United Status      Office of the Administrator  EPA SAB RSAC 89-025
   irtvironmerrtal Protection Science Advisory Board   August 1S8S
   Agency        Washington, D.C. 20460
&EPA       Report of the
              Skills Mix
              Subcommittee
              Evaluating ORD's
              Preliminary Skills
              Mix Assessment

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,
              UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                          WASHINGTON, O,C. 20460

** "***' •                                           EM-SAB-RSAC-S9-Q25
  August 8, 1989  '


 The  Honorable William K.  Reilly                           OFF, CEO.'
  __..,,                                             THE AQMlM -«Tt» A TOR
 Administrator
 U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency
 401  M.  Street,  S.W.
 Washington,  D.C.   20460

 Dear Mr,  Reilly:

       The  Skills Mix  Subcommittee of the Science Advisory Board's
 Research  strategies  Advisory Committee (RS&C)  has completed its
 review of the Office of  Research and  Development's (ORD's)
  "Preliminary Analysis of the Skill Mix Inventory of Lab
 Researchers".   This  preliminary analysis is the first step  in a
 process that will  identify needed changes in EPA's work force to
 allow successful  implementation of ongoing and future research.
 The  review was  requested by the Honorable James Scheuer,
 Chairman,  Committee  on Science, Space and Technology,
 Subcommittee on Natural  Resources, Agricultural Research and
 Environment, at an oversight hearing  on EPA's R&D FY'89 Budget
 held on April 21,  1988.   The Subcommittee's findings were
 discussed in part  with Rep.  Scheuer at a March 21, 1989 hearing,

       The  SAB Subcommittee concludes that a significant decrease
 in   research personnel has taken place since 1980, a period of
 escalating environmental problems and concern.  Of remaining
 personnel, only 43%  actually conduct  research, as
 responsibilities  shift to management  of extramural research.  In
 addition,  analysis of the distribution of researchers indicates
 an aging  population,

       Recommendations are provided to  clarify and refine the
 skills mix data to provide for a better assessment of skills
 needed to accomplish current and future tasks.  These refinements
 will allow for  better decision-making on new employment,  staff
 training  and extramural  assistance.

       Finally, the  Subcommittee recommends that the Agency
 reinstate or develop support mechanisms for graduate training
 programs.  This support  is essential  for maintaining and
 improving the quality of researchers  currently at EPA and also to
 insuring  an  adequate supply of future researchers with necessary
 environmental skills.

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     The Subcommittee appreciates the opportunity to conduct this
scientific review.  We  request that the Agency  formally  respond
to the scientific advice transmitted in the attached report.

                                     Sincerely,
                                                        chairman
                                     Science Advisory Board
                                     Mr.  Al Aim,  Chairman
                                     Research Strategies Advisory
                                       Committee
                                             /  /
                                    / Dr. John Neuhold, Chairman
                                     Skills Mix Subcommittee
Enclosure
cc;  Don Barnes
     Tom Hadd
     Joyce Stiles
     Erich Brettauer

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                            ABSTRACT


     This report presents the conclusions and  recommendations  of
the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Science Advisory Board
summarizing a review of IPA's "Preliminary Analysis of  the Skill
Mix  Inventory  of  Lab  Researchers",   The  Board considers  this
preliminary analysis to be a logical first step in a process that
will  identify  needed  changes  in EPA'S  work  force  to  allow
successful implementation of ongoing and  future research. As  a
result  of  the  analysis,  the SAB concluded that a  significant
decrease in research personnel has taken place  during a period  of
escalating environmental  concern*   Recommendations are provided
to clarify and  refine the  skills mix data  to provide a  better
assessment of the skills needed to  accomplish  current  and future
research tasks,  and to develop  support mechanisms for graduate
training programs for insuring an adequate  supply of  researchers
for solving future environmental problems.

Key Words;  Research, Research Personnel, Skills

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              U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

                             NOTICE

     This report has been written as a part of  the activities of
the  Science  Advisory  Board,  a public  advisory group  providing
extramural scientific information and advice to the Administrator
and other officials of the Environmental Protection Agency,   The
Board is  structured to provide a  balanced expert  assessment of
scientific matters  related to  problems  facing the Agency.   This
report has  not been  reviewed for  approval by  the Agency;  and
hence, the contents of this  report do not  necessarily  represent
the views and policies of the  Environmental Protection  Agency or
other agencies in Federal government.  Mention  of  trade names or
commercial produces does not constitute a recommendation for use.

