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<pubnumber>910B94007</pubnumber>
<title>Alaska Juneau Gold Mine Project : Technical Assistance Report for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Alaska District</title>
<pages>205</pages>
<pubyear>1994</pubyear>
<provider>NEPIS</provider>
<access>online</access>
<origin>hardcopy</origin>
<author></author>
<publisher></publisher>
<subject></subject>
<abstract></abstract>
<operator>LM</operator>
<scandate>20141218</scandate>
<type>single page tiff</type>
<keyword></keyword>

EPA 910/6-94-00?
&EPA
              United States
              Environmental Protection
              Agency    	
               Region 10
               1200 Sixth Avenue
               Seattle WA 98101
Alaska
Idaho
Oregon
Washington
              Water Division/Environmental Services Division
                              December 1994
Alaska Juneau
Gold Mine
Project

Technical Assistance Report
for the
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
Alaska District
 image: 








     SUMMARY	i

I.    INTRODUCTION	1

II.   SCOPE OF REPORT	4

III. POLICY BACKGROUND	6

IV.   PROJECT DESCRIPTION	'.	8

     A. Mine Location and Processing  Operations	8
     B. Proposed Tailings Disposal Plan	9
     C. Other Tailings Disposal Options. Considered	.	 11

V.   AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT	12

     A. Introduction	12
     B. Sheep Creek Valley.. ....	14
     C. Gastineau  Channel	15

VI.  EVALUATION OF PROJECTED TAILINGS POND  PERFORMANCE	17

     A. Introduction	17
     B. NPDES Requirements	19
     C. Review of  the FEIS  Water  Quality  Model	20
     D. Characteristics  of  Process Influent to  the  Tailings
     Pond	20
        1.  FEIS Approach	20
        2.  Validity  of  FEIS Approach	21
        3 .  Alternative  Approach	26
     E. Predictions  of  Effluent Quality:  WASP4  Water Quality
        Model	26
        1.  Introduction.	26
        2.  Previous  Modeling Efforts	27
        3 .  WASP4  Conceptual Model	29
        4.  Time and  Length Scales	33
        5.  Important Assumptions	33
        6.  Parameter Estimation	35
        7.  Simulations	50
        8.  Results	51
      F.  Effluent  Quality Predictions: CE-QUAL-W2 Water Quality
        Model...	57
        1.  Conceptual Model	57
        2.  Time and Length Scales	61
        3.  Important Assumptions	62
        4.  Parameter Estimation	63
         5.  Simulations	66
         6  Results....••»••••••«•«•••••••••••••••••••••••••••**
      G. Discussion of the WASP4 and CE-QUAL-W2 Results	71
      H.  Comparison with Other Tailings Ponds	85
      I.  Conclusions Regarding Adequacy of Waste Water
 image: 








     Treatment ,_ ............................................. 86

VII. POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF THE DISCHARGE ON WATER QUALITY IN
     GASTINEAU CHANNEL ........................... .............. 88

     A. Introduction ........................................... 88
     B. Area Description .............. . ........................ 88
        1 . Physical Characteristics ............................ 88
        2 . Meteorology ..... . ................................... 90
        3 . Freshwater Sources .................................. 90
        4. Tidal Influence ..................................... 91
     C . Previous Studies ....................................... 92
        1. Sewage Outfall Study 1965 ........................... 92
        2 . Seawater Monitoring 1989  - 1990 ..................... 92
        3 . Channel Current  Survey  1990 ......................... 92
        4 . Thane Current Survey 1992 ........................... 94
        5 . Drift Card Study 1992 ............................... 94
        6 . Study Summaries  and Comparison ...................... 94
        7. Physical Description Summary &  Interpretation ....... 98
     D. Screening Analysis  for Water Quality  Impacts ........... 99
        1. Analysis by Echo Bay Alaska ......................... 99
        2 . Alternative Screening Analysis ...................... 99
     E. Analysis using WASP4 Framework ........................ 102
        1 . Introduction ................. . ..................... 102
        2 . Model Structure ....... ............................. 103
        3 . Model Assumptions .................................. 105
        4 . Solution Approach .................................. 105-
        5 . Parameter  Estimation ........... - ................... 1°6
        6. Projected  Impacts ........ . ......................... 115
        7 . Conclusions ........................................ 116
        8. Uncertainty ........................................ 116

 VIII .RISK  OF LONG-TERM  CONTAMINATION .......................... 124
      A.  Introduction
      B.  Watershed/Physical Setting ........... ................. 124
      C.  Uncertainty Factors ................... ................ 125
      D.  Predicted Community Components ........................ 126
         1. Benthos ......... ................. '
         2 . Plankton.
         3. Fish
         4 . Macrophytes . . .............................. :
         5. Littoral/Riparian (fringe) zone and Vegetation ..... 127
         6. Wildlife
      E.  Ecological Risk Analysis
      F  Evaluation of Contaminants in Pore Water
         1  Pore Water Evaluated Using Water Quality Criteria. . 129
         2. Pore Water Evaluated Using Aquatic Toxicity Data... 13 2
      G.  Results of Pore Water Evaluation. . ................... • 133
      H.  Evaluation of Contaminants in Sediments ............... 134
      I.  Evaluation of Metals in the Water Column .............. 134
 image: 








     J.  Evaluation of Potential Effects on Wildlife	137
        1.  Selection of Contaminants	137
        2 .  Selection of Species	137
        3 .  Selection of Exposure Pathways	139
        4 .  Exposure of Wildlife to Metals	139
        5.  Kingfisher - Exposure, Toxicity, and Effect	159
        6.  Exposure and Toxicity to the Sandpiper	159
        7.  Exposure and Toxicity to the River Otter....;	160
     K.  Uncertainty Factors	•	160
     L.  Summary of Ecology Risk Analysis	162
     M.  Review of Literature on Subaqueous Disposal of Mine
        Tailings	163
     N.  Laboratory Tests Relevant to the Long-Term Behaviour of
        Metals and Other Constituents	165
        1.  Leach Tests	165
        2 .  Acid Generation Potential	166
     O.  Conclusions Regarding Potential Long-Term
        contamination	167

IX. POTENTIAL MEASURES TO MITIGATE WATER QUALITY IMPACTS	170

     A.  Introduction.	170
     B.  Secondary Wastewater Treatment	170
     C.  Potential Measures for Reducing TSS	171
     D.  Isolating the Tailings....	171
     E.  Eliminating the Cyanide Leach Circuit	_	172
     F.  Alternative Tailings Disposal Sites	172

X.  POTENTIAL MEASURES TO MITIGATE ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS	174

     A.  Introduction	 174
     B.  On-site Mitigation Proposals	175
     C.  Off-site Mitigation Proposals	175
     D.  Mitigation for Lost Values in Marine Waters	177
     E.  Conclusion	 .177

XI.  CONCLUSIONS	178

XII. REFERENCES	180

XIII.LIST OF PREPARERS	189
 image: 








APPENDICES (Bound Separately)

APPENDIX A to Chapter III: Policy Background

          APPENDIX Al:   EPA memo of October 2, 1992

          APPENDIX A2:   Clean Water Act §404(b)(l) Guidelines

APPENDIX B to Chapter VI: Tailings Pond influent

          APPENDIX Bl:   Table B-l

          APPENDIX B2:   Table B-2

APPENDIX C to Chapter VI: Water Quality Modeling

          APPENDIX Cl:   GROUNDWATER FLOW

          APPENDIX C2:   WASP4 INPUT

          APPENDIX C3:   CE-QUAL-W2 INPUT

APPENDIX D to Chapter VII: Water Quality in Gastineau Channel

          APPENDIX Dl:   AMBIENT WATER QUALITY DATA
                             - Salinity Data
                             - Metals in Gastineau Channel

          APPENDIX D2:   TIDAL INFORMATION
                             - Tidal Charts
                             - WASP4 Input Flows

          APPENDIX D3:   CURRENT METER DATA (excerpts)

          APPENDIX D4:   FRESHWATER SCALING

          APPENDIX D5:   DILUTION MODELING

          APPENDIX D6:   WASP4 INPUT FILES

          APPENDIX D7:   WASP4 TIME SERIES PLOTS

          APPENDIX D8:   RESULTS  IN TABULAR FORM

          APPENDIX D9:   DROGUE AND DRIFT CARD SURVEYS
                             - Echo Bay Survey Diagrams
                             - NMFS Draft Report  (complete)

APPENDIX E to Chapters  IX  and X:  Potential Mitigation Measures

          APPENDIX El:    Upstream Diversion Dam

          APPENDIX E2:    Treatment  Facility Mitigation  Measures
 image: 








APPENDIX E3:   Post-Mine Closure Measures



APPENDIX E4:   Ecological Impact Measures
 image: 








                             SUMMARY

Project Description

     The Alaska Juneau  (AJ) Gold Mine project is a proposal by
Echo Bay Alaska  (Echo Bay) to reopen the historic AJ gold mine
near Juneau in southeast Alaska.  The proposal entails mining
approximately 22,500 tons of ore per day and, after crushing and
grinding the ore, recovering gold through the froth flotation and
carbon-in-leach  (CIL; also referred to as cyanide leach)
processes.  After destruction of residual cyanide in the CIL
tailings using a sulfur dioxide/air process, the tailings would
then be discharged in .a slurry form to a tailings impoundment
that would be created in Sheep Creek valley, four miles south of
downtown Juneau.

     Echo. Bay proposes  to construct a 345' high roller compacted
concrete dam that would create a reservoir approximately 2.5
miles  long in Sheep Creek valley.  Tailings would be discharged
into this impoundment via a barge mounted "elephant trunk"
tailings discharge pipeline extending to the bottom of the
reservoir.  During operation, mine drainage water and process
water, equivalent in volume to the net precipitation (after
evaporation) over the impoundment, would be discharged from the
impoundment to Gastineau Channel, approximately one mile to the
west of the tailings impoundment.

     The tailings impoundment would serve as a permanent disposal
site for the AJ  mine tailings.   Echo Bay's proposal is to leave a
minimum of twenty feet  of water  over the tailings and, after
mining and tailings disposal cease, to allow the  impoundment to
serve  as a. recreational lake.  A more complete project
description can  be found  in the  AJ Gold Mine Project Final
Environmental  Impact Statement  (FEIS; BLM,  1992).

Regulatory Background

     This report evaluates  short and long-term water quality
impacts from the project  as well as  long-term ecological
consequences.   Findings and recommendations  have  been developed
to assist the  Alaska District  Corps  of Engineers  in determining
whether the proposed project complies with  the Clean Water Act
 (CWA)  Section  404(b)(l) Guidelines.

     A CWA Section  404  permit  is required to place fill  for
construction of  the  tailings  impoundment, which  is intended to
function as a  wastewater  treatment  system.   These permits are
issued by the  Corps  of  Engineers with the assistance of  EPA.
A CWA  section  402 permit  would be required  during operation for
the discharge  of wastewater from the impoundment  (as well as mine
drainage) to Gastineau Channel.   CWA section 402  permits are
 image: 








subject to the provisions of the National Pollutant Discharge
Elimination System (NPDES) administered by EPA.

     EPA and the Corps of Engineers have agreed that if the
construction of the impoundment is permitted under Section 404 of
the CWA, via an individual permit, the tailings impoundment would
be considered a non-jurisdictional waste treament system during
operation.  The waste treatment would occur as tailings- settle to
the bottom of the impoundment.  As a non-jurisdictional waste
treatment system, the impoundment would not have to meet State of
Alaska water quality standards (WQS) during operation.  Once
mining ceases and the impoundment is no longer being used as a
waste treatment system, EPA's position is that the reservoir
would become a water of the U.S. that must meet state WQS,
consistent with the goals of the CWA, within a reasonable
timefra.me after the discharge of tailings ceases.

Scope of the Report

     This report addresses impacts from the proposed discharge of
process wastes, both solid and liquid, from the AJ mine project.
These impacts are analyzed witn respect to risks associated with
the potential release of  contaminants into the aquatic
environment and with respect to losses of aquatic habitat
productivity  (e.g., wetlands) from direct physical disturbance.

      A fundamental question which this report addresses is
whether or not there is a reasonable assurance that the
impoundment would in fact provide adequate treatment such that
EPA's applicable New Source Performance Standards  (NSPS; see 40
CFR 440.104)) would be met at the point of discharge and that
State of Alaska WQS would be met  in the receiving waters of
Gastineau Channel.  Chapter VI addresses this question with
respect to NSPS, relying  heavily  on water quality modeling
analyses.  Chapter VII addresses  overall water quality impacts to
Gastineau Channel and the likelihood of meeting WQS.

     Another  fundamental  question relates to whether there is
reasonable assurance that the proposed method for tailings
disposal and  long-term maintenance would prevent release of
contaminants  in harmful quantities.  Chapter VIII presents an
ecological risk assessment of post-operation conditions and
reviews studies of Canadian  lakes that have been used  for
tailings disposal.

     Potential measures for  mitigating short and long-term water
quality impacts are addressed in  Chapter IX.

     A third  key question is whether the significant  impacts
caused by construction and operation of the tailings  impoundment
can be mitigated to the point that  overall  impacts  on  aquatic


                                ii
 image: 








resources are acceptable.  Optional mitigation plans and
strategies are-reviewed in Chapter X.

Affected Environment

     The Sheep Creek tailings disposal option would fill 420
acres of Sheep Creek valley.  Waters that would be eliminated in
association with the proposed fill are 2.5 miles of Sheep Creek
above the tailings dam and associated wetlands for a total of
20.1 acres of aquatic habitat (COE, 1994).  The flow of water in
1.1 additional miles of Sheep Creek downstream of the impoundment
would be reduced significantly.

     Mammals that  inhabit the immediate area include black bear,
mountain goat, Sitka black-tailed deer, beaver, marten, river
otter, mink, ermine, and other mustelids, lynx, red fox, hoary
marmot, porcupine  and other  small mammals (Holmberg, 1991).
There are 131  species of birds that likely inhabit the project
area for at  least  some time  of the year.  Among these are bald
and golden eagles  as well as more than a dozen neotropical.
migratory song birds and shore birds  (Wilson and Comet, 1991).

     The wetlands  of Sheep  Creek valley are an element of a
diverse mosaic of  vegetation communities which the FEIS describes
as unique among  the  alternative  tailings disposal sites
considered.   Due to  this vegetation mosaic, the FEIS describes
the Sheep Creek  valley  as having more species diversity than  any
other site  accessible  on the Juneau  road  system.  The wetlands
serve basic  ecological  functions within this mosaic typical of
wetlands at  other locations. However, the upper portion  of Sheep
Creek valley is  unusual for the  Juneau area because of the
composition  of its vegetative  communities.  Vegetation consists
of coniferous forest,  deciduous  forest,  tall  shrub, upland
meadow,  shrub wetland  and  wet  meadow. The deciduous  forest,
composed primarily of  cottonwood,  is uncommon  in the  greater
Juneau  area.   Rough estimates  suggest that Sheep Creek Valley
contains 25% of  the total  area  of  cottonwoods  between Taku  Inlet
and Berners  Bay  (BLM,  1992).

     The mixture of cottonwood and wetland  shrub communities
apparently  provides a high quality habitat  for song birds.   Song
bird populations have been found to be "locally diverse  and
abundant"  (Wilson and Comet, 1991).   Sheep  Creek valley  had five
times  the  song bird nest density and over 323% more successful
nests  than  a nearby site with similar vegetation  (Comet  and
Wilson,  1994) .  Habitats adjacent to the valley floor have
notably fewer songbirds (Wilson and Comet,  1993).   Many of  the
 song  bird  species are of special interest.   Five species whose
 abundance  is thought to be  in decline in Alaska breed in the
 valley.   These are the fox  sparrow,  orange crowned warbler,
 blackpoll  warbler, American robin, and varied thrush.  Eight
 other species found in the  valley may be increasing in abundance.

                                 iii
 image: 








Fifteen of the 42  species  of  birds  documented  during  formal
censusing are o'f interest  to  the  national  program  on  neotropical
birds  (Wilson and.  Comet, 1991) .   One  bird,  the marbled murrelet,
whose use of the valley has not been  documented, is of concern
because of population  declines along  the west  coast of North
America.

     Aquatic resources of  the upper portion of Sheep  Creek
include a local population of Dolly Vardon char.   This population
is isolated from other char populations by .the impassible lower
reach of Sheep Creek.

     Gastineau Channel is  a north-south oriented channel
separating Douglas Island  from the  mainland.   The  shoreline for
approximately 10 miles between Stephens Passage and Juneau is
largely steep sided and rocky.  Forty species  of demersal fish,
shellfish and other invertebrates have been reported  from
Gastineau Channel.  Included  among  these are commercially
"important crab species.  The  commercial crab fishery  was closed
in 1978 but a popular  personal use  fishery continues  (BLM, 1992).

Adequacy of Wastewater Treatment

     Chapter VI  addresses  the projected performance of the
tailings impoundment as a  waste treatment  system.  Water quality
models and  information from  existing  mines are used to determine
whether the discharge  from the  impoundment,  when  comingled with
mine drainage, would be  likely to meet EPA's New  Source
Performance Standards  (NSPS)  that would apply  to  the  discharge as
end-of-pipe effluent limits.   Compliance with  Alaska's water
quality standards  (WQS)  is addressed  in Chapter VII.

     The chemical  composition of  the  tailings  slurry  discharge is
discussed.  Concentrations of various chemical constituents of
the  influent to  the tailings pond are presented.   They represent
the  pollutant  loadings to the tailings pond that are  subsequently
addressed  in water quality models.

     Two water quality models were applied to  estimate the  levels
of pollutants  that would be  expected in the discharge.   The EPA's
Water  Quality  Simulation Program (WASP version 4.32)  was used to
simulate the  levels of solids,  cyanide and metals in  the water
and  sediments  of the proposed tailings pond during and  after  the
operation  of  the mine.

      The WASP software has been thoroughly tested and the  program
has  been used in a wide variety of applications.   The WASP water
quality analysis characterizes the major processes affecting  the
distribution  of  solids,  cyanide and certain metals in the
tailings pond.   These processes include turbulent mixing in the
pond itself,  settling of the tailings, leaching and partitioning


                                 iv
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of metals and effects of initial mixing associated with the
discharge.

     The WASP model generally reflects the current state of
knowledge for simulation of both inorganic and organic toxic
substances.  It was used to predict concentrations of pollutants
in the water column as well as in pore water within the tailings.
During the preparation of this report, however, EPA consulted
with various experts in the field of small particle transport,
some of whom expressed concerns that the WASP4 model might not be
capable of adequately evaluating the effects of the hydrodynamics
of the reservoir on the settling of suspended solids.  They
recommended applying the CE-QUAL-W2 water quality model.

     EPA therefore simulated the pollutant concentrations in the
tailings impoundment discharge using the CE-QUAL-W2 model
(version 2.04) in order to have a comparison with the earlier
results from the WASP4 model.  CE-QUAL-W2 has been applied
successfully to estuarine systems as well as freshwater reservoir
systems.  CE-QUAL-W2 generally reflects the current state of
knowledge for simulation of chemical, physical and biological
state variables in estuarine of reservoir systems.  While
originally designed to model temperature stratification in Corps
of Engineer managed reservoirs, it has been modified to predict
pollutant concentrations in the water column.

     For the WASP4 model analysis, twelve scenarios were
developed that capture the potential  variability among such
factors as:

     •    vertical mixing due  to  wind stress, kinetic energy
          from sources that  include  Sheep Creek and the waste
          stream  itself  and potential energy associated with
          density differences

     •    hydrodynamic regime

     •    groundwater  inflow

     •    mixing characteristics  of  sediment pore water

     In the  CE-QUAL-W2 model  analysis, suspended solids and
concentrations of dissolved metals  and metals -in suspended solids
in the proposed tailings pond  were  simulated under the conditions
representing natural  variability  of  weather and  inflow hydrology,
as well as estimated  variability  in  the  discharge
characteristics.   Scenarios  that  were modeled  are based on
different assumptions  regarding particle settling rates and
groundwater  inflow.   Modeling  results are presented  as  cumulative
distribution functions  that  reflect  the  probability  that  each
pollutant  in the  effluent  would exceed a certain  concentration.
                                 v
 image: 








     In additon to water quality modeling, empirical data for
total suspended solids  (TSS) from other operating mines were
reviewed for comparison with modeling results.  TSS levels for
the mine deemed to be most comparable to the AJ project, Island
Copper, are in the range of results predicted for the AJ
discharge. .

     The overall  conclusions of the modeling effort are that the
effluent would not meet projected end-of-pipe NSPS for total
suspended solids  (TSS)  and copper.

Effects on Gastineau Channel

     The WASP4 water quality model was also applied to model the
effects of the tailings impoundment discharge on Gastineau
Channel.  Chapter VII discusses this effort, which examines both
near-field and far-field  (Channel-wide) dilution and dispersion
of the effluent.  The central  question addressed in this chapter
is whether there  is  adequate mixing in Gastineau Channel to
dilute the pollutants in the impoundment  and mine drainage
effluent to ecologically safe  levels  in compliance with Alaska's
.WQS.

     After a  review  of  previous  studies of currents  in Gastineau
Channel, the  WASP4 model  framework  is presented.  Model runs
include  a worst-case discharge scenario and  an  average  case
discharge scenario.   The  overall  conclusion  of  the analysis  is
that WQS would  likely be  exceeded for cyanide,  arsenic  and copper
under  both  average  and  worst-case scenarios  in  much  of  Gastineau
Channel.  This  is due to  the  limited  flushing within the Channel
and  to the  ambient  background  levels  of pollutants in the Channel
that limit  the  Channel's  assimilative capacity.

Potential Long-Term Contamination

      Chapter VIII describes the impoundment  setting  and addresses
the  type of  aquatic habitat that would  likely develop  in and
around the  impoundment.  This  is followed by an ecological risk
analysis that examines the potential effects of contaminants on
aquatic biota and wildlife likely to inhabit the area.

      The impoundment would be an unusual aquatic feature insofar
 as it would be a shallow yet steep-sided reservoir.   Shallow
 lakes generally have gradually sloping shorelines and steep  sided
 lakes or reservoirs tend to be fairly deep.   As such,  no
 analagous reservoirs or lakes were found in the area upon which
 to base a comparison or predict food chains.

      With an estimated sedimentation rate of only 1200 cubic
 yards per year,  coverage of the tailings by sediments to form a
 more natural substrate for benthic (bottom dwelling) organisms
 would not be expected  in the  short term.  After mine closure,
                                 VI
 image: 








fish populations would not be  likely without a managed food base.
Insect production and transport by the inflowing small streams
would not provide enough  food  to  sustain fish.  In addition, the
impoundment lacks the habitat  characteristics required for
species survival  (e.g., cover  and spawning areas).  Construction
of the upstream diversion dam  would impede fish access to
potential spawning  areas  above the impoundment.

     The post-closure vegetation  expected on the surrounding
slopes, and avalanche dissipators  is likely to be alder and
shrubs.  It has been suggested that the impoundment's shoreline
would create new wetland  habitats, however, this has not been
analyzed in any detail and,  given the steep surrounding terrain,
seems unlikely.

     An. ecological  risk assessment evaluated the potential
toxicity of contaminant concentrations in pore water  (i.e., water
trapped between tailings  particles where bottom dwelling plants
and animals would  root or burrow) , sediments, and the water
column.  In addition, three  species were selected for an analysis
of the effects of  the heavy  metals in the tailings on wildlife.
The kingfisher, spotted sandpiper and river otter were evaluated
based on the  likelihood that they would  inhabit the impoundment
area and would  ingest water, organisms that would bioaccumulate
the metals, as well as the  tailings themselves.

     The results  of this  analysis indicate that aquatic biota
 (including  wildlife)  would  be at  substantial  risk from the
contaminants  in the tailings.  'Water  quality  criteria would
likely be exceeded at high  levels in  the  pore water  (up to 200
times  the acute  criterion for cyanide)  and water  column  (2 times
the acute criterion for  copper);  sediment  concentrations would
likely exceed benchmark  comparison values  (over  400 times the
lowest effect level for  cyanide); and wildlife  are  likely to be
at substantial risk from  their exposure  to  high levels of metals
in their diets (exceeding draft Great Lakes  criterion for mercury
by over  200 times),

     Canadian studies of  lakes used for  disposal  of mine tailings
were also reviewed.  These  studies examined  to  some degree  the
impacts  of  mine  tailings  disposal on the health of  the aquatic
systems  in  these  lakes.   The  findings of these  studies, however,
do not alter  EPA's conclusion that the Sheep Creek  tailings
impoundment would present substantial risks  to  wildlife  in  the
long-term.

Mitigating  Water  Quality Impacts

     In  view of the findings  of  the two previous chapters,  which
 conclude that the project as  proposed would, likely violate
 effluent  limits during operation and, after closure,  place
 wildlife at substantial  risk, Chapter IX addresses potential
                                vii
 image: 








measures for reducing water quality impacts to significantly
lower levels.  "Measures that are addressed, include secondary
treatment of the effluent, measures for reducing total suspended
solids, eliminating the cyanide leach circuit and potential means
for isolating the tailings to minimize the risk of long-term
contamination.  The Powerline/Icy Gulch tailings disposal
alternative is briefly reviewed with respect to its potential
feasibility as a disposal site using a more conventional, sub-
aerial tailings disposal method (i.e., tailings would not be
discharged underwater), surface water diversion and conventional
reclamation (tailings covered with soil rather than water).

     No single measure or combination of measures are deemed to
be adequate to reduce both short-term (during operation) and
long-term  (post-operation) water quality impacts to significantly
lower levels that would clearly avoid significant degradation of
waters of the U.S.  If feasible, the Powerline/Icy Gulch
alternative  (with subaerial tailings deposition, surface water
diversion, secondary wastewater treatment and conventional
reclamation) would  offer some significant advantages relative to
the Sheep  Creek alternative in terms of minimizing degradation of
waters of  the U.S.  The feasibility of this alternative, as well
as other potential  measures such as elimination of the cyanide
leach circuit, would require much more in depth evaluation by
Echo Bay and resource  agencies.

Mitigating Ecological  impacts

     Chapter X  addresses  options  for mitigating or off-setting
the loss of aquatic habitats  (wetlands and Sheep Creek)  that
would occur  if  the  tailings  impoundment was constructed  as
proposed.  Due  to the  findings of Chapter VIII, i.e., that risks
to wildlife  from  exposure  to heavy  metals would be high, the
creation of the impoundment  itself  is not considered to  in any
way offset the  loss of Sheep Creek  and the wetlands of  Sheep
Creek Valley.   These wetlands  are part of a diverse mosaic of
plant  communities that support a  diversity and  abundance of birds
and other  wildlife.  The  wetlands  and Sheep Creek  itself
contribute to  the overall aesthetic value of  the area which  is  a
popular hiking destination.

     Options  examined for off-setting the  loss  of  aquatic
habitats  include restoration of  Lemon Creek Valley,  enhancing
three  ponds  in the  Juneau area and performing certain habitat  and
recreational  improvements at the U.S.  Forest  Service Mendenhall
Glacier Visitor's Center.

     All  of  these options have serious limitations and  none  are
deemed capable of off-setting the unique values of Sheep Creek
and the wetlands of Sheep Creek Valley,  particularly the
 significant loss of high quality migratory bird habitat.
                                Vlll
 image: 








Conclusions

     Based on the findings of this report, EPA concludes that
there is a high potential for significant degradation of waters
of the U.S. both within Gastineau Channel and within the tailings
impoundment after closure, i.e., after it is no longer used for
treatment of wastewater and disposal of mine tailings.  The
specific major findings that lead to this conclusion are as
follows:

Finding #1:

     During operation, the wastewater discharge from the
     impoundment co-mingled with mine drainage is likely to
     exceed EPA's New  Source Performance  Standards  (end-of-pipe
     effluent limits)  for total suspended solids, copper and
     possibly mercury  (see Chapter VI)..

Finding #2:

     During operation, the wastewater discharge is  likely to
     cause widespread  exceedances  of state of Alaska water
     quality standards for cyanide, arsenic, copper and possibly
     mercury and  lead  (see Chapter VII);

Finding #3:

     After closure,  indigenous  wildlife  that would  likely  inhabit
     the tailings  impoundment would be  at substantial risk  due to
     contaminants  that would  likely persist  in the  impoundment.
     Water quality criteria would  likely be  exceeded  at high
     levels  in  the pore  water  (up  to  200 times the  acute
     criterion  for cyanide)  and water  column (2 times the  acute
     criterion  for copper);  sediment  concentrations would  exceed
     benchmark  comparison values (over 400  times  the  lowest
     effect  level for cyanide);  and wildlife are  likely to  be at
     substantial risk from their exposure to high levels of
     metals  in  their diets (exceeding draft Great Lakes criterion
     for mercury by over 200  times;  see Chapter VIII).

Finding #4:

     Unlike  the Kensington Mine project, reliable measures (e.g.,
     secondary  treatment of  the effluent, isolating the tailings)
     for reducing the anticipated water quality  impacts described
     above to  significantly lower levels do not  appear  to  be
      feasible.   Others,  such as eliminating the  cyanide  leaching
     process or using subaerial tailings deposition and
      conventional reclamation at an alternative  disposal  site,
     would require much more detailed analysis to determine
      feasibility as well as overall environmental impacts  (see
      Chapter IX).
                                 IX
 image: 








Finding #5;
     The loss of aquatic habitat  (Sheep Creek and associated
     wetlands) would be significant due to their contribution to
     the unique diversity and productivity within the Juneau
     area, particularly in terms  of migratory bird habitat and
     the aesthetic quality and recreational value of Sheep Creek
     valley.  Potential measures .identified to replace these
     values, including on-site and off-site measures,, do not
     appear either feasible or adequate to prevent a significant
     loss of aquatic resources (see Chapter X).
 image: 








I.    INTRODUCTION

     The Alaska Juneau  (A3) Gold Mine project is a proposal by
Echo Bay Alaska (Echo Bay) to reopen the historic AJ mine near
Juneau in southeast Alaska  (see figure 1).  The proposal entails
mining approximately 22,500 tons of ore per day and, after
crushing and grinding the ore, recovering gold through the froth
flotation and carbon-in-leach  (CIL; also referred to as cyanide
leach) processes.  After destruction of residual cyanide in the
CIL tailings using a sulfur dioxide/air process, the tailings
•would then be discharged in a slurry form to a tailings
impoundment that would  be constructed in the sheep Creek Valley.
Mine drainage water and process water, equivalent in volume to
the net precipitation  (after evaporation) over the impoundment,
would be discharged to  Gastineau Channel, approximately one mile
to the west of the tailings impoundment  (see Figure 2) .

     This report evaluates  short and long-term water quality
 impacts from the project as well as long-term ecological
 consequences.  Findings and recommendations have been  developed
 to assist the Alaska District  Corps of Engineers in determining
 whether the proposed project complies with the Clean Water Act
 (CWA) Section 404(to)(1) Guidelines.  A CWA Section 404 permit  is
 required to place  fill  for  construction  of the tailings
 impoundment which  is  intended  to  function as a wastewater
 treatment system.  These permits  are issued by the Corps of
 Engineers with the assistance  of  EPA.

      If permitted  under CWA section  404,  the  impoundment would
 not be considered  a  jurisdictional water of the  U.S.   As such,  a
 permit to discharge  process wastewater,  which  includes tailings,
 into  the  impoundment would not be required but  a CWA  section 402
 permit would  be  required for the discharge  from the  impoundment
 to Gastineau  Channel.   CWA section 402 permits  are  subject to  the
 provisions  of the  National Pollutant  Discharge  Elimination System
 (NPDES) administered by EPA.   The state  of Alaska  can require
 more  stringent  conditions if necessary to meet state water
 quality standards, in accordance with Section 401  of  the Clean
 Water Act.

      In summary,  this report addresses the  overall  question  of
 whether this  project can be constructed and  operated so  as to
 comply with certain  critical provisions of  both CWA sections 404
 and 402.  These two  permits are closely related.  The primary
 purpose  for the 404  permit, other than for permanent tailings
 disposal,  is  to construct a tailings impoundment wastewater
 treatment system that would ensure that discharges from the
 impoundment would meet the provisions of the CWA section 402
 permit.   Therefore a 404 permit should only be issued if it  can
 be demonstrated that there is reasonable assurance that the  402
 permit  provisions would be attained.
 image: 








                                             City and
                                             Borough of
                                             Juneau
  e
..«V4L	±
    L,
         City  and Borough
                           Figure 1
                                         Location Map
J
 image: 









2000    COO
                           7000 FCCT
                                             Figure 2
                                                    A-J Mine Project
                                                    Proposed Tailings Impoundment
                                                    Sheep Creek
                                                    Source: A-J Mine Project FEIS. BLM, 1992
 image: 








II.  SCOPE OF REPORT

     This report addresses impacts from the proposed discharge of
process wastes, both solid and liquid, from the AJ mine project.
These impacts are analyzed with respect to risks associated with
the potential release of contaminants into the aquatic
environment and with respect to losses of aquatic habitat
productivity  (e.g., wetlands) from direct physical disturbance.
A fundamental question which this report addresses is whether or
not there is a reasonable assurance that the impoundment would in
fact provide adequate treatment such that EPA's New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS; see 40 CFR 440.104) would be met at
the point of discharge to Gastineau Channel and that State of
Alaska water quality standards (WQS) would be met in the
receiving waters.  Chapter VI addresses this question, relying
heavily on water quality modeling analyses.  Chapter VII
addresses overall water quality impacts to Gastineau Channel..

     Another  fundamental question relates to whether there is
reasonable assurance that the proposed method for tailings
disposal and  long-term maintenance would prevent release of
contaminants  in harmful quantities.  Chapter VIII presents an
ecological risk assessment of post-operation conditions and
reviews studies of Canadian  lakes that have been used for
tailings disposal.

     In view  of the findings of the chapters VI, VII AND VIII,
the report addresses potential measures for mitigating or
reducing water quality impacts to significantly lower levels in
Chapter IX.

     A third  key question  is whether the significant impacts
caused by construction and operation of the tailings impoundment
can- be mitigated to the point that  overall impacts on aquatic
resources are acceptable.  Optional mitigation plans and
strategies are reviewed in Chapter  X.

     This report addresses the AJ mine project design reflected
in the CWA §404 permit application  and in the Final Environmental
Impact Statement prepared  by the Bureau of Land Management.  The
only significant project modification which  is  not considered  in
the 404 application  or FEIS  but which is addressed in this  report
is a proposal by  Echo Bay  to construct a diversion dam at the
headwaters of Sheep  Creek  Valley.   According to  Echo  Bay,  (EBA,
3/17/1994) this dam  would  allow diversion  of approximately  one-
third  of  the  flow on Sheep Creek  through a pipeline that would
float  on  the  surface of  the  reservoir and  then  discharge to lower
Sheep  Creek  (see  Appendix  E).

     The  information and analyses upon which this report  is
 largely  based were developed by  Echo Bay  and their consultants
and  the  Bureau of Land Management and their  third party
 image: 








contractor during the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS)
process.  Our analysis entailed a review of the Echo Bay
submittals and EIS findings for completeness and technical
validity, as well as a review of the available relevant technical
literature.   Much of the analysis is devoted to examining
reasonably foreseeable "worst case" situations that could arise
during the life  of the project.  Demonstrating that the project
would meet environmental standards during extreme conditions is
critical to determining whether there is reasonable assurance
that such standards can be met at all times.

     Additional  information provided by Echo Bay in response to
EPA concerns raised during the development of this report has
also been relied upon.  All of the above information is a part of
the administrative record and is available for review at EPA's
Region 10 Office in Seattle.
 image: 








III. POLICY BACKGROUND

     On October 2, 1992, EPA's Assistant Administrator for Water
wrote a memorandum to Region 10's Water Division Director
requesting that the Region provide technical assistance to the
Corps of Engineers with respect to pending CWA §404 permits for
the AJ and Kensington gold mine projects (see Appendix A).  The
EPA and the Corps of Engineers agreed, as reflected in this memo,
that if the impoundments created by the discharge of fill
material contemplated as part of the Kensington and AJ gold mine
projects are each permitted under an individual CWA §404 permit
for purposes of creating waste treatment systems, they would not
be considered waters of the U.S.  They would be considered non-
jurisdictional waste treatment systems which, by definition (see
40 CFR 122.2 in Appendix A), are not waters of the U.S.

     The October 2, 1992, memo reflects an agreement between EPA
and the Corps concerning the respective roles of CWA §402 and CWA
§404 permits for the mine tailings ponds at the AJ and Kensington
projects.  A CWA §402 permit, which EPA would issue, is a
wastewater discharge permit under EPA's National Pollutant
Discharge Elimination System  (NPDES) program.  It is required for
wastewater discharges from the tailings impoundments.  A CWA §404
permit, which the Corps would issue, is required to place fill
material  (the dams) to construct the tailings impoundments.
Under the agreement, the CWA §404 permit evaluation must address
the effects not only of placing fill for the dam but also the
effects of the entire impoundment,  including its use as a waste
treatment system, on waters of the  U.S.  Since the purpose of
creating the impoundment is to establish a waste treatment
system, EPA agreed to provide technical assistance to the Corps
with respect to water quality and mitigation as well as overall
compliance with the CWA §404(b)(1)  Guidelines.  This Technical
Assistance Report  (TAR) is part of  EPA's assistance in that
regard.

     The  §404(b)(l) Guidelines  (see Appendix A) promulgated by
EPA are the substantive regulations that must be satisfied before
a  §404 permit can be  issued.   In  accordance with current  Region
10 policy, the Region will  consider the  following  factors with
respect to compliance with  the  §404(b)(l) Guidelines:

      1)   The proposed  treatment  system  is determined  by the
          Corps  of  Engineers  and  EPA  to  be the  least
          environmentally damaging practicable  alternative for
          meeting the applicant's project purpose  of treating
          wastewater  in order to  meet all applicable federal,
          state  and local wastewater  discharge  limits  [see 40  CFR
          230.10 (a)];

      2)   The  proposed  project does not  cause or contribute  to
           any  violations of state water  quality standards
 image: 








     (excluding discharges into the impoundment) and other
     provisions of 40 CFR 230.10(b);

3)    The project would not cause or contribute to
     significant degradation of waters of the U.S.,
     including waters located off-site [see 230.10(c)];

4)    All appropriate and practicable measures will be taken
     to minimize impacts to waters of the U.S., [see 40 CFR
     230.10(d)], including:

     a)   contact between wastewater discharges and waters
          of  the U.S. is minimized to the extent practicable
          through the application of best management
          practices  (BMP's) such as diverting  in-flowing
          streams and surface runoff around the impoundment,
          installing impermeable liners as appropriate,
          etc. ;

     b)   all practicable measures will be taken to minimize
          the amount and toxicity of pollutants entering the
          waste treatment system.  No hazardous materials,
          as  defined at 40  CFR  261.3, may be discharged to
          the treatment system;

     c)   any unavoidable  impacts  to  functions ami values of
          waters of  the U.S.,  including wetlands,  resulting
          from construction and operation,  are offset  to the
          extent practicable through  compensatory  mitigation
          measures;

 5)   It can be demonstrated that,  upon cessation of  active
     use of the treatment system for  treatment of  the
     wastewater stream specified in the original CWA §404
     permit application,  measures will be taken to either:

      a)   convert the treatment system to an ecologically
           productive upland that poses no significant threat
           to human health or the environment in general or

      b)   the treatment system will be converted to a water
           of the U.S.  that meets all Clean Water Act goals
           for fishable and swimmable waters as well as
           applicable state water quality standards within a
           reasonable time frame after cessation of treatment
           activities;

 6)   The individual CWA §404 permit for the project can be
      issued  with specific enforceable permit  conditions that
      provide assurances that the above1 criteria will be met.
 image: 








IV.       PROJECT DESCRIPTION

A^   Mine Location and Processing Operations

     The proposed AJ Mine project is located in southeast Alaska
on the east side of Gastineau Channel about four miles south of
downtown Juneau, and directly adjacent to the mouth of Sheep
Creek at Thane.  The proposed project is located entirely within
the boundaries of the City and Borough of Juneau (CBJ) .  The
orebody is situated under Mt. Roberts and the Silverbow Basin,
and existing underground workings extend between Gold Creek and
Sheep Creek.

     The following description of the mine processing operations
is summarized from the AJ Mine Project Final Environmental Impact
Statement  [FEIS, Bureau of Land Management  (BLM),.May 1992], and
the Echo Bay AJ Project Description, Clarification for ACMP Phase
I Review,  Echo Bay Alaska, Inc., May, 1993.  The latter reference
identifies alterations to the proposed project stemming from the
ongoing project permit reviews subsequent to issuance of the
FEIS.  The proposed development entails rehabilitation and
expansion  of the existing underground mine workings, and
utilization of a mining method know as stoping, which would
create large rectangular caverns.   A 14,000 foot adit  (the
Bradley adit) would be constructed  between the ore body and
surface facilities proposed  to be constructed at a 14.7 acre site
along Gastineau Channel, near Thane.  The gold ore would be
initially  processed by crushing, grinding, gravity separation,
and flotation  in  an underground mill off the Bradley  adit.  Final
processing of  the gold concentrate  would occur at the surface
facilities.

     Three separate underground ramps are proposed to be
constructed off the existing Sheep  Creek adit to emerge at the
surface upslope of the  Sheep Creek  adit at  the ultimate high
water line of  each of the  three  dam raises.  These ramps would
accommodate the transport  of waste  rock and tailings  to Sheep
Creek valley.

     The  surface  facilities  would consist  of  a  process plant  for
leaching,  cyanide destruction,  and  refining,  an  assay laboratory,
liquid petroleum  gas  storage and generation facilities,
electrical substation,  offices,  warehouse,  dock,  diesel fuel
storage,  sedimentation ponds,  diked reagent storage,  and related
facilities.   Approximately 12.7 acres of  intertidal  fill would  be
required to construct the surface facilities at a location
previously used for tailings disposal prior to 1944.

      Four streams would be produced by the gold milling process:
gravity  concentrate,  flotation concentrate, flotation tailings,
 and carbon-in-leach (CIL)  circuit tailings.  Approximately  90
percent  of the tailings, or 20,250 tons daily,  would be  produced
 image: 








as a by-product of the  flotation process.  The remaining 10
percent, about 2,250  tons daily, would be the by-product of both
flotation and cyanidation.   The CIL circuit dissolves gold in a
weak solution of  sodium cyanide in association with activated
carbon granules.  Tailings  from the CIL circuit would be treated
using a sulfur dioxide/air  cyanide destruction process.  End
residual products from  the  mill processes would include flotation
tailings slurry,  and  CIL circuit tailings slurry.

