plain. Adaptation of the procedure
    for use in other areas would require either extensive field
    sampling as was performed in coastal North Carolina or
    a more arbitrary  clumping of wetland types based on
    best professional judgment.  Other methods of wetland
    classification could be used, provided wetlands are clas-
    sified in such a way that functional characteristics of the
    wetland types are constant and can  be determined  by
    field sampling, literature  values, and/or professional
    judgment. The procedure could  be applied directly to
    NWI polygons if these are the only wetland map  base
    available.
    
    In addition to wetland type, several other parameters are
    used  as indicators of the existence or level of specific
    wetland functions. These include both site-specific pa-
    rameters, such as wetland size and soil characteristics,
    and landscape considerations, such as watershed posi-
    tion, water sources, land uses, and landscape patterns.
    CIS analysis determines values for  these parameters
    based on the data layers discussed above. They could
    be determined manually, but the process would be very
    labor intensive.
    
    Unlike assessment  procedures that  depend solely on
    information that can be collected within a wetland, this
    procedure relies heavily on factors external to the wet-
    land site itself. Relationships between a wetland and the
    landscape within  which it exists are integral considera-
    tions  in  determining wetland functional significance.
    Characteristics of the landscape surrounding a wetland
    are often more important determinants of its functional
    significance than  are the characteristics of the wetland
    itself.  Of the 39 parameters evaluated in the procedure,
    21 are landscape characteristics, and 18 are internal
    characteristics of the wetland itself.
    
    While we believe this emphasis on  a wetland's land-
    scape context is a more ecologically sound approach to
    functional assessment than site-specific methods, it re-
    quires a great deal more information than  could be
    collected within the wetland itself. The  procedure is
    based on CIS data and  analysis, not only to make it
    suitable for regional application,  but  because CIS pro-
    vides the most practical way to analyze the spatial rela-
    tionships of landscape elements and their properties.
    Structure of the Assessment Procedure
    
    The assessment procedure uses a hierarchical structure
    that rates individual parameters and successively com-
    bines them to determine the wetland's overall functional
    significance. The complete hierarchical structure is illus-
    trated in  Figure 2. It consists of four levels:
    
    • Overall functional significance of the wetland.
    
    • Specific functions and risk of wetland  loss.
    
    • Subfunctions.
    
    • Parameters evaluated to determine the level and ex-
      tent of functions.
    
    The objective of functional assessment is to determine
    an individual wetland's ecological significance in its wa-
    tershed and the larger landscape. The highest hierarchi-
    cal level, or end result of applying the procedure, then,
    is the wetland's overall functional significance.
    
    The second hierarchical level includes the four primary
    factors that are  considered in determining the wetland's
    functional significance (see Figure 3). The overall eco-
    logical  significance  of a wetland is determined by the
    degree to which it performs,  or has the  capacity to
    perform,  specific functions. The broadest grouping of
    wetland functions includes water quality functions, hy-
    drologic functions, and habitat functions. The nature of
    the landscape and the water characteristics of the wa-
    tershed in  which a wetland functions also determine
    ecological significance to some extent.  These  factors
    determine the potential risk to watershed and landscape
    integrity  if the wetland functions were lost. Including a
    "risk factor" as  a basic  consideration in functional as-
    sessment also provides  a means of considering cumu-
    lative impacts  and the  practicality  of  replacing  lost
    functions through mitigation in determining  a wetland's
    overall significance.
    
    Each primary function of wetlands is actually a combi-
    nation  of separate,  more specific subfunctions. Water
    quality subfunctions include the  removal of nonpoint
    source pollutants from surface runoff and the removal of
    suspended  or  dissolved  pollutants  from flooding
    streams.  Hydrology subfunctions include storage of pre-
    cipitation and surface  runoff, storage of floodwater from
    streams,  and shoreline  stabilization. Habitat subfunc-
    tions include providing habitat for both terrestrial species
    and aquatic life. Several considerations that, while not
    truly wetland functions, are called subfunctions for par-
    allelism also determine risk factor. The subfunction lev-
    els  of the assessment  procedure  are  illustrated in
    Figures 4 through 7.
    
    Properties of the wetland and its surrounding landscape
    determine the extent to which a wetland performs these
    different  subfunctions. The assessment procedure re-
    fers to these properties  as "parameters." Parameters
    

    -------
                 Overall Significance
                              1
                 Functions/Risk        III                 I
                 Subfunctions     •      I      I    •   I        I        •••it
    
                 _   iiiiiiihiiiiii   i  "i  MIII'J  iiiii
    Figure 2.  Overall hierarchical structure of the functional assessment procedure.
                                                 Wetland's Overall
                                                    Ecological
                                                   Significance
                                           Hydrology
                                           Functions
                                Habitat
                               Functions
                            Risk
                           Factor
    Figure 3.  Assessment level two: Primary wetland functions and risk factor.
    
    Water Quality
    Functions
    
    
    
          Nonpoint Source
              Function
       Floodwater
    Cleansing Function
    Figure 4.  Water quality subfunctions.
    
    make up the levels in the hierarchical structure that are
    actually  evaluated based on  fundamental ecological
    considerations. Parameter values, in turn, are combined
    to produce ratings for the subfunctions. Future reports
    will explain in detail all  parameters  evaluated  in the
    assessment procedure and document them for scientific
    validity. This paper discusses only the parameters under
    the nonpoint source  removal subfunction of the water
    quality function for illustration (see Figure 8).
    
    The first parameter determining a wetland's significance
    in removing nonpoint source  pollutants from surface
    runoff water is whether the  water contains sediment,
    nutrients, or toxic pollutants in significant quantities. This
    is evaluated in the "proximity to  sources" parameter
    based  on the land uses surrounding the wetland. If
    agricultural fields or developed areas from which pollut-
    ants are likely to enter surface runoff largely surround
    the wetland, the wetland's potential for removing non-
    point source  pollutants is high. If,  on  the other hand,
    natural vegetation from which runoff water is likely to be
    largely unpolluted mostly surrounds the wetland, its po-
    tential for removing significant pollutants is low.
    
    Proximity to sources is an "opportunity" parameter. That
    is, it determines whether a wetland  has the opportunity
    to remove pollutants from surface runoff by considering
    how likely the runoff water is to be polluted. The other
    parameters for this subfunction are "capacity" parame-
    ters that measure  the wetland's ability to perform the
    function if the opportunity is  present. Opportunity and
    capacity parameters are treated differently in determining
    a wetland's overall significance to prevent a wetland from
    being rated lower  simply because  present opportunity
    does not exist. This is discussed in more detail below.
    
    The second parameter considered in determining a wet-
    land's significance in  nonpoint  source removal is its
    proximity to a surface water  body.  If runoff entering a
    wetland would otherwise directly enter surface water,
    the wetland's  significance as a filter is greaterthan if the
    wetland is far removed from surface water. In that case,
    pollutants in runoff could either settle out or be removed
    by  other means before they enter surface  water as
    pollutants.
    

    -------
                               Surface Runoff
                                  Storage
                                                                Hydrology
                                                                Functions
                              Floodwater
                               Storage
                                    Shoreline
                                  Stabilization
    Figure 5.   Hydrology subfunctions.
                                                                 Habitat
                                                                Functions
                                       Terrestrial
                                        Wildlife
                                                       Aquatic
                                                         Life
    Figure 6.   Habitat subfunctions.
                                                                  Risk
                                                                 Factor
                     Landscape
                      Character
                 Water
             Characteristics
                 Replacement
                   Difficulty
       Restoration
        Potential
    Figure 7.   Risk factor subfunctions.
                                                             Nonpoint Source
                                                                Function
            Proximity to
             Sources
    Proximity to
    Water Body
    Watershed
     Position
       Site
    Conditions
                                                                                          Wetland
                                                                                           Type
                                                                                    Soil
                                                                               Characteristics
    Figure 8.   Parameters evaluated under nonpoint source pollutant removal subfunction.
                                                                   10
    

    -------
    The third parameter is the position of the wetland in its
    watershed.  Several  studies  have  documented  that
    headwater wetlands are most effective in removing non-
    point source pollutants (9-11). Thus, the higher in its
    watershed a wetland is located, the higher is its signifi-
    cance in nonpoint source removal.
    
    Two  subparameters,  wetland  type and  soil  charac-
    teristics, determine the value of the fourth  parameter,
    site conditions. By virtue of their typical  microtopogra-
    phy, hydrology, and vegetative structure, some wetland
    types more  effectively retain and filter surface runoff
    than do other types. Some soil series are more effective
    than others  in retaining  and chemically transforming
    pollutants. Each subparameter is rated, and their com-
    bined values produce a  rating  for the site conditions
    parameter.
    
    A similar evaluation of specific parameters is performed
    to derive significance ratings for other wetland subfunc-
    tions. In all cases, CIS analysis determines parameter
    values based on the data layers described above. Some
    parameters,  such as wetland type in the nonpoint source
    illustration, are surrogates or indicators of other wetland
    properties that actually determine the wetland's func-
    tional capacity. The limitations of CIS data  and tech-
    niques necessitate the use of indicator parameters.
    
    Evaluation Procedure
    
    The objective of the assessment procedure is to deter-
    mine an individual wetland's ecological significance in
    the watershed in which it exists. Ecological significance
    is divided  into three broad classes (high, medium, and
    low) rather than attempting to derive a specific numerical
    "score." This is partly because of the procedure's initial
    application in an EPA ADID project performed by DCM
    in Carteret County, North  Carolina. Standard ADID pro-
    cedure is to  classify wetlands into three groups:
    
    • Areas  generally  unsuitable  for the  discharge of
      dredged or fill material.
    
    • Areas that require a project-by-project determination.
    
    • Possible future disposal sites for dredged or fill material.
    
    These groups correspond to the H, M, and L used in the
    assessment procedure.
    
    The approach of classifying wetlands into three broad
    functional  significance classes is also used, however,
    because it is feasible with our current understanding of
    wetland function. Attempting to assign a specific value
    along a numeric  continuum of functional  significance
    greatly exaggerates the  precision with which  we  can
    realistically apply  current knowledge.  The three signifi-
    cance classes used in the assessment procedure  pro-
    vide the information necessary to meet the procedure's
    objectives without going beyond the realm of reasonable
    scientific validity.
    As explained above, the basic evaluation is performed
    at the parameter level. An  H, M, or L value is assigned
    to each parameter as it relates to the performance of the
    wetland subfunction being considered. For example, if
    the soils underlying a wetland have properties that are
    highly conducive to the function being considered, the
    soil characteristics parameter is rated H; if soil proper-
    ties are less conducive to  performing the function, the
    parameter is rated M; and if soil properties are not at all
    conducive to the function, the parameter is rated L. All
    individual parameters under a given subfunction receive
    similar ratings.
    
    The individual parameter ratings are then combined to
    give  an  H, M,  or  L rating  for each subfunction.  The
    subfunction  ratings are combined  into a  rating of the
    wetland's significance in performing each of the primary
    wetland functions.  Finally, the ratings for primary func-
    tions are combined into an overall rating of the wetland's
    functional significance.
    
    The process of successively combining ratings up the
    structural hierarchy is the most complex aspect of the
    assessment procedure. The combining, as well as the
    evaluation of individual  parameters, is based on funda-
    mental ecological principles about how  wetlands  and
    landscapes function. Because the ecological processes
    themselves interact in complex ways, combining ratings
    is much  more  complex than a simple summation of
    individual ratings. Some parameters are normally more
    important than others in determining the  level at which
    a wetland performs a specific function and,  thus, must
    be weighed  more heavily in determining  the combined
    value. In some cases, different combinations of individ-
    ual parameter ratings result in the  same level of func-
    tional  significance.  Each  possible combination of
    parameters must then be considered.
    
    The automated version of the assessment procedure
    maintains all individual parameter ratings and combina-
    tions in a database. Because the combining process is
    complex, the reason a wetland receives an overall H, M,
    or L rating may not be intuitively obvious. The database
    makes it possible to trace through the parameter,  sub-
    function, and primary function ratings that  result  in a
    wetland's overall rating.
    
    This database also allows consideration of specific  wet-
    land functions  individually. For example, in a watershed
    targeted  for nonpoint source pollution reduction,  one
    management objective may be to give the highest level
    of protection to wetlands most important in  performing
    this function. The database allows  examination of each
    wetland for its significance in  nonpoint source removal
    and production of a map of wetlands rated according to
    their significance for this single function.
    
    Individual function  ratings  in the  database can  also
    be used  to improve planning, impact assessment, and
                                                       11
    

    -------
    mitigation for development projects that affect wetlands.
    If alternative sites  are  available,  such as  alternative
    corridors for a highway, the  alternative with the least
    impact on the wetland function considered most impor-
    tant  in the watershed can be  identified.  Rather than
    simply minimizing acres of wetland impact, the objective
    would  be to minimize impacts to the most important
    wetland functions. Environmental  assessment of wet-
    land impacts can identify specific functions  to be lost.
    Mitigation can be improved by giving priority to sites with
    the highest potential for performing the same functions.
    
    Future reports will explain detailed procedures for evalu-
    ating  individual parameters and combining them  into
    functional ratings. This paper illustrates only the water
    quality nonpoint source removal subfunction. The rating
    system for this subfunction  is summarized in Figure 9.
    
    Four parameters are evaluated to determine the signifi-
    cance  of the nonpoint  source removal  subfunction.
    Because (d), the site conditions parameter, has sub-
    parameters below it, it is first evaluated using a relatively
    simple procedure. If conditions typical of the wetland
    type and characteristics of the underlying soil are both
    highly conducive to removal of pollutants in runoff water
    entering the wetland, the site conditions parameter is H.
    If either the wetland type or the soil is not at all conducive
    to pollutant removal and the other subparameter is no
    more than somewhat conducive, the site conditions pa-
    rameter is L. Any other combination results in an M.
                         Parameters
    
       (a)  Proximity to Sources
    
       (b)  Proximity to Surface Water
    
       (c)  Watershed Position
    
       (d)  Site Conditions
    
          (1) Wetland Type
    
          (2) Soil Characteristics
    
    
                     Evaluation Procedures
    
       Site Conditions
    
       H  Both Parameters H
    
       M  Other combinations
    
       L  One parameter L and neither H
    
    
       NPS Subfunction
    
       H (a) & (b) H and (d) at least M or
         (c) & (d) H and (b) at least M
    
       M  Other combinations
    
       L  Two of (b), (c), & (d) L
    Figure 9.  Parameters evaluated under nonpoint source pollut-
             ant removal subfunction.
    Following evaluation of all parameters, they are  com-
    bined to evaluate the significance of the wetland  in
    removing nonpoint source pollutants. Two combinations
    result in  the wetland being evaluated as highly signifi-
    cant in performing this function. First, if the wetland is
    adjacent to both a significant source of polluted runoff
    (a =  H)  and  a permanent surface water body into
    which the runoff would flow if the wetland  were not
    there (b  = H), and has site conditions that are at least
    reasonably efficient in catching, holding, and removing
    pollutants from the runoff (d at least M), it receives an
    H. Alternatively, even if the wetland is not adjacent to a
    pollutant source, it receives an H if it is in the headwaters
    of the watershed (c =  H),  site conditions are highly
    conducive to pollutant removal (d = H),  and it is at least
    close to an intermittent stream (b at least M).
    
    On the other hand, if any two of parameters (b), (c), and
    (d) are evaluated L, the significance of the wetland for
    nonpoint source pollutant removal is Low.  That is, the
    wetland is evaluated as L for this function if any of the
    following conditions exist:
    
    • The wetland is  not close to surface water (b = L) and
      downstream in  the watershed (c = L).
    
    • The wetland is not close to surface water (b = L), and
      its site  conditions are poor for pollutant removal (d = L).
    
    • The wetland  is  downstream  in the watershed (c = L)
      and has poor site conditions (d = L).
    
    Any  combination  of parameter evaluations other than
    those resulting in  an H or L results in the wetland being
    evaluated as of moderate significance for removing non-
    point source pollutants. This example is typical of evalu-
    ation procedures  used for all subfunctions. More  often
    than not, the evaluation procedures are complex and
    multifarious  in  their reasoning and application. Hope-
    fully, though, they are scientifically valid based on cur-
    rent  knowledge of wetland ecology.
    
    Opportunity and Capacity
    
    The  concepts of opportunity and capacity for a wetland
    to perform  a  given function  were briefly discussed
    above. For a wetland to actually perform  a function, it
    must have both the opportunity and the capacity for the
    function.  In  terms of the  nonpoint  source example, a
    source of potentially polluted runoff must enter the wet-
    land to provide an opportunity, and the wetland  must
    have the internal capacity to hold the runoff and remove
    the pollutants before releasing the water. Factors exter-
    nal to the wetland usually determine the opportunity to
    perform a function, while properties of the wetland itself
    along with its landscape position determine the capacity
    to perform the function.
    
    Because the  assessment procedure  is a  landscape
    scale procedure that evaluates the functions a wetland
                                                        12
    

    -------
    performs in relation to its surroundings, essentially every
    subfunction  includes opportunity parameters. A func-
    tional assessment that is too heavily dependent  on op-
    portunity parameters, however,  is static  and  rapidly
    becomes invalid as land uses change. A wetland that is
    bordered by natural forest today can  be bordered by a
    young pine plantation or a subdivision under construc-
    tion by next year. The fact that a wetland does not have
    the opportunity to perform certain functions today does
    not mean that it  will not  have the opportunity  in the
    future. If an assessment of wetland  significance is to
    remain valid overtime in a landscape subject to change,
    opportunity parameters alone cannot  be determinative.
    
    The evaluation procedure for the nonpoint source sub-
    function explained above is  an  example  of how the
    assessment procedure handles this situation. The op-
    portunity for a wetland to receive polluted  runoff water
    from surrounding  lands (a = H) can result  in an  evalu-
    ation of H for this subfunction if other properties are also
    present, but it does not have to be present for a wetland
    to be  evaluated H. Other parameters  (c and d =  H, and
    b at least M)  that give a wetland a high capacity to
    remove nonpoint source pollutants can also result in an
    H. Conversely,  lack of present opportunity  (a = L) does
    not result in an evaluation of low significance for this
    function. At least two of the other parameters must be L
    for the wetland to be evaluated as L.
    
    These conventions  hold throughout  the procedure.  A
    present high opportunity to perform a function can result
    in an evaluation of high significance for the  function, but
    high capacity can also result in an H  evaluation  even if
    present opportunity is lacking. Lack of present opportu-
    nity alone never results in an evaluation of low  signifi-
    cance for  a  function.  High opportunity is treated
    essentially as a "bonus" consideration that  can result in
    a higher evaluation for a wetland than  its capacity alone
    would indicate but that will never result in a lower evalu-
    ation  because of its absence.
    
    Overriding Considerations
    
    Several considerations are of such importance  in the
    North Carolina coastal area that their presence alone
    will result in a wetland  evaluation of  high significance.
    These parameters are evaluated first as either true or
    false, and if one or more of them is true, the rest of the
    evaluation procedure is not performed.
    
    The first overriding consideration is whether the wetland
    is a salt or brackish marsh  meeting the  definition of
    "coastal wetland" as set forth in North Carolina statutes
    (NCGS  113-229(n)(3))  and rule (NCAC 7H  .0205(a)).
    Coastal wetlands in North Carolina are designated by
    law as highly significant. Consequently, the assessment
    procedure evaluates them  automatically as  H and in-
    cludes no considerations for  differentiating among the
    functional significance of these wetland types.
    The second overriding consideration is whether the wet-
    land  is adjacent to an officially designated primary nurs-
    ery area (PNA). All designated PNAs are included in
    "areas of environmental concern" in the NC  CMP and
    are protected by a specific set of regulations. They  are
    areas where initial postlarval development of finfish and
    crustaceans takes place and, thus, are critical to estu-
    arine fish and shellfish populations. Wetlands adjacent
    to PNAs are highly important in maintaining water qual-
    ity and appropriate salinity gradients in these  critical
    areas and are automatically evaluated as of high func-
    tional significance.
    
    The  third overriding consideration is  whether the wet-
    land  contains threatened or endangered species.  If a
    known threatened or endangered plant or animal spe-
    cies on either federal or state lists is present, the wetland
    is evaluated as highly significant.  The determination is
    based  on information obtained from the North Carolina
    Natural Heritage Program.
    
    The fourth overriding consideration is whether the wet-
    land  includes all or part of a critical natural area as
    designated by the North Carolina Natural Heritage Pro-
    gram.  If so, the site is  considered of high significance.
    CIS  data  layers maintained  by the  Natural  Heritage
    Program also help make this determination.
    
    Verification
    
    Throughout the development and initial application of
    the assessment procedure, we have checked and veri-
    fied its validity. Parameter evaluations and combination
    procedures are based on the best wetland science avail-
    able  in the scientific literature. The validity and accuracy
    of the CIS  databases used to apply the  procedure
    have been verified to the extent possible. Following sec-
    tions  of this  report fully document  any assumptions
    made about wetland ecology, CIS data, or CIS analytical
    techniques.
    
    An advisory panel of wetland scientists familiar with  the
    wetlands of coastal North Carolina and representatives
    of several state  and  federal wetland-related agencies
    reviewed every step of the procedure's development.
    While their review does not represent an endorsement
    of the  procedure or its results by the agencies or indi-
    viduals included, it does indicate the level of peer review
    the procedure has received.
    
    During development of the procedure, field visits were
    made to nearly 400 wetland sites to gather data on func-
    tional indicators. On these same site visits, a field-based
    functional  assessment procedure, the Wetland  Rating
    System developed  by the  North  Carolina  Division
    of Environmental Management,  was applied. This pro-
    vides the basis for a field verification of the assessment
    procedure.
                                                       13
    

    -------
    Discussion
    
    As we continue to understand more about the  role of
    wetlands in maintaining a healthy environment, the use-
    fulness of wetlands locational data continues to grow in
    importance. Spatial data can assist county planners in
    guiding development away from environmentally sensi-
    tive areas.  Landowners now have the capability to look
    at a map and realize very quickly that wetlands exist on
    a given area of land. In addition, economic development
    councils can use this information to plan development in
    areas attractive to a  particular industry. If a new busi-
    ness  or  industry wishes to locate in  an  area positioned
    such  that the wetlands  permitting  process  could be
    avoided, maps showing lands void of wetlands could be
    a significant tool to the  economic development council.
    The representation of these wetlands' ecological signifi-
    cance dramatically increases the utility for these data.
    
    While paper  maps can  be distributed to all interested
    parties, digital data also are available to public agencies
    who have CIS capabilities. In Carteret County, for exam-
    ple, a publicly installed workstation will be made avail-
    able with these data  installed. The  county government
    will be able to view wetlands in the context of cadastral
    boundaries that already are on CIS. Information about
    sensitive resources made available  prior to any devel-
    opment  will,  hopefully,  lead  development  away  from
    environmentally sensitive areas.
    
    References
     1.  Hefner, J.M., and J.D.  Brown. 1985. Wetland trends in the south-
        eastern United States. Wetlands 4:1-12.
     2.  Dahl,  I.E. 1990. Wetlands losses in the  United States 1780s to
        1980s. U.S. Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service,
        Washington, DC.
     3.  DEM. 1991. Original extent, status,  and trends of wetlands in
        North Carolina. Report No. 91-01. North Carolina Department of
        Environment, Health, and Natural  Resources, Division of Envi-
        ronmental Management, Raleigh, NC.
    
     4.  DCM. 1992. Final assessment of the North Carolina coastal man-
        agement program. Report to the Office of Ocean and Coastal
        Resource Management,  NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,
        performed  under the Coastal Zone  Enhancement Grants  Pro-
        gram (January 10). Section 309, CZMA, North Carolina Division
        of Coastal Management, Raleigh, NC.
    
     5.  DCM. 1992. Final strategy for achieving enhancements to the
        North Carolina coastal  management program. Proposal to the
        Office of Ocean and Coastal Resource Management, NOAA, U.S.
        Department of Commerce, performed under the Coastal Zone En-
        hancement Grants Program (March 25). Section 309, CZMA,
        North Carolina Division  of Coastal  Management, Raleigh, NC.
    
     6.  Hefner, J.M., and K.K. Moorhead.  1991. Mapping pocosins and
        associated wetlands  in North Carolina. Wetlands  2(Special Is-
        sue):377-389.
    
     7.  Brinson, M.M.  1993. A hydrogeomorphic  classification for  wet-
        lands. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Waterways Experiment Sta-
        tion Report WRP-DE-4. Washington, DC.
    
     8.  Khorram, S., H. Cheshire, K. Siderelis, and Z. Nagy. 1992. Map-
        ping and CIS development of land  use/land cover categories for
        the Albemarle-Pamlico  drainage basin. Report No. 91-08-NC.
        Raleigh, NC: North Carolina Department of Environment, Health,
        and Natural Resources.
    
     9.  Leopold, L.B. 1974. Water: A primer. San Francisco,  CA: WH.
        Freeman and Co.
    
    10.  Whigham, D.F., C. Chitterling, and B. Palmer. 1988. Impacts of
        freshwater wetlands on water quality: A landscape perspective.
        Environ. Mgmt. 12(5):663-671.
    
    11.  Novitski, R.P. 1979. The hydrologic characteristics of Wisconsin
        wetlands and their influence on floods, streamflow, and sediment.
        In: Greeson, P.E., J.R. Clark, and J.E. Clark, eds. Wetland func-
        tions and values: The state of our understanding. Lake Buena
        Vista, FL: American Water Resources Association.
                                                            14
    

    -------
                           A GIS Strategy for Lake Management Issues
                                              Michael F. Troge
                            University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point, Wisconsin
    Abstract
    
    Lake management plans are crucial to the sustained life
    of a lake as it experiences pressures from human as well
    as environmental activities. As proven in the past, geo-
    graphic information systems (GIS) can meet the needs
    of most if not all environmental entities. Applying GIS to
    lakes and lake management, however, is a fairly new
    concept because most previous work focused on  the
    terrestrial realm. Future studies must address problems
    relating to dimension, but adopting certain  methods (i.e.,
    cross-sectional coverages) can  help  lake  managers
    plan for critical lake issues. By using sufficiently planned
    coverages, lake quality data  management coverages
    can increase storage and/or  analysis efficiency. After
    evaluating certain management criteria, a  lake manage-
    ment plan can be derived  and set up as a coverage.
    These criteria can then correspond collectively to form
    management zones within a lake. Each of these zones
    has its own set of management goals to which all lake
    users must strictly adhere.
    
    Introduction
    
    The importance of maintaining lake quality has long
    concerned recreationalists and ecologists. The multifac-
    eted interrelationships of the lake environment, how-
    ever, usually make proper assessment and analysis of
    lake quality information difficult. Over the last decade,
    assessment  has become easier due to the increased
    use and acceptance of geographic information systems
    (GIS). This computer-based tool has allowed successful
    integration of water quality variables  into a comprehen-
    sible format.
    
    One area of the environmental sciences that has neglected
    GIS is lake management. This paper presents an alternative
    method for using a traditional two-dimensional GIS for
    viewing, querying, and displaying three-dimensional in-
    formation—in this case,  lake quality information and
    lake management criteria. Lakes, unlike geologic enti-
    ties, offer a three-dimensional realm  that  humans can
    fully penetrate without a great amount of effort. Lakes
    also contain a complete aquatic environment of physi-
    cal, chemical, and biological entities that humans can
    effectively observe and analyze. This paper does not dis-
    cuss the issue of dimension; however, future studies, pri-
    marily those relating to the creation of three-dimensional
    GIS, should address this issue.
    
    GIS allows incorporation of a multitude of environ-
    mental  variables (e.g.,  water  chemistry,  geologic
    strata) into a synergism of the many coexisting vari-
    ables  of the lake environment. The ability of a GIS to
    "capture, manipulate, process, and  display spatial or
    georeferenced data" is now well known and accepted
    (1). Surprisingly though,  GIS is rarely used for  lake
    management databases and associated water quality
    analysis.
    
    The few  examples that exist include Schoolmaster's
    Texas Water Development Board System (2), which
    examined water use on a county basis, and RAISON
    GIS (3),  which  is an expert computer  system  imple-
    menting proper application of hydrologic principles to
    a particular lake. Many other systems are simply data-
    base collection storehouses of lake information, such as
    the Galveston Bay National Estuary Program (4).
    
    One notable example  is the LAKEMAP program (5).
    This extensive  and comprehensive GIS  spans the
    entire United States covering approximately 800,000
    lake sampling sites from the U.S. Environmental  Pro-
    tection Agency's (EPA's) STORET system. LAKEMAP
    uses both a database management and mapping dis-
    play system, allowing retrieval of information for spe-
    cific sites or aggregation of regional areas. This  GIS
    is unique because it examined the creation of stand-
    ards that could be used  across the country in data-
    base development and the presentation of that data.
    
    Using GIS in a lake management study inspires many
    questions because of the lack of existing research and
    the absence of any true standards. For example,  how
    should one create a lake quality database for general
    purpose management? Is visualizing the integration of
    several variables within the lake ecology possible? Can
    

    -------
    one examine temporal changes in pH? Many technical
    and logistical CIS questions therefore existed when the
    Legend Lake study began.
    
    Background of the Legend Lake Study
    
    Legend Lake (see  Figure 1)  is located  in Menominee
    Reservation, which is  in Menominee County in north-
    eastern Wisconsin. Legend Lake is a 1,230-acre im-
    poundment comprising eight natural drainage lakes that
    a single stream once  connected. In the late 1960s, a
    plan was introduced to convert this area into an im-
    poundment/recreational area,  and construction soon be-
    gan. The ecology and hydrology had not been seriously
    evaluated since the development was finalized, hence
    the Legend Lake project was designed  in cooperation
    with  EPA, Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources
    (WDNR), Menominee Reservation and County,  Legend
    Lake District, and the Legend Lake Property Owners
    Association. This intensive study spanned the  qualita-
    tive and quantitative aspects  of  surface water, ground
    water, sediment, and aquatic  plants, as well as human
    influences on  the  Legend Lake watershed and  sur-
    rounding areas.
    Figure 1.  Legend Lake with basin identifiers.
    
    Initially, questions needed to be answered regarding
    aquatic plants and sediment and their influences on lake
    management strategies. Because the scope of the Leg-
    end Lake study included subjects such as surface- and
    ground-water chemistry, land use  and  development,
    septic system impacts, and recreational stress, all these
    factors needed to be considered in determining optimum
    management strategies.  In  addition, the study ad-
    dressed the question of GIS's ability to alleviate some
    technical aspects of deriving and presenting a lake man-
    agement plan. Given these questions, the goal  was to
    integrate collected data into a CIS database to create a
    prototype standard for future lake studies, as well as to
    present new techniques for visualization and analysis of
    lake quality data.
    