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              U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                     SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD
                     SKILLS MIX SUBCOMMITTEE
                             ROSTER
CHAIRMAN

Dr. John Neuhold
Department of Fisheries and Wildlife
College of Natural Resources
Utah State University
Logan, Utah  84322-5200

MEMBERS

Mr, Richard Conway
Union Carbide Corporation
South Charleston Technical Center
3200 Kanawha Turnpike (Bldg. 770)
South Charleston, West Virginia  25303

Dr. Mort Lippmann
Institute of Environmental Medicine
New York University
Lanza Laboratory
Long Meadow Road
Tuxedo, New York: 10987

Dr. Raymond Loehr
Department of civil Engineering
8.614 ECJ Hall
University of Texas
Austin, Texas 78712

Dr, Rolf Hartung
Professor of Environmental Toxicology
3125 Fernwood Avenue
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, Michigan  48108-1955

BCIEHCl AOVI80RY BOARD STAFF

Ms. Janis c. Kurtz
Environmental Scientist and Executive Secretary
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Science Advisory Board
401 M Street, S.W* - A101F
Washington, D.C.  20460

Mrs. Dorothy Clark
Secretary to the Executive Secretary

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                        TABLE OF CONTENTS
1*0  Executive Summary	1

2 4 0  Introduction  ....................2
     2.1  Request for Science Advisory Board Review        2
     2.2  Charge                                           2
     2.3  Subcommittee Review Procedures                   2

3.0  Current Status of QRD Personnel 	 3
     3,1  Decline in Research Staff                        3
     3.2  Education Level                                  3
     3.3  Skill Group Categories                           4
     3.4  GS/GM Level Distributions and Retirement         4
            Eligibility
     3.5  Skills Mix Analysis Criteria                     4

4.0  Training	5
   APPENDICES

     A    "Preliminary Analysis - Sfcills Mix Inventory of
               Laboratory Resources: Introduction"

     B    Testimony of Dr. John Neuhold, March 21, 1989
               to members of the Congressional Subcommittee
               on Natural Resources, Agriculture, Research and.
               Environment

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1-0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

     EPA's Office of  Research  and Development  (ORD)  prepared  a
document  entitled   "Preliminary  Analysis  of  the  Skill  Mix
Inventory of Lab Researchers11.  This document was reviewed by the
Skills Mix Subcommittee of the Science Advisory Board's Research
Strategies  Advisory  Committee  (RSAC).   Both  actions were in
response to a request  by  the  Honorable  James Scheuer, Chairman,
Committee on Science, Space  and Technology,  Subcommittee on
Natural Resources, Agricultural Research and  Environment,  at an
oversight hearing on  EPA's RSD FY'89 Budget held on April  21,
1988.

     The SAB Subcommittee  concluded from the data provided that
an overall- decrease of about  17% has  talcen place  in research
personnel since 1980,  Of  the  remaining personnel,  only  43%  are
defined  as actually  conducting research.  These  trends have
occurred during a time of escalating  environmental  problems  and
concern.

     The   Subcommittee also points to  the  need  for additional
clarification of  the  skills represented by  researchers  and  the
tasks  actually  being  conducted.   More  refined  analysis  would
allow more targeted  assessment  of  the additional skills needed to
accomplish current and future research tasks.  Another conclusion
from  the  data  provided  is that  the Agency has  a  work  force
distribution characteristic  of an  aging population,  with
relatively few  recent university graduates  and  many scientists
approaching retirement.

     The Subcommittee recommends  that  future  skills mix analyses
be more  refined  as  to disciplinary  categories  and  that  these
categories relate to  the  core  research  needs  defined  by  the
Agency's research strategy.   This refinement will  allow ORD to
make  better  decisions  on new  employment,  staff training
requirements,  and extramural assistance.

     Finally,  the Subcommittee  recommends that the Agency provide
or reinstate support for graduate  training programs.    These
programs  are  essential to developing  and  retaining expertise
among existing research staff, and in ensuring  that an adequate
supply of essential  environmental skills is available for future
research staff.

