EPA 601/K-15/005 I September 2015 I www.epa.gov/research
          Air, Climate, and Energy
         STRATEGIC RESEARCH ACTION PLAN
                                    2016-2019
Office of Research and Development
Air, Climate, and Energy

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                               EPA 601/K-15/005
 Air, Climate, and Energy
Strategic Research Action Plan 2016 - 2019
       U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
             September 2015

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Table  of Contents
 List of Acronyms	ii
 Executive Summary	1
 Introduction	2
 Environmental Problems and Program Purpose	3
     Problem Statement	4
     Program Vision	4
 Program Design	4
 Research Program Objectives	10
 Research Topics	14
     Topic 1: Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation (CIVA)	17
     Topic 2: Emissions and Measurements (EM)	18
     Topic 3: Atmospheric and Integrated Modeling Systems (AIMS)	20
     Topic 4: Protecting Environmental Public Health and Well-Being (PEP)	21
     Topic 5: Sustainable Energy and Mitigation (SEM)	23
 Anticipated Research Accomplishments	24
 Conclusions	27
 Appendix: Table of Proposed Outputs, Air, Climate, and Energy FY16-19	28

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List of Acronyms
ACE          Air, Climate, and Energy
AIMS         Atmospheric and Integrated Modeling Systems
BenMAP      Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program
CAA          Clean Air Act
CDC          Centers for Disease Control
CIVA         Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation
CMAQ        Community Multi-scale Air Quality model
CO           Carbon  Monoxide
CSS          Chemical Safety for Sustainability
EM           Emissions and Measurements
EPA          Environmental Protection Agency
GHGs        Greenhouse Gases
GIS          Geographic Information System
HAPs         Hazardous Air Pollutants
HHRA        Human  Health Risk Assessment
HSRP        Homeland Security Research Program
IRIS          Integrated Risk Information System
MA           Climate Impacts Mitigation  and Adaptation
MARKAL      Market Allocation model
MDST        Modeling and Decision Support Tools
MOSES       Multicenter Ozone Study  in  Elderly Subjects
NAAGS       National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NMP         NAAQS  and Multipollutant
N02          Nitrogen Dioxide
03           Ozone
ORD          Office of Research and Development
Pb           Lead
PEP          Protecting Environmental Public Health and Well-bein^
PM           Particulate Matter
R-LINE       Research Line
SEE          Sustainable Energy Evaluation
SEM          Sustainable Energy and Mitigation
SHC          Sustainable and Healthy Communities
S02          Sulfur Dioxide
SSWR        Safe and Sustainable Water Resources
STAR         Science to Achieve Results
USGCRP      U.S. Global Change Research Program
VG           Village Green

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Executive Summary
This Air, Climate, and Energy (ACE) Strategic Research Action Plan, 2016 to 2019 outlines a research
approach to address the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) objectives and mandates to
take action on climate change and improve air quality. We have made great gains over the past 45
years in combating air pollution and, as a result, the air is much cleaner.  However, that progress is
now threatened by climate change and is complicated by the life cycles of new energy technologies
which have both  benefits and potential adverse effects. To tackle these  increasingly complex 21st
century problems, innovative thinking and sustainable  solutions are needed to ensure a healthy
and prosperous environment. To address these challenges that cross science disciplines and media
- air, water, and land - we need science-supported models and tools that allow us to make more
informed decisions and understand the potential consequences of those decisions.

The ACE research program integrates  air and climate science with better understanding of how
energy science and engineering interconnect these domains. The ACE research  program was
developed with considerable input from Agency partners and outside stakeholders and interacts
with the five other national research programs of EPA's Office of Research and Development to
address cross-cutting issues.

The ACE research program  is structured to provide research results that fulfill EPA priorities and
mandates, meet partners' needs, fill knowledge gaps, and complement broader efforts across the
federal government, as well as research being conducted by the larger scientific community. The
ACE research objectives are:

   1.  Assess Impacts—Assess human and ecosystem exposures and effects associated with air
       pollutants and climate change at individual, community, regional, and global scales;
   2.  Prevent and Reduce Emissions—Provide data and tools to develop and evaluate
       approaches to prevent and  reduce emissions of pollutants into the atmosphere,
       particularly environmentally sustainable, cost-effective, and innovative multipollutant
       and sector-based approaches; and
   3.  Prepare for and Respond to Changes in Climate and Air Quality—Provide human
       exposure and environmental modeling, monitoring, metrics and information needed
       by individuals, communities, and governmental  agencies to take action to prepare for
       and mitigate the impacts of climate change, and make public health decisions regarding
       air quality.

To achieve these objectives and address their scientific challenges, ACE research projects are
organized  into five interrelated  topics:  (1) Climate  Impacts,  Vulnerability, and Adaptation;
(2) Emissions and Measurements; (3) Atmospheric and Integrated Modeling Systems; (4) Protecting
Environmental Public Health and Well-being; and (5) Sustainable Energy and Mitigation. Each topic
includes specific near- and long-term goals designed to yield solutions to address climate change
and improve air quality. This ACE Strategic Research Action Plan, 2016-2019 (ACE StRAP), describes
those topics and the overall structure and purpose of the ACE research program. The research
results and innovative tools will  support EPA's work to protect air quality  and to meet broader EPA
legal and statutory mandates in the face of a changing climate.

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 Introduction
 Protecting human health and the environment
 from  the impacts of climate change and air
 pollution in a sustainable manner are critical
 21st century challenges. These challenges are
 complicated  by  the interplay  between air
 quality, the  changing  climate, and  existing
 and   emerging  energy  options.  The  U.S.
 Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Office
 of  Research  and  Development's  (ORD)  Air,
 Climate, and Energy  (ACE)  research program
 provides the essential and innovative science
 and  engineering  needed to address climate
 change and improve air quality.

 The ACE Strategic Research Action Plan, 2016-
 2019  (ACE StRAP) outlines a four-year strategy
 for delivering the research results and solutions
 needed to:  support  EPA's mission to protect
 human health and the environment; fulfill the
 Agency's legislative  mandates; and advance
 the cross-Agency  priorities identified in the FY
 2014-2018 EPA Strategic Plan (EPA Strategic
 Plan). The ACE StRAP is built on the needs of
 Agency partners  and stakeholders  and  the
 application of cutting-edge science.

 To  help the program   meet its  ambitious
 objectives, the ORD has developed this StRAP,
 building upon the vision  outlined in the original
 ACE StRAP released in June 2012, Air, Climate,
 and Energy  Strategic Research Action Plan,
 2012-2016 (2012 ACE StRAP).1 The 2016-2019
 StRAP has been developed in collaboration with
 EPA Program and  regional partners and  ORD
 labs and centers involved with ACE, and through
 interactions with  external stakeholders. The
 ACE StRAP aims to  help  ORD managers and
 scientists to better:
 • Integrate ACE research
 • Prioritize research to focus on key areas
  where ACE will lead science
• Demonstrate how research will be translated
  and actively delivered for use in Agency
  decision making
• Evaluate the impacts of ACE outputs on
  partner needs
• Explore and incorporate collaboration
  and leveraging opportunities across
  the national research programs and with
  external stakeholders.

The  ACE StRAP is one of six research action
plans, one for each  of EPA's  national  research
programs  in ORD. The six research programs
are:

• Air, Climate, and Energy (ACE)
• Chemical Safety for Sustainability (CSS)
• Homeland Security Research Program (HSRP)
• Human Health Risk Assessment (HHRA)
• Safe and Sustainable Water Resources
  (SSWR)
• Sustainable and Healthy Communities (SHC)

EPA's six strategic research action plans lay the
foundation for EPA's research  staff and their
partners to  provide  focused  research efforts
that  meet the Agency's legislative mandates, as
well  as the goals outlined  in  the EPA  Strategic
Plan. They are designed to guide an ambitious
research portfolio  that  delivers  the  science
and engineering solutions the Agency needs to
meet its goals while also cultivating an efficient,
innovative, and responsive research enterprise.

The ACE StRAP specifically outlines the research
approach to achieve EPA's objectives to address
climate  change  and  improve  air quality.  It
highlights how the ACE research  program
integrates efforts across ORD to provide  an
overall research  portfolio  aligned around the
central and unifying concept of sustainability.
'See http://www2.epa.gov/research/air-climate-and-energy-strategic-research-action-plan-2012-2016.

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Environmental

Problems  and  Program

Purpose

Integrating Air, Climate, and Energy
Research: Turning  Challenge  into
Opportunity

Ambient air  pollution  can  have significant
adverse consequences on human health and
the  environment.  Research conducted  and
supported  by ORD  has  demonstrated  that
exposure to air pollution can cause a range
of human health  and environmental  welfare
effects. These include, but are not limited to,
respiratory and cardiovascular dysfunction that
can lead to disease and mortality in humans
as well  as deposition-driven eutrophication
and acidification in the environment. Research
has informed  and  enabled the nation's efforts
to curtail air  pollution emissions and greatly
improve air quality over the last 45 years. While
we have seen enormous  public health  and
economic benefits, approximately 127 million
people in the United States are still living in
counties that do  not meet current national
ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) for one
or more criteria air pollutants.2  Continued
improvement in understanding of emissions,
atmospheric processes, exposure, and effects is
critical to ensuring continued improvement in
air quality now and into the future.

Climate change is beginning to roll back some
of these achievements, and is impacting human
health and the environment in other, potentially
serious  ways. Climate  change is  leading to
higher concentrations of some air pollutants
and  increasing  stressors  such as  heat  and
allergens that may worsen  health outcomes.
Simultaneously  the presence  of some  air
pollutants in the atmosphere is affecting the
rate of climate change itself. Furthermore, the
warming climate is causing an increasing range
of major and adverse effects on air quality, water
resources,  agriculture,  wildlife  ecosystems,
contaminated sites and waste  management
practices, as well as the built environment (i.e.,
energy, infrastructure, and communities).

Researchers have shown that the emissions of
greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere
are resulting in a change in the global climate.
Even  as  initial  steps  are  taken  to  reduce
these emissions, the rate of responses of the
atmosphere and oceans means that climate-
driven  impacts  will continue to worsen for
some time. In the  absence  of continued  and
expanded  emission reductions,  there is clear
scientific  evidence that  the  public health  and
welfare of current and future generations are
at risk.