    CIS/Database Creation
    
    Several techniques were used to best manage the data
    for a three-dimensional system: cross-sectional cover-
    ages (described later), data summary coverages, and
    multidate coverages. The latter two coverage types are
    traditional coverages that contain general lake informa-
    tion excluding water column data. These techniques
    work fairly well for data storage and visualization; how-
    ever, they were not sufficient for determining the geo-
    graphic areas within the  lake that required  intensive
    management decisions  as  opposed  to areas  that
    needed little attention.
    
    During formulation of a new coverage design, the study
    focused on the littoral zone, which is usually defined as
    that area of the lake with a depth of 15 feet or less. Most
    management concerns deal with the  littoral zone be-
    cause most recreational and ecological activities occur
    in this  zone. One of the most pressing issues  in  lake
    management is aquatic plant growth. The fact that most
    aquatic plant growth is confined to the littoral zone rein-
    forced the decision to use the littoral zone as the primary
    sink for potential  management decisions.
    
    To curtail the dimensional problem, depth was basically
    ignored.  This allowed for  easier delineation  of areas
    within the lake. This, in turn, facilitated classifying areas
    into management zones to implement varying degrees
    of activity, ranging from casual to intensive efforts. Thus,
    management recommendations for a  particular zone
    were the same at a depth of 2 feet as at a depth of 12
    feet. This greatly  reduced complication of the model and
    centered effort on the areal extent of the lake. It  also
    facilitated visualization of  management decisions by
    professionals and lay people.
    
    Problems can arise when  combining depths  for man-
    agement considerations,  as this technique did. For ex-
    ample, a littoral zone that contains a gentle slope usually
    does not receive the  same attention as a littoral zone
    with a very abrupt slope  because the  littoral zone with
    the gentle slope contains  more area.  Thus,  if a  lake
    manager recommends restricting boat traffic in a man-
    agement zone (a section of the littoral zone) that has a
    gentle slope to promote wildlife habitat, the amount of
    area available for boaters would decrease significantly.
    In this situation,  primary activity would  be most crucial
    in shallow areas where wildlife or waterfowl predominate
    rather than in more open  water areas where boaters
    predominate. Situations like these may require the crea-
    tion of management subzones when setting  up a  lake
    management CIS and database to increase efficiency
    of lake area use and increase support by lake users.
    
    Many criteria  can affect  the decisions made for a
    management zone. For  instance,  if the  lake manager
    recognizes excessive, unhealthy weed growth in a  par-
    ticular zone, the lake manager may recommend exten-
    sive  weed  harvesting to  neutralize the situation.  An
    adjacent zone may have very little weed growth  and
    may not require weed harvesting. Criteria such as these
    must be recognized before constructing the CIS. Table 1
    lists some common criteria  to consider. Generally, man-
    agement criteria  include anything that is influent on the
    

    -------
    Table 1.  Criteria To Consider When Creating Lake
            Management Plans
    Environmental Variables
                              Artificial Variables
    Aquatic plants
    
    Sediment
    
    Ground water
    
    Surface water
    
    Wildlife/waterfowl
    
    Fisheries
    
    Climate
    
    Wind
    
    Geology/geography
    
    Adjacent natural land cover
    
    Natural nutrient loading
    
    Hydrologic characteristics
    Adjacent land use
    
    Septic systems
    
    Development
    
    Construction sites
    
    Fuel leaks
    
    Shoreland zoning
    
    Population density
    
    Primary lake use (recreational)
    
    Nutrient loading
    
    Visitor use
    shoreline and lake itself and any influence the lake has
    on the shoreline or adjacent shorelands.
    
    A primary concern when accessing lake data from a
    computer database is being sure to query the correct
    lake. For example, searching a database for all data on
    "Sand Lake" would be a  legitimate action, except that
    the database may include close to 200 lakes with the
    name of Sand Lake. This is one of the main reasons why
    the WDNR developed a  system known  as the  Water
    Mileage System  (6).  Based  on  logical  criteria,  each
    water body (e.g., lakes, streams, sloughs)  receives a
    unique six- or seven-digit number called the waterbody
    number. Thus, if the number 197900, assigned to Sand
    Lake near Legend Lake,  is the query subject, then the
    output should  include all data for this particular  Sand
    Lake. Because having a unique identifier for each spe-
    cific entity in a CIS database is ideal, the waterbody
    number was used, and all sampling performed on this
    lake will be linked with this number.
    
    Examples of Types of Coverage
    
    Management Zone Coverages
    
    Figure 2 and Table 2 together show how a potential lake
    management CIS and plan might work. The lake man-
    ager can easily manage and frequently update this sys-
    tem if necessary, or the system can serve as a long-term
    plan to consult for all decision-making. A plan of this sort
    specifically emphasizes areas that need intensive man-
    agement over areas that may need frequent monitoring.
    It provides specific instructions for plan implementation,
    leaving little guess-work forthe manager. This technique
    is also  visually informative to the lake user because the
    user can easily discern areas of concern. This example
    is hypothetical, but a plan is being formulated based on
    the information collected during the Legend Lake study.
    Cross-Sectional Coverages
    
    Another technique  currently  included  in the Legend
    Lake  study  entails  the  z dimension. Cross-sectional
    views of each lake basin, derived from 1992 lake con-
    tour maps, provided a more detailed description of the
    lake bottom. These  cross sections were then digitized
    and transformed  into CIS  coverages. For each  lake
    basin, 22 tests were conducted on the deepest part of
    the lake at several  different depth intervals  along the
    water column. These data provided valuable information
    on the way  various chemical and biological attributes
    react to depth. Using CIS, a point could represent each
    depth where data were  collected. These points could
    actually act as labels for polygons based on depth.
    
    For example, if performing a series of analyses on a lake
    (maximum depth of 10 feet) at 3-foot, 5-foot, and 8-foot
    depth intervals, the labels on the cross-sectional cover-
    age would be placed at these respective depths. Thus,
    labels would be positioned at depths of 3, 5, and 8 feet.
    Because these labels represent cross-sectional  poly-
    gons,  the  3-foot depth label may represent a polygon
    with boundaries at 0 feet and 4 feet. The 5-foot depth
    label may  represent a polygon with boundaries at 4 feet
    and 6 feet, and the 8-foot depth label  may represent a
    polygon with boundaries at 6 feet and the lake bottom
    (10 feet).  Those  who are  familiar with lake ecology
    understand  that no  clear-cut boundaries distinguish
    where chemical values jump from one measurement to
    another without a gradual transition. All users of a  lake
    quality CIS  must be made aware of these types  of
    inaccuracies (see Figure 3).
    Figure 2.  Hypothetical management zones for a section of Legend Lake that correspond to the management plans in Table 2; black
             areas indicate depths greater than 15 feet.
    

    -------
    Table 2.  Hypothetical Management Plans for a Section of Legend Lake (see Figure 2)
    
    Management Zone       Management Plan (brief explanations)
    I
    IV
    
    V
    
    VI
    
    VII
    
    VIII
    
    IX
    
    X
    
    XI
    
    XII
    
    XIII
    
    XIV
    
    
    XV
    High recreation area, high plant growth, frequent harvesting; frequently monitor water quality
    
    Moderate recreation; manage for fish habitat
    
    Moderate recreation; manage for fish habitat
    
    Open water, high recreation/possible fish habitat; consider subzoning
    
    High-grade wildlife habitat; restrict human contact
    
    Moderate recreation; manage for fish habitat
    
    Open water, high recreation, increased shoreland development; frequently monitor water quality
    
    Adjacent to high recreation area, possible fish habitat; manage for fish and aquatic habitat
    
    Adjacent to high recreation area, shoreland development; monitor water quality
    
    Increased development; frequently monitor water quality
    
    aPrime wildlife/waterfowl habitat adjacent to high recreation area; restrict human presence (hot spot)
    
    Open water, high recreation area; frequently monitor water quality
    
    Open water, high recreation area, possible fisheries and wildlife habitat; consider subzoning
    
    Excessive aquatic plant growth (species listed) choking out preferred species;  potential wildlife/waterfowl
    habitat, fisheries potential; continual harvesting; restrict human presence
    
    High-grade slope with little plant growth, potential for increased sedimentation; monitor shoreland development
     Critical area between good habitat and high recreation area; monitor extensively.
    Figure 3 shows a cross section from one of the larger basins,
    Basin F,  in the Legend Lake system (see Figure  1). The
    shades of gray represent ranges of temperature, with the
    lightest being the  coldest  and the darkest  being the
    warmest. The thermocline can be located roughly in the
    middle. Each  colored section represents a depth range
    where certain chemical attributes were collected. Using
    ARC/VIEW, the user  can choose these  areas with a
    pointer (mouse) and gain access to the database that
    contains all the sample results for this depth range.
    
    Conclusion
    
    These ideas are still  preliminary as the Legend  Lake
    study analysis  concludes.  Clear-cut discussions  and
    recommendations will become available at a later date,
    although some observations can be made at this point.
    First, future research should focus on creating and de-
    veloping a three-dimensional CIS, not to be  confused
    with three-dimensional or cartographic models.  Ideally,
    lake management plans should  consider depth.  This
    paper did not  include depth because of the dimensional
    factor. Depth was not compatible with ourtwo-dimensional
    CIS, and the presentation quality was not sufficient to relay
    our results in the form of management zones. We  must
    develop a three-dimensional  CIS to address the problems
    of the three-dimensional environment in which we live.
    
    Lastly, maps are the best form for communicating this
    information to professionals and the public. Maps can
    also  easily confuse people,  however.  Proper carto-
    graphic techniques are a  necessity (7). Significant effort
    must be devoted to map creation to ensure a successful
                                        plan and successful relationships between lake manag-
                                        ers and lake users.  CIS and map-making are closely
                                        related. Both the  planning stages  and the  database
                                        development phase of the  lake quality CIS should em-
                                        phasize this  point. At an  early stage of the process,
                                        management criteria should be determined, and all play-
                                        ers  or potential players must be included.  A  poorly
                                        planned project can lead to a failed CIS.
    
                                        Creativity may offer new ideas in map development. For
                                        instance, animation (8) has some unique traits. Trend
                                        analysis using animation may produce the best visual
                                        results. Techniques such as these augment our methods
                                        of communication, and some are very  revolutionary.
                                        Remember, however,  that cartographic principles still
                                        must apply.
    
                                        Acknowledgments
    
                                        I would like to thank Dr. Keith Rice of the University of
                                        Wisconsin, Stevens Point,  for his  review efforts as well
                                        as Dr. Byron Shaw and Steven Weber for their technical
                                        support on lake management issues. Also, I would like
                                        Figure 3.  Cross section from one of the larger basins, Basin F,
                                                 in the Legend Lake system.
    

    -------
    to  thank members  of  the  University  of Wisconsin,
    Stevens Point, Geography/Geology Department for their
    support and for the use of their equipment.
    
    
    References
    
    1. Fedra,  K.  1993. Models, GIS, and expert  systems: Integrated
       water resources models. Proceedings of the  HydroGIS '93: Appli-
       cation  of Geographic Information Systems in Hydrology and Water
       Resources Conference, Vienna.  International Association of Hy-
       drological Sciences Publication No. 211.
    
    2. Schoolmaster, F.A., and P.G.  Marr. 1992. Geographic information
       systems as a tool in  water  use data management. Water Re-
       sources Bull. 28(2):331-336.
    
    3. Lam, D.C.L., and D.A.  Swayne. 1993. An expert system approach
       of integrating hydrological database,  models  and CIS: Application
       of the  RAISON system. Proceedings of the HydroGIS '93: Appli-
       cation  of Geographic Information Systems in Hydrology and Water
       Resources Conference, Vienna.  International Association of Hy-
       drological Sciences Publication No. 211.
    4.  Rifai, H.S., C.J.  Newell,  and P.B. Bedient. 1993.  CIS enhances
       water quality modeling. CIS World 6(8):52-55.
    
    5.  Samuels, WB. 1993. LAKEMAP: A 2-D and 3-D mapping system
       for visualizing water quality data in lakes. Water Resources Bull.
       29(6):917-922.
    
    6.  Fago, D. 1988. Retrieval and analysis system used in Wisconsin's
       statewide fish distribution survey, 2nd ed. Report 148. Wisconsin
       Department of Natural Resources Bureau of Research.
    
    7.  Ahner, A.L. 1993. Modern cartography plays essential role in GIS.
       CIS World 6(10):48-50.
    
    8.  Loucks, D.P.  1993. Interactive  multimedia,  GIS,  and water  re-
       sources simulation. Proceedings of the HydroGIS '93: Application
       of Geographic Information Systems in  Hydrology and Water Re-
       sources Conference, Vienna. International Association of Hydro-
       logical Sciences  Publication  No. 211.
    

    -------
     Sustainable Developments:  Definition, Location, and Understanding
                                    Michael E. Troyer, Ph.D.
                                    USEPA, ORD, NRMRL
    ABSTRACT
    "Sustainable development" is an important concept, but not well defined in an operational
    context. In this study, sustainable development was ideally defined as a positive relationship
    between ecological integrity and human welfare within a specific area over time. Watersheds
    were chosen as the areal unit of interest because human welfare ultimately relies on the natural
    resources and life support systems provided by ecological rather than political systems.
    Furthermore, the physical  boundaries of watersheds are unambiguous relative to many other
    ecological systems and regions. Although no scientific consensus on defining and measuring
    "ecological integrity" and "human welfare" exists, partial metrics for each were found in the
    literature. Data constraints limited the study to one time period (1988-1994). Therefore,
    "sustainable watersheds" were operationally defined as those with significant, above average
    levels of ecological and human conditions relative to other watersheds. In the analysis, three
    such watersheds were identified on the outskirts of a single metropolitan area and their
    locations assisted in developing partial explanations about how their "sustainable" conditions
    were achieved. Other watersheds with above average human conditions were also clustered
    around metropolitan areas, but had only average or below average ecological conditions.
    Watersheds with below average human conditions were all located in less accessible or
    intensively farmed areas of Ohio. These results suggested that higher levels of well-being in
    Ohio (i.e., in terms of educational attainment, employment, income, and lack of poverty), even in
    "sustainable watersheds," were tied to metropolitan areas with connections to national and
    global economies rather than isolated or "self-sufficient" economies based on local resources. In
    other words, modern sustainability appears to depend more on maintaining open and accessible
    economic systems rather than closed systems. Theoretically, economic relations between
    different places (e.g., cities, watersheds, countries) may range from mutualistic to competitive
    interactions, but mutualistic, along with cooperative and commensal relations, are preferred if
    sustainable developments are meant to be spatially non-exclusive.
    
    Key words:    Sustainable Development,  Ecological Integrity, Human Welfare or Well-Being,
                 Geographic Information System, Watersheds.
    

    -------
    Introduction
    Areas on earth are capable of sustaining various durations, frequencies, intensities, spatial
    scales and types of human activity. However, in many parts of the world, human activities
    continue to over-tax natural processes; degrade aquatic, terrestrial, and atmospheric resources;
    cause irretrievable losses of biological diversity; and increase uncertainty about the well-being
    of current and future human populations  (Vitousek et al. 1986, Goodland 1991, Wilson 1988,
    Daly and Cobb 1989). In response, most member countries of the United Nations have pledged
    to develop in a more sustainable way (Goodland, et al. 1991), but have not specified what this
    means in an operational context.
    
    Although perceived by some as a politically (or intentionally) vague concept, "sustainable
    development" does call attention to the critical question of how humans can continue to thrive
    on Earth in a more equitable and ecologically viable manner. Definitions of sustainable
    development commonly begin with the "Brundtland Report" written by the United Nation's World
    Commission on Environment and Development (WCED 1987).1 In 1987, the WCED defined
    sustainable development as development that meets the needs of the present without
    compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. However, in the
    literature, sustainable development embodies many other concepts, objectives, and constraints
    such as those listed in Table 1.
    
    The Research Problem
    Systems theory suggests that political units (e.g., a particular city, state, or nation) may attempt
    to maintain or improve human welfare and environmental conditions within their jurisdictions by
    importing or  exporting "sustainability," or by making substitutions for depleted  local resources. In
    other words, political units may increase  their reliance upon external sources for energy,
    information,  or raw materials; transport their wastes and pollution beyond their boundaries;
    and/or adopt new innovations in technology in order to sustain themselves over time. Thus,
    theoretically, political units at various hierarchical levels may behave or compete in ways which
    result in spatial variations of sustainable  and unsustainable developments across the
    landscape. However, few, if any, attempts have been made to map and analyze such spatial
    1 The WCED was established in 1983 by the General Assembly of the United Nations for the
    purpose of developing long-term, environmental strategies for achieving sustainable
    development by the year 2000 and beyond.
    

    -------
    variations, particularly at sub-national scales or within the context of ecologically-relevant
    systems.
                  Table 1. Examples of Concepts, Objectives, and Constraints
                    Commonly Found in Studies of Sustainable Development
           Concepts
    Objectives
                                                   Constraints
                                     Survival of humans   Biogeophysical system
                                     Welfare of humans   Technology
                                     Satisfying needs
                                     Ecological vitality
                                     Biodiversity
                        Self-imposed laws,
                        regulations, taxes,
                        policies, and/or treaties
    Economic development
    (not "throughput" growth)
    Equitable distribution
    of wealth within and
    between generations
    Remaining supplies of
    natural resource stocks
    Environmental quality
    Carrying capacity
           Modified from. Braat and Steetskamp 1991
    
    In this light, this research attempts to measure, detect, and understand spatial variations of
    sustainable and unsustainable developments at a watershed scale. However, in doing so,  it is
    recognized that sustainable development remains a complex and difficult concept to quantify,
    especially for researchers working within the theoretical confines of one discipline. Thus, an
    interdisciplinary approach is used. Several limitations prevent any single researcher from
    implementing such a definition. Most important,  perhaps, is the lack of scientific consensus on
    defining and measuring broad concepts like "ecological integrity" and "human welfare" (e.g.,
    consider Figures 1  and 2).  However, the literature does suggest several partial metrics which
    can serve as a starting point. With the exception of  remotely-sensed data, another limitation is
    the relative paucity of comparative ecological data at regional scales over time. As a result, this
    paper focuses on the relative difference between watersheds at one point in time. The questions
    addressed include the following:
    
    •  Question 1: Which watersheds had above average ecological and socio-economic (i.e.,
       "sustainable") conditions in the early 1990s?
    •  Question 2: Does the spatial pattern or location of these watersheds suggest how their
       "sustainable" conditions were caused?
    

    -------
    Sustainable Development as a
    Relationship Between Ecological Integrity and Human Welfare
    The field of Ecology offers several terms for characterizing the relationship between two
    organisms. For example, positive relationships may be mutual or cooperative, and negative
    relationships may be parasitic or competitive. It is suggested here that these same concepts can
    also be applied for defining a range of "sustainable" versus "unsustainable" conditions by
    characterizing observable relations between ecological integrity and human welfare within
    specific areas. In brief, relationships between co-existing or interacting species (or conditions of
    ecological integrity and human welfare within a  particular place) may be characterized as shown
    in Table 2. In general, commensal, cooperative, and mutual relations can be thought of as
    successive stages of relatively benign to symbiotic interactions or,  in a sense, increasingly
    "sustainable" relations. Neutral or non-interactions may exist between specific organisms, or
    between humans and specific ecosystems, but  neither humans nor ecosystems exist alone.
    Finally, amensal, parasitic, and competitive interactions can be viewed as negative associations
    which may lead to the ill-health or demise of one or more organisms or ecosystems if internal or
    external resources cannot be found to sustain them.
    
    It is important to note that the type of interaction occurring between organisms, or between
    humans and their environment may change over time as conditions change or as they develop
    through different stages. For example, Odum (1983, 395) suggests that  "mutualism seems to
    replace parasitism as ecosystems evolve toward maturity, and it seems  to be especially
    important when some aspect of the environment is limiting" (also see Bormann's 1985
    discussion on redundancy in mature forests). In such cases, Odum implies that mutualism has a
    strong selective advantage over other relations  because it can lead to the emergence of more
    resilient properties within a system. Such properties are important, as Arrow, et al. (1995) note,
    because without ecosystem resilience: (1) discontinuous changes in ecosystem functions may
    result in a sudden loss of biological productivity and a reduced capacity  to support human life,
    (2) irreversible changes may also occur to the set of options open for sustaining current and
    future generations, and (3) changes from familiar to unfamiliar states will tend to increase
    uncertainties associated with the environmental effects of economic activities.
    
    Thus, if sustainable development is defined within a context of humans and other species
    interacting within a larger biotic and abiotic environment, then an ecological argument can be
    made for defining sustainable developments in watersheds, or other ecologically-relevant areas
    as instances where mutual, cooperative, or commensal relations between human welfare and
    

    -------
    ecological integrity can be detected over time (Figure 3). In areas with lower human welfare and
    higher levels of ecological integrity, nature may be managed as a preserve or be relatively
    unaffected by human activity for various reasons such as lying within less navigable or less
    economically productive terrain. Conversely, in areas where  human welfare has increased or
    remained  high, and ecological integrity has decreased or remained low, humans will have likely
    dominated the area in an amensal or predatory/parasitic manner. Competitive interactions,
    where society and nature are both inhibited, can also happen and may occur in areas where
    production has degraded or used-up all the local natural resources. From a systems point of
    view, these latter three types of interaction result in areas becoming more dependent upon
    external resources for sustaining high levels of welfare.
                      Table 2. Positive, Neutral, and Negative Interactions
    Positive Interactions
     Mutualism
     Cooperation
     Commensalism
    
    Non-interactions
     Neutralism
    Negative Interactions
     Amensalism
     Predation/Parasitism
     Competition
    
    
    Source: Odum 1983.
    Both benefit and become totally dependent on each other.
    Both benefit, but are not dependent upon each other.
    One benefits and the other remains unaffected or no worse off.
    Neither affects the other.
    One is inhibited, but the other remains unaffected or no worse off.
    One benefits at the expense of the other.
    Both inhibit each other directly or indirectly when a common
    resource is limited.
    Sustainable development, defined as positive interactions between society and nature, appears
    to coincide with thoughts for a new paradigm of environmental management which suggests the
    following definition for sustainability:
    

    -------
           Sustainability is a relationship between dynamic human economic systems and larger,
           dynamic, but normally slower-changing ecological systems, such that human life can
           continue indefinitely, human individuals can flourish, and human cultures can develop—
           but also a relationship in which the effects of human activities remain within bounds so
           as not to destroy the health and integrity of self-organizing systems that provide the
           environmental context for these activities (Norton 1992).
    
    However, by formally adding concepts of interaction, it appears that sustainable development
    can be defined in a more testable or operational context as:
    
           ecologically-relevant areas (e.g., watersheds, ecoregions, etc.) where ecological integrity
           and human welfare both increase (i.e., exhibit mutual or cooperative relations) over time,
           or where either the ecological or human welfare condition remains constant (but not in a
           degraded state) while the other increases over time (i.e., a commensal relationship)
           (Figure 3).
    
    In instances where temporal studies are not possible (as in this study), sustainable
    developments may also be defined in a relative sense as:
    
           ecologically-relevant areas with significant, above average levels of ecological integrity
           and human welfare with respect to other comparable areas at a specific point in time
           (Figure 4).
    
    Conceptual Model and Data
    The entire state of Ohio was used as a study area in order to obtain an adequate sample size of
    watersheds for statistical analysis. The state of Ohio was also chosen to limit any potential
    travel or data collection costs, and because aquatic biological data, not commonly found in other
    states, was available. Furthermore, Ohio contains a variety of ecological, economic, cultural,
    and physical features which combine to make a  diverse geography (Peacefull 1996, Omernik
    1987) and thus, a likely landscape for finding variations in both human and ecological conditions
    in watersheds across the state.
    
    Watersheds became the ecologically-relevant areal units of interest in this study because: (1) no
    consensus on a standard system for classifying  habitats, biological communities,  nor
    ecosystems exists, and developing one would be difficult and contentious (Orians 1993); and (2)
    watersheds are aquatic systems with relatively undisputed physical boundaries. Most of Ohio's
    watersheds were assumed to be composed of a number of competing local economies, not
    "cooperatives" looking out for the best ecological and economic interests of the entire
    watershed. It was also assumed that State-level policies may impact or constrain certain
    activities  at lower economic and ecological levels and so on. Figure 3 Sus. Dev. Over Time
    

    -------
    For purposes of this study, Ohio was assumed to have many ecologically-relevant areas defined
    as watersheds and to have many state laws, regulations, and policies that potentially affect the
    ecological and socio-economic conditions of these watersheds. Any particular watershed, in
    turn, was thought capable of maintaining only a certain level of human and ecological activity at
    any given time. Watersheds were also assumed to be composed of open and complex systems
    including an interacting mixture of human settlements (each with its own local authorities
    governing land use, commerce, and trade),  and a variety of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems.
    Ecological components considered in this study, however, only focused on the physical
    conditions of rivers and forests (the latter with respect to forest-interior breeding birds), and the
    biological conditions of aquatic invertebrates and fish.
    
    Watersheds having available data for this study (Figure 5) were delineated using Arc/Info (ESRI
    1992-1998) and the following three coverages:
    
        1)  Point coverages derived from OhioEPA monitoring data measuring aquatic invertebrate,
           fish, and physical habitat conditions  in Ohio rivers and streams during 1988-1992,
    
       2)  Line coverages of Ohio streams based on USGS  1:100,000-scale Digital Line Graphs
           (Wessex 1997), and
    
       3)  1:250,000-scale Digital Elevation Models (DEM) of Ohio (USGS 1997).
    
    All coverages used in this study were transformed into a consistent Albers Equal Area Conic
    projection prior to any  overlays and analysis.
    
    Census tracts (U.S. Census Bureau 1992, Wessex 1997) were used to aggregate socio-
    economic data at the watershed scale. This is because watersheds are typically composed of
    many census tracts, and these tracts represent the best resolution data available for
    comparatively assessing the social-economic statistics collected for this study.
    
    Metrics of ecological and of human condition were selected based on the following criteria:
    
        1.  Can support for the measure be found in the scientific literature?
    

    -------
       2.  Does a data set based on this metric already exist, or can the metric be derived from
           existing data for the entire state of Ohio?
    
       3.  Are the data relevant to the time period of study?
    
       4.  Are the data at an acceptable spatial resolution (i.e., at a watershed or lesser spatial
           scale)?
       5.  Are values comparable across space?
       6.  Does the metric quantify a unique aspect of ecological or human condition?
    
    Ecological variables designed to measure aquatic conditions and appearing to meet all of the
    above criteria included a number of Ohio EPA's aquatic monitoring data (i.e.,  the Index of
    Biological Integrity, the Modified  Index of Well-Being, the  Invertebrate Community Index, and
    the Qualitative Habitat Evaluation Index, see Ohio EPA 1988). In general, these indices focus
    on the biological and physical components of aquatic ecosystems and together characterize
    several interacting trophic levels. Data limitations included the fact that several sample years of
    Ohio EPA data (1988-1992) were necessary to get an adequate spatial coverage of values for
    this study. This was a minor concern because biological and physical data tend to reflect longer
    term aquatic conditions than chemical measures.
    
    Terrestrial conditions within the watershed were measured in order to supplement the aquatic
    indices. Specifically, several landscape metrics of forest conditions relevant to forest-interior
    breeding  birds were identified from peer-reviewed literature. These metrics included: percent
    forest cover, percent core forest, mean forest patch size,  fractal dimension, and a measure of
    "connectedness" versus fragmentation called the "mean proximity index"  (McGarigal and Marks
    1995). In brief, these landscape metrics were derived from an existing remote sensing coverage
    of Ohio classified by Anderson Level 1 land use codes (Ohio DNR 1994).
    
    Metrics of socio-economic condition were also chosen to  represent different aspects of human
    well-being. Variables commonly used in the literature for measuring "human development,"
    "sustainable economic welfare," or "quality of life" include: infant mortality, longevity, the level of
    educational attainment, the degree of economic diversity, real income or  gross domestic product
    per capita, and income equity (Liu 1975; Daly and Cobb 1989; Cobb and Cobb 1994; Cobb,
    Halstead, and  Rowe 1995; Miller 1996; and UNDP 1997). Data used in this study for deriving
    

    -------
    human welfare metrics at the watershed scale were obtained from the 1990 Census at the
    census tract level (as compiled by Wessex 1997). Infant mortality (a general indicator of health)
    which is available from "The Vital Statistics Annual Report" for 1990 at the county and city level
    (Ohio DOH 1997) was not included because county level data were too spatially coarse for
    aggregation to the watershed scale, and using it would constitute an ecological fallacy (i.e.,
    "inferring characteristics of individuals from aggregate data referring to a population" (Johnston
    et al. 1986, 115)). One approximation considered though was to use the city data and point
    interpolation techniques as described by Lam (1983). However, discussions with Ohio's
    Department of Health indicated that the data points were limited, predominately urban, not well
    distributed throughout the state, and thus, not amenable to such an effort (Dorothy Myers, pers.
    comm., 17 April 1998). For the spatial analysis here, final variables selected included:
    educational attainment (percentage of 18+ year-olds with a high school degree or higher),
    percent employment (where people live, not work), measures of economic diversity and
    evenness, the percentage of persons above poverty thresholds (all ages), median household
    and per capita income, and several measures of income equity.
    
    Mean values of available aquatic samples were used to estimate watershed scale conditions. All
    socio-economic data at the census tract level were aggregated to the watershed scale using an
    area-weighted mean procedure. As  a result, values of aquatic ecological and human condition
    were merely estimates, not actual measurements of the whole. Landscape measures of forest
    conditions were calculated using Arc/Info Grid  (ESRI, 1992-1998) and Fragstats, a software
    program for spatial pattern analysis  (McGarigal and Marks 1995).
    
    Spatial Analysis of Watersheds with Varying Ecological and Human  Conditions
    In brief, each watershed was first ranked against all others with respect to both its aggregate
    ecological conditions and aggregate human conditions around 1990. Next, each watershed was
    plotted on a graph with coordinate axes and 99% confidence intervals representing average,
    aggregate ecological (X) and human (Y) conditions for all watersheds (Figure 6). Third,
    watersheds having above average ecological and human conditions were identified as those
    lying in the upper right hand (+ +) quadrant of Figure 6. These watersheds were then mapped
    and analyzed from  a spatial  perspective. Each of these steps are described in more detail
    below. Watersheds classed  as either"+ -,""- +," or"- -" in Figure 6 were also identified and
    mapped,  and are also discussed in this paper.
       •   Calculating Aggregate Ecological Conditions and
    

    -------
       •   Aggregating Human Conditions for Each Watershed
    
    Aggregate scores for each watershed were derived by considering variables which were:
    
       1)  not significantly correlated with watershed area, and
       2)  minimally collinear (i.e., representing different and independent components of
           ecological or human watershed conditions).
    
    All variables were converted to ordinal ranks with increasing values indicating better ecological
    (or human) conditions within the watershed, and lower ranks indicating poorer conditions. Thus,
    watersheds with higher summed ranks of ecological (or human) variables meeting the two
    criteria above were assumed to have higher overall ecological (or human) conditions, and vice
    versa.
    