B.   Proposed Tailings  Disposal Plan

     Tailings slurry  would  be pumped  from the flotation thickener
and cyanide  destruction facility to the Sheep Creek valley for
disposal in  the  proposed tailings  impoundment.

     The tailings impoundment would entail construction of a
concrete dam across  the Sheep Creek narrows  (see  Figure 2).  .The
initial dam  crest height would be  205 feet,  at an elevation of
805 feet.  Two  additional  dam raises  (Stages 2 and 3) would be
constructed  during tailings disposal  operations so that the
ultimate crest  height of the dam would be  332 feet, at an
elevation  of 932 feet.   When mine  operations start, the water
depth would  be  from 80 to  100 feet at the  dam.  The impoundment
would be designed to store 100 million tons  of tailings with a
minimum of 20  feet and a maximum of  30 feet  of water maintained
above the  tailings (see Table 1).
 Table l
                            SHEEP CREEK
                     TAILINGS FACILITY SUMMARY
               FEATURE
           Dam foundation elevation
           Dam final elevation
           Dam height:
           first stage
           second stage
           third stage
           Downstream slope
           Capacity

           Final crest length
           Impoundment surface area
           Hydroelectric potential
           Embankment volume
           Estimated Construction
             cost
SIZE
600 feet
932 feet

205 feet (elevation 805)
276 feet (elevation 876)
332 feet (elevation 932)
0.75 - 1.00
100 million tons
(150+ million potential)
900 foot radius
420 acres
4.9 Megawatts
500,000 cubic yards

$48.4 million
 Source: FEIS  (BLM,  1992)

      It would take  from six  to  nine  months, or longer, for the
 reservoir water  to  reach the initial dam outlet elevation.  After
 image: 








that, the water would be kept near that level, within a range of
plus or minus 10 feet.  Minimum freeboard for the first two dam
heights would be for a 20-year/24-hour storm event, and would be
10 feet for Stage l and 7 feet for Stage 2.  At final operation,
a minimum freeboard of 3 feet would be maintained (during the 10-
year/ 24 -hour storm event).

     Plans for installing a hydro-electric generator, utilizing a
48 inch conduit from the dam impoundment, have been suspended.
If used for hydroelectric power generation, the regulated
impoundment storage would range from plus to minus 10 feet of
minimum freeboard, but would approach the minimum near the end of
mining operations.  Floods greater than the 10-year/24-hour event
would be discharged partially through the outlet and partially
over the emergency overflow spillway.  Excessive spillway flow
energies would be structurally dissipated.

     During dam construction, erosion, and sedimentation control
measures would be used to maintain ambient Sheep Creek water
quality.  A sedimentation basin, along with other control
facilities, would be constructed in the dam site area.  Laydown
areas would be constructed, as would a concrete batch plant for
dam construction.  Aggregate rock would be obtained from crushed
waste rock or native talus slopes.

     During operations, mill tailings would be deposited in the
impoundment by a floating pipeline connected to either of two
barges equipped with "elephant trunk" disposal lines.  This type
of line would place tailings at the bottom of the water column in
order to minimize turbidity.  The barges would be movable to
allow placement of tailings throughout the impoundment.
Provisions would be made to enable continued tailings disposal
during the winter ice conditions.

     A seepage return dam would be constructed about 150 feet
downstream from the base of the main dam.  The floor of the
seepage return basin would be a slab of reinforced concrete which
would be an integral part of the spillway  of the primary dam.
The  seepage return dam would collect any water that seeps through
the  main dam or along its foundation.  No  tailings would be
discharged within the seepage return basin.  Monitoring wells
would be constructed downstream of the seepage return dam to
indicate if any seepage  is occurring downstream of the seepage
return dam.

     During dam construction,  Sheep  Creek  would be diverted
through a pipe around the construction site.  During operations,
Sheep Creek stream  flows would  enter  the  impoundment, with the
exception of the  upper  Sheep Creek flow  that  would be diverted
via  a proposed diversion dam.   Diverted  water, estimated at one-
third the flow of  Sheep Creek  as measured  at  the narrows, would
flow through a  floating pipeline that would then discharge

                                10
 image: 








directly to lower Sheep Creek.  This diversion has been proposed
to address concerns of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game
regarding minimum fish flows in lower Sheep Creek where the DIPAC
fish hatchery is located.  The remainder of the Sheep Creek flow,
which would constitute the net precipitation over the
impoundment's catchment area, would be discharged to Gastineau
Channel along with mine drainage via a.pipeline and diffuser
placed at depth.  The discharge would need to meet effluent
limits imposed  in the required NPDES wastewater discharge permit.

     If the hydroelectric facility was eventually constructed,
flows would terminate at a 49 megawatt (MW) hydroelectric
generating facility.  Excess penstock flows  (above the 100 cubic
feet per second hydraulic capacity of the turbine) would be
routed to a flow bypass facility with energy dissipators.  The
total combined  flow of excess tailings impoundment water would
then be discharged via a tailrace and diffuser to the marine
waters of Gastineau Channel.  This discharge would also be
subject to issuance of the National Pollutant Discharge
Elimination System  (NPDES) permit for the facility by the
Environmental Protection Agency  (EPA).

£_..  Other Tailings Disposal  Options Considered

     Tailings disposal  alternatives were addressed in the  FEIS  as
components of the  overall  project alternatives.   The alternatives
were compared and  evaluated  on  the basis of  technical or
engineering feasibility,  environmental  impact,  legality,and
economics.  Alternatives related to the  disposal  of tailings
which were  initially  considered but,  based  on the above  factors,
determined to be unreasonable for the  purposes of more detailed
evaluations  in  the FEIS,  included:   alternative ore extraction
and cyanide destruction methods,  transporting concentrate to  an
existing mill,  marine disposal of tailings,  backfilling  of mine
excavations with tailings,  separate treatment and disposal of
cyanide-treated tailings,  dry tailings disposal,  tailings
disposal at multiple upland sites,  tailings disposal  in  the
 Carlson Creek valley, or in the Grindstone Creek valley,  and a
 Sheep Creek hydroelectric project with another tailings
 impoundment site.

      Alternative tailings disposal impoundment locations, in
 addition to the Sheep Creek location,  which were evaluated in the
 FEIS included  Powerline Gulch (also referred to as Icy Gulch),
 Sheep Fork Carlson Creek, and Rhine Creek.  The no-action
 alternative was evaluated as no project, baseline conditions.
 The preferred  alternative identified by the BLM in the draft Eis
 and FEIS, on the basis of the evaluation criteria, was the
 applicant's proposed action, which includes construction of a
 failings impoundment in Sheep Creek valley.  Additional analysis
 of tailings disposal options is included in Chapter IX.
                                 11
 image: 








V.   AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT

A,_   Introduction

     The affected environment of the AJ Mine project encompasses
the greater Juneau area.  This report, however, focuses on the
impacts of the mine associated with the discharge of process
wastewater.  This waste stream includes the tailings slurry
discharge to the proposed Sheep Creek tailings impoundment and
the effluent discharge from the impoundment which would be
comingled with mine drainage water.  Therefore the affected
environment considered here is Sheep Creek valley and Gastineau
Channel.  A more detailed description of the affected environment
is contained in the Final Environmental Impact Statement  (FEIS;
BLM, 1992).

     The Sheep Creek tailings disposal option of the AJ gold mine
would fill 420 acres of Sheep Creek valley.  Waters that would be
eliminated in association with the proposed fill are 2.5 miles of
Sheep Creek above the tailings dam and 8.1 acres of associated
wetlands, for a total of 20.1 acres of aquatic habitat.   The flow
of water in 1.1 additional miles of Sheep Creek downstream of the
impoundment would be significantly reduced.  Marine fill  would
consist of 14.7 acres extending from the shoreline of Gastineau
Channel to the -30 foot contour.

     The climate of the Sheep Creek area is that of the cool
northern temperate rainforest.  The nearest source of climatic
information is the weather station  in downtown Juneau.  Annual
precipitation is 90 inches at downtown Juneau.  Normal monthly
temperatures range from 28 degrees  Fahrenheit  in January  to  57
degrees Fahrenheit in July  (BLM,  1992).  Much  of the
precipitation falls as snow.  The weather station averages 80
inches of  snow annually  (BLM, 1992).  Average  monthly flows  in
Sheep Creek, Gold Creek and  Lawson  Creek are shown in Table  2.

     Human uses  of  lands  in  the  area  near the  Sheep Creek
watershed  and Gastineau  Channel  include the  urban and industrial
centers of nearby Juneau.  Residential dwellings dot the  shore  of
Gastineau  Channel.  The  Thane, road  parallels the shore  of
Gastineau  Channel and  crosses  Sheep Creek  at its mouth.   A fish
hatchery  is  located  at the mouth of Sheep  creek.  The mouth  of.
Sheep  Creek  is  an  important  recreational  and personal use fishing
site for the population of Juneau,  in part due to the hatchery.
The AJ mine was a major land user during  operation until  1944,
when it was  closed  due to conflicting national priorities during
war time.   The "rock dump,"  on which is  located the  Juneau sewage
treatment  plant and other industrial activities,  is  a  product of
 the AJ Mine.   A portion of Sheep Creek valley is now used as a
 staging area for exploration of the AJ ore body.   Sheep Creek
 valley is  also used by local residents for nature study,  hiking
 and for its aesthetic beauty.

                                 12
 image: 








Table 2:  Average Monthly  Flow  (cubic  feet/sec)
Month
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Gold Creek
1918-1982
Drainage Area:
9.76 mi2
22.6
16.9
12.3
29.0
124.4
.225.0
222.6
190.6
178.9
161.2
77.5
35.8
Sheep Creek
1919-1973
Drainage Area:
4.30 mi2
11.8
6.1
4.7
12.8
69.3
99.9
82.4
72.3
7-1.1
71.7
54.7
16.4
Lawson Creek
1970-1971
Drainage Area:
2.98 mi2
3.8
7.2
6.0
13.7
48.7
46.2
26.8
16.4
25.0
20.8
18.0
5.2
 Source:  Comprehensive Report (EBA, 1992)
                                 13
 image: 








     Mammals of the immediate area include black bear, mountain '
goat, Sitka black-tailed deer, beaver, marten, river otter, mink,
ermine, and other mustelids, lynx, red fox, hoary marmot,
porcupine and other small mammals (U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, 1991).  There are 131 species of birds in the project
area.  Among these are bald and golden eagles, more than a dozen
species of neotropical migratory song birds and several species
of shore birds  (Wilson and Comet, 1991).

     Migratory peregrine falcons are the only terrestrial species
listed under the Endangered Species Act, known to occur in Sheep
CreekvValley, though a rare alpine sedge (Carex plactocarpus) is
known from nearby Mount Roberts.  The marbled murrlet is a sea
bird thought to occur in Sheep Creek valley (its presence has not
been documented).  The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service was
petitioned to list the marbled murrlet but determined that it was
premature to list the bird in Alaska.  The ranges of two marine
mammals include Gastineau Channel; Humpback whales, listed as
endangered, and the Stellars sea lion, listed as threatened.  It
should be noted that the Southeast Alaska population of Stellar's
sea  lion is not considered at risk  (BLM, 1992).

B.   Sheep Creek Valley

     Sheep Creek drains 5.9 square miles of mountainous terrain
adjacent to and south of the underground workings of the AJ mine.
The  valley can  be conceptually divided into two sections.  The
upper portion is a "U" shaped valley approximately 2.3 miles
long.  Valley slope is 2%.  The valley floor has an area of about
540  acres.  At  the downstream end of this section the valley
narrows and drops 600 feet to sea level over a distance of 1.1
miles.

     Valley bottom vegetation is a mosaic of riparian and wetland
vegetation types, all the result of the pattern in which water
flows through the valley.  This mosaic provides a diverse habitat
that is unique  for the Juneau area.  Vegetation consists of
coniferous forest, deciduous forest, shrub wetland, tall shrub,
wet  meadow and  upland meadow.  The deciduous forest is composed
primarily of mature cottonwood trees which are dependent on  the
shallow ground  water in the valley bottom.  Such stands are
uncommon in the greater Juneau area.  Rough estimates suggest
that Sheep Creek valley contains  25% of the total area of this
type of plant community between Taku Inlet and Berners Bay  (BLM,
1992).  The FEIS describes  Sheep  Creek valley as having more
species diversity than any  other  site  accessible on the Juneau
road system.

     The richness in vegetative  habitats supports an  unusually
diverse avifauna.  Song bird populations have been found to  be
"locally diverse and abundant"  (Wilson  and Comet, 1991).   Sheep
Creek  valley  had five times the  song  bird  nest density and  over

                                14
 image: 








323% more successful  nests  than  a  nearby site with similar
vegetation  (Comet and Wilson,  1994).  Habitats on the valley-
walls adjacent to the valley  floor have notably fewer songbirds
(Wilson and Comet,  1993).   Many  of the song bird species found in
Sheep Creek valley  are  of special  interest.  Five species whose
abundance is thought  to be  in decline in Alaska breed in the
valley.  These are  the  fox  sparrow, orange crowned warbler
blackpoll warbler,  American robin, and varied thrush (Wilson and
Comet, 1991).  Eight  other  species found in the valley may be
increasing in abundance.  Fifteen  of the 42 species of birds
documented during formal censusing are of interest to the
national program on neotropical  birds (Wilson and Comet, 1991).
One additional bird,  the marbled murrlet, whose use of the valley
has not been documented, is of concern because of population
declines along the  west coast of North America.

     Aquatic resources  of the upper portion of Sheep Creek
include a local population  of Dolly Vardon char.  This population
is isolated from immigration  from  other char populations by
barriers to fish migration  in the  lower reach of Sheep Creek.

     The lower 1.1  miles of the  stream flows through a sequence
of cascades and falls to tidewater at Gastineau Channel 3.5 miles
south of downtown Juneau.   A Douglas Island Pink and Chum
(DIPAC) hatchery is located at the mouth of Sheep Creek.  The
hatchery produces pink  and  chum  salmon for the recreation and
commercial fisheries  of the area.  Before merging with Gastineau
Channel, Sheep Creek  crosses.an  alluvial fan formed by sediments
carried by stream action from Sheep Creek valley above.  Pink and
chum salmon spawn in  the Sheep Creek upstream as far as an
impassible waterfall  440 feet above tidewater (BLM, 1992).

C.   Gastineau Channel

     Gastineau Channel  is a north-south oriented channel
separating Douglas  Island from the mainland.  The shoreline for
approximately 10 miles  between Stephens Passage and Juneau is
largely steep sided and rocky.   Sediments from Mendenhall Glacier
have filled much of the channel  to the north of downtown Juneau,
so that a tidal channel exists in  this area.

     According to studies of  nearby Auk Bay, much of the
productivity of Gastineau Channel  is likely tied to phytoplankton
blooms that occur as  environmental factors, such as day length,
water temperature and nutrient levels, become more favorable in
the spring.  These  primary  producers support zooplankton which in
turn support fisheries  of commercial importance.  The zooplankton
also includes larval  fish which  may also be of commercial and
ecological significance (BLM,  1992).  At least 24 larval fish
species have been collected in Auk Bay (BLM, 1992).  Gastineau
Channel is likely to  contain  similar numbers.
                                15
 image: 








     Planktonic productivity typically exceeds grazing rates of
zooplankton, allowing much of the fixed carbon to settle to the
bottom, feeding the benthic community (BLM, 1992).  Forty species
of demersal fish, shellfish and other invertebrates have been
reported from Gastineau Channel.  Included among these are
commercially important crab species.  The commercial crab fishery
was closed in 1978 but a popular personal use fishery continues
(BLM, 1992) .

     Intertidal and subtidal flora and fauna of Gastineau Channel
is typical of protected shorelines of southeast Alaska.  A
mussel-barnacle-rockweed (Mytilus-Balanus-Fucus) assemblage is
found on upper to mid-intertidal zones.  Near the Sheep Creek
delta the substrate can be covered by up to 100% mussels.  Green
sea urchin  (Strongylocentrotus droJbachiensis), and several sea
star species were observed in this area during surveys associated
with this mine project  (BLM, 1992) .

     Much of the shore adjacent to the City of Juneau is composed
of tailings deposited during previous mining of  the AJ Mine.
Surveys of these areas found reduced numbers of  epifaunal and
infaunal organisms compared to  locations that were not composed
of tailings  (BLM, 1992).
                                 16
 image: 








VI.  EVALUATION OF  PROJECTED TAILINGS POND PERFORMANCE

A.   Introduction

     Echo Bay has proposed  the  tailings  impoundment as the sole
method of wastewater  treatment  for  the AJ project.  The
impoundment would be  operated to allow for the settling of solids
that are delivered  to the pond  in the tailings slurry and surface
runoff.  At the AJ  project,  the tailings slurry would be
comprised of approximately  55%  solids by weight.  This equates to
938,000 mg/1 of total suspended solids  (TSS) when the slurry  is
introduced to the tailings  pond. EPA's  New  source Performance
Standards  (NSPS) that apply to  gold mining projects like AJ limit
TSS in the discharge  from the  impoundment to a monthly average of
20 mg/1 and a daily maximum of  30 mg/1.  Therefore, the tailings
pond would need to  be capable  of removing over 99.99% of the
solids.

     NSPS  are minimum, technology-based  effluent  limits that
apply to a single  industrial category  of "new  source" wastewater
dischargers.  These limits  must be  met  at the  point of discharge
 (end-of-pipe).  More  stringent effluent  limits may be imposed on
a case-by-case  basis  if necessary to meet WQS.   In theory, by
meeting the TSS  limits, NSPS effluent  limits for  metals would be
met as well,  since  metals  tend to be adsorbed  on  to the surface
of suspended  particles.  However, this  may  not be sufficient
metals removal  for  meeting water quality standards  (WQS).   Some
natural degradation of cyanide may occur during  summer months but
for this  analysis  it is assumed that all cyanide destruction
would  take place  prior to discharge to the  impoundment.

      Predictions  of the origin  and fate of  materials  entering the
 impoundment are critical for determining compliance with  NPDES
 requirements  and the risk of long term contamination.   As shown
 in Figure 3,  results of the impoundment analysis are  subsequently
 used  in  evaluations of end-of-pipe performance standards,  water
 quality  impacts to Gastineau Channel,  and the risk of long term
 contamination in the reservoir  following cessation of mining
 activity.

      The following major features  of the impoundment  system would
 affect its performance in removing pollutants:

           Quality  and  quantity  of  tailings  influent (slurry)  from
           the froth  flotation  and  cyanide leach circuits;

           Quality  and quantity  of  runoff from the undiverted
           catchment  area;

           Settling efficiency  of the tailings impoundment' under
           low flow,  average flow and high flow conditions;


                                  17
 image: 








       Chapter VI
Impoundment Water Quality
        Model
     Chapter VII
Gastineau Channel Model
                                           Chapter VI
                                      Impoundment Water Quality
                                      Model (Post Operation)
                                                                                Chapter VI	

                                                                           Technology Evaluation
                                                                           - New Source Performance
                                                                            Standards
     Chapter VII
Water Quality Evaluation
- Gastineau Channel
                                           Chapter VIII
                                    Ecological Risk Evaluation
                                     - Sheep Creek Reservoir
                        Rgure 3:   Modeling and Assessment Linkages
 image: 








          Size .of the tailings pond and diversion structures in •
          relation to anticipated high flows;

          Vulnerability of the impoundment to natural hazards
          such as avalanches, landslides and earthquakes.

     There are two basic approaches for projections of
impoundment performance.  The first is to consider all of the
inputs (influent) and outputs (effluent) to and from the tailings
pond, respectively, and then, using water quality modeling,
analyze the pond's effectiveness  in terms of removing pollutants
and thus estimate the projected composition of the effluent.
This approach, using a simplistic model, was used during the EIS
process to project the quality of the effluent.  Our review
entailed more sophisticated  water quality modeling using the
WASP4 and CE-Qual-W2 water quality models.

     The second  approach  is  to compare  the AJ project to other
mining operations  that employ the same  or similar technology.
The  reliability  of this empirical approach hinges on the direct
comparability between the AJ project  and the other mines that  are
examined.

     The next two  sections  of  this  chapter present brief
overviews  of the NPDES  requirements for this project and the FEIS
evaluation of the  impoundment.   The subsequent  sections  present
EPA's  analysis  and projections of impoundment performance.

B^_  NPDES Requirements

     An NPDES  permit is required for the point  source  discharge
 from the tailings  impoundment.   Two sets of requirements^must  be
 met by the discharge from the proposed AJ impoundment.   First,
 the discharge must meet the national New Source Performance
 Standards at the point of discharge from the impoundment (end-of-
 pipe)    These limitations on metals, cyanide and suspended solids
 apply to all mining facilities using the froth flotation and
 cvanidation processes proposed for use at the AJ project (40 CFR
 III 104(a° Subpart J).  A comparison of the predicted discharge^
 quality with these end-of-pipe limitations is provided in section
 I of this chapter.

      The second set of NPDES requirements are the Alaska water
 quality standards for Gastineau  Channel.  Discharges from the AJ
 project must meet numeric water  quality criteria for the
 nrotection of beneficial uses in Gastineau  Channel.
 ?neci?icallv  the criteria  are established  to protect against
 SxiciS io^qualic  life from exposure to pollutants in the water
 column and effects to human health from consumption of
 contaminated fish and  shellfish.  These criteria must be met
 SithS £  the  end-of-pipe  or  after dilution in  a mixing zone
 designated by  ?he sta?eof  Alaska.   An evaluation of the
                                  19
 image: 








 predicted discharge quality with respect to the water quality
 standards for Gastineau Channel is provided in Chapter VII  of
 this  report.

 C_-_   Review of the FEIS Water Quality Model

      Water quality analyses of the proposed tailings pond,  as
 described in the FEIS and errata to the FEIS (Tileston, 1992) ,
 provided a limited examination of the metals concentrations in
 the tailings pond using estimates from the literature and results
 of laboratory tests.  Based on these initial estimates, the FEIS
 for this project predicted that "Suspended solids (TSS) content
 is likely to be at least 70 mg/1 near the discharge, and may be
 as much as 220 mg/1 throughout the entire impoundment."  These
-values exceed the levels required by EPA's NSPS for mine tailings
 ponds.  However, the methodology used in the FEIS to estimate
 levels of TSS and important chemical constituents in the proposed
 tailings pond was based on static, rather than dynamic
 conditions.  In addition, the methods used in the FEIS to
 -estimate the recovery time of the tailings pond after mining
 ceases gave results substantially different from recovery times
 based on average residence time of the tailings pond.

      Due to the limited scope of the analysis performed in the
 FEIS, and results indicating that NSPS effluent limits for TSS
 would not be met, EPA Region 10 concluded that a more  thorough
 analysis of water quality should be performed for purposes of the
 TAR.  The approach used in the analysis described in this report
 represents an effort to clarify issues of mass balance as well as
 to expand the scope of the analysis to include issues  of time
 dependence;  sediment accumulation rates;  inputs of  kinetic energy
 from discharges, and winds.  Characterizing the influent to  the
 pond, discussed in  the following  section,  is  a critical first
 step  in  the  analysis.

 D^    characteristics of Process  Influent  to the Tailings Pond.

      Water quality  predictions for  the  tailings pond and
 discharge  are based in part on estimates  of the chemical
 composition  of  process materials that flow into the pond  from the
 mill.  A reevaluation  of  the approach,  sources of  data,  and
 results  of  influent estimates provided in the FEIS and subsequent
 FEIS  errata  tables (Tileston,  1992)  is provided here,  along  with
 improved estimates used for subsequent water  quality modeling.

       1.  FEIS Approach

       Estimates  in the  FEIS for the chemical composition of
 tailings pond influent from Echo Bay minerals processing were
 based on a variety of  methods involving site specific field and
  lab data as well as assumed operating conditions.   The FEIS
 Approach" uLs what are termed "probable threshold" and "upper
                                  20
 image: 








reasonable threshold" values for projected quality of process
effluent (BLM, 1992, Table 4-8) which becomes the influent to the
tailings pond.

     Probable threshold is defined in the FEIS  (Table 4-8; BLM,
1992)  as the average water concentration resulting from
dissimilar lab tests, including the following:

1.   The sum of flow-weighted values from separate decant tests
     of flotation and cyanide-destruct  (CIL) tailings.  The FEIS
     notes that the- values used from the decant tests are the
     maximum measured from four samples of water collected during
     a 99-day settling period.  The flow weighting used in the
     FEIS assumes a proportion of about 23% of CIL process water,
     based on the water balance shown in the FEIS (Table 4-8 and
     Figure 2-17; BLM, 1992).

2.   Maximum values from a decant test of combined flotation and
     CIL tailings.  The mix used in the combined tailings
     contained 10% wet-weight  (w/w) CIL tails.  This test also
     provided samples at four settling times spanning 99 days.

3.   Maximum values of weekly samples drawn during column leach
     tests conducted on combined flotation and  CIL tailings.  The
     leachant was Sheep Creek water.  The proportion of CIL
     tailings was 10% w/w.  The column tests spanned 105-140
     days.

4.   The FEIS limited the probable threshold values for some
     constituents based on the results of either a total
     digestion or slurry extract of combined tailings.

     Upper reasonable threshold is defined in the FEIS  (Table 4-
8) as the maximum rather than the average of. all of the values
noted above, but not exceeding the results from the total
digestion or slurry extract of tailings.  Table 3 lists a summary
of the types of lab tests that provide data useful for estimating
contaminant concentrations in the tailings influent to the pond,
as well as the risk of long-term contamination  addressed  in
Section VIII-N.  Table 4 lists information on the source  and
timing of lab tests, and Tables B-l and B-2  in  Appendix B provide
a compilation of decant, column, digest and  slurry results for
tailings.


     2_._ Validity of the FEIS Approach

     Examination of available  lab data  for purposes of this
report indicates that the FEIS approach probably yields neither
most probable nor upper bound  values for  some of the more
important constituents  in the  tailings  pond  influent.  An initial
concern was that FEIS values presented  for  digested tailings

                                21
 image: 








Table 3.  Type* of Test Data Available for the A-J Project to nrfnm« die Composition of Tailing*, Tailings Pore Water, Tailings Leacbate,
and Acid Generation Potential -

Concentrations in Tailings Water

Decani Test
          Concentration of metals, cyanide, and other nonmetals in supernatant measured at 2-hour, 7-day, 30-day, and 99-day intervals.
          Material tested
                    Flotation Tailings
                    CO. Tailings
                    Physically Combined Tailings (10% w/w CO. tailings)

Concentrations in Tailings Solids

Digestion Analysis
          Concentration of metals in solid fraction of tailing*
          Material tested
                    Physically Combined Tailing* (10% w/w COL tailings)

Slurry Extraction Analysis
          Concentration of cyanide and non-metals in extract of stony of tailing* and water (Note-conditions of thi* test are unknown)
          Material tested
                    Physically Combined Tailing* (10% w/w CIL tailings)

 Ore analyses  (indirect tmimf'f of tailing* Maiming similarity)
           Concentration of metals and sulfur in solid fraction of tailings
           Material tested
                     Bulk sample of ore
                     Core samples of ore
                     Grab samples of ore

 Concentrations in Tailings Leaehate

 Column Leach Tests
           Concentration of metals, cyanide, and other non-metals at periodic intervals over 12-20 weeks.
           Material tested
                     Physically Combined Tailings (10% CO. toiling*)

 Batch Leach Testa                                                                                                    	 .
           EFTox (Extraction Procedure Toxkiry) - Concentration of metals in 48-hour tumbling container. Previously used for comparison
           wiih criteria for himmlou* wute drpgnalion
           TCLPfToxkity Criteria U«^ Procedure)-Oaweitotion of mettUm 4^^                   Used for comparison
           with criteria for hazardous waste designation
           Material tested
                     Physically Combined Tailings (10% CO. tailings)



  Acid Generation Potential Testj

  Acid-Ba*e Accounting (ABA) Test
           Concentration of oxidizing component* (sulfiir) and ijeuttmBziiig cwi^wnentt (Utrattble reactaats)
           Material tested
                      Waste rock
                      On
                      Flotation Tailings
                      CO. Tailings
                      Physically Combined Tailings (10% w/w CIL tailings)


  BC Confirmation Column test
            pH trend in acidified, bacteria-inoculated sample
            Material tested
                      Flotation Tailings
                      CIL Tailings
 image: 








AJCOMPI XIS
M«»rlrf
Hock IBionipla*
WMI* lock nockpU* • 6 stvnplet

Oit • bulk tiwnjjla
Ttvllna* - comtko <b*cnd)
On • bulk »ampl« (1441)
lallngi - Flot/CND/comtK>(12*>
T*tllnfl» dccwit i«Bldut? CN/CND
Taillno* d«c«nt inldtM
Tailing.* dacant ia»tdtM
Oi» • 6 channel »mplM
Wa*u tocfc • 34 sOTiplM
W*»i« tocfc • 63 Mmplm

Oi« • 36 >MnplM
Ol« • 101 CIO*KUl MTTIfrfM
Ol* • 102 CO(« Mmple*
Oi* • 63 ctottcut ••inplM


Souic*
NOB-SOB GH other

unknown
NOB-SOB
unknown
NOB |* AT, 43B7SX)
NOBI'AJ*. 4387SX)
NOB TAJ*. 43B7SX)
NOB ('AT, 43B7SX)
NOB CAJ-, 4387SX)
MOBrAJ-,43B7S«
NOB I43B7SX)
NOB-lo«d
NOB-SOB

NOB SOB
NOB SOB
NOBSOB
NOB SOB


NOB • nonh oi« body; SOB • »outh 01* body.
Sampled
/87

unknown
6/686/69

e/es
e/68
e/ee
8/88
9/88
»/ee
treat
3/04
6/«4r

3/84
6/M
1
r



MIDad


7/88J
6/89?

7/80














Meiii
/asr
E/88
/Q8f



71807


Dl?
flSl






6/14



Sulluf
mlslJnB
6/88
/887

6/8B)
/887

7/60r



Set
4/84
6/64 .

3/»4
6/84
6/84





ABA
6/ie




11/80



4/84
6/84

3/84
6/84
6/84





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7AKMO/90














Conllrm






11/80













CN







<r*£*sa —












FKtIKt







3IJ












Cofunm



e/a»


3/81-7/81













IITOX




















TCLP




















R«l*i6nc«
Etoto.ll torn |
Oil (1089).

on (1888)
L*elMd He
Oil H889)

1884.)

M«c<i(18e
Bttantom t

IOB4b). EBA

8.1
18846). (B/

.(1884.)


(1084.)
Lekelleld RiMudi (1B80) «id Andr«w> (18811
IdulleMRMMidiliea
Baigvtfom (1804b)
9<ig«ionil1884li)
Andiowi (1 881); Jokite
)), Andiawa
(19811. mi
bidimn 118811 «nd FEIS (1883)
Fitdeitc*«oo
BA|I»04.
"~1 	
(1882). (I

:BA(1884>)
I
:BA(1884«)
BA(I8B4«)
3A(iee*«)
8A|1884b)








1(18844)











SSI 	 1
1881), •«!
ftIS (1882



















toiflrtTOm \












^-^™^^-^™«






B84bl
— 	



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 image: 








seemed unrealistically low.  The impact was that these values
were subsequently used as an upper bound for some of the FEIS-
predicted constituents in the process effluent.  After completion
of the FEIS, an updated Table 8 which adjusted the digested
tailings values upward was provided by the FEIS contractor
(Tileston, 1992).  The updated values are listed here in Table 5
under the heading FEIS.

     Comparison of the updated FEIS Table 4.-8 values with
laboratory reports upon which they were based indicates that for
several constituents the maximum decant values measured in the
lab tests were not used for effluent quality projections in all
cases.  The discrepancy appears to result, at least in part, from
use of total analytical values in the FEIS table, even though the
lab reports show that in some cases total recoverable or
dissolved values are greater.  The impact of using all available
decant data in a manner consistent with the approach described in
the FEIS would be to increase somewhat the projected tailings
concentrations for some constituents.  Table 5 lists these
revisions under .the heading FEIS REV.

     Other potential problems with the FEIS approach to effluent
quality projections include incomplete information on the
representativeness and variability of materials being tested, and
the averaging of data from dissimilar tests without regard to the
chemical reactions being tested.

     With respect to representativeness of materials, Table 4
provides a list of the source and times of various tests
conducted for the AJ project.  Tailings tests used for the FEIS
effluent projections are based on a single bulk sample collected
from the 4387SX crosscut in the north ore body in 1988  (EBA,
1994a).  In a recent report, the applicant contends that the
single bulk ore sample is representative of average.
concentrations of material to be mined.  A single tailings sample
therefore may provide useful data for evaluating average
conditions but no information on variability to be expected if
the mill feed varies during production.  Consequently,
projections based on any of the various tests of the bulk sample
products cannot necessarily be representative of worst or "upper
reasonable threshold" conditions, because the sample is not
necessarily worst case.  Accordingly, the "upper reasonable
threshold" conditions as listed in the FEIS should not be
considered worst-case effluent quality.

     The proportion of CIL tailings varies among the tests used
in the FEIS projections.  The only estimates based on a 23% mix
of CIL tailings water as used in the  FEIS water  balance are the
mathematically derived flow-weighted  combinations of decant data
from separately settled  flotation and CIL tailings.  Since much
of the higher  contaminant  load  is from the CIL tailings,


                                24
 image: 








AJPROAQ.XLS
Table 6. Projections of tailings composition - aqueous and solid fractions.





:low
pH
TDS
TSS
Turbidity
-lardness
Alkalinity

Sullate
Ammonia
Nitrate, N
Nitrite. N
TKN


FEIS

FEIS REV
FtDW-wl combination


3760
8.2
3200
14200
107
672
209

4000
















17.6
20.4
0.69
80.1

Areenic 0,002 0.006
Cadmium
Chromium
Copper
Iron
Lead
Manganese
Mercury
Nickel
Selenium
Silver
Zinc

Xanthate
Free Cyanide
Total Cyanide
WAD Cyanide
Cyanale
Thiocyanate


Footnotes:
0.008
0.001
1.36
0.137
0,08
0.006
0.011
0.013
0.002
0.056

0.927
0.774
1.29
0.82
73.3
393



0.01
0.004

0.188

0.633
0.006

0.017
0.002



0.781
1.76





























.


















FEIS

FEIS REV
Pratubla ThnuhoM



7.6
1600
440
74
480
160

370
7.3



0,0042:
0,006*
'*, 0,00.7
o.ea
3
0.093
0.8
0.0011
0.014
„ 0,0055
"'•' 94V
0.17
0,6
1.1
0.19
28
, , ; W












1617
8.4
8.19
41.9
00047
- 00091
0.00.?$

0.81

0021
0.21


1.2


















































FEIS


FEIS REV
Uppar Raaaonabla Thravhold



8.2
3200
1400
260
670
210

4000
7.3




0.012
1.4
14
0.16
2.7
0.0054
0.022
0.013
0.47

0.6
1.1
2.5
0.82
73
390














18
20
0.69
80


0.024





0.005
0.03
0.017

0.69

0.93































•







FEIS
Diga<l
mo/Va















9.78
11
35.4
262
45600
197
1660
0.274
26.7


FEIS
Slurry Extract
mgJVg









370
17













1,22
3,0ft


628



OA

















42.4

p.e


FEIS - values from FEIS method, as listed in Corrected Tebla 4-8. letter from JMM to Oavid Dorrie, BLM, September 18, 1 992 (Tileston, 1992).
FEIS REV - Values from FEIS method derived from data tables in FEIS supporting documents.
TAR - values recommended for use in the Technical Analysis Report.

fwdec - flaw-weighted decant; codec - combined decant: 1 • leach; cnf - free cyanide







:5Wti(lnM:SS:: = less-then value



















































TAR
aquaout
b*.n



fwdec


fwdac
fwdac

codec
fwdec
fwdec
fwdec
fwdec

1
Iwdac
|
fwdec
1


TAR
•quaoua
ITQ/l



3200


670
210

1700
18
20
0.69
80
Q.OU
0.01
0,0?
1.3
0.85


TAR
talk)
ma /kg









370
17




9.8
11
35
260
46000
0,02 200

.wdec

wdec

codec

wdec
codec

cnf
wdec
wdec







2.7
0.005
0.03
0.016
0.0$
6.087

0.93
1.1
2.5
1.1
73
390







1600
0.27
26
" ' 1
3
630














   Page 1
 image: 








increasing the.-CIL proportion in any of the tests of combined
tailings would probably increase the concentrations of
contaminants in the tailings.

     3.   Alternative Approach

     The FEIS approach considered dissolved and suspended
concentrations together as a total process effluent
concentration.  An alternative approach used here is to consider
the tailings pond influent from the mill as an aqueous phase and
a solid phase, each with its own separate constituent
concentrations.  Table 5 lists these values under the heading
TAR.  Appendix B contains laboratory data listed in Tables B-l
and B-2 from which values in Table 5 are derived.  Since these
data are from the same limited tests as used for the FEIS, the
limitations, as noted above, on being able to evaluate tailings
variablity or worse-than-average tailings concentrations apply.
Effluent "quality based on tailings produced from milling an
average bulk ore sample would not accurately project the total
range of contaminant concentration to be expected.  To offset to
some degree the inherent underestimation of contaminant
concentrations that arises when using average samples, the use of
lab data described below emphasizies the higher values.

     EPA's application of alternative influent values for this
analysis relies on the greater of either decant or column leach
data for the aqueous phase.  Where decant data are used, the TAR •
values are from dissolved rather than total data.  Mathematically
flow-weighted decant values are used where greater because they
represent the actual CIL proportions projected by the FEIS water
balance.  Comparison of flow-weighted values at a 23% mix of CIL
water with the physically combined values of a mix of 10% CIL
tailings indicates that the two sets of data would have similar
initial decant results for many of the major parameters if the
CIL proportions were the same.

     Digest and slurry extract data from the FEIS are used for
the solid phases in tailings.  As with aqueous phase data, single
digest and extract analyses of tailings as reported in the FEIS
would not represent extreme values because of the reported (EBA,
1994b) average nature of the bulk sample.

JL_   Predictions of Effluent Quality; WASP4 Water Quality Model

     1.   Introduction

     As described  in the FEIS  (BLM,  1992), the preferred
alternative entails converting most  of the Sheep Creek valley
into a tailings disposal impoundment.  While the proposed
facility is in operation, this  impoundment would function as a
wastewater treatment facility  for the tailings slurry discharge.
The water from the  impoundment would be combined with excess flow

                                26
 image: 








from the Gold Greek mine drainage and discharged through a
diffuser into Gastineau Channel.  This would continue after the
mine has ceased operation unless natural processes are sufficient
to dilute the water in the  impoundment to levels which meet
criteria established by the State of Alaska's water quality
standards (WQS). This section  of the report describes the results
of using mathematical models of water quality,  in conjunction
with available information,  to estimate total suspended solids
(TSS), cyanide and metals concentrations in the sediments and
water'column in the proposed tailings impoundment.  The available
information includes data collected for and reported in the FEIS,
data from the water quality analysis  literature and parameter
estimates from various experts in the field of  water quality
modeling and sediment transport.  Since the tailings pond is
viewed as a treatment facility or point source  during the period
which the mine would be  in  operation, estimates of water quality
in the tailings pond are needed  to  assess the  likelihood of
compliance with effluent limitations imposed through the National
Pollutant Discharge Elimination  System  (NPDES;  see section
VLB.).

     The application  of  mass balance methods requires the
development or application  of  mathematical  models  for which
certain parameters must  be  estimated.   Whenever possible,
estimates of these parameters  were derived  from the  FEIS or  from
relevant existing reports.   For those processes mentioned  in the
FEIS as ones with potential environmental  impacts,  and  ones  for
which data were  not  available in the FEIS  or in relevant existing
reports, estimates  based on best professional  judgment  have  been
used.   In addition,  EPA Region 10 has sought the  advice and
judgment of a  number of experts in sediment transport  in helping
to reduce the  uncertainty for certain important parameters
related to  the settling velocity of solids and the initial
distribution  of suspended solids resulting from the discharge.

      The primary goal of this analysis is to use established
water quality simulation methodologies as a framework for testing
 certain hypotheses about water quality impacts in the proposed
 tailings  pond during and after the operation of the mine.   Both
 the methodologies and the  hypotheses have been developed using
 information consistent with the FEIS, related  studies  and the
 best professional judgment of EPA's technical  staff and selected
 technical experts in the field of  sediment transport.   This
 should provide a way of  focusing  on important issues and
 identifying the level of environmental risk associated with the
 construction and operation of this project.

      2.   Previous Modeling Efforts

      Several water quality analysis  methods' were used to support
 the development  of ?his TAR for  the proposed AJ Mine project near
 Juneau, Alaska.  The methods were used  to provide support for
                                 27
 image: 








decisions regarding whether or not the proposed wastewater
treatment facility would provide adequate treatment and would
support a healthy aquatic community in the tailings impoundment
within a reasonable time-frame after mining/treatment operations
cease.  These analysis methods included:

     i.   Simple box model treating the tailings pond as a
          continuously stirred reactor with settling and leaching
          as the important processes (Yearsley, 1992).  This
          model was used for estimating distributions of
          suspended solids and certain metals in the water
          column, only.

     ii.  One-dimensional  (vertical), time-dependent model of the
          tailings pond based on the WASP4 (Ambrose et al, 1991)
          water quality simulation program.  The application of
          WASP4 to estimating distributions of suspended solids
          and certain metals in the water column and sediments of
          the proposed AJ Mine tailings pond is described .in
          Yearsley  (1993).

     iii. Two-dimensional  (longitudinal, vertical), time-
          dependent model of the tailings pond water and sediment
          quality based on the WASP4  (Ambrose et al, 1991) water
          quality simulation program.  The extension of the WASP4
          methodology to two spatial dimensions was made for
          purposes of determining how the location of the
          discharge point  affected the quality of the tailings
          pond  effluent.

      iv.  Two-dimensional  (longitudinal, vertical), time-
          dependent model  of the tailings pond water quality
          based on the  CE-QUAL-W2  (Cole and Chapman,  1994)
          computer model.   CE-QUAL-W2 was included in the
          analysis to  supplement the WASP4 simulations by
          incorporating a  more accurate depiction of reservoir
          hydrodynamics than could  be provided by the WASP4
          methodology.


      The first two  applications ((i.)  and  (ii.)) were based on
 information provided in the FEIS,  only. The  results  from (i.) and
 (ii.)  are documented elsewhere (Yearsley,  1992;  Yearsley,  1993).
 The primary objectives of these two applications were to provide
 the basis for a more systematic review of  water  quality  issues,
 identify major processes affecting water  quality in  the  proposed
 tailings pond,  and evaluate the sensitivity of results to
 uncertainties in important parameters.   It is often  the  case that
 simple models and environmentally conservative assumptions will
 be used to  perform screening-level analyses of a complex problem
 of this type.  That has been EPA's approach with respect to the


                                28
 image: 








proposed AJ tailings  impoundment.  The screening-level work set
the stage for subsequent, more  sophisticated analyses.