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2.1  Request for Science advisory Board Review

     The EPA  Science  Advisory  Board Committee on  Budget  Review
has, for a number of years, been recommending that the Office of
Research and  Development  (ORD) critically  assess  its  existing
research manpower.   Concern has  been expressed  that the  work
force was  aging, that  it did  not  have an  appropriate  mix  of
skills for the  tasks  it was asked to perform and  that,  in some
disciplines,  it  was  too  weak to  conduct  effective research
efforts.

     During a hearing  on EPA's  1989  ORD budget, the Congressional
Committee  on Science,   Space  and  Technology subcommittee  on
Natural  Resources,  Agriculture,   Research  and  Environment
requested that a skills  mix analysis be undertaken by the Agency.
The  ORD  subsequently  produced  a  report entitled,  "Preliminary
Analysis - Skills Mix Inventory of  Laboratory Resources",  which
is the first  step towards  fulfilling this request*   The  Science
Advisory Board was asked to review this document,  and the Skills
Mix  Subcommittee  of  the  SAB's Research Strategies Advisory
Committee was established to perform the review.


2.2  charge

     The Skills Mix Subcommittee was charged  with evaluating the
scientific and  technical  mix  of  personnel  that  are  currently
employed by IPA  Research and  Development  Laboratories.   The
breadth of disciplinary  coverage was examined in light of current
research programs.   The mix  of  scientific and engineering
specialties was  considered with regard to  future directions and
new core research program  emphasis  within  ORD.    In  addition to
the critique,  the Subcommittee  was asked  to  suggest criteria for
doing an in-depth skills mix analysis.


                  Review Procedures
     The Skills Mix  Subcommittee  met on  March  23,  1989,  in
Washington,  D.C.   The document  for review had  been  previously
supplied to SAB Subcommittee members for background information.
The Introductory chapter  of  this  document is attached as Appendix
A.

     The SAB  Subcommittee  discussed  the document,  providing
recommendations and  conclusions  to  the Chairman  prior to  the
meeting.  These comments were  assembled into  a  testimony,  which
was provided to the members of the Congressional Subcommittee on
Natural Resources,  Agriculture, Research and Environment on March
21, 1989.   A  copy of this testimony is provided  in Appendix B.
At the  March  23rd meeting,  SAB  Subcommittee  members  questioned
ORD  staff,  and held further discussions.    A  draft report

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detailing their findings was circulated for concurrence  prior to
issuance of this final report.


3.0  CURRENT STATUS OF ORD PERSONNEL

3.1  Decline in Research Staff

     The ORD personnel that are the subject of the analysis under
review  include  laboratory  researchers  within  QRD's  sixteen
research organizations.   Not included  are personnel assigned to
Headquarters  staff  and  support  offices,  contract  support
personnel, and personnel supported by cooperative or interagency
agreements.  This work force has declined from some 2300 in 1980
to  just under  1800  people  presently.    This  decline occurred
during a period of  mounting  environmental  issues,  a burden that
had be  carried  with a seriously impaired budget  in addition to
the  diminished  work  force.   The  result  has been  a  greater
reliance  on  extra-mural contractual and  cooperative  agreements
and  consequently  an  increased project management  load  on  the
Agency's research scientists.

     This   decrease   in  personnel,   and   the   changes   in
responsibility of those remaining,  is borne out in the analysis.
Of  the  1798 positions  in  ORD, 1134  are  classified  in  the
researcher series and only 767  or 68% (43% of the total ORD work
force) are identified as actually engaged in research.   Research
organization managers  and project  officers are not included in
the 767.  This factor may have  resulted in an under-estimation of
the  size  of the  actual wor3c force, since at  least  project
managers  may actively  participate  in research.    Planning  and
monitoring is  part of  the  research  process.    Project managers
must be competent scientists to write specifications  for requests
for proposal  (RFPs),  to evaluate proposals for research and to
monitor the progress of research.  An understanding  of  the limits
of the science is necessary to  accomplish  this work  effectively.