    Although not originally intended,  principal components analysis (PCA) was explored to help
    select a few, independent "components" which explained most of the variance in the ecological
    and human welfare data sets. PCA and factor analysis were both considered as possible data
    reduction techniques for this purpose. However PCA was chosen because it simply focuses on
    data reduction and makes no assumptions about possible underlying causal structures
    responsible for covariation within a data  set (Hatcher and Stepanski 1994, 503). It should be
    emphasized that PCA is a large sample  procedure based typically on Pearson correlation
    coefficients derived from raw data measured on an interval or ratio scale. However, SAS does
    allow for the direct input of correlation matrices, including those derived from Spearman's non-
    parametric test. As such, PCA was used to help supplement the visual inspection of matrices in
    order to identify variables which empirically "hung together." PCA also helped to identify
    minimally collinear and important components, in terms of explained variance, to include in the
    aggregate rankings. In order to focus on solutions not affected by watershed area, correlation
    matrices derived from a sub-sample of watersheds with similar area (i.e., those with mean
    watershed areas + 99% confidence interval) were used in the SAS routine.
    
    After the principal components analyses, the next step was to use the resulting information to
    help rank and plot watersheds based on their relative, aggregate ecological and aggregate
    human conditions. Given the  two criteria stated before, remaining variables for calculating
    aggregate scores included the following:
                                              10
    

    -------
    Aggregate Score for
    Ecological Condition  = Three Components = (MRS + MPI) + MJCI + M_Mlwb
    
    Aggregate Score for
    Human Conditions    = One Component = (EA + EMP + P_AP + PCI + MEDHHI)
    
    where:
    MPS         =      Mean forest patch size (hectares) within the watershed.
    MPI          =      Mean proximity index of forest patches (search radius = 2 kilometers).
    MJCI        =      Mean Invertebrate Community Index (aquatic invertebrates).
    M_Mlwb      =      Mean Modified Index of Well-Being (fish community).
    EA          =      Educational attainment. Percentage of persons 18 years and older in the
                        watershed with a high school degree or higher.
    EMP         =      Percent employment in the watershed.
    P_AP        =      Percentage of persons above poverty thresholds, all ages.
    PCI          =      Per capita income in the watershed.
    MEDHHI      =      Median household income in the watershed.
    In other words, aggregate scores were summations of independent components consisting of
    variables not affected by watershed area and representing the majority of variance within each
    of the data sets. Specifically, the rankings and plots incorporate ecological data on terrestrial
    forest conditions and two aquatic trophic levels versus one human welfare component
    describing inter-correlated aspects of human capital. Because the principal components
    analyses were based on correlation matrices rather than raw, interval-ratio data, SAS could not
    derive optimally-weighted component scores. Therefore, factor-based scoring (a summation of
    ranks of variables loading meaningfully on a given component) was used in the aggregate score
    equations above.
    
    Plotting, Classifying, and Mapping Watersheds Based Upon
    Their Relative Ecological and Human Conditions
    Once aggregate scores were calculated for each watershed, all watersheds were then plotted
    and classified based upon which quadrant they occupied in Figure 6.  Watersheds falling outside
    the 99% confidence intervals of the mean X and Y values were classified as having either:
    
       1.  above average ecological and human conditions (+ +),
       2.  below average ecological and human conditions (- -),
       3.  above average ecological conditions and below average human conditions (+ -), or
       4.  below average ecological conditions and above average human conditions (- +).
    
    
    Maps were then prepared to show where watersheds within each of these classes were located
    and how they were spatially distributed in Ohio (see Figures 7 through 10).
                                             11
    

    -------
    Analysis
    Results from the spatial analysis showed that watersheds with relatively lower poverty, and
    higher levels of education, employment, and incomes were generally located on the outskirts of
    metropolitan areas (e.g., Cincinnati, Lima, Columbus, Cleveland, and Akron in Figures 7 and
    10). In contrast, watersheds with lesser welfare conditions were typically located in rural or more
    inaccessible areas apart from any Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) or significant laborshed
    (e.g., the Paint Creek and Appalachian watersheds in Figures 8 and 9, respectively). This  led to
    the conclusion that higher levels of welfare in Ohio in the early 1990s were more dependent
    upon larger-scale economies with more extensive connections to the outside world, than small,
    self-sufficient economies based on local natural resources. In general, watersheds near
    metropolitan areas were well situated for residents to take advantage of employment
    opportunities and the goods and services provided by urban and suburban economies. They
    were also distant from any potential inner city problems. However, except for the three
    "sustainable" watersheds shown in Figure 7, most watersheds with relatively higher welfare
    conditions had only average or lower ecological conditions in response to varying intensities of
    suburban development and/or agriculture.
    
    Watersheds with the relatively highest ecological  conditions measured in this study were
    primarily found in less developed areas of Ohio. For example, the unglaciated and rugged part
    of Ohio- the Appalachian Plateau Province- where soil fertility is moderate-to-low, pastures and
    farmlands are generally limited to hilltops or lower-slope areas, and forest is the predominate
    land cover (Figure 9). Relatively lower levels of human condition were measured in this region
    and corroborated by supplemental literature reporting on limited economic opportunities due, in
    part, to declines in demand for Appalachian reserves of high-sulphur coal (Stephens  1996).
    
    Comparatively better ecological conditions were also observed in three "sustainable"
    watersheds (as defined in this study) located within the Chagrin River watershed system in
    Northeast Ohio (Figure 7). In contrast to the Appalachian watersheds, human conditions in
    these watersheds were relatively high and likely supported by their proximity to Cleveland.
    Historically, more focused developments in Cleveland rather than in these outlying watersheds
    may be why above average ecological  conditions remained there in the early 1990s.  Another
    interesting feature was their location within a special survey area known as the Connecticut
    Western Reserve. In brief, this part of Ohio was originally surveyed into slightly smaller
    townships (i.e.,  5 by 5 miles rather than 6 by 6 miles found elsewhere),  but not subdivided into
    sections (Wilhelm and Noble 1996). Also of interest was the emergence of non-government
    organizations (NGOs) committed to protecting natural resources within the watershed, and
                                               12
    

    -------
    informing citizens about local land use decisions and economic and environmental policies
    affecting the watershed. Similar organizations were also found elsewhere in Ohio where valued
    natural resources were experiencing increased anthropogenic stress (e.g., suburban sprawl in
    the Big Darby Watershed west of Columbus and in the Little Miami River Watershed east and
    northeast of Cincinnati).
    
    Conclusions
     "Sustainable development" is not directly observable. It needs to be defined before it can be
    visualized and studied. The unique approach in this study was to explicitly define sustainable
    development as a positive relationship between "ecological integrity" and "human welfare." In
    other words, the thrust was to explore whether mutualistic  or cooperative relationships existed
    at a watershed scale; to locate watersheds with such relations (if any); and to suggest how
    these relations may have been caused.
    
    The methodology was straightforward and made use of only a few select variables which,
    although limited in number and scope with respect to Figures  1 and 2, went a long way towards
    answering questions like: "Can society and nature thrive together? If so, where and how?"
    Overall, the methodology was successful in identifying watersheds with variable ecological and
    human conditions, and knowing their locations assisted in  developing hypotheses about how
    these conditions were achieved.  In this paper, the method  identified and located a relative range
    of "sustainable" to "unsustainable" watersheds for one time period. Watersheds observed with
    above average human and ecological conditions (i.e.,"+ +" conditions) were significant because
    they differed from the general inverse relationship between society and nature observed in
    Figure 6. Their identification in Figures 6 and 7 demonstrated that apparent harmonies of
    society and nature may still be found and studied with respect to their environmental
    endowments and histories of human occupation.
    
    Few (if any)  attempts have been made to map and analyze spatial variations of sustainable
    development at sub-national scales or within the context of ecologically-relevant systems.
    Therefore, this research differed  from others focusing on political units and much larger spatial
    scales. Reasons for looking at ecological rather than  political areas stemmed from the
    assumption that human welfare ultimately depends upon the natural resources and life support
    systems provided by healthy ecosystems (WCED 1987,  U.S. EPA 1990). It also stemmed from
    the fact that aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems are often degraded or destroyed by the
    cumulative, seemingly "independent" decisions  made by cities, towns, and villages within a
    particular watershed (e.g., see Ohio EPA 1996).
                                              13
    

    -------
    State-of-the-art geographic information systems (Arc/Info and Grid), statistical and spreadsheet
    software (SAS and Excel), and landscape metric programs (Fragstats) made this study
    possible, but most of the work, in terms of time and effort, still centered on data aggregation and
    input. Specifically, this involved aggregating point,  polygon, and raster data to the watershed
    scale, and converting data from their existing form  into others which could be transferred among
    these different tools of "automated geography" (see Dobson 1993 and Aronoff 1993, 42).
    
    The analysis in this paper could be improved by considering changes over time (e.g., recall
    Figure 3). This may be done after the Year 2000 census and would assist in developing a richer
    understanding of human and ecosystem responses to stress over time and space. Others may
    find the  method useful as a "broad-brush" approach for highlighting specific watersheds for
    more detailed studies (e.g, studies like those conducted by Braat and Steetskamp 1991, and
    Rees 1995). Similarly, the approach could also assist in prioritizing watersheds in need of
    conservation,  remediation, or other environmental  management efforts. Where sufficient data
    and interdisciplinary expertise  exists, the method could also be improved by:  including better or
    more comprehensive sets of ecological and human welfare measures  (e.g., additional measures
    of chemical pollutants or human health), considering other types of ecological systems or
    boundaries (e.g., ecoregions), or by developing predictive models of ecological integrity and
    human welfare and plotting and mapping their outputs similar to that done in Figures 6 through
    10.
    
    Future researchers may have better and more continuous coverages of data  than used here for
    observing spatial patterns of sustainable development across a landscape. Flows of people,
    money,  information, and/or natural resources may  also become more apparent, as well as, links
    between areas of sustainable and unsustainable developments. Furthermore, researchers may
    develop or have better tools for modeling or analyzing such flows at multiple scales (e.g.,
    multiple political, economic, and ecological scales). However, humility  in quantification will
    always need to remain, particularly when attempts are made to address the many important,
    qualitative aspects  of ecological integrity and human welfare (e.g., recall Figures 1 and 2).
                                              14
    

    -------
    Bibliography
    
    Aronoff, S. 1993. Geographic information systems: A management perspective. Ottawa,
           Ontario: WDL Publications.
    
    Arrow, K., B. Bolin, R. Costanza, P. Dasgupta, C. Folke, C. S. Moiling, Bengt-Owe Jansson,
           S. Levin, Karl-Goran Ma'ler, C. Perrings, D. Pimentel.  1995. Economic growth, carrying
           capacity, and the environment. Science 268: 520-521.
    
    Bormann, F. H. 1985. Air pollution and forests: An ecosystem perspective. Bioscience
           35(7):434-441.
    
    Braat, L. C. and I. Steetskamp. 1991. Ecological-economic analysis for regional sustainable
           development. In Ecological Economics: The science and management of sustainability,
           ed. R. Costanza, 269-288. New York: Columbia University Press.
    
    Cobb, C. W. and J. B. Cobb, Jr. 1994. The green national product: A proposed index of
           sustainable economic welfare. New York:  University Press of America.
    
    Cobb, C. W., T.  Halstead, and J. Rowe. 1995. The Genuine Progress Indicator: Summary
           of data and methodology. San Francisco,  CA: Redefining Progress.
    
    Daly, H. and J.  B. Cobb, Jr. 1989. For the common good: Redirecting the economy toward
           community, the environment, and a sustainable future. Boston: Beacon Press.
    
    Daly, H. 1991. From  empty-world economics to full-world economics: Recognizing an
           historical turning point in economic development. In Environmentally Sustainable
           Economic Development: Building on Brundtland, ed. R. Goodland, H.Daly, S. El Serafy,
           and B. von Droste, 29-38. Paris: UNESCO.
    
    Dobson, J. E. 1993. The Geographic Revolution:  A Retrospective on the Age of Automated
           Geography. Professional Geographer45(4): 431-439.
    
    Environmental Sytems Research Institute, Inc. (ESRI).  1992-1998. Arc/Info, Version 7.2.1.
           Redlands, CA.
    
    Goodland, R. 1991. The case that the world has reached limits: More precisely that current
           throughput growth in the global economy cannot be sustained. In Environmentally
           Sustainable Economic Development: Building on Brundtland, ed. R. Goodland, H. Daly,
           S. El Serafy, and B. von Droste, 15-26. Paris: UNESCO.
    
    Goodland, R., H. Daly, S. El Serafy, and B. von Droste, ed. 1991. Environmentally
           Sustainable Economic Development: Building on Brundtland. Paris: UNESCO.
    
    Hatcher, L. and E. J. Stepanski. 1994. A step-by-step approach to using the SAS systems
           for univariate andmultivariate statistics. Gary, NC: SAS Institute, Inc.
    
    Johnston, R. J.,  D. Gregory, and D. M. Smith, ed. 1986. The dictionary of human geography.
           Second edition. Oxford, UK: Basil  Blackwell Ltd.
                                             15
    

    -------
    Lam, N. 1983. Spatial Interpolation Methods: A Review. The American Cartographer
           10(2): 129-149.
    
    Liu, Ben-Chieh. 1975. Quality of life indicators in U.S. metropolitan areas,  1970. Washington,
           DC: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington Environmental Research
           Center.
    
    McGarigal, K. and B. J. Marks. 1995. FRAGSTATS: Spatial pattern analysis program for
           quantifying landscape structure. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest
           Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station.  Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-351.
    
    Miller, G. T. 1996. Living in the environment. Ninth Edition. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth
           Publishing Company.
    
    Norton, B.  G. 1992. A new paradigm for environmental management.  In Ecosystem health:
           New goals for environmental management, ed. R. Costanza, B. G. Norton, and B. D.
           Haskell. Washington, DC: Island Press.
    
    Odum, E. O. 1983. Basic ecology. New York:  Saunders College Publishing.
    
    Ohio Department of Health (Ohio DOH). 1997. Catalog of electronic products and
           publications [available on-line]; Internet; http://www.state.oh.us/healthe/ cat9719.pdf;
           accessed 23 February 1998.
    
    Ohio Department of Natural Resources (Ohio DNR).  1994. State of Ohio land cover.
           Division of Real Estate and Land Management. Columbus, OH.
    
    Ohio Environmental Protection Agency (Ohio  EPA). 1988. Biological criteria for the protection
           of aquatic life: Volume II: Users manual for biological field assessment of Ohio surface
           waters. October 30, 1987 (Updated January 1,  1988). Columbus, OH: Ohio
           Environmental Protection Agency, Division of Water Quality Monitoring and Assessment,
           Surface Water Section.
    
            _. 1996. Ohio water resource inventory. Executive summary: Summary,
           recommendations, and conclusions. Columbus, OH: Ohio Environmental Protection
           Agency, Division of Surface Water, Monitoring and Assessment Section.
    
    Omernik, J. M. 1987. Ecoregions of the conterminous United States. Annals of the Association
           of American Geographers 77 (1):  118-125.
    
    Orians, G. H.  1993. Endangered at what level? Ecological Applications 3(2): 206-208.
    
    Peaceful!, L., ed.  1996. A geography of Ohio. Kent, OH: Kent State University Press.
    
    Rees, W.E. 1995. Revising Carrying Capacity: Area-Based Indicators of Sustainability.
           Population and Environment: A Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies 17(3)[article on-line];
           available from http://dieoff.org/page110.htm; Internet; accessed 26 January 1998.
    
    Stephens, D. T. 1996. Population Patterns. In A Geography of Ohio, ed. L. Peaceful!,
           127-145. Kent, OH: Kent State University Press.
                                              16
    

    -------
    United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). 1997. Human development report.
          Gary, NC: Oxford University Press [Summary available on-line]; Internet;
          http://www.undp.org/ undp/hdro/97.htm; accessed 19 March 1998.
    
    United States Bureau of the Census (U.S. Census Bureau). 1992. Census of population
          and housing, 1990: Summary Tape File 3 Technical Documentation, Appendix B on CD-
          ROM [machine-readable data files]. Washington, DC: U.S. Bureau of the Census
          [Available on-line]; Internet; http://www.census.gov/td/stf3/append_b.html; accessed 21
          September 1998.
    
    United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA). 1990. Reducing risk:
          Setting priorities and strategies for environmental protection. Washington, DC: U.S.
          Environmental Protection Agency, Science Advisory Board, EPA SAB-EC-90-021.
    
    United States Geological Survey (USGS). 1997. 1:250,000-scale digital elevation models for
          Ohio. Earth Sciences Information Center, Reston, VA, [Available on-line]
          http://www.usgs.gov.
    
    Vitousek, P. M., P. R. Ehrlich, A. H. Ehrlich, and P. A. Matson. 1986. Human appropriation of
          the products of photosynthesis. Bioscience 34(6): 368-373.
    
    Wessex, Inc. 1997.  First St. [CD-ROM]. Winnetka, IL.
    
    Wilhelm, H. G. H. and A. G. Nobel. 1996. Ohio's settlement landscape. In Peaceful,
          L, ed. A geography of Ohio. Kent, OH: Kent State University Press.
    
    Wilson, E. O., ed. 1988. Biodiversity. Washington,  DC: National Academy Press.
    
    World Commission on Environment and  Development (WCED).  1987. Our common
          future. Oxford: Oxford  University  Press.
                                             17
    

    -------
                                                         Figure 1
                                           Aspects of Aquatic Ecological Integrity
                                                                                            Dissolved
      Land Us
                  Permeable vs. Impermeable Surfaces:
                        Natural and Man-Made
                                                              Temperatures    Oxvsen
                                                                     ~x          Y
                                                     Solubility--^        \        ^
    
                                                                   Water Quality/
                                                                 Chemical Variables
     Temporal Distribution
     of Floods and Low Flow
                        Groundwater
           Primary & Secondary
           Production in Stream
      Nutrients-
                         Flow Regime
                                                  Nutrients  ^r
                                                (i.e.,NandK)
    \_Precipitation
      and Runoff
                                Ecological Integrity
                                of Water Resource
                                                                                  Heterogeneity
                            Sunlight
                             V
                                                                  SiltationV
    Food/Energy
      Sources
                                                   Habitat Structure
                  s
            Seasonal Patterns of
             Available Energy
                                                                                     .
                                                                            Bank Stability
                                                    Biotic Factors/
                                                     Interactions
                                                               Reproduction
                                                                                    Organic and Inorganic Chemicals:
                                                                                         Natural and Synthetic
                                                                                                        -Morphology
        Organic Matter Inputs
         from Riparian Area
                                                        ompetition   Riparian
                                                                    Vegetation
                                                                             Current
                                                                             Velocity
          Instream
           Cover
    
        V^_ Channel
           Sinuosity
          Canopy
           Cover
    
     ^•Width/Depth
    
    -Substrate Type
    Modified from: Karr et al. 1986, Karr 1991, and Yoder 1995
    

    -------
                                                                                   Figure 2
                                                                        Aspects of Human Welfare
    Persuasion versus Force or Violence
    (Interactions between State and Society)
       Membership/
       Participation
                     Immigration/Emmigration
    
     Right to an opinion
                     Wealth
                     Distribution
                                                                                                         Income Wealth
                             Availability of non-renewable
                             and renewable natural resources
                             (Environmental Quantity)
                                                                                                                              Environmental
                                                                                                                                Conditions
    Right to action to ensure needs
                Healthy Spirituality
    
     Positive emotional and
     cognitive functioning
    
           Moral/Ethical
           Principles
    Personal satisfaction
    
            Self-Esteem
    
              Balance or "Centeredness"
     Physical Fitness
                                                                                    Pollution, Degradation of
                                                                                    habitats, Loss of ecological
                                                                                    functions or services
                                                                                    (Environmental Quality)
                                           Energy Flows
    
                                          _ Biogeochemical
                                            Cycling
    
                                           Assimilation
                                           of wastes
                                                                                                                                                           \Indoor Living
                                                                                                                                                       ""••—  nnH \\Tr\r\rvt~\rf
                                                                                       and Working
                                                                                       Environments
                                                                               Terrestrial and
                                                                               Aquatic Envrionments
     Identity (Individual, Ethnic,
     Community, and National)
                                  Development
                                  vs. Growth
    Externalities
                                     Intra- and Inter-
                                     generational equity
                                     Psychological Health
                                        Human Welfare
                                          or Weil-Being
       Well-being of family, friends,
       community, culture, and world
                  Economic Conditions
    
                        ?~
                                 Imports/Exports
                                             Availability of
                                             basic material
                                             needs
                                   Individual versus
                                   Social Preferences
                                                                                                                                           Integration versus
                                                                                                                                           Segregation
                                          Disarticulation
    
    
                                          Prices, Supply
                                          and Demand
                                          Income
    
                                      Employment
        Life Expectancy
        or Longevity
    Health Care (e.g., prenatal
    physical, mental, nutrition,
    and special health care
    services).
    Educational
    Attainment
    
     Scientific Paradigms
     and Theories
    Socialization    Participation
    and Life Skills
    
             Freedom from p6verty
             racism, sexism, classism, or
             loss of culture and language
                                                                                                                                                        Family and Home
                                                                                                                                                        Conditions
    
                                                                                                                                                         Child Development
                                          Decent burial
                                Opportunities for recreation,
                                entertainment, and leisure
    
                              Social programs (e.g., welfare,
                              pregnancy prevention, foster care)
                                                                                                                                 Peace, individual
                                                                                                                                 security, free of
                                                                                                                                 crime, drugs, disease
    

    -------
                                                             Figure 3
                                         Hypothetical Sustainable Developments Over Time
    
    ffi
    17
          Human Dominated
          Landscape
                                       Preservation
                                       of Nature
    
    ffi
    17
    t/i
    o
    
                                                                                              J
                                 '
    
                                                                                                   No Change
           [p worse] Ecological Integrity [better! ]
          [p worse] Ecological Integrity [better! ]
    

    -------
                               Figure 4
    Hypothetical, Relative Sustainable Development At One Point In Time
         M
               Relatively More
               Human Dominated
               Landscapes
                                             ,-'''^
                                          Relatively More
                                          Natural Landscapes
                 [p worse] Ecological Integrity [better! ]
    

    -------
                                               Figure 5
                                   Watersheds Analyzed in this Study
                                               (N = 57)
    100
                                                                                          Watershed
    
                                                                                           Ohio
    200  Miles
    

    -------
                               Figure 6
               Plot of Watersheds Based on Their Aggregate
               Ecological and Aggregate Human Conditions
                               (N = 57)
    
     w
     "S5
     A
     C
     O
    IS'
     O
            N=10
                          » I
                         »  i*
    *»
    |20(.* - -
                   »
                   *
                            1100
    
                      *     JJOO - -
            N=l
                                               "++"
                                               N=3
                                  » i
                                              200
                                                                3i 0
                           »
    
                           •
                                              N=16
                     worse < ecological conditions > better
                           (MPS, MPI, Mlwb, ICI)
    

    -------
                                           Figure 7
                    Map of "Sustainable" Watersheds Relative to Others Studied:
                 Watersheds With Above Average Ecological and Human Conditions, Circa 1990
                                                                                          Eco+, HW+
                                                                                          Ohio
    100
    0
    100
    200  Miles
    

    -------
                                            Figure 8
      Map of Watersheds Studied With Below Average Ecological and Human Conditions, Circa 1990
    100
    0
    100
    200  Miles
    

    -------
                                           Figure 9
               Map of Watersheds Studied With Above Average Ecological Conditions
                     and Below Average Human Conditions, Circa 1990
    100
    200  Miles
    

    -------
                                           Figure 10
               Map of Watersheds Studied With Above Average Human Conditions, and
                Average or Below Average Levels of Ecological Condition, Circa 1990
                                                                                       HW+, Eco Avg.
    
                                                                                       HW+, Eco-
                                                                                       Ohio
    100
    200  Miles
     1
    

    -------
          Enhancing the Spatial Comparison of Multiple Environmental
       Databases using the Prototype NY/NJ Harbor Environmental Data
                           Management System (HEDMS)
                    Raymond M. Valente, Peggy M. Myre, and David C. Inglin1
                         Science Applications International Corporation
                         James Lodge, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers2
    1.0   Introduction
    The New York/New Jersey harbor area is one of the busiest ports on the East Coast. It has
    served as a reservoir of contaminants as a result of decades of pollution from multiple sources,
    including runoff from watersheds, shore-based industrial activity, and atmospheric input.
    Environmental data have been collected under the auspices of multiple national and regional
    monitoring programs, providing some of the information needed for environmental management
    of the harbor. The Contaminant Assessment and Reduction Program (CARP) is a new program
    involving the collection of multiple data types. This large-scale monitoring effort is intended to
    address the distribution of contaminants in the water, sediments and biota of the harbor, with
    the ultimate goal of source reduction. However, data comparability problems exist because the
    historical data, as well as the new CARP data, have been collected using different
    programmatic objectives, sampling protocols and laboratory data quality objectives.
    
    The New York District of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has developed a prototype
    environmental chemistry database with a geographic-based (GIS) user interface for New
    York/New Jersey Harbor. The prototype is the first phase of the Harbor Environmental Data
    Management System (HEDMS) that ultimately will include multiple environmental databases
    (chemical,  geological, biological and physical), as well as tools for querying and analyzing the
    data in a geographic context. The primary objective of the HEDMS prototype is to allow the user
    to readily select different data types, import them into a geographic interface, and conduct
    spatial data analyses while reducing common problems associated with chemical data
    1 Raymond M. Valente, Peggy M. Myre, and David C. Inglin, Science Applications International
    Corporation, 221 Third Street, Newport, Rl 02840 (rvalente@mtg.saic.com: pmurray@mtg.saic.com:
    dinglin@mtg.saic.com)
    2 James Lodge, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers, New York District, 26 Federal Plaza, New York, NY
    (iames.lodge@nan02.usace.armv.mil')
    

    -------
    comparison.
    
    The system provides a user interface which includes utilities to increase comparability of
    databases collected for different programs using different analytical methods. One of the key
    requirements for HEDMS is the inclusion of extensive data documentation, including laboratory
    method and quality control information, spatial metadata, and overall program metadata
    (including program objectives and sampling design).
    
    2.0    Description of HEDMS Features
    The primary purpose of the HEDMS tool is to allow the user to readily select different data
    types, import them into a geographic interface, and conduct spatial data analyses while
    reducing common problems associated with chemical data  comparison. The current system
    provides a graphic user interface (GUI) that includes utilities to increase comparability of
    databases collected for different programs using different analytical methods (Figure 1). The
    system graphically displays georeferenced sample locations from specific projects, NOAA
    coastlines, major rivers and tributaries, and other relative boundaries. Another key feature of
    HEDMS is the inclusion of extensive data documentation, including laboratory method and
    quality control information, spatial metadata, and  overall programs metadata (including program
    objectives and sampling design).
    
    Software/Hardware requirements:  The HEDMS interface  is a development within the ESRI
    ArcView® GIS program. The actual HEDMS program acts as an ArcView® Extension and
    requires a licensed copy of the ESRI ArcView® program. An Extension (Figure 2) is an add-in to
    ArcView® that adds custom capabilities. Extensions allow the newly created functions to be
    added to or removed from ArcView® with ease. The database is implemented using Open
    Database Connectivity (ODBC), which allows the user to access the database readily without
    having the original program that the database was created in, such as MS Access. The system
    is delivered on a single CD-ROM and requires either a Microsoft Windows95, 98 or NT platform.
    Minimum system requirements are a processor speed of 166 MHz, 32 megabytes of RAM, and
    at least 50 megabytes of free hard drive space.
    
    Data types: The prototype HEDMS represents the first phase of a longer-term system
    development effort. It has been developed specifically for the NY/NJ harbor estuary area and
    includes multiple chemical databases from this area. Presently, the system is populated mainly
    

    -------
    with base map data and data on the concentrations of suite of chemical contaminants in surface
    sediments. The HEDMS system will eventually hold multiple environmental databases
    (chemical, geological, biological and physical) and will allow display of not only surface
    sediment chemistry data, but also subsurface sediment chemistry from cores, tissue chemistry,
    and biological testing data (e.g., toxicity and bioaccumulation).
    
    The first-phase base map data include NOAA medium-resolution coastline, channels, navigation
    information, watersheds of NY/NJ, and jurisdictional boundaries, as well as a limited amount of
    supporting data, gleaned largely from the EPA's BASINS database (e.g., locations of pollution
    point sources like Superfund sites and NPDES discharge permit holders). Marine sediment
    chemistry data from the following monitoring programs also are included in the present system.
    
       •   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Environmental Monitoring and Assessment
           Program for Estuaries (EMAP-Estuaries): sediment chemistry data from sampling in the
           Virginian Province for the years 1990 through  1993. Data from throughout the NY/NJ
           Harbor Estuary system and  the Hudson River.
       •   U.S. EPA Regional Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program (R-EMAP):
           sediment chemistry data from throughout the NY/NJ  Harbor Estuary system for the
           years 1991 and 1993.
       •   National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Status and Trends
           and Program (NS&T). Sediment chemistry data from both the "Mussel Watch" and
           "Benthic Surveillance" components of this long-term marine monitoring effort.
       •   NOAA Study of Sediment Toxicity in the Hudson-Raritan Estuary in 1994.
    
    Data selection: The program was designed to provide users with speed and flexibility in
    querying the database for the purpose of choosing what data and which parameters they want
    to examine. The "picker screen" utility provides an interactive window to allow the user to select
    data by program, data set, date, or  data type (Figure 3). Once these basic specifications have
    been set, the user can then specify a particular analyte group, such as metals, organic
    contaminants such as PAHs, PCBs, or pesticides, or physical parameters such as sediment
    grain size (Figure 4). The data query can be further refined using specific numeric qualifiers
    (e.g., above or below a specified value). The remaining functionality parameters for this window
    allow the user to either view  or export data to a table or text format (Figure 5), add data  to a
    map view as an ArcView® theme, and finally to plot just station locations into a view window.
    

    -------
    When the user chooses to export data to a table, they can choose exactly what columns they
    want to view in the table by clicking on desired headers (Figure 6).
    
    Data assessment and comparison: The system contains a number of functions to facilitate
    environmental assessments and comparisons across data sets.
    