     Subsequent review of the first two analyses by independent
reviewers (Easton, Montgomery Watson) and by the applicant (Klone
Leonoff, 1993; Woodward'Clyde,  1993)  led to a comprehensive
review of model parameters  and,  ultimately, the decision to apply
more sophisticated analysis methods in developing the TAR. The
more sophisticated methods  are  represented by the model
applications conducted in cases (iii.) and'(iv.).  Case (iv.)
required data beyond  that available in the FEIS.

     Advanced mathematical  modeling makes use of input data which
may be incomplete or  have a high degree of variability or
uncertainty.  Because of this,  an important component of the
report is to characterize the degree  of variability or
uncertainty in the available information.

     3.        WASP4  Conceptual Model

     The toxic module (TOXIWASB)  of EPA's Water Quality
Simulation Program  (WASP version 4.32) was used to simulate the
levels of solids, cyanide and metals  in the waters and sediments
of the proposed tailings pond during  and after the operation of
the mine.  The WASP software has been thoroughly tested and the
program has been used in a  wide variety of applications.  The
model kinetics in WASP generally reflect the  current  state of
knowledge for simulation of both inorganic and organic toxic
substances.  The theoretical basis for the model and  the user's
manual can be found  in Ambrose  et al  (1991).

     This application of WASP4  evolved from the work  reported  in
Yearsley  (1993) .  It  represents an effort  to  characterize the
major processes affecting the distribution of solids  and certain
metals in the tailings  pond.  These processes include turbulent
mixing processes associated in  the pond  itself, settling
characteristics of  the  tailings, leaching  and partitioning*of
metals and effects  of initial mixing  associated with  discharge.
It also represent a somewhat simplified  approach, when compared
to the CE-QUAL-W2 simulations described  later in this report.
This implementation of  WASP4 is simplified in the sense that the
variability  in  environmental factors  such  as  pond geometry,
inflow hydrology  and local  meteorology is  not considered.  Pond
geometry  is  idealized so  as to capture the overall  dimensions  of
the tailings  pond at Stage  III   (pond  surface  elevation
approximately 920 feet above Mean Sea Level)  and the  annual
average  inflow  hydrology  of the Sheep Creek watershed.  Effects
of local  meteorology, particularly high winds are  included
implicitly  in other ways  such as the  coefficients  of  vertical
eddy diffusivity.
                                 29
 image: 








     The major-difference between this application of WASP4 and
the previous•application (Yearsley, 1993) is in the treatment of
the tailings pond geometry.  For this application, the waters of
the tailings impoundment have been conceptualized as a laterally
well-mixed system which is compartmentalized vertically and
horizontally into finite segments-, each with the same surface
area.  Each of the segments is one meter in thickness, 350 meters
long and 600 meters wide (see Figure 4).  The discharge of the
mine tailings  is assumed to be distributed instantaneously over
one or more of the water column compartments depending on the
levels of available mixing energy.  Once the tailings are
distributed  in the water column the levels of solids and
associated dissolved  and particulate concentrations of metals in
the water column are  determined by the following processes:"

•    Settling  and resuspension rates of tailings solids

•    Leaching  rates of metals from tailings

•    Partitioning between  dissolved and  adsorbed phases of
     metals

•    Longitudinal mixing  in  the tailings pond due  to  various
     energy  sources

•    Vertical  mixing  in the  tailings pond  due to various  energy
     sources

•    Rates of  inflow  of  surface water  and  groundwater

•    Rates of  discharge  from the  impoundment

     The speciation between dissolved  and  adsorbed phases of the
metals of interest are conceptualized  in terms  of the parent
material (tailings)  and leaching products  (Figure 5).  The parent
material includes solids and associated metals.  Two different
 classes of solids,  Sx and  S2, are considered, each class
 corresponding to a different median particle diameter.  The
 metals system, clf  associated with the ith  particle class  (i=l,2)
 of solids, Sif  is transformed to  the metals  system,  C2, toy
 leaching only, where the systems C, and C2 are  actually the same
 metal (copper, for example).  This is accomplished in the model
 by using a partition coefficient which is large enough to prevent
 the metals system, Clt  from  going into solution except by
 leaching.  The metals system, C2, undergoes  repartitioning to
 dissolved and adsorbed phases.  The total concentration of the
 metal in a given compartment is the sum of the adsorbed and
 dissolved phases of  Ct and C2.

      The conceptual  model includes a  single sediment compartment
 associated with each vertical segment of the reservoir (Figure
                                 30
 image: 








            10
             11
            12
            13
                     15
                     ie
 17
 18
                     19
20
                  H
                              22
         23
                              24
25
         26
27
                   29
                                       30
          31
                                       32
         33
                   36
                            37
                            38
39
40
                                                41
                            43
                            44
          45
                                     46
                                                          47
                                                          48
                   50
                                                                   51
52
                                                                   53
                                              54
                  55
Figure 4. Two-dimensonal grid used for WASP4 simulations of the
proposed AJ Mine tailings pond
 image: 








                                             Leaching
                                             Adsorption
                                  C - Chemical
                                  S-Solid
Figure 5. Conceptual model of geochemical processes for
metals in the proposed AJ Mine tailings pond
 image: 








4) .   Each of the sediment compartments has a variable volume
which can account for accumulation of solids settling out of the
tailings discharge.  The sediment compartment also contains pore
water within which dissolved species of chemicals can occur.
Processes affecting levels of dissolved and adsorbed phases of
metals in these sediments are:

•    Settling and resuspension rates of tailings solids

•    Leaching rates of metals from tailings

•    Partitioning between dissolved and adsorbed phases of
     metals

•    Vertical mixing in the tailings due to molecular diffusion
     in the pore water

     4.   Time and Length Scales

     The waters of the proposed tailings pond are conceptualized
as being comprised of a number of vertically and laterally well-
mixed compartments the size of the project, or with overall
length scales of 1000's of meters.  The WASP 4 model formulation
will resolve laterally-averaged concentration differences at
scales of approximately the element size, which is one meter
vertically and 350 meters longitudinally.   The length scales are
best professional estimates of what is needed to resolve details
of the problem associated with deposition, resuspension and
injection of the waste stream.

     There are a number of time scales which may influence model
results.  The simulation time period  (time step) for the
numerical scheme used is of the order of minutes.  The simulation
time period does have an effect on simulation accuracy, but the
fact that this time period  is of  the order of minutes does not
mean the model is simulating processes  in the tailings pond at
this scale.  The process time scales in the tailings pond and
sediments which can be resolved by the  simulation are determined
by the rate of inflow of the waste stream, Sheep Creek and
groundwater; the amount of  storage in the tailings pond; the
rates of vertical diffusion; the  rate of  leaching of the metals
from solid to dissolved; and the  rates  of settling and
resuspension.

     jL-.   Important Assumptions

     Data from the FEIS  and from other  relevant  sources were used
to implement the conceptual model within  the  WASP framework.
These sources provided the  basis  for defining important
parameters used  in the simulations.  The  fixed parameter values
used in the simulations  are given in Table  6.  The  implementation
of WASP for this problem included the  following  assumptions:

                                33
 image: 








Table 6.  Important parameters and their values as used in the simulation
of suspended solids and total and dissolved metals in the proposed AJ
project tailings pond.
   Parameter
Description
Value
        Pt

        Pf
       Wt
       Qavg
        W2
Tailings density

Freshwater density

Dynamic viscosity of
freshwater

Tailings loading

Pond surface area

Average Sheep Creek
discharge

Settling rate of fine
tailings (2.5%)

Settling rate of coarse
tailings (97.5%)
2770kg/meter3

1000 kg/meter3

1.52xlO*3 kg/meter/second


2.36X102 kg/second

1.70xl06 meters2

1.382 meters3/second


l.SOxlO'6 meters/secon


l.OOxlO*4 meters/secon
                   Metals leaching rate    1.16xlO'7 seconds*1
 image: 








I     The surface level of the tailings pond is constant and pond
     size is approximately the same as the proposed tailings pond
     at the end of the project (surface level at 918 feet above
     Mean Sea Level)

•     Settling rates of particles are determined from Stokes1
     Law

•     The tailings slurry is made up of two particle classes, the
     first class comprising a very small fraction of the
     discharge which goes into suspension when the tailings are
     initially discharged, the second comprising the remainder of
     the discharge which settles out almost immediately.  The
     particle size of each fraction is assumed to be equal to the
     particle size of the median fraction for each group.

•    Settling velocities for each of the two particle classes can
     be estimated from  Stokes1 Law using the median diameter for
     each fraction, or  the lowest reported value, in cases, where
     the particle size  of any  fraction was not given in any
     reports provided by the applicant.

•    Leaching rates of  metals  from solid to dissolved are
     characterized  by  first-order reactions

•    Solubility  of  metals  in  freshwater  is determined by ratios
     of dissolved to  total metals analyzed by  Frank (1994)

•    Inflow rate to and discharge rate from  the  impoundment are
     both  constant  and equal  to the  annual average  flow of Sheep
     Creek

•    Dissolved  levels of metals in  Sheep Creek are  below
     detection  limits

     £._   Parameter Estimation

     The density of the tailings,  pt,  was obtained  from results
reported by Knight and Piesold (1989).  The leaching rate, KL,
was chosen so as to have a time scale (100 days) approximately
the same as the time scale found in the bench tests for iron,  as
presented in Appendix A of the FEIS.  Shorter time scales for the
 leaching rate would result in higher concentrations of dissolved
 metals in the tailings pond.

      The fraction of important metals in the digested slurry,  for
 both solid and dissolved phases, were estimated from various data
 sources by Frank (1994).  These estimates are given in Table 7.

      Partitioning coefficients for determining the equilibrium
 concentrations of metals in the solid and dissolved phases were
                                 35
 image: 








estimated from -the ratios given in Table 7 using the following
equation:
where,                     p
          Kp= linear partition coefficient, I/kg

          csoiid =  concentration  of  constituent in solid  phase,
mg/1

          Cdiss= concentration of constituent in dissolved phase,
mg/1

          TSS= concentration  of  total suspended  solids,  mg/1

     a.   Vertical  Mixing

     Rates of vertical diffusion in  the  tailings pond were
determined by the levels of  available turbulent  energy.
According to the  FEIS, the potential sources  of  this  energy
include wind stress,  kinetic  energy  from advective sources
including Sheep Creek and the waste  stream itself and kinetic
energy associated with avalanches.   The  FEIS  (page 4-34)  gives
estimates of the  coefficient  of turbulent diffusion for
stratified reservoirs as 1.00x10"*  meters2/second and  for
unstratified reservoirs as l.OOxlO"3  meters2/second.   The FEIS
states

      "A sense  of  how much settling would occur can be gained by
      estimating a vertical diffusion time scale for the
      impoundment, and comparing it to the settling velocity of
      discrete  particles.  A  maximum  diffusivity value of D=0.0001
      m2/sec has been  suggested  for prediction of hypolimnetic
      diffusion in stratified reservoirs  (Imberger and Patterson
      1981; Harleman 1986). 	

      However,  available data suggest that the impoundment would
      likely  be unstratified,  and vertical diffusivity would
      likely  be much greater.   Assuming  a vertical diffusivity of
      D=0.001 m2/sec.  leads to a characteristic time scale of
      approximately one  day.	"


      In Woodward-Clyde's  (1993) evaluation of the WASP4 analysis
 done by Yearsley (1993),  coefficients  of vertical eddy
 diffusivity  ranged between IxlO'6 and IxlO'4 meters2/second.   The
 applicant asserted (Bergstrom,  1993) that  for the WASP4 analysis
 of the tailings,  "l.OxlO'0* meters2/second would  characterize the


                                 36
 image: 








Table 7 Estimated solid and dissolved concentrations of certain metals in
the waste stream discharged from the proposed AJ Mine milling process.
Estimates of concentrations are derived from Section VI.D.
Metal
Arsenic
Cadmium
Chromium
Total CN
Copper
Lead
Mercury
Selenium
Zinc
Concentration
Solid
(mg/kg)
9.8
11.0
35.0
0.0
260.
200.
0.27
1.
530
Dissolved
(mg/1)
0.014
0.010
0.020
2.5
1.300
0.020
0.005
0.016
0.087
 image: 








most conservative of high wind conditions, not characteristic of
typical situations, and that l.OxlO'05 would be characteristic of
general pond conditions".  The range chosen for the coefficient
of vertical eddy diffusivity in these simulations corresponds to
the ranges described by Bergstrom  (1993).

     These coefficients are measures of  the general levels of
vertical mixing processes in reservoirs.  For the purposes of
this report, it has been assumed that, levels of energy implied by
these coefficients do not include  energy sources unique to this
project such as avalanches and energy transport in the waste
stream itself.   The energy associated with the waste stream must
be dissipated in some way and this can happen by enhancing
vertical mixing processes or by scouring sediment from the
bottom.  Data collected by Rescan  Environmental Services Ltd
(1983) in the vicinity of the Island Copper discharge show that
vertical mixing associated with discharge of mine tailings can
lead to high levels of suspended solids  (Figures 6 and 7) in the
water column.

     b.   Pore Water Diffusion-Rates

     Flux of dissolved metals from the sediment pore water to the
overlying water column is of concern for water quality conditions
in the tailings pond after the mining operation has ceased.  This
flux is determined by the geochemical processes which affect
partitioning between solid and dissolved phases in the sediments
as well as the rates of advection  and diffusion within the pore
water.  Rates of advection are determined primarily by
groundwater flow, which are discussed in a  later section of this
report.  Diffusion rates within the pore water are generally at
levels comparable to molecular diffusion (Schnoor et al., 1987).
However, Schnoor et al.  (1987) point out that bioturbation of the
sediments by benthic fauna or fish can  increase diffusion rates
from the pore water to the overlying water  by an order of
magnitude.  The metals concentrations in the pore water represent
a serious threat to water quality  in the proposed tailings pond
after the mining operation is finished.  To .assess the effects of
changes in the rate of diffusion  from the pore water on the
overlying water column, the pore water  diffusion coefficient was
varied between the molecular diffusion  rate (l.OxlO-9
meters2/second) and the diffusion  rate for sediments subject to
bioturbation  (l.OxlO"8 metersz/second) .

     c.   Initial Mixing  of Discharge

     The FEIS  (page  4-34)  states  that no methods of  analysis are
available to  describe  the initial  mixing of the waste  stream  in
the tailings  pond.   This  is  not entirely the case,  as  a model  of
the density  flow  for  the  proposed Quartz Hill  project  was  used  to
estimate the  plume  characteristics of  a discharge  approximately


                                38
 image: 








  Figure 6. Suspended solids 300 meters
  from, the TslanH Copper discharge
  (Rescan, 1983)
(40)-
(50)-
(60)-
(70)-
(80)
    0     500   1000  1500   2000   2500

             Suspended Solids • mg/1
 image: 








 Figure 7. Suspended solids in Rupert Inlet
 1200 meters from, the Island Copper discharge
 (Rescan, 1983)
(30)
                                   800
            Suspended Solids • rag/I
 image: 








three times lar-ger than  the  proposed AJ Mine discharge (Kowalik
and Findikakis,  1985) .   The  ocean disposal model of Koh and Chang
(1973) which evolved  into  the  Offshore Operators Committee
drilling mud model  (Brandsma et  al, 1983) also provides a
framework for examining  density  flows such as that associated
with the proposed AJ  Mine  project.  However, at the time the
modeling process was  begun by  EPA Region  10, the only information
available for evaluating the initial mixing characteristics of
the discharge was limited  to that provided in the FEIS.  The
analysis of initial mixing of  the AJ Mine tailings discharge, as
provided in the  FEIS,  was  not  sufficiently quantitative to
provide inputs for  simulation  methods such as WASP4.  The initial
approach used to address this  question was to survey the
available literature;  primarily  that associated with the
discharge of drilling muds and cutting from offshore drilling
operations  (Ayers et  al,  1982,  for example) as well as the
discharge of tailings from other mining  operations such Island
Copper on Vancouver Island.   In  these studies, field data showed
that 5-10%  of the total  load became suspended during the initial
discharge phase.
                               • t
     The WASP4  simulations reported by Yearsley  (1993) were based
on  initial  mixing  characteristics  approximately the same as those
described by Schubel  et  al  (1978)  for dredge materials, Brandsma
et  al  (19783)  for  drilling muds discharges  and from the
evaluation  of  the  tailings discharge  at  the  Island Copper Mine on
Vancouver Island.   Assumptions regarding the  initial mixing
characteristics  of  the proposed discharge were reviewed by
various  consultants for  the applicant  and by  a number  of experts
in  the  field  of  sediment transport.  As  a result  of this review,
EPA Region  10,  in cooperation with Echo  Bay,  convened  an ad hoc
panel of  experts to develop a best professional  estimate of the
characteristics of the  initial discharge.  Their  recommendations
are- described,  in part,  below:

Mark  Dortch,  PhD,  US Army Corps of Engineers,  Waterways
Experiment  Station (1993):
       I recommend a mid-range compromise value of 2.5 percent,
 which should still be on the conservative side.	  The 625
 tons/day of suspension should be composed of particles from the 0
 to 2 5 percent smallest size class, i.e., 97.5% of the particles
 by weight is (sic) larger than this class.  Therefore, a median
 diameter corresponding to the 1.25 percentile should be used	


 Earl Hayter, PhD, Clemson University, South Carolina Water
 Resources Research Institute  (1993):

 "--Based on the tailings size gradation, settling velocity
 analysis, and characteristics  (e.g.,  specific gravity,
 mineralogy) of the tailings, my  estimate is io<	
                                 41
 image: 








Ray B. Krone, PhD, Ray B. Krone & Associates (1993):

ii—j would expect an upper limit of less than 3 percent of the
total load of lowest decile particles and 2 percent of the second
decile.  In view of the dissimilarity between the finer sediments
in the referred dredging studies and the proposed mine tailings,
these estimates are probably high.	"

     Based on these recommendations, the WASP4 simulations were
performed assuming that 2.5% of the total load, comprising
particles from the 0 to 2.5 percent smallest size class, were
suspended initially at the discharge point and that the remainder
(97.5%) settled quickly to the bottom of the tailings pond.  The
discharge was assumed to be distributed uniformly throughout the
bottom element of the conceptualized two-dimensional grid,
simulating a discharge confined to the bottom.

     d.   Settling, Deposition and Resuspension

     Sediment transport mechanisms will play an important part  in
determining  levels of suspended- solids and metals in the tailings
pond.  Primary transport mechanisms which must be considered are
settling, deposition and resuspension.  While a great deal of
research has been devoted to investigating mechanisms of sediment
transport, there  is still much uncertainty in quantifying these
mechanisms.  Information in the FEIS specific to this project is
limited to a series of settling tests performed by  Lakefield
Research  (1990).  However, these tests were not designed to
estimate settling velocities of particle classes.

     Recently, Hartman Associates  (1994) conducted  tests on the
mine tailings using the U.S. Army  Corps of Engineers SETTLE
methodology.  Krone  (1994), however, observed that  the  results  of
these  particular  tests could not be applied directly to
estimating settling velocities of  particle classes  and
recommended  additional tests.  The results of the additional
tests  recommended by Krone  (1994)  were not available at the time
the modeling work described below  was performed.  Nor was  it
clear  that these  tests would address all the  issues of
uncertainty  associated with the  settling, deposition and
resuspension of material  in the  proposed AJ Mine tailings  pond.
As a  result, the  WASP4  simulations do not include any of the test
results.  However,  as described  later in this  report, a
preliminary  examination  of these data was performed using  CE-
QUAL-W2.

      Because of  the limited  information provided  in the FEIS and
by the applicant,  it  was,  therefore,  necessary to rely  on  the
 judgment  of  sediment  transfer  experts to provide  input  for the
WASP4 simulations.   None of  the  experts made  specific
recommendations regarding ways of computing the settling
velocity,  although Krone (1993)  observed that "Absence  of

                                42
 image: 








cohesion is assumed by the modelers, a conservative assumption."
Given the lack of consensus from the panel, it was assumed that
Stokes1 Law settling was appropriate for this analysis.

     Determination of settling velocities using Stokes1 Law
requires that a characteristic particle size be specified.
Dortch  (1993), as quoted above, is the .most specific in regard to
estimating particle sizes.  Dortch  (1993) recommended the use of
the particle size associated with the 1.25 percentile.  However,
the tests on tailings characteristics performed by Knight and
Piesold (1989) provide results which include particles associated
with the 5.9 percentile, but no lower.  Rather than extrapolate
the Knight and Piesold  (1989) results to the 1.25 percentile, the
5.9 percentile particle size diameter was chosen to represent the
settling velocity of those particles which become suspended
during initial discharge.  As pointed out by Dortch (1993),  this
would lead to lower simulated levels of suspended material than
if the true median diameter were used to estimate particle fall
velocity.

     According to the WASP4 manual  (Ambrose et al, 1991) the
probability of deposition depends on the shear stress on the
benthic surface and the suspended sediment size and cohesiveness.
For fine silts of 5 microns, or less, the manual states that
deposition is not to be expected, even under quiescent
conditions.  Ariathurai  (1985) presents results of Hjulstrom
which show regions  of erosion-transportation-sedimentation in
the space characterized by mean velocity near the bed and
particle diameter.  These results show that particles of 100
microns or less remain  in suspension at very low velocities
(<0.001 meters/second).  The FEIS gives a semi-quantitative
discussion of resuspension of tailings pond sediments  (page 4-34)
as they are affected by cyclic changes in inflow-outflow
characteristics and as  a result of  high winds.  The panel of
experts had a wide range of recommendations regarding actual
values.  This included values of the probability of deposition as
low as  0.2 and as high  as 1.0.  Previous simulations using WASP4
(Yearsley, 1993) considering values as low as 0.2, also.
However, for the simulations performed here,'the probability of
deposition was assumed  to be 1.0 for all conditions.  A lower
probablility of deposition would result  in higher concentrations
of simulated suspended  solids.

     e.   Geochemical Processes

     Partitioning between dissolved and  adsorbed phases will
determine the importance  of  sediment transport  in the mass
balance of metals.  The FEIS does provide the results of  several
leach column tests  and  these tests  provide the  basis  for  the
estimate of first-order rate of  leaching from solid to dissolved.
The leaching rate used  in the various  scenarios was chosen so as
to have a time  scale  (100 days)  approximately the same as the

                                43
 image: 








time scale found in the bench tests for iron as present in
Appendix A, Volume II of the FEIS.  The partition coefficient,
KPI  for each of the metals was estimated based on the ratio of
total and dissolved concentrations listed in Table 7.  The
results for the equilibrium partition coefficients are given  in
Table  8.

     f.   Groundwater Flow

     The FEIS  (Dept. of Interior, 1992) estimated that
groundwater flow was 24% of the total discharge at the "narrows".
SRK (1994) estimated that the present level of groundwater flow
to Sheep Creek  is about 7 cfs.  Although the SRK  (1994) report is
not specific regarding the source of the groundwater, others
(Easton, 1993)  have suggested it is probably associated with  the
alluvium covering the floor of Sheep Creek valley to thicknesses
of as much as twenty feet  (SRK, 1990).  Groundwater flow in the
igneous rocks beneath and surrounding Sheep Creek valley is
estimated to be low.  The previous application of WASP4
(Yearsley,  1993) considered the effects of groundwater flow,
based on flow estimates given ±n the FEIS.  Most  of those who
reviewed the previous WASP4 simulations or had visited Sheep
Creek valley  (Easton, 1993; Krone, 1994) felt that groundwater
return to  Sheep Creek would not be a factor once  the tailings had
been deposited.  However, these are opinions, only, and  have not
included any quantitative assessment of:

      (1) the relative transmissivity of alluvium, talus, basement
        rock and tailings.  Data submitted by the applicant (SRK,
        1990) show the extent of alluvium and talus,  both of
        which have relatively high transmissivity compared to the
        basement rock;

      (2) the piezometric  head of  the groundwater system;

      (3) the rate  of  groundwater  flow  through the existing system
         of mine tunnels.


      A preliminary analysis of groundwater is given  in Appendix
C.  The preliminary analysis described in Appendix  C supports the
hypothesis that groundwater will flow through the tailings into
the tailings pond.  However,  the analysis is based  on very
 limited data.   Until these issues are specifically  addressed,
 impacts of the groundwater cannot be ignored, particularly as it
 could potentially affect water quality after mining has ended and
 the tailings pond reverts to waters of the United States.   For
 purposes of quantifying this potential, some simulations were
 performed assuming a groundwater flow of 7 cfs,  as assumed by SRK
 (1994).
                                 44
 image: 








Table 8. Equilibrium partition coefficients, Kp, for various metals in the proposed
AJ Mine tailings discharge, computed using data provided by the applicant.
Coefficients computed from the data are compared to estimates given in
Mills et al (1985)
Element
Arsenic
Cadmim
Chromium
Copoper
Mercury
Lead
oeienium
Zinc
FEIS Digest
(mg/kg)
9.8
1.1
35
260
0.27
200
1
X
530
Decant
(mg/1)
0.014
0.010
0.020
1.300
0.005
0.020
nniA
U.UJ.O
0.087
Total Solids
(kg/I)
0.637
0.637
0.637
0.637
0.637
0.637
Ofl^7
.DO/
0.637
Total
(mg/l)
6.26
7.02
22.3
167.
0.18
127.
Ofifi
.DO
338.
Kp
(data)
(l/ke)
700
1100
- 1750
200
54
10000
eft
6100
Kp
(Mills et al,1985)
(I/kg)
278
16
59000
17
0.3
1700
380
 image: 








     g.   Avalanches

     The previous simulations using WASP4  (Yearsley, 1993)
considered the potential impacts of avalanches on water quality,
primarily as they might affect levels of suspended solids.  The'
simulations were based on the FEIS estimates of a maximum
probable energy of 107 joules  (page 4-33) for a single event.
This kinetic energy was converted into potential energy by
assuming the effect of the avalanche was to resuspend tailings
deposited on the bottom of the pond during 'operation of the mine.
The tailings disturbed by the avalanche were distributed
uniformly throughout the pond, with the center of gravity of this
mass of material at a distance equal to half the depth of the
reservoir above the bottom of the pond,  It was further assumed
that the process was 100% efficient in converting  the kinetic
energy to potential energy.

     One reviewer of this avalanche analysis felt that avalanche
energy could well be orders of magnitude higher, while the
applicant believes that the avalanche issue has been resolved
based on work reported by Hears  (1993).  The range of uncertainty
associated with this question was substantially greater than for
any of the others.  Until this uncertainty can be reduced to a
level commensurate with other issues, the avalanche issue should
be considered qualitatively as an additional risk factor, but one
which will not be included in WASP4 simulations.

     h.   Reservoir Hydrodynamics

     WASP4 is constructed as a framework for performing mass
balances of heavy metals and other toxic substances.  It does not
simulate the hydrodynamics of surface or groundwater systems.
Rather, it relies on reservoir hydrodynamic results being
supplied externally by other methods of analysis.  For the
simulations described in this report, three different modes of
reservoir hydrodynamics were considered.  These modes were
formulated to capture flow characteristics which have been
observed in other reservoir systems or were suggested as possible
outcomes by those who reviewed the previous application of WASP4
to the AJ Mine tailings pond.  The three modes of reservoir
hydrodynamics were 1) surface flow; 2) uniform flow; and 3)
underflow.  In the first mode, the inflow  from Sheep Creek is
confined to the surface two meters (Figure 8) , much as in the
analysis done by Woodward-Clyde  (1993).  In the second mode, the
inflow is distributed uniformly  from top to bottom  (Figure 9) and
in the third mode, the inflow is confined  to the bottom two
meters (Figure 10).  In all cases, inflow  and outflow are assumed
to be constant and equal to the  annual average flow of Sheep
Creek.
                                46
 image: 








1.0
        0.50-
      0.50
D.5C
           0.60-
0.50.
0.50
0.50- *-   0.50
                                                                  0.50
                                                                              1.0
                                                                          o.50
        0.50
           0.50-
                           0.50-
                              0.50- »-    0.50
                             0.50
                              0.50- *-
  Figure  8. Velocity profiles used for surface flow scenarios in the WASP4
            analysis of the proposed AJ Mine tailings pond. Numbers by arrows
            indicate fraction of total flow.
 image: 








1.0
        0.59.
       0,41
   0.18- -»-   0.18.
0.41
           0.18
           0.
           0.18
0.69
                                                                                     1.0
         0.09
       J.08
   0.18-

0.32
                             0.18-
           0.
           0.18
                                                                      0.41
                                                                0.41
           0.18
0.09- •»
                 t
         0.08- »-
       0.08
  0.16-

0.24
                                        0.32
 0.16-U*    0.164*.    0.164*.    0.164**    0.08-4*-
                                                                                 0.32
                 t
         0.08- »-    0.16
             0.16.
           0.16
                                  0.16
                              0.24
                      0.164*-     0.08-4**
                                                                0.24
       o.ps
0.
        0.08
       0.08
   0.16-
 0.08
0.16.
0.16-
0.16- ».    0.16- •*-    0.08- »-
                                                                                 0.16
         0.08- »-    0.16-
                                                                                0.08
            0.16- >«•    0.16-
                     0.16-
                     0.16
                     0.08-
  Figure  9. Velocity profiles used for uniform flow scenarios in the WASP4
            analysis of the proposed AJ Mine tailings pond. Numbers by arrows
            indicate fraction of total flow.
 image: 








1.0
        0.50-
       0.50
KSC
       0.50
0.60
                                                                    0.50.
                                                                                1.0
                                                                            o.5o
                                                                  0.50
                0.50
                t
                                                                     0.50
                                                          0.50
       0.50
         0.50
                                                                            0.50
                                                                 0.50
       0.60
       0.50
         0.50
                                                                 0.50
                                                                     0.50
                  0.50
                            0.50-
                               0.50-
                                0.50.
0.50- -»»
                                                                            0.50
         0.50- »-   0.50-
                     0.60-»-    0.50-
                                                0.50
                                          0.50
                                                                    0.50-
   Figure 10. Velocity profiles used for underflow scenarios in the WASP4
            analysis of the proposed AJ Mine tailings pond.  Numbers by arrows
            indicate fraction of total flow.
 image: 








     i.   Discharge Location:

     The applicant has proposed moving the discharge point
periodically so that the tailings will be distributed more or
less uniformly over the bottom of the pond. Furthermore, they
have indicated the discharge point will be no closer to the
proposed dam than 0.5 miles and no farther upstream than 0.5
miles from the Sheep Creek Portal.  To simulate the range of
outcomes, the discharge point was located at the most downstream
point indicated by the applicant for certain scenarios and at the
most upstream point for other scenarios.  In all cases, discharge
was assumed to be at the bottom of the tailings pond.

     7.   Simulations

     Suspended solids and concentrations of dissolved metals and
metals in suspended solids in the proposed tailings pond and in
the sediments beneath the table were simulated under  the
following conditions:

     Operation of Mine

     1. Initialize the reservoir on January 1 at a depth of
       approximately 20 ft (6.0 meters).

     2.  Begin simulation on January 1 of a fictitious year
       assuming inflow from Sheep Creek is constant at a rate
       equal to the annual average flow given in the FEIS.

     3. Begin discharge of tailings on January 1 at the rate of
       22,500 tons/day (236 kg/second)  and discharge continuously
       for a period sufficiently long for the system to reach a
       steady state (one year appears to be adequate).

     4. Discharge water from the tailings pond at a rate equal to
       the average annual discharge of Sheep Creek (approximately
       49 cfs).


     Post-Operational Period

     1. Cease discharging tailings to the tailings pond on
       December 31 of the first fictitious year.  From January 1
       of the second fictitious year until the end of the
       simulation, the hydrology of Sheep Creek is assumed to be
       equal to the estimated annual average flow.

     2. Discharge water from the  tailings pond'at a  rate  equal to
       the average annual discharge of Sheep Creek for a period
       of three years.
                                50
 image: 








     Simulations of TSS, cyanide  and various metals were
performed for several different scenarios.  Scenarios were
designed to provide a means of assessing the sensitivity of WASP4
simulations to uncertainty in knowledge of important processes.
These processes included:

•    vertical mixing due to  wind stress, kinetic energy from
     advective sources  including  Sheep Creek and the waste stream
     itself and potential energy  associated with density
     differences

•    hydrodynamic regime

•    groundwater inflow

•    mixing characteristics of sediment pore water

     Model parameters which characterize processes for the
various scenarios, and  their respective values, are given in
Table 9.

     An example of a WASP4  input  data  set, based on Scenario #1
is given in Appendix C.

     8.   Results

     Simulated steady-state-, values of  total solids and solid and
dissolved phases of certain heavy metals associated with the
mining process are given  in Tables 10  -  13.  During the period
when tailings are being discharged (Tables  10  and 11) , simulated
steady-state levels of  total  solids and  heavy  metals  in the
effluent from the pond  are  more  sensitive to changes  in the
coefficient of vertical eddy  diffusivity than  in changes to the
hydrodynamic environment.   With  the exception  of total CN, total
concentrations of the chemicals  in the discharge are  closely
related to the level  of TSS in the discharge.   Since  total CN  is
considered only  in the  dissolved form  and  is assumed  to have an
equilibrium partition coefficient, Kp, equal to zero, it is
dependent only on the amount  of  dilution provided by  the
inflowing freshwater.   As is  clear from Tables 10 and 11, this
estimated discharge  is  independent of  such- parameters as vertical
mixing rate, settling velocity of solids and hydrodynamic regime
type.

     When tailings  are  discharged at the most  upstream point
 (Scenarios  1-6),  estimated steady-state levels of both total
solids and heavy metals during conditions of high turbulence
 (coefficient of  .vertical  eddy diffusivity = l.OxlO'4 meters2/sec)
are  approximately 50% higher than estimates for conditions of  low
turbulence  (coefficient of vertical eddy diffusivity = 1.0x10'
meters2/sec) .  Corresponding  variability between estimates when


                                 51
 image: 








Table 9.  Description of scenarios used to assess sensitivity of WASP4 simulations
Scenario Hydrodynamic
Flow Regime

1 Underflow
2 Underfow
3 Uniform Flow
4 Uniform Flow
5 Surface flow
6 Surface Flow
7 Underflow
8 Underfow
9 Uniform Flow
1 0 Uniform Flow
t 1 Surface flow
1 2 Surface Flow
11 T TnifnrfYi f?|/\uf
j uniionu now
1A I Inifnnti Flr\\i/
*f uiiiiuiiii riuw
1C 1 In i if\rm Firtvx/
j LJII 1 lUf III I1VJW
Discharge
Location

Upstream
Upstream
Upstream
Upstream
Upstream
Upstream
Downstream
Downstream
Downstream
Downstream
Downstream
Downstream



Groundwater
Flow
(meters3/sec)

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0 0
\J t \f
0 198
\r t \ s \J
0.198

Coefficient of
Vertical
Eddy Diffusivity
(meters^/sec)

l.OOxlO-5
l.OOxlO-4
l.OOxlO-5
l.OOxlO'4
l.OOxlO-5
l.OOxlO'4
1.00x10-5
l.OOxlO"4
l.OOxlO-5
l.OOxlO"4
l.OOxlO'5
l.OOxIO'4
i nn« i n- 5
i .UUX 1 U
i nrtv i n- 5
1 .UUX 1 U
i nn v i n- 4
1 . UU X 1 U
Coefficient of
Molecular
Diffusion
(meters^/sec)

l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO-9
l.OOxlO"9
l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO--9
l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO-9
l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO'9
l.OOxlO'9
i on* i n-8
1 • */ 1/ A 1 I/
1 OOxlO"9
• t\J\Jf\ 1 \J
1 .OOxlO'9

Settling Velocity
(meters/sec)
Solids 1 1 Solids 2
l.SOxlO-6 3.50x;10'3
1. SOxlO-6 3.50xlO-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1.50x10-6 3.50x10-3
1 sftvin"6 ^ sn*ift"3
I . Jl/ A J i/ J . J U A 1 U
i sn*in"6 i soviO"3
1 . J U A 1 U j , J U A J U
i snTflO'6 i SOxlO'3
I , J\J \ I \f J » J \9 \ l.\J
 image: 








       Table   10.   Steady-state  values  of total  solids, arsenic, cadmium  chromium and  copper in the discharge from
the proposed  AJ Mine taiings pond during  operation  of  the  proposed mine as simulated by  WASP4.   Parameters
associated with  each of the  Scenarios are  given  in  Table  9.
Scenario
#
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1 1
12
Total
Solids
(mg/l)
850
1200
790
1200
760
1200
1200
1700
1 100
1700
940
1800
Arsenic
(UE/1)
Total
9
13
8
1 3
8
1 3
12
17
1 1
1 7
10
1 7
Dissolved
1.5
1.4
1.5
1.4
1.5
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.9
0.3
0.9
0.3
Cadmium
(H /I)
Total
9.9
14.0
9.3
14.1
9.0
14.1
13.9
19.3
12.1
19.0
10.8
19.6
Dissolved
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.7
0.3
0.7
0.3
Chromium
(WR/1)
Total
3 1
44
29
44
28
44
44
61
38
6 1
34
62
Dissolved
2.8
2.5
2.9
2.5
2.9
2.6
1.4
0.6
1.5
0.6
1.6
0.5
Copper
(UR/I)
Total
260
360
250
360
240
360
340
470
300
460
270
480
Dissolved
70
73
72
74
7 1
74
43
24
44
25
45
24
 image: 








       Table   11.  Steady-state  values  of mercury, lead, selenium  and zinc in the discharge from  the  proposed AJ
Mine taiings pond during operation of the proposed  mine  as  simulated  by WASP4.   Parameters associated  with each
of the Scenarios  are given  in Table 9.
Scenario
#
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1 0
1 1
1 2
Mercu
(Ug/l)
Total
0.30
0.41
0.29
0.42
0.28
0.42
0.38
0.52
0.35
0.52
0.31
0.53
ry
Dissolved
0.1 1
0.13
0.1 1
0.13
0.1 1
0.13
0.08
0.06
0.08
0.06
0.08
0.06
Lead
(us/1)
Total
170
250
160
250
150
250
250
340
220
360
190
350
Dissolved
3.7
3.2
3.8
3.2
3.7
3.2
1.8
0.6
1.9
0.6
2.1
0.6
Sele
(u
Total
1.1
1.5
1.1
1.5
1.0
1.5
1.4
1.9
1.3
1.9
1.1
1.9
nium
8/1)
Dissolved
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.2
Zinc
(US/1)
Total
460
660
430
660
410
660
650
920
570
910
500
940
Dissolved
1 6
13
1 6
1 3
16
1 3
7
2
8
3
9
2
Cyanide
(UK/I)
Dissolved
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
 image: 








       Table  12.  Steady-state  values  of total   solids, arsenic, cadmium  chromium and copper in  the  discharge  from
the proposed AJ Mine taiings pond after operation of  the  proposed mine as simulated by  WASP4.   Parameters
associated with  each  of the  scenarios are given in Table 9.
Scenario
#
1-12
1 3
14
1 5
Arsenic
(WR/D
Total
0.06
0.61
2.0
2.0
Dissolved
0.06
0.61
2.0
2.0
Cadmium
(WR/1)
Total
0.05
0.43
1.4
1.4
Dissolved
0.05
0.43
1.4
1.4
Chromium
(UR/D
Total
0.09
0.84
2.8
2.8
Dissolved
0.09
0.84
2.8
2.8
Copper
(WR/D
Total
5.9
56
190
190
Dissolved
5.9
56
190
190
 image: 








       Table   13.   Steady-state values of mercury,  lead, selenium  and zinc in the discharge from  the  proposed AJ
Mine taiings pond after  operation of  the  proposed mine as simulated by  WASP4.  Parameters  associated with each of
the Scenarios are given  in Table  9.
Scenario
#
1-12
13-
14
1 5
Mercury
(ue/1)
Total
0.022
0.215
0.71
0.71
Dissolved
0.022
0.215
0.71
0.71
Lead
(ue/1)
Total
0.084
0.844
2.65
2.65
Dissolved
0.084
0.844
2.65
2.65
Selenum
(ue/1)
Total
0.072
0.686
2.29
2.29
Dissolved
0.072
0.686
2.29
2.29
Zinc
(UR/D
Total
0.387
3.70
1 1.9
1 1.9
Dissolved
0.387
3.70
11.9
11.9
 image: 








vertical turbulence is held constant is very small for the high
turbulent condition and of the order of 15% for the low level of
turbulence.  For discharge at the downstream point (Scenarios 7-
12) ,  variability of results associated with changes in level of
turbulence is similar to that for upstream discharge.  However,
variability of results associated with changes in the
hydrodynamic flow regime is much greater for the downstream
discharge than for the upstream.

     Simulated results for the sediment pore water and solids are
not reported.  The reason for this  is that since the values
reported by Frank  (1994) for the effluent solid and dissolved
phases of metals  (Table 7) were used to estimate partition
coefficients, simulated results for the sediment concentrations
of metals were the same as the dissolved and solids
concentrations for each of the heavy metals as given in Table 7.

     The  high metals concentrations in the pore water of the
tailings pond sediment do not have  a noticeable impact on
discharge concentrations during the period the mine  is in
operation.  However, once the mine  has stopped discharging
tailings to the pond, the sediment  pore water, for the
assumptions made  in this application of WASP4, is the primary
source for heavy  metals in the overlying water column.  For the
base conditions  (Scenarios 1-12), the estimated concentrations
of all metals are generally  low.  Bioturbation of the sediments
 (Scenario  13) leads to an increase  in discharge concentrations  of
metals of  an order of magnitude.    Inflow  of  the maximum amount
groundwater  (Scenarios 14 and  15) results  in  a threefold increase
over estimates from the bioturbation conditions.

     For the parameters considered  in the  scenarios  (Table  9),
the simulated results  for TSS  and metals  during  operation of  the
mine were  most sensitive to  the  coefficient  of vertical eddy
diffusivity  and  to the  location  of  the  discharge point.  As
pointed out  previously, the  simulated  concentration  of total  CN
was a  function of the  ratio  of freshwater inflow to  the rate  of
effluent discharge,  only.  After mining operations cease, the
 concentration  of metals  in the water  of the  tailings pond  is
 sensitive.to the rate  of  bioturbation and to the quantity  of
 groundwater  flow through  the sediments.

