Speciation of Total Organic Gas and Particulate Matter Emissions from Onroad Vehicles in MOVES4 £% United States Environmental Protect Agency ------- Speciation of Total Organic Gas and Particulate Matter Emissions from This technical report does not necessarily represent final EPA decisions or positions. It is intended to present technical analysis of issues using data that are currently available. The purpose in the release of such reports is to facilitate the exchange of technical information and to inform the public of technical developments. Onroad Vehicles in MOVES4 Assessment and Standards Division Office of Transportation and Air Quality U.S. Environmental Protection Agency NOTICE 4>EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency EPA-420-R-23-006 August 2023 ------- Table of Contents 1 Introduction 3 1.1 Measuring Hydrocarbons and Particulate Matter 3 1.2 MOVES Speciation Approach 4 1.3 Data Uncertainty and Limitations 4 2 Speciation Glossary 6 2.1 General Terms 6 2.2 Organic Gas Terms 6 2.3 Particulate Matter Terms 8 2.4 Databases, Models and Tools 9 3 Organic Gas Aggregations and Ratios 10 3.1 Total Organic Gaseous Calculations 11 3.2 Ratios for Evaporative Emissions and Most Exhaust Emissions 12 3.3 Ratios for 2001 -and-Later Light-Duty Gasoline Exhaust 17 3.4 Ratios for Flex Fuel Vehicles using High Ethanol Blends (E85) 21 3.5 Ratios for CNG Vehicles 22 3.6 CH4 Ratios for 2010-and-Later Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 24 4 Residual TOG Speciation 25 4.1 Overview 25 4.2 Mapping Residual TOG to Speciation Profiles 26 5 PM2.5 Speciation 29 5.1 MOVES PM2.5 Species 29 5.2 PM2.5 Speciation Calculations 30 5.3 PM2.5 Exhaust Speciation Profiles 35 5.4 Brake and Tire Wear Speciation 38 6 Post-processing of residual TOG, residual PM and OM 38 Appendix A Supporting Information for TOG calculations 41 Appendix B CNG CH4/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters for CNG vehicles.... 48 Appendix C TOG Speciation Map 49 Appendix D Comparison of ACES Phase 1 and Phase 2 SPECIATE Profiles 52 Appendix E Development of PM2.5 speciation profiles in MOVES 59 1 ------- E. 1 Development of Gasoline Profiles from the Kansas City Light-duty Vehicle Emissions Study 60 E.2 Development of E55/59 Profile for Pre-2007 Conventional Diesel 63 E.3 Development of the ACES PM2.5 Profile for 2007 and Newer Technology Diesel 68 E.4 Development of the Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Profile 70 Appendix F PM10/PM2.5 Factors 73 7 References 74 2 ------- 1 Introduction The United States Environmental Protection Agency's Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator— commonly referred to as MOVES—is a set of modeling tools for estimating air pollution emissions produced by onroad (highway) and nonroad mobile sources. MOVES estimates the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs), criteria pollutants and selected air toxics. The MOVES model is currently the official model for use for state implementation plan (SIP) submissions to EPA and for transportation conformity analyses outside of California. The model is also the primary modeling tool for estimating the impact of mobile source regulations on emission inventories, and thus, provides important inputs to air quality models. In MOVES, some pollutant emissions are computed directly, based on measured emission rates1'2. Other pollutants are estimated as a function of the directly computed emissions. This is true of many of the air toxics, as described in the MOVES air toxics report7. For air quality modeling purposes, further chemical characterization of total organic gases (TOG) and particulate matter (PM) is required. The process of apportioning aggregate organic gases and particulate matter into sets of separate components is called "speciation." Note that previous versions of MOVES applied speciation to all onroad sources and processes, except for brake and tire wear particulate matter emissions as discussed in Section 5.4. For nonroad, speciation was handled differently. Toxics were estimated in the nonroad portion of the model, similar to what was done for highway sources, and detailed speciation of TOG and PM2.5 was conducted as part of post-processing of MOVES nonroad results.3 However, since MOVES3(v3.0.4), all speciation for onroad and nonroad emissions is handled via post- processing. 1.1 Measuring I ivdrocarbons and Particulate Matter In addition to estimating emissions of pollutants that are discrete chemical compounds, such as carbon monoxide (CO) and sulfur dioxide (SO2), MOVES produces emission rates for aggregates of individual chemical compounds, including total hydrocarbons (THC), volatile organic compounds (VOC), total organic gases (TOG) and particulate matter (PM). These pollutants are operationally defined, meaning that their definition depends on the measurement technique(s) selected. For example, THC is defined as the hydrocarbons measured by a flame ionization detector (FID). TOG is defined to include all organic gases.4 Because THC measurements do not respond fully to carbon-oxygen bonds in oxygenated compounds, such as aldehydes, alcohols, and ketones, these oxygenates need to be measured separately by gas and liquid chromatography and added to the THC measurements to calculate TOG. Alternatively, TOG measurements can be made solely with gas and liquid chromatography methods.a Similarly, particulate matter is operationally defined as the measured mass collected on a filter using EPA-defined sampling filter media, conditions, and practices.5'6 PM2.5 refers to particulate matter emissions collected downstream of a cyclone that removes the particles with aerodynamic a Thus, differences in measurement methods need to be considered when comparing THC to TOG emission measurements. 3 ------- diameter greater than 2.5 microns, while PMio refers to particulate matter emissions with aerodynamic diameter less than 10 microns. 1.2 MOVES Speciation Approach MOVES produces emission estimates for a subset of species that contribute to TOG and PM2.5. These include important organic gaseous toxics (e.g., formaldehyde and benzene), and toxic particle-phase elements (e.g., nickel and manganese). These also include semi-volatile organic compounds, such as 15 individual polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (e.g., benzo(g;/z/,/)perylene) that can exist in both the gaseous and particle phases under different measurement conditions. Individual toxic emission rates are detailed in the toxics report7, but are peripherally discussed in this report in the context of their use in deriving speciated TOG and PM emissions. Previous versions of MOVES applied speciation to produce the species needed for air quality modeling through a combination of estimation, subtraction of known pollutants and allocation of the remaining emissions based on profiles from EPA's SPECIATE database.8 To facilitate the use of state-of-the-science speciation profiles and chemical mechanisms without waiting for new public versions of MOVES that incorporate the latest speciation data, MOVES now speciates residual TOG, PM and organic matter as a postprocess. This feature was developed specifically for air quality modelers who wish to translate onroad emissions into chemical mechanism species. The post-processing of onroad emissions in MOVES is done with a script that is incorporated in the Tools menu of the MOVES graphical user interface (GUI). This new capability was first implemented in MOVES3 (v3.0.4) and has been updated in MOVES4 to incorporate the latest information in SPECIATE profiles and to improve the post-processing scripts. MOVES continues to provide the same speciated TOG and PM pollutants and users can continue selecting these pollutants when building the RunSpec. Compared to MOVES3.0.3 and earlier versions, the only GUI changes that the user will notice is the addition of two new pollutants (Total Organic Matter and Residual PM) and the removal of chemical mechanisms options in favor of a single option to generate Residual TOG (NONHAPTOG). These new pollutants must be selected if the user desires to perform speciation of onroad emissions as a post-processing step. We note that the addition of new pollutants did not require changes to model calculations as MOVES already calculated these quantities implicitly during runtime; the effective changes simply allow the selection of these pollutants as part of the model output. For further details on speciation outside of MOVES, see Section 6. For users interested in the previous speciation process, the technical reports for MOVES3.0.3 and earlier versions are provided in the MOVES website9. 1.3 Data Uncertainty and Limitations Speciated emissions are collected in laboratory conditions using laboratory bench instruments that can analyze bag measurements of volatile organic compounds and can properly handle particulate matter filters for chemical analysis. Speciated measurements also are based on time- aggregated bag or filter measurements from engine or chassis dynamometer tests rather than 4 ------- time-resolved emission measurements (e.g. second-by-second measurements) that are used to inform emission rates in MOVES from vehicles operating in different operating modes. As such, the number of vehicles and the range of vehicle operation conditions from which we have speciated data are more limited than the vehicle samples and operating conditions used to estimate emission rates of total hydrocarbon and PM2.5 emission rates as documented in the emission rate reports.1'2 Thus, the speciation results may be heavily impacted by test-to-test and vehicle-to-vehicle variability. For example, THC emissions for light-duty gasoline vehicle are based on hundreds or thousands of vehicles for each model year1, and heavy-duty diesel vehicles measurements are based on hundreds of vehicles operating in real-world operation.2 On the other hand, the speciation profile for model year 2001 and later light-duty gasoline vehicles is based on only three vehicles as discussed in Section 3.3b, and the speciation profiles applied to model year 2010 and later diesel vehicles are based on three heavy-duty engines as discussed in Section 3.2. In addition, available vehicle exhaust speciated measurements tend to be sampled from relatively new engines or vehicles. However, speciation likely changes as vehicles age. For example, new vehicles with fully active catalysts likely have higher CH4/THC ratios than older vehicles due to the relative effectiveness of newer aftertreatment systems in oxidizing the NMHC species as comparted to more difficult to oxidize methane. 10'u However, we do not have sufficient data to model age-varying speciation ratios (CH4/THC, NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC) or speciation profiles, nor have we designed MOVES to handle varying speciation as vehicle age. Similarly, speciation testing is often conducted using regulatory cycles, while real-world speciation may differ. For now, our best approach is to select speciation data that are deemed the most representative of the vehicle fleet by emission process, fuel type, regulatory class, and model year. Additional uncertainty comes from applying speciation profiles to technologies and processes that differ from what was tested. For example, we apply the diesel speciation profile developed from heavy heavy-duty engines to light-duty diesel emissions. Also, with the exception of the light-duty gasoline PM2.5 speciation discussed in Appendix E, the speciation profiles are developed from vehicles that are properly functioning and with low accumulated mileage, but we apply them to fleet-average emission rates which include higher emissions due to aged and deteriorated engine and emission control systems. Similarly, the EPAct light-duty gasoline speciation profile is based on combined emission of start and running emissions. As a result, there is no resolution between start and running emissions in the speciation profile. In addition to small sample sizes and limited testing scope, measurement deficiencies contribute to the uncertainty of MOVES speciated emission emissions. For example, as discussed in Section 3.2, the 2010-and-later model year heavy-duty diesel total organic gas speciation profile was corrected to remove three erroneous measurements artifacts. Speciation profiles also may not measure pollutants because the concentrations were below the detection limits of the measurement. As discussed in the toxics report7, many individual species are emitted below detection limits during hot-running operation. b As discussed in the Toxics report, many of the key toxics are estimated from the fifteen vehicles tested in the Phase 3 of the Epact program. 5 ------- We have attempted to include qualitative discussions of the sources of uncertainty and application of the speciation data for each of the relevant sections of the report. 2 Speciation Glossary In the area of "speciation," many terms have multiple meanings. The definitions below provide the terms as they are used in the context of speciation in MOVES. We have grouped the terms into General, Organic Gas, Particulate Matter, and Databases, Models and Tools Terms. 2.1 General Terms • Species: Distinct chemical compounds, ions, groups of compounds, or other chemical entities. In this report, we distinguish "real species," "aggregate species," "CM species," and "intermediate species," as explained below • Aggregate species: Groups of chemical compounds. These are often defined operationally or may be defined for modeling purposes. For example, THC, TOG and VOC are aggregate gaseous species. NonEC is an aggregate particulate matter species. • Real species: Species in the normal chemical sense—a pure chemical substance. The word "real" helps distinguish these species from chemical mechanism species or aggregated species. • Real speciation profile: ideally, a complete listing of the real species and their quantities of TOG or Particulate Matter. In practice, these profiles are incomplete; a certain fraction of the mass is unresolved. Such a profile is produced by laboratory analysis of emissions. This is not a CM speciation profile and is independent of chemical mechanism. Such a profile does, however, depend on process, fuel, and technology, since the mix of real species in TOG or PM is different for different emission processes (e.g. evaporative and exhaust), for different fuels, and for different technologies. The SPECIATE database is the EPA repository for these profiles.8 2.2 Organic Gas Terins • Hydrocarbon (HC): compound containing only carbon and hydrogen12. Because we cannot precisely measure emissions from combustion emissions using this strict definition, we often refer to hydrocarbon (HC) emissions synonymously with total hydrocarbon (THC) emissions which is a defined by the measurement method. For example, the National Emissions Inventory reports MOVES total hydrocarbon emissions (THC) as hydrocarbon (HC) emissions. At other times, we also use the term hydrocarbon more generally to include multiple measurements and definitions of organic gases that are primarily composed of hydrocarbons, including: non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHC), non-methane organic gases (NMOG), and total organic gases (TOG). When discussing HC emission in the MOVES technical reports, we typically only refer to gaseous HC 6 ------- emissions, and not HC emissions in the particulate phase, which is measured as organic carbon (OC) and non-carbon organic matter (NCOM). • Total Hydrocarbons (THC): "THC is the measured hydrocarbon emissions using a Flame Ionization Detector (FID) calibrated with propane. The FID is assumed to respond to all hydrocarbons identically as it responds to propane in determining the concentration of carbon atoms in a gas sample. Most hydrocarbons respond nearly identically as propane with notable exceptions being oxygenated hydrocarbons such as alcohols and aldehydes commonly found in engine exhaust."4 In MOVES, THC is often used synonymously with hydrocarbon (HC) emissions. • Non-Methane Hydrocarbons (NMHC): NMHC = THC - CH4 (methane). • Non-Methane Organic Gases (NMOG): NMOG = TOG - CH4 (methane). • Total Organic Gases (TOG): Total hydrocarbon (THC) emissions plus oxygenated hydrocarbons such as alcohols and aldehydes.4 • Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC): EPA defines VOC as any compound of carbon (excluding carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, carbonic acid, metallic carbides or carbonates, and ammonium carbonate) which participates in atmospheric photochemical reactions, except those designated by EPA as having negligible photochemical reactivity.13 In mobile source testing, typically only a few compounds with negligible photochemical reactivity are measured in significant quantities. For use in MOVES in defining emission rates and application of speciation profiles, VOC is defined as TOG minus methane, ethane, and acetone (Equation 9). • Integrated species: Real species for which MOVES produces emissions that are subtracted from TOG emissions to calculate "Residual TOG." MOVES integrates the 15 species shown in Table 2-2. The integrated species include all the organic gases estimated by MOVES, including naphthalene gas, but excepting all other polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. 7 ------- Table 2-1 Integrated MOVES Pollutants pollutantID Pollutant Name 5 Methane (CH4) 20 Benzene 21 Ethanol 24 1,3-Butadiene 25 Formaldehyde 26 Acetaldehyde 27 Acrolein 40 2,2,4-Trimethylpentane 41 Ethyl Benzene 42 Hexane 43 Propionaldehyde 44 Styrene 45 Toluene 46 Xylene 185 Naphthalene gas • Residual TOG or NonHAPTOG: TOG that remains after subtracting integrated species. MOVES reports emission rates of residual TOG as NonHAPTOG with pollutantID 88. The speciation of Residual TOG into chemical mechanism species is done via postprocessing (see Section 6). 