April 2015 Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990-2013: Revision to Well Counts Data Overview of Well Counts in the GHG Inventory A significant number of emission sources in the natural gas and petroleum systems source categories of the Inventory rely on well counts as a key data input for emissions calculations. Some source calculations use well counts data as the only activity data input (e.g., calculations for fugitives from wells); some source calculations use well counts to calculate the counts of other equipment in a given year (e.g., calculations for pneumatic devices which use the number of pneumatic devices per well and well counts); and some source calculations use well counts to calculate other inputs (e.g., dehydrator vent calculations use well counts, number of dehydrators per well, and the amount of throughput per dehydrator). The well count populations historically used in the Inventory are presented in Table 1. Note that the associated gas well counts currently in the natural gas systems portion of the Inventory are a subset of oil wells, which are the primary well population used in the petroleum systems portion of the Inventory. Table 1. Well Populations and Use in the 2014 Inventory for Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Well Population Well Population Description Inventory Emission Sources Estimated Using Well Population Data as Inputs to Calculations Natural Gas Systems Associated Gas Wells Oil wells that also produce gas Fugitive o Field Separation Equipment - Meters/Piping Non-Associated Gas Wells Natural gas wells Fugitive o Non-Associated Gas Wells o Field Separation Equipment - Heaters, Separators, Dehydrators, Meters/Piping o Gathering Compressor-Small and Large Reciprocating Compressors, Large Reciprocating Stations, Pipeline Leaks Vented and Combusted o Gas Well Completions without Hydraulic Fracturing o Well Drilling o Normal Operations - Pneumatic Device Vents, Chemical Injection Pumps, Kimray Pumps, Dehydrator Vents o Compressor Exhaust for Gas Engines o Well Workovers - Gas Wells without Hydraulic Fracturing, Gas Wells with Liquids Unloading o Blowdowns-Vessel Blowdowns, Pipeline Blowdowns, Compressor Blowdowns, Compressor Starts o Upsets - Pressure Relief Valves, Mishaps Gas Wells with Hydraulic Fracturing Gas Wells with Hydraulic Fracturing (cont.) Natural gas wells that were completed using hydraulic fracturing Natural gas wells that were completed using Fugitive o Gas Wells with Hydraulic Fracturing o Field Separation Equipment - Heaters, Separators, Dehydrators, Meter/Piping o Gathering Compressor-Small and Large Reciprocating Compressors, Large Reciprocating Stations, Pipeline Leaks Vented and Combusted o Gas Well Completions without Hydraulic Fracturing o Gas Well Completions with Hydraulic Fracturing o Well Drilling o Normal Operations - Pneumatic Device Vents, Chemical Injection Pumps, Kimray Pumps, Dehydrator Vents o Well Workovers - Gas Wells without Hydraulic Fracturing, Gas Wells with Hydraulic Fracturing 1 ------- April 2015 Table 1. Well Populations and Use in the 2014 Inventory for Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Well Population Well Population Description Inventory Emission Sources Estimated Using Well Population Data as Inputs to Calculations hydraulic fracturing o Blowdowns-Vessel Blowdowns, Pipeline Blowdowns, Compressor Blowdowns, Compressor Starts o Upsets - Pressure Relief Valves, Mishaps Petroleum Systems Oil Wells Oil wells Fugitive o Oil Wellheads (Heavy Crude) o Oil Wellheads (Light Crude) o Separators (Heavy Crude) o Separators (Light Crude) o Heater/Treaters (Light Crude) o Compressors o Headers (Heavy Crude) o Headers (Light Crude) o Battery Pumps Vented o Pneumatic Devices, High Bleed o Pneumatic Devices, Low Bleed o Vessel Blowdowns o Compressor Blowdowns o Compressor Starts o Well Workovers Combusted o Gas Engines Stripper Wells Oil wells that produce less than 10 bbl/day Fugitive o Oil Wellheads (Heavy Crude) o Oil Wellheads (Light Crude) Vented o Oil Tanks o Stripper Wells Combusted o Flares Approach for 2012 and Previous Inventories Data sources for well counts in the natural gas and petroleum systems portions of the Inventory have changed over time. For 2012 and previous Inventories, the well counts data came from the following publically available sources: Natural gas systems: Associated gas wells: ¦ 1990 to 2004 data: API Basic Petroleum Book Table 12 - Section III - Producing Oil Wells in the United States by State (2005) ¦ 2005 to 2010 data: World Oil Magazine Outlook 2011: Producing Oil Wells Non-associated gas wells: ¦ 1990 to 2003 data: U.S. DOE/EIA Annual Number of Producing Gas Wells1 ¦ 2004 to 2010 data: World Oil Magazine Outlook 2011: Producing Gas Wells Gas wells with hydraulic fracturing: ¦ CBM wells in KS: Kansas Geological Survey All Wells 1 "Number of Producing Gas Wells." Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy. Available online at http://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_prod_wells_sl_a.htm 2 ------- April 2015 ¦ CBM wells in OK: Oklahoma Geological Survey Coalbed Methane Completions ¦ CBM wells in MT: Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation, Board of Oil and Gas Live Data Access ¦ CBM wells in CO: Colorado State Oil and Gas Conservation Commission Coalbed Methane Wells ¦ CBM wells in WY: Wyoming Oil and Gas Conservation Commission Coalbed Production ¦ CBM wells in UT: Utah Department of Natural Resources, Division of Oil, Gas and Mining Well Information Search ¦ Barnett shale wells in TX: Texas Railroad Commission Newark, East (Barnett Shale) Well Count Petroleum systems: Oil wells: EIA Annual Energy Review Table 5.2. Crude Oil Production and Oil Well Productivity2 Stripper wells: ¦ 1990 to 1992 data: API Basic Petroleum Data Book Section III Table 14 (2002) ¦ 1993 to 2010 data: Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission Marginal Wells: Fuel for Economic Growth, Table 7.1 (2008) Approach for 2013 (estimates for 1990-2011) and 2014 Inventories (estimates for 1990-2012) As part of EPA's updates for the natural gas systems portion of the 2013 and 2014 Inventories, EPA revised the well counts for each category using Drillinglnfo's U.S. well data. Updating the well count data source allowed for a more transparent, consistent, and reproducible methodology for obtaining well counts as follows: Associated gas wells are defined as those wells in the Drillinglnfo dataset that: EPA classified as primarily producing "oil" or "oil and gas" based on the production type description and that had non-zero natural gas; and Had non-zero hydrocarbon liquids production. Non-associated gas wells are defined as those wells in the Drillinglnfo dataset that: EPA classified as "gas" producing and had non-zero gas production; or EPA classified as "oil" or "oil and gas" producing and had zero liquids production, but non-zero natural gas production. Gas wells with hydraulic fracturing are defined as a subset of the non-associated gas wells that: Were horizontally drilled; and/or Located in an unconventional formation (i.e., shale, tight sands, or coalbed), as identified using a crosswalk developed by EIA. EPA did not make any changes to the well counts data sources in the petroleum systems portion of the 2013 or 2014 Inventories. EPA has previously investigated differences between non-associated gas well counts from the previous activity data sources (EIA and World Oil Magazine) compared to the current methodology which relies on Drillinglnfo data. In general, Drillinglnfo counts are lower than those generated by the previous methodology. EIA counts of active gas wells exclude wells producing both crude oil and natural gas3whereas the current Drillinglnfo methodology results in some co- producing wells being included in the non-associated gas well counts. Therefore, based on available documentation, the underlying reasons for differences in the previous gas well counts compared to those generated by the current methodology is unclear. EPA has previously performed state-level count comparisons and taken steps to refine the 2 "Annual Energy Review." Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy. Available online at http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/index.cfm 3 Annual Energy Review 2011. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy. Available online at http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/pdf/aer.pdf 3 ------- April 2015 Drillinglnfo processing methodology to resolve significant discrepancies (e.g., Drillinglnfo collects production data on a well pad level in certain states; therefore, EPA refined the data processing methodology to account for single production records representing multiple active wells). Table 2 below shows well counts for key comparison years from both previous (2012 Inventory) and the most recent (2014 Inventory) methodology. Revised Approach for 2015 Inventory Table 2 below presents well count activity data for select years from the 2012, 2014, and 2015 Inventories. EPA solicited feedback from expert reviewers4 and public reviewers on three options for revising the well count methodology for natural gas and petroleum systems. Option 1 used the existing Inventory methodology to identify wells in natural gas systems (including associated gas wells), and expanded the methodology to also develop petroleum systems counts (i.e., oil well counts). Option 2 greatly simplified the existing Inventory methodology in the interest of easier reproducibility; the ratio of gas to oil production ("gas-to-oil ratio" or GOR) based on Drillinglnfo data was used to assign wells to either the natural gas or the petroleum systems source categories, and there would be no sub-population of "associated gas" wells within natural gas systems. Option 3 expanded on Option 2 to treat oil wells with significant gas production differently than primarily gas-producing