 F^   Effluent  Quality  Predictions:  CE-OUAL-W2 Water  Quality Model

      1.    Conceptual Model

      Version 2.04 of CE-QUAL-W2 (Cole and Chapman,  1994)  was  used
 to simulate tailings pond hydrodynamics,  tailings pond water
 temperature,  suspended solids and  level of dissolved metals.   CE-
 Q§AE-W2  has been applied to a wide variety of water bodies which
 have small lateral variability and for which density plays an
 important role in the hydrodynamics.   This includes estuarine

                                 57
 image: 








systems, as well as freshwater reservoir systems.  The model
kinetics in CE-QUAL-W2 generally reflect the current state of
knowledge for simulation of chemical, physical and biological
state variables in estuarine or reservoir systems.  The
theoretical basis for the model and the user's manual can be
found in Cole and Buchak (1993).

     CE-QUAL-W2 was applied to the AJ Mine tailings pond after a
number of reviewers recommended that a model be used which had
the potential for simulating underflows associated with
differences between inflow density and ambient density structure
of the pond. CE-QUAL-W2 was chosen based on its availability and
widespread usage.  CE-QUAL-W2 was not developed to simulate the
kinetics of metals partitioning.   Nor was CE-QUAL-W2 developed
to simulate dissolved and solids concentrations in the sediments
accumulating beneath the pond and the interactions between metals
in the sediments and surface water.  CE-QUAL-W2 does, however,
simulate suspended solids and conservative constituents in
laterally-averaged surface waters including lakes, reservoirs and
estuaries.  The conceptualization of the tailings pond system for
purposes of applying CE-QUAL-W2' was done so as to accommodate
this limitation without making substantive changes to what is a
complex system of software.  The conceptual model was designed to
assess effects of density flows, variability in environmental
conditions, but to aggregate geochemical processes in a manner
consistent with the existing capabilities of CE-QUAL-W2.  Since
CE-QUAL-W2 was not developed to simulate the interchange of
metals between sediments and the overlying water column, there
was little to be gained by using CE-QUAL-W2 to assess water
quality conditions after mining operations cease.  Therefore, CE-
QUAL-W2 was used to simulate conditions only while the mine was
in full operation.

     In this application of CE-QUAL-W2, the waters of the
tailings impoundment have been conceptualized as a laterally
well-mixed system which is compartmentalized vertically and
horizontally  into finite segments for two different operating
levels of the proposed impoundment.  These operating levels
correspond to the proposed Stage I level  when the impoundment
first begins discharging and the proposed Stage III level when
the impoundment is at maximum  level.  These two stages correspond
to nominal surface levels of 765 feet above Mean Sea level and
918 feet above Mean Sea Level, respectively.  Each of the
segments in both conceptualization is one meter in thickness.
Segment lengths are variable,  but on the order of 200-400 meters,
while the widths of each of the segments were determined from
topographical maps provided by the applicant.  Longitudinal
sections of each conceptualization are shown in Figures 11 and
12.

     The discharge of the mine tailings is assumed to be
distributed instantaneously over the bottom segment at one of six

                                58
 image: 








                           3.7km
                                                               6.1 meters
Figure 11.  Two-dimensonal grid used for CE-QUAL-W2 simulations for tailings pond
in Stage I. Nominal surface elevation of the pond is 233.0 meters above sea level.
 image: 








                           4.6km
                                                             6.1 meters
Figure 12. Two-dimensonal grid used for CE-QUAL-W2 simulations for tailings pond
in Stage III. Nominal surface elevation of the pond is 279.5 meters above sea level.
 image: 








locations in the tailings pond.  The six locations were chosen to
represent approximately evenly distributed points spanning the
maximum excursion of the elephant trunk barge as indicated by the
applicant (Bergstrom,  1994).   Once the tailings are distributed
in the water column the levels of solids and associated dissolved
and particulate concentrations of metals in the water column are
determined by the following processes:

     •    Settling rates of a single class of tailings solids

     •    Longitudinal mixing in the tailings pond due to various
          energy sources

     •    Vertical mixing in the tailings pond due to various
          energy sources including wind stress and kinetic energy

     •    Rates of inflow   surface water, groundwater and
          effluent from the mining process

     •    Rates of outflow  of recycle water from the tailings
          pond

     •    Rates of discharge from the impoundment

     •    Potential energy  developed in the impoundment due to
          solar heating

     2.   Time and Length Scales

     The waters of the proposed tailings pond are conceptualized
as being comprised of  a number of vertically and laterally well-
mixed  compartments the size of the project, or with overall
length scales corresponding to the size of the tailings pond at
Stage  I  (765 feet above Mean Sea Level) and Stage III  (918 feet
above  Mean Sea Level). The CE-QUAL-W2 model formulation will
resolve  laterally-averaged concentration differences at scales
of approximately the element size, which is one meter vertically
and 200-400 meters longitudinally.  The length scales are best
professional estimates of what  is needed to resolve  details of
the problem associated with deposition, resuspension and
injection of the waste stream.

     There are a number  of  time  scales which may influence model
results.  The simulation  time  period  (time  step) for the
numerical scheme used  is  of the  order  of minutes.  The simulation
time period does have  an  effect  on  simulation accuracy, but the
fact that this time  period  is  of  the  order  of minutes does not
mean the model  is  simulating  processes  in the tailings pond at
this scale.  The process  time  scales  in the tailings pond and
sediments which  can  be resolved by the  simulation are determined
by the rate  of  inflow of  the  waste stream,  Sheep Creek and
groundwater;  the  amount of  storage in the tailings pond; the

                                61
 image: 








rates of vertical diffusion; the response time of the system to
imposed wind stresses; and the seasonal input of energy from
solar radiation.

     3_.   Important Assumptions

     As in the case of the WASP4 simulations, data from the EIS
and from other relevant sources were used to implement the
conceptual model.  These sources provided the  basis for defining
important parameters used in the simulations.  The fixed
parameter values used in the simulations are given in Table 6.
The implementation of WASP for this problem included the
following assumptions:


•    The surface level of the tailings pond is determined by the
     water balance and the geometry of the tailings pond.  As
     described previously, two tailings pond geometry's were
     considered; one corresponding to the lowest level of
     operation, the other to the maximum level of operation.

•    The bottom of the impoundment remains at a constant level,
     approximately 20 feet below the water surface.

•    The water balance, including effluent flow rates,
     groundwater flow rates, outflow rates and recycle flow
     rates, was similar to that used by SRK  (1994).

•    Settling rates of particles are determined from Stokes1 Law

•    The tailings slurry comprises only one particle class.  The
     particle size of this fraction is assumed to be equal to the
     minimum particle size reported by  Knight and Piesold
      (1989) .

•    Settling velocities for the particle class can be estimated
     from Stokes1 Law using the median diameter for each
     fraction, or the lowest reported value,  in cases where the
     particle size of any fraction was not given in any reports
     provided by the applicant.

•    Dissolved metals can be treated as conservative constituents
     with no leaching or partitioning between solid and
     dissolved.

•    Dissolved  levels of metals  in Sheep Creek are constant.
                                62
 image: 








     4.    Parameter Estimation

     The density of the tailings, rt,  was obtained from results
reported by Knight and Piesold (1989).

     The fraction of important metals in the digested slurry, for
both solid and dissolved phases were estimated from various data
sources as described in Section VI.D.   These estimates are given
in Table 7.

     a.    Vertical Mixing

     Rates of vertical diffusion in the tailings pond will be
determined by the levels of available turbulent energy.  In CE-
QUAL-W2, these levels are estimated using a turbulent closure
scheme based on the Richardson number.  Coefficients of vertical
eddy diffusivity are calculated by CE-QUAL-W2 using the simulated
vertical density structure and the simulated vertical shear.
These parameters are, of course, influenced by buoyancy flux from
external sources, heat exchange between the water body and the
atmosphere and wind speed and fetch.  The closure scheme includes
a minimum level of vertical mixing such that turbulence
unaccounted for by the Richardson number closure scheme can be
included.  Based on discussions with  the applicant  (Bergstrom,
1993) and results from shallow lakes  (Bowie et al,  1985), the
minimum level for the coefficient of  vertical eddy  diffusivity
for all constituents was chosen to be l.OxlCT5 meters2/second.
The net result is that the CE-QUAL-W2  simulation software will
compute the vertical eddy diffusivity based on the  Richardson
number,  but will use the computed value  only if it  exceeds the
minimum value of l.OxlCT5 meters2/second.  If the computed value
does not exceed the minimum, the minimum value is used as the
estimate.

     b.    Initial Mixing of Discharge

     The initial mixing characteristics  of the discharge were
assumed to be the same for the CE-QUAL-W2 base case simulations
as for the WASP4 simulations described previously.  That is  2.5%
of the total  loading, as represented by the smallest  2.5th
percentile of particles were assumed  to  be suspended  in the
lowest one meter at the time of  initial  discharge.

     c.   Settling

     The settling velocity for the base  case conditions,  (2.5% of
the material  initially suspended  in the  water column  in the
segment to which discharge is made) was  assumed to  be  the same as
that described for the WASP4 simulations.
                                63
 image: 








     The settling velocity for those scenarios designed to
evaluate the SETTLE results were based on the zone settling
velocity reported by Hartman Associates (1994).

     d.   Groundwater

     Groundwater inflow was assumed to be constant and equal to 7
cfs as reported by SRK (1994).

     e.   Avalanches

     Impacts of avalanches on the impoundment water quality were
not considered, based on the rationale described previously.

     f.   Discharge Location

     The applicant has proposed moving the discharge point
periodically so that the tailings will be distributed more or
less uniformly over the bottom of the pond.  Furthermore, they
have indicated the discharge point will move no farther than one-
half mile downstream from the Sheep Creek Adit and no farther
than one-half upstream from the Sheep Creek Adit.  To simulate
the range of outcomes, the discharge point was located for a
period of two months during each year at each of the six
locations representative of barge positioning strategies proposed
by the applicant.

     g.   Effluent Characteristics

     Estimates of the variability in effluent characteristics
were based on the discussion in Bergstrom  (1994).  A lag-one
Markov model was used to describe the daily loading from the
mining operation according to:
                                    -Q(n)
where,
     Q(n) =    simulated effluent  flow rate from the proposed
               facility on the nth  day of  the  year,
               meters3/second,
                                64
 image: 








~Q(n)      =     average effluent flow rate from the proposed
                facility on the nth day of the year,
                meters3 / second,

 p         =     correlation coefficient between effluent flow rate
                on the nth and n+lth days,

VQ   =    random component distributed as N(0,l),


a^   =    variance of random fluctuations in effluent flow rate


     Effluent concentrations of suspended solids and metals  in
the dissolved and solid phases of the discharge were kept
constant  using the values given in Table 7.

Stream  Inflow Characteristics:  Inflow temperatures for stream
temperatures in Sheep Creek were generated from the lag-one
Markov  model
where,

T(n)  =     simulated water temperature in Sheep Creek on the nth
           day of the year, °C,

      =    average water temperature in Sheep Creek on the nthday
           of the year based on available data, °C,

           T° + DT sin(2p(n - nO)/365.)

To   =     annual average water temperature in Sheep Creek, °C,

DT   =     one-half the annual variation in water temperature in
           water temperature in Sheep Creek, °C,

n0   =     the first day in the year when the daily average water
           temperature is equal to  the annual average water
           temperature, °C,

 p  =     correlation coefficient  between temperatures on the nth
  T        day and n+lth day,

 v  =     random component  distributed  as N(0,l),
 YT
                                 65
 image: 








<ir   =    variance of random fluctuations in daily averaged water
          temperature in Sheep Creek

     Parameter values for both Markov models are in Table 14.

     Daily averaged total suspended solids in the waters of both
Sheep Creek and Gold Creek were treated as independent random
variables distributed lognormally with means and variances in
logarithmic space as given in Table 14.  Daily averaged values of
all metals in both Sheep Creek and Gold Creek were assumed to be
below detection limits.

     5.   Simulations

     Suspended solids and concentrations of dissolved metals and
metals in suspended solids in the proposed tailings pond were
simulated under the conditions representing natural variability
of weather and inflow hydrology, as well as estimated variability
in the discharge characteristics.  The natural variability in the
inflow hydrology was derived from the 30-year record of
streamflow measurements at the USGS gage in Sheep Creek.  The
natural variability in weather data was derived from two sources.
Daily averaged values of dry-bulb temperature, relative humidity,
and wind speed for a three-year period were obtained from the
meteorological station maintained by the applicant during the
period 1991-1993.  Daily averaged cloud cover data were obtained
from data collected at the Juneau airport during the five years,
1987, 1989-1992.

     Based on the recommendations of the panel of experts, as
described previously under the WASP4 simulations, two basic
scenarios were considered  (Scenarios Cl and C2 in Table 15) .  The
difference between these two scenarios was in the configuration
of the pond, only.  Scenario Cl uses the geometry of the pond
when discharge from the pond first begins (Stage I).  Scenario C2
uses the geometry corresponding to the pond configuration in the
final year of operation of the mining facility.  All other
parameters, including coefficients of eddy diffusivity, settling
rates and percentage of fines suspended initially in the water
column are based on the recommendation of experts.   An example
of the input to CE-QUAL-W2, based on Scenario Cl, is given in
Appendix B.

     Two additional scenarios, C3 and C4, were added after the
expert panel had convened  and after much of both the WASP4 and
CE-QUAL-W2 modeling had been completed.  These two scenarios were
added in an effort to incorporate additional, but incomplete data
provided by the applicant  on settling rates.  The data are from
results obtained by Hartman Associates  (1994).  Krone  (1994)
stated that these data were not adequate to estimate settling
velocities for the solids.  However, in the interests of

                                66
 image: 








Table 14.  Important parameters and their values as used in the lag-one
Markov models to simulate temperature and suspended solids in the
tailings effluent and in Sheep Creek and Gold Creek.
   Parameter	Description	Value

                  Effluent flow           0.6
                  correlation coefficient

                  Standard deviation of   0.4 cfs
                  effluent flow

       pT  .      Correlation coefficient  0.6
                  of water temperature

       OT        Standard deviation of   1.0 °C
                  water temperature

       no        Temperature lag       135 days

                  Variation in water      2.4 °C
                  temperature

       TO        Annual average Sheep  4.9 °C
                  Creek temperature

                  log mean of TSS in      0.43558
                  Sheep Creek

                  log standard deviation  1.48
                  of TSS in Sheep Creek

                  log mean of TSS in      L07304
                   Gold Creek

                   og standard deviation of 1.04042
                   TSS in Gold Creek
 image: 








evaluating all "available information, an effort was made  to
incorporate this data into modeling scenarios.  Analysis  of  the
referenced measurements by Hartman Associates  (1994), using  the
US Army Corps of Engineers (USAGE, 1987) SETTLE model, gave
results of zone settling rates for the effluent in a static  test
column.  According to the USAGE  (1987), zone settling is  used  to
determine the area of the settling pond and not for estimating
the concentration of solids in the discharge from the pond.
Since this was the only new analysis  available at the time CE-
QUAL-W2 was applied to the problem, two scenarios were developed
based on zone settling rates.  This was done by assuming  that
100% of the material was injected into the pond at the bottom  and
that it settled at the rate of zone settling computed by  Hartman
Associates (1994).  This rate  was 1.77 meters/day or 2.0xlO"5
meters/second.  As shown in Table 15, all  parameters and
conditions other than the settling rate and the percent of
material suspended in the water  column, is the same  as for
Scenarios Cl and C2.

     For all four scenarios, a 30-year simulation was performed
in which the inflow hydrology w'as taken from the existing 30-year
record of flows at the USGS gaging station.  Outflow from the
impoundment was based on the rule curve provided by  SRK  (1994).
For each year of streamflow, a year of cloud cover was chosen  at
random from the five years of data collected at the  Juneau
airport and a year of dry-bulb temperature, relative humidity,
and wind speed was chosen at random from the three-year record
obtained by the applicant at the meteorological station in Sheep
Creek valley.

     Using the environmental inputs described  above, CE-QUAL-W2
was used to simulate laterally-averaged vertical and longitudinal
velocities, water temperature, suspended solids and  a
hypothetical conservative substance.  The hypothetical
conservative substance was used  to represent concentrations of
dissolved metals.  The concentration  of the hypothetical
conservative substance in the tailings discharge was assumed to
be 100 units.  The concentration of dissolved  metals in the
outflow from the  impoundment, C^t^,  for those  metals listed in
Table 7, was estimated from
                                             f,OUC
             ,out  ,-, e£tlueae v ^eoaaervaciva  -, eff1 uenc  *•cougarvativo
                 =       X-
                          ^r t*J.±J.U9JI*~               100
                          <-conservative
      Concentrations of metals in the solid phase were calculated
using the  ratio of metals to solids given in Table 7.

      The resulting concentrations of metals in solid and
dissolved  phases,  obtained from CE-QUAL-W2 for the 30-year
simulations,  were  combined with a similar 30-year hydrologic
                                 68
 image: 








Table 15.  Description of scenarios used in CE-QUAL-W2 simulations
Scenario
C-l
C-2
C-3
C--4
Pond
Stage
Stage I
Stage III
Stage I
Stage III
% Fines
Suspended in
Water Column
2.5
2.5
100
100
Groundwater
Flow
(meters^/sec)
0.198
0.198
0.198
0.198
Minimum
Vertical
Eddy Diffusivity
(meters^/sec)
l.OOxlO'5
l.OOxlO'5
l.OOxlO-5
1.00x10-5
Settling Velocity
(meters/sec)
Solids 1
l.SOxlO-6
1.50xlO-6
1.50x10-6
1.50x10-6
 image: 








record from Gold Creek.  The fraction of flow captured from Gold
Creek and diverted through the diffuser with Sheep Creek
impoundment outflow was calculated using the capture ratios
provided by SRK (1994).  The metals concentrations estimated from
the flow-weighted values of simulated Sheep Creek impoundment
metals and Gold Creek water diverted to the discharge pipe
diffuser in Gastineau Channel were used to develop cumulative
distribution functions (CDF's) for each scenario.

     This analysis resulted in daily estimates of total suspended
solids and total metals in the discharge for a 30-year period.
Since the analysis was developed from a conceptual model which
included the natural variability in streamflow and meteorology
and projected variability in the effluent characteristics, it was
assumed that this 30-year sample could be used to describe the
statistical properties of the simulated effluent concentrations.
This was done by ordering the 30-year record of simulated results
from lowest to highest and then computing the plotting position
of each simulated concentration using the method proposed by Blom
(1958).  That is,

     PP =  (i-0.375)/(N+0.25)

where

     PP = the plotting position
     i = the rank or order of the simulated result
     N= the total number of simulated results

     For example, if a simulated concentration of 100 was
determined to be ranked 365th, that is there were 364 results
lower than 100, its plotting position in sample of 30x365 or
10950 simulated results would be:

     PP=(365-0.375)/(10950.25)=0.033

     Plotting positions are calculated for each of the 10950
simulated results and  used to develop the empirical cumulative
distribution function  (CDF) for TSS and total metals in the
effluent.  The CDF gives the estimated probability that the
effluent concentration of TSS or total metals will be no greater
than some certain value.  For the example given above, the
estimated probability  that the concentration would never be any
greater than 100 would be 0.033.

     6..   Results

     Simulated cumulative distribution functions  (CDF's) for  the
scenarios, Cl and C2,  which were based on the experts
recommendations are  shown in  Figures  13-22.  Figures 23 and 24
are the CDF's for TSS  and total CN  from the scenarios, C3 and C4,
derived from the limited data provided by Hartman Associates

                                70
 image: 








(1994).  For scenarios Cl and C2, the results, though stated
somewhat differently, are similar to those provided by the
steady-state WASP4 simulations.  This implies that the processes
controlling the quality of the effluent in these scenarios are
percent fines suspended.in the water column, settling rate of the
solids, turbulent mixing rates within the pond and the residence
time of the pond.

     With respect to scenarios C3 and C4 derived from the limited
column settling tests, TSS levels are two orders of magnitude
less than the TSS levels simulated in scenarios Cl and C2.
Corresponding metals concentrations were not computed for
scenarios C3 and C4.  Since the  total metals concentrations are
highly dependent on the concentration of solids, the estimated
CDF's for scenarios C3 and C4 will be less  in approximately the
same proportion as the CDF's for TSS.

     As mentioned earlier in the discussion of the WASP4 results,
the concentration of total CN does not depend on the level of
solids.  For this reason, the estimated CDF's for total CN are
similar for all four simulation's using CE-QUAL-W2 and are of the
same order as the results predicted by WASP4.

G..   Discussion of the WASP4 and CE-OUAL-W2 Results

     Simulations of water quality  in  the proposed AJ Mine
tailings pond were obtained, using  two different mathematical
models, WASP4  (Ambrose et al,  1991) and CE-QUAL-W2  (Cole and
Buchak, 1993).  While these are  complex and sophisticated models
based  on principles of conservation of matter and energy, model
results are highly dependent on  estimates  of  those parameters
which  characterize major processes of the  system being modeled,
such as the proportion of tailings that would become  suspended
and' the probability that these particles would  settle out.   In
the case of the proposed AJ Mine tailings  pond, data  to  estimate
these  parameters  for  the specific  site were incomplete or not
available.  It was,  therefore,  necessary to obtain parameter
estimates  from recognized experts,  from the scientific literature
or from environments  for which there  was  some basis  for
extrapolation.  The  resulting  estimates  of expected  discharge
concentrations should be considered in  light of what they are,
which  is predictions  of water  quality.  .

      Due to the  lack of  existing prototypes,  evaluation  of  the
uncertainty  in the results  must be based on knowledge of the
uncertainty  in those parameters and those processes  which are
believed  to have greatest  influence on the predictions.   In the
simulations described in this report, certain parameters such  as
settling  velocity,  percent solids suspended in the water column
and  coefficients of eddy diffusivity were fixed or kept  within a
range that did not include the  known variability.   Instead,  they


                                 71
 image: 








         Figure  13. Estimated CDF's for Total Suspended Solids in the proposed
                 AJ tailings pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage DI
    1.0
    0.9 -


    0.8 -


    0.7 -
H
V
*  0.6 H
    0.5-
J  0.4
 2
P-
 £  0.3 H
 cs
 |  0.2 -
U

    o.i -i


    o.o
	Stage I
	Stage DDL
                     400          800         1200

                       Total Suspended Solids - mg/I
                    1600
2000
 image: 








        Figure 14.  Estimated CDF's for Total As in the proposed AJ tailings
                    pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage m
    1.0
2
e.
    0.9  -
    0.8  -
    0.7 -
    0.6 -
    0.5 -
 g  0.4 H	
JS
 2
 2  0.3 H
 3
 S  0.2 -
U
    o.i H

    o.o
       0.000
                	Stage I
                	Stage ffl
0.005           0.010
         Total As - mg/1
                                                         0.015
0.020
 image: 








Figure  15. Estimated CDFs for Total Cd in the proposed AJ tailings
            pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage IK



X
£>
2
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S
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S
s


i.u -
0.9 -
0.8 -
0.7 -
0.6 -

0.5 -
0.4 -
0 .3 -

0.2-^
0.1 -
0.0 -
/* *
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f
/•
*
*
*
/«
0
*
/ /
/
/ /
/ ..'•'
	 Stagel
	 Stage m



. 	 _, 	 , | -
0.000
0.005          0.010

        Total Cd - mg/1
                                               0.015
0.020
 image: 








        Figure  16.  Estimated CDF's for Total Cr in the proposed AJ tailings
                    pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage IH
    1.0
    0.9  -


    0.8  -


    0.7  -

v
*   0.6  -


    0.5  -
2
|  0.4
 o
a*
 $  03 H
    0.2 -


    0.1 -


    0.0
        0.00
                                         	Stage I

                                         	 StageIH
                     0.01         0.02         0.03

                                Total Cr - mg/1
                                                            0.04
0.05
 image: 








Figure  17. Estimated CDF's for Total Cu in the proposed AJ tailings
            pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage HI
i.u -
0.9 -
0.8 -
0.7 -
V
X 0.6-
JD
s
* 0.5 -
•2 n*
g 0.4 -1
2
&.
V Q^ _
£
| 0.2 -
w
0.1 -
.0 -
0
/"'---""""
/ /•'
/ ..-•'
/ /
//
/••'
• • • • -***
	 Stage I
	 Stage in



— 	 1 	 1 I
.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0











.8
                        Total Cu - mg/1
 image: 








        Figure  18. Estimated CDF's for Total Hg in the proposed AJ tailings

                    pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage in
    1.0
    0.9 -


    0.8 -


    0.7 -
9
*,  0.6 H

2
fe-  0.5 H
|  0.4
2
o-
2  03 H
 E  0.2 -
    0.1 -
).0

  0.0000
                               1
                           /I
                                         	Stage I
                                         	Stage m
	1	\	

 0.0005          0.0010

         Total Hg - mg/1
                                                       0.0015
                                                                       0.0020
 image: 








       Figure 19. Estimated CDFs for Total Pb in the proposed AJ tailings
                    pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage m
    1.0
    0.9 -


    0.8 -


    0.7 -

v
*   0.6 H
.0
2
&  0.5 H


"8   0.4
£t
I
I   03 -


S   0 2 -
u

    0.1  H


    0.0
        0.00
                                       x'
           /
                    	Stage I

                   	Stage ffl
0.05         0.10         0.15

           Total Pb - mg/1
                                                            0.20
0.25
 image: 








       Figure 20. Estimated CDF's for Total Se in the proposed AJ tailings
                    pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage EQ
    1.0
    0.9  -

    0.8  -

    0.7  -
v
*   0.6  -

    0.5  -
2
|  0.4
2
Cu
.>  °3 "i
J£
E  0.2 -
    0.1 H

    0.0
                          y
       0.000
                                             	Stage I
                                             	Stage in
                        0.002            0.004
                                 Total Se - mg/I
                                                        0.006
0.008
 image: 








Figure  21. Estimated CDF's for Total Zn in the proposed AJ tailings
            pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage HI



25
V
X,
1
|
3
08
e
£
"a
|
3


i.u -
0.9 -
0.8 -
0.7 -

0.6 -

0.5 -
0.4 -
03 -
«-
0.1 -
.0 -
_ »
f * "
I »
/»
•
* *

I •
/ /
'

/.../
	 — '
	 Stage I
	 Stage m


	 	 , -j —i | 1
0.0
0.2          0.4          0.6

          Total Zn • mg/l
                                                   0.8
1.0
 image: 








     Figure  22. Estimated CDF's for Total CN in the proposed AJ tailings


               pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage HI
   1.0
   0.9 -





   0.8 -





   0.7 -
M


*   0.6 H
2

&>  0.5 H
£>
   0.4
2
Q*


.>
••*

2
    0.1 -
    0.0
                            ,7
                          //
                         //
                      //
                                    ••• Stage I

                                    — Stage
       0.0
-~l              I

 0.2            0.4



       Total CN - mg/1
                                                  0.6
                                                                0.8
 image: 








  Figure 23. Estimated CDF's for Total Suspended Solids in the proposed AJ
             tailings pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage IIL Settling rates are
             derived from zone settling results reported by Hartman & Associates (1994)
1.0
    0.9 -


    0.8 -


    0.7 -


*  0.6 -

2
£•  0.5
£

|  0.4 H
2
CU
|  03 -
2
3
|  0.2 -
o

    0.1  -
 0.0
                                    	Stage I
                                    	Stage
                  40           80          120

                    Total Suspended Solids - mg/1
                                                            160
200
 image: 








2
a.
     Figure  24. Estimated CDF's for Total CN in the proposed AJ tailings


                pond discharge for pond Stage I and Stage IEL Settling rates for solids are


                derived from zone settling results reported by Hartman & Associates (1994)
    1.0
    0.9 -
    0.8 -
    0.7 -
*.  0.6 -
    0.5 -
|  0-4

 e
 E  0.2
    0.1 -
    0.0
       //
     .••  /


 II
•'  /
        0.0
 0.2             0.4



        Total CN - mg/1
                                                       0.6
0.8
 image: 








were limited to the best available estimates from experts or from
other studies.  However, the results of earlier model studies by
Yearsley (1992, 1993) and Woodward^Clyde Consultants (1993a) show
that the results are quite sensitive to changes in these
parameters.  Use of different parameter values.could lead to
outcomes considerably different from those described in this
report.  It is interesting to note, that in this case, the
results were not particularly sensitive to the use of a
particular model as was originally expected.

     While the work described here, as well as that done
previously  (Yearsley, 1992; Yearsley; 1993; Woodward-Clyde
Consultants, 1993a) represents a  thorough sensitivity analysis of
certain major processes including settling rates of solids,
percent solids suspended in the water column, turbulent mixing
and hydrologic variability, there are certain other processes to
which  limited attention has been  given.  These include deposition
and resuspension of solids, geochemistry of the pond-effluent
mixture, partitioning characteristics of the discharged metals
between solid and  dissolved phases, hydrodynamics of the
subaqueous  discharge, and  effects of groundwater flow through the
sediments.

     The deposition  and resuspension issue was discussed briefly
in Yearsley (1993) and Woodward-Clyde Consultants  (1993a),  but
only in terms of  limited  information provided by Ambrose et al
 (1991).  The panel of experts  provided  some discussion, but the
discussion was  not quantitative  in  terms of environmental
conditions characteristic  of  this site.  Deposition  and
resuspension  are  likely to be affected  by the energy dissipated
by the discharge  itself,  by the  extremely high Taku  winds  which
occur  in this  valley,  and  by  slumping of the  sediments as  waste
piles  build up  on the  bottom  and become unstable.  The slumping
of sediments  could be  an  important factor  in  resuspending
sediments  near  the downstream end of  the proposed  pond where
nominal bottom  depths  are 20  feet and drop  to 45 to  60 feet
within half a mile of  the proposed dam  (Andrews,  1994) .

     The  geochemistry of  the  effluent-pond mixture does  not
appear to  be  an important factor while  the mine  is in operation,
since  the  results from the geochemically-based  WASP4 simulations
are  not greatly different from the dilution-based  results  based
on the CE-QUAL-W2 results.  However,  it does appear  to be
 important after the mine has ceased operation,  when  the
concentration of dissolved metals in the sediment  pore water can
have a significant impact on the overlying waters.

      Groundwater flow through the sediments is also a process
which represents a significant potential impact on the water
 quality  of the tailings pond after mining has ceased.  While many
 experts  have discounted the possibility of groundwater flow, none
 of this  has been supported by quantitative analysis.  Based on an

                                 84
 image: 








analysis of limited existing data  (see Appendix C),  the
hypothesis that groundwater flow will reach the tailings pond
cannot be rejected.  Since the water quality of the tailings pond
is quite sensitive to groundwater  input after mining operations
have ended, uncertainty  in its ultimate impact can only be
resolved by thorough analysis.

     Uncertainties in processes can be invoked to justify choice
of parameters which could lead to  both greater or smaller
estimates of the  impact  of this project during and after
operation of the  mine.   The parameter ranges chosen for the
simulations described here represent a year-long effort on the
part of EPA Region 10 and the applicant to obtain best
professional judgments on appropriate values.

H_._   Comparison with Other Tailings Ponds

     Since this project  is unique  in terms of the method of
discharge of tailings, characterizing the accuracy of the
prediction, based on previous observations or prototypical
systems, is difficult.   Klohn Leonoff  (1993) have, for example,
reviewed the discharge water quality of a number  of tailings
basins  in Canada  and concluded  that effluent quality from these
can be  compared favorably  to the  proposed AJ Mine tailings ponds.
Although details  provided  by Klohn Leonoff  (1993) are  incomplete,
it would appear that none  of the  ponds  reviewed use subaqueous
disposal, rather  they  all  use spigoted  or end  spilling methods of
discharge.  This  could  lead  to  very different  conditions arising
from density flows and  slumping which  are very  likely  to occur
under conditions  similar to  those proposed  for the AJ  Mine
tailings pond.

     Of equal  importance in  the case  of the Klohn Leonoff data is
the  lack of quality control  associated with the referenced  data.
There is little  indication of  the method of sampling,  frequency
of sampling or of environmental conditions  prevailing  during the
period  which  samples were collected.   While quality  control and
assurance  may  have been a part of these studies,  it  is not  clear
from the review conducted by Klohn Leonoff  (1993)  that the  data
were of adequate quality.

     The only other tailings disposal project discussed in
connection with this proposed facility is the Island Copper
discharge  on  Vancouver  Island.  This is a subaqueous discharge,
but  the discharge is to a much larger body of water than the
proposed AJ Mine tailings pond.   Slumping and density flows have
been observed at this discharge,  but bottom slopes are much
greater in the case of  Island Copper than they would be in the
proposed AJ Mine tailings pond.   Observed levels of TSS in the
 receiving water  at this site (Figures 6 and 7) are of the  same
 o?dJr as those predicted for the  AJ Mine pond using WASP4 and CE-
 QUAL-W2.

                                 85
 image: 








     Conclusions Regarding Adequacy of Wastewater Treatment with
     Respect to Meeting New Source Performance Standards

     The overall conclusion with respect to the adequacy of
wastewater treatment is that the tailings impoundment alone would
not provide treatment that would be adequate to meet EPA's New
Source Performance Standards at the point of discharge "to
Gastineau Channel.

     Projections of effluent quality are based in large part on
concentrations of chemical parameters in the influent to the
tailings impoundment.  The influent values were derived from
analyses of AJ mine tailings produced during pilot scale milling.
Two water quality models, WASP4 and CE-QUAL-W2, were used to
simulate the processes that would occur in the tailings
impoundment, as suspended particles settle and as metals are
partitioned between solid and dissolved phases.

     Table 16 compares projected effluent quality from WASP4 and
CE-QUAL-W2 water quality modeling with EPA's New Source
Performance Standards that would apply to the discharge from this
project.  The water quality model results are presented as a
range for both the WASP4 and CE-QUAL-W2 simulations.  The ranges
reflect different assumptions used in the scenarios that were
modeled.

     Bold numbers indicate those NSPS parameters that are
predicted to be  exceeded in the discharge.  These include copper
and  TSS and possibly mercury, which the CE-QUAL-W2 model
indicates would  be exceeded approximately 5% of the time.
Average monthly  copper  limits would be exceeded under all
scenarios as would TSS  when particle  settling velocities are
determined according to Stokes1 Law  (scenarios 1-12 for the WASP4
model and scenarios C-l and C-2 for the CE-QUAL-W2 simulations).
When zone settling velocities are used  (CE-QUAL-W2 scenarios C-3
and  C-4), TSS  is still  predicted to exceed  limits during Stage I
operations at  least  5%  of  the time.
                                 86
 image: 








Table 16:  Comparison of Projected Effluent Quality and New  Source  Performance  Standards


Parameter
Cadmium
Copper
Lead
Mercury
Zinc
TSS (mg/1)
TSS1 (mg/1)
WASP4 (ug/1
except TSS) )
LOW
9.0
240
150
0.28
410
760

HIGH
19.6
480
940
0.53
940
1800

CE-QUAL-W2 (ug/1
except TSS) )
50%
4.7/6.4
218/242
67.9/102.0
.581/.550
184/273
328/429
0/0
95%
8.0/14.4
395/599
114/223
1.13/1.53
309/600
552/1090
0/44
New Source Peformance
Standards
Maximum
Daily Limit
(ug/1
except TSS)
100
300
600
2
1500
30 mg/1
30 mg/1
Average
Monthly
Limit
(ug/1
except TSS)
50
150
300
1. 0
750
20 mg/1
20 mg/1
     1  CE-QUAL-W2 projections using zone settling numbers




                                           87
 image: 








VII. POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF THE DISCHARGE ON WATER QUALITY IN
     GASTINEAD CHANNEL
A.   Introduction

     This portion of the TAR focuses on the potential impacts to
water quality in Gastineau Channel due to wastewater discharges
from the AJ mine and tailings impoundment. • The central question
is whether there is adequate mixing in Gastineau Channel to
dilute the pollutants in the impoundment effluent to ecologically
safe levels.  In this chapter, EPA reviews the available
information related to mixing properties in Gastineau Channel and
constructs a model to predict impacts to the channel from the
proposed impoundment discharges.

B.   Area Description

          Physical Characteristics
      Gastineau  Channel is a coastal plain estuary which is
partially  stratified  in the summer and well-mixed during the
winter.

      The area is  located in southeast Alaska between  58°20' and
58° 10'  latitude and 134° 15' and  134° 24'. The channel  is a tidal
inlet and  is an extension of Stephens Passage.   Juneau is located
at  the  head of  the channel  (Figure 25) .   The entrance to
Gastineau  Channel is  4 kilometers west of the convergence of Taku
Inlet and  Stephens Passage.  At  the upstream end of the estuary,
a small navigation channel, passable only at high tide, connects
the tide flats  of Gastineau Channel to those of  Fitz  Cove.
Mel.twater  from  Mendenhall Glacier and Lemon Creek flows through
these tidal flats into Gastineau Channel, to the southeast, and
Fitz Cove  to the  west.

      The channel  is approximately 14 kilometers  long  from the
mouth at Stephens Passage to the Juneau-Douglas  bridge.  The
width varies from a minimum of  182 meters at the Juneau bridge to
a maximum  of 1,300 meters. The  width of  over 90% of the channel
is  approximately  1,200 meters.  The bottom of the channel  is
relatively flat,  the  depth  varies from 70 meters at the mouth  to
20  meters  near  Juneau.  Over 90% of the  channel  the depth varies
only slightly  from the average  channel  depth of  38 meters.

      Topography surrounding the channel  is  characterized  as
steep,  glacially- carved  valleys to the east,  with elevations
ranging from sea  level at the  channel  to 1,200 meters in  the
glacial areas.   Glaciers  surrounding  the channel provide  a
continual  freshwater  source due to meltwater  during  summer
months. The steep hills  of Douglas  Island  border  the channel  to
the west.

                                 88
 image: 








                                                      SHEEP CREEK
                                                 TAILINGS DISPOSAL OPTION
   sg^^t^n /?,3e?^i
   /%. •.. ^\••• •! /i i':<r\i'c5C.'i««
Figure 25 : Project Area
                                          Source: Echo Bay Alaska, Inc.
 image: 








     2.   Meteorology

     Juneau is located in a coastal zone region with maritime
climate.  The climate is affected by storms which originate in or
cross the Gulf of Alaska in a general westerly direction.  Due to
the moderating effects of the maritime climate, temperatures are
mild for this latitude.

     There is moderate variation in daily and seasonal
temperatures in the Juneau area.  Monthly average temperatures
range from 28°F in January to 57°F in July.

     This area receives an abundant amount of precipitation with
a total annual average of 90 inches.  The lowest monthly
precipitation occurs in June, with an average of 4 inches at the
downtown station. The maximum average monthly precipitation
occurs  in October  (13 inches).

     Due to the orographic effects precipitation varies greatly
over short distances.  The quantity of precipitation increases
sharply with elevation to the east of Juneau. At Juneau Ice
Field,  30 miles east of Juneau, the estimated annual
precipitation  is 200 inches.

     Snowfall  at the downtown station averages over 79 inches
annually. Semi-permanent snowfields are  found at elevations of
3.300  feet on  the north-facing slopes of Roberts Peak and Sheep
Mountain.

     Surface winds are strongly channeled by the steep terrain.
Gastineau Channel  is oriented northwest-southeast, the same
direction as the surface winds.  Wind observations from the
downtown station indicate that southeast winds occur 65 percent
of  the time and northwest winds occur 15 percent of the time.
The mean annual wind speed  from the airport station records
indicate an annual mean wind speed of 3.7 meters per second.  The
monthly means  range  from  3.3 m/s  in August to  4.3 m/s in October.
There  is less  channelization of wind at  the-airport  (northeast of
town)  than downtown  (near the channel).  Short periods of strong
gusty  northerly  or easterly winds  occur  during the winter months.


      3.   Freshwater Sources

     A number  of  creeks  provide  freshwater to  the  surface  layer
of  Gastineau  Channel.  U.S.  Geological  Service (USGS) streamflow
records are  available for Gold  Creek,  Sheep  Creek  and Lawson
Creek.  Gold  Creek  has been gauged from 1918-1982 and 1985-
present, Sheep Creek for the period of  1919-1973,  and Lawson
Creek  1970-1971.
                                 90
 image: 








     To estimate the total freshwater discharge into the channel,
Echo Bay used information from the gauged streams to estimate the
total freshwater discharge into the channel  (Andrews, 1991).   To
determine the total flows into the channel, discharge from the
areas not represented by historic USGS gauged stations were
estimated.

     To obtain the estimates  for ungauged areas, a discharge rate
per unit drainage area was determined for each area based on USGS
flow and drainage area records.  These values were then
multiplied by the ungauged areas with similar topography.  The
Gold Creek drainage value was used to determine the discharge for
the Salmon Creek and Snowslide/Cross Bay area, the Sheep Creek
value for Little Sheep/Dupont area, and the  Lawson Creek value
for the Douglas Island area.

     Relative discharge  contributions for each creek to the total
flow are summarized below.

Table 17: Basin Contributions
Basin
Gold Creek
Salmon Creek
Cross Bay/Snowslide Creek
Sheep Creek
Little Sheep/Dupont Creek
Douglas Island
Percent Contribution to
Channel
27%
25%
12%
16%
16%
4%
      Flowrates for the above basins vary significantly over the
 seasons.   Generally, low flows occur in winter months (November -
 April)   while higher flows occur in the summer months (June -
 October) .   For example, average July flows in Gold Creek are ten
 times higher than average March flows  (Comprehensive Report,
 Table 3-4; EBA, 1992).

      4_._    Tidal Influence

      Gastineau Channel is not connected directly to the open
 marine waters of the Pacific Ocean.  Rather, the channel is
 influenced by adjoining channels,  which provide a source of
 freshwater to the channel.  The tides  in this area are
 semidiurnal unequal, with a period of  approximately 12.4 hours
 The mean tidal height  is 2.5 meters with an average wave height
 of 3.5 meters.
                                 91
 image: 








C.   Previous Studies

     Several field studies have been conducted to assess the
capacity of the channel to provide dispersion and dilution of
waste discharges. The following discussion and analysis briefly
summarize data presented in these field reports.

     1.   Sewage Outfall Study 1965

     One of the first studies conducted in the channel was
conducted in August 1965. The purpose of this study was to
evaluate the placement of the city's sewage outfall.
Investigations were conducted mainly in the area near the Juneau-
Douglas Island Bridge.  This site was investigated because
observed turbulence in this region suggested that it might
provide additional mixing capacity.  Measurements of temperature,
salinity, dissolved oxygen and pH were obtained.  A plot of the
longitudinal salinity distribution near high water slack is shown
in Figure 26.

     Current float studies were conducted at various depths and
locations during both flood and ebb tides.  A rhodamine dye
tracer was released at the water surface under the bridge during
a flood tide on August 17 and during an ebb tide on August 20.
Several rip tides were observed in the vicinity of the bridge.
These tides were observed above the bridge during the flood tide
and below the bridge during the ebb.  Surface dye was observed
sinking, at the rip tide area.

