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             UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                              WASHINGTON H.C. 204«l
                                   May 1, 1992
                                                                      OH1CEOF
                                                                   THE ADMINISTRATOR
                                                                 SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD
EPA-SAB-EPEC-LTR-92-008

Honorable Williain Reilly
Administrator
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M St., S.W.
Washington, B.C. 20460

      RE: SAB Review of the EMAP Program Plan and Concepts for
      Integration and Assessment

Dear Mr. Eeilly;

    The Environmental Monitoring Subcommittee of the Ecological Processes and Effects
Committee of the Science Advisory Board conducted a review on December 4-5, 1991 of the
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program's (EMAP) Program Plan, A consultation
was also held at this meeting on the EMAP plans and concepts for assessment of monitoring
data and integration of the ecosystem components. In the charge for this meeting, the SAB
was asked to:

      a.    Review the revised Program Plan (November, 1991) to assure that the plan is
      technically accurate and adequately explains the purpose,, objectives, organization,
      capabilities, and limitations of EMAP to an informed Public.

      b.    Discuss EMAFs concepts and approaches for integration and assessment and
      the framework for reporting information.

    The purpose of this letter is to advise you of the significant recommendations of the
Subcommittee for further improvements to the Program Plan.  Overall, the Subcommittee
believes that the revised Program Plan is very useful and addresses many of the comments of
the.earlier SAB review (Evaluation of the EMAP Program Plan EPA-SAB-EPEC-91-Q11,
July, 1991)  However, there are still several areas which need refinements to mate the
Program Plan (which has been renamed the "Program Document") more effective in
explaining EMAP. We identified the following topics for further development in the revised
Program Document:

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Continuum Concept

    The Draft Assessment Program would benefit from the inclusion of a diagram of the type
on page S of the briefing material. This diagram would assist the reader in knowing what is
included in EMAP and what is excluded.  The relationship of EMAP to  other ecological
programs within the Agency should be included in this and other diagrams (See relationship to
ecorisk).

    The figure developed to explain the continuum ranging from data collection through
various forms of assessment should show EMAP's position on that continuum and should be
included in the Program Document, along with sufficient discussion to mate clear the
objectives and limitations of each level. The position of other ecological risk assessment
programs in the Agency should also be described.

Conceptual Ecorisk Framework

    A relatively high degree of consensus is ciirrenfly evolving concerning the conceptual
framework for ecological risk assessment (Risk Assessment Forum, Agency Workshops,
NAS/NRC Committee on Risk Assessment Methods).  Figure 1 of the Program Document
should incorporate this contemporary  thinking and clearly show how EMAP program elements
will 'affect an ecological risk assessment, A full explanation of how EMAP outputs will
contribute to the accepted steps of hazard identification, exposure assessment, stress-response
and risk characterization will clarify what BMAP is intending to deliver.

Potential Contributions to Ecorisk and Beyond

       The program document needs  to clarify the relationships between  EMAP and other
ecological programs within EPA.  We recommend that a figure be developed showing the
relationship of EMAP to the Ecorisk'Research Program, the Ecological Risk Assessment
Guidelines and habitat assessment programs of the Agency.  The contributions (both real and
potential) that EMAP can make to these programs and the coordination between the^rograms
should be explained,

       A long-term program such  as EMAP is much more valuable and viable of it has clear
near-term fallouts  (e.g., operating  principles, theories or procedures used by EMAP) which
may benefit or contribute to other areas of knowledge and research. These fallouts should be.
sought, identified, and publicized by EMAP, and applied within EPA and elsewhere.  The
National Aeronautic and Space Agency has been expert in identifying many technological
fallouts from its long-term space program. These contributions convinced the public and
Congress to continue its investment in the effort so that long range  goals  could be achieved.