or oil-producing wells (as they are expected to have emissions somewhere between the two populations)and therefore included a population of "associated gas" wells, similar to the current Inventory and Option 1. Feedback from reviewers indicated that Option 1 provided the least transparency of the overall methodology. Reviewers generally favored continuing to establish associated gas wells as a distinct population. Based on analysis of the options and taking into consideration feedback from expert reviewers, EPA has implemented the Option 3 approach in the public review draft of the 2015 Inventory. Information on the other options considered can be found in Appendix B to this memo. In Option 3 (the option implemented in the 2015 Inventory), all wells in the Drillinglnfo database that report gas and/or liquids production in a given year are classified as either "Gas Wells" or "Oil Wells," and an oil well sub-population is defined as "Associated Gas Wells," all based solely on GOR. Detailed steps to produce well counts by this option are: 1. For each well, in each calendar year, calculate GOR using actual gas and hydrocarbon liquids production data collected by Drillinglnfo. Note, this approach does not take into account any production classification information reported by the operator, and includes all hydrocarbon liquids (including condensate) production in the GOR denominator. 2. Apply a GOR threshold to classify wells as "Gas Wells" or "Oil Wells." Based on expert review feedback, EPA used GOR >100 mcf/bbl wells to define gas wells and GOR <100 mcf/bbl to define oil wells. A GOR threshold of 100 mcf/bbl is employed by states including Texas, Alaska, and Pennsylvania to define gas wells versus oil wells. 3. Apply a GOR threshold to identify a sub-population of "Oil Wells" that produce substantial amounts of gas and should be classified as "Associated Gas." In the 2015 Inventory, any well within the oil wells population established above that also produces gas is classified as an associated gas well in the Inventory. 4. Estimate emissions from existing emission sources and calculation methodologies for natural gas and petroleum systems. Reviewers suggested that the threshold selected overestimates the population of associated gas wells. EPA plans to investigate alternative thresholds such as a GOR greater than 6 Mcf/bbl for associated gas wells for the 2016 Inventory. 4 Every year, the Inventory undergoes an expert review period during which a first draft of the document is sent to a select list of technical experts outside of EPA. The purpose of the Expert Review is to encourage feedback on the methodological and data sources used in the current Inventory, especially for sources which have experienced any changes since the previous Inventory. This memorandum references feedback from 2015 Inventory expert reviewers. 4 ------- April 2015 Table 2. Previous Inventory Well Counts Compared to 2015 Inventory Well Counts Well Population Methodology 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2012. Natural Gas Systems Well Counts in 2012 Inventory (1990-2010) Associated Gas Wells 1990 to 2004 data: API Basic Petroleum Book - Producing Oil Wells 2005 to 2010 data: World Oil Magazine - Producing Oil Wells 246,700 230,604 245,309 N/A N/A Non-Associated Gas Wells 1990 to 2003 data: U.S. DOE/EIA - Producing Gas Wells 2004 to 2010 data: World Oil Magazine - Producing Gas Wells 341,678 395,272 484,795 N/A N/A Hydraulically Fractured From state oil and gas inventories of CBM and Barnett shale wells (TX only) 6,892 16,949 50,434 N/A N/A 2014. Natural Gas Systems Well Counts in 2014 Inventory (1990-2012) || Non-Associated Gas Wells 'GAS' wells with > 0 gas production 'OIL' or 'O&G' wells with no liquids production and > 0 gas production 292,004 379,602 466,884 469,426 470,913 Hydraulically Fractured Subset of Non-Associated Gas Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 112,547 166,966 220,400 226,038 227,862 Associated Gas Wells 'OIL' or 'O&G' wells with > 0 liquids and gas production 295,188 286,514 310,310 316,065 323,392 2014. Petroleum Systems Well Counts in 2014 Inventory (1990-2012) || Oil Wells From EIA 534,000 498,000 520,000 536,000 536,000a Stripper Wells From IOGCC; subset of Oil Wells 411,629 401,072 394,016 394,016 394,016 2014 Inventory Total Active Wells (Non-Associated Gas Wells + Oil Wells) 826,004 877,602 986,884 1,005,426 1,006,913 2015. Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems in 2015 Public Review Inventory (1990-2013) || Gas Wells Wells with > 0 gas production and GOR > 100 MCF/bbl 296,905 378,264 461,036 467,113 464,447 Hydraulically Fractured Subset of Gas Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 123,532 180,461 242,023 247,557 248,305 Oil Wells Wells with > 0 liquids production and GOR < 100 MCF/bbl 767,227 757,076 810,463 829,421 855,979 Associated Gas Wells Subset of Oil Wells with > 0 gas production 400,930 400,270 441,305 450,971 472,817 Stripper Wells From IOGCC; subset of Oil Wells 411,629 401,072 394,016 394,016 394,016 2015 Inventory Total Active Wells 1,064,132 1,145,491 1,228,263 1,234,340 1,231,674 a - EIA has not published 2012 final value. This number is ElA's 2011 estimate carried forward unchanged. 