2.3 Particulate Matter Tenns • Primary Exhaust PM2.5 - Total (PM2.5). Primary particulate matter emissions from vehicle exhaust collected using a filter, measured downstream of a cyclone that removes particles with mean aerodynamic diameters greater than 2.5 microns. PM2.5 = EC + nonECPM. • Primary Exhaust PM10 - Total (PM2.5). Primary particulate matter emissions from vehicle exhaust collected using a filter, measured downstream of a cyclone that removes particles with mean aerodynamic diameters greater than 10 microns. • Intermediate PM2.5 species: Groups of PM2.5 species used to simplify calculations, improve computation time, and to reduce the size of the emission rate tables. They include the aggregate species: "non-elemental carbon particulate matter" (NonECPM) and "non-elemental carbon non-sulfate particulate matter" (NonECnonS04PM), elemental carbon (EC), sulfate (SO4) and particulate water (H2O). They are used to compute total PM2.5 emissions and speciated PM2.5 emissions. The EC, nonECPM, SO4, and H2O species are reported as MOVES outputs. • Elemental Carbon (EC): "A descriptive term for carbonaceous particles based on chemical composition rather than light-absorbing characteristics. This term is often used as a synonym for black carbon."14 Elemental carbon is measured through thermal optical techniques as particle-phase carbon that does not volatize at high temperatures in an 8 ------- oxygen-free environment.15 In tailpipe exhaust, EC is one measure of carbonaceous soot formed from fuel pyrolysis occurring during combustion.16 • Organic Carbon (OC): "The mix of compounds containing carbon bound with other elements, e.g., hydrogen and oxygen. Organic carbon may be a product of incomplete combustion or formed through the oxidation of VOCs in the atmosphere." Organic carbon is measured using thermal-optical methods as the particle-phase carbon collected on a filter that volatizes at high temperatures in an oxygen-free environment. • Total Organic Matter (TOM): Particle-phase organic matter. The mass of the organic material in particulate: TOM = organic carbon (OC) + non-carbon organic matter (NCOM). • Non-Carbon Organic Matter (NCOM): the mass of the oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen and other elements present in particle-phase organic matter. OC and NCOM are modeled separately in air quality models in order to model the degree of oxidation of organic matter, which depends on the emission source and the chemical transformation in the atmosphere.17 • Non-Elemental Carbon Particulate Matter (nonECPM): The PM2.5 that is not elemental carbon. This is typically calculated as the difference between PM2.5 mass filter-based measurements and elemental carbon measurements made using thermal optical measurements, or surrogate elemental carbon measurements such as photoacoustic sensors. nonECPM = nonECnonS04PM + SO4 + H2O. • Non-Elemental Carbon, Non-Sulfate Particulate Matter (nonECnonS04PM): MOVES intermediate species used to represent the PM2.5 mass other than elemental carbon, sulfate, and associated water. NonECnonS04PM includes organic matter, elements, and ions. NonECnonS04PM is adjusted for fuel and temperature effects prior to speciation due to limited data on temperature and fuel effects on individual PM2.5 species in the exhaust, and to improve computational time. • Residual PM (nonECnonS04nonOM PM): Similar to nonECnonS04 PM but further subtracts total organic matter (TOM) leaving elements and ions. 2.4 Databases, Models and Tools • CMAQ: The Community Multiscale Air Quality system (CMAQ) is a photochemical and transport air quality model. CMAQ is an open-source development project sponsored by the US EPA Atmospheric Science Modeling Division (https://www.cmascenter.org/cmaq/). • SPECIATE: EPA's repository of organic gas and particulate matter (PM) speciation profiles from air pollution sources.8 The SPECIATE database contains a record of each profile including its referenced source, testing methods, a subjective rating of the quality 9 ------- of the data, and other detailed data that allow researchers to decide which profile is most suitable for model input (https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/speciate) • Speciation Tool: Estimates "split-factors" to translate inventory pollutants such as VOC to chemical mechanisms species. The Speciation Tool creates the mapping of NONHAPTOG emissions from MOVES to the chemical mechanism species, using the relevant speciation profiles from SPECIATE, re-normalized without the integrated 1 8 species. • SMOKE: Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions is a computer program used to provide model-ready inputs into CMAQ. SMOKE produces gridded, speciated, and hourly emissions input for use in CMAQ and other air-quality models. For onroad emissions, MOVES provides the emissions already speciated into the chemical mechanism species, (https://www.cmascenter.org/smoke/) • SMOKE-MOVES: "A set of methodologies and software tools to help use output from MOVES as inputs to SMOKE."19 MOVES is run in rates-mode to produce emission rates for different meteorological conditions, vehicle speeds (for running emissions), emission processes, road types, fuel types, and source types at different temporal and geographical domains to account for local differences in emissions. SMOKE-MOVES combines MOVES emission rates with respective vehicle activity to estimate emissions that are input into SMOKE. 3 Organic Gas Aggregations and Ratios o est? o MOVES provides estimates of organic gas emissions in a number of different aggregations. Table 3-1 shows the composition of various organic gas aggregate classes in MOVES. As the table shows, the organic gas aggregations differ based on the presence or absence of methane, ethane, alcohols, and aldehydes. Definitions of these species are also included in the glossary. In MOVES, total hydrocarbons (THC) is defined as hydrocarbons measured with a Flame Ionization Detector and includes methane and ethane. MOVES calculates emissions of total organic gases (TOG), non-methane organic gases (NMOG) and volatile organic compounds (VOC) using information regarding the organic gas speciation of emissions. Table 3-1 Relationships among C rganic Gas Aggregations in MOVES pollutantID pollutantName Acronym nu- nc Methane Ethane Acetone Alcohols Aldehydes 1 Total Hydrocarbons THC Yes Yes Yes No No No 79 Non-Methane Hydrocarbons NMHC Yes No Yes No No No 87 Volatile Organic Compounds VOC Yes No No No Yes Yes 86 Total Organic Gases TOG Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 80 Non-Methane Organic Gases NMOG Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes 10 ------- In MOVES, THC emission rates are the base organic gas emission rates as documented in the MOVES light-duty exhaust1, heavy-duty exhaust2, and evaporative20 emission rate report from which each of the other organic emissions are estimated using the calculations documented in the following section. Gas-phase organic air toxics are calculated from VOC emissions as discussed in the MOVES air toxics report 3.1 Total Organic Gaseous Calculations Exhaust regulations for organic gases are often expressed in terms of non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHC). MOVES calculates both methane and NMHC from the THC emissions using methane- to-total hydrocarbon ratios (recorded in the CH4THCRatio field of the MOVES MethaneTHCRatio table) as shown in Equation 1 and Equation 2. CH4 - THC x Equation 1 V THC) CH \ NMHC = THCX(1 - 4 * Equation 2 Following the calculation of NMHC, the MOVES algorithm calculates NMOG, VOC and TOG as shown in Equation 3 through Equation 5. NMOG NMOG = NMHC X NMHC Equation 3 voc ^ , VOC = NMHC X NMHC Equation 4 TOG = NMOG + CH4 Equation 5 In early versions of MOVES, the data used to calculate CHVTHC was not consistent with the data used to calculate ratios of organic aggregates.21 Beginning in MOVES3, for many of the vehicles and emission processes, we determined CHVTHC ratios from the SPECIATE profiles that are currently used in the model. The CHVTHC ratios stored in the Methane THC "Ratio table in MOVES vary by emission process, regulatory class, fuel subtype, and model year. The methodology to calculate CHVTHC ratios from SPECIATE data is presented in Section 3.2 and the calculated ratios for each profile are presented in Table 3-2. Within MOVES, the NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios shown in Equation 3 and Equation 4 are called "speciation constants." Speciation constants were calculated for each SPECIATE profile used in MOVES in order to be consistent with the updated CHVTHC ratios and with the TOG calculation chain.0 These ratios continue to be stored in the HCSpeciation table which now 0 Previous to MOVES3, the speciation constant parameters were calculated using either of two methods. The first method was based on the relative carbon fraction of each species and was first developed for MOBILE4.1. The second method was based on Equation 1066.635-1 of the CFR. For further details, the reader is directed to the MOVES2014 speciation report33. 11 ------- also includes the key fields regulatory class and fuel subtype. The new speciation constant parameters are also presented in Table 3-2. The calculation of NMOG and VOC in previous MOVES versions included additional terms that represented adjustments to correct for the oxygenated volume in the fuel (oxySpeciation, volToWtPercentOxy and oxyVolume parameters). Since MOVES3, different speciation constants are provided for fuel subtypes for different fractions of ethanol in gasoline (EO, E5, E8, E10, E15, E85), and the previous adjustments made to correct for oxygenated volume in the fuel were removed, simplifying the equations as shown in Equation 3 and Equation 4. The new methodology removes the capability of MOVES to adjust NMOG and VOC according to other oxygenated compounds such as methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE), ethyl tert-butyl ether (ETBE) and tert-amyl methyl ether (TAME). However, fuel market projections indicate that additives other than ethanol are unlikely to return to the market, supporting the removal of these parameters from the model. 3.2 Ratios for Evaporative Emissions and Most Exhaust Emissions We use SPECIATE profiles to derive CH4/THC, NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC for all emissions processes and vehicle classes except exhaust emissions from 2001-and-later light-duty gasoline vehicles, exhaust emissions from flex-fuel vehicles using E85 fuel, CNG exhaust, and the CHVTHC fractions for 2010-and-later heavy-duty diesel exhaust, as discussed in the following subsections. The speciation profiles in MOVES were obtained from the SPECIATE database8. Each profile has a detailed list of measured compounds and reports their weight as percentage of TOG. The calculation of NMOG for each profile was done by simply subtracting CH4 from TOG as shown in Equation 6. NMOG = TOG — CH4 Equation 6 The calculation of NMHC is based on Equation 1066.635-1 in the Code of Federal Regulations. The equation provided in the CFR was rearranged as shown in Equation 7 to solve for NMHC using NMOG calculated in the previous step as an input. 12 ------- X ^^OHCi\THC-F!D\ ^ mOCHi i=l N Equation 7 mNMOG = mass of NMOG in the exhaust. mNHMC = mass of NMHC in the exhaust. Pnmhc = 576.816 g/m3 which is the effective Cl-equivalent density of NMHC as specified in §1066.1005(f). moHCi = mass of oxygenated species i in the exhaust. poHCi = Cl-equivalent density of oxygenated species i as specified in 40 CFR 1066.605-1. For methanol, the density is 1332.02 g/m3; for ethanol, the density is 957.559 g/m3; for acetaldehyde, the density is 915.658 g/m3; for formaldehyde, the density is 1248.21 g/m3; and for propanol, the density is 832.74 g/m3. RFoHCi[THc-FiD] = response factor of a THC-FID to oxygenated species i relative to propane on a Cl-equivalent basis as determined in 40 CFR 1065.845. The RF for acetaldehyde is 0.5; for formaldehyde is 0; for ethanol is 0.75; for methanol is 0.63 and for propanol is 0.85. After NMHC and NMOG are calculated, the calculation of THC is done as shown in Equation 8. Once THC is calculated, the CHVTHC can then be determined. Finally, VOC is calculated following the definition used in MOVES, where methane (CH4), ethane (C2H2) and acetone (C3H5O) are subtracted from TOG emissions as shown in Equation 9. Table 3-2 presents the ratios determined for each SPECIATE composite profile. Information on the data behind each SPECIATE profile is provided in more detail in Appendix A. Table 3-2 notes the assignment of the derived speciation ratios to different model years, processes, fuel subtypes, and regulatory classes. For gasoline exhaust, we use profiles 8750a and 8751a to represent gasoline exhaust for 2000 and earlier light-duty vehicles. For other gasoline regulatory classes (motorcycles and heavy-duty vehicles), the same profiles were used for all model years. THC = NMOG X Equation 8 VOC = TOG — CH4 — C2H2 — C3HeO Equation 9 13 ------- Table 3-2 Updated CH4/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters from SPECIATE Profiles for MOVES4 Profile Number Profile Description Emission Process Fuel Subtype Vehicles CH4/THC Ratio NMOG/NMHC Ratio VOC/NMH C Ratio 95120cd Liquid diesel Refueling Spillage Diesel, biodiesel All diesel 0 1 1 8750a Pre-Tier 2 E0 exhaust Running, starts exhaust and crankcase Conventional Gasoline Pre-2001 LD gasoline All MC and non-LD gasoline 0.142 1.024 0.996 8751a Pre-Tier 2 E10 exhaust Running, starts exhaust and crankcase RFG, E10, E8, E5 Pre-2001 LD gasoline All MC and non-LD gasoline 0.146 1.037 1.008 8753 E0 Evap Evaporative (vapors, leaks, refueling spillage) Conventional Gasoline All gasoline 0 1 1 8754 E10 Evap Evaporative (vapors, leaks, refueling spillage) E10, E8, E5 All gasoline 0 1.071 1.071 8766 E0 Evap perm Evaporative Permeation Conventional Gasoline All gasoline 0 1 1 8769 E10 Evap perm Evaporative Permeation E10, E8, E5 All gasoline 0 1.129 1.129 8770 E15 Evap perm Evaporative Permeation E15 All gasoline 0 1.175 1.175 8774 Pre-2007 MY HDD exhaust Running, starts, extended idle exhaust and crankcase Diesel, Biodiesel Pre-2007 diesel 0 1.145 1.124 APU Pre-2024 APU Running, starts exhaust and crankcase Pre-2007 LD diesel 8775 2007-2009 HDD exhaust Running, starts exhaust and crankcase Diesel, Biodiesel 2007+ LD diesel 0.589 1.343 1.285 APU 2024+ APU Running, starts, extended idle exhaust and crankcase 2007+ HD diesel 95335a 2010+ HDD exhaust Running, starts exhaust and crankcase Diesel, Biodiesel 2010+ LD diesel 0, Not Used6 1.085 0.965 Running, starts, extended idle exhaust and crankcase 2010+HD diesel 14 ------- Table 3-2 (continued) Profile Number Profile Description Emission Process Fuel Subtype vehicles ch4/thc Ratio NMOG/NMHC Ratio VOC/NMHC Ratio 8869 E0 Headspace Refueling displacement vapor loss Conventional Gasoline All gasoline 0 1 1 8870 E10 Headspace Refueling displacement vapor loss E10, E8, E5 All gasoline 0 1.037 1.037 8871 E15 Headspace Refueling displacement vapor loss E15 All gasoline 0 1.175 1.175 8872 El5 Evap Evaporative (vapors, leaks, refueling spillage) E15 All gasoline 0 1.118 1.118 8934 E85 Evap Evaporative permeation E85, E70 All gasoline vehicles running on high ethanol blends 0 1.501 1.501 Evaporative (vapors, leaks), refueling displacement and spillage losses All gasoline vehicles running on high ethanol blends d Profile 95120 is based on NMOG and we assume that there is no methane in liquid diesel fuel. In addition, no oxygenated species are measured in the profile (formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, or ethanol), nor any non-volatile organic compounds (ethane, and acetone), thus the CH4/THC, NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC values are 0, 1, and 1, respectively. e MOVES uses a 0.38 CH4/THC ratio based on a literature review discussed in Section 3.6 15 ------- For vapor venting, fuel leaks, and fuel spillage loss emissions from EO and E10, the speciation constants are based on SPECIATE profiles from the Auto/Oil Air Quality Improvement Research Program (profiles 8753 and 8754).f The speciation profiles for refueling displacement vapor loss (profiles 8869, 8870, and 8871) for EO, E10, and E15 fuels were based on measurements conducted by EPA.22 ) Profile 8872 used for vapor venting, leaks, and refueling spillage for El 5 fuels is based on SPECIATE profile 8754 (a composite profile developed from the Auto/Oil Air Quality Improvement Research Program) and data collected in the EPAct/V2/E- 89 program on E10 and E15 fuels. For evaporative permeation emissions, MOVES uses speciation constants developed from three ethanol blend levels (EO, E10, El 5) from the CRC E- 77 program (profiles 8766, 8769, 8770).23 In the CRC E-77 programs the test procedure specifically separated the evaporative emissions mechanisms, therefore there was an apparent ethanol effect on permeation but not a clear RVP effect. The speciation constants for all evaporative emission processes from E85-fueled vehicles are calculated from SPECIATE profile 8934 developed from the CRC E-80 report.24 The speciation profile used for diesel refueling emissions, (which only include liquid diesel spillage loss in MOVES20) was updated in MOVES3 to be based on a liquid diesel SPECIATE profile 95120.d For pre-2007 diesel emissions (both light-duty and heavy-duty), MOVES uses speciation profile 8774, which is based on a review of speciated diesel emissions on pre-2007 model year engine technologies. MOVES uses the pre-2007 NMOG/NMHC value for diesel auxiliary power units (APUs; processID 91) for all model years prior to 2024 because they are not subject to the same control as on-highway diesel engines. For 2007 to 2009 model year light-duty and heavy-duty diesel vehicles, MOVES uses speciation profile (8775) based on data from Phase 1 of the Advanced Collaborative Emissions Study (ACES)25, which includes diesel engines equipped with diesel particulate filter, and is the technology used to meet the heavy-duty 2007 diesel standards.26 MOVES also applies the ACES Phase 1 speciation profile to 2024 and later auxiliary power units because it is anticipated they would use diesel particulate filters to meet the APU PM standards promulgated as part of the Phase 2 medium and heavy-duty greenhouse gas regulation.27 Beginning in MOVES3, we incorporated a new speciation profile (95335a) to 2010 and later diesel vehicles based the ACES Phase 2 test program.28 This program tested three heavy heavy- duty 2011 model year engines equipped with diesel particulate filters and selective catalytic reduction systems that are representative of current diesel technologies used to achieve the 2010 heavy-duty emission standards. The engines and aftertreatments were tested new, and the emissions of NMHC were over 99% below the 2010 emission standards. Furthermore, emissions of the majority of individual organic compounds were below the levels measured from the ACES Phase 1 program, including methane emissions, which were below the detection limit in ACES Phase 2, but which contributed over 50% of the TOG emissions in the ACES Phase 1 program.29 f The CRC E-77 program23 observed a significant effect for both RVP and ethanol in the diurnal emissions data largely due to the vapor venting breakthrough emissions which were vented outside of the SHED using special procedures as defined in the individual study reports. As noted in the 2017 peer-review58, there is likely an accompanying effect of RVP on vapor venting emissions (from both vapor venting and fuel displacement venting), and both RVP and ethanol content should be considered as factors when developing updated vapor venting speciation profiles in future test programs. 