       •   Under the "preferences" menu, the user can specify how "below detection limit" (BDL)
           chemistry values are to be treated (Figure 7). The system  provides the following options
           for handling BDL data in any subsequent calculations or comparisons: substitute zero,
           substitute one-half of detection limit, substitute detection limit, or ignore.
       •   A menu function allows the user to sum the results for individual analytes into
           commonly-employed "aggregate" classes. For example, the sediment concentrations of
           15 to 20 individual PAH compounds commonly are summed to produce an aggregate
           value called "total PAHs." Likewise, "total PCBs" are calculated based on summing the
           values for individual PCB congeners. Different investigators traditionally have used
           slightly different approaches to defining/calculating aggregate values like total PAHs and
           total PCBs. In recognition of such differences, the HEDMS program allows the user to
           identify which of the individual compounds will be summed to produce the aggregate
           value (Figure 7). This ensures a common basis for comparison among different
           monitoring programs.
       •   A menu screen is provided to allow the user to "normalize" the sediment chemistry data
           by either grain size or total organic carbon (TOC) content.
       •   Data on sediment metal concentrations can be normalized by the sediment
           concentration of acid volatile sulfide (i.e., SEM/AVS ratio).
       •   The "compare to reference" function allows the user to calculate and display the results
           of comparisons to different, commonly-employed "reference" values (e.g., Effects
           Range-Low/Effects Range-Median values (ERL/ERM), EPA Sediment Quality Criteria
           (SQC), Threshold/Probable Effects  Levels (TEL/PEL)).
    
    Data display: The GIS application to this system is a very useful  tool, in that it allows the user
    to create a view and choose the area of interest to be displayed. The area is then displayed in
    the state plane projection reference. The view can be set for a number of  projection changes
    such as latitude/longitude or UTM units, and the user can also change the view's distance units.
    Once the view has been given the desired projection, the user will add the data of interest and
    

    -------
    can start examining the data spatially (Figure 8).
    
    The HEDMS program also contains a preference feature with functions that allow the user to
    personalize a work session for future uses. The user can actually save the chosen preference
    configuration to an individual preference file that can be re-loaded. The functions for dealing
    with "below detection limit" values and for the calculation of aggregate values are included
    under the preferences menu (Figure 7). The preferences feature is intended to make the
    program a more flexible to a larger group of users. For example, if there were only one
    computer that was available with the HEDMS program installed, a number of different  users
    could have their own preference files containing the features that they want to see, as  opposed
    to having the user start anew each time they began a work session.
    
    Quality Assurance/Quality Control: Chemistry data typically require a careful assessment of
    quality before use in a study or spatial evaluation. Many times this quality assessment is lost
    when a data set is incorporated into a larger database. The HEDMS has been designed to
    store, access, and use documentation and quality control data provided by the source
    laboratory and also provide a framework for documentation of the decisions made in the
    evaluation of data quality. For each sample result, the system is capable of producing  a QA/QC
    report for the associated quality control data such as matrix spikes,  duplicates, Standard
    Reference Materials, and blanks. In addition, the system allows  users to access program-level
    metadata for viewing or downloading in simple text file format. The metadata provides a
    complete set of documentation on each data set,  including information on program
    sponsors/participants, objectives, sampling and analytical methods, analyte lists, and data
    quality objectives.
    
    3.0    Summary
    The HEDMS has been designed to enhance the utility of historical databases ("data mining"),
    increase the statistical confidence (power) of environmental data interpretation by integrating
    multiple databases, increase the longevity of newly collected data, and heighten comparability
    of disparate data sources.
    
    This system is the first step in a plan to create a useful tool to manage large environmental data
    sets of varying complexities. The main focus of the existing prototype is chemical data from the
    NY/NJ harbor estuary area. However, future versions of the software are not limited to chemical
    

    -------
        data nor is the area of interest a limitation. HEDMS incorporates utilities for integration and
        comparison of multiple databases, which can be done using a variety of data types. A primary
        system function is the automated features included for complex chemical data analysis. The
        system provides rapid spatial analysis due to the integration of the program into a GIS platform.
        The flexibility of the system and the use of the existing ArcView®  platform allow for a efficient,
        user-friendly analysis tool designed to save resource managers and other decision-makers
        valuable time.
    file Edit View Iherne
                        graphics  Window  Help
                    Create an Area of Interest
                    Add Data to View
                    Normalize Data
                    Compare Data to Reference
                    Preferences
    \m\n\
                                 Scale 1:| 352,696
    261,332.67 «•
     61391.57 t
        Figure 1. Graphic User Interface (GUI) of the HEDMS program that users will most commonly start
        from when creating a new view.
    

    -------
     Extensions
      Available Extensions:
       J   STFATE
       J   VPF Viewer
       J   Zoom Tools Extension
            MassCZM Custom Controls
            HEDMS
          ODB Tools Extension
          Script Editor Utilities
    About:
    
                                             I
                                                       OK
                                                      Cancel
    Reset
                                                     Make Default
    
       The HEDMS extension contains NY Harbor Environmental Data
       Management System. This extension has tools for viewing and analyzing
       sediment chemistry data.
    Figure 2. The HEDMS has been designed to run as an ArcView® Extension.
    

    -------
    «,  HEDMS Data Query Builder
      Programs
     3 CARP
     3EMAP
     3NOAA-EdLong
     DFI-EMAP
        £LL PRCiGRAMSj
     Studies
    0EMAPJ992
    3EMAPJ993
      Mussel_Watch
      Benthic_Surveillance
      R-EMAP
          ALLSTUDIES
    Study Date
    (•  All Dates Within Selected Study(ies)
                   mm/dd/yy       mm/dd/yy
    C~  Date Range
    
    C~  Single Event Date
    
    r  Year             [1984
      Data Type
    I Sediment Chemistry
                                                                                                  Record Count
    
                                                                                                         24584
                                                                                                       Exit
                              Clear Selections
                                                       Plot Stations
     Select either All Dates Within Study (the default), or a Date Range, Single Date, or a specific year. A Date Range, Single Event Date, or Year
     returns all sampling events that fall within the selected time frame and may only be chosen after a Study is selected.
      Figure 3. The initial "picker screen" window, which allows the user to select data by program, data
      set, date, or data type.
    

    -------
                                                       All Dates Within Selected Studies)
                                                                    mm/dd/vv       mm/dd/vv
                                                    (~ Date Range
    3 CARP
    ^EMAP
    3 NOAA-Ed Long
    3EMAPJ992
    3EMAPJ993
      Mussel_Watch
      Benthic_Surveillance
      R-EMAP
      Phase I  (1991)
                                                    (" Single Event Date
    
                                                       Year             11984
     |7 ALL PROGRAMS
    
     Analyte Groups
                                ALLSTUDIES
    
                              Parameters
                                                                            Record Count
    
                                                                                     6798
                             1 -Methylnaphthalene
                             1 -Methylphenanthrene
                             2,3,5-trirnethiilnaphthalene
                             2,6-Dimethvlnaphthalene
                             2-Methvlnaphthalene
                             Acenaphthene
                             Acenaphthylene
                             Anthracene
                             Benio(a)anthracene
                             Benio(a)pvrene
    Pesticide
    Physical
                              Clear Selections
                                                    E_xport/view Table
    Select 1 Analyte Group only to Refine the Number of Records in the Data Set.  The default is all Analyte Groups listed.
     Figure 4. After the user chooses the first set of screening options, additional parameters appear to
     allow for more specific screening.
    

    -------
    Si. HEDMS Data Table HElEil
    
    
    JL
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    <
    Program Name
    NOAA-Ed Long
    NOAA-Ed Long
    EMAP
    EMAP
    EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    EMAP
    EMAP
    R-EMAP
    EMAP
    Study Name
    Phase 1(1 991)
    Phasel(19S1)
    EMAP 1991
    EMAP 1990
    EMAP 1990
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    EMAP 1990
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    R-EMAP
    EMAP 1991
    EMAP 1990
    R-EMAP
    EMAPJ990
    Select individual columns(fields) to be hidden or
    displayed.
    Event Name
    HRE-37
    HRE-38
    VA91-424
    VA90-173
    VA90-177
    RE102
    RB117
    BA112
    RB106
    LS104
    LS006
    JB114
    RB002
    VA90-215
    JB006
    JB104
    JB120
    VA91-370
    VA90-199
    LS102
    VA90-217
    Lat
    40.5013888888389
    40.4686111111111
    41.872
    40.647
    40.383
    40.572783
    40.46355
    40.297667
    40.51405
    40.99
    41.031447
    40.591167
    40.570632
    41.733
    40.6083
    40.621767
    40.596367
    40.511
    41.15
    41.021333
    42
    
    Long
    -73.9747222222222
    -73.9330555555556
    -73.935
    -74.053
    -73.943
    -73.964283
    -74.113767
    -73.733833
    -74.113733
    -73.386167
    -73.37733
    -73.85135
    -74.079879
    -73.945
    -73.77319
    -73.8415
    -73.312983
    -74.3
    -73.883
    -73.400667
    -73.939
    Station Name ^
    HRE-37
    HRE-33 ~
    424 Hi!
    173
    177
    RB102
    RB117
    BA112 II!
    RB106
    LS104 I
    LS006
    JB114
    RB002
    215
    JB006
    JB104
    JB120
    370
    199
    LS102
    217
    >r
    
    i h[ ide/LI nhide Columns i £xport to File R.e*urn t° Query Builder
    Figure 5. One option available from the data picker screen (Figure 4) is export of the selected data
    to a table. The user has the ability to select/deselect different table columns (see Figure 6) and
    export the table into a text file.
                                                 10
    

    -------
       . Unhide Columns
      Column:
      njProqram Name
         Study_Name
         EventName
        ] Long
        ] Station_Name
        ] Data_Tvpe
        ] Major_Group
        ] Chem_Units
         CAS_Num
       ^] Analyte_Name
         Result
                                                   Close
    Figure 6. The "unhide columns" window, which allows the user to choose the data to be
    displayed in table format.
                                 11
    

    -------
        Preferences
    
    C Choose Areas of Interest
    r BDL
    (* Aggregates
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    (? Total PAHs
    
    C Total PCBs
    
    C~ Tni-flinni-;
    • 1 Ulal LJU \ i
    
    
    
    
    
    Apply
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Choose Aggregate Components
    Benzo(a)pyrene _^_
    Dibenz(a,h)anthracene
    
    Benzo(a)anthracene
    1 Acenaphthene jl
    Phenanthrene
    Fluorene
    1 4^eth.vlnaphthalene
    Naphthalene
    2-Methvlnaphthalene
    Biphenyl
    Anthracene
    Pyrene
    Dibenzothioohene _ZJ
    
    Figure 7. The preferences menu allows users to choose how below detection limit values are
    handled and how aggregates are to be calculated.
                                               12
    

    -------
    file Edit View Iheme  HEDMS  Graphics  Window  Help
                                                                                           Scale 1: 1,632,541
    178,097.39 «•
    186:227.79 t
                              EMAP Program Anthracene (ug/kg) _^
    
                                  0 - 1001.67
    
    
                                  1001.67- 2003.33
    
    
                                  2003.33 - 3005
    
    
                                  3O05- 40O6.B7
    
    
                               0  1006.67 - 5008.33
    
    
                                  5008.33- 6Q1O
    
    
                                  None Detected
                              NOAA Coastline
                              cn
        Figure 8. Example of spatial data display within HEDMS. The user can add or remove as many
        themes or layers as they choose in performing spatial evaluation of the data.
                                                            13
    

    -------
             Nonpoint Pollutant Loading Application for ArcView GIS
    
                   Laurens van derTak, Mike Miller, Cody Zook, Cheri Edwards1
    
    
    I. Pollutant Loading Application Overview
    An ArcView GIS tool was developed that calculates nonpoint source pollutant loads for
    watersheds and sub-watersheds. The application is called PLOAD. Currently the application is
    set up to estimate nonpoint sources (NPS) of pollution on an annual average basis, for any user
    specified pollutant. The user has the option to calculate the NPS loads with either the Simple
    Method, or with areal export coefficients. The program was designed to be generic so that it can
    be applied as a screening tool in typical NPDES stormwater permitting projects, watershed
    management projects or reservoir protection projects, and readily modified for special needs. It
    is designed to be a useful analytical tool for end users (primarily water resources engineers and
    planners). Therefore, it was programmed in a desktop GIS environment, ArcView, using the
    ArcView Avenue programming language.
    
    The tool requires the following input data:
       •   GIS landuse data.
       •   GIS watershed data.
       •   GIS BMP site and area data (optional) showing the location as  a point coverage with the
           BMP type and service area, or as a polygon coverage with BMP type and the polygon
           boundaries delineating the service area. This layer is optional, if BMPs are included in
           the analysis.
       •   Pollutant loading rate data tables for each land use type showing either event mean
           concentrations (EMCs, in mg/L of a given pollutant), or export coefficients (e.g. pounds
           per acre of a given pollutant).
       •   Impervious data tables.
       •   Pollutant reduction BMP data tables (optional).
    1 Vice President and Sr. Water Resources Engineer, Sr. Gis Analyst, GIS Analyst, and Water Resources
    Engineer, CH2M HILL. Address questions to: CH2M HILL, 13921 Park Center Rd., Suite 600, Herndon
    VA 20171. Tel.: 703-417-1441.
    

    -------
    Several output options are available:
       •   Tabular summaries of pollutant loads by basin (Ibs.), EMCs by basin (mg/L), aerial
           loading rates by basin (Ibs./acre/yr.), pollutant loads by land use (Ibs.).
       •   Graphical summaries of pollutant loads by basin (Ibs.), EMCs by basin (mg/L), and aerial
           loading rates by basin (Ibs./acre/yr.)
    
    This paper presents the theory and application of the PLOAD tool. The PLOAD application input
    data, pollutant evaluation equations, products, installation instructions,  and general use
    guidelines are described in detail below. A case study is presented showing input and output
    screens, and illustrating how the tool was used to develop nonpoint source pollutant loads for
    NPDES stormwater permit annual reports for the Cities of Chesapeake, Hampton, Newport
    News,  Norfolk, Portsmouth, and Virginia Beach, Virginia. These six cities are working together
    as part of the Hampton Roads Planning District Commission (HRPDC) Regional Stormwater
    Management Committee (RSMC).
    
    II. Input Data
    A variety of GIS and tabular  source data is accessed by the PLOAD application. This section
    describes the required and optional input data components. Note that the GIS data must be
    developed as either ESRI Arc/Info coverages or ArcView shape files, while the tabular data may
    be prepared as Excel,  comma delimited text, dBASE, or INFO files.
    
    11.1 GIS Data
    Watershed basin and landuse GIS data coverages are required for PLOAD. The  basins define
    the areas for which the pollutant loads are calculated. The basin coverage must have a code
    field containing unique identifiers for each basin. The landuse file is essential for calculating  the
    pollutant loads. The landuse coverage must also have a code field identifying the landuse types,
    but these types need not be  unique. Prior to calculating the pollutant loads, PLOAD will spatially
    overlay the basin and landuse coverages in order to determine the areas of the various landuse
    types for each basin. The  landuse coverage should encompass the entire basin coverage.
    
    Digital watershed basin were available for the six Virginia cities. However, current landuse data
    were developed for several of the cities by digitizing planning maps, or converting real  estate
    parcel information and infrared aerial photography.
    

    -------
    Best Management Practices (BMPs) serve to reduce pollutant loads using natural processes
    (settling, filtration, biological uptake) for the BMP area of influence. PLOAD will account for the
    influence of either site or areal BMPs. Site BMPs represented as point GIS files must contain
    attribute codes describing the BMP type and area of influence. Areal BMPs must be delineated
    as polygon files coded for BMP type only. The polygon boundaries define the area of influence.
    BMP input is optional because they may not exist for the area of evaluation or be desired for
    analysis.
    
    II.2 Tabular Data
    Pollutant loading rate, impervious factor, and BMP efficiency information must be compiled in
    tabular files for use in the PLOAD application. The three files of tabular input data can be
    provided  in one of four formats: Excel spreadsheet, comma-delimited text, dBASE, or INFO
    database tables.
    
    The pollutant loading tables consist of the either the event mean concentration (EMC) or the
    export coefficient. The user can choose to use either form of pollutant loading rates (EMCs and
    aerial export coefficients) because data are typically available for the EMC and export
    coefficient tables for urban and rural landuse types, respectively. Pollutants commonly
    evaluated include: TSS, Total Nitrogen, TKN, Nitrate plus Nitrite, Lead, Zinc, BOD5, COD,
    Ammonia, Total Phosphorus, and Fecal Coliform.
    
    The impervious factor table identifies percent imperviousness for each landuse type. The BMP
    table identifies the percent efficiency for reducing  pollutant loads for each BMP type. Multiple
    versions of each type of table may be generated to simulate alternative conditions. A description
    of each lookup table is provided below.
    
    11.2.1 Export Coefficient Table
    The export coefficient table lists loading rates for each pollutant type by  landuse type. The table
    may contain any number of landuse and pollutant types. There should be loading  rates for each
    landuse and pollutant type in the evaluation area, otherwise the load for the area will be zero.
    The rates in the export coefficient table are measured in Ibs./acre/year and are typically used to
    calculate the pollutant loads for rural landuse types. An example of an export coefficient table
    follows:
    

    -------
    Landuse
    Type
    Agriculture
    Pastures
    Forests
    Total Nitrogen
    (Ib./acre/year)
    21.2
    5.9
    2.4
    Total
    Phosphorus
    (Ib./acre/year)
    3.5
    0.5
    0.0
    TSS
    (Ib./acre/year)
    0
    0
    0
    Lead
    (Ib./acre/year)
    .18
    .06
    .02
    II.2.2 Event Mean Concentration Table
    The event mean concentration (EMC) table is identical to the export coefficient table, except the
    EMC values are measured in mg/L and they are typically used to calculate the pollutant loads
    for urban landuse types. The following is an example of an EMC table:
    Landuse Type
    1-Family Res
    Rural Res
    Industrial
    Commercial
    Total
    Nitrogen
    (mg/L)
    2.00
    2.00
    1.62
    2.77
    Total
    Phosphorus
    (mg/L)
    .26
    .26
    .35
    .38
    TSS
    (mg/L)
    52.60
    52.60
    79.25
    56.50
    Lead
    (mg/L)
    .037
    .037
    .031
    .027
    II.2.3 Impervious Factor Table
    The impervious factor table identifies the percent imperviousness for each landuse type. It is
    used to calculate the EMC runoff coefficient. The table may contain any number of landuse
    types, but there should be impervious percentages for each landuse type in the evaluation area.
    If there is no impervious factor in the table for a particular landuse type, then the EMC runoff
    coefficient will default to .05 for areas with that landuse. The names describing the landuse
    types must be the same in the table as they are in the GIS landuse file.
    The following is an example of an impervious factor table:
    Landuse Type
    Residential
    Commercial
    Industrial
    % Imperviousness
    18
    84
    71
    

    -------
    11.2.4 BMP Efficiency Table
    The BMP table contains percent efficiency multipliers for each BMP type that are used to
    calculate pollutant load  reductions. The first record (row) of the table identifies the field names
    starting with BMP type followed by the pollutants under evaluation. The table may contain any
    number of BMP types. The pollutant types without percent efficiency multipliers will not reduce
    the pollutant load for the BMP type.
    
    The BMP table was developed by water resource engineers by using literature values, or by
    analyzing local monitoring data comparing pollutant loads entering and leaving BMPs.
    The following is a simple example of a BMP efficiency table:
    BMP Type
    Dry Pond
    Basin
    Grass Filter Strip
    Total Phosphorus
    (% removal)
    30
    45
    30
    Total Nitrogen
    (% removal)
    20
    25
    50
    TSS
    (% removal)
    50
    60
    20
    III. Pollutant Loading Calculation Equations
    Annual pollutant loads may be calculated for each watershed basin using either the pollutant
    export coefficient or simple methods. Optionally, the pollutant loads derived from these methods
    may be refined based on the remedial effects of BMPs. Descriptions of the equations used to
    calculate the pollutant loads follows:
    
    111.1 Export Coefficient Method
    If the export coefficient method is designated for calculating pollutant loads in PLOAD, then the
    loads are calculated for each specified pollutant type by basin using the following equation:
                                        LP = EU(|PU * Au)
    Where:   LP  = Pollutant load, Ibs.;
             LPU = Pollutant loading rate for landuse type u, Ibs./acre/year; and
             AU  = Area of landuse type u, acres
    

    -------
    The loading rates are derived from the export coefficient tables, while the landuse areas are
    interpreted from the landuse and basin GIS data.
    
    III.2 Simple Method
    If the Simple Method is designated for calculating pollutant loads in PLOAD, then two equations
    are required to calculate the loads for each specified pollutant type. First, the runoff coefficient
    for each landuse type must be derived with the equation:
    
                                     Rvu = 0.05 + (0.009 * lu)
    Where:  RVu= Runoff Coefficient for landuse type u, inchesmn/inchesrain
     lu = Percent Imperviousness
    
    Percent impervious is extracted from the impervious factor table.
    
    The pollutant  loads are then calculated with the following equation:
    
                             LP = Eu (P * Pj* Rvu* Cu* Au * 2.72 / 12)
    Where:  LP = Pollutant load, Ibs.
            P = Precipitation, inches/year (default = 40.86)
            Pj = Ratio of storms producing runoff (default = 0.9)
            RVU= Runoff Coefficient for landuse type u, inchesmn/inchesrain
            Cu = Event Mean Concentration for landuse type u, milligrams/liter
            AU = Area of landuse type u,  acres
    
    The precipitation and storm ratio values are entered by the PLOAD user  interactively. The
    loading rates are derived from the EMC tables, while the landuse areas are interpreted from the
    landuse and basin GIS data.
    
    III.3 BMP Computations
    BMPs serve to reduce pollutant loads and  PLOAD has an  option to calculate loads based on the
    remedial effects of the various BMP types. This section describes the equations that are used to
    calculate pollutant loads influenced by BMPs. BMP types may be represented as either area or
    site features, but the approach for both is similar. After the raw pollutant loads are calculated
    

    -------
    using the export coefficient or simple methods, three equations are used to recalculate the
    pollutant loads.
    
    First, the percent of the basins area serviced by BMPs are determined using the following
    equation:
    
                                     %ASBMp = ASBMp/AB
    Where: %ASBMP = Percent area serviced by the BMP, decimal percent
           ASBMP = Area serviced by the BMP, acres
           AB = Area of basin, acres
    
    The BMP and basin areas are derived from the BMP and basin GIS data. Next, the pollutant
    loads for each BMP are calculated:
    
                              LBMP= (Lp* %ASBMP) * [1- %EFFBMP/100]
    
    Where: LBMp= BMP load, Ibs.
           LP = Raw basin load, Ibs.
           %EFF = Percent load reduction of BMP, percentage
    
    The raw basin pollutant loads are derived from the results of the export coefficient or simple
    methods, while the percent load reduction comes from the BMP efficiency tables.
    Finally, the total pollutant loads accounting for BMPs are computed by basin. Each basin load is
    a cumulative total of areas which are and are not influenced  by BMPs.
    
                           L = (EBMP (LBMp)) + L P * (AB - (EAS (AS BMP))
    
    IV. Optional User Input Parameters
    Many input parameter options have been built into the PLOAD tool that the user must specify.
    Several of the more important ones are listed as follows:
       •   Specify watershed basin and landuse GIS data files.
       •   Select single, multiple, or all watershed basins from basin file for evaluation.
       •   Specify either the export coefficients or the simple method for calculating pollutant loads.
    

    -------
       •   If simple method is specified, then enter annual precipitation and ratio of storms
           producing runoff value to override defaults.
       •   Evaluate pollutant loads with or without BMPs.
       •   When BMPs are evaluated, identify whether they are derived from point or polygon GIS
           data.
       •   Select output products.
       •   Save file of input data sources and parameter settings that may be used to rerun PLOAD
           at a later date, with or without input modifications.
    
    V. Output Product Options
    After the pollutant loads have been determined, PLOAD may be used to generate a variety of
    graphic plot and tabular report products. Listed below are the product options. See Appendix I -
    Graphic and Tabular Product Examples.
       •   Total Pollutant Loads by Basin - Map and Table
       •   Pollutant Loads Per Acre by Basin - Map and Table
       •   Event Mean Concentration (EMC) by Basin - Map and Table
       •   Pollutant Loads by BMP, Landuse and Basin - Table
       •   PLOAD Data Sources and Parameters - Table
    
    VI. Potential Future Enhancements
    It is hoped that the PLOAD application will continue to be enhanced as needed on projects with
    related needs. Possible future enhancements include:
       •   Addition of point sources of pollution to account for stream baseflow background
           concentrations from groundwater or treatment plant discharges.
       •   Addition of pollutant transport or sediment delivery ratio concepts, to account for
           reductions in  loads in-stream due to deposition or other mechanisms.
       •   Addition of other types of BMPs, such as those in series and source control type BMPs.
       •   Evaluate simple and export coefficient methods simultaneously to reflect both urban and
           rural landuses.
       •   Account for BMPs whose remediation properties overlap within a basin.
    

    -------
                                        Appendix I
                           Graphic and Tabular Product Examples
    The following examples are simplified versions of the PLOAD products.
        Nonpoint Pollutant Loading Application for ArcView GIS
        Hampton Roads Planning District Commission (HRPDC)
       Example One: City of Norfolk
    
    
         Watersheds and BM Ps
    Land Use
        Total Phosphorus
    Areal Loads, pounds/acre/year
         Watersheds and BM Ps
    
    
       Example Two: City of Portsmouth
    Land Use
      Total Suspended Solids
      Total Load, pounds/year
    

    -------
                       Pollutant Loads Per Acre by Basin - Map
                                       Summer Total Phosphorus Load
                                           / Basin Area with BMPs
                                                   (Ibs/ac/yr)
                                                   Total Phosphorus
                                                   Loads, Ib/ac/yr
                                                       <0.20
                                                       0.20 - 0.40
                                                       0.40 - 0.60
                                                       0.60 - 0.80
                                                       >0.80
    Plot Date : June 15,1999; j:\ploadappWabeach\w_bmps\summertvb_summer_bmp.apr
                                         10
    

    -------
    Event Mean Concentration by Basin - Map
                                                             Roanoke
                                                            EMC By Basin
                                                            Pollutant: TSS
                                                             Units: mg/l
                                                        Basin
                                                        |	1 46.321
                                                             .321 - 56.145
                                                           56.145- 60.006
                                                           60.006- 64.477
                                                           64.477- 68.377
                           11
    

    -------
    Pollutant Loads, Event Mean Concentrations, and Pollutant Loads
                        by Basin Area - Table
    Watershed
    
    1
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    Count
    
    10
    15
    9
    10
    11
    10
    8
    9
    Area
    
    4948
    12153
    4019
    4894
    4065
    6576
    2180
    6248
    Total Load (lb./yr.)
    BOD
    102555
    150439
    37662
    106127
    74297
    74682
    37024
    56488
    TSS
    665717
    1034060
    360819
    676898
    530243
    635766
    231704
    540617
    Event Mean Cone.
    (mg/L)
    BOD
    8
    7
    4
    8
    9
    4
    5
    4
    TSS
    53
    49
    38
    54
    65
    35
    34
    41
    Areal Load
    (Ib./acre/yr.)
    BOD
    21
    12
    9
    22
    18
    11
    17
    9
    TSS
    135
    85
    90
    138
    130
    97
    106
    87
    

    -------
    Pollutant Loads by BMP, Landuse and Basin - Table
    
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    "9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16'"
    17"
    18"
    19"
    20"
    21"
    22"
    23"
    24"
    25"
    _____
    
    27
    _____
    
    ~29~
    ______
    _____
    _____
    
    	 1 	
    Roanoke AreaSum.dbf Load in Ibs/yr
    Merge
    BAG AC no
    BAG AP no
    BAR OS no
    BAR OW no
    BAR PP no
    BAR R1 no
    BAR R12 BASIN
    BAR R12 no
    BAR R13 no
    BAR R14 no
    BAR R18 no
    BAR R2 no
    BAR WF BASIN
    BAR WF no
    BCA AC no
    MAS AC no
    MAS AP no
    MAS BR DRY POND
    MAS BR no
    MAS CD DRY POND
    MAS CD no
    MAS ID no
    MAS OS DRY POND
    MAS OS no
    MAS PP DRY POND
    MAS PP no
    MAS R1 no
    MAS R12 no
    MAS R13 no
    MAS R14 DRY POND
    2
    
    Prefix
    BAG
    BAG
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BAR
    BCA
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    MAS
    J^^^^^.
    
    Land
    AC
    AP
    OS
    OW
    PP
    R1
    R12
    R12
    R13
    R14
    R18
    R2
    WF
    WF
    AC
    AC
    AP
    BR
    BR
    CD
    CD
    ID
    OS
    OS
    PP
    PP
    R1
    R12
    R13
    R14
    4
    
    Acres
    2732.759
    553.5726
    193.2443
    1 1 .7574
    21.3951
    21.6817
    1.362
    473.8863
    86.0562
    189.1171
    18.6515
    15.0539
    10.0423
    1427.735
    141.9152
    563.3961
    76.5106
    0.0225
    26.5379
    2.5089
    470.054
    60.7858
    9.8503
    468.2329
    2.0393
    105.4346
    335.8436
    105.9188
    14.6245
    0.2368
    ___5__^
    
    LD TSS
    189519.2
    35991 .32
    11726.45
    0
    8067.278
    2015.318
    61.3881
    53397.58
    11394.71
    31011.06
    5045.605
    924.0412
    226.3437
    80449.39
    9841.941
    39072
    4974.446
    0.5461
    1610.373
    380.9389
    178426.7
    27666.18
    239.0944
    28413.31
    307.577
    39755.38
    31216.72
    11934.95
    1936.432
    15.532
    

    -------
                                                       Appendix II
                                                PLOAD Dialogue Menus
                          Pollutant Loading Parameters - Dialogue Design Menu
    Q Pollutant Loading Parameters
       n;
          Name Your Study Area
          [ Roanoke
              Define Basin Coverage
             (*  I hAdemQsVcd_TQQt\pload_data\FQanoke\Ba£in Prefix
              Define Landuse Coverage
             &  I hAdernQs\cd_rooKplQad_data\fQanoke\Landuse Land
                             Basins Selected
            Count  Land   Prefix   Acres
    66    AC    BAC   2732.7594
    34    AP    BAC   553.5726
    17    BR    BAC   322.2099
    4     CD    BAC   21.1613
    4     ID    BAC   23.2747
    1     HC    BAC   65.2926
    9     OS    BAC   163.1220
    1     OW   BAC   2.7257
    2     PP    BAC   54.8176
    3
                                                      u"
          Calculation Method Setup—
            (*  I-. •    • .• -;':?n Method
                                                               Calculation Method I Simple Calculation Method
                                                               Use Best Management Practices?
                                                                 f res                   r
                                                               BMP Coverage | hAdernos\cd_root\pload_dataSroanoke\brnpserv
                                    Basin/Landuse Intersection
                                  (•  Intercect withArcview
                                  f~" Preexisting Intersect Coverage
                                                                  Output Options
    
                                                                    r Pollutant Load By Basin
    
                                                                    r Pollutant Load I Basin Area
    
                                                                    T Basin EMC by Pollutant
    
                                                                    <~ Pollutant Load i Landuse Type I Basin
    
                                                                    <~ List of Data Sources and Parameters
                                                                 Load
                                                                Session
                                                                14
    

    -------
                            Tabular Data Definition - Dialogue Design Menu
    & Tabular Data Definition
       Choose a Calculation Method
             "Simple" Calculation Method
                     Load EMC Table  | h:\demos\cd_root\pload_data\roanoke\roanlut.xls
                     [Load imfieryjous T abiej] h:\derrios\ed_root\pload_data\roanoke\roanlut.xls
                                         Landuse Field I |and
    
    
    
    
                                         Impervious Rating Field I jmp
           " Export Coeffiecient" Calculation Method
                   |   Load Export Coefficient Table
                                        Landuse Field
                                        Pollutant Fields [
                                                         15
    

    -------
         Define Best Management Practices Parameters - Dialogue Design Menu
    Load Best Management Practices (BMP) Coverage and Look Up Table
                                                                                 Done
         Load BMP Coverage  h:\demos\cd_root\pload_data\roanoke\bnnpserv polygon
    ; 1 hAdem<
                          Service Area Field
    
    
    
    
                          BMP Type Field
      f~ i.L.oad.BM.P.L.fiokui5.iab!el h:\demos\cd_root\pload_data\roanokeMubnnp.xls
                       Pollutant Fields I TSS
    
    
    
                       BMP Type Field  I brnpjype
                                                16
    

    -------
         Using GIS to Analyze the Spatial Distribution of Environmental,
       Human Health,  and Socio-Economic Characteristics in Cincinnati
    
                              Christopher Auffrey and Xinhao Wang
                           School of Planning, University of Cincinnati
    
    ABSTRACT
    The hazardous byproducts of commercial processes are frequently released into the
    environment at operations sites. There are two ways that such sites may affect the health of
    nearby residents. The first is a direct threat to human health from the hazardous materials
    released purposely or inadvertently from the sites. The second is an indirect threat, involving the
    perception of a hazard that affects both stress levels and property values, which in turn lead to a
    lower quality of life for people living nearby. Sites where the likelihood of substantial hazardous
    releases is relatively high, or where environmental degradation has taken place have become a
    major concern of environmental planners, especially when they are located near densely
    populated urban neighborhoods. These urban sites may not be evenly distributed spatially, but
    rather,  create an uneven pattern of resident exposure. Therefore, assessment of the
    environmental effects of such sites is inherently geographic and  spatial analysis  can be used to
    reveal the patterns, and  assist efforts to understand the processes by which the  patterns have
    evolved.
    