The  nation  will   not  successfully  address
climate  change and  continue  improvement
in air quality without  a solid  understanding
of energy.  The  current mix of sources  and
technologies for energy production and  use
has major environmental impacts on air quality
and climate. Not only does the current energy
mix generally represent the major source of
air pollution emissions, including GHGs,  it  also
impacts water quality and demand and affects
ecosystems  and  the  services  they  provide.
Meanwhile, the energy system  is undergoing
a  substantial  transition   toward  natural
gas,   renewable  resources,  and  increased
electrification as  technologies   emerge  and
evolve and as policies are introduced to reduce
GHG emissions. Understanding of this evolution
is  crucial  to developing  and  implementing
future approaches to address climate change
and improve air quality.
2Criteria pollutants are those pollutants for which NAAQS have been established. These pollutants include: particulate
matter (PM), ozone (03), nitrogen dioxide (N02); sulfur dioxide (S02); carbon monoxide (CO); and lead (Pb).(http://www.
                    ml).

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The  challenges that span the  nexus  of air,
climate, and energy, as well as the major related
research  needs  identified  by  EPA partners
and  stakeholders guide  both  the Problem
Statementthat governs EPA's strategic research,
as well as its Program Vision.  The ACE team
will continue to build on its foundation of past
accomplishments  to deliver the  knowledge,
tools, and data needed to meet them.

Problem Statement
Protecting health and the environment from the
impacts of climate change and air pollution in
a sustainable manner are central 21st century
challenges.  These challenges are complicated
by the interplay of  air,  the  changing climate,
and emerging energy options.


EPA'sAir, Climate, and Energy research program
provides  cutting-edge  scientific information
and  tools  to  support  EPA's  strategic  goals
of protecting and improving  air quality and
addressing climate change.

The  ACE  research   program  examines  the
interplay  of air pollution,  climate change, and
today's  dynamic  energy  sector to develop
innovative  and   sustainable  solutions  for
improving air quality and addressing climate
change. The results of research efforts support
policies that have far-reaching positive impacts
across the nation, including reducing health risks
from air pollution, preparing for the impacts of
climate change, and advancing more resilient
and sustainable communities. Integrating the
science and  engineering issues inherent in
the complex interactions of air quality, climate
change, and energy into a seamless research
program presents a substantial challenge to any
research  organization. From  an EPA research
perspective,  however,  it  also presents an
opportunity. Combining air, climate, and energy
research  activities enables  the development
of sustainable, integrated solutions that have
synergistic  benefits  for  public  health,  the
environment, and the economy.


Program Design

This  Strategic Research  Action  Plan, 2016-
2019, provides both a vision and an actionable
blueprint for advancing clean air, climate, and
energy science. The ACE StRAP focuses research
on  meeting  the  priorities  and  legislative
mandates of EPA. ACE works  closely  with  its
Agency  partners and  stakeholders, including
sister federal agencies, nonprofit organizations,
industry, and colleagues  across the scientific
community, to identify and conduct research to
address  the highest priority issues.

Building on the 2012-2016
Research Program
This plan builds upon and continues to advance
the research outlined  in the 2012 ACE StRAP.
Guided  by the previous plan, ACE researchers
moved  the  state  of  the science  forward
and  provided  benefits to public  health and
the environment,  as  seen by the following
examples:

• Exposure and health scientists advanced  the
science  to enable the policy decision to lower
the NAAQS for PM25 based on clear benefits to
public health.
• Researchers demonstrated the significance of
vehicle and roadway emissions and developed
models  to show  how roadside vegetative and
noise barriers can reduce exposures for people
living near heavily travelled corridors.
• Researchers   developed  more  advanced
modeling systems that have begun to tackle
the complex interactions  between air quality,
environmental effects, and climate change from
community to global scales.

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• Researchers  are working  with various tools
to study the possible environmental impacts of
different scenarios of future energy technologies
and  changes in  land  use to  provide  insights
into  the consequences of future decisions on
climate and air quality.

• Investigators have brought together  techno-
logical advances, communities, entrepreneurs,
and regulators to evaluate and deploy air qual-
ity sensors to forge a  new future for commu-
nity science that can enhance the amount and
quality of air quality data available for consid-
eration by communities, regulators, and scien-
tists. These technologies are used by industries
for cost-effective detection of leaks and fugitive
emissions, and are providing communities with
the knowledge to take local action to protect
their air quality. This burgeoning area will con-
tinue to revolutionize monitoring science in the
next decade.

The ACE regional  and  program office partners
have expressed a need to build on much of the
research originally envisioned and  conducted
under the 2012 ACE StRAP.  With the dramatic
improvement in the Nation's air quality, the
partners' emphases  have shifted toward imple-
menting air quality standards, climate  change,
and the transition of the national energy port-
folio toward greater reliance on natural gas and
renewable energy. In response, the  2016-2019
ACE StRAP envisions a shift in relative priorities
among air, climate, and energy research consis-
tent with the mission and strategic directions of
the Agency. This shift places a greater emphasis
on the research that supports implementation
and evaluation of existing policies and regula-
tions, as they account for the current  and  ex-
pected impacts of climate change. The program
will be more oriented  toward identifying solu-
tions to problems and improving the essential
understanding of health and environmental
responses, with  less  emphasis  on  problem
identification. The ACE  research projects are
structured to anticipate a growing emphasis
on climate change, which continues to require
multidisciplinary approaches. The updated plan
presented here  organizes research into five re-
lated topics:

1.   Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and
    Adaptation

2.   Emissions and Measurements

3.   Atmospheric and Integrated Modeling
    Systems

4.   Protecting Environmental Public Health
    and Well-being

5.   Sustainable  Energy and Mitigation

Specific examples  of the evolving research are
described in the Research Topics section.

EPA Partner  and Stakeholder
Involvement
Communication with EPA program and regional
office  partners  occurs through a  variety of
formal  and  informal  avenues.  Monthly and
quarterly updates provide a solid basis  for
communicating  new  or evolving  needs  as
well as research progress. More formally, the
program  and  regional office  partners annually
provide ACE  with the  research topics they
need to  meet  their goals over the  coming
years. The ACE planning team incorporates this
information into the draft research portfolio for
the upcoming 1  to 2 years. The draft portfolio is
presented to the ACE partners through a formal
webinar and subsequent discussions. An annual
formal  two-day, project-level program review
brings together  all interested  partners for more
in-depth discourse and feedback on short- and
long-term goals  and outputs across the breadth
of the ACE program. Finally, the ORD Assistant
Administrator meets with the relevant partner
Assistant and Regional Administrators to discuss
research accomplishments and priorities.

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ACE  interacts primarily with the Office of Air
and  Radiation, the Office of Enforcement and
Compliance Assurance, and the regional offices
on issues related to air quality. On topics related
to energy and climate change, ACE works most
frequently with the Office of Water, the Office of
Air and Radiation, the Office of Solid Waste and
Emergency Response, and the regional offices.
In addition, ACE  involves the Office of Policy
and  the Office of Children's  Health  Protection
in planning and communicating the program's
research.

The  ACE program  receives guidance  from
stakeholders  outside  the  Agency through
various  approaches.  EPA's  Science  Advisory
Board provides periodic review and feedback
on  strategic  programmatic  directions  while
the  Board  of Scientific  Counselors has been
established to provide ongoing  management
review.  Less formal  and indirect guidance is
provided  through interagency venues  such
as the  Committee on  Environment, Natural
Resources, and  Sustainability,  and  the  U.S.
Global Change  Research  Program  (USGCRP).
National and international  science  meetings
and interaction with experts from across diverse
disciplines  also provide  insights  into pressing
science and emerging environmental issues.
Through these interactions, ACE has developed
a defined vision for future research. The ACE
program is designed to leverage its activities
not  only  across  ORD,  but notably with  its
program and regional office partners, and with
science partners in other agencies and research
organizations.

Integration across the Research
Programs
EPA's six  research programs  work  together
to address  science challenges. Coordination
efforts can range from formal integration efforts
across the programs,  to collaboration  among
EPA scientists working on related issues.

To formally integrate research  on significant
cross-cutting issues,  EPA  developed several
"Research  Roadmaps" that identify ongoing
relevant research and important science gaps.
The  Roadmaps coordinate research  efforts
and  provide input  that helps shape the future
research in each of the six programs. Figure 1
illustrates the role  of the roadmaps. Roadmaps
have been developed for the following issues:

• Nitrogen and Co-Pollutants
• Children's Environmental Health
• Climate Change
• Environmental Justice
                                    CLIMATE
 NITROGEN &
COPOLLUTANTS
                                       ROADMAPS
                                  ENVIRONMENTAL   CHILDREN'S
                                    JUSTICE       HEALTH
                ranslation of   ":
                        ,   Institutic
                search Results

               roduct Delivery  Labs &
                         Figure 1.  Cross-Cutting Research Roadmaps.

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   The ACE research program is the lead national
   program for the Climate Change Roadmap and
   provides the foundation for research on climate
   impacts, vulnerability and adaptation (see Topic
   1, below). The impacts of climate change are ex-
   pected to have dramatic effects on the nation's
   water infrastructure, watersheds  and ecosys-
   tems,  and  communities. These  effects will
   worsen current multimedia problems such  as
   acidification and eutrophication of aquatic eco-
   systems, energy needed to maintain water and
   drinking water quality, and water demands for
   energy. The Climate Change Roadmap focuses
on coordinating and integrating research across
the ORD programs. Examples include  climate
change research with the Safe and Sustainable
Water Research program on watersheds,  com-
munity resiliency with the Homeland Security
Research Program, and health impacts with the
Sustainable and Healthy Communities program.
The Climate Change  Roadmap also highlights
opportunities for integration, and connections
to external  groups,  particularly  through the
federal climate research coordinating body, the
USGCRP.
Table 1. Air, Climate and Energy (ACE) research program contributions to critical needs identified by
ORD Roadmaps. Checkmarks indicate a larger contribution of ACE activities and interest in the identified
science gaps of the roadmaps than a single checkmark; a blank indicates no substantive role. ACE is the
lead research program for ORD's Climate Change Roadmap.
ORD Roadmap
Climate Change
Environmental
Justice
Children's
Environmental
Health
Nitrogen & Co-
Pollutants
ACE Topic Area
Climate Impacts,
Vulnerability,
and Adaptation
SSS
SS

S
Emissions and
Measurements
SS
S

ss
Atmospheric
and Integrated
Modeling
Systems
SS


ss
Protecting
Environmental
Public Health
and Well-being
SS
ss
ss
ss
Sustainable
Energy and
Mitigation
SS




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The  Nitrogen  and  Co-Pollutants  Roadmap
guides integration between ACE and the SSWR
program to address the issues of nitrogen and
co-pollutants, both of which require  study of
atmospheric and  aquatic systems. EPA/NIEHS
Children's Environmental Health and Disease
Prevention Research  Centers (CEHCs), several
of which focus on environmental justice and
socioeconomic factors, funded through the SHC
program, are firmly rooted in the long history of
research tying air contaminants to health effects
including asthma and  respiratory infection. The
Children's Health and  Environmental Justice
Roadmaps help ACE integrate relevant research
in these areas with SHC and SSWR.