3«2 Education Level

     The  report  does  not clarify the  specific  technical skills
that  are represented  among  the 767 researchers  identified,  or
what tasks they are engaged  in.  The level of education attained
by the  group would suggest that either an  inordinate  number of
individuals are under educated for  research  activity in  science
(only 50%  have  terminal  doctorates)  or the number also includes
technicians carrying out  the directives of  the  scientists.
whichever is the case, and for  the purpose of being  explicit, the
Subcommittee recommends  that a distinction be  made between the
discipline  of the  scientist  and  the skill  of  the  technician
supporting the scientist.  Both are needed for effective research
but the levels of education and experience  necessary  are quite
different.

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     In addition, the reason  for  the large variation in percent
PhDs among the, laboratories needs  also to be  clarified.  Why does
the ERL at Corvallis claim 94%  PhDs among  its researchers while
HEEL at Cincinnati only 23%?  The difference might be due to the
level  of  education  necessary  for  skills  specific  to  the
laboratory,  but  future analyses  should seelc to  explain those
differences.


3«3  Skill Group categories

     The categories of skills presented by  laboratory is not very
revealing although  it  does give the sense  that  the  ratio  of
research  production  workers  to  administrative  staff  is about
right  (4.7  to 1) .   It also shows  that some  69  positions are
vacant  and  suggests  some  flexibility  in  accomplishing  a more
appropriate skill mix for changing issues.

     A more useful approach may be to identify disciplines within
each skill group and compare these  disciplines to the Agency's
research tasks.   Such  an  approach  would allow determination  of
additional skills needed to accommodate the research  tasks.


3«* GS/GM Level distributions and  Retirement  Eligibility

     An analysis of the  distribution of  the researchers among
GS/GM grades,  assuming a correlation between  grade  and age, would
indicate that the Agency is suffering from  a  distribution  charac-
teristic of an  aging  population.   GS/GM grades for entry level
PhDs are usually at the GS/GM 11-12 grade  levels but constitute
only  12 and  19 percent  of  the  total  researcher  population,
respectively.   The  considerable variation  that exists among the
laboratories needs explanation.

     Analysis of the other end  of  the population  distribution
shows that 16% of the researchers  will be eligible  for retirement
within the next three years.  Assuming an average lifetime tenure
of  25  years,  one would expect  about 10%  of the researchers  to
become  eligible for retirement during a  three  year  period.
Again,  considerable  variation exists  among the  laboratories
ranging from  0%  to 35% eligible  for retirement  by 1992.   Early
retirement opportunities could exacerbate the problem.


3*5  axilla Mix Analysis Criteria

     It is clear that this  preliminary analysis does  not  address
the skills mix quest-ion  adequately.   The  assessment categories
are too general  to  be of much  value.    Categories for  future
skills mix analyses should be based on much more refined criteria
that are related to the disciplines  defined  by the core research
needs of the  Agency.   These core research  needs will be  related
to and determined by the Agency's research  strategy.

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     To  accommodate  this multidimensional  matrix,   it  will  be
necessary to identify the skills of the entire ORD personnel mix
(including extramural contractual arrangements)  to very specific
disciplines, e.g.:  engineers  should be  classified  at  least  to
civil,  mechanical,  environmental,  etc.;  biologists  to  soil
bacteriologists, virologists,  pharmacological toxicologists,
ecotoxicologists, plant  ecologists,  etc.;  social scientists  to
physical geographers, demographers,  natural resource economists,
etc.   This level  of specification  is necessary to adequately
accommodate the next level of  the analysis matrix.

     Research  issues (initiatives,  both  ongoing and  upcoming)
must  be  identified  and disaggregated  into  the  disciplines
necessary to  achieve the objectives  posed by  each initiative.
The disciplines should be identified at the same level of resolu-
tion as  those for the  skills mix above*   The  personnel  needs
identified by  full  time equivalents (FTEs) for each discipline
needed to achieve the objectives within a  given time frame must
also be  assessed.   Together these factors can  be applied  to a
comparison with the standing work force, including the extramural
efforts, to identify the areas of deficiency (mismatches between
skills  needed  and  skills   available),   From  this  position  of
knowledge, the Agency will  be better able to make  decisions on
new employment, staff  training requirements,  and extra-mural
assistance.
*•<»  TBAIHIKg

     In this section, an assumption is made that an analysis has
been  performed  to  reveal the mismatches between personnel
available and  personnel  needed.    These  mismatches  can  be
accommodated in  several ways  including  expanded extra-mural
efforts,  retraining and  upgrading existing personnel,  and
recruiting of  new researchers.   A  large  part of  this  effort,
however, will be centered in the training area.

