Susceptibiility to Asthma Controlled by Mod ifying the Environment Stephen Vesper U.S. EPA/Office of Research and Development (ORD)/National Exposure Research Laboratory (NERL) BACKGROUND:! Asthma afflicts about 6 million children in the U.S. resulting in medical cost of about $5 billion per year. Previously, we established that there were 26 molds that were statis- tically associated with water-damaged homes which we called Group 1 Molds (Vesper et al.2004) and others which were common to all homes, i.e. the 10 Group 2 Molds. Analysis of these 36 molds makes up the ERMI© or EPA relative moldiness index©. We sought to determine if removing the water damage and molds reduced the asth- matic child's need for medical interventions. METHODS: 1. Using EPA patented mold specific quantitative PCR (MSQPCR), mold concentrations were measured in dust samples obtained from water-damaged homes of asthmatics children in Cleveland, Ohio and results compared to a set of control homes. From this data and the resulting ERMI© values, an odds ratio for expressing asthma symptoms was established. 2. The water-damaged homes of half of the asthmatic children were remediated, i.e. water problem fixed and damaged materials and mold removed. The health outcomes were assessed. Table 1. Comparison of mold populations in cell equivalents per g dust from asthma and control homes. (GM ratio = GM of asthmatic home/GM of control home) Asthma ("'60) Aspergillus ochraceus Aspergillus penicillioides • Aspergillus s Aspergillus i/ngui^ _ Aspergillus '/:¦ '.w.ofcr Penicillium corylophilum 2317.31 Penicillium Group 2 2604.C Scopulariopsis brevicaulis 1179.C 7704.30 16155.37 33532.34 3.773 2.507 0.947 Molds associated with asthma Table 2. Odds ratios for predicting illness based on relative moldiness index© (ERMI©). ivn True Negative False Positive False Negative True Positive No. No. wrong Odds -9 2 20 59 61 21 5.90 -! 2 2( 59 61 21 5.9( -7 2 20 59 61 21 5.90 -6 2 20 59 61 21 5.90 -5 ¦ 19 59 62 2( 9.32 5 17 2 51 63 19 8.53 5 17 i 56 61 21 4.12 -2 6 16 6 5' 6( 22 3.38 6 16 6 5' 6( 22 3.38 9 13 8 52 61 21 4.50 11 11 10 5( 61 21 5.00 ? 11 11 II 49 6( 22 4.45 : 12 10 u 46 58 2' 3.91 < 12 10 17 43 55 27 3.0< 12 10 18 42 5' 28 2.80 12 1( 2( 4( 52 3( 2.40 U 8 25 35 49 3: 2.45 15 27 3: 48 3' 2.62 16 35 25 41 41 1.90 k 17 5 38 22 39 4: 1.97 i 18 41 19 37 45 2.09 12 19 : 45 15 3< 48 i: 19 : 46 1' 3: 49 1.92 i' 19 : 48 12 31 51 1.58 15 2( 2 49 11 31 5: 2.2' 16 2( 2 52 8 28 51 1.5' 17 2< 2 5' 26 56 18 21 1 5' 27 55 2.33 19 21 1 56 < 25 57 1.50 2< 21 1 58 23 59 0.72 21 21 1 58 23 59 0.72 Predictive value of the relative moldiness index (ERMI©) Table 2 shows the odds ratios for each of the ERMI© values. For example, a RMI of 1 has an odds ratio of 5.0. In this context,the odds ratio would quantify the relative proportion (relative risk) for the population of study homes of developing asthma. Therefore 61 of 82 homes would be correctly assessed, i.e. 50 true positives and 11 true negatives Benefit: 10-Fold Reduction in Medical Intervention i 12 < 10 O « 8 0 1 6 2 | 4 _c "to 2 o £ 0 Non-Remediated Remediated Clinically, moderately severe asthmatic children had a significant decrease in symptom score (p < 0.006) and symptom days (p < 0.003) following remediation of their water- damaged homes. RESULTS: Some of the Group 1 molds were associated with asthma in these water-damaged homes but none of the Group 2 molds. Determination of the ERMI© values produces a useful predictive model of asthma exacerbation. Removing the water damage and mold, produced a a ten-fold reduction in the need for medical intervention. ( SIGNIFICANCE: I Determination of the ERMI© value in a water damaged home can be used in a cost benefit analysis and removal of water damage and molds can be used to reduce asthma costs in the US. L ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS! Primary funding for this research was provided by US Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Healthy Homes and Lead Hazard Control grant OHLHH0065-99. This research was partially supported by the Swetland Center for Environmental Health at CWRU and the National Institutes of Health General Clinical Research Center grant MOIRR00080. This research was also supported by US EPA Cooperative Agreement CR827942-01 -0 and funds from the US EPA's National Center for Environmental Assessment's "Children at Risk" Program and "Asthma Initiative" Although this work was reviewed by EPA and approved for publication, it may not necessarily reflect official Agency policy. epascienceforum Your Health • Your Environment • Your Future ------- |