Additional  opportunities for integration are
being identified based onfeedbackfrom program
and regional office partners and ORD scientists,
as  well  as  through guidance,  innovation,
and  initiative  of  individual  researchers who
identify integration opportunities. Additional
opportunities  for  integration and leveraging
with ACE research  across the research programs
include:

1.  SHC and SSWR- Life cycle assessment

2.  CSS - High-throughput approaches
    to evaluate the toxicity of individual and
    mixtures of air pollutants

3.  SHC - Public health impacts of
    air pollutants and at-risk populations
    and lifestages, especially asthmatics;
    development/application of air quality
    modeling tools

4.  HHRA-Multimedia assessment
    of air pollutants; advancing
    cumulative risk assessment methods
    to address multipathway/multipollutant
    exposures and associated health and
    welfare effects; incorporation of ACE
    research into Integrated Science
    Assessments and  Integrated  Risk
    Information System (IRIS).
Research to Support EPA Strategic
Plan

EPA's 45-year  record of success in protecting
public  and  environmental  health  from  air
pollution has relied on building a strong scientific
foundation to  inform  policy decisions. Today,
improving the Nation's  air quality remains a
major EPA priority,  especially for those who
reside in communities unable to fully meet air
pollution standards or who may be at increased
risk for  health or sociodemographic reasons.
Even more pressing is the Agency priority to
address  climate change, which has significant
negative implications  for  human  health  and
the environment. Climate change  can directly
affect human  health  through extreme high
temperatures,  and will indirectly affect health
by increasing  incidences of  water-borne  and
vector-borne  disease  and changing allergen
profiles. Increases in extreme weather events
will place additional stresses on human health
and the  environment. Many of the gains of past
air quality management  decisions will likely be
at least  partially reversed by climate change.
Even the  indoor  environment is  stressed by
climate  change where pollutant penetration,
indoor  generated  biological  or  other
contaminants,  and ventilation/heat issues pose
evolving challenges  to  human health in the
built environment.

In support of EPA's mission to protect human
health and the environment, the EPA Strategic
Plan  identifies  strategic  goals  and   cross-
cutting strategies  (Table  2). The ACE research
portfolio is designed to address the current and
future needs of EPA partners as they develop
and  implement  policies to  achieve Goal 1,
"Addressing Climate  Change and Improving Air
Quality." This  requires  close communication
with Agency partners, as well as staying abreast
of advances in  the science. The increased focus
on implementing air quality standards has  led
ACE to  increase emphasis on monitoring and

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sensors, air quality models, and emissions and
emission inventories. The Agency's actions to
develop policies to reduce GHG emissions and
prepare for the impacts of climate change has
resulted in a greater focus on understanding
the effects of climate  change on air quality,
water quality, and, ultimately,  human health
and  the  environment.  Looking ahead  to
anticipate our partners' needs under Goal 1,
the ACE portfolio incorporates research to gain
insights into potential benefits of multipollutant
air  quality   management   approaches  and
to understand  how  the energy  system  may
evolve as technologies  and policies change to
address climate change or reflect technological
advances.

Table 2. EPA Strategic Plan (FY2014-2018)
Goals and Cross-Agency Strategies
    EPA Strategic Plan (FY2014-2018)
     Goals and Cross-Agency Strategies
 Goal 1: Addressing Climate Change and
        Improving Air Quality
 Goal 2: Protecting America's Waters
 Goal 3: Cleaning Up Communities and
        Advancing Sustainable Development
 Goal 4: Ensuring the Safety of Chemicals and
        Preventing Pollution
 Goal 5: Protecting Human Health and the
        Environment by Enforcing Laws and
        Assuring Compliance

 Cross-Agency Strategies
 • Working Toward a Sustainable T uimc
 • Working to Make a Visible Difference in
   Communities
 • Launching a New Era of State, Tribal, Local,
   and International Partnerships
 • Embracing EPA as a High-Performing
   Organization
In all of these areas, the Agency's priorities are
focused on making a difference in communities.
Communities  challenged  socioeconomically
or  co-located  with  heavy industry are  of
particular concern, as are tribal communities.
Partnerships with the EPA regional offices and
communities that involve collaborative research
on real-world problems can provide results that
are immediately useful. Hence, ACE pursues
diverse  approaches  to  address  air quality-
climate challenges, building from fundamental
laboratory science  to  the community and
national   level,  in  an  integrated  effort  to
achieve and maintain air quality standards and
other strategies to protect public health and
ensure the resilience of the built and natural
environments.

Statutory and Policy Context

The ACE  research program has been designed
to support the overall priorities of the Agency
and the  legislative  mandates  of  its program
offices, primarily the Clean Air Act (CAA). The
CAA provides the legislative authority for efforts
to improve and maintain air quality,  and is also
the basis for reducing GHG emissions through
initiatives such as the Clean Power Plan3, issued
by EPA to cut carbon  pollution  from power
plants. By informing decisions under the CAA,
ACE  research  fosters  innovative  approaches
based on  sound science to ensure clean air in
the context of a changing climate and evolving
communities and energy options.

Under the CAA, the Agency is required to set
and periodically review air quality  standards to
protect the public health and  environmental
welfare of the Nation.  EPA establishes NAAQS
for pollutants that cause serious  health and
welfare  effects  and  are  widely  distributed
across the country. To  date, the Agency  has

  3See http://www2.epa.gov/cleanpowerplan/clean-
  power-plan-existine-power-plants

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set NAAQS  for  six  common  air  pollutants:
participate  matter,  ozone,  sulfur  dioxide,
nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, and lead.
Of these, particulate matter and ozone appear
to account for the majority of adverse  health
effects resulting from  ambient air  pollution.
In addition to the NAAQS pollutants, the CAA
requires EPA to regulate emissions of hazardous
air pollutants or air toxics that are  known or
suspected to cause  cancer  or other serious
health or environmental effects.

The CAA also provides  the statutory authority
for EPA to regulate GHG emissions, following
the 2007 U.S. Supreme  Court decision and the
Administrator's issuance of the Endangerment
and Cause or Contribute Findings for GWGs4 in
2009. In  addition, the  Clean Water Act, Safe
Drinking Water Act, and Resource Conservation
and  Recovery Act provide  further context for
actions to prepare for and adapt to the impacts of
climate change. Additional policy context is given
by the President's Climate Action Plan as well as
Executive Order 13563, "Preparing the  United
States for the Impacts of Climate Change5."

To provide the  scientific foundation for EPA's
efforts to  meet its legal, statutory,  and policy
requirements in  a  changing  climate, the ACE
research program will inform climate mitigation
and  adaptation choices towards sustainable,
resilient solutions with  maximum benefits for
the Nation's  people and environment.


Research  Program

Objectives

The  ACE  research program  is structured  to
provide research results that fulfill EPA priorities
and mandates, meet the needs  of our partners,
fill knowledge gaps within broader
"See http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/endangerment/
5Seeht
efforts across the federal  government,  and
complement research being conducted by the
larger scientific community.

The program  is strategically divided into three
broad research  objectives that flow from the
organizing frameworks depicted  in Table  1,
Figure 2, and the Agency priorities noted in the
text above. The research supported through the
ACE program addresses challenges specific to
EPA priorities and emphasizes efforts to focus on
the highest priorities  identified by our partners
and  stakeholders.  Figure 2  is  a conceptual
framework illustrating the intersection of air,
climate, and  energy. The Research Program
Objectives are shown in the gray  diamond.
The five  Research  Topics shown in the  base
of the figure  (discussed in more  detail below)
collectively encompass the research to address
the Research Program Objectives. Important
social factors that influence, and are influenced
by, air quality,  climate  change, and  energy
outline the five research topics.

Together the research objectives  provide  a
platform  that encompasses the  breadth  and
diversity  of the  science  research issues  and
questions  arising  within the  Agency's  air-
climate-energy domain. They are:

Objective 1:  Assess Impacts
Assess human and ecosystem exposures  and
effects associated with  air  pollutants  and
climate  change  at   individual,   community,
regional, and global scales;

Objective 2:  Prevent and  Reduce Emissions
Provide data and tools to develop and evaluate
approaches to prevent and reduce  emissions
of pollutants into the atmosphere, particularly
environmentally   sustainable,  cost-effective,
and innovative multipollutant and sector-based
approaches; and

-------
Objective 3:  Prepare for and Respond to
Changes in Climate and Air Quality
Provide human exposure  and  environmental
modeling, monitoring, metrics and information
needed  by  individuals,   communities,   and
governmental agencies to take action to prepare
for and mitigate the impacts of climate change,
and make public health decisions regarding air
quality.

Consistent with the principles and characteristics
of all ORD research programs, the ACE research
objectives  and  challenges  outlined  below
        are unified through a  call  for  sustainable
        and  innovative  solutions  to  environmental
        problems. Sustainability and innovation will be
        reflected in activities that cut across the ACE
        research objectives and  will  be integrated  at
        the program level.

        Each research objective contains broad science
        questions to enable staff to apply their expertise
        and  innovation  to  shape  specific  research
        activities to meet the overall strategic aims  of
        the program.
                                        ENERGY
                               Climate Impacts
                                Vulnerability &
                                 Adaptation
        Emissions and
        Measurements
                         Atmospheric
                         & Integrated
                       Modeling Systems
           LAND USE CHANGE
  Protecting
Environmental
Public Health &
  Wellbeing
                                     WATER/FOOD SUPPLY
Sustainable
 Energy &
 Mitigation
                          TRANSPORTATION
                   Figure 2.  Integration of Air, Climate, and Energy Research.