     2.   Seawater Monitoring 1989 - 1990

     Salinity is an important element in the analysis of
estuaries, because salt can be treated as a conservative tracer,
descriptive of the mixing characteristics of the waterbody.
Salinity levels also describe a waterbody's vertical density
stratification, which is an important element of discharge plume
dynamics.  Echo Bay conducted a seawater monitoring program
during the months of May 1989, September  1989, March 1990, August
1990, -and September 1990.  Salinity and temperature profiles were
obtained during single excursions for a given month.  Salinity
data for September 1989 and March 1990 are included in Appendix
Dl.

     3.   Channel Current Survey 1990

     During the summer months, Echo Bay conducted a current
survey near Thane and the Rock Dump Site  (see Appendix D3).  The
mooring at the Thane site was deployed in 30 meters of water,
with current meters at 12, 19 and 26 meter depths.  This meter
was operated from June 29, 1990, to July  21, 1990.  The mooring
at the Rock Dump site was deployed  in 24  meters of water and
operated from June 29, 1990 to August 28, 1990, with current

                                92
 image: 








            Juneau-Douglas
            Bridge
               0"
                                                 Nautical Miles From Bridge
                                                                 _}_
                                                                  i
_6_
 l
CO
u
    10
    20
z   30
I
a,
UJ
a  so
-J2,ft
       *r,u
- /tV
                    BOTTOM OF GASTINEAU  CHANNEL


   Figure 26 :  Observed Pattern of Salinity in Gastineau Channel Near High-Water Slack

              on August 20, 1965.
             (U.S. Department of Interior, 1966)
                                                                                                  STCPHENS
                                                                                                     PASSAGE
 image: 








meters located .at 13, 17 and 22 meter depths. Temperature,
conductivity, current speed and direction were measured at 15
minute intervals.  During the period of August 27 to August 30,
drogued buoys were deployed near the Thane site during both flood
and ebb condition. The buoys were drogued at a depth of 1.5
meters, except on August 30 when the drogue was changed to a 5
meter depth.

     4.   Thane Current Survey 1992

     One current meter was deployed at the Thane site  (see
Appendix D3) for the period of February 18 through April 24,
1992.  Current meters were located at depths of 5, 10, 20 and 30
meters.  In addition to measuring current speed, temperature and
salinity information were obtained.  Drift buoys drogued at 1.5
and 3 meters and surface drifters were also deployed on two days
during this survey  (see Appendix D9).

          Drift Card Study 1992

     A drift card study was conducted by the National Marine
Fisheries Service (NMFS) Auke Bay Laboratory in May 1992.  The
purpose of this study was to evaluate salmon fry migration over
Mendenhall bar.  Two thousand drift cards were released at three
different locations in Gastineau Channel.  The cards were
released on ebb and flood tides on two different days.  Appendix
D9 contains the location and percent recovered for corresponding
release stations.

     6.   Study Summaries and Comparison

     a.   Surface Flow Characteristics

     i.   Winter

     NMFS1 drift card study was conducted in May 1992.  A
majority of the cards released in Gastineau Channel remained in
the channel, indicating a limited degree of communication between
the surface of Gastineau Channel and Fitz Cove to the  north.

     Echo Bay's drift surveys in 1992 indicate some influence of
winds on surface flows.  Under steady north winds during an ebb
tide on March 31, buoys were driven to the Douglas Island
shoreline and then  slightly up-channel to the northwest.
Meanwhile, buoys at 1.5 and 10 meter depths travelled  southeast
in accordance with  the expected tidal current.

      Under southeast winds during a flood tide  on April 23,
bouys at all depths travelled northwest  in the direction of the
tidal current.  The travel distance  for  buoys at the  10 meter
depth was relatively short, while the surface buoys travelled as
far as the rock dump area.

                                94
 image: 








     11.
Summer
     Five deployments were made during ebb and flood tide during
the period of August 27 to August 30, 1990.  All buoys recovered
during the August 1990 deployment were recovered further up-
channel from the location they started.  For these deployments,
transport was up-channel during high winds (10-15 knots) and
followed the expected tidal current during calm periods.

     b.   Channel Flow Properties

     i.   Winter

     Mean current speeds in March 1992 at Thane are summarized in
Table  18.  Residual, along-channel velocities for the period are
presented graphically in Figure 27.  The depth at which the
velocity profile changes direction is approximately 10 meters
below  the surface.  Based on Table 19 the average residual
velocity in the upper 10 meters is approximately .8 cm/sec, in
the down-channel direction.  The average residual velocity for
the lower layer 20 meters is approximately .5 cm/sec, in the up-
channel direction.
     Table 18: Average Current Speeds at Thane in March 1992
Depth (m)
5
10
20
30
Avg Velocity
(cm/ sec)
11.9
9.1
7.4
7.6
     11.
          Summer
     Average current  velocities  in March  1992  at Thane are
summarized  in Table 19.   The  average  residual  velocities for the
June to August  1990 investigation are listed in Table 19.  The
residual  data for  Station A would suggest that there is a net
flow down-channel  at  all depths;  however,  the  surface layer of
the estuary was not monitored.   The up-channel flow at the
shallowest  meter monitored (Station B,  11.5  meters) suggests that
measurements were  generally obtained  below a down-channel flow in
the surface layer.
                                95
 image: 








ft
0
-5
-10
£
o -20
.-25
-30
-35
-•• r • i — i • i —

\
/
i
\
\
\

1


X
'


\
.5







3
Speed



*

,
i

5
(cm/s)

"


•

i
i
I 	 1 	 1 	 • 	 »—
1 1




I


5 2
                        Figure 27 :
Residual  along-chnniicl velocity profile Tor period 18 February to
24 April 1992
                                                                                           Source: Comprehensive Report
 image: 








    Table 19   Average Current Speeds for June - August  1990
Station A
Depth (m)
13.5
17.0
22.1
Velocity
cm/ sec
5.3
5.0
2.2
Station B
Depth (m)
11.5
19.0
26.5
Velocity
cm/ sec
8.7
4.4
4.7
 Table 20   Average Residual Current Velocity June - August 1990
Station A
Depth (m)
13.5
17.0
22.1
Velocity
cm/ sec
2.1
1.6
0.7
Station B
Depth (m)
11.5
19.0
26.5
Velocity
cm/ sec
-1.8
0.5
0.8
(negative values represent down channel flow)
     c.   Salinity Distributions

          Winter
     Observations of salinity reported  in the seawater monitoring
report indicate a minimal amount  of  stratification for the period
between November and March.  For March 1991, the average salinity
for stations near the mouth  was 31 ppt.  The average salinity for
stations up channel .was  29 ppt. The  March 1990 records indicate
an average salinity of 29 ppt, with  this value relatively uniform
up-channel. The November profile  indicates an average salinity of
31 ppt near the mouth, and an average up-hannel salinity of 29
ppt.

     Salinity profiles obtained during  the February-April 1992
investigation indicate a relatively  uniform profile for February
with an average salinity of  30.2  ppt. The March and April
profiles indicate a stratified  layer with  increased surface
temperatures. It appears that over the  data collection period of
February 18 - April 24,  1992, stratification was  increasing. This
increasing degree of  stratification  was probably  due to an
increase in freshwater  flows. The monthly  average freshwater flow
for Gold Creek  for March 1992 was 68 cfs,  which is over 5 times
greater than the  long-term average March flow.
                                 97
 image: 








     ii.  Summer

     Profiles for the summer period were available for August
1990 and September 1989. The August profiles show a distinct
stratification extending to a depth of approximately 10 meters.
The minimum salinity observed in the surface layer was 9 ppt.
Salinity in the surface layer appears to increase in the up-
channel direction.  This phenomenon was also observed in salinity
data from the 1965 study. The September 1989 profiles show a
similar trend, with a stratified layer extending to a depth of 10
meters.  The September data exhibits the same increase in the
surface salinity with up-channel distance.

     Salinity data from the June-August 1990 current mooring were
obtained at depths generally below the stratified layer. The
shallowest meter was located at a depth of 12 meters.

     7.   Physical Description Summary &. Interpretation

     In summary, there appear to be two distinct periods and
mixing conditions in Gastineau .Channel.  The winter period
between November and March is characterized by relatively low
freshwater tributary input, colder surface layer, and well mixed
vertical conditions.

     The summer period, between April and September, may be
characterized by a five-fold increase in tributary inflow, a
stratified upper layer consisting of less saline and warmer
water,  and an increase in salinity in the upper layer in the up-
channel direction. The period of maximum stratification appears
to coincide with the maximum glacier melt and subsequent runoff.
Based on the pattern of salinity increasing in the up-channel
direction, it appears a significant portion of the freshwater
entering the channel during the summer period originates in
Stephens Passage.

     The general circulation observed during both winter and
summer  periods  is directed up-channel  (towards Juneau) at depth
and down-channel in the upper layer. During periods of high
winds,  surface  currents are enhanced either in the down- or up-
channel surface flows. The predominant direction would appear  to
be up-channel influence due to the frequency of the up-channel
wind occurrences  (65%).  This effect may  explain the March 1992
drift buoys moving up-channel at the surface and down-channel
below  1.5 meters.

     The primary mixing mechanisms for an estuarine system
identified by Ippen  (1966)  include: a) the effect of the tide; b)
the effect of gravitational forces due to density variations
between freshwater from upland sources and saline water from the
sea; c) the gravitational  force needed to produce a net seaward
transport of  freshwater; and d.) the Coriolis forces and

                                98
 image: 








centrifugal forces inducing transverse fluid motion due. to the
rotation of the earth and any curvature of the estuary.  From the
above physical description of the Gastineau Channel system, the
primary mixing mechanisms at work are the tides, the seaward
transport of freshwater, and wind-driven advection at the
surface.

D.   Screening Analysis for Water Quality Impacts

     1.   Analysis by Echo Bay Alaska

     Analyses provided by Echo Bay have employed the use of a
single cell or "box" model to assert that long-term (or far-
field) mixing is  not significantly limited.  A diagram of the
single cell concept is shown in  Figure 28.  If this far-field
mixing is assured, near-field dilution modeling would be useful
in ascertaining the dimensions and dilution in any mixing zone
(Comprehensive Report; EBA,  1992).

     For a number of reasons, the box model described in the
Comprehensive Report does not represent a worst-case view of the
far-field impacts.  First, this  model does not address the
potential for stratification to  trap the discharge plume in the
lower waters of the channel, which tend to migrate up-channel.
Another problem stems  from the use of average current speeds,
artificially set  in one  direction, to move water  into the
channel.  Residual currents  are  a more appropriate measure of
minimum net transport  into  and out of a waterbody over time,
because residual  currents represent the net current after  the
flow reversal effect  of  tidal  currents  is  filtered out of  the
data.  Finally, the box  model  assumes that all  waters within the
box  are mixed instantaneously, which neglects the potential for
relatively higher impacts  in the upper  channel  than in the lower
channel due to  relative  distances from  the tidal  source  (Stephens
Passage).

      2.   Alternative Screening  Analysis

      As background to conducting a more detailed  analysis  of
mixing in Gastineau Channel, EPA used  the residual  current speed
documented  in  the Comprehensive Report  (Figure  27)  to  estimate
the  available  dilution flows at a given site in the channel.   In
this case,  EPA compared the projected  effluent flow from the  AJ
mine with the  estimated cross-sectional flow in Gastineau
Channel,  calculated as the net flux passing through the channel
cross-section by virtue of the residual current (Figure 29).
                                 99
 image: 








  38m
                              Gold
                              Creek
Sheep
Creek
  A-J
Outfall
                                                 •
                                                                                                  Stephens
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.
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^"^"- "r
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'" '.-:'"' '..-.. ;;'. ' ''.; -V- 1:'''-' '-'•'' ':' / : .' ':•'' -•"••'•'''• ; ;;- ''::.;- '''•''.'•' : .:•' • '•• • • ' -
•''••"'.•.. : .; ."•;;." ' ''; •'• 	 • •- . •
:' • ?-$&£j$: '"';:';:.:-::-: v:.:.-. v':. -'.•• .. •:...• .:.. ,': • ••••v;'.':': :^:,i§|;i:v^^ •
G A:S;:7: I N'E^A U C H A N N E'L
"• '. •••. . • ' '•'•. -.•*•• .-:.' .•••'• . . ',' , ' .';' •:• " ''.-'.' ' ','•' •••'•-- ' • - : ; : ._: ' . • .
<jj:
^^
Tidal inflow + A-J outfall
+ Sheep Creek + Gold Crce
^4—
/^
<CT Tidal inflow
. ^"\^-
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                                           13,800m
                                                                                         tfp*
Figure 28 : Conceptual Diagram of Single Cell Model
                                                                                   Source: Comprehensive Report
 image: 








             trapping depth
    Residual Current
    (.005 m/s)
    bottom layer
    channel cross-section
    (25 m x 1300m)
                       diffuser
                           effluent plume
Figure 29 : Conceptual Framework for Volume Flux Approach
 image: 








The volume flux, is calculated as follows:

AJ Maximum Discharge Flow = 200 cfs =18.6 m3/sec

Channel Cross Section (below 10 m) = 25 m x 1300 m = 32,500 m2

Avg Residual Current (below 10 m) = .5 cm/sec =  .005 m/s

Volume Flux   = (Cross section) x (avg residual velocity)
          = 32500 x .005 = 162.5 m3/sec

Dilution at Max Flow  = (Volume Flux)/(AJ Discharge Flow)
          = 162/18.6 = 9


     These calculations suggest that flows through the channel at
slack tide (residual currents only) would dilute the effluent by
a factor of 9, significantly less than the estimated initial
dilution of approximately 100:1 described in Echo Bay's
Comprehensive Report.  While the tides would be  expected to
provide additional dilution in .the system, this  contribution
would be expected to dwindle with increased distance from the
channel entrance.

     The above screening calculations, coupled with concerns
about the assumptions of the Echo Bay box model, leads EPA to
conclude that the analyses to date do not adequately evaluate the
potential for accumulation of pollutants in the  upper part of the
channel.  As a result, EPA pursued a more detailed analysis of
the problem using the WASP4 model.

E.   Analysis using WASP4 Framework

     lj   Introduction

     The Water Quality Analysis Simulation Program Version 4.32
(Ambrose et al., 1991) is a dynamic compartment  modeling system
that has been widely used in the United States to predict water
quality responses to pollution.  It simulates transport and
transformation of conventional and toxic pollutants in surface
waters using finite difference techniques.  The  model is
maintained and supported by the USEPA  Center for Exposure
Assessment Modeling in Athens, Georgia.

     The WASP4 Model developed for Gastineau Channel was
calibrated using salinity to determine reasonable mixing
conditions.  Using these mixing parameters, the  model was then
run using average and worst-case pollutant  loadings from the
impoundment to estimate pollutant concentrations in the channel.
These pollutant concentrations are then  compared to applicable
water quality standards for the  channel.


                               102
 image: 








     2.   Model- Structure

     a.   Spatial Scale

     The WASP4 parameters for the Gastineau Channel problem were
estimated on the basis of available monitoring information, most
of which has been submitted by Echo Bay Alaska, Inc.  In this
analysis, the channel is divided into 8 longitudinal sections.
Salinity data and a residual tidal velocity graph from Echo Bay's
Comprehensive Report indicate that the channel is stratified to
approximately 10 meters depth.  To capture this feature, the
model structure includes two layers of cells  in the vertical, one
from the surface to 10 meters and the second  from 10 to 35
meters .

     The model contains 16  (2 X 8) cells or parcels of water
linked together in the generalized shape of Gastineau Channel.  A
diagram of the model grid is shown in Figure  30.

     WASP4 is designed such that effects on a scale smaller than
the cell dimensions are not predicted.  For example, localized
impacts around the diffuser are underpredicted by the model,
because loadings are assumed to completely mix in the cell
volume, which is significantly  larger in scale than the diffuser
dimensions.  A more refined cell grid would be required to focus
on smaller areas of concern.

     b.   Time Scales

     The characteristic time  scales  for this  problem are
estimated below.  The basis  for the  listed parameters  is
described later in this report.

     Horizonal Diffusion  (head  of  channel) :
            = L2/k =  (1300 meters)2/ (.16 m2/sec) = 122  days
      Horizonal Diffusion (mouth of channel) :
            = L2/k = (1300 meters)2/ (1.0 m2/sec) =20 days
      Vertical Diffusion (March) :
            = LVk = (12.5 meters)2/ (.00001 mz/sec) =  180 days
      Vertical Diffusion (September) :
            = L2/k = (12.5 meters)2/ (.000001  m2/sec)=  1800 days
      Advection (based on tidal height) :
                     depth/tidal depth = (35 m)/(5 m/day)  = 7  days
      Advection (based on longest path & residual tidal velocity) :
        Tadvect  =  13,800 m/.005 m/s + 13,800 m/ . 008 m/s = 52  days
                                103
 image: 








       J-O BRIDGE
          AJ DISCHARGE
   CELL DIMENSIONS
   TOP 1760X1300X10M
   BOTTOM 17SOX1300X 25 M
                              GOLD CREEK
                              SALMON CREEK
                              CROSS BAY/SNOWSLIDE
                                                    SHEEP CREEK
                                                    LFTTLE SHEEP/DUPONT
STEPHENS PASSAGE BOUNDARY
Figure 30: WASPA GRID AND BOUNDARIES FOR GASTINEAU CHANNEL MODEL
 image: 








     The time scales above offer a picture of the relative
importance of a given parameter or factor on mixing.  For
example, the relatively short time scales for transport of bay
waters through tidal advection and residual advection
(gravitational), compared to the larger horizontal diffusion time
scale, support the notion that advection is the predominant
mixing process in Gastineau Channel in late summer.  Also,
reduced vertical mixing would be expected in September due to a
stronger density gradient, resulting in a longer time scale for
vertical mixing.

     3.   Model Assumptions

     The following is a list of major assumptions of this
modeling assessment:

     1.   Tidal flows decrease linearly in the up-channel
          direction, based on continuity and the speed of the
          tidal wave.

     2.   Tidal flows are uniformly distributed in the vertical
          dimension.

     3.   Residual flows move up-channel at depth and down-
          channel at the surface.  There is no residual flow in
          late winter.

     4.   Wastewater is trapped  below  10 meters in  summer and
          reaches the surface  in winter.

      5.   Wastewater is completely mixed in the first cell upon
          discharge.   Inflows  to each  cell are completely  (and
          instantaneously) mixed in both horizontal  and vertical
          dimensions.

      6.   Mixing  beyond the  Juneau-Douglas Bridge  is not
          significant.  Freshwater inflows at the  bridge  boundary
          are included.

      7.   Horizontal diffusion decreases  from the  mouth  of the
          channel (Stephens  Passage)  to the  head  (Juneau-Douglas
          Bridge)  in proportion to the square of the distance
           from the mouth.
      4.    Solution Approach

      The model was calibrated to salinity data observed in
 September 1989 and March 1990 to represent stratified and non-
 stratified conditions.  Salinity levels were predicted using
 estimates of seasonal flows to the system.  Using fixed tidal and
 residual advective flows, certain model parameters were adjusted

                                105
 image: 








to most closely., approximate actual salinity gradients by varying
(1) horizontal and vertical diffusion coefficients and (2)
residual current flows.  Using the best-fit parameters derived
from the two calibrations, the model was then run with the
proposed discharge as an input. This method presumes that the
conditions of September 1989 and March 1990 are representative of
seasonal extremes (high and low runoff, respectively).

     To the extent possible, available monitoring data from the
study area were used to estimate the important parameters
affecting mixing.  Due to the limited data, the complexity of the
problem and number of variables involved, there is no single,
unique solution to the problem.  The uncertainty in parameter
values necessitated using an approach of fixing parameters for
which data was available, and varying those for which limited
data was available until a reasonable solution was obtained.

     Because tidal advection is included, a steady state solution
was not obtained.  However, the model was run with a time step
and duration sufficient to obtain a dynamic, steady-state
solution.  Time series plots are included in Appendix D7.

     Finally, because WASP4 is a finite difference program used
for far-field analysis, it provides only average parameter values
for a given cell.  Because of this, the values calculated by the
model do not represent local maxima within cells.  This should be
considered in particular when reviewing the results for the cell
receiving the discharge loading, because local pollutant
concentrations around the discharge would be higher than the
average value calculated by this model.

     5.   Parameter Estimation

     a.   Characterization of Discharges

     Echo Bay Alaska, Inc. originally proposed to discharge an
average of 49 cfs and maximum of 100 cfs of wastewater from the
tailings impoundment into Gastineau Channel near Thane  (FEIS).  A
subsequent analysis, which described the operating rule for
controlled effluent releases.from the  impoundment, revised the
maximum flowrate to 200 cfs  (SRK, April  1994),  This operating
rule and the 30-year record of flows at  the USGS station  form the
basis for predicting daily outflows.  Predictions of metals
concentrations in the discharge are described elsewhere in this
report  (see Chapter VI).

     The Gastineau Channel analysis is performed using fixed
discharge values designed to represent average and worst-case
conditions.  The average  condition  is  defined as the 95th
percentile value of running  180-day averages of the  impoundment
loadings predicted in  Chapter VI  (Stage  I  of the project).  The
180-day time frame was  chosen  on the basis of the approximate

                                106
 image: 








response time o.f the estuary to the pollutant discharge (see
Appendix D7).  The worst-case condition assumes a continuous
discharge from the impoundment at maximum flow  (200 cfs) and 95th
percentile maximum pollutant concentrations.

     The AJ impoundment discharge is input to the model as a
loading  (mass/time).  Based on the predicted concentration of
each constituent above  (for average and worst-case conditions)
and the average and maximum discharge flow rates, the following
total loadings  (combined dissolved and particulate) in the
impoundment discharge are assumed.
             Table 21:  Impoundment Discharge Loading
Parameter
Mercury
Cyanide
Arsenic
Copper
Zinc
Lead
Avg
Discharge
(Ibs/day)
.079
138
2.9
76
155
59
Max
Discharge
(Ibs/day)
1.61
678
15.1
646
648
241
      Initial dilution modeling by EPA (see Appendix D5)  supports
 predictions in the Comprehensive Report that the discharge plume
 would be trapped beneath the surface by the density gradient
 under stratified conditions.  In the summer analysis,  the entire
 discharge loading was introduced to the bottom cell corresponding
 to the proposed outfall location in Gastineau Channel.

      Dilution modeling also indicates the potential for a
 surfacing wastewater plume under unstratified conditions.  In the
 winter analysis, the discharge is uniformly distributed to the
 bottom and top layer cells corresponding to the outfall location
 to evaluate the impacts from a surfacing plume.

      b.   Mixing Dynamics - Salinity Calibration

      The amount of mixing occurring in Gastineau Channel is a
 function of processes driven by tides, freshwater discharges, and
 wind   In this analysis, the dynamics associated with the tide
 and residual estuarine circulation were estimated by assuming
 salinity is a conservative tracer.  Wind was not incorporated
                                107
 image: 








into the quantitative analyis, though its influence on surface
flow is discussed qualitatively in this report.

     c.   Advection

     WASP4 is capable of calculating the effects of both
advection and dispersion on water quality in the Channel.  In the
absence of hydrodynamic model results, WASP4 accepts user-defined
flow fields and exchange fields.  For this problem, several
advective flows are included.  They include freshwater inflows,
residual flows, and tidal flows.  Freshwater inflows and residual
flows were fixed, while a time varying function was used for
tidal flows.  Figure 31 describes the advection routing
pictorially.

     Average residual velocities from Figure 27 were coupled with
cell dimensions to obtain, the general range for residual flow at
the Stephens Passage boundary, with uniform vertical upwelling
from the lower layer assumed.  The average residual velocity
(.005 m/sec) for the Thane current meter would suggest an average
inflow greater than 160 m3/sec -in the lower layer at the Stephens
Passage boundary.  However, using the salt mass balance
methodology described by Pritchard (1955), the lower layer flow
for September 1989 is 27 m3/sec.  The flowrate at the boundary
was adjusted in the salinity calibration.  The best fit for
September 1989 salinity data was found at a residual flow of
approximately 60 m3/sec, within the range described above.  The
residual flow for March (low stratification) was assumed to be
zero as a worst case assumption.

     The tidal chart for August 29, 1990 (from Attachment 6 to
the Comprehensive Report)  was input as a time variable flow
function which repeats itself each day until the model run is
complete.

     The flows in the model correspond to current velocities that
are conservative in comparison to average conditions shown in the
current meter results for the 1990 and 1992 current meter
surveys.  For example, the average tidal current at WASP4 station
#7 is approximately 1 cm/sec, while the corresponding average
current for station A in the 1990 current survey was
approximately 2 cm/sec.

     d.   Dispersion

     Dispersion in estuaries also results from small-scale
turbulent diffusion and velocity shear.  These factors result
from interactions within the tidal flow as well as between the
flow and the channel bottom.  Velocity shear effects are created
by density structures due to freshwater inflow and also
interactions between tidal flows and the channel bottom.
                                108
 image: 








J-D BRIDGE
STEPHENS PASSAGE
                    1. TIDAL FLOOD
                     2. TIDAL EBB
                   3. RESIDUAL CIRCULATION  (CONSTANT)




                  Arrow Length Represents Magnitude of Flow
                       ADVECTION ROUTING
                            Figure 31
 image: 








     Turbulent .diffusion in the horizontal  and vertical dimension
and velocity  shear combine  to  cause dispersion of particles  or
pollutant plumes.   The  mechanics describing the aggregate effect
are considered analogous to molecular  diffusion; as a result, the
Fickian molecular  diffusion equations  are used to estimate
turbulent diffusion in  a number of  predictive  tools, including
the WASP model framework.   These estimates  are driven by the
selection of  horizontal dispersion  coefficients and vertical
coefficients  of  eddy diffusivity.

     No site-specific data  are available to provide estimates of
the dispersion coefficient  (K).   Therefore,  this parameter was
treated as a  variable;  coefficients were adjusted to fit the
salinity data.   The horizontal dispersion coefficient was varied
as the square of the distance  to the tidal  source in accordance
with available literature (Bowden,  1967).   The assumed increase
in horizontal dispersion down-channel  is reasonable given the
proximity to  Stephens Passage.   The use of  0.16 m2/sec  for the
uppermost cell,  increasing  to  10 m2/sec for the lowermost cell
obtained reasonable fits to the salinity data.  Of note, this
order of magnitude of horizonta.1 dispersion resulted in model
results that  matched the pattern shown by the  aggregate salinity
data (higher  salinity at station 12),  whereas  increasing the
values by one order of  magnitude removed this  pattern.   The
chosen values fall within literature ranges for this parameter
(Kowalik, 1984).
     Table 22: Horizontal Dispersion Coefficients
WASP Cells
1, 16
2, 15
3, 14
4, 13
5, 12
6, 11
7, 10
8, 9
Distance (m)
1725
3450
5175
6900
8625
10350
12075
13800
K (m2/sec)
.16
.60
1.4
. 2.5
3.9
5.6
7.6
10.0
     For vertical coefficients of eddy diffusivity, no data are
available to provide estimates.  Therefore, this parameter was
treated as a variable; it was adjusted to fit the salinity data
and account for relative stratification.  The use of 0.00001
                               110
 image: 








m2/sec for March and 0.00001 m2/sec  for  September  obtained
relatively good fit solutions to the problem.  The increased
diffusion in March is reasonable given  the weak stratification at
that time, and both values  fall within  literature ranges for this
parameter  (Kowalik, 1984).

     e.   Salinity Calibration

     i;   Freshwater Inflows

     Freshwater flows into  Gastineau Channel  are  important for
the salinity calibration.   They were estimated using the values
from Echo Bay's "Gastineau  Channel  Freshwater Flushing Study"
(September 1991).   In this  report,  flows  were calculated for
individual .drainage basins  based on discharge rates and relative
basin  size for the  creeks that have been  gauged  in the past  (Gold
Creek  1918-1982,  Lawson Creek 1970-1971,  and  Sheep Creek 1919-
1973) .  Using the average Gold Creek  flow for February 1990 and
September  1989  and  the  relative  fraction  of total flows for
August from the  Flushing Study,,  the flows for the other creeks
were  estimated  for  February 1990  and  September  1989.

      Due  to dimensional constraints of  the WASP4 code, flows were
aggregated and  introduced to cells in the model  that  correspond
to the largest  creeks  (cells 9 and 12)  (See  Figure  30)..    For
predictive model  runs,  the  flows into cell 12 associated with
Sheep Creek were reduced based on project predictions for  flows
after dam construction.

      ii.   Ambient Salinity  Data

      As indicated in Figure 32,  seawater monitoring stations
established  by Echo Bay provide limited longitudinal  coverage  of
Gastineau Channel.   To reduce potential for local influences to
mask salinity on a larger scale,  Echo Bay stations were
aggregated for comparison with WASP4 predictions.  Monitoring
stations were established in three areas of the channel:  near
Stephens Passage, Thane, and Douglas.  These locations correspond
to six WASP4  stations  (one top layer and one bottom layer cell
 for each location).

      In order to translate salinity profiles into average cell
 salinities for comparison to WASP4 predictions, weighted averages
were calculated  for salinities measured  from the surface to 10
 meters, and from 10 meters to 35 meters  (see Appendix Dl) .

       iii  Boundary Conditions - Salinity

      Monitoring  information  for Stephens Passage and Taku Inlet
 is not available for the time period of  Gastineau Channel
 monitoring (February 1990  and September  1989).   In absence of


                                ill
 image: 








data, EPA used .September 1988 information to establish boundary
values for the September 1989 calibration.  For March 1990, the
longitudinal variation in salinity was minimal, and boundary
values for the surface layer were set approximately equal to the
those at the station nearest to Stephens Passage.  Unfortunately,
the March 1990 sampling was conducted to depths greater than 15
meters; in this case, a value from the March 1992 Thane current
meter was used for lower layer salinity.

     iv   Salinity Simulation

     A comparison of WASP4 predictions and seawater monitoring
data is depicted in Figure 33.

     f.   Boundary Conditions for Pollutants of Concern

     Three boundaries were established in the model: one at the
mouth of the bay, and one at the entrance of Gold Creek and Sheep
Creek.  It is assumed that no mixing occurs beyond the Juneau-
Douglas Bridge, though inflow from Gold Creek and Salmon Creek is
included.

     EPA reviewed 1990 seawater monitoring data collected by Echo
Bay  in Gastineau Channel to establish boundary conditions for the
model.  Gastineau Channel values are used as boundary values at
the  entrance to Stephens Passage and creek inflows.  Mean values
(excluding non-detects) are used in the model.  All data are
drawn from the Comprehensive Report  (Document #2; EBA, 1992).
The  table below summarizes the values used in the model  (all
metals values are in  "total recoverable").

      Table 23: Gastineau Channel Background Water Quality
Parameter
Mercury
Cyanide
Arsenic
Copper
Zinc
Lead
Cone, (ug/1)
.009
NA(0)
1.4
0.8
2.3
0.2
                                112
 image: 








                       134"25'
                               134°20'
134°15'
                                                                                                  134° 10'
58° 15'
58° 10'
                                                                                                                          134°05'

DOUGLAS
                •
       ISLAND
                                                                              MAINLAND
                                        V.
                                      . .
                     o~
                     2
                                                W
                                                • i
                                                                                                                       ••
                                                                                                                     V
      Figure 32 : Salinity Stations In Relation to WASP4 Grid
 image: 








Comparison of Actual vs. Predicted Salinities
 	September 1989	
    Top
    Actual I
I Top
I Predicted
Bottom
Actual
Salinity in ppt
35
Bottom
Predicted
     Stephens    "hane    Douglas
                                   Comparison of Actual vs. Predicted Salinities
                                                 March 1990
I Top
Actual
Top
Predicted
Bottom
Actual
                                    Salinity in ppt
                                    35
Bottom
Predicted
                                        Stephens    Thane    Douglas
                  Figure 33 : Salinity Calibration  Results
 image: 








     6.   Projected Impacts

     a.   Applicable Water Quality Standards

     The state of Alaska water quality standards are codified in
18 AAC 70.  The regulation establishes beneficial uses of Alaskan
waters as well as the water quality criteria that must be met to
assure protection of a given use.

     b.   Beneficial Uses Affected

     Gastineau Channel is protected under the Alaska Water
Quality Standards for the following beneficial uses:

     •    Water supply for aquaculture, seafood processing, and
          industrial uses.
     •    Contact and secondary recreation.
     •    Growth and propagation of fish, shellfish, other
          aquatic life, and wildlife.
     •    Harvesting for consumption of raw mollusks or other raw
          aquatic life.

     c.   Water Quality Criteria

     The State of Alaska water quality standards establish the
following criteria for total recoverable metals and cyanide in
marine waters, designed to protect against chronic toxicity to
aquatic organisms (for arsenic only, the limiting criterion is
for protection against human health effects from fish ingestion) :


Table 24: Water Quality criteria
Parameter
Mercury
Cyanide
Arsenic
Copper
Lead
Zinc
Applicable
Criterion
(ug/1)
.025
1.0
1.4
2.9
8.5
86.0
                                115
 image: 








     d.   Model: Predictions

     Figures 34 through 36 depict comparisons of the water
quality standard concentration and the predicted average and
maximum pollutant concentrations from the WASP4 model analysis.
For each case (top/bottom layer, summer/winter), predictions for
the entire channel length are shown, with the Juneau-Douglas
bridge at the left of each graph and the entrance to Stephens
Passage at the right.  Results in tabular form are included in
Appendix D8.

     For the winter case, one set of plots represents
concentrations in both the top and bottom layer.  This is because
concentrations in the two layers are approximately equal for the
winter case, due to the assumption that a surfacing discharge
plume would be uniformly distributed in the water column during
the winter.

     7.   Conclusions

     The analysis above indicat.es that far-field mixing in
Gastineau Channel is significantly limited for discharges of the
magnitude proposed for the AJ impoundment.  As a result, impacts
from the impoundment discharge are predicted to occur on a
channel-wide scale.  This contradicts the conclusion in the
Comprehensive Report  (EBA, 1992) that sufficient dilution of the
proposed discharge would be achieved in a confined mixing zone
around the diffuser.

     Based on the model assumptions described herein, the
predicted average discharges from the AJ Mine are projected to
violate the Alaska water quality standards for arsenic, copper,
and cyanide in Gastineau Channel on a channel-wide scale.  Under
worst-case assumptions, mercury and lead standards would be
violated as well.

     8.   Uncerta inty

     a.   Wind

     Wind-driven circulation is not considered in this
assessment, though it is acknowledged as one of the important
factors affecting circulation.  Southeast winds  would serve to
counter the flushing mechanisms due to tidal and gravitational
advection, generally restricting or reversing the migration of
surface waters out of the channel and reducing the dilution of
pollutants.  Local, episodic impacts to surface waters,
particularly with a surfacing plume, are not addressed by this
report.
                                lie
 image: 








                                  Figure 34
                   WASP Model Results - Summer
                               Bottom Layer
                  (solid dot = max, clear dot = avg, square = standard)
              Arsenic
                                                       Copper
o
3
2.2

 2

1.8

1.6

1.4

1.2
    0      4,000    8,000    12,000
       2,000     6,000    10,000    14,000
           Dist. from J-D Bridge (m)
                                            0      4,000     8,000    12,000
                                               2,000    6,000    10,000    14,000
                                                 Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
   50
20 -
10 -
 5

 2


0.5
   0.2
               Cyanide
       •—•—•-
                                          0.1
                                           0.05 •

                                           0.03
                                        3  0.02

                                           0.01
      0      4,000    8,000    12,000
        2,000     6,000    10,000   14,000
         Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
                                        0.005
                                                     Mercury
                                                                    \
                                             0      4,000    8,000   12,000
                                               2,000     6,000   10,000    14,000
                                                 Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
 image: 








                   WASP Model  Results - Summer
                              Bottom Layer
                  (solid dot = max, clear dot = avg, square = standard)
                Lead
              Zinc
  14

  12

  10

-  8
o
   6

   4

   2
 200

 100

  50

>  20

  10

   5
    0      4,000    8,000    12,000
       2,000    6,000    10,000   14,000
          Dist. from J-D Bridge (m)
    0      4,000    8,000    12,000
      2,000    6,000    10,000   14,000
        Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
 image: 








                                Figure 35
                  WASP Model Results - Summer
                               Top Layer
                (solid dot = max, clear dot = avg, square = standard)
             Arsenic
                 Copper
1.9

1.8

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.4

1.3
   0       4,000    8,000    12,000
     2,000    6,000     10,000    14,000
         Dist. from J-D Bridge (m)
    30
    20

    10

   '  5
     2
     :

     1
      0      4,000     8,000    12,000
         2,000    6,000    10,000    14,000
           Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
             Cyanide
               Mercury
50

20

10

 5



 1

0.5
=
  2~000      6,000      10,000    14,000
       4,000      8,000      12,000
       Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
                                          0.1

                                         0.05

                                         0.03
                                         0.02

                                         0.01

                                        0.005
\
      0      4,000     8,000    12,000
         2,000    6,000    10,000   14,000
           Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
 image: 








                 WASP Model Results - Summer
                              Top Layer
                (solid dot = max, clear dot = avg, square = standard)
              Lead
               Zinc
10

 s

 6

 4

 2
  200

  100

   50

§>  20

   1C

   5
  0      4,000    8,000    12,000
    2,000    6,000    10,000   14,000
        Dist. from J-D Bridge (m)
     0      4,000    8,000    12,000
       2,000    6,000    10,000    14,000
         Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
 image: 








                             Figure 36
                WASP Mode! Results - Winter
                     Top and Bottom Layer
             (solid dot = max, clear dot = avg, square = standard)
          Arsenic
0      4,000     8,000    12,000
   2,000    6,000    10,000    14,000
      Dist. from J-D Bridge (m)
                                       50
                                      en
                                      a
30 -
20 -

10

 5
 2
                                        i
             Copper
                                           •	•	•	*.
  0      4,000     8,000    12,000
     2,000    6,000 -   10,000   14,000
       Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
           Cyanide
                                       0.1

                                      0.05 p-

                                      0.03
                                      0.02

                                      0.01
                                     0.005
        4,000     8,000    12,000
    2,000    6,000    10,000   14,000
    Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
           Mercury
                           \
         4,000    8,000    12,000
     2,000  '   6,000    10,000   14,000
       Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
 image: 








                  WASP Model Results - Winter
                       Top and Bottom Layer
                (solid dot = max, clear dot = avg, square = standard)
              Lead
                                                     Zinc
f
12

10

 8

 6

 4

 2

 0
      G-
 200

 100

  50

»  20

  10
  0      4,000    8,000    12,000
     2,000    6,000    10,000   14,000
        Dist. from J-D Bridge (m)
                                           F G-
                                           0      4,000    8,000    12,000
                                             2,000    6,000    10,000    14,000
                                               Distance from J-D Bridge (m)
 image: 








     b.   Local Effects

     This assessment provides only average pollutant
concentrations for a given cell.  Because of this, the values
calculated by the model do not represent local maxima within
cells.  This should be considered in reviewing the results for
the cell receiving the discharge loading, because local pollutant
concentrations around the discharge would be higher than the
average value calculated by this model.

     c.   Discharge Quality

     Because this report relies on the.impoundment assessment for
estimates of the quality of the discharge, the predictions and
conclusions herein carried forward the uncertainties associated
with those estimates.

     d.   Discharge Quantity

     As stated earlier in the r-eport, the quantity of the
discharge is somewhat uncertain.  A significant change  (from 100
to 200 cfs) has been made to maximum flow volume estimates in the
period since the EIS was finalized.  This was due in part to
changes in project designs and  flow routing.  Because of the
importance to loadings from the discharge, this indicates the
potential for inaccuracies in any predictions of impacts to
Gastineau Channel from this'proposed facility.

     e.   Potential  Impacts Beyond the Juneau Douglas Bridge

     As stated earlier in the chapter, the drift card studies
have indicated the potential for surface waters and pollutants to
migrate beyond the Juneau-Douglas bridge and reach the  tide flats
around the Mendenhall River and Fitz Cove.  This highlights the
potential for impacts beyond the boundaries of the modeled
system.  Persistent  southeast winds and  a surfacing plume
 (winter) could restrict  flushing in the  surface and impact these
locations above the  bridge.
                                123
 image: 








VIII.     RISK .pF LONG-TERM CONTAMINATION

A.   Introduction

     The goal of this analysis is to determine the likelihood
that a healthy aquatic food chain and habitat system would
develop and persist after the cessation of mining and the active
use of the impoundment for tailings disposal.  The physical and
chemical characteristics of the impoundment and surrounding area
would dictate the expected food chain and habitats.

     The majority of the chemical impact analysis is contained in
an ecological risk analysis presented later in this chapter.  It
is based on modeling of predicted residual chemical levels in the
impoundment.  A review of relevant literature on subaqueous
disposal of mine tailings is included as well.  This is followed
by an assessment of the potential for the tailings to generate
acid and mobilize metals in the tailings.

     The following is a description of impoundment geomorphology,
and its setting from the watershed and physical standpoint.  This
analysis will be carried through to discuss the expected
biological community that would be expected to develop in the
impoundment in the absence of any chemical contamination.

B.   Watershed/Phvs ica1 Setting

     Following closure of the AJ Mine, the resulting tailings
impoundment would rest in a typical U-shaped glacial valley with
steep side slopes.  Elevation would be approximately 932' MLLW.
The long narrow body of water would be 20 feet deep at a minimum,
and 2.5 miles long, with a surface area of 420 acres (FEIS p. 4-
20).  When there is a weakly developed thermocline (late summer),
the impoundment would have an approximate surface temperature of
11 degrees Celsius and a bottom temperature of 7 degrees Celsius,
otherwise the impoundment would be relatively isothermal (HDR,
1990).   The impoundment would generally freeze from November
through March.

     Due to the steep valley walls, the impoundment would be
avalanche prone.  The applicant proposes to construct flat bench
areas out of waste rock from the mine.  The benches would be
constructed along the impoundment shoreline in- avalanche chute
areas for avalanche dissipation (BLM, 1992).  Following mine
closure, the shoreline sites would be recontoured to provide
relatively flat beach areas (BLM,  1992).

     ADFG has required as mitigation diversion of an average
annual flow of 16.3 cfs from the upper watershed to Sheep Creek
below the impoundment dam and above the hatchery.  This would
require diversion structures at the inlet creeks above the
impoundment, and changes in water flows and other inputs (e.g.,

                               124
 image: 








sediments) from the upper watershed to the impoundment (Letter
from ADFG, Lana Shea to Frank Bergstrom dated February 2, 1994).