16 ------- Due to the low level of TOG emissions, the relative error of the speciation fractions of TOG is high in the ACES Phase 2 program. We have developed methane fractions from a literature review of emission studies on MY 2010-and-later heavy-duty diesel engines as discussed in Section 3.6. In addition, we removed alcohol species from the original profile (95335) that are likely measurement artifacts as documented in Appendix D. In addition, many of the measurements were near detection limits, and individual species measurements showed inconsistencies when compared to the emission trends of groups of gaseous hydrocarbons from ACES Phase 1 (see Appendix D). Given the limited number of tests and low emission levels measured, it is not possible to determine whether these inconsistencies represent real differences, test to test variability, or measurement uncertainties. Despite the uncertainties regarding the Phase 2 speciation profile, we have incorporated it into MOVES (including the NMOG/NMHC and VOV/NMHC ratios) because it is the most comprehensive chemical sampling program available for exhaust from MY 2010 and later heavy-duty diesel technology. We recommend further speciated measurements of modern heavy- duty diesel engine exhaust, including vehicles with aged and deteriorated aftertreatment systems that likely emit higher concentrations of organic gas and particulate matter emissions. 3.3 Ratios for 2001-and-Lalcr! mhi-l Mity Gasoline Exhaust aj We determined ratios of CHVTHC, NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC for exhaust emissions from Tier 2 (model year 2001-and-later) vehicles running on gasoline-ethanol blends (0 percent - 15 percent ethanol) using bag-specific data from the EPAct Phase 1 program30 In contrast, the SPECIATE profiles (8756, 8757, and 8758) developed from the EPACT/V2/E-89 program combined the start and running emissions (Table 4-1). As presented in this section, the speciation constants varied significantly by bag, and we determined that it was preferable to use the resolved speciation constants based on the bag data from the same data set used to derive the SPECIATE profiles. EPAct Phase 1 was designed to collect data from light-duty vehicles running on low-level ethanol blends. Three vehicles (MY 2008) were tested to generate data for the three bags required to create speciated composite profiles. The tests involved 9 runs using fuel with 0 percent ethanol, 6 runs using fuel with 10 percent ethanol and 7 runs using fuel with 15 percent ethanol. Further information on vehicles, fuels and testing is detailed in the EPAct Phase I report.30 The data corresponding to the runs used for this analysis is listed in Appendix A. For ethanol levels between 0-15 percent, the average CH4 and THC emissions were calculated and subsequently a ratio of means was determined (i.e., CFUavg/THCavg). To verify if there was a statistically significant trend with ethanol composition, a linear regression between these ratios and ethanol composition was performed (Figure 3-1). The regression analysis indicated that the slope was statistically significant (significance level < 0.05) for start emissions but not for running emissions. Therefore, CH4/THC for starts are specific for each ethanol composition, but for running an average CH4/THC across all low-level ethanol blends is used. The linear fit for starts was used to interpolate CH4/THC values for E5 and E8 fuel compositions, for which no SPECIATE profiles are available. 17 ------- ¦©- running ~starts Figure 3-1 Relationship between CH4/THC Ratios and Ethanol Composition for Tier 2 Vehicles using Low- Level Ethanol Blends The speciated data used to determine NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC for Tier 2 vehicles corresponds to the same EPAct Phase 1 runs referred to in the determination of CH4/THC ratios for these vehicles. Data from Bag 3 was subtracted from Bag 1 to determine cold start emissions. NMOG, VOC and NMHC were calculated for each test following the methodology described in Section 3.1. The reported speciation constant parameters were determined as a ratio of means (i.e., NMOGavg/NMHCavg or VOCavg/NMHCavg) for each ethanol composition. The linear relationship between speciation constant parameters and ethanol composition was statistically significant for starts (a < 0.05), but not for running emissions (Figure 3-2). Therefore, like the CH4/THC ratios, we report speciation constant parameters for start emissions (Table 3-3) at each ethanol composition analyzed, whereas for running emissions (Table 3-4) we report an average across the ethanol compositions. This approach is supported by a previous study performed by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)31 which focused on the estimation of NMOG emissions from 68 vehicles using mid-level ethanol blends. The ORNL study found that given very low emissions normally measured in bag 2 and the level of scatter associated with them, the recommended approach was to use a constant NMOG/NMHC ratio across ethanol compositions. We apply the resulting EPAct Phase 1 speciation constant values for all light-duty gasoline vehicles in model year 2001 and later. As we note in the discussion of the light-duty PM2.5 speciation profile (Appendix E.l), modern gasoline direct injection vehicles have significantly different composition of particulate matter emissions. We anticipate that there are also significant differences in the organic gas speciation. We plan to incorporate light-duty gasoline organic gas speciation profiles and constants in MOVES and SPECIATE as such data on representative, in-use vehicles become available. 18 ------- ¦©¦ running starts running starts 1 10- 105- 1 00" 095- y = 0.0036X + 1.0135 R2 = 0.9919 p-value = 0.057 V = 0.0011x+ 1.0365 R2 = 0.0605 p-value = 0.841 10 1 10- 1 05- 1 00* y = 0.0033X + 0.9808 R2 = 1 p-value = 0.003 V = -0.0005x + 0.9832 R2 = 0.0127 p-value = 0.928 095- 15 10 15 Ethanol (%) Ethanol (%) Figure 3-2 Relationship between Speciation Constant Parameters and Ethanol Composition for Tier 2 Vehicles using Low-Level Ethanol Blends Furthermore, the reported NMOG/NMHC ratio for 0 percent ethanol level in the ORNL study was 1.0302 which corresponds to the intercept of the best-fit line for the current analysis. For comparison purposes, we also determined the NMOG/NMHC ratio for the SPECIATE running profile 8756 (Tier 2 E0 exhaust) using the methodology described in this report. The NMOG/NMFIC ratio we estimated was 1.038, showing reasonable agreement with the value determined by the ORNL study. 19 ------- Table 3-3 CH4/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters for Start Emissions from Tier 2 Vehicles Bag data from profile Profile description Emission process Fuel Subtype Affected vehicles ch4/thc Ratio NMOG/NMH CRatio VOC/NMHC Ratio 8756 Tier 2 E0 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase Conventional Gasoline 2001+LD gasoline 0.091 1.014 0.981 N/A Tier 2 E5 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase E5 2001+LD gasoline 0.098 1.031 0.997 N/A Tier 2 E8 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase E8 2001+LD gasoline 0.102 1.042 1.007 8757 Tier 2 E10 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase E10 2001+LD gasoline 0.105 1.046 1.014 8758 Tier 2 E15 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase E15 2001+LD gasoline 0.112 1.069 1.030 8855 Tier 2 E85 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase E85, E70 Pre-2001 MY flex-fuel vehicles running on high ethanol blends 0.273 1.511 1.454 8855 Tier 2 E85 exhaust Start exhaust and crankcase E85, E70 MY 2001+ flex-fuel vehicles running on high ethanol blends 0.273 Not Useda Not Useda a MY 2001 and later E85 fueled vehicles use the Tier 2 E10 NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios as discussed in Section 3.4 20 ------- Table 3-4 CH4/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters for Running Emissions from Tier 2 Vehicles Bag data from profile Profile Emission Fuel Subtype Affected CH4/TH NMOG/NMHC VOC/NMH description Process vehicles CRatio Ratio L Ratio 8756 Tier 2 E0 exhaust Running exhaust and crankcase Conventional Gasoline 2001+LD gasoline 0.338 1.038 0.974 N/A Tier 2 E5 exhaust Running exhaust and crankcase E5 2001+LD gasoline 0.338 1.038 0.974 N/A Tier 2 E8 exhaust Running exhaust and crankcase E8 2001+LD gasoline 0.338 1.038 0.974 8757 Tier 2 E10 exhaust Running exhaust and crankcase E10 2001+LD gasoline 0.338 1.038 0.974 8758 Tier 2 E15 exhaust Running exhaust and crankcase E15 2001+LD gasoline 0.338 1.038 0.974 Pre-2001 MY 8855 Tier 2 E85 exhaust Running exhaust and crankcase E85, E70 flex-fuel vehicles running on high ethanol blends 0.822 1.234 0.934 MY 2001+ 8855 Tier 2 E85 exhaust Running exhaust and E85, E70 vehicles running on 0.822 Not Usedb Not Usedb crankcase high ethanol blends bMY 2001 and later E85 fueled vehicles use the Tier 2 E10 NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios as discussed in Section 3.4 3.4 Ratios for Flex Fuel Vehicles usinu I huh bihanol Blench i! The CHVTHC ratios and speciation constants used for high-level ethanol blends (E70 and E85), shown in Table 3-3, were developed from three high-level ethanol fueled vehicles tested as part of the EPAct/V2/E-89 program.32 The CH4/THC, NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios are used to estimate CH4, NMHC, NMOG, VOC, and TOG emissions for pre-2001 model year E85 vehicles. The CH4/THC ratios are also used to estimate CH4 and NMHC emissions for 2001 and later model year vehicles. The NMOG and VOC emissions from high-level ethanol fueled vehicles for 2001 and later model year vehicles in MOVES are calculated differently. As discussed in the fuel effects report46, NMOG and VOC emission rates for high-level ethanol exhaust emissions are based on the EPAct/V2/E-89 data, plus data from three other testing programs with a total of 19 Tier 2 FFV vehicles tested on both E10 gasoline and E85 fuels. No significant differences were observed in the NMOG emissions between the Tier 2 vehicles tested on E10 and E85 fuels. As such, MOVES calculates NMOG and VOC emissions from NMHC emissions calculated using 21 ------- E10 CH4/NMHC ratios, and fuel effects primarily using E10 fuel properties.g NMOG and VOC emissions for E85-fueled vehicles are then calculated using the NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios from the Tier 2 E10 Profile (8757). We recognize this approach can result in discrepancies between NMHC and VOC emissions from E85-fueled vehicles particularly if the methane ratios are significantly different between ratios between the EPAct/V2/E-89 study (3 vehicles), and the larger 19-vehicle dataset.11 One of the reasons this approach was taken was due to the limited data on E85 emissions; it reflects the need for further research on E85 emissions. A more detailed discussion of NMOG and VOC emissions from high ethanol blend fueled vehicles is included in the MOVES Fuel Effects Report.46 3.5 Ratios for CNG Vehicles The speciation values for compressed natural gas (CNG) exhaust are derived from a study conducted by the California Air Resources Board on a CNG lean-burn transit bus with and without an oxidation catalyst (Ayala et al. 20 0338). The derivation of the CNG methane and speciation constants are documented in Appendix B. In MOVES, we apply the speciation values from the "without control" tests to pre-2002 model year CNG vehicles, and the values "with the oxidation catalyst" to 2002 and later vehicles as shown in Table 3-5. The data used to develop the speciation constants was not complete enough to develop full speciation profiles. In the absence of mobile-source CNG speciation profile, we use SPECIATE profile 10011 to speciate the residual TOG (Table 4-1). Table 3-5 C 14/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters for CNG Exhaust Profile Description Model Years affected Emission process CH4/THC Ratio NMOG/NMHC Ratio VOC/NMHC Ratio CNG lean- burn 1960-2001 Starts and running exhaust and crankcase 0.886 1.9 1.68 CNG lean- burn oxidation catalyst 2002-2060 Starts and running exhaust and crankcase 0.959 1.24 0.93 The peer-reviewers of the MOVES2014 Speciation report33 recommended we consider using more recent studies of CNG vehicles. In response, we compared the CHVTHC, NMOG/NMHC, and VOC/NMHC developed from Ayala et al. (20 03)38, to more recent studies including data on stoichiometric three-way catalyst (TWC) technology engines as shown in Table 3-6. The MOVES CHVTHC value falls within the range of recent studies. Larger differences between g With the exception of sulfur level, see the discussion in the MOVES fuel effects report46 h Only a fraction of the vehicles tested in the 19 vehicle-test sample reported methane measurements. If the methane fraction is significantly different in the EPAct/V2/E-89 program compared to the 19 vehicle-test sample compared to the EPAct/V2/E-89 program used to derive the NMOG rates, this could create the observed inconsistency in the NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios. 1 As shown in Table A-4, Speciate profile 1001 is based on a measurements from a stationary CNG engine 22 ------- studies are observed for the NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios, particularly for the uncontrolled lean-burn values. The differences can be explained by the fact that the CNG exhaust from Ayala et al. (20 03)38 used in MOVES contain high formaldehyde emissions, particularly for uncontrolled lean-burn buses, which causes high NMOG/NMHC ratios. The large variation in these values may also be due to differences in measurement methods, particularly because non-methane hydrocarbons constitute a small fraction of the total organic gas emissions from CNG buses. The MOVES speciation value for the catalyst -equipped engines used for MY 2001 and later, are slightly outside the range of values obtained in other studies, but still compare relatively well considering the variability among the different studies. As such, we have maintained the use of them in MOVES. The variation among the different values could be used to assess the relative uncertainty of the methane, NMOG, and VOC emissions estimated in MOVES. Table 3-6 Comparison of CH4/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters for CNG Engines from several studies Study Technology Model year Cycles tested CH4/THC Ratio NMOG/NMHC Ratio VOC/NMHC Ratio CEC-201534 Lean-burn 2005 CBDa 0.853 1.062 1.062 Stoichiometric TWC 2011-2013 CBD 0.881 1.183 1.183 Thiruvengadam et al.35,36 Stoichiometric TWC 2008-2009, 2011 UDDSb 0.982 1.096 1.096 Dual-Fuel High-Pressure Direct Injection (HPDI) 2011 UDDS 0.683 1.031 1.031 CE-CERT37 Stoichiometric TWC° 2014 UDDS 0.941 NDd ND Stoichiometric TWC 2014 CBD 0.719 ND ND Ayala et al.38 (MOVES) Lean-burn, no control 2000 CBD 0.886 1.9 1.68 Lean-burn, Oxidation catalyst 2000 CBD 0.959 1.24 0.93 Notes: a Central Business District b Urban Dynamometer Driving Schedule 0 TWC= Three-way catalyst d ND: Not Determined Currently, we do not estimate evaporative or refueling emissions from CNG vehicles in MOVES and thus, have no CH4/THC, NMOG/NMHC, and VOC/NMHC ratios for these processes. This is an area for future research. 23 ------- 3.6 CH4 Ratios for 2010-and-Later Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles The pre-2007, 2007-2009, and 2010-and-later model years, CH4/THC ratios for heavy-duty diesel based on the assigned speciation profiles in Table 3-2 are 0%, 58%, and 0%. The 2010- and-later speciation profiles (95335a) is developed from the ACES Phase 2 program, where methane emissions were below the detection limit.29 Methane and NMHC emissions below the detection limit has also been reported in other studies that measured emissions from MY 2010 and later heavy-duty vehicles.39'85 However, due to the large inconsistency in the methane fractions between the 2007-2009 and 2010-and-later model years, and our relative uncertainty regarding the methane fraction from the Phase 2 profiles (See Appendix D), we conducted a literature review on methane emissions from MY 2010 and later heavy-duty diesel trucks. Three different studies from the literature and EPA certification data reported significant CH4/THC ratios from MY 2010+ heavy-duty exhaust as shown in Table 3-7. From the reported values, we calculated an average CH4/THC ratio of 38%, which we use in MOVES for all MY 2010 and later diesel-fueled vehicles. We recognize there is uncertainty regarding representative driving conditions and vehicles. Quiros et a/.(2016,2017)40'41 showed that methane fractions varied by driving cycle, but there was not a consistent trend in the methane ratios from low to higher load operation. Due to the wide variety of results, we decided to take an average of each of the cycle-average values from each of the studies shown in Table 3-7, except for the local drayage value from Quiros et a/.40'41 which was deemed an outlier value (90% methane). This approach was deemed the most reasonable to yield a representative methane fraction for in-use driving. The vehicles sampled also tended to be vehicles with low mileage accumulation. The reported odometer readings that were available were relatively low for heavy-duty diesel trucks (less than 200,000 miles). The EPA certification data are obtained from test-engines with fully functioning aftertreatment systems that have not been applied in-use. In theory, the CH4/THC ratios are likely to decrease as vehicles age, as the aftertreatment system becomes less efficient at oxidizing NMHC. However, we don't have the data nor the MOVES structure to support this, and we are using the methane fraction to represent all vehicle ages for MY 2010-and-later diesel vehicles. As discussed in Section 3.2, we are continuing to use the ACES Phase 2 speciation program for the speciation factors for NMHC from 2010-and-later exhaust (i.e. NMOG/NMHC and VOC/NMHC ratios, and the speciation profile to estimate the chemical mechanism species from the integrated species and NONHAPTOG). Most of the studies evaluated did not provide sufficient speciation measurements from which to develop speciation profiles or even speciation factors beyond the methane ratios. Future work could develop updated speciation ratios and profiles from Hays et al.{2017)42 and other relevant studies. 24 ------- fable 3-7 CH4/TH< C Ratios for MY 2010+ Heavy-Duty Diesel Trucks Source Vehicle # Reg Class Model Year Technology Odometer Cycle CH4/THC (%) Hill Climb 18% Quiros et al 201640 Interstate 25% 4 HHD 2013-2014 DOC+DPF+SCR 40K to Regional 20% Quiros et al 201741 186K Local Drayage 90% Near Dock 22% Urban 33% Hays et al 201742 3 LHD2b3, LHD45, MHD 2011 LHD2b3: DOC+NAC+DPF LHD45 & MHD: 4K to 35K CARBMHD UDDS and HD-UDDS 42% DOC+SCR+DPF Karavalakis UDDS 68% 1 HHD 2014 DOC+DPF+SCR NA et al 2016 43 HHDDT 55% Transient 9 engine families LHD 47% EPA Certification Data44-3 16 engine families MHD 2016-2019 DOC+DPF+SCR NA Transient (TR) Comb Adj 39% 10 engine families HHD 46% Average = (excluding the Local Drayage from Quiros et al.) 38% Note: DOC-Diesel Oxidation Catalyst, DPF-Diesel Particulate Filter, NAC-NOx Adsorber Catalyst, SCR-Selective Catalytic Reduction a The methane fractions from the EPA certification data were calculated as average of ratios from each engine family, rather than a ratio of averages, which would yield lower methane fractions. 