Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
Technical Basis for the EPA's Development of
Significant Impact Levels for PM2.5 and Ozone,
Appendices

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Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016

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Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016

                                                                    EPA-454/D-16-001b

                                                                             July 2016
Technical Basis for the EPA's Development of Significant Impact Levels for PM2.5 and Ozone,
Appendices
                          U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

                       Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards

                              Air Quality Analysis Division

                              Air Quality Modeling Group

                               Research Triangle Park, NC

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016


Contents

1  Bootstrap examples                                                                          6

2  Ozone results                                                                                12
   2.1  2011-2013 ozone bootstrap results	  12
   2.2  2010-2012 ozone bootstrap results	  15
   2.3  2009-2011 ozone bootstrap results	  18
   2.4  2008-2010 ozone bootstrap results	  21
   2.5  2007-2009 ozone bootstrap results	  24
   2.6  2006-2008 ozone bootstrap results	  27
   2.7  2005-2007 ozone bootstrap results	  30
   2.8  2004-2006 ozone bootstrap results	  33
   2.9  2003-2005 ozone bootstrap results	  36
   2.10 2002-2004 ozone bootstrap results	  39
   2.11 2001-2003 ozone bootstrap results	  42
   2.12 2000-2002 ozone bootstrap results	  45

3  Air quality variability results for years 2002-2013 for PM2.s                               48
   3.1  2011-2013 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  48
   3.2  2010-2012 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  53
   3.3  2009-2011 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  58
   3.4  2008-2010 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  63
   3.5  2007-2009 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  68
   3.6  2006-2008 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  73
   3.7  2005-2007 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  78
   3.8  2004-2006 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  83
   3.9  2003-2005 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  88
   3.10 2002-2004 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  93
   3.11 2001-2003 PM2.5 bootstrap results	  98
   3.12 2000-2002 PM2.5 bootstrap results	103

4  Comparison plots of nearby sites                                                          108

5  Comparison of air quality variability for ozone  sensitivity tests                          192
   5.1  All available data, no quarterly subsets	192
   5.2  All available data, with quarterly subsets  	194

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Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
List
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of Figures
Example from site 10732003 	
Example from site 21700008 	
Example from site 60195001 	
Example from site 481410053 	
Example from site 560210001 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2013 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2013 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2012 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2012 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2011 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2011 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2010 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2010 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2009 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2009 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2008 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2008 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2007 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2007 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2006 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2006 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2005 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2005 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2004 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2004 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2003 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2003 	
Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2002 	
Distribution of ozone bootstrap results for 2002 	
Summary of bootstrap results for 2013 	
Distribution of bootstrap results for 2013 	
Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2013 	
Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2013 	
Summary of bootstrap results for 2012 	
Distribution of bootstrap results for 2012 	
Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2012 	
Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2012 	
Summary of bootstrap results for 2011 	
Distribution of bootstrap results for 2011 	
Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2011 	
Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2011 	
Summary of bootstrap results for 2010 	
Distribution of bootstrap results for 2010 	
Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2010 	
Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2010 	
Summary of bootstrap results for 2009 	
Distribution of bootstrap results for 2009 	
Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2009 	
Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2009 	
Summary of bootstrap results for 2008 	
Distribution of bootstrap results for 2008 	
Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2008 	

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   Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
53   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2008	   77
54   Summary of bootstrap results for 2007	   79
55   Distribution of bootstrap results for 2007  	   80
56   Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2007  	   81
57   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2007	   82
58   Summary of bootstrap results for 2006	   84
59   Distribution of bootstrap results for 2006  	   85
60   Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2006  	   86
61   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2006	   87
62   Summary of bootstrap results for 2005	   89
63   Distribution of bootstrap results for 2005  	   90
64   Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2005  	   91
65   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2005	   92
66   Summary of bootstrap results for 2004	   94
67   Distribution of bootstrap results for 2004  	   95
68   Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2004  	   96
69   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2004	   97
70   Summary of bootstrap results for 2003	   99
71   Distribution of bootstrap results for 2003  	100
72   Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2003  	101
73   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2003	102
74   Summary of bootstrap results for 2002	104
75   Distribution of bootstrap results for 2002  	105
76   Scatterplot of 50% CI bootstrap results for 2002  	106
77   Map of the 50% CI bootstrap results for 2002	107
78   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150031001 and 150031001	109
79   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180190006 and 180190006	110
80   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180970078 and 180970078	Ill
81   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 190450019 and 190450019	112
82   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 220330009 and 220330009	113
83   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 271630447 and 271630447	114
84   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 320310016 and 320310016	115
85   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 350010023 and 350010023	116
86   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420950025 and 420950025	117
87   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421010047 and 421010047	118
88   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421010055 and 421010055	119
89   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 440070022 and 440070022	120
90   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 490353006 and 490353006	121
91   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 100032004 and 100032004	122
92   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 110010043 and 110010043	123
93   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 130670003 and 130670003	124
94   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150011006 and 150011006	125
95   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150011012 and 150011012	126
96   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150012016 and 150012016	127
97   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150031001 and 150031001	128
98   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150032004 and 150032004	129
99   Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180190006 and 180190006	130
100  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180970078 and 180970078	131
101  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 190450019 and 190450019	132
102  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 191032001 and 191032001	133
103  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 191390015 and 191390015	134
104  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 211110051 and 211110051	135
105  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 220330009 and 220330009	136
106  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 240150003 and 240150003	137

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Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
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240251001
240290002
240313001
240330030
261630001
270031002
270530963
271630447
290370003
290470005
290990019
291893001
295100007
300490004
300630024
310550019
320310016
330050007
330150018
340171003
340210008
350010023
360810124
380570004
420010001
420030008
420070014
420110011
420410101
420450002
420710007
420910013
420950025
421010047
421010055
421250005
421250200
421255001
421290008
421330008
440030002
440070022
450190048
450450015
450630008
482011035
490353006
490490002
490570002
530530029
530610005
530610020
530611007
550090005
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240251001 	
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270031002 	
270530963 	
271630447 	
290370003 	
290470005 	
290990019 	
291893001 	
295100007 	
300490004 	
300630024 	
310550019 	
320310016 	
330050007 	
330150018 	
340171003 	
340210008 	
350010023 	
360810124 	
380570004 	
420010001 	
420030008 	
420070014 	
420110011 	
420410101 	
420450002 	
420710007 	
420910013 	
420950025 	
421010047 	
421010055 	
421250005 	
421250200 	
421255001 	
421290008 	
421330008 	
440030002 	
440070022 	
450190048 	
450450015 	
450630008 	
482011035 	
490353006 	
490490002 	
490570002 	
530530029 	
530610005 	
530610020 	
530611007 	
550090005 	
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   Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
161  Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2013	193
162  Summary of ozone bootstrap results for 2013	195

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016


1    Bootstrap  examples

Bootstrap examples from selects PM2.5 sites for the 2008-2010 DV period.  Top left, top right, and middle
left plots show the distribution of daily  PM concentrations for  2008, 2009,  and 2010,  respectively.  The
vertical red line shows the annual mean and the vertical blue line shows the annual 98th percentile.  Middle
left plots show sample distributions of resampled data from 2008, along with the annual mean and the 98th
percentile from  each resample.  The bottom left plots show the distribution of the annual DVs from the
20,000 resampled DV periods  (2008-2010). The bottom right plots show  the distribution of the 24-hr DVs
from the 20,000 resampled DV periods (2008-2010)

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   Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
         2008 PM measurements, n = 360
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                         Figure 1: Example from site 10732003.

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   Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        2008 PM measurements, n = 110
                                                2009 PM measurements, n = 88
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                        Figure 2: Example from site 21700008.

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 Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
       2008 PM measurements, n = 107
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                      55
                       Figure 3: Example from site 60195001.

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   Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
         2008 PM measurements, n = 56
                                       2009 PM measurements, n = 57
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                    50
                        Figure 4: Example from site 481410053.
                                       10

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   Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
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2010 PM measurements, n = 120
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 PM2.5 (ug/m3)
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                        Figure 5: Example from site 560210001.
                                      11

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2    Ozone results

Bootstrap results for ozone data from the years 2000-2013. Each section containts a single DV period, e.g..
the results for 2013 include data from 2011-2013.

2.1   2011-2013 ozone bootstrap results
                                            12

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  _Q
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  .Q
75-
50-
                                               70
                                            Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                 90
                                                                     110
     o-
50
                                               70
                                           Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                90
                                           bootstrap metric

Figure 6: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2013 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                               13

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2013  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
    6%-
  CO
  t
  0
  4%-


0


J2 2% -
0
             mean 1.528%
                                       Median 1.425%
                                                      *jtf  •'•


                                    70                90

                              4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                        2013  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                                                             LONG
                                                                                -80
                                                                                 -100
                                                                                 -120
                                                                                 -140
                                                                         110
&


t 4-
0
o
  0
  -I—•
  ^ 2-
  O
  w
  .0
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    fl-
    50-



    45-



    40-



    35-



    30-



    25-
                mean 1.085
                                              median 1.000
                                         70
                                                                90
                                                                                    110
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                           4th MDAS, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                                  -100
                                                      -80
                                       long
Figure 7:  Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2013 ozone DVs.  The top panel shows the relative

difference  between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the

values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative

difference  between the 50% CIs for the 20f 3 ozone DV at each site.
                                           14

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.2   2010-2012 ozone bootstrap results
                                          15

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    125-
  .a
  a.
  A100-
  Q.
  ro
  o
  °  50-
                                               70
                                            Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                   90
  0)
  o
  CD
 25-

%20-

 15-

 10-

  5-

  o-
                       50
                                           70
                                        Daily DV (ppb)
90
    25-
                                           bootstrap metric


Figure 8: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2012 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                               16

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2012  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
    6% -
  co
  t
  0
  0
 'co
 t 4
  0
  o

  §3

  0
 .a
  to 1
  03
50-




45-




40-




35-




30-




25-
                                    %iedian 1.449%
                                      70
                                                     90
                               4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                          2012  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
            mean 1.135
median 1.000
                                           70
                                                             90
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                           4th MDAS, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                                -100
       -80
                                       long
                                                                              LONG
                                                                              -80
                                                                                  -100
                                                                                  -120
                                                                                  -140
Figure 9:  Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2012 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative

difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the

values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative

difference between the 50% CIs for the 20f 2 ozone DV at each site.
                                            17

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.3   2009-2011 ozone bootstrap results
                                          18

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    125-
  .n
  o.
   • 100-
  Q.
  ro
  o
  o
  .Q
   50-
                                            70
                                         Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                90
110
     o-
    25-

 ^-20-
  0)
  c 15-
  0)
                      50
                                          70
                                       Daily DV (ppb)
110

    10-
> 5-
Q
   o-
                    4,4,-4=
                                                           &   .^   *&    <^     *6
                                        bootstrap metric

Figure 10: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2011 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                            19

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2011  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
-^ 6% -
'co
0
£4%-
0
J2 2% -
0
              mean 1.537%
                                                                              LONG
                                                                                  -80
                                                                                  -100
                                                                                  -120
                                                                                  -140
                                    70                90
                              4th 8-hr high NAAQS

                        2011  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                                                         110
 &
    4-
  0
  o
  0
  -I— •
  2 2-
  O
  w
  .0
  CO
    fl-
    50-

    45-

    40-

    35-

    30-

    25-
               mean 1.088
     median 1.000

               •\
                • •
70
                                                                90
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                           4th MDAS, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                                  -100
             -80
                                       long
                                                                                    110
Figure 11: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2011 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 2011 ozone DV at each site.
                                           20

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.4   2008-2010 ozone bootstrap results
                                          21

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  g
     50-
                                 60
                                                   80
                                        Daily DV (ppb)
                                100
  CD
  O
  CD
 25-