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Criteria for selecting indicators

    The Document emphasizes the importance of EMAP to the Agency's efforts to ecological
ri$k assessment.  The results of EMAP's monitoring should be valuable inputs to assess
environiFfintal hazards and stresses and provide information on stress/effects relationships.
Theref<*re, it is essential that individuals with expertise in ecological risk assessment be
invoi.-J in the selection of indicators and the sampling design (e.g., temporal and spatial
characteristics., and the required accuracy and precision). Furthermore, the document should
clearly provide for this interaction on a continuing basis as the selection of indicators and
sampling design continues to evolve.

Provide Examples, Definitions, and References

    The EMAP Program Document could be improved by including an example of an EMAP
project, a brief glossary, and a list of supporting documents.  The current version of the
Program Document outlines approaches and generally describes products and product
applications.  A brief description of a project, such as the forest study, would illustrate how a
project is implemented, an outline of the technologies involved, and explain how it can
contribute to ecological risk assessment. A key list of supporting documents  should be
available to the public and provide more details on the approaches, methods,  and specific
project, of EMAP.

Tiers 3 and 4

    The purpose and application of EMAP's Tiers 3 and 4 sampling protocols are inadequately
explained. The Program Document should discuss what these tiers entail, where they fit along
the continuum of data collection and assessment, how they relate to pilot and  local-regional
studies (e g,, South Florida initiative), and how these studies would expand and build upon the
base lev   of EMAP characterization activities.

Data of Known Confidence

    The Program Document lists the basic EMAP objective in terms of characterization of the
environment with known confidence, yet the Program Document fails to discuss what that
means, how that would be demonstrated, and what issues are critical to quantify uncertainties.
For example, while the data generated within the internal parameters of the statistical sampling
scheme for a demonstration project were of a known confidence (Le.» lot), the confidence
limits in terms of background variability (i.e., signal vs. noise) were unknown.

Sensitivity Analysis

    The EMAP report should include a discussion of sensitivity analysis, i.e., what questions
will EMAP data answer? The use of sensitivity analyses, simulations using hypothetical and
actual data, and power analyses should be discussed in broad, concise terms in the general

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Program Document and in specific details in the companion Program "technical document",
EMAP should structure its sampling programs to include assessments of the natural temporal
and spatial variability of the ecosystem so it can distinguish signals from noise.
Use State-of-the-Ar Methods

    The Document states little or nothing about the importance of appropriate biological and
chemical analytical methodologies to be employed in the monitoring program and their
precision and specificity. While this may be implicit in the document, it should be explicitly
stated. We recommend that the Program Document give an example of how such methods are
selected and how the quality and compatibility of the date are assured within and between the
resource groups.

Information Management

    It is absolutely essential that the system and associated software be fully configured early
in the EMAP program.  This will ensure that subsequent data generation and submittals to the
EMAP data base are fully quality-assured and of a form that can be readily incorporated into
the system.  We recoiumend that EMAP consider the use of a relational data base and pilot
options which may he appropriate. The  Program Document should describe EMAPs
approach for acceding and handling data from disparate sources to produce the useful data
bases, statistical summaries, and assessments.

Clients for EMAP

    There is a fundamental tension for EMAP between the need to provide useful information
to some EPA program office clients and  the need to do broad, generic long-team monitoring
that may be able to detest regional changes and trends in ecological resources over time for
the Administrator's needs.  EMAP is designed to gather information for the second need,
however, the Program Document Implies that EMAP can meet more specific client needs that
can be addressed more efficiently by a focused monitoring effort.  The principal client for
EMAP is the Administrator and meeting, his needs should be the primary objective. EMAP
serves a vital census that EPA clients,  such as  the regulatory offices, may not yet recognize as
being important. The Program Document should emphasize the benefits of such information.

User/Client Data Access

    The document should contain a description of just how a user or client of the EMAP
system will be able to access data.  If the system is to be maximally useful to researchers,
industry and the regulatory community, early definition of the data types and forms available
to the potential user community is essential. The Document should also provide some
tentative or vague schedule for when data may be accessible.

