Evaluating Ozone Control Programs in the Eastern United States: Focus on the NOx Budget Trading Program, 2004 State and Local Information for EPA Region 5 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Air and Radiation Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards October 2005 ------- Illinois Emissions State total emissions of NOx and VOCs have decreased from 1997 to 2004. After 2002 the largest emission reductions were NOx emissions from power generating sources. Ozone Season (May-September) Emission Totals by Major Source Categories (tons) Source Category 1997 2002 2004 NOx Emissions Power Industry 151,738 89,884 40,975 Mobile On-Road 143,186 117,854 106,553 Other 152,316 131,154 140,867 VOC Emissions Mobile On-Road 98,930 69,826 62,442 Solvent Usage 134,333 100,136 99,535 Other 119,601 97,299 93,843 The emissions data used in the report are measured or estimated values from EPA's National Emissions Inventory (NEI). Starting in 1997, the NEI incorporated power industry data measured by the Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). For 2002, the preliminary version of the NEI was used, which includes the 2002 CEMS data, but does not include 2002 data for other sources submitted by state, local, and tribal air agencies. EPA used CEMS data for the power industry for 2003 and 2004. Emissions for other sources for that period were estimated by interpolating between the 2002 preliminary NEI data and a projected 2010 emission inventory developed to support the Clean Air Interstate Rule. For additional information use the following online resources: National Emissions Inventory (NEI): www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net. Emissions data for the power industry: http://cfpub.epa.gov/gdm . Information on mobile sources: www.epa.gov/otaq . ------- Ozone On average, ozone has declined between 1997 and 2004. These improvements in ozone are in response to both state and regional reductions in NOx and VOC emissions. The level of ozone improvement varies from site to site. Highest Fourth Daily Maximum 8-hour Ozone Concentration by Metropolitan Statistical Area, 1997, 20C 2 and 2004 Metropolitan Statistical Area 1997 03 8-hr (ppm) 2002 03 8-hr (ppm) 2004 03 8-hr (ppm) Chicago. IL PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Bloomington—Normal. IL MSA 0.09 0.07 Champaign-Urbana, IL MSA 0.08 0.08 0.06 Davenport—Moline—Rock Island, IA--IL MSA 0.07 0.08 0.07 Decatur, IL MSA 0.08 0.09 0.06 Peoria—Pekin, IL MSA 0.07 0.08 0.07 Rockford, IL MSA 0.07 0.08 0.06 St. Louis, MO--IL MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Springfield, IL MSA 0.07 0.08 0.06 Level of the NAAQS is .08 ppm. Units are parts per million (ppm). Notes: • Data from exceptional events are not included. • The reader is cautioned that this summary is not adequate in itself to numerically rank MSAs according to their air quality. • The monitoring data represent the quality of air in the vicinity of the monitoring site and, for some pollutants, may not necessarily represent urban-wide air quality. ------- Trends for 1997-2004 with 95 percent confidence limits are presented below. Ozone season averages of daily maximum 8-hour ozone were adjusted to remove the influence of year-to-year variability in meteorology. Seasonal Average 8-hour Ozone Trends Chicago, IL Bondville (BVL130) Alhambra (ALH157) ------- Indiana Emissions State total emissions of NOx and VOCs have decreased from 1997 to 2004. After 2002 the largest emission reductions were NOx emissions from power generating sources. Ozone Season (May-September) Emission Totals by Major Source Categories (tons) Source Category 1997 2002 2004 NOx Emissions Power Industry 166,856 126,350 68,396 Mobile On-Road 106,197 90,263 81,273 Other 79,732 95,784 103,855 VOC Emissions Mobile On-Road 71,909 55,100 49,152 Solvent Usage 85,095 78,007 77,241 Other 67,914 67,782 65,799 The emissions data used in the report are measured or estimated values from EPA's National Emissions Inventory (NEI). Starting in 1997, the NEI incorporated power industry data measured by the Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). For 2002, the preliminary version of the NEI was used, which includes the 2002 CEMS data, but does not include 2002 data for other sources submitted by state, local, and tribal air agencies. EPA used CEMS data for the power industry for 2003 and 2004. Emissions for other sources for that period were estimated by interpolating between the 2002 preliminary NEI data and a projected 2010 emission inventory developed to support the Clean Air Interstate Rule. For additional information use the following online resources: National