%20-

 15-

 10-

  5-

  o-
           40
                             60
           80
Daily DV (ppb)
                                           bootstrap metric
Figure 12: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2010 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2010  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
             mean 1.572%           median 1.463%
 1 4% -
 'co
 t
  o 3% -
  3
  0
  > 2% -
 -I—•
  co
  co
  t
  0
  o
  I2'
  0
  o
  V)
 .a
  CO
  CO
50-

45-

40-

35-

30-

25-
          40
         40
                       60               80
                            4th 8-hr high NAAQS
     100
                         2010 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
               mean 1.115                   median 1.000
                                              80
              100
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                           4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                               -100
-80
                                       long
                                                                              LONG
                                                                              -80
                                                                              -100
                                                                              -120
                                                                                  -140
Figure 13: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2010 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 20fO ozone DV at each site.
                                           23

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.5   2007-2009 ozone bootstrap results
                                          24

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    125-
  Q.
  Sioo
  Q.
  OT
o
o
.Q
     50-
                                                75
                                            Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                      100
     o-
    25-
                                                75
                                           Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                      100
                                          bootstrap metric
Figure 14: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2009 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
 1 4% -
 'co
 t

  o 3% -

  3

  0
  > 2% -
 -I—•
  co
                    2009 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
               mean 1.594%
                    50
                                   75
  100
                                                                              LONG
                                                                              -80
                                                                              -100
                                                                              -120
                                                                                  -140
                               4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                          2009  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
             mean 1.164
                                           median 1.167
  co
  t
  0
  o

  I2'

  0
  o
  V)
 .a
  CO
                      50
                                        75
           100
  CO
50-



45-



40-



35-



30-



25-
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                           4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                                -100
-80
                                       long
Figure 15: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2009 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative

difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the

values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative

difference between the 50% CIs for the 2009 ozone DV at each site.
                                            26

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.6   2006-2008 ozone bootstrap results
                                          27

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
 xO25-
 Q.
 Q.
 IT'100-
    75-
  8 50-
 £1
    25-
    o-
   25-
j£
0)

CD
   15-
   10-
 TD
 > 5-
 Q
    o-
                                        75
                                   Daily DV (ppb)
                                                        100
                     50
                                      75
                                 Daily DV (ppb)
iUU
                                                  ^  ^ ^    ^
                                  bootstrap metric
Figure 16: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2008 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                     28

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2008 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
  0
  0
 •J; 2% -
  03
    4-
 'ro
 t
  0
  o
  o
  V)
  ro
    1 -
    '
  03
50-



45-



40-



35-



30-



25-
             mean 1.638%
                                     median
                                                 *
                                                                              LONG
                                                                                  -80
                                                                                  -100
                                                                                  -120
                                                                                  -140
                      50
                                    75
  100
                               4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                          2008  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                    mean 1.247
                                         meyian 1.167
                                             75
                                                               100
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                           4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                                -100
-80
                                       long
Figure 17: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2008 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative

difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the

values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative

difference between the 50% CIs for the 2008 ozone DV at each site.
                                           29

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.7   2005-2007 ozone bootstrap results

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  "0.120-
  o.
  §
  Q.
  CO
  -t— •
  0)
  8
  -Q
90-
                                             75
                                            Daily DV (ppb)
                                                               100
125
     o-
                     50
                                        75
                                       Daily DV (ppb)
125
                                           bootstrap metric


Figure f 8: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2007 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                               31

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  0
  £3%-
  3
  0
 £ 2% -
 _ro
  0
                    2007  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
            mean 1.627%
                                median 1.515%
                                                                             LONG
                                                                                 -80
                                                                                -100
                                                                                -120
                                                                                -140
                                    75                100
                               4th 8-hr high NAAQS

                         2007 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                                                       125
c
'co
0
o
  0 2-
  -I—•
  "o
  .0 1 -
  CD

    0-
  03
  50-

  45-

  40-

  35-

  30-

  25-
              mean 1.270
                                                          •••   t
                   50
                                       75
                                    4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                           4th MDAS, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                                  -100
-80
                                       long
       100
125
Figure 19: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2007 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 2007 ozone DV at each site.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.8   2004-2006 ozone bootstrap results
                                          33

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
 §
  0. 90-
  2
  8 60-
 -Q
       40
                 80
             Daily DV (ppb)
                                                  100
120
   25-
 ££ 20-
                       60
                 80
             Daily DV (ppb)
                                                  100
120
   25-

 ^-20-
   5-
 Q
    o-
iJ=4=
J..U4"
                                                     &   .^   *&   <^     &
                                    bootstrap metric

Figure 20: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2006 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                        34

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2006  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
5%-   mean 1.656%
 1 4% -
 'ro
 t
  o 3% -
  §
  0
  > 2% -
                                median 1.546%
       40
    4-
 'ro 3-
  0)
  o

  I"
  O
  (/>
 ^1
  03
      40
50-

45-

40-

35-

30-

25-
                                                                             LONG
                                                                             -80
                                                                             -100
                                                                             -120
                                                                                 -140
                               4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                         2006 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
           mean 1.272
                                   median 1.'
                                                          ••
                     60
80
100
                                    4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                           4th MDAS, rel uncert (%)
               -120
                               -100
            -80
120
                                      long
Figure 21: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2006 ozone DVs.  The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 2006 ozone DV at each site.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.9   2003-2005 ozone bootstrap results
                                          36

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  _Q
  0.120-
  Q.
  2
  8
  -Q
                                           75
                       100
125
                                            Daily DV (ppb)
    25-
  ^20-
  0
  815-
  2>
  J§10-
  T3
  s«-
     o-
    25-
75                    100
  Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                                       125
                                           bootstrap metric


Figure 22: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2005 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                               37

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2005  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
       mean 1.850%
                               median 1^45%
    4% -
  03
  t
  0
    3% -
  0
 .> 2%
 -I— •
  os
                                                                             LONG
                                                                              -80
                                                                                 -100
                                                                                 -120
                                                                                 -140
                 50
  4-
&

Is-
0
o
  02-
  -I—•
  "o
  w
             mean 1.444
                              75                100
                           4th 8-hr high NAAQS

                      2005  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                 jriedian *333
                                                                    125
                                                   &  ~C»    "•
                                      75                   100
                                     4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                                                                            125
                           4th MDAS, rel uncert (%)
  03
50-

45-

40-

35-

30-

25-
               -120
                               -100
                                                      -80
                                       long
Figure 23: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2005 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 2005 ozone DV at each site.
                                           38

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.10   2002-2004 ozone bootstrap results
                                          39

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  "0.120-
  o.

  8
  -Q
  CD
  O
  CD
 25-

%20-

 15-

 10-

  5-

  o-
                             60
   80                100
Daily DV (ppb)
                                                                               120
                            60
                                           80
                                        Daily DV (ppb)
                    100
120
                                           bootstrap metric

Figure 24: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2004 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                               40

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2004  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert

           mean 1.865%       median 1.75^%
 1 4% -
  03
 t
  0
  o 3% -

  3

  0
  > 2% -
 -I—•
  os
                                                                              LONG
                                                                              -80
                                                                              -100
                                                                              -120
                                                                                  -140
         40
                    60             80            100

                           4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                                                                120
  4-

&


Is-
0
o
  02-
  -I—•

  "o
  w
             mean 1.500
                         2004 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                 median 1.3i3___  •
         40
                                         80               100
                                   4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                         4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)
                                                                        120
  03
50-



45-



40-



35-



30-



25-
               -120
                               -100
                                                      -80
                                       long
Figure 25: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2004 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative

difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the

values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative

difference between the 50% CIs for the 2004 ozone DV at each site.
                                           41

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.11   2001-2003 ozone bootstrap results
                                          42

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
 -§.120-
 Q.
 §
 Q.
90-
  8  6°-
 £i
                     60
                                 80            100
                                Daily DV (ppb)
                                                        120
  0)
  O
  0)
  25-

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  15-

 _ 10-

   5 ~

   o-



  25-
CP~
^20-
   5-
Q
   o-
                     60
 80            100
Daily DV (ppb)
                                                        120
                iiU^
                                          B
                                bootstrap metric

Figure 26: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2003 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                   43

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    2003  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
           mean 1.876%       media* 1.789%
 1 4% -
 'ro
 t
  o 3% -
  3
  0
  > 2% -
                                           •i  •
 •

40
                                                        •  •
                                                                             LONG
                                                                              -80
                                                                              -100
                                                                              -120
                                                                                 -140
                                    80           100
                               4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                                                           120
  ro
  0 3-
  o
 3 2-
 _3
  O
  w
            mean 1.562
                         2003 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                                  .   .*   :
                                median 1.50C
         40
                                     80              100
                                 4th 8-hr high NAAQS

                       4th MDAS,  rel uncert (%)
                                                                120
  03
50-

45-

40-

35-

30-

25-
               -120
                               -100
                                              -80
                                       long
Figure 27: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2003 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 2003 ozone DV at each site.
                                           44

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
2.12   2000-2002 ozone bootstrap results

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  "0.120
  Q.
  §
  Q.
  co
  90-
  8
  -Q
  CD
  O
  CD
 25-

%20-

 15-

 10-

  5-

  o-
                             60
                                           80
                                         Daily DV (ppb)
100
120
                            60
                                           80
                                        Daily DV (ppb)
100
120
                                           bootstrap metric

Figure 28: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2002 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                               46

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                   2002 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
           mean 1.792%       median 1.698%
 1 4% -
 'ro
 t
  o 3% -
  3
  0
  > 2% -
                                                                           LONG
                                                                           -80
                                                                           -100
                                                                           -120
                                                                               -140
         40
                   60            80            100
                           4th 8-hr high NAAQS
         120
    4-
 'ro
 t
  0
  o
 "o
            mean 1.486
                         2002 bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
                                median 1-33^
  ro
    1 -
    '
        40
                                     80              100
                                4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                   120
  03
50-

45-

40-

35-

30-

25-
                          4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)

                                      fti
               -120
                              -100
-80
                                     long
Figure 29: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for the 2002 ozone DVs. The top panel shows the relative
difference between the CI and the actual DV, the middle panel shows the absolute difference between the
values for the DVs at each site and the CI, and the bottom panel shows the spatial distribution of the relative
difference between the 50% CIs for the 2002 ozone DV at each site.
                                          47

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016


3    Air quality variability  results for years  2002-2013  for PA/h.s

Bootstrap results for PM2.5 data from the years 2000-2013.  Each section containts a single DV period, e.g..
the results for 2013 include data from 2011-2013.

3.1   2011-2013 PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                          48

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
  |100-
  1 75-
     50-
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                              Annual bootstrap results
                                    i
                                   10
                                Annual DV (ug/m3)
                               24-hr bootstrap results
                                                    i
                                                    IS
                      20
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                               24-hr DV (ug/m3)
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-*- max/min
+- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-*- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl
                  Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                                    i
                                   10
                                Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                                    i
                                                    15
Cl limits
-*- median
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^ 75% Cl
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                    Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                 Daily DV (ug/m3)
                                                                      Cl limits
                                                                      -*- median
                                                                      -*- max/min
                                                                      ^- 50% Cl
                                                                      -•- 75% Cl
                                                                      -^- 95% Cl
Figure 30: Bootstrap results for the 2013 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.
                                                49

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                     Annual NAAQS bootstrap summary
                                                          I
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Figure 31: Bootstrap results for the 2013 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between
the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,
maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.
                                          50

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
     boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
   6% -        K

                       mean  1.775 %
                      median  1.700 °A
   1%-
                          /-.-.
                   10        15
                annual NAAQS
                                  boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites

                                so%-               mean 4.268 %
                                        g 20% -
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                                                  median  3.650 %
                              1        •*••  /

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                                             24-hr NAAQS
                                60
     boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites      boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                        mean 0.158       e-                  mean  0.905
   0.5-               .            .