5 ------- February 2015 Appendix A: Current Production Sector Methodology This appendix further documents the current methodology for the production sector, which relies on source-level emissions that are typically calculated by applying emission factors to either: (1) a well count or well equipment population value; or (2) a throughput value. For many sources, the emission calculation methodology may not use well counts as a direct input, but this appendix aims to identify where there is a "trickle-down" impact of well counts on other activity data. For example, emissions from small reciprocating compressors are calculated by applying an activity factor for the number of reciprocating compressors per well to the annual number of non-associated gas wells, and then applying an emission factor; so the "general basis" for this emission source lists "well count" in the table below for this source. Table A.l of this appendix is intended to facilitate contemplating how emission sources will be applied to different well populations once Drillinglnfo data are used to develop all well populations. As shown in Table 1 of this document, the current methodology only accounts for fugitive emissions from field separation equipment as the incremental emissions generated by "Associated Gas" compared to "Oil" wells. Stakeholder feedback may include reconsideration as to whether there are additional emission sources currently calculated in the natural gas systems production sector of the Inventory that make sense to apply to "Associated Gas Wells." 6 ------- April 2015 Table A.l. Inventory Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Onshore Production Emission Source and Activity Factor Bases Activity Factor Basis Emission Source General Basis Description Calculation Comments Natural Gas Systems - FUGITIVE Gas Wells Associated Gas Wells N/A Emissions are currently accounted for in the Petroleum Systems Inventory Non-Associated Gas Wells Population Based - Well Count Annual number of non-associated gas wells without hydraulic fracturing Gas Wells with Hydraulic Fracturing Population Based - Well Count Annual number of gas wells with hydraulic fracturing | Field Separation Equipment || Heaters Separators Dehydrators Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) Meters/Piping Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of associated and non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) | Gathering Compressors || Small Reciprocating Compressors Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) Large Reciprocating Compressors Large Reciprocating Stations Population Based - Pipeline Miles Annual total gathering pipeline miles Pipeline Leaks Population Based - Pipeline Miles Annual total gathering pipeline miles Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) Natural Gas Systems - VENTED AND COMBUSTED Drilling, Well Completion, and Well Workover Gas Well Completions without Hydraulic Fracturing Population Based - Well Count Annual percent of non-associated gas well count (with and without hydraulic fracturing) per NEMS Region and total Ratio the annual value to 1992, which is the basis for the emissions. Gas Well Workovers without Hydraulic Fracturing Population Based - Well Count Annual number of non-associated gas wells without hydraulic fracturing Hydraulic Fracturing Completions and Workovers Population Based - Event Count Events counted in each control technology category based on GHGRP data. See Annex for documentation of extrapolation to cover time series beginning in 1990. From GHGRP 7 ------- April 2015 Table A.l. Inventory Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Onshore Production Emission Source and Activity Factor Bases Activity Factor Basis Emission Source General Basis Description Calculation Comments Well Drilling Population Based - Well Count Annual number of gas wells drilled From EIA Population Based - Well Count Annual percent of non-associated gas well count (with and without hydraulic fracturing) per NEMS Region | Produced Water from Coal Bed Methane || Powder River Production Based Annual gallons of water produced for Powder River Basin CBM wells From Wyoming Oil and Gas Conservation Commission Black Warrior Population Based - Well Count Annual number of producing CBM wells in Black Warrior Basin From Geological Survey of Alabama - State Oil and Gas Board | Normal Operations || Pneumatic Device Vents Chemical Injection Pumps Kimray Pumps Dehydrator Vents Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) | Condensate Tank Vents || Condensate Tanks without Control Devices Condensate Tanks with Control Devices Production Based Annual condensate production From EIA | Compressor