     The Agency  should  make  wider use of  educational  leaves or
IPA assignments to retrain or enhance the training of its exist-
ing staff.  If the education level is low, it should be upgraded
using the IPA mechanism  or staff  should  be otherwise encouraged
to attain higher degree levels and  increased  knowledge  through
innovative programs promoting advancement opportunity.

     Potential researchers are only  available if  the  academic
machinery has been functioning  effectively to  produce them.   In
recent years this production  has been low,  primarily as  a result
of a  low market demand  in  the  Federal  Service.   Not  enough
essential environmental skills  are being  developed in  those
currently being  trained in the academic  pipeline  to meet  the
needs existing  in the  EPA and other  agencies (both state  and
federal).   Among the  skills  needed and  not being  produced in
adequate  supply   are   epidemiologists,   ecotoxicologists,
environmental engineers and ecologists.

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     Graduate training programs designed to meet the needs of the
Agency  (such  .as those  the  Agency  supported  at its  inception)
could well be reinstituted and/or training budgets could  be
included with research grants and contracts to meet the demand.

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                                                  APPENDIX A
                 HWIRQHMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                OFFICE OF RESEARCH mm DEVELOPMENT

                       PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS
          INVENTORY OF LABORATORY RESEARCHERS SKILL MIX

BACKGROOTIP

The Office of Research and Development has proposed the development
of  a  Core  Research Program  to  address  a new  generation  of
environmental  and  health  issues.   The  core  Research  Program
constitutes   a   fundamental change  to  the  existing  national
environmental   research   agenda.     This  preliminary  analysis
represents ORD's first step in a process to identify the recfuired
changes  to   our  existing  researcher  workforce   necessary  to
successfully  implement  the core Research Program  in combination
with ongoing program  support responsibilities.

METHODOLOGY

This  preliminary  skill  mix  inventory  focuses  on  laboratory
researchers  within ORDfs sixteen research organizations.   These
include:
        _the  six  Environmental  Research Laboratories  within the
     Office of Environmental Processes  and Effects  Research;
        the Risk Reduction  Engineering  Laboratory and the Air and
     Energy Engineering  Research Laboratory  within the Office of
     Environmental Engineering and Technology Demonstration;
        the two Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratories and
     the Atmospheric  Research and Exposure Assessment Laboratory
     within  the Office  of Modeling and  Monitoring  Systems  and
     Quality Assurance;
        the  Health Effects Research  Laboratory  within the Office
     of Health Research; and
     -  the two Environmental Criteria and Assessment Offices, the
     Human.  Health Assessment -Group  and the  Exposure Assessment
     Group   within  the  Office  of  Health and   Environmental
     Assessment.
This preliminary analysis  does  not  include personnel assigned to
Headquarters staff and support offices.  Also excluded are on-site
scientific  personnel  covered  under EPA  contracts,  cooperative
agreements and interagency  agreements.

Information for the analysis was obtained from three sources:
     QKD Office Directors;
     ORD Laboratory Directors; and
     the Agency's personnel database. .
Office and, Laboratory Directors provided mission statements, 5 to
7  year research  objectives based on the  core  research  program
proposal and  listings of research areas in priority order.  In

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addition, for  each  individual  they  designated  as  a "researcher",
the Laboratory Directors submitted biographical data and specified
primary skill  specialties.   Based on  the proposed objectives and
research  areas,   Laboratory  and  office  Directors   projected
increases,  decreases  and additions  to  the existing  skill  mix
inventory using the  skill designations listed,  by the  National
Research council. (See attached.)
CimREKTT LABORATORY SKILL MIX

Characterization of the overall laboratory workforce is based upon
job  series data  taken from  the Agency personnel  system.   The
Agency's personnel database was used to provide the framework for
overall laboratory staff composition by job series classification,
Supplementary  information has  been extracted, from  biographical
sketches to identify those researchers who; in addition to filling
a  position with  a  researcher  job  series  classification,  were
designated as researchers by the Laboratory Directors.

     DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL LABORATORY STAFF BY JOB CLASSIFICATION

     The Agency's personnel database lists 1134 T3er.sQim.el. out, of
     an ORP total of 179JJL, with researcher (scien^isi^s /engineers)
     job—.... series   ciassif i cat ions  within   the '  16   research
     organisations.     This   represents  63%   of  .the  available
     workforce, including personnel onboard and unfilled vacancies.
     Approximately 16% of the available workforce are in technical
     support  job series  and  21%  in  administrative  support  job
     series.

     DISTRIBUTION  OF  LABORATORY  RESEARCHERS AS  DESIGNATED  BY
     LABORATORY DIRECTORS

     Of  the  1134  individuals who  have researcher  job  series
     classifications within  the Agency's personnel database,  the.
     Laboratory   Directors   have   designated   767   as   actual
     researchers.   All actual researchers are in  researcher, job
     series.   This represents 68% of individuals  identified as
     having  researcher job  series.   Excluded  are personnel in
     scientist/engineer positions who exclusively manage extramural
     research  activities.   The remaining 32% of individuals  who
     have  researcher  job  series classifications  include research
     organization managers, project officers, trainees and research
 *   support staff.        •           "• - • •
                                11

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                      CHARACTERISTIC
The following is a summary of the major characteristics identified
for  the 76? _ researchers  designated  as  such  bv the  r.abof ^-hnry
Directors:
     Education Level
               PhD
               Masters
               Bachelors & Below
                    Total

     Science Disciplines
               Hfe Sciences
               Chemis try-
               Engineer ing
               Other
                    Total

     Grade Distribution
               Commissioned Corps
               GS-16 & Above
               GS-1S
               GS-14
               GS-13
               GS-12
               GS-11 & Below
                    Total

     Retirement Eligibility
               By 1990
               By 1992
Percentage
     50 %
     29 %
     21 %
    100 %

Percentage
     47 %
     28 %
     16 %
      9 %
    100 %

Percentage
      5 %
     
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          CONCLOSIOHS
/••"*"" •.
, .. :       This preliminary analysis Is the first step in an on-going process
          to focus on discreet staffing requirements to accomplish the newly
          defined  research  programs of  each  laboratory.   A  more In-depth
          laboratory-by-laboratory  analysis Is required to  more accurately
          define staffing requirements and to develop strategies to acquire
          those skins once defined.

          Next steps will include;

               1.  An  expansion of  detailed analyses  to address entire OSD
               workforce;

               2.  Development of options for the establishment of a targeted
               recruitment, development and re-training program  for OHD; and

               3.  Development  of a system for ongoing strategic management
               of the 01D workforce.
                                          IV

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                                                       Appendix B
                           STATEMENT BY
                        Dr. JOHN M.  NEUHOLD
               Chairman,  EPA Science Advisory  Board
       Committee on The Office of Research and Development
                        Skills Mix Review
                               and
                  Professor of Natural Resources
                      Utah State University
                           Logan, Utah

                          March 21,  1989

  Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: thank you for hearing
my  testimony on  the  efforts of  EPA's  Office  of  Research  and
Development (ORD)  to assess and manage its personnel skill mix. At
this point I wish to make clear that this statement is a personal
statement  based on  my reading  of the  Environmental  Protection
Agency's Office of  Research and Development report,  "Preliminary
Analysis - Skills Mix Inventory of  Laboratory Researchers," and QJI
telephone conversations with lay committee members who gave me their
preliminary  impressions.    We have  not  had  the opportunity  to
discuss  fully  the  document  among ourselves  and formulate  our
critique into an  official  report,  although  we will be meeting to
accomplish just that on  next Thursday.   Our official  report will
be transmitted to you as soon as possible after that meeting.

     I  would like  to preface a  discussion  of  the  skills  mix
analysis with the observation that  the work force of  the ORD has
declined from some  2,300  scientists and  support  staff in 1980 to
just under 1,800  people  presently.   This decline occurred during
a period when new environmental issues,  of increasing complexity,
were  being added  to the  Agency's responsibilities,  creating  a
burden that had to be carried with a seriously impaired budget as
well as a  diminished work force*  The result  has been  a greater
reliance  on  extramural  contractual  and  cooperative  agreement
arrangements, and consequently,  an increased  project management
load on the Agency's research scientists.