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                                                                        60
Figure 32: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                      51

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                     Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                -120
 -100
  -80
                                        long
                     24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
               -120
-100
 i
-80
                                      long
Figure 33:  Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2013 PM2.5 DVs.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.2   2010-2012  PM2.5 bootstrap  results

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    15-
    10-
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                                8                   12
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                 24-hr bootstrap results
                                                                  16
                                              40
                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                   Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                                                                60
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                              40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-^ 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                                                                        Cl limits
                                                                        -•- median
                                                                        -•- max/min
                                                                        -^- 50% Cl
                                                                        -+- 75% Cl
                                                                        -+- 95% Cl
Figure 34: Bootstrap results for the 2012 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.
                                                 54

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    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
   25-
   20-
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    5-
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                   Annual NAAQS bootstrap summary
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                                             X
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                                       =5
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Figure 35: Bootstrap results for the 2012 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between

the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,

maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                  mean 1.801
                                              boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                         so%-                      mean 4.133%
                                 median  1.73C
  c
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                    8          12
                   annual NAAQS
                                          16
                                                                           median  3.600 %
                                                      20           40
                                                          24-hr NAAQS
                                                                                       60
   0.5-
   0.4-
boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                           mean 0.161

                    •
                         •
                           median  0.16
                                     boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                 6-                         mean 0.900


                                                           median 0.750
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                                                                                       60
Figure 36: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                             56

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                          long
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 37: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2012 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              57

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.3   2009-2011  PM2.5 bootstrap  results
                                           58

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    20-
    15-
     5-
    120-
   >  90-
     60-
  %  30~
  o
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    40-
    300-
                                     10
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                 24-hr bootstrap results
                       15
                                          Cl limits
                                          -•- mean
                                          -•- median
                                          -•- max/min
                                          -•- 50% Cl
                                          -•- 75% Cl
                                          -•- 95% Cl
                                      30          40
                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                    Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                                     10
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                       15
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                          Cl limits
                                          -•- median
                                          -*- max/min
                                          -•- 50% Cl
                                          -»- 75% Cl
                                          -*- 95% Cl
                                          Cl limits
                                          -•- median
                                          -•- max/min
                                          -^- 50% Cl
                                          -+- 75% Cl
                                          -+- 95% Cl
              10
   30          40
Daily DV (ug/m3)
50
60
Figure 38: Bootstrap results for the 2011 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs  at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual  DV.
                                                 59

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    25-
    20-
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     5-
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                        Annual NAAQS bootstrap summary
                                                    B
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Figure 39: Bootstrap results for the 2011 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between

the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,

maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                 •            mean 1.856 %
                                               boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                          so%-                         mean 4.190%
                             median  1.780 %
  c
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   0.5-
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            annual NAAQS

boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites

                       mean 0.175
                                   •

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                                        ^ 10%-
                                                                               median 3.700
                                                          10     20     30     40
                                                                   24-hr NAAQS
                                                                                     50      60
    boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
6-                            mean 0.946


                             median 0.800
   0.1 -
            5           10           15
                    annual NAAQS
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                                                  2-
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                                               10      20      30      40     50
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                                                                                            60
Figure 40: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                              61

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
                                          long
Figure 41: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2011 PM2.5 DVs.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.4   2008-2010  PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                           63

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
   .25-
   ,20-
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                                Annual bootstrap results
                                10               15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                 24-hr bootstrap results
                  20
                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                   Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                                10               15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                  20
                         20
40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
^- 75% Cl
-^- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-^ 50% Cl
-*- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                             Cl limits
                             -•- median
                             -•- max/min
                             -•- 50% Cl
                             -+- 75% Cl
                             -+- 95% Cl
Figure 42: Bootstrap results for the 2010 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.
                                                 64

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
   25-
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Figure 43: Bootstrap results for the 2010 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between
the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,
maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
         boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                                     boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
   7.5% -
                                                 40% -
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                                                                             mean 4.459 %
                                                                            median  3.800 %
                                                             20            40

                                                                 24-hr NAAQS
                                                                                         60
                                                    boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
   0.6-
                          mean  0.185
                                                 6-
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                                                                                         60
Figure 44: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference

between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values

for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                             66

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
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                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                          long
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 45: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2010 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              67

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.5   2007-2009  PM2.5 bootstrap  results
                                           68

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    20-
  Q.
  (0
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   •300-
    200-

    100-
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                              10               15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                24-hr bootstrap results
                            20
                     20
        40
24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                    Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                              10               15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                            20
                                          40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-^ 50% Cl
-»- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                                           Cl limits
                                           -•- median
                                           -•- max/min
                                           -^- 50% Cl
                                           -+- 75% Cl
                                           -+- 95% Cl
Figure 46: Bootstrap results for the 2009 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    25-
    20-
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Figure 47: Bootstrap results for the 2009 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between
the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,
maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                 boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                                  40% -
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                                      20
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                                                -5* 30% -

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                                                  10%-
                                                   mean 4.582 %
                                                  median  4.000 %
                                       20          40

                                             24-hr NAAQS
                                                                                     60
                               boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
   0.6-
                                                  6-
                        mean 0.206
          5        10        15

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                                      20
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                                                    mean 1.123
                                                                         median 0.950
                                                  o-
                                     20           40

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                                                                                    60
Figure 48: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference

between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values

for the  DVs at each site and the CI.
                                             71

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
                                          long
Figure 49: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2009 PM2.5 DVs.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.6   2006-2008 PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                           73

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    25-
  0120-
  Q 15-
  Q.
  Iio-
     5-
                              10                15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                 24-hr bootstrap results
20
                                            40
                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                   Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
60
                              10                15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
20
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-^ 50% Cl
-*- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                                                                             Cl limits
                                                                             -•- median
                                                                             -•- max/min
                                                                             -^- 50% Cl
                                                                             -+- 75% Cl
                                                                             -+- 95% Cl
                                            40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
60
Figure 50: Bootstrap results for the 2008 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.
                                                 74

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
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                         mean 0.218
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                                                                       median 1.000
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Figure 52: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                             76

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
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                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
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                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 53: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2008 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              77

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.7   2005-2007 PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                           78

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    75-
     0-
                                 10
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                24-hr bootstrap results
                              15
20
                                         40
                                  24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                                        60
                    Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
           10                 15
             Annual DV (ug/m3)
Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                                                     20
                                          40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
                                         60
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-»- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                                                                             Cl  limits
                                                                             -•- median
                                                                             -•- max/min
                                                                             -•- 50% Cl
                                                                             -+- 75% Cl
                                                                             -+- 95% Cl
Figure 54: Bootstrap results for the 2007 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                        Annual NAAQS bootstrap summary
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Figure 55: Bootstrap results for the 2007 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between
the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%,  and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,
maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.
                                           80

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
         boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
   10.0%-
                              boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                         30% -                   mean 4.499 %
    7.5% -
                          mean 2.007 %

                         rttedian 1.900%
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                                         20
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           .             "mean 0.234
                                                                      median 4.050 %
                                                40
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                                                                                 60
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                                                mean 1.262
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Figure 56: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs.  The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                            81

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
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                                                                                       2.5%
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                                          long
Figure 57: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2007 PM2.5 DVs.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.8   2004-2006 PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                           83

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    100-
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                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
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                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
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                                             60
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                                                                    20
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Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-*- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                                                        Cl limits
                                                        -•- median
                                                        -•- max/min
                                                        -•- 50% Cl
                                                        -+- 75% Cl
                                                        -+- 95% Cl
Figure 58: Bootstrap results for the 2006 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.
                                                 84

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
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Figure 59: Bootstrap results for the 2006 PM2.5 DVs, showing distribution of the relative differences between

the bootstrap DVs and the actual DV at the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with the mean, median,

maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
         boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
    10.0%-
                                                   boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                              30% -                     mean 4.567 %
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    0.3-
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                                                                                        60
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                                                                        mean 1.275
                                                                            median 1.200
                                                                                    •  •
                                                         20           40
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                                                                                       60
Figure 60: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                              86

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                          long
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 61: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2006 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              87

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.9   2003-2005  PM2.5 bootstrap  results

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    25-
  !10°-
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   •300-
                              10              15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
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                                           40
                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
                    Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
  60
                              10              15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
20
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-^ 50% Cl
-*- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
               Cl limits
               -•- median
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               -+- 95% Cl
                                           40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
  60
Figure 62: Bootstrap results for the 2005 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs  at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual  DV.
                                                 89

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
       boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                     mean 1.980 %
                                           boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                                      30% -                   mean 4.674 %
                    median 1.910 %
                  10       15
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                                   20
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                      mean 0.234
   0.5-
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                                   20
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                                                 20         40
                                                      24-hr NAAQS
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                   mean 1.335
                                                            median 1.250
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                                                                              60
Figure 64: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                         91

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                -120
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
                                          long
Figure 65: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2005 PM2.5 DVs.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.10   2002-2004 PM2.5 bootstrap results

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
  §"20-
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                            10             15
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
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                              60
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                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                           40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
                              60
      Cl limits
      -•- mean
      -•- median
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      -•- 50% Cl
      -•- 75% Cl
      -•- 95% Cl

      Cl limits
      -•- mean
      -•- median
      -•- max/min
      -+- 50% Cl
      -+- 75% Cl
      -+- 95% Cl

      Cl limits
      -•- median
      -*- max/min
      -•- 50% Cl
      -+- 75% Cl
      -*- 95% Cl
                                            Cl limits
                                            -•- median
                                            -•- max/min
                                            -•- 50% Cl
                                            -+- 75% Cl
                                            -+- 95% Cl
Figure 66: Bootstrap results for the 2004 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs  at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual  DV.
                                                 94

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    25-
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-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
       boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                     mean 1.956 %
                                                  30% -
                           mean  4.932 %
                  10       15       20
                    annual NAAQS
                                            25
   0.5-
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              mean 0.228        %
                      meflitn 0.225
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                        9  njean 1.386
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Figure 68: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference
between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values
for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                              96

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
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    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
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                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
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                -120
                                      -100
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                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 69: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2004 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              97

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.11   2001-2003 PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                           98

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                                Annual bootstrap results
    30-
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    10-
    50~
                                                   20
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                 24-hr bootstrap results
                                      40
                                   24-hr DV (ug/m3)
60
                    Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                                                   20
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                      40
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
60
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-•- 75% Cl
-•- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
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-+- 75% Cl
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Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
-*- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                                                                             Cl limits
                                                                             -•- median
                                                                             -•- max/min
                                                                             -^- 50% Cl
                                                                             -+- 75% Cl
                                                                             -+- 95% Cl
Figure 70: Bootstrap results for the 2003 PM2.5 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  Annual NAAQS bootstrap summary
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maximum, minimum, standard deviations of the relative differences.
                                100

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
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   4% -
                 10              20

                    annual NAAQS
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
'CD

CD
«

=!