4 Residual TOG Speciation 4.1 Overview As introduced in Section 2.2, MOVES estimates emissions for a subset of 15 species that contribute to TOG known as "integrated species" (Table 2-2). MOVES contains algorithms and information on fuel properties and temperature dependencies that allows estimating these species with more detail than available from speciation profiles. For example, the benzene fraction estimated by MOVES for light-duty gasoline vehicles accounts for the benzene content in the gasoline fuel, whereas the benzene fraction estimated in the TOG speciation profiles is based on the benzene level in the tests conducted for the speciation measurements. After subtracting the integrated species from the total organic gas estimates, the remaining emissions are referred to as Residual TOG or NONHAPTOG. 25 ------- Residual TOG = TOG - MOVES gaseous integrated species Equation 10 MOVES also computes a select list of PAHs, dioxins, and furans which are not integrated except for one PAH species, naphthalene. The other PAHs, dioxins and furans are not included in the integrated species in part because they compose a small percentage of the Residual TOG emissions; incorporating them into the integrated species would require additional data processing without a significant impact on the Residual TOG estimates. 4.2 Mapping Residual TOG to Speciation Profiles A real speciation profile is, in principle, a complete listing of all the real species and their quantities that make up an aggregate species such as TOG. Of course, the hundred or so compounds listed in these profiles are not a complete listing, which would likely include thousands of species. However, these profiles contain the major species by mass and reactivity. Such profiles are produced by laboratory analysis of emissions and are independent of chemical mechanism. MOVES3.0.3 and earlier versions used speciation profiles to translate Residual TOG emissions estimates directly into chemical mechanism species. However, in MOVES3.0.4 and later, we removed this capability from the model in favor of a postprocessing step that could facilitate speciating MOVES output into any chemical mechanism without the need of re-running MOVES. The details for the post-process are discussed in Section 6, but the mapping of onroad emissions to specific speciation profiles is discussed below. Table 4-1 summarizes the speciation profiles used in MOVES and hosted on SPECIATE, together with the fuels, affected vehicles, and MOVES emission processes to which they apply. Table A-4 lists the referenced sources for each of the real speciation profiles. The mapping of speciation profiles to onroad emissions is done by model year, fuel subtype, regulatory class, and emission process; Appendix C provides the assignment at this level. Appendix C also provides the SPECIATE codes for the corresponding volatility-based profiles^ to provide speciation under the Reactive Organic Carbon framework (see Section 6). Fuel subtype refers to fuel groupings within the larger fuel types of gasoline, diesel, CNG and E85 as detailed in Table C-3. Regulatory class refers to vehicle type as defined in Table C-2. Emission process refers to the emission's physical mechanism. As listed in Table C-l, MOVES has twelve emission processes that are relevant for TOG speciation. Note that different TOG and PM speciation profiles can be applied to different emission processes, but not to individual operating modes (e.g., idling). J Organic emissions, both gaseous and particulate, are made up of individual organic components. These components feature different physiochemical properties, including volatility. The volatility profile of emissions can be quantified using the effective saturation concentration (C*) of all organics, with a higher volatility corresponding to a higher C*. In general, volatility profiles are defined for condensable reactive organic carbon (CROC) associated with OM speciation and containing compounds with C* less than 320 |ig m 3; and gaseous reactive organic carbon (GROC) associated with NMOG speciation and compounds with C* greater than 320 |ig m 3. 26 ------- Table 4-1 Speciation Profiles Used for Onroad TOG Emissions'4 Profile Profile Description Fuel Affected Vehicles Emission Process Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, 1001 CNG Exhaust CNG All CNG Transit Buses Crankcase Start Exhaust 95120c1 Liquid Diesel Diesel All Diesel Refueling Spillage Loss 8753 E0 Evap E0 All Gas Evap Fuel Vapor Venting, Evap Fuel Leaks, Refueling Spillage Loss 8754 E10 Evap E10 All Gas Evap Fuel Vapor Venting, Evap Fuel Leaks, Refueling Spillage Loss Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Tier 2 E0 Crankcase Running Exhaust, 8756 Exhaust E0 2001+LD Gas Crankcase Start Exhaust Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Tier 2 E10 Crankcase Running Exhaust, 8757 Exhaust E10 2001+LD Gas Crankcase Start Exhaust Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Tier 2 E15 Crankcase Running Exhaust, 8758 Exhaust E15 All Gas Crankcase Start Exhaust 8766 E0 Evap Permeation E0 All Gas Evap Permeation 8769 E10 Evap Permeation E10 All Gas Evap Permeation 8770 El5 Evap Permeation E15 All Gas Evap Permeation Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust, Crankcase Pre-2007 MY Extended Idle Exhaust, Extended Idle 8774 HDD Exhaust Diesel Pre-2007 HD Diesel Exhaust Pre-2007 MY 8774 HDD Exhaust Diesel Pre-2024 APU Auxiliary Power Exhaust Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Pre-2007 MY Crankcase Running Exhaust, 8774 HDD Exhaust Diesel Pre-2007 LD Diesel Crankcase Start Exhaust Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, 2007-2009 Crankcase Running Exhaust, 8775 HDD Exhaust Diesel 2007-2009 LD Diesel Crankcase Start Exhaust Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust, Crankcase 2007-2009 Extended Idle Exhaust, Extended Idle 8775 HDD Exhaust Diesel 2007-2009 HD Diesel Exhaust k Appendix C provides a complete mapping of the TOG speciation profiles to modelYearGroupID, processID, fuelSubTypelD, and regClassID. 1 While MOVES maps the liquid diesel profile to several processes, MOVES only estimates emissions from refueling spillage loss. The other evaporative and refueling processes from diesel vehicles have zero emissions. 27 ------- Table 4-1 (continued) Profile Profile Description Fuel Affected Vehicles Emission Process 8775 2007-2009 HDD Exhaust Diesel 2024+ APU Auxiliary Power Exhaust 95335a 2011 HDD Exhaust Diesel 2010+ LD Diesel Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust 95335a 2011 HDD Exhaust Diesel 2010+ HD Diesel Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust, Crankcase Extended Idle Exhaust, Extended Idle Exhaust 8855 Tier 2 E85 Exhaust E70, E85 E70, E85 Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust 8869 E0 Headspace EO All Gas Refueling Displacement Vapor Loss 8870 E10 Headspace E10 All Gas Refueling Displacement Vapor Loss 8871 E15 Headspace E15 All Gas Refueling Displacement Vapor Loss 8872 E15 Evap E15 All Gas Evap Fuel Vapor Venting, Evap Fuel Leaks, Refueling Spillage Loss 8934 E85 Evap E70, E85 E70, E85 Evap Permeation, Evap Fuel Vapor Venting, Evap Fuel Leaks, Refueling Displacement Vapor Loss, Refueling Spillage Loss 8750a Pre-Tier 2 E0 Exhaust EO Pre-2001 LD Gas Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust 8750a Pre-Tier 2 EO Exhaust EO All MC and non-LD Gas Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust 8751a Pre-Tier 2 E10 Exhaust RFG, E10 Pre-2001 LD Gas Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust 8751a Pre-Tier 2 E10 Exhaust RFG, E10 All MC and Non-LD Gas Running Exhaust, Start Exhaust, Crankcase Running Exhaust, Crankcase Start Exhaust 28 ------- 5 PM2.5 Speciation 5/1 MOVES PM2.5 Species MOVES estimates the 18 PM2.5 species outlined in Table 5-1. Table 5-1 AE6 Chemical Mechanism PM2.5 Species PM2 5 Species AE6 Species Name Primary organic carbon POC Elemental carbon PEC Sulfate PS04 Nitrate PN03 Ammonium PNH4 Non-carbon organic matter PNCOM Iron PFE Aluminum PAL Silicon PSI Titanium PTI Calcium PCA Magnesium PMG Potassium PK Manganese PMN Sodium PNA Chloride PCL Particulate water PH20 Primary unspeciated PM2 5m PMOTHR Similar to the methods used to speciate total organic gases, MOVES uses speciation profiles to estimate individual PM2.5 species. The PM2.5 Speciation profiles were developed to directly estimate the species used for the CMAQ Aerosol Module, version 6, or "AE6;"18 all other measured PM2.5 species are aggregated into PMOTHER m If needed, post-processing can be used to aggregate the AE6 species into the PM2.5 species used with the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx).18 m Primary unspeciated PM2.5 (PMOTHR) is calculated as 1- sum(AE6 species fractions) and can include both unspeciated PM2 5 mass as well as measurements of other PM2 5 species that are not included in the AE6 chemical mechanism species. 29 ------- 5.2 PM25 Speciation Calculations Figure 5-1 and Figure 5-2 provide an overview of the algorithm used to calculate speciated and total exhaust PM emission rates in MOVES. The steps used to calculate PM2.5 emissions and PM2.5 speciation are outlined in nine steps below. Steps 1 - 4 are outlined in Figure 5-1. Base EC and NonECPM exhaust emission rates at 72° by polProcessID, OpModelD, ageGroupID, SourceBinID EC, NonECS04PM, S04, and H20 exhaust emissions adjusted by fuel and temperature effects. Effects differ by polProcessID SourceType,fuelTypelD, modelYearRangelD NonEC nonS04 PM S04 fraction by polProcessID, SourceType, fuelTypelD, modelYearRangelD Figure 5-1 Flow Chart of Calculation of the Intermediate PM2.5 Emission Rates Step 1. MOVES stores PM2.5 exhaust emission rates in the emissionRateByAge table by pollutant process (start, running, extended idle), operating mode, sourcebin (fuelType, engine technology, regulatory class, model year), and vehicle age. MOVES stores the base exhaust rates for PM2.5 in two primary components (EC and nonECPM), so that the EC/PM2.5 ratio can vary across operating modes.11-2 n Within MOVES, modal EC/PM ratios are developed for conventional diesel vehicles (pre-2007) as documented in the heavy-duty exhaust report.2 Modal EC/PM2 5 ratios have not been developed for other vehicle types (gasoline, CNG, ethanol, and 2007+ diesel), and the EC and NonECPM emission rates for these sourcetypes and fuels have a constant ratio across operating modes. 30 ------- Step 2. MOVES calculates sulfate (SO4) and particulate water (H2O) emissions as a fraction of nonECPM. The sulfate to nonECPM fraction (SulfatenonECPMFraction) used in MOVES is derived from the PM2.5 speciation profiles documented in Table 5-5. MOVES stores this value in the sulfateFraction MOVES table. The sulfate calculator, documented in the MOVES fuel effects report,46 adjusts the sulfate fraction based on the default or user-supplied fuel sulfur level. The remaining nonECPM is renamed nonECnonS04PM. This intermediate species contains organic matter, elements, ions, and the unspeciated portion of PM2.5. Step 3. The intermediate PM species are adjusted for ambient temperature effects such as inefficient oxidation of emissions at cool catalyst temperatures and additional fuel needed to start an engine at cold temperatures. The temperature effects can differ by intermediate species, model year groups, and fuel type. Currently, temperature effects only apply to gasoline and ethanol- blend fueled vehicles for start emissions. EC, nonECnonS04PM, SO4, and H2O emissions are each adjusted using the same temperature adjustments, because our data does not support individual temperature adjustments.59 The temperature effects are documented in the Emission Adjustments report.45 Step 4. MOVES adjusts the intermediate species (EC and NonECnonS04PM) according to fuel properties and the applicable fuel effects (e.g., EPAct fuel effects model for 2001 and later light- duty gasoline). The fuel adjustments and calculators are described in the Fuel Effects Report.46 Steps 5 - 8 are outlined in Figure 5-2. 31 ------- Exhaust and crankcase intermediate PM2.5 species. Individual Ratios for EC, NonECnonS04PM, S04 and H20 ratios differ by polProcessID, sourceTypelD, fuelTypelD, modelYearRangelD Speciated PM2 5 emissions by processID (start/running/extended idle exhaust and start/running/extended idle crankcase emissions), sourceTypelD, fuelTypelD, modelYearRangelD PM10 calculated from total PMJ5. PM10/PMj5 factors by processID, sourceTypelD, fuelTypelD, modelYearRangelD species to output Total PM,, Total Crankcase ' >1 _ _ 1 Figure 5-2 Flow Chart of Calculation of Exhaust and Crankcase PM2.5 and PM10 Emission Rates, and PM2.5 Exhaust and Crankcase Speciation Step 5. Exhaust and crankcase emissions are calculated from the intermediate exhaust PM2.5 species (EC, NonECnonS04PM, SO4, and H2O), after the intermediate exhaust species have been adjusted for fuel effects and temperature effects. The exhaust and crankcase emissions are calculated from the intermediate exhaust rates with exhaust and crankcase ratios that can vary 32 ------- according to pollutant, process, regulatory class, fuel type, and model year range. Example crankcase ratios for heavy-duty diesel vehicle are shown in Table 5-2. For most vehicle types (including pre-2007 and 2010+ heavy-duty diesel, gasoline, and CNG vehicles), this step accounts for the PM crankcase emissions that are not measured in the exhaust emission rates (i.e., the exhaust and crankcase ratios sum to greater than one for each PM subspecies). The exhaust emissions remain constant in this step. For 2007-2009 MY heavy-duty diesel engines, crankcase emissions are assumed to be included in the tailpipe exhaust emissions in the certification data. The exhaust and crankcase emission ratios are used to split the PM rates into exhaust and crankcase emissions. For 2007-2009 heavy- duty diesel, the exhaust and crankcase ratios sum to one for each PM subspecies. The exhaust and crankcase ratios are applied by intermediate subspecies, to account for differences in PM2.5 speciation between crankcase and tailpipe particulate matter emissions. For example, MOVES models higher EC/PM composition for exhaust than for crankcase emissions for pre-2007 conventional0 diesel, using the exhaust and crankcase ratios as shown in Table 5-2. For MY 2007-2009 heavy-duty diesel vehicles, the exhaust and crankcase ratios are the same across intermediate PM2.5 species, yielding the same PM2.5 composition for exhaust and crankcase emissions. This is intended because the PM2.5 speciation profile is estimated from measurements that contained both tailpipe exhaust and crankcase exhaust emissions.2 The sources of the crankcase emission factors are documented in the light-duty exhaust1 and heavy-duty exhaust emissions rates reports.2 0 We use the term "conventional diesel" here to refer to diesel trucks which lack exhaust aftertreatment systems such as diesel particulate filters (DPF), diesel oxidation catalysts (DOC), and selective catalytic reduction systems (SCR) that modern diesel trucks use to meet the EPA 2007/2010 heavy-duty emission standards. 33 ------- Table 5-2 Heavy-duty Diesel Crankcase Ratios" by Pollutant, Process, Model Year Group, and Regulatory Class Reg. Classb 1960-2006 2007-2009° 2010-2013° 2014-2026°'d Pollutant Start Running Extended Idle Running Running Running 46 0.039 0.237 0.292 EC 47 0.007 0.004 0.007 0.029 0.174 0.215 48 nonECnonS04 PM 46 0.039 0.237 0.292 47 0.367 0.937 0.367 0.029 0.174 0.215 48 46 0.039 0.237 0.292 S04 47 48 0.367 0.937 0.367 0.029 0.174 0.215 46 0.039 0.237 0.292 H20 47 0.367 0.937 0.367 0.029 0.174 0.215 48 aExhaust ratios not shown here, but they are equal to 1 for all cases bRegulatory class 49 (Gliders) not shown but has similar start and running crankcase ratios than 1960-2006 Class 8 trucks, and an extended idle crankcase ratio of 1 Tor all regulatory classes in these model year groups, crankcase ratios for start are 0 and for extended idle are 1 dFor MY2027+, all HD vehicles have closed crankcase, thus all crankcase ratios are 0. Step 6. The exhaust intermediate species and the crankcase intermediate species are summed to calculate primary exhaust PM2.5 emissions. The intermediate species are used instead of the fully speciated PM2.5 emissions to save computational time during MOVES runs. Step 7. MOVES calculates primary exhaust and crankcase PM10 emissions from the primary PM2.5 emissions using PM10/PM2.5 ratios. The PM10/PM2.5 ratio used for primary exhaust and crankcase emissions are listed in Table 5-3. MOVES has the capability to apply separate ratios by source type, emission process, and model year. At present, a single value of the PM10/PM2.5 ratio is used for all source types, emission processes, and model years for primary exhaust and crankcase emissions. No speciation is conducted within MOVES for PM10 emissions because it is not needed for air quality modeling purposes.p'47 The derivation of the PM10/PM2.5 ratio is presented in Appendix F. Table 5-3 PM10/PM2.5 Ratios for Primary Exhaust and Crankcase Emissions PM10/PM2.5 gasoline 1.130 diesel 1.087 p Within CMAQ, the US EPA assumes a single speciation profile for all anthropogenic coarse PM.47 34 ------- Step 8. MOVES calculates the remaining PM2.5 species, by applying speciation profiles to the adjusted nonECnonSC>4 fraction. The nonECnonS04 speciation profiles are calculated from the PM2.5 profiles in Table 5-5, by removing EC, SO4, and H2O and then renormalizing the remaining species. These values are stored in the MOVES pmSpeciation tables, with a column key 'inputPollutantID' specifying that the PM speciation profile is based on nonECnonS04 (pollutantID 120). Residual PM (nonECnonS04nonOM PM, pollutantID = 124) is calculated after subtracting pollutantID 123 (TOM = OM+NCOM) from nonECnonS04 PM. The data sources and derivation for the PM2.5 profiles are documented in Appendix E. Step 9. Although not shown in Figure 5-1 or Figure 5-2, MOVES can calculate additional particulate-phase species, required for the National Emission Inventory (NEI) and National Air Toxics Assessment (NATA). Listed in Table 5-4, these include: manganese, nickel, chromium, arsenic, and particulate mercury. The metals are emitted in exhaust as PM2.5, but they are calculated with a separate calculator than the other PM2.5 species. The emission rates for these metals are not chained from NonECS04PM, but are independent mass/distance rates as documented in the Air Toxic Emissions Report.7 The mass of these compounds is not used in the summation to calculate PM2.5 due to the very small mass, but they are important PM2.5 exhaust species from a health effects perspective. Of the toxic metals, CMAQv5.1 only requires manganese as a required PM2.5 species. By default, MOVES calculates manganese emission rates when the user requests PM2.5 speciation. Chromium, nickel, arsenic, and particulate mercury emission rates are produced when requested by the user. Table 5-4 Metal Particulate Air Toxics Produced by MOVES Pollutant Chromium 6+ Manganese Nickel Particulate Hg Arsenic 5.3 PM2.5 Exhaust Speciation Profiles Table 5-5 lists the PM2.5 speciation profiles used in MOVES with the SPECIATE database profilelD. As discussed earlier, these profiles only estimate the AE6 Chemical Mechanism PM2.5 species, with the other measured species and unspeciated mass being considered as part of the unspeciated PM2.5 species (PMOTHR). 