     Average annual discharge from the Sheep Creek watershed
above the proposed dam is 49 cfs.  During mine operation 16 cfs
would be diverted, via upstream diversion structures, around the
impoundment to lower Sheep Creek.  Monthly stream flows from the
watershed vary seasonally from lows of 6 cfs in February up to
nearly 100 cfs in June (see Table 2).  Residence time in the
impoundment (the amount of time it takes for a particle of water
to enter and then leave the impoundment) is calculated to be 4
months in the summer and 7.2 months in February (p. H-8) .
Natural sediment loading into the impoundment would be low, with
total annual sediment transport into the impoundment of 1200
cubic yards (p. 4-89).  The addition of upstream diversion
structures would decrease sediment transport.

     Following use as a tailings treatment facility, the bottom
of the impoundment would be covered with well-graded silty-sand
tailings.  These tailings could be periodically resuspended by
large avalanche events.  At a minimum, 20 feet of water would
cover mine tailings.  It is planned that water level variations
should result only in increased depth and not decreased depth
over the tailings.

C.   Uncertainty Factors

     The above description  includes information that is
relatively certain from the project's supporting documentation.
However, the following are  some  important dynamic  "unknowns" that
could have a large impact on the resulting biological community.
Resuspension of sediments by Taku winds  (FEIS Vl-3-2:  fastest
one-minute wind Nov  68 = 58 mph) could have an impact on the
impoundment's biological community, including smothering,
toxicity, and turbidity.

     Avalanches would also  play  a role  in resuspension within the
impoundment, depending on the  season, and in the development of
vegetation on the  avalanche dissipators.

     Water level  fluctuations  in the  impoundment would affect
riparian  and nearshore vegetation,  depending on the degree and
frequency of inundation.  Water  level fluctuation  extremes are  a
relative  unknown  though  theoretically the  impoundment level can
be managed as desired  by the  resource agencies.  Reservoirs whose
surface  level fluctuates according  to unnatural cycles generally
result  in stressed communities of macrophytes  in the zone  that  is
repeatedly inundated and then dewatered,  especially if this
occurs  during the growing  season.

      In addition,  the  impoundment  as  proposed  to date is an
unusual feature in southeast  Alaska.  A steep-sided fjord-like

                                125
 image: 








impoundment with relatively shallow water depth is not frequently
found in this landscape.  A query to Alaska Fish and Game
discovered no representative natural lake from which to base
predictions of biological activity for the proposed design
(Letter Dr. Dana Schmidt, Alaska Fish and Game to Justine Barton,
dated 12/ 13/93).

D..   Predicted Community Components.

     1.   Benthos

     With a sedimentation rate of only 1200 cubic yards/year,
impoundment tailings coverage and natural substrate for benthos
is not expected in the  short term.  The coarseness of the
tailings as well as chemical inputs would play an important role
in determining whether  a benthic community could establish on the
tailings themselves.  No analysis to date has focussed on the
grain size requirements of a healthy benthic community in this
environment.  Additionally the impoundment lacks a food web base
due to expected low input of organic material, and lacks an
existing lake benthic community, to serve as a source for
recruitment to the impoundment.

     2.   Plankton

     An analysis of anticipated phytoplankton and  zooplankton
populations  is  required, especially considering  the  lake's
shallowness  and planktonic migrations  based on depth.  It  is
highly unlikely that mining discharges will increase the
productivity of the  impoundment compared to a similar  impoundment
with no discharges of tailings.  An analysis of  nutrients  and
their anticipated concentrations  in the tailings pond  water  is
needed, including an analysis  of  any  break down  products.
 (Enclosure A from Letter Lana  C.  Shea, Alaska Fish and Game  to
Bill Riley,  dated  1/10/94).

      3...    Fish

      Fish  populations  are  not  anticipated  in  the impoundment
 during mine  operation.   Subsequent to mine closure,  fish
 populations  are unlikely without a managed food base.   Insect
 production and transport by the inflowing  small streams  will not
 provide  enough food to sustain fish,  and the diversion dams will
 exacerbate this.   In addition,  the impoundment lacks the habitat
 characteristics required for potential species survival (e.g.
 cover,  spawning areas).  The habitat constructed for fish would
 depend on the species desired and whether the impoundment is to
 be managed for fish,  based on anticipated chemical levels in
 tissues (e.g. kokanee,  cutthroat).  As stated by ADFG (1/10/94
 ltr-pA3)   "We do not know if the stream resident char currently
 found in upper Sheep Creek could adapt and survive in the
 proposed tailings pond (independent of toxicity issues)», and  it
                                126
 image: 








is not clear how robust the resulting population might be" since
they require spawning habitat and suitable aquatic insect fauna.

     4.   Macrophvtes

     The Mine Environment Neutral Drainage (MEND) studies,
conducted by a consortium of Canadian government agencies and
industry representatives, examined lakes in Canada that have been
used in the past for subaqueous disposal of mine tailings.  Four
potentially relevant Canadian lakes studied included Buttle Lake,
Anderson Lake, Mandy Lake and Benson Lake.  The MEND case studies
at Mandy and Benson lakes show that macrophytes can take up
metals when grown directly on tailings.

     The argument for subaqueous disposal is that all tailings
will be covered by water such that no contact with rooted
macrophytes is likely.  However, the potential magnitide of
resuspension events  (e.g. Taku winds, avalanches) and
resuspension of tailings into shallow areas limits the analysis
of expected species.  This is especially of concern on the
littoral and fringe zones of the impoundment where dabbling
waterfowl and macrophytes are anticipated, and where other routes
of exposure to the tailings besides consumption of leafy portions
of the macrophytes  (e.g. sediment, roots) could be a factor.

     5_:_   Littoral /Riparian  (fringe)  zone and Vegetation

     The post-closure vegetation expected on the  surrounding
slopes and avalanche dissipators is  likely to be  alder and
shrubby vegetation.  It  has been suggested that  the impoundment's
shoreline would create new wetland habitats, however, this has
not been analyzed,  and based on steep surrounding terrain seems
unlikely.  Obviously any shoreline vegetation would be greatly
influenced by the impoundment's operation with respect to how the
surface water level  fluctuates.  Any  vegetation  growing on the
avalanche dissipators would be  affected by avalanche events.

     6j.   Wildlife

     It  is  likely that the tailings  impoundment  will be
attractive  to birds,  even during mine construction  and operation,
and certainly following  mine  closure.   This  includes migratory
shorebirds  and  waterfowl,  and  resident breeding  birds.   (ADFG
1/10/94)  Many  passerines  and  other  species  of  shorebirds will
use the  impoundment as a source of  drinking  water.   If vegetation
remains  or  recolonizes along  the  edge,  other species  including
warblers,  sparrows  and thrushes,  might continue  to  use the  area
for nesting,  feeding,  and  water.   (USFW Comments on Final EIS,
Memo  from USFW  Region 7  to BLM dated July 3,  1992)   Some  known  or
 likely breeding birds in the Sheep Creek area include  Harlequin
duck,  Common merganser,  Great blue heron,  Golden eagle,  Blue
grouse,  Rock ptarmigan,  White-tailed ptarmigan,  Spotted

                                127
 image: 








sandpiper, Common snipe, Marbled murrelet, Rufous hummingbird,
Belted kingfisher, Pacific slope flycatcher, Tree swallow, Barn
swallow, Steller's jay, Northwest crow, Raven, and other creepers
including wrens, vireos, sparrows, finches, pipits, kinglets, &
dippers.  (FEIS V-l, 3-56).  Sensitive species include: spotted
and rock sandpipers, dunlin, marbled murrelets, bald eagles,
sharp-shinned hawks, great horned owls, three-toed woodpeckers,
belted kingfishers, olive-sided and Pacific slope flycatchers,
western wood peewees, and dozens of other locally-breeding
species of passerines.   (Fish and Wildlife Coordination Act
letter from Nevin Holmberg to Colonel William Kakel dated March
28, 1991).

     In addition to birds, other common species found  in the area
include black bear, mountain goat, Sitka black-tailed  deer,
beaver, marten, 'river otter, mink, ermine and other mustelids,
lynx, red fox, hoary marmot, porcupine, and a number of other.
small mammals.  (Fish and Wildlife Coordination Act letter from
Nevin Holmberg to Colonel William Kakel dated March 28, 1991).

     Bird and other species may, or may not remain in the area
depending on disturbance from human activity, and cover and
foraging provided at the impoundment's margins.  Certainly the
lack of deciduous trees  following project construction means that
fewer passerines would nest in the valley.  More and various
types of waterfowl would likely be attracted to the impoundment.


E.   Ecological Risk Analysis

     Analysis of potential effects of the post-operation
impoundment on  local biota were based on estimates of  contaminant
concentrations  in the  impoundment sediment, pore water (i.e.,
water in the pore spaces within the tailings) , and water column
as provided in  Chapter VI of this report.

     A preponderance-of-evidence approach was used.  Adverse
effects on biota  from  contaminants in pore water and the water
column were estimated  by comparing concentrations with Ambient
Water Quality Criteria  (adjusted for hardness, pH, and
temperature where appropriate;  40 CFR Part  131,  1992)  and aquatic
toxicity data.  Effects  of contaminants  in  sediments on benthic
biota were estimated by  comparing sediment  concentrations with
Canadian Provincial sediment quality guidelines  (Ecology  1991,
Jaagumagi, 1993) , Wisconsin Department  of Natural Resources
guidelines  (Ecology  1991),  and  draft Great  Lakes Effects  Range
Medians  (pers.  comm.,  Ingersoll  1994).   Potential  effects on
wildlife  from contaminants  in the pore  water,  sediment, and  water
column were estimated  by constructing models  to  compare the
exposure  of sandpipers,  river otters,  and  kingfishers  with the
potential toxicity  from cadmium,  lead,  mercury,  and  selenium.
These metals were selected  following  discussion  with EPA  ORD

                                128
 image: 








(pers. comm., Norton 1994) because integrative assessments of
their toxicity and exposure pathways relevant to wildlife exist
(Eisler 1985a, 1985b,  1987, 1988) and because these have the
potential to bioaccumulate.  The Wildlife Exposure Factors
Handbook  (EPA 1993b) was used to derive many of the wildlife
exposure parameters.   Additional information was used to evaluate
mercury (EPA 1993a) and selenium (Saiki 1986) .  The data used are
considered reasonable  and representative.

F.   Evaluation of Contaminants  in Pore Water

     Predicted pore water concentrations for various contaminants
are shown in Tables 25 and 26.   Contaminants of particular
concern included  metals,  cyanide, the breakdown products of
cyanide  (thiocyanate,  cyanate, and ammonia), and the xanthates  (a
collecting agent  added to the milling process; Hawley,  1977).   It
is recognized here that water quality criteria are generally
designed  to  be protective of water column  species and that
benthic organisms may  or  may not be  similarly protected.  It  is
not unrealistic to  assume, however,  that certain species of fish
will  be exposed to  pore water  or that fish or other water column
species can  be useful  indicators of  pore water toxicity.
Therefore,  in this  analysis  all  data encountered for freshwater
organisms are included in the  evaluation of potential toxicity  of
the pore  water  in the  tailings impoundment.

      ii.    Pore Water  Evaluated Using Water Quality  Criteria

      Water Quality Criteria  were available for  most metals,
cyanide,  and ammonia.   Several of  the metals criteria were
dependent on water hardness.   The hardness value used  (670 mg/L
CaCO3) was that predicted from the decant  studies  as described  in
Chapter  VI.   Cyanide criteria are based on measurements of  free
cyanide  because this form is a much more reliable index of
toxicity to aquatic life than total cyanide since the  latter can
 include  nitriles and more stable metallocyanide complexes.
However,  because these complexes can dissociate as a function of
pH in the range that commonly occurs in many water bodies,  total
 cyanide  is recommended for evaluation with the criteria
 especially if only a  few measurements are made on a water body
 (EPA  1985- 440/5-84-028).  For this analysis,  the cyanide
 criteria were applied to both free and total cyanide.   It should
 be noted that weak cyanide concentrations  are more toxic to fish
 at temperatures  near  freezing since HCN will not evaporate from
 the surface of a waterbody when it  is covered with ice; winter
                                 129
 image: 








Table 25. Comparison of projected pore water concentrations with ambient water quality
an A or C respectively. Ratios that exceed
Hardness 670 mg/L
pH units 8.2
Pore Water
Concentration
Parameter ug/L
Ag 50
A^ffl) 14
Cd 10 C|
CKin) 20
Cr(VD 20 A
Cu 1300 A
Fe 850
Hg 5 A|
Mn 2700
Ni 30
Pb 20
Se 16 C|
Zn 87
mg/L
CNfree 1.1 A
CNtot 2.5


NH3 18 A




unity are also


• ••• *»•
enclo


Water Quality
Criterion (a)
Acute
107
360
34
8246
16
106

2.4

7089
919
20
586

0.02
0.02
pH
oC 7.4 8.2
1 16.0 4.1
4 15.3 3.9
7 14.8 3.8
Chronic

190
5
• 1003
11
60
1000
0.012

788
36
5
531

0.0052
0.0052
pH


















7.4 8.2
2.1
2.0
1.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
                                                           Ratio of Parameter to
                                                          Criterion Concentration
                                                              Acute
Chronic
8.8
9.1
9.5
23
24
24
 (a) Based on hardness of 670 and Water Effects Ratio of 1, following EPA 1992; As(in), Cr(VI), Hg, Fe, Se.
      CN, and NH3 are not dependent on hardness; see discussion in text on application of Water Quality
      Criteria to CNfree, CNtot, and NH3.
 image: 








Table 26. Comparison of projected pore water concentrations with aquatic toxicity data.
Parameter concentrations exceeding aquatic values of concern are enclosed in boxes.
Ratios that exceed unity are also enclosed in boxes.
           Pore Water
         Concentration
Parameter   mg/L
Concentration Range
  of Concern (a)
High            Low
                                                          Ratio of Parameter to
                                                        Concentration of Concern
                                                             High           Low
CNS
 Thiocyanate
CNO
   Cyanate
Xanthates
                 390
                  73
                               24

                               95

                               5.6
                     1

                    18

                  0.01
0.8

0.2
 (a) See discussion in text on estimation of high and low concentrations of concern for CNS, CNO,
      and Xanthates.  Note that the concentration ranges of concern would be much lower if based
       on sublethal, chronic effects.
 image: 








conditions can increase the risk of fish kills by cyanides
(Palmes, 1993).  Weak acid dissociable cyanide (CNwad) is a
measure of free cyanide plus cyanide bound to other metals,
especially copper, nickel, and zinc.  CNwad is a measure of those
forms of cyanide considered to be toxicologically significant
(Smith and Mudder, 1991).  For the pore water, the predicted
CNwad is equal to the predicted free cyanide, indicating that
there will not be much metal-bound cyanide and that evaluation of
free cyanide will be sufficient to evaluate CNwad.  Ammonia
criteria depend on both pH and temperature.  The pH values used
here ranged from 7.4 (which was reported as a background value;
Lakefield 1990, No. 3980, Table 7) to 8.2  (a value projected for
pore water; see Table 25).  The temperatures used here ranged
from 1 oC (the impoundment is expected to freeze in the winter;
HDR) to 7 oC  (expected in the bottom water in summer; HDR, 1990).
The estimated pore water concentrations were compared with both
acute and chronic criteria.

     2. '  Pore Water Evaluated Using Aquatic Toxicity Data

     Palmes (1993) review reported thiocyanate toxicity in fish
occurs over a range from 24 mg/L to 5,000 mg/L.  In addition, if
fish are stressed  (e.g., chased), mortality can increase after
exposure to as little as 5.5-7.7 mg/L.  Heming et al. (1985)
found 10 to 100% mortality in stressed versus non-stressed brook
trout exposed to these lower concentrations.  They also found
that, at 1.0 mg/L, rainbow trout accumulated thiocyanate at a
rate that would put 50% of the exposed population at risk of
lethal effects following a one to two month exposure.  More
recently, Kevan and Dixon  (1991) reported that exposures of 85
mg/L produce  increased deformities in developing embryos of
rainbow trout.  Green et al  (1990) reported 50% reduction in
feeding by freshwater snails exposed to 5 mg/L.  Smith and Mudder
(1991) reported a range of LC50s for fish from 50-200 mg/L.  For
this analysis, 1.0 mg/L is used as a low  (approximately
"chronic") concentration of concern and 24 mg/L as a higher
concentration.  A no effect level of thiocyanate is likely to be
lower than 1.0 mg/L.

     The toxicity of the predicted cyanate concentration was
evaluated using several sources.  Cyanate  is reported to be
1/1,000 as toxic as free  cyanide  (Response to comments 94.21;
Kensington project EIS) which suggests levels of 5.2 and 22 mg/L
(based on Water Quality Criteria for cyanide) might be
protective.   Palmes (1993) review of cyanate toxicity suggests a
lower limit of 75 mg/L for fish  (lethal to creek chub) which is
expected to be even lower  for salmonids, based on salmonid
sensitivity to cyanide.   Crustaceans experience mortality at 18
mg/L  (Dauchy  et al., 1980).  Although cyanate is considered more
toxic than thiocyanate  (Smith and Mudder,  1991), its toxicity is
affected by hardness  (reports exist of both dramatic decreases
and moderate  increases with hardness).  LC50s for fish range from

                                132
 image: 








13-82 mg/L, but concentrations of 85 mg/L at hardness greater
than 200 mg/L have shown no mortality, even though another study
found an LC50 at 24 mg/L for hardness of 250 mg/L and an LC50 of
95 mg/L for hardness of 200 mg/L.  The low to high range chosen
for this analysis is from 18 mg/L (for crustaceans) to 95 mg/L
(high hardness, and one of the highest LCSOs)..

     A search of EPA's AQUIRE (Aquatic toxicity information
retrieval) database on 2/15/94 yielded information on six
different xanthates.  The crustacean Daphnia magna was generally
the most sensitive organism.  Immobility in this species was
reported at concentrations from  0.35 to 3.7 mg/L (for sodium
ethyl and sodium isopropyl xanthate, respectively).  Rainbow
trout exhibited mortality over a concentration range from 0.3 to
180 mg/L for sodium isopropyl xanthate, but LCSOs ranged from 13
to 320 mg/L for other xanthates.  Hawley  (1977) summarized
effects of a variety of xanthates on Daphnia, a shiner, and
fathead minnow.  Daphnia was consistently most susceptible;
xanthates were generally described as having high toxicity
eliciting effects in the range from 0.1 to 1.0 mg/L or from 0.56
to 10 mg/L.  The shiner's susceptibility varied depending on the
specific xanthate.  Sodium  isopropyl, sodium ethyl, and potassium
ethyl xanthate had high toxicity (0.01 to 0.1 mg/L), whereas
sodium isobutyl and potassium amyl xanthate had moderate toxicity
(10 to 100 mg/L).  The fathead minnow had the widest range of
susceptibility.  Susceptibility  was greatest  for sodium
isopropyl, sodium ethyl, and potassium ethyl  xanthate
(approximately 0.1 to  1.0 or 0.18 to  1.8  mg/L) and least for
potassium  hexyl xanthate  (100 to 1000 mg/L).  The  range selected
for analysis here is  from 0.01  (effects  on shiner  by three
xanthates) to  5.6  (median of upper  ranges of  effects reported by
Hawley  (1977).  This  range  encompasses much  of the AQUIRE data
for sensitive  species.

G..    Results of  Pore  Water  Evaluation

      The  pore  water  can  be  characterized as  potentially highly
toxic based  on the  analysis presented here  (note  how exceedances
for Hg  and cyanide  are more than two  orders  of magnitude above
chronic water  quality criteria).  Tables 25  and  26 summarize  the
results of comparing projected  pore water concentrations with
water quality  criteria and  aquatic toxicity  data.   These results
 indicate  that  several of the metals (Cu,  Hg,  and  Cr if it  is
present exclusively as Cr(VI)),  cyanide,  and ammonia would  exceed
 applicable acute water quality  criteria and that  thiocyanate
would occur  at a level likely to be associated with aquatic
 toxicity.   In addition,  Cd, Se,  cyanate,  and xanthates are  of
 concern due  to exceedance of chronic water quality criteria or
 more conservative concentrations associated.with aquatic
 toxicity.
                                133
 image: 








H*   Evaluation, of Contaminants in Sediments

     Contaminant concentrations in sediment  (see Table 27) are
expressed as ing-contaminant/kg-sediment dry weight.  Potential
toxicity of metals and cyanide in the impoundment sediments was
evaluated using available "benchmarks" also based on dry weight.
Each of these benchmarks has limitations, but when taken
together, they provide an indication of which contaminants are
likely to exert adverse effects on any kind of benthic community
that may develop on and in the impoundment sediments.  Two sets
of benchmarks were taken from the summary provided in Ecology
(1991).  First, were the Provincial Sediment Quality Guidelines
(both a lowest effect and a severe effect, with benchmarks for
silver and cyanide based on dredged disposal criteria) and,
second, the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources benchmark
numbers  (Ecology, 1991, discusses the basis and limitations of
these benchmarks).  A third set of draft numbers was provided by
the Great Lakes Program  (C. Ingersoll, pers. comm.).  These
preliminary numbers are the effects range medians  (ERMs)  for
associations between total metals  (dry weight) in whole sediment
samples from the Great Lakes and other regions and toxicity to
the freshwater amphipod, Hyallela azteca.  These numbers  are
based on approximately 60 to 70 samples and  are used here only
for those metals for which the ERM could correctly classify
samples as having effects or not, 70 to 80 per cent of the time.
It must be noted that the numbers used here  are only preliminary
and are subject to some  final adjustment.

     Results of comparing predicted sediment concentrations of
metals and cyanide with  three sets of benchmarks  for freshwater
sediments are presented  in Table 27.  All parameters are  expected
to exceed at least one of the benchmarks.  Contaminants of
particular concern include cyanide, copper,  and cadmium,  which
exceeded benchmarks by over  an order of magnitude  (consistently
so for cadmium).  Lead,  too,  exceeded all three benchmarks.   In
general, these comparisons  indicate moderate to very high levels
of toxicity will be present  in the tailings  sediments  (note that
all parameters evaluated exceeded  the Provincial  SQ Guidelines
for a  lowest-effect).


!_._   Evaluation  of Metals  in the Water  Column

     Metals  concentrations  in the  water column were  predicted
using  the WASP4  model as described in  Chapter  VI.  The same
adjustments  for  hardness were made as  done  previously for the
pore water  (for  cadmium,  copper,  lead,  and  zinc).

     The modeling  results predicted virtually identical values
for dissolved  and  total metals in the water column (Table 28),
suggesting  very  little metal would be bound to suspended
sediments.   It should be noted,  however,  that this analysis

                                134
 image: 








Table 27. Comparison of projected sediment concentrations of metals and cyanide with several potential
freshwater sediment benchmarks (Provincial Sediment Quality Guidelines, Wisconsin DNR benchmarks,
and draft Great Lakes Effects Range Median for a freshwater amphipod). Concentrations exceeding at
least one benchmark are enclosed in boxes.  Ratios (concentration/benchmark) from 1-10 are enclosed
in lightly outlined boxes; ratios greater than 10 are enclosed in heavily outlined boxes.
          Impoundment
            Sediments
Parameter   mg/kg
Ag
As
Cd
Cr
Cu
Fe
Hg
Mn
Ni
Pb
 Se
 Zn

 CNtot
    3
  9.8
   11
   35
  260
46,000
 0.27
 1600
   26
  200
     1
  530

  42.4
Provincial SQ Guidelines (a)
Lowest-Effect Severe-Effect
mg/kg
0.5
6
0.6
26
16
20,000
0.2
460
16
31
120
Ratio
6
1.6
"IT
1.3
~16~
2.3
1.4
3.5
1.6
6.5

4.4
mg/kg
33
10
110
110
40,000
2
1100
75
250
820
Ratio
0.3
1.1
0.3
2.4
1.2
0.1
1.5
0.3
0.8
0.6
                                               WI DNR(b)
                                             mg/kg   Ratio
10
1
100
100
1.0
11
0.4
2.6
0.11  2.7
100
 50
  1
100
 0.3
~~4~
   1
 5.3
               Draft Great Lakes
                   ERM(c)
               mg/kg   Ratio
 (a) - Dry weight basis. Taken from Jaagumagi, 1993, and Ecology, 1991. Ag &.CN numbers from Dredged Disposal Criteria
 (b) - Taken fiom Ecology, 1991. Based on background
 (c) - Preliminary Effects Range Medians for associations between total metals (dry wt) in whole sediment samples from the Great l^kes
      and other regions and toxicity to Hyallela azteca. Based on approximately 60-70 samples. Results for contaminants
      for which the ERM could correctly classify samples 70-80% of the time (C. Ingersoll, pers. comm. 05/11/94. Note that
      the numbers presented here are only preliminary and subject to some final adjustment).
 image: 








Table 28. Comparison of projected water column concentrations (from Tables 12 & 13) with ambient
water quality criteria. Concentrations exceeding acute or chronic criteria and ratios exceeding unity
are enclosed in boxes.
Scenarios 1-12
Impoundment
Water Column Water
Quality
Concentration Criterion (a)
Dissolved
Parameter ug/L
AsOOI) 0.06
Cd 0.05
.CrOID 0.09
Cr(VI) 0.09
Cu 5.9
Hg 0.022
Pb 0.084
Se 0.072
Zn 0.387
Total Acute
ug/L ug/L
0.06 360
0.05 34
0.09 8246
0.09 16
5.9 106
0.022 | 2.4
0.084 919
0.072 20
0.387 586
Chronic
ug/L
190
5
1003
11
60
0.012
36
5
531
Ratio of Parameter to
Criterion Concentration
Acute Chronic

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0 [
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.8)
0.0
0.0
0.0
Scenario 13 - Includes bioturbation
AsOH) 0.61
Cd 0.43
CrOID 0.84
Cr(VI) 0.84
Cu 56
Hg 0.215
Pb 0.844
Se 0.686
Zn 3.7
0.61 360
0.43 34
0.84 8246
0.84 16
56 106
0.215 2.4
0.844 919
0.686 20
3.7 586
190
5
1003
11
60
0.012
36
5
531
0.0
0.0
0.0
o.i.
0.5
0.1 [
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.9
	 18]
0.0
0.1
0.0
Scenarios 14 A 15- Includes groundwater moving up through pore water into water column
As(in) 2
Cd 1.4
CrOID 2.8
CKVD 2.8
Cu 190
Hg 0.71
Pb 2.650
Se 2.29
Zn 11.9
2 360
1.4 34
2.8 8246
2.8 16
190 106
0.71 2.4
2.650 919
2.29 20
11.9 586
190
5
1003
11
60
0.012
36
5
531
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
) 18)
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
3.2
59
0.1
0.5
0.0
 (a) Based on hardness of 670 and Water Effects Ratio of 1, following EPA 1992; As(in), Cr(VI), Hg, Fe, and Se
       are not dependent on hardness; see discussion in text on application of Water Quality Criteria.
 image: 








assumed no resuspension of bottom sediments.  Potential effects
of resuspended sediments on wildlife is evaluated in a later
section.  The results from comparing modeled concentrations of
contaminants in the water column with ambient water quality
criteria  (Table 28) show that mercury is predicted to exceed the
chronic criterion.  Furthermore these results show that when the
influence of bioturbation and groundwater flow  (Scenarios 13-15)
are included in the modeling, copper concentrations are likely to
exceed the acute criterion as well.


J..   Evaluation of Potential Effects on Wildlife

     JU_   Selection of  Contaminants

     Cadmium, mercury,  selenium, and lead were  selected, in
consultation with  EPA-ORD  (S. Norton, pers. comm.), as
contaminants of concern because of their potential to
bioaccumulate; bioconcentration factors  (BCFs;  concentration in
tissue  [wet-weight] divided  by concentration  in water) for these
metals are generally  greater than  1000  (see Table 29 below) .
Mercury  in. particular,  is  of high  concern.  The mercury
concentration  in pore water  is projected to exceed the acute
water quality  criterion (Table 25);  sediment  concentrations of
mercury  are predicted to exceed two  freshwater  sediment
benchmarks  (Table  27);  and mercury in the water column is
projected to exceed  the chronic water quality criterion  (Table
28).  Cadmium  is expected to exceed  all  the freshwater sediment
benchmarks  (Table  27)  as well  as  the chronic  water quality
criterion applied  to  pore water  (Table  25).  Selenium  is
predicted to be  at toxic levels  in the  pore water and  sediment
 (Tables  25 and 27)  and Lead  is expected to  exceed several  of the
freshwater sediment benchmarks (Table  27).  These four metals
represent a range  in level of concern  for potential  effects on
wildlife, with mercury of highest, selenium and lead lowest,  and
cadmium in between.   In addition,  wildlife  toxicity  data  for
these metals are available (Eisler,  1985a,  1985b,  1987,  1988).

      2_._   Selection of Species

      Three species,  the kingfisher,  spotted sandpiper,  and river
 otter,  were selected in consultation with EPA-ORD (S.  Norton,
 pers.  comm.).  These species are expected to or are known to
 inhabit the general Sheep Creek area (see Section D.6).
 Information on conducting exposure assessments is available for
 these three species  (EPA, 1993b).  The kingfisher was chosen to
 represent a bird with  a relatively small home range that feeds
 primarily on fish.  The sandpiper was chosen to represent a bird
 that also forages along shorelines but has a high rate of
 incidental ingestion of sediment.  The river otter represents a
                                 137
 image: 








Table 29.  Bioconcentration factors for accumulation of mercury, cadmium, lead, and selenium from water into fish,
invertebrates, and amphibians.
    Organism

Fish

Invertebrates

Amphibians

Fish

Invertebrates
Amphibians

Fish

Invertebrates
Amphibians

Fish
Invertebrates
Amphibians
 BCF
Source
                               Mercury
95,000  EPA 1993a, p 2-7, methylHg in fish tissue is related to total Hg in water column, lists 60,000
        and 130,000 depending on fish trophic status; average of 95,000 used here.
95,000  assume same as for fish; freshwater BCFs in EPA 1985 range from 300 to 8000, with marine
        BCFs up to 350,000.
95,000  assume same as for fish
                              Cadmium
 1,500  Eisler,  I985a, p 27, for trout exposed for 3 months to 10 ug/L; mean of measurements made on
        various tissues.
 1,200  ibid., p 28; mean of 6 values for various species.
 1,500  assume same as for fish
                              Selenium
 1,000  Saiki, 1986, p 30, mean BCF for Kesterson was >1000. Eisler, 1985, reports 460 and 3,300 for
        fish exposed to Se at up to 3.3 ug/L and 40 ug/L.
   322  AQUIRE search, 5/5/94, for Daphnia exposed to 5 ug/L.
 1,000  assume same as for fish
                                Lead
   726  Eisler,  1988, p 61, for trout exposed for 7 days to 3.5 ug/L
 5,000  Ibid., p 59; range from 1000 to 9000
   726  assume same as for fish
 image: 








mammal that may. feed primarily on fish.  The river otter is also
characterized as a "noteworthy indicator of bioaccumulative
pollution in aquatic ecosystems" and it is known to ingest mud
and other debris while probing and feeding in bottom sediments
(EPA, 1993b).

     3.   Selection of Exposure Pathways

     Exposure of these three species to the four metals was
evaluated for the ingestion pathway which generally included:  (1)
drinking the surface water including resuspended bottom sediments
at a concentration of 0.385 mg-sed-dry-wt/L  (see Table 32; TSS),
(2) eating  fish, invertebrates, and amphibians, and, where
appropriate,  (3) incidental ingestion  of sediments.

     The kingfisher is expected to forage in relatively shallow
water, so that uptake from fish, invertebrates, and amphibians  is
based on bioconcentration from contaminants  in the water column.
The kingfisher is not expected to  ingest any sediment other than
sediment present in its  drinking water.  An  additional scenario
evaluated assumes the invertebrates consumed by the kingfisher
would come  from the bottom of the  impoundment where they would
bioaccumulate metals  from the pore water  (see Table 30).

     The sandpiper would be expected to  ingest sediments that are
resuspended and deposited in  shallow areas along  the  shoreline.
It  is assumed that these shoreline sediments would  all come from
tailings.   The diet of  the sandpiper  is  assumed to  be exclusively
invertebrates  (see Table 33).   Two scenarios are  evaluated,
first,  assuming  invertebrates would not  be exposed  to pore water
and then assuming they  would  be exposed.

     The river otter  is expected to forage  in  deeper  water, so
that uptake from invertebrates  is based on bioconcentration from
contaminants in  the pore water,  whereas uptake from fish and
amphibians  is based  on  bioconcentration of  contaminants  in the
water  column.   The  river otter is also expected to ingest bottom
sediments.   A second  scenario assumes half  of  the invertebrates
consumed are from shallow areas and are not  exposed to  pore
water. .

      Dermal absorption and inhalation pathways were not evaluated
 because they are expected to have a low contribution to the total
 exposure to the metals in the proposed impoundment.

   Relevant data on exposure were taken from EPA (1993b)  for each
 of the species as discussed below.

      4_^   Exposure of Wildlife to Metals

      The general approach to evaluating exposure to the metals
 was driven somewhat by the toxicity data available for

                                139
 image: 








comparison.  The toxicity data were of three kinds, doses (mg-
contaminant/kg-bw/day), dietary concentrations  (mg-
contaminant/kg-food-wet-wt), and water concentrations  (mg-
contaminant/L).  Corresponding exposure data were developed for
the dose and dietary concentration scenarios as described below;
water concentrations considered safe to wildlife were compared
directly with the predicted water column concentrations.  This
section refers repeatedly to the analyses done  for the three
species (Tables 27-37) in terms of defining parameters and the
equations used to calculate exposure.

     a.   Ingested Doses

     As discussed in detail in this section, consumption rates
were developed for water, food, and sediment ingestion on a body
weight basis.  Parameters used in exposure calculations are found
in Tables 30, 33, 34, 36, and 39; data developed for the river
otter are used here to provide an example of the approach used.
Body weights  (BW) and water ingestion rates  (IRW) were taken
directly from EPA  (1993b).  Food ingestion rates  (on a wet weight
basis, IRFW) were either  taken .directly from EPA  (1993b), or
estimated using the approach outlined in Figure 4-7 of that
document (this allows one to estimate food ingestion rate based
on free-living metabolic  rate and dietary composition).  Sediment
ingestion rates were estimated by multiplying the food ingestion
(wet weight) rate  (IRFW)  by the ratio of sediment to food (STF)
in the diet, as explained below.

     i.   Water Ingestion Rate and Dose

     Water  ingestion rates  were available in EPA  (1993b) .  They
were multiplied by water  column concentrations  to obtain the dose
from drinking water  (DW;  mg-contaminant/kg-bw/day).  The ingested
water will  have suspended sediments in it and this contribution
is included in the present  analysis.  The separate estimate of
sediment ingestion is based on the amount of sediment measured in
scat samples and presumably integrates over  all routes of
incidental  sediment  ingestion.  Although the overall sediment
ingestion estimate may already  include suspended  sediment in the
drinking water, the  separate estimates presented  here  allow a
comparison  of the  relative  influence  of this pathway  (suspended
sediments  in drinking water).

     ii.   Food Ingestion  Rate and  Dose

     The overall  food  ingestion  rate  was taken  either  directly
from EPA  (1993b) ,  or,  as  in the  case  of the  river otter,
calculated  following the  example  calculation in Figure 4-7 of
that document.  Estimation  of the  food  ingestion  rate  (IRFW; wet-
wt basis)  for  the  river  otter  is  shown  in Table 36, which
calculates  the rate  as  follows:


                                140
 image: 








Table 30.  Source of input values for parameters used to estimate kingfisher exposure.
           Parameter
Body weight
Water intake
Food ingestion
Sediment ingestion

Proportion of diet • fish

Proportion of diet » invertebrates

Proportion of diet - amphibians
Home range
Variable
  BW
  IRW
 IRFW
Value
0.147
0.11
 0.5
PF
PI
PA
HR
0.46
0.24
0.27
0.39
           Units
kg/bw
L/kg-bw/day
kg-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day


kg-fish/kg-food

kg-inv/kg-food

kg-amph/kg-food
km of shoreline
           Source(EPA1993a)
p 2-176; ave of 3 means for adults
p 2-176; adult rate
P 2-176
Assumed no incidental sediment ingestion
other than sediment in drinking water
p 2rl77; first entry; sum of trout and non-
trout
p 2-177; first entry; sum of insects and
Crustacea
p2-177; first entry
p 2-178; non-breeding
 image: 








Table 31. Source
concentrations of
of wildlife toxicity data used to estimate doses, dietary concentrations, and drinking water
metals non-toxic to kingfisher and sandpiper (same value used except where indicated by KF and SP).

Hg



Cd


Se

Pb


Variable
NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater

NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater
NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater
Value
0.032
0.05
IxlO'7
I.SxIO7
42
0.1
0.003
2.1
5
2.8
500
0.1
Units
mg-Hg/kg-bw/day
mg-Hg/kg-diet
mg-Hg/L
mg-Hg/L
mg-Cd/kg-bw/day
mg-Cd/kg-diet
mg-Cd/L
mg-Se/kg-bw/day
mg-Se/kg-bw/day
mg-Pb/kg-bw/day
mg-Pb/kg-diet
mg-Pb/L
Source
EPA 1993a, p 2-7; proposed avian NOAEL (note: a factor of 0.1 is
recommended for application to kingfisher).
Eisler 1987, Table 1 1, p 71; no effect value for birds ranges from 0.05 to <0.1.
KF: EPA I993a, p 2-8; proposed no effect value for kingfisher.
SP: EPA 1993a, p 2-8; proposed avian value.
Eisler 1985a, p 34; mallard dietary value of 200 mg-Cd/kg-diet considered
here to be a LOAEL (divided by 2 to estimate NOAEL). Converted to dose
(see text). No species extrapolation factor used.
Eisler 1985a, p 34; wildlife dietary levels .above this value should be viewed
with caution.
Eisler I985a, p iii; above this level, adverse effects are pronounced or
probable.
Eisler 1985b, p 39; 5 ppm NOAEL; no effect on mallard and progeny;
converted to dose (see text). No species extrapolation factor used.
Eisler I985b, p 29; birds are sensitive to Se in diet at concentrations above 6
ppm. 5ppm is a NOAEL for the mallard. No species extrapolation factor used.
Eisler 1988, Table 7, p 84; no effect on starlings, effects on other species above
this level of organolead. No species extrapolation factor used.
Eisler 1988, p86; precocial birds NOAEL (growth) at 500 mg/kg.
Eisler 1988, Table 7, p 83; NOAEL for egg production in turtle-dove. No
                                               species extrapolation factor used.
 image: 








Table 32. Predicted toxicity or impoundment metals to the belted kingfisher (Ceryle alcyon). Calculated variables
   are italicized. Sources of exposure and toxicity data are given in Tables 25 and 27-31.