CD


JO
CD
  20% -
median 4.500 %
                                                  10%-
             20         40         60

                    24-hr NAAQS


      boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                    mean
    0.5-
  CD
  to
 .a
  cc
    0.2-
    0.1 -
                 10              20

                    annual NAAQS
  6-

&
c


2
CD
O

§4-

co
.Q
CD
                                                  2-
                                                  0-
                                                                       mefcn 1.438

                                                                          •
                                                                       median 1.300
           20         40         60

                  24-hr NAAQS
Figure 72: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference

between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values

for the DVs at each site  and the CI.
                                              101

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                          long
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 73: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2003 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              102

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
3.12   2000-2002 PM2.5 bootstrap results
                                           103

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    30-
    10-
    90-
    60-
   .
  ro
  2 30-
  o
  o
  .0
     o-
      o-
                                Annual bootstrap results
                                                 20
              30
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                                24-hr bootstrap results
                                        50
                                  24-hr DV (ug/m3)
75
                   Difference between DVs and boot results, Annual NAAQS
                                  Annual DV (ug/m3)
                     Difference between DV and boot results, Daily NAAQS
                                         50
                                   Daily DV (ug/m3)
Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-•- 50% Cl
^- 75% Cl
-^- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- mean
-•- median
-•- max/min
-+- 50% Cl
-+- 75% Cl
-+- 95% Cl

Cl limits
-•- median
-*- max/min
-^ 50% Cl
-*- 75% Cl
-*- 95% Cl
                  Cl limits
                  -•- median
                  -•- max/min
                  -^- 50% Cl
                  -+- 75% Cl
                  -+- 95% Cl
Figure 74: Bootstrap results for the 2002 PM2.s DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top two panels show the values for the DVs at the various CIs,
while the bottom two panels show the relative difference between the Cl and the actual DV.
                                                104

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    25-
    20-


 g


  8*15-
  c

  E

 i£
 it 10-
     o-
    25-
    20-
  8 15-
  c


  0)
     5-
     o-
                a.
                0-
                       Annual NAAQS bootstrap summary
                          i      i
      s.
50-
                             ^


                                 E
                                £     fG    8     g
              bootstrap metric


   24-hr NAAQS bootstrap summary


                     i
                          i      i
S     8
                                12
                                h-
                                           i     i
                      S     ,
                      05    0)
                                                                 -o
                                                                 
-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
           boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
                  mean 1.993 %
                                                  40% -
                  median* 1.910%
      30% -
                                                'ro

                                                 CD
                                                 o
                                                 c
                                                 =!

                                                 CD
      20% -
                                                                    mean 4.810%
median 4.200 %
                                                   10%-
                 10            20

                    annual NAAQS
        boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
30               25         50         75

                       24-hr NAAQS


          boot 50th percentile uncert, all sites
    0.6-
    0.4-
  CD
  o
  to
 .a
  cc
    0.2-
                  •mean 0.243*  •

                                    • •


                     **   %  *
                   mafia* O.Z40   .   •
                 10             20

                    annual NAAQS
                                                  7.5-
   '•§5.0-

    CD
    O
    CO
   .a
    cc
                                                  2.5-
                                                  0.0-
                                             30
                       mean 1.421
                 25          50

                      24-hr NAAQS
                                                                                    75
Figure 76: Bootstrap results from the 50% CIs for PM2.5 DVs. The top two panels show the relative difference

between the CI and the actual DV and the bottom two panels show the absolute difference between the values

for the DVs at each site and the CI.
                                              106

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
    50-
    45-
    40-
    35-
    30-
    25-
                         Annual NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                       -100
                                                              -80
                                           long
                        24-hr NAAQS, rel uncert (%), all sites
                -120
                                      -100
                                                            -80
                                          long
                                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                       7.5%
                                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                       2.5%
                                                                                       0.0%
Figure 77: Spatial distribution of the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV from the 50%
CIs for the 2002 PM2.5 DVs.
                                              107

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016






4    Comparison  plots of nearby sites



Comparison of PM2.5 data for paired, nearby sites for the spatial analysis conducted in Section 3.1.2.
                                           108

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County 1: Honolulu State 1: Hawaii
                   Sites:  150031001 & 150031004
   20-
    15-   •
         •
m
CM
Q-
 *   *•*
•••  £•••
                     ,
                               •
                               • •
                               .'*  *..
  10-
    5-
    o-
•   ••  *       *»  J   t •        •    *.
*   *         •  2**  w   •    •       • •
*«?'.    •;•:•«: tftL-  :vv :t»\    -i   *
                   ^
                               w
                                        SL5,
                                         t. ••
                                                      *M!
                                                      •^v>..
                                                                   SiteJD
                                                                      150031001
                                                                    • 150031004
         i         i         i        i         i         i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13  01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                  DATE
   20-
    15-
  s
  fl
    5-
                              delta 1.699km
                  m = 0.84; r2 = 0.614
    0-
          i
          D
                       i              i
                       5             10
                                 150031001
                                            i
                                            i:
                                                         20
                                                                      seas
                                                                       •  DJF
                                                                       •  JJA
                                                                       •  MAM
                                                                       •  SON
Figure 78: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150031001 and 150031001.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn*t?ata points are colored by month.

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    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1: Clark State 1: Indiana
                Sites:  180190006 & 211110067
   40-
   30-
  10

  D.
   20-
   10-
                          :      .     V           Sit
'*:***   *'*     ::  v 'i  i..  s:   : :
 * > Ji-v  r**:       :«& •  y i rtu..*
^•^t^i.-iatetl  iit3Ks9
•.
•
*
ii «
w
•
•<•
• •


•
; :
*

Site_ID
• 180190006
• 211110067
                »'
                «'•'
                         »•*?•«
    0-
        I
               I
                       I        I        I       I        I
     01/01/12   07/01/12  01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14  01/01/15
                             DATE
                          delta 9.256 km
   40-
   30-
  N-
  CD
  8
   10-
    o-
               m = 0.83; r2 = 0.818
        I
        0
           10
20
180190006
 I
30
40
                                                      seas

                                                       • DJF

                                                       • JJA

                                                       • MAM

                                                       • SON
Figure 79: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180190006 and 180190006. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn-'cfata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Marion State  1: Indiana
                     Sites: 180970078 & 180970081
    40-
    30-
  10

  D.
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                        SiteJD
                                                            180970078
                                                         •  180970081
                    i          i          i          i         i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta 8.915 km
    40-


    30-

  CO
  8
  h-
  §
  "20-


    10-


     o-
m = 0.99; r2 = 0.922
          i
          0
     10
 I
20
 180970078
 I
30
 i
to
                                                             seas
                                                              • DJF
                                                              • JJA
                                                              • MAM
                                                              • SON
Figure 80: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180970078 and 180970078. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim-ldata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    40-
                     County 1: Clinton State 1:  Iowa
                     Sites:  190450019 & 190450021
    30-
   !20-
    10-
                            •
                                            .      <
                           • •   •            i.*  *
                                                 SiteJD
                                                     190450019
                                                  •  190450021
     o-
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13
    40-
    30-
  §20-
  m ^u
  s
    10-
     o-
          I
          0
          07/01/13
            DATE
        01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                 delta 6.425 km
                   m = 0.89; r2 = 0.909
10
    i
    20
190450019
30
                                                      seas
                                                       •  DJF
                                                       •  JJA
                                                       •  MAM
                                                       •  SON
40
Figure 81: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 190450019 and 190450019. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witft-rfetta points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
            County 1:  East Baton Rouge State 1: Louisiana
                     Sites: 220330009 & 221210001
    40-
    30-
  §20
    10-
     o-
         ft
                                                SiteJD
                                                    220330009
                                                 •  221210001
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    40-
    30-
  §20-
  CN
    10-
                                 delta5.419km
                   m = 0.76; r2 = 0.637
     o-
          i
          0
i
10
    20
220330009
 i
JO
                                                     seas
                                                      • DJF
                                                      • JJA
                                                      • MAM
                                                      • SON
40
Figure 82:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 220330009 and 220330009. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn-'ffata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Washington State 1: Minnesota
                     Sites: 271630447 & 271630448
    30-
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              271630447
                                                                            •  271630448
    10-
     o-
       I           I          1          I          I          I           I
    01/01/12   07/01/12    01/01/13    07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
    30-
  S
    20-
    10-
                                  delta 1.04 km
                    m = 0.94; r2 = 0.857
     o-
 I                I
10              20
           271630447
                                                            30
                                                    seas
                                                     • DJF
                                                     • JJA
                                                     • MAM
                                                     • SON
Figure 83: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 271630447 and 271630447. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn-'aata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    100-
                   County 1: Washoe State  1: Nevada
                      Sites: 320310016 & 320311005
     75-
                •
                •
                •
     50-
     25-
      o-
                                                               i
                                                 SiteJD

                                                    320310016

                                                  • 320311005
           i          i         i          i          i          i         i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13  01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                  delta 5.522 km
    100-
     75-
     50-
     25-
      o-
            i
            0
                    m = 0.95; r2 = 0.779
 i
25
   50
320310016
 i
75
100
                                                     seas

                                                      •  DJF

                                                      •  JJA

                                                      •  MAM

                                                      •  SON
Figure 84: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 320310016 and 320310016. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1:  Bernalillo State 1: New Mexico
                     Sites: 350010023 & 350010024
    80-
    60-
                                 •
                                                                          SiteJD
   |                                                                         »  350010023
                                                                            •  350010024
    20-
     o-
          i          i          i         i          i        ^^^        i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta 7.947 km
    80-
    60-
  §
  §40-
    20-
     o-
                   m = 0.43; r2 = 0.209
                        20
  i
 40
350010023
60
                                         seas
                                          •  DJF
                                          •  JJA
                                          •  MAM
                                          •  SON
80
Figure 85: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 350010023 and 350010023. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnWata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1:  Northampton State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420950025 & 420950027
    40-
  10

  0-
    20-
     o-
                                          SiteJD
                                              420950025
                                              420950027
              •• •
          I         I          I          I          I          I         I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                 delta 5.702 km
                   m = 0.88; r2 = 0.835
    40-
  (s.
  CM
  g
    20-
     o-
                           •«  .  •
                            • *  ••
          i
          0
20
 i
40
                                               seas
                                                • DJF
                                                • JJA
                                                • MAM
                                                • SON
                                      420950025
Figure 86:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420950025 and 420950025.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn-yata points are colored by month.

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    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
          County 1: Philadelphia State 1: Pennsylvania
               Sites: 421010047 & 421010057
   40-
   30-
   20-
      •                 t   * i*
      t     ** •       •   •               /
 •     •   i* **^     «t* !».••*»    •    •  «••
l¥iLl',^M ^
   10-
             &&>.
                          SiteJD
                            421010047
                            421010057
                         *y
   o-
       i       i       i       i       i      i       i
     01/01/12  07/01/12  01/01/13  07/01/13  01/01/14  07/01/14  01/01/15
                          DATE
                       delta 2.605 km
   40-
   30-
 8
 §20-
   10-
   o-
             m = 0.94; r2 = 0.769
                 10
20         30
421010047
                                        i
                                        4
                             seas
                              •  DJF
                              •  JJA
                              •  MAM
                              •  SON
Figure 87: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421010047 and 421010047. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1: Philadelphia State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 421010055 & 421010047
    40-
    30-
  10

  0-
  *   t
  •

   | 5,
:*!!•*
                                               •    •

    20-
    10-
     0-

                                               to *«
                                                  SiteJD
                                                      421010047
                                                      421010055
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 3.052 km
    40-
    30-
  N-
  •«*
  §
  5
  §20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.8; r2 = 0.737
          i
          0
10
             I              I
            20            30
             421010055
40
                                                       seas
                                                        •  DJF
                                                        •  JJA
                                                        •  MAM
                                                        •  SON
Figure 88:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421010055 and 421010055. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel  shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim-wata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1: Providence State 1: Rhode Island
                     Sites: 440070022 & 440071010
    40-
    30-
    10-
     o-
                             I
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              440070022
                                                                              440071010
          i          i         i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                 delta 5.871 km
    40-
    30-
  o
  o
  |20-
    10-
     o-
                    m = 1; r2 = 0.894
                                                       seas
                                                        •  DJF
                                                        •  JJA
                                                        •  MAM
                                                        •  SON
          i
          0
i
( I
20
440070022
30
40
Figure 89: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 440070022 and 440070022.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Salt Lake State  1: Utah
                     Sites: 490353006 & 490353010
    60-
    40-
  10