Emissions Inventory (NEI): www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net. Emissions data for the power industry: http://cfpub.epa.gov/gdm . Information on mobile sources: www.epa.gov/otaq . ------- Ozone On average, ozone has declined between 1997 and 2004. These improvements in ozone are in response to both state and regional reductions in NOx and VOC emissions. The level of ozone improvement varies from site to site. Highest Fourth Daily Maximum 8-hour Ozone Concentration by Metropolitan Statistical Area, 1997, 2C )02 and 200^ Metropolitan Statistical Area 1997 03 8-hr (ppm) 2002 03 8-hr (ppm) 2004 03 8-hr (ppm) Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Gary, IN PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.07 Elkhart—Goshen IN MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Evansville—Henderson, IN--KY MSA 0.1 0.1 0.07 Fort Wayne, IN MSA 0.09 0.1 0.07 Indianapolis, IN MSA 0.1 0.11 0.08 Louisville, KY--IN MSA 0.1 0.1 0.08 Muncie, IN MSA 0.1 0.07 South Bend, IN MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Terre Haute, IN MSA 0.08 0.1 0.07 Level of the NAAQS is .08 ppm. Units are parts per million (ppm). Notes: • Data from exceptional events are not included. • The reader is cautioned that this summary is not adequate in itself to numerically rank MSAs according to their air quality. • The monitoring data represent the quality of air in the vicinity of the monitoring site and, for some pollutants, may not necessarily represent urban-wide air quality. ------- Trends for 1997-2004 with 95 percent confidence limits are presented below. Ozone season averages of daily maximum 8-hour ozone were adjusted to remove the influence of year-to-year variability in meteorology. Seasonal Average 8-hour Ozone Trends Indianapolis, IN Salamonie Reservoir (SAL133) Vincennes (VIN140) ------- Michigan Emissions State total emissions of NOx and VOCs have decreased from 1997 to 2004. After 2002 the largest emission reductions were NOx emissions from power generating sources. Ozone Season (May-September) Emission Totals by Major Source Categories (tons) Source Category 1997 2002 2004 NOx Emissions Power Industry 82,586 66,151 43,505 Mobile On-Road 140,185 121,556 109,231 Other 119,123 94,160 100,136 VOC Emissions Mobile On-Road 100,439 78,745 69,661 Solvent Usage 107,621 62,897 61,777 Other 127,285 134,338 130,457 The emissions data used in the report are measured or estimated values from EPA's National Emissions Inventory (NEI). Starting in 1997, the NEI incorporated power industry data measured by the Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). For 2002, the preliminary version of the NEI was used, which includes the 2002 CEMS data, but does not include 2002 data for other sources submitted by state, local, and tribal air agencies. EPA used CEMS data for the power industry for 2003 and 2004. Emissions for other sources for that period were estimated by interpolating between the 2002 preliminary NEI data and a projected 2010 emission inventory developed to support the Clean Air Interstate Rule. For additional information use the following online resources: National Emissions Inventory (NEI): www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net. Emissions data for the power industry: http://cfpub.epa.gov/gdm . Information on mobile sources: www.epa.gov/otaq . ------- Ozone On average, ozone has declined between 1997 and 2004. These improvements in ozone are in response to both state and regional reductions in NOx and VOC emissions. The level of ozone improvement varies from site to site. Highest Fourth Daily Maximum 8-hour Ozone Concentration by Metropolitan Statistical Area, 1997, 20( )2 and 2004 Metropolitan Statistical Area 1997 03 8-hr (ppm) 2002 03 8-hr (ppm) 2004 03 8-hr (ppm) Ann Arbor, MI PMSA 0.08 0.09 0.07 Detroit, MI PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Flint, MI PMSA 0.08 0.09 0.08 Benton Harbor, MI MSA 0.1 0.1 0.07 Grand Rapids—Muskegon—Holland. MI MSA 0.1 0.11 0.08 Kalamazoo—Battle Creek, MI MSA 0.09 0.09 0.07 Lansing-East Lansing, MI MSA 0.08 0.09 0.07 Level of the NAAQS is .08 ppm. Units are parts per million (ppm). Notes: • Data from exceptional events are not included. • The reader is cautioned that this summary is not adequate in itself to numerically rank MSAs according to their air quality. • The monitoring data represent the quality of air in the vicinity of the monitoring site and, for some pollutants, may not necessarily represent urban-wide air quality. ------- Trends for 1997-2004 with 95 percent confidence limits are presented below. Ozone season averages of daily maximum 8-hour ozone were adjusted to