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Objective 1: Assess Impacts

Research Objective
/Assess human and  ecosystem exposures and
effects  associated  with  air pollutants  and
climate change  at  individual,  community,
regional, and global scales.

The  human  and  ecosystem  effects of  air
pollution occur at multiple  scales and result
from  exposures to a  mixture of pollutants
in the  atmosphere.  Exposures  and effects
also  are impacted  by  complex  interactions
between climate  change and air  quality. The
effects of climate change on human health
and the environment cut across media and are
characterized by  complex synergies  between
human and natural systems. Social and economic
factors also  impact the nature and degree of
human  exposures and  the  resulting health
effects that may occur. Economics and energy
choices significantly influence the amount and
composition of emissions and the sources of air
pollutants. The identification  of factors that put
people or ecosystems at risk (i.e., individual-
and  population-level characteristics including
lifestage,   pre-existing   disease,   genetics/
epigenetics,  socioeconomics  and other factors
that confer vulnerability) must be considered to
inform the decision making process.

New and existing methods and models  need
to be  deployed in  systems-based studies to
assess these interactions and the  factors that
ultimately impact public  health and  welfare.
Quantitative assessments describing exposures
and  potential  human and  ecosystem effects
associated  with  air pollutants and  climate
change, including direct  and indirect climate
impacts to  human health,  air  quality,  and
water  quality,  are needed to  inform partner
and stakeholder decision making. The  resulting
science must be translated to inform regulations
and  policy and to be used to make improved
and  informed  decisions at the commercial as
well  as public and environmental health level.

Challenges:

What are the multipollutant exposures, effects,
and  integrated impacts of climate change on
air and water quality and on public health and
ecosystems?

What innovative approaches are needed to en-
hance the assessment of human and environ-
mental exposures and effects of mixtures of pol-
lutants in the atmosphere?

What are the  characteristics that put popula-
tions and ecosystems at increased risk to effects
from exposure to air pollutants and the impacts
of climate change?

What are the key uncertainties and data gaps
that need to be addressed to inform future re-
views of the NAAQS?

How can the  science of health  and environ-
mental outcomes best  be  communicated to
decision  making bodies and communities for
implementation of best practices for improved
public health  and  environmental well-being
outcomes?

Objective 2: Prevent and Reduce Emissions

Research Objective
Provide data and tools to develop and evaluate
approaches to prevent  and reduce emissions
of pollutants to  the atmosphere and advance
sustainable,  cost-effective,  and  innovative
multipollutant and sector-based approaches.

-------
When making environmental decisions, policy-
makers  are challenged by the complex  envi-
ronmental, economic, and  social  interactions
of various options.  Innovative measures that
maximize  public health benefits  are needed
to prevent and  reduce emissions to meet the
standards and regulations that lead to improve-
ments in air quality and human and environ-
mental health.

As a result, there is a growing recognition of the
need for sustainable, multipollutant strategies
that prevent air pollution of all types without
unintended  environmental  consequences  to
public health, land, water,  or  climate. Policy-
makers  are exploring technical and  policy ap-
proaches that simultaneously address multiple
pollutants as an alternative to the one-pollut-
ant-at-a-time  approach. Consistent  with  this
thinking is an appreciation for co-benefits and
the potential need for trade-offs in addressing
multipollutant  issues  that  consider environ-
mental,  social, and economic factors.

EPA policy-makers also need to understand how
international emissions of air pollutants impact
the effectiveness of domestic environmental
policies  and how domestic emissions impact
other countries. Research is  also  needed to
evaluate and assess alternative approaches to
reduce or eliminate air pollutants that contrib-
ute to climate change. With the development of
national policies such as the Clean Power Plan
that promote innovation and adoption of clean
energy  technologies and  emission controls,
there is  a need to understand the full life cycle
health and environmental impacts of technol-
ogy options and decisions to ensure that the
clean energy choices of the future are indeed
better for the environment.

Finally,  environmental policies are only as  ef-
fective   as  the emission reductions  achieved.
Innovative approaches to measure source and
ambient pollutant concentrations  provide op-
portunities to  improve implementation  and
enforcement  of environmental  policies. With
miniaturization  of sensor technologies, less ex-
pensive yet more effective community-based
monitoring and fenceline sensing approaches
will become  common. These approaches re-
quire not just technological advances, but stra-
tegic data processing capabilities as well.

Challenges:

What tools are needed to support the manage-
ment of air pollution problems, at the different
scales of time and space, associated with differ-
ent pollutants and effects?

What methods need to be developed and data
obtained to conduct life cycle analyses of al-
ternative pollution reduction  and energy op-
tions to inform EPA and other local, regional,
national, and international decisions to ensure
the most sustainable and cost-effective uses of
resources?

What innovative monitoring technologies are
needed to support the  implementation of man-
agement strategies  to prevent and reduce air
pollution ?

What are the most efficient integrated, sustain-
able pollution reduction and  prevention solu-
tions?

What advanced measurement  methods  and
modeling  tools are  needed to support imple-
mentation ofNAAQS?

Objective 3:  Prepare for and Respond to
Changes in Climate and Air Quality

Research Objective
Provide human exposure and environmental
modeling, monitoring,  metrics,  and informa-
tion needed by individuals,  communities,  and
governmental agencies to take action to adapt

-------
to and mitigate the impacts of climate change
and make public health and welfare decisions
regarding air quality.

The impacts of climate change have the potential
to undermine  environmental progress  and
policies, including successful efforts to improve
air and water  quality, reduce exposures,  and
improve public and ecosystem health. Although
mitigating GHG emissions  to  minimize future
climate changes is crucial, it also is necessary to
develop the information to  minimize and adapt
to the  adverse impacts caused by unavoidable
changes in the  climate.

Technical and user-friendly tools and informa-
tion support the development of community-
and individual-level strategies  to reduce expo-
sures to  air  pollution. This includes  providing
the necessary data to guide informed decision
making to protect public health and welfare, as
well as a thorough understanding of the public
perceptions, behavioral responses, and social
and economic  factors that influence the deci-
sion making process. Therefore, it is  critical to
develop information and tools to enable com-
munities and  individuals to prepare for  and
adapt to the impacts of climate change  and
make informed decisions regarding air quality.

In  addition,  identifying   populations   and
ecosystems that are  the  most vulnerable to
(i.e., least able to cope with) the adverse effects
of air pollution and climate change  will allow
for more targeted  adaptation  approaches.
These  at-risk populations  and lifestages may
have pre-existing social, health, and  economic
risk factors  that  may undermine well-being
and health  which can be ameliorated with
appropriately translated practical information.
EPA has an important role  to play in  providing
understandable  and   useful  information  to
help a  wide range of stakeholders prepare and
implement adaptation strategies.
Challenges:

What are effective preparedness and adapta-
tion strategies to mitigate air pollutant and cli-
mate impacts, focusing on  at-risk individuals,
communities, and ecosystems?

What innovative  preparedness methods are
needed  to effectively inform individual-  and
community-level adaptation to climate change
and decision making regarding air quality?

What are the social, behavioral, and economic
factors that may hinder the ability of communi-
ties and individuals to prepare and implement
adaptation strategies for climate change and
make informed decisions regarding air quality
and carbon pollution ?


Research Topics

The three research objectives described  above
serve as the framework for identifying research
topics to  focus the scope and  nature of the
ACE program. The current ACE research  topics
outlined in Figures provide a framework for the
ACE program to meet EPA's  science challenges
over the next four years. The vision described
in the current ACE StRAP builds on the previous
2012 ACE StRAP and supports the Agency
priorities; rapid  developments  in  air sensor
and  computing technologies; and  a growing
public interest in environmental  information
for community self-empowerment. Structural
changes to four of the five ACE  research topic
areas are  intended  to  improve  integration,
infuse systems thinking and sustainability as
founding  principles,  and  enhance  translation
of science to inform Agency   decisions  and
community discussions concerning air quality
and climate change. Table 3 shows the research
topic areas that were the focus of the 2012
ACE StRAP and the current research topic areas
included in this plan for 2016-2019.

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Table 3.  Evolution of ACE Research Topics
ACE Research Topics
ACE StRAP 2012-2016
Climate Impacts Mitigation and Adaptation
(MA)
Emissions and Measurements (EM)
Modeling and Decision Support Tools (MOST)
NAAQS and Multipollutant (NMP)
Sustainable Energy Evaluation (SEE)
ACE StRAP 2016-2019
Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation
(CIVA)
Emissions and Measurements (EM)
Atmospheric and Integrated Modeling Systems
(AIMS)
Protecting Environmental Public Health and
Well-being (PEP)
Sustainable Energy and Mitigation (SEM)
Air pollution research is  presently the  larg-
est component of the ACE  program.  Climate
change and energy research together make up
roughly one-third of the ACE program, although
both are envisioned to grow in emphasis. The
closely coordinated intramural and extramural
(EPA STAR - Science  to Achieve  Results pro-
gram) components of the ACE research pro-
gram provide an ideal balance of fundamental
and applied science across ACE as needed to
move the program forward.

The evolution of the  ACE  program includes  a
broader public  health context focused on de-
livering  effective, relevant, timely science to
inform Agency regulatory drivers and strategic
directions as well as supporting community
needs.  ACE  has expanded its  research focus
on air pollution sources to  include community-
level considerations   regarding public health
and  environmental   well-being.  Embedding
public  and  environmental  health  outcomes
and  sustainable solutions  into the ACE re-
search portfolio prepares the Agency for com-
plex 21st century challenges.  In many cases,
this expanded  perspective can be gained by
applying  systems  approaches  and involving
end-users in  study design and interpretation.
Some attributes of this design include empha-
sis on social,  economic, demographic and bio-
logical  (e.g.,  disease,  genetic and epigenetic)
factors that may better explain uncertainties in
observed public and environmental health ef-
fects of air pollutants and may offer more effec-
tive support for responses to climate change.
Specific examples include:

• Developing science-based solutions to achieve
the greatest  health and environmental benefits
and to improve well-being by reducing exposures
to harmful air pollutants;
• Supporting the development and  use of low-
cost, miniaturized air sensors for a variety of com-
munity and industrial applications;
• Developing approaches to improve  estimates
of emissions from agricultural sources and oil and
gas operations;
• Understanding the impacts of climate change
to better guide mitigation and adaptation related
research;
• Expanding regional- and local-scale information
on climate-related impacts  to water quality, air
quality, and ecosystems;
• Developing  climate  responses  that  improve
community preparedness and resiliency; and
• Evaluating the broader environmental im-
pacts of the  energy system  across  the  life
cycle  from  resource  supply  to   end  use.