EXPOSURE PARAMETERS:

                 KINGFISHER                             Units            Variabli
                                   Body weight =  kg-bw                       BW
                             Digestion rale: water -  L-water/kg-bw/day             IRW
                       Ingestion rate: food (wet-wt)=  kg-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day       ERFW
                      Proportion of diet that is Fish =  kg-fish-wet-wl/kg-food-wet-wt    PF
               Proportion of diet that is Invertebrates =  kg-inv-wet-wt/kg-food-wet-wt    PI
                Proportion of diet that is Amphibians =  kg-amph-wet-wt/kg-food-wet-wt  PA
                                    Home range =  km shoreline used              HR
               IMPOUNDMENT
                          Impoundment Shoreline:
                             Suspended Sediment:
km shoreline available
kg-sed-dry-wt/L
                CONTAMINANT
                      Concentration in SEDIMENT = mg-cont/kg-sed-dry-wt
                     Concentration in WATER COL = mg-cont/L
                             BCF-water into fish = (mg-cont/kg-fish)/(mg-con(/L)
                           BCF-water into inverts = (mg-cont/kg-inv)/(mg-<x>nt/L)
                       BCF-water into amphibians = (mg-cont/kg-amphy(mg-<;ont/L)
 SL
 SS
                            CSED
                            CW
                            BCF-F
                            BCF-I
                            BCF-A
EXPOSURE CALCULATIONS:
                   VIA DIET
                  Concentration in Fish: CW*BCF-F=
            Concentration in Invertebrates: CW*BCF-I=
            Concentration in Amphibians: CW*BCF-A=
                   Dose from Fish:  CF • IRFW*PF =
           Dose from Benthic Inverts:  CBI • IRFW*PI =
               Dose from Amphibs: CA * IRFW*PA =
(mg-cont)/kg fish (wet wt)
(mg-cont)/kg inv (wet wt)
(mg-contykg amphibs (wet wt)
(mg-conty(kg-bwyday
(mg-contV(kg-bwyday
(mg-conty(kg-bwyday
            VIA DRINKING WA TER
                       Dose from Water: CW*IRW = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
             Dose from Sed in Water: SS*IRW*CSED = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
CF
a
CA
'DP
DI
DA
                           DW
                           DSW
Value
0.147
0.11
0.5
0.46
0.24
0.27
0.39
4
0.000385



CONTAMINANT
Hg
0.27
2.25E-05
95,000
95,000
95,000
2.14
2.14
2.14
0.492
0.257
0.289
2.48E-06
1.14E-05
Cd
11
4.50E-05
1500
1200
1500
0.0675
0.054
0.0675
0.0155
0.006
0.0091
4.95E-06
4.66E-04
Se
1
7.20E-05
1000
322
1000
0.072
0.023
0.072
0.0166
0.003
0.010
7.92R-06
4.24E-05
Pb
200
8.3E-05
726
5000
726
0.060
0.415
0.060
0.014
0.050'
0.0081
9.13E-06
8.47E-03
 image: 








Table 32 (continued). Predicted toxicity of impoundment metals to the belted kingfisher.
CONTAMINANT
SUM ACROSS PA THWA YS
DF + DI + DA + DW + DSW= (mg-cont)/(kg-bwyday
CF*PF + CI*PI + CA'PA = (mg-conty(kg-diet)
CW= (mg-cont)/L
ADJUSTMENT FOR HOME RANGE
Home Range adjustment (if > 1 ) = HR7SL
TOXICITY PARAMETERS:
Dose Non-Toxic (o kingfisher = (mg-conty(kg-bw/day)
Diet Non-Toxic to kingfisher = (mg-cont)/kg-diet
Water Column cone non-toxic to kingfisher = (mg-cont)/L
HAZARD INDEX CALCULATION:
Exposure/Toxicity = EXP/(NTOXdose)
Or = EXPdietWTOXdiet
Or = nXPwater/NTOX water

EXPilose
EXPdiet
EXPwaler 1

IIRA

NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater

llldose
Uldiet
Illn-ater
IF BENTHIC INVERTEBRATES EXPOSED TO PORE WATER CONCENTRATIONS

Concentration in PORE water = ing-cont/L
EXPOSURE VIA DIET
Concentration in Benthic Invertebrates. CPW*BCF-1= (mg-cont)/kg inv (wet wt)
Dose from Denthic Inverts: CIPW * IRFW*PI = (mg-coniy(kg-bwyday
SUM A CROSS PA THWA YS
DF + DI + DA + DW + DSW= (mg-contV(kg-bwyday
CF'PF + Cl'Pt + CA*PA = (mg-conty(kg-diet)
HAZARD INDEX CALCULA T1ON:
Exposure/Toxicity = EXP/(NTOXdose)
Or = EXPdietMTOXdiet

CPW

cww
DIPW

EXPdose
EXPdiet

llldose
Uldiet
Hg
1.04
2.07
Cd
0.032
0.062
25E^)5 4.5E-05

-

0.032
0.050
1E-07
Hg
32
41
225
ARE
Hg
0.005

475
57

57.8
116
Hg
1806
2311

-

42
0.1
0.003
Cd
0.0
0.6
0.0
Se
0029
0.058
72E-05

—

2.1
5
—
Se
0.0
0.0
~~
Pb
0.080
0.144
8.3E-05

—

28
500
0.10
Pb
0.0
0.0
0.0
CONSUMED:
Cd
001

12
1.44

1.47
2.93
Cd
0.0
2?
Se
0016

5.15
0.618

0.645
1.29
Se
0.3
0.3
Pb
0.02

100
12

12.0
24.0
Pb
4.3
0.0
 image: 








Table 33.  Estimating food ingestion rate for the sandpiper based on free-living metabolic rate and diet
of invertebrates; input values and method of calculation from EPA 1993 (see p4-17 for estimating ME).
                                                   Units
                             Variable
                             Value
1. Estimate Field Metabolic Rate Normalized to Body Weight
                                               kcalAg-bw/day
                             NFMRkg
                              448
2. Normalize to Body Weight in g
                     NFMRkg* lkg/1000g =
   kcal/g-bw/day
      NI-MR
        0.448
3. Estimate Average Metabolizable Energy
                             GE x AE =    kcal-assim/g-inv-wet-wt
                            Dietary Item
   Gross Energy
        GE
kcal-gross/g-inv-we(-wt
       ME

Assimil. Efficiency
       AE
kcal-assim/kcal-gross
                            Invertebrates!
        0.87

Metabolizable Energy
    ME=GE x AE
 kcal-assim/g-iliv-wel-wt
         1
       0.87
        0.87
4. Estimate Total Normalized Ingestion Rate
                            NFMR/ME =    g-inv-wet-wt/g-bw-day
                              IRFW
                            0.515
Source of Intuit Parameters (in EPA 1993)
                        NFMRkg        p 2-152; average of means for adult free-living males and females.
                          GE           p 4-1-3, Table 4-1; median number for invertebrates.
                          AE           p 4-15, Table 4-3; assimilation efficiency of invertebrates.
 image: 








Table 34.  Source of input values for parameters used to estimate sandpiper exposure
         Parameter           Variable  Value
Body weight                    BW
Water intake                   IRW
Food ingestion                 IRFW
                Units
0.0425   kg/bw
0.165   L/kg-bw/day
 0.515
kg-food-wet-wt/
kg-bw/day
         Source(EPA1993b; spotted sandpiper)
p 2-152; ave of means for adult males and females.
Ibid.
calculated in Table 31
Proportion of diet = sediment    PDS
(dry wt)
Proportion of diet =             PI
invertebrates
Home range                   HR
Proportion of invertebrates =    PWI
water
 0.18    kg-sed-dry-wt/
        kg-(sed+food)-dry~wt   species).
                      p 4-20; value for western sandpiper (median of 4
   1     kg-inv/kg-food

  2.5    km of shoreline

 0.78    (wet-wt - dry-wt)/
        wet-wt
                      p 2-152; dietary composition.

                      p 2-152; territory of 0.25 hectares; assume shoreline
                      width of 1m, the HR «= (0,25)*(10,000m2)/lm = 2.5 km.
                      p 4-13; median of 5  values for invertebrates.
 image: 








Table 35.  Predicted toxicity of impoundment metals to the sandpiper (Actitis macularia).  Sources of exposure and toxicity data
are given in Tables 25, 27-29, 31, 33, and 34. Calculated variables are italicized.

EXPOSURE PARAMETERS:

                      SANDPIPER                                   Units
                                           Body weight = kg-bw
                                     Digestion rate: water = L-water/kg-bw/day
                               Ingestion rate: food (wet-wt) = kg-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day
                       Proportion of diet that is Invertebrates = kg-inv/kg-food
                      Proportion of Invertebrates that is water = (wet-wt - dry-wty wet-wt
                          Proportion of diet that is sediment = kg-sed-dry-wtAg-{sed+food)-dry-wt
                                           Home range = km shoreline

                   IMPOUNDMENT
                                   Impoundment Shoreline = km shoreline
                                     Suspended Sediment = kg sed/L

                    CONTAMINANT
                              Concentration in SEDIMENT = mg-cont/kg-sed
                             Concentration in WATER COL = mg-cont/L
                                   BCF-water into inverts = (mg-cont/kg-inv)/(ing-cont/L)
Variable
BW
IRW
IRFW
PI
PWI
PDS
HR
Value
0.0425
0.165
0.515
1
0.78
018
2.5
SL
SS
4
0.000385



CONTAMINANT

CSED
CW
BCF-I
«g
0.27
2.25E-05
95,000
Cd
11
4.50E-05
1200
Se
1
7.20E-05
322
Pb
200
8.30E-05
5000
 EXPOSURE CALCULATIONS:
                SEDIMENT INGESTION
                    Proportion of diet in dry weight = (1-PWI) = kg-food-dry-wlAg-ftxxl-wet-wi       [>DD
              Ratio of sediment to food (dry-wt)= PDS/( 1 -PDS) = kg-sediment-dry-wt/kg-food-dry-wt    STl-'Jty
              Ratio of sediment to food (wet-wt)= STFdry *PDD = kg-sediment-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt   STFwet
                     Ingestion rate: sediment = IRFW*STFwet = kg-sed-dry-wt/kg-bw/day           I1LS

                        VIA DIET
                    Concentration in Invertebrates: CW*BCF-I= (mg-cont)/kg inv (wet wt)           Cl
                       Dose from Benthic Lwerts: CI * IRFW = (mg-cont)/(kg-bwXday             DI
                           Dose from Sediment:  CSED'IRS = (mg-cont)/(kg-bw)/day             OS
  0.22
  0.22
 0.0483
 00249
  2.14
  MO
0.00671
0.0540
0.0278
0274
0.0232
0.0119
0.0249
0.415
0.214
4.97
 image: 








Table 35 (continued). Predicted toxicity of impoundment metals to the sandpiper.
             VIA DRINKING WATER
Dose from Water: CW*IRW= (mg-cont)/(kg-bw)/day
Dose from Sed in Water: SS*IRW«CSFD = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
SUM ACROSS PA THWA YS
DI + DS + DW + DSW = (mg-cont)/(kg-bw)/day
CI + STFwet'CSED = (mg-cont)/(kg-food)
CW= (mg-cont)/L
ADJUSTMENT FOR HOME RANGE:
Home Range adjustment (if > 1 ) - I IR/SL
TOXICITY PARAMETERS:
Dose Non-Toxic to sandpiper = (mg-cont)/(kg-bw/day)
Diet Non-Toxic to sandpiper * (mg-cont)/kg-diet
Water Column cone non-toxic to sandpiper = (mg-contyL
HAZARD INDEX CALCULATION:
Exposure/Toxicity = EXPdose/NTOXdose
Or = EXPdiet/NTOXdiet
Or = EXPwater/NTOX water
IF INVERTEBRATES EXPOSED TO PORE WATER ARE CONSUMED:
Concentration in PORE water = mg-cont/L
EXPOSURE VIA DIET
Concentration in Benthic Invertebrates: CPW*BCF-I= (mg-contykg inv (wet wt)
Dose from Benthic Inverts: CIPW* IRFW*PI = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
SUM ACROSS PA THWA YS
DIPW + DS + DSW = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
CIPW + STFwet'CSED = (mg-conty(kg-food)
HAZARD INDEX CALCULA TION:
Exposure/1 oxicity = EXP/(NTOXdose)
Or = EXPdiel/NTOXdiet
DW
DSW

EXPdose
EXPdiet
EXPwater

HRA

NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater
HIdose
Hldiet
lllwater

CPW

CIPW
DIPW

EXPdose
EXPdiet
Illdose
Hldiet
3.71E-06
1.72E-05

1.11
2.15
2.25E-05

-

0.032
0.05
1.80E-07
Hg
35
43
125

0.005

475
245

245
475
"g
7644
9500
7.43E-Q6
6.99E-04

0.302
0.585
4.50E-05

.

42
0.1
0.003
Cd
0.0
5.9
0.0

0.01

12.0
6.18

6.45
12.5
Cd
0.2
125
1.19E-05
6.35E-05

0.0369
0.0715
7.20E-05

-

21
5
Se
0.0
0.0

0.016

5.15
2.65

2.68
5.20
Se
1.3
1.0
1.37E-05
0.0127

5.20
10.1
8.30E-05

-

2.8
500
0.01
Pb
1.9
0.0
0.0

0.02

100
51.5

56.5
110
Pb
20
0
 image: 








Table 36. Estimating food ingestion rate for the river otter based on free-living metabolic rate and dietary composition.
Input values and method of calculation from EPA 1993 (see p4-17 for estimating ME).


                                Units                 Variable             Value

1.  Estimate Field Metabolic Rate Normalized to Body Weight
                            kcal/kg-bw/day            NFMRkg               180


2.  Normalize to Body Weight in g
    NFMRkg* lkg/1000g =       kcal/g-bw/day              NI-MR                0.18


3.  Estimate Average Metabolizable Energy
        Sum (P x AE )=   kcal-assim/g-inv-wet-wt          AveME                0.98
Dietary Item
Fish
Invertebrates
Amphibians
Proportion
of Diet
P
0.53
0.26
0.16
Cross Energy
GE
kcal-gross/g-inv-wet-wt
1.2
1
1.2
Assimil. Efficiency
AE
kcal-assim/kcal-gross
0.91
0.87
0.91
Metabolizable Energy
ME=GE x AE
kcal-assim/g-inv-wet-wt
1.09
0.87
1.09
Weighted ME
P xME
kcal-assim/g-inv-wet-wt
0.579
0.226
0.175
4. Estimate Total Normalized Ingestion Rate
        NFMR/AveME=   g-inv-wet-wt/g-bw-day          IRFW               0.184
Source of Input Parameters (in EPA 1993)
         NFMRkg       p 2-264; means for free-living otters.
           GE         p 4-13, Table 4-1; median number for invertebrates.
           AE         P 4-15, Table 4-3; assimilation efficiency of invertebrates.
 image: 








Table 37.  Source of input values for parameters used to estimate river otter exposure
         Parameter           Variable
Body weight                    BW
Ingestion rate: water             IRW
Ingestion rate: food             IRFW
Proportion of diet - sediment    PDS
(dry wt)
Proportion of diet « fish
  " = invertebrates
  " = amphibians
Home range

Proportion of fish = water

  " invertebrates « water

  " amphibians •= water          PWA
PF
PI
PA
HR
PWF
PWI
0.53
0.258
0.16
28
0.72
0.78
Value
10
0.081
0.184
0.094
0.53
0.258
0.16
28
Units
kg/bw
L/kg-bw/day
kg-food-wet-wt/
kg-bw/day
kg-sed-dry-wt/
kg-(sed+food)-dry-wt
kg-fish/kg-food
kg-inv/kg-food
kg-amph/kg-food
km of shoreline
                                         Source(EPA1993b;rlver otter)
                             p 2-264; midpoint of range for adult males and females.
                             p 2-264; average of means for adult males and females.
                             calculated in Table 36.
       (wet-wt - dry-wt)/
       wet-wt
       (wet-wt - dry-wt)/
       wet-wt
0.85
p 4-20; value for raccoon.

p 2-266, assuming % vol=% wt; combining 3 entries.
p 2-266,  "  .
p 2-266,  "  .
p 2-266; midpoint of range (10-78 km) for adult and
young, male and female.
p 4-13; average of 2 entries for fish.

p 4-13; median of 5 values for invertebrates.

p 4-13; value for frogs and toads.
 image: 








Table 38.  Source
concentrations of
Hg
  Variable
NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater
of wildlife toxicity data used
metals non-toxic to the river
   Value           Units
 0.016     mg-Hg/kg-bw/day
  1,1       mg-Hg/kg-diet
  1.5x10*   mg-Hg/L
to estimate doses, dietary concentrations, and drinking water
otter.
                                   Source
  EPA 1993a, p 2-2; proposed mammalian NOAEL.
  Eisler 1987, Table II, p 71; no effect value for mammals.
  EPA 1993a, p 2-3; proposed value for the otter.
Cd    NTOXdose   0.9
      NTOXdiet

      NTOXwater
              0.1
                       mg-Cd/kg-bw/day
           mg-Cd/kg-diet
              0.003     mg-Cd/L
  Eisler 1985a, p 24;  1.8 ppm in oysters fed over 28 days to young mice is a
  possible chronic LOAEL; factor of 2 used to extrapolate to NOAEL. No
  species extrapolation factor used.
  Eisler I985a, p 34;  wildlife dietary levels above this value should be viewed
  with caution.
  Eisler 1985a, p Hi; above this level, adverse effects are pronounced or
  probable.
Se    NTOXdose    0.25
                       mg-Se/kg-bw/day
      NTOXdiet
      NTOXwater
                       mg-Se/kg-diet
              0.05      mg-Se/L
                               Eisler 1985b, p 29; chronic selenosis in cattle at 0.5 mg-Se/kg-bw, possible
                               chronic LOAEL; lethal doses in other mammals occur above 1.5 mg-Se/kg-bw
                               (p 28); factor of 2 used to extrapolate to NOAEL. No species extrapolation
                               factor used.
                               Eisler 1985b, no dietary estimate considered protective of wildlife or mammals.
                               Eisler 1985b, p 41; 50 ppb is drinking water level protective of livestock. No
                               species extrapolation factor used.
 Pb   NTOXdose    0.05
      NTOXdiet
      NTOXwater
              1.5
           mg-Pb/kg-bw/day

           mg-Pb/kg-diet
           mg-Pb/L
  Eisler 1988, Table 8, p 92; irreversible inhibition of ALAD activity in mouse at
  0.05 mg-Pb/kg-bw/day; also, p 108, behavioral impairment in monkeys given
  50 to 100 ug Pb/kg bw over 200 days.  No species extrapolation factor used.
  Eisler 1988, no dietary estimate considered protective of wildlife or mammals.
  Eisler 1988, Table 8, pp. 92-97; wide range of no effects, from 20 to  2000
  mg/L; effects in the rat as low as 1.5 mg/L (possible NOAEL).  No species
  extrapolation factor used.
 image: 








Table 39.  Predicted toxicity of impoundment metals to the river otter (Lutra canadensis).  Calculated variables
   are in italics.  Sources of exposure and toxicity data are in Tables 25, 27-29, 36, and 37.
EXPOSURE PARAMETERS:
                RIVER OTTER
                                  Body weight =
                            Ingestion rate: water =
                     Ingestion rate: food (wet-wt) «
                        Proportion diet that is fish-
              Proportion of diet that is invertebrates =
               Proportion of diet that is amphibians =
                       Proportion of water in fish =
                Proportion of water in invertebrates «
                 Proportion of water in amphibians =
                 Proportion of diet that is sediment =
                                  Home range =

               IMPOUNDMENT
                         Impoundment Shoreline:
                            Suspended Sediment •

               CONTAMINANT
                     Concentration in SEDIMENT =
                     Concentration in PORE water =
                   Concentration in WATER COL =
                            BCF-water into fish =
                          BCF-water into inverts =
                      BCF-water into amphibians =
             Unlti
kg-bw
L-water/kg-bw/day
kg-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day
kg-fish/kg-food
kg-invertebrates/kg-food
kg-amphibians/kg-food
(wet-wt - dry-wtywet-wt
(wet-wt - dry-wtywet-wt
(wet-wt - dry-wtywet-wt
kg-sed-dry-wt/kg-{sed+food)-dry-wt
km shoreline
km shoreline
kgsed/L
mg-conl/kg-sed
mg-cont/L
mg-cont/L
(mg-cont/kg-fishy(mg-cont/L)
(mg-cont/kg-invy(mg-cont/L)
(mg-cont/kg-amphy(mg-cont/I,)
SL
SS
CSED
CPW
CW
BCF-F
BCF-I
BCF-A
Value
10.0000
0.081
0.184
0.53
0.26
016
0.72
078
085
0.094
28
4
0.000385

«g
0.27
0.005
2.25E-05
95000
95000
95000














CONTAMINANT
Cd Se Pb
11 1 200
0.01 0.016 0.02
4.50E-05 7.20E-05 8.30E-05
1500 1000 726
1200 322 5000
1500 1000 726
 image: 








Table 39 (continued).  Predicted toxicity of impoundment metals to the river otter

EXPOSURE CALCULATIONS:

           SEDIMENT INGESTION
              Proportion of diet which is dry weight = kg-food-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt
               (1-PWF)«PF + (1-PWI)»P1 + (1-PWA)«PA
     Ratio of sediment to food (dry-wt)= PDS/( 1 -PDS) = kg-sediment-dry-wt/kg-food-dry-wt
    Ratio of sediment to food (wet-wt)= STFdry*PDD = kg-sediment-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt
           Ingestion rate: sediment = IRFW*STFwet = kg-sed-dry-wtAg-food-dry-wt
                               PDD
                   VIA DIET
                Concentration in Fish: CW*BCF-F=
         Concentration in Invertebrates: CPW*BCF-I=
          Concentration in Amphibians: CW*BCF-A=
                  Dose from Fish: CF * IRFW'PF =
                 Dose from Inverts. CI * IRFW*PI =
              Dose from Amphibs: CA * IRFW*PA =
                 Dose from Sediment: CSED'IRS =
(mg-contykg fish (wet wt)
(mg-contykg inv (wet wt)
(mg-cont)/kg amph (wet wt)
(mg-conty(kg-bwyday
(mg-conty(kg-bwyday
(mg-conty(kg-bwyday
(mg-conty(kg-bwyday
                  0.23
STFdry
STFwet
IRS
0.10
0.0238
0.0044



CONTAMINANT

CF
CI
CA
DF
Dl
DA
DS
Hg
2.14
475
2.14
0.208
22.7
0.0628
0.00118
Cd
0.0675
12
0.0675
0.00657
0.573
0.00198
0.0481
Sc
0.0720
5.15
0.0720
0.00701
0.246
0.00212
0.00438
Pb
0.0603
100
0.0603
0.00587
4.78
0.00177
0.875
            VIA DRINKING WATER
                     Dose from Water: CW*IRW= (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
           Dojse from Sed in Water: SS*IRW*CSED = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday

          SUM A CROSS PA THWA YS
                 DF + Dl + DA + DS + DW + DSW = (mg-conty(kg-bwyday
                   CF + CI + CA + STFwet'CSED = (mg-conty(kg-food)
                                         CW= (mg-contyL
 ADJUSTMENT FOR HOME RANGE:
                   Home Range adjustment (if >1) =
HR/SL
                              DW
                              DSW
                              liXPdose
                              EXPdiet
                              EXPwater
I1RA
                1.82E-06
                8.42E-06
                 23.0
                 479
               225E-05
3.65E-06
3.43E-04
  0.63
  12.4
4.50E-05
5.83E-06
3.12E-05
  0.26
  5.32
7.20E-05
6.72E-06
 0.0062
  5.7
  105
8.30E-05
 image: 








Table 39 (continued). Predicted toxicity of impoundment metals to the river otter
                                                                                        CONTAMINANT
TOXICITY PARAMETERS:
Dose Non-Toxic to river otter = (mg-conty(kg-bw/day)
Diet Non-Toxic to river otter = (mg-cont)/kg-diet
Water Column cone non-toxic to river otter = (mg-cont)/I-
HAZARD INDEX CALCULATION:
Exposure/Toxicity = EXPdose/NTOXdose/HRA
Or =EXPdiet/NTOXdiet/IIRA
Or = EXPwater/NTOXwater/HRA
IF 50% OF INVERTEBRATES CONSUMED ARE EXPOSED TO PORE WATER:
EXPOSURE VIA DIET
Concentration in Invertebrates (ave): = (mg-cont)/kg inv (wet wt)
0.5*(CPW+CW)*BCF-I=
Dose from Denthic Inverts: CIPW* IRFW'PI = (mg-cont)/(kg-bw)/day
SUM ACROSS PA THWA YS
DF + DIPW + DA + DS + DW + DSW = (mg-conl)/(kg-bw)/day
CF + CIPW + CA + STFwet'CSED = (mg-cont)/(kg-food)
HAZARD INDEX CALCULA TION:
Exposure/Toxicity = EXP/(NTOXdose)/I IRA
Or = EXPdiel/NTOXdiet/HRA

NTOXdose
NTOXdiet
NTOXwater

Illdose
Illdiet
Hlwater


CIPW
•
DIPW

EXPdose
EXPdiet

Illdose
Hldiei
Hg
0.016
1.1
1.50E-06
Hg
205
62
2


239

11.4

11.7
243
Hg
104
32
Cd
0.9
0.1
0.003
Cd
0.1
18
0.0


6.03

0.288

0.345
6.42
Cd
0.1
9.2
Se
0.25
-
0.05
Se
0.1
-
0.0


2.59

0.124

0.137
2.76
Se
0.1
-
Pb
0.05
-
1.50
Pb
16.2
-
0.0


50.2

2.40

3.29
55.1
Pb
9.4
-
 image: 








     The field metabolic rate (NFMRkg,  in kcal/kg-bw/day,  which  •
     is the metabolic need of the otter,  taken from EPA [1993b],
     p2-264,  the mean for free-living otters)  was normalized to a
     per gram body weight (kcal/g-bw/day) .   This was divided by
     the average kcal available in the diet (MEavg, in kcal/g-
     diet-wet-wt) and the result expressed as kg-food-wet-wt/kg-
     bw/day.   Proportions of dietary components, gross energy of
     each component  (GE) and assimilation efficiency (AE)  of each
     component were used to calculate the average kcal in the
     diet.  The proportions of diet that are fish  (PF) ,
     invertebrates  (PI), and amphibians  (PA) were based on
     percentages taken  from EPA  (1993b; also see Table 35, here).
     The gross energy  (GE) and assimilation efficiencies  (AE)
     were taken from EPA  (1993) Figure 4-7, and Table 4-1 (median
     value for invertebrates was used for GE) .

     The ingested dose  of contaminants in food was estimated by
first calculating the dose from each food component.  In general,
three components were evaluated, fish, invertebrates, and
amphibians.  As mentioned just above, the proportions of each of
these in the diet were  obtained.  The proportions  were multiplied
by the  ingestion rate to  get component-specific  ingestion rates
which were then multiplied by the contaminant concentration  in
the component.  This tissue  concentration was estimated by
multiplying the  appropriate  medium  concentration by  a
bioaccumulation  factor.  For example,  for an organism  exposed to
mercury  (see Table  37), the  dose  from  fish  (DF;  mg-Hg/kg-bw/day)
is given  by:                •

(1)  DF = CF  *  IRFW *  PF

where:

     CF is the  concentration in  fish (mg-Hg/kg-fish-wet-wt)
     IRFW is  the food  ingestion  rate (kg-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day)
     PF is the  proportion of food that is  fish
      (kg-fish-wet-wt/kg-food-wet-wt)

And  CF is given by:

 (2)  CF = CW * BCF-F

where:

      CW is the concentration in water (mg-Hg/L)
      BCF-F is the bioconcentration factor for water into fish
           ([mg-Hg/kg-fish-wet-wt]/[mg-Hg/L])

      Using these parameters and equations, contaminant doses were
 estimated for each category then summed, along with sediment
 ingestion and drinking water doses.
                                 155
 image: 








     Bioconcentration factors for mercury, cadmium, selenium, and
lead are shown in Table 29.

     iii. Sediment Ingestion Rate and Dose.

     Estimates of the sediment ingestion rates  (IRS; kg-sed-dry-
wt/kg-bw/day) were calculated as follows  (refer also to Tables 35
and 39):

(1)  IRS = IRFW * STFwet

where:
     IRFW is the food ingestion rate  (kg-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day),
     and is obtained as described previously.

     STFwet is the ratio of sediment  to food  in the diet on  a wet
     weight basis (kg-sed-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt).

And, since

 (2)  STFwet = STFdry * FDD

where:

     STFdry is the ratio of sediment  to food  in the diet on  a dry
     weight basis (kg-sed-dry-wt/kg-food-dry-wt).

     FDD converts from wet weight to  dry  weight (kg-food-dry-
     wt/kg-food-wet-wt)

 STFdry and FDD are obtained as  follows:

 (3)  STFdry = PDS/(1-PDS)

 where:

     PDS is the proportion of total  ingested  material  that is
     sediment on a dry weight basis  (kg-sed-dry-wt/kg-
     food+sediment-dry-wt) and  is obtained from EPA  (1993b)
     listings of percent sediment in diet.  For example,  a PDS  of
     0.094 was chosen for the otter  (EPA  [1993b]  p 4-20,  using
     the value listed for the raccoon).

 and:

 (4)  FDD =  (1-PWF)*(PF)  +  (1-PWI)*(PI)  +  (1-PWA)*(PA)

 where:

     FDD converts  ingestion  rates  from wet to dry weight (kg-
     food-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt).

                                156
 image: 








     PWF, PWI, .and PWA are the proportions of fish,
     invertebrates, and amphibians that are water  (kg-water/kg-
     food; or [kg-food-wet-wt - kg-food-dry-wt]/kg-food-wet-wt).

     PF, PI, and PA are the proportions of the diet that are
     fish, invertebrates, and amphibians.

     PDD was estimated from data in Table 4-1 of EPA (1993b) as
follows:  0.72  (mean of two values) was used as the proportion of
fish that is water  (PWF); 0.78  (the median of five values, after
computing the midpoints of ranges) was used as the proportion of
invertebrates that  is water  (PWI); and 0.85 (single value) was
used for amphibians  (PWA).  These proportions were converted to
proportion dry matter by  subtracting from 1, yielding units of
dry-wt/wet-wt.  These new proportions  (dry-wt/wet-wt) were then
multiplied by the proportion of that dietary item  in the total
diet to convert ingestion rates to a dry weight basis.

     For example, the river  otter  ingests 0.184 kg-food-wet-
wt/kg-bw/day, 0.53  of which  is  fish  (PF) at 72% water  (PWF), 0.26
of which is invertebrates (PI) .at  78%  water, and 0.16 of which is
amphibians.  (PA) at  85% water.   Therefore, PDD would be:

     0.53 kg-fish-wet-wt/kg-food-wet-wt  x
     (100-72)%, or  0.28  kg-fish-dry-wt/kg-fish-wet-wt
     plus
     0.26 kg-inv-wet-wt/kg-food-wet-wt x
     0.22 kg-inv-dry-wt/kg-inv-wet-wt
     plus
     0.16 kg-amph-wet-wt/kg-food-wet-wt  x
     0.15 kg-amph-dry-wt/kg-amph-wet-wt

     which  totals  to 0.23 kg-food-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt.

     The dose (mg-sed associated contaminant/kg bwt/day)  was
calculated  by multiplying the  ingestion  rate (IRS) by  the
contaminant concentration in the sediment.

b.   Comparisons between exposure and toxicity.

     Three  approaches were used.   First, the doses were summed
 (food,  water, sediment in drinking water,  other incidental
sediment ingestion) to produce a total dose (mg-contaminant/kg-
body weight/day)  and this was compared with literature toxicity
data.   The  assumption made here was that all of the contaminant
 ingested would be at least as bioavailable as the form of the
contaminant used in the toxicity studies.   The main comparison of
 interest was to compare the ingested dose with a NOAEL (no
 adverse effects level)  dose.  In general,  NOAELs were obtained
 from the literature or else doses characterized as non-toxic to
wildlife were used.  Similarly, dietary concentrations
 characterized as non-toxic to wildlife of some general subgoup of

                                157
 image: 








interest (such .as birds) were also used.  Dietary concentrations
for individual species  (e.g.,  mallard) were not used, because
scaling from that species to the species of interest  (e.g.,
kingfisher) involved computing the dose first.  There was no need
to derive a dietary concentration if a suitable dose was
available.

     If no suitable dose was available, however, it was estimated
from dietary exposure if the dietary concentration was available.
For example, given a dietary NOAEL concentration of 100 mg-Cd/kg-
food or 5 mg-Se/kg-food for the mallard, the NOAEL can be
multiplied by the mallard ingestion rate to yield a daily
acceptable dose.  The mallard ingestion rate can be derived from
the mallard body weight of 1225 g (EPA I993b, p2-43) using
equation 3-5 of EPA (1993b; p3-5) which expresses ingestion as g-
food-dry-wt/day using the formula:

food ingestion  (g-food-dry-wt/day) = 0.495 Body wt  (g) * 0.704

This ingestion rate can then be converted to a wet-weight basis
by multiplying by 7 g-food-wet-wt/g-food-dry-wt (Eisler reports
conversion factors of 4 and 10 in 1985b, p 37 and 1988 p 71,
respectively).  Based on the example presented above, mallard
food intake is calculated to be 73.9 g-food-dry-wt/day, which
converts to 0.517 kg-food-wet-wt/day.  This can be  scaled to body
weight to yield 0.42 kd-food-wet-wt/kg-bw/day.  Multiplying this
by the non-toxic NOAELs of  100 mg-Cd/kg-food and 5 mg-Se/kg-food
yields 42 mg-Cd/kg-bw/day and 2.1 mg-Se/kg-bw-day.

     Second, an attempt was made to  estimate the dietary exposure
in terms of mg-contaminant/kg-diet and compare this exposure with
toxicity data  similarly expressed.   This was done by  multiplying
tissue concentrations for fish, amphibians, and invertebrates by
their relative percent  contributions to the diet, then summing.
To this sum was added an estimate of the dietary contribution by
incidental sediment ingestion.  This component was  estimated by
multiplying STFwet  (the ratio of sediment-dry-weight  to food-
wet-weight) by sediment contaminant  concentrations.   For example,
for the river  otter ingesting mercury:

     STFwet =  0.0218  kg-sed-dry-wt/kg-food-wet-wt

And, multiplying by the mercury  concentration of 0.27 mg-cont/kg-
sed-dry-wt, yields:

     0.0059 mg-Hg/kg-food-wet-wt  (incidental  sediment ingestion)

Note how this  adds  only a  small  amount to  the total dietary
concentration  of mercury  intake  which  is estimated  at 33.3 mg-
Hg/kg-food-wet-wt  (Table  39,  EXPdiet).
                                158
 image: 








     Third, where possible, water column concentrations were
compared with proposed water quality criteria protective of
wildlife.  These three comparisons were also adjusted for the
influence of home range relative to the size of the impoundment
(assumed to have a shoreline length of 4 km).


     5^   Kingfisher - Exposure, Toxicity, and Effects

     The sources of the input values used to estimate kingfisher
exposure are shown in Table 30.  Based on the reported density of
0.15 to 0.6 pairs of kingfishers per km of shoreline  (EPA 1993b,
p 2-178) , the proposed impoundment could support a pair.  The
sources of the toxicity data selected to evaluate potential
effects to kingfishers that might utilize the impoundment are
presented  in Table 31.

     Results of exposure  and toxicity calculations for the
kingfisher are shown  in Table  32.  Cadmium  is not expected-to
present  a  problem to  kingfishers.  However,  mercury  in particular
as well  as lead and selenium may  be  at  concentrations above  a
level  of no effect.   Although  bioavailability of these metals may
be overestimated  for  ingestion of  sediments  in  drinking-water,
this component has only  a minor contribution.   In addition,  if
species  extrapolation factors  are used,  the  hazard  indices would
increase by an order  of  magnitude.

      6^_    Exposure and Toxicity to the  Sandpiper

     The sources  of  the input values used to estimate sandpiper
exposure are  shown  in Tables 32 and 33.   Based  on the reported
density  of about  12  per hectare in summer (EPA 1993b, p 2-153)
and  assuming  a  shoreline width of 1 m,  the proposed impoundment
 (4 km of shoreline)  could support approximately 5 birds (i.e.,
 [4  000 m shoreline length x 1 m width]  x [0.0001 hectare/in  x 12
 birds/hectare]  =4.8 birds).  The sources of the toxicity data
 selected to evaluate potential effects to sandpipers that might
 utilize the impoundment are presented in Table 31.

      Results of exposure and toxicity calculations for the
 sandpiper are shown in Table 35.  Based on the assumptions and
 values used selenium is not expected to be present in
 concentrations toxic to sandpipers.  Mercury in particular may be
 at concentrations above a level of no effect as might cadmium and
 lead to a lesser extent.    Based on comparisons of pathways,
 most of the exposure to mercury comes from  ingestion of
 invertebrates, whereas the pathway of concern for lead and
 cadmium is sediment  ingestion  (estimated separately  from
                                 159
 image: 








total ingested .close.  A second, more conservative scenario where •
the invertebrate prey are exposed to pore water concentrations,
suggests that all of the metals would be of concern, particularly
mercury, followed by cadmium and lead.  It is important to note
that if species extrapolation  factors are used, the hazard
indices would increase by an order of magnitude.

     7.   Exposure and Toxicity to the River Otter

     The sources of the input  values used to estimate river otter
exposure are shown in Tables 38 and 39.  Based on the reported
density of about one otter per 28 km of shoreline  (EPA 1993b, p
2-266), the proposed impoundment  (4 km of shoreline) could be
important in supporting an otter.  The sources of the toxicity
data selected to evaluate potential effects to river otters that
might utilize the impoundment  are presented in Table 38.

     Results of exposure and toxicity calculations  for the river
otter are shown in Table 39.   Based on the assumptions and values
used and adjusting for home range, selenium is not  expected to be
present in toxic concentrations..  Mercury in particular may be at
concentrations above a level of no effect as might  cadmium and
lead to a lesser extent.  As was  found in the analyses for the
two bird species, ingestion of water and sediments  in drinking
water  are likely to be minor contributions to the  total ingested
dose.  A second, less conservative scenario where  half rather
than all the  invertebrate prey are exposed to pore  water
concentrations, does not change the above results  appreciably.

     Based on  comparisons of pathways, most of the exposure to
the metals comes from  ingestion of  invertebrates with additional
doses  contributed from  fish  or sediment  ingestion  depending on
the metal.  As pointed  out  for the  bird  species,  it is  important
to note again  that  if  species  extrapolation  factors are used,  the
hazard indices would  increase  by  an  order  of  magnitude.

K._   Uncertainty  Factors

      This  analysis  builds  on data supplied  from other sections of
this  report  and so  incorporates the uncertainties  in those
sections  by  reference.   For the most part,  sediment,  pore water,
and  water  column toxicity  were evaluated by comparison with
benchmarks,  and the uncertainties in each of  those benchmarks
 (water quality criteria and sediment benchmarks)  are similarly
 incorporated by reference.   However,  the analysis of potential
toxicity  to wildlife has several types of uncertainty that can
only be reduced with further  site-specific exposure and toxicity
 information.

      Several assumptions were made concerning exposure of the
 selected  species.   The animals are expected to ingest resuspended
 sediments along with their drinking water,  and these sediments

                                160
 image: 








are assumed to .come entirely from tailings.  Resuspension of
tailings and .their subsequent settlement along the shoreline has
not been modeled, nor  is  it understood whether such a scenario
would result in elevated  levels  of metals  in near-shore pore
water as compared to the  water column.  In general, it was
assumed that ingested  metals were as bioavailable as the form of
the contaminants used  in  the toxicity tests that form the basis
for comparison.  While this may  be an overestimate for sediments,
tissue concentrations  are likely to be highly bioavailable and
these doses seemed to  contribute the most  contaminants to the
overall dose.

     Similarly, selecting from a range of  available toxicity data
is not straightforward.   Ideally, one would like to find several
studies that generate  NOAEL's  (no adverse  affect levels) for dose
or dietary concentration  that are based.on chronic studies using
endpoints that are relevant to populations or individuals of the
selected species.  Because these data are  generally not available
to this level of desired  detail, selections are made and
extrapolation factors  are used.  Here, extrapolation factors were
used only to estimate  a NOAEL f;rom a  LOAEL (lowest adverse effect
level) , where a factor of two was used.   It could be argued for
most of the wildlife comparisons that an  additional factor of at
least  10 be used to reflect the  uncertainty of applying data from
acute  studies on species  other  than the one of concern.

     Nevertheless, despite these and  other sources of
uncertainty, the attempt  here was made to select organisms that
could  reasonably represent a  range  of wildlife that would use the
impoundment area.  In  addition,  the  following guidelines were
used to avoid creating an unrealistic or  overconservative
analysis:  (I) average  wildlife  exposure parameters were used  (vs
selecting maximum  ingestion rates,  smallest body weights,
juveniles, etc.);  (2)  reasonable estimates were  used  for most
parameters.  For  example, BCFs  were taken from  those  used  in
other  analyses  of  wildlife (EPA I993a),  and where  possible, non-
toxic  doses  and dietary  concentrations  were taken  from Eisler's
summaries  (1985a,  1985b,  1987);  and (3)  species  sensitivity
factors were not used, but could be factored in.   Also, the
sensitivity  of  the models used here were  examined  for the
response  of  the hazard indices to assumptions about  the exposure
of invertebrates to  pore water.

      Based on  the approach used here, the results  are useful  in:
 (1)  indicating the general expected toxicity of impoundment
 sediments,  pore water, and the  potential for bioaccumulation;  and
 (2)  describing the uncertainties of the proposed project  in  terms
 of the potential of the  impoundment to affect aquatic and  benthic
 biota as  well  as wildlife upon  cessation of the discharge.
                                 161
 image: 








L^.   SUMMARY OF- EXCEEDANCES OF CRITERIA  AND  BENCHMARKS

                  PORE WATER  (Tables  25  and  26)

Exceedance of AWQC

     - Acute:
     CU  (12X),  Hg  (2x),  NH3 (5x) , Cr  (2x)*,  CN  (200x)**
     - Chronic:Cd  (2x),  Se  (3x)

           *If Cr(VI);  **CN  criterion  applied to CNfree

Exceedance of aquatic  values  of  concern

     - High  end of  concentration range:CNS  (16x)
     - Low end  of  concentration range: CNO  (4x), Xanthate (93x)


                        SEDIMENT (Table 27)

Exceedance of  Provincial Sediment Quality Guidelines

      -  Severe  Effect:Cd (lx), Cu (2x), Fe (lx), Mn  (4x)
      -  Lowest  Effect:
      Ag (6x),  As (2x), Cr (lx),  Hg (lx), Ni  (2x), Pb  (7x),  Zn
      (4X), CNtot (420X)

 Exceedance of Wisconsin DNR Guidelines:
      Cd (llx),  Cu  (3x), Hg (3x), Pb  (4x) , Zn  (5x),  As &  Se  (lx)

 Exceedance of Draft Great Lakes ERMs:
      Cd (3x),  Cu (lx), Pb  (2x)


                      WATER COLUMN  (Table 28)

 Exceedance of AWQC
      - Acute:Cu (2x)
      - Chronic:Hg  (60x)


         WILDLIFE  (Cd, Pb,  Hg, Se)  (Tables 32,  35, and 39)

 Exceedance  of  estimated nontoxic dose:
           Kingfisher:Hg (32x)
           Sandpiper:Hg  (35x),  Pb (2x)
           River Otter:Hg (205x),  Pb   (16x)

 Exceedance  of  estimated nontoxic dietary concentration:
           Kingfisher:Hg (41x)
           Sandpiper:Hg (43x),  Cd (6x)


                                 162
 image: 








          River-Otter:Hg  (62x), Cd (18x) (NA for Se, Pb)

Exceedance of draft Great Lakes Water criterion for Hg:
          Kingfisher:Yes 225 x
          Sandpiper:Yes 125 x
          River Otter:Yes   2 x

If benthic invertebrates are exposed to pore water and are then
consumed, the following additional contaminants are of concern to
the kingfisher and sandpiper:

Exceedance of estimated nontoxic dose:
          Kingfisher:Pb  (4x)
          Sandpiper:Se  (Ix)

Exceedance of estimated nontoxic dietary concentration:
          Kingfisher:Cd  (29x)
          Sandpiper:Se  (Ix)


M..   Review  of Literature on  Subaqueous Disposal of Mine Tailings

     The Mine Environment Neutral  Drainage  (MEND)  studies,
conducted by a consortium of  Canadian  government agencies  and
industry representatives,  examined lakes in Canada that have been
used in the  past  for  subaqueous  disposal of mine taili-ngs.  Four
potentially  relevant  Canadian lakes  studied included  Buttle Lake,
Anderson Lake, Mandy  Lake and Benson Lake,  with results presented
in a number  of reports.   These studies are  of  some use in
predicting what  could occur in the AJ tailings impoundment in
terms  of uptake  of metals,  and were subsequently reviewed  by the
Rawson Academy  in terms of the utility of  the  subaqueous disposal
technique.   A major difference between the lakes reviewed  and  the
proposed  impoundment is that the lakes reviewed have  very
different  characteristics in terms of sediment inputs and
existing  biological communities than might be  expected in  the
Sheep  Creek  tailings impoundment.

     The Rawson  Academy's review of the studies conducted  on
three  of these  lakes (Buttle,. Anderson and Mandy)  is  summarized
 in a report  entitled A Critical Review of  MEND Studies Conducted
to 1991  on Subaqueous Disposal of Tailings RAAS 7/92  SRT Report.
The review is  not an endorsement of the disposal technique in all
 cases.  For  example,

      p  2  "The process of tailings disposal  is potentially
 highlv"disruptive of lake ecosystems and normally it would take
 several  decades  (possibly centuries in some lakes) before natural
 sedimentation provided sufficient cover to  insulate the lake
 ecosystem from the influence of the tailings  (both the metals
 flux and substrate effects)."


                                 163
 image: 








     p. 2.  "The background limnologies of the MEND case study
lakes (Anderson, Buttle, Mandy) are suitable only for gross
comparisons.  They do not support clear interpretation of cause
and effect associated with tailings disposal."

     p. 3. "..the data are neither useful to address effects
which occur during the process of disposal nor long term
ecosystem adjustments to the introductions of tailings."

     p. 9.  Concerns to be addressed:  Biological and physical
reworking of tailings underwater, burial of benthic biota  (and
modification of food web structure), effects of solids ingestion
on metal uptake by organisms.

     p. 10.  "The application  of a single "generic" approach to
subaqueous tailings disposal does not seem practical,
considerations  ... should be site-specific."

     p. 12.  "..the background limnologies are inadequate  to
establish anything other than  the most obvious trends  in lake
conditions."