35 ------- Table 5-5 Mi 3VES PM2.5 Exhaust Speciation Profiles Profile ID Profile Name Source Data 8992 Light-duty Gasoline Exhaust - Start Kansas City PM characterization Study. Final Report. EPA 420-R- 08-009. U.S. EPA, April 2008. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/oms/emission-factors-research/index.htm. 8993 Light-duty Gasoline Exhaust- Hot Stabilized Running Kansas City PM characterization Study. Final Report. EPA 420-R- 08-009. U.S. EPA, April 2008. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/oms/emission-factors-research/index.htm. 8994 Conventional HDD - Idle Clark, N.N. and Gautam, M. HEAVY-DUTY Vehicle Chassis Dynamometer Testing for Emissions Inventory, Air Quality Modeling, Source Apportionment and Air Toxics Emissions Inventory. August 2007. CRC Report. No. E55/59 8995 Conventional HDD - Hot Stabilized Running Clark, N.N. and Gautam, M. HEAVY-DUTY Vehicle Chassis Dynamometer Testing for Emissions Inventory, Air Quality Modeling, Source Apportionment and Air Toxics Emissions Inventory. August 2007. CRC Report. No. E55/59 8996 2007 and Newer Diesel Exhaust Composite Khalek, I. A.; Bougher, T. L; Merrit, P. M.; Phase 1 of the Advanced Collaborative Emissions Study. CRC Report: ACES Phase 1, June 2009. 95219a CNG transit bus exhaust from a lean-burn engine - no aftertreatment Okamoto, R. A.; Kado, N. Y.; Ayala, A.; Gebel, M.; Rieger, P.; Kuzmicky, P. A.; Kobayashi, R.; Chemical and Bioassay Analyses of Emissions from Two CNG Buses with Oxidation Catalyst. http://www.arb.ca.gov/research/veh-emissions/cng-diesel/cng- diesel.htm. 95220a CNG transit bus exhaust from a lean-burn engine - oxidation catalyst Okamoto, R. A.; Kado, N. Y.; Ayala, A.; Gebel, M.; Rieger, P.; Kuzmicky, P. A.; Kobayashi, R.; Chemical and Bioassay Analyses of Emissions from Two CNG Buses with Oxidation Catalyst. http://www.arb.ca.gov/research/veh-emissions/cng-diesel/cng- diesel.htm. The PM2.5 profiles used for the applicable source type, fuel, pollutant process, and model year ranges are described in Table 5-6 and detailed in Table E-l. Table 5-6 also displays the corresponding volatility-based profiles derived based on the reference listed in Table A-4. 36 ------- Table 5-6 Application of MC )VES PM2.5 Speciation Profiles Profile ID Description Fuel Affected Vehicles Emission Process 8992/ IOOCROC Light-duty Gasoline Exhaust - Start All gasoline vehicles (E0 to E85) All model years Start exhaust; crankcase start exhaust. 8993/ 101 CROC Light-duty Gasoline Exhaust- Hot Stabilized Running All gasoline vehicles (E0 to E85) All model years Running exhaust; crankcase running exhaust. 8994/ 102CROC Conventional HDD - Idle Diesel Pre-2007 and all MY auxiliary power units Running exhaust; crankcase running and extended idle exhaust; auxiliary power unit 8995/ 103 CROC Conventional HDD - Hot Stabilized Running Diesel Pre-2007 Start exhaust; crankcase start exhaust. 8996/ 104CROC 2007 and Newer Diesel Exhaust Composite Diesel 2007+ Start exhaust; crankcase start exhaust. Running exhaust; crankcase running and extended idle exhaust; auxiliary power unit 95219a/ 105 CROC CNG transit bus exhaust from a lean-burn engine - no aftertreatment CNG pre-2002 model year Start exhaust; crankcase start exhaust. Running exhaust; crankcase running and extended idle exhaust; auxiliary power unit 95220a/ 106CROC CNG transit bus exhaust from a lean-burn engine - oxidation catalyst CNG 2002+ model year Start exhaust; crankcase start exhaust. Running exhaust; crankcase running and extended idle exhaust; auxiliary power unit MOVES uses two light-duty gasoline profiles to characterize PM2.5 emissions from all gasoline vehicles, including motorcycles, light-duty passenger cars and trucks, and medium and heavy- duty gasoline trucks and buses. The pre-2007 diesel profiles are used to represent all pre-2007 on-highway diesel vehicles in MOVES, including light-duty passenger cars and trucks, medium, and heavy-duty trucks, and diesel buses. Tailpipe exhaust and crankcase nonECnonS04 emissions emitted during extended idle and start are speciated using the Idle Profile (8994). Tailpipe exhaust and crankcase nonECnonS04 emissions emitted during running operation are speciated using the running profile (8995). In addition, the idle profile (8994) is used to characterize nonECnonS04 emissions from diesel-powered auxiliary power units used on heavy-duty diesel trucks. The ACES Phase 1 profile (8996) is used for all 2007-and-later diesel sources, including light- duty passenger cars and trucks, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and diesel buses. The ACES 37 ------- Phase 1 16-hour cycle is used to develop the profile, which includes both exhaust and crankcase emissions, as well as start, extended idle and running emission processes. For this reason, the composite profile is also used to speciate all emission processes for 2007-and-later diesel engines. It should be noted that while PM speciation data for 2010 and later diesel engines is available from the ACES Phase 2 test program, we did not update PM speciation to incorporate these data because the ACES Phase 2 emissions data did not collect any active regeneration events, and thus, had minimal sulfate emissions. Testing done by California Air Resources Board48 has shown active regeneration events occur on 2010+ technology on-highway diesel trucks, but at a lower frequency than 2007-2009 model year trucks. During active regeneration, fuel is injected into the aftertreatment system to raise the temperature to burn off the soot collected in the diesel particulate filter, which increases emissions of particulate matter (mostly sulfate). Thus it is important that sulfate emissions be represented in the PM2.5 profile to represent real-world regeneration events.49 The CNG compression ignition profile is applied to the pre-2002 model CNG heavy-duty vehicles, and the CNG profile with oxidation catalyst profile is applied to the 2002+ model year CNG heavy-duty vehicles. 5.4 Brake and Tire Wear Speciation Brake and tire wear PM2.5 are not speciated within MOVES. For developing the emissions modeling platform, SPECIATE Profiles 95462 and profile 95460 developed from Schauer et al. 200665 are applied to brake wear and tire wear PM2.5 emissions in the moves2smk postprocessor that prepares the emission factors for processing in SMOKE.50 6 Post-processing of rcsiduttl TOG, rcsiduttl PM and OM Post-processing of onroad emissions to speciate residual TOG, residual PM and total OM requires the selection of these pollutants when creating the MOVES RunSpec. As discussed in section 4, residual TOG (NONHAPTOG, pollutantID = 88) corresponds to the remaining TOG mass after MOVES has applied fuel and temperature effects to calculate gaseous integrated species. Similarly, Residual PM (nonECnonS04nonOM, pollutantID = 124) corresponds to the remaining PM mass after MOVES has applied fuel and temperature adjustments, and has calculated particulate integrated species: EC, H2O, nonECnonS04 PM, SO4 and total organic matter. Total Organic Matter (TOM, pollutantID = 123) is the sum of two other MOVES pollutants: NCOM and OC. MOVES aggregates these species as a separate pollutant to facilitate the speciation of organic matter under the Reactive Organic Carbon framework51 during post- processing downstream from MOVES. During the speciation step within previous versions of MOVES, residual TOG and PM were matched to specific speciation profiles by fuel subtype, emission process, regulatory class and model year. To mimic this step during postprocessing outside of MOVES, we have added a new table (rocSpeciation) to the MOVES default database that records the latest mapping of emissions to traditional speciation profiles, as well as mapping to volatility profiles and new parameters for the speciation of organic matter within the ROC framework. The rocSpeciation table contains the following columns: fuelSubtypelD, regClassID, processID, minModelYearlD, 38 ------- maxModelYearlD, pmSpeciationProfilelD, CROCCode, CROCOMratio, togSpeciationProfilelD, GROCCode and GROCNMOGratio. The first five columns characterize the vehicle emission source; togSpeciationProfilelD and pmSpeciationProfilelD indicate the traditional speciation profiles8 associated with each vehicle emission source; the "Code" columns specify the ROC speciation profiles52 (listed in EPA's SPECIATE database8) associated with a given vehicle emission source and the "Ratio" columns contain adjustment factors applied within the post-processing script to generate Condensable Reactive Organic Carbon (CROC) mass and Gaseous Reactive Organic Carbon (GROC) mass. MOVES does not use the new rocSpeciation table at runtime. Instead, it is used by the post- processing script. For modelers planning to speciate onroad emissions outside of MOVES, in addition to selecting the appropriate pollutants, they must also specify output by SCC, regulatory class, fuel type, emission process and model year for the postprocessing script to run. The post-processing script generates a SQL database with NONHAPTOG, Residual PM and TOM speciated emissions. The speciated emissions are grouped into SMOKE SCCs to facilitate the combination with vehicle activity within SMOKE-MOVES. A diagram of the new workflow for the post-process is shown in Figure 6-1. Further details on how to generate appropriate MOVES output, run the script and how to use the script output are provided in the instructions associated with the post-processing speciation script included in the MOVES GUI. 39 ------- MOVES inputs MOVES TOM Residual PM NONHAPTOG MOVES Output: Emissions per SCC rocSpeciation table I Profile Weighting Script Generates profile % per SCC (GSREF-COMBO) SPECIATE Speciation Profiles I Explicit Compound Profiles Speciation Tool Transforms explicit compound profiles into chemical mechanism species (GSPRO) SMOKE- MOVES Gridded emissions of chemical mechanism species Figure 6-1. Diagram showing the new workflow to post-process the speciation of onroad emissions into chemical mechanism species and how it interacts with other modeling platform tools. 40 ------- Appendix A Supporting Information for TOG calculations Table A-l and Table A-2 summarize the data53 used to generate CH4/THC ratios for Tier 2 vehicles running on low-level ethanol blends as described in Section 3.3. In Table A-2, "cold start" refers to the difference between Bags 1 and 3. Running data corresponds to stabilized emissions from Bag 2. In the particular case of running emissions, seven tests (shown in grey in Table A-l and Table A-2) were not considered in the analysis because the reported CH4 emissions were higher than the reported THC emissions, possibly because measurements were close to the detection limit of the instrument. Table A-l Data53 Used to Generate CH4/THC Ratios for Tier 2 Vehicles Running on Low- Level Ethanol Blends Bag data from profile Run Number EPAct Phase 1 Ethanol (%) Bagl - Bag 3 Bag 2 CH4 (g/mi) THC (g/mi) CH4 (g/mi) THC (g/mi) 8756 3162 0 0.048 0.427 0.006 0.016 3169 0 0.050 0.570 0.006 0.017 3179 0 0.024 0.299 0.001 I) ()()() 3190 0 0.027 0.355 I) DO I I) ODD 3205 0 0.042 0.369 (J.IP4 3215 0 0.043 0.430 0.006 0.026 3223 0 0.019 0.236 0.001 0.002 3231 0 0.017 0.211 0.001 0.004 3239 0 0.030 0.382 I) DO I I) ()()() 8757 3280 10 0.031 0.351 0.001 I) ODD 3291 10 0.029 0.343 0.001 0.001 3302 10 0.045 0.362 0.005 0.014 3313 10 0.049 0.382 0.006 0.021 3326 10 0.016 0.163 0.001 0.004 3339 10 0.016 0.165 0.001 0.003 8758 3480 15 0.058 0.448 0.007 0.018 3492 15 0.053 0.424 0.007 0.014 3508 15 0.017 0.141 0.001 0.002 3516 15 0.017 0.209 1 3542 15 0.052 0.494 I) DO I I) ODD 3553 15 0.043 0.379 I) DO I 0 odd 3568 15 0.022 0.248 <).()() 1 o.ooo 41 ------- Table A-2. Data53 Used to Generate Speciation Constant Parameters for Tier 2 Vehicles Running on Low-Level Ethanol Blends Bag data from profile Run Number EPAct Phase 1 Ethanol (%) Cold Start NMOG (g/mi) Cold Start voc (g/mi) Cold Start NMHC (g/mi) Running NMOG (g/mi) Running VOC (g/mi) Running NMHC (g/mi) 8756 3162 0 0.345 0.332 0.338 0.009 0.008 0.008 3169 0 0.468 0.453 0.458 0.010 0.010 0.010 3179 0 0.256 0.250 0.255 0.001 0.001 0.001 3190 0 0.284 0.276 0.282 0.001 0.001 0.001 3205 0 0.314 0.301 0.306 0.013 0.012 0.013 3215 0 0.360 0.346 0.353 0.013 0.012 0.013 3223 0 0.197 0.190 0.196 0.001 0.001 0.001 3231 0 0.168 0.162 0.165 0.004 0.004 0.004 3239 0 0.295 0.287 0.294 0.001 0.001 0.001 8757 3280 10 0.312 0.305 0.301 0.001 0.001 0.001 3291 10 0.315 0.306 0.301 0.000 0.000 0.000 3302 10 0.331 0.320 0.317 0.007 0.006 0.006 3313 10 0.345 0.332 0.327 0.008 0.007 0.007 3326 10 0.144 0.139 0.137 0.000 0.000 0.000 3339 10 0.159 0.154 0.151 0.000 0.000 0.000 8758 3480 15 0.390 0.372 0.363 0.012 0.011 0.012 3492 15 0.371 0.354 0.348 0.012 0.011 0.012 3508 15 0.143 0.137 0.133 0.001 0.001 0.001 3516 15 0.188 0.182 0.172 0.000 0.000 0.000 3542 15 0.433 0.420 0.410 0.000 0.000 0.000 3553 15 0.328 0.317 0.310 0.000 0.000 0.000 3568 15 0.239 0.232 0.221 0.000 0.000 0.000 Table A-3. documents the CHVTHC and speciation constant parameters for all the sources in MOVES (by including the data from Table 3-2, Table 3-3, Table 3-4, and Table 3-5 ). In addition, it specifies the MOVES variables that are used to define the CHVTHC and speciationConstants within the MethaneTHCRatio and HcSpeciation tables, respectively. 42 ------- Table A-3 CH4/TB C and Speciation Constant Parameters and Their Relationship to MOVES Variables Profile number Profile description modelYear -GroupID processID fuelSubTyp elD regClassID CH4/THC NMOG/NMH C VOC/NMHC 95120c Liquid Diesel 1960-2060 11 20,21,22 0 0 1 1 12,13,18,19 20,21,22 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 8750a Pre-Tier 2 E0 exhaust 1960-2000 1,2,15,16 10 20,30 0.142 1.024 0.996 1960-2060 10,41,42,46,47, 48 8751a Pre-Tier 2 E10 exhaust 1960-2000 1,2,15,16 11,12,13,14 20,30 0.146 1.037 1.008 1960-2060 10,41,42,46,47, 48 8753 E0 Evap 1960-2060 12,13,19 10 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 1 1 8754 E10 Evap 1960-2060 12,13,19 12,13,14 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 1.071 1.071 8766 E0 Evap perm 1960-2060 11 10 0 0 1 1 8769 E10 Evap perm 1960-2060 11 12,13,14 0 0 1.129 1.129 8770 El5 Evap perm 1960-2060 11 15,18 0 0 1.175 1.175 8774 Pre-2007 MY HDD exhaust 1960-2006 1,2,15,16,1 7,90 20,21,22 41,42,46,47,48 0 1.145 1.124 1960-2023 91 46,47 1960-2006 1,2,15,16 20,30 8775 2007-2009 HDD exhaust 2007-2009 1,2,15,16 20,21,22 20,30 0.589 1.343 1.285 2024-2060 91 46,47 2007-2009 1,2,15,16,1 7,90 41,42,46,47,48 95335a 2010+HDD exhaust 2010-2060 1,2,15,16 20,21,22 20,30 0 1.085 0.965 1,2,15,16,1 7,90 41,42,46,47,48 43 ------- Table A-3 (continued) Profile number Profile description modelYear GroupID processID fuelSubTy pelD regClassID ch4/thc NMOG/NMH C VOC/NMH C 8869 E0 Headspace 1960-2060 18 10 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 1 1 8870 E10 Headspace 1960-2060 18 12,13,14 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 1.037 1.037 8871 E15 Headspace 1960-2060 18 15,18 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 1.175 1.175 8872 E15 Evap 1960-2060 12,13,19 15,18 10,20,30,41,42, 46,47,48 0 1.118 1.118 8934 E85 Evap 1960-2060 11 50,51,52 10,20,30 0 1.501 1.501 12,13,18,19 10,20,30 44 ------- Table A-4 Data Sources for the SPECIATE8 Profiles used in MOVES Profile ID Profile Name Source Data Additional Documentation 1001 Internal Combustion Engine - Natural Gas Oliver, W. R. and S. H. Peoples, Improvement of the Emission Inventory for Reactive Organic Gases and Oxides of Nitrogen in the South Coast Air Basin, Volumes I and II, Final Report (Prepared for California Air Resources Board), May 1985. 95120 Liquid Diesel - California composite Gentner, Drew R, Gabriel Isaacman, David R Worton, Arthur WH Chan, Timothy R Dallmann, Laura Davis, Shang Liu, et al. "Elucidating Secondary Organic Aerosol from Diesel and Gasoline Vehicles through Detailed Characterization of Organic Carbon Emissions." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109, no. 45 (2012): 18318-23. DOI: 10.1073/pnas. 1212272109 8750a Gasoline Exhaust - Reformulated gasoline (pre- Tier 2) Kansas City PM characterization Study. Final Report. EPA 420-R-08-009. U.S. EPA, April 2008. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/oms/emission-factors- research/index.htm. Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database. EPA Contract No. EP-C-06-094. Environ Corporation, January 2008. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2710. 8751a Gasoline Exhaust - E10 ethanol gasoline (pre- Tier 2) Kansas City PM characterization Study. Final Report. EPA 420-R-08-009. U.S. EPA, April 2008. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/oms/emission-factors- research/index.htm. Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database. EPA Contract No. EP-C-06-094. Environ Corporation, January 2008. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2710. 8753 Gasoline Vehicle - Evaporative emission - Reformulated gasoline Auto/Oil Air Quality Improvement Research Program. Coordinating Research Council, 1990-1997. List of reports at: http://www.crcao.com/reports/auto- oil/default.htm Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database. EPA Contract No. EP-C-06-094. Environ Corporation, January 2008. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2710. 8754 Gasoline Vehicle - Evaporative emission - E10 ethanol gasoline Auto/Oil Air Quality Improvement Research Program. Coordinating Research Council, 1990-1997. List of reports at: http://www.crcao.com/reports/auto- oil/default.htm Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database. EPA Contract No. EP-C-06-094. Environ Corporation, January 2008. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2710. 8756 Gasoline Exhaust - Tier 2 light-duty vehicles using 0% Ethanol - Composite Profile Data Collected in EPAct Fuel Effects Study Pilot Phases 1 and 2. Memorandum to the Tier 3 Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013 Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2011-0135. Exhaust Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database: Energy Policy Act (EPAct) Low-Level Ethanol Fuel Blends and Tier 2 Light-Duty Vehicles. EPA Report No. EPA-420-R-09-002. U.S. EPA, 2009. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2711. 8757 Gasoline Exhaust - Tier 2 light-duty vehicles using 10% Ethanol - Composite Profile Data Collected in EPAct Fuel Effects Study Pilot Phases 1 and 2. Memorandum to the Tier 3 Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013 Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2011-0135. Exhaust Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database: Energy Policy Act (EPAct) Low-Level Ethanol Fuel Blends and Tier 2 Light-Duty Vehicles. EPA Report No. EPA-420-R-09-002. U.S. EPA, 2009. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2711. 8758 Gasoline Exhaust - Tier 2 light-duty vehicles using 15% Ethanol - Composite Profile Data Collected in EPAct Fuel Effects Study Pilot Phases 1 and 2. Memorandum to the Tier 3 Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013 Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2011-0135. Exhaust Emission Profiles for EPA SPECIATE Database: Energy Policy Act (EPAct) Low-Level Ethanol Fuel Blends and Tier 2 Light-Duty Vehicles. EPA Report No. EPA-420-R-09-002. U.S. EPA, 2009. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2005-0161, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2005-0161-2711. 45 ------- Table A-4 (continued) Profile ID Profile Name Source Data Additional Documentation 8766 Diurnal Permeation Evaporative Emissions from Gasoline Vehicles using 0% Ethanol- Combined - Composite Profile Evaporative Emissions from In-use Vehicles: Test Fleet Expansion. CRC E-77-2b. SWRI Project No. 03.14936.05. Final report. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/emission-factors-research/ 8769 Diurnal Permeation Evaporative Emissions from Gasoline Vehicles using 10% Ethanol- Combined - Composite Profile Evaporative Emissions from In-use Vehicles: Test Fleet Expansion. CRC E-77-2b. SWRI Project No. 03.14936.05. Final report. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/emission-factors-research/ 8770 Diurnal Permeation Evaporative Emissions from Gasoline Vehicles using 15% Ethanol- Combined Evaporative Emissions from In-use Vehicles: Test Fleet Expansion. CRC E-77-2b. SWRI Project No. 03.14936.05. Final report. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/emission-factors-research/ 8774 Diesel Exhaust Emissions from Pre- 2007 Model Year Heavy- Duty Diesel Trucks Heavy-duty Vehicle Chassis Dynamometer Testing for Emissions Inventory, Air Quality Modeling, Source Appointment and Air Toxics Emissions Inventory. CRC Project No. E-55/E-59, Phase II Final Report. Coordinating Research Council, July 2005. Available at: http://www.crcao.com/publications/emissions/index.html 8775 Diesel Exhaust Emissions from 2007 Model Year Heavy-Duty Diesel Engines with Controls Phase 1 of the Advanced Collaborative Emissions Study. Coordinating Research Council, July 2009. Available at: http://www.crcao.com/publications/emissions/index.html 8855 Gasoline Exhaust - Tier 2 light-duty vehicles using 85% Ethanol - Composite Profile EPAct/V2/E-89: Assessing the Effect of Five Gasoline Properties on Exhaust Emissions from Light-Duty Vehicles Certified to Tier-2 Standards: Final Report on Program Design and Data Collection. EPA-420-R-13- 004. U.S. EPA, April 2013. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/models/moves/epact.htm. 8869 Gasoline Headspace Vapor - 0% Ethanol (E0) Combined - EPAct/V2/E- 89 Program Hydrocarbon Composition of Gasoline Vapor Emissions from Enclosed Fuel Tanks, Report No. 420-R-l 1-018. U.S. EPA, December 2011. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov, Docket ID: EPA-HQ-OAR- 2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135- 0027. Mobile Source Hydrocarbon Speciation Profiles for the Tier 3 Rule NPRM and Anti-backsliding Study Air Quality Modeling. Memorandum to the Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA- HQ-OAR-2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ- OAR-2011-0135-0089. 46 ------- Table A-4 (continued) Profile ID Profile Name Source Data Additional Documentation 8870 Gasoline Headspace Vapor - 10% Ethanol (E10) Combined - EPAct/V2/E- 89 Program Hydrocarbon Composition of Gasoline Vapor Emissions from Enclosed Fuel Tanks, Report No. 420-R-11-018. U.S. EPA, December 2011. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov, Docket ID: EPA-HQ-OAR- 2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135- 0027. Mobile Source Hydrocarbon Speciation Profiles for the Tier 3 Rule NPRM and Anti- backsliding Study Air Quality Modeling. Memorandum to the Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135-0089. 8871 Gasoline Headspace Vapor - 15% Ethanol (El 5) Combined - EPAct/V2/E- 89 Program Hydrocarbon Composition of Gasoline Vapor Emissions from Enclosed Fuel Tanks, Report No. 420-R-11-018. U.S. EPA, December 2011. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov, Docket ID: EPA-HQ-OAR- 2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135- 0027. Mobile Source Hydrocarbon Speciation Profiles for the Tier 3 Rule NPRM and Anti- backsliding Study Air Quality Modeling. Memorandum to the Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135-0089. 8872 Gasoline Vehicle - Evaporative emission - E15 ethanol gasoline - Calculated Auto/Oil Air Quality Improvement Research Program. Coordinating Research Council, 1990-1997. List of reports at: http://www.crcao.com/reports/auto- oil/default.htm EPAct/V2/E-89: Assessing the Effect of Five Gasoline Properties on Exhaust Emissions from Light-Duty Vehicles Certified to Tier-2 Standards: Final Report on Program Design and Data Collection. EPA-420-R-13- 004. U.S. EPA, April 2013. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/models/moves/epact.htm. Mobile Source Hydrocarbon Speciation Profiles for the Tier 3 Rule NPRM and Anti- backsliding Study Air Quality Modeling. Memorandum to the Docket. U.S. EPA, 2013. Available at: http://www.regulations.gov. Docket ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135, Document ID: EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0135-0089. 8934 Evaporative Emissions from Flexible-Fuel Gasoline Vehicles using 85% Ethanol Exhaust and Evaporative Emissions Testing of Flexible- Fuel Vehicles. Final report. CRC Report CRC-E-80. Coordinating Research Council, Inc. August 2011. Report and program data available at http://www.crcao.org/publications/emissions/index.html 95335 Diesel Exhaust - Heavy-heavy duty truck - 2011 model year Khalek, I., Blanks, M., and Merritt, P. M. (2013). Phase 2 of the Advanced Collaborative Emissions Study. Prepared by Southwest Research Institute for the Coordinating Research Council and the Health Effects Institute, November 2013. Available at www.crcao.org. CROC/GROC Multiple profiles All existing SPECIATE profiles listed above were translated to volatility-based profiles for use in Murphy, B. N., Sonntag, D., Seltzer, K. M., Pye, H. O. T., Allen, C., Murray, E., Toro, C., Gentner, D. R., Huang, C., Jathar, S. H., Li, L., May, A. A., and Robinson, A. L.: Reactive Organic Carbon Air Emissions from Mobile Sources in the United States, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-855, 2023 47 ------- Appendix B CNG CH4/THC and Speciation Constant Parameters for CNG vehicles SPECIATE 5.18 does not contain a TOG speciation profile from modern CNG exhaust emissions. We used hydrocarbon speciation data from Ayala et al. that measured a 2000 MY transit bus with a Detroit Diesel Series 50G engine with and without an oxidation catalyst collected on the CBD cycle.38 This data allows us to isolate the impact of the oxidation catalyst. Studies have shown that the speciation of hydrocarbon can be drastically different between uncontrolled CNG buses and CNG buses with oxidation catalysts. For example, formaldehyde emissions can be quite large from uncontrolled CNG buses54'55, but are significantly reduced with oxidation catalysts.38 Large formaldehyde emissions have a large impact on the NMOG and VOC emissions estimated from THC emissions from CNG buses because THC-FID measurements have a small response to formaldehyde concentrations.56 We used the CBD test cycle to be consistent with our analysis of the criteria emission rates documented in the heavy-duty emission rate report.2 NMOG and VOC conversion factors are listed in Table B-l. The NMOG values are calculated using Equation 7. The VOC emissions are calculated from subtracting the ethane and acetone from the NMOG values. The emissions of hazardous air pollutants, including formaldehyde and acetaldehyde, are also estimated from this study as documented in the MOVES Toxics Emissions Report.7 Table B-l Hydrocarbon Speciation Values for CNG Transit Emissions with No Control and with Oxidation Cata yst from Ayala et al. (2003)38 Measured values (mg/mile) No Control Oxidation Catalyst THC 8660 6150 CH4 7670 5900 C2H6 217 72.2 Formaldehyde 860 38.4 Acetaldehyde 50.7 32.6 Calculated values (mg/mile) NMHC 990 250 NMOG 1881.0 309.0 VOC 1658.5 232.1 Ratios NMOG/NMHC 1.90 1.24 VOC/NMHC 1.68 0.93 48 ------- Appendix C TOG Speciation Map Table C-4 provides a speciation map between MOVES TOG profiles and the distinguishing factors used in MOVES. To help interpret this table, we have also provided tables that describe the MOVES processes, fuel subtypes, and regulatory classes and list their id codes. Model YearGroupID is simply the first model year of the group, followed by the last model year. Table C-l MOVES Processes Relevant for Speciation Profiles'11 processID Process Name 1 Running Exhaust Exhaust emissions from a running vehicle 2 Start Exhaust Exhaust emissions that occur at engine start 11 Evap Permeation migration of hydrocarbons through materials in the fuel system 12 Evap Fuel Vapor Venting Escape of vapors that are generated through heating of gasoline fuel system 13 Evap Fuel Leaks Fuels escaping gasoline fuel system in a non-vapor form 15 Crankcase Running Exhaust Combustion products and oil droplets from compression ignition engines that are vented to the atmosphere rather than routed through the exhaust 16 Crankcase Start Exhaust 17 Crankcase Extended Idle Exhaust 18 Refueling Displacement Vapor Loss Displaced fuel vapors when liquid fuel is added to the vehicle tank 19 Refueling Spillage Loss Vapor emissions from any liquid fuel that is spilled during refueling 90 Extended Idle Exhaust Idle emissions during "hotelling" of long-haul combination trucks 91 Auxiliary Power Exhaust Auxiliary power unit emissions during hotelling of long- haul combination trucks q Not a complete list of MOVES emission processes. 49 ------- Table C-2 Regulatory Classes in MOVES regClassID Regulatory Class Name Description 0 Doesn't Matter Doesn't Matter 10 MC Motorcycles 20 LDV Light-Duty Vehicles 30 LDT Light-Duty Trucks 41 LHD2b3 Class 2b and 3 Trucks (8,500 lbs < GVWR <= 14,000 lbs) 42 LHD45 Class 4 and 5 Trucks (14,00 lbs. < GVWR <= 19,500 lbs.) 46 MHD Class 6 and 7 Trucks (19,500 lbs. < GVWR < =33,000 lbs.) 47 HHD Class 8a and 8b Trucks (GVWR > 33,000 lbs.) 48 Urban Bus Urban Bus (see CFR Sec. 86.091 2) 49 Gliders Glider Vehicles57 Table C-3 Fuel Subtypes in MOVES fuelSubtypelD fuelTypelD fuelSubtypeDesc 10 1 Conventional Gasoline 11 1 Reformulated Gasoline (RFG) 12 1 Gasohol (E10) 13 1 Gasohol (E8) 14 1 Gasohol (E5) 15 1 Gasohol (El5) 20 2 Conventional Diesel Fuel 21 2 Biodiesel (BD20) 22 2 Fischer-Tropsch Diesel (FTD100) 30 3 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) 40 4 Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) 50 5 Ethanol 51 5 Ethanol (E85) 52 5 Ethanol (E70) 90 9 Electricity 50 ------- Table C-4 Residual TOG Speciation Map Profile Profile Description modelYear- GroupID processID fuelSubTypelD regClassID 1001/ 107GROC CNG Exhaust 19602060 1,2,15,16 30 47,48 95120c1 Liquid Diesel 19602060 11 20,21,22 0 95120c1 Liquid Diesel 19602060 12,13,18,19 20,21,22 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8753 E0 Evap 19602060 12,13,19 10 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8754 E10 Evap 19602060 12,13,19 12,13,14 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8756 Tier 2 E0 Exhaust 20012060 1,2,15,16 10 20,30 8757/ 103GROC Tier 2 El 0 Exhaust 20012060 1, 15 12,13,14 20,30 8757/ 101GROC Tier 2 El 0 Exhaust 20012060 2,16 12,13,14 20,30 8758 Tier 2 El 5 Exhaust 19602060 1,2,15,16 15,18 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8766 E0 evap permeation 19602060 11 10 0 8769 E10 evap permeation 19602060 11 12,13,14 0 8770 El 5 evap permeation 19602060 11 15,18 0 8774/ 104GROC Pre-2007 MY HDD exhaust 19602006 1,2,15,16,17,90 20,21,22 41,42,46,47,48,49 8774/ 104GROC Pre-2007 MY HDD exhaust 19602060 91 20,21,22 46,47,49 8774/ 104GROC Pre-2007 MY HDD exhaust 19602006 1,2,15,16 20,21,22 20,30 8775/ 105GROC 2007+ MY HDD exhaust 20072009 1,2,15,16 20,21,22 20,30 8775/ 105GROC 2007+ MY HDD exhaust 20072009 1,2,15,16,17,90 20,21,22 41,42,46,47,48,49 95335a/ 106GROC 2010+ MY HDD exhaust 20102060 1,2,15,16 20,21,22 20,30 95335a/ 106GROC 2010+ MY HDD exhaust 20102060 1,2,15,16,17,90 20,21,22 41,42,46,47,48,49 8855/ 108GROC Tier 2 E85 Exhaust 19602060 2,16 50,51,52 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8855/ 109GROC Tier 2 E85 Exhaust 19602060 1,15 50,51,52 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8869 E0 Headspace 19602060 18 10 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8870 E10 Headspace 19602060 18 12,13,14 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8871 El 5 Headspace 19602060 18 15,18 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8872 El 5 Evap 19602060 12,13,19 15,18 10,20,30,41,42,46,47,48 8934 E85 Evap 19602060 11 50,51,52 0 8934 E85 Evap 19602060 12,13,18,19 50,51,52 20,30 8750a Pre-Tier 2 E0 exhaust 19602000 1,2,15,16 10 20,30 8750a Pre-Tier 2 E0 exhaust 19602060 1,2,15,16 10 10,41,42,46,47,48 8751a/ 100GROC Pre-Tier 2 E10 exhaust 19602000 2,16 11,12,13,14 20,30 8751a/ 102GROC Pre-Tier 2 E10 exhaust 19602000 1,15 11,12,13,14 20,30 8751a/ 100GROC Pre-Tier 2 E10 exhaust 19602060 2,16 11,12,13,14 10,41,42,46,47,48 8751a/ 102GROC Pre-Tier 2 E10 exhaust 19602060 1,15 11,12,13,14 10,41,42,46,47,48 51 ------- Appendix D Comparison of ACES Phase 1 and Phase 2 SPECIATE Profiles We initially developed profile 95335 from the ACES Phase 2 profile as recommended by the MOVES2014 peer-reviewers.33 However, there are inconsistencies between the ACES Phase 1 and 2 profiles. For example, ACES Phase 1 is composed of over 50% percent methane, while the ACES Phase 2 profile has zero percent methane (Updated in Section 3.6). Other anomalies in the ACES Phase II profile included benzene is not detected (ND) in the ACES Phase II profile (from which we then assumed benzene=0), while ethanol comprises over 3% of the TOG emissions. As suggested by one of the 2017 peer-reviews,58 to better understand the consistency of these changes, we compared emission trends among different groups of gaseous hydrocarbons (Tables D-5) and individual compounds (Table D-6 through D-10) between the ACES Phase 1 and Phase 2 profiles. While relative amounts of olefins and aromatics substantially increased in the Phase 2 profile relative to Phase 1, paraffins, aldehydes and ketones decreased. However, there was inconsistency in emission changes among individual compounds in all chemical groups. For example, propane increased by more than a factor of four from ACES Phase 1 to ACES Phase 2, but hexane decreased by 69%. Similarly, while the total weight percentage of olefins decreased, both ethene and propene increased as a proportion of total organic emissions. Carbonyl compounds consistently decreased with the exception of acetaldehyde which increased by 3%. We did not attempt to impute minimum values in the cases where the species were not detected in one of the profiles. Our speciation profiles consist of the weight percentage of total organic emissions for each detected species as opposed to an absolute emissions value (in mg/mi or similar unit); therefore, it is not straightforward to apply a below detection limit value to not measured species Within SPECIATE profile 95335, the mass fraction of three alcohol species, ethyl alcohol (ethanol), isopropyl alcohol (2-propanol), methyl alcohol (methanol), sum to 7% of the total TOG emissions. We do not believe these alcohol species are produced in modern heavy-duty exhaust; instead they are likely an artifact of measurement during sampling or analysis in the laboratory. With agreement from one of the 2017 peer-reviewers58, we created a new profile (95335a) from 95335 where the mass fractions for the alcohol species are set to zero and we re- weighted the remaining non-alcohol species. While it is difficult to predict how complex emission control systems may affect individual compounds, the inconsistent pattern of hydrocarbon measurements suggests that there are potential significant uncertainties in the measurements. Additional sources of uncertainty in the ACES phase 2 profile are due to the small number of engines tested (three), the low concentrations of organic gas emitted with new 2010-compliant engines and aftertreatment systems causing many measurements to be near the detection limits. Although ACES Phase 2 is currently our best data source for the speciation of advanced technology diesels, the data should 52 ------- still be interpreted with caution. As we discussed in the main text, we recommend further work to improve the confidence of speciation of exhaust from modern heavy-duty diesel engines, including from engines with aged and deteriorated aftertreatment systems. Table D-5 Comparison of Groups of Compounds from diesel exhaust speciation from ACES Phase 1 and ACES Phase 2). Compound Group ACES Phase 1 (Weight %) ACES Phase II (Weight %) % Change: Phase I to Phase II Paraffins (total) 67.09 33.07 -51% Olefins (total) 6.13 33.09 440% Aromatics (total) 5.77 17.37 201% Aldehydes/Ketones (total) 16.66 7.83 -53% Unknown 4.35 1.56 -64% Other 7.07 53 ------- Table D-6 Comparison of Individual Compounds from diesel exhaust speciation from ACES Phase 1 and ACES Phase 2): Parafins ACES Phase ACES % Change: CAS Name 1 (Weight Phase II Phase I to %) (Weight %) Phase II 74-82-8 methane 51.64r 74-84-0 Ethane 1.34 10.11 655% 96-37-7 methylcyclopentane 0.02 112-40-3 dodecane 2.34 0.36 -84% 1120-21-4 undecane 1.75 106-97-8 N-butane 1.10 0.17 -85% 109-66-0 N-pentane 1.01 3.06 201% 78-78-4 Isopentane (2-Methylbutane) 0.88 124-18-5 decane 0.38 0.12 -68% 111-84-2 nonane 0.28 2.72 873% 74-98-6 Propane 0.51 2.75 441% 75-28-5 Isobutane 0.50 1.03 108% 3522-94-9 2,2,5 -trimethy lhexane 0.04 590-73-8 2,2-dimethylhexane 0.66 589-43-5 2,4-dimethy lhexane 0.42 589-34-4 3-methy lhexane 0.15 0.26 76% 108-87-2 methylcyclohexane 0.89 0.77 -13% 619-99-8 3-ethy lhexane 0.08 110-54-3 n-hexane 0.24 0.07 -69% 96-14-0 3-methylpentane 0.14 107-83-5 2-methylpentane 0.13 0.59 336% 79-29-8 2,3 -dimethy lbutane 0.09 15869-87-1 2,2-dimethyloctane 0.00 0.30 26037% 111-65-9 octane 0.20 0.36 80% 565-75-3 2,3,4-trimethy lpentane 0.54 560-21-4 2,3,3 -trimethy lpentane 0.52 540-84-1 2,2,4-trimethylpentane 0.37 0.37 -1% 565-59-3 2,3 -dimethy lpentane 0.35 562-49-2 3,3 -dimethy lpentane 0.00 590-35-2 2,2-dimethylpentane 0.02 1068-19-5 4,4-dimethy lheptane 0.16 1072-05-5 2,6-dimethylheptane 0.20 0.82 303% 589-81-1 3-methy lheptane 0.07 592-27-8 2-methy lheptane 142-82-5 heptane 0.28 0.09 -66% 463-82-1 2,2-dimethylpropane 0.68 75-83-2 2,2-dimethy lbutane 2.40 r This differs from the 58% CH4/THC reported in Table 3-2 because the 51% reports the