Table 4 briefly describes the ACE research top-
ics along with examples of near- and long-term
research. Additional information on each  of
these topic areas is discussed below.

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Table 4. ACE Research Topics and the Near-Term and Long-Term Aims of the Program
ACE Research
Topic
Climate
Impacts,
Vulnerability,
and Adaptation
(CIVA)
Emissions and
Measurements
(EM)
Atmospheric
and Integrated
Modeling
Systems (AIMS)
Protecting
Environmental
Public Health
and Well-being
(PEP)
Sustainable
Energy and
Mitigation
(SEM)
Near-Term Research
Aim
Address climate
impacts on air
and water quality
and associated
human and
ecosystem health
Develop and
evaluate
regulatory
methods for
source and
ambient air
monitoring
Develop and
evaluate local,
regional, and
hemispheric air
quality models
Inform NAAQS
reviews
Evaluate
environmental
impacts
of energy
technology
Examples
Assess impacts of
climate change
on particulate
matter and coastal
ecosystems;
Identify climate-
related health
impacts on at-risk
populations and
lifestages
Federal Reference
Methods for
NAAQS; Source
compliance
methods; Low-
cost fenceline
monitoring
Community Multi-
scale Air Quality
model (CMAQ);
Local-scale
dispersion models;
Hemispheric-
CMAQ
Assess impacts of
criteria pollutants
on human health
and ecosystems
Evaluate
environmental
performance of
GHG mitigation
technologies;
Improve cookstove
performance to
protect health and
reduce energy use
Long-Term Research
Aim
Develop
sustainable
climate
adaptation
and mitigation
approaches
Change the
paradigm for
air pollution
monitoring
Develop and
evaluate multi-
scale models
that integrate
multimedia
processes and
systems
Develop
approaches
to inform and
protect public
health and the
environment
from air pollutant
mixtures
Protect human
and ecosystem
health in an
evolving energy
landscape
Examples
Develop and apply tools
to evaluate approaches
to (1) simultaneously
consider air pollutants
and climate forcing; (2)
improve resilience of
communities to climate
impacts on water
quality and ecosystem
degradation
Support development and
application of sensors;
Use satellites to measure
air quality; Integrate all
monitoring methods and
models into one national
tool
Integrated multi-scale air
quality and hydrologic
modeling systems into a
biosphere approach
Assess heterogeneity of
pollutants, exposures,
and health effects of
regional airsheds; Identify
modifiable factors to
reduce adverse impacts of
air pollutants; Effectively
translate research to
protect public health and
welfare from air pollution
Apply systems modeling
to evaluate emissions and
impacts from present and
future energy scenarios
with a means of weighing
benefits and risks

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Topic 1: Climate Impacts,
Vulnerability, and Adaptation (CIVA)

Policy makers want to know which populations
and ecosystems face the greatest risks to the
adverse effects of climate  change and  what
measures can be taken to prepare for and adapt
to the expected impacts. ACE research efforts in
conjunction with those undertaken in the SSWR
and SHC programs  will develop information,
methods, and tools to improve the understand-
ing of the location, extent, and type of vulner-
abilities of  populations, ecosystems,  and the
built environment. The  research is designed to
help inform decisions relevant to climate adap-
tation that are flexible,  account for underlying
conditions,  and avoid adverse impacts of ad-
aptation actions. To maximize effectiveness of
adaptation and preparedness approaches there
is a need to develop approaches that integrate
across complex systems  and explicitly incor-
porate methods to describe complex systems
behavior.
             Signature Protect:
       Systems-based Approaches for
           Sustainable Solutions
       Providing science, data, and tools
      for climate-smart EPA programs and
       practices to support sustainable
      solutions for global climate change
       challenges in multimedia systems
The change to Climate Impacts, Vulnerability,
and Adaptation (CIVA) (formerly "Mitigation and
Adaptation" in the 2012 ACE StRAP) reflects the
restructuring of this topic area as it consolidates
climate-related research on impacts into (1) air
quality and health/ecosystems and  (2) water
quality and ecosystems. The topic emphasizes
systems-based analyses seeking sustainable ap-
proaches to preparation, adaptation, and miti-
gation responses to climate change. Within this
topic area,  projects have been restructured to
better align with EPA's mission (Health/Ecosys-
tems and Air Quality; Watersheds/Ecosystems
and Water  Quality;  Systems Thinking for Sus-
tainability)  and to enhance clarity for Agency
partners and external stakeholders.

Health/Ecosystems and Air Quality
ACE research is focused on  a more complete
understanding of how climate change affects
air quality and the related impacts on human
health  and  the environment.  Researchers
will study how pollutant formation and trans-
port may change as  the climate and emissions
change, develop methods  to incorporate pro-
jected climate changes into air quality models,
and examine how increased temperatures and
other climate-driven effects may  interact with
air pollutants to alter health and environmental
responses.

Watersheds/Ecosystems and Water Quality
ACE, coordinating and  integrating with SSWR,
is developing models and approaches that pro-
vide information about what watersheds may
be at risk from a changing climate, and how and
when they  may be at risk. This effort involves
incorporating continental-scale projections of
temperature and precipitation into watershed-
scale hydrological models,  taking into account
possible changes in  land use, water effluents,
and air emissions to study the possible effects
on water temperature, nutrient  content, and
presence of pathogens.

Systems Thinking for Sustainability
ACE is incorporating "robust decision making"
methods into tools  to guide adaptation  deci-
sions. These  approaches  focus  on  analyses
that enable adaptive management approaches
in situations that face deep uncertainty about
future conditions, such as climate change. This
effort will  use quantitative and qualitative in-
formation on  uncertainty to evaluate tradeoffs
between cost and risk for specific applications,
including the Chesapeake Bay Program.

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Integration and Collaboration
The research is designed to enable decision
makers to identify priority adaptation actions
and anticipate related co-benefits as well as
unintended  consequences that can  occur in
dynamic,  complex systems.  ACE researchers
will develop and  apply methods and models
to understand these types of interactions  and
responses to develop sustainable adaptation
strategies. This understanding  can  only  be
achieved  through collaboration within  and
across  ORD  programs following the Climate
Change   and  Nitrogen  and   Co-Pollutants
Roadmaps, such as the efforts to understand
how nutrient levels in  water bodies may be
affected  by  climate change. Research  under
the CIVA topic connects to the multimedia
modeling within  the AIMS  topic,  and both
require  interaction with  watershed  research
being conducted in the SSWR program.

Translating Research for End-Users
ACE  researchers   recognize  the  need  for
research  results  to be  effectively translated
and delivered  to  those  who are responsible
for policy design  and implementation. ACE is
working with other ORD programs, particularly
SHC, to incorporate climate  impact  data  into
tools that are  accessible to a broad range of
users  in  forms that  are readily understood.
As an example, tools such as those  based on
Geographic Information System  (GIS) platforms
can provide easily understood visualizations of
complex, location-based sets of information and
data, such as locations of waste disposal sites
combined with projected changes in floodplains
due to climate change.  This information  can
enable better informed decision making aimed
at limiting  adverse  impacts   attributed  to
climate change. ACE will collaborate  with  SHC
on further development of the  EnviroAtlas to
provide online, community-level information
concerning the scope and type  of health  and
ecosystem impacts associated  with climate
change. ACE will also work with other federal
agencies,  coordinated  through  USGCRP,  to
develop and  provide integrated  climate and
land use scenarios to support the development
of the National Climate Assessment,  a  major
national product designed to  inform  decision
makers and the public across the country.

Topic 2: Emissions and
Measurements (EM)

The Emissions and Measurement (EM) topic
area  is not   undergoing  any restructuring,
and  will  continue to  provide foundational
research and  development to support critical
Agency   programs,  including   applications
for implementation  and  compliance  with
relevant air pollution standards. The research
conducted within the EM topic area within the
ACE StRAP will be similar in scope to the work
conducted  under the  2012 ACE StRAP with
necessary  modifications considering scientific
advancements that have been made over the
past five years.

Ambient and Source Measurements
ACE is focusing on priority source and  ambient
monitoring methods,  in  particular,  Federal
Reference/Equivalency Methods and air quality
modeling  tools that  may be improved and
enhanced to meet the needs of EPA and state
and local  agencies in  implementing  NAAQS.
Ease  of use,  accuracy and  cost-drivers  are
major factors pushing these developments
forward. ACE is pursuing research to  support
the development and refinement of emissions
inventories or near-source  emission  profiles,
especially for high-priority sources (for example,
Portland cement,  power plants); broad source
categories (for example, mobile sources); and
source sectors (for example, electric generating
units,  oil and gas facilities) to strengthen model
development  and standardize  implementation
plans  for use  by state and local air monitoring
personnel.

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Next Generation Air Monitoring
Technologies for  real-time or near real-time
measurement or  monitoring  of air pollutants
are advancing rapidly. At the same time, many
of these technologies are being miniaturized
with expanded data  handling capabilities.  Re-
searchers will evaluate these innovative tech-
nologies for monitoring multiple pollutants at
sources and in the ambient air, and adapt them
for a range of applications including compliance
and enforcement, regional and national assess-
ments,  air  quality planning,  and community
information. These advances will shape a new
paradigm for air quality monitoring.