Exhaust Vented || Gas Engines Population Based - Well Count Annual percent of total non-associated gas well count (with and without hydraulic fracturing), excluding NE NEMS Region Ratio the annual value to 1992, which is the basis for the emissions Gas wells in NE NEMS Region are not driven by low pressure gas from the well; only applies to the other NEMS Regions | Well Clean Ups || Well Clean Ups (LP Gas Wells) - Vent Using Plungers Well Clean Ups (LP Gas Wells) - Vent without Using Plungers Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) | Blowdowns || Vessel Blowdowns Compressor Blowdowns Compressor Starts Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) Pipeline Blowdowns Population Based - Pipeline Miles Annual total gathering pipeline miles 8 ------- April 2015 Table A.l. Inventory Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Onshore Production Emission Source and Activity Factor Bases Activity Factor Basis Emission Source General Basis Description Calculation Comments Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) Upsets | Pressure Relief Valves Population Based - Well Count Annual percent of non-associated gas well count (with and without hydraulic fracturing) per NEMS Region and total Ratio the annual value to 1992, which is the basis for the emissions Mishaps Population Based - Pipeline Miles Annual total gathering pipeline miles Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of non-associated gas wells (with and without hydraulic fracturing) (Petroleum Systems-VENTED | Oil Tanks Production Based Annual oil production in the Lower 48 From EIA Production Based Average stripper well oil production From Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of stripper wells From Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission Pneumatic Devices, High Bleed Pneumatic Devices, Low Bleed Vessel Blowdowns Compressor Blowdowns Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA Ratio the annual number of wells and domestic production to the 1993 values, which is the basis for the emissions. Compressor Starts Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Chemical Injection Pumps Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Ratio the annual number of wells and domestic production to the 1993 values, which is the basis for the emissions. Stripper Wells Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of stripper wells From Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission Well Completion Venting Production Based - Well Count Annual total number of crude oil wells drilled From EIA Well Workovers Production Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA [Petroleum Systems - FUGITIVE | 9 ------- April 2015 Table A.l. Inventory Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Onshore Production Emission Source and Activity Factor Bases Activity Factor Basis Emission Source General Basis Description Calculation Comments Oil Wellheads (Heavy Crude) Oil Wellheads (Light Crude) Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of stripper wells From Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission Separators (Heavy Crude) Separators (Light Crude) Heater/Treaters (Light Crude) Compressors Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA Ratio the annual number of wells and domestic production to the 1993 values, which is the basis for the emissions. Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Headers (Heavy Crude) Headers (Light Crude) Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA Floating Roof Tanks From Industry Panel and Entropy Tank Survey Use the 1995 value for all years Large Compressors Use the 1995 value for all years Sales Areas Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Pipelines Population Based - Pipeline Miles Total miles of gathering lines From EIA No EF for this source Well Drilling Population Based - Well Count Annual number of oil wells drilled From EIA No EF for this source Battery Pumps Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA (Petroleum Systems - COMBUSTED | Gas Engines Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of producing oil wells From EIA Ratio the annual number of wells and domestic production to the 1993 values, which is the basis for the emissions. Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Heaters Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Well Drilling Population Based - Well Count Annual number of oil wells drilled From EIA Flares Production Based Annual oil production in the Lower 48 From EIA Production Based Average stripper well oil production From Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission 10 ------- April 2015 Table A.l. Inventory Natural Gas and Petroleum Systems Onshore Production Emission Source and Activity Factor Bases Activity Factor Basis Emission Source General Basis Description Calculation Comments Population Based - Well Count Annual total number of stripper wells From Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission [Petroleum Systems - PROCESS UPSETS || Pressure Relief Valves Production Based Annual domestic production From EIA Well Blowouts Onshore Population Based - Well Count Annual number of oil wells drilled From EIA 11 ------- April 2015 Appendix B: Information on Options Considered Table 2B.1 below presents well count activity data for select years from the 2012 and 2014 Inventories, as well as example counts developed by three proposed approaches for the 2015 Inventory. Option 1 described below uses the current Inventory methodology to identify wells in natural gas systems (including associated gas wells), and expands the methodology to also develop petroleum systems counts (i.e., oil well counts). Option 2 described below greatly simplifies the current Inventory methodology in the interest of easier reproducibility; the ratio of gas to oil production ("gas-to-oil ratio" or GOR) based on Drillinglnfo data is used to assign wells between the natural gas and petroleum systems source categories, and there is no sub-population of "associated gas" wells within natural gas systems. Option 3 described below expands on Option 2 to acknowledge the idea that oil wells with significant gas production should be treated differently than primarily gas-producing or oil-producing wells (as they are expected to have emissions somewhere between the two populations)and therefore includes a population of "associated gas" wells, similar to the current Inventory and Option 1. The approaches considered are: 1. For each year, classify all active production wells in the Drill inglnfo database as "Non-associated Gas Wells," "Oil Wells," and "Associated Gas Wells" (a sub-population of oil wells)starting with existing Inventory methodology for natural gas systems. a. Start with the OECA-processed version of the Drillinglnfo database, which includes a PROD_TYPE_CLASS data field that EPA populates with the primary production type of each active oil and gas well (based on information reported by the operator and/or assigned by the state). This PROD_TYPE_CLASS field is populated with one of three values for each well: "GAS," "OIL," or "O&G." b. Assume that all wells that are classified as "GAS" and produced gas in a given year are "Non-associated Gas Wells" (and any amount of liquids produced is condensate). Assume that any wells classified as "OIL" or "O&G" that produced gas but zero liquids in a given year are also "Non-associated Gas Wells." c. Assume that all wells that are classified as "OIL" and produced liquids in a given year are "Oil Wells." Assume that any wells classified as "GAS" or "O&G" that produced liquids but zero gas in a given year are also "Oil Wells." d. Choose and apply a GOR threshold to classify co-producing "O&G" wellsfor example, GOR > 100 mcf/bbl wells are "Non-associated Gas Wells" and GOR <100 mcf/bbl are "Oil Wells." Note: Table 2 shows counts according to a GOR threshold of 100 mcf/bbl, but other threshold values may be considered. e. Assume that any co-producing "OIL" or "O&G" wells are "Associated Gas Wells." f. Estimate emissions from existing emission sources and methodology currently in the natural gas and petroleum systems calculation spreadsheets. 2. For each year, classify all active production wells in the Drillinglnfo database as either "Gas Wells" or "Oil Wells" based solely on GOR. a. For each well, calculate GOR using actual gas and hydrocarbon liquids data reported by Drillinglnfo. Note, this approach does not take into account any production classification information reported by the operator, and includes all hydrocarbon liquids (including condensate) production in the GOR denominator. b. Choose and apply a GOR threshold to classify wells as "Gas Wells" or "Oil Wells"for example, GOR > 100 mcf/bbl wells are gas and GOR <100 mcf/bbl are oil. Note: Table 2 shows counts according to a GOR threshold of 100 mcf/bbl, but other threshold values may be considered. 12 ------- April 2015 c. Estimate emissions from existing emission sources and methodology currently in the natural gas and petroleum systems calculation spreadsheets, except that that "Gas Wells" will be treated as "Non- associated Gas Wells" currently are, and "Associated Gas Wells" will no longer be a component of the natural gas systems estimate. 3. For each year, classify all active production wells in the Drillinglnfo database as either "Gas Wells" or "Oil Wells/' then define an oil well sub-population as "Associated Gas Wells/' all based solely on GOR. a. Follow Option 2 steps 'a' and 'b' above. b. Choose and apply a GOR threshold to identify a sub-population of "Oil Wells" that produce substantial amounts of gas and should be classified as "Associated Gas." Note: Table 2 shows counts according to a GOR threshold of 12.5 mcf/bbl, but other threshold values may be considered. c. Estimate emissions from existing emission sources and methodology currently in the natural gas and petroleum systems calculation spreadsheets. 