fraction of methane/TOG. We calculated THC from TOG using the methods described in Section 3.2 54 ------- Table D-6 (Continued) ACES Phase ACES % Change: CAS Name 1 (Weight Phase II Phase I to %) (Weight %) Phase II 767-58-8 1-methy lindane 2216-33-3 3-methyloctane 0.16 584-94-1 2,3 -dimethy lhexane 108-08-7 2,4-dimethylpentane 1.45 591-76-4 2-methy lhexane 0.41 124-11-8 1-nonene 0.06 2213-23-2 2,4-dimethylheptane 0.61 4032-94-4 2,4-dimethyloctane 0.63 3221-61-2 2-methyloctane 0.19 583-48-2 3,4 -dimethy lhexane 0.22 90622-57-4 C9-cl2 isoalkanes 1.51 2532-58-3 Cis-1,3 -dimethy lcyclopentane 0.46 Cis-l,trans-2,4- 16883-48-0 trimethylcyclopentane 0.06 1759-58-6 Trans-1,3 -dimethy lcyclopentane 0.07 55 ------- Table D-7 Comparison of Individual Compounds from diesel exhaust speciation from ACES Phase 1 and ACES Phase 2): Olefins CAS Name ACES Phase 1 (Weight %) ACES Phase II (Weight %) % Change: Phase I to Phase II 74-85-1 ethene 3.07 9.55 212% 763-29-1 2-methy 1-1 -pentene 0.01 115-07-1 propene 0.94 4.31 359% 74-86-2 acetylene 0.58 0.82 42% 115-11-7 2-methy lpropene 0.97 13.33 1268% 106-99-0 1,3-butadiene 0.04 590-19-2 1,2-butadiene 592-41-6 1-hexene 0.01 7688-21-3 Cis-2-hexene 4050-45-7 Trans-2-hexene 106-98-9 1-butene 0.03 590-18-1 cis-2-butene 0.53 624-64-6 trans-2-butene 513-35-9 2-methyl-2-butene 3.01 691-37-2 4-methy 1-1 -pentene 0.06 625-27-4 2-methyl-2-pentene 0.03 7385-78-6 3,4-dimethyl-1 -pentene 0.07 107-40-4 2,2,4-trimethyl-2-pentene 0.04 142-29-0 cyclopentene 0.01 816-79-5 3-ethyl-2-pentene 0.01 0.50 4963% 107-00-6 1-butyne 0.25 542-92-7 cyclopentadiene 0.02 627-20-3 Cis-2-pentene 0.17 110-83-8 Cyclohexene 0.87 56 ------- Table D-8 Comparison of Individual Compounds from diesel exhaust speciation from ACES Phase 1 and ACES Phase 2): Aromatics CAS Name ACES Phase 1 (Weight %) ACES Phase II (Weight %) % Change: Phase I to Phase II 71-43-2 benzene 0.61 108-88-3 toluene 1.24 1.52 22% 95-47-6 o-xylene 0.65 0.37 -44% 108-38-3; 106-42-3 m/p-xylenes 1.04 6.65 539% 527-53-7 1,2,3,5-tetramethylbenzene 0.16 95-93-2 1,2,4,5-tetramethylbenzene 0.08 1.25 1526% 95-63-6 1,2,4-trimethylbenzene 0.75 0.18 -76% 25551-13-7 trimethylbenzene 526-73-8 1,2,3-trimethylbenzene 0.06 4.54 7737% 108-67-8 1,3,5 -trimethylbenzene 1758-88-9 l,4-dimethyl-2-ethylbenzene 0.12 620-14-4 1 -Methy 1-3 -ethylbenzene 0.08 622-96-8 1 -Methy 1-4-ethylbenzene 611-14-3 1 -methyl-2-ethylbenzene 0.05 0.02 -56% 103-65-1 Propylbenzene 0.72 100-41-4 ethylbenzene 0.31 0.92 194% 98-19-1 tert-butyl-m-xylene 0.13 100-42-5 styrene 98-82-8 isopropylbenzene 0.52 538-93-2 (2 -methy lpropy l)benzene 0.20 0.12 -43% 535-77-3 1 -Methy 1-3 -isopropylbenzene 0.05 527-84-4 1 -methyl-2-isopropylbenzene 0.06 1074-43-7 1 -Methy 1-3 -propylbenzene 0.02 03968-85-2 2-methyl-butyl-benzene 0.05 1074-92-6 t-1 -Butyl-2-Methy lbenzene 0.03 91-20-3 Naphthalene 0.07 141-93-5 1,3-diethylbenzene (meta) 105-05-5 1,4-diethylbenzene (para) 0 Isomers of diethylbenzene 104-51-8 buty lbenzene 1,2,4-trimethylbenzene 25155-15-1 Isopropyltoluene 28729-54-6 Propyltoluene 7364-19-4 1 -tert-butyl-4-ethy lbenzene 0.56 57 ------- Table D-9 Comparison of Individual Compounds from diesel exhaust speciation from ACES Phase 1 and ACES Phase 2): Aldehydes/Ketones CAS Name ACES Phase 1 (Weight %) ACES Phase II (Weight %) % Change: Phase I to Phase II 50-00-0 formaldehyde 10.05 2.20 -78% 75-07-0 acetaldehyde 3.36 3.45 3% 107-02-8 acrolein 0.50 0.30 -41% 67-64-1 acetone 0.76 1.01 34% 100-52-7 benzaldehyde 0.79 0.03 -96% 123-38-6 propionaldehyde 0.15 0.24 58% 78-93-3 Methyl ethyl ketone (2-butanone) 0.16 0.08 -50% 123-72-8 butyraldehyde 0.16 0.11 -30% 66-25-1 hexanaldehyde 0.11 0.04 -64% 590-86-3 isovaleraldehyde 0.08 0.03 -69% 104-27-0 M- & p-tolualdehyde 0.49 0.13 -75% 110-62-3 valeraldehyde 0.05 0.14 208% 4170-30-3 Crotonaldehyde 0.02 28351-09-9 Dimethylbenzaldehyde 0.02 529-20-4 o-Tolualdehyde 0.04 Table D-10 Comparison of Individual Compounds from diesel exhaust speciation from ACES Phase 1 and ACES Phase 2): Other/Un mown CAS Name ACES Phase 1 (Weight %) ACES Phase II (Weight %) % Change: Phase I to Phase II 64-17-5 Ethyl alcohol (ethanol) 3.19 67-63-0 Isopropyl alcohol (2-Propanol) 1.74 67-56-1 Methyl alcohol (methanol) 2.14 N/A C-6 Compounds 1.42 N/A C-8 Compounds 0.14 N/A Unknown 4.35 58 ------- Appendix E Development of PM2.5 speciation profiles in MOVES This report includes the derivation of each PM2.5 profiles used in MOVES to estimate AE6 chemical mechanism PM2.5 species. For comparison purposes, the seven PM2.5 profiles developed for MOVES are presented in Table E-l. The remainder of this appendix explains how each profile was derived. Table E-l PJVh.s Profiles developed for MOVES Light-duty Gasoline Exhaust - Start (8992) Light-duty Gasoline Exhaust- Hot Stabilized (8993) Conventional HDD- Idle (8994) Conventional HDD- Hot Stabilized Running (8995) 2007 and Newer Diesel Exhaust Composite (8996) CNG transit bus exhaust from a lean-burn engine - no aftertreatment (95219a) CNG transit bus exhaust from a lean-burn engine - aftertreatment (95220a) Elemental Carbon (EC) 44.37% 14.00% 46.40% 78.97% 9.98% 9.25% 11.12% Organic Carbon (OC) 42.64% 55.70% 34.74% 14.52% 22.33% 36.99% 37.45% Non-carbon Organic Matter (NCOM) 8.53% 11.14% 6.95% 2.90% 4.47% 7.40% 7.49% S04 0.95% 7.19% 5.27% 1.03% 59.91% 0.64% 1.04% N03 0.26% 0.29% 1.25% 0.18% 0.00% NH4 0.43% 2.78% 1.74% 0.36% 0.00% Fe 0.31% 1.83% 0.34% 0.13% 0.64% 0.25% 0.25% A1 0.32% 0.06% 0.06% 0.11% 0.89% 0.89% Si 0.32% 0.30% 0.22% 0.09% 0.46% 0.59% Ti 0.03% 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% Ca 0.39% 1.44% 0.58% 0.35% 0.47% 0.21% 0.44% Mg 0.02% 0.14% 0.13% 0.01% 0.14% K 0.09% 0.26% 0.02% 0.05% Na 0.01% 0.04% 0.31% 0.03% 0.99% CI 0.02% 0.10% 0.38% 0.13% 0.04% unspeciated (PMOTHR) 2.09% 4.58% 1.28% 1.09% 0.78% 43.90% 40.74% 59 ------- E.l Development of Gasoline Profiles from the Kansas City Light-duty Vehicle Emissions Study The Kansas City Light-duty Vehicle Emissions Study (KCVES) is the primary source of PM2.5 emission rates for light-duty vehicles in MOVES.1 The KCVES sampled PM2.5 emissions from 496 vehicles recruited in a stratified random sample. The KCVES also measured speciated PM2.5 on a subset of 99 of these vehicles. An overview of the vehicles included in this "chemical subset" is included in Table E-2. Table E-2 Vehicle Sample Size in the Kansas City Light Duty Vehicle Emissions Study Vehicle Type1 Strata Model Year Group % of KC LDGV Vehicle Population % of KC LDGV Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Summer Round Sample Winter Round Sample Full Sample Chemical Subset Full Sample Chemical Subset Truck 1 pre-1981 1.1% 0.6% 2 2 10 3 2 81-90 3.7% 2.4% 21 4 33 3 3 91-95 7.2% 6.5% 18 6 33 7 4 96-2005 28.6% 34.2% 39 8 59 11 Car 5 pre-1981 1.3% 0.7% 6 5 17 3 6 81-90 7.4% 4.6% 49 4 40 5 7 91-95 13.4% 11.2% 39 6 44 9 8 96-2005 37.3% 39.8% 87 14 41 9 Sum = 100% 100% 261 49 277 50 The derivation of the PM2.5 gasoline profile for MOVES is documented in Sonntag el al. (2013).59 A summary of the speciation derivation is included in this report, as well as a discussion on implementing the profile into the MOVES framework. Two gasoline profiles are developed to maintain differences between start and running processes. Minor differences were detected between the PM2.5 compositions between seasons, which were confounded by the different vehicles tested in each season. The analysis used equally weighted data from the summer and winter tests to calculate a profile that incorporates data from both seasons. We discovered high concentrations of silicon in some of the PM2.5 measurements— likely due to contamination from silicone rubber couplers used in KCVES. The silicone contamination occurred primarily on bag 2 of the LA-92 drive cycle which was used for developing the running PM2.5 speciation profile and emission rates. The silicone contamination was larger for trucks than cars due to their higher exhaust temperatures. The effect of the silicone contamination was removed from the developed profile using the silicon emissions measurement by X-ray florescence. The primary exhaust PM2.5 emission rates were corrected in MOVES to account for the silicone contamination.1 After removing the silicone contamination from the speciated data, no significant differences were detected between passenger cars and light-duty trucks, and the data from the cars and trucks were pooled to develop single start and running PM2.5 speciation profiles for all light-duty gasoline vehicles. 60 ------- While differences in the PM2.5 compositions were detected among model year groups, the speciation sample size was deemed too limited to accurately capture the impact of deterioration and high-emitting vehicles within each model-year group. Instead fleet-average profiles were calculated to better capture the impact of deterioration within all model year groups and to avoid over-fitting the data to model year group trends. Malfunctioning high-emitting vehicles are known to contribute a significant share of in-use PM emissions from light-duty vehicles.60'61'62'63 High-emitting gasoline emissions have a highly variable PM composition due to failed emission control systems, excessive oil consumption, and poor fuel control. Previous analysis of the KCVES suggested that the speciation subsample (102 tests) provides a reasonable estimate of the total PM mass compared to the full sample (522 tests), but the speciation sample underestimated the high emitting vehicles in the newer model year groups.64 Other test programs have confirmed that high emitting gasoline vehicles also occur in vehicle fleets such as 1990-era vehicles with electronic fuel injection.60'61'62 By using all the data in a fleet-average approach, we incorporated the impact of deteriorated vehicles on the fleet-average PM2.5 emissions. The fleet-average PM speciation profiles are calculated using seasonal, vehicle-miles-traveled (VMT), and PM mass-weighting. The PM profile is calculated using the ratio of the means, also referred to as a mass-normalized emission profile.65 The ratio of means is calculated by first calculating the mean emission rate of the total PM2.5, and the mean emission rate of each PM species (EC, OC, Fe, etc.). Then the speciation profile is calculated, by calculating the ratio of the mean emission rate from each species, to the mean PM2.5 emission rate, e.g., mean (EC)/mean(PM). The vehicle tests from each season are equally weighted, and averaged according to the calculated contribution to annual VMT in the Kansas City MSA (Table E-2). By using VMT and mass weighting, the profile scales up the contribution of older and higher emitting vehicles according to their high PM emissions, but also scales their down their contribution based on the relatively small number of vehicle miles traveled associated with these vehicles. For application in MOVES, the fleet-average profile is used to characterize PM2.5 emissions across all model year groups, and all ages of vehicles used to represent deterioration. Because the PM2.5 speciation varied significantly by model year group,59 the fleet average speciation profile is sensitive to the averaging assumptions. As mentioned above, we did not maintain the difference in speciation in model year groups, due to concern that the model-year groups would not be representative of the PM emissions as the vehicles aged. Given the uncertainty of the PM speciation profiles, we thought it would be unreasonable to model differences in PM speciation according to different ages of vehicle fleets in different areas in the US. For simplicity, we assume that the fleet-average PM2.5 profile from Kansas City to be representative of the US gasoline fleet. We recognize the need to incorporate speciation data on newer vehicles. For the next generation of vehicles, the composition of PM is expected to become increasingly dominated by black carbon emissions from both low-emitting port-fuel injected vehicles60'66'67'68 and gasoline-direct injection (GDI) vehicles.69'70'71 We plan on incorporating light-duty gasoline PM profiles to MOVES and SPECIATE as such data on representative, in-use vehicles become available. 61 ------- The developed PM2.5 profiles used in MOVES for gasoline exhaust are included in Table E-3.. The number of samples for each PM2.5 species are also shown. EC was measured on each vehicle test and has a much greater sample size than the other species. The EC and nonECPM emission rates in MOVES are consistent with the EC fractions listed here. For application in MOVES, only the PM2.5 species required by CMAQv5.1 are reported. Metal emission rates for Mn, Cr, and Ni for gasoline vehicles based on the KCVES are provided in the Air Toxics Report.7 The PM2.5 ratios that were not significantly greater than 0 at the 95 percent confidence intervals were reported as 0, which removed five PM2.5 species pollutants from the start profile. Fuel samples analyzed for 171 of the vehicles tested in KCVES yielded an average fuel sulfur content of 161.2 ppm. Fuel sulfur content in the US is now much lower after implementation of the Tier 2 72 and Tier 3 73 Gasoline Sulfur Standards (30 ppm beginning 2006- 2008, and 10 ppm in 2020). In MOVES, the baseline sulfate emissions estimated from the PM2.5 profile are adjusted according to the fuel sulfur content as discussed in the fuel effects report.46 Details on the data, quality control measures, and statistical methods used to develop the profile are documented in the Sonntag et al. (2013).59 The paper also introduces methods to identify significant measurements, correct for organic carbon positive artifact, control for contamination from the testing environment on the PM2.5 speciation profiles, and impute missing PM2.5 species in the KCVES measurements from other light-duty gasoline PM emission studies. Speciation factors for additional PM2.5 species (P, Cu, Zn, Br, Mo, and Pb) that are not included in MOVES are also presented. Table E-3 Gasoline PM2.5 Profile for Start and Running Emissions Weighted Average using Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) PM Species Start (8992) Running (8993) n mean ratio +/- 95% CI n mean ratio +/- 95% CI Elemental Carbon (EC) 484 44.37% +/- 4.30% 531 14.00% +/- 2.68% Organic Carbon (OC) 66 42.64% +/- 6.63% 99 55.70% +/- 4.02% Non-carbon Organic Matter (NCOM) 66 8.53% +/- 1.33% 99 11.14% +/- 0.80% S04 66 0.95% +/- 0.24% 99 7.19% +/- 1.90% N03 66 0.26% +/- 0.08% 99 0.29% +/- 0.08% NH4 66 0.43% +/- 0.10% 99 2.78% +/- 0.73% Fe 66 0.31% +/- 0.21% 99 1.83% +/- 0.53% Al 99 0.32% +/- 0.10% Si 99 0.32% +/- 0.10% Ti 99 0.03% +/- 0.01% Ca 66 0.39% +/- 0.14% 99 1.44% +/- 0.26% Mg 66 0.02% +/- 0.02% 99 0.14% +/- 0.02% K 99 0.09% +/- 0.03% Mn 99 0.02% +/- 0.02% Na 66 0.01% +/- 0.00% 99 0.04% +/- 0.01% CI 66 0.02% +/- 0.01% 98 0.10% +/- 0.04% Unspeciated (PMOTHR) 66 2.09% +/- 1.75% 99 4.56% +/- 1.10% 62 ------- E.2 Development of E55/59 Profile for Pre-2007 Conventional Diesel An PM2.5 profile for pre-2007 conventional0 diesel trucks was developed from the CRC E55/59 Study: Heavy-Duty Vehicle Chassis Dyno Testing for Emissions Inventory.74 The E55/59 program is the current source for PM2.5 emission rates for medium- and heavy-duty pre-2007 model year conventional diesel trucks in MOVES, and is the source of the conventional pre- 2007 diesel TOG speciation profiles. By using the E55/59 study for PM2.5 speciation profiles, we are using consistent data with both the PM2.5 emission rates and the TOG speciation profiles in MOVES. The E55/59 PM2.5 profile includes measurements from eight heavy-duty trucks, ranging from 1985 to 2004 model year as shown in Table D-4. The E55/59 average sulfur content is 172 ppm. The CRC E55/59 study was conducted from 2001-2005 in several phases. Chemical characterization of PM2.5 emissions was conducted for nine of the 75 trucks tested in the E55/59 study, ranging from 1985 to 2004 model year. Table £-4 Vehicle Information from t ie Speciated E55/59 Trucks Phase ID Medium/ Heavy- Duty Vehicle Model Year Vehicle Manufacturer Engine Model Year Engine Model Engine Power (hp) Engine Disp. (Liter) Engine Manufacturer Odometer Reading (mi) 1 1 H 1994 Freightliner 1994 Series 60 470 12.7 Detroit 639105 1 2 H 1995 Freightliner 1995 3406B 375 14.6 Caterpillar 241843 1 3 H 1985 International 1985 NTCC- 300 300 14 Cummins 501586 2 39 H 2004 Volvo 2003 ISX 530 14.9 Cummins 45 2 40 H 2004 Freightliner 2003 Series 60 500 14 Detroit 8916 2 41 M 1998 Ford 1997 B5.9 210 5.9 Cummins 13029 2 42 H 2000 Freightliner 1999 3406 435 14.6 Caterpillar 576998 2 43 H 1995 Peterbilt 1994 Series 60 470 12.7 Detroit 899582 2 44 H 1989 Volvo 1989 3406 300 (est.) 14.6 Caterpillar 811202 In all, 65 tests were conducted on the nine trucks selected for PM speciation. Phase 1 tested three heavy heavy-duty diesel trucks (HHDDTs) for PM speciation on four modes of the Urban Dynamometer Driving Schedule (UDDS), including: idle, creep, transient and cruise. Phase 2 tested six additional heavy heavy-duty diesel trucks, and one medium heavy-duty diesel truck (MHDDT). In Phase 2, the HHDDTs were also tested on the UDDS, as well as a high-speed cruise mode added after Phase 1. The MHDDT was tested on MHDDT schedule developed by the California Air Resources Board that included two transient modes and a cruise mode. For chemical speciation, some tests were repeated in sequence to collect additional mass on the 63 ------- filter, including extended idle and extended creep. In Phase 2, the speciation data was not collected for the creep mode.74 The total and speciated PM2.5 emissions data from the E55/59 study was compiled from the speciation database compiled in CRC Report No. E75-2: Diesel Unregulated Emission Characterization Report75 and from Table 17 of the E55/59 Phase 1 report.76 The data reduction steps used to develop a PM2.5 speciation profile from the E55/59 speciated data are outlined in the following Steps: 1-4. Step 1. We first calculated the average PM2.5 profile for each individual truck and four generic classifications of test cycle, namely: idle, creep, cruise, and transient. The composite UDDS cycle is classified as a transient cycle, similar to the classification conducted of speciation profiles by E75-2.74 The truck and test cycle average PM profiles are calculated as ratios of the means, also called a PM mass-weighted profile. In this manner, idle tests that contain three repeat idle cycles contribute more to the average than tests that include only one idle cycle. The average profile for each vehicle/test cycle classification is shown in Figure D-l. Thirty average speciation profiles were calculated from the 65 tests as shown in Figure D-l. Typically, each truck/cycle average contains two tests. t ~3) o a) T3 o E ~3) af ro Q1 c o '(/) CO 'E LD 31 31 21 21 11 11 CK 0:1 6" 5- 4- 3- 2- 1- 0- 1- 11 1r< 01 0^ 0^ 0: 01. 