Developers and manufacturers will develop new
and improved sensor technologies, while ACE
researchers will provide a coordinating and mo-
tivating role to advance the field of air pollution
sensors and their integration with the panoply
of related measurement technologies and  da-
tabases. ACE anticipates that  portable sensors
and  integrated sensor networks will provide
real-time, continuous data to evaluate  emis-
sion profiles near and around specific emission
sources (called fenceline monitoring), as well as
to measure community ambient air constitu-
ents.  Researchers are  evaluating air sensors
to assess their performance in  measuring air
quality. The technology is evolving sufficiently
in terms of sophistication and accuracy to sup-
port assessment  of air pollution emissions and
may one day improve overall implementation
of clean air regulations. The ACE program will
pursue analytical and data management tools
             Signature Protect:
           Changing the Paradigm
         for Air Pollution Monitoring
        Evaluating the efficacy of next
     generation monitoring technologies
       - from sensors to satellites - to
     complement and enhance air quality
         assessment and forecasting
to enable local, regional, and national manag-
ers to evaluate the effectiveness of air pollution
reduction strategies on an ongoing basis.

ACE researchers will evaluate the performance
and  cost of  measurement  technologies to
enable comprehensive management of sources
that  co-emit criteria and toxic air pollutants,
GHGs, and  other climate-forcing compounds
and aerosols. They will do evaluations in ways
that  address not  only air pollution problems,
but  also  consider  implications  on  water
quality,  and quantity and  disposal  of any
waste generated by the air pollution  controls.
Additionally, methods, data,  and models will
be developed to shape atmospheric  pollutant
management strategies that can account for
the responsive behaviors of institutions and
individuals  attempting  to  implement those
strategies.  This  will  require integration of
social sciences, behavioral economics as well
as traditional  engineering,  and  atmospheric
science approaches to provide a systems-based
perspective on these issues.

Research examples include developing a pro-
totype testing platform  for sensor evaluation
and the  development of community-targeted
tools for the use and interpretation of commu-
nity-embedded sensors data.  Researchers are
evaluating mobile and stationary fenceline in-
struments and design-parameters for  their use
in a wide variety of dispersed emission scenar-
ios to assess areal fugitive leakages as well as
site-specific leakages such as at valve and other
junction areas. For certain industries, like refin-
ing of oil and gas, where leaks are particularly
difficult to isolate and enforcement can be ar-
duous and costly, these new technologies are
proving to be positive advances both economi-
cally (reducing lost product) and environmen-
tally. These tools and methods are transferred
to EPA regional offices and states as well as the
Office of Enforcement and  Compliance Assur-
ance for compliance purposes.

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Topic 3: Atmospheric and Integrated
Modeling Systems (AIMS)

The  Atmospheric  and  Integrated  Modeling
Systems (AIMS) topic area (formerly "Modeling
and  Decision  Support  Tools"  in  the  2012
ACE  StRAP) is being restructured to provide
enhanced integration  among  projects and to
better  reflect the  multimedia/multipollutant/
multiscale  nature  of  the  modeling  research
conducted by ACE scientists. The research under
this topic is being consolidated into a smaller
number of  projects in  order to better leverage
research across projects while continuing in the
same general scientific direction.

Multiscale/Multipollutant Models
ACE  will develop and evaluate  methods and
models  to  support  multiscale  air  quality
management (e.g., from local communities to
national and global  management efforts). The
Community Multi-scale Air  Quality  (CMAQ)
model has historically been the workhorse of air
quality models and continues to serve atthe core
of partner and stakeholder needs for air quality
assessment  and prediction to  meet  NAAQS
implementation schedules. It also is at the core
of other multiscale and multipollutant models
used for air quality and  climate interaction
evaluations. An  additional goal of the AIMS
topic area is the development and evaluation
of a next-generation  air quality  model that
builds on the successes of CMAQ to integrate
multiscale and multipollutant capabilities in an
updated architecture to increase computational
efficiency  and  applicability.  ACE  will  use
CMAQ and other focused  air quality tools to
understand synergies and tradeoffs associated
with various mitigation and prevention options
for the spectrum of primary air emissions (from
traditional combustion components to GHGs)
and across the air-water-climate nexus.

Research activities also will  provide support
for  the  evaluation of near- and long-term
benefits and impacts of strategic management
alternatives. EPA needs modeling and decision
support tools to relate changes in air pollution
and  regional climate  to  impacts  on  human
health   and  ecosystems  across  the  United
States.   ACE  research  spans  spatial  scales
ranging from local to  regional to  national to
global,  including characterization of ambient air
quality for inclusion in multipollutant and near-
source  impact assessments. There are several
examples of joint development and applications
of air  quality  modeling tools derived  and
planned in conjunction with the SHC research
program.  Researchers  are  developing  and
refining models for dispersion from  varied
sources including roadways (R-LINE) as mobile
source  emissions  have significant  impacts on
local atmospheric chemistry and the potential
for  exposure  to those  living nearby.  The
results  of this research  will  provide robust
and  comprehensive modeling  tools that  can
be applied across disparate  spatial  scales to
characterize the role of background air pollution
on  NAAQS  attainment and  implementation,
to support the development of major energy
and transportation sector rules, to assess risks
posed by criteria and hazardous air pollutants
(HAPs), and to develop local and regional-scale
air quality and climate data products.

Multimedia/Multi-stressor Models
ACE  is  developing a  multimedia  and  multi-
stressor modeling system to inform protection
of human  health and  welfare. This  systems
model will serve both the current state of affairs
and  future  climate and  land-use scenarios.
            Signature Protect:
    Integrated Multimedia, Multi-stressor
        Systems Model Development
     Advancing the "one-environment"
  modeling paradigm to address both land
   use and climate changes, and to move
  toward a more inclusive "one-biosphere"
                treatment

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ACE, SHC, and SSWR  researchers are  using a
coordinated and  integrated research approach
to advance current tools that involve improving
the air-surface exchange processes in air quality
modelsto couple agricultural land management,
meteorology  and  hydrology   models   for
internally consistent   drivers  of  ecosystem
models. This multimedia biosphere modeling
approach will  result in improved assessment
methods to support better understanding of the
multitude of linkages across air, water, and land
boundaries and provide a means to estimate
potential impacts - supporting communication
and  policy  development  - that would not
otherwise be understood  under  single media
models.

Topic  4:  Protecting  Environmental
Public  Health and Well-being (PEP)

The Protecting Environmental Public Health and
Well-being (PEP) topic area [formerly NAAQS
and Multi-pollutant (NMP) topic area under the
2012 ACE StRAP] has been restructured to better
integrate and translate both the science that
supports regulatory standards and to broaden
the usefulness of this  information for  a wider
range of stakeholders. The projects  planned
for inclusion in this topic area  will fully engage
research across a range of scientific disciplines
to  produce  integrated and  comprehensive
products and outputs  that remain responsive,
timely, and useful.

The  PEP Topic area emphasizes  research to
address issues related to  air  pollution in the
context  of public  and environmental  health
outcomes. This topic area reflects the evolution
of research  on air pollution and the growing
emphasis on implementation-related research,
translating research to better inform the public
about measures that may be  taken to reduce
the impacts of air pollution on public health
and welfare, and continued research to  support
development of standards. Research on human
and ecosystem  exposure and effects formerly
at the core of the NMP topic area will now be
conducted in the PEP topic area to continue to
inform future NAAQS reviews and to advance
assessments of multipollutant exposures. The
PEP topic area will be expanded to include the
translation of results to inform public health and
well-being practices. This broadened focus will
address ways to lower exposure or mitigate the
biological responses at individual, community,
or ecosystem levels, and, ultimately, to evaluate
whether  such  interventions have benefits as
measured by indicators of  health, well-being,
or economics.  By  integrating  science  that
supports  regulatory standards with  additional
public health and well-being interventions, the
projects included in this topic will fully engage
research across a range of scientific disciplines
to produce integrated  and  comprehensive
results.

The PEP topic constitutes the largest single topic
area (approximately  40% of the  ACE budget)
serving a primary regulatory  mandate  of the
Agency. However, the  fabric  of  this topic  is
evolving with greater contextual consideration
of the multipollutant reality of air pollution, its
impacts on public health and welfare, and its
reciprocal interactions  with climate. As such,
leveraging of this topic with CIVA is growing.
Researchers will examine and expand currently
available  information and indicators to include
additional components (e.g.,  multipollutant/
multi-stressor indices to incorporate  climate
change  impacts). Specific  goals of research
conducted  within  this  topic area include:
(1) informing the development of new policies
aimed at protecting public health and welfare
by EPA and  its  Agency partners  and external
stakeholders, (2) measuring progress  toward
environmental health goals, and  (3) providing
information  for communities and  individuals
to improve  protection  of  public health  and
welfare.

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Health and Ecological Impacts

ACE will continue to conduct transdisciplinary,
source-to-outcome research to assess multipol-
lutant exposures and health effects in field and
laboratory settings, which  include simple and
complex  mixtures of particles, criteria  gases,
and organic compounds. Researchers will de-
velop, evaluate, modify, and apply models and
methods to assess human  and environmental
exposures and impacts of air pollution and cli-
mate change at individual,  community,  region-
al, national, and international scales. This work
is the core of that which supports NAAQS devel-
opment and assessments. This work is essential
and will be continued within  both intramural
and EPA STAR extramural research activities.

Researchers will develop integrated approaches
to assess the physical, biological, and other rele-
vant factors (e.g., socioeconomic, demographic,
lifestyle, diet) that have an influence on air pol-
lutant-related effects. This will include the iden-
tification of biological mechanisms that impact
susceptibility and key exposure factors.  Epide-
miology and controlled human clinical research
lie at the core of  the PEP topic area and drive
the reassessment of the  NAAQS in accordance
with the CAA mandate.6  These assessments,
however, are predicated and  underscored on
the strength of studies of mechanism and plau-
sibility in  animal  and cell system studies that
by design,  involve realistic  exposure scenarios
(e.g., artificially generated  photochemical ex-
posure scenarios that mimic geographic regions
within the United States). Studies will increas-
ingly examine the interaction between behav-
ior and social and economic factors to  more
thoroughly understand how these factors may
influence  health and well-being outcomes to
better inform a variety of strategies to protect
public  health and the environment.  Research
in this area is integrated with the SHC program
to better understand impacts  to  community
public  health  and well-being. Translating the
science for use in public health communication
and community empowerment is an area that
will see attention from EPA and other agencies,
such as the Centers for Disease Control (CDC).
             Signature Protect:
     Local and Regional Characteristics
    Influencing Public Health Impacts in
      Healthy and At-Risk Populations
   Improving our understanding of factors
  influencing observed heterogeneity in air
 quality impacts, population exposures, and
  health responses - now and in the future
In keeping with the principles of sustainability,
integrated  research approaches will include
analyses of expected and potential unintended
impacts of novel systems scenarios as might oc-
cur indoors as individuals embrace tighter, more
energy-efficient homes and buildings thereby
adding to their cumulative multipollutant expo-
sures. Such scenario designs require more com-
plex thinking at the systems level to appreciate
interactions and yield better informed assess-
ments of the positive and negative impacts of
human activities.