  0-
    20-
     o-
                                              SiteJD

                                                 490353006

                                               • 490353010
          i          i          i          i          i         i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta 7.274 km
    60-
                   m = 0.92; r2 = 0.888
    40-
    20-
     o-
                                                  seas

                                                   •  DJF

                                                   •  JJA

                                                   •  MAM

                                                   •  SON
          i
          0
 i
20
 i
40
60
                                      490353006
Figure 90: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 490353006 and 490353006. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4iata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1:  New Castle State 1: Delaware
                     Sites: 100032004 & 420450002
    40-
    30-
    10-
     o-

                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              100032004
                                                                              420450002
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 19.141 km
    40-
    30-
  CM
  o
  8
  ID
  S20-
  CM
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.93; r2 = 0.687
                      'W
                      l» •/  «
                  *      •
          i
          0
10
  I
 20
100032004
 i
30
 i
40
                                                      seas
                                                       •  DJF
                                                       •  JJA
                                                       •  MAM
                                                       •  SON
Figure 91: Comparison of PM2.s data for sites 100032004 and 100032004.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
     County 1: District of Columbia State 1: District Of Columbia
                     Sites: 110010043 & 510590030
    40-
    30-
  820-
  0-
    10-
     o-
                                                                        SiteJD
                                                                           110010043
                                                                         • 510590030
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    40-
    30-
o
§20-
    10-
                                delta 18.335km
                   m = 0.83; r2 = 0.878
     o-
          i
          0
                        I
                        10
    20
110010043
 I
3C
                                                                              seas
                                                                               •  DJF
                                                                               •  JJA
                                                                               •  MAM
                                                                               •  SON
Figure 92:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 110010043 and 110010043. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Cobb State 1:  Georgia
                     Sites: 130670003 & 130890002
    30-     •
    20-
  10

  0-
    10-
                 • t           *           *   *      •
                                            SiteJD
                                               130670003
                                             • 130890002
     o-
          I          I         I          I          I          I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 46.772 km
    30-
                   m = 0.89; r2 = 0.817
    20-
  CM
  O
  8
    10-
     o-
          I
          0
I
1C
20
30
                                                seas
                                                 •  DJF
                                                 •  JJA
                                                 •  MAM
                                                 •  SON
                                      130670003
Figure 93: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 130670003 and 130670003. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim^fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Hawaii State 1: Hawaii
                     Sites: 150011006 & 150012023
    30-                             •
    20-
  10

  D.
    10-
                     SiteJD
                         150011006
                      •  150012023
     o-   •
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 18.068km
    30-
                       m = 0.55; r2 = 0.314
    20-
  §
    10-
     o-
                                   I
                                  10
20
30
                          seas
                           •  DJF
                           •  JJA
                           •  MAM
                           •  SON
                                      150011006
Figure 94: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150011006 and 150011006.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Hawaii State 1: Hawaii
                     Sites: 150011012 & 150012020
    30-
    20-
  10

  D.
    10-
     o-
                             SiteJD
                                 150011012
                              •  150012020
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    30-
   ,20-
  §
    10-
     o-
                                delta 45.916 km
                   m = 0.7; r2 = 0.258
                            I
                            IQ
20
30
                                      150011012
                                  seas
                                   •  DJF
                                   •  JJA
                                   •  MAM
                                   •  SON
Figure 95: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150011012 and 150011012. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn49)ata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    100-
     75-
                     County 1: Hawaii State 1:  Hawaii
                      Sites: 150012016 & 150012020
     50-
                SiteJD
                   150012016
                 •  150012020
     25-
      o-
           i         i          i          i         i          i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
    100-
     75-
     50-
  §
     25-
      0-
                                delta 32.771  km
                    m = 0.28; r2 = 0.0749
                                           50
                                       150012016
 i
75
                    seas
                     •  DJF
                     •  JJA
                     •  MAM
                     •  SON
100
Figure 96: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150012016 and 150012014.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4iata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                   County 1: Honolulu State 1:  Hawaii
                     Sites: 150031001  & 150031004
    20-
    15-  •
         •
                        ,
 I
.'l
    10-
         *•*  i* *•*      *** *     •       *•        *•                  •
                                               SiteJD
                                                  150031001
                                                  150031004
     5-
     o-
          •i w
          i         i          i          i         i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 1.699km
    20-
                    m = 0.84; r2 = 0.614
    15-
  8
     5-
     0-
           i
           D
i                i
5              10
           150031001
             i
             i:
20
                                                   seas
                                                    •  DJF
                                                    •  JJA
                                                    •  MAM
                                                    •  SON
Figure 97:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150031001 and 150031001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                   County 1:  Honolulu State 1: Hawaii
                     Sites:  150032004 & 150031004
    20-
    15-
    10-
     5-
     o-
                                               SiteJD
                                                  150031004
                                                • 150032004
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 14.223 km
    20-
    15-
    10-
  3
     5-
     o-
                     m = 0.59; r2 = 0.453
             i
             0
i               i
5              10
           150032004
i
15
20
                                                   seas
                                                    •  DJF
                                                    •  JJA
                                                    •  MAM
                                                    •  SON
Figure 98: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 150032004 and 150032004.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4?ata points are colored by month.

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1: Clark State 1: Indiana
                Sites: 180190006 & 211110067
   40-
   30-
  10

  D.
   20-
   10-
                          :      .    V           Sit
'*:***   *'*     ::  v 'i  i.. s:   : :
 * > Ji-v  r**:       :«& •  y i rtu..*
^•^t^i.-iatetl  iit3Ks9
•.
•
*
ii «
w
•
•<•
• •


•
; :
*

Site_ID
• 180190006
• 211110067
                »'
                «'•'
                         »•*?•«
    0-
        I
               I
                       I        I       I        I        I
     01/01/12   07/01/12  01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14  01/01/15
                             DATE
                          delta 9.256 km
   40-
   30-
  N-
  CD
  8
   10-
    o-
               m = 0.83; r2 = 0.818
        I
        0
           10
20
180190006
 I
30
40
                                                      seas

                                                       • DJF

                                                       • JJA

                                                       • MAM

                                                       • SON
Figure 99: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180190006 and 180190006. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^Sata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Marion State  1: Indiana
                     Sites: 180970078 & 180970081
    40-
    30-
  10

  D.
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                        SiteJD
                                                            180970078
                                                         •  180970081
                    i          i          i          i         i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta 8.915 km
    40-


    30-

  CO
  8
  h-
  §
  "20-


    10-


     o-
m = 0.99; r2 = 0.922
          i
          0
     10
 I
20
 180970078
 I
30
 i
to
                                                             seas
                                                              • DJF
                                                              • JJA
                                                              • MAM
                                                              • SON
Figure 100: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 180970078 and 180970078.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4iata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    40-
                     County 1: Clinton State  1: Iowa
                     Sites:  190450019 & 190450021
    30-
   !20-
    10-
                           •
                                            .      <
                           • •   •           i.*   *
                                                 SiteJD
                                                    190450019
                                                  • 190450021
     o-
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13
    40-
    30-
  §20-
  m ^u
  s
    10-
     o-
          I
          0
          07/01/13
            DATE
        01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                 delta 6.425 km
                   m = 0.89; r2 = 0.909
10
    i
   20
190450019
30
                                                     seas
                                                      •  DJF
                                                      •  JJA
                                                      •  MAM
                                                      •  SON
40
Figure 101:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 190450019 and 190450019. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim4feta points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                     County 1: Johnson State  1: Iowa
                     Sites: 191032001 & 191130040
    40-
    30-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                                   •
                                                                   •

          I          I          I         I          I          I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14    01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                                 SiteJD

                                                     191032001

                                                  •  191130040
                                delta 38.713 km
    40-
    30-
  o
  §20-
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
                   m = 0.97; r2 = 0.898
i
IQ
   i
  20
191032001
 i
30
 i
40
                                                      seas

                                                       •  DJF

                                                       •  JJA

                                                       •  MAM

                                                       •  SON
Figure 102: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 191032001 and 191032001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                   County 1: Muscatine State 1: Iowa
                     Sites: 191390015 &  191630015
    60-       •
    40-
  10


  D.
    20-






•

•
•
•
: • .
• ? •
•• «





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•



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i» ^»
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•
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•
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t • . • *.£ • • «. ^ *


Site_ID
« 191390015

• 191630015
     o-
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    60-
    40-
  10
  §
    20-
     o-
                                delta 42.566 km
                   m = 0.59; r2 = 0.577
          i
          0
 i                     i
20                   40
        191390015
60
                                                 seas

                                                  •  DJF

                                                  •  JJA

                                                  •  MAM

                                                  •  SON
Figure 103:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 191390015 and 191390015. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^lata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1:  Jefferson State 1:  Kentucky
                    Sites: 211110051 & 180190006
    40-
    30-
••     :?•'#%
 , •   ««:*
                                                                       SiteJD
                                                                          180190006
                                                                        •  211110051
      01/01/12  07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                    DATE
    40-
    30-
  g
  05
    10-
     o-
                              delta 27.806 km
                                      •
                  m = 0.84; r2 = 0.707
         i
         0
             10
20
211110051
 I
30
40
                                                                 seas
                                                                  •  DJF
                                                                  •  JJA
                                                                  •  MAM
                                                                  •  SON
Figure 104: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 211110051 and 211110051. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
            County 1:  East Baton Rouge State 1:  Louisiana
                     Sites: 220330009 & 221210001
    40-
    30-
  §20
    10-
     o-
         ft
                                                SiteJD
                                                   220330009
                                                 • 221210001
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    40-
    30-
  §20-
  CN
    10-
                                delta5.419km
                   m = 0.76; r2 = 0.637
     o-
          i
          0
i
10
    20
220330009
 i
JO
                                                     seas
                                                      •  DJF
                                                      •  JJA
                                                      •  MAM
                                                      •  SON
40
Figure 105:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 220330009 and 220330009.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wittraata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1:  Cecil State 1: Maryland
                     Sites:  240150003 & 420290100
    40-
                                                                           SiteJD

                                                                              240150003

                                                                              420290100
          i          i          i         i          i          i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                delta 16.762 km
    40-
    30-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                    m = 0.95; r2 = 0.786
                          i
                          10
    i
   20
240150003
                                         seas

                                          •  DJF

                                          •  JJA

                                          •  MAM

                                          •  SON
30
40
Figure 106: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 240150003 and 240150003.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data,  along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4iata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County 1: Harford State 1:  Maryland
                     Sites: 240251001 & 245100040
    30-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                               SiteJD
                                                   240251001
                                                   245100040
          i          i          i         i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
    30-
  g
   !20-
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
                                delta 29.292 km
                   m = 0.89; r2 = 0.794
10
20
30
                                                    seas
                                                     •  DJF
                                                     •  JJA
                                                     •  MAM
                                                     •  SON
                                      240251001
Figure 107: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 240251001 and 240251001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn4fata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Kent State 1:  Maryland
                     Sites: 240290002 & 240150003
    40-
    30-
  §20-
    10-

                .
             '
                           ;      ;   «.
                           ' •:.  •:  •;*
• -     *  » • * ~ *^        » •     •
      t.'£ :*•&• *   ^:* :i' ^. V   ;;
                                                SiteJD

                                                   240150003

                                                   240290002
           •
           t •
     o-
          I         !          I         I          I                   I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                               delta 44.457 km
    40-
    30-
  §20-
    10-
     o-
                  m = 0.92; r2 = 0.727
          i
          0
I
10
                             20
                          240290002
30
 i
40
                                                    seas

                                                     •  DJF

                                                     •  JJA

                                                     •  MAM

                                                     •  SON
Figure 108: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 240290002 and 240290002. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim4?ata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Montgomery State 1: Maryland
                     Sites:  240313001 & 240330030
    30-
                  it
                                             -v
    20-
  10

  0-
~        •.          •     /»•       •
SiteJD
   240313001
 • 240330030
    10-
     o-
          I         I          I         I          I         I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14  01/01/15
                                    DATE
                               delta 20.812 km
    30-
                  m = 0.87; r2 = 0.764
   ,20-
  8
    10-
     o-
                            '••Al-CtW
                                             20
                                           30
                                                         seas
                                                          • DJF
                                                          • JJA
                                                          • MAM
                                                          • SON
                                     240313001
Figure 109: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 240313001 and 240313001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnTiata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1: Prince George's State 1: Maryland
                     Sites: 240330030 & 110010043
    30-
                                              .'   .
                                              •  • •
                                               *.•
                                               •   •
                                               •
    20-
  10

  0-
    10-

                            SiteJD
                                110010043
                             •  240330030
                                                        •   •
     o-
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    30-
   ,20-
  §
    10-
     o-
                                delta 18.887km
                   m = 0.88; r2 = 0.759
          I
          0
20
30
                                      240330030
                                 seas
                                  • DJF
                                  • JJA
                                  • MAM
                                  • SON
Figure 110:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 240330030 and 240330030. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^iata points are colored by month.