    This  paper presents a study analyzing the spatial distribution of potential pollution sources,
    mortality rate and other socio-economic indicators by census block groups within the city of
    Cincinnati, Ohio. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and statistical analysis tools are
    combined to assess the  spatial and temporal variations.  The sites included are those included
    on the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency's (OEPA) Master Sites List (MSL) and the U. S.
    Environmental Protection Agency's (USEPA) Toxic Release Inventory (TRI). The annual release
    data  from TRI sites were also retrieved for analysis. The results show no correlation of the
    annual  mortality rates with annual amounts of toxic chemical releases into the air from the TRI
    sites. The block groups closest to MSL sites were found to have significantly higher age-
    adjusted mortality rates than those farther away, though no significant difference was found
    etween the census block groups closer to the TRI sites and those farther away. When both the
    MSL sites and the TRI sites were included in the spatial  analysis, the mortality rates for the
    

    -------
    census block groups closest to the sites were higher than those farther away, at higher
    significance levels than was found for just the MSL sites. Furthermore, census block groups
    closer to the potential pollution sites were found to be poorer, less educated and have a larger
    proportion of minority residents. Race and median rent were found to be significant predictors of
    the proximity of a census block group to a hazardous material site, after controlling for other
    socio-economic factors. After controlling for other socio-economic factors, race and proximity to
    MSL sites were significant predictors of age-adjusted mortality, though proximity to TRI sites
    was not.
    
    The study demonstrates while the direct impact from hazardous sites on human health was not
    observed, the spatial connection can not be ignored. Although the associations do not establish
    causality, they provide the basis for further study to assess how the propinquity of poor and
    minority communities to hazardous commercial wastes contributes to their significantly higher
    mortality rates. Further, an investigation is indicated for the role of institutional factors in siting
    low-income and minority housing near environmental hazards. The findings here will support
    better design, implementation  and evaluation of policy alternatives to improve the  quality of life
    for urban residents. This study also demonstrates the usefulness of GIS for assessment of
    potential environmental hazards.
    
    INTRODUCTION
    The social and health implications of environmental degradation have drawn increasing
    attention among scholars and  policy makers in  environmental, social, and human  health studies.
    Investigations of hazardous waste sites have demonstrated health effects in exposed persons,
    including low birth weight, cardiac anomalies, headache, fatigue, miscarriages, respiratory
    problems, neurobehavioral problems and  higher cancer rates (Berry & Bove 1997, Geschwind
    et. al. 1992, Washington 1994, NRC  1991).  Clearly, there are reasons to be concerned about
    the effect of hazardous waste  on human health. Although there is widespread agreement that
    exposure to hazardous waste  may be adding to our disease  burden in significant,  although as
    yet not always precisely defined, ways (USDHHS 1980) the social and health effects of
    exposure to environmental contamination have been the subjects of considerable  controversy.
    Sites where substantial amounts of hazardous waste are released, or where environmental
    degradation has taken place have become a major concern of environmental planners,
    especially when they are located near densely populated urban neighborhoods. Spatial analysis
    may be used as a tool to investigate if these sites are evenly distributed spatially or create an
    

    -------
    uneven pattern of exposure for certain group of people. The spatial pattern, or lack of it, may
    provide an important step in describing problems and in formulating and testing hypotheses
    about possible links between environment hazards and quality of life and lead to studies that
    can help direct action to areas of greatest need.
    
    Beyond the consideration of health effects of hazardous emissions on urban populations
    generally, the disproportionate exposure of poor and minority populations raises important
    issues of environmental justice. Environmental justice has been defined as the equitable sharing
    of the adverse effects of pollution across the spectrum of social, economic and political power
    (Bryant & Mohai  1992; Bullard 1993; Xia et al.  1997). This implies that public policies and
    regulations, including the siting of polluting industries or the permitting of toxic releases into the
    environment, should not disproportionately expose minorities or the poor to environmental
    hazards (Bullard 1997). Unfortunately, we still lack full knowledge of many of the relationships
    involved, especially spatial relationships. Studies investigating environmental justice issues
    have generally concluded that minorities and the poor are likely to have greater exposure to
    toxic landfills, waste incinerators, hazardous industrial facilities and other environmentally
    detrimental activities (Bullard 1993, Bryant & Mohai 1992, Buntin  1994; Ortolano 1997;
    Ringquist 1997; Bullard 1997, Burby 1997, Vos 1997). Other work has found that commercial
    hazardous waste treatment, storage and disposal facilities (TSDFs) were not more likely to be
    located in poor and minority communities (Oakes et al.  1996; Anderton et al.1994), though a
    more recent study came to an opposite conclusion (Boer et al. 1997). Several researchers have
    raised questions about the methods  used in some of the early environmental justice studies.
    Results were found to be different depending on whether a large  (county or zip code) or small
    (census tract) geographic unit was analyzed (Bowen et al. 1995, Anderton et al.1994). The
    effective handling of spatial information is essential to facilitate an appropriate public policy
    response. Planners, public officials and residents concerned with quality of life and
    environmental justice require analytical tools that enable them to  identify and initiate responses
    to potential  threats.
    
    These tools must allow for determining the possibility of a significant health threat and the need
    for more in depth epidemiological, environmental or land use analyses. The combination of
    geographic information systems (GIS) and statistical analysis comprises just such a tool to
    analyze health, environmental and demographic data. GIS allows the construction of maps,
    identification of nearest neighbors, and display of spatial relationships. A series of patterns,
    

    -------
    each for a different variable of interest, may be created and combined to reveal
    correspondences and disparities. GIS functions, such as the storage, retrieval and manipulation
    of spatially related data also allow the aggregation of data collected from varying sources. This
    data, in turn, can be used to develop a composite description, and to explore associations, such
    as the use of distance buffers to identify how the effects of a potential hazard may change as
    one moves father away (Wartenberg 1993).
    
    It is within this context that this study uses GIS and statistical analysis to describe and analyze
    the spatial relationships between human health, race, socioeconomic status (SES) and the
    proximity to potential environmental hazardous sites in Cincinnati. The potential environmental
    hazards used in this study are sites of reported industrial releases for toxic chemicals or where
    improper hazardous materials management has resulted in environmental contamination.
    Mortality rates calculated at the 1990 census block group level were used as the human health
    indicator. Socioeconomic status was also evaluated at the census block group level. This study
    describes the spatial distribution of environmental, human health, and socioeconomic
    characteristics in Cincinnati. The relationship between the mortality rates, SES and proximity to
    hazardous sites is also addressed.
    
    DATA
    The study area was the City of Cincinnati, Ohio (1990 city population 364,040; 1990
    consolidated metropolitan statistical area population 1,744,124). Census block groups from the
    1990 U.S. Census were used as the unit of analysis. To integrate the data for this study, five
    types of digital data files were compiled: 1) death records, including location of residence, date
    and causes of death for all persons who died in Cincinnati from January 1, 1986 to December
    31, 1994; 2)  locations of potential environmental hazardous sites; 3) 1990 U.S. census block
    group population and housing and other socioeconomic characteristics for Cincinnati; 4) census
    block group boundary for Cincinnati; and 5) streets in Cincinnati.
    
    Records of all deaths reported to the Cincinnati Health Department for the years 1979 to 1994
    were obtained from the Cincinnati Health Department. The data file contained 35 data items for
    each of the death records, including last residence of the diseased, cause of death, birth and
    death dates, and limited socioeconomic information such as race, number of years of education,
    and state of birth (CHD 1994). Records for Cincinnati residents who may have died outside the
    

    -------
    city were not included. Also, we excluded the records for non-Cincinnati residents who died in
    Cincinnati since the study area was limited to the City of Cincinnati.
    
    Two types of environmental contamination and hazardous waste release data were collected:
    the 1994 Master Sites List (MSL) from the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency's (OEPA)
    Division of Emergency and Remedial Response (DERR); and the 1992 Toxic Release Inventory
    (TRI) Annual Report, from OEPA's Division of Air Pollution Control. The MSL is a database of
    sites in Ohio where there is evidence of, or it is suspected that improper hazardous waste
    management has resulted in the contamination of air, water or soil, and there is a confirmed or
    potential threat to human health or the environment. The MSL includes a diversity of sites of
    varied environmental concerns. In addition to those sites in the USEPA's Comprehensive
    Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Information System (CERCLIS) prior to
    1989, sites were added to the MSL listing  by DERR staff based on inter-program referrals,
    citizen complaints, or  DERR's discovery efforts. The DERR updates the MSL annually and sites
    may be delisted if formal  remediation has been completed (DERR 1994). Examples of the MSL
    sites are chemical companies where spills or improper storage or disposal have taken place,
    and closed landfills that pose a threat because of poor or antiquated design and hazardous
    contents. The MSL database records contain a field with the street address for each site.
    
    The TRI report contained annually compiled data on the quantity and location of industrial
    releases for approximately 300 toxic chemicals and 20 chemical categories (Bowen et al.  1995).
    Manufacturing firms subjected to Title III, Section 313 of the federal Emergency Planning and
    Community Right-to-Know Act of 1986 are included in the TRI list. These firms are required to
    report the location and amount of toxic chemicals released to the air, water, or land. In Ohio, the
    TRI Program within the Division of Air Pollution Control of the OEPA coordinates the collection,
    digitizing and distribution of TRI data. The TRI sites include a broad  range of industrial facilities,
    from manufacturing and food processing, to chemical plants. Like the MSL database, the
    locations of the TRI sites are stored in a street address field.
    
    Census population data were directly extracted from the U.S. Census Bureau's 1990  Summary
    Tape File (STF) 3A. The census data are considered the most reliable source for population
    information by geographic area. Data used in this study include population by age group for
    each census block groups within the city of Cincinnati and population by age group for the state
    of Ohio. The total numbers of deaths in Ohio by age group were obtained from the Ohio
    

    -------
    Department of Health (ODH 1992). The Census block group boundary data were extracted from
    the First Street geographic data files produced by Wessex Inc. The First Street files were
    compiled and enhanced from the U. S. Census Bureau's 1992 Topographically Integrated
    Geographic Encoding and Referencing (TIGER) files. The files contained graphic data (maps)
    defining census block group boundaries and associated attribute data. There are 417 census
    block groups in the City of Cincinnati, of which 22 had no residents in 1990. These were
    eliminated, thus providing a total of 395 census block groups for this study. The street address
    data used in the study were the 1994 TIGER files. The street files contained street name and
    address ranges for street sections in Hamilton County.
    
    METHODS
    Data files were integrated based on their spatial location. GIS functions, including geocoding,
    buffering, and overlay analysis, were used to complete the tasks. The location of TRI and MSL
    sites were identified with GIS geocoding function based on the street addresses  in  the data file
    and the TIGER street file. After the distance from census block groups to the nearest hazardous
    sites were calculated, the block groups were divided into six buffer zones based  on an 800-
    meter (0.5 miles) interval to the nearest MSL and TRI sites, respectively. Then, statistical tools
    were used to calculate mortality rates for each census block group and identify significant
    predictors of mortality rates from among proximity to hazardous site variables and selected
    socioeconomic status (SES) variables. ArcView, a GIS software program (Environmental
    System Research Institute, Inc.,  Redlands, CA) was used for spatial analyses. SPSS, a
    statistical analysis software program (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL), was used for statistical analysis.
    To control for the age effects when comparing mortality rates, age-adjusted rates were
    calculated for each census block group using the direct age-adjustment method  (Friedman
    1994) based on nine-year average crude mortality rates and population age cohorts for the state
    of Ohio.
    
    Socioeconomic status indicators were selected to reflect known mortality risk factors, as well as
    to provide insight to conditions found in each block group. The following indicators were
    selected: length of residence in unit (percent of households living in unit more than 10 years);
    median household income; median housing unit value (owner-occupied units); median
    household rent (renter-occupied units); percent of persons 25 years or older with less than a
    ninth grade education; and percent of  population that is African American. A table of bivariate
    

    -------
    correlation coefficients was constructed for the relationships between age-adjusted mortality
    rates, distance of the census block group from a hazardous site and the SES indicators.
    
    Multiple linear regression analysis (ordinary least squares) was used to identify statistically
    significant predictors for proximity to MSL and TRI sites. Based on the correlation table of SES
    indicators, four were selected for inclusion in the regression analysis (1) percent of residents in
    home for more than 20 years, 2) median rent, 3) percent of population African American, and 4)
    percent of population over age 25 with less than nine years of schooling). To avoid multi-
    collinearity among the predictor variables, median income and median  home value were not
    included in the regression. Median  household income was strongly correlated with median
    home value and median rent, and moderately correlated with percent African American. The
    Durbin-Watson statistic was calculated and plots of residuals analyzed to check for
    autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. No evidence of these problems was found.
    
    RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
    Among the 1979-1994 death records in the Cincinnati Health Department's data file, 96,440
    were identified as Hamilton County residents. Of these, 96,235 were geocoded (99.8%) based
    on the recorded street addresses. After excluding accidental causes of death, this study used
    records for 31,526 decedents who were Cincinnati residents at the time of their death and died
    between January 1,1986 and December 31, 1994.
    
    The locations for 75 MSL sites and 131 TRI sites in Hamilton County were geocoded based on
    the street addresses of the sites. Only 12 sites were found on both the TRI and MSL lists. The
    MSL sites were scattered within the central part of the city while there were no MSL sites in the
    northwestern and southeastern portions of the city (Fig. 1). Several MSL sites were located in
    the southern part of the city, just to the west of the central business district. Most MSL sites
    were near major  highways or close to waterways. The census block groups within 800 meters
    (approximately 0.5 miles) of the MSL sites, taken as a whole, were almost entirely contiguous,
    except for a few in a small area in the western part of the city.
    
    The distribution of TRI  sites  shows  a  similar pattern to that of the MSL sites (Fig.  2). There were
    only a few TRI sites in the western  portion of the city, mostly located along the narrow corridor in
    the southwestern corner. Similarly,  there were only a few TRI sites in the southeastern portion
    of the city. The TRI sites were even more concentrated along the Mill Creek and two major
    

    -------
    highways, 1-71 and I-75, than were the MSL sites. It should be noted that a number of TRI sites
    were found in the two communities (Norwood and Elmwood Place) surrounded by the city of
    Cincinnati. Those sites were included in the analysis since their impact would not stop at the
    political boundaries.
    
    The age adjusted mortality rates by census block groups in Cincinnati are displayed in Fig. 3.
    Mortality rates are higher in the older, less affluent areas in the center and west portions of the
    city. The newer areas to the east generally have lower mortality rates. Figures 4 and 5 show the
    percent African American by block group and median household income by block group,
    respectively. Most block groups with higher percentage of African American population are in
    the center part of the city. To a large degree, the low median household income block groups
    correspond to the high percentage of African American population.
    
    Table 1 shows the mean values for age-adjusted mortality and the selected SES characteristics
    for each of the six MSL zones. The zones further away from MSL sites tend to have lower
    mortality rates, illiteracy and percent African American and higher income, rent, and home
    value. Similar pattern can be found for the percent of residents in their home more than  20
    years, but to a lesser extent. When the similar comparison is made to the TRI sites, the  results
    are similar to, though less pronounced than, those for the MSL zones (Table 2).
    
    The regression results for predicting the proximity of a census block group to a MSL or TRI site
    are presented in Table 3. Percent African American, median rent and percent adult illiterate
    were significant predictors at a 0.05 level or better for proximity to MSL sites. Length of
    residence was nearly significant (p. =0.0977). This model predicts a block group that has 75
    percent African American residents, and citywide average values for the other SES variables
    will be  located 0.85 miles from a MSL site, compared to  1.15 miles for a block group that has 25
    percent African American residents. Percent African American, median rent and percent of
    residents residing for more than 20 years were significant predictors  at a 0.05 level or better for
    proximity to TRI sites. The model predicts a block group that has 75 percent African American
    residents, and citywide average values for the other SES variables will  be located 0.8 miles from
    a TRI site, compared to 1.05 miles for a block group that has 25 percent African American
    residents.
    

    -------
    The regression results for predicting age-adjusted total mortality and age 35-64-cancer mortality
    are presented in Table 4. Percent African American, median rent, length of residence and MSL
    zone were significant predictors at an 0.05 level or better for predicting total mortality. The
    model predicts a block group located in MSL Zone 1 will have a 24 percent higher mortality rate
    than average. For predicting age 35-64 cancer mortality,  percent African American and median
    rent were significant predictors at a 0.05 level or better. This model predicts a block group
    located in MSL Zone 1 has a 26 percent higher mortality  rate than average.
    
    The results show that the proximity of a census block group to a MSL site is a significant
    predictor of age-adjusted mortality rates, even after controlling for socioeconomic risk factors.
    However, the reasons for this association are not clear. Given that an association has  been
    confirmed, a natural expansion of the research will be to explain the nature of the relationships
    involved. There may be direct causal relationships, or there may be synergistic effects involving
    several factors. Also, it is likely there are other confounding factors which are related to both
    proximity and health status. The effect of social stress on community mortality differentials  has
    been receiving increasing attention, and may be a factor  here.  Closer analysis of the variation in
    mortality rates among subgroups may provide additional  insight, as  may scrutinize other factors
    such as property values, health care access  and utilization, and health-related personal habits.
    
    Environmental justice can be considered to entail two components: distributive justice that
    relates to the status of spatial relationships, and procedural justice that relates to the processes
    by which spatial injustices came about. The results here show that elements of distributive
    injustice are clearly present in Cincinnati. The market economy in the U.S. dictates where
    people live based on their ability to pay. Consequently, it might be argued that the disparity
    identified is simply the result of "the invisible  hand" of the market. However, there are at least
    two reasons to suggest that non-market institutional factors may be  major contributors to the
    apparent bias against the poor, less educated and minority. First, several of the largest
    residential concentrations closest to the hazardous sites are public housing complexes built
    over the past forty years. Decision-makers may have determined that the nearby industrial sites
    posed no hazards, or, more likely, simply failed to consider the issue. That the real estate was
    relatively inexpensive, and separated from existing neighborhoods made these sites politically
    attractive for situating public housing. In either case, hindsight suggests this decision making
    was flawed and biased against the current public housing residents. Second, many of the
    hazardous facilities were built or substantially expanded over the past forty years, often on
    

    -------
    existing industrial sites that had been in use for a century of more. While the industry may have
    been there first, the residences may have been built when the quantity and toxicity of the
    contamination and  releases of nearby industry posed a greatly reduced threat. In such a
    situation, the residences have remained the same, but the hazards posed by the nearby
    industry have increased substantially. In such cases it would seem that environmental
    permitting and land-use regulations have failed to adequately protect residents from the
    evolving hazards of modern industrial processes. To the residents it makes little difference
    whether their increased exposure to environmental hazards was the result of a bias in permit
    decisions (Boer et al. 1997) or simply a reflection of the institutional neglect fostered by existing
    power structures. Both explanations recommend changes in planning processes that would give
    greater consideration to the hazards resulting from the way in which industrial land is used. For
    example, performance zoning might be used, based on an enlightened, more comprehensive
    view of the hazards of industrial use, rather than the current system that assumes all permitted
    hazardous waste releases pose no hazard to nearby residents.
    
    CONCLUSIONS
    After examining the spatial distribution of hazardous waste sites, mortality rate and six
    socioeconomic indicators at the census block group level in Cincinnati, we found associations
    between the distance to hazardous waste sites and the mortality rate and selected
    socioeconomic indicators. The study has demonstrated the need for more in-depth
    investigations to elucidate the processes by which the offending spatial relationships evolved so
    that the residential  areas closest to potential  environmental hazards are poorer,  less educated,
    and minority. An interdisciplinary team from urban and environmental planning, public health,
    and environmental  engineering is needed to  address the complex issues involved. Clearly,
    developing a better understanding of the fundamental nature of the relationships would be of
    great benefit to planners assisting a wide-range of land use-related decisions.
    
    The locations of hazardous waste sites should be considered in making decisions regarding the
    appropriate land use for nearby properties, as well as environmental remediation and  pollution
    prevention. Planners and communities must  take steps to ensure that hazardous sites are
    managed in  effective ways in order to prevent the exposure of nearby residents to dangerous
    levels of toxins.  Industrial facilities cannot be permitted for hazardous releases, even in small
    quantities, if the cumulative effect of multiple small releases creates health hazards. Steps must
    be taken to avoid multiple small hazardous releases that are effectively equivalent to the
                                               10
    

    -------
    hazards posed by more seriously contaminated individual sites. Further, while the synergistic
    effects of likely chemical combinations are not well understood, explicit consideration of the
    potential for such effects would seem prudent, and should become an integral part of standard
    land use planning. Also, when resources are allocated for environmental remediation, higher
    priority generally should be given to sites that individually pose more serious problems, yet the
    impact of other nearby sites must also be considered.
    
    In this study, we integrated GIS and statistical analyses to examine the spatial distribution of
    environmental, human health, and socio-economic characteristics in  Cincinnati.  For this project,
    the importance of innovation based on a solid scientific foundation cannot be overly stressed. In
    the current economic and regulatory climate, sound GIS methods are emerging  as convincing
    and cost effective means for analyzing multiple factors in a project like this one.  An important
    issue in environmental research concerns the development and use of analytic tools that can
    provide rapid, reliable and valid assessment for use in planning, implementation and evaluation
    of policy alternatives. These tools should give both researchers and policy-makers new insight
    into the consequences of environmental interventions, and facilitate a clear view of the social,
    economic and political context for which such interventions are proposed. Just as  important as
    the technological advances is the higher-order systematization of geographical thinking that GIS
    development initiates.
                                               11
    

    -------
    REFERENCES
    
    Anderton, D, A Anderson, P Rossi, M Oakes, and M Fraser. 1994. "Hazardous waste facilities:
           Environmental equity issues in metropolitan areas." Evaluation Review, 18(2):123-140.
    
    Been, V. 1994. "Unpopular neighbors: Are dumps and landfills sited equitably?" Resources,
           Spring, 16-19.
    
    Berry, M and F Bove. 1997. "Birth Weight Reduction Associated With Residence Near a
           Hazardous Waste Landfill." Environmental Health Perspectives, 105(8):856-861.
    
    Boer, JT, M Pastor, JL Sadd, and LD Snyder. 1997. "Is there environmental racism? The
           demographics of hazardous waste in Los Angeles County." Social Science Quarterly,
           78(4):793-810.
    
    Bowen, WM, MJ Sailing, KE Haynes and EJ Cyran. 1995. "Toward Environmental Justice:
           Spatial Equity in Ohio and Cleveland." Annals of the Association of American
           Geographers, 85:641-663.
    
    Bryant, B and P Mohai (eds). 1992. Race and the incidence of environmental hazards: A time
           for discourse. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
    
    Bullard, R. (Ed),  1993. Confronting environmental racism: Voices from the grassroots. Boston:
           South End Press.
    
    Bullard, R. 1997.  Dismantling Environmental Racism in the Policy Area: The Role of
           Collaborative Social Research. College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press.
    
    Buntin, B. 1994.  Environmental Justice: Issues, Policies, and Solutions. Washington,  DC: Island
           Brothers.
    
    Burby,  R. 1997. "People and pollution: What can government and industry do to foster
           environmental justice?" Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the
           Association of Collegiate Schools of Planning, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, November 6-9, 1999.
    
    CHD (Cincinnati Health Department). 1994. Unpublished internal documents  provided by
           Joseph Geisland, Data Center Manager, 1525 Elm Street, December 29th.
    
    DERR  (Division of Emergency and Remedial Response). 1994. Master Sites  List 1994.
           Columbus, OH: Ohio Environmental Protection Agency.
    
    Friedman, G.  1994. Primer of Epidemiology. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc.
    
    Geschwind, SA, JA Stolwijk, M Bracken, E Fitzgerald, A Stark, C Olsen, and J Melius. 1992.
           "Risk of Congenital Malformations Associated with Proximity to Hazardous waste sites."
           American Journal of Epidemiology, 135(11): 1197-1207.
    
    Heiman, MK. 1996. "Race, waste and  class: New perspectives on environmental justice."
           Antipode 28(2): 111-121.
                                             12
    

    -------
    Lichtveld, MY and BL Johnson. 1993. Public health implications of hazardous waste sites in the
           United States, paper presented at Hazardous Wastes and Public Health Approaches:
           Hazardous Waste Conference. Washington DC: Agency for Toxic Substances and
           Disease Registry.
    
    NRC (National  Research Council). 1991. Environmental epidemiology: public health and
           hazardous wastes, vol. 1. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
    
    Oakes, JM, DL Anderton, and AB Anderson. 1996. "A longitudinal analysis of environmental
           equity in communities with hazardous waste facilities." Social Science Research,
           25:125-148.
    
    ODH (Division of Vital Statistics, Ohio Department of Health). 1992.  Annual Report: Vital
           Statistics. Columbus: Ohio Department of Health.
    
    Ohio EPA (Ohio Environmental Protection Agency). 1997. Master Sites List, Columbus, OH:
           Division of Emergency and Remedial Response.
    
    Ortolano, L. 1997. Environmental Regulation and Impact Assessment. New York: John Wiley
           and Sons.
    
    OTA (Office of Technology Assessment). 1983. Technologies and Management, Strategies for
           Hazardous Waste Control. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office.
    
    Penderhughes, R. 1996. "The impact of race on environmental quality: An empirical and
           theoretical discussion," Sociological Perspectives 39(2):231-248.
    
    Ringquist, EJ. 1997. "Equity and the distribution of environmental risk: The case of TRI
           facilities."  Social Science Quarterly, 78(4):811-829.
    
    USDHHS (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services). 1980. Health Effects of Toxic
           Pollutants. Report prepared for the U.S. Senate by the Surgeon General, Serial No. 96-
           15. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
    
    USEPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency).  1990. "Hazard ranking system", Federal
           Register, 55:51532.
    
    USEPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency).  1997. 1995 Toxic Release Inventory Public
           Data Release, Washington D.C.: http://www.epa.gov/opptintr/tri/pdr95/drover01.htm, last
           updated: April 14th.
    
    Vos, J. 1997. "The role of local planners and decision-makers in the occurrence of
           environmental injustice."  Paper  prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the
           Association of Collegiate Schools of Planning, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, November 6-9.
    
    Wartenberg, D. 1993. "Use of geographic information systems for risk screening and
           epidemiology." paper presented at Hazardous Wastes and Public Health Approaches:
           Hazardous Waste Conference, Washington DC: Agency for Toxic Substances and
           Disease Registry.
                                             13
    

    -------
    Washington, R. 1994. "Environmental Equity: Dilemmas and Challenges for Public Health and
           Social Work for the 1990s." Journal of Health and social Policy, 62(2): 1-17.
    
    Xia, H, BP Carlin, and LA Waller. 1997. "Hierarchical models for mapping Ohio lung cancer
           rates." Environmetrics, 8(2): 107-120.
    
    Burby, R., and D. Strong. 1997. "Coping with Chemicals: Blacks, Whites, Planners, and
           Pollution," Journal of the American Planning Association 63(4):469-80.
    
    Szasz, A., and M. Meuser. 1997.  "Environmental Inequalities: Literature Review and Proposals
           for New Directions in Research and Theory," Current Sociology 45(3):99-120.
    
    United Church of Christ, Commission for Racial Justice. 1987. Toxic Waste and Race in the
           United States. New York:  United Church of Christ, Commission for Racial Justice.
    
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Environmental Justice. 1995. Environmental
           Justice Strategy: Executive Order 12898.  EPA/200-R-95-002. Washington DC: USEPA.
    