Factors Influencing Risk
Additional work is needed to better inform our
understanding of at-risk  populations and  life-
stages.  Recent  scientific  findings suggest the
possibility that greater numbers of people than
previously thought are at increased risk of ex-
periencing  air pollution-related health effects,
such as individuals with diabetes or certain ge-
netic polymorphisms (genetic variations among
individuals)  and epigenetic changes. Research
is also needed to identify the factors that  may
result in ecosystems being highly susceptible to
changes in climate or to climate-driven changes
6The CAA requires review every five years of the science upon which the NAAQS are based and the standards
themselves. The NAAQS review process identifies key uncertainties and knowledge gaps that will help guide ACE
priorities on human and ecosystem effects research to inform future NAAQS reviews.

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(e.g., changes in seasonal temperature and pre-
cipitation patterns). In addition, climate change
can exacerbate the  adverse  impacts  of other
stressors already present, such as water and air
pollution and changes in surrounding land use,
leading to increased susceptibility to climate-
related damage.

Integration and Collaboration
The PEP research on human and ecosystem  ex-
posure and effects is designed with the primary
goal  of informing future NAAQS reviews. The
results of  research will contribute  directly to
the Integrated Science Assessments developed
in the HHRA program. Research is targeting bet-
ter understanding of nitrogen and sulfur depo-
sition to characterize the resulting changes and
cross-media ecosystem functions and  services.
This research will be coordinated with that in
the SHC Program and the SSWR program as  re-
flected in the Nitrogen and Co-Pollutants Road-
map.

Topic  5:   Sustainable  Energy  and
Mitigation  (SEM)

The   SEM   research   topic  focuses   on
understanding how  changes  in the resources,
fuels, and technologies  used to produce and
use energy can pose risks or benefits to the
environment  and  human  health, with  the
understanding that efforts to mitigate climate
change and air quality will be one of the most
significant driving forces of change  in the U.S.
energy system. The  SEM topic area (formerly
"Sustainable  Energy Evaluation"  under  the
2012 ACE  StRAP) now better reflects changing
Agency  partner  priorities   and  increasing
emphasis  on  improving the data and tools to
compare alternative energy options to inform
decision making. The SEM topic is restructured
into focused projects to address environmental
impacts of energy at a national and  regional
systems level; to evaluate the  performance
and environmental consequences for specific
production and conversion technologies;  and
to gain insights into the environmental impacts
of energy end-use.
             Signature Protect:
   Energy and the Environment: Improving
     Human and Ecosystem Health in an
         Evolving Energy Landscape
    Evaluating and assessing the broader
 impacts of energy production and use from
         resource supply to end-use
Multiscale Evaluations
ACE  research  addresses the  environmental
impacts of energy production and use across
significantly  different scales, with the goal of
integrating information across scale to provide
a coherent understanding of the connections
between energy and environment. One major
focus is on national- and regional-scale energy
system evolution  over decadal time scales. A
second  area of importance  is the evaluation
of the  environmental impacts associated with
individual energy production and conversion
systems, such as natural gas extraction and pro-
cessing or fossil fuel-fired electricity generation.
The third component will examine the health
and environmental impacts related to energy
end-use, such as point-of-use combustion (e.g.,
cookstoves) or energy efficiency measures (e.g.,
"tight" buildings and the potential for degraded
indoor air quality).

At the national scale, researchers will use opti-
mization models representing the  U.S. energy
system, life  cycle impact models, and other
methods and  approaches  to  evaluate  how
changes in  energy production  and use tech-
nologies may impact air emissions and water
demand, as well as other environmentally rel-
evant  parameters. For  instance,  researchers
will use the Market Allocation (MARKAL) model

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with the ACE-developed database of technolo-
gies to examine how different technology and
policy development  pathways might affect fu-
ture emissions of air pollutants. This effort, in
collaboration with EPA's Office of Air and Radia-
tion, can provide insights into how technologi-
cal change might affect the long-term costs and
benefits of air quality management strategies.

At a technology-specific scale, SEM research will
provide information on the costs,  performance,
and environmental impacts of energy  produc-
tion  and  conversion processes. This research
will  include pilot-scale studies  of individual
technologies and syntheses of the technical lit-
erature. Understanding how  oxygen-fired coal
combustion can change the  characteristics  of
coal ash compared to air-fired combustion, for
example,  is important information for  EPA and
state regulators to understand as they  begin to
consider new technologies for climate mitiga-
tion. Research in this area will also evaluate the
impacts related to renewable energy  sources,
including wind and  solar energy. Information
from this effort will feed into the national sys-
tems-level analyses.

Cookstoves
Research  under  SEM  will  also  continue  to
evaluate   the  health  and  environmental
consequences of cookstoves used in developing
areas of the world to provide energy for cooking,
heat, and light. This research is looking beyond
the impacts to aid the development  of new
designs and alternatives,  with a longer-term
goal of providing insight into approaches for
developing  clean energy systems that reduce
environmental damage, have little direct impact
on health, and reduce GHG emissions.

Integration and Collaboration
The complexity and breadth of energy-environ-
mental interactions requires extensive  collabo-
ration  and  integration of SEM research with
that of other organizations. For instance, one
approach includes integrating an atmospheric
chemical transport model (CMAQ) developed
under the  AIMS topic, the  MARKAL energy
model, and an economics benefits model (Ben-
MAP) developed by EPA's Office of Air and Ra-
diation to evaluate the public health benefits,
costs,  and  tradeoffs  associated  with various
alternative  energy scenarios.  SEM  research-
ers will  work with colleagues in the Depart-
ments of Energy and Agriculture (individually
and through the USGCRP interagency working
groups) and the academic community to under-
stand how energy production and use can af-
fect EPA's ability to achieve its strategic goal to
address climate change and air quality.


Anticipated Research

Accomplishments

By its nature, the air,  climate, and energy are-
na requires a strategic plan that comprises a
breadth  of research activities across  a wide ar-
ray of science and program issues. As science
and technology evolve rapidly, opportunities
arise for new technical approaches to environ-
mental problems  and science questions and
whole new ways of thinking about  problems.
In addition, there are major changes involving
social media,  access to information, and public
attitudes and activism toward personal envi-
ronment and health.  With  air quality, climate
and energy costs featured prominently in public
interest polls, ACE continues to evolve to meet
its mandated  obligations supporting  regulation
and policy while it looks to the future, embrac-
ing sustainability,  innovation, community  en-
gagement and anticipation of the air, climate,
and energy issues ahead.

In that spirit, ACE reviews  its five topic  areas
and associated projects each year. Evolution of
research in thetopic is guided by the "signature"

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projects which reflect the vision or long term
aim  of  each topic  area (see  Table  4). The
accrual of knowledge through the shorter-term
achievements is  shaped by the vision of the
"signature" project, which satisfies a critical goal
of the Agency. Anticipated accomplishments for
each research topic are described below.

ACE research will have the greatest impact when
products are developed and delivered in ways
most useful to ACE partners and stakeholders.
ORD products specifically designed to be useful
in the hands of partners are termed "outputs."
The proposed ACE outputs for FY16 to FY19 are
listed in the Appendix.

Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and
Adaptation (CIVA)

The  research under this topic focuses on as-
sessments of climate impacts and  data-driven
decisions, supporting preparative and adaptive
measures in the face of climate change. For  air
quality, models integrating air pollution and cli-
mate interactions at  multiple geographic scales
provide information for informed decisions,
including appreciation for the wide uncertain-
ties in projected climate change impacts. Socio-
economic factors, land use  and energy choices
feed into these decision models sought by gov-
ernment agencies and communities alike. Proj-
ects  supporting the  development of tools and
models and the translation  of the complexities
of scaling climate, weather, emission  profiles,
and  atmospheric science  outcomes  serving
community-scale decisions involve new innova-
tive computational approaches that themselves
evolve with advancing science.

Example Accomplishments:

• Evaluate regional impacts of climate change
  on air and water quality, aquatic ecosystems
  and public health
• Develop a synthesis and assessment
  of potential climate change effects on water
  quality and aquatic ecosystems
• Develop methods to evaluate sustainable
  climate change preparation and adaptation
  approaches
• Evaluate impacts and potential mitigation
  approaches to improve air quality and
  reduce exposures and effects associated
  with near-source environs

Emission and Measurements (EM)

The core of the ACE program is clearly focused
on the regulatory drivers of the Agency. In the
emissions  and  measurements area, this work
includes the development of NAAQS Federal
Reference  Methods and  Federal Equivalent
Methods, development and evaluation of con-
trol technologies, and a variety of testing sce-
narios encompassing everything from alterna-
tive fuels  to the optimization of combustion
properties and the determination of combus-
tion profiles and inventories. Further, technol-
ogy options that necessitate the development
of standardized testing guidelines for emissions
and profiling emissions among mixed sources
remain drivers  of the research supporting pro-
gram  and regional partners. Advances in mea-
surement technology could eventually usher in
a new paradigm of air pollution monitoring.

Example Accomplishments:

• Develop and  validate continuous
  measurement techniques for multipollutants
  in ambient air and along the  fenceline
  of significant stationary sources
• Demonstrate utility of emerging air
  quality sensor technologies, remote
  sensing capabilities and data fusion
  techniques to characterize multipollutant
  air quality and exposure surfaces
• Characterize  biogenic and
  anthropogenic emissions sources to
  support regulatory compliance and
  emissions inventories

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Atmospheric and Integrated
Modeling Systems (AIMS)

Research in this area addresses the long-term
aim  of  developing  a  multimedia and  multi-
stressor modeling system to inform protection
of human health and welfare. The  advances
in measurement  technology  under the  EM
Topic (above) will lead to a virtual collage of
data tying  community and personal sensors
to a validated  regulatory network, integrating
satellite information,  atmospheric chemistry
and models into a synthesized location-specific
tool. The regulatory application of such  a tool
is a long-range  effort,  but  community and
regional use is underway. Moreover, forecasting
models  can be built from this interconnected
system  to  predict air pollution  to   which
personal or community behavior or land-use
decision making can be adjusted. The utility of
such a network for ecosystem protection and
assessment would follow on quite readily.

