Chesapeake Bay Program Partnership's Principal's Staff Committee

Approved on January 24, 2020

Recommendation regarding the development of numeric 2-year milestones under the

Chesapeake Bay Program partnership Accountability Framework

EPA conducts annual progress and verification assessments based on the jurisdictions'
submission of BMP implementation and wastewater data. This information represents the BMPs
and control technologies that are tracked, verified, and reported as implemented each year. EPA
reviews all BMP data that are submitted and provides these assessments1 to the jurisdictions
annually.

In addition to these annual progress and verification assessments, EPA conducts biennial
evaluations of the jurisdictions' 2-year milestones. Jurisdictions and federal agencies will be held
accountable to their 2-year estimated numeric load reductions through a biennial evaluation of
progress compared to the straight-line trajectory of necessary reductions to the 2025 Phase III
planning targets or federal agency planning goals. EPA will provide the jurisdictions and federal
agencies with the straight-line trajectory projection (including sector growth projections) at the
beginning of each 2-year milestone period. Alternatively, jurisdictions and federal agencies could
develop a non-straight-line trajectory to 2025, which would then be used in the biennial
evaluation of progress. See Figure 7-1 (below) of the TMDL document.

Jurisdictions and federal agencies will have two alternatives for the development of numeric
2-year water quality milestones:

1.	Develop a Chesapeake Assessment Scenario Tool or "CAST" scenario based
on planned BMP implementation over the two year period.

2.	Develop 2-year projections for BMP implementation guided by EPA's evaluations
of Phase III Watershed Implementation Plan (WIPs), milestones and annual
progress, milestone period jurisdictional initiatives and other lines of evidence (E.g.,
potential for co-benefits, cost effectiveness, monitoring data, jurisdictional
priorities, stakeholder input, etc.). In its evaluation of the Phase III WIPs, EPA
identified concerns with jurisdictions that have significant gaps in meeting their
planning targets or have committed to high rates of BMP implementation in their
WIPs. When choosing this option, jurisdictions and federal agencies should develop
specific and detailed numeric BMP implementation targets as part of their
programmatic milestones for those BMPs that are key to achieving the 2025 Phase
III planning targets or federal agency planning goals. Additional measurable metrics
like dollars committed and number of staff hired could also be included.

The partnership's expectation that jurisdictions and federal agencies develop programmatic
milestones will remain.

1 Sector-scale numeric progress information will continue to be made available by the CBP partnership through
established accounting metrics (e.g., annual progress evaluation) and may be used by EPA as another measure of

progress toward the 2025 goals.


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Chesapeake Bay Program Partnership's Principal's Staff Committee

Approved on January 24, 2020

Basinwide Interim Target Load

Assumes Upfront Program-Building and Future Reductions
Assumes Constant Reduction Over Time

Assumes Upfront Low-Hanging Fruit and More Difficult Future Reductions

Source: USEPA 2009c

Figure 7-1. Relationship between WIPs and 2-year milestones.


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