remove the influence of year-to-year variability in meteorology. Seasonal Average 8-hour Ozone Trends Grand Rapids, Ml Detroit, Ml 80 - 70 - 60 - 50 - 40 - 30 H 1997 Ann Arbor (ANA115) 80 - 70 - 60 - 50 - 40 - 30 H 1997 1999 2001 2003 80 - 70 - 60 - 50 - 40 - 30 H 1997 Unionville (UVL124) 80 - 70 - 60 - 50 - 40 - 30 H 1997 1999 2001 2003 Year Year ------- Minnesota Emissions State total emissions of NOx and VOCs have decreased from 1997 to 2004. Ozone Season (May-September) Emission Totals by Major Source Categories (tons) Source Category 1997 2002 2004 NOx Emissions Power Industry 35,998 35,145 34,583 Mobile On-Road 73,553 65,172 59,178 Other 93,872 85,435 84,199 VOC Emissions Mobile On-Road 49,365 38,224 34,343 Solvent Usage 64,624 44,000 42,907 Other 83,770 79,469 77,555 The emissions data used in the report are measured or estimated values from EPA's National Emissions Inventory (NEI). Starting in 1997, the NEI incorporated power industry data measured by the Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). For 2002, the preliminary version of the NEI was used, which includes the 2002 CEMS data, but does not include 2002 data for other sources submitted by state, local, and tribal air agencies. EPA used CEMS data for the power industry for 2003 and 2004. Emissions for other sources for that period were estimated by interpolating between the 2002 preliminary NEI data and a projected 2010 emission inventory developed to support the Clean Air Interstate Rule. For additional information use the following online resources: National Emissions Inventory (NEI): www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net. Emissions data for the power industry: http://cfpub.epa.gov/gdm . Information on mobile sources: www.epa.gov/otaq . ------- Ozone On average, ozone has declined between 1997 and 2004. These improvements in ozone are in response to both state and regional reductions in NOx and VOC emissions. The level of ozone improvement varies from site to site. Highest Fourth Daily Maximum 8-hour Ozone Concentration by Metropolitan Statistical Area, 1997, 2C )02 and 200^ Metropolitan Statistical Area 1997 03 8-hr (ppm) 2002 03 8-hr (ppm) 2004 03 8-hr (ppm) Duluth-Superior, MN--WI MSA 0.07 0.07 0.06 Fargo—Moorhead, ND--MN MSA 0.07 0.06 0.06 Minneapolis--St. Paul, MN--WI MSA 0.08 0.08 0.06 Level of the NAAQS is .08 ppm. Units are parts per million (ppm). Notes: • Data from exceptional events are not included. • The reader is cautioned that this summary is not adequate in itself to numerically rank MSAs according to their air quality. • The monitoring data represent the quality of air in the vicinity of the monitoring site and, for some pollutants, may not necessarily represent urban-wide air quality. ------- Ohio Emissions State total emissions of NOx and VOCs have decreased from 1997 to 2004. After 2002 the largest emission reductions were NOx emissions from power generating sources. Ozone Season (May-September) Emission Totals by Major Source Categories (tons) Source Category 1997 2002 2004 NOx Emissions Power Industry 220,196 159,222 67,352 Mobile On-Road 154,561 126,563 113,777 Other 131,242 124,595 122,792 VOC Emissions Mobile On-Road 109,539 80,375 71,303 Solvent Usage 124,680 86,370 86,833 Other 94,825 86,194 82,966 The emissions data used in the report are measured or estimated values from EPA's National Emissions Inventory (NEI). Starting in 1997, the NEI incorporated power industry data measured by the Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). For 2002, the preliminary version of the NEI was used, which includes the 2002 CEMS data, but does not include 2002 data for other sources submitted by state, local, and tribal air agencies. EPA used CEMS data for the power industry for 2003 and 2004. Emissions for other sources for that period were estimated by interpolating between the 2002 preliminary NEI data and a projected 2010 emission inventory developed to support the Clean Air Interstate Rule. For additional information use the following online resources: National Emissions Inventory (NEI): www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net. Emissions data for the power industry: http://cfpub.epa.gov/gdm . Information on mobile sources: www.epa.gov/otaq . ------- Ozone On average, ozone has declined between 1997 and 2004. These improvements in ozone are in response to both state and regional reductions in NOx and VOC emissions. The level of ozone improvement varies from site to site. Highest Fourth Daily Maximum 8-hour Ozone Concentration by Metropolitan Statistical Area, 1997, 2C )02 and 200^ Metropolitan Statistical Area 1997 03 8-hr (ppm) 2002 03 8-hr (ppm) 