Example Accomplishments:

• Develop and apply empirical
  and computational approaches to
  characterize inputs of atmospheric
  pollutants to ecosystems and the
  attendant impacts, including through
  nitrogen deposition to terrestrial and
  aquatic ecosystems
• Develop modeling tools to estimate
  air quality and community and individual
  exposures at relevant local, regional, and
  hemispheric scales, including the impacts of
  climate change at regional and hemispheric
  scales

Protecting Environmental Public
Health and Well-being (PEP)
Research under this topic primarily focuses on
providing the information to support develop-
ment of the  NAAQS. In addition, regulatory
agencies and individuals need to  make  sound
and informed decisions to achieve environmen-
tal goals and sustain quality of life. Research
serving the medical community provides some
guidance in that the science serves both clini-
cal and public health agendas. For example, in-
fectious disease has long been  studied in  this
fashion  providing a path forward to meet the
dual objectives to which ACE is striving: provid-
ing  specific science evidence to take remedial
or regulatory action and communicating  public
health  information to inform community  and
individual actions.

One ACE example of early success is the teaming
of EPA's Healthy  Heart  Program  with  CDC's
Million  Hearts Program. Working  with  public
health and CDC investigators, EPA's  data on the
impacts of air pollution on cardiac health was
contextualized with that of other risk factors in
heart disease, and is now part  of the physical
evaluation protocols used by cardiologists  and
public health clinics. With health as  a driver, the
ability to capture  attention and drive energy
and  community planning  options  becomes
clearer to those who may be the most impacted
by these decisions. As EPA research served to
reveal  the  cardiac  impacts  of air  pollution
and refine the fundamental understanding of
how this phenomenon could arise  and lead to
regulatory action, that research  has also served
as the driver and evidence to motivate  public
health education at both clinical and community
levels. The  coalition of regulatory and  public
health communities  provides essential synergy
to achieve solutions.

Example Accomplishments:

• A broad set of relevant research results
  and insights in exposure and health as well
  as atmospheric science to support five-year
  review cycle of the NAAQS

• Develop novel approaches to describe
  exposures and health effects associated with
  multipollutant mixtures as well as
  individual components.

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• Provide fundamental information to improve
  our understanding of at-risk populations and
  lifestages and the influence of susceptibility
  factors including preexisting disease and
  other biological/genetic features
• Determine influence of social, economic, and
  environmental factors influencing exposures
  and effects of multipollutant air pollution
• Determine effective combinations
  of measurements, models and metrics
  to assess human exposures and health risks
  of multipollutant exposure in space and time

Sustainable Energy and  Mitigation
(SEM)

An overarching goal is to link across measure-
ment technologies and advances in  combustion
science aimed at lower emissions, including the
use of novel fuels, to maximize shared  benefits
while minimizing costs to the energy sector. As-
sociated health studies of composition-directed
emissions  of alternative fuels and combustions
conditions provide a systematic approach to aid
the selection of the least impactful  options.

Researchers are developing less conventional
yet critical testing  standards for  cookstoves
to  be  adopted  worldwide   as  part  of an
international commitment of the Agency to the
Global  Alliance for Clean Cookstoves. EPA, the
Department of State and other federal partners
have key  roles in mitigating health concerns
from emissions while providing co-benefits by
reducing climate impacts of black carbon. ACE
has  committed substantial effort in testing
cookstoves and hypothesis-driven science to
reduce exposures  and health impacts  through
2020.

Example Accomplishments:

• Develop approaches to understand
  potential future energy system
  configurations and subsequent
  environmental and climate impacts
  Assess potential health benefits of using
  modern, more efficient cookstove designs
Conclusions
The ACE Strategic Research Action Plan 2016-
2019 is meant to serve as a guide to how ORD
will address  the  many  Agency  priorities  to
address climate change and improve air quality.
There is a structure for essential research to  be
done in this period and an obligation to ensure
it is the best science and that it  is effectively
translated and  communicated.   The  science
must be flexible to change as new information
is received and able to look at problems from
varied  perspectives. If  systems  approaches
are to be adopted to achieve solutions, the
approaches  that  appear most obvious may
not be the most effective means to problem
resolution.  As  the  ACE  program  research
evolves, it must remain resolute in  its obligation
to support program and  regional  office needs,
but it must be aware of and open  to new
approaches  or  science  arenas,   such  as the
social sciences. Science is informed by failures
and serendipity,  which often  lead to greater
successes. The  ACE program will  continue
to partner  with  its  program and   regional
colleagues,  communicating  and translating  its
science and exchanging  constructive  critique
to ensure that the health and well-being of the
public and environment  can be improved and
sustained.

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Appendix
Table of Proposed  Outputs, Air, Climate, and Energy FY16-19
The following table  lists the expected outputs from the Air, Climate, and Energy Research Program,
organized by topic.  It should be noted that outputs may change as new scientific findings emerge.
Outputs are also contingent on budget appropriations.
                            Emissions and Measurements (EM)
 FY16 - Ambient air monitoring methods for ozone to support review and implementation of
 NAAQS that will include all supporting documentation used in the final rulemaking for ozone
 FY16 - Updates to key emission sources including: meteorologically-dependent, process-based
 emission estimates; species profiles; effects of vehicle technology and operating conditions on
 performance and pollutant emissions
 FY16 - Village Green II Deployment: Deployment of up to 7 new VG stations (national and
 international)
 FY16 - CAIRSENSE Project Data Collection Completion: Region 4 Sensor Evaluation at NCOR sites
 (Atlanta and Denver)
 FY17 - Review of fenceline measurement technologies
 FY17 - Develop a community of practice for remote sensing techniques and data collection
 FY17 - Use of surface and satellite based observations to better quantify regional and global NH3
 emissions
 FY18 - Synthesis of new methods developed for measurement of particulate matter, air toxics,
 and volatile organic compounds
 FY18 - Summary of test methods and measurement technologies for stationary combustion
 sources
 FY18 - Improvements to mobile source emissions factors to inform MOVES model and evaluate
 and assess data gaps
 FY18 - Deliver new and improved analytical methods to better analyze toxic organic particulates
 FY19 - Synthesis of new technologies used for source emissions and ambient measurement
 FY19 - Produce source emissions profiles for key non-point source categories
 FY19 - Evaluating the value of data from small sensors, developing the technology necessary to
 combine data
                   Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation (CIVA)
 FY17 - Near-term needs for climate-resilient communities: Online compilation of communities'
 key vulnerabilities to climate change and potential responses that maintain economic and
 environmental resilience
 FY19 - Global Change Explorer: Set of population, socio-economic, and land use scenarios
 consistent with global storylines and EPA-specific scenarios (e.g., air quality scenarios), climate
 change visualization tools, Community Resilience ID tool, and other global change modeling tools
 and data
 FY19 - Decision support tool for assessing AQ and climate impacts
 FY19 - Climate impacts on air quality, air pollution exposure, and deposition to sensitive
 ecosystems
 FY19 - The vulnerability of watersheds and near-shore environments to climate change

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                   Atmospheric and Integrated Modeling Systems (AIMS)
FY16 - A modeling framework to examine the role of inter-continental transport on U.S. air quality
and to study air quality-climate interactions
FY17 - Improved atmospheric system for nitrogen and a fully linked multimedia model set for
aquatic acidification and coastal estuary air-water management analysis with a demonstration of
ability to address climate change
FY18 - Demonstration and evaluation of prototype Next Generation Air Quality Modeling System
for potential application in regulatory development and assessments
FY19 - Advanced atmospheric system with full terrestrial hydrosphere and linked or coupled
multimedia modeling set for air-terrestrial and air-water management analysis with climate
change and ecosystem service analysis capability fully incorporated
                Protecting Environmental Public Health and Well-being (PEP)
FY16 - HEI report - Multicenter Ozone Study in Elderly Subjects (MOSES)
FY18 - Identify and characterize intervention strategies (e.g., nutritional, pharmaceutical, behavior
to minimize exposure) that can provide additional protection for healthy and at-risk individuals
and communities from the adverse effects of air pollution
FY18 - HEI report summarizing response from Enhanced Traffic Exposure and Accountability
Studies
FY19 - Synthesize ORD research with respect to the public health impacts of exposure to air
pollution in healthy and at-risk populations and across lifestages and the development of models,
tools, and analyses to improve exposure estimates for determining health risk estimates.
FY19 - Synthesize ORD research with respect to characterization of modifiable factors relating
to exposure and human health that can be altered to improve the public health of individuals,
communities, and regions
FY19 - Synthesize ORD research with respect to development of deposition budgets for North
America and identify remaining critical knowledge gaps related to nitrogen deposition and options
for future research directions
FY19 - Advance tools and communication strategies for translating research results into
recommendations that can be used by individuals, communities, and public health officials to
increase communication of these results and environmental health literacy overall
                         Sustainable Energy and Mitigation (SEM)
FY16 - Synthesis of the environmental implications of a transformed energy infrastructure from
resource supply/extraction through conversion and end use
FY16 - An assessment of the variability of emissions from bituminous coal as compared to
bituminous coal blended with biomass/biofuel products at varying levels with a focus on organic
HAPs and PM emissions
FY16 - Synthesis report on integrated cookstove research program summarizing standardized stove
testing methods, guidance documents for regional stove testing centers, and environmental and
health impacts of stove and fuel choices for home energy use
FY17 - Synthesis of findings from assessments and laboratory studies of the co-combustion of
various biomass materials and coal
FY19 - Identification and analysis of long-range energy pathways for addressing climate mitigation,
air quality and other environmental and health goals

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United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
PRESORTED STANDARD
 POSTAGES FEES PAID
         EPA
   PERMIT NO. G-35
Office of Research and Development (8101R)
Washington, DC 20460

Official  Business
Penalty for Private Use
$300

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