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Wayne State 1: Michigan
                 Sites: 261630001 & 261630039
   30-
  820-
  a.
   10-
               ;         :    -t  f
*;V  &•   >'i^*     J.'2
    o-
        I        I        I        I        I        I        I
     01/01/12  07/01/12  01/01/13  07/01/13  01/01/14  07/01/14  01/01/15
                               DATE
                          delta 15.608km
                                       SiteJD
                                          261630001
                                        • 261630039
               m = 0.94; r2 = 0.828
   30-
  820-
  S
   10-
    o-
        i
        0
i
10
                          20
                       261630001
30
                                           seas
                                            • DJF
                                            • JJA
                                            • MAM
                                            • SON
Figure 111: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 261630001 and 261630001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'Wata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County 1: Anoka State 1: Minnesota
                     Sites: 270031002 & 270530963
    30-
  10

  D.
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                              SiteJD
                                                  270031002
                                               •  270530963
                 •   •
          I          I         I          I          I          I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 20.867 km
    30-
                   m = 0.97; r2 = 0.827
   ,20-
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
i
I,
30
                                                   seas
                                                    •  DJF
                                                    •  JJA
                                                    •  MAM
                                                    •  SON
                                      270031002
Figure 112:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 270031002 and 270031002. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'Wata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County  1: Hennepin State 1:  Minnesota
                     Sites: 270530963 & 271230871
                           •    •
    30-
     0-
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              270530963
                                                                           •  271230871
          i          i         i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 17.526 km
    30-
                   m = 0.85; r2 = 0.806
  ^20-
    10-
     o-
          I
          0
I
I,
 I
20
30
                                                   seas
                                                    •  DJF
                                                    •  JJA
                                                    •  MAM
                                                    •  SON
                                      270530963
Figure 113:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 270530963 and 270530963. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnTiata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Washington State 1: Minnesota
                     Sites: 271630447 & 271630448
    30-
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              271630447
                                                                           •  271630448
    10-
     o-
       I           I          1          I          I          I           I
    01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13    07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    30-
  S
    20-
    10-
                                 delta 1.04 km
                    m = 0.94; r2 = 0.857
     o-
 I                I
10              20
           271630447
                                                           30
                                                    seas
                                                     •  DJF
                                                     •  JJA
                                                     •  MAM
                                                     •  SON
Figure 114:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 271630447 and 271630447. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                     County  1: Cass State 1: Missouri
                     Sites: 290370003 & 290950034
    30-
    20-
  10


  D.
    10-
     o-
                                          SiteJD

                                             290370003

                                           •  290950034
          i          i          i         i          i          i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                delta 38.413 km
                          m = 0.6; r2 = 0.463
    30-
    20-
  g
    10-
     o-
                  i
                  0
i
10
 I
20
i
'
                                              seas

                                               •  DJF

                                               •  JJA

                                               •  MAM

                                               •  SON
                                      290370003
Figure 115: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 290370003 and 290370003.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'Wata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                     County 1: Clay State  1: Missouri
                     Sites: 290470005 & 290950034
    30-
  «,20-
  D.
    10-
     o-
                                                SiteJD
                                                   290470005
                                                 • 290950034
          i          i          i         i          i          i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                delta 27.712 km
    30-
  §20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.88; r2 = 0.758
          I
          0
 i
10
      20
290470005
30
                                                    seas
                                                      •  DJF
                                                      •  JJA
                                                      •  MAM
                                                      •  SON
Figure 116: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 290470005 and 290470005.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data,  along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^iata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County 1: Jefferson State 1: Missouri
                     Sites: 290990019 & 295100007
    40-
  10

  0-
    20-
     o-
                                        SiteJD
                                           290990019
                                         • 295100007
          i          i          i         i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
    40-
  g
  o
    20-
                                delta 15.725 km
                    m = 0.93: r2 = 0.819
     0-
                                             seas
                                              • DJF
                                              • JJA
                                              • MAM
                                              • SON
            i
            0
 i
20
                                      290990019
 i
40
Figure 117: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 290990019 and 290990019. Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'Wata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County 1:  Saint Louis State 1:  Missouri
                     Sites:  291893001 & 295100085
    40-
    20-   •,
     o-
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              291893001
                                                                           •  295100085
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    40-
  g
  o
   '20-
                                delta13.216km
                       m = 0.89: r2 = 0.784
     o-
               i
               0
20
                                      291893001
                      I
                      -:
                                           seas
                                            •  DJF
                                            •  JJA
                                            •  MAM
                                            •  SON
Figure 118:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 291893001 and 291893001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1:  St. Louis City State 1: Missouri
                     Sites: 295100007 & 295100085
    40-
  10

  0-
    20-
     o-
                                       SiteJD
                                           295100007
                                        •  295100085
          i          i          i          i          i         i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta  13.89km
                      m = 0.96: r2 = 0.842
    40-
  g
  o
   '20-
     0-
                                            seas
                                             •  DJF
                                             •  JJA
                                             •  MAM
                                             •  SON
              i
              D
 i
20
40
                                      295100007
Figure 119: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 295100007 and 295100007.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnM$ata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1:  Lewis and Clark State 1: Montana
                     Sites: 300490004 & 300490026
    40-
  10

  D.
    20-
     o-
                   SiteJD
                      300490004
                    • 300490026
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 21.435 km
    60-
                     m= 1.1; r2 = 0.45
    40-
  CD
  CM
  I
  I
    20-
     0-
                                  i
                                 20
 i
40
                        seas
                         •  DJF
                         •  JJA
                         •  MAM
                         •  SON
                                      300490004
Figure 120:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 300490004 and 300490004. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnHiata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    100-
                  County 1: Missoula State 1:  Montana
                      Sites: 300630024 & 300630037
                        *
     75-
     50-
     25-
      o-

       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13
07/01/13
  DATE
   i          i
01/01/14   07/01/14
                                      SiteJD
                                         300630024
                                       • 300630037
01/01/15
                                 delta 24.47 km
    100-
     75-
  g
  CO
  g  50-
  i
     25-
      0-
                    m = 0.8; r2 = 0.837
                          i
                         25
    i
   50
  300630024
         i
         75
                                           seas
                                            •  DJF
                                            •  JJA
                                            •  MAM
                                            •  SON
   100
Figure 121:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 300630024 and 300630024. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wimHfeta points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County 1: Douglas State 1: Nebraska
                     Sites: 310550019 & 311530007
    40-
    30-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              310550019
                                                                           •  311530007
          i          i         i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 12.791 km
    40-
    30-
  8
  8
   '20-
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
                   m = 0.99; r2 = 0.829
10
20            30
  310550019
40
                                                        seas
                                                         •  DJF
                                                         •  JJA
                                                         •  MAM
                                                         •  SON
Figure 122:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 310550019 and 310550019. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnHfeta points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    100-
                   County 1: Washoe State  1: Nevada
                      Sites: 320310016 & 320311005
     75-
                •
                •
                •
     50-
     25-
      o-
                                                               i
                                                 SiteJD

                                                    320310016

                                                  •  320311005
           i          i         i          i          i         i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                  delta 5.522 km
    100-
     75-
     50-
     25-
      o-
            i
            0
                    m = 0.95; r2 = 0.779
 i
25
   50
320310016
 i
75
100
                                                     seas

                                                      •  DJF

                                                      •  JJA

                                                      •  MAM

                                                      •  SON
Figure 123: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 320310016 and 320310016.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data,  along with  slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wimMJrata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1: Cheshire State 1:  New Hampshire
                     Sites: 330050007 & 330115001
    40-
    30-
  S20-
  Q.
    10-
     o-   %
                                    SiteJD
                                       330050007
                                     • 330115001
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 33.029 km
    40-
                    m = 0.26; r2 = 0.286
    30-
  120-
  o
    10-
     o-
                                                •      •
                            I
                           10
      I
     20
330050007
 I
3C
                                        seas
                                          •  DJF
                                          •  JJA
                                          •  MAM
                                          •  SON
40
Figure 124: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 330050007 and 330050007. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    20-
    10-
           County 1: Rockingham State 1: New Hampshire
                    Sites: 330150018 & 330115001
    •               •
   •                   •
                  ••-  *
•         •         ****c            *
                                                                        SiteJD
                                                                           330115001
                                                                         •  330150018
     o-
         i          i         i          i         i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                    DATE
                               delta 40.652 km
                  m = 0.55; r2 = 0.502
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                  seas
                                                   •  DJF
                                                   •  JJA
                                                   •  MAM
                                                   •  SON
                                     !*••  * *^   «   «
                                     f»Y*  ••    *  •
                                 I
                                 10
                               I
                              20
                                     330150018
Figure 125: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 330150018 and 330150018. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnHfPata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County  1: Hudson State  1: New Jersey
                     Sites: 340171003 & 340390004
                                                 •
    50-
    40-
    30-
  10


  D.
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                    SiteJD

                                     • 340171003

                                     • 340390004
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    40-
                                delta16.157km
    30-

    20-
                    m = 1;r2 = 0.82
*s
' :&*
•S ••
¥
\*
•
• *






seas
•
•
«
•
DJF
JJA
MAM
SON
    10-
     o-
                          I
                          10
    20
340171003
 i
JO
40
Figure 126: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 340171003 and 340171003. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnHiata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County 1: Mercer State 1:  New Jersey
                    Sites: 340210008 & 420170012
    40-
    30-
    20-
    10-
                            • •

             --  %(             ^•                    •     •

       SiteJD
          340210008
          420170012
     o-
         I          I         I          I         I          I         I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                    DATE
                                delta 16.34km
    40-
    30-
  (M
  §
   !20-
    10-
     o-
                   m= 1; r2 = 0.714
                       10
20            30
340210008
40
           seas
            •  DJF
            •  JJA
            •  MAM
            •  SON
Figure 127: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 340210008 and 340210008. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data,  along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnHfata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1:  Bernalillo State  1: New Mexico
                     Sites: 350010023 & 350010024
    80-
    60-
    20-
     o-
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              350010023
                                                                            •  350010024
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                 delta 7.947 km
    80-
    60-
  §
  §40-
    20-
     o-
                   m = 0.43; r2 = 0.209
                                         seas
                                          •  DJF
                                          •  JJA
                                          •  MAM
                                          •  SON
                        20
  i
 40
350010023
60
80
Figure 128:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 350010023 and 350010023. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wimHfata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County 1: Queens State 1:  New York
                     Sites: 360810124 & 340171003
    30-
                              •
    20-
  10

  a.
                                            •• •
    10-
..  .
             ..,      t,  .. t  , •
     o-
Site_ID