    Wartenberg, D. 1993. "Use of Geographic Information Systems for Risk Screening and
           Epidemiology," Hazardous Wastes and Public Health Approaches: Hazardous Waste
           Conference 1993. Washington DC: Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry.
                                              14
    

    -------
                                                    MSL Sites
                                                    MSL Buffer
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Zone 1
    Zone 2
    Zone 3
    Zone 4
    Zone 5
    Tonp 6
                                                  A
                                                    N
    n
                                  42 Mies
        Figure 1. Block Groups by MSL Buffers
    

    -------
                                        TRI Sites
                                        TRI Buffer
                                        Zone 1
                                        Zone 2
                                        Zone 3
                                        Zone 4
                                        Zone 5
                                        Zone 6
                                      A
                                       N
                         £ Mes
    Figure 2. Block Groups by TRI Buffers
    

    -------
                                                      MSL Sites
                                                      TRI Sites
                                                 totality Rate/1,000 Rjp
                                                      0-5.3
                                                      5.3--7.2
                                                      7.2-10.0
                                                      10.0-37.1
                                                       A
                                                        N
                                    _L2 Mes
    Figure 3 Total Mortality Rate by Block Group
    

    -------
                                              TRISkes
                                              MSLSkes
                                         ilAfrican American
                                          	0-13
                                          _l 13 -21.1
                                              U21.1 -77.3
                                              77.3-100
                                         A
                               -12 Mes
    N
    Figure 4. Percent of African American by Block Group
    

    -------
                                                   TO Sites
                                                   IVBLSites
                                                   iHH Income
                                              LJ $4,999-$14,107
                                                   $14,138-$20,927
                                                   $21,083-$28,482
                                                   $28,523-$121,716
                                               A
                                  _L2 Mes
    N
    Figure 5. Median Household Income by Block Group
    

    -------
     Table 1 Differences in Mortality and Socioeconomic Characteristics by MSL Zone
    Variable
    Mortality
    Income
    Rent
    Home Value
    Illiteracy
    20+ Yrs. Residence
    African American
    Zone 1
    9.9
    $18,586
    $305
    $59,561
    14%
    16%
    47%
    Zone 2
    9.6
    $22,210
    $358
    $65,792
    11%
    17%
    39%
    Zone 3
    8.9
    $27,667
    $376
    $88,895
    9%
    17%
    20%
    Zone 4
    5.0
    $34,952
    $428
    $87,350
    8%
    24%
    17%
    Zone 5
    6.9
    $36,159
    $398
    $94,880
    11%
    16%
    1%
    Zone 6
    3.4
    $29,639
    $389
    $69,599
    10%
    22%
    2%
    Table 2 Differences in Mortality and Socioeconomic Characteristics by TRI Zone
    Variable
    Mortality
    Income
    Rent
    Home Value
    Illiteracy
    20+ Yrs. Residence
    African American
    Zone 1
    9.6
    $19,696
    $330
    $56,753
    14%
    17%
    46%
    Zone 2
    9.8
    $22,199
    $352
    $75,097
    11%
    18%
    40%
    ZoneS
    9.4
    $24,150
    $323
    $92,643
    12%
    13%
    35%
    Zone 4
    7.3
    $26,650
    $389
    $66,381
    8%
    13%
    10%
    Zone 5
    5.3
    $31,408
    $367
    $68,222
    6%
    23%
    2%
    Zone 6
    6.5
    $27,947
    $389
    $68,495
    8%
    23%
    1%
    Table 3 Multiple Linear Regression Predicting Proximity to Hazardous Sites
    Independent Variables
    
    
    African American
    Rent
    20+ Years Resident
    Illiteracy
    Constant
    SigF
    Adj. R2
    N
    Dependent Variable:
    Proximity to MSL Sites
    Coefficient p
    -1.2290 0.0000*
    -0.0014 0.0284*
    0.9121 0.0977
    -1.8607 0.0141*
    3.1618 0.0000
    0.0000
    0.1247
    389
    Dependent Variable:
    Proximity to TRI Sites
    Coefficient
    -0.9243
    0.0159
    1 .2279
    -0.6793
    1 .6205
    0.0000
    0.1555
    389
    
    
    P
    0.0000*
    0.0068*
    0.0122
    0.3109
    0.0000
    
    
    
                    Differs from zero at 0.05 level of significance.
                                      20
    

    -------
                    Table 4 Multiple Linear Regression Predicting Mortality
    Independent Variables
    Dependent Variable:
       Total Mortality
    Differs from zero at 0.05 level of significance.
     Dependent Variable:
    35-64 Cancer Mortality
    
    African American
    Rent
    20+ Years Resident
    MSL Proximity
    TRI Proximity
    Constant
    Sig F
    Adj. R2
    Sample Size
    Coefficient
    0.0028
    -7.1930E-06
    -0.0078
    -5.0456E-04
    -1.9533E-04
    0.01343
    0.0000
    0.1879
    389
    P
    0.0001*
    0.0014*
    0.0001*
    0.0182*
    0.2985
    0.0000
    
    
    
    Coefficient
    9.4241 E-04
    -4.4588E-06
    1 .5067E-04
    -1.0440E-04
    -9.2487E-05
    0.0042
    0.0000
    0.0942
    392
    P
    0.0088*
    0.0001*
    0.8823
    0.3467
    0.3413
    0.0000
    
    
    
                                               21
    

    -------
       Verification of Contaminant Flow Estimation With GIS and Aerial Photography
                                            Thomas M. Williams
                             Clemson University, Georgetown, South Carolina
    Abstract
    
    Estimation of contaminant movement in ground water
    requires interpolation of data from sampling wells that
    represent a very small sample of aquifer volume. Spatial
    statistics and kriging provide the best unbiased estima-
    tor  of interpolated  concentrations.  Hurricane  Hugo
    provided an  opportunity to compare these estimators
    with actual forest mortality caused by saltwater inunda-
    tion associated with the tidal  surge. During the  9- to
    15- month period after the hurricane, salt from the tidal
    surge moved within the shallow water table aquifer,
    causing widespread tree mortality on Hobcaw Forest in
    eastern Georgetown County, South  Carolina. A small
    watershed (12 acres) was instrumented with 24 multi-
    level sampling wells. Piezometric potential and samples
    for salt concentration  were collected for  12 months
    (months 18 to 30 after the tidal surge).  These data
    produced three-dimensional estimations of flow direc-
    tions and two-dimensional maps of chloride concentra-
    tion.  These maps led to the identification of important
    heterogeneities in the  water table aquifer. Apparently,
    the infiltrated salt water moved to the  bottom of the
    aquifer (15 feet) and emerged,  killing the forest, where
    aquifer heterogeneity resulted in upward  movements of
    ground water.
    
    Georgetown  County implemented  a geographic  infor-
    mation system (GIS) for tax mapping in  1988 and pre-
    pared 1:400-scale orthophotographs of the entire county
    with  true ground accuracy of less  than 5  feet. Color
    infrared aerial photographs were taken from a Cessna 150
    platform annually after the hurricane. ERDAS GIS soft-
    ware and the accurate  photo base allowed removal  of
    scale irregularities and distortion that resulted from  using
    a small aircraft. Scanned images, using a 10-square-foot
    pixel, were compared with kriged chloride concentration
    maps,  also using a 10-foot cell size. Grid cells with
    estimated chloride concentration of more than 500 mil-
    ligrams  per liter  also exhibited low reflectance  in the
    infrared-enhanced color band, indicating tree mortality.
    Here, a small number of sampling wells accurately pre-
    dicted ground-water movement of a contaminant (NaCI),
    and GIS and remote sensing verified this movement.
    
    Introduction
    
    Estimating contaminant flow in ground water is difficult
    because  we cannot "see" the aquifer. We know that
    aquifers comprise  sediments that vary from  place to
    place, that changes in  hydraulic conductivity determine
    the rate of water movement, and that the spatial variabil-
    ity of the aquifer sediment determines the hydraulic
    conductivity. Our inability to accurately represent spatial
    variability  of the  aquifer limits  our ability to predict
    ground-water flow and, thereby, contaminant transport.
    
    A large variety of prediction models are available  (1-3),
    and stochastic methods of estimating spatial heteroge-
    neity have been developed (4, 5) and tested (6, 7). On
    well-characterized field sites, these techniques can pro-
    duce predictions of tracer movements that accurately
    predict experimental plumes in terms of mass behavior.
    Even at these  research sites, the spatial distribution of
    hydraulic conductivity is not known well enough to pre-
    dict behavior at any particular point.
    
    Ground-water  measurements generally  derive  from
    wells that are single points. To understand movement of
    an entire plume, these single point samples  must be
    extended to represent areas. The geostatistical ap-
    proach allows quantitative estimation of the spatial vari-
    ation of point estimates (8). Kriging is  a technique that
    uses spatial covariance to estimate values at points
    where no measurement exists (9). It produces the best
    linear unbiased estimator of nonmeasured points  (8).
    
    Following Hurricane Hugo, these techniques were used
    to  study saltwater movement in the water table aquifer
    in forested stands of eastern Georgetown County, South
    Carolina. Clemson University received a grant from the
    U.S. Forest Service to examine forest mortality and
    regeneration success within the forest zone covered by
    salt water during the tidal  surge.  In this study,  we used
    a small sample of ground water to estimate the direction
    

    -------
    and concentration of salt moving in the  aquifer. Geo-
    graphic information systems (CIS) proved to be a useful
    tool to verify conclusions based on the  small sample
    size. Onsite sampling, aerial photography, vector and
    raster CIS, and spatial statistics were combined into one
    analysis system. The system  estimated and verified
    directions of salt movement within the aquifer. CIS and
    remote sensing of forest mortality  produced an inde-
    pendent indicator of salt movement that could be com-
    pared with the geostatistical technique.
    Problem Statement
    The main goal of the research project was to evaluate
    problems for forest regeneration in areas covered by salt
    water during the hurricane. In  many of these areas, the
    mature trees died during the summer following the hur-
    ricane. These areas have very low elevation, little relief,
    and abundant rainfall, causing the water table to remain
    near the soil surface.  The hypothesis was that salt
    movement within the aquifer killed the mature trees and
    could  limit regeneration success. We divided the prob-
    lem into three tasks: to determine if salt concentrations
    in the aquifer were high in areas where mature trees
    died, to determine pathways of salt movement within the
    aquifer that could explain high salt concentrations, and
    to predict regeneration success from the pattern of salt
    movement.
    
    CIS contributed both to testing the initial hypothesis and
    to extending predictions to areas not  initially studied.
    CIS has been used primarily to store and display spatial
    data in a way that  preserves  and presents the  spatial
    relationships as well as the data. For  this project, we
    collected two dissimilar data types. To determine salt
    movement, we  measured salt concentrations and pie-
    zometric pressures in  a series of  wells.  CIS had to
    represent the well  data and the domain of the  kriging
    procedures in a coordinate system compatible with the
    mortality data. We determined forest mortality data from
    infrared-enhanced  color aerial photography. CIS also
    had to allow separation of the infrared  signature of the
    photography, transform the signature into data that were
    comparable  with the well  data,  and  ensure that  the
    coordinate systems of the well data and the mortality
    data represented the same true ground positions.
    
    To use the CIS ability  for this project, we needed to
    choose several CIS parameters. In this case, we esti-
    mated  ground-water  chloride   concentration   using
    kriging, which produced data on a grid comparable with
    mortality interpreted  from  photographs. A raster CIS
    representation could be compared  with individual grid
    chloride values. Each grid cell was 10 square feet so
    that each cell would be  within  a single tree crown.
    Methods
    
    Study Location
    
    The study was located on 12 acres of a small watershed
    located on the eastern  side of Hobcaw Forest, an ex-
    perimental forest managed by Clemson University, De-
    partment of  Forest Resources.  Hobcaw  Forest is
    located on the end of a peninsula between the Winyah
    Bay  and the Atlantic Ocean in  eastern Georgetown
    County, South Carolina. The study watershed is located
    immediately west of the salt marsh and barrier island
    separating the forest from the Atlantic Ocean and is in
    Pleistocene-aged beach sediment. Watershed divides
    were created by former low dune lines, and the stream
    is within a small depression between these former dune
    lines. Divides are from 7 to 8 feet above sea level and
    the stream from 4 to 6 feet above sea level.
    
    The  study watershed is 50  miles northeast of Char-
    leston, South Carolina, where the eye of Hurricane
    Hugo struck the U.S. coastline. Along this portion of the
    South Carolina coast, the tidal surge was approximately
    10 feet above mean sea level (10), covering the entire
    watershed. Afterthe hurricane, shallow auger holes con-
    tained water with sodium concentrations of 4,000  milli-
    grams  per liter  (11). The  hurricane  winds did  little
    damage to the watershed forest,  but 25 percent of the
    large  oaks were windthrown  (12).  Beginning in the
    spring of 1990, however, many hardwoods and pines
    began dying. By the winter of 1990 and 1991, a large
    portion of the forest on the watershed had died.  Tree
    mortality did not correspond with high salinity measured
    by the initial auger-hole method, suggesting movement
    in the water table aquifer.
    
    Well Installation
    
    The water table aquifer is about 20 feet thick, consisting
    of fine sand similar to the present beach, with thin beds
    of shells 10 feet beneath the stream. The bottom of the
    aquifer is a bed of clay up to 3 feet thick over a leaky
    artesian aquifer  composed of shell and sand.  Local
    rainfall recharges the water table aquifer. Recharge for
    the lower aquifer is provided by leakage from the water
    table aquifer beneath the center of the peninsula, about
    2 miles west of the watershed, where land  elevations
    are 15 to 25 feet above  sea level. Piezometric potential
    in the lower aquifer is generally a few inches above the
    water table aquifer, making it only weakly artesian  (13).
    
    We installed 24 multilevel ground-water samplers (14)
    in the water table aquifer. Five samplers were located
    in  regeneration  measurement plots (15) placed within
    the stream.  Two samplers, one  at each edge of the
    hardwood wetland, formed a line perpendicular to the
    stream at the regeneration plot. Two  more samplers
    were located along these lines near the watershed di-
    vides on each side of the watershed. The 24 samplers
    

    -------
    formed five transects across the stream (see Figure 1).
    Piezometric potential and  ground-water chloride con-
    centrations were measured from  these samplers from
    March  31,  1991, through April 1, 1991. Williams (16)
    provides a  complete description of samplers, sampling
    procedures, and laboratory analysis.
    
    GIS Implementation and Measures
    
    A GIS  system for Hobcaw Forest management was
    developed  in 1987 using Environmental Systems Re-
    search Institute's PC ARC/INFO software (17). The in-
    itial  system  consisted  of forest  stand  boundaries
    digitized onto 1:100,000 digital line graphs (DLGs) pur-
    chased  from the U.S. Geological Survey. These rela-
    tively crude maps were combined with  stand  records
    and used for management decisions that did not require
    exact locations of stand  boundaries. Later, management
    of the endangered red-cockaded  woodpecker's habitat
    required that mapped  stand  lines be closer to true
    ground locations than the  original DIG data scale al-
    lowed. A program of ground surveys and aerial photog-
    raphy was  conducted in the late 1980s to locate stand
    boundaries more accurately (18).
    
    In 1988, Georgetown County began a program to con-
    vert  county tax mapping to computer-based systems.
    The  first step was to acquire survey grade  orthopho-
    tography. Copies of 1:400-scale orthophotographs, with
    guaranteed ground accuracy of plus  or minus 5 feet,
                Location of Sample Points
        554740
        554576  -
        554412  _|
    D)
    C
    !c
    t
        554248
        554084 -
        553920
                                 Transect 5
                         Transect 4
                                      "I" Transect 3
                      •+            Transect 2
                       Transect 1
             2548470    2548634   2548798  2548962
    
                  Easting (feet) SC State Plane 1983 Datum
    
    
    Figure 1.  Position of sampling wells in rectangle defined for
             estimation of salinity movements.
    became available in 1990. Roads and stand boundaries
    were  digitized from these  photographs into  the  PC
    ARC/INFO database. The new, accurate map was com-
    bined with stand records of previous coverages to create
    stand record coverages on a map that was true to the
    ground within 5 feet, plus or minus 0.3 percent.
    
    In 1991, the GIS programs ERDAS VGA and LIVE LINK
    were  obtained. ERDAS VGA programs allow image
    processing and raster GIS to be done on personal com-
    puters with VGA and some Super VGA monitor adapt-
    ers. The LIVE LINK program allows display of  both
    ARC/INFO and ERDAS images on the same monitor
    screen.  Orthophotographs  were  scanned  using  5-
    square-foot pixels and  rectified with less than 1-pixel
    mean error, giving accurate ground locations of plus or
    minus 8 feet.
    
    Ground surveys from a nearby benchmark provided accu-
    rate locations of the sampling wells. PC-TRAVERSE per-
    formed coordinate geometry from the survey notes, which
    was then  plotted on the ARC/INFO forest stand data-
    base. Accuracy was checked by plotting the recogniz-
    able   points   on  the   survey   with   the   scanned
    orthophotograph  using the LIVE LINK software.
    
    In February  1991,  the Hobcaw Forest  was  photo-
    graphed with  infrared-enhanced  color film. In this  film,
    the red layer is sensitive to near infrared radiation that
    is strongly reflected by chlorophyll. Red colors in result-
    ing prints indicate living  vegetation. The color photogra-
    phy was not corrected  for scale variation (from small
    fluctuation in aircraft altitude) or for distortion (caused by
    slight variations in the aircraft attitude). One photograph
    (1:1,320  scale)  covering the study watershed  was
    scanned  into the ERDAS program. This image  was
    rectified to the 1988 orthophotograph image using  con-
    trol points visible on both. A 10-square-foot pixel  was
    used to sample individual tree crowns. The mean error
    of rectification was 1.5 pixels for a ground location, plus
    or minus 15 feet.
    
    Ground-water  chloride values at any one  point varied
    over three orders of magnitude in all three dimensions
    and over  two  orders of magnitude with time. Annual
    averages of piezometric potential and chloride concen-
    tration, however,  yielded interpretable results that were
    also statistically significant (16). Averaged values could
    then  be  combined with the surveyed sampler locations
    in the ARC/INFO system. The GIS also calculated the
    corner coordinates for a rectangle that would  include all
    the sampler locations.
    
    Geostatistical  calculations were performed  using  the
    GS+ software. The data  input to this program is an ASCII
    file of sample point locations in x,y coordinates and  data
    values. The  program allows  calculation of semivario-
    grams with various combinations of active and maxi-
    mum  lag distance and fitting of various model types to
    

    -------
    best fit the semivariogram (19). An active lag of 65 feet
    and a Gausian model produced the best fit:
    
    i(h) = 0.001  + 1.337 (1 - exp [-h2/20736]),  r2  = 0.616
    
    where i(h) is the semivariance at lag distance  h.
    
    This best fit model was then used in a block kriging (9)
    procedure. The procedure used eight nearest neighbors
    and calculated average values for 10- by 10-square-foot
    blocks. Values were  calculated within the rectangle de-
    fined  by the corner coordinates from the ARC/INFO
    procedure described above.
    
    Finally, the rectangle defined around the sampler posi-
    tion formed the region of comparison between the rate
    of mortality, as sampled by infrared  reflection, and esti-
    mated average chloride concentrations. The first  com-
    parison involved mapping reflection in the red band  of
    the aerial photograph as a gray-scale map and  compar-
    ing it with  the contoured map of chloride concentration.
    The rectangle coordinates were used  in  the  ERDAS
    software to create a  subset of the scanned aerial pho-
    tograph that  included  only the red band in the 5,145
    pixels defined by the rectangle surrounding the  sam-
    plers. In this  subset, the infrared reflection was scaled
    as  a  gray-scale value between  0  and 255 for  each
    10- by 10-square-foot block defined in the concentration
    map.  In addition to  mapping, a regression  of chloride
    concentration to  gray-scale value was performed  using
    the individual blocks.
    
    Results
    
    Ground Water
    
    Ground-water chloride data reflected a consistent expla-
    nation of  salt movement.  Initial  auger-hole data col-
    lected within  a month of the hurricane  indicated  most
    salt was near the surface of the pine  ridges, where,
    presumably, salt water had filled the aquifer to the soil
    surface during the hurricane. Data collected  30 months
    after the hurricane indicated the bulk of the  salt had
    moved to the bottom  of the aquifer underthe pine ridges.
    Figures 2 and 3 represent the  most significant results
    interpreted from  the  piezometric potential and chloride
    concentration measurements.
    
    Figure 2 represents a cross section  of the chloride con-
    centrations and directions of ground-water flow in tran-
    sect 4, the second most northern transect. The common
    information represented  in this cross section  was the
    west to east movement of ground water, representing
    the regional flow toward the forest edge. Also, there is
    an area of upwelling just east of the stream at the bottom
    of the aquifer, representing a leaky spot in the underlying
    clay layer. Upwelling causes the west to east stream-
    lines to rise toward the surface along the western  edge
    of the wetland. Chloride concentrations indicate  large
                                                                                Transect 4
                     Chloride Concentration
    
        []  < 50 Milligrams per Liter     • 500 to 750 Milligrams per Liter
        PI 50 to 100 Milligrams pel
    T Liter
                                 750 to 1,000 Milligrams per Liter
        []  100 to 250 Milligrams per Liter g  1,000 to 2,000 Milligrams per Liter
    
        [J  250 to 500 Milligrams per Liter M  > 2,000 Milligrams per Liter
    
    Figure 2.  Cross section of aquifer at transect 4; gray scale rep-
             resents chloride concentration, boxes at sampler po-
             sitions represent 95-percent  confidence limits of
             average chloride concentration in same gray scale,
             and arrows are perpendicular to contours of pie-
             zometric  potential and represent two-dimensional
             vectors of streamlines.
    
    reservoirs of salt beneath each of the pine  ridges and
    small pockets of fresher water near the surface, prob-
    ably the  result  of rain infiltration during the  30  months
    since the hurricane. The water upwelling  from the arte-
    sian  aquifer was  consistently  fresh.  Flow  passing
    through  the  concentrated  zone beneath the western
    ridge was pushed to the surface beneath the stream,
    where evaporation caused chloride concentrations to
    average  more than 1,000 milligrams per liter.
    
    Figure 3  represents two plan views of the site at depths
    of 4 and 12 feet below the surface. The 12-foot plan view
    indicated that the east to west flow in transect 4 is only
    the east vector of a southeast flow.  Other areas of
    upwelling exist beneath the stream. Chloride concentra-
    tions are highest beneath both ridges and lowest in the
    stream center. At the 4-foot depth, the east  and south-
    east flows are also obvious. Also, as deeper flows from
    the western ridge  are turned to the surface, high con-
    centrations  of chloride are present near the surface.
    High concentrations within the wetland result from water
    being carried to the surface due to upwelling within the
    wetland.
    
    GIS Evaluations
    
    The ground-water interpretations show a consistent ex-
    planation of salt movement. These interpretations are
    

    -------
                    Plan View 12-Foot Depth
                           Plan View 4-Foot Depth
    Figure 3.  Plan views of aquifer at depths of 4 and 12 feet below the surface with same chloride scale and two-dimensional plan
             vectors of streamlines.
    based on only 24 sample points. Interpolation was linear
    using the nearest neighbor. The samples removed from
    the aquifer represent only 0.000014 percent of the aqui-
    fer volume.  Interpretation of a three-dimensional flow
    regimen from such small sampling does  not produce
    great confidence in the validity of the interpretation.
    
    Salt at the 4-foot depth is most likely to interact with tree
    roots, and concentrations at this depth were used for
    kriging. Kriged results, mapped in the same manner as
    the aerial photography, show general agreement of high
    mortality and predicted chloride concentrations over 500
    milligrams per liter (see Figure 4). A regression of chlo-
    ride concentration (chloride) to gray-scale value (G) for
    the individual points  yielded a significant negative cor-
    relation. The regression line  G = 169-0.12 (chloride)
    explained  only 27 percent of the variation in gray-scale
    value, however.
    
    Conclusions
    
    CIS was successfully  used to verify interpretations of
    ground-water flow and salt  movements  in  a  shallow
    water table aquifer. A variety of computer software com-
    bined to create a system of analysis that allowed inte-
    gration of field sampling, aerial photography, vector and
    raster CIS, and spatial statistics. Using this system, we
    compared chloride movement, measured by subsurface
    samplers, with remotely sensed tree mortality caused by
    soil salinity. The  overall  pattern of mortality was pre-
    dicted by a 500-milligram-per-liter chloride contour esti-
    mated  by kriging  averaged concentrations. Estimation
    of mortality on a single tree basis was less successful,
    with a  regression  of chloride to infrared  reflection ex-
    plaining only 27 percent of the variation in reflection. The
    regression  did not fit values of high reflection  well but
    did predict  reflection values of 100 or below (regions of
    high mortality) for concentrations above 500 milligrams
    per liter.
    
    The most important factor in the success  of this project
    was the availability of large-scale orthophotography.
    Georgetown County's investment in accurate mapping
    allowed creation of a map base that made scale correc-
    tion of less costly aerial photography possible. Without
    assurance  that pixels on the aerial photograph corre-
    sponded to the same locations as the subsurface sam-
    plers, correlations would have been meaningless.
    
    Another factor that contributed  greatly to the research
    was the  fact that  most of the  computer software ex-
    ported or imported data  from simple ASCII files. The
    standard (x coordinate, y coordinate, data value) format
    in ASCII allowed files to be manipulated with spreadsheets
    

    -------
                      Kriged Chloride Concentrations
             554740
             554576 H
             554412
             554248
             554084 -
             553920
                   2548470 2548634  2548798  2548962
                                    Easting (feet)
                     [BSU
                     mi
                                                               Forest Mortality (Dark)
                                                      554740 j«.,«.i.
                                                                       554576 J
                                                                       554412
                                                                       554248
                                                                       554084
                                                      553920
                                                           2548470  2548634  2548798 2548962
                                                                            Easting (feet)
        <200
    <500
    <700
    <1,000
    <1,200
    Figure 4.  Plan view of chloride concentrations from krig analysis and gray scale of infrared reflection from aerial photograph. Lighter
              tones represent greater infrared reflection and less forest mortality.
    or word processors. Creation of headers, positioning of
    columns, or changing order of rows or columns could be
    done for import into the next program. Although more
    difficult than point and  click file  transfers of the modern
    software, the simple standard format creates freedom to
    use the software in ways not anticipated by the software
    developers.
    
    Finally, a clear problem statement aided in selecting the
    most applicable CIS techniques.  CIS software allows
    several methods of data representation. In this example,
    we chose a raster  representation with a cell the size of
    a tree  crown. Criteria  for choosing these  parameters
    included physical  dimensions  of  the  phenomenon  of
    interest, dimensions of CIS  accuracy, and  a desire  for
    automated determination of values for individual com-
    parisons. A careful review of the problem to be solved,
    data available, and capabilities  of the CIS software are
    all necessary ingredients for a useful problem statement.
    
    
    References
    
     1.  Van  Genutchen, M.T., and W.J. Alves. 1982. Analytical solutions
        of the one-dimensional convective-dispersive solute transport
        equation. U.S. Department of Agriculture Technical Bulletin 1661.
     2.  Wang, H.F., and M.P. Anderson. 1982. Introduction to ground-
        water modeling: Finite difference and finite element methods. San
        Francisco, CA: W.H. Freeman.
     3.  Bear, J., and A. Verruijt. 1987. Modeling ground-water flow and
        pollution. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: D. Reidel Publishing Co.
                                                 4. Gelhar, L.W. 1993. Stochastic subsurface hydrology. Englewood
                                                   Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.
    
                                                 5. Dagan, G. 1987. Theory of solute transport by ground water. Ann.
                                                   Rev. Fluid Mech. 19:83-215.
    
                                                 6. Garabedian, S.P., D.R. LeBlanc, L.W. Gelhar, and M.A. Celia.
                                                   1991. Large-scale natural gradient tracer test in sand and gravel,
                                                   Cape Cod, Massachusetts, 2. Analysis of spatial moments for a
                                                   nonreactive tracer. Water Resour. Res. 19(1): 1,387-1,397.
    
                                                 7. Rehfield, K.R., J.M. Boggs, and L.W. Gelhar. 1992. Field study
                                                   of dispersion in a heterogeneous aquifer, 3. Geostatistical analy-
                                                   sis  of hydraulic conductivity. Water Resour. Res. 28(12):3,309-
                                                   3,324.
    
                                                 8. de Marsily, G.  1986. Quantitative  hydrogeology. San Diego, CA:
                                                   Academic Press.
    
                                                 9. Krige, D.G. 1966. Two-dimensional weighted  moving  average
                                                   trend surfaces for ore-evaluation. J. South  African Instit. Mining
                                                   and Metallurgy 66:13-38.
    
                                                10. Coch, N.K., and M.P.Wolfe. 1991. Effect of Hurricane Hugo storm
                                                   surge in coastal South Carolina. J. Coastal Res. SI 8:201-208.
    
                                                11. Gardner, L.R.,  W.K Michner, E.R. Blood, T.M. Williams,  D.J. Lip-
                                                   scomb, and W.H. Jefferson. 1991. Ecological impact of Hurricane
                                                   Hugo—salinization of a coastal forest. J. Coastal Res. SI 8:301-318.
    
                                                12. Gresham, C.A., T.M. Williams, and D.J. Lipscomb. 1991. Hurri-
                                                   cane Hugo wind damage to southeastern U.S.  coastal tree spe-
                                                   cies. Biotropica 23:420-426.
    
                                                13. Nittrouer,  PL.  1988. Ground-water flow patterns in  a  forested
                                                   beach ridge-scale system adjacent to a  South Carolina salt
                                                   marsh. Master's thesis, Department of Geological Sciences, Uni-
                                                   versity of South Carolina.
    

    -------
    14.  Williams, T.M., and J.C. McCarthy. 1991. Field-scale tests of col-
        loid-facilitated transport. In: National Research and Development
        Conference on the Control of Hazardous Materials, Anaheim,
        California.  Greenbelt, MD: Hazardous Materials  Control  Re-
        search  Institute.
    
    15.  Conner, W.H. 1993. Artificial regeneration of bald cypress in three
        South Carolina forested wetland areas after Hurricane Hugo. In:
        Brissette, J.C., ed. Proceedings of the Seventh Southern Silvicul-
        tural  Research Conference. U.S. Department of Agriculture For-
        est Service, General Technical Report SO-93. Southern Forest
        Experiment Station, Mobile, AL.
    
    16.  Williams, T.M. 1993. Salt water movement within the water table
        aquifer  following Hurricane Hugo. In: Brissette, J.C.,  ed. Proceed-
        ings of  the Seventh Southern Silvicultural Research Conference.
        U.S.  Department of Agriculture Forest Service, General Technical
        Report  SO-93.  Southern Forest  Experiment Station, Mobile, AL.
    17.  Lipscomb D.J., and T.M. Williams. 1988. A low-cost, map-based
        data retrieval system for forest managers.  In: Proceedings of the
        American Congress of Surveying and Mapping/American Society
        for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Fall Convention. Falls
        Church, VA: American Congress of Surveying and Mapping.
    
    18.  Lipscomb, D.J., and T.M. Williams. 1990.  Developing a CIS for
        forest  management in the 1990s. In: Resource technology 90:
        Second  international  symposium  on advanced technology in
        natural resource management. Bethesda, MD: American Society
        of Photogrammetry and  Remote Sensing.
    
    19.  Rossi, R.E.,  D.J.  Mulla,  A.G. Journel,  and E.H. Franz.  1992.
        Geostatistical tools for modeling and interpreting ecological spa-
        tial dependence. Ecol. Monographs 62:277-314.
    

    -------
                Modeling Combined Sewer Overflow (CSO) Impact:
                 The Use of a Regional GIS in Facilities Planning
    
                         Michael Witwer, Jeffrey Amero, Steven Benton,
                       David Bingham, and Molly Hodgson (Metcalf & Eddy)
                                  Betsy Yingling (NEORSD)
    
    ABSTRACT
    This paper presents how a regional geographic information system (GIS) was used to assess
    the impacts of combined sewer overflows (CSOs) in Cleveland, Ohio during a recent facilities
    planning project. A hydraulic model was used to evaluate the performance of the sewer system
    at the present time and with alternative facilities in place. A detailed system and receiving water
    quality study was also conducted to assess impacts of CSOs and non-point source pollution on
    the receiving waters during wet weather. Using GIS for integration of the database and model
    allowed a more accurate and detailed analysis. The GIS interface with the hydraulic and
    receiving water quality models during facilities planning presented a significant time  and cost
    savings. The quality of the data generated was improved through the incorporation of accepted
    source information that was repeatable and justifiable. Significant planning prior to the initiation
    of a GIS-based effort was necessary to ensure that all data needs and quality objectives were
    sufficient for the project.
    