2004 03 8-hr (ppm) Akron, OH PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Cleveland—Lorain—Elyria, OH PMSA 0.09 0.12 0.08 Hamilton—Middletown, OH PMSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Canton-Massillon, OH MSA 0.08 0.1 0.08 Columbus, OH MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Dayton-Springfield, OH MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Huntington—Ashland. WV--KY--OH MSA 0.09 0.1 0.07 Lima, OH MSA 0.08 0.1 0.08 Parkcrsburg—Marietta. WV--OH MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Steubenville-Weirton, OH--WV MSA 0.08 0.1 0.07 Toledo, OH MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Wheeling, WV-OH MSA 0.08 0.1 0.06 Youngstown--Warren OH MSA 0.09 0.1 0.08 Level of the NAAQS is .08 ppm. Units are parts per million (ppm). Notes: • Data from exceptional events are not included. • The reader is cautioned that this summary is not adequate in itself to numerically rank MSAs according to their air quality. • The monitoring data represent the quality of air in the vicinity of the monitoring site and, for some pollutants, may not necessarily represent urban-wide air quality. ------- Trends for 1997-2004 with 95 percent confidence limits are presented below. Ozone season averages of daily maximum 8-hour ozone were adjusted to remove the influence of year-to-year variability in meteorology. Seasonal Average 8-hour Ozone Trends Cleveland, OH Cincinnati, OH Deer Creek (DCP114) Lykens (LYK123) Oxford (OXF122) 80 - 70 - | 60- o o 50 - N o 40 - 30 - 1997 1999 2001 2003 Year ------- Wisconsin Emissions State total emissions of NOx and VOCs have decreased from 1997 to 2004. After 2002 the largest emission reductions were NOx emissions from power generating sources. Ozone Season (May-September) Emission Totals by Major Source Categories (tons) Source Category 1997 2002 2004 NOx Emissions Power Industry 47,519 40,454 30,633 Mobile On-Road 85,530 71,611 64,479 Other 67,683 58,312 57,570 VOC Emissions Mobile On-Road 55,672 40,886 36,509 Solvent Usage 76,066 57,187 55,501 Other 75,709 63,532 61,676 The emissions data used in the report are measured or estimated values from EPA's National Emissions Inventory (NEI). Starting in 1997, the NEI incorporated power industry data measured by the Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). For 2002, the preliminary version of the NEI was used, which includes the 2002 CEMS data, but does not include 2002 data for other sources submitted by state, local, and tribal air agencies. EPA used CEMS data for the power industry for 2003 and 2004. Emissions for other sources for that period were estimated by interpolating between the 2002 preliminary NEI data and a projected 2010 emission inventory developed to support the Clean Air Interstate Rule. For additional information use the following online resources: National Emissions Inventory (NEI): www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net. Emissions data for the power industry: http://cfpub.epa.gov/gdm . Information on mobile sources: www.epa.gov/otaq . ------- Ozone On average, ozone has declined between 1997 and 2004. These improvements in ozone are in response to both state and regional reductions in NOx and VOC emissions. The level of ozone improvement varies from site to site. Highest Fourth Daily Maximum 8-hour Ozone Concentration by Metropolitan Statistical Area, 1997, 2C )02 and 200^ Metropolitan Statistical Area 1997 03 8-hr (ppm) 2002 03 8-hr (ppm) 2004 03 8-hr (ppm) Kenosha, WIPMSA 0.09 0.12 0.08 Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI PMSA 0.1 0.1 0.07 Racine, WI PMSA 0.1 0.11 0.07 Appleton-Oslikosh-Neenah WI 0.08 0.08 0.07 Duluth-Superior, MN--WI MSA 0.07 0.07 0.06 Green Bay, WI MSA 0.07 0.08 0.07 Janesville-Beloit, WI MSA 0.09 0.09 0.07 Madison, WI MSA 0.08 0.08 0.07 Minneapolis~St. Paul, MN--WI MSA 0.08 0.08 0.06 Sheboygan, WI MSA 0.09 0.11 0.08 Wausau, WI MSA 0.07 0.07 0.07 Level of the NAAQS is .08 ppm. Units are parts per million (ppm). Notes: • Data from exceptional events are not included. • The reader is cautioned that this summary is not adequate in itself to numerically rank MSAs according to their air quality. • The monitoring data represent the quality of air in the vicinity of the monitoring site and, for some pollutants, may not necessarily represent urban-wide air quality. Trends for 1997-2004 with 95 percent confidence limits are presented below. Ozone season averages of daily maximum 8-hour ozone were adjusted to remove the influence of year-to-year variability in meteorology. Seasonal Average 8-hour Ozone Trends Milwaukee, WI 80 - 70 - a 60- 40 - 30 - 1997 1999 2001 2003 Year ------- |