3^ 3^ 2: 21 I II 0: 0:1 ¦- M R n r M R h h 39 40 MR MR n r M R 41 42 m- 43 44 I I Pollutant. ID PM2.5 Elemental carbon Organic carbon | ions | S04-2 I elements MR MR MR MR Figure D-l Average PM2.5 Speciation Profiles by Truck and Test Cycle from the E55/59 Program. M = Measured total PM2.5, R = Reconstructed Total PM2.5 from the Speciated Measurements Step 2. We removed the average PM2.5 profiles with suspect data. As shown in Figure D-l, the MMHDT truck (Truck 41) had very low PM emissions on the transient cycle, and a very large 64 ------- contribution of ammonium to the idle cycle. This PM composition does not compare well with previous data in the literature77, so the medium-duty truck was removed from further analysis. Step 3. We calculated a median PM profile using the individual truck/test-cycle PM profiles calculated in steps 1 and 2. The median is used rather than the mean due to the small sample (eight trucks), in contrast to the variety of truck technologies, exhaust control systems, and ages of the trucks in the real-world fleet. A mass-weighted mean would have been dominated by the results for Truck 3 and Truck 44, which had the highest PM emission rates. Instead we calculated the median of the PM fractions, and not a fraction of the median emission rates. In this manner, the final PM speciation profile is not overly dependent on any one vehicle. Additionally, there may be systematic differences between the Phase 1 and Phase 2 measurements that could impact a mass-weighted profile. By calculating the PM2.5 species fraction before computing the median, any differences impacted the absolute PM2.5 emission rates between phases do not impact the resulting speciation profile. Step 4. We adjust the median profile to account for unmeasured PM2.5 species including metal- bound oxygen and non-carbon organic matter. The additional oxygen mass associated with the metal oxides are calculated using the oxide state assumptions in Sonntag et al. (2013)59 reproduced in Table E-5. Table E-5 Oxide States Assumed for Calculation of Metal-Bound Oxygen Element Oxide Form 1 Oxide Form 2 Oxide Form 3 Oxide/Element Mass Ratio Na Na20 1.35 Mg Mg 1.0 Al AI2O3 1.89 Si Si02 2.14 P P04 3.07 CI CI 1.0 K K20 1.20 Ca Ca 1.0 Ti Ti02 1.67 Cr Cr203 Cr03 1.69 Mn MnO Mn02 \111O 1.63 Fe FeO Fe203 1.36 Ni NiO 1.27 Cu CuO 1.25 Zn Zn 1.0 Rb Rb20 1.09 Br Br 1.0 Mo M0O2 M0O3 1.42 Pb PbO Pb02 1.12 65 ------- For the Phase 1 samples, the molar concentration of ammonium balances within 5 percent of the molar concentrations of 2*SC>4 + NO3. This is what would be expected if the ammonium exists as ammonium sulfate [NH4]2S04 and ammonium nitrate, NH4NO3. For the Phase 2 samples, ammonium balances within 25 percent of the molar concentrations of 2*SC>4 + NO3. Due to the relatively good agreement between the measurements, it appears that the sulfate on the filter exists as ammonium sulfate. As such, we did not account for sulfate-bound water contributing to filter mass. The sum of the PM fractions from the median profiles is greater than one. To achieve mass balance, we are scaled down the organic carbon fraction to correct for positive artifact inherent in organic carbon (OC) filter measurements, as was done in previous work including for the light-duty gasoline profile59 and analysis of emissions from other combustion sources.78 We calculated the organic matter (OM) as the remainder of the PM2.5 using Equation 11. OM% = 100 — EC% — elements% — metal bound oxygen% — ions% Equation Then, we split the OM into OC and non-carbon organic matter (NCOM) using the following relationship: OM = 1.2 * OC used by Kleeman etal. (2000)79 and developed from work conducted on medium-duty diesel emissions77, as shown in Equation 12 and Equation 13. OC% = OM% NCOM% = Q OM% The initial and corrected OC/PM factors are shown in Table E-6. The adjusted OC speciation factors are smaller than the initially measured OC/PM fraction, which is expected due to the higher affinity for OC artifact to collect on the quartz fiber filters, as compared to the Teflon filters used to measure PM2.5 mass.80 Table E-6 Impact of Mass-Balance Correction on Organic Carbon and Organic Matter Emission Rates PM factors IDLE CRUISE TRANSIENT Initial OC/PM factor 54.1% 36.3% 30.1% Mass-balance OM/PM factor 41.7% 36.1% 17.4% Corrected OC/PM factor 34.7% 30.1% 14.5% The resulting profiles for the PM2.5 species are located in Table E-7. The Start/Extended Idle profile is based on the idle test cycles, and the running emissions are based on the transient cycles. These cycles are selected for use for modeling these emission processes because they have similar PM characteristics (EC/PM) ratio as the PM2.5 MOVES emission rates for conventional diesel as discussed next. Equation 12 Equation 13 66 ------- Table E-7 PM2.5 Profiles for Pre-2007 Diesel Exhaust Developed for MOVES2014 Idle (Profile 8994) Running (Profile 8995) Elemental Carbon 46.40% 78.97% Organic Carbon 34.74% 14.52% NonCarbon OM 6.95% 2.90% S04 5.27% 1.03% N03 1.25% 0.18% NH4 1.74% 0.36% Fe 0.34% 0.13% Al 0.06% 0.06% Si 0.30% 0.22% Ti 0.01% 0.01% Ca 0.58% 0.35% Mg 0.13% 0.01% K 0.26% 0.02% Na 0.31% 0.03% CI 0.38% 0.13% CMAQ5.0 unspeciated 1.28% 1.09% In MOVES, the EC/PM fraction from the Idle profile (8994) is used for idle emissions from running (opModelD 1, processID 1) and extended idle (processID 90). It is also used to speciate the PM from start emissions (processID 2) and auxiliary power emissions (processID 91). The running profile is used to speciate the PM from all other operating modes from running emissions (processID 1). Table E-8 compares the profiles developed from the E-55/59 study to measurements made at CE-CERT (Shah et al. (2004)81), a composite profile developed by Schauer et al. (2006)65 from the DOE Gasoline/Diesel PM Split Study, and the NFRAQS heavy-duty diesel profile (SPECIATE Profile 91106). The EC/PM fraction from the E55/59 transient cycle compares well to both the composite profiles. The E55/59 idle profile has a substantially lower EC/PM fraction than the composite profiles, with a corresponding higher fraction of organic matter. The cold/start idle profile from CE-CERT (Shah et al. (2004)) also shows an even lower EC/PM fraction during idle than high load conditions. The MOVES sulfate fractions appear to be more aligned with the DOE Split study, which could be due to newer technology diesel and lower altitude testing. Elements and ion emission rates compare well to the DOE gasoline/diesel PM split study. 67 ------- Table E-8 Comparison of MOVES Conventional Pre-2007 Diesel Profiles with other PM2.: Conventional Diesel Profiles MOVES E-55/59 CE-CERT 2004a DOE Gasoline/ Diesel PM Split Study Northern Front Range Air Quality Study Idle (8994) Running (8995) Cold start/Idle Running (Transient) Composite Composite (91106) Elemental carbon 46.4% 79.0% 13.3% 68.0% 72.7% 77.1% Organic matter 41.7% 17.4% 81.4% 33.5% 24.1% 17.6% SO4-2 5.3% 1.0% 1.3% 0.3% CI + NH4 + N03 3.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% Elements 2.1% 1.1% 1.5% 0.5% Note: a. Organic matter estimated using the 1.2 * OC, other components not measured. E.3 Development of the ACES PM2.5 Profile for 2007 and Newer Technology Diesel The PM2.5 speciation profile for 2007-and-later technology is based on Phase 1 of the Advanced Collaborative Emissions Study (ACES) Report.25 The purpose of the ACES report was to characterize criteria and toxic emissions from advanced technology diesel engines and control systems. Phase 1 of ACES tested four heavy-duty diesel engines each equipped with a catalyzed diesel particulate filter (C-DPF). The PM2.5 profile is based on a 16-hour cycle which is composed of FTP and CARB 5-Modes, developed specifically to gain sufficient PM mass to measure the emission rates of trace metals and toxics and to capture diesel particulate filter regeneration events. The PM2.5 measurements from the 16-hour cycle include the exhaust measurements downstream of the C-DPF and crankcase blow-by emissions. Crankcase blow-by emissions contributed 38 percent of the combined crankcase and tailpipe PM2.5 emissions on the FTP cycle. The SPECIATE contractor (Abt Associates) developed the PM2.5 profile from the ACES program Phase 1 with input from the US EPA, with the intent of maintaining consistency with the summarized results in the ACES Phase 1 report. The 16-hour results yielded the most accurate measurements at the low levels of PM2.5 and are used to represent all PM2.5 emission processes from 2007-and-newer on-highway diesel vehicles. The following decisions were made to develop a profile to be consistent with the results in the ACES Phase 1 report. 1. The original measurements were used rather than background or tunnel corrected measurements. EC and OC were not corrected for background, or backup quartz filters. Background correcting the EC/OC filters caused negative EC/OC emission rates on three of the four engines. The ACES researchers did not report OC corrected by a backup-quartz filter because of concern of under-representing OC emissions.82 Similarly, species for elements and ions were not corrected for tunnel blanks. Using 68 ------- uncorrected OC measurements likely contributed to the mass of the sum of the speciated measurements being higher than Teflon filter measurements.83 By using the original measurements, rather than the background or tunnel corrected measures, we are likely overestimating the emissions from some of the individual species that are subject to positive artifact like OC. The ACES researchers discuss possible approaches for correcting the measured OC emission rates and mention this as an area for future work for 2007-and-later diesel engines. 2. Unmeasured species that likely contribute to particulate matter were not included in the profile, including sulfate-bound water and metal-bound oxygen from the profile. The PM collected on the filter were analyzed for nitrate and ammonium, however no ammonium or nitrate was detected.25 In the absence of these species, the sulfate is expected to exist as hydrated sulfuric acid. Khalek et al. 201182 reported that accounting for the water-bound sulfate would increase the summed mass of the individual species 37 percent beyond the measured filter mass. Rather than lowering the factors for other species by including the sulfate-bound water, it was excluded from the profile. Converting the measured organic carbon to organic matter and accounting for the oxide state of the elements was considered by Khalek et al. (2011)82, but was not conducted due to the uncertainty of reconciling the filter mass and the sum of the measured species. 3. According to the SPECIATE database, the profile was normalized to the gravimetric mass of PM. Gaseous and particulate phase sulfate are combined in the PM profile. More information on the profile itself can be found in the SPECIATE database, and the database's supporting documentation outlines specific procedures for creating PM profiles.84 The ACES Profile is included in the SPECIATE database as profile #5680. This profile is the basis of SPECIATE profile 8996 used in MOVES with one adjustment. MOVES needs organic matter reported as OC and non-carbon organic matter (NCOM). We treated the reported OC in the SPECIATE profile 5680 as OM, and calculate OC and NCOM using the same split (Equation 12) as used for pre-2007 diesel and light-duty gasoline. The species not needed by MOVES from the ACES Phase 1 profile are summed into the unspeciated fraction. The speciation values are presented in Table D-9. Metal emission rates for manganese, chromium, and nickel from MOVES are derived from the ACES Phase 1 data.7 They are estimated using the metals calculator with mass/distance emission rates, and are not reported in the SPECIATE profiles. 69 ------- Table E-9 SPECIATE PM2.5 Profile 8996 Developed from the 16-hour Cycle from Four Heavy-duty Diese Engines with Catalyzed-DPFs in the ACES Phase 1 Program Weight % Elemental Carbon 9.98% Organic Carbon 22.33% Non Carbon Organic Matter 4.47% Sulfate 59.91% Nitrate 0.00% Ammonium 0.00% Iron 0.64% Aluminum 0.11% Silicon 0.09% Titanium 0.02% Calcium 0.47% Magnesium 0.14% Potassium 0.05% Sodium 0.99% Chlorine 0.04% Unspeciated 0.78% The ACES Phase 1 derived EC fraction of 9.9% falls within the range of EC fraction of total carbon emissions (2 to 20%) reported from Thiruvengadam et al. 2016.85 E.4 Development of the Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Profile The California Air Resource Board (CARB) conducted several emission characterization studies on compressed natural gas vehicles. In our profile development, we used only the data reported by CARB for a CNG New Flyer bus with a 2000 MY Detroit Diesel (DDC) Series 50G engine, equipped with and without an oxidation catalyst. Using a single profile provides consistency in the PM characterization estimates and assures that the organic carbon emissions are reduced with implementation of oxidation catalyst controls. CARB also conducted tests on a CNG bus with a 2001 Cummins Westport engine. Other studies that reported EC/OC did not measure emission rates for elements.86 We developed the profiles shown in Table E-10 with and without catalyst to estimate the impact of oxidation catalyst control. CARB characterized the PM emissions on a steady-state cycle, and a central business district cycle (CBD). We used the CBD data, which was consistent with the criteria pollutant analysis in the heavy-duty emissions report2 and was considered more 70 ------- representative of typical transit bus behavior.s'87 The PAH/OC ratios documented in the MOVES toxics report7 were also developed from the CARB measurements on the DDC 50G. Table E-10 PM2.5 Speciation Profiles for CNG Compressed Ignition Transit Bus Exhaust Pollutant Uncontrolled (95219) Oxidation Catalyst (95220) Elemental Carbon (EC) 9.25% 11.12% Organic Carbon (OC) 36.99% 37.45% Non-carbon Organic Matter (NCOM) 7.40% 7.49% S04 0.64% 1.04% aluminum 0.89% 0.89% calcium 0.21% 0.44% chromium 0.25% 0.25% cobalt 0.39% 0.40% iron 0.25% 0.25% nickel 0.04% 0.00% phosphorus 0.04% 0.15% silicon 0.46% 0.59% zinc 0.14% 0.20% Unspeciated PM2 5 43.04% 39.74% We used PM, EC, OC, and element emission rates for two repeat tests both with and without the oxidation catalyst.88'89 CARB measured 13 elements by X-ray fluorescence but no ions (sulfate, ammonium, or nitrate) were measured. The sulfate emissions were estimated by assuming that all elemental sulfur is in the form of sulfate. This assumption is consistent with sulfate and elemental sulfur measurements reported for natural gas combustion in the speciate database (SPECIATE 91112). We assume that the missing ammonium and nitrate emissions are zero, based on the negligible ammonium and nitrate measurements from modern spark-ignition CNG buses equipped with three-way catalysts.90 Sodium and magnesium were the largest elements measured (sodium was over 7 percent of the PM2.5 measured in the uncontrolled test), which is likely due to known measurement artifact for XRF measurements of sodium and magnesium. As such the sodium and magnesium emission rates are reported as zero. The use of the oxidation catalyst reduced the PM2.5 emission rates from 28 mg/mile to 20.3 mg/mile on the CBD cycle (a 27.5 percent decrease). As shown in Table E-10, the composition of the PM2.5 stayed fairly constant. The EC and OC fractions between the two control conditions are not statistically different. Both profiles contain a large amount of unspeciated PM2.5 emissions. The source of the large unspeciated PM2.5 emissions is unknown but may be attributed to the different sampling media for the total and speciated PM2.5 emissions, which is amplified at the low PM2.5 concentrations measured from CNG exhaust. The absence of ion measurements may also be a contributing factor. s The CNG profile was developed for MOVES2014, where transit buses were the only source type that were run on CNG fuels. In later versions of MOVES, CNG is modeled for other heavy-duty source types as documented in the population and activity report.87 71 ------- The real-world variability in the PM2.5 composition is larger than the developed profiles suggest. The OC/PM fraction for the 2001 Cummins Westport with oxidation catalyst was 61.9 percent, which is much larger than that measured on the 2000 Detroit diesel engine. Lanni et al. (2003)86 reported that the OC/PM fraction on three CNG transit buses with DDC Series 50G engines ranged from 29 percent to 74 percent of the PM2.5. The EC emissions measured by Lanni el al. (2003)86 were below the detection limit, but the presented results compare well with the 2001 Cummins Westport measured by CARB (12.7 percent EC/PM). The sulfate fraction for the oxidation catalyst presented in compares well with the sulfate fraction reported for the 2001 Cummins Westport by CARB89 (2.8 percent), and by Lanni et al. (2003)86 (1.5 percent to 2.4 percent). 72 ------- Appendix F PM10/PM2.5 Factors The gasoline PM10/PM2.5 factor is based on measurements of 1991-1997 model year vehicles tested by Norbeck et al. (1998).91 This ratio estimates that roughly 10 percent of the PM emitted from gasoline vehicles is in the coarse range, which agrees with the size-distributions reported from cascade impactor measurements on light-duty gasoline exhaust from Schauer et al. (2008).92 The diesel PM10/PM2.5 factor is based on a 1985 EPA report93, which reports that 92 percent of particulate mass is measured below a 2.5 |im cut-off. Although derived from measurements on older technologies, the diesel PM10/PM2.5 ratio compares well with observations of the particle size distribution of diesel exhaust by Kittelson et al. (1998)94, who states that the coarse mode contains 5-20 percent of the total aerosol mass. Unfiltered crankcase emissions published by Donaldson Company Inc. (2011)95 have similar reported mass distributions with ~ 93 to 97 percent of the cumulative mass particles smaller than 2.5 |im. In contrast, Tatli and Clark (2008)96 report that the particle mass size distribution is significantly different from crankcase and tailpipe diesel emissions for particles below 1 |im. Due to the limited information on coarse-mode crankcase particulate emissions, we assume the same PM10/PM2.5 fraction for diesel crankcase emissions. Filtered diesel crankcase and exhaust emissions are expected to have smaller PM10/PM2.5 ratios, due to the higher filter capture efficiency of coarse mode particles.95'97 However, the same PM10/PM2.5 ratios are used for the later model year groups, due to limited coarse mode particulate exhaust measurements, and limited information on the failure rates of these technologies in real-world use. No information was available on the PM10/PM2.5 ratios for CNG emissions, and the gasoline ratio is used for CNG emissions. Table F-l contains the selected exhaust PM10/PM2.5 ratios used in MOVES. Table F-l PM10/PM2.5 Ratios for Primary Exhaust and Crankcase Emissions by Fuel Type Fuel PM10/PM2.5 Gasoline, E85, CNG 1.130 Diesel 1.087 73 ------- 7 References 1 USEPA (2023). Exhaust Emission Rates for Light-Duty Onroad Vehicles in MOVES4. EPA-420-R-23-018. Office of Transportation and Air Quality. US Environmental Protection Agency. Ann Arbor, MI. 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