    Keywords: Modeling, CSO, water quality, and pollution
    
    BACKGROUND
    The Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District (NEORSD) provides wastewater collection and
    treatment services for the greater-Cleveland metropolitan area through its Westerly,  Southerly
    and Easterly wastewater treatment plants. NEORSD owns and operates the treatment plants
    and the major interceptor sewers. The remainder of the collection system is owned and
    maintained by the communities in which it resides. Large portions of each of the three districts
    consist of combined sewers. The Easterly district, on which this paper will focus, has a total
    area of approximately 49,300 acres, of which  about 20,000 acres are served by combined
    sewers. The study area is shown in Figure 1.
    

    -------
       LEGEND
        — —  Easterly Facilities Planning Area
              Community Borders
              Doan Brook Area
    
              Combined Sewer Overflows
                          LAKE ERIE
                                                                            SOUTH
                                                                      Y   I EUCLID
                                                                           UNIVERSITY
                                                                            HEIGHTS
        /l>   >*f%
    
    
                             Figure 1. Easterly District Study Area
    The Easterly district consists of approximately 2,368,700 linear feet of combined sewers,
    ranging in size from 6-inches to 13.5-feet in diameter. Of these, approximately 333,700 feet
    (14%) comprise the interceptor sewers and CSO conduits owned by NEORSD. The 224
    combined sewer regulator structures, owned and maintained by NEORSD, provide hydraulic
    relief and dictate the point at which a CSO  event occurs. Facilities planning was initiated to
    assess the frequency, volume  and magnitude of CSOs and their impact on urban streams, the
    Cuyahoga River and Lake Erie.
    

    -------
    The objective of facilities planning activities is to evaluate and recommend alternatives to control
    CSOs to meet USEPA CSO Policy and OhioEPA CSO Strategy, and to improve the quality of
    receiving waters after wet-weather events. To begin this process, a hydraulic model of the
    collection system was created using MOUSE™, produced by the Danish Hydraulic Institute DHI,
    and calibrated using data obtained from temporary flow monitors and rainfall gauges. Sampling
    of CSO, storm water runoff and receiving waters was conducted during discrete storm events
    throughout the temporary flow monitoring period. This was performed to quantify pollutant
    loadings to the receiving waters and evaluate receiving water response. The use of a GIS
    allowed the efficient creation of the hydraulic model network and establishment of model input
    parameters.  Having a visual link with the hydraulic model allowed problem areas to be identified
    easily and alternatives to be evaluated quickly.
    
    AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND DATA
    Many sources of information, in both digital and hard copy formats, were available about the
    physical and operational aspects of the collection system. In conjunction with the facilities
    planning, NEORSD conducted a complete inspection and evaluation of their facilities within the
    Easterly service area. This inspection provided spatial and physical condition data, which was
    used to develop interceptor and CSO conduit portions of the hydraulic  model. Record drawings
    were obtained for sewers owned by individual communities and not inspected by NEORSD.
    
    Spatial data, available from State and Federal agencies, was used to obtain parameters used in
    the hydraulic model. TIGER files, produced by U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau of
    Census, were used to define population density within sewer catchments. Land use, used to
    determine imperviousness of land areas, was obtained from the Ohio Department of Natural
    Resources (ODNR) and interpreted using 1981 aerial photography. Watershed boundaries for
    urban streams were also delineated  using information available from ODNR.
    
    Extensive  information was available  from Cuyahoga County, which aided facilities planning
    efforts. Digital orthophotography  (1 inch = 200 feet scale) existed for the entire service area.
    From these orthophotos, the Cuyahoga County Engineer's office had created digital planimetric
    drawings (AutoCAD format) providing topographic contours (1 foot interval), roads, road names,
    buildings and waterways, which were easily converted to drawing exchange format (.dxf), and
    used as coverages within the GIS. Additionally, an address referenced parcel coverage was
    

    -------
    available, which allowed the visual distribution and spatial analysis of flooding complaints to be
    utilized.
    
    DATA NEEDS AND ACQUISITION METHODS
    It was necessary to acquire physical data about the collection system, major storm conveyance
    routes, receiving waters and water quality to complete the GIS database for planning efforts.
    The data acquired for the collection system consisted of manhole location surveys, pipe and
    manhole condition assessment, internal inspection and surveying, CSO and stormwater effluent
    sampling. This data was complimented by sewer flow and rainfall data collected over a 55-day
    period. Figure 2 illustrates the data sources and interaction  used during the project.
    
    Approximately one-third of the sewers to be included in the  collection system model were
    surveyed and physically inspected. Inspection data was incorporated directly into the GIS by
    querying the necessary information into consistent data table structures. Each manhole (node)
    was given a unique numeric attribute. This attribute was used to relate the spatial data defining
    each node to the endpoints of sewer lines (arcs). Maintaining this strict arc to node topology
    allowed network connectivity and other quality control checks to be executed directly from
    ARC/INFO.
    
    Incorporating the remainder of the sewer lines and manholes into the GIS presented a unique
    challenge. These sewers,  not owned by NEORSD, consisted primarily of major trunk sewers
    greater than 30 inches in diameter and conveyed flows significantly impacting the hydraulic
    capacity of the sewers.  Therefore, it became necessary to incorporate approximately 582,000
    feet of sewer in an efficient and cost-effective manner. The  incorporation of these sewers
    proceeded in a three-step process. First, the spatial location of manholes (model nodes), and
    the sewer lines connecting them, were created in the GIS by digitizing existing sewer system
    plans. These plans typically did not contain invert and ground surface elevations. In some
    instances, it was necessary to verify pipe material and size  as well. The second step involved
    obtaining record drawings from the respective owners. This information  served as a redundant
    quality control check of pipe size and material. Invert and ground surface elevations were also
    obtained from these record drawings. In isolated instances,  neither plan information nor record
    drawings were available for certain reaches of sewer. In these locations, inspection and survey
    crews were dispatched  to obtain the necessary information.
    

    -------
                        Receiving
                         Water
                         Quality
                         Models
                        ARC/INFO
                            &
                       ArcView GIS
                       County
                      Orfltophoto
                     Backgrounds
    PateiData
                                       DATABASE
                                                                     Co unty
                                                                   Planimetric
                                                                   Backgrounds
                                                 Watershed
                                                and Land Use
                                                  Data
                         iData        ?    4      *t     N.         ^m^
    
    
    
                                                                   TIGER
                          SewerPlans                              |   Population
                                       Complaint        Rainfall &       Density Data
                                         Data        Flow Monitoring
                         Figure 2. Project Data Sources and Interaction
    Flows in the sewer collection system, storm conveyance culverts, receiving streams and the
    treatment plant headworks were monitored for a 55-day period to evaluate daily dry-weather
    flow patterns and wet-weather hydraulic responses. Each location was equipped with a monitor,
    which recorded Doppler velocity, ultrasonic and pressure-based depth at 5-minute intervals.
    

    -------
    This allowed the calculation of flow rates and quantities and provided energy and hydraulic
    grade line data for model calibration. The spatial location, unique identifier and operational
    characteristics of each monitor were entered in the GIS database for planning use.
    
    Efforts to identify sewer system surcharging were made using community flooding complaint
    records and address-referenced land parcel GIS coverage data. Using ArcView GIS to view the
    spatial distribution of the flooding complaints was the first step. This was accomplished by
    joining a database table containing both the complaint address and type of complaint with the
    parcel attribute table in ArcView, with the address being the common field. At this point,
    complaints with the designation "water in  basement" were queried out and viewed
    geographically. Three analysis methods were employed to identify flooding areas, with varying
    degrees of effectiveness. First, the overall complaint distribution was studied to identify visual
    trends or trouble spots. This proved inconclusive, as the complaints had a wide spatial
    distribution. Next,  complaints adjacent to  NEORSD facilities and very large local  facilities were
    identified and used as quality assurance to verify hydraulic model coverage in such areas.
    Results from this analysis, although useful, did not provide a wide distribution throughout the
    combined sewer service area. Therefore, a final spatial analysis of the flooding complaints was
    performed. The number of complaints per unit area of each sewer catchment basin was
    calculated using the GIS by overlaying the basin coverage and summing the complaints  then
    dividing by the acreage. This served to normalize the complaint totals by area thus creating a
    "complaint density." Basins with the highest density of complaints were evaluated for excessive
    sewer system surcharging and other operational problems with the hydraulic model.
    
    CSO and storm water discharges to receiving water bodies were also sampled to determine
    average pollutant concentrations. During wet-weather events, automated samplers were
    equiped to collect water samples at 15-minute intervals for up to six hours, whenever flow was
    adequate. Samples were laboratory composited and analyzed for ammonia, BOD, CBOD,
    hardness, metals, TSS, total phosphorus, fecal coliform and E. Co//. Analytical results were
    incorporated into the database and combined with flow calculations to develop loadings  to
    receiving waters. Field monitoring for dissolved oxygen and pH was performed, which included
    continuous monitoring in selected streams to observe wet-weather dissolved oxygen sag curve
    response.
    

    -------
    MODELING
    Hydraulic modeling was enhanced and accelerated through the use of GIS. The MOUSE™
    hydraulic model has an available extension called MOUSE GIS. This extension allows the user
    to import GIS data directly. Once all  model nodes and pipes were loaded into MOUSE, it was
    necessary to create drainage basins, or catchments.  Basins were defined by one of three
    downstream control points being either a regulator structure, flow monitoring location or major
    sewer junction. Tracing the collection system upstream from each control point delineated basin
    areas. Boundary lines were extended outward from the sewer lines to the adjacent basin
    boundaries or the edge of the service area.
    
    Geometric and spatial calculations were performed with the GIS when basin delineations were
    complete. The area of each basin was calculated along with the coordinates of the basin
    centroid. Using the basin centroid coordinates, and the coordinates of each of twenty rainfall
    monitors, the rainfall in each basin was approximated by weighting the rainfall by the distance
    from the basin centroid to the monitor. This was accomplished using the inverse-distance
    method.
    
    Several  values for each basin were necessary as beginning values for model calibration.
    Population and land-use values were required for each basin.  Base population values were
    calculated by overlaying 1990 census data with basin boundaries. Census data GIS coverages
    are presented as areas of varying population density. A composite basin  population was
    calculated by weighting the percentage of basin area attributed to each density value and
    multiplying by the area of each density. Land-use, as provided by the ODNR, was used  to
    calculate an average percent imperviousness for the  basin. GIS coverages initially identified
    approximately 58 different types of land use.  Land uses were consolidated into 9 broader
    groups based on similar imperviousness values ranging from 0 (large  open flat land areas) to 90
    (urban industrial land) percent. Imperviousness values were varied by up to 15% during model
    calibration to simulate actual rainfall  runoff response. Population values were used as a check
    for sanitary flow rates. Imperviousness values were varied to calibrate storm flow runoff and
    time to concentration.
    
    GIS was also used to enhance water quality modeling. Watersheds for streams receiving CSO
    flows, and tributaries receiving separate storm flow, were delineated using watershed
    boundaries obtained from the ODNR. However, the Easterly service area has four streams that
    

    -------
    are culverted throughout the entire combined sewer service area. The streams not only receive
    storm water flows from separate sewer areas, but CSO flows from the combined sewer
    regulators. Additional separate storm water inputs to the culverted streams within the combined
    sewer area were defined as individual basins.
    
    Once all hydraulic and hydrologic data were incorporated into the GIS and MOUSE, the model
    was calibrated to field monitoring data collected during a 55-day period in April and May of
    1998. The calibrated model was then used to predict CSO flows and loads for 4-month, 6-
    month, 1-year, 2-year and 5-year design storms. Flows were  calculated for each permitted CSO
    point directly from model output. Loadings for each point were calculated by multiplying the
    CSO flow by contaminant event-mean concentration. Contaminant concentrations vary
    according to the percentage of flows coming from storm and combined sewers. Therefore,
    event-mean concentrations were weighted based on the source of the flows. The weighted CSO
    loadings were used as input to water quality models for major receiving streams, the Cuyahoga
    River and Lake Erie.
    
    Water quality models were developed for Lake Erie, the Cuyahoga River and major creeks and
    streams that receive discharges from Easterly District CSOs.  The objective of receiving water
    modeling was to provide a tool to evaluate potential improvements in receiving water quality
    resulting from the reduction of CSOs. Five streams flow through the  Easterly District, four of
    which are contained in culverts for most of their length. All five streams flow to Lake Erie. The
    Cuyahoga River is the western boundary of the Easterly District, from which it receives a small
    number of CSO discharges. Water quality in Lake Erie was modeled using a modification of the
    Lake Erie Information System (LEIFS) hydrodynamic model, which had been developed by Ohio
    State University. The LEIFS model was modified to provide a finer resolution in near-shore
    areas, which will permit a more detailed evaluation of the flow-splitting effect of the breakwall
    that surrounds downtown Cleveland at the mouth of the Cuyahoga River.  Euclid Creek, which is
    located at the eastern end of the Easterly District, is not culverted throughout its length. Euclid
    Creek receives CSO and other wastewater discharges from the Easterly District and numerous
    upstream sources. Euclid Creek, along with three of the culverted streams, were modeled using
    the transport block of the USEPA Storm Water Management  Model (SWMM) to route flows to
    Lake Erie,  and to account for the timing of pollutant loads to the lake. The fourth culverted
    stream, Nine Mile Creek, is culverted for most of its length, but has a significant open-water
    section at the mouth near Lake Erie. Therefore, continuous modeling of both bacteria and
    

    -------
    dissolved oxygen was performed for Nine Mile Creek using SWMM for transport, and USEPA
    Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASPS) to simulate contaminant fate. The
    Cuyahoga River was modeled using the Cuyahoga River Navigation Channel Model previously
    updated for work on the Westerly District CSO Planning Study conducted by NEORSD. In each
    instance, the GIS was used to provide spatial data and physical characteristics used as input to
    the respective models and represented a central data warehouse structure of acceptable
    quality-controlled data.
    
    GIS data obtained from ODNR was used to define the stream drainage basins, which were
    further refined by overlaying two-foot elevation contours and stormwater pipe information
    obtained from county planimetric maps and collection system mapping, respectively. Future
    facilities planning and alternatives were readily visualized using GIS. The MOUSE GIS module
    enabled users to visualize areas where CSO and sewer system surcharging readily occurred.
    Alternatives including infiltration/inflow (I/I) reduction, in-system storage, off-line storage,
    conveyance tunnels, flow routing and rapid treatment were considered for CSO reduction. GIS
    allowed  new facility siting to be expedited and visualized quickly.
    
    The GIS database was also a key factor in the automated mapping of the sewer system for the
    Easterly area. Approximately  140  1-inch = 200-feet scale sheets of the system, were generated
    using ARC/INFO software. The planimetric coverages were used along with the sewer system
    database to provide a complete set of sewer maps for the client. Several  routines were used to
    verify flow direction, pipe type and size, and also for assigning unique manhole identifiers.
    These map sheets will  be used by NEORSD for planning,  system interpretation, and field
    maintenance crews, by serving as a reference point for the GIS. As the database is updated,
    new maps will automatically reflect sewer system changes in that area.
    
    DATA QUALITY AND  REPEATABLE RESULTS
    Data quality assurance was a primary goal in the development of the GIS database. This goal
    was considered achieved when data sources were documented, accepted and produced
    repeatable results. The use of a GIS allowed parameters to be calculated by standard routines
    that did not vary according to  user or individual interpretation. This allowed the users to focus
    efforts on the legitimacy and accuracy of the results, rather than data compilation.
    

    -------
    In addition to using documented source information, the GIS was used to check the collection
    system spatial data before incorporation into the model. Network connectivity, pipe sizes, and
    material of construction was checked through automated routines. Using the ArcNetwork™
    module of ARC/INFO™, sewer system tracing was initiated from the treatment plant. Sewer
    lines (arcs) are given a direction within ARC/INFO. The tracing routine, developed using Arc
    Macro Language (AML), identified all manholes (nodes) with flow connected to the treatment
    plant. The result of this routine was to identify sewers not connected to the collection system
    within the GIS. Incidentally, CSO outfall pipes, by their nature, were also identified by this
    procedure.
    
    Data gaps existed for both pipe size and material of construction even after review of inspection
    data, plans and record drawings. In most instances, missing sewer segments were the cause of
    data gaps. To address this, another AML routine was developed. Tracing was initiated on a
    reach of sewer to identify the missing segment data. The pipes immediately upstream and
    downstream of the missing data were examined for the missing parameters. If all sizes and
    materials were the same, the missing attributes were automatically populated in the database
    for the segment. Segments with generated data were given a qualifier indicating a lower
    confidence level than documented record data.
    
    TIME AND COST SAVINGS
    The GIS provided a significant time and cost savings in the facilities planning process. These
    savings did not only include the calculation of model input parameters, but the initial
    development of the model network. While field inspection and survey data would be desirable
    for all sewers within the hydraulic model, the physical inspection of urban sewers is expensive.
    It was desired to incorporate information about these sewers in a manner that had a better
    benefit to cost ratio.  Utilizing the data acquisition and quality assurance / quality control
    (QA/QC) procedures outlined earlier allowed the creation of a database comparable to complete
    inspection data.
    
    PLANNING AND LESSONS LEARNED
    Significant planning was necessary before  beginning a  GIS-based modeling and planning  effort.
    This ensured that all data needs and quality objectives were sufficient for the project. All
    sources of GIS data should be reviewed for accuracy, completeness and  acceptability prior to
    their use. Choosing the right software was also  an integral part of the planning process for both
                                              10
    

    -------
    GIS functions and modeling. In the case of the GIS, ARC/INFO was chosen because of its
    broad capabilities as an analytical tool. Network analysis, which could not be performed in
    desktop software by cost-effective means, was completed with  success. Completed ARC/INFO
    coverages easily converted to shapefile format, which were native to ArcView GIS software.
    ArcView shapefiles, which the MOUSE hydraulic model can use as data input, were used by
    GIS analysts, managers and casual users.  The advantages of using ArcView were its user-
    friendly windows-based interface, ability to  access documents,  images, tables, spreadsheets
    and CAD drawings, and its simplicity to  query the database.
    
    To expedite model network creation, the collection system  layout  should be created within the
    GIS. This allows basin delineation and parameter calculation to be completed once, thus
    avoiding changes and recalculations. It  is very easy to lose sight of the ultimate goal of facilities
    planning if the use of a GIS becomes a  project within itself. A GIS is designed to be a tool to
    reduce costs, expedite planning and visualize data and alternatives. Using a GIS is a definite
    enhancement to the assessment and control of wet weather water pollution.
                                              11
    

    -------
        Building a Shared and Integrated GIS to Support Environmental
                       Regulatory Activities in South Carolina
    
     Guang Zhao1, Zhumei Qian, Jeannie Eidson, Paul  Laymon, Hsiu-hua Liao, Rob Devlin, Dakin
                           MacPhail, Steve Dennis, and Derek Graves
                  South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control
    
    Abstract
    Environmental managers in South Carolina often encounter difficulty in making scientifically
    sound decisions involving complex spatial data and  analysis without the benefit of GIS
    technology. To facilitate the decision making process, an agency-wide shared and integrated
    geographic information system (SIGIS) program was developed and an enterprise SIGIS
    database was constructed at the Office of Environmental Quality Control (EQC), South Carolina
    Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC).  The goal of the project was to
    provide managers and policy makers with decision support systems to applications that enable
    them to effectively analyze spatial information related to environmental regulation and
    management. The SIGIS database contains 30 environmental layers and 32 baseline layers
    which are housed in an ESRI's ARC/INFO, ARCVIEW, and MapObject environments. The
    majorities of the environmental GIS data layers are state-wide in scope and were collected and
    updated annually using GPS equipment. Their accuracies are mostly sub-meter or meters
    which satisfy EPA's 25-meter standard.  Enterprise applications such as the SIGIS interface to
    the environmental facility information system (EFIS) and a Data Dictionary have been
    developed using the SIGIS databse.  The SIGIS/EFIS interfaces are web-based and built using
    ESRI's MapObject and MapObject Internet Map Server in the Microsoft Visual Basic and
    NetScape JavaScript environments.  Environmental facility information system is a management
    information system housed in the Oracle environment. The integration of EFIS with SIGIS
    enables  environmental managers to easily query and analyze spatial information for
    environmental permitting and other regulatory activities. The SIGIS data dictionary was
    developed to document standards, procedures, and GIS data layers stored in the database. It
    is updated annually and  available through the Internet. While these enterprise applications are
    1 Contact author's current address: Department of Health and Environmental Control, Environmental
    Quality Control Administration, Information Technology Section, 2600 Bull Street, Columbia, SC 29201.
    Phone (803) 898-3653, E-mail: zhaog@columb20.dhec.state.sc.us
    

    -------
    being completed, departmental GISs still function to perform front-end data analysis and
    develop project-specific GIS applications.
    
    Introduction
    Environmental and public health  managers in the South Carolina Department of Health and
    Environmental Control (SCDHEC) often encounter difficulty in making scientifically sound
    decisions when complex spatial problems are involved. Since early 1990s, GIS technology has
    been gradually introduced into the agency. In the past nine years, there have been three major
    ways in which GIS systems have been developed: project GIS, departmental GIS, and
    enterprise GIS.  In the project stage, GIS is used to support an individual project's needs. For
    example, the community-based environmental project (CBEP) utilized GIS to help delineate
    polluted sites and their neighboring demographics. Once the project is finished, GIS support
    ends. In the departmental approach, GIS is used within a single department to support the
    department's business functions.  For example, the Bureau of Water GIS Lab has generated
    numerous maps and reports to support the bureau's major permitting and regulatory activities.
    The growing project and departmental GISs, however, resulted in an inefficient sharing of
    limited resources, distribution of data, management of the integrity of the database, and service
    to GIS customers.  Moreover, at the agency level there was no consistent GIS support to the
    agency's major business functions.  GIS activities have not been in alignment with the strategic
    directions  of the agency. It is preferable to establish a generic, enterprise-wide GIS
    infrastructure including hardware, software, network, database, and applications to in order to
    meet the needs for multiple application developments at both the department and the agency
    levels.
    
    In March 1996, the Research and Planning Division (RPD) of the the Office of Environmental
    Quality Control developed and implemented an agency-wide, shared and integrated geographic
    information system (SIGIS) program. The goal was to build an enterprise SIGIS database and
    platform to provide internal employees of both the environmental management and public health
    services with decision  support systems that enable them to effectively analyze spatial
    information in supporting their duties. Under such an umbrella,  departmental GISs still function
    to perform data processing and develop project-specific applications, while enterprise
    applications are developed at the agency level to support the agency's critical functions. GIS
    information,  meanwhile, is also available to the general public through the SIGIS Internet
    module.
    

    -------
    The enterprise GIS approach has been used in recent years by several other state
    environmental protection agencies.  For example, Florida EPA (http://www.dep.state.fl.us/gis/),
    West Virginia DEP (http://www.dep.state.wv.us/mapping.html) and New Jersey DEP
    (http://www.state.nj.us/dep/gis/) have developed such an approach.  An enterprise method is an
    organizational effort to develop and implement a shared and integrated GIS database and
    applications to meet the needs of various user groups across organizational boundaries (ESRI,
    1996; Dueker, K.J. 1998; Peng etal., 1998). It focuses on long-term consistency of GIS
    support, integration of applications for major business functions, and improvement of an
    organization's business operations.
    
    This paper examines the general  design issues for an enterprise SIGIS database. It describes
    the application examples at both the enterprise as well as the department levels for a state
    environmental protection agency.
    
    SIGIS Database Development
    The development of an enterprise GIS database follows a systematic and functional approach.
    That is, the GIS database reflects the functional components of the organization. Generally, the
    following four major  steps are followed during the initial development: identification of agency's
    major business functions, their logical  translation into the GIS counterparts, development of
    system standards, and development of database standards. Overall, the agency's business
    functions are  the backbone for the database development.  The existing organizational
    structures are only considered as indirect factors.
    
    A functional decomposition process is employed to define functional equivalents, which are
    directly translated from the current organizational functions. The functional equivalents are then
    translated into SIGIS database counterparts (GIS data layers and associated applications) by
    combining with constraints such as users' needs, data density, scale, and locational accuracy
    (Figure 1).
    
    For example,  administratively Environmental Quality Control (EQC) is the entity in SCDHEC
    responsibile for regulating air quality, water pollution, drinking water quality, solid and hazardous
    waste, and coastal resources in South Carolina. EQC it is organized into five program areas
    (bureaus), with each area responsible for a particular set of permitting and regulatory functions.
    Table 1 categorizes  the program area and their major functions.  Through the functional
    

    -------
    decomposition process, 30 environmental thematic layers have been developed.  These are the
    GIS equivalents translated from the EQC's business functions.  Table 2 lists these layers and
    their descriptions. Cultural, imagery, and baseline data layers are also collected,  generated and
    incorporated into the databases with similar data standards to allow spatial display and analysis.
    
    The SIGIS database is then integrated using ESRI's standards for database design.  The
    components and factors below are included and considered during the integration process:
       •   File system organization
       •   Naming conventions
       •   Spatial data automation standards
       •   Coordinate system and scale
       •   Thematic layer organization and description
       •   ARC/INFO database standards
       •   Standard symbol and legend
       •   Spatial data management
       •   Access and security
       •   Maintenance and updates
       •   Metadata and Data sharing
    
    After conforming to the same standards, all GIS data stored in the SIGIS database are
    consolidated to form a common platform to support all users' needs, instead of only specific
    users or applications. Most problems associated with data redundancy, inconsistency,
    dissemination, and management are eliminated. Many applications at the departmental as well
    as the enterprise levels now share a common database using different hardware and software
    particular to their needs.  That is, an open and integrated framework is built independent of any
    one application.
    
    Enterprise Application Development
    a.  SIGIS/EFIS Interfaces
    Two enterprise GIS applications have been developed since 1996: the SIGIS Intranet and
    Internet Interfaces with environmental facility information system (EFIS) and SIGIS Database
    Dictionary.
    

    -------
    Currently EQC's Environmental Facility Information System (EFIS) is the only management
    information system (MIS) that interfaces with the SIGIS database to support EQC's permitting
    and regulatory functions.  EFIS resides in an Oracle environment to record and process
    environmental regulatory information.  The integration of EFIS and SIGIS enables EFIS users to
    display and analyze spatial information about environmental facilities consistently across  EQC's
    organizational boundaries.
    
    The SIGIS/EFIS interfaces are web-based, built using ESRI's MapObject and MapObject
    Internet Map Server (IMS) in the Microsoft Visual Basic and NetScape JavaScript environment.
    The Intranet version of the interfaces is embedded in the EFIS Oracle application in a
    client/server environment, while the Internet version uses an HTML setting.  EFIS clients
    including internal users and public browsers can use the interface to view a map displaying the
    locations of permitted facilities associated with facility permit information. The basic functions
    provided by the interfaces include: displaying multiple layers, panning and zooming, spatial
    query, address matching,  buffering,  and identification.  Since the interface is designed to  be an
    independent module of the EFIS application, it can be fully applied to other management
    information systems at the enterprise level.  Figure 2 shows the basic design of the interfaces.
    
    b.  SIGIS Data Dictionary
    The Data Dictionary is another enterprise product developed through the SIGIS program.  Its
    purpose is to  provide, at the agency level, both internal and external GIS professionals and
    database users with the background information, procedures, guidelines, standards, and
    metadata used in the creation and maintenance of the SIGIS database and the state-wide
    environmental, public health, and baseline GIS data.  Specifically, it describes all data layers
    included in the database, their intended uses, coverage characteristics, associated files, source
    contacts, and a detailed documentation of attribute information. It is updated annually and is
    available through the Internet.
    
    The Data Dictionary serves as a general reference for internal GIS developers in the continued
    development  and use of the SIGIS database.  Along with the dictionary, a SIGIS database CD is
    also available for those internal users who do not have Internet access. An ArcExplorer
    interface was also developed (and is included on the CD) to allow users to browse the database
    on their computers without additional software.
    

    -------
    Department Application Development
    As the enterprise applications may not satisfy all users needs, departmental GISs still have their
    advantages in processing data analysis and developing project-specific applications.
    Specifically, all applications developed at the project and department levels share the same
    enterprise SIGIS database and are integrated into the same framework.  Below is an example
    application. Table 3 lists additional departmental applications using the enterprise SIGIS
    database.
    
    a.  Groundwater 305(b) Report
    The goal of the GIS project in the Bureau of Water was to develop a statewide groundwater
    network of critical sites for monitoring groundwater quality.  This network will contain both
    locational and quantitative data:  1) locations and types of known groundwater contamination, 2)
    sample locations and aquifer-specific background values for selected dissolved natural
    chemicals and other water-chemistry characteristics, and 3) locations and water quality for all
    operating public water supply wells.
    
    The application will link directly with the SIGIS database containing layers of known
    groundwater contamination sites, public water supply wells, and ambient groundwater network
    sites.  The application facilitates  the compilation of summary reports and will be used in well-site
    selection and permitting, wellhead protection planning, and basin- or area-wide assessments or
    inventories.  It also will help identify sources or potential sources of problems at public water
    supplies, and will be used in initial and updated assessments of all contamination sites.
    
    Summary
    An enterprise-wide Shared and Integrated GIS (SIGIS) has been built to support the
    environmental regulatory effort at the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental
    Control (SCDHEC). Enterprise GIS applications such as the SIGIS interfaces to environmental
    facility information system (EFIS) and a Data Dictionary have been developed to support the
    agency's major business functions.  Department GIS applications were also developed using
    the enterprise SIGIS database to support individual projects and departmental GIS needs.
    

    -------
    Acknowledgement
    Special thanks are due to W. Stephen Vassey, Manager, Application Systems and Mike Rowe,
    Director, Research and Planning Division, Environmental Quality Control (EQC) Administration
    for their strong encouragement, direction, and critical comments through the development of the
    SIGIS program.
    
    References
    ESRI. 1996. Managing a GIS: planning and implementation.  ESRI, Redland, CA.
    Dueker, K.J. and J.A. Butler. 1998. GIS-T enterprise data model with suggested
           implementation choices.  URISA Journal, Vol. 10(1):12-36.
    Peng, Z.R., J.N. Groff and K.J. Dueker. 1998. An enterprise GIS database design for agency-
          wide transit applications.  URISA Journal, Vol. 10(2).
    