     This  decrease  in personnel and  the concomitant changes  in
responsibility of those remaining is borne out in the ORD analysis.
Of 1,798 positions  in  the research program,  1,134 are classified
in job series defined as "research," of which only 767 or 68% (43%
of the total ORD work force)  are  identified as actually engaged in
research.  Hot included in this 68% are the research managers and
project  officers,  which  may  be a  mistake,  since  it  is  these
personnel  who must  write specifications for   proposal  requests,
evaluate the  proposals and monitor project progress  to maximize
input  to  EPA's knowledge  base.   This can  only  be  accomplished
effectively   by   competent   scientists  who   understand   the
possibilities and limits of their science.

  Although  it  is  not  clear  from the  report what  skills  are
represented among the  767 researchers  or in what tasks they  are
engaged, the level of education attained by the group would suggest

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that either an inordinate number of individuals are undereducated
for research activity  (only 50%  have  terminal  doctorates)  or the
number also  includes technicians carrying out the  directives of
scientists.  Whichever  is the case  (and for  the  purpose of being
explicit},  I would  recommend that,  of those  staff engaged in
research activity,  a distinction be made between  the scientific
discipline  of the  scientist  and the  skill  of the  technician
supporting the scientist.  Both are needed for effective research
but the  levels of  education and experience necessary  are quite
different.

     The reason for the large variation among the laboratories in
the percent of the workforce holding the PhD degree  also needs to
be clarified.  Why  does the Environmental Research Laboratory at
Corvallis  claim  94% PhDs among  its  researchers, while  the Risk
Reduction  Engineering Laboratory  at Cincinnati reports  only 23%?
The differences might be due to  the level of education  necessary
for  skills   specific   to  the  laboratories,  or   in   the  way
"researchers" were identified, but future analyses should seek to
explain those differences.

     The skill group breakout by  laboratory is not very revealing,
although  it does give  the  sense  that  the ratio of  research
production workers to administrative staff is about right (4.7 to
1) .  It also' shows that some 69 positions are vacant and suggests
some flexibility  in acquiring a more  appropriate  skill  mix to
address changing  issues.  Identifying the disciplines within each
skill group  needed to  address the research  tasks posed  to  the
Agency  would  be  a more   useful  approach  to  determining  the
additional skills needed.

     An analysis of the distribution of researchers among the GS/GM
grades,  assuming  a correlation  between grade  and  age,  would
indicate  that  the  Agency  is  suffering  from  a  distribution
characteristic of an aging  population.   GS/GM Grades  for entry
level  PhDs are  usually at the  GS/GM 11-12  grade levels,  but
constitute  only  12  and  19  percent   of  the  total  researcher
population respectively.    Again,  considerable variation  exists
among the laboratories.  We ought to know why.

     Analysis of the other end of the population distribution shows
that 16% of the researchers  will be eligible for retirement within
the next three years.   Assuming  an average lifetime tenure of 25
years one would expect only about 10% of the researchers to become
eligible for retirement during a three year  period.   Considerable
variation  exists  among  the laboratories, ranging from  0%  to  35%
eligible for retirement by  1992.  Early retirement opportunities
would exacerbate  the problem further.

     I understand that the ORD report is preliminary, and is based
upon a  rather hurried  analysis  in  face of  a rapidly  changing
research scene.   It is useful in revealing some broad  personnel
issues.  However, the analysis needs to become much more specific
to be a very meaningful in treating the skills mix question.  One

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might consider constructing  a  multidimensional  matrix  relating
skill,  discipline,   and  research  issues  among  the   several
laboratories.

     This type of an analysis is extremely important for achieving
the appropriate skill mix  for the  Agency,  it can  serve  to guide
the  Agency  in  its  internal training  program,  including  IPA
assignments and educational  leaves for upgrading and  retraining;
it  can  serve  as the  basis  for  new hires  and  for  instituting
extramural  training programs  designed to  provide a source  of
appropriately trained people for  the Agency.  For a  program the
size of EPA's ORD,  a personnel skills mix  effort should  become a
permanently staffed  and  funded part of ORD*s research management
effort.

     Thank you,  Mr.  Chairman. I would be  pleased  to  answer any
questions you may have.

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