   340171003

 • 360810124
          i         i          i         i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12  01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                               delta 19.502km
    30-
                  m = 0.98; r2 = 0.757
    20-
•• >/
\ xX
• '/
'X
• • • ^
• •,'/
• -^X •
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•
•
•














seas
•
•

«

•
DJF
JJA

MAM

SON
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
 i                  i
10                20
          360810124
                                                        i
                                                       3C
Figure 129: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 360810124 and 360810124.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnM$ata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1: Mercer State 1: North Dakota
                     Sites: 380570004 & 380650002
    40-
    30-
10


0-
    10-
     0-
                                                                          SiteJD

                                                                              380570004

                                                                           •  380650002
          i          i         i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 28.522 km
    40-
  30-


CM
O
8
§20-
    10-
     o-
                        m = 0.68; r2 = 0.405
                 i
                 C
                           i
                          1D
   i
  20
380570004
30
40
                                                                               seas

                                                                                •  DJF

                                                                                •  JJA

                                                                                •  MAM

                                                                                •  SON
Figure 130:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 380570004 and 380570004. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnniata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                County 1: Adams State 1: Pennsylvania
                    Sites: 420010001  & 420410101
    50-
    40-
    30-
                                             •

                                             •
  10

  0-
    20-
    10-
     o-
••  »    *       *• M
lv»   vS  :t^
                                                  SiteJD
                                                     420010001
                                                     420410101
         i          i         i          i         i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                    DATE
                               delta 37.824 km
    50-
    40-
    30-
  S
  CN
    20-
    10-
     o-
          i
         0
                   m = 0.9; r2 = 0.613
i
I0
                          I            I
                         20           30
                           420010001
40
                                                      seas
                                                       •  DJF
                                                       •  JJA
                                                       •  MAM
                                                       •  SON
 i
! ]
Figure 131: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420010001 and 420010001.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnnfeta points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Allegheny State 1:  Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420030008 & 420030064
    60-
    40-
                             •
                             i
  10

  0-
• «
    20-
     o-
                                             SiteJD
                                                420030008
                                                420030064
          I         I          I          I         I          I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
    80-
                                delta 17.618 km
    60-
  8
  §40-
    20-
     o-
          i
          0
                   m = 1.3; r2 = 0.538
                    •       * •
                  •   '•  '•'.*
                  *•?%•; 3V A
20
                                      40
                                      420030008
60
                                                 seas
                                                   •  DJF
                                                   •  JJA
                                                   •  MAM
                                                   •  SON
Figure 132: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420030008 and 420030008. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnnfeta points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Beaver State 1: Pennsylvania
                   Sites: 420070014 & 421255001
   30-
   20-
  10

  0-
    10-
    o-
         I         I        I         I         I         I         I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                  DATE
                          SiteJD
                             420070014
                             421255001
                             delta34.812km
   30-
  ^20
  O
  g
    10-
    o-
                 m = 0.55; r2 = 0.495
      XL* ****     •   -
      -f**T*\      *  »**
•"••^afi***t*-''*   *
      V*i ••**-'••
      £x*C..
                                     *   k •  • *       •
                                     f/;v«   •
                          I
                         10
20
                            30
                              seas
                               • DJF
                               • JJA
                               • MAM
                               • SON
                                  420070014
Figure 133: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420070014 and 420070014. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wimMiata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County 1: Berks State  1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420110011 & 420750100
    50-                       •
    40-
    30-
  10

  0-
    20-
    10-
     o-
-  V-*  *>*»
                                        SiteJD
                                         •  420110011
                                         •  420750100
          i         i          i          i         i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 35.559 km
    40-
  o
  1
  CN
    20-
     o-
                    m= 1;r2 = 0.725
          i
          0
      10
20          30
     420110011
 I
40
 i
50
                                                               seas
                                                                • DJF
                                                                • JJA
                                                                • MAM
                                                                • SON
Figure 134: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420110011 and 420110011. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witRHJata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1: Cumberland State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420410101 & 420430401
    50-

    40-
    30-
  10

  0-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                    SiteJD
                                                        420410101
                                                        420430401
          i         i          i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 28.868 km
    50-
    40-
    30-
  S
    20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.93; r2 = 0.773
          i
          0
 i
10
20          30
    420410101
 i
40
50
                                                         seas
                                                          •  DJF
                                                          •  JJA
                                                          •  MAM
                                                          •  SON
Figure 135:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420410101 and 420410101. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wimnrata points are colored by month.

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
          County 1: Delaware State 1: Pennsylvania
              Sites: 420450002 & 421010055
  40-
  30-
  20-
  10-
   o-
ttlk &&£&£
                         T"7*5 f£ •  * «
                         • • ,.  f     *
                                SiteJD

                                   420450002

                                   421010055
      I      I       I      I      I       I      I
    01/01/12  07/01/12  01/01/13  07/01/13  01/01/14 07/01/14  01/01/15
                        DATE
                    delta 18.595km
  40-
  30-
            m = 0.72; r2 = 0.544
      i
      0
i
10
                  I
                 20
                  420450002
30
40
                                                  seas

                                                   • DJF

                                                   • JJA

                                                   • MAM

                                                   • SON
Figure 136: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420450002 and 420450002. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn*yata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County  1: Lancaster State 1:  Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420710007 & 420750100
    50-
    40-
                          s  •«
                                                •  *
    30-
  10

  0-
    20-
    10-
     o-
vfc
         t                 .  •
     •  *•                   . *      •
••  **^t*               .   **  •           \
          +
                                                          SiteJD
                                                              420710007
                                                              420750100
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 33.457 km
    50-
    40-
    30-
  o
  1
  CN
    20-
    10-
     0-
                   m = 0.95; r2 = 0.745
                      I
                      10
                  20          30
                       420710007
                                    40
                                                               seas
                                                                •  DJF
                                                                •  JJA
                                                                •  MAM
                                                                •  SON
Figure 137:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420710007 and 420710007. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnnfata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1: Montgomery State 1:  Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420910013 & 421010057
    40-
    30-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                  SiteJD
                                                      420910013
                                                      421010057
          i         i          i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 22.121 km
    40-
    30-
  8
  §20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.93; r2 = 0.725
          I
          0
I
IQ
20            30
420910013
 i
4
                                                       seas
                                                        •  DJF
                                                        •  JJA
                                                        •  MAM
                                                        •  SON
Figure 138:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420910013 and 420910013. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wimnfata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1:  Northampton State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 420950025 & 420950027
    40-
  10

  0-
    20-
     o-
                                          SiteJD
                                              420950025
                                              420950027
              •• •
          I         I          I          I          I          I         I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                 delta 5.702 km
                   m = 0.88; r2 = 0.835
    40-
  (s.
  CM
  g
    20-
     o-
                           •«  .  •
                            • *  ••
          i
          0
20
 i
40
                                               seas
                                                • DJF
                                                • JJA
                                                • MAM
                                                • SON
                                      420950025
Figure 139:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 420950025 and 420950025. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'cfata points are colored by month.

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
          County 1: Philadelphia State 1: Pennsylvania
               Sites: 421010047 & 421010057
   40-
   30-
   20-
      •                 t   * i*
      t     ** •       •   •               /
 •     •   i* **^     «t* !».••*»    •    •  «••
l¥iLl',^M ^
   10-
             &&>.
                          SiteJD
                            421010047
                            421010057
                         *y
   o-
       i       i       i       i       i      i       i
     01/01/12  07/01/12  01/01/13  07/01/13  01/01/14  07/01/14  01/01/15
                          DATE
                       delta 2.605 km
   40-
   30-
 8
 §20-
   10-
   o-
             m = 0.94; r2 = 0.769
                 10
20         30
421010047
                                        i
                                        4
                             seas
                              •  DJF
                              •  JJA
                              •  MAM
                              •  SON
Figure 140: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421010047 and 421010047. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'data points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1: Philadelphia State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 421010055 & 421010047
    40-
    30-
  10

  0-
  *   t
  •

   | 5,
:*!!•*
                                               •   •

    20-
    10-
     0-

                                               to *«
                                                  SiteJD
                                                      421010047
                                                      421010055
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 3.052 km
    40-
    30-
  N-
  •«*
  §
  5
  §20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.8; r2 = 0.737
          i
          0
10
             I              I
            20            30
             421010055
40
                                                       seas
                                                        •  DJF
                                                        •  JJA
                                                        •  MAM
                                                        •  SON
Figure 141:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421010055 and 421010055.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data,  along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witR'efata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1: Washington State 1:  Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 421250005 & 420030064
    60-

    40-
  10

  0-
    20-
     o-
                                              SiteJD
                                                 420030064
                                                 421250005
         8
          I          I         I          I          I          I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                delta  19.927km
                                        •
    60-
                   m = 0.94; r2 = 0.381
    40-
    20-
     o-
          I
          0
20
40
60
                                                  seas
                                                   •  DJF
                                                   •  JJA
                                                   •  MAM
                                                   •  SON
                                      421250005
Figure 142:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421250005 and 421250005. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'cPata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1: Washington State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 421250200 & 421250005
    30-
    20-
  10

  0-
    10-
     o-
          I         I          I          I          I         I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
   SiteJD
      421250005
      421250200
    30-
    20-
  §
  fl
    10-
     o-
                                delta 30.672 km
                   m = 0.9; r2 = 0^78
                                           •        •
                                      ...     A    .•'
                                       %  V V •*•••  /
                           •

          i
          0
 I                    I
10                  20
        421250200
30
       seas
        •  DJF
        •  JJA
        •  MAM
        •  SON
Figure 143: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421250200 and 421250200. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'aata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1 : Washington State 1 :  Pennsylvania
                     Sites: 421 255001 & 421250200
    30-

    20-
  10

  0-
        '•* •••:-  •       .:.       : i   '   ;      ••>
    10-
0    i
  01/01/12
              07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13
                                   DATE
                                                 i          i          i
                                              01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                delta 33.443 km
    30-
                   m = 0.82; r2 = 0.538
    20-
o
o
8
    10-
     o-
          I
          0
                             i                      i
                             10                    20
                                    421255001
                                                                        SiteJD
                                                                            421250200
                                                                            421255001
                                                                    30
                                                                               seas
                                                                                •  DJF
                                                                                •  JJA
                                                                                •  MAM
                                                                                •  SON
Figure 144:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421255001 and 421255001. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'd'ata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
            County 1: Westmoreland State 1: Pennsylvania
                    Sites: 421290008 & 420030064
    60-

    40-
  10

  D.
    20-
     o-
                         SiteJD
                            420030064
                            421290008
         i          i         i          i         i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                    DATE
    60-
    40-
    20-
     o-
                               delta 30.834 km
                   m = 0.9; r2 = 0.329
                    •*.
                •     »•
              -VSi:
                            20
40
                                     421290008
60
                             seas
                              •  DJF
                              •  JJA
                              •  MAM
                              •  SON
Figure 145: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421290008 and 421290008. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'cPata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    50-
                  County 1: York State 1: Pennsylvania
                     Sites:  421330008 & 420430401

    40-
    30-
  10

  D.
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                        SiteJD
                                                           420430401
                                                           421330008
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                delta 33.782 km
    50-