13 ------- April 2015 Table B.l. Previous Inventory Well Counts Compared to 2015 Well Counts Options Well Population Methodology 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2012 Natural Gas Inventory Associated Gas Wells 1990 to 2004 data: API Basic Petroleum Book - Producing Oil Wells 2005 to 2010 data: World Oil Magazine - Producing Oil Wells 246,700 230,604 245,309 Not reported Not reported Non-Associated Gas Wells 1990 to 2003 data: U.S. DOE/EIA - Producing Gas Wells 2004 to 2010 data: World Oil Magazine - Producing Gas Wells 341,678 395,272 484,795 Not reported Not reported Hydraulically Fractured From state oil and gas inventories of CBM and Barnett shale wells (TX only) 6,892 16,949 50,434 Not reported Not reported 2014 Natural Gas Inventory || Non-Associated Gas Wells 'GAS' wells with > 0 gas production 'OIL' or 'O&G' wells with no liquids production and > 0 gas production 292,004 379,602 466,884 469,426 470,913 Hydraulically Fractured Subset of Non-Associated Gas Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 112,547 166,966 220,400 226,038 227,862 Associated Gas Wells 'OIL' or 'O&G' wells with > 0 liquids and gas production 295,188 286,514 310,310 316,065 323,392 2014 Petroleum Inventory || Oil Wells From EIA 534,000 498,000 520,000 536,000 536,000a Stripper Wellsd From IOGCC; subset of Oil Wells 411,629 401,072 394,016 394,016 394,016 2014 Inventory Total Active Wells (Non-Associated Gas Wells + Oil Wells) 826,004 877,602 986,884 1,005,426 1,006,913 2015 Proposed Option 1b || Gas Wells 'GAS' wells with > 0 gas production 'OIL' wells with no liquids production and > 0 gas production 'O&G' wells with GOR > 100 MCF/bbl 286,339 371,092 494,336 485,927 485,916 Hydraulically Fractured0 Subset of Gas Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 128,546 188,012 266,010 264,304 267,213 Oil Wells 'OIL' wells with > 0 liquids production 'GAS' wells with no gas production and > 0 liquids production 'O&G' wells with GOR < 100 MCF/bbl 407,868 404,084 763,027 774,052 793,156 Hydraulically Fractured0 Subset of Oil Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 73,291 79,985 148,979 161,388 175,600 Associated Gas Wells Oil Wells with > 0 gas production 202,306 209,958 402,636 410,591 425,331 Stripper Wellsd Subset of Oil Wells with < 10 bbl/day liquids production (3,650 bbl/year) 133,188 140,208 322,534 322,133 324,692 14 ------- April 2015 Table B.l. Previous Inventory Well Counts Compared to 2015 Well Counts Options Well Population Methodology 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2015 Inventory Total Active Wells - Option 1 694,207 775,176 1,257,363 1,259,979 1,279,072 15 ------- April 2015 Table B.l. Previous Inventory Well Counts Compared to 2015 Well Counts Options Well Population Methodology 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2015 Proposed Option 2 b || Gas Wells Wells with GOR > 100 MCF/bbl 265,699 342,900 456,845 448,371 446,237 Hydraulically Fractured0 Subset of Gas Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 118,580 173,314 245,348 242,840 243,947 Oil Wells Wells with GOR < 100 MCF/bbl 428,508 432,276 800,518 811,608 832,835 Hydraulically Fractured0 Subset of Oil Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 83,257 94,683 169,641 182,852 198,866 Associated Gas Wells N/A - Remove from Natural Gas Inventory || Stripper Wellsd Subset of Oil Wells with < 10 bbl/day liquids production (3,650 bbl/year) 312,626 316,710 669,887 671,715 677,514 2015 Inventory Total Active Wells - Option 2 694,207 775,176 1,257,363 1,259,979 1,279,072 2015 Proposed Option 3 b || Gas Wells Wells with GOR > 100 MCF/bbl 265,699 342,900 456,845 448,371 446,237 Hydraulically Fractured0 Subset of Gas Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 118,580 173,314 245,348 242,840 243,947 Oil Wells Wells with GOR < 100 MCF/bbl 428,508 432,276 800,518 811,608 832,835 Hydraulically Fractured0 Subset of Oil Wells that were horizontally drilled or are in coalbed, shale, or tight gas reservoirs (as classified using the EIA Crosswalk) 83,257 94,683 169,641 182,852 198,866 Associated Gas Wells Subset of Oil Wells with GOR > 12.5 MCF/bbl 53,856 62,351 82,617 82,384 85,456 Stripper Wellsd Subset of Oil Wells with < 10 bbl/day liquids production (3,650 bbl/year) 312,626 316,710 669,887 671,715 677,514 12015 Inventory Total Active Wells - Option 3 694,207 775,176 1,257,363 1,259,979 1,279,072 a - EIA has not published 2012 final value. This number is ElA's 2011 estimate carried forward unchanged. b -The 2015 proposed options do not include state-specific manipulations performed to develop final well populations for natural gas systems. For the 2014 Inventory, the state-specific manipulations included: early time series years for KY (operators were not required to report production prior to 1997), and later time series years for KY, TN, and MD (there is a lag in publically available data for these states). The counts presented in this