     Subsequent to the  Rawson  Academy review, the MEND program
conducted a preliminary biological and geological assessment of
Benson Lake.  Of the  lakes  studied to date,  the Benson Lake
setting appears to be most  applicable to  the AJ mine project with
some caveats.   Benson Lake  is  described as  a small, deep,
oligotrophic coastal  mountain  lake situated  in the  coastal
western hemlock biogeoclimatic zone  on the  northern end  of
Vancouver Island.  Benson Lake was used as  a tailings  repository
for approximately eleven years by  the Benson Lake Coast  Copper-
Mine operated  by Cominco Ltd.   Operations ceased  in 1973.   This
lake is not comparable  in terms of  some  site specifics,
especially the fact  that Benson Lake is  an existing lake with
supporting aquatic and  riparian habitats,  populations, and
relatively large  stream inflows allowing  foraging and
recruitment.   The  regeneration of  the communities associated with
this lake are not  applicable to the AJ project.

     Aquatic vegetation was well established in the littoral zone
 of the lake and compared to a control lake, aquatic vegetation in
 Benson Lake was found to contain elevated levels of arsenic and
 copper.  Arsenic accumulated  in the tops and roots of horsetail
 (Jfguisetum sp.) and pond weed  (Potamogeton sp.) .   The roots of
 both species had very high levels of arsenic ranging from  100 to
 320 ug/g and 330 to 2100 ug/g respectively.  Copper accumulated
 in the roots of horsetail and in the tops and roots of pond weed.
 Spper in horsetail roots ranged from 29 ug/g to 380 ug/g.  Roots
 typically accumulated more metal than the tops (MEND,  1991).

      Concentrations of metals in the flesh of fish from Benson
 Lake were lower than for the  control lake.  However,

                                 164
 image: 








concentrations of arsenic, copper, cobalt, and cadmium were
significantly higher in the livers of fish from Benson Lake,
suggesting metals bioaccumulation.

     These data indicate that metals have accumulated in
vegetation and fish from Benson Lake when compared to a control
lake.

N.   Laboratory Tests Relevant to the Long-Term Behavior of
     Metals and Other Constituents.

     The ecological risk analysis presented earlier in this
chapter is based in part on analyses of the tailings.  A
principal concern is the bioavailability of metals to organisms
that could inhabit the  impoundment which is in utrn related to
the mobility of the metals.

     Two types of information, leach tests and indicators of acid
generation potential, provide an  empirical basis to evaluate the
mobility of metals from the solid phase into water  (see Table 3).
As with samples discussed  earlier for decant tests, a major
concern with analytical results for  leach tests and acid
generation potential of tailings  material has been a lack of
information on the representativeness of the materials tested
with respect to the material expected to come out of the mill.
As noted above, data intended to  demonstrate the
representativeness of the  average nature  of bulk ore samples used
in test work have recently been provided  by Echo Bay  (EBA,
1994a,b). The availability of a single  tailings sample, if
representative, provides  at best  average  values for test results
rather than reasonable  maximum values.

     1.   Leach Tests.

     Column  leach tests were  conducted  in 1989  (Ott,  1989)  and
1991  (Andrews,  1991) on tailings  material.   Little  information
has  been available  on  the source  of material  and methods used  in
the  1989 tests  and  they are not  discussed further here.  The  1991
column tests  were done on tailings  produced from  a  bulk  sample  of
ore  collected from  the 4387SX crosscut  in the North Ore  Body.
Tailings  from this  sample have  undergone a variety  of  tests and
have been  the primary  focus of  testing  for the FEIS (Table 4).

     The  column tests  which extended up to about  240 days
 indicated  an early  release of many constituents,  such as cyanide,
 thought  be be related to  the tailings water.   The results  were
 used in  conjunction with  decant data (both in the FEIS and in
 this report in Table 5) to develop estimates of tailings water
 composition for projections of pond pore-water quality.   A
 tabulation of column test and decant results is included Appendix
 B (Tables B-l and B-2).


                                165
 image: 








     Batch-type" leach tests  (EP - extraction procedure toxicity
and TCLP - toxicity characteristic leaching procedure) of
tailings believed to have been previously leached in the 1991
columns (Table 4 and Bergstrom, 1993) were conducted to provide a
comparison with the hazardous waste toxicity characteristic under
the Resources Conservation and Recovery Act  (RCRA).  Because of
the previous column leaching, the batch tests are not useful for
hazardous waste characterization of the raw tailings.
Furthermore, the tests are not necessarily appropriate for
determining the mobility of  contaminants from mine wastes under
environmental conditions at  the tailings impoundment because of
the organic acid leachant and the limited analyte list.

     2.   Acid Generation Potential.

     The oxidation of sulfur in the presence of water can produce
sulfuric acid which can  in turn liberate metals at concentrations
well above what might be released under near-neutral pH
conditions.  The presence of calcium  carbonate and other alkaline
minerals, however, can neutralize acid  if the minerals are
available in sufficient  quantity and  dispersed such that
neutralizing reactions-can occur at  rates exceeding the acid
generating reactions.  Two means of  assessing the potential for
acid drainage from the mine  workings, waste  rock, and tailings
are available for the AJ project:

*    Historical  drainage characteristics  from old mine workings
     and tailings piles.

*    Laboratory  tests  of acid  generation  potential  of samples
     from the mine  sites.

     Several historical  mine workings and waste  dumps occur  near
Juneau (Bureau  of  Land Management,  1992).   Reports of acid
drainage have not  been found for these localities.   However,  the
use of new  processing techniques and methods of  waste disposal
 for AJ would argue against reliance on historical information
 alone  as  the sole  basis for evaluating the potential for acid
 generation.

      The  FEIS notes that Lakefield Research tests indicate
 flotation tailings would have a net potential to consume acid,
 and cyanided tailings might be acid producing.   The FEIS
 concludes that combined tailings are «... expected to provide a
 relatively strong potential for acid consumption." (BLM, iyy^,
 p 4-42)   Actual data to support the FEIS statement were sparse
 at best because of lack of  information on the source and
 variability of samples.  Extensive additional data on sulfur
 content and acid-base accounting tests for ore and waste rock
 were provided in 1994 by Echo Bay  (EBA, 1994b).  These results
 demonstrate that the sulfur content  of ore and waste rock is
 sufficiently low enough and the neutralization potential high
                                 166
 image: 








enough that the-se materials are not likely to produce acid
drainage.

     Few results are available, on the other hand, for acid-base
accounting of tailings  samples  (Tables 4, 40).  The distribution
of data for sulfur content in ore as presented by Echo Bay  (EBA,
1994a) demonstrates that  the bulk sample used to produce tailings
for acid generation testing is  reasonably representative of the
average material to be  mined with respect to the parameters used
to determine acid generation potential.  However, the single bulk
sample and the single test result available at present for
combined tailings is clearly not sufficient to demonstrate  no
potential for acid generation.  For example, a single test
provides no allowance for ore variablity, test variability  or for
variability related to  the proportion  of CIL tailings in the
combined flotation-CIL  mix  (Table 40).

Oj_   Conclusions Regarding Potential  Long-Term Contamination

     The Sheep Creek tailings  impoundment,  after  closure, would
be an unusual aguatic  feature  insofar as  it would be a steep
sided, shallow reservoir. No  comparable  lakes or reservoirs were
found from which to  infer the  type  of aguatic  biological
community that might develop  in the impoundment over time.  The
impoundment would  likely provide relatively poor  habitat  for fish
due to lack of cover,  lack of  spawning areas,  and low organic
input  (e.g.,  natural  sediment  and insects)  from the small  streams-
that would enter  the  impoundment.   Regardless,  it is assumed that
aquatic  plants and benthic (bottom dwelling)  organisms would
colonize the  impoundment to some extent,  providing  potential
pathways for  bioaccumulation of metals.

      An  ecological risk analysis was performed based on  predicted
pore  water guality,  contaminants in the tailings  (sediments) and
predicted pollutant concentrations in the water column.   The
results  of this  analysis indicate that aquatic biota (including
wildlife) would be at substantial risk from the contaminants  in
the  tailings.  Water quality criteria would likely be exceeded at
high levels  in the pore water  (up to 200 times the acute
 criterion  for cyanide) and water column (2 times the acute
 criterion  for copper); sediment concentrations would exceed
 benchmark comparison values (over 400 times the lowest effect
 level for cyanide) ; and  wildlife are likely to be at substantial
 risk from their exposure to high levels of metals in their diets
 (exceeding draft Great Lakes criterion for mercury by over 200
 times).

      Canadian studies  of lakes used for disposal of mine tailings
 were also reviewed.  These studies examined to some degree the
 impacts of mine tailings disposal on the health  of the aquatic
 systeml in ?hese lakes!  The findings of these studies  however,
 df noTa^er EPA's conclusion  that the Sheep Creek tailings

                                 167
 image: 








AJACID.XLS
Table 40. Data for evaluation of acid drainage potential for AJ mine waste.

Material


lead analysis
lead analysis
ore • 38 samples
ore - 64 samples
ore - 6 xcut aamplea
ore - 18 samples
ore - 6 xcut samples
ore -101 aamplea

flotation taila
CN taila
CND taila
Combo flot/CND taila
tailings (5% end)?

waste rock 1
waste rock 2
waste rock 3
waste rock 4
waste rock 5
waste rock 0
waate rock-53 samples




-



Notes:

Source


north ore body
north ore body
north ore body-averege
north ore body-average
north ore body-average
south ore body-avg
south ore body-avg
NOB - SOB averaged

north ore body
north ore body
north ore body
north ore body
10% N-69% S-21% GH7

unknown
unknown
unknown
unknown
unknown
unknown
NOB - SOB averaged










Sulfur
%

0.7,
0.81
0.42
0,68
0.61
1.02
o.e
0.50

0.04
4.76
4.64
0.41
0.21

0.48
0.82
0.47
0.47
0.36
0.24
0.4










AP
kg/t



12.9
17.7
18.7
31.3
15.4
17.1

1.22
146
142
12.55


14.7
25.1
14.4
14.4
11
7.3
12.S











NP
kg/t



139
143
129
230
189
160

82.3
83.8
81.1
70.32


86.7
162.7
135.2
103.9
144
89.2
215











NNP
kg/t



126
125
110
199
174
143

81.1
•61.9
•60.9
57.77


72
137.6
120.8
89.5
133
81.9
208









1. AP - acidification potential; NP • neutralization potential; NNP - net neutralization potential.
2. Unite for AP, NP, and NNP are kg H2S04 per 1000 kg waste.
3. NOB-north ore body; SOB-south ore body.









Reference

















LR 3980 - Lakefield Research, 1990, p. 4.


















LR 3586-001, progress report 8, referenced in Lakefield Research, 1990, p. 4.
EBA (1994a)
EBA (1994a)
EBA (1994a)
EBA (1994a)
EBA I1994a)
EBA <1994a)
















LR 3980 - Lakefield Research, 1990, p. 9.
LR 3980 - Lakefield Research, 1990, p. 9.
LR 3980 • Lakefield Research, 1990, p. 9.
Bergstrom (1994b)


LR 3586 - Lakefield Research, 1988, p. 25.


LR 3586 - Ott, 1989.
LR 3586 - Ott, 1989.
LR 3566 - Ott, 1989.
LR3586 - Ott, 1989.
LR 3586 - Ott. 1989.
LR3588- Ott, 1989.
EBA (1994a|
































































































































































  Page 1
 image: 








impoundment would present substantial risks to wildlife in the
long-term.
                                 169
 image: 








IX.  POTENTIAL -MEASURES FOR MITIGATING WATER QUALITY
     IMPACTS

A.   Introduction

     As described in the preceeding chapters, there are
significant obstacles to permitting the proposed tailings
disposal site in Sheep Creek valley.  The discharge from the
impoundment during operation is projected to exceed effluent
limits and lead to wide-spread violations of Alaska's water
quality standards in Gastineau Channel.  After tailings disposal
ceases, the impoundment would present high risks to local
wildlife species due to the expected levels of contaminants in
the tailings and in the pore water within the tailings.

     During the course of preparing this report, various
potential measures for reducing the water quality impacts of -the
project have been identified.  The following sections review
measures that have been identified in the FEIS and elsewhere  (see
Appendix E) to potentially reduce the projected water quality
impacts to significantly lower•levels.

B    Secondary Wastewater Treatment

     The FEIS  (BLM, 1992) briefly reviewed secondary wastewater
treatment options to further reduce suspended solids, metals and
cyanide in the discharge to.Gastineau Channel.  These options
were eliminated from detailed  consideration due to "major cost
increases without significant  environmental benefit."

     For cost  comparison, the  FEIS described the Eklutna Water
Project in Anchorage.  This facility, which cost nearly $40
million and has a design flow  of 54 cfs, provides flocculation,
sedimentation  and filtration.  The system costs $875,000 per year
to operate and consumes 250 kW of energy.

     Given that the peak discharge  from the  Sheep Creek
impoundment would be on the order of  200 cfs, costs  for
constructing a secondary treatment plant for the impoundment
discharge could be considerably higher  than  the cost of the
Eklutna facility.  Such a  facility  could also require a large
area of fill in Gastineau  Channel,  potentially  as  large as  30  to
40 acres.  This would  clearly  add  significantly to project  costs
and to the overall loss of  intertidal habitat  in Gastineau
Channel.

     Such  a  facility would likely  be  capable of reducing
suspended  solids  to  levels that would comply with  EPA's effluent
limits, i.e.,  to  less  than 20  mg/1  of TSS.   The AJ facility,
however, would require treatment  processes  for  other pollutants
of concern,  including  cyanide  and possibly  dissolved metals.   The
FEIS indicates that  additional cyanide destruction could  be

                                170
 image: 








accomplished by dewatering the tailings slurry and washing the
dried tailings to rinse away complexed cyanide and trace metals
adsorbed to the particulates.  This process would add
significantly to the treatment costs.

     In conclusion, EPA concurs with the FEIS findings that
secondary treatment of the wastewater stream from the Sheep Creek
tailings impoundment would likely be prohibitively expensive,
primarily because of the high flows that would require treatment.

C.   Potential Measures for Reducing TSS

     Three potential means for reducing TSS concentrations in the
discharge have been identified by Echo Bay  (see Appendix E) .
These include storing water in the tailings impoundment during
periods of high runoff  (e.g., in late spring), adding flocculants
or coagulants  (settling aids) to the tailings waste stream and
installing a diffuser on the tailings discharge line to dissipate
energy.  No studies have been performed with respect to the AJ
mine tailings  in terms of how effective such measures would be
and specifically whether they would  likely  reduce TSS
concentrations below 20 mg/1, the average monthly limit.

     Regardless, TSS is only one of  several pollutants of
concern.  Even if  such measures could reduce TSS to below  20
mg/1, they would not affect pollutants  such as cyanide which
would be in a  dissolved state,  nor  is  it  clear whether such
measures would reduce arsenic,  copper  and mercury levels so as to
meet effluent  limits and WQS.   Furthermore, such measures  would
not reduce the potential  for  long-term  contamination after the
tailings discharge ceases.

D..   Isolating the Tailings

     In response to EPA concerns  regarding  the potential  for
long-term contamination within the impoundment after  closure,
Echo Bay submitted preliminary designs for  isolating  the
tailings.  Two proposals  were  submitted (see  Appendix E).   The
first proposal entailed mixing cement with  the tailings  slurry
during the  last  years  of  tailings discharges.   According to Echo
Bay, the tailings  would form a concrete cap a foot  or two in
thickness.

     EPA does not  believe this approach would be feasible.  The
concrete  layer,  if it formed,  would eventually weather and crack,
exposing the tailings.   Also,  concrete is porous and would not
prevent  leaching of contaminants.   Furthermore,  it would provide
essentially no habitat for bottom dwelling organisms.

     A second option would be to cover the tailings with waste
rock   While this approach would not prevent flux of contaminants
 from"the tailings to the water column, it would help to isolate

                                171
 image: 








the tailings from direct ingestion by larger aquatic organisms
foraging along "the bottom of the impoundment.  While it would
provide habitat for bottom dwelling organisms and rooted aquatic
vegetation, these would in turn provide pathways for
bioaccumulation of metals due to the flux of contaminants through
the waste rock.  Also, placement of the waste rock would likely
cause resuspension of large amounts of tailings.   For these
reasons, EPA does not consider isolating the tailings underwater
to be feasible.

E.   Eliminating the Cyanide Leach Circuit

     Echo Bay has discussed the possibility of altering the
project to eliminate the use of cyanide to recover gold.  Instead
of producing gold, the project would produce a "concentrate" from
the froth flotation mill that would contain most of the metals.
This concentrate, estimated at four barge loads per day, would
then be shipped elsewhere  (e.g., Japan) for processing to recover
the gold.

     There is not adequate  information available to properly
evaluate this potential project modification.  Short and long-
term water quality impacts  would likely be reduced with the
elimination of the cyanide  circuit, but an in-depth analysis
would be needed to determine the impacts of such a significant
modification to the project.

F..   Alternative Tailings  Disposal Sites

     Various tailings disposal alternatives were reviewed during
the EIS process.    Some,  such as the  Powerline Gulch alternative
 (also known as  Icy Gulch),  were  eliminated at  least in part
because they were  located  in  smaller watersheds that would not
provide adequate  "dilution water" needed to meet effluent limits.
Given the  finding  of  this  report that  effluent from the Sheep
Creek alternative  would not meet effluent  limits, this point  is
.moot.

     In view of the  findings  of  this  report,-  EPA believes it may
be prudent to  re-examine  some alternatives to the Sheep Creek
tailings  impoundment.   For example, the  proponent of the
Powerline/Icy Gulch  alternative   asserts that it would  be
feasible  to construct a diversion  ditch  around the  north  side  of
the valley capable of diverting  about 80%  of  the  surface  runoff
 (AGDC,  1992)'.   If feasible, this would significantly reduce  the
volume  of  effluent from a tailings  impoundment located  at this
site,  improving the  feasibility of  secondary treatment  of the
effluent.

     All  of the tailings disposal  alternatives,  including the
Sheep  Creek alternative,  were viewed in terms of  subaqueous
 (underwater)  disposal of tailings.   Reclamation for all the

                                172
 image: 








alternatives consisted of maintaining a reservoir of water over
the tailings.  All would therefore present long-term
contamination risks similar to those for the Sheep Creek
alternative.

     None of the alternatives were examined from a more
conventional subaerial tailings  deposition approach similar to
the proposed Kensington project.  This approach involves
depositing the tailings on dry  land to form a tailings beach that
can be covered with soil and reclaimed after cessation of mining.
Water from the tailings slurry  would collect in a relativley
small, shallow pond at one end  of the impoundment.

     If feasible,  this approach would reduce the potential risks
of long-term contamination since aquatic  organisms would not be
directly exposed to tailings.   However, diverting surface water
around such an  impoundment would be necessary.  This would not be
feasible in Sheep  Creek valley  due to the steep slopes.  While
substantial surface water diversion may be feasible  in
Powerline/Icy Gulch,  there  are  many perceived  problems with the
Powerline/Icy Gulch alternative.  These  include access, cost,
availability of  construction material  and a limited  construction
season.  While  ecological  values of the  site  are much  lower than
Sheep Creek valley,  it is  located  at  a higher  elevation with
greater potential  for erosion of the  dam  and  tailings.
                                 173
 image: 








X-        POTENTIAL MEASURES TO MITIGATE ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS

A. •  introduction

     This chapter addresses measures that have been proposed to
mitigate the physical loss of aquatic resources.  The proposed
tailings impoundment of the AJ Mine would fill 420 acres of the
Sheep Creek valley.  Waters that would be eliminated by this fill
are 2.5 miles of Sheep Creek and 8.1 acres of wetlands (total of
20.1 acres of aquatic habitat; COE, 1994).  The flow of 1.1
additional miles of Sheep Creek downstream of the impoundment
would be significantly reduced.  Marine fill consists of 14.7
acres extending from the shoreline of Gastineau Channel to the
-30 foot contour.

     The value of the wetlands and associated stream channel
within Sheep Creek valley stems from the part they play in a
mosaic of habitat types within the valley.  The vegetative
assemblage of the valley is essentially a riparian assemblage, a
result of the surface and ground water regime of the valley.  The
mixture of cottonwood and wetland shrub communities provides
habitat for an unusual assemblage of song birds, as well as other
animals (see Chapter V, Affected Environment).  Among the total
area of cottonwood forest in the greater Juneau area, Sheep Creek
valley contains 25%. In addition, the Sheep Creek valley has much
greater nesting success than nearby areas with the same
assemblage of vegetation.  It is the context of Sheep Creek
valley in which wetland values are considered.  EPA considers the
loss of these values to be a significant adverse impact.

      Measures to mitigate the functions and values of aquatic
resources that would be lost due to construction of the proposed
tailings impoundment are described in the FEIS  (BLM, 1992).
Among these are:

     1. Measures to maintain the flow of water in the reach of
     Sheep Creek used by anadromous fish:

     2. Development and implementation of a fishery enhancement
     project at another site;

     3. Restocking of the tailings impoundment with fish after
     closure;

     4. Enhancement of fishery values of the impoundment;

     5. Enhancement of wildlife values of the impoundment,
     targeting waterfowl in particular;

     6. Develop and implement a wetlands enhancement project at
     another location.
                                174.
 image: 








B_-_   Qn-site Mitigation Proposals

     The long term aquatic resource potential of the tailings
impoundment has been evaluated.  If, within a reasonable amount
of time, the impoundment were to reach a state of water quality
and productivity such that a healthy aquatic ecosystem could be
maintained, then long term resource losses might be reduced.
However, as concluded in the Chapter VIII, subaqueous disposal of
the AJ Mine tailings in the Sheep Creek valley would place
indigenous wildlife at substantial risk.  EPA therefore concludes
that no "mitigation credit" can be ascribed to the tailings
impoundment and that efforts to offset these significant losses
should be directed toward off-site mitigation options.

C..   Off-site Mitigation Proposals

     EPA suggested restoration of degraded wetlands of Lemon
Creek valley and development of access for the public as
potential mitigation.  EPA's rationale was that enhancement of
values in a nearby degraded valley could potentially offset the
losses in habitat and aesthetics of the Sheep Creek valley.
Restoration of wetland values in the lower part of Lemon Creek,
while clearly not an in-kind replacement of the high quality
habitat of Sheep Creek valley, would provide quality waterfowl
habitat and some songbird habitat.  In addition, improved access
to Lemon Creek valley would provide an alternative for aesthetic
values lost in Sheep Creek valley, with similar proximity to
downtown Juneau.

     This proposal was ultimately determined to be infeasible
(R&M Engineering, Inc., 1993) because much of the disturbed land
in Lemon Creek valley is unavailable as a mitigation project for
any or all of the following reasons:

     1.  It is private property and not for sale;  .

     .2.  It is currently under industrial development.  Gravel
     mines are the primary use.

     3.  It is under the authority of active Corps 404 permits
     that require reclamation to mitigate adverse environmental
     impacts on site.

     Echo Bay outlined an alternative project that identified
three ponds in the Juneau area for enhancement to mitigate the
loss of values from the project.  They used a numerical
evaluation of Sheep Creek and the Sheep Creek valley wetlands to
balance the loss with an assessed numerical gain in values at the
ponds.  Interpretive signs and other visitor facilities would
also be a part of the proposed enhancement project.
                                175
 image: 








     This project was not deemed adequate mitigation by EPA
because it did "not take into account the unique setting of the
Sheep Creek valley, both in terms of habitat value and
aesthetics.  The value of wetlands in the Sheep Creek valley is
tied to the larger landscape of which it is a part.  The
interaction of soils, hydrology and other factors in the valley
result in a diversity of vegetation that supports a diversity and
productivity of avifuana unique in the Juneau area.   Also, this.
proposal would not replace the aesthetic value of Sheep Creek
valley, a high, secluded valley of substantial aesthetic value,
close to downtown Juneau.

     Echo Bay has outlined a second proposal to enhance waters in
the Mendenhall Glacier Recreation Area, managed by the U.S Forest
Service.  This project was intended to take into account the
setting, in terms of access, and scale of the waterbodies to be
enhanced.  Among the enhancement measures proposed are:

     1.  Fisheries improvements to attempt to provide improved
     spawning and rearing habitat for salmon;

     2.  Trail improvements, including footbridges to improve
     access and gates to eliminate off-road vehicles;

     3.  Interpretive signs and picnic area development;

     4.  Small mammal habitat  improvements;

     5.  Avian nest  structure  installation and waterfowl habitat
     improvements;

     6.  Revegetation of selected sites.

     EPA does  not  support this proposal,  in part because the U.S.
Forest  Service has already proposed to make these  improvements.
The site is managed  by the U.S Forest Service and  is part  of
their  long-term plans for enhancement when funding becomes
available.  While  Echo Bay would be accelerating the rate  of
enhancement at this  site, over the  long  term there would still be
loss of values from  Sheep Creek valley that would  not be
replaced.

     Most  importantly, there  is no  indication that the  unique
diversity  and  productivity  of  avian habitat of  the Sheep Creek
valley would be mitigated by  this project.  Nesting boxes  and
platforms  do not  provide self-sustaining habitat and more
importantly there would  be  a  significant net  loss  of foraging
 (feeding)  habitat for birds.
                                176
 image: 








D.  Mitigation for Lost Values in Marine Waters

     No mitigation has been proposed to offset the loss of
aquatic resource values in the 14.7 acres of marine and
intertidal waters of Gastineau Channel that would be filled to
create dry land for the surface facility.

E.  Conclusion

     On review of mitigation opportunities presented it is
unlikely that the loss of aquatic resource values in the Sheep
Creek valley can be offset.  The values derived from Sheep Creek
and associated wetlands are particular to the setting in which
they are found.  Resources that are generally associated with
wetlands can conceivably be improved at other sites.  In many
instances, where the aquatic resources lost are of lower value,
this sort of trade off is common.  However, as previously stated,
the aquatic resources of the Sheep Creek valley, as part of a
larger landscape, are uniquely diverse and productive for the
project area.  It is unlikely that these values can be recreated
off-site.
                                 177
 image: 








XI.       CONCLUSIONS

     Based on the findings of this report, EPA concludes that
there is a high potential for significant degradation of waters
of the U.S. both within Gastineau Channel and within the tailings
impoundment after closure, i.e., after it is no longer used for
treatment of wastewater and disposal of mine tailings.  The
specific major findings that lead to this conclusion are as
follows:

Finding #1:

     During operation, the wastewater discharge from the
     impoundment co-mingled with mine drainage is likely to
     exceed EPA's New Source Performance Standards  (end-of-pipe
     effluent limits) for total suspended solids, copper and
     possibly mercury (see Chapter VI).

Finding #2:

     During operation, the wastewater discharge is  likely to
     cause widespread exceedances of state of Alaska water
     quality standards for cyanide, arsenic, copper and possibly
     mercury and lead (see Chapter VII);

Finding #3:

     After closure,  indigenous  wildlife that would  likely inhabit
     the tailings  impoundment would be at substantial risk due to
     contaminants  that would  likely persist  in the  impoundment.
     Water quality criteria would  likely be exceeded at high
     levels in the pore water  (up  to 200 times the  acute
     criterion for cyanide) and water column  (2 times the acute
     criterion for copper); sediment concentrations would likely
     exceed benchmark comparison values  (over  400 times the
     lowest effect level  for  cyanide);  and wildlife are likely to
     be at substantial risk from their  exposure to  high levels of
     metals in their diets  (exceeding draft  Great Lakes criterion
     for mercury by over  200  times;  see Chapter VIII).

Finding #4:

     Unlike the Kensington Mine project,  reliable measures '(e.g.,
     secondary treatment  of the effluent,  isolating the tailings)
     for reducing  the anticipated  water quality  impacts described
     above to  significantly  lower  levels  do  not  appear to be
     feasible.  Others,  such  as eliminating  the  cyanide  leaching
     process  or using subaerial tailings  deposition and
     conventional  reclamation at  an alternative  disposal  site,
     would require much  more  detailed analysis to determine
     feasibility  as well  as  overall environmental  impacts  (see
     Chapter  IX).

                                178
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Finding #5:
     The loss of aquatic habitat  (Sheep Creek and associated
     wetlands) would be significant due to their contribution to
     the unique diversity and  productivity within the Juneau
     area, particularly in terms  of migratory bird habitat and
     the aesthetic  quality and recreational  value of Sheep Creek
     valley.  Potential measures  identified  to replace these
     values,  including on-site and off-site  measures, do not
     appear either  feasible  or adequate to prevent a significant
     loss of  aquatic resources (see Chapter  X).
                                 179
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XII. REFERENCES


Alaska-Gastineau Development Company, 1992, Letter from Robert
Craig to Ben Pollard, Chief Engineer, City and Borough of Juneau
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                               180
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a November 10,  1993 Memorandum  by  Stephen Hoffman, Chief Mining
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 Easton,  D.,  1993,  Letter to  John  Yearsley, PhD.,  EPA Region  10,
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 Echo Bay Alaska,  Inc., 1991, Seawater Monitoring Data, May 1989
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 Echo Bay Alaska, 1994a, Assessment of the sulfur content and
 potential for acid generation  from ore and waste materials:  AJ


                                181
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Mine Project: Echo Bay Alaska, Inc., and Kea Pacific Holdings,
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Eisler, R.,  1988, Lead hazards  to fish, wildlife,  and
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Fischer, H.B.,  E.J. List, R.C.Y. Koh, J.  linberger  and N.H.
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Frank,  D,  1994,  Draft memorandum describing  estimated influent
composition of tailings.

Fredericksen,  Rick,  1992, Analysis  of ore samples  from bulk
sample crosscut:   Memo from Rick Fredericksen, Echo Bay Mines, to
Frank Bergstrom,  January 27,  1992.

Fredericksen,  Rick S., 1993,  Progress report on the A-J Project
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Green,  T.L R.S.  Boswell,  and D.W.  Aldridge,  1990,  The effect of
thiocyanate on feeding,  oxygen uptake,  and nitrogenous excretion
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 Hawley, J.R., 1977, The use,  characteristics and toxicity of
mine-mill reagents in the province of Ontario.  OMOE, Toronto.
                                182
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Hayter, E. J., -1993, Letter to Dr. John Yearsley, EPA Region 10,
dated October 14, 1993.

HDR Engineering, Inc.,  1990, Alaska-Juneau mine Sheep Creek
tailings impoundment overturning study.  Bellevue, WA., November
9, 1990.

Heming, T.M., R.V.  Thurston, E.L. Meyn, R.K. Zajdel, 1985, Acute
toxicity of thiocyanate to trout.  Trans. American Fish. Soc.,
114: 895-905.

Hill, Steven, 1991  Echo  Bay Alaska Projects.  Gastineau Channel
Current Meter Moorings, Raw Data Report  (Re-Issue),
October 1991.

Holmberg, Nevin, 1991,  Letter  to colonel William W. Kakel dated
March 28, 1991.

Ingersoll, C.,  1994, Personal  communication, May  11, 1994,
regarding development  of  draft effect  range median values for
Hyallela azteca.

Ippen, A.T.,  1966,   Estuary and Coastline Hydrodynamics, McGraw-
Hill,  1966.

Jaagumagi, R.,  1993, Development of the  Ontario  provincial
sediment quality guidelines  for arsenic, cadmium,  chromium,
copper, iron,  lead, manganese, mercury,  nickel,  and zinc.  ISBN
0-7729-9249-5.   OMOE,  Toronto, 10  pp.

Jokela, Brett,  1991, Memo from Brett  Jokela,  JMM,  to David
Dorris, BLM,  on "AJ Mine FEIS, leachate  Column Tests":
July  18,  1991.

Kevan,  S.D.  and D.G.  Dixon,  1991,  The acute toxicity  of pulse-
dosed thiocyanate   (as  KSCN and NaSCN)  to rainbow trout
 (Oncorhynchus mykiss)  eggs before and after water hardening.
Aquatic Toxicology, 19: pp.113-122.

Knight and Piesold, 1989, Tailings material characteristics.
Unpublished data.

Koh,  R. ,  and Y. Chang, 1973,  Mathematical model for barged  ocean
disposal  of wastes, U.S. EPA report,
EPA-6602-73-029.

Kowalik,  Z.,  1984, Physical Oceanography of Boca de Quadra;
Marine Environmental Studies  in Boca de Quadra; Numerical
Modeling of the Boca de Quadra Fjord, June 1984.

Kowalik,  Z. and Findikakis, A.N., 1985,  The numerical modeling of
 fjord circulation  and  submarine disposal of mine tailings in

                                183
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Wilson Arm/Smeaton Bay, southeast Alaska.  Prepared for U.S.
Borax & Chemical Co., 74 pp.

Krone, R. B., 1993, Letter to William M. Riley, EPA Region 10,
dated October 7, 1993.

Lakefield Research, 1988, An investigation of the recovery of
gold from AJ ore samples submitted by Echo Bay Mines Ltd.:
Progress Report No. 3, Project No. L.R. 3586, November 7, 1988.

Lakefield Research, 1989a, An investigation of semi-autogenous
grinding and the recovery .of gold from  "AJ" Project Samples
submitted by Echo Bay Mines Limited:  Progress Report No. 6,
Project No. L.R. 3586, May 16, 1989.

Lakefield Research, 1989b, An investigation of the recovery of
gold from A-J ore samples submitted by  Echo Bay Mines Ltd.:
Progress Report No. 8, Project No. L.R. 3586-001,
November 13, 1989.

Lakefield Research, 1990, An investigation of tailing
characteristics and water quality of A-J Project tailings
requested by Echo Bay Mines Ltd.:  Progress Report No. 1, Project
No. L.R. 3980, October 11, 1990.

Lawrence, G.A., P.R.B. Ward, and M.D. MacKinnon, 1991, Wind-wave-
induced suspension of mine tailings in  disposal ponds -   case
study.  Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, Vol. 18, No. 6,
pp. 1047-1053.

Lick, W., 1993, Fax to John Yearsley and Ben Cope, EPA Region 10,
dated November 1, 1993.

Luettich, R.A., Jr., D.R.F. Harleman and L. Somlyody, 1990,
Dynamic behavior of suspended sediment  concentrations in  a
shallow lake perturbed by episodic wind events.  Limnology
Oceanography, 35(5), pp. 1050-1067.

Mears, A.I., 1993, Performance specifications for avalanche
dissipators Sheep Creek tailings.  Prepared for Echo Bay  Mines,
55 pp.

Meyer, L.,  1994, Mixing Properties in the Gastineau Channel,
(Independent Masters Degree Project for the University of
Washington  Engineering Dept.), March 1994.

Mills, W.B., D.B. Porcella, M.J. Ungs,  S.A. Gherini,
K.V. Summers, L. Mok, G.L. Rupp, G.L. Bowie, and D.A. Haith,
1985.  Water quality assessment: A screening procedure for toxic
and conventional pollutants in surface  and ground water,
EPA/600/6-85/002.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Environmental Research Laboratory, Athens, Georgia.

                               184
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Mine Environment Neutral Drainage  (MEND) Program, Ministry of
Energy, Mines, and  Petroleum Resources, and CANMET, Environment
Canada, 1991, A preliminary Biological  and Geological Assessment
of Subaqueous Tailings Disposal  in Benson Lake, British Columbia
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Norton, S., 1994, Personal communication regarding bioaccumula-
tive contaminants and selection  of wildlife species for
evaluation.

Ott Engineering, Inc., 1989, Column  leach tests and waste rock
acid generation potential - A.J. Mine Project:
TechnicalMemorandum 3, Job No. S1129.01/3, September 14, 1989.

Palmes, J., 1993, Cyanide:  A review of literature on the
toxicity of cyanide to fish and  wildlife related to its use. in
mining.  In:  (T. Brock, Ed.) Proceedings of Watershed 1991 soil,
air, and water stewardship conference,  Juneau, AK, pp. 47-57,
USDA R10-MB-217.

Pritchard, D. , 1955, Estuarine.Circulation Patterns, Proceedings
of the American Society of Civil Engineers, Volume 81,
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Quadra Consultants,  1986, Salmon Creek  reservoir penstock intake
inspection, letter  report.

Quadra Consultants,  1987, Salmon Creek  monitoring, summary
report.

R&M Engineering, Inc., 1993, Land  Use Reviews Lemon Creek Area,
R&M Project No. 921384, March 5, 1993.

Rawson Academy of Aquatic Science,  1992, A Critical Review of
MEND Studies  Conducted to 1991 on  Subaqueous Disposal of Tailings
dated July 21, 1992.

Rescan Environmental Services, Ltd., 1983, Suspended solids
survey of Rupert Inlet, B.C. conducted  on behalf of U.S. Borax
and Chemical  Corporation.

Resource Consultants & Engineers,  Inc., 1993, Fine particle
settling, Telecopy  to Jan Hastings,  August 17',  1993, 2 pp.

Ritcey, Gordon M.,  1989, Tailings  management, problems and
solutions in  the mining industry:  New York,  Elsevier, 970 pp.

Saiki, M.K.,  1986,  Concentrations  of selenium in aquatic food-
chain organisms and fish exposed to agricultural tile drainage
water.  In:   Selenium and agricultural  drainage:   Implications
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of the Second  Selenium Symposium, Berkeley, CA.  ISBN:  0-937995-
00-2.

Schmidt, Dana,  1993, Letter to Justine Barton, EPA Region  10
dated December 13,  1993.

Schnoor, J.L.,  C. Sato, D. McKechnie, and D. Sahoo, 1987.
Processes, coefficients, and models  for simulating toxic organics
and heavy metals  in surface waters.  EPA/600/3-87/015,
Environmental  Research Laboratory, ORD, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency,  Athens, Georgia,  303 pp.

Schubel, J.R.,  H.H. Carter, R.E. Wilson, W.M. Wise, M.G. Heaton
and M.G. Gross, 1978, Field investigations of the nature, degree
and extent of  turbidity generated by open-water  pipeline disposal
operations.  Technical Report D-78-30.  U.S. Army Engineer
Waterways Experiment Station Environ-mental Laboratory,
Vicksburg, Mississippi, 245 pp.

Shea, Lana,  1994a,  Letter to Frank Bergstrom, Echo Bay Alaska,
Inc., dated  Febraury 2, 1994.

Shea, Lana C.,  1994b, Letter and attachments to  William Riley,
EPA Region 10  dated January 10, 1994.

Sheng, P.Y.  and W.  Lick, 1979, The transport and resuspension of
sediments in a shallow lake, Journal of Geophysical Research,
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Smith, A. and  T.  Mudder, 1991, The chemistry and treatment of
cyanidation  wastes, Chapter 5, The toxicity of cyanide and
related compounds,  Mining Journal Books,, Ltd, London. ISBN: 0-
900117-51-6.

Steffen, Robertson  & Kirsten, 1989,  Estimation of seepage from
the Sheep Creek tailings impoundment, Project 65304B for Echo Bay
Resources, 13  pp.

Steffen, Robertson  & Kirsten, 1990,  Report 65304, AJ project
Sheep Creek  tailings dam report on geologic, geotechnical and
hydrologic investigations.  Prepared for Echo Bay Mines.  March
1990.

Steffen, Robertson  & Kirsten, 1994,  Sheep Creek  tailings dam
1959-1971 water years, LOTUS-123 spreadsheet output.

Sturdevant,  Molly V., 1994, National Marine Fisheries Service,
Memorandum addressed "To Whom It May Concern."   Preliminary Drift
Card Study Results, February 1994.
                                186
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Tileston, J.V.,.  1992,  Correction  in the A-J FEIS Water Quality
Analysis, Memorandum to David Dorris dated September 18, 1992,
JMM Consulting Engineers, Anchorage, Alaska.

U.S. Army Corps  of  Engineers, 1961, General Design memorandum
Gold Creek and tributaries, Alaska, flood control channel
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U.S. Army Corps  of  Engineers, 1985, Interim guidance for
predicting quality  of  effluent discharged from confined dredged
material disposal areas. Technical Notes EEDP-04-1,-2,-3,-4.
U.S. Army Engineer  Waterways Experiment Station, Environmental
Laboratory, Vicksburg, Mississippi.

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Material.  Users Manual.  EM 1110-2-5027.

U.S. Army Corps  of  Engineers, 1994, Memorandum for Record:
Verification and Review of the Wetlands Delineations by Dames and
Moore and Three  Parameters Plus  (3P+)  for the AJ Mine Project
Proposal, September 7, 1994.

U.S. Bureau of Land Management,  1992,  A-J mining project,  Final
environmental impact statement:   Bureau of Land Management and
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2800-980, May 1992.

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USEPA, 1985, Ambient water quality criteria for mercury.
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USEPA, 1985, Water  Quality Assessment:  A Screening Procedure for
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USEPA, 199la, WASP4, A Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Model:
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60923.
                                187
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USEPA, 1993a,  -Great Lakes water quality  initiative  criteria
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93-007.
USEPA, 1993b, Wildlife exposure factors handbook.
EPA/600/R-93/187a.

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Report for 1993.  USDA Forest Service, Forestry Sciences Lab.,
Juneau, Alaska.  9 pp.

Woodward-Clyde Consultants, I993a.  WASP4 modeling of the
proposed Sheep Creek tailings pond, AJ Mine.  Draft report
prepared for AJ Mines.

Woodward-Clyde Consultants, 1993b,  List of additional water
quality model simulations of Echo Bay's AJ Mine tailings pond,
July 13, 1993.

Yearsley, J.R., 1992, A simple model for metals in the proposed
AJ Mine tailings pond DRAFT, EPA Region 10, Seattle, WA.

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tailings pond,  EPA910/R-93-005,  EPA Region 10, Seattle,
Washington, 22 pp.
                               188
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XIII.
LIST OF PREPARERS
INDIVIDUAL

Bill Riley

Rick Seaborne


David Frank
Ben Cope
Cindi Godsey'

John Yearsley, PhD.
Justine Barton
Bruce Duncan, PhD.
Phil North
                              AREA  OF  RESPONSIBILITY

                              Project  Manager

                              Project  Description
                               (Chapter IV)

                              Influent Data, Metals
                              Mobility (Chapters VI,
                              VIII,  IX)

                              Water Quality  Impacts
                               (Chapters VI,  VII, IX)

                              Water Quality  Impacts,
                              Models (Chapters VI, VII,
                              IX)

                              Watershed Setting, Long-
                              term  Contamination Risks
                               (Chapter VIII)

                              Ecological Risk Analysis
                               (Chapter VIII)

                              Affected Environment,
                              Ecological Impacts
                              Mitigation  (Chapters V,
                              X)
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