    40-


  ^30-
  O
  s
  §
    20-


    10-


     o-
m = 0.96; r2 = 0.704
          i
          0
               20          30
                   421330008
 i
40
50
                                                            seas
                                                             •  DJF
                                                             •  JJA
                                                             •  MAM
                                                             •  SON
Figure 146:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 421330008 and 421330008. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'data points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County 1:  Kent State  1: Rhode Island
                     Sites: 440030002 & 440070022
    40-
    30-
   '20-
    10-
     0-
                                    SiteJD
                                        440030002
                                        440070022
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 33.186 km
    40-
    30-
  g
  §20-
  5
    10-
     o-
                     m = 0.93; r2 = 0.532
                             • •
        •  .••   <  ••
  •   •.  V  ••  V
• ••*•*      . -X
                                         seas
                                          •  DJF
                                          •  JJA
                                          •  MAM
                                          •  SON
                          10
  20
440030002
                                     30
40
Figure 147:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 440030002 and 440030002. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim'cfata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1: Providence State 1: Rhode Island
                     Sites: 440070022 & 440071010
    40-
    30-
    10-
     o-
                             I
                                                                          SiteJD
                                                                              440070022
                                                                              440071010
          i         i          i          i          i          i         i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                 delta 5.871 km
    40-
    30-
  o
  o
  |20-
    10-
     o-
                    m = 1; r2 = 0.894
                                                       seas
                                                        •  DJF
                                                        •  JJA
                                                        •  MAM
                                                        •  SON
          i
          0
i
( I
20
440070022
30
40
Figure 148:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 440070022 and 440070022. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn'aata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
             County 1: Charleston State 1: South Carolina
                     Sites: 450190048 & 450190049
    40-
    30-
  10


  0-
    20-
    10-
     o-
                                                   SiteJD

                                                       450190048

                                                     •  450190049
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 23.295 km
    40-
    30-
  8
  05
    20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.67; r2 = 0.626
          i
          0
i
10
 I             I
20           30
  450190048
 i
40
                                                        seas

                                                         •  DJF

                                                         •  JJA

                                                         •  MAM

                                                         •  SON
Figure 149:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 450190048 and 450190048. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn9$ata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1: Greenville State 1: South Carolina
                     Sites: 450450015 & 450830011
    30-
    20-
  10

  0-
    10-
                                            SiteJD
                                                450450015
                                              •  450830011
                                               a**«r«     tt
                                               «**t      •       * $
     o-
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 46.412 km
    30-
                   m = 0.9; r2 = 0.866
    20-
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
10
20
30
                                                 seas
                                                  •  DJF
                                                  •  JJA
                                                  •  MAM
                                                  •  SON
                                      450450015
Figure 150:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 450450015 and 450450015.  Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data,  along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^iata points are colored by month.

-------
     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
              County 1:  Lexington State 1: South Carolina
                     Sites: 450630008 & 450790019
    30-
  S20-
  a.
    10-
     o-
                                               SiteJD
                                                   450630008
                                                 •  450790019
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13
         07/01/13
           DATE
        01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                delta 13.767 km
    30-
  3
    20-
    10-
     o-
          i
          0
                   m = 0.86; r2 = 0.851
i
10
      i
     20
450630008
30
                                                    seas
                                                     •  DJF
                                                     •  JJA
                                                     •  MAM
                                                     •  SON
Figure 151:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 450630008 and 450630008. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^feta points are colored by month.

-------
    Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                 County 1: Harris State 1: Texas
                 Sites: 482011035 & 482011039
   30-
   20-
  10

  D.
   10-
                         •
       *                 •
       • I                *          •  * •    .
       f *     *      *              *  * •
•   • •             ,/•                •    •
    • * **•    *  •   •*,!!    «**•  *  *••  •
•"\*«h«i     '    S*-*..:^    '
                                               SiteJD
                                                  482011035
                                                  482011039
          r*
va
              x sw
             • .<
                .'•;•*••
                                * n    :
                                 **»•   .
                                                   seas
                                                    •  DJF
                                                    •  JJA
                                                    •  MAM
                                                    •  SON
        i
        0
               10              20
                       482011035
                                         i
                                         30
Figure 152: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 482011035 and 482011035. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim^Pata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                    County 1: Salt Lake State  1: Utah
                     Sites: 490353006 & 490353010
    60-
    40-
  10


  0-
    20-
     o-
                                              SiteJD

                                                 490353006

                                               • 490353010
          i          i          i          i          i         i          i
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta 7.274 km
    60-
                   m = 0.92; r2 = 0.888
    40-
    20-
     o-
                                                  seas

                                                   •  DJF

                                                   •  JJA

                                                   •  MAM

                                                   •  SON
          i
          0
 i
20
 i
40
60
                                      490353006
Figure 153: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 490353006 and 490353006. Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn<^rata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                       County 1: Utah State 1: Utah
             ^^  Sites: 490490002 & 490494001
    120-
     80-
  10

  0-
     40-
      o-
     SiteJD
        490490002
      • 490494001
           I         I          I          I          I         I          I
       01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                 delta 10.672 km
                     m = 1; r2 = 0.934
    100-
     50-
      o-
                              40                  80
                                       490490002
120
         seas
          •  DJF
          •  JJA
          •  MAM
          •  SON
Figure 154: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 490490002 and 490490002. Top panel shows time series for
both sites  for years 2012-2014. Bottom  panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                     County 1: Weber State  1: Utah
                     Sites: 490570002 & 490353010

    80-
    60-
10


0.
    20-
     o-   •
                              »«
                                       •
                                                                          SiteJD

                                                                              490353010

                                                                           •  490570002
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta47.136km
    60-
    40-
    20-
     o-
                   m = 0.97; r2 = 0.784
          i
          0
                          20
 i
40
                                                                             seas

                                                                              •  DJF

                                                                              •  JJA

                                                                              •  MAM

                                                                              •  SON
60
                                      490570002
Figure 155:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 490570002 and 490570002. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), wim^Pata points are colored by month.

-------
      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County  1: Pierce State 1: Washington
                     Sites: 530530029 & 530332004
    40-




    30-


  10

  °-20-




    10-




     o-
                                                   SiteJD

                                                      530332004

                                                    •  530530029
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                      DATE
                                delta 27.817 km
    40-
    30-
   !20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.73; r2 = 0.81

          i
          0
 i
10
20
530530029
30
 i
40
                                                       seas

                                                        •  DJF

                                                        •  JJA

                                                        •  MAM

                                                        •  SON
Figure 156:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 530530029 and 530530029. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County  1: Snohomish State  1: Washington
                     Sites: 530610005 & 530330080
    30-
                                                                  -
    20-
  10

  D.
    10-
     o-
                         SiteJD
                            530330080
                          •  530610005
          i         i          i          i          i         i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13  07/01/13   01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta26.519km
    30-
    20-

    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.57; r2 = 0.561
                              •   •
                                           • •
                       «  •
                             10
20
30
                                      530610005
                             seas
                              •  DJF
                              •  JJA
                              •  MAM
                              •  SON
Figure 157: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 530610005 and 530610005. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^fata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Snohomish State 1: Washington
                     Sites: 530610020 & 530611007
    60-
    40-
  10

  0-


    20-
                                            •h>
                                                                 *•
                 •:*•
                 r
      SiteJD
          530610020
        •  530611007
     o-
          I         I          I         I          I          I         I
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                               delta 47.348 km
    60-
                  m = 0.58; r2 = 0.368
    40-
  r~-
  o
  o
    20-
     o-
                                 •.
                            20
 i
40
60
                              seas
                               •  DJF
                               •  JJA
                               •  MAM
                               •  SON
                                     530610020
Figure 158: Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 530610020 and 530610020. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014. Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^«ata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
               County 1: Snohomish State 1:  Washington
                     Sites: 530611007 & 530610005
    60-
    40-
  10

  0-
    20-
     o-
          I          I
      01/01/12   07/01/12
                                                SiteJD
                                                    530610005
                                                 •  530611007
   i          i          i          i         i
01/01/13   07/01/13    01/01/14   07/01/14   01/01/15
           DATE
    60-
    40-

    20-
     o-
          i
          0
                                delta 29.645 km
                   m = 0.65; r2 = 0.739
  20
 i
40
60
                                                     seas
                                                      •  DJF
                                                      •  JJA
                                                      •  MAM
                                                      •  SON
                                      530611007
Figure 159:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 530611007 and 530611007. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witn^cfata points are colored by month.

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      Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
                  County 1: Brown State 1: Wisconsin
                     Sites: 550090005 & 550870009
    40-                    •
    30-
   '•20-
    10-
     o-
                                                <
                                                 SiteJD
                                         *f*         550090005
                                                  •  550870009
          i          i         i          i          i          i          i
      01/01/12   07/01/12   01/01/13   07/01/13   01/01/14  07/01/14   01/01/15
                                     DATE
                                delta 38.931 km
    40-
    30-
  CT)
  O
  g
   i20-
    10-
     o-
                   m = 0.93; r2 = 0.913
          i
          0
i
IQ
   i
  20
550090005
30
 i
40
                                                      seas
                                                       •  DJF
                                                       •  JJA
                                                       •  MAM
                                                       •  SON
Figure 160:  Comparison of PM2.5 data for sites 550090005 and 550090005. Top panel shows time series for
both sites for years 2012-2014.  Bottom panel shows scatter plot of paired data, along with slope for the
linear regression and correlation coefficient (r2), witnniata points are colored by month.

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016






5   Comparison of air quality variability for ozone sensitivity tests



Results from the ozone sensitivity analysis discussed in Section 2.2.3.




5.1  All available data, no quarterly subsets

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
    2013_files_no_QT_all_sens_test  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
CO
0
y 4% -
  0

 JS 2% -
  0
             mean 1.512%
                                   itledian 1.427%
          40
                        60                80
                          4th 8-hr high NAAQS
                                                           100
          2013_files_no_QT_all_sens_test bootstrap 50th percentile uncert
  0
  o
            mean 1.075
                                            median 1.000
    2-
  O
  C/3
 JD
  TO
    0-
                              60                   80
                                   4th 8-hr high NAAQS

                          4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)
                                                                   100
  to
50-

45-

40-

35-

30-

25-
               -120
                              -100
                                                    -80
                                     long
Figure 161: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2013 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with
the mean and median bootstrap DVs. The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel
shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution
of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.
                                         193

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
5.2   All available data, with quarterly subsets
                                          194

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     Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
        2013_files_QT_sens_test bootstrap 50th percentile uncert

                    mean 1.517%          median 1.423%
 .E 4%
  CO
 t

  o 3%



 12%
 -I—*
 _co
 .E 3-
  CD
 tr
  0
  o
    2-
  0>
  -I—•


  "o

  .Q
  CD
1-
    0-
  CD
50-



45-



40-



35-



30-



25-
          30
         30
                      50              70

                           4th 8-hr high NAAQS
          90
      110
              2013_files_QT_sens_test  bootstrap 50th percentile uncert

                                                 •
                       mean 1.073                median 1.000
                        50
70
90
110
                                    4th 8-hr high NAAQS


                          4th MDA8, rel uncert (%)
                                 2.0%


                                 1.5%


                                 1.0%


                                 0.5%


                                 0.0%
               -120
                               -100
        -80
                                      long
Figure 162: Bootstrap results for the ozone 2013 DVs, showing the 25%, 50%, 75%, and 95% CIs, along with

the mean and median bootstrap DVs.  The top panel shows the DVs at the various CIs, the middle panel

shows the relative difference between the CI and the actual DV, and the bottom panel shows the distribution

of the relative differences between the CI and the actual DV.

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Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016

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 Does Not Represent Final Agency Action; Draft for Public Review & Comment, July 29, 2016
United States                              Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards             Publication No. EPA-454/D-16-001b
Environmental Protection                          Air Quality Analysis Division                                            July, 2016
Agency                                          Research Triangle Park, NC

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