    -------
                   Table 1. EQC's Program Areas and Major Functions
         EQC Program Areas
                     Business Functions
      Bureau of Air Quality (BAQ)
    Regulates air emissions including:
     Air quality permitting
     Asbestos
     Bureau of Ocean and Coastal
       Resources Management
    	(BOCRM)	
    Regulates coastal resources including:
     Critical area permitting
     Coastal zone consistency certification
      Bureau of Land and Waste
        Management (BLWM)
    Regulates solid and hazardous wastes including:
     Hazardous waste facility permitting
     Hazardous waste transporter permitting
     Infectious waste facility permitting
     Radioactive waste facility permitting
     Solid waste landfill permitting
     Solid waste handling facility permitting
     Mining and reclamation permitting
     Certificate to explore for minerals
     Terminal facility registration
     Oil and gas exploration, drilling, transportation,
       and production
        Bureau of Water (BW)
    Regulates water pollution and drinking water including:
     Waste water discharge permitting (NPDES) and land
       application permitting
     State construction permitting
     Storm water NPDES permitting
     Section 401: Water quality certification
     State dams and reservoirs safety act permitting
     Navigable waters permitting
     State storm water management and sediment reduction
       act permitting
     Shellfish  sanitation - certificates and permits
     Public water system construction and operation permits
     Interbasin transfer permitting program
     Underground injection control permitting
     Groundwater use permitting
     Recreational waters construction and operating
        permitting	
       Bureau of Environmental
           Services (BES)
     Manages EQC's environmental laboratories
     Environmental lab certification program
    

    -------
                 Table 2.  Environmental Thematic Layers in SIGIS Database
    Thematic Layer
        (Code)
                                Description
       AGWQS
         AMS
         ARF
       BIOSTAT
        BTRP
       CERCLA
    
        CUW
        DAMS
        DSWL
      ESTAURY
       HWTSD
         ISWI
        ISWL
       KGWCS
        MRNA
        MSWL
         NPL
       NPDES
    
        ORPM
       PORTS
       PWSW
        RSWL
         SMS
         SWI
         TRI
        LISTS
       WQMS
      SFCLASS
       WHPA
        NERR
    Ambient Ground Water Quality Stations
    Air Monitoring Stations
    Air Regulated Facilities
    Biological Monitoring Stations
    Boat Ramps
    Comprehensive, Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act
    of 1980
    Capacity Use Wells
    Dams
    Domestic Solid Waste Landfills
    Estuaries
    Hazardous Waste Treatment, Storage, and Disposal Facility Sites
    Industrial Surface Water Intakes
    Industrial Solid Waste Landfills
    Known Ground Water Contamination Sites
    Marina Locations
    Municipal Solid Waste Landfills
    National Priority  List Sites
    National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System Permit/Discharge
    Locations
    Ocean and Coastal Resources Management Permitted Sites
    Port Locations
    Public Water Supply Wells
    Regulated Solid Waste Landfills
    Shellfish Monitoring Stations
    Surface Water Intakes
    Toxic Chemical Release Inventory Facility Sites
    Underground Storage Tank Sites
    Water Quality Monitoring Stations
    Shellfish Classification (Standard)
    Wellhead Protection Area
    National Eastuarine Research Reserves
    

    -------
     Table 3.  Example Departmental GIS Applications Using the SIGIS Enterprise Database.
                                Application
       Department
    208 Water Quality Management Plan
    303(d) Priority Ranked Waterbodies
    305(b) Report - Groundwater
    305(b) Report - Surface/Shellfish
    Air Monitoring and Regulated Facility Information System
    Charleston Harbor Project
    Health Resources and Local Economic Development Planning Zones
    Linking Vital Health Statistics and Census Data Using GIS
    OCRM Natural Dune Baseline Determination Project
    OCRM Post-Hurricane Recovery GIS Project
    Orthophoto Production Project (OPP)
    Savannah River Site Federal Facility Agreement
    Shellfish Sanitation Program
    Spatial Distribution of Tuberculosis in South Carolina
    Targeting Public Health Outreach for Immunization
    Vital Health and Census Data Integration System
    Vital Records Birth Certificate Data
    Watershed Water Quality Management Strategy
    Wetland 401 Certification Decision Analysis System
          Water
          Water
          Water
          Water
           Air
     Coastal Resource
      Health Service
    Coastal Resources
    Coastal Resources
    Coastal Resources
    Coastal Resources
     Land and Waste
          Water
      Health Service
      Health Service
       Biostatistics
       Biostatistics
          Water
          Water
                                             10
    

    -------
    Figure 1. A Functional Decomposition Process for Developing GIS Thematic Layers
    
    EQC
    Functions f^
    1
    Function
    decomposition
    Feature type
    Data density
    Accuracy
    Air monitoring
    Air regulation
    Underground storage
    tank
    
    \" /
    \ /
    \^ /
    /---*^ ^7 	
    / /
    
    f~. -,
    Scale
    Projection
    User needs
    /
    S
    /*
    
    ^iS
    /
    
                                                                     GIS
                                                                   equivalent
                   Figure 2.  An Enterprise SIGIS/EFIS Interface Design
    
    
    Public Web
    Browsers
    XSIG
    Vv Interne
    
    S/EFISN
    1 ^ b
    t Interface/^ ^
    
    SIGIS
    Internet
    Server
    i
    File Wall
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    EFIS Facility
    Tables
    
    
    XSIGIS/EFISN ^ ^
    Vv Intranet Interface )
    ^^~~^__
    	 -"
    i
    INTERNET
    File Wall
    
    SIGIS
    Intranet
    Server
    /r\
    INTRANET
                                             SIGIS
                                           Enterprise
                                           Database
                                          11
    

    -------
         XGRCWP, a Knowledge- and GIS-Based System for Selection, Evaluation,
         and Design of Water Quality Control Practices in Agricultural Watersheds
                Runxuan Zhao, Michael A. Foster, Paul D. Robillard, and David W. Lehning
                          Penn State University, University Park, Pennsylvania
    Abstract
    
    The Expert CIS Rural Clean Water Program (XGRCWP)
    integrates a geographic  information system (CIS),  a
    relational database, simulation models,  and hypertext
    mark language documents to form an advisory system
    that selects, evaluates, sites,  and designs nonpoint
    source pollution control systems in agricultural water-
    sheds. Its major features include:
    
    • Customized CIS functions to obtain spatial and attrib-
      ute data and feed them to a rule-based expert system
      for selecting feasible control practices.
    
    • A user interface for examining the field-specific con-
      ditions and recommended control practices  on the
      screen by clicking on the displayed field  boundary
      map.
    
    • A direct linkage between the CIS spatial data and the
      relational  attribute data, which allows users to exam-
      ine data on the screen  interactively.
    
    • A graphic user interface to CIS functions, which en-
      ables users to perform  routine watershed analyses.
    
    • Linkage to hypertext reference modules viewable by
      Mosaic Internet document browser.
    
    • Dynamic access to other models such as the Agricul-
      tural Nonpoint Source Simulation Model.
    
    The software environment of XGRCWP  is GRASS 4.1
    and X-Windows on SUN  OS 4.3.1. Its major functions
    have been tested for the Sycamore Creek watershed in
    Ingham County,  Michigan.
    
    Introduction
    
    In 1981, the U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
    (EPA) and the U.S.  Department of Agriculture (USDA)
    initiated the Rural Clean Water Program  (RCWP)  in 21
    agricultural  watersheds. This  program represents the
    most intensive water quality monitoring and implemen-
    tation and evaluation of nutrient, sediment, and pesti-
    cide  reduction practices ever undertaken in the United
    States (1). More than a decade of research efforts has
    resulted in  a  wealth of experiences  and  lessons on
    selection, siting, and evaluation of nonpoint source con-
    trol practices.
    
    The storehouse of knowledge  gained from  RCWP is of
    little  use, however, unless it is properly integrated and
    packaged  in  an  easily accessible form.  Technology
    transfer of this knowledge is therefore critically impor-
    tant.  To integrate and synthesize the  lessons learned
    from RCWP, Penn State University initiated an RCWP
    expert project. The  hypertext-based version of the
    RCWP expert system,  completed in 1993, can select
    and evaluate nonpoint source  control systems at a sin-
    gle site. Although the  hypertext-based version is still
    suitable for users who do not have access to geographic
    information systems (CIS) data,  it is inadequate for the
    comprehensive selection and evaluation of control sys-
    tems on a watershed basis. It does not provide the user
    the spatial reference of a site and requires the user's
    subjective judgment for the model input.
    
    The Expert CIS Rural Clean Water Program (XGRCWP)
    is the UNIX and X-Window version of the RCWP expert
    system, which integrates CIS and the RCWP expert
    system to provide decision support at multiple spatial
    scales from single fields to subwatersheds to the water-
    shed scale. This  paper presents the major features of
    XGRCWP, including design of the expert system, inter-
    face  to CIS functions, and linkages to a relational data-
    base and simulation models.
    
    Overview
    
    XGRCWP comprises  five major components  (see
    Figure 1):
    
    • An expert system for recommending control practices
      based on site-specific information.
    

    -------
                                                  HTML Reference
                                                     Modules:
                                                   Contaminants
                                                    Monitoring
                                                    Transport
                                                   Case Studies
                     Expert System:
                     Recommending
                     Control Practices
      X/Motif
    Graphic User
      Interface
      GIS Functions:
     Customized and
     Existing Ones for
    Watershed Analysis
                            Relational Database:
                             Relate Spatial and
                              Attribute Data
                         Simulation Models:
                             AGNPS
                          GLEAMS (To Be
                             Added)
    Figure 1.  Major components of XGRCWP and their relationships.
    
    • Custom and existing  GIS  functions for  watershed
      analysis  and  estimation  of  contaminant  loading
      potential.
    
    • Linkage to fields, soils, and land use databases.
    
    • Linkage to the Agricultural Nonpoint Source Simula-
      tion Model (AGNPS) (2).
    
    • Hypertext mark language (HTML) reference modules.
    
    The X/Motif graphic user interface (GUI) integrates the
    five components and allows the user to navigate flexibly
    among them. The components are also internally con-
    nected in different ways. For example, the expert system
    can use the customized GIS functions to retrieve site-
    specific information from Geographical Resource Analy-
    sis  Support Systems (GRASS) (3)  data layers  and
    INFORMIX relational database tables.  In addition, the
    expert recommendations of control practices  can be
    displayed and examined using GRASS functions. Fi-
    nally,  the GIS  functions can help generate input to the
    AGNPS model, and its output can be converted to GIS
    format for additional analyses.
           Design of the Expert System
    
           The objective of the  expert system is to recommend
           feasible control  systems (i.e., complementary sets of
           control practices to  reduce nonpoint source pollution
           based on site-specific conditions).  One distinct feature
           of this system is the combination of two modes of data
           acquisition:  direct  user  input  and  GIS  functions.
           XGRCWP also has two modes for deriving the expert
           recommendations: batch or interactive. This section dis-
           cusses these aspects of the expert system as well as its
           knowledge base.
    
           Rules for Control Practice Selection
    
           The knowledge base  of the expert  system includes the
           following six site-specific characteristics:
    
           • Contaminant of interest and its adsorption characteristic.
    
           • Potential level of contaminant loading (low, medium,
            or high).
    
           • Potential level of contaminant leaching (low, medium,
            or high).
    
           • Soil hydrologic group (A, B, C, or D).
    

    -------
    • Time of year (during or outside the growing season).
    
    • Type of land use (cropland, animal waste, or critical
      area).
    
    The user first chooses a contaminant of interest from a
    list consisting of four kinds of pesticides (strongly, mod-
    erately,  or  weakly adsorbed, and  nonadsorbed)  and
    eight other contaminants (ammonia, bacteria, sediment,
    total nitrogen, total phosphorus, nitrate, orthophospho-
    rus, and viruses). The  values of other characteristics,
    some of which vary with the contaminant specified, can
    then be input either directly by the user or by custom
    GRASS functions as discussed  in the section of this
    paper on data acquisition.
    
    The RCWP used 14 general categories of control prac-
    tices (see Table 1). Many suitable conditions were es-
    tablished for each  general category.  For example,
    conservation tillage is recommended to reduce runoff for
    cropland under  conditions  otherwise  favoring  loss
    through sediment transport, such as  a contaminant
    strongly adsorbed to the soil (e.g., total phosphorus), the
    nongrowing season, and soils with a relatively high  run-
    off potential (soil group C or D)  (see  Figure 2). Each
    general category includes several specific control prac-
    tices. When  a  general  practice category is  recom-
    mended, the  user must decide which specific practice
    within that general category to evaluate further by con-
    sulting the nonpoint source database (NPSDB) for the
    reported research data about this practice or by running
    the AGNPS simulation model.
    
    Data Acquisition
    
    The  expert system recommends one  or more  control
    systems based on site-specific conditions that are either
    directly input by the user or calculated by the customized
    GRASS functions. The user always specifies the con-
    taminant of interest and  the season, while a GRASS
    function (R.HYDRO-GRP) always determines the soil
    hydrologic group of each field.  For the other  factors
    (loading  potential,  leaching potential,  and  application
    
    Table 1.  The Best Management Practices Used in the Rural
            Clean Water Program
    Source control
    practices
    Nutrient Management (NUTR)
    Pesticide Management (PEST)
    Structural control   Animal waste systems (AWS)
    practices        Diversion systems (DIV)
                   Sediment retention and water control (SED)
                   Terrace systems (TERR)
                   Waterway systems (WATW)
    Vegetative control
    practices
    Conservation tillage (CT)
    Critical area treatment (CAT)
    Cropland protection systems (CPS)
    Grazing land protection (GLP)
    Permanent vegetative cover (PVC)
    Stream protection (SP)
    Stripcropping (SCR)
    class), however, the  user has two  alternative ways to
    decide input values. For example, after the user selects
    a contaminant of interest, the program displays the con-
    taminant loading potential window (see Figure 3). The
    potential level of the selected contaminant can be indi-
    cated if the  user knows it. Otherwise, the user can let
    the GRASS  functions derive loading potential from ex-
    isting field data.
    
    The direct input option can also be used to help the user
    address "what-if questions. When the user selects the
    CIS functions  to  determine  the  loading  potential,
    XGRCWP makes a series of calls  to appropriate cus-
    tomized GRASS functions according to the current con-
    taminant of interest. For example, if the contaminant is
    total nitrogen, the functions R.MANURE, R.FERT, and
    R.B.CONCENTRATION are called to estimate total ni-
    trogen from manure, fertilizer, and soil base concentration,
    respectively. Another GRASS function, R.NP.LOADING,
    is then called to translate the quantitative measure of
    loading  potential into the qualitative classification (low,
    medium, or high) as input to the  expert systems. These
    GRASS functions generate the inputs by searching and
    converting the data from INFORMIX relational data ta-
    bles that are associated with the GRASS spatially refer-
    enced data,  such as field boundary  and  soil map. Table
    2 lists the customized GRASS functions developed for
    data acquisition.
    
    Control System Recommendation
    
    XGRCWP derives the expert recommendations for con-
    trol systems  in two ways: in a batch  mode for every field
    in a watershed  and in  an interactive mode for a user-
    specified field.
    
    In batch  mode,  an  existing GRASS function,  R.INFER,
    is used  to create a raster data  layer for each general
    practice category of control practice according to a rule-
    set prepared for that general category. For example, the
    contents and formats for the conservation tillage prac-
    tice are documented in Table 3. The raster data layer for
    representing the conservation tillage recommendations
    (CTree) is generated by running R.INFER with the ap-
    propriate rule. The category value of CTree is 1 at each
    point in the data layer where the conservation tillage is
    recommended, or 0 otherwise. The R.INFER function is
    similarly  called  for other general  practice categories.
    Additional GRASS  functions can then display or further
    analyze the  resulting  map layers. The batch  mode pro-
    vides the user the overall picture with a watershed-wide
    view of feasible control systems.
    
    In the interactive mode, the field boundary map is dis-
    played and the  user can specify any field of interest by
    clicking the mouse  on it. The recommendations and the
    site-specific  conditions  of the field are displayed on the
    right half of the screen.  The recommended control prac-
    tices are also displayed in a popup window for further
    

    -------
    Adsorb
    Nonadsorb
    Contaminant
    A
    B
    C | D
    Soil Group
    
    
    Low
    Medium
    High
    Loading
    
    
    Low
    Medium
    High
    Leaching
    
    
    Growing] Nongrowing
    Season
    
    
    CL
    AW
    HSA
    Application
    Figure 2. Dependency network (AND-OR diagram) for site-specific recommendation of conservation tillage.
    examination, such as the specific practices within each
    general category, the feasible control systems for non-
    point source pollution control, and research data on the
    practices. The interactive mode is implemented through
    the integration of a Bourne shell script, structured query
    language  (SQL) commands,  a customized  GRASS
    function (R.RCWP.EXPERT), and GRASS display func-
    tions with the Motif GUI. Interactive mode is intended for
    detailed consideration of a specific farm.
    
    Interface to GIS  Functions
    
    XGRCWP provides  a GUI  to most of the customized
    GRASS functions and some of GRASS'S existing func-
    tions (see Figure 4). This interface shields the user from
    complex syntax so the  user can focus on the subject
                Hl.it II l!i«J I'UMljJ'liJ
                   (Jin
               v Uedhim
    
               v High
                , To be- drtenm'ned" by GIS function 51
    Figure 3. The popup window for the potential level of contami-
            nant loading.
    matter. The GUI makes it easier for the user to perform
    routine operations such as estimation of contaminant
    loading, identification of critical areas, erosion and runoff
    calculation, and other watershed analysis tasks.  It also
    helps the user make full, effective use of all custom and
    some existing GRASS functions.
    
    Linkages to Database and Other Models
    
    Data Structure
    
    The GRASS functions used to generate inputs for the
    expert system use the same soils and fields relational
    databases as the Water Quality Model/GRASS Interface
    under development by the Soil  Conservation Service
    (SCS) (4). XGRCWP and our custom GRASS functions
    were tested forthe Sycamore Creek watershed, Ingham
    County,  Michigan. In  this data structure, spatial data
    (e.g., field boundaries, watershed boundaries, soils map
    unit  boundaries, and  elevation data)  are saved  as
    GRASS raster data layers while attribute data (e.g., crop
    information,  fertilizing  schedule, soil information) are
    stored in INFORMIX  relational database tables. Each
    field or soil map unit is assigned  a unique identification
    (ID) number. The field attribute (INFORMIX) data also
    contain  this  ID  number. The  linkage  between  the
    GRASS raster map and the INFORMIX data is accom-
    plished with a GRASS category label (see Figure 5).
    
    Linkage to Database
    
    To allow  the interactive examination of field data from
    GRASS raster layers  and the associated relational da-
    

    -------
    Table 2.  Summary of the Customized GRASS Functions Developed by Nonpoint Source Agricultural Engineering Research
            Group at Penn State University To Generate Inputs for the RCWP Expert System
    Name
                              Descriptions
    R.FERT
    
    
    R.MANURE
    
    
    
    
    
    R.B.CONCENTRATION
    
    
    R.NP.LOADING
    
    
    R.EROSION
    
    
    R.LEACHING.P
    
    
    R.HYDRO-GRP
    Produces raster maps of total nitrogen or total phosphorous from the scheduled fertilizer applications for
    different crops by dynamically retrieving information from a GRASS data layer and INFORMIX data tables
    
    Calculates the total manure on each farm according to animal numbers and types (e.g., dairy cow, beef
    cow, horses, swine), allocates manure to the fields on a farm by a user specified strategy (uniformly
    spreading or inverse distance weighted distributing method), and finally estimates nitrogen and
    phosphorous  loading from  manure application rate,  conversion factor, percentages of transportation
    losses, and volatile losses
    
    Estimates nitrogen and phosphorous concentration  in parts per million within different types of soils
    according to the organic matter contents
    
    Classifies the loading potential of nitrogen or phosphorous into three categories (low, medium, and high)
    based on the actual loading from fertilizer and manure and the  N or P concentration in soils
    
    Obtains a relative measure of soil erosion severity by dividing the amount of erosion by the tolerance
    values of the  soils and then reclassifying them into three categories (low, medium, and high)
    
    Estimates leaching index from soil hydrologic group and annual and seasonal precipitation and classifies
    it into three categories (low, medium, and high)
    
    Retrieves soil hydrologic group from the INFORMIX database and reclassifies the soil map into soil
    hydrologic groups
    tabase  tables, XGRCWP  calls our  custom  function,
    D.WHAT.FIELD.SH, a Bourne shell script that dynami-
    cally  links  GRASS raster  layers  and the INFORMIX
    database tables. When the user clicks on a  field, for
    example, this function extracts field-specific information
    from INFORMIX tables such as field information, fertili-
    zation schedule, crop operation schedule, and soil infor-
    mation. The D.WHAT.FIELD.SH function then displays
    all related soils and fields information for the given field.
    It also marks the field boundary map to remind the user
    which fields have already been examined.
    
    Linkage to Reference Modules
    
    At any  stage  of the selection, evaluation, siting, and
    design  procedure for control  practices,  the  user can
    consult reference modules that provide information,
    guidance, and data about contaminant properties, trans-
    port variables,  and  examples  of  applications from
    RCWP  projects. Four reference modules  are available
    in the Macintosh version of RCWP expert system: con-
    taminants,  monitoring, transport, and case studies. We
    are currently converting these reference  modules into
    Mosaic-viewable HTML documents so that they can be
    accessed from XGRCWP.  Mosaic is  a public domain,
    Internet-aware document browser that is available for
    X-Windows, Macintosh, and Microsoft Windows.
    
    All four modules use graphics to  demonstrate design
    procedures and contaminant control processes.  The
    contaminant module provides information about 11 cate-
    gories of contaminants cited in RCWP projects and their
    impacts  on surface and ground-water resources. The
    monitoring  module describes different aspects of water
    quality sampling and  analysis systems. The transport
    module  describes contaminant pathways in surface
    and ground water. The case studies module  presents
                                 detailed  examples from  key RCWP  projects.  These
                                 examples cover both practice selection and implemen-
                                 tation aspects of control systems. The reference modules
                                 serve as a complementary component of XGRCWP.
    
    
                                 Linkage to AGNPS
    
                                 AGNPS  is a distributed-parameter, storm event-based
                                 model that estimates runoff, sedimentation, and nutrient
                                 loss in surface runoff within agricultural watersheds (2).
                                 The prototype version of the Water Quality Model/GRASS
                                 Interface developed by SCS conveniently generates an
                                 AGNPS  input  file for all  cells in a watershed from the
                                 spatial and  relational soils and fields  databases. The
                                 UNIX version  of AGNPS can then use this input file.
                                 XGRCWP can call AGNPS directly from its X-Window
                                 interface and convert standard AGNPS model outputs
                                 for all cells in the watershed  into GRASS raster format
                                 for display and analysis.
    
    
                                 Discussion
    
                                 The literature on software systems for managing  non-
                                 point source pollution in agricultural watersheds is di-
                                 verse and rapidly  growing. With few exceptions (5-7),
                                 these  decision  support systems are purely model-
                                 based, CIS-based (8), or hybrid systems with models
                                 running within a CIS framework (9-14). The addition of
                                 expert system components can  overcome some of the
                                 difficulties in primarily model-based systems:
    
                                 • Overly intensive input data requirements.
    
                                 • Inability to handle  missing  or incomplete data.
    
                                 • Requirements that all inputs be numerically expressed.
    

    -------
    Table 3.  The Rule File for Recommending Conservation Tillage
    IFNOTMAP app.class 3
    ANDIFMAP contam.feature 2
    ANDIFMAP leaching.p 1
    ANDIFMAP soil.g 1  2
    ANDIFMAP contam.load 1
    ANDIFMAP season 2
    THENMAPHYP 1 yes, CT
    is recommended
    i
    IFNOTMAP app.class 3
    ANDIFMAP contam.feature 2
    ANDNOTMAP leaching.p 3
    ANDNOTMAP soil.g 1
    ANDNOTMAP contam.load 3
    ANDIFMAP season 1
    THENMAPHYP 1 yes, CT
    is recommended
    i
    IFNOTMAP app.class 3
    ANDIFMAP contam.feature 1
    ANDNOTMAP contam.load 3
    ANDIFMAP season 1
    THENMAPHYP 1 yes, CT
    is recommended
    i
    IFNOTMAP app.class 3
    ANDIFMAP contam.feature 1
    ANDNOTMAP leaching.p 3
    ANDIFMAP soil.g 3 4
    ANDNOTMAP contam.load 3
    ANDIFMAP season 2
    THENMAPHYP 1 yes, CT
    is recommended
    !application class is not high-source area
    !contaminant is nonadsorbance
    teaching potential is low
    !soil groups are A or D
    !contaminant loading is low
    !nongrowing season
    !application class is not high-source area
    !contaminant is nonadsorbance
    teaching potential is not high
    !soil groups are not A
    !contaminant loading is not high
    !growing season
    !application class is not high-source area
    !contaminant is strong adsorbance
    !contaminant loading  is not high
    !growing season
    !application class is not high-source area
    !contaminant is strong adsorbance
    teaching potential is not high
    !soil groups are C or D
    !contaminant loading is not high
    !nongrowing season
                             Nufritrnt I UMJ
                 Manure Nutrient Laad
                   ,  -
                j  J  ** .'II Ijvi": V
                i  J ' 'iir-r'c -spr'iCi; on-
    
                Pttrti rnftfrs;
                I
                      .-.- £ ^- ruler. » .-ff,-,
                 r  "
                               •i- ,i i •:-.
    Figure 4.  The GUI to the R.MANURE function.
    • High degree of expertise needed to structure model
      input and explain model output relative to the user's
      problem context.
    
    The expert system component of XGRCWP also  re-
    duces the number of model runs needed for decision
    support through  preliminary,  rule-based screening of
    control systems at each site of interest in the watershed.
    
    Conclusions
    
    XGRCWP incorporates several kinds of expertise for the
    user's benefit:
    
    • Subject matter expertise  in siting and selecting non-
      point  source control  systems in agricultural water-
      sheds.
    
    • Expertise in configuring AGNPS model input from the
      soils and fields databases.
    
    • Expertise in  interpreting,  explaining, and  visualizing
      expert system and model input.
    
    The integration of the expert  system and the GRASS
    CIS makes input to the expert system easier and  more
    objective.  It enhances  the  expert system's  capability
    for recommending effective control practices at the
    field level to achieve watershed  contaminant loading
    objectives. XGRCWP is designed as an open structured
    

    -------
    Category Value
    1173
    Category Label
    FDID1173
    Fnin
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    fert_sch_id
    FTID01
    fert_name
    13-13-13
    appl_rate
    200.0
    
    
    
    
    fert_name
    13-13-13
    total_n
    13.000
    total_p
    5.700
    
    
    
    
    Figure 5.  Data structure of Sycamore Creek watershed, Ingham County, Michigan.
    program and has great potential to be improved easily
    and continually according to users' feedback. Ongoing
    efforts to enhance the program include:
    
    • Developing more  rules that incorporate topographical
      factors such as slope and slope  length for the expert
      system so that more site-specific  control practices
      can  be  recommended.
    
    • Adding  dynamic hypertext-based help and reference
      to the program.
    
    • Establishing intelligent linkages  among  the  expert
      system,  the CIS  functions, and other simulation or
      design models  for nonpoint source  control practices.
    Acknowledgments
    
    We thank Vicki Anderson, Ruth Shaffer, and Brent Stin-
    son of the Michigan  USDA SCS  and John  Suppnick of
    the Michigan Department of Natural Resources for their
    assistance in working with the underlying databases in
    the Sycamore Creek watershed. This  project is sup-
    ported by U.S. EPA Grant No. X-818240.
    References
    
     1. U.S. EPA. 1992. Extending the RCWP knowledge base to future
       nonpoint source control projects. In: Proceedings of the National
       RCWP Symposium. EPA/625/R-92/006. Washington, DC.
    
     2. Young, R.A., C.A. Onstad, D.D. Bosch, and WP. Anderson. 1989.
       AGNPS: A nonpoint-source pollution model for evaluating agri-
       cultural watersheds. J. Soil and Water Conserv. 44(2):168-173.
    
     3. USACERL. 1993. GRASS 4.1 users reference manual. Champaign,
       IL: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Construction Engineering Re-
       search Laboratory.
    
     4. USDA. 1993. Users' guide to water quality model/GRASS inter-
       face. Fort  Collins, CO: U.S. Department  of Agriculture,  Soil
       Conservation Service, Technology Information Systems Division.
    
     5. Barnwell, T.O.,  L.C. Brown, and W. Marek. 1989. Application  of
       expert systems technology in water quality  modeling. Wat. Sci.
       Tech. 21:1,045-1,056.
    
     6. Ford, D.A., A.P. Kruzic, and R.L. Doneker. 1993. Using GLEAMS
       to Evaluate the Agricultural Waste Application  Rule-Based
       Decision Support (AWARDS) computer program. Wat. Sci. Tech.
       28(3-5):625-634.
    
     7. Yakowitz, D.S., J.J. Stone, L.J.  Lane,  P.  Heilman, J.  Masterson,
       J. Abolt, and B. Imam. 1993. A decision support system for evalu-
       ating the effects of alternative  farm management systems on
       water and economics. Wat. Sci. Tech. 28(3-5):47-54.
    

    -------
     8.  Hamlett, J.M., D.A. Miller, R.L. Day, G.A. Peterson, G.M. Baumer,
        and J. Russo. 1992. Statewide CIS-based ranking of watersheds
        for  agricultural  pollution  prevention.  J.  Soil  Water  Cons.
        47(3):399-404.
    
     9.  Srinivasan,  R., and B.A. Engel. 1994.  A spatial decision support
        system  for assessing  agricultural  nonpoint  source pollution.
        Water Resources Bull. 30(3):441-452.
    
    10.  Srinivasan,  R., and J.G. Arnold. 1994.  Integration of a basin-
        scale  water quality  model  with GIS. Water  Resources  Bull.
        30(3):453-462.
    
    11.  Engel,  B.A., R. Srinivasan,  J.  Arnold, and S.J. Brown. 1993.
        Nonpoint source (NPS) pollution modeling using models  inte-
        grated with geographic information systems (GIS). Wat. Sci. Tech.
        28(3-5):625-690.
    12.  He, C., J.F. Riggs, and Y.  Kang. 1993. Integration of geographic
        information systems and a computer model to evaluate impacts
        of agricultural  runoff on water quality. Water Resources  Bull.
        29(6):891-900.
    13.  Kiker, G.A., G.M.  Cambell, and  J. Zhang. 1992. CREAMS-WT
        linked with  GIS to simulate phosphorus loading. ASAE Paper
        No. 92-9016.  St. Joseph, Ml: American  Society of Agricultural
        Engineers.
    14.  Tim, U.S., S. Mostaghimi, and V.O. Shanholtz. 1992. Identification
        of critical nonpoint pollution source areas using geographic infor-
        mation systems and water quality modeling.  Water Resources
        Bull. 28:877-887.
    

    -------