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Tlie Sequencing Problem in EMAP Management

    Many of the components of EMAP defend on one another in ways that make the sequence
of their development extremely important. Some activities cannot be pursued until the results
of other activities are in hand (e.g.9 preliminaiy selection of indicators precedes demonstration
projects). Furthermore, there are some activities whose outcomes cannot at present be
predicted, but which will critical;' affect subsequent strategy and planning decisions.  The
Subcommittee recognizes that EMAP design did not evolve following a strict sequence of
activities, and that as experience is gained with demonstration projects and with testing
indicators, the fundamental EMAP sampling strategy and design may require modification.
The Program Document should discuss this problem and reassessment tasks should be included
in the Implementation Plan.

Concepts for Integration and Assessment

       The Subcommittee recommended earlier that EMAP prepare a pilot assessment for
SAB review. At the December 4-5 meeting, EPA presented the concepts and prototypes
materials on integration and assessment for discussion with the Subcommittee,  The
Subcommittee recommends that EMAP use the oral comments to prepare specific documents
illustrating EMAP approaches for d-Ja assessment and integration (including both a regional
ecosystem and single resource examples)  for SAB review,

Final Thoughts

       In summary, we are pleased that the revised EMAP Program Plan has responded to
the Subcommittee's previous recommendations (My, 1991) concerning preparation of an
overview document.  We have suggested  some refinements and improvements which we hope
the Agency will incorporate into the final Program Plan.  A number of fundamental questions
about the program still remain to be clarified. We expect that these will be addressed in the
Technical Program Document Slid Implementation Plan that are now under development.  We
look forward to  the opportunity to review the Technical Program Document, the
Implementation Plan, and the approaches  for data assessment in detail.
                                   Sincerely yours,
Raymond C. Loehr, Chair                     Kenneth L. Dickson, Chair
Science Advisory Board                       Ecological Processes and
                                             Effects Committee

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                  U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

                                      NOTICE

      This report has been written as a part of fie activities of the Science Advisory Board, a
public advisory group providing extramural sc^ntific information and advice to the
Administrator and other officials of the Enviiu..mental Protection Agency. The Board is
structured to provide a balanced expert assessment of scientific matters related to problems
facing the Agency, This report has not been reviewed for approval by the Agency; and hence,
the contents of this report do not necessarily represent the views and policies of the
Environmental Protection Agency or other agencies in Federal government. Mention of trade
names or commercial products does not constitute a recommendation for use.

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                US ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                      SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD
                ECOLOGICAL MONITORING SUBCOMMITTEE

                              ROSTER
    *Dr. Kenneth L. Dickson,  Director,  University of North Texas,
     Denton, Texas
VICE CHAIR
    *Dr. Stanley I* Auerbaeh, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak
     Ridge, Tennessee

MEMBERS

     Dr. Donald F. Boesch, University of Maryland, Cambridge,
     Maryland

     Dr. Mark A. Harwell, University of Mia~d, Miami, Florida

    *Dr. Robert J.  Huggett, College of William and Mary, Gloucester
     Point, Virginia

     Dr. Richard Kimerle, Monsanto Corporation, St. Louis, Missouri

     Dr. Betty H, Olson, University of California, Irvine,
     California

     Dr. Paul Risser, University of New Mex^o, Albuquerque, New
     Mexico

CONSULTANTS                                               .  ,   '
                                                         . •*«. -'» "»

     Dr. Daniel Goodman, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana

     Dr. Allan Hirsch, Midwest Research lustitute, Falls Church,
     Virginia

     Dr. Alan W. Maki, Exxon Company, USA, Houston, Texas

     Dr. John Neuholdj, Utah State University, Logan, Utah  84322

     Dr. Dean B, Premo, White Water Associates, inc., Amasa,
     Michigan
                                          \,
     Dr. William H. Smith,  Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut

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SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD STAFF

     Dr. Edward s. Bender, Designated Federal Official,  us EPA,
     Science Advisory Board, 401 M street,  S.W.,  Washington, D.c.
     20460

     Mrs. Marcia K. Jolly (Marcy), Secretary to th  Designated
     Federal Official

     *Members of the Executive Committee

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