memorandum are using OECA's May 2014 data release of Drillinglnfo. However, the final 2015 Inventory counts will use a future OECA release (scheduled for December 2014). As a result, state-specific manipulations necessary for the 2015 proposed options may not be necessary with the future OECA release. Differences between OECA's May 2014 data release and the future OECA release will include: 2011 data for KY (currently only through 2010); 2012 and 2013 data for MD (currently only through 2011); and 2013 for 24 additional states (currently only partially complete for 2013, which is why 2013 counts are not included in this memorandum). As a result of using the future OECA data release and implementing the state-specific manipulations, the counts for 2011 through 2013 will increase. c - Though not a topic discussed in this memorandum, the counts of hydraulically fractured gas and oil wells using current Inventory methodology are shown for the proposed 2015 Inventory options. d - Though not a topic discussed in this memorandum, the counts of stripper wells (a subset of oil wells) for the proposed 2015 Inventory options are calculated based on Drillinglnfo production data (whereas current methodology obtains stripper well counts from IOGCC). 16 ------- April 2015 Comparison of Approaches Under Consideration Option 1 retains the current Inventory methodology for identifying "Non-associated Gas Wells" and "Associated Gas Wells." This approach will produce well count activity data most consistent with previous Inventories. Option 1 is the only option that gives weight to the production type classification field in the OECA-processed version of the Drillinglnfo database (this field is based on an OECA-developed crosswalk that assigns the hundreds of reported state production types into simplified categories of 'GAS', 'OIL', and 'O&G'); using this production type classification field does not lend itself to straightforward reproduction of well counts by non-EPA entities. Option 1 carries forward the current methodology of addressing a sub-population of oil wells that are "Associated Gas Wells," which is relatively simple: any wells with production type of 'OIL' or 'O&G' that produce any amounts of both oil and gas in a given year are considered "Associated Gas Wells." Option 3 discussed below also develops a population of "Associated Gas Wells" but by a more nuanced approach that takes into account the relative amounts of oil and gas from co-producing wells (e.g., a well that produces only 10 mcf gas and 20,000 bbl oil per year may not be considered "Associated Gas"). Both Options 2 and 3 simplify the current Inventory methodology in the interest of easier reproducibility; wells are apportioned into categories based on solely on GOR, with no consideration to the OECA-assigned production type classification. Option 2 additionally simplifies the current Inventory methodology in that associated gas wells are not a separate sub-population within natural gas systems; however, the disadvantage that comes with this simplification is that emissions from oil wells that produce some gas (but less than the GOR threshold chosen to define gas wells, e.g., 100 mcf/bbl) will be quantified solely by the petroleum systems "Oil Well" emission sources and factors. Option 2 may therefore underestimate emissions from oil wells that produce substantial gas. Option 3 is a more in-depth approach compared to Option 2 because it treats oil wells with significant gas production differently than "Non-associated Gas Wells" or "Oil Wells" (as they could be expected to have emissions somewhere between the two populations). Two main challenges come into consideration with Option 3: 1. Potentially revised emission sources and methodology will need to be developed for the "Associated Gas Wells" population. The current Inventory methodology is a starting point, but it only assigns one emission source to "Associated Gas Wells" - fugitives from meters/piping. Appendix A details the activity data basis and general methodology for production sector emission sources in the natural gas and petroleum systems inventories, for further consideration on this topic. EPA is considering whether this one emission source accurately represents the incremental emissions from an "Associated Gas Well" compared to an "Oil Well." 2. The GOR selected to define the "Associated Gas Wells" population will need to be thoughtfully chosen and well- documented. Table 2 presents counts based on 12.5 mcf/bbl, which is a value cited in an attachment to an EPA white paper regarding hydraulically fractured oil well completions. The basis for the 12.5 value is unclear. A value should be selected to acknowledge that it is intended to represent oil wells with significant gas production (i.e., would have more GHG emissions than the typical oil well)but not represent oil-producing wells that have so much gas